Polling & the Midterms
The discussion examined whether current polling is accurately capturing the political environment ahead of the midterm elections. Democrats hold a lead on the generic ballot, while Cook Political Report projects potential gains in both the House and Senate. The conversation also focused on weak presidential approval numbers and the possibility that Republican or Trump-aligned voters are being undercounted in surveys, raising the question of whether polling errors similar to 2016 could significantly change expectations for control of Congress.
The skinny
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