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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Saturday 11/22/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: into pink. Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Arch had is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what day it is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: you after the worst stay that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least ohe and two yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumps, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's Toad back with you, Toads Still Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: Saturday morning, November twenty second. Thanks for everybody hung out
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: for the College Football show last night. I gave up
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: four plays for today there I will reiterate them at
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: the end of the show and hopefully I get the
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: show done in a decent amount of time. College basketball,
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's not as heavy as it usually is
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: on a Saturday, but we obviously have some I'm gonna
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: add three college basketball players. I'm gonna add one NHL play.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: It's a full NHL slate, basically because it's Saturday. There's
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: a lot of NHL but only one thing I really like,
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: and it's in one of the afternoon games. And then
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: I have an NBA night game. I'm gonna give about
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: one NBA play. I think it's at night. Charles, what's up?
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out again. Jeffrey what's up. Thanks for
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: hanging out again, everybody. Uh, yesterday wound up being a
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: six and two day on the show, and we started
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: out oh and two and then everything started going better,
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: although the middle two games there, like after we were
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: oh and two, those next two basketball games. I mean,
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: this is the importance of the number, man, because those
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: things were razor thin. If you got it at the
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: number that I gave out on the show, which was
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: not the one that I actually put up on the
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: ban or but like verbally I was like, this number
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: is actually this now, and then I put it in
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: the description as what I gave it out at, like
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: verbally those one but barely. So hopefully you guys came
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: away with that if they didn't win. I mean, four
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: and four is a loose using day, except maybe you
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: wound up slightly winning because of the Trailblazers covering as
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: an underdog, because I always mentioned put a little bit
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: of that bet on the money line man. In that case,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: I would have recommended ten percent because it was a
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: single digit underdog, So that's what I would have said
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: about that one. Or if you pushed on Kenesius at three,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: like hopefully you at least got the three on that,
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: then I guess it was what would it have been
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: four to three and could have been four three and
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: one or no five? Yeah? Wait what I don't even
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: yeah four three and one or yeah, would know it
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: would have been five five to two in one? I
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: guess right, yeah, five two and one might have been
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: what you did, or I guess there was a possibility
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: of four to three in one if you didn't get
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: the number on apps stayed, although when then when it drops,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: I recommend doing it on the money line instead, Sons
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: and Nuggets. Oh, thank you? Yeah, I I believe I
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: had both of those games correct. Yes, that is good.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: My NBA reads have been excellent, which hopefully continues because
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: I do have one play in the NBA. I don't
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: love the NBA board today though. So yesterday, yeah, Yale
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: did not cover. Yale was looking okay as they extended
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: their lead to like nine at the end of the
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: first half, thinking, all right, like second half usually a
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: little bit higher scoring. They could, you know, push the lead,
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: get this done. But that's not what happened. They had
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: a bad second half, so they they won, but they
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: didn't come close to covering in the end. Wisconsin. Can
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't know, kiss my ass. I guess
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: because that one was never gonna happen. Well, I mean,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say never. I mean they were
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: within ten fairly late in the game, so there was
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: a chance I guess that they could go on a
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: run and tighten the game up, but that didn't happen.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: They lost by double digits. That wasn't close, app State,
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: I gave it out at what did I give it out?
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: I think I gave it out as one and a half. Actually,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: I think I did change the banners too, because I
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: see them here Apps stay one by two, So hopefully
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: you got the one and a half or when it's
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: college basketball, Like I said, a lot of the professionals
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: will tell you that if you have a minus one,
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half orm minus two favorite, it's
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: actually more advantageous to go with the money line. So
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: that would have worked out as well if you did that.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Keniz just won by exactly three. That was a difficult
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: That was a low scoring game, dude. Like they did
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: have a lead of about seven or maybe eight at
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: one point in the game close to halftime, but it
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: was never more than that. It was a low scoring game,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: but really dangerous with two bad offenses laying any number
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: of points. But if you laid the two and a half,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: you got it. If you played the money line, you
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: got it. A three would have been a push. The
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: line did close at three and a half though, so
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: hopefully you didn't have that one. And then it started
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: getting way easier as Texas A and M wanted a blowout.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: They covered the twenty three with pretty much no difficulty.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Once they started expanding that lead, it was over. I
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: think they won by over thirty. San Jose State won
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: by double digits as well, so they covered. I think
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: they won by about fourteen twelve maybe whatever it was.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: That was a nice easy win. And then we had
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: the Portland Trailblazers getting the outright win against the Golden
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: State Warriors, so that worked out well as well. Wasn't
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: necessarily expecting an outright win there, but I'll I mean, obviously,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: I'll take it. That was nice. That gave us a
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: little bit of money line action there. And then the
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: Boston Bruins came through as well with an overtime outright win.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: So if you did the split bet, like I was
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: talking about you at least, we're gonna push at the
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: very least once it went into overtime, because they were
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: gonna only lose by one at the worst. But they won.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: So that's why I got my Bruins and on plus,
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: they're my team, so we're gonna rep it. They came through.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: Let's go into today. Man, not a not a huge
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: college basketball slate, but it is big. I mean, it's
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: college basketball. There's always something big going on. Got to
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: pay attention because a lot of these games are in
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: weird venues and stuff. You do have Wagner and Georgetown
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: kick off the slate at noon on ESPN Plus. Georgetown undefeated,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: still in the Big East. They're coming out of a
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: nice win over acc Clemson. Although I think Clemson's got
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: to be a little bit down this year from what
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: they were the last couple of years. That's still a
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: big win for Georgetown. And they do have Dayton up next,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: so possible spot here where they just don't take Wagner
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: totally seriously and overlook them. Wagner not having a win yet. Wagner,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: they lost by one in that last game and they
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: covered against us on the Show against UNBC last time
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: out last week and on Sunday, I think so that
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: irritated me. Wagner has not even played at home yet,
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: so they are battle tested on the road. Although Georgetown
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: will be either the best or second best team they face,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: so for probably second best yet because VCU is the
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: best that they played so far, there's a pantangil that
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: Wagner can come within this number. Man, it's up to
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: twenty five from twenty three and a half. I would
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points here. Fifty percent of the
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on Wagner. So
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: I mean it's again you don't want to put too
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: much weight into these reads. The market reads early in
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: the day. Wagner plays very very slow though, as we know,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: and I think Georgetown speeds it up to some extent.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Well they're a mid tempo team. But yeah, I would
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: still look to take the points. So I just think
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the spot is such that Georgetown just might, you know,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: try to get in get out. It's a very low
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: total too, although it's gone up a little bit, but
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: one for low total, so it makes more sense to
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: take a lot of points there as well, but not
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: gonna make it a play obviously, We're gonna start with
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: the best bets already because I'm gonna give out a
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: play here in the Boston games. I'm already owning one
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: in these Boston games here. But hopefully we're gonna get
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: this one right. We're gonna take Boston University plus four.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: I know I want to do it here, I have
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: to go offshore. The line's already moving. Have it is
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: down from six to four here total is low, down
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty six. So again, I like taking
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: points with low totals, So that's you know, another thing.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: A low total makes every point worth a little bit more.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: This is at one thirty pm Eastern, not televised that
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: you could probably find a stream of it if you
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: really want. But I think Harvard is in a bad spot.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: And I also think BU like they consider themselves to
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: be a littler brother than Harvard in the Boston area.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: I think the the hierarchy kind of goes like BC
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: is at the top, just because that's the way that
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: it is. They're in the ACC. Then I think Harvard
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: is actually next in basketball. I mean they're in the ivy.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: The ivy is better than bu'sing the Patriot and then
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: you got Northeastern in the colonials, so it probably goes Northeastern.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: Then bu BU probably considers themselves to be the littlest
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: of all of them. Harvard didn't get it done for
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: us when they played the other little or brother against
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: Northeastern at home, so that wasn't good. But we're going
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: against Harvard this time though. This game, by the way,
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: it is Unneessing, so if you're up in the Boston
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: area you can watch it on Nesson. This is a
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: not in Boston though, I don't think, yeah, this is
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: a Mohegan Sun, so this is a I mean, yeah,
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: it's a neutral site game because it's not on either
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: college's campus, so there is that as well. But Harvard's
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: coming off a tough game, dude, Like, I know, both
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna kind of show up for this, but
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: I think this looks like a sandwich spot that Harvard
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: is in here have it. They just went to Penn State,
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: undefeated Big Ten team, twelve and a half point underdogs,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: and Harvard they put up a fight in this game, man,
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: I mean this game was close. They were losing early on,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: They took the lead going into halftime, fell behind again,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: retook the lead again. They had the lead late in
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: the game into like the later half of the second half,
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: basically never went away. I mean they were still within
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: one possession in the final two minutes to the game.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Harvard basically took penn State right to the wire. Man.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: So now Harvard off of that coming back home from
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: Pennsylvania or coming to Connecticut, I don't love it, man.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: And up next they got to face the biggest brother
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: in Boston BC, Boston College ACC team, so it is
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: possible they're gonna look ahead to that a little bit too.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: So I think the game sets up better for BU.
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: I think it means more to BU. BU just went
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: down to New York and lost to Columbia pretty ugly.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Columbia was the favorite. I mean Bu's pretty bad, but yeah,
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: I mean that's it. Basically. I think it's a sandwich
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: that Harvard is in. Yes, Harvard is the better team,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: but they're not significantly better. I think ken Bum's numbers
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: are kind of right in line with what this spread
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: is telling you. Harvard also plays really slow three hundred
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: twenty seventh and tempo, so that's also not really conducive
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: to covering as a favorite. A low tempo team like that,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: although I am gonna go with one of those teams
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: in a little bit. BU plays even slower. BU is
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: one of the fifth slowest teams you know, all of
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: college basketball. Both teams are somewhat high in the Luck Index,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: so I think that kind of evens out as well.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: I know BU bad defensively too, but I think the
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: spot sets up for it. I think BU might be
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: able to come within that number, or I'm saying that
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: they should because I'm giving it out as a play.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: So that's one college basketball play there all right. Long
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: Island is having to go to Illinois. Illinois is coming
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: off their first loss of the season, a tough game
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: against Alabama. We took a loss on that game. I
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: mean Illinois was a fast paced game. Both teams like
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: to play fast, so Illinois could be a little bit
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: tired here of Illinois. They tried to come back, They
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: almost were able to come back. They didn't do it.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: They fell short. And I talk about how a team
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: when they're first taking their first loss, a team can
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: be hung over into the next game. And in addition
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: to that, that was a huge game, so that can
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: also create a hangover effect. So I don't like the
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: spot for Illinois. I would really hate it if they
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: had this Yukon game or Tennessee or Ohio State coming
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: up right after this. But they do have Rio Grande
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Valley in the middle there, so it's not really a
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: look ahead spot yet. But I still think it's a
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: massive hangover spot. A Long Island is not a terrible team.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: They've been battle tested a little bit so far. They're
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: coming off a loss on the road, although both of
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: their losses have come on the road, and though it's
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: not unexpected, but they did lose that Fordham in their
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: last game. Not a great game for Long Island. In
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: that one, they were an underdog but only four and
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: a half. And it was a game where I thought
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: Long Island would step it up because Fordham I think
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: they consider for them to be a little a little
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: bit of a bigger brother in that area. But Long
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: Island had a terrible, terrible shooting game in this game,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: man thirty three percent from the field, seven percent from
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: three seven So that's I mean, that's an outlier. Like
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: there's gotta be some progression back to a meeting there.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna happen again. Although I know
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Illinois there's so much better. They they could pop like
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: possibly still name the score here if they really care
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: about it, But I don't think that you do. I
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: still think it's kind of a hangover spot. I'm not
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: gonna give this out as a play, but Illinois up
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: from thirty three to thirty four and a half. I
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: would take the points of Long Island and that one
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it in Long Island. The
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: other good thing because Illinois likes to play fast well.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: Long Island already played Iupui. That was a winner we
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: had on the show with Long Island beating Iupuy or
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: Iu Indy, who are now like the fastest tempo team
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: in the entire nation. Although of course that's not gonna
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: necessarily prepare you for Illinois, because Illinois is just a
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: way better team, especially defensively. But still, Long Island did
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: get their pace pushed to the limit by Iupui there
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: at the very least, and I think Long Island also
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: plays fast. Yeah, there's seventy first in tempo. Ken Bomasm
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: is the fifth team overall in luck, though se he
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: is Long Island very lucky so far. Could go with
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: an over in that game too, although Illinois, I mean
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: maybe the overall manifest in the defense, but I don't
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: know to some extent, because it's not a big game
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: for Illinois, they might actually not go full throttle and
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: not go full tempo. There. The total did drop a
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: little bit to one sixty one, although if both teams
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: are really gonna show up, the over might make sense.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: But because Illinois might not have reason to do it,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: then maybe not. You Mass Lowell and Saint Peter's. I'm
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play Saint Peter's minus seven. Hopefully
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: you can get the seven on this. This line is
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: moving up. It's already gone up to eight, so I
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: apologize for that. The seven is the key number. I mean,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: if you want to use this as a moneyline parlay piece,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: you could do that. If you want to lay the eight,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: you could still do it. I mean, I think ken
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Bum doesn't have them winning by quite this much, and
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: the total is not that high at like one point fifty.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's does not play fast, but I think this
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: is a bad spot for you, mass Loon, and you
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: mass Lowell is terrible this year, dude. I mean we're
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: looking at two really bad teams here. Yes, I know
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's plays really slow, three point thirty ninth. U
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: mass Lowell actually tries to play fast, so Saint Peters
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: will try to slow it down. But U mass Lowell
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: plays no defense. They're bottom six, bottom five whatever on
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Ken Bump and all of defense, all of the all
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: of D one and defense defensive efficiency. So this UMass
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: Lowell team very bad, even though yes, I see they're
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: very close to the bottom and luck so I know
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: Saint Peters is higher and luck, So sometimes I don't
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: want to you know, buck that buck ken bumps up
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: luck rankings there. I'm still gonna do it here though,
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: because I think the spot's really bad for UMass Lowell.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, yes, UMass Lowell, they shouldn't be as bad
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: as they look so far. They played most of their
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: games on the road, but this is another road game
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: and in their last game, UMass Lowell just went to
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Bradley Well. First of all, they hung with wig Forrest
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: for about a half in the game prior to that
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: at wake Forest. A loser for us on the show
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: because U mass Lowell couldn't even cover the thirty one
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Even though they gave us one good half,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: which is usually enough to cover a huge number like that,
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: it's still wasn't. Then UMass loll turned around and they
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: had to fly to Peoria, Illinois to play Bradley, and
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: they were twenty one and a half point underdogs in
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: this game, and they could have won the game potentially.
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: U mass Lowell was winning this game for most of
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: the second half, and then they fell completely flat, starting
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: with about six minutes left. Then went on, they were
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: up two, and then they didn't score for a period
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: of three minutes. It fell behind by twelve and then
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: that was the end of it. Brutal. So U mass
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: Lowell almost pulled off the upset there against Bradley, who
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: is one of the better teams in the Missouri Valley
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: and was a huge favorite there. I just don't know
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: how U mass Lowell is going to bounce back from
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: that right away, man, I mean, it seems like a
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: hangover spot to me. They do have a Massachusetts game
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: up next against Stonehill, where I know stone Hill's really
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: really like bad. I mean they're probably the least brother
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: of all the Massachusetts schools in Division one, but still
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I just don't know what new
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: mass Lowell is gonna have in this game. Saint Peter.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: They're at least one to zero. At home, they beat
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: Fairly Dickinson and they did They did cover this number
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: against Fairley Dickinson. They won by tens. That was their
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: only home game. Saint Peter's somewhat battle testing. I mean,
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: they face Seaton Hall VCU. Weren't horrible, They were not
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: horrible in those games. They didn't get embarrassed. Now they're
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: back at home. I think you're gonna get more focused here.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: They're coming off of a loss to Delaware, so their
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: travel is actually a lot less to Saint Peter's. Has
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: not left like the mid Atlantic area, let's say for
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: the most part mid Atlantic slash Northeast. So coming back
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: from Delaware a lot easier than U mass Lowell coming
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: back from Illinois. And I think U. Mass Lowell actually
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: has one fewer day off too, so sets up a
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: lot better than me for Saint Peter's. That's what we're
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: gonna do, and the money seems like it's agreeing with it,
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: because the number keeps going off, so hopefully you get
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: the best number there. Yeah, the key master it seven
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: is at least a little bit less key basketball than
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: it is in football, at the very least, but because
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: you could argue that eight is like kind of also
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: a key number because teams will intentionally foul and they're
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: down six too, as we found out the hard way.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: But it's very rare that I'll lose a bet where
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: I have like a plus seven and a half and
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: it's because the team intentionally fouls down six. That happened
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: with what was it, cal Poly against Montana? All right,
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan at Marquette. This is this is actually at Marquette,
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: so some of these games are indeed at these home arenas.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: Marquette's coming off a couple of difficult games. Man, they
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: played pretty tough against both Maryland and Dayton. Now they're
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: coming off those games, although I know they did get
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: upset by Dayton. So sometimes when a team has an
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: upset pulled against them, they will show up in the
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: next game. But I'm not sure that Marquette will because
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: those are both pretty big games, and they do have
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma next as well, so they might look overlook this
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: not very good Central Michigan MAC team. Here, Central Michigan's
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: coming off getting embarrassed by Northern Kentucky, which I think
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: was in Central Michigan too. Just ridiculous. Central Michigan lost
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: this game horribly. Yeah, it was at Central Michigan. Central
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: Michigan was a four and a half point favorite and
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: they lost the game by twenty four, so they look
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna be in a bounced back spider. Northern
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Kentucky shot the lights out in this game. Central Michigan
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: had a ton of turnovers minus eight and turnovers nineteen
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: to eleven. Northern Kentucky fifty three percent from the field
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: and forty eight percent from three. Those look like some outliers.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: So if I was gonna play this game, I would
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: take Central Michigan plus the points. The money seems to
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: agree Marquette's up from twenty two and out to twenty four.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Fifty percent of the tickets seventy three percent of the
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: cash on Central Michigan, so the money is agreeing with
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan. That's what I would do in that game.
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: Not gonna play it, though, Matt, what's up man Saint Bonaventure? Yes, oh,
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir, Thank you dude. I'm no sleep for me, man,
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: no sleep. Yeah, for the Degenerates, I guess, but yes,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir, I appreciate it. Did the Bonnies lose
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: at North Carolina, I don't even know. I haven't been
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: paying that much attention to every single game. All right,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: we have Cleveland State at Kent State. These two teams
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: do not like each other because they're both in the
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: state of Ohio, and they already matched up once in
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: West Virginia in that tournament there where Kent State didn't
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: play particularly well in the game, but they won against
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: against Cleveland State. Kent State was an eleven and a
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: half point favorite and they came close to losing the
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: game Cleveland State covered, So I could see this going
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: both ways. You could argue that it's a revenge spot
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: for Cleveland State, quick revenge, so they're gonna have more
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: motivation here. That could certainly be true. Plus, I think
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: they consider themselves to be a little brother to Kent
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: State in Ohio. Kent State, they might consider this game
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: to be big too, because they just didn't play well
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: against Cleveland's State in that tournament, so they might want
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: to play a little bit better. Kent is up to
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: a fifteen and a half point favorite, seems a little
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: bit high given I mean they were minus eleven and
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: a half in a neutral and probably give Ken State
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: about three for home court, so the line does seem
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: slightly high. It's gone up from thirteen and a half
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: to fifteen and a half. Yeah, I mean I would
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: probably look to still take the points with Cleveland State here.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: We're looking at a very high total though, up to
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: one seventy five, enormous total in this game. I mean,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: an over might actually make sense in this game. I
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: know the other game was very high scoring as well
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: and landed in the one nineties, which might indicate that
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: you don't want to play the over. But I don't
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: think I would want to be on an under here
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: because you got two fast tempo teams here. Both teams
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: are in the top seventy and tempo, so that's part
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: of the reason why that's the case. Cleveland State is
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: also one of the most atrocious defenses in all of
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: college basketball. So again, yeah, a little hesitation with one
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: of the ten take the points in Cleveland State, because
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: if it's gonna be that high scoring of a game,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be easier for Kent State to cover the number.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: Over might still make sense in that game though, Yes, correct,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: No sleep till whatever, all those different songs. No sleep
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: till Brooklyn Beastie Boys, No Rest for the Wicket is
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: what I was referencing the cage the elephant as that
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: of that is. Oh, they play them on Tuesday. All right, interesting,
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: I'll maybe I'll talk about it when we get to
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: it on Tuesday. All right, on next up, here's my
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: final play. We're already gonna have my last college basketball play.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the points with NC Central plus twenty
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. I know this is ugly, so
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: all of our college basketball is done in the afternoon.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: This is a fade of Dayton. I know this is
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: actually at Dayton, but Dayton just pulled off that upset
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: that I just mentioned against Marquette. Man. That was a
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: big win for Dayton. That was our first win of
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: the season against a power conference team. They go into
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: into Marquette and they beat them. Yeah, huge win for Dayton.
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: If you look at what happened in this game, I mean,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Marquette shot horribly thirty eight percent from the field, twenty
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: nine percent from three. So that's another reason to hesitate
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: to fade Marquette today, by the way, is that Marquette's
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: going to like progress back to some sort of meaning
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: after such a miserable shooting performance. But meanwhile, Dayton, on
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: the other hand, they shot really well in this game,
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent from the field, forty one percent from three.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: So I think there's gonna be some regression from Dayton here.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Both teams turned it over a ton in that game
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: for whatever reason. Maybe not a good side for Dayton
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: that they turned it over that much. But this game
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: also went into overtime, so a little bit more exertion
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: on the part of Dayton there. Which was win was
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: this game. It was on the nineteenth, so it wasn't
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: that long ago either. Now they're playing this NC Central team,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: they probably just will completely overlook. And then up next
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: they do have Georgetown, which is gonna be a bigger game,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: big East team. Man. So this is a big East
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: sandwich that Dayton is in, man probably some I mean,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know for the Big East. What do we eat?
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: I mean big East up here, it's gonna be, you know,
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: an Italian sandwich. Maybe that's what we're looking at here,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: nice spicy Italian that NC Central is in here NC Central.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: I know they've been bad on the road, but they
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: are battle tested, dude. Look at their schedule so far.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: Basically all their games, all their Division one games, have
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: been on the road, and they lost to NC State Virginia.
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: APP State was the easiest opponent they faced, and I
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: know they still got blown out in that game by
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: twenty plus and then UNC in their last game. But Dayton.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: I think Dayton is not as good as NC State,
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: Virginia or North Carolina. So Dayton is only better than
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: APP State, I would say at this point, I think
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: NC Central at least is gonna be game for this
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: man because they've been very battle tested, so they're not
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: gonna be intimidated because they've played all these different games
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: on the road. Here, they're coming off a win against
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: the non Division one team, which I think will help
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: give them some momentum into this game. And the other
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: thing I really like about this is that Dayton plays
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: extremely slow, so that's not as conducive to covering a number.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: I'm not extremely slow, but two hundred and fifty fourth
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: and tempo, so they're a slow paced team and they
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: don't play as good offensively as they do or as
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: well offensively as they do defensively, they're more of a
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: defense oriented team, so that's not a good setup for
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: a team when you're asking them to cover a massive
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: spread like this. They're also high and ken Bum's luck
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: index at fifty fifth, that's not exactly good. And let
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: me see NC Central, Hold, mom, come on for NC Central,
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: I know they're like a bottom twenty team here. Yeah,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: they're hiring luck index, but like I pointed out, they
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: face the seventh most difficult schedule so far. I know
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: it didn't work out when I said the same thing
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: about Jackson's State, but I'm saying it here anyway. And
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: NC Central also likes to play at a slow pace,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: so they'll be in the type of the type of
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: game that they want to be in, which is a
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: slow based game, which also means points are gonna be
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: more at a premium. The total in this game, let
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: me see, is quite low in one hundred and forty seven,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: so it makes more sense to take the points. It
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: looks like you can get even more points now, maybe
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: I'll adjust it to what it is during the show
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: here twenty nine. Now, a low total again makes more
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: sense to grab the points. NC Central man, hopefully they
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: stay within that number. I mean they can lose by
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: quite a bit and still cover that. So yeah, the
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: money never sleeps. I love spicy Italian subs as well.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: I'm Italian, dude. I like all the Italian food. The
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: spicy Italian sub is that's an upper tier sandwich. Man.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: We have some really good ones. If you go to
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: like some of the like markets like that are in
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: the North End, the North End where the Italians are
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: in Boston, you get some really good Italian sandwiches there,
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: really really good stuff. All right, go on the Boston
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Food Tour again. Waste that much time, though. We do
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: have some of these tournaments still going on. Green Bay
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: and U Mass are playing in the Virgin Islands, which
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: is you know, Jeffrey Epstein's Island probably is considered to
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: be one of them. You Mass took a loss to
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: Charleston by four in the first game in this tournament.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Green Bay also lost in the first game, so this
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: is the loser bracket. Green Bay covered against US. I
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: think both of those games are yesterday. Green Bay put
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: up another fight as a huge underdog against Yale. You
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: Mass lost, I think is a favorite. In the game
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: against Charleston. Let me see were they favorite? No, Charleston
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: was three and a half point favorite. Nevermind, I thought
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: Charleston was a little bit more down this year than
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: they are. But still green Bay put up such a
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: performance yesterday as a huge underdog, I would lean to
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: you Mass in this game they are the better team,
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: although the money's disagreeing. They're down from seven and a
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: half to six and a half. Don't really see the
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: percentages fleshed out yet. It's a pretty low total, which
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: makes more sense to take the points, but I would
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: probably still lay it with U Mass Like green Bay.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, they put up again a big performance against
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: Yale yesterday, so I don't know what they're gonna have
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: left in the tank there. So that's what I have
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: to say about that. That Maryland destern Sure versus Kenesius
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: matchup yesterday was in the Queen's Classic in Buffalo, which
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: I think is actually being hosted by Canesius. But this game,
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: Binghamton is gonna be up there against Maryland eestern Sure.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: Binghamton also more local to Buffalo than because they're in Binghamton,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: New York or whatever, so they're in upstate New York,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: so They're closer to Buffalo than Maryland Eestern Shore is
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: they're gonna probably want to represent in this game as well.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: Binghamton did not play yesterday either, I don't believe so
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: Binghamton's more rested. They got to win against a non
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: Division one team coming into this one. So I like
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Binghamton in this one other But the problem is they're
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: already up from three to nine. I don't even know
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: what happened, dude, Like, is this all just because Maryland
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: Ystern Shore played yesterday? Or is Maryland's Eastern Shore Is
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: their entire team injured? Like what is going on? I
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with this number, dude, Like
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: I can't really find injury information on teams like Maryland
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: Eastern Shore. So I mean, if you have more information,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: I mean have that. But I think with the line
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: being that high now at nine and the total unbelievably
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: low in one hundred and twenty eight and a half,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think you can lay it though, even though
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: at that original price of three, I would have said, yeah,
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: Binghamton makes sense here at nine, I just I don't.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: I don't see it. Man, looks like an overreaction whatever
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: happened in the market there, so no thank you on
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: what Gottlieb is that? Doug Gottlieb. I'm not a fan either.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: You want the UMass money line, maybe in like a
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: parlay or something. Z what's up man? Zsuki, what's up man?
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: All right? Yeah, but yeah, I don't have much of
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: an opinion. I mean, I don't like Gottlieb, but I
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: don't like many of the talking heads. Dude, I really don't.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: When you listen to these guys talk about basketball. Oh god,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: who's the guy? There's there's one guy that like makes
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: sense when he's talking about college basketball from all the
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: analysts that are on the panel, and I forget who
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: it is now, Oh god, who is it? I'll try
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: to remember. There's one guy. I'm like, yeah, he makes
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: a lot. Oh it's Jay Wright, the former coach of Villanova.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: He's like the only guy on those panels who actually
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: says things that make sense and knows what he's talking about.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: It's crazy, none of the other people know anything. And yeah,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Jay Wright's the only guy who knows stuff. Yeah, all right.
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: By the way, I think he kind of looks like
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: George Klooney, you know, he's kind of hot. Providence at
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: Penn State will not at Penn State because this is
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: at Mohegan Sun. Uh, so this is actually in that
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: same This is in the same tournament that those Boston
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: teams are in. I'm pretty sure. So Penn State kind
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: of an outlier here, which this makes even less sense
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: because that game between Penn State and Harvard was actually
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: at Penn State. So but now they're both involved in
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: these Mohegan Sun I don't know, very strange. Providence should
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of a home crowd edge here,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: you would think, because it's in Connecticut, so they don't
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: have to travel far for this. Penn State is actually
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: an underdog here too, which is pretty interesting. I mean,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: Providence is probably getting a little bit extra on the
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: number because they're close to home. But it looks pretty
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: weird to have a five and o Penn State team
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: getting points getting four and a half against Providence. So
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: when I see a line like that, I'm gonna tend
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: to look towards the favorite because it just looks a
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: little bit weird. But Providence has not stepped up well.
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: In class Man. They lost to Virginia Tech on a
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: neutral and then they lost in Colorado. But you remember
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: I gave out Colorado as a play in that game
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: because it was Providence's first true road game going into elevation,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: and Colorado was in some refocused spot coming off an
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: ugly performance in the previous game, So Colorado got it
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: done for us. This will be different, at least because
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Providence is playing close to home here. They do have
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin next, but I don't know that Providence is going
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: to overlook an undefeated Big Ten team here, so I
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: do expect them to show up. Penn State probably will
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: show up as well, because they didn't play well against Harvard.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: As I mentioned in that game, Penn State almost loss
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: is a huge favorite, so that's reason to refocus as well.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: So both teams in spots where I expect them to focus.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on Providence. I'm not gonna disagree
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: with it, just because the line just looks like it's
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: begging you to take the points with Penn State, Like
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: why would the team with multiple losses, you know, be
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: favored over Penn State? And obviously it's because Penn State
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: hasn't faced any Power Conference teams yea, and Providence has
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: already faced two, so Providence has faced the more difficult schedule,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: and those were Providence's two losses. Although again I know
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: it doesn't mean they haven't stepped up well in class.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: And you know, Virginia Tech and Colorado or not elite teams.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way. So some worries there.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: I would lean the Providence not a play for me,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: but some concerns with it. But yeah, sixty percent of
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety percent of the cash can mean in Providence.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: Mark Lawrence leans to Kansas. I like Kansas. Like I said, Louisville,
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: I leaned against Louisville, right, I like SMU and that one,
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: but I think the line is a bit too high
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: now Louisville. I just don't understand what motivation they have
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: left here. I like Temple, as I pointed out, Temple
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: is a stronger opinion for me. Stanford. I agree with
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Stanford as well. Actually I didn't talk about it last night,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: but I do agree with that one as well, which
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: I forget exactly what the setup is with that. I
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: can talk about that real quick. I guess if you
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: want college football interlude, I mean, it's a big game
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: for both teams because it's cal and Stanford. But Cal
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: is already Bowl eligible, which is at least big somewhat
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: for them, and Cal is coming back from Louisville, and
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: they upset Louisville in the last game, so I think
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: the spot does set up better for Stanford, though Stanford
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: is flying back cross country as well from un CE,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: although they might have had a buy. Yeah, Stanford went
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: into the by on a three game losing streak, so
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: the bye should help Stanford a little bit because they
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: went into the buy in such a lost streak. Col
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: is also coming out of a buy, so these teams
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: are flying across country off of a bye. But Cal again,
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: they pulled off that crazy upset at Louisville coming back home,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: so I agree it sets up better for Stanford. Even
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: though it's a big rivalry, both teams will want to
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: show up. But Stanford also they're not even going to
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: a bowl so this game. I know they have Notre
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Dame next to but they might treat this game like
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: a bowl game, man, because it is a big rivalry
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: and Cal will be playing in a bowl this year.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I agree with Stanford in that game. I
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: didn't even talk about it last night because it just
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: wasn't totally on my radar, although I looked at the game.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: But yes, I agree with Stanford, and I don't remember
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: what the line was on that game, either, but yeah,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: what is the line on that? I'll look real quick.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: It is Stanford is getting three and a half basically
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: at home, so yeah, you'd be able to take points
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: with them. Two. Okay, what else do we have here?
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: Cane and Northeastern are playing in Akron, Ohio at Lebron Arena.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with this game. I
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: just thought it was interesting they're playing in Akron. No idea.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: Why don't know what it is? It's not even listed,
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: like there's not even a header here as oh this
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: is some cool tournament. No, it's just let's play an
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: Akron for no reason, which I think helps Dukane a
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: little bit because Ducaine's and Pittsburgh, so they're closer geographically
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: to where this game is going to be played. They're
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: definitely also the better team. They're down from nine and
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: a half to eight and a half. I don't really
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: have an opinion on this game though, I just thought
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: it was interesting they're playing an Akron, which doesn't make
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: any sense. I don't think there's really any like situational
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: setup that leads me, you know, to lean one way
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: or the other. Really, Ducaine is coming off, I believe
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: winning in that like tournament thing and or no, I
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: guess they beat Loyal and Maryland. What am I saying?
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: I thought they were in that, but that was in Dukaine, Yeah,
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: because I thought Dukaine was kind of in the mix
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: in that Pennsylvania like Philadelphia around Robin thing that was
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: going on, but that wasn't part of that. So I
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, I would lean to Ducane. It's
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: the they're the better team. I don't know why the
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: line dropped like that. Don't really have an opinion though.
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: And then we have Niagara and Howard are playing at
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: Cameron Indoor. Duke is hosting whatever this tournament is, the
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: Brotherhood run Okay, yeah, whatever it is, I don't know.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: Sounds kind of gay, but I mean I think there
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: is an advantage somewhat for Niagara in this game because
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: Niagara already played in this arena. They just lost to Duke,
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: and yeah, they got absolutely annihilated by Duke. I mean,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: there's no surprise there, but that means Niagara is familiar
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: with this venue though, so I think that gives them
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: an edge over Howard coming into this one because Howard
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: hasn't played yet in the venue, even though yeah it
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: was a game against Duke, but it was like completely
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: out of reach. The money is coming in on Howard
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: early up from two and a half to three and
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: a half, so they're actually considered better than Niagara, but
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: I think I would lean to taking the points with Niagara.
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: It is also a low total one hundred and forty
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Both teams pretty pitiful offensively, so yeah,
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: I mean again, I think being familiar with the venue
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: is somewhat of a deal there. We do have the
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Daytona Beach thing. I think I accidentally on my Instagram
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: video said that that Southern Indiana play was in the
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: Virgin Islands, though it was in Daytona whatever, some tropical
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: location that these schools get to go out to where
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: I think sometimes when these teams go out to these
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: tropical locations, I think sometimes the bigger schools, like if
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: it's a bigger school up north, they might get distracted, like, hey,
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: let's go to the beach. You know, this is Daytona Beach,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: although with these lower lesser schools, I don't think that's
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: the case as much. This is u SE in Southern
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: Indiana playing here. U S coming of a pretty decent performance,
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: only losing by ten to High Point. High Point definitely
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: the better of those two teams. But we did get
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: the cover with Southern Indiana as well, which was two
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: day days ago. I think both of those games are
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: two days ago against Incarnate Word, so both teams are
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: coming off I believe a cover of a pretty similar
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: margin there, So I think again in that case, you
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: just default to the better team there. The better team
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: is Illinois Chicago. There are ten point favorite though, but
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: I would still probably lay it. Actually, Southern Indiana is
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: really bad. I know I took them in the previous game,
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: but I don't know we're the game is kind of
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: even between, like like the situation's kind of even out.
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: I think that's just the way that it goes. I
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it with Icing, even though I think
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: they're a slow paced team though, so I don't think
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: they are really that equipped to ops. Where is uic
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Kman or the Illinois Chicago they are Actually they played
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: mid tempo one hundred and fifty fourth, so I was
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: wrong about that, so that will help them out a
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: little bit. As far as covering a U Team Martin
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: and Prairie View are playing in Pensacola, I don't know
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: what this is either the Pensacola Invitational. Too many neutral
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: site games, man, I'm trying to get through these all
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: really quick. You Team Martin's coming up a pretty good
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: performance against Florida State, which, by the way, I was
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: correct about Florida State yesterday. They did cover. I left
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: that one off my card. It was close to being
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: a consideration for me a play. They did cover after
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: this bad performance, which is why I liked Florida State
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: yesterday because they didn't play well against U Tem Martin.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: But U Team Martin did play pretty well. U Team
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Martin was still just kind of hanging around in this game.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: They were within single digits with five minutes left in
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: the game after they were close for basically the entire
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: first half, so they put up a nice effort in
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: this one. So I would probably lean into a Prairie
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: View in this game, even though they're a really really
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: bad team. You Team Martin's up from eight to eight
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: and a half, I would probably take the points though,
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: with U Team Martin coming off that big performance against
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: Florida State, but not really a huge opinion there. We
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: do have you see Santa Barbara playing at Nevada. This
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: was kind of interesting because Santa Barbara lost as a
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: home favorite, but it was in a big game against
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: an undefeated Loyola Merriymount team in overtime, so not necessarily
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: a good spot coming off of that. Even though Nevada
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: is kind of considered to be a bigger conference team
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: because they're in the Mountain West, though they're kind of
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: down this year, so Santa Barbara. It was also their
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: first loss of the season, so that can kind of
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: hang you over into the next game. Although I don't
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: really think that they're gonna overlook Nevada though, even though
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: they are coming off a tough game and a tough
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: loss for Nevada, they're coming off another bad performance. Do
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: they lost at home? Do you see Davis and Nevada
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: was a twelve and a half point favorite. Nevada has
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: been a home favorite of double digits three times and
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: failed to cover in the last three times that they've
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: been a double digit home favorite, which are their last
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: three home games. They didn't cover any of them, including
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: losing the one for US against Southern Illinois. They didn't
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: lose outright, but they didn't cover and they had to
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: go to overtime even win. So this Nevada team might
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: actually be overvalued into the market. Man. When you like,
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: when it's one game, it's a fluke, and then you
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: want to you know, look to fade that result when
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: it's two games still, I mean, you can have two
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: kind of outliers when it's three games. I just don't know, man,
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: this Nevada team might actually be bad. And then they
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: have Washington next, which you might be a look ahead
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: spot too. So I don't know. I don't want Nevada here.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: Even though they were horrible in their last game, you
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: would think they would bounce back, and you see Santa
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: Barbo playing a much tougher game. The money's somewhat coming
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: into Nevada for now from five to five with juice.
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I would still lean that way,
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: but Nevada is just playing so so badly, like you know, continuously,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: Now what's the word I'm looking for. It's like they're
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: just they're a repeat offender. Man. The recidivism rate is
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: ridiculously high right now. Man, So I don't know. I
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: just don't trust them. I don't know what else I
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: have to say about that. And then we do have
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Virgin Islands. We also have Iona and Oregon State playing.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: They're in the winner's bracket, I believe, or no, they're
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: in the loser's bracket. My mistake. I own a loss
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: to Akron. Akron's quite good. Man. That was Iona's first
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: loss of the season. You know, sometimes I talk about
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: how that first loss will hang you over. Oregon took
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: a really Oregon State excusely took a really ugly loss
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: to Evansville. Oregon State was a favorite, though not by
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: that much because they're not that good either, but that's
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: still an ugly loss. So I don't know. I think
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: Oregon State I kind of expect them to show up
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: better in this one. And that game was of course
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game for them against Oregon that
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: that being their first loss. But now it's Iona's turned
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: to be in the spot where they're coming off their
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: first loss, So I would lean with the Oregon State here.
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: They're up from three to four and a half of
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: the money's starting to come back on Iona, I own
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: is not a bad team. I mean, they're one of
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the matt at sixty seven percent
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only sixty four percent of the cash on
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: Oregon State, so the money's starting to back on IONA.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with it, though. I would probably
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: lay it with Oregon State if I was gonna play it.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: And they have the worst record, yet they have the
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: better Uh yeah, they're the favor and I mean, so
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: that is an indicator of something that the Osbegers are
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: telling you. Oregon State is a slightly better team. Uh.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: The only other thing I might say is that because
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: Oregon State is still that former Pac twelve team, maybe
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: a team like IONA will still get up for a
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: game against a name like that. We do have Sioux
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: Fall South Dakota hosting San Francisco and Minnesota. This is
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: an interesting game, and we're Minnesota. They're a Big East team.
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: They've only taken one loss, but they're facing an easy
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: schedule and they're only good opponent that they faced Missouri.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: They lost the game handily, so this is I don't know, man,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: This Minnesota team might be bad. They should have had
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: a bit of a bounce back after they played badly
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: against Green Bay and they didn't they played really poorly
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: again against Chicago State, who's a really bad team. So
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Man. In one way, I would say
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: Minnesota should be more focused after that to bounce back
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: from that. But on the other hand, they look bad
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: and San Francisco probably is gonna show up in this
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: game because San Francisco they know they're facing one of
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: the bigger brother or not a bigger brother, they're facing
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: one of the bigger conference teams here. Although San Francisco
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: did try to step up in class and they did
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: lose to Memphis, so that was a true road game,
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: this one is not. And interestingly, the oddsmakers are telling
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: you San Francisco is actually the better team, sitting at
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: a two point favorite, although the money is starting to
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: come in on Minnesota, and it is a low total
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and forty eighty six percent of tickets
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on Minnesota. I think
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: San Francisco was a three point favorite earlier this morning,
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: and now they're back down to two, so money has
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: come in on Minnesota. It is really weird to see
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: a West Coast Conference seem being a favorite against a
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: Big ten team though, so that is something to note.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is a pretty solid team, So just something
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: to note there. I mean, I guess I would still
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: try like I guess I would still lean towards Minnesota
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: just because they're coming off of such an ugly game,
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it. And then we have cal
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: State Fullerton and Saint Thomas, Tom and Saint Thomas, they're
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: pretty good man playing in this Portland tournament that's going
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: on there. I don't really have a whole lot to
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: say about that other than that Saint Thomas is the
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: better team and they're actually an eleven point favorite, although
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: money coming back in on Fullerton fifty percent of tickets,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on them, so some
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: money coming back on the Fullerton side there. Don't know
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: what else to say about it, but I think Saint Thomas,
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, they are the better team, and I think
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: they're still way under the radar because people just still
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: haven't found out about that team yet. And they got
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: Tyler Heroes brother man high pointed incarnate word or in
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: the winner's bracket here in the in this Daytona Beach tournament,
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: here high Point is the way better team. Though they
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: play faster than Incarnate Word. They're probably gonna speed it
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: up against Incarnate Word. I mean, Incarnate Word is just
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: they're not They're nowhere near as good as High Point.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to High Point. They're off from
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: twelve to twelve and a half if they're able to
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: control the pace, which seems possible because it's one hundred
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: and sixty one and a half on the total, which
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: is pretty high. Expecting High Point to have a high
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: paced game here and a high total. So yeah, I
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: would lean that way, laying the points. Don't love it though.
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: And then we do have Johnson City, Tennessee, which I
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: believe is what is that is that Lipscomb? No, it's
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee State. What am I saying? This is the
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee State MTE. Whatever the hell that is East
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State hosting whatever tournament? This is Morehead State's playing
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: you on Monroe. I don't really have any thoughts on
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: the game. It's just interesting. That's another one of these
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: neutral site games a lot of these tournaments here. Morehead
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: is the better team up more Head. If you want
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: more Head, it's gonna cost you some money. Man, They're
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: up to five and a half with juice. I mean,
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: they're the better team, and without knowing really much else,
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: I would probably lay it. But I don't really have
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to say. And then Coastal Carolina is
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: playing North Dakota in Make Them Illinois? Is that he
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: pronounced it, McComb, I have no idea, dude, why is
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: this game being played in Illinois? Absolutely no clue all
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: this random stuff going on. Yeah, I don't know what
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: else to say about that. Coastal is the better team.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: They're off from two to three, but the money's coming
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: back on North Dakota fifty two percent tickets on Coastal
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash taking the points with
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: North Dakota. Don't really have a whole lot to say
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: about the situation here. North Dakota is coming off a
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: tougher game, though, I think against Creton. Coastal did just
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: win against a bad Western Illinois team, So the spot
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: I think is actually better for Coastal, but money against it.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: So do what you will with that information. I guess
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee and Wichita is an interesting one because both these
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: teams are coming off pretty good performances. Where Milwaukee hung
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: with Texas heck on the road for the first half.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee was in that game for the first half. Man,
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: it looked like they might be able to stay in
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: that game for the whole thing, but they didn't. They
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: wound up losing, although they covered. They lost by seventeen,
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: but they covered, so a good performance from Milwaukee, so
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: I'd be looking to maybe fade Milwaukee off of that.
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: But Wichita just took their first loss of the season
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: in a tough game up at Boise where they only
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: lost by three, and they got Saint Mary's up next.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: So it's kind of a sandwich spot there, sandwiched in
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: between two teams who might very well be tournament teams.
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: So maybe Wichita won't totally pay attention to Milwaukee. I
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot for both teams, So I
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: don't know, Man, Wichita is down from eleven and a
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: half to ten. Here seventy one percent of tickets only
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash, so the money is
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Milwaukee, but I don't want to
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: do it with both teams coming up big performances. I
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: guess Wichita's situation is worse because they did have to
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: go all the way to Boise and they played close
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: the whole way against kind of a team that grinds
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: you and slows you down. So and Milwaukee is at
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: least battle tested. They face some pretty good teams so far.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, that's what I have to say
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: about that. I guess VCU I think is in a
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: bad spot, but they're playing a horrible copp And State team,
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: so I'm not really interested in doing this. But VCU
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: did just lose by six at NC State as eleven
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. VCU played them tough man
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: close call for VCU, they played well in the game,
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: so coming off that looks like a little bit of
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: a hangover, and they do have South Florida next, which
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: they probably considered to be a bigger game too. VCU
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: probably gonna overlook Coppon State here. Man. Problem is Coppon
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: State is horrendous. I mean, they are so bad. But
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: at least they did win against a non Division one
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: team for their first win of the season, and that's
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: what they're coming off of, so at least they kind
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: of kill that losing momentum. But Coppon State is one
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: of the absolute worst teams in the country. Ken Bum
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: has them second worst, even worse than Arkansas Puye Bluff now,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: which is insane. Both these teams actually play somewhat faster
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: tempos to VCU is playing really fast tempo right now.
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: VC is a thirty two and a half point favorite.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, man, it's a bad spot
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: for them, so maybe they won't have incentive to totally
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: run the floor here. But yeah, I would take the
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: points of the common state of you force my hand
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: on this one, but I am not very addressed in
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: doing it, so I'm leaving it alone. Yeah, Northern Colorado
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: is playing at Portland, I think, in this Portland tournament
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: here or whatever the Portland invitation. Of course, Portland is
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: the home team here, playing at home, although they're only
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: a three and a half way favorite, because I think
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: they're not quite as good as their record looks on.
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado's coming off of a tough close game I
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: think against Saint Thomas though, so maybe not in the
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: greatest spot there. Excusingly, Northern Colorado's the favorite even though
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: it's at Portland, so Portland is actually getting points in
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: their home arena, which looks kind of weird because they
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: actually have the slightly better record, But the Osbegers, a
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: tone of Northern Colorado, is a better team, and they're
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half to four. So in
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: a way, it looks like it makes sense to lay
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: the points there because this, you know, the spread just
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: looks misleading, but I want no part of it. Southern
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: Miss is playing North Florida in Pensacola in that invitational.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss is the better team. They're laying eight and
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: a half points even though there are below five hundred teams.
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: I think the the recreational betters A're not gonna want
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: to lay eight and a half points with a team
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: that's below five hundred. But the Osbigers are telling you
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: that's what you should do here. And this game is
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: close to North Florida. I mean it might even be
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: at there. I don't know if this is in their
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: home arena or not. But for North Florida, I mean
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: they're somewhere up in that area or no, I guess
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: they're playing Jacksonville never mind, so they're not that close.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: They're not as close as I thought. This is in Pensacola,
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: but I think the actually the spot is probably better
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: for Southern Miss now that I think about it, Southern
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: Miss isn't really that far away. I don't know, going
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: way out to the panhandle there North Florida. But whatever
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: the Osburgers are telling you, Southern Miss is the better team.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that. They're out from six to
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: eleven though, So the point where the lines move five points,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's time to start maybe coming back
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: on North Florida. Fifty percent of the tickets around Southern
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: Miss sixty eight percent of the casual on North Florida,
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: So the money coming back on North Florida. I think
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: the line has gotten out of control. So line value wise, yeah,
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't disagree with North Florida line value wise, but
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss is definitely the better team. Skip it. Yes,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: Mark Lawrence likes Tampa. I agree Carolina. I have a
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: hard time figuring that game out. Wait which game? Wait?
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: Who's Carolina playing again? And then Atlanta? I mean I
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: might slightly lean that way. I disagree with Cleveland. I
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: like the Raiders against Cleveland. I don't know how many
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: of these are even gonna like make my card or anything, though.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: Who's Carolina playing? Why? Do I why do I not
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: remember there? I know they're coming up beating Atlanta though,
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: so that's kind of a big win. But yes, skipping
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: everything here and then I mean, Weaber State is also
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: hosting a thing. Uh they're the home team here in Ogden.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: They're playing against ut Arlington. Weaber State is coming up
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: beating Campbell, which is interesting because UT Arlington just lost
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: to that same Campbell team. Uh so people are gonna
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: tend to want to up take web State here, right
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: because they just beat Campbell, who just beat U t
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: Ireland as so it looks like this thing. Well, oh
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: of course that means that Weaver State will beat you
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: t Arlington if they beat Campbell and Campbell beat UT Arlington.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: That's easy, right, But the odds makers are kind of
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: telling you something else. Though. The money didn't initially come
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: in on Weber to drive them up from one to three,
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: but we're we're at open. The oddsmakers are telling you
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: Weber is not even the better team because they're not
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: even getting full home court seventy five percent of tickets,
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: only fifty eight percent of the cash on Weber, So
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: the money is coming back on U t Arlington. I agree,
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: with U T. Arlington and that one I would take
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: the points just because of that quick common opponent transitive
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: property thing, although you don't want to base an entire
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: handicap on it. Uh. And then Northern i was having
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: to go out to the Pacific coast for their first
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: true road game, having to go out to UC Irvine.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be difficult, man. Although you see Irvine might
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: be a little bit down this year. You see Irvine
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: is coming out of a tough loss though in Utah
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Valley in high elevation and coming back home to Northern
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: i or yeah, coming back home to face Northern Iowa.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: So it's a difficult spot for both teams. I still
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: think it's worse for Northern Io would have to go
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific coast for their first true road game.
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: Though Irvine is flipped from one to it from one
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: point dodge or a two point favorite, seventy nine percent
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash on Irvine.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: So the money is saying Irvine. I don't disagree, but yeah,
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: I mean that's not a play for me. Let's go
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: to NHL here. Oh yeah, I like Sanfordceco in that
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: game against Carolina, Primos, Hogies and Chickapea. They're they're the
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: best in Philly, the best What Italian sub in Philly?
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: No way, really are they? Like what are think a
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: small I mean if they if they exist in Massachusetts,
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: that doesn't sound like they're actually good. I don't know.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: I mean the best Philly cheese steak places are not
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: like the big names, you know what I mean, Like
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: they're places that have a named just because they are
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: known for doing great Philly cheese steaks. I don't know
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: about a an Italian sub though. We call them subs
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. By the way, they're not Hogi's up here.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: They're sub sandwiches. Submarine sandwiches. Man, it was a small chain,
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: the franchise, hmm, I don't know, man, I trust I
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: like the local joints, the best man that just focus
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: on one thing and do it right. All right, let's
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: go to NHL. My only play in the NHL is
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: in the afternoon, so I'm gonna get to it pretty quick.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to run through this. Columbus is at
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: Detroit in the first game up on NHL Network at
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: one pm Eastern. Columbus decent record here right now, I'm
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: not sure they're as good as the record looks are.
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: They're coming up a nice overtime win against Toronto on Thursday.
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Detroit though. I mean
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: Detroit is a solid team. They have all that name recognition,
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: all that weight behind their name. So I don't know
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: if I'm gonna say it's really like a letdown spot
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. Plus Toronto hasn't been playing that
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: well and it was without Matthews, So I don't think
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: Columbus is gonna overlook Detroit. Detroit coming in off a
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: horrendous home loss though to the Islanders five nothing, and
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: I talk about that when you lose by more than
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: four goals in the NHL, you usually do bounce back
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: from that. It is a decent spot to look for
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: a team coming off a loss like that, especially when
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: they're a favorite, and I think when that loss happened
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: at home, and they're also that favorite is just coming
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: back and playing at home, I would lean to Detroit
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: in this game. The money is saying otherwise, though. Detroit's
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: up from minus one thirty minus one forty sixty four
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on them sixty six percent of
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: the cash coming back on Columbus. But I don't agree
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: with that money there would I would lean to Detroit
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: just bouncing back from that horrific loss. They're fucked up internally. Well,
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: here's the thing. If you look at that loss. I
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: know we took a loss in that game, that was
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: one of my plays. But look look at the stats
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: in this game and you tell me that this looks
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: like a team that lost five to nothing. Detroit one
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the face offs, they out hit the Islanders
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: twenty three to eight, completely out physical themb and they
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: had more shots, although part of that was because they
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: were losing. But does that look like a team that
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: lost five to nothing? No, it does not. So something
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: misleading there about that man just bad goaltending, I don't know.
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: But the other end of that, it's a good thing
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: we're talking about that because Segue the Islanders look way
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: better in that game than what they actually were in
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: the game. So guess what we're doing. Yeah, we're fading
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: the Islanders. We're gonna take the Saint Louis Blues, who
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: I think are an undervalued commodity right now because they
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: haven't gotten off to a good start here, getting them
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: as an underdog plus one point fifteen. Yeah, we'll do it.
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: We're fading the public who are on the islanders to
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: a huge extent. Eighty six percent of the tickets, only
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash. They're up to minus
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: one thirty two for minus one twenty two. The public
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: is on the Islanders. Again, it looks like less of
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: the money is I think the real money is kind
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: of seeping in on the Saint Louis side. I like this,
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is on a bad losing stretch here, man,
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: nobody's gonna want that, but they played a lot of
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: close games at the very least, and with an underdog,
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: you see a team that's like pushing games into overtime
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: all over the place. That is not a bad thing
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: because you know they're gonna give you an effort to
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: be close. I know they've played two overtime games in
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: a row, but they just lost at Toronto and at Philadelphia.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: And now the travel from Philadelphia to Long Island or
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: Queens or where, well it's both Queens, not that much
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: of travel spot here. To me, it looks like a
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot. I think you're gonna get Bennington back
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: in net here, which at least he was in net
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: for the last win that the Blues had. But I
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: like the Blues much more than the Islanders. I know.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: I've gotten in some trouble trying to fade the Islanders
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: recently because they're on a hot stretch. But again, the
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: public is only gonna be on the Islanders because they've
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: won seven of their last eight games or whatever that is,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: six of their last seven. I mean, where Saint Louis
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: keeps losing. So who's gonna want Saint Louis here? That
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: would be me. But let's make this an even better
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: spot to fade the Islanders, because guess what. The Islanders
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: have been on the road since Saturday, November eighth. They've
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: been on the road for two weeks and now they're
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: returning over from a road trip that is a horrible spot.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: That's one of the longest road trips you could possibly
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: have in any one any of these daily sports. And
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: they had a great road trip, getting all those wins
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: that I just mentioned. They took one loss on the
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: entire eight game or whatever seven game road trip, and
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: it was to Colorado, the best team in the NHL.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, So now they're returning home,
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: They're gonna have stuff to do back at home. Saint Louis,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: I just don't see them paying attention to this under
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: five hundred Saint Louis team. I don't like it at all.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: They have to play Seattle tomorrow. I know Seattle's not great,
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: but they do have a winning record, so very very
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: very bad spot for the Islanders here. Give me, yeah,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: give me Saint Louis man on the money line. That's
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: the best hockey play. That's my only hockey play today,
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: dirty sock. What's up man? You like the Blues as well?
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Hell yeah, all right. I thought Jeffrey might disagree with
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: me on that one. He keeps disagreeing with me on
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: Detroit and whatever. All right, Hell yeah, Toronto at Montreal,
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: this is a huge game. Both teams are gonna show
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: up for this original six matchup. You know, these teams
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: are geographically close, they don't like each other. They actually
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: open the season against each other in Toronto one in
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Toronto five to two, So maybe Mantralla a little bit
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: more motivation for that reason. Although Toronto's got the worst
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: record here, so they probably have motivation For that reason,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: Toronto's starting a road trip, which is usually a good thing.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: They're coming off and fairly ugly loss to Columbus, So
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: I know it was an overtime loss, but Columbus I
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: just still don't think is that good of a team.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: So Toronto coming off of that should be focused to
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: start a road trip. You want to start the road
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: trip off on the right foot. Plus you're playing against Montreal,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: so you're gonna be focused. But Montreal's on a five
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: game losing streak and they just lost for us against Washington.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: That was one of my losers the other day on Thursday. Ugly,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: ugly loss for Montreal, so you gotta think they're gonna
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: be really angry and be focused here as well. Both
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: teams actually just lost to Columbus recently too. But this game,
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: I told you, there was an empty net towards the
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: end and then another goal after that, which the game
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: was basically out of reach at that point. But it
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: was close. It was five to four in the third period, man,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: so the game wasn't quite what it really appeared on
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: the scoreboard. Washington did out shoot Montreal, but Montreal out
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: hit them and out face off them by a little bit,
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: so that wasn't really what it looked like on the scoreboard.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: All that being said, I mean, do I even have
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: an opinion in this game? I would probably lean to
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: Toronto slightly. And that's where the money is. Fifty three
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: percent ticket sixty percent of the cash on Toronto Montreal
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: up for minus one thirty to minus one thirty five.
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: You get Toronto is a little bit of an underdog there,
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: so probably the way I would look there. This is
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: into the night slate. Now Edmonton at Florida. This is
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: a huge revenge game for Edmonton men. I mean that
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: is basically the big part of the handicap here. Edmonton
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: hasn't played Florida yet since they lost the Stanley Cup
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: Finals to Florida again, so you know, Edmonton has this
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: game circled. Man, Edmonton, they're on a bad stretch here
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: right now, losing three games in a row. They're gonna
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: show up for this game us. You know, Skinner will
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: be back in net for this one because they use
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: pickard against Tampa Bay lost in overtime. But this has
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: been a grueling run Edmonton. Man. They've been on the
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: road since Wednesday, November twelve, so this is the end
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: of the road trip, although I do think they're gonna
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: want to salvage the road trip because they're only two
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: and four on the road trip, and of course it's
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: a huge revenge spot, so they're not gonna overlook Florida.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: But they are still playing a third game at four days,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days, fifth game in eight days,
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: seventh game in eleven days. That doesn't make it really difficult, man.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: They played so many different games in different cities, all
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: of them in different cities. So I think Edmonton probably
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: should have a beef with the schedule makers that they
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: have to play this big revenge game in a spot
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: where they're gonna be basically really tired out. So I
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: would lean to Edmonton, but I'm worried about that how
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: that schedule sets up, man, So this is not gonna
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: make my card or anything like that. For Florida. They're
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: coming up a nice win over New Jersey, although they're
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: more rested and they're just staying at home. So that's
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: really the problem I have with Edmonton. Even though it's
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: a massive revenge spot for them, they're just the way
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: less rested team, So that's the issue. I have with
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: Edmonton there, although I would still lean that way slightly. Florida,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: which Jeffrey I assume likes Florida up from minus one
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: twenty to one twenty eight to minus one thirty. So
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: you're getting Edmonton as an underdog seventy five percent of
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: tickets only seventy two percent of the cash on Florida.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: So Florida's public. You're fading the public if you do
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: want Edmonton there, that is what I would do, but
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: not that strong, all right, yeah, I mean yeah, it's
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: just such a bad scheduling spot for Edmonton, like the
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: way they've had to play all these games recently. It's crazy. Okay,
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: New Jersey at Philadelphia. I think New Jersey is in
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a bad spot here because they just played
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: Florida up to the limit. Man, they lost one to nothing.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: I mean it was an early goal in the game,
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: I think, but it was just sitting at one nothing
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: the whole game. And now New Jersey's coming off that
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: and they got to go play Philadelphia. I mean, this
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: is a rivalry though, like New Jersey and Philadelphia, they
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: have kind of a split fan base in that area, right,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: like southern New Jersey roots for Philadelphia and Northern New
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: Jersey roots for the Devils or even the Rangers, so
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: there is that kind of local beef there. Maybe New
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: Jersey doesn't totally overlook Philly for that reason, but Detroit's
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: been the better team over Philadelphia, and Detroit is the
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: next opponent for New Jersey, so it is kind of
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: a difficult spot. Philly has been playing fairly well though
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: at ten six and three, although I think they're overrated
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: right now as well. Philly's staying at home, coming up
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: in overtime win over Saint Louis, which is whatever, so
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: I do think they will be focused for New Jersey.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: The fact that New Jersey is still coming up that
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: close game against Florida, though, I would lean to Philly
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: in this one. So there you go, Jeffrey, New Jersey up.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: Even though I don't like the Philly teams as a Bostonian,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: New Jersey up for minus one oh seven of minus
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: one to fifteen. As a Christian. I also don't like
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: the Devils though, but the money's coming back into Philadelphia
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: here sixty eight percent of the tickets and eighty nine
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming back on Philly, even though
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: the line did move New Jersey up to minus one fifteen,
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: So takeaway whatever you want from that, man, Scott Stevens.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: Cheap shot at Lindros. Yeah, well, Philly, whoever it was
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: on Philly basically ended Mark Savard's career when he was
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: on the Bruins. An absolute cheap shot coming from the
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: I don't think Flyers fans are allowed to say anything
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: about cheap shots with the way the Flyers have played
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: their games, especially back in the seventies, with the Flyers
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: basically tried to kill Mark Savard when he was on
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. So I'm still pissed about that they ended
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: his career. And that might have been in the playoffs too.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: That was just, yeah, there was no call for that.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna hear about any of that. All right.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: Seattle at Pittsburgh, Seattle playing fairly well, man at ten
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: five and five. They just won against Chicago. Now they're
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: going to Pittsburgh here though I don't know, Man, the
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: spot might set up a little bit better for Pittsburgh
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: because now Pittsburgh is back at home because you know,
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh had to go play in Sweden, and I talked
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: about that that's basically a return home where you might
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: be distracted. And they had a really, really awful game
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: losing at home to Minnesota five to nothing. So I
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: think they bounce back from that. Man. I mean, when
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: you return home and you have a horrendous game, you
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: do tend to bounce back from that in the next game.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: It'll piss you off and refocus you. But also when
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: you lose at home that badly, you also want to
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: bounce back from that too. The problem is it is
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: a back to back for Pittsburgh because that Minnesota game
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: was yesterday, So that's the one issue I have with it. Otherwise,
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: I do like Pittsburgh here. Although the money's coming in
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: on Seattle. Pittsburgh down for minus one twenty five to
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: minus one thirteen, sixty one percent of tickets, eighty eight
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Seattle, money coming
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: in on Seattle. I just don't think. I don't want
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: to fade a team that just lost five nothing at home, man,
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: and they're getting to play again at home and redeem themselves.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: So that's what I think about that game. Tampa at Washington.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: I feel like this is like lightning round now, Tampa
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: Bay lightning. There you go. We're going lightning speed here man,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: trying to get the show done. Hopefully this all makes
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: sense though, Washington, I mean, they look like they're kind
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: of in a bad spot here man. They've reeled off
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: a few nice wins in a row, including crushing Edmonton
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: seven to four and then taking a one game road
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: trip to Montreal and crushing them eight to four, which
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: I pointed out already still pissed about it. Now, Yeah,
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home, but it's from only a one
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: game road trip. But even so, those were big wins, man,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: and now they get Tampa has been a bit mediocre,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: although Washington did lose at Tampa the last time they
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: played them, although they did beat them at home earlier
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: this year. So is it really that much of a
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: revenge spot? I don't know. I think more so, I
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: think it's a letdown spot for Washington. That would be
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: my reid on the game. Tampa coming off beating Edmonton
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: in overtime though, and going on the road to Washington,
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: so it's not a good spot for them either. They
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: beat New Jersey and then Edmonton coming into this, so
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: Tampa's off two huge wins as well. So what do
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: we do in this game? I mean, I guess, then
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: I guess your default back to Washington because they did lose.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: It was the most recent matchup between the two. Both
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: teams are in kind of letdown spots. So Washington, I guess,
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: is the way they're up from minus one away to
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: minus one seventeen sixty percent of the cash on Washington,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of tickets on Tampa Bay. So the money
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: is saying to take Washington. I'm not gonna disagree with it.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: I think an over might be worth a look as well,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: with both teams maybe being tired coming off those big
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: games that they've had, maybe they have tired legs and
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: they just don't play deep fens sixty percent of tickets,
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on the over. Oh yeah,
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: that's right, you're right. I got that wrong. It was
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: the other Pennsylvania team. My apologies, You're right, it was
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: it was Matt Cook. He was a complete goon dude.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: Matt Cook absolutely hated that guy. I hate the Penguins,
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: but man, Matt Cook. He was literally he was only
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: on the ice just to just to try to injure people.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: That was his only role on that team. Yeah, yeah,
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: that was bad, but I think Philly did end somebody
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: on the Bruins career, though I forget who it was,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: though I remember it like I think it was in
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: one of those playoffs series. You can go look it
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: up and try to try to find it. I swear
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: I'm not making it up. I just got the wrong
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: players who were involved there. It was Flyers against Bruins somewhere.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't remember what year it was,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: but it was something. But yeah, fuck Pittsburgh to fuck
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: Matt Cook. Obviously I forgot about that guy. But yeah,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: man ugh, all right, Ottawa and San Jose Autawa's coming up.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: That nice win. We got the win with Ottawa against Anaheim,
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: finally paying off fading this Anaheim team that I think
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: is overrated. But now this could be a letdown spot
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: for Ottawa coming up that big game against Santa against
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: the Anaheim. And they do have a quick revenge game
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: against LA coming up next because they lost at home
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: to LA before this road trip, so I think they
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: do have LA in their sits coming up next. And
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: this is a weird spot because why would the schedule
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: makers do this or audio what plays in Anaheim, then
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: they have to go up to San Jose, then back
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: down to LA and then Vegas. I mean, it doesn't
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: totally make sense, Like why wouldn't they go Anaheim, then
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: LA and then San Jose and then Vegas or something.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't get. It doesn't totally make sense.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: So going up, you know, to northern California then back
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: down to southern California. It's gonna suck, but looks like
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: kind of a sandwich spot to be honest here, I
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna fully its engine to San Jose,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: even though San Jose is actually playing not that poorly.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: San Jose coming off a nice win themselves though, over
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: La beating Utah the game before that, both games in overtime,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: so the spot doesn't exactly set up that well for
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: San Jose either, although they're at least staying at home.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: I think San Jose still is probably the right side
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: in this game, though, Autowa uf for minus one fifty
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: five to minus one fifty eight fifty one percent taket
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash coming in on San Jose,
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on the San Jose side.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: I won't disagree with that. You hate the Penguins, Well, well,
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: we'll definitely agree there. Common enemy caspariotis Yeah, Penguin's taking
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: a lot of cheap shots, man, I am. They're one
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: of my least favorite. They're one of my most hated teams,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: all right, Uh, Pittsburgh and then Montreal. I hate when
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: they're good, you know, because that's the the main Bruins
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: rival is Montreal. So there is that. You would think
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: it would be New York, but it's not. Pronger ended
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: Cidenberg's career. I don't think that's the one I'm thinking about,
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: although I kind of remember that. Yeah, I don't know.
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: I never really was. Uh, I don't know. I never
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: really hated Pronger. I don't know. I remember him being
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: on Anaheim even though I'm not a fan of the
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: Ducks right now, just because I keep trying to fade
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: them and they keep beating me. The Mighty Ducks, by
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: the way, Mighty Ducks, as I as I mentioned from
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: time to time, just Smolette is in that movie. So
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: the good movie though. Emilio Estevez Man Charlie Sheen's brother
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: or whatever they're Emilio the one of the guys who
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: decided not to change his name and not have sex
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: with four hundred women. I don't know if that's better
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: or worse for Amelio. All Right, Colorado at Nashville. I
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: mean Colorado coming up a nice win over the Rangers. Hey,
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: the Rangers finally lost again on the road. Rangers road
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: dominance coming to an handle of Colorado. I mean, they're
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: the best team in hockey right now. They're insane. Now
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: they're starting a road trip. They do a momentum though,
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: and when you start a road trip with momentum, sometimes
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: that is a good thing. I mean, Nashville has been
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: complete ass and Nashville is coming back from Sweden. They
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: haven't played since coming back from Sweden, so it is
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: technically kind of a return home spot there, and they
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: do a flord up next to all those They're not
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Colorado, but the problem is it is a
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: return home spot, so still kind of a bad spot
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: for Nashville, even though they should focus here. But I
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: don't want any part of Nashville. And we saw how
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: bad Pittsburgh was in their return home spot from Sweden,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: losing five to nothing. It was not good. Colorado looks
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: like they're getting the money here up from minus two
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: to end to minus two to eighteen on the road, insane,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: seventy percent tickets, eighty percent of the cash on Colorado.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: I agree with Colorado in that game, but I mean
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: very high price tag. I don't want anything to do
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: with it, really, but if you force me to lean,
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: I would lean that way. You'd probably have to lay
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: like a puck line on Colorado. Where get the price
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: done by taking them to win in regulation? Since all
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: of their regulation wins they only have one regulation loss.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: So there you go. How the Rangers are on the
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: road still, but they've lost two straight road games now,
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: and it's not gonna be easy having to go from
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: Colorado into Utah back to back elevation games with one
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: day off in between the two. It's not an easy
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: spot for the Rangers. Utah is also coming off losing
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: to Vegas that was at home and they got kind
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: of obliterated by Vegas. I know they do have revenge
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: against Vegas in the next game, but I just don't
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: think they overlooked the Rangers. Now. You know, Utah has
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: lost four games in a row. That one against Vegas
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: was a quick road trip return spot, So it was
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot for Utah there, even though
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: again the road trip wasn't that long. I kind of
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: like Utah and this one. All the money's coming in
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: on the Rangers, and I still don't really want to
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: fade the Rangers as a home team. Excuseusly has a
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: road team Utah down for minus one twenty five to
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: minus one twelve, seventy six percent of tickets and eighty
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash coming in on the Rangers.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: So the money is taking the Rangers in that one.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: I uh, I don't want to deal with it, man,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: so I will stay away. By the way, there was
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: one game where there was a big home road dichotomy
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: and I forget what it was, and I forgot to
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: mention it. It wasn't well, the Leafs are bad on
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: the road, So just to point that out, I guess
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: one five and zero on the road. That's not a
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: good sign for them against which game was it though
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: that I was thinking about. That's not a good sign
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: though for the Leafs against Montreal. Yeah, I don't know.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: Tampa and Washington. Tampa's good on the road, Washington's good
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: at home. I don't know. I don't know which game
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: it was, but anyway, Dallas at Calgary, I mean, Dallas
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: is the much better team. Obviously, that's not saying much
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: Dallas coming off a win over Vancouver. They do have
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: Edmonton next, and I know they already got their revenge
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: against Edmonton, which is a big playoff revenge game at home,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: but that's still a big game against Edmonton, so and
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: beating Vancouver is a bigger deal too, I think. So
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: it is possible they overlook Calgary in this spot because
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: Calgary has just been pretty ugly here. Calgary got a
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: nice win over Buffalo last week. I mean, I don't
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: know how nice that really is, but they got to
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: win at least to kind of give them some momentum here.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: But they are turning over from a road trip, which
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: is difficult. Though it was only a two game road trip.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: They went on the road on Tuesday, they went to
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: Chicago and Buffalo, and now they're having to come back
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: to So that's not nothing. So I don't really want
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: to take Calgary and return home spot there though the
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: spot does look a little bit sandwichy for Dallas though,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: so I don't like either side there. Again, with Calgary,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: returning home. Maybe they have stuff to do at home,
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: could be a little bit of a distraction. The money
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: looks like it's heavily coming in on Calgary though, Dallas
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: down from minus one seventy to minus one thirty six,
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: although some of that move might be because Dallas just
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: is not gonna play Ottinger today. Let me see, looking
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: at Dallas's schedule, Auten just played three games in a row,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: so I think it's very likely it's gonna be de
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: Smith here in this one. Give Att and Durest in
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: this one against a weak opponent. So that's probably part
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: of the reason why the line moves so significantly. I
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: don't think it was all money action or all market action.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: Sixty one percent of tickets on Dallas, seventy eight percent
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: of the cash can be back on Calgary, So the
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: money pretty heavily on Calgary. And that one I won't disagree,
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it either. And then Vegas is
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: at Anaheim. You know Vegas is gonna be a road
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: favorite here because Naheim is not as good as the
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: record looks as odds makers keep telling you that Vegas
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: coming off a nice four to one win on the
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: road against Utah. I think they'll be focused still coming
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: into Anaheim, though, because Anaheim did just beat Vegas in
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: Vegas back on November eighth, So there is that for Anaheim.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: Anaheim took that loss at home into auto one. Maybe
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: after not taking a home loss for so long, maybe
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: that will hang them over a little bit into this game.
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: So I lean to Vegas in this one. Money agrees
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: Vegas up for minus one thirty five to minus one
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: thirty eight, fifty eight percent of ticket, seventy eight percent
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Vegas. I'm not gonna play it
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: or anything like that, but I do lean that way.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: All right. Now we have NBA where I am gonna
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: have one play, and I'm going against the market with
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: my play, but I have reason for doing it, unless
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: unless I don't want to pull it off the board.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: But I'll look just make sure that the injury, that
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: the injury situation is all right. I will be right back.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: I am gonna get water here, i' dime my neck hurts, man,
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: just like last night. It's just too much, man, So
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: hold on a second. You can look at the NBA
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: board while while I'm out there, though, I think this
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: is every game there's seven games one second. All right, crap, alright, NBA,
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: let's go, let's get it done baby, Alright, NBA. I mean,
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot that I like. We have
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: Clippers at Charlotte. This game is just I don't have
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to say about it. The Clippers just
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: lose pretty badly to Orlando, so maybe they will bounce
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: back from that. I mean, they've had a bad road trip,
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: so they're still looking to win on this road troup.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: Although they do have Cleveland tomorrow and then they have
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: to go out to La so it is possible they
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: overlook Charlotte. So I can't get a read on what
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: I think the Clips are going to do here, because
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: they could bounce back from a horrendous loss by twenty
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: eight points, or they could look ahead to Cleveland. I
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: could see it going both ways. Charlotte, you know, they're
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: coming off kind of an ugly loss to the returning home.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: They went to Toronto in Indiana, but it was a
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: short it was a two game road trip, so a
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: short road trip. Technically it's a road trip return spot.
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: And they do have to go out to Atlanta tomorrow,
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: so it might be a distraction because whatever they have
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: to get done, they have to get done now before
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: they fly back out. So not the greatest spot for
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: Charlotte really here. I guess I'll lean to the Clippers
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: with the market and lean towards them bouncing back, because
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: I think the spot's a little bit more questionable for
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: the Hornets. Clippers are the better team, which you wouldn't
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: know it based on how bad their record is, but
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: odds makers are telling you that too. Clippers have flipped
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: from a one and a half point dog to a
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: one point favorite, seventy two percent of the tickets, only
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash on the Hornets. So Hornets
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: look like a public home underdog here, which is insane.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: When would you ever when would that statement ever come
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: out of your mouth? But it looks like the case there,
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: and you know me, I tell you you want to
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: faine home underdogs, man of public home underdogs. You want
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: to fade. So there's not a huge like injury situation
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: here on either side. So yeah, I'll lean to the Clippers.
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: Our next up is gonna be my one plan. I
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: don't know why the market disagrees with me. We got
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: the Knicks money line or it looks like you can
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: get the Knicks at plus one now and they're very public.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: I don't get it, man, seventy nine percent of tickets
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks, only sixty eight percent of the casual
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks, and the magic of move from a
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: pick them to a one point favorite. I don't see it.
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: I don't understand why. Let's just make sure the injury
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: situations are right. I mean, Brunston is a game time decision,
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: but he played in the last game, so he's probable
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: he's gonna play. That's what I want. Ann Anobe is
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: still out but and Benchero is still out for Orlando.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: Those things are just not changing since you know, like
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: that's been the case for like the last So the
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: Knicks had Brunson in the last game, and ben Cherro's
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: been out for a bunch of games now, so there's
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: no like change game to game here now for the Knicks.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: I actually like how this sets up for the Knicks
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: because they just had a really ugly game against Dallas. Man,
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: they took that loss in Miami, they went out to Dallas,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: they got the win, and that was Brunson's return spot.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: So here's the thing. Brunson was injured, he missed. I
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: believe he missed the game against Miami, so that or
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: he missed a couple of games. I guess. I think
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: he missed the both games against Miami. If I'm not mistaken,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: I'll check real quick. But yeah, so the injured player
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: dynamics here. Yeah, he didn't play at all against Miami.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: So in the first game without Brunson, it went. The
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: injured player theory worked for New York. They played well
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: without him in the first game they won. Then the
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: second game without him they lost, which is also predictable
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: based on how the injured player theory works, because you
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: step up your effort in that first game without him,
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: then you don't have as much of a good effort
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: in the next game. Plus it was a zig zag,
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: but the Ananobe injury that happened in the first game
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: threw a wrench into that. Even though I did like
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: Miami and in that second game, I was worried about
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: a second injured player spot coming in with Anonobe injured.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: But okay, so those all basically went to plan. Then
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: the Knicks got brunts and back in the game against Dallas,
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: which is a reverse injured player spot. So I talk
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: about that, now your star player comes back. Now, like
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: you know, the rest of the team could kind of
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: just mentally, they just kind of ease up a little
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: bit and the line value kind of shifts, and the
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: Knicks didn't play well. They only beat the struggling Dallas
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: team by two. Now, this is the second game with
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: brunts and back, so I think that's a positive because
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: now he's back. So that second game with him back,
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: that should be you know, off and running again. And
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: this should be refocused because that game against Dallas was ugly.
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: And in addition, by the way back on November twelfth,
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: Orlando went into New York and basically embarrassed them one
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty four to one hundred and seven. So
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a quick revenge spot here.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: I think the Knicks want this game for that reason.
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: They want to go into Orlando and do the same
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: thing to them. Quick road revenge here. Wasn't a whole
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: lot to see in that game. Statistically, or Orlando did
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: dominate them on the boards. Yes, that is a concern,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: especially without Anonobe, but I still think this is the
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: spot to do this man for Orlando. Yeah, I mean
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show what for a game against the Knicks.
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: But still Orlando's coming off some huge games here, man.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: They went to Houston, took them into overtime, they beat
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: Golden State. Coming home from that, they beat the Clippers
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: by twenty eight on Thursday. Now they get the Knicks,
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: who they did already just beat on the road, and
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: they do it Boston up next. And the last time
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: they faced Boston, my Boston Celtics beat them. So I
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: don't know. I like the spot better for the Knicks here.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: Man Osmakers is still telling you the Nicks the better team. Well,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: I mean it makes sense, especially with the Magic down
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: their best player, but that's been the case for a while.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: It's not an injured player spot or anything like that.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Knicks. The market is not
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: agree with me, but my NBA tends to be pretty
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: good and hopefully it works out there. Atlanta at New
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: Orleans in this game, I mean Atlanta, the spot looks
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult for Atlanta. I think they're
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: coming off some pretty difficult games against Detroit San Antonio.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: Although San Antonio now without Wemba Wemby, now they're going
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: to face this bad Pelican seam. Although Atlanta they have
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: to play tomorrow, but it is only against Charlotte. But
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: even so, I don't know if they're gonna take New
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: Orleans totally seriously, a two and fourteen team here with
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know is Zion Williamson back. I have
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: no idea New Orleans coming off a loss at Dallas,
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: but that was yesterday. So that makes this difficult for
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: New Orleans too, because they're on a back to back,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days. In the
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: game before that, they played fairly tough against Denver, so
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: it's not really a great spot for either team here. Necessarily,
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: Zi on his day to day again here let's see when. Yeah,
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: he did play in those games against Denver and Dallas,
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: so I think he will play again here, but I
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: don't know. It remains to be seeing the Hawks are
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: an eight and a half point favorite. Don't really see
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: the percentages yet on this one, although they're definitely going
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: to be public. So oh, as I tried to drink
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: my water with a cap on it, we could excuse me.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards taking the points of the
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: Pelicans there, but I don't have a good read on
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: that game at all. Washington is at the Bulls. Washington,
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: Oh man, they're off to a bad start. One in
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: fourteen Washington got obliterated, which I think destroyed Jeffreys teaser.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: Which is why, dude, I tell you, teasing in the
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: NBA can't do it. Man, I mean the NBA. The
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: like the points are worth way way less in the NBA,
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: and teasing in these like dead numbers that are like
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: way north of ten or whatever. The numbers are almost meaningless,
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: so there's no value and the teams are there and
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: the books are basically just stealing your money. Washington. Yeah,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: they got crushed against Toronto. Now they're on the back
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: to back. They're gonna go from Toronto to Chicago, playing
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: a third game in four and as all in different cities.
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: Not easy, not an easy spot for Washington, uh, travel wise.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: But they did get embarrassed yesterday. However, the Bulls also
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: got embarrassed and they got embarrassed in a return home
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: spot and that was also yesterday. But they're staying at home,
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: and you know, I talk about the return home spot.
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: It can be a distraction. You can lose focus in
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: that game. Even though it was I thought a spot
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: where maybe they wouldn't lose focus necessarily because Miami is
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: the team and eliminated them last year. But man, Chicago
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: had a horrible game in that game. I still leaned
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: against Chicago in the game, but I didn't expect them
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: to lose by thirty six points. So I think Chicago's
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: gonna come out with some fierceness in this game. Man,
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: is the scheduling spot actually almost sets up better for
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: them now because again, when a team gets embarrassed in
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: that return home spot, they tend to come out with
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: a lot of focus in the next game. Both teams
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: are on the back to back, but Chicago is at
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: least staying at home between the two games. They also
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: had a day off. They're playing a third game in
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: five days instead of three and four, although they are
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: playing a fourth game in six days, but they did
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: have one more day off there in the eighteenth or whatever.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would lean to the Bulls in this game.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: They're down from fourteen to twelve and a half. Though
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent took his ninety nine percent of the
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: cash on them, I would probably lay it, even though
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be public and they're laying a ton of points,
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: but in that game, I think they're probably gonna win
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: and cover. That would be my read on that one. Yeah, Washington,
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: they they sucked, dude. Oh man, my boss is Celtics
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: sucked though. I think that game was in your teaser
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: that one won. But I basically just lean to those
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: underdogs there. As far as taking the points straight up.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: Deep dish, Yeah, the deep the Chicago deep dish is
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: when one of one of their guards throws the ball,
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: you know, across the court, basically for a long across
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: court assist. Detroit and Milwaukee is gonna be one of
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: the bigger games here. Although the problem with how big
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: this game is gonna be it's on NBA TV. But
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: the problem is Yannis is out from Milwaukee, so that
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: makes the game less entertaining. Detroit playing really well right now. Still,
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't know how much we buy it though, Like,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: is Detroit a little bit overrated? Now? I don't know.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: They've had a lot of days off here, but when
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: you're winning, you don't really want to have that many
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: days off. They're coming up from Atlanta now, having multiple
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: days off could hurt your momentum when you're winning, man,
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: So that's not necessarily a great thing. Maybe they'll take
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee a little bit more lightly because Milwaukee is without
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: Yanis and Yannis was pretty much carrying the team. Although
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: Rollins has stepped in pretty nicely. He's good, at least
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: his scoring is, you know, almost at the level of Giannis.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: But Janni's just he does everything, man. So it is
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: a huge loss. Still on Milwaukee, I thought they would
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: play well in the Yannis injured player spot, which was
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: their most recent game two days ago against Philly, and
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: they played decently. They went into overtime, so they could
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: have covered that number as an underdog, but they did not.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: They fell short. So now coming off that game, it's
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: the second game without Giannis, it's not really a good
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: spot for Milwaukee here, man. But what I want to
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: lay eight points with Detroit on the road, No, I mean,
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: I think that's a bit of an overreaction to Gianni's
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: being out, although I know the overreaction comes into playing
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: the first game the most. But Detroit up from six
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: to eight seventy per tickets eighty two percent of the
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on the bucks. I mean, I guess
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points of the Bucks
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: just because they think there's no line value in laying
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: the points of the Pistons. But I don't love it
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: by any means. Firm, I don't know what we're talking about.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: A law firm. The Grizzlies at the MAVs. Man, this
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: is an ugly one. Both these teams have been playing
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: some real ugly basketball. Grizzlies Morant is probably still hurt,
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: I think, because I don't I don't know. I think
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: the Grizzlies just don't want him in there because he's
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: just a chemistry killer. MAV's down from two to one here,
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of tickets on them, seventy four percent
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Grizzlies. So the money is
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: coming in on Memphis in this game. Pretty strong market
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: read on Memphis. Memphis coming off killing Sacramento, but the
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: good thing about that is it ended a long lost
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: streak for them, so that might give them some momentum
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: coming into this game against Dallas. Although they did just
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: beat Dallas, their previous win was against Dallas on November
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: seventh at home by fourteen, so Dallas might remember that.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: And Memphis does have to play Denver next, So coming
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: off a blowout win over Sacramento, playing a Dallas team
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: you already beat recently, and with Denver up next, it
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: could actually be kind of a sandwich spot from Memphis. Here.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: Dallas is coming off a win at home over New Orleans,
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: but it was yesterday, so they're on a back to back,
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: and they did play on Wednesday, a tough game against
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: the Knicks. So the scheduling spot's not exactly great for
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: Dallas either. I think maybe part of the reason the
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: money's fading them is because it's the back to back
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: for them. So I don't know, man, Obviously it's a
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: game that I have to stay away from, but yeah,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. I guess I'll agree with the
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: market and lean towards the Grizzlies as kind of the
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: clinching factor, the deciding factor, But I don't know what
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: else I would. Yeah, I don't know what to do
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: with that game, so obviously leaving it alone. And then
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: we have Sacramento at Denver. Sacramento coming off that ugly
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: loss to Memphis. I mean, you lose by forty one,
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: you're gonna want to bounce back from that. Man, Even
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: though I know it is a third game in four
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: day's here, all in different cities for Sacramento, but you,
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, you have some sets of pride here, although
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: it is gonna be tough to go into elevation and
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: play Denver. But last time Sacramento was in Denver, they
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: only lost by six points, so they played them pretty tough,
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: although that was with Simonas. And now Sacramento is without
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: Simonas unfortunately, and they're missing I mean, they've been pretty
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: bad without him. But Denver has already beaten Sacramento twice.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: The most recent time was in Sacramento. Denver beat them
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: by fourteen. So Denver's already two to zero against Sacramento
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: this year, so Sacramento probably does have more incentives to
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: show up in this game to try to do something
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: to maybe get some in season revenge here. And that
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: means Denver might overlook Sacramento because they've already beaten them
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: twice and they beat them with Sibonas, so of course
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: they should be able to beat them easily without Samonas.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: And for Denver, they're on a back to back, they're
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, all in different cities,
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: including him back to back and getting a huge win
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: last night against Houston. That was a big win, dude,
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: And it was one of the stupid in season tournament
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: games too, A huge win against a good Houston team
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: coming off that. Now they do play Memphis next. Not
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: really a look ahead spot there, but back to back
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: could be a letdown spot here, could overlook Sacramento. I
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: would take the points with Sacramento here. The problem is
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: it's down from thirteen and a half to eleven, sixty
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: seven percent tickets, seventy three percent of the cash coming
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: into the Kings. I agree with the Kings. The problem
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: is this number at eleven, that was the number in
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: the game with Sabonis in the lineup for Sacramento. Sacramento
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: is an eleven point eleven point underdog. I mean at Denver. Now,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: Denver's lined the same with the Bonas out of the lineup.
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean crazy as it sounds,
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: it seems like the line like there isn't that much
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: line value there on fading the Nuggets, even though that
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: sounds insane, like I would have expected Denver to be
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: like a fifteen to sixteen point favorite here. I mean,
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: unless maybe that means somebody's not playing for Denver? Is
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: that what's going on here? Like? What's going on? I mean,
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: Aaron Gordon is out, he's already been out, But I
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: don't see Jokic on the injury report or anything. So
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know why this line is as low as
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: low as it is, because otherwise I would think about
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: leaning like I was thinking about giving out the Kings
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: as a play. But I'm just not gonna do it.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on there. Temple basketball player
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: caught betting against his team Highsier Miller. I do not remember.
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know who that is yet. I did not
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: hear anything about that. All right, that's gonna do it, though. Man.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: For today, let's do the final college market read and
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: then I got to get out of here, put the
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: show up and whatever. So college up plays here. We're
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be on Delaware plus the points. Looking at that,
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: you can get probably eighteen. Now the money looks like
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: it's fine on Delaware. Of course, get the seventeen and
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: a half at the very least, and I think you're
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: good on that one, because the seventeen is the key number.
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: The market reloks good on it on Kansas plus three
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: and a half. That's looking good as well. I think
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: you can get three and a half on until the
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: money is coming in that way, so that looks good. Baylor.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: Can we get the seven on Baylor is the question.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: I think you might be able to and the money's
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: coming back on Baylor. Let me see if you can
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: get seven on this Right now, the market red looks
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: good on Baylor. Hold on. So these are my plays
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: for today in college football. Thanks again for the guys
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: who hung out last night on that show. I'm looking
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: right now to see if there's a seven available. DraftKings
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: has plus seven at minus one twelve. All the other
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: books are still at six and a half. Hesitant to
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: hit the seven, but you know what seven being out
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: there at minus one twelve, I'm gonna I'm gonna do it.
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: Seven Baylor plus seven and then and hopefully the spread
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: doesn't even come into play, Hopefully it's just an outright
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: win for Baylor or something. And then Coastal carolineuplus twenty
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: four is the other play there which that market red
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: looks still against it, and it looks like you might
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: be able to get twenty four and a half now,
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: So I would take the I would add the hook
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: in there. Obviously, if you can get twenty four and
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: a half, that's a little bit better, twenty four being
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: a key number. But I just don't know why the
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: cash those things coming out in South Carolina. I don't
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: agree with that one. Obviously. Those are the plays there.
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: In college football, college basketball, we're gonna have bu plus
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: the points, Saint Peter's minus the points, NC Central plus
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: the points. Hockey, we got the Blues money line. We're
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: gonna have the Blues if they don't get there, and
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: the Knicks going against the market, I just don't get it.
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: You might be able to get plus one on the
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: Knicks now, but don't know why the market read is
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: such because I like the Knicks in that one. Hopefully
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: my NBA reads continue to be good because they have
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: been really good. Thank you, sir. I appreciate it, everybody.
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Learn its own on Twitter, Learn
• 1:39:41
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• 1:39:44
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• 1:39:47
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• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: Covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube, so
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: that helps me out there. If you go check that
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: out and Patreon dot com sash and learn to toad
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: bonus U content you can request of. I know Charles
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: has given me more. I haven't looked at them yet.
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: I apologize, and there's a Spotify Yuke feed there that's
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. I gotta get this up, gotta do
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: more of the Instagram content. I'll be back tonight for
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: the NFL show. We're already want to know. In the
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: NFL this week, Houston Texans kicked it off right. I'm
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: in the money in my splash pool picking five games
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: that was in there this week. I don't love the
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: Sunday slate though, Man, I'm probably gonna have I don't
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: know most of the might wind up with two plays,
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: but I gotta bear down and see what I can see,
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: see if I see anything that hasn't revealed itself to
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: me yet for the NFL. But NFL has been on
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: a nice run, so hopefully that continues. That's gonna do
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: it for now, but I will be back tonight with
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: that show. Peace for now, guys,