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WEDNESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness First Four & NIT & NHL & NBA | 3/18/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: my Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years. Doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Slump series, The Slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: It is Wednesday, March eighteenth. We're gonna talk more March
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Madness stuff. First four continues. I was correct on both
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: games last night. They were both kind of crazy, although
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: both teams that won really had the lead for the
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: majority of the game, especially Howard. That was almost an
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: epic collapse in that game. I can't believe that game
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: was even close at the end of it, and then
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: Texas didn't really have that big of a lead, but
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: that still would have been quite an implosion at the
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: end of that game too if that had happened. Pretty crazy.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: But they both advance. We'll talk about it. There might
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: be some value on looking at Texas against yu Man, obviously, Howard.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna have to play whichever I think
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: they're playing, Michigan, whatever one seed they're playing. Yet they're
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: not gonna win that needless to say, but we did
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: get the play right that I gave out With South
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Alabama yesterday, they're winning at halftime outright. Then they had
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: a really bad second half, but they lost by like
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: eleven or something. So I think it was a wire
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: to wire cover I'll take in them. And it wasn't
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: really expecting the outright win obviously, although they kind of
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: teased it. Get some water here. You know, the more
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: that I think about it, I probably should have actually
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: elevated to a unc Wilmington to a play. I mean,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: it was just like so obdviou that Yale was gonna
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: be in a bad hangover spot after they they've been
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: in the tournament so many years in a row now whatever,
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: and it was just assumed they were gonna win the
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: IVY again and they should have. Like the way that
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: they lost that game was completely insane. I mean, there
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: are seconds away from being in the tournament and had
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: two days later they're gonna play you un see Wilmington,
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: and sure enough you had seen Wilmington won the game outright,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: So probably should have given that one out too. Stylistically,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: it made sense too, because Yale is not a speed
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: up team and those are the types of teams that
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: beat Wilmington. But whatever, let's talk about tonight. Well, we
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: have the first four continuing the first matchup, the sixteen
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: seed playing between the worst two teams that are in the.
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Field, Lehigh and Prairie View A and M.
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: Lehigh, the winners of the Patriot League because Navy, who
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: is playing tonight as well. By the way, in the
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: nit Navy got bounced because of a bad clock operator,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: and then Lehigh beat the team that beat them bu Lehigh.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: I mean they're not a good team, but Prairieview A
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: and M then they were like the eight seed and
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: the swack. Really nothing special here, I mean this game.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: I don't have a read on this game at all.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: Like last night, you know, I felt strong most strongly
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: about Howard really this game. And you can see the
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: money's come in on Lee High. They're rough from one
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: and a half to three and a half now here.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: So if you like lee I you've kind of missed
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: some of the value on it. Uh sixty six percent
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty four percent of the cash on them.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you're picking these games and pools or
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: something like that, I guess I would pick LEI because
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: they're a decent favorite at this point. It looks like
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in that way. A lot of times
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: it's not what happens, though, Like these first four games,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: a lot of times the team you don't expect to
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: win wins. I mean, it seems like people are already
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: kind of penciling Lee High into the matchup against whatever
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: one seed they're gonna face. But maybe that won't be
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: the case. I think they're gonna play floor enough they
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: win this game. Yeah, I mean, the money looks like
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: it is coming in on Lee High though, But I
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: really have no a good read on this game at all.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: And then I don't think I have a good read
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: on the other game either. With SMU and Miami Ohio here,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: which is really I mean, it's an addressing game. It's
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: kind of crazy first Miami Ohio and SMU, and these
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: are the last two teams to get into the field.
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: I've heard some people say Miami Ohio was the last
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: team to get in. Some people said SMU was the
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: last team to get in. It looks like the public
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: is on Miami Ohio though, man, which I kind of
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: thought would be the case. I mean, they like the story.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, everybody, as I was saying, oh, Miami Ohio
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: needs to get into the field, you know whatever, Like
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: everybody you know convinced that Miami Ohio belongs in the
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: field and on the bubble, even though they're significantly worse
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: than all the other teams, and in fact, they might
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: actually be the biggest underdog in any of these first
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: four games that we've ever seen. I can't remember one
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: being this big. At least Miami Ohio seventy one percent
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and only sixty nine percent of the
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: cash on them. SMU down was seven point favorite here
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: from eight, so there was an initial move against them,
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: but it seems like the public side is the Miami
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: Ohio side, you know. Just I think they are definitely
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: an overrated team, obviously I've been saying that all year,
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: But the committee gave them like the best draw that
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: they could have. Probably they're playing against SMU. SMU not
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: a good defense. Neither of these teams are good defenses.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: But you could make the argument that, well, SMU is
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: basically a similar style of team to Miami Ohio. They're
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: just better at it, which you know, I could see
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: that argument as well, which would mean that you do
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: want to look towards SMU here. I mean you do
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: have teams that are more offense oriented, like SMU. They
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: are a somewhat fast paced team. Miami Ohio, as ken
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: Bum has them at ninety third in the country, Miami
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Ohio was a little bit faster than that. They're they're
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: also much more offensive oriented. Or though SMU is actually
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: better on both sides of the ball, defense and offense.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio fifteenth luckiest team in the country. Very unlucky
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: by the way. So really all the ken Bomb numbers
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: are kind of saying you should look towards SMU here.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: They're better on both sides of the ball. The tempo
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: basically both teams are going to kind of want to
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: go upspeed. The luck index is basically saying SMU as well.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with it, but a couple
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: of issues with it are that these games are in Dayton, Ohio.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: So the location is definitely beneficial to Miami Ohio. Like
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: their crowd's going to show up for this game right
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: like they're in the tournament. It's considered a tournament game.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: They're actually very close to Dayton. I'm pretty sure, So
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: their crowd is going to pack the arena for this probably,
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna it's probably gonna be one of the
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: more well attended first four games. So that's one issue
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: that I would have with actually wanting to actually play
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: SMU here. Miami Ohio also has a lot of continuity.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: That's one thing that you know, we saw that happening
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: with like Drake last year. That continuity does matter. It
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: can get lesser T teams over the humps sometimes. So
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: that's the other thing, Like this Miami Ohio team has
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: played together for quite a while. Ken Bomb gives you
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: that number, which I shouldn't show this because you should
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: go go find ken Bum's numbers, man, or I mean
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: go buy ken Bum, I should say. But he's got
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: them in that seventh in minutes continuity. So basically they're
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: one of the most continuous continuous teams in the country,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: is that what I want to say? Meaning they have
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: all these guys that came back for multiple years whatever,
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: which is pretty rare in college basketball at this point
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: with the nil and the transfer and stuff. So that's
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: one thing, like when you have that much continuity, you're
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: used to playing together and you do play better together.
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: So that's the other issue I'd.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: Really have with wanting to do this here. You know,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: an over somewhat makes sense to me in this game.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Although the total did drop to one sixty three, we
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: did see the late game last night went way under,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: I think, which kind of surprised me because those teams
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: are not good defenses.
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: Either of Texas I.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: Believe does play slow. These two teams don't do that,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: so the over kind of doesn't make sense to me
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: in this game. But the one thing you have to
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: worry about when an over, we're gonna talk about this
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: in these tournament games, is that these teams still have
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: to get used to the new arena. They have to
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: get used to the site lines. So like to start
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: out the game, they might not be that great offensively
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: because they got to again adjust to the arena. So
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: that would be the one issue with that. Although you know,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: once they get used to it, the over still could
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: happen for sure. Like I'm not saying blindly, play under
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: in every single one of these games, and the unders
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: make more sense early in these games for the most
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: part as well. Usually when you have a setup like this,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of fast paced, better offense. Usually the
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: better team is the way that you want to look
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: to cover the number here, because higher scoring me it's
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be easier to cover that number. Better team is
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: likely to win the game. But yeah, I mean I
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: already told you what I think.
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: I have my.
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: Issues with it. I have a slight lean to SMU
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: in that one, but not strong. And then really, I
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: think whichever team wins this, even though they will be
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: coming out of having played a game already, I don't
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: think either of these teams matches up very well against
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Man, which we'll talk about when it happens, but
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: I mean Tennessee is just completely different. They slow it down,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: they play really good defense, they get a lot of
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: offensive rebounds, and I just don't see either of these
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: teams being able to deal with that. So again, Miami
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: Ohio did get a pretty good draw here, even though
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: they're big underdog. The Committee I think intentionally did this
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: because they at least gave Miami Ohio a pretty weak
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: defense to have to deal with and an SMU team
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: that was spluttering down the stretch, and they're from a
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: pretty bad conference to acc so you know, Miami Ohio
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: could have had more difficult opponents than that potentially, but
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: that is what the committee did. Kyle, what's up? Thanks
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. I mean, I kind of want that
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: to happen, but I'm not convinced that SMU is gonna
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: totally blow them out there. I'm not gonna have any
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: college basketball plays today, by the way, I have one
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: hockey and two NBA.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: Navy is playing.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest as we get to the n T first round. Here,
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: all ESPN Family games here, this game.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: These games.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Remember, like I said yesterday, they're all being hosted by
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: the higher seed. So the higher the better seed, I
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: should say, so the you know, the the better seeded
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: team is playing in their home arena. In this case
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: wake Forest.
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: Wake Forest.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: Uh, you know they're an ACC team. They're one of
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: the better teams in this field. Here they draw a Navy.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, Navy pretty good team this year, but they
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: were a pretty lucky team for a while. They still
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: should have won the Patriot League, and the Patriot League
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: was awful, and I thought Navy could potentially draw a
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: decent matchup in the tournament, but that did not happen,
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: and the way they lost, I think it is just
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: brutal man like they had that game one bu hitting
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: a three after the clock operator didn't start the clock
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: in time and hitting a three from half court, and
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: Navy was all ready to make their first tournaments. It's
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: nineteen ninety eight and probably should have. That was in
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: the semi finals. I mean, they're gonna have to beat
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: le High after that, but I think they would have
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: Lehigh his ass. So I think Navy could still be
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: a disappointed team even though they've had some time to
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: get over it. Wake Forest, I mean decent showing for
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: them in the ACC Tournament. I guess they beat Virginia Tech,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: they lost to Clemson. I mean they weren't expected to
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: win either of those games, so yeah, I mean they
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: weren't expected to do a whole lot this year. I
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: would probably lay the points with wake Forest here. The
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: money is kind of agreeing with that. Again, I just
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: don't know if Navy is gonna be able to get
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: over that loss that easily. I mean, the one thing
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: that might keep them motivated is the fact that they
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: get to face one of the Power Conference teams. That
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: is one thing that will motivate some of these smaller
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: guys in the n t oh We get to play
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest. You know a team with a lot of history,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: acc you know it's it's the school where you know
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: David Robbins. Then I believe went there? And did I
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: think David Robinson played there? Right?
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: Am I wrong about that?
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: And then although actually he was the admiral? So did
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: he go to Navy to I don't know where the
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: fuck did Robinson play?
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: Wake Forest had Muggsy Bogues.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: I know that one of my favorites because I'm sure anyway,
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of tickets on Navy fifty two percent
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Wake Forest, I'd probably lay it
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: with Wake Wake. They're kind of a mid tempo team.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: They're better on offensive deep mense. Unlucky according to Kimpbom,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Navy is very lucky. According to Kembom, well fifty ninth,
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: Navy is a bit better defensively. Their offense is pretty
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: bad though, and Navy is gonna try to slow it down. So,
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, there are a couple of things to maybe
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: like about Navy. There are the better deep meense getting
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: points there and a slow down team, and that's kind
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: of what you look for with the team that is
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: getting a lot of points. So It's a kind of
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: a tough call in that one. But you know, for
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: me slightly in towards wake Forest based on the situation,
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: Kent State is gonna be going to Illinois State. Not
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: a huge travels There's some weird travel spots in the
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: n it here weirder than we last night.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: This is not one of them.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, Kent State just going to Illinois from Ohio.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Not really a big deal there. Kent State got knocked
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: out of the MAC Tournament. I believe they lost to Akron,
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: which that is a rivalry game Kent State against Akron.
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: So you know, I don't know if Kent State's gonna
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: have any hangover effect from that. I don't think the
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: game was really particularly close. Illinois State lost to their
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: eventual conference champion as well. In the Missouri Valley they
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: lost to Northern Iowa, and that game wasn't really close either.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Kent State has less rest after that. The money's coming
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: out in Illinois State. They dropped to six minus six
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: year Kent State fifty two of the tickets fifty eight
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: percent of the money though on Illinois State. So the
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: actual money on Illinois State. I could see some reasoning
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: for it. I mean, they're on their home arena, so
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: the home arena is still a decent advantage in the
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: NIT because the road team isn't really that familiar with
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: the even though I know we saw some of the
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: home teams just not be motivated last night. Illinois State
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: is also a top one hundred defense, so they're pretty
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: good defense. They're gonna try to slow it down, which
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: the slowdown isn't what you really like when you're laying points,
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: but I do like the fact that they're the better defense,
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: and it's actually significant. Kent State is a more offensive team.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: They are the better offense. They try to go fast.
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: They're also third in the country in luck though, and
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Illinois State is a very unlucky team according to Kenbum,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: So I think I would probably lean towards laying it
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: with Illinois State and that one too, even though I
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna want to slow it down play defense.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: The total is still kind of high because Kent State
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: is involved in this game and they try to speed
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: it up and score. But you know, for me, I
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: like the better defense usually in a situation like that,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: unless there's some you know, other reason to not like that.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: So I would probably lean towards Illinois State, Canadian Stone
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: or what's up man, Thanks for hanging out all right,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: We got George Washington in Utah Valley. This is probably
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: the weirdest travel spot that we have here with as
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: we know. You know, Kent State just played their conference
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: tournament in Cleveland. As I should have pointed out, Navy
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: last played in Maryland because they were playing on their
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: home floor. So them going to North Carolina, I mean
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: that's a pretty easy trip as well. George Washington having
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: to go from DC out to Utah is a very
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: weird travel spot to go play Utah Valley. But I
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: think Utah Valley, I don't know, man, it might take
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: them a while to get over that loss because they
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: blew like a seven point lead at the end of
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: that game against cal Baptist, and that was the infamous
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: game where cal Baptist.
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: You know, we're gonna talk.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about cal Baptists in their game against Kansas.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna win it, but they do
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: have a guy, Dominique Daniels.
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: Is his name?
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: Is it Dominique Daniels, Dominique Davis. I forget double D.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Whatever the dude's name is. He hit like three threes
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: in a row at the end of this game against
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley. He actually had a bad game in that
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: game until the end, and he just made every shot
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: at the very end of that game. That's pretty much
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: why cal Baptist won that in Utah Valley missed a
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: dunk that would have tied the game and sent it
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: into overtime the end, which is pretty inexcusable. I mean,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: it was an alley up. It wasn't like the guy
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: was just driving to the basket and dunking it. But still,
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know how you missed that because he wasn't
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: really being defended. He just completely fucked it up. Utah
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: Valley blew a seven point lead in the final like
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: minute and a half of that game. I watched the
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: end of it too. It was brutal.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: So I don't know how Utah Valley gets over that man.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: And they were that close to having their first tournament
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: appearance in program history. It would have been huge for
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: that program. George Washington, I mean they did blow their
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: game as well. They almost knocked Saint Louis out of
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: their conference tournament. George Washington was winning that game by
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: twenty something in the first half. They lost by seven,
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: but it was pretty close at the end of that game.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: It was a weird game where it was George Washington
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: up twenty early, they were up fourteen at halftime. Saint
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: Louis completely swung the game in the second half. Saint
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: Louis good second half team. They completely flipped the script
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: that they had like a nine point lead near the
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: end of the game, and then I think George Washington
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: might have gotten close to tying it back up before
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis, you know, built the lead a little bit,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: and then I think GW had to follow them at
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: the end of the game, which is why they wanted
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: to winning by seven. It was kind of an insane game, So,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: you know GW with the fact that they have to
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: also come off of a game where they almost pulled
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: off a huge upset. I mean, well, Utah Valley was
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: the favorite. They should have won that game. But George
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: Washington coming off a game where they almost won as
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: a huge underdog pretty much that's gonna be brutal as well.
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: And having to travel to a very unfamiliar environment and
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: to Utah into high elevation whatever I can't get there
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: with George Washington, but I think I would lean that
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: way because I just don't know how Utah Valley is
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: gonna get gonna get back up off the mat after
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: losing that whack final. With the way that they did,
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley down to two point favor fifty eight percent
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, fifty three percent of the cash on them,
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in against Utah Valley here
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: as a small favorite George Washington. I think this might
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: be like kind of a numbers thing because Georgia Washington
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: they are a top one hundred team. Utah Valley is
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: as well. Actually, by the way, as you can see
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: with the number, Utah Valley is only a small favorite here.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: For that reason, George Washington is literally the unluckiest team
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: in the country, though Utah Valley is way more lucky.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: So according to Kinbumb, George Washington should have had a
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: way better record than they did. And I think the
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: public might just see the records that they go, Yeah,
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley way prettier record, you know, makes sense to
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: play them. The one thing Utah Valley may have going
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: for them is they are the better defense. George Washington
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: is a better offense. Both teams actually kind of played
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: a faster tempo, which is interesting. But you wouldn't think
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: that with Utah because they don't really seem to put
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: up a ton of points sometimes. But and their offense
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: doesn't look great at times, and some of their free
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: throw shooters aren't very good. George Washington. Both these teams
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: are actually really bad free throw shooting teams, I believe
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: from what I've seen.
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: Ken Bump probably will show you the numbers, But.
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Like I saw, these teams shoot free throws in clutch,
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: and their free throw shooters have bad percentages. They're not good,
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: So that's also kind of an interesting thing there.
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: Both of those teams are bad at free throws, by
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: the way.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: A couple of bad free throw shooting teams in the
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: NCAA tournament, by the way, Iowa State and Miami. I
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: believe we're both pretty bad at that all right. Anyway,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: let's finish the nit here, man. I don't have any
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: plays here, so we'll keep going. Dayton is going to
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: Bradley here. Bradley is in Illinois for the uninitiated here,
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: So Utah Valley, by the way, it's coming back.
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: From Las Vegas.
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: I just point out what these travel spots look like here.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: Illinois State was in Saint Louis, so not a huge
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: travel spot to come back there, and they've been home
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: for a while now. Probably Dayton and George Washington were
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: both playing their conference tournament in d C or No,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: there was in Why do I keep saying it was DC?
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: It was Pittsburgh. It was Pittsburgh.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: So Dayton's going from Pittsburgh to Illinois, you know whatever.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Bradley coming in from Saint Louis. That's an easier.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: Travel spot there.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: Bradley got knocked out of the semifinals. I want to
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: say maybe in the Missouri Valley. They're another team that
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: lost to Northern Iowa. I'm pretty sure Bradley was kind
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: of a false two seed in that conference. Though they're
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: not really as good, Dayton was one of the better
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: teams in the A ten. This game is a difficult handicap.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: Dayton did make the did make the final like they
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: played on Sunday, so they have a quick turnaround here.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: But they weren't really that close in that game against VCU.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: The game was pretty much over for the entirety of it.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: The money is still coming in towards Bradley, though Dayton's
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: and minus one and a half favorite here. So Oddsmaker's
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: telling you Dayton is the better team, which I do
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: agree with, but sixty four percent of tickets on them
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash some money is sort
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: of indicating a Bradley here, and part of it is
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: because they're the more rested team. Bradley is pretty lucky
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: according to Kembond, but the record doesn't really look that
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: good anyway. They're a balanced team though at least they
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: play mid temp bone nothing really special about them. I mean,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: they're not really horrible necessarily at anything. Dayton is a
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: much better defense, so there is that for Dayton. They
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: are a pretty lucky team according to Kembom though as well,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: and they're.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: A bit slower than Bradley is.
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: Dayton. You know they are the better team, especially because
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: their defense is significantly better, so I don't necessarily want
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: to fade that. But of course the nit you can't
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: just look at the numbers. A lot of it is
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: about motivation, situation whatever, Dayton having to go to kind
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: of a weird travel spot and having played way more
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: recently on Sunday, I wouldn't really disagree with Bradley in
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: that one, but not really a strong opinion at all.
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston is having to go to New Mexico. Not
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: really that weird of a travel spot, I guess, going
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: from Texas to New Mexico. There are though, Sam Houston
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: in the Conference USA. I think they were in Huntsville,
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: Alabama when they last played, and they looked like they
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: were gonna win. Once Liberty got bounced from Conference USA,
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: it was Sam Houston. You know, they were the team
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: to beat in that conference tournament after Liberty got knocked out.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: I thought Sam Houston was better than Liberty actually, and
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston got knocked out by the eventual conference champion,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: Kansas State, which is bizarre. Kansas State their team that
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: goes up tempo, that's what they do. They just play fast,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: they score, which is probably not gonna play well against
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga who does that as well. And it's just way
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: better than the Kenesaw. I mean that I saw that
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: draw on I'm like, Gonzaga got such an easy draw,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: dude oh man in the tournament there. But yeah, New Mexico,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I mean they're good. But the question is, how does
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: New Mexico respond to not making the tournament because they
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: were on the bubble, you know, and then they had
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: a really tough game, close loss to San Diego State
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: in the Mountain West semifinals. But San Diego State didn't
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: get into the tournament either, so it looks like New
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: Mexico would have had to have actually won the conference tournament.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: So they were gonna have to win this game and
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: beat Utah State to get in, which maybe they would
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: have been able to do. They're a bit of a
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: different style team than San Diego State is, so I
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: don't know how New Mexico is gonna respond to that.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: They're coming back to their home arena from Las Vegas here,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: but New Mexico's home arena is very difficult to play in,
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: especially if you're not used to it.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: You know, it's a very loud arena. Although I don't
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: know how.
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: The crowd is going to be for a an n game,
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: but you know, probably not as crazy as it would
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: be for a more meaningful game. New Mexico, I mean,
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: they're pretty good this year. They're a little bit better
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: on defense than offense, which we're not really used to
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: seeing out of New Mexico. Usually they are still fast,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: which is something like again, Sam Houston just lost to
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: a fast paced team with Kennesaw, So New Mexico might
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: be a bad matchup for them. In New Mexico actually
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: pretty unlucky Aquorne kem baumb like a bottom sixty luck team. Yeah,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Kennesaw plays super fast anyway, Sam Houston they actually played
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: fast as well. They're just not as good on either
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: side of the ball as New Mexico, not even close
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: on defense. Really, Uh, they're unlucky as well, a Quaranta
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: kentbom we know. Obviously New Mexico is the way better team.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: The money is slightly indicating on New Mexico. Their a
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: twelve point favorite, sixty four percent of ticket seventy one
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I actually kind of
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: lean towards Sam Houston in this one though, even though
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the matchup is particularly that good.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: New Mexico again, they were one of those bubble teams man,
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: so they're pretty close to making the tournament and their
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: last game was a huge, tough game, brutal game against
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: San Diego State, whereas Sam Houston lost is a favorite
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: to a team that does not play physical defense like
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: San Diego State plays physical man Kennislas State. Nah, So
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston's coming off the less physically taxing game in
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: a game you know that they should have won. So
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: you got a fa a team that was a favorite
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: that lost kind of inexplicably up against a team that
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: is coming out of a real tough game against one
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: of their big rivals, brutal game. I think I would
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: actually take the points with Sam Houston and that one
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it. But I don't love it,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: although that was actually probably my strongest opinion out of
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: all of these today. Maybe George Wall I don't know.
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: Georgia Washington, I don't love it either.
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: Anyway.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: Murray State, they're located in where the fuck are they Kentucky?
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: I think they're in Kentucky. I don't know. They're having
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: to go to Nevada. Now that's gonna be difficult too, man. Actually, yeah,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: they probably were in Kentucky. Ruse, they're the racers, they
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: got the horse racing shit.
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that, but they're having to go
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: all the way to Reno to play in Nevada. Hear
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: Nevada staying in the state of Nevada because they just
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: played in the Mountain West Tournament in Las Vegas, so
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: this is a weird travel spot from Murray State. Murray
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: State really disappointed down the stretch, didn't do well in
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: their conference tournament. They're a good offense and not a
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: good defense, and they play fast, so they live up
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: to their name. The racers on Nevada pretty solid team
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: in the Mountain West. They took, you know, a pretty
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: decisive loss in the Mountain West semifinals to Utah State,
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: who was the best team in the conference and won
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: the conference. Nevada eight and a half point favorite here,
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: but they're taking the money. It looks like fifty two
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: percent tickets seventy eight percent of the cash on them.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: The only thing I will say is maybe Murray State
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: gets a little bit more excited for this game because
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: they get to play a team that's from, you know,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: a somewhat bigger conference.
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: But they're not.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: They're not getting to play one of the Power conference guys.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I mean, Nevada does have a
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: little bit of a name in basketball, I guess, but
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Murray State, I don't like their deep bets. Like I said,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: They're very lopsided. They're pretty lucky according to kemp Bump. Two.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: They play fast, they score, they don't play deepense. Nevada
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: is much more balanced. They slow the game down, they
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: play better deepfense. They're less lucky according to kemp Bump,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: kind of a mid luck team. I'd probably agree with
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: laying the points with that one, but yeah, I don't
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: love it either. And then Saint Joe's has to go
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: from the East Coast. They're a Philadelphia team and they
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: just played in Pittsburgh. Because I keep saying d C Pittsburgh,
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: I think I fucked that up yesterday. They gotta go
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: into Elevation and play Colorado State. I mean that's that
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: is a weird spot for them as well. Colorado State
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: coming back from Vegas here really really weird travel spot
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: for Saint Joe's one of the weirdest ones on the
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: on the board here. Saint Joe's lost to VCU in
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: the semifinals in the A ten. There wasn't close. Saint
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: Joe's is a bad team, dude. I keep telling you
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: they're not even as good as the record makes them look.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Colorado State lost early on in the Mountain West tournament
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: against San Diego State. It all again a lot of
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: it's gonna come down to motivation here. The money is
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: coming into Colorado State. I think it's a very very
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: odd travel spot, like I don't know how Saint Joe's
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: is going to adapt to playing in elevation like this.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: Colorado State is the better team as well. They're minus
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: five and a half fifty seven percent of tickets eighty
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash at Colorado State. I wouldn't really
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: disagree with Colorado State here. They're not really that great
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: on defense, though they're much better on offense, and interestingly,
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: they play really really slow. They're also kind of a
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: lucky team, agree to Kembum. Kind of a weird mix
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: for Colorado State there. Saint Joe's is one of the
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: luckiest teams in the country, though at twentieth they're actually better.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: They're actually the better defense, believe it or not, but
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: they can't score, and believe it or not, they actually
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: play a bit faster, very very strange matchup here. To
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: be honest, Saint Joe's is technically the better defense getting
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: points here, so if you buy into that, but you know, again,
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: it's a game I want to stay away from but
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: I'll slightly lean with the money to Colorado State there
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: and then U I see is going to California. That's
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: a weird travel spot too. UIC going from Saint Louis
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: and they're a Chicago team. Of course they're going all
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: the way out to cal California is having a travel
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: cross country though.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: Cal.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: You remember they're in the ACC now, so they just
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: they were just out at the ACC.
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: Tournament in Charlotte, North Carolina.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: Another traveling all the way back to Berkeley, California. Very
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: very insane travel spot. Kind of I mean for both
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: teams it kind of is. But Cal having to do
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: two cross country trips is a little bit crazy.
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: And Cal, you know, they were somewhat of a bubble team.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: They lost right away in the ACC tournament to Florida State,
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: who looked pretty good in that tournament, almost beat Duke,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: an injured Duke team, but still disappointing showing from Cal.
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: You I see, Mike might actually get up for this game,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: and you I see the one thing that they are
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: good at, they're pretty good at defense, and they're better
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: than people think they are. This year, like they actually
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: made the Missouri Valley final, and Northern Iowa easily beat them.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: But still, U I see had a much better season
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: than anybody thought they would like. They're usually like kind
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: of a dorm mat and they had a great season
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: this year. So I don't think they're usually in any
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: of these postseason tournaments. I think they'll be excited about it, actually,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: U I see. They get to face an ACC team,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: a power conference team, yeah, a team that almost made
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: the tournament. I think they might get up for this.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Cal is down to a five point favorite here, eight
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: nine tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on them.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: They look like they're gonna be a public side. This
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: is a late night game. That's the one other thing
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: you have to worry about with like a more easterly
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: team going out west and playing a really late game.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: They might mess with their biological clock, you know. But
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Cal is having to travel back cross country as well.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: Cal seventy third and kem bum's rankings decent on deepense
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: top one hundred and both offense and deepfense, mid tempo team,
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: and they were lucky according to kimbom, sixty ninth in
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: luck Illinois Chicago almost made the top one hundred and
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: kim Bomb. They're actually a top one hundred deepfense. They
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: play slow, and they were unlucky according to Kempbom. So
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: it's an interesting matchup. I mean, Cal is still the
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: better deepfense here, but U I See's defense is not
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: that bad. They're gonna try to slow the game down
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: and they might be motivated. So I would actually lean
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: towards U I See in that one plus the points.
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Uh so those are my thoughts on that. Uh yeah,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: all right, let's get into NHL here, only six NHL
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: games here. We have New Jersey at New York at
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: the Rangers. Here a regional matchup here. These teams don't
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: like each other. The Devils come enough beating my Bruins
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: and overtime the other night. Bruins just lost another overtime
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: game last night. I think to the hated Montreal Canadians,
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: Devil's nice went over the Bruins. Now they're playing the Rangers.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: They just beat the Rangers on March seventh, six to
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: three in New Jersey, so there might be a little
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: bit of a revenge angle here.
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: Quick revenge.
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: The Rangers might have some adjustments to make here. The Rangers,
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: we know they're really really bad at home though. That's
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: one of I mean, one thing you have to look
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: at when they're at home. Nine, sixteen and six at home,
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: very very bad. Devils have no road overtime games or
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: no road overtime losses. I mean sixteen and sixteen. Yeah,
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: New York Rangers. I mean they're coming off of a
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: bad loss at home to the Kings the other night.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Of course, the Rangers lost at home again, what else
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: is new? They might be in bounced back mode after that,
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: because that was the first game back from a trip,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: even though it was a quick trip. A lot of
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: times you have a bad game, you bounce back from it.
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: They lost a four wind streak, so I guess you
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: could argue there'll be a hangover from that, and sometimes
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: when you lose a win streak, that happens. I would
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: lean to the Rangers in this game, though, even though
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: I know they're at home. They're bad at home. The
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: money is not agreeing with me on that. Even though
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: New Jersey dropped for minus one fifteen to minus one
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: o nine, that's how bad the Rangers are. The odds
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: makers are lining New Jersey as a road favorite. Here,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: on the Rangers. Excuse me, on New Jersey. Excuse me,
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in on the Devils. I kind of
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: disagree with it. I would lean to the Rangers though,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean, the one thing I guess is
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: there will be a lot of New Jersey fans and attendance.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: I guess because it's a close, you know, rivalry matchups,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: so you know, the crowd's gonna be mixed at the game. Down. Man,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: I'm just trying to support the team. You sit down,
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: you're disturbing everybody. Sit down? Oh yeah, because you're a
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Ranger fan and you know I'm messing with their heads.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Had to do that because that was the Devils at
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: the Rangers in that scene there as well. All right,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Carolina. Pittsburgh, I mean they're near the top
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: of the standings in the Metro Division, man Like, I
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna catch Carolina, but they're having a
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: good season. Although you know, I'll still probably make the
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: argument the rest of this division besides Carolina is just
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: not that good. Pittsburgh is coming off a really, really
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: good win in Colorado, So I don't know how you
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: know this is a big game as well against Carolina,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: but look at the scheduling spot. Pittsburgh just went out
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: into They actually were just at Carolina and they almost
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: beat them. Back on March tenth, they went to a
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: shootout and lost here at Carolina. Then they went out
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: to Vegas loss, then into Elevation, they beat Utah, they
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: beat Colorado. Now they're coming out of elevation having to
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: play Carolina again after putting a scare into them the
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: last time. It's a tough spot, man, even though they
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: should get up for this game, coming off a huge
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: win over Colorado too in Elevation, which is kind of
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: an unheard of win. Meanwhile, you got Carolina, Yeah, they
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: played yesterday. Weird spot. They had to go to Columbus
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: after a couple of days off, and they were coming
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: off that win over Tampa Bay good win. So I said,
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: I leaned to Columbus yesterday and Columbus won five to one.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Really ugly game for Carolina. Now, the returning home really
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: was just kind of from only like a one one
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: off trip to Columbus really because their other game was
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: in Tampa Bay and then they had two days off
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: after that. So I don't think Carolina is gonna be
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: that tired man because they had two days off before yesterday.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Yesterday's loss was disgustingly bad and it was kind of predictable,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: whereas you know, it was kind of a sandwich spot
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Tours for Pittsburgh. They're coming off a tough run of
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: games and a huge, huge win in their last game,
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: even though they have an extra day off or whatever.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: I would lean Carolina in this game, and it's one
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: of my stronger hockey opinions. Carolina down for minus one
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: seventy to minus one fifty three here eighty six percent
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on them.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: I like Carolina in that game. You know money line
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: or you know, split puck line money line. Maybe the
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: money line will drop a little bit further. I don't
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: know if it will, but yeah, I think Carolina gets
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: that one. Ottawa at Washington. Ottawa just destroyed San Jose
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: seven to four. When you being anybody seven to four,
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: sometimes you are kind of feeling pretty good about yourself.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: They're having to have this one off trip to Washington,
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: which is a little weird. Washington not having the greatest season,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: and Ottawa does have the Islanders on deck, who are
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: having a better season. Washington's been okay, though Washington did
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: just lose to my Bruins back at home on the fourteenth,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: so Washington's staying at home. They've had a lot of
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: time off Outawa off of a kind of satisfying win
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: with maybe a bigger game on deck. I like Washington
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: in this one. Ottawa getting some of the money right now.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: It looks like they're up to minus one twenty five
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: from minus one fifteen fifty eight percent of ticket. It's
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of the cash on Audawa, so the
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's on Autawa.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: I don't agree with that one, but.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: It is what it is. And then TNT HBO Max
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: second game of the doubleheader, after Devil's Rangers, you get
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Dallas in Colorado. This is a good game, possibly the
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: top two teams in the NHL, to be honest, you know,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: maybe Carolina in there as well. Tampa, I guess has
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: an argument as well. Dallas just took a really ugly
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: loss to Utah, which I told you I liked Utah
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: in that game. I think that was a lean for me.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: Dallas coming up some satisfying wins. They had this big
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: game on deck. Utah wasn't playing that well at the time.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: Utah is pretty good, though Dallas took the bad, bad
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: home loss six to three doesn't look good. They had
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: to Smith in net for that one too, so they
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: had their lesser goalie in net as well. So you're
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: gonna get Dallas in bounce back mode with their better
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: goalie back in net, Ottinger.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: They're gonna focus.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be going to Colorado here. Problem is, they're
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: probably gonna run into a focused Colorado team too, because Colorado,
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: as I said, they just lost horribly to Pittsburgh. Colorado
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: was coming back from a couple of games on the road.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: Maybe got caught in like a distraction spot. Maybe they
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead to Dallas. Could have been a look
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: ahead for both teams. I don't know what that was.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: But they lost horribly seven to two on their whole mice.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: So both teams are gonna show up for this one,
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: I would have to imagine. I think in that case,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean towards the better team and the team
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: at home.
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: I think Colorado's loss was a little bit more embarrassing
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: as well, owing to Colorado here sixty seven percent of tickets,
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash on Dallas, So Dallas
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: looks like one of those dreaded public underdogs there. Colorado
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: dropped from my one fifty five to minus won forty five.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would look Colorado money line. I guess
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: probably in that one. One of the cheaper prices you'll
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: find on Colorado, you know, throughout the year. I mean,
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: the cheapest you'll get is when they're on the road,
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: but you know, pretty cheap price for Colorado, especially at home.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: It's the cheapest you'll get because Dallas is really really
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: good as well. But I like Colorado and that one.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: This next one almost made my card. Saint Louis and Calgary.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis just lost at Winnipeg. They have a couple
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: of days off here, a decent spot for Saint Louis.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: They're already up in Canada. They're traveling from Winnipeg to Calgary.
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: Usually I think you're not gonna pay attention to Calgary,
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: but you can explain why Saint Louis lost to Winnipeg
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: because Saint Louis had just beaten Carolina and Edmonton the
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: two games before that.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: So let down spot.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: Most likely now they could be in a bounced back
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: spot here going to Calgary. Calgary, they're a bad team
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: and they're in a bad spot. They're turning over a
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: road trip. They took them all the way to the
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: East Coast. They've been away since Monday, March ninth. It
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: wasn't a good road trip. They lost all but one
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: game on the road trip. But a lot of times
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: teams will not bounce back when they come back home,
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: in especially bad teams. Though get distracted. You got to
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: get back to home life. You got stuff to do
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: back at home. I don't know how close. This actually
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: was a fairly close game. This is a game I
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: gave it a loser on this Calgary at Detroit, finishing
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: the road trip there. Calgary actually won sixty percent of
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: the face offs in that game, although that would indicate
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: you might want to look towards Calgary.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: In this game, but I would fade them here.
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: Calgary was within one goal towards the end of the
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: second period in that game, then they give him an
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: empty net goal near the end of the game. So
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: the final score makes it a little bit misleading. But
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: what I think we could say is a Calgary put
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: in a big effort in that game. Now there returning
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: home and they have a bigger game on deck as well,
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: I believe. Let me say, because I mean the Blues,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: You're not really gonna pay attention to the Blues. They
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: got flooried on deck the returning champs back to back,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: and then Tampa after that. So I like the Blues.
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: In this one.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: Man, a bad team and a bad spot returning over
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. You know what, I'm gonna add
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: this to my card. I think fuck it. Blues for
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen and minus one twenty sixty seven percent
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: of tickets only fifty eight percent of the cash on Calgary.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: Sometimes you get a couple of spots that you like. Man,
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: I have two akeey players. I've been playing both of
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: the late games here. Yeah, why not, let's do it
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. Let's see what the best prices we can
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: get on this. Theyre minus one twenty. It looks like
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of tickets, fifty two percent of the cash
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: on Calgary public looks like they're on Calgary here. I
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: don't know why they would be. I mean, I know
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: the Blues are bad, but both teams are bad, and
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: fading a bad team in a bad spot is something
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: you might want to do here. And of course the
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: Blues are at least the better of these two teams.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: I see minus one twenty one out there. That's what
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with. All right, There you go, Saint
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: Louis Blues money line and this is the best bet
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: segment here. And the last one is going to be
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia Flyers on the money line here against Anaheim here.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: I know Anaheim is really good at home, so that's
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: one thing that I do worry about. But the spot
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: is pretty bad. Anaheim down for minus one fifty five
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: to minus one fifty here, seventy eight percent of tickets,
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash right now. But I
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: think they will be a public side here. I like
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: the Flyers for a few reasons. The Flyers are coming
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: off a pretty bad home loss to the Blue Jackets.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: Although blue Jackets have been al right this year, They've
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: had multiple days off, they haven't played since Saturdays. They
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: have a lot of rest, which I think is good
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: because normally I don't like these Eastern teams going out
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: west for ten PM game, you know, because they can
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: mess with your biological clock to start the road trip.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: But in this case, I think they're going to be
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: focused to start the road trip because you get Anaheim,
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: who's a pretty decent team, and you have multiple days off.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: So hopefully Philadelphia's smart and they already made the travel
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: and adjusted to the time zone, you know what I mean.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: Like, when you have these days off, use them to
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: your advantage.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: Get out there and adjust to the time zone already,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So hopefully they did that.
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: But the spot is horrible for Anaheim. As I already mentioned,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: they're turning home from a road trip. They crossed the country,
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: so we're gonna fade two teams that had cross country
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: trips here.
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: Anaheim has been a.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: Wast since last Tuesday. They went up to Winnipeg. It
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: was an all Canada road trip and they went all
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: the way to northern eastern Canada. Now they're coming all
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: the way back from Montreal all the way down to Anaheim.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: It's one of the longest trips in the NHL that
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: you can make. And they beat Montreal to finish the
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: road trip. That was a nice win for Anaheim at Montreal.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: Montreal decent team this year. That was a game where
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: they were a decent sized favorite. Anaheim usually not that
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: good on the road. Huge win for Anaheim. Now they're
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: back home, they get Utah and Buffalo coming up next,
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: which I think both those games are gonna be bigger
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: for them. I mean Utah in their conference. Utah has
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: been an okay team. Philadelphia just kind of struggling, man
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: a middling team from another conference. Anaheim, of course, returning
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip. Like I said, a lot
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: of times, you won't pay attention to your first opponent
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: when you come back from the road. I know they've
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: had a couple of days off, but that can like
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: cause you to settle back in and actually exacerbate it
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit more because you're focusing on home life,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: you know. And they have to go back out on
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: the road too, so that makes it even worse. They
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: got to go to Utah after this, you know what
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: I mean. So you're only home for a very brief
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: period of time, so you've got to get done, but
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: you got to get done at home. Having one game
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: in between a road trip and then another road game
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: is always difficult, man. So I like that we're gonna
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: go with Philadelphia here. I know, Anaheim is really good
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: at home. We're fading that. Twenty two ten and one
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: at home. Philadelphia is okay on the road. Uh, sixteen
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: twelve and four on the road. Yeah, I'm still okay
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: with doing it. We're gonna do it. I will take
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: both well, fade. Both teams were turning over from road
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: trips in the NHL here today, and I think we're
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: on teams that are basically in positive spots I think
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: as well bounce back spots or whatever you want to
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: call it. So, yeah, that's what we're doing in that
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: game in that That's what we're doing in hockey. All right,
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: let's go to NBA. We have numerous NBA games here.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: I think there are about nine ten NBA games today.
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: There's an ESPN double header. First game up is Golden
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: State at my Boston Celtics on ESPN. In the double
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: header here, Golden State did just beat Washington. Unfortunately they
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: covered by a half point. Because that was a loser
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: I gave.
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: It on the show.
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: Porzingis former Celtic playing in that game, so he might
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: play against his former team here.
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: Still, this is a very injured Golden State team.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Man, they're in a little bit of a tough spot here,
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: even though I know, beating Washington no big deal and
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: they ended a losing streak, so that is positive that
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: they'll have some positive momentum coming into this game, at
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: least ending that losers. But they're also playing a third
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: game in four days, fourth and six days, all in
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: different cities, which isn't that easy to do. They're a
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: shorthanded team, you know, they're without Curry, without Butler.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: You know all that.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: The Celtics coming into this game off of beating Phoenix.
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: That was a nice win for the Celtics at home,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: but they are staying at home. They're a little bit
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: more rested here, you know. Any it's a TV game.
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: I don't really hate the Celtics in this spot. They
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: did just beat Golden State on the road, though I
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: feel like that wasn't that long ago.
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, there is February nineteenth.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: The Celtics did beat them in Golden State by eleven,
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: and that was before Jason Tatum came back, and he
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: is back now. Injury report check real quick here. Yeah,
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure all that I said about Golden State
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: is right. I don't believe the Curry is back. I
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: don't know if and when he will ever be let
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: me see, Yeah, he's not listed there. It looks like
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: Draymond Green is back, but I mean I don't know.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, what is he What is he gonna do?
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: At this point? He's really really old. I don't know.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: The Celtics are laying a ton of points in this game, though,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: so for my purposes, I just hope they win.
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: You know, Celtics need to get Vucevic back, but they're
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: a pretty deep team that other guys are healthy. Celtics
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half is the number on this seventy
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets, eighty one percent of the cash
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: on the Celtics. I don't really have a strong reason
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: to disagree with laying the points of the Celtics, but
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion, And I just hope they win.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City at Brooklyn. This is a crazy line. This
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: is gonna be one of the most insane spreads that
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: you'll see for a road team like Oklahoma City's close
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: to like a twenty point road favorite in this game.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: It's unbelievable.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: And they're on a back to back, Like how much
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: more crazy can you get?
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: Like?
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: How could you have a team laying twenty points on
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: the road on.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: A back to back. Oklahoma City had a somewhat bigger
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: game last night. They beat or LANDOL last night in Orlando.
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: Now they're going up to Brooklyn, no time off. Third
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: game in the last four days. They beat Minnesota the
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: game before that. I mean, Brooklyn, they're like dead, they're
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: done for the season. But I don't think I would
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: lay this.
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: If you look at the NBA standings, by the way,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: it looks like the teams, the teams that are outside
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: of the of the playing portion of the playoffs, like
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: there's a huge gap there in both conferences. So basically
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: all the teams that are out are out at this
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: point pretty much, and the Nets are one of those teams.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: The playing teams might still be playing to try to
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: avoid the playing So we have to start looking at
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: that type of motivation here down the stretch in the NBA.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: For Brooklyn, I mean, this is a game that maybe
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: they will get up for. I mean they are staying
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: at home. They got blown out in their last game
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: by Portland. I mean, you get the thunder coming into
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: your place, you know, the best team in the league.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: That might be game the Nets will actually give you
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: some effort. The thunder laying nineteen and a half is
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: just insane. I mean, if I was gonna play it,
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points. I don't want
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: to do it, but sixty percent of tickets eighty five
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: percent of the casual on the nets, I would agree
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: with the nets in that one plus the points. Obviously,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: Portland at Indiana. Portland just beat Brooklyn, as I just mentioned,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: easy went over Brooklyn. Now they're going to Indiana. Third
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: game in four days, fourth and six, all in different cities.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: And they do have a big game on deck against
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and then Denver, so possible look ahead there. And
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: they just beat Indiana on March eighth, back in Portland
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: by twenty points, so they may not take Indiana seriously
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: here man, Indiana's coming up a blowout loss to the Knicks,
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: which I told you the Knicks would take them seriously.
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: That was last night though, because Indiana played them close
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: to the other game, so they just went to New York.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: So Indiana's actually returning over from a two game road trip.
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: It was just Sunday and Tuesday, but they aren't a
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: back to back third game in four days all in
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: different cities. I would lean to Indiana still in this game,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: but I don't want to touch it. The money looks
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: like it's coming in on Portland, but I really don't
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: like the spot with Portland. And they're laying double digits
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: on the road again, up to eleven and a half,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: cash on the Blazers. The money coming in on the Blazers,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: And yeah, I don't know, I mean the Blazers, I get.
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, the argument would be they're trying to avoid
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: the play in sort of because that's where they are
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: right now. Basically by default, they're the last team in
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: the play in right now in the West Western Conference
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: because every other team is basically just quit. But I
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: think they actually have a chance to potentially get out
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: of the play and to get like a sixth seed.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: I highly doubt it's gonna happen, but I think it's
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: technically possible. And the Pacers, you gotta figure out if
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have motivation because they're pretty much done for
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: the season, But this might be a game they actually
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: show up for. I don't know, not a game I
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: want to deal with next game up will be a
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: play though for me, and I know in this game,
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: we're playing on a team that they it is one
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: of the teams that's packed it in for the season
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: and we're gonna fade a team that's trying to make
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: sure they escape the playing round and get into the playoffs.
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: But I think that puts pressure on Toronto.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the Bulls plus seven and a half here.
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for Toronto. Toronto just beat
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: Detroit in their last game. That was a huge win
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: for Toronto. Toronto looks like they're very likely to be
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs and avoid the playing not definitively, but
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: that was a huge win. And then on deck they
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: got the Denver Nuggets. Man, they gotta go out to
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: Denver after this, and then Phoenix whatever. So they're technically
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip here. But you know, I always
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: say when you start a road trip you are focused
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: more often than not. But coming off of a monster
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: win over Detroit, I don't like the spot here. And
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: then again Denver on deck, I think it's a sandwich
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: spot for Toronto here. Man, Now Toronto, they are better
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: on the road. I get at nineteen and thirteen, but
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: laying a bunch of points. I don't like it. We
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: don't We don't need Chicago to win, We just need
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: them to cover. Chicago has been really bad, but they're
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: at least close to five hundred at home. And Chicago
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: they might still be putting in some effort because they
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: did just blow out Memphis in their last game, and
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: that was a bad spot too. They return home from
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast and they still beat Memphis, So that
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: kind of tells me that Chicago is actually still putting
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: an effort. And you look at their recent games, I
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: mean they have actually done that. They beat Golden State
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: on the road, they played reasonably close against the Lakers,
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: and the Clippers beat Memphis by a ton in a
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: bad spot at home. So I think they are showing
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: up for these games right now. I know they do
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: have to play Cleveland tomorrow. But if you're Chicago, I
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: don't know. I just don't think you're really gonna overlook
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: a team like Toronto, Like I don't know a team
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be in the playoffs like Toronto playoffs. Toronto
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: minus seven, seven and a half here I saw seven
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: and a Half's pretty abundantly out there fifty nine percent
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: of tickets and cash on Toronto.
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: We're gonna take it with the Bulls though in that one.
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: All right, then we got Utah Minnesota. Man ugly game here. Utah,
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: they just lost to the Kings in their last game.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, a couple of days off, maybe Utah will
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: show up for a game like especially because it's against Minnesota,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: good team. Maybe you'll get an effort out of Utah
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: here coming off a really ugly loss to a bad team.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's coming off a decent win over Phoenix, and that
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: was last night, so they actually return home from a
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: road trip, didn't fall into the hangovers or whatever, the
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: hangover spot, the you know, distraction spot, whatever. Good win
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: against Phoenix, who is going to be a playoff team,
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: I believe. Then they have to turn around and play
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: again right away against Utah, and they do a Portland
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: on deck, then Boston, Houston, Detroit, all those games are
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: bigger than this game against a team that's not going
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: anywhere after the season. With Utah so well except for
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: on vacation, probably.
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on the tee Wolves.
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't really agree with that there minus thirteen
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: and a half now sixty one percent of tickets, ninety
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on them. I'd lean towards
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: haking the points with the Jazz in that one, but
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: again you have to kind of figure out will the
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: Jazz be motivated? So you know, like I'm hoping that
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: my assessment of Chicago's right and that they will be
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know about Utah. Clippers are gonna be at
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. And this is a hilarious looking line where
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: people are gonna look at this and like, say, how
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: is New Orleans favored in this game? Their record being
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: so bad, Like the Clippers record is a lot worse
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: than they actually are. But even the Clippers record looks
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: a lot better than New Orleans.
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: New Orleans is not as bad as people think they are.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: And what the record looks like, They've had a lot
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: of injuries and stuff, but I think they're fairly healthy
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: right now, playing a little bit better. Ish Clippers are
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: playing better too. But the Clippers are coming out of
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: a huge game against San Antonio. They played them close again.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: Now they're going out to New Orleans. They're playing two
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: games in a row against New Orleans here, back to
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: back days. I just don't know how excited they're gonna
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: get for this New Orleans game. The Clippers, they're gonna
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: be like the play in most likely in the playoffs,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: like they're not gonna miss the playing, although technically they are.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: You know, technically they're trying to play to avoid the
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: play in and get one of the other seeds there
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. But we'll see what actually happens there.
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: New Orleans just beat Dallas, staying at home here. The
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: playanes are fucking stupid though. The playoff expansion I think
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: has made the NBA worse. Dude, like ten teams making
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: the playoffs slash play in. It's just so stupid, especially
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: in the NBA when you know, like the upper Rachelon
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: teams in seven game series home court, you know, like
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: those upper racheal On teams are gonna win out, you
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. It's just kind of ridiculous. Although
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: I know the Pacers surprised last year or whatever, but
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: the East just was kind of weak last year and
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: there were a lot of injuries going on in the
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: East last year, so I think that was a little
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: bit more of an outlier. Anyway, New Orleans did win
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: against Dallas, so they are showing some motivation. They won
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: three of their last four games, did beat Toronto in there,
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: so that was a decent win. And they played Houston
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: really close again in the middle of that, so they're
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: actually showing up for games. So I would actually probably
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: lean to the Pelicans in this game. They're getting the
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: money too, They're up from one to two here, sixty
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets on the Clippers, sixty percent of
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Pelicans. Maybe they'll play you know, hey,
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: we get to spoil the season for the Clippers here
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Maybe I don't know. Atlanta at Dallas. Atlanta
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: is still on a win streak here, and I still
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: am not impressed by it. They did win against the
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: Orlando at home in their last game, which was the
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: best win they've had in this entire nine or ten
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: game win streak whatever it is here. Most of the
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: wins have been really really unimpressive. That was the best
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: one so far. And now they're playing Dallas on the road.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: They just beat Dallas at home by twelve during this
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: recent winning streak here. They might overlook them, man, because
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: they got Houston on deck, which is a bigger game,
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: even Golden State after that has a big Golden State.
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: By the way, they are trying to maintain a play
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: in or I mean, they're already in the play anything,
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: but they might be trying to actually get into the
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: playoffs and avoid the play in. So I forgot to
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: mention that that might be a motivation for them against
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. But they're already gonna be motivated when they
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: play the Celtics, you know what I mean. Atlanta, Yeah,
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: might be looking ahead to Houston here. I mean, at
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: some point they're gonna lose this win streak, and they
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: don't need to lose this game for Dallas to cover,
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. If you take Dallas here,
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: you're just taking them as an underdog. Dallas is playing
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: a third game in four to as all in different cities,
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: which is a little bit difficult. They lost to New
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: Orleans on Monday, but they were coming off a huge
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: win over Cleveland, so you can kind of predict what
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: Dallas's recent run is kind of predictable, right, Like, they
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: got blown out by Cleveland at home, then they went
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: on the road and they zigzagged. Cleveland took them unseeriously
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: the next time. Most likely Dallas beat them. Then that
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: put Dallas in a letdown spot the very next night
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: and they lost to New Orleans. That doesn't surprise me either.
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing this Atlanta team. Yeah, they're returning on
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. It was a quick road trip,
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: New Orleans back to Dallas. Not a big deal. They
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: did just lose to Atlanta not long ago, So I
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: do lean to Dallas in this one. Atlanta looks like
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: they're getting some of the money right now. They're up
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: to or down to eight and a half, but sixty
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the cash
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: on them laying the eight and a half. But I
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: would lean towards taking the points with Dallas as bad
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: as they might look. Denver is going to Memphis here.
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: Denver just crushed the seventy six Ers last night. I
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: thought the Sixers would be more competitive in that game.
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: Denver wasn't in a very good spot and they still
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: blew them out. That Sixers team. Nobody playing for that
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: team right now, but nobody's playing from Memphis either. But
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: now Denver is on a back to back. They did
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: have a couple of days off before yesterday's game, so
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be that tired. But still
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: they beat Philadelphia, who is at least going to be
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: I think in the playoff play ins. Now they get Memphis,
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: and they do have a playoff team on deck with Toronto,
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: so they might overlook Memphis. Ye, Memphis has been playing awful,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: and maybe they'll show up for a game because they
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: get to play against Denver.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: You know, that's a big deal. They're hosting them.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: Memphis is returning over from a road trip, but only
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: a two game road trip Detroit Chicago. Not really a
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: big deal. They've lost a ton of games in a row.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: This might be the type of game they do actually
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: put in an effort for once against a good team
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: like Denver. I'd lean towards Memphis plus the points there.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: Nuggets are a thirteen and a half point favorite, fifty
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets on them, fifty seven percent of
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on the other side on the Grizzlies,
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: which is the way that I lean there, all right,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: And then final game, I'm gonna give out a play
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: on the final game on ESPN.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: It's a big game, but.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the zigzag here and we're gonna
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: play Houston minus two and a half, which is the
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: same number that they were on the first game. They
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: were minus two and a half the first game against
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, and the Lakers surprisingly won the game. Like,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: I did not think that was gonna happen. The Lakers
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: has beaten Denver the game before that. Lakers have been
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: playing well recently, but I still don't buy it. Man.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: The Lakers is still like a bottom ten defense in
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: the NBA. Houston is a much better defense, and Houston
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: is much better at home. And after Houston lost that game,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna happen again.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: This is kind of a ridiculous outcome. Houston looked like
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: they were starting to pull away in the third quarter
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: and then I don't know what happened there, and they
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: blew that lead wound up losing the game. And for Houston,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: they scored four points in the final six plus minutes
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: of the game. They're winning the game eighty eight, eighty five,
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: and then they got outscored fifteen to four in the
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: remainder of the game. Something like that's not gonna happen again,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: especially with a Laker depfense. That's questionable at best. You
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: can see what happened in the game here too. Houston
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: only hit five threes in the game. That's a pretty
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: big outlier, I think as well. I don't think they're
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: like the biggest three point shooting team, you know, because
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: Houston's more of a paint presence team.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: But still, that's kind of ridiculous.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: They shot horribly from three, and although the Lakers only
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: hit eight themselves, but also the free throw disparity was
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: in favor of the Lakers. They got sent to the
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: line twenty two times, Houston only fifteen, so that was
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: kind of an outlier in the game. As well. Houston
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: dominated in the paint forty four rebounds to thirty two,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: so that's one of the best stats to look at
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: in my opinion. You can see that Houston actually really
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: kind of dominated the game in that way, the physical
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: aspects of the game, and Houston had a ton of turnovers.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: They lost the turnover battle by double twenty four to twelve,
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: so I think that's an outlier too. That's something that's
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: gonna get cleaned up, you know. I don't think they're
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: gonna turn it over that much. Again, Houston is twenty
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: three and nine at home, so they are really good
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: at home. The Lakers are pretty good on the road.
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: I get that twenty and thirteen, but this is a zigzag.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: Like I said, Houston, I think they're the slightly better team,
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: to be honest, and they're at home getting the same
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: number they had in the first game with the adjustments
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: to make where I think they're actually the better team.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: I think the score in the first game is kind
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: of misleading. We're gonna go with Houston here. We do
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: have to worry about uh.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: Sengoon has been injured for Houston.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: It looks like he might be back, though I know
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: he's been listed as injured for a while. The Lakers
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: look like they don't really have much going on in
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: their injury report here, but I don't think Lebron helps
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: them that much at this point. I'm gonna be honest, man,
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: Lebron is so old. I think the Lakers are a
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: little bit worse with him in there, to be honest.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: He kind of takes opportunities away from their younger guys there. Yeah,
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: Sengoon is back, so we're getting a pretty much complete
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Houston team here. Yeah. I like Houston. That's where we're
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: going here. They're up to two and a half or there. Yeah,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's two two and a half. You
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: can probably find either. You know, if you want to
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: go money line, you might be able to find a
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: decent money line on it too. That's more of a
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: college basketball thing that I would recommend an NBA. But
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: if you find that, that's fine as well. Tough to
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: read the percentages right now, fifty one percent of tickets
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: and cash looking like it's on Houston.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: But I think you pretty much know.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: The public is gonna play the Lakers here right Oh,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: the Lakers won the previous game. Lakers have the better record,
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: They're the Lakers, they score, you know, they have the
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: star power, I mean Ustays, Kevin Duramt.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: But you know the Lakers have Lebron Luca Reeves. You
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: know the public will be on the Lakers.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: Man. Lakers have been extremely hot and the public is
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: very recently biased too, with six wins in a row,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: with a bunch of big wins in here against the Knicks, Minnesota, Denver, Houston.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: You know, like the public I'm assuming will be on
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: the Lakers here, but we will not do that. We'll
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: play Houston another way. If you want to, because Houston
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: had that scoring drought at the end of that game
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: that really made things look bizarre. Lakers still not a
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: good defense. If you wanted to go Houston over their
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: team total. Let me see what the number is on that.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: I don't hate that either. Let me see playing teams
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: over their team total against the Lakers. I think it's
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: generally a decent idea, to be honest. Houston's team total
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: is one twelve and a half. It looks like here
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: you might be able to get a little bit of
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: a better number than that. That seems decent to me,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: to be honest. But yeah, we'll go with the spread though,
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: just because that's what I do.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. Man.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: So we got four plays today NHL, two plays in
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: the NHL, Saint Louis money Line, Philadelphia money line, NBA.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: We got Chicago plus the points, Houston minus the points.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: And that's gonna do it.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah. Thanks, everybody.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, Learn a tone on Instagram,
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: you know, like, subscribe to the channel here, give me
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: good replies here. If you subscribe, you get the notifications.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: Because I will go live with my you know, much
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: anticipated filling out of my men's bracket. Man, I know
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: I did the women's one, which is less exciting whatever
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: the other day. Still waiting to see who wins those
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: playing games. The playing games for the women start tonight.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: I want to make sure because I might tweak a
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: couple of things in that bracket, but I think that
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: one is unlikely to change at like the higher levels.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: Just maybe some of the first round matchups. I might
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: tweak a little bit the hardest ones to figure out, man,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: and the least impact. But I'm gonna try to figure
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: out on my men's bracket, which is the one that
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: we all make a bigger deal lot of. Man, we'll see,
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: we'll see what we could do with it. So that'll
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: be tonight at some point, probably kind of late, because
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: I want to see who wins the Miami Ohio SMU game,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Because that is that's gonna
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: affect the line they're gonna play Tennessee. And you know,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: if Tennessee draws Miami O higher, they're gonna be like
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: a six to seven point bigger favorite than they would
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: because SMU. So that doesn't matter to some degree, although well,
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: I mean I think either way, I'm probably gonna still
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: take Tennessee to win that game in my bracket, but
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because they're gonna be a favorite. And
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: that's just what you do with the brackets, which I'll
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: talk about it when we get to it. Subscribe and
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: you'll get the notification for it. That'll be late tonight
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: at some point, just like I did last year. Although
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do like the spreadsheet is something that
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: it was just insane, dude. I think I'm gonna do
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: a similar one to what I did with the women.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna use the tools that I have at
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: my disposal. I'll plug them a little bit and then
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: compare them with the betting odds and stuff like that
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: and try to figure it out that way anyway. Yeah,
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: because there's like law of diminishing returns, you know what
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: I mean when you put so much into it like
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: I did last year with all the betting odds. But like, yeah, whatever,
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: the tool that I use also factors in the recent
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: injuries and stuff and the betting odds as well.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: So it's pretty good anyway. That's gonna do it. Yeah,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: what else do I have to plug? Here? Oh? Listen
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: on audio this show's on audio, Apple, Spotify, Listen review.
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: You know all the things UH covered in yuke My
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: yuke Channel on YouTube. You can check that out as well.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Paedroon dot com slash learn to Toad if you want
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: to throw me some support that way, we get some
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: bonus yuke stuff there. And Loser Cast we had a
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: new episode last night. You could check that ou out.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: I was also on Nephelin Death Squad last night. They
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: had Coal from Tower Gang live in studio and then
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: Tyler and I jumped on remotely for it as well,
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: so you can check that out. It was a fun
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: hang the Power Hang. That's gonna do it, man. Tower
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: Gang is not back, but it was Power Hang. Yeah.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: I think that's it man, So be on the lookout
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: and I'll be back with the Bracket Show late tonight.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I appreciate it. Guys. Let's get
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: some Wednesday and peace for now.