Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Betting The NFL Like a Pro with Simon Hunter

Transcript

Betting The NFL Like a Pro with Simon Hunter · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
0:13
Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman and today, how the heck do
0:17
Speaker 1: professional betters do it? The NFL season is hopefully across
0:21
Speaker 1: your fingers knock on wood, just six weeks away. More
0:25
Speaker 1: and more states are legalizing sports betting. More and more
0:28
Speaker 1: new betters are learning about how to bet. They wonder
0:32
Speaker 1: what to bet. They are curious about how much they
0:35
Speaker 1: bet on a game in a week, in a season.
0:38
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, are resident professional better and member of our
0:42
Speaker 1: podcast family, gets these questions all the time and he
0:45
Speaker 1: is going to break down everything he knows about how
0:49
Speaker 1: to be a pro capital p pro at betting. But first,
0:54
Speaker 1: two weeks ago, when Bob SCOOCHI Scooch made his triumphant return,
0:59
Speaker 1: we asked fans to rate and review the podcast. Those
1:02
Speaker 1: who did and used the winning phrase the right side
1:05
Speaker 1: is the winning side in their review were eligible to
1:08
Speaker 1: win a copy of the Odds signed by both me
1:13
Speaker 1: and Bob Scucci. We have loads and loads of reviews,
1:16
Speaker 1: so thank you for that. Later in the show we
1:18
Speaker 1: will read our favorites, but there can only be one winner.
1:23
Speaker 1: The listener will be revealed. Also, we are doing another
1:28
Speaker 1: phrase that pays contest same practice. Go rate and review
1:32
Speaker 1: the podcast. Use the phrase Simon the Genius professional Better says.
1:37
Speaker 1: If we choose your review, you will win one of
1:41
Speaker 1: Simon's favorite plays of the year, honest to God. And
1:43
Speaker 1: you're gonna hear about all these in the podcast, how
1:45
Speaker 1: important these are, and like these are Simon's massive money plays.
1:49
Speaker 1: He makes three or four of these every year. You
1:51
Speaker 1: will get one of them. Use the phrase Simon the
1:55
Speaker 1: Genius professional Better says in the review, and you will
2:00
Speaker 1: get one of his best plays of the year. Finally,
2:02
Speaker 1: don't forget to listen to the Action Network podcast. We
2:06
Speaker 1: are going nearly every day now NFL Fantasy with Chris Raybon,
2:10
Speaker 1: Shaun Corner, Matthew Freedman, College football was Stucky and Colin Wilson,
2:15
Speaker 1: Golf with Jason Suli, with Peter Jennings, and our newest
2:18
Speaker 1: member of the Action Team, Amanda Rose. Listen to them
2:21
Speaker 1: all make some money. But now at last, Signon Hunter
2:29
Speaker 1: and now a word from a wise guy with Simon Hunter.
2:38
Speaker 1: And I just want people to know I didn't come
2:39
Speaker 1: up with that humble uh saying calling myself a genius.
2:42
Speaker 1: I'm no genius, but I try my best. Simon the
2:46
Speaker 1: Genius Professional Better says, get it. I did sort of
2:50
Speaker 1: a little play on. Simon says, I like that. I
2:54
Speaker 1: do like that. Use that phrase in your review and
2:56
Speaker 1: you will get one of Simon's favorite players of the year,
2:58
Speaker 1: and you'll probably want a lot of money. You're on
3:00
Speaker 1: the beach, or at least you were on the beach today.
3:03
Speaker 1: I was on the beach. Now I'm back in South Jersey.
3:06
Speaker 1: I at least I've been able to stay occupied during
3:08
Speaker 1: this Uh. I tried it tough without for a month,
3:11
Speaker 1: um and doing nothing, and then I got to the
3:13
Speaker 1: point where it's like, all right, I just need to
3:14
Speaker 1: be outside and do something like every time. I can't
3:16
Speaker 1: just keep looking at my laptop all day every day. Well,
3:19
Speaker 1: so that's my question, Like, who knows what's going to
3:22
Speaker 1: happen with the NFL season? Right? So is it hard
3:26
Speaker 1: to get motivated every day to do the work, to
3:29
Speaker 1: like get yourself in front of a computer and research.
3:32
Speaker 1: I think it's like what everyone goes through is you
3:34
Speaker 1: have highs and lows um with whatever you're doing in life,
3:37
Speaker 1: but when you really love what you do, like I do, Honestly,
3:40
Speaker 1: the hardest part of My job is the off season
3:42
Speaker 1: where it's just I'm just itching for games and prepping
3:46
Speaker 1: for this season, and it's kind of a routine that
3:48
Speaker 1: I'm used to every off season. With this season, I've
3:50
Speaker 1: had to do I would say, two different models already
3:53
Speaker 1: on just predicting what lines will be without fans and
3:56
Speaker 1: which teams will be affected negatively and positively. And it's
3:59
Speaker 1: really kind have been a world wind where it's taking
4:02
Speaker 1: a lot of adjustment. It's a lot of unease going
4:04
Speaker 1: into the season because I'm usually confident in my system
4:06
Speaker 1: and now with this unknown is coming up, it feels
4:09
Speaker 1: like it's gonna be a fun, weird adjustment for the
4:11
Speaker 1: first four weeks of the season. If there is football,
4:14
Speaker 1: all right, You just used three words that I would
4:17
Speaker 1: not think about. How Like, if you are a better
4:20
Speaker 1: and you're a creature of habit trying to figure out
4:23
Speaker 1: how you're going to make money this year and having
4:25
Speaker 1: so many unknowns, you use the word fun. What about
4:30
Speaker 1: any of this? And I'm not judging it in any way,
4:34
Speaker 1: but like that to me speaks to how much you
4:36
Speaker 1: love what you're doing. Break that down, Yeah, you gotta
4:39
Speaker 1: be a little bit of a nerd. If you you
4:41
Speaker 1: want to do this shift that you just gotta love
4:43
Speaker 1: numbers and trying to find the little value in the
4:47
Speaker 1: little niches that people are overlooking. I can give you
4:49
Speaker 1: an edge and what you're trying to do. I really
4:51
Speaker 1: enjoyed the sense that it's fun seeing players that I
4:54
Speaker 1: know we're gonna take a leap for the following the
4:56
Speaker 1: upcoming season, and then other people aren't seeing that, and
4:59
Speaker 1: I capitalized and that value on those teams. If you
5:02
Speaker 1: really don't like numbers and lots of data plugging and pulling,
5:07
Speaker 1: and I mean it is a grind. I'm not gonna lie,
5:10
Speaker 1: but it gives you such comfort in the season where
5:12
Speaker 1: it's like I know what I'm doing, I trust my system.
5:14
Speaker 1: Where like a funny example was last year during the playoffs,
5:18
Speaker 1: I gave out to all these lovely fans of ours.
5:21
Speaker 1: I told him I loved the Titans, and I had
5:24
Speaker 1: the game of three and a half and I said,
5:25
Speaker 1: there was value on the money line and this is
5:27
Speaker 1: against the Ravens in the playoffs. This is there's I
5:29
Speaker 1: had the number three and a half, so the line
5:31
Speaker 1: on the market was ten a half eleven, So I
5:33
Speaker 1: had that confidence for I was putting that number out
5:34
Speaker 1: and telling people take the Titans, take the Titans money
5:37
Speaker 1: aline against the Ravens. I might have got maybe like
5:39
Speaker 1: ten likes on the post and just fifty d M
5:42
Speaker 1: s or messages saying how a bunch of an idiot
5:44
Speaker 1: I was, how there's no no smart person would waste
5:48
Speaker 1: their money on taking the Titans. So obviously the Titans win,
5:52
Speaker 1: and maybe three of those people message me like a
5:54
Speaker 1: call like great hit. And the finally week I had
5:57
Speaker 1: Kansas City as a fourteen point favorite or third team
6:00
Speaker 1: against the Titans. Same people back in my d M
6:03
Speaker 1: new idiot, how can you under the Titans like this?
6:06
Speaker 1: The line seven and a half. There's no way they're
6:08
Speaker 1: going to beat them by six and a half points.
6:10
Speaker 1: I think Kansas City was up eighteen and Titans got
6:12
Speaker 1: a late junk touchdown to put it to eleven. But
6:15
Speaker 1: it's just one of those where I was dead on
6:17
Speaker 1: and like if when you see the results like that,
6:19
Speaker 1: it it pushed like there's days and when I'm struggling
6:22
Speaker 1: to do it and I don't feel like doing work
6:24
Speaker 1: and I'm just thinking myself, those are what you live for.
6:26
Speaker 1: Those moments. So if you see a huge advantage in lines,
6:29
Speaker 1: and you hit it big and everyone who it's it
6:31
Speaker 1: with you is just in that zone where holy hell,
6:34
Speaker 1: that's a great read. So it's a good feeling, alright.
6:36
Speaker 1: So the purpose of this conversation is to figure out
6:39
Speaker 1: how you get from this moment now to that moment
6:44
Speaker 1: at the end of the year where you're so comfortable
6:46
Speaker 1: that you understand this in a way nobody else's. And
6:49
Speaker 1: you said, like, one of the things is you look
6:52
Speaker 1: to see about players you think are going to step
6:55
Speaker 1: up that nobody else is recognized yet who are some
6:58
Speaker 1: of those players? How have you identify when you look
7:00
Speaker 1: at stuff and you're trying to find players of big jumps,
7:03
Speaker 1: you should always just start with the quarterback, especially when
7:05
Speaker 1: you're doing systems like this where that is by far
7:08
Speaker 1: the most important position. Barton one, if if really flips
7:11
Speaker 1: games and flips lines that in other sports, I mean,
7:14
Speaker 1: I guess goalie for hockey and pitching for baseball can
7:17
Speaker 1: have that. But it's incredible how important to the line
7:20
Speaker 1: a good quarterback is and what you're doing for upcoming season.
7:24
Speaker 1: I'm trying to find those dimes in the rough. These
7:25
Speaker 1: quarterbacks are gonna take that next step and we've already
7:28
Speaker 1: covered in a couple other ones where Kyler Murray, when
7:30
Speaker 1: you watch this kid's tape and just all the numbers,
7:33
Speaker 1: he is a freak. He is truly incredible his style
7:37
Speaker 1: and in that offense, how it's gonna be opened up.
7:39
Speaker 1: That's a that's a big one where most of the
7:42
Speaker 1: fantasy community and the gambling community, they're on the Cardinals.
7:44
Speaker 1: They see that this kid is the real deal, and
7:47
Speaker 1: now it's a really hard division, and that's why people
7:49
Speaker 1: are a little you know, they're backing down from that
7:51
Speaker 1: because they're saying how they're going to pass the forty
7:53
Speaker 1: nine and Seahawks. But a kid like Kyler Murray, another
7:56
Speaker 1: kid like Drew Lock for Denverse. These are kids where
7:59
Speaker 1: the numbers are saying at the at the end of
8:00
Speaker 1: the year, once they got over the rookie wall and
8:03
Speaker 1: they kind of we're able to start slowing games down,
8:05
Speaker 1: reading the defenses, you should see a huge jump. And
8:08
Speaker 1: their offenses and their gms have both supported them this offseason,
8:13
Speaker 1: where Denver's offense has only gotten better, adding two weapons
8:16
Speaker 1: and a wide receiver and running back. And we're looking
8:18
Speaker 1: at Arizona adding Dia the best receiver in the league,
8:21
Speaker 1: So you really have to have confidence in both these
8:24
Speaker 1: young quarterbacks coming in this season. Al right, So you're
8:27
Speaker 1: talking about DeAndre Hopkins and and like going to the Cardinals. Now,
8:32
Speaker 1: you just mentioned every single time you say something, it
8:35
Speaker 1: brings up a question that I think is like you're
8:37
Speaker 1: leading me down the path here. You mentioned the Seahawks
8:40
Speaker 1: and the Niners. You mentioned Kyler Murray and the Cardinals.
8:43
Speaker 1: Everybody in fantasy and gambling loves Kyler Murray. You said
8:46
Speaker 1: that everyone in gambles, fantasy and gambling loves the Cardinals.
8:49
Speaker 1: Right now, do you think there's also some identification of
8:54
Speaker 1: likely regression for the Seahawks and the Niners because of
8:58
Speaker 1: what some numbers said about what they did last year
9:00
Speaker 1: and potentially overperforming. Uh, well, the funny numbers when the
9:04
Speaker 1: Seahawks just said they were lucky. But it's it's just
9:06
Speaker 1: because the numbers don't get that. Russell Wilson is arguably
9:10
Speaker 1: one of the best quarterbacks we've ever seen, and he
9:12
Speaker 1: just never dies. He's always swinging. He could be down
9:15
Speaker 1: fourteen and he is just gonna keep running and throwing
9:18
Speaker 1: deep balls and taking shots. And my system always hates
9:22
Speaker 1: the Seahawks especially last year. I think then and Uh
9:26
Speaker 1: it might have been the Browns for the two two
9:29
Speaker 1: worst reads for me when every week I was on
9:31
Speaker 1: the wrong side with them. I couldn't couldn't kind of
9:33
Speaker 1: couldn't hold it down because every year I track how
9:36
Speaker 1: I do with teams and coaches, and that's a little
9:39
Speaker 1: it sounds weird, but you will find a few track
9:41
Speaker 1: different teams and coaches, Like there's certain teams and coaches
9:45
Speaker 1: that no matter what, you're always gonna be on the
9:47
Speaker 1: wrong side of. It's just a weird algorithm and the
9:50
Speaker 1: fact that you're just reading them wrong. And so last
9:54
Speaker 1: year the Seahawks they had I think it was ten
9:57
Speaker 1: games asided by seven points or less, and they like
10:00
Speaker 1: nine of them, and the Cowboys and the options side
10:03
Speaker 1: of the spectrum were like four in uh four and
10:07
Speaker 1: seven and seven point games where diesel things flip seasons,
10:11
Speaker 1: where people are looking at Seahawks coming off all those
10:13
Speaker 1: wins last year and they're betting them this year thinking
10:15
Speaker 1: they'll have the same luck, where I'm thinking they won't.
10:19
Speaker 1: And a different team with the forty niners, is that
10:21
Speaker 1: their defense, if you look at the numbers, just carried
10:25
Speaker 1: them for the first eight weeks and when they got
10:27
Speaker 1: hurt a lot of their d linemen. They kind of
10:30
Speaker 1: had a lot of games that were close and they
10:31
Speaker 1: were really blowing teams out and teams are coming back
10:33
Speaker 1: on them, Like that game they dropped to Atlanta, they
10:36
Speaker 1: were just banged up at home. Their whole defense was
10:38
Speaker 1: hurt Atlanta. Atlanta took a tune and they beat him.
10:40
Speaker 1: When Atlanta was I don't know. I think they were
10:42
Speaker 1: like three and ten at the time. And that's one
10:45
Speaker 1: of those things we're looking at the forty niners is
10:47
Speaker 1: they don't have much turnover their defense, so they should
10:50
Speaker 1: come back good. But like we were just talking about,
10:53
Speaker 1: they their final game of the year came down to
10:55
Speaker 1: one play at the one yard line for them to
10:56
Speaker 1: get the number one seed instead of being the five seed.
10:59
Speaker 1: So it's one of those are people I get it
11:01
Speaker 1: they're gonna back the four niners, but they don't get
11:03
Speaker 1: how many if they go through all the numbers. They
11:04
Speaker 1: had so many games where they they flipped and one
11:07
Speaker 1: at the end of the games where the following year,
11:09
Speaker 1: you just can't count on those kind of things, right. Well,
11:11
Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are already thinking about
11:13
Speaker 1: are the Niners equivalent to the Ramps? You know the
11:17
Speaker 1: Ramps who two years ago went to the Super Bowl
11:19
Speaker 1: and the next year like couldn't make the playoffs and
11:21
Speaker 1: they had such a steep decline. And I've already seen
11:25
Speaker 1: sort of some Pythagrian theorem columns about the Niners becoming
11:31
Speaker 1: that kind of team, right, I'm just against it because
11:34
Speaker 1: with the the Rams, the writing was a little bit
11:37
Speaker 1: on the wall that they had all these big personalities
11:40
Speaker 1: and that Super Bowl anger was kind of predictable with them,
11:43
Speaker 1: Like I think most people were down on them, like
11:46
Speaker 1: most pros were taking their unders, and I just didn't
11:49
Speaker 1: really like the way the Rams were coming in the
11:51
Speaker 1: last season where the four ninners and Shanahan, Yeah, he
11:54
Speaker 1: chokes in the Super Bowls. I mean, I can't argue
11:57
Speaker 1: with people on that. He both times he's been the
11:59
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, he's let teams come back on them and
12:01
Speaker 1: beat them by not running a good offense. But as
12:03
Speaker 1: a numbers guy, there's a few teams more fun and
12:06
Speaker 1: enjoyable doing notes on in the forty Niners and his offense,
12:09
Speaker 1: his run schemes, I mean he's doing run schemes from
12:12
Speaker 1: the nineteen fifties and they're working because people just aren't
12:15
Speaker 1: used to that style on the fullback play that he does.
12:18
Speaker 1: So I actually still have confidence in them. I just
12:19
Speaker 1: don't like I think they're all runners ten or ten
12:21
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't that that's high for me,
12:23
Speaker 1: so I'll be on their Underbut I do like, I
12:25
Speaker 1: do still like them compared to what the rams were
12:27
Speaker 1: the following year. Alright, I got one more question I
12:29
Speaker 1: want to ask you before we get into the like
12:32
Speaker 1: nuts and bolts and nitty gritty of like what it's
12:35
Speaker 1: like to be a professional better and how to do
12:37
Speaker 1: some of the things you do. Is people start to
12:39
Speaker 1: think about how do I manage bankroll? How do I
12:42
Speaker 1: think about putting together a portfolio on a week to
12:45
Speaker 1: week basis, all those kinds of things you mentioned right
12:48
Speaker 1: off the top. When you're putting together your rankings right now.
12:51
Speaker 1: One of the things that's sort of fun and interesting
12:53
Speaker 1: about this is you're the way you're judging teams and
12:58
Speaker 1: how they will perform with fans or without fans. How
13:01
Speaker 1: could you possibly be accounting for that from a numbers
13:04
Speaker 1: tangible numbers perspective. I think most people do the baseline
13:09
Speaker 1: of three for home field. So that's the old school.
13:13
Speaker 1: The line will always put in three points to take
13:15
Speaker 1: into account for home field advantage. Most people can do
13:17
Speaker 1: the basic thing where they're looking at teams that are bad,
13:20
Speaker 1: like the Ings or the Chargers where they don't have
13:23
Speaker 1: home field or the Dolphins. They don't have regardless of
13:27
Speaker 1: start with, but it's actually benefiting them because now they're
13:29
Speaker 1: not getting other teams fans in their stadiums, so teams
13:33
Speaker 1: likes aren't very good. That's a big boost that have
13:36
Speaker 1: not having to worry about playing sixty and road games
13:38
Speaker 1: a year. I mean, that's one of those teams where
13:41
Speaker 1: some I've talked to some sharp especiallyized in Vegas, and
13:44
Speaker 1: a lot of these guys are loving where my numbers
13:46
Speaker 1: say they're gonna push or beyond there. They're loving them
13:48
Speaker 1: because they love that d line. They think Haskins could
13:50
Speaker 1: take another take a step you over there where it's
13:52
Speaker 1: a slow down running offense quick passes, They're not gonna
13:56
Speaker 1: have to adjust much with crowd noise. I mean, this
13:59
Speaker 1: is the kids second year, so going from him being
14:02
Speaker 1: in sixteen road games to just being in a practice
14:04
Speaker 1: kind of feeling, that's a big deal for Theirs. So
14:07
Speaker 1: those are the kind of teams where people they need
14:09
Speaker 1: to go through and try to figure out what's the
14:11
Speaker 1: weight for the home field to these teams. And like,
14:14
Speaker 1: the funny thing was, like I I the Seahawks. I
14:16
Speaker 1: thought that was gonna be a big weight home field
14:18
Speaker 1: a bans for them. It's actually not as good as
14:20
Speaker 1: people think. The last three or four years here, a
14:22
Speaker 1: lot of their home home games are one score games,
14:25
Speaker 1: and it seems like on the road is when the
14:27
Speaker 1: Seahawks are really blown teams out. So I actually didn't great,
14:30
Speaker 1: they didn't. Don't think they made my top five of
14:32
Speaker 1: like most lost points for home field. The one that
14:34
Speaker 1: really stuck out was the Chiefs and the Eagles as
14:38
Speaker 1: teams that lost four or five points for home field,
14:41
Speaker 1: but at the same time their quarterbacks are gaining then
14:44
Speaker 1: that much points back, so it's not that big of
14:46
Speaker 1: a loss, all right. Number one, you can't say the
14:48
Speaker 1: Redskins anymore. Oh right, I've been under a rock, buddy, Yeah,
14:54
Speaker 1: I know that whole thing is going on. Did they
14:55
Speaker 1: have a new name yet? I don't think they have
14:57
Speaker 1: a new name. But Matt Mitchell just bleep out every
15:00
Speaker 1: single time he says that would be good. All right.
15:03
Speaker 1: So you mentioned there are five teams and your top
15:05
Speaker 1: five of sort of biggest losers. When it comes to
15:09
Speaker 1: no fans, who are they? I had the Bills, the Cowboys,
15:13
Speaker 1: the Eagles, the Chiefs, and this this one was just
15:16
Speaker 1: random me because just because do they really have a
15:18
Speaker 1: home field? But it was the Browns. It doesn't make
15:20
Speaker 1: sense for the Browns graded out. They play way better
15:23
Speaker 1: at home than on the road. All right, So the
15:26
Speaker 1: way you're figuring this house is like, these are the
15:28
Speaker 1: teams that tend to perform better when they're at home,
15:31
Speaker 1: and so there is some kind of advantage. Big Way
15:35
Speaker 1: was sorry, it's comebacks. So I was looking That's what
15:38
Speaker 1: I was really looking for his teams. I get down
15:40
Speaker 1: the second or third quarter and then come back at home.
15:42
Speaker 1: Because I do think that has something to do with
15:44
Speaker 1: crowd momentum of people champing, because if anyone played sports,
15:48
Speaker 1: there is a different feeling of your at home and
15:50
Speaker 1: people are backing you and everyone's with you, and then
15:52
Speaker 1: you're on the road and everyone hates you and you're
15:54
Speaker 1: going against them you wanted to hate you. So those
15:56
Speaker 1: are two really weird different sensations that you motivate athletes.
16:00
Speaker 1: So that's why I think I said on Twitter the
16:02
Speaker 1: live betting this year, it's gonna be so weird and
16:05
Speaker 1: hard to figure out what to do with these teams,
16:07
Speaker 1: because who knows how teams are gonna play when they're down.
16:09
Speaker 1: Maybe they just give up because no one, no one cares,
16:11
Speaker 1: no one's yelling out of, no one's cheering. It's it's
16:13
Speaker 1: just gonna be weird, all right. So then who are
16:15
Speaker 1: the teams that gain the most from not having fans.
16:19
Speaker 1: You've already mentioned the the Voldemort from Washington, the unmentionable,
16:24
Speaker 1: But who are the teams that get the most benefit.
16:26
Speaker 1: It's gonna be exactly what people think. It's gonna be
16:28
Speaker 1: the bad team. So it's gonna be the Miami keep
16:31
Speaker 1: saying that. I'm so sorry, man, I gotta I gotta
16:33
Speaker 1: call them whatever their new name is, the Red Tails
16:34
Speaker 1: or whatever, apologize to me. I'm just kidding with you,
16:37
Speaker 1: bet I know I feel back because I do know
16:39
Speaker 1: people are offended by it. I like, I'm not I'm
16:41
Speaker 1: not trying to be that guy. The Jaguars like these
16:45
Speaker 1: teams that they never really sell out, like the number
16:48
Speaker 1: one team was easily the Chargers because they literally haven't
16:51
Speaker 1: played a home games since they left San Diego, and
16:53
Speaker 1: it was funny where if they started Tyrod Taylor, I
16:56
Speaker 1: actually do like they're they're over for the season, but
17:00
Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna happen. I don't think Tyrod's
17:02
Speaker 1: playing alright. I want to get to uh, I want
17:04
Speaker 1: to get to the one on one here, but first
17:06
Speaker 1: let me remind everybody that we are doing another phrase
17:10
Speaker 1: that pays contest save practices last week go rate and
17:14
Speaker 1: review the podcast using the phrase. Simon the Genius Professional
17:18
Speaker 1: Better says. Simon the Genius Professional Better says, if we
17:23
Speaker 1: choose your review, you will win Simon for one week.
17:28
Speaker 1: You will get one of his favorite plays of the year.
17:30
Speaker 1: He makes three or four of these plays every year.
17:33
Speaker 1: You will get one of them. He will give you.
17:35
Speaker 1: He is a professional better. Simon the Genius Professional Better says,
17:39
Speaker 1: he is a professional better. He will give you one
17:41
Speaker 1: of his favorite plays of the year. That is a
17:43
Speaker 1: real gift. It's a good deal. Um. I gave it
17:47
Speaker 1: to a guy last year, one of your fans who
17:49
Speaker 1: was like one of the five people that time. I
17:51
Speaker 1: found my Twitter account on there when I was tracking
17:53
Speaker 1: your guys picks and uh, just every week was common
17:57
Speaker 1: all my stuff and I said, hey man, I gotta,
17:59
Speaker 1: I gotta one can put your whole account on it's
18:01
Speaker 1: gonna hit. And uh, I just felt it's just a
18:03
Speaker 1: good feeling and these like you know, normal people reach
18:05
Speaker 1: out there just like thank you so much, Like I
18:07
Speaker 1: just paid rent for this must it's a good feeling,
18:09
Speaker 1: all right. Listen, normal people are reaching out all the time,
18:12
Speaker 1: and they're listening right now. When you are becoming a
18:15
Speaker 1: professional better, what is the best first habit you need
18:19
Speaker 1: to develop? So there there there are so many and
18:23
Speaker 1: like I've always told people, you always need to be
18:25
Speaker 1: learning and evolving in this field. There is no right method.
18:29
Speaker 1: And people, more often than not that've been in long
18:32
Speaker 1: enough they'll have good advice for you there. If they've
18:34
Speaker 1: been doing it for long enough and they've made it
18:36
Speaker 1: through everything, they're gonna be pretty good at what they
18:38
Speaker 1: do because there's not many of us that do this.
18:40
Speaker 1: Um My first advice I ever got was to realize
18:43
Speaker 1: that you're the one that has the control, your in power.
18:46
Speaker 1: You don't have to do anything you don't want to do.
18:49
Speaker 1: The sports book isn't making you go there, you don't
18:51
Speaker 1: have to bet that game. You need to really, if
18:54
Speaker 1: you want to take this serious and you want to
18:56
Speaker 1: through this as a part time hobby that you want
18:58
Speaker 1: to make extra mindy aside, you realize you need to
19:01
Speaker 1: pick and choose your spot. You can't be waking up
19:03
Speaker 1: every morning betting the same amount in every single game.
19:05
Speaker 1: I know a lot of people are using the one
19:08
Speaker 1: unit method, Like you have a hundred units whatever your
19:10
Speaker 1: bank roll list, and these people just each game, they're
19:13
Speaker 1: using one unit on each game. That's not how you're
19:16
Speaker 1: gonna make money doing what we do. You need to
19:20
Speaker 1: There's gonna be times where I'll have a game, I'm
19:23
Speaker 1: gonna put a grand on it, and then if I'm
19:25
Speaker 1: watching this basketball game he's upcoming basketball games, I might
19:27
Speaker 1: throw fifty or twenty dollars on that. You need to
19:29
Speaker 1: know how to manage your money. And that's the most
19:31
Speaker 1: important part for starting out, is that we're trying to
19:34
Speaker 1: build a bank roll. You're not like these people that
19:37
Speaker 1: tweet out these guys winning millions and hundreds of thousand dollars.
19:40
Speaker 1: That's not you. That's that's barely point zero zero one
19:43
Speaker 1: percent of the people that gamble. Those that's not the
19:46
Speaker 1: right mentality, and you need to have the tide of grinding,
19:49
Speaker 1: because that's what this is. It's a grind when you
19:51
Speaker 1: start out because you're trying to build a bank roll
19:54
Speaker 1: something you can use on the side of your life
19:56
Speaker 1: that's not gonna affect everything you do in normal life.
19:58
Speaker 1: So when started out, I mean I told you, I
20:02
Speaker 1: lost I mean from I mean I started really young.
20:05
Speaker 1: I lost from probably six or seven years, and so
20:08
Speaker 1: I met the right people who could kind of guide
20:10
Speaker 1: me and told me that you're you're missing the whole
20:12
Speaker 1: part of this. Where gut betters, they sure they do well, um,
20:17
Speaker 1: but if you build a system, something you can trust,
20:20
Speaker 1: it just gives you such a piece of mind that
20:22
Speaker 1: you know that you're you've put the time and effort
20:24
Speaker 1: into something that's telling you what to do. You're not
20:27
Speaker 1: having to just sit there and say, oh, this team
20:29
Speaker 1: looked terrible last week. They can't they can't play good
20:32
Speaker 1: again this week. Like gut betting, is really tough to
20:34
Speaker 1: build a bank roll off because what you need is
20:38
Speaker 1: you need to basically you're you're trying to find an
20:42
Speaker 1: edge every week, especially I mean especially in football, where
20:46
Speaker 1: it's a limited time. We're only sixteen games a week,
20:49
Speaker 1: most of them are on the one day of the week.
20:52
Speaker 1: So I told you early on I bet every game
20:55
Speaker 1: because I find value in every game. But there's gonna
20:57
Speaker 1: be games where I've lined that up as because of
21:00
Speaker 1: my system that this is where the big, big money
21:02
Speaker 1: discrepancy is. So I'm gonna hit that game fifteen to
21:06
Speaker 1: twenty times. And the way it is in New Jersey
21:08
Speaker 1: now is we have I'm not sure that number. Now,
21:11
Speaker 1: we might have seventeen online sports books. So instead of
21:16
Speaker 1: putting all my money just into one account and these
21:18
Speaker 1: people eventually are gonna ban me after two months, you
21:21
Speaker 1: spread it all out. Instead of putting seventeen thousand on
21:23
Speaker 1: one game, you put a thousand and each web on
21:25
Speaker 1: each app, and you just diversify what you're betting instead
21:29
Speaker 1: of putting it all on one app where they're gonna
21:31
Speaker 1: flag you. These guys, I learned really early in Vegas.
21:36
Speaker 1: This is this is this is their job. Their jobs,
21:38
Speaker 1: a lot of these guys, these bookmakers, is to find
21:40
Speaker 1: guys like you and get you out because you're hurting.
21:43
Speaker 1: You're hurting their bottom line because you have an edge,
21:46
Speaker 1: and don't they don't want people of edges that they
21:48
Speaker 1: want the guy coming off the street for the bachelor
21:51
Speaker 1: party with a bunch of buddies and they're gonna throw
21:53
Speaker 1: some money on some horse racing. So you need to
21:56
Speaker 1: know going in that like, bookmakers are cool. I've met
21:59
Speaker 1: plenty of guys who wrote books that are just like
22:01
Speaker 1: good dudes who were doing a job. But you need
22:04
Speaker 1: to have a Kobe mentality where you're literally playing these
22:08
Speaker 1: guys one on one. You're not going against other people.
22:10
Speaker 1: That's what's so funny the gambling community. People get mad
22:12
Speaker 1: at you for losing a winning it's really all in
22:15
Speaker 1: this together, going against the bookmakers. It's not against each other.
22:19
Speaker 1: That's what's really funny with the gambling community, especially on Twitter.
22:23
Speaker 1: So you went two different directions, and so I want
22:27
Speaker 1: to separate a little bit, like the you bet as
22:32
Speaker 1: a professional and you're betting at scale, and but you
22:37
Speaker 1: you you sort of made a really good point in
22:39
Speaker 1: the beginning that a lot of people are grinding at
22:43
Speaker 1: this just like as a fun thing, and they shouldn't
22:45
Speaker 1: expect you put fifty bucks down and you're gonna end up.
22:49
Speaker 1: You know, someone who's winning one point one million on
22:52
Speaker 1: Colin Markawa, right, and so um so. But you also said,
22:59
Speaker 1: like you put together a system. Most people are not professional.
23:02
Speaker 1: Most people are not going to have the time to
23:04
Speaker 1: put together a system. So how would you recommend to
23:07
Speaker 1: people they start thinking about managing bank roll if they're
23:11
Speaker 1: doing this in a casual way, they're new to betting,
23:13
Speaker 1: they're they're in a state where it's newly legal, they're
23:15
Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Illinois, Colorado or whatever, and they're just
23:18
Speaker 1: sort of coming to the game a little bit. And
23:20
Speaker 1: that's really simple. Where there's gaglan is kind of blown up.
23:23
Speaker 1: Now there's so many people you can go to advice
23:26
Speaker 1: and you can check off if if they're losing a
23:28
Speaker 1: bunch and their lines saying they're winning blah blah blah.
23:31
Speaker 1: You check this people off and you move on to
23:33
Speaker 1: the next person, because if you don't have the time,
23:35
Speaker 1: what you're trying to find is someone that you trust
23:36
Speaker 1: and is reliable giving out picks because they've put the
23:40
Speaker 1: time and work in. And if you like, say I
23:43
Speaker 1: like the Eagles one weekend, the guy I followed doesn't
23:45
Speaker 1: he likes the other side. Maybe I just don't take
23:48
Speaker 1: that side, maybe because I trust them instead of taking
23:50
Speaker 1: the other side, I just don't do anything. And that's
23:52
Speaker 1: what I was getting back to that if people don't
23:55
Speaker 1: understand how much power they have and picking and choosing,
23:57
Speaker 1: It's like there might be weeks during the NFL's season
24:00
Speaker 1: that I might only have forty grand out and then
24:02
Speaker 1: two weeks later, I might have two KO because I'm
24:05
Speaker 1: there's so many games I love and I always know.
24:08
Speaker 1: That's why I don't really force things, especially if I
24:10
Speaker 1: have a losing weekend, I could care less, because you
24:13
Speaker 1: have to have the mentality that you're going to get
24:16
Speaker 1: it back. And if you chase, if you're doing live
24:19
Speaker 1: betting on the Sunday night football game, you're already lost.
24:22
Speaker 1: You already you already losing, no matter even if you win,
24:24
Speaker 1: you're gonna lose that money the next night. If you
24:26
Speaker 1: find yourself chasing, this isn't something you should be doing,
24:30
Speaker 1: because that's how people going to a spiral when they
24:33
Speaker 1: go to gambling anonymous, because they're always chasing that whatever
24:36
Speaker 1: they start out losing, they're always chasing getting that back.
24:39
Speaker 1: And you can't have that mentality where every week is
24:42
Speaker 1: a new week. You kind of throw out the losses
24:45
Speaker 1: and you start fresh you have a clear mind, it's
24:47
Speaker 1: way easier and not to force things because you just
24:50
Speaker 1: have to keep trusting that things are gonna work out. Now,
24:53
Speaker 1: asking me about how people get involved the systems is
24:56
Speaker 1: you can go online and you can find people that
24:58
Speaker 1: have built systems and you can take those to SIMS
25:00
Speaker 1: and tweak it and update them. But it's hard to
25:03
Speaker 1: figure out what the right things to be looking for.
25:06
Speaker 1: I mean, it took me like three years of like legit,
25:10
Speaker 1: working my ass off on it to get it right.
25:12
Speaker 1: And you have to really do that and then trust
25:16
Speaker 1: it and no one not to trust it. Like I
25:18
Speaker 1: talked to you about at the time, it's a system.
25:20
Speaker 1: It's a computer. It doesn't know that Tom Brady is
25:23
Speaker 1: the best quarterback ever, doesn't know that Patrick Mahomes is
25:25
Speaker 1: the next goat so and that's super Bowl my system
25:29
Speaker 1: like San Frme. But like I told you, I'm not
25:31
Speaker 1: going against my homes that there's something going on here
25:34
Speaker 1: with this kid just can't lose. He just keeps coming
25:36
Speaker 1: back and it worked out going against my system. But
25:39
Speaker 1: I don't do that all the time. There's just certain
25:40
Speaker 1: times you have to go against the computer. I love
25:43
Speaker 1: the idea of this phrase that you have, that you
25:46
Speaker 1: have the power, because I don't think a lot of betters.
25:50
Speaker 1: I don't think a lot of amateur betters, and this
25:52
Speaker 1: is really who this conversation is for. I don't think
25:55
Speaker 1: they think about it that way. I think when you
25:58
Speaker 1: were new to betting, you think give it as the
26:00
Speaker 1: bookmakers have the power, or there are professional betters who
26:03
Speaker 1: know more than I do. It is a scary, wondrous,
26:07
Speaker 1: intimidating place. The I it that you make the choice
26:13
Speaker 1: and you do not have to bet holds incredible sway
26:17
Speaker 1: people when they start out, the worst thing that happened
26:19
Speaker 1: to you is if you win, because you think yourself,
26:22
Speaker 1: this is pretty easy. This is my first time doing
26:24
Speaker 1: sports betting for the first month, and I'm up a
26:26
Speaker 1: grander two and it kind of gives you the false
26:29
Speaker 1: sense of security where it doesn't work that way. Most
26:32
Speaker 1: even the best pros I know that they're gonna lose,
26:35
Speaker 1: They're gonna have down years, and it's kind of one
26:38
Speaker 1: of those where it mix your hard like like I
26:40
Speaker 1: I'll win big, and it's it's a fun feeling, but
26:43
Speaker 1: it's a fleeting one where it's like, Okay, what am
26:45
Speaker 1: I gonna do next week. So it's a fun and
26:49
Speaker 1: grinding feeling of you're always looking for that next game.
26:53
Speaker 1: So these people that they don't realize they have the
26:56
Speaker 1: power in the sense that I'm a dejenuor two man,
26:58
Speaker 1: I'd like betting twenty here and there on different sports games.
27:01
Speaker 1: It's fun. Like if you're chilling at home watching a game,
27:04
Speaker 1: it's nice, You're gonna throw a couple of dollars on
27:06
Speaker 1: it and either can get free dinner that night or
27:08
Speaker 1: you're buying you and your wife double. So you need
27:11
Speaker 1: to understand that people are gonna give out games and
27:13
Speaker 1: they're gonna say, I love this one, this is a
27:15
Speaker 1: big one. And those are the ones where you're not
27:17
Speaker 1: just gonna do your twentyl I bet on, You're gonna risk,
27:19
Speaker 1: You're gonna take that hundred dollar. Because where I'm where
27:22
Speaker 1: I've gotten, I didn't get here without taking big risks.
27:24
Speaker 1: There weren't times where I'm putting half of my bank
27:27
Speaker 1: roll onto a game and it I've lost those and
27:30
Speaker 1: it's like, holy ship, man, I just worked two years
27:33
Speaker 1: to get that money and now I just lost half
27:35
Speaker 1: of it. But the more you learn from those losses,
27:38
Speaker 1: the longer you do it. It's it's one of those
27:41
Speaker 1: where you don't really think about it because it's just
27:44
Speaker 1: they think all these pros do these things where they
27:46
Speaker 1: make maybe two or three big bets here and that's
27:48
Speaker 1: all they do. That's not true at all. I mean,
27:50
Speaker 1: most professionals, they're gonna have action on every sport. We
27:53
Speaker 1: watch everything. We love sports, but we're what makes us
27:56
Speaker 1: so good is that we take these big risk on
27:58
Speaker 1: games we know we have a big advantage off. When
28:01
Speaker 1: did it transition for you? When did it go from
28:04
Speaker 1: betting fifty to a hundred dollars a game? And that
28:07
Speaker 1: was either comfortable or seemed like a lot to all
28:10
Speaker 1: of a sudden, I've got two hundred grand to play
28:12
Speaker 1: on the weekend and I'm not even flinching like that
28:15
Speaker 1: took a while to grow. Um like I got. I
28:18
Speaker 1: was lucky where I had a job young, Like I
28:20
Speaker 1: think I told you, I worked in TV. I was nineteen,
28:22
Speaker 1: so I had money early on, and I wasn't really
28:25
Speaker 1: spending money because I was getting paid they'll travel with
28:27
Speaker 1: the company and living hotels. And when I snumbled into it,
28:31
Speaker 1: I had over probably like fifteen thousand to play with.
28:34
Speaker 1: When I started out and it was grinding. I really
28:37
Speaker 1: wasn't getting much from it. And then as I built
28:39
Speaker 1: my system, I would say, by like twenty eleven twelve,
28:42
Speaker 1: I kind of grew that to about forty and it
28:46
Speaker 1: was still slow grind because I was scared. I wouldn't
28:49
Speaker 1: lie to you, like I was scared to put a
28:50
Speaker 1: large steak into certain games because there's nothing like that.
28:54
Speaker 1: I mean. The biggest bet early on for me was
28:57
Speaker 1: that Denver, Carolina Super Bowl for Peyton Man who had
29:01
Speaker 1: a dead arm. Cam Newton was m VP, just out
29:04
Speaker 1: of body experience how good he was. I looked at
29:07
Speaker 1: the numbers in Denver's defense was grated out off the charts,
29:11
Speaker 1: is like one of the greatest defenses you could ever have.
29:14
Speaker 1: The Monday the lines came out, I went in, I
29:16
Speaker 1: hit three casinos in Vegas. I put big steaks, and
29:19
Speaker 1: I had a couple of runners running and do a
29:20
Speaker 1: couple more bets on it. I probably didn't sleep five
29:23
Speaker 1: days leading up to that Super Bowl. I just was
29:25
Speaker 1: sweating anxiety. That one of my thinking Campton's God, he
29:29
Speaker 1: is the greatest quarterback I've ever seen. And it got
29:32
Speaker 1: to the point where, right before you even kicked off
29:34
Speaker 1: I was said to myself, I don't know, I came
29:36
Speaker 1: and watched this. I came and watched this game. So
29:38
Speaker 1: I think I spent the first half of my buddy's
29:40
Speaker 1: bathroom just watching like Yahoo Sports or something on my phone.
29:45
Speaker 1: And I came out and I was just like, this
29:47
Speaker 1: is gonna happen like this, this defense, this is this
29:51
Speaker 1: is what's gonna do it. So that was the biggest
29:53
Speaker 1: risk I took back then and say I hadn't, I
29:57
Speaker 1: probably wouldn't have half of what my bank roll is
29:59
Speaker 1: now because that gave me. That gave me enough money
30:02
Speaker 1: where the following season I could really pick my spots
30:04
Speaker 1: where I would have games where I could play tan
30:06
Speaker 1: k on instead of doing what I was doing with
30:08
Speaker 1: like two K or three K, like my bank roll,
30:11
Speaker 1: doubling it. That's the key to doing what we do
30:13
Speaker 1: here is that if you double up, you can keep
30:15
Speaker 1: losing these one little one unit place each week. That's
30:18
Speaker 1: not gonna hurt you as long as you're hitting these
30:20
Speaker 1: big money plays three to four a year, like we're
30:24
Speaker 1: talking our business that you do three. So if you
30:26
Speaker 1: go two and one or three and oh, you're done.
30:29
Speaker 1: You're done in your big bets for the season, doesn't
30:30
Speaker 1: matter if you have another one coming up that you're
30:32
Speaker 1: like this lines off. You have to have that maturity
30:35
Speaker 1: and mentality just not to do it. You got you
30:37
Speaker 1: gotta sit down because you've already run your luck that season.
30:40
Speaker 1: Three oh and big bets. That's like I mean, every
30:42
Speaker 1: I would say every four years, I might get that.
30:44
Speaker 1: But if you don't, say you're you're one and two,
30:47
Speaker 1: you gotta do it. You gotta go for the fourth.
30:49
Speaker 1: So now you're two and two, you have to play
30:50
Speaker 1: the fifth one. You need to try to get above
30:53
Speaker 1: the green, and if you don't, you just bounce back
30:56
Speaker 1: the found season. That's why, like I tell you, you
30:57
Speaker 1: can't really you can get down on losses, but in
31:00
Speaker 1: this business you have to just accept you're gonna to lose,
31:02
Speaker 1: and we all lose. It doesn't matter how good you are,
31:05
Speaker 1: how good you're reading things, You're gonna lose because it's
31:07
Speaker 1: a sport. It's unknown, all right. So that's a very
31:10
Speaker 1: good reminder that if people want one of these three
31:14
Speaker 1: massive bets of the year, they have to go in
31:16
Speaker 1: and use the phrase. Simon the Genius Professional Better says
31:20
Speaker 1: in a review of the podcast, and Simon will give
31:23
Speaker 1: you one of those if we choose your review if
31:25
Speaker 1: we like it, a lot um to two themes stick
31:29
Speaker 1: out and that is a fascinating story. That Bronco story
31:31
Speaker 1: is fascinating, but also sort of the way you translate
31:34
Speaker 1: that and sort of the inner workings of the business
31:36
Speaker 1: where there are guys, sort of the conversations you're having
31:40
Speaker 1: with professional betters about sort of like you're playing three
31:42
Speaker 1: to five big ones, right. If you're doing well, you
31:44
Speaker 1: walk away. If you're not, you push it a little bit,
31:47
Speaker 1: but you don't get crazy. Which leads me to two
31:50
Speaker 1: things that I think it's important for people to understand.
31:54
Speaker 1: One discipline, like how do you develop the discipline and
31:59
Speaker 1: how how do you sort of live with potential regret
32:03
Speaker 1: when you are someone who needs to be betting the
32:07
Speaker 1: way you are. Uh, the discipline part is really hard.
32:12
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. It took me a while to
32:15
Speaker 1: get over because I had the same thing where I
32:16
Speaker 1: would get piste and I chase if if games weren't
32:19
Speaker 1: going my way, especially the four o'clock games, I would
32:21
Speaker 1: get mad and I would chase. And I think it's
32:24
Speaker 1: over time that you realize if you're just chilling your patient.
32:26
Speaker 1: You're gonna get that money back. It's that's like we
32:29
Speaker 1: go back to you're in complete control. And if you
32:31
Speaker 1: can just say that, like take a deep breath, say
32:34
Speaker 1: I'm I read this wrong terribly, I'm not gonna read
32:37
Speaker 1: it better here if I keep chasing, let me just
32:39
Speaker 1: wait until next week and get this back. That's such
32:42
Speaker 1: a huge thing because like we were talking, once you
32:44
Speaker 1: start chasing, it just spirals and you you're going against yourself,
32:48
Speaker 1: your your question, your own judgment. And it's one of
32:51
Speaker 1: those where I can, honestly, there's games I bet I can,
32:53
Speaker 1: like a minute in you can already feel that you're
32:55
Speaker 1: like I'm on the wrong side. Like nothing's gonna change
32:58
Speaker 1: this game. This team hasn't momentum. There's them their practice
33:01
Speaker 1: this week, everything they did for preparation this week, it's
33:03
Speaker 1: just right, and I'm on the wrong side. I don't
33:06
Speaker 1: really sweat it because, like I know, we had this
33:09
Speaker 1: whole thing where people yell at players and they getting
33:12
Speaker 1: mad at players and especially fans in the stadium. I've
33:15
Speaker 1: never really had that where I always put the blame
33:17
Speaker 1: on myself, where it's it's not these guys fault. I
33:20
Speaker 1: believe them that I misread them, and it's one of
33:22
Speaker 1: those you you always have to just look at yourself.
33:24
Speaker 1: If you misread a game, it's not because of anything
33:27
Speaker 1: it's going on with these teams or what. It's because
33:29
Speaker 1: you just read it wrong. You didn't put the time
33:31
Speaker 1: in and you misstepped or overlook something and it just
33:34
Speaker 1: didn't work out. Where too many people put too much passion.
33:37
Speaker 1: I know fans stands for a fanatic, but you just
33:40
Speaker 1: need to take a step back and think to yourself,
33:42
Speaker 1: am I really mad at all these players and I
33:43
Speaker 1: really blaming other people for my problems? Or am I
33:45
Speaker 1: gonna take my own woes and think to myself, all right,
33:48
Speaker 1: I need to improve. It's my own fault of these mistakes.
33:51
Speaker 1: Phenomenal advice, Simon, Like this was a lesson. The last
33:56
Speaker 1: twenty minutes of this podcast have been a lesson in
33:58
Speaker 1: sort of new betters should be looking at this. By
34:02
Speaker 1: the way, whether they're betting five bucks or five times,
34:07
Speaker 1: it's all the same. It's all the same. And that's
34:11
Speaker 1: what I want people to understand is that you're seeing
34:14
Speaker 1: all these people who are making all this money. You
34:16
Speaker 1: can't really think that way. You need to just focus
34:18
Speaker 1: on yourself and try to build your own bankroll, because
34:21
Speaker 1: once you do that, you can just turn like like
34:24
Speaker 1: I talked to guys who are stock investors all the
34:25
Speaker 1: time and if someone can do with the stock, and
34:28
Speaker 1: they said, hey, if you buy the stock, it's gonna
34:30
Speaker 1: double your money by tomorrow. People would buy that stock
34:33
Speaker 1: and they'd be into that, And I tried to tell
34:34
Speaker 1: them it's the same thing as sports betting, where you
34:36
Speaker 1: were giving your getting something that you can double your
34:38
Speaker 1: money or do whatever with it. And if you can
34:41
Speaker 1: find and pick those spots, it's such a profitable, easy
34:45
Speaker 1: thing to do on the side hustle, especially nowadays. We
34:47
Speaker 1: we're just talking. You guys have tons of writers or
34:49
Speaker 1: Reaction Network. It's there. Literally their job is gambling in sports.
34:54
Speaker 1: They're trying to win you money. If these people could
34:56
Speaker 1: find these people on trust them, you don't need to
34:58
Speaker 1: waste your time trying to study and do stuff like that.
35:00
Speaker 1: You have people that are doing it for you and
35:01
Speaker 1: you can just do a side hustle making money off
35:04
Speaker 1: these people. And that's the best thing about sports betting.
35:06
Speaker 1: It's it's just like giving your money to a stock investor.
35:09
Speaker 1: It's like These people are taking your money and doubling
35:11
Speaker 1: it for you. That's what you're looking for in sports betting, Simon,
35:14
Speaker 1: how do you think I bet all two hundred and
35:16
Speaker 1: fifty six games last year and one in a fifty clever.
35:19
Speaker 1: I'm not doing research. I'm just listening to what our
35:20
Speaker 1: guys say. I'm listening to you. I'm listening to the
35:23
Speaker 1: Action Network and I he're Stucky and Chris Raybon on
35:26
Speaker 1: their podcast talking about betting in the podcast that comes
35:28
Speaker 1: out every Thursday. That's all I'm doing. It's it's and
35:32
Speaker 1: that's all you need. It's all you like. You don't
35:34
Speaker 1: need to be stressing about these things. And like I said,
35:37
Speaker 1: if if they have a game they're on and you
35:39
Speaker 1: are on the other side, just don't take the other
35:41
Speaker 1: side and don't take the side there on. You just
35:43
Speaker 1: really can sit that one out and play until you
35:45
Speaker 1: do match up on them and you do have the
35:46
Speaker 1: same alignment with them. Because it's pretty simple. It's that
35:49
Speaker 1: people just like action. And like I said earlier on,
35:51
Speaker 1: if you like action, just put twenty on that game
35:53
Speaker 1: instead of putting fifty. You just want to maximize your money,
35:57
Speaker 1: like you don't want to just be thrown away and
35:58
Speaker 1: giving away. Simon, you are a professional better. You are
36:03
Speaker 1: a genius professional better, and you're our professional better. And
36:07
Speaker 1: two weeks ago, folks, two weeks ago, remember Scooch made
36:11
Speaker 1: his triumphant return. We asked fans to rate and review
36:13
Speaker 1: of the podcast. Those who did and used the winning
36:16
Speaker 1: phrase the right side as the winning side in their review,
36:20
Speaker 1: we're eligible to win a signed copy of the Odds
36:23
Speaker 1: from both me and Scooch. We have loads and loads reviews.
36:26
Speaker 1: In a second we will reveal the winner, But first
36:31
Speaker 1: a reminder, we are doing another phrase that pays contest,
36:36
Speaker 1: same same practice. Go rate and review the podcast using
36:41
Speaker 1: the phrase Simon the Genius professional Better says. If we
36:45
Speaker 1: choose your review, your choose your review, you will win
36:48
Speaker 1: one of Simon's favorite plays for the year. You've heard
36:50
Speaker 1: him talk about how he thinks about those things, the
36:53
Speaker 1: value he places on those things. Those are like those three,
36:57
Speaker 1: four or five big bets he makes all year that
36:59
Speaker 1: bill to his bankroll. Uh, you will get one of them. Seriously,
37:03
Speaker 1: Simon will give you one of his best plays of
37:05
Speaker 1: the year. Thank you Simon for joining us. But before
37:07
Speaker 1: you go, the winner of last week's phrase that pays
37:11
Speaker 1: contest winning a copy of the Odds signed by me
37:14
Speaker 1: and Scooch is but uh. Jason Embery at Jason Embery
37:20
Speaker 1: on Twitter, who wrote in a five star review the
37:24
Speaker 1: heart of the show with Chad interviewing Scooch, a bookmaker
37:28
Speaker 1: who is incredibly insightful and Canada. Not only does Scooch
37:31
Speaker 1: give good information on the podcast, but he also has
37:33
Speaker 1: transformed my view of people who run sports books. Look
37:36
Speaker 1: at Scooch doing that. Chad is also on the podcast,
37:39
Speaker 1: which is nice of him to say, But seriously, Chad
37:42
Speaker 1: is an entertaining small cast of guests. Now, Simon Hunter
37:46
Speaker 1: is one of them. He's a great interviewer and he
37:48
Speaker 1: leaves us with pearls of wisdom, like the right side
37:52
Speaker 1: is the winning side. Signmon, you're gonna get a with
37:55
Speaker 1: you like that because someone's gonna want one of your place.
37:57
Speaker 1: I really appreciate I need that self confidence right now.
37:59
Speaker 1: I know you everybuddy, listen, you're gonna be on with
38:01
Speaker 1: us every week, and I'm super excited like you were
38:03
Speaker 1: last year. Uh, And I appreciate you doing this because
38:05
Speaker 1: this was unbelievably smart stuff and so I think people
38:08
Speaker 1: really appreciate it. Of course, but I'm here at help
38:10
Speaker 1: my man, all right. This has been the favorite from
38:13
Speaker 1: the Action Network. Download rate review, Subscribe from Apple Podcasts,
38:19
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast. Until next time,
38:23
Speaker 1: I love you.