Latest / In the Loop AI / Must-Watch: Limitless Energy Masterclass from Atom-Splitter Isaiah Taylor
Transcript
- 0:00Josh: What's up everyone, Josh here. You are about to listen to an episode featuring
- 0:02Josh: Isaiah Taylor, founder and CEO of Valor Atomics, a company dead set on building
- 0:07Josh: safe and modular nuclear reactors to solve the single most important resource
- 0:11Josh: problem in the world, energy.
- 0:14Josh: Isaiah's nuclear roots run deep with his great-grandfather being in the Manhattan
- 0:17Josh: Project and Isaiah himself attempting to split the atom all on his own all these decades later.
- 0:22Josh: And get this, they did it all, both at the age of 24.
- 0:26Josh: And speaking of splitting the atom, Since this episode was originally recorded,
- 0:30Josh: Isaiah and the Valor team did just that, achieving a milestone called cold criticality,
- 0:35Josh: which occurs when uranium, the isotope they use as nuclear fuel,
- 0:38Josh: it achieves a self-sustaining reaction.
- 0:40Josh: It's the first venture-backed company ever in the world to split the atom and
- 0:44Josh: do this. It's incredible.
- 0:45Josh: This was an episode that David and I recorded early on in Limitless' history.
- 0:49Josh: And since then, so many more new people have joined us and we wanted to enjoy
- 0:53Josh: Thanksgiving with our family. So
- 0:54Josh: we figured it would be a perfect time to resurface this gem of an episode.
- 0:58Josh: And when asking Isaiah to come on, we were hoping to create the canonical energy
- 1:02Josh: episode as to why it matters so much for everything we do.
- 1:05Josh: And after listening back, it's still holding strong. And I hope that it will
- 1:10Josh: also leave you feeling inspired the same way that it did for me.
- 1:13Josh: Isaiah is a total badass. If you're listening to this, I highly advise switching
- 1:17Josh: over to YouTube or Spotify because he is recording literally right in front of his nuclear reactor.
- 1:21Josh: It is so cool. It's an amazing episode. And if you enjoy it,
- 1:24Josh: or you have a friend that you think would be interested please share it
- 1:27Josh: with them it's the best way that we can grow and we're so appreciative of
- 1:30Josh: everyone who was listening to the first version of this and who
- 1:33Josh: is listening to the new version of it right now because it has been an incredible
- 1:36Josh: journey if you can support us in any way by sharing the episode liking subscribing
- 1:40Josh: on whatever platform you're listening on leave a nice review if you enjoyed
- 1:43Josh: but without further ado let's get into this amazing amazing category defining
- 1:47Josh: episode with Isaiah Taylor I really hope you enjoy this as much as I did.
- 1:52Josh: Why is energy the most important resource in the world?
- 1:55Isaiah: I would actually argue that over time, energy is the only resource in the world.
- 1:59Isaiah: If you think about what we're all doing as humans, we are creating entropy as
- 2:05Isaiah: we go throughout the universe.
- 2:07Isaiah: And almost anything else that you could come up with, I would argue anything
- 2:10Isaiah: else you can come up with, essentially consumes energy.
- 2:13Isaiah: Right. So when we talk about resources, natural resources, we're trying to find things in the ground.
- 2:19Isaiah: But there's a lot of stuff in the ground. And not only is there a lot of stuff
- 2:22Isaiah: in the ground, there's stuff on other planets and in asteroids.
- 2:25Isaiah: And the universe is fundamentally limitless as far as we know.
- 2:31Isaiah: The actual limiting factor in all of these things is how much energy do you
- 2:35Isaiah: have to transform the world around you into what you want?
- 2:38Isaiah: And, you know, that's the only irreversible thing, right? If you use copper
- 2:42Isaiah: in an electric car, you can always use that copper again, right?
- 2:45Isaiah: But the energy in that electric car will never be used again,
- 2:48Isaiah: right? You've created entropy and that's it's fundamental.
- 2:51Isaiah: So I actually view energy is like the only cost in the universe and it's why I focus on it.
- 2:56Josh: I love that. So we are focused on getting a lot of energy. We are energy constrained.
- 3:00Josh: I'm curious what you think. What does having an abundance of this energy look
- 3:04Josh: like if we do achieve this goal of getting energy costs to near zero?
- 3:08Josh: What becomes newly possible? What does the world look like when we actually
- 3:10Josh: solve the energy problem?
- 3:12Isaiah: So let me put it in terms of what the world looks like now. And that that might
- 3:16Isaiah: help us extrapolate a little bit.
- 3:18Isaiah: Right. So the this the sort of like history of what the world looks like in
- 3:22Isaiah: society is essentially three pillars getting better over time.
- 3:27Isaiah: Okay, so the three pillars of any product, any physical good,
- 3:32Isaiah: are essentially energy, intelligence, and dexterity, right?
- 3:36Isaiah: So these three ingredients that you need to make any physical good.
- 3:40Isaiah: Let's take, you know, an iPhone, right? So this iPhone is made of energy,
- 3:44Isaiah: intelligence, and dexterity, right?
- 3:45Isaiah: So it's the intelligence of the people at Apple who knew how to put it together.
- 3:49Isaiah: It's the dexterity of the machines and the, you know, massive CNC fleets and
- 3:54Isaiah: Foxconn and, you know, the physical manipulation of matter that went into putting it together.
- 4:00Isaiah: And then finally, it's the energy to run those machines to run the servers that
- 4:04Isaiah: are running CAD, you know, even the energy to fuel the designers brains as they
- 4:09Isaiah: eat food, you know, and they go throughout their days.
- 4:11Isaiah: So every single thing is made of energy intelligence, intelligence and dexterity. And, um.
- 4:17Isaiah: What's interesting right now is that we're getting a clear
- 4:21Isaiah: abundance in the intelligence and dexterity part
- 4:24Isaiah: right so ai you know hitting an inflection really
- 4:28Isaiah: means that intelligence is becoming somewhat default free uh dexterity will
- 4:32Isaiah: also become default free as we get more and more robotics and so what does the
- 4:36Isaiah: world look like when we have abundant energy it's essentially fueling those
- 4:39Isaiah: things in an inflected manner which means everything is free uh what does it
- 4:44Isaiah: mean when everything's free.
- 4:45Isaiah: Well, it means that like the material world is more subject to your imagination,
- 4:50Isaiah: right? It's more limited by what can you imagine.
- 4:53Isaiah: Now we're talking like, you know, somewhat far in the future here,
- 4:55Isaiah: but it might be closer than people think it might, you know,
- 4:58Isaiah: think it is today because we're so used to a world that's constrained.
- 5:03Isaiah: You know, heavily constrained on intelligence primarily.
- 5:06Isaiah: You know, the entire physical world around us has been traditionally constrained
- 5:10Isaiah: on the intelligence of smart people trying to figure out how to translate what's
- 5:15Isaiah: in our imaginations into the physical world.
- 5:17Isaiah: You know, we might imagine an airplane, but then the translation of that airplane
- 5:21Isaiah: into something that can actually fly takes an enormous amount of brainpower
- 5:24Isaiah: of thousands of smart people, and then a lot of dexterity to manipulate the world.
- 5:29Isaiah: And as intelligence becomes free, it actually just becomes a function of energy.
- 5:33Isaiah: So your ability to get an airplane out of your head becomes how much energy do you have, right?
- 5:40Isaiah: This is a world in which, you know, there are lots and lots of robots,
- 5:43Isaiah: which are robots, which build other robots, which build other robots,
- 5:46Isaiah: robots, which mine materials, which build robots, which mine materials.
- 5:50Isaiah: And at the end of the day, energy is the input. So what does the world look
- 5:53Isaiah: like when we have abundant energy?
- 5:55Isaiah: I mean, I think it looks like a world of imagination, right?
- 5:58Isaiah: A world of thinking of amazing things in your mind and watching them happen.
- 6:03Isaiah: Now you can imagine that,
- 6:05Isaiah: planet Earth, that might become a little bit crowded, right?
- 6:08Isaiah: We will probably have a lot more things running around and planes flying around
- 6:12Isaiah: if we're, you know, subject to imagination. And this is where I think space
- 6:15Isaiah: exploration becomes very, very interesting.
- 6:18Isaiah: And, you know, we suddenly reach out and find more places for us to have imagination.
- 6:24Isaiah: But we use the space around us, like the physical space around us as somewhat
- 6:29Isaiah: of a canvas on which our minds are imagining and discovering and,
- 6:33Isaiah: and, you know, putting things on that canvas. I'm very excited about that.
- 6:36Isaiah: I think it's gonna be a lot of fun.
- 6:37Josh: I think we definitely share that enthusiasm with you. And I love this term that
- 6:41Josh: I've heard a lot being thrown around, which is just too cheap to meter,
- 6:43Josh: is what happens when that energy becomes too cheap to meter.
- 6:46Josh: I think that's the basis of a lot of this show, is what are the downstream effects?
- 6:49Josh: What are the second order effects of all of these unlocks happening as a result
- 6:53Josh: of energy that's too cheap to meter?
- 6:54Josh: So I want to take a step back for a second and just kind of introduce who you are.
- 6:59Josh: Isaiah, for the listeners, has a very interesting story. Most people drop out
- 7:02Josh: of college and they're like, oh yeah, I showed them. I'm a college dropout.
- 7:06Josh: Isaiah, if I'm correct, I believe if you actually left high school and then
- 7:09Josh: you taught yourself to code and now you're sitting here.
- 7:12Josh: And for the listeners at home who aren't listening, Isaiah is sitting in front
- 7:14Josh: of a nuclear reactor, in front of their product, in front of hopefully what is the future of energy.
- 7:20Josh: So there's this quote that I love from Steve Jobs. It's like,
- 7:22Josh: you can't connect the dots looking forward, but you can connect them looking
- 7:24Josh: backwards and you have to trust that they'll work out.
- 7:26Josh: In your case, it is very clear to me that they worked out.
- 7:28Josh: So can you just kind of explain to me how you wound up sitting here in front
- 7:32Josh: of this reactor that you built?
- 7:33Isaiah: Yeah, it's an interesting story. So yeah, you're absolutely right.
- 7:36Isaiah: I dropped out of high school. I actually did attend three months of college.
- 7:40Isaiah: I think it was around three months. I attended a small liberal arts school for
- 7:45Isaiah: a couple of months while I was
- 7:46Isaiah: working 80-hour weeks doing software engineering. Didn't last very long.
- 7:51Isaiah: I was curious to read a lot of literature, and I've always been interested in language.
- 7:57Isaiah: And I realized a few months into it, I cared a lot more about the work that
- 8:01Isaiah: I was doing than spending my time in a classroom.
- 8:05Isaiah: A lot of my time in the classroom was spent, like sitting on my laptop coding.
- 8:08Isaiah: I was like, okay, I can really only do one of these things well.
- 8:10Isaiah: So, you know, education has always been something that's like a fascinating
- 8:13Isaiah: thing to me and that I want to do more of, but I also am on a mission and I
- 8:18Isaiah: have to fulfill the mission.
- 8:19Isaiah: And so that consumes, you know, a lot of my time and energy.
- 8:23Isaiah: But how did we get here? How did we get to Ward Zero behind me,
- 8:28Isaiah: you know, sitting in front of this amazing machine that the team has built?
- 8:31Isaiah: It's essentially been a journey of self-learning, right? So how does anybody
- 8:37Isaiah: learn? Well, they read, right? They read and they talk to people.
- 8:39Isaiah: If you go to school and you learn nuclear physics, you read,
- 8:43Isaiah: you talk to people, you do math, right? That's essentially what you're doing.
- 8:46Isaiah: And it turns out that, like, if you are wildly curious about something,
- 8:51Isaiah: that you can do that on your own as well. Now, you have to be curious about it.
- 8:54Isaiah: I caution people because, you know, sometimes people want to they see,
- 8:58Isaiah: oh, wow, you dropped out of high school, you dropped out of college. It's super cool.
- 9:01Isaiah: And I actually recommend that people don't do that unless they are overwhelmingly
- 9:05Isaiah: curious about something to the extent that it's going to drive them to try to
- 9:10Isaiah: understand it every single day.
- 9:11Isaiah: If you don't wake up like burning with curiosity about a certain thing that
- 9:16Isaiah: you're going to spend your life learning about and building,
- 9:18Isaiah: you should probably go to school because the nice thing about school is that
- 9:22Isaiah: it pushes you to learn things that you otherwise might not have spent the time to do. Right.
- 9:27Isaiah: But for those people that have, you know, an itch in their head that cannot be scratched anyway,
- 9:32Isaiah: except waking up every single day and working on it, you will probably find
- 9:36Isaiah: easier and more efficient ways to access that information and start actually
- 9:41Isaiah: building than going to school. And so that's what I did.
- 9:45Isaiah: Really thinking about this business for about 10, 11 years since I was around 14 or 15.
- 9:52Isaiah: You know, I have some family history in nuclear energy that motivated me to
- 9:56Isaiah: go and learn about it. And so that's kind of what I did.
- 9:58Josh: And I want people to also note that you did this in the pre-AI age where you
- 10:01Josh: actually had to go and read books and teach yourself things without all of the
- 10:04Josh: additional leverage that we have today.
- 10:06Isaiah: You know, that's actually such a great point. Man, if I had had access to ChatGPT
- 10:11Isaiah: when I was like 14 or 15, that would have been phenomenal.
- 10:14Isaiah: I'm so excited for the generation of, you know, students that are growing up
- 10:18Isaiah: right now who can, like, sit on Chappachea Petit for hours and hours.
- 10:22Isaiah: And it's like having a professor talking to you, which is amazing.
- 10:24Isaiah: But, yeah, you know, I did this back when it was mostly actually trying to read
- 10:30Isaiah: PDFs from the Department of Energy and the AEC in the 1960s.
- 10:34Isaiah: So I at least grew up in the digital
- 10:36Isaiah: era where you could find these PDFs online, which I'm grateful for.
- 10:39David: It's pretty clear, Isaiah, that nuclear is your answer, the answer that makes sense to you.
- 10:47David: Maybe you can walk us through that train of thought as to why you are just pilled
- 10:52David: by nuclear specifically, because there's other ways to produce energy.
- 10:55David: Solar, I still feel like, has a lot of juice left to squeeze in that whole industry.
- 10:59David: You could have gone and solved the solar problem, but you chose nuclear.
- 11:02David: Maybe you can just walk us through that choice.
- 11:03Isaiah: I obviously had a bias toward nuclear.
- 11:07Isaiah: My great-grandfather was on the Manhattan Project I've grown up thinking about
- 11:10Isaiah: it, but I would like to believe I was very objective.
- 11:14Isaiah: And one of the reasons is that I became anti-nuclear pilled when I was in middle
- 11:20Isaiah: school and early high school, because having studied the physics of it and having
- 11:25Isaiah: studied the engineering of it, I thought it was the most amazing thing in the world.
- 11:27Isaiah: And then I started looking around at the market and the deployment,
- 11:30Isaiah: and I realized that the nuclear industry in the West is dead, right?
- 11:35Isaiah: It's completely shuttered. It's gone. It's not doing anything. and um,
- 11:39Isaiah: in the journey of trying to understand why i i actually
- 11:42Isaiah: became anti-nuclear pill and i was like well you know
- 11:45Isaiah: this is an amazing technology but humanity is not ready for it and it's not
- 11:49Isaiah: happening and you know there's these complexities to it which make it impossible
- 11:52Isaiah: um and and so then i backed up and i said well i know that over the next hundred
- 11:58Isaiah: years a society is going to figure out abundant energy you know and i don't
- 12:02Isaiah: we don't know which one right but one of them is going to
- 12:04Isaiah: And the one that figures out abundant energy is going to have an inflectionary
- 12:10Isaiah: moment that takes them, you know, stratospheric.
- 12:13Isaiah: And I would like that to be us. You know, I would like us to be the ones that figure that out.
- 12:17Isaiah: And so I actually, you know, backed all the way up to the drawing board.
- 12:21Isaiah: I said, what is the best form of energy we could unlock today?
- 12:24Isaiah: And I believe I actually started with a very blank neutral slate,
- 12:27Isaiah: even a little bit, you know, biased against fission.
- 12:30Isaiah: And maybe for personal reasons that I was maybe even salty about it,
- 12:34Isaiah: I was like, man, it sucks that the nuclear, you know, it's such a cool technology
- 12:39Isaiah: that I have history in, but like it just didn't work. So what is the best form of energy?
- 12:42Isaiah: And that drove me to every form of energy generation.
- 12:46Isaiah: I really started from first principles and looked at how have humans gotten energy in the past?
- 12:52Isaiah: What are some theoretical ways to get them in the future?
- 12:55Isaiah: I looked at solar. I looked at wind, which is a proxy for solar.
- 12:58Isaiah: I looked at hydrocarbons, geothermal was really interesting.
- 13:02Isaiah: I looked at fission, fusion, all across the board.
- 13:05Isaiah: And at the end of the day, I came to a couple of fundamental conclusions.
- 13:09Isaiah: If you want to make cheap energy, you're going to have a machine that does it, right?
- 13:14Isaiah: So there's going to be a machine that's a box and you build the box and energy
- 13:18Isaiah: comes out of it, right? So like that's the fundamental thing that we're talking about here.
- 13:21Isaiah: What are the properties of that box? What do you want that box to be like?
- 13:25Isaiah: Well, ideally, you want the box to be small per power, right?
- 13:29Isaiah: So the box is just not that big versus the power that it makes.
- 13:33Isaiah: Okay, so then and the reason that's important, by the way, is like at scale,
- 13:37Isaiah: things generally cost how big they are.
- 13:41Isaiah: All right, that's a little bit of a confusing sentence. So I'll say it again.
- 13:44Isaiah: At scale, things generally cost their size.
- 13:47Isaiah: Okay, so a big thing costs more than a small thing.
- 13:50Isaiah: Okay, 747 costs more than an iPhone. And that's a pretty fundamental law.
- 13:54Isaiah: It's hard to break that law.
- 13:56Isaiah: You see deviations in things of similar sizes, for another reason.
- 14:00Isaiah: And that other reason is rate of production.
- 14:03Isaiah: Right? So there's sort of like two fundamental factors in how much things cost,
- 14:07Isaiah: how big they are, how many of them you make.
- 14:09Isaiah: Okay. So back, but the most fundamental one is how big is it?
- 14:13Isaiah: So an ideal energy machine is quite small and makes a lot of power.
- 14:19Isaiah: So then you back up and you say, well, okay, well, what drives the size of an
- 14:23Isaiah: energy machine across all of these different, uh, you know, types of energy
- 14:27Isaiah: generation, you have geothermal, you have solar, you have wind pulling hydrocarbons out of the ground,
- 14:32Isaiah: nuclear fusion, all these different things.
- 14:35Isaiah: And what I did is, you know, you might laugh at this a little bit But I looked
- 14:39Isaiah: at all of the different energy generating machines out there and I said, how big are they?
- 14:44Isaiah: And again, it's not total size, but it's how big are they versus the power that they make.
- 14:48Isaiah: All right. So what we're talking about here is power density.
- 14:51Isaiah: So power density is essentially per cubic meter of machine. How much energy does that thing make?
- 14:57Isaiah: And the answer might surprise you. I'll just I'll turn it to you.
- 15:00Isaiah: What do you think is the most power dense energy producing machine?
- 15:04David: Machine like a physical contraption, a physical gadget that humans make.
- 15:08Isaiah: Yep. Physical gadget that humans make or even that they theoretically could
- 15:11Isaiah: make. Right. But that makes energy.
- 15:14David: I mean, I feel like I'm just not having high context enough to answer this,
- 15:17David: but like, I don't know, a dam comes to mind.
- 15:20David: It's relatively small in the grand scheme of things versus like a field array of solar panels.
- 15:26David: That's my first intuitive answer. I don't know. Josh, what do you think?
- 15:29Josh: You mentioned the atomic bomb. I'm thinking, well, that seems like it generates
- 15:31Josh: a lot of energy. Maybe not a machine, but probably a pretty high density of energy.
- 15:36David: We can't really use that energy, though.
- 15:38Josh: Does that count?
- 15:39Isaiah: We're doing some really, really good exploration here. I really like it.
- 15:42Isaiah: So hydro is not power dense, unfortunately.
- 15:45Isaiah: Hydroelectric dams are freaking enormous. They're gigantic.
- 15:50David: They're large, yeah.
- 15:51Isaiah: The Three Gorges Dam in China is the largest concrete structure ever built by
- 15:55Isaiah: humans on Earth. Now, it also makes a lot of energy.
- 15:58Isaiah: But if you actually do the cubic meters to power output, dams are actually pretty bad.
- 16:03Isaiah: The answer today is actually a jet engine, actually a rocket engine.
- 16:07Isaiah: So a hydrocarbon engine is actually the most power dense thing that we've built yet.
- 16:12Isaiah: Right. So if you actually look at, you know, a Raptor engine,
- 16:16Isaiah: that thing is like it's I haven't done the exact math.
- 16:19Isaiah: It might be in the gigawatts per cubic meter.
- 16:24Isaiah: Right. So just insane, insane energy density.
- 16:27Isaiah: Now, the problem is hydrocarbons themselves are kind of large.
- 16:33Isaiah: Right. So like the actual mass of the fuel you have to include in that calculation.
- 16:37Isaiah: And then you have to also include in the calculation the machinery that produces
- 16:41Isaiah: the fuel, the machinery that finds the fuel, that drills for it,
- 16:45Isaiah: that refines for it, that transports it, that stores it, puts it in the tank.
- 16:49Isaiah: So once you do all that math, you know, even though a rocket engine or jet engine
- 16:53Isaiah: is the most energy dense thing we built, you know, built yet,
- 16:57Isaiah: the apparatus to source the hydrocarbons is actually, you know, large. So high baggage.
- 17:03Isaiah: High baggage and just more physical machinery, right? It adds to the total,
- 17:06Isaiah: you know, cubic meters per output power.
- 17:10Isaiah: And again, that adds to cost, right? Cubic meterage of machinery adds to cost.
- 17:15Isaiah: And so now the atomic bomb is actually the right answer, right?
- 17:19Isaiah: So if you actually think about what produces a ton of energy in a very small
- 17:24Isaiah: box, you know, an atom bomb or a hydrogen bomb is that answer, right?
- 17:30Isaiah: That you have put an enormous amount of energy into a very, very tiny frame.
- 17:36Isaiah: Now, obviously, the second thing you said was, well, you can't use that energy.
- 17:40David: Right? It's not productive energy.
- 17:41Isaiah: Yeah, it's too much to be productive. But what this tells you is that fission,
- 17:48Isaiah: you know, and fusion, but we'll talk about that in a second.
- 17:51Isaiah: Fission is actually as close as we've figured
- 17:54Isaiah: out how to get so far to this like almost
- 17:57Isaiah: infinite power source in a box of a of
- 18:00Isaiah: an abstract size right and it turns out for for
- 18:03Isaiah: fission that the size of the box is not super
- 18:06Isaiah: correlated with the power output right so like
- 18:09Isaiah: the reason that we make you know you know fusion machines
- 18:12Isaiah: or fission machine machines of a certain size honestly has
- 18:15Isaiah: more to do with safety than it has to do with like total power that
- 18:18Isaiah: you can get out of the box right you know the reason that we
- 18:21Isaiah: make things bigger or smaller in the fission world has to
- 18:24Isaiah: do with how safe we want to make them right because you you take
- 18:27Isaiah: this to the fundamental limit and uh you know you have
- 18:30Isaiah: a bomb right which is an enormous amount of energy in a very small box but it's
- 18:34Isaiah: unsafe and then you go the exact opposite direction which would be something
- 18:38Isaiah: like the machine behind me which is very very safe and it's much lower power
- 18:42Isaiah: density so this is actually the key to why I believe that fission is the answer for the future.
- 18:48Isaiah: And it's that the constraints around how big that box is really has to do with
- 18:53Isaiah: our ability to engineer it to be safe, right?
- 18:57Isaiah: It's actually not constrained by physics you can make a a nearly infinite energy producing,
- 19:03Isaiah: uh box of almost any any size with uh
- 19:06Isaiah: with nuclear fission beyond a certain minimum there's a there's sort
- 19:08Isaiah: of a minimum size but around that minimum size like you
- 19:11Isaiah: can make a box and makes the power of the you know the entire world um and then
- 19:15Isaiah: everything from that point to practicality is a matter of essentially safety
- 19:20Isaiah: engineering um okay so what this means and by the way like the fundamental reasons
- 19:25Isaiah: for this is that uranium itself is just unbelievably energy dense, right?
- 19:31Isaiah: So the kilowatt hours per kilogram
- 19:33Isaiah: on uranium is about 23 million kilowatt hours per kilogram versus,
- 19:40Isaiah: I'm going to get this number wrong, but I think it's somewhere around 40 or
- 19:44Isaiah: 50 kilowatt hours per kilogram in oil and gas, right, in a hydrocarbon fuel.
- 19:50Isaiah: And so you have literally millions of times more energy density in uh in fission
- 19:57Isaiah: now take this to like something like solar right what's the what's the power
- 20:02Isaiah: density of solar another way you can think about this is uh here's here's a
- 20:05Isaiah: trick question what's bigger a nuclear reactor or a solar panel i.
- 20:08Josh: Would guess solar by a couple orders of magnitude yeah
- 20:11Isaiah: Yeah so it's a trick question because you're like well a solar panel is this
- 20:14Isaiah: big you know and the nuclear reactor is that big so clearly the nuclear reactor
- 20:18Isaiah: is bigger, but it's actually not true.
- 20:20Isaiah: The solar panel is much bigger, right, per power output.
- 20:23Isaiah: And the answer is a couple orders of magnitude, maybe three orders of magnitude.
- 20:27Isaiah: It's hard to predict in the limit.
- 20:29Isaiah: But today, at least, you know, solar is about three orders of magnitude bigger
- 20:33Isaiah: in terms of physical mass than nuclear.
- 20:36Isaiah: So if our North Star is that a, you know, an energy machine ought to be small,
- 20:41Isaiah: because small things are cheap.
- 20:44Isaiah: Um, nuclear is, is the solution, right? So this was, this was sort of my conclusion
- 20:49Isaiah: on, on all of this, uh, like first principles thinking and research is,
- 20:52Isaiah: is essentially that fission will create the cheapest energy on earth.
- 20:56Isaiah: If we can figure out how to do it safely and we can figure out how to do it
- 21:00Isaiah: legally and in a way that the public, you know, will be happy with,
- 21:03Isaiah: because even if you have a safe machine and the public thinks it's not a safe machine,
- 21:07Isaiah: you know, you still haven't really solved the, like the fundamental problem,
- 21:09Isaiah: at least in a, in a short timeframe.
- 21:11Isaiah: Um, so the second conclusion that I had, and this is really what led to,
- 21:15Isaiah: to starting Valor is that if you really want to make the cheapest energy on
- 21:19Isaiah: earth, you're going to do nuclear fission, but you're going to do it pretty
- 21:23Isaiah: differently than how it's been done before.
- 21:25Isaiah: Um, and specifically you want to do it kind of in the middle of nowhere where
- 21:30Isaiah: you have sort of a safe operating place for fission, you know, out in the desert,
- 21:35Isaiah: out in the middle of nowhere with as many safety constraints as you want to
- 21:39Isaiah: put around that as much security as you want to put around that.
- 21:41Isaiah: And you can simply build many, many nuclear reactors. Because again,
- 21:46Isaiah: there's two governing principles in how much a thing costs.
- 21:49Isaiah: How big is it and how many you make so we
- 21:52Isaiah: know that fission wins the the smallness thing right very
- 21:54Isaiah: small machine makes a ton of power the second is how many
- 21:57Isaiah: you make and so these are the two fundamental you know decisions
- 22:00Isaiah: that went into starting this company is that we're going to make fission reactors
- 22:03Isaiah: because they're small and we're going to make a lot of them because making many
- 22:07Isaiah: of a thing makes it very cheap and so that's essentially what we're doing here
- 22:10Isaiah: we're making many many nuclear reactors out in the middle of nowhere uh they're
- 22:15Isaiah: fission reactors so they're very
- 22:16Isaiah: power dense, and we're going to make the cheapest energy in the world.
- 22:20David: Inside of your answer, I feel like there's just a lot of work being done with
- 22:23David: the idea that there's just not a lot of extra baggage going around the production of energy.
- 22:29David: So we could go and we could talk about building a dam or setting up arrays of
- 22:34David: solar panels or wind farms.
- 22:36David: And I think you would just dismantle each one of those things,
- 22:40David: talking about the supply chains that are required to produce those things,
- 22:43David: the third-party vendors that are required, the assembly that's required.
- 22:46David: And I'm getting the intuition here that building a nuclear reactor,
- 22:50David: what you're doing, there's just a lot fewer moving parts.
- 22:53David: And it's just a more just like simple environment to produce energy.
- 23:00David: And so you have less dependencies on third-party manufacturers.
- 23:04David: You have just overall less dependencies, generally speaking.
- 23:07David: And that allows you to, in theory, kind of scale out that operation and scale
- 23:11David: out energy production, generally speaking.
- 23:14Isaiah: Yeah, that's absolutely true for a lot of industries.
- 23:17Isaiah: Like it's absolutely true for oil and gas, right? So it's almost impossible
- 23:20Isaiah: today to completely verticalize an oil and gas company, right?
- 23:25Isaiah: Because the source of your oil continues to shift.
- 23:28Isaiah: And so unless you're in like the continuous real estate business where you are
- 23:33Isaiah: constantly buying new patches of land, exploring them, drilling, pumping oil,
- 23:39Isaiah: you know, moving it to refinery, which you own, refining it,
- 23:43Isaiah: moving it through logistics that you own to the end user site.
- 23:46Isaiah: That's an enormously complicated supply chain to own yourself.
- 23:50Isaiah: Now, what is verticalizing nuclear look like?
- 23:52Isaiah: Well, it looks like having a patch of land where steel comes in and graphite
- 23:56Isaiah: comes in and energy comes out and a bit of uranium, right?
- 23:59Isaiah: But the uranium part of that is actually shockingly small in terms of mass.
- 24:02David: A little uranium goes a long way.
- 24:04Isaiah: A little bit of uranium goes a hell of a long way. So now solar,
- 24:07Isaiah: you can make an argument about this as well.
- 24:09Isaiah: You could say that you have this solar plant, which is similarly structured,
- 24:13Isaiah: which has silicon coming in and aluminum coming in, and you have power coming out.
- 24:18Isaiah: Now, the problem with that is just the mass constraint, right?
- 24:20Isaiah: You're going to need a couple orders of magnitude, more silicon,
- 24:24Isaiah: more aluminum, then I need steel and graphite and uranium, right?
- 24:28Isaiah: So at the limit, I say I win that fight just in the fact that I need literally
- 24:32Isaiah: a thousand times less physical material per output power.
- 24:36Isaiah: And in the limit, things cost how big they are. So, you know,
- 24:39Isaiah: this is sort of the math for solar.
- 24:42Isaiah: Now, fusion is an interesting part of this as well.
- 24:44Isaiah: People will say, well, okay, fusion is even more power dense, right?
- 24:49Isaiah: Because, you know, deuterium versus uranium or tritium are even more power density per kilogram.
- 24:58Isaiah: The problem with that is that, again, it's more about the properties of the
- 25:01Isaiah: box than it is the properties of the fuel, right?
- 25:05Isaiah: What is like, let's characterize a fusion box. How good is that thing on the
- 25:09Isaiah: metrics that we talked about, right?
- 25:11Isaiah: An energy box should be small. That's the first most important thing.
- 25:14Isaiah: I would say there's two other sub attributes as well as that.
- 25:17Isaiah: They should be simple and made of common materials, right? Small,
- 25:20Isaiah: simple, common materials.
- 25:22Isaiah: Interestingly, fusion is worse on all three of those than fission, right?
- 25:26Isaiah: So a fusion machine is actually larger per power, because it's harder to capture the energy out of it.
- 25:32Isaiah: It's harder to create the conditions for fusion. It's hard to capture the output energy.
- 25:37Isaiah: So the machine itself is actually larger per power than a fission machine.
- 25:40Isaiah: It's lower power density.
- 25:42Isaiah: It's also much more complex, right? And complexity is a factor to cost.
- 25:47Isaiah: And the materials are much less common, right? So you can't make a fusion machine
- 25:51Isaiah: out of steel and carbon, right?
- 25:53Isaiah: Which is essentially what this machine behind us is made out of.
- 25:56Isaiah: And so, you know, like I said, I would like to believe I was objective in this.
- 26:01Isaiah: I did not know what the answer was going to be. I thought it might have been solar.
- 26:03Isaiah: I thought it was, you know, I actually thought geothermal for a while might have been the answer.
- 26:07Isaiah: But when you actually go to how does humanity have civilizational,
- 26:11Isaiah: you know, energy that is 10 times cheaper than it is today?
- 26:16Isaiah: The only answer that I see to that is nuclear fission.
- 26:18David: Why do you think that this is ready for society right now?
- 26:23David: Nuclear as a conversation goes back before I was born, before all of us were
- 26:26David: born. It's been around for a while.
- 26:29David: Why now? What's changed with technology? What's changed with politics or just the world around?
- 26:35David: How has the environment changed to make the question of right now be relevant?
- 26:40Isaiah: So I think that we made a trade-off in the 70s and 80s that made us think that
- 26:46Isaiah: energy wasn't that important for a while.
- 26:48Isaiah: And that's one of the fundamental reasons. There's a couple of fundamental reasons.
- 26:51Isaiah: So in the 70s and 80s in the West, we essentially became a society that imagined
- 26:57Isaiah: it could be somewhat decoupled from the price of energy.
- 27:00Isaiah: And the essential way that we did that is we exported physical industry to other
- 27:05Isaiah: places, right? So energy really, really matters for physical industry before AI.
- 27:11Isaiah: Now energy matters even for bits.
- 27:14Isaiah: But before AI, energy was really, really important to physical industry.
- 27:19Isaiah: And we went through this motion of essentially moving all physical industry to other places.
- 27:24Isaiah: And so it didn't matter to us. It didn't impact us as directly to have more expensive energy.
- 27:29Isaiah: And so I would say there's a period of irrationality in how we thought about
- 27:34Isaiah: energy because we thought it didn't matter. Now, it turns out that you actually
- 27:37Isaiah: really need physical industry as a country, right? A nation needs to be able to build things.
- 27:41Isaiah: And in fact, I would say the fundamental thing that an economy does is building things.
- 27:46Isaiah: But there's a the flaw in our thinking came from.
- 27:50Isaiah: The fact that there are actually like two things involved in making things.
- 27:53Isaiah: There's the knowing how to make them, and then there's the making them.
- 27:57Isaiah: And we imagined for a period of 30 years or so that we could be the country
- 28:00Isaiah: that knows how to make things, and that other countries could be the ones that do the making.
- 28:05Isaiah: And in the short term, that looks really attractive, because you get a ton of
- 28:08Isaiah: alpha on the knowing how to make things.
- 28:10Isaiah: You have rapid growth of valuable intellectual property. It's really easy to
- 28:15Isaiah: capitalize. It's really easy to get started.
- 28:17Isaiah: And you know we're like let's just export the annoying part which is like the
- 28:20Isaiah: real making you know to other places and that's uh highly flawed in the long
- 28:26Isaiah: term it maybe is a good idea for about 10 or 15 years in the long term it turns
- 28:30Isaiah: out that your ability to know how to make things,
- 28:34Isaiah: has to be coupled with the making of them right because what happens is you
- 28:38Isaiah: forget you forget how to make things and if you're not actively making things
- 28:42Isaiah: you're not learning how to make them better
- 28:45Isaiah: So the practical output of this is like, we forgot how to make cars, right?
- 28:49Isaiah: Like we started exporting car production to other places and Japan got really
- 28:55Isaiah: good at it. China got really good at it.
- 28:57Isaiah: And really only one company in the United States sort of like was like,
- 29:01Isaiah: huh, maybe we should remember how to make cars and make those again.
- 29:04Isaiah: And, you know, that'd be Tesla.
- 29:06Isaiah: And this happened across, you know, so many different industries,
- 29:08Isaiah: right? The reason that Silicon Valley is called Silicon Valley is that we used to make silicon there.
- 29:11Isaiah: We used to make chips and then we exported them, you know, somewhere else for
- 29:15Isaiah: the actual production because we didn't want the effluent and the waste from that.
- 29:18Isaiah: And now guess what? We don't know how to make chips anymore,
- 29:20Isaiah: right? So this is very short term thinking. You actually have to be involved
- 29:24Isaiah: in the making in order to be educated on how to do the making.
- 29:28David: I'm reading a book about this same effect with Apple's iPhones,
- 29:31David: where they exported all the manufacturing to China.
- 29:34David: And that ended up actually just being an incubator for Chinese phone production.
- 29:41David: And so Huawei and all of these other Apple competitors all came out of China.
- 29:45David: And now actually only China knows how to make phones, including Apple iPhones.
- 29:49David: Correct. And so Apple is now realizing that they incubated the whole entire
- 29:53David: Chinese manufacturing thing, which is now the centerpiece of a lot of geopolitical debate right now.
- 29:59Isaiah: Exactly. Exactly. It's a short-term trade. It's something that finance people
- 30:03Isaiah: do because they want to make a little bit of a better return in a 10 to 15-year period.
- 30:07Isaiah: And then after that, you realize that you exported the ability to actually know
- 30:12Isaiah: how to make things because the physical world is a real place, right?
- 30:16Isaiah: You can't actually model everything perfectly. You have to actually see how
- 30:20Isaiah: the steel behaves in practice. You have to see how the machine behaves in practice.
- 30:24Isaiah: And so, yeah, I think it's it's I actually don't even remember this question
- 30:28Isaiah: started. Now you've gotten me on a separate soapbox that I care a lot about.
- 30:30Isaiah: But but you can't couple do a couple of those things for too long.
- 30:34Isaiah: Oh, we were asking why fission now?
- 30:36Isaiah: You're right. This is one of those reasons. Right. So we've had a.
- 30:39Isaiah: A return of rationality about making things in the physical world is one thing, right?
- 30:44Isaiah: So we suddenly realized like, it's actually probably important that we know
- 30:47Isaiah: how to make steel, right? It's actually important that we know how to manufacture things.
- 30:51Isaiah: And when you do that, you realize that energy price is really,
- 30:54Isaiah: really important, right?
- 30:55Isaiah: The reason that China dominates global aluminum is because they have three to
- 31:00Isaiah: four cents a kilowatt hour coal energy, right?
- 31:03Isaiah: They can make electricity at three to four cents a kilowatt hour and electrolyze bauxite.
- 31:07Isaiah: And that means they dominate aluminum. That also means they dominate gallium
- 31:10Isaiah: and germanium as well, which are really, really important to producing chips
- 31:13Isaiah: because that's the downstream of bauxite electrolysis, right?
- 31:17Isaiah: And so this return to rationality drives us back to understanding that energy
- 31:21Isaiah: price in a society is really, really important.
- 31:23Isaiah: It's a strategic thing that a country has to have.
- 31:26Isaiah: The second thing that's happening is AI, right? So all the bits people suddenly
- 31:31Isaiah: woke up and realized like, okay, we actually need energy to even do our bits now.
- 31:36Isaiah: You know, because it used to be that a data center, the electricity price in
- 31:39Isaiah: a data center just didn't matter that much because you weren't using that much
- 31:41Isaiah: compute to send emails around.
- 31:43Isaiah: Now we're using an enormous amount of compute every day just to do our basic
- 31:47Isaiah: stuff because we want to use ChatGPT for everything.
- 31:49Isaiah: So that's the other thing. And so both of these things are just,
- 31:52Isaiah: you know, this return of rationality to the West to say.
- 31:56Isaiah: We need cheap energy and you look around and you do the same logic that i did
- 31:59Isaiah: and you realize nuclear is cheap
- 32:02Isaiah: energy and by the way you don't have to believe anything that i've said.
- 32:06Isaiah: You know in theory about why nuclear will be cheap you can actually just look
- 32:09Isaiah: at the past right so in the early 1970s before three mile island in the united
- 32:14Isaiah: states uh nuclear fission,
- 32:17Isaiah: not only was the cheapest energy source it remains the cheapest energy that
- 32:21Isaiah: humanity has ever experienced.
- 32:23Isaiah: Right. So I'm going to say that again. In the early 1970s, the energy that we
- 32:26Isaiah: were getting out of nuclear reactors at that time remains the cheapest energy
- 32:30Isaiah: that humanity has ever experienced.
- 32:32Isaiah: And this is this is adjusting for inflation. Right. I'm not talking about nominal
- 32:35Isaiah: 1970 dollars. I'm talking about 2025 dollars.
- 32:39Isaiah: We were getting around three to three and a half cent per kilowatt hour energy
- 32:45Isaiah: out of nuclear reactors.
- 32:46Isaiah: Right now, we've the cheapest energy you can get in the United States today
- 32:51Isaiah: is somewhere around five to six cents per kilowatt hour.
- 32:54Isaiah: It's a little bit difficult to calculate because of subsidies,
- 32:56Isaiah: but that's about as good as you can get.
- 32:58Isaiah: So we're about double, right, the energy that we were getting in the early 70s,
- 33:03Isaiah: even when, you know, adjusting for inflation.
- 33:06Isaiah: 50 years ago. 50 years ago. Yeah. And energy should always move the opposite direction, right?
- 33:11Isaiah: 50 years later, you should have 10 times cheaper energy than you did before.
- 33:14Isaiah: That was the trend up until the 1970s, and it was reversed.
- 33:17Isaiah: So I think there's this massive return to rationality on energy price,
- 33:22Isaiah: which naturally leads you to the conclusion of fission.
- 33:24Isaiah: The other interesting thing is that, you know, I think that nuclear has had
- 33:29Isaiah: really bad marketing, right?
- 33:30Isaiah: It's had this, you know, intense scariness attached to it, which I think is
- 33:34Isaiah: very unjustified, because nuclear is the safest source of energy on Earth.
- 33:39Isaiah: If you look at power generated versus human death toll, Nuclear is the safest form of energy on Earth.
- 33:46Isaiah: It's even safer than solar, by the way. And we can talk about why that is in a second.
- 33:50Isaiah: But one of the interesting things
- 33:54Isaiah: that happened was we had these nuclear incidents in the 70s and 80s.
- 33:56Isaiah: You had Fukushima, you had Chernobyl, and,
- 34:00Isaiah: Those were wildly misunderstood by the public. They, you know,
- 34:03Isaiah: if you ask people on the street today, like how many people died in Three Mile Island?
- 34:07Isaiah: People will say numbers in the
- 34:08Isaiah: hundreds. They'll say numbers in the thousands. Some people say 10,000.
- 34:12Isaiah: Zero people is the answer, by the way. Zero people died in Three Mile Island.
- 34:16Isaiah: Nobody died. If you ask people about.
- 34:18David: What about second order consequences of like polluted soil, polluted land,
- 34:22David: downstream effects, anything like that?
- 34:24Isaiah: 13 independent studies after Three Mile Island that were largely funded by people
- 34:29Isaiah: who wanted to show that the nuclear industry was bad, failed to find any environmental
- 34:35Isaiah: or health effects beyond the fence of the Three Mile Island facility.
- 34:38Isaiah: Not a single study, even funded by, you know, enemies of nuclear,
- 34:42Isaiah: failed to find a single negative health effect or environmental effect beyond
- 34:46Isaiah: the fence of Three Mile Island, right?
- 34:48Isaiah: So now this didn't matter in the 70s and 80s. And the reason was because information
- 34:52Isaiah: flow was pretty centralized in the 70s and 80s, right?
- 34:55Isaiah: So if you had the media on board with the narrative and you had Hollywood on
- 34:59Isaiah: board with the narrative, you
- 35:01Isaiah: generally, you know, had a good grip on what people thought about a thing.
- 35:06Isaiah: Now, we've had another nuclear incident since then, and that was Fukushima, right?
- 35:10Isaiah: And Fukushima, most people think was, you know, another death toll of nuclear.
- 35:15Isaiah: I actually take the opposite view. I think that Fukushima was,
- 35:18Isaiah: uh, on net will prove to be a very positive thing.
- 35:20Isaiah: And the reason is, is because it was very similar to Three Mile Island,
- 35:24Isaiah: right? It was zero people died.
- 35:26Isaiah: There's maybe, maybe an argument that you can make that one person died, maybe, um.
- 35:31Isaiah: But it had a very similar impact, right, in terms of public sentiment.
- 35:36Isaiah: People immediately reacted the same way that they did for Through a Mile Island.
- 35:39Isaiah: There was this huge thing. They evacuated tens of thousands of people from the area.
- 35:44Isaiah: They shut down the nuclear industry in Japan for a couple of years.
- 35:48Isaiah: The reason this was different is that this is the information age,
- 35:51Isaiah: right? It happened in 2011. It happened in the age of the Internet.
- 35:53Isaiah: And very quickly after this, people started to actually read the data.
- 35:57Isaiah: And they realized, wait a minute, nobody died. And, you know,
- 36:01Isaiah: the social impact of actually evacuating tens of thousands of people was orders
- 36:07Isaiah: of magnitude worse than the event itself.
- 36:09Isaiah: And the economic impact and even the death toll impact of shutting down all
- 36:13Isaiah: the nuclear reactors in Japan was, again, orders of magnitude more damaging
- 36:17Isaiah: to the Japanese than the actual event itself. And the fact that this happened
- 36:21Isaiah: in the Internet age began to wake people up.
- 36:23Isaiah: And you had a second backlash to that where the Japanese went back and they
- 36:26Isaiah: said, we made a huge mistake.
- 36:28Isaiah: Right. We made a really big mistake by evacuating tens of thousands of people
- 36:31Isaiah: and by shutting down our nuclear industry. And they're beginning to turn all those plants back on.
- 36:35Isaiah: And so I think that these are the two kind of factors that are bringing nuclear
- 36:39Isaiah: fission back today is that it's the information age. Right.
- 36:43Isaiah: Anybody can go and read about Fukushima. Anyone can read about,
- 36:46Isaiah: you know, the Japanese decision to reverse, you know, the impacts of that and to turn plants back on.
- 36:52Isaiah: And then again, just a massive return of rationality to the importance of energy in the Western world.
- 36:57Josh: Yeah, 50 years is such a long time. And you mentioned the world of bits that we largely live in.
- 37:02Josh: And for the people that are not familiar, the world of bits is basically the
- 37:05Josh: computers, the ones and zeros that kind of run the world.
- 37:07Josh: But what we're talking about now is the acceleration of the world of atoms,
- 37:10Josh: which is the physical space, the meat space that we occupy right now.
- 37:13Josh: And there's definitely this trend that I'm starting to see, and you mentioned,
- 37:17Josh: in that people are starting to learn and get excited about this world of atoms.
- 37:21Josh: How do we create these physical objects that can break these barriers that have
- 37:25Josh: been left behind like energy 50 years ago?
- 37:27Josh: So I'm curious about your take on all of this.
- 37:29Josh: You co-founded a company called Valor. I'm curious...
- 37:33Josh: So how you think Valor can solve the nuclear energy problem? What are you building?
- 37:37Josh: For the people that are listening, you are sitting in front of what I believe
- 37:40Josh: is called Ward Zero. It's your first prototype reactor.
- 37:43Josh: So can you just explain to me kind of what you're, how you're tackling this
- 37:45Josh: problem in the world of atoms, giving us energy through Valor?
- 37:48Isaiah: Absolutely. So I'll tell you
- 37:49Isaiah: about what we built here and then what we're going to build in the future.
- 37:52Isaiah: So Ward Zero is the object standing behind me. This is what's called a non-nuclear prototype.
- 37:57Isaiah: So essentially what we did is we built a nuclear reactor, but we didn't put uranium in it.
- 38:01Isaiah: Right so that's kind of how you can understand what's behind this built a full nuclear reactor
- 38:04Isaiah: you could put uranium in this thing with a couple of minor modifications and
- 38:08Isaiah: it would actually turn on and it would split atoms now we don't do that
- 38:11Isaiah: because essentially the paperwork to actually do that in the united states would
- 38:14Isaiah: take four to five years and we don't have four to five years we have to do this
- 38:17Isaiah: immediately right so build a full reactor and then what we put in it instead
- 38:21Isaiah: is a silicon carbide silicon carbide is a is a great material it's an extremely
- 38:26Isaiah: high temperature ceramic that's also a great electrical resistor.
- 38:30Isaiah: And so what that means is that we can basically dump about 12 city blocks of
- 38:34Isaiah: Los Angeles power into the core of this reactor, and we can simulate what a
- 38:38Isaiah: nuclear fission reaction would be doing inside that core, which is essentially
- 38:42Isaiah: generating a ton of heat, right?
- 38:44Isaiah: And then what we do is we process that heat in the same way that we would if
- 38:47Isaiah: this were uranium making the heat.
- 38:49Isaiah: So this gives us a very, very high fidelity, real world simulation of what a
- 38:54Isaiah: nuclear reactor would actually do.
- 38:55Isaiah: And the next step is to essentially go rebuild this reactor one to one with
- 39:00Isaiah: a couple of lessons that we've learned on how to weld this thing,
- 39:03Isaiah: how to structure that thing, how to seal this thing, but actually put uranium
- 39:06Isaiah: in it and turn it on and split atoms for the first time. So that's the next step for the company.
- 39:11Isaiah: The vision of Valor is to.
- 39:13Isaiah: Rather than building these, you know, massive, massive nuclear plants that we
- 39:17Isaiah: did over the last 50 years, you had these like gigawatt scale reactors.
- 39:20Isaiah: We believe that small reactors are better in a bunch of ways,
- 39:24Isaiah: that this architecture is also better. This is a fundamentally safer nuclear reactor.
- 39:28Isaiah: It uses graphite instead of water as a moderator, and we can talk about why that's safer.
- 39:32Isaiah: But the plan is to, instead of building, you know, let's say a couple dozen
- 39:36Isaiah: very large reactors, we want to build thousands and thousands of these smaller reactors.
- 39:41Isaiah: Because, again, one of the drivers to cost is, you know, there's two drivers
- 39:46Isaiah: of any physical good in terms of cost.
- 39:48Isaiah: How big is it? How many you make, right? So we want to make small things that
- 39:52Isaiah: you make a ton of, and that's going to make them really cheap.
- 39:54David: Is the idea here that I'll be able to go down to my local Valor store and pick
- 39:58David: up a nuclear reactor and plug it into my home? Or how does that actually like
- 40:01David: plug into the grid and to start giving me energy?
- 40:04Isaiah: Yeah, so I would say probably not for a while. Nuclear reactors... I'm surprised.
- 40:09David: That the answer is reasonably yes at all to be honest
- 40:12Isaiah: So i think over time humanity
- 40:15Isaiah: continues to use nuclear fission more
- 40:18Isaiah: and more and more it becomes the dominant source of energy in
- 40:21Isaiah: the world but there's there's two questions at play there's like where does
- 40:25Isaiah: the energy come from and then how does it get to you right and those are two
- 40:28Isaiah: different things one of the nice things about nuclear fission is that you make
- 40:32Isaiah: a ton of cheap energy in a location and then you can you can sort of firewall
- 40:36Isaiah: the the nuclear-ness of that from the end user, right?
- 40:41Isaiah: And the firewall there is that you transport the energy through a medium and
- 40:44Isaiah: that medium is either electricity or it's also chemical energy,
- 40:47Isaiah: right? And the chemical energy part of that is really interesting.
- 40:50Isaiah: So our nuclear reactors, we'll make both. We'll make electricity.
- 40:53Isaiah: You can get our electricity from a grid and it should be much cheaper.
- 40:56Isaiah: We'll make electricity for AI data centers and those data centers will be getting
- 41:00Isaiah: the best power rates in the world.
- 41:01Isaiah: But also we'll make chemical fuels, right?
- 41:04Isaiah: So we'll actually make hydrogen, we'll bond that hydrogen with CO2,
- 41:07Isaiah: and we can actually make a synthetic fuel, we can make diesel, gasoline, jet fuel.
- 41:13Isaiah: And you might get that in any of the places that you get those those chemicals today.
- 41:17Isaiah: And those chemicals should be much cheaper. And so essentially,
- 41:19Isaiah: if you think about what we're doing there, we're sort of, we're arbing the physical
- 41:23Isaiah: infrastructure of hydrocarbons as a logistics platform.
- 41:27Isaiah: And we're plugging nuclear into it, right? And why would you do that,
- 41:31Isaiah: by the way? Right. Like what's the point of that?
- 41:32Isaiah: Well, the point of that is that the hydrocarbon, think about hydrocarbons for a second as a grid.
- 41:37Isaiah: All right. So we're familiar with like an electrical grid, right?
- 41:39Isaiah: You have a bunch of wires connected and you push electrons through and people
- 41:43Isaiah: get to consume that energy.
- 41:44Isaiah: Hydrocarbons are also a grid. They're a liquid grid, right? They're a network
- 41:48Isaiah: of pipelines and trucks and tanks that move them around.
- 41:52Isaiah: So let me ask you, which one is bigger, right? Which one's moving more energy,
- 41:57Isaiah: the electrical grid or the hydrocarbon grid.
- 42:00David: I would imagine the hydrocarbon grid because that's the whole combustion engine
- 42:04David: thing. Like how big is the combustion engine as a concept? I would imagine it's massive.
- 42:08Isaiah: Here's a crazy stat for you. On the ocean today, there's a bunch of ships, right?
- 42:14Isaiah: And those ships are burning hydrocarbons to propel themselves across the water.
- 42:18Isaiah: The energy being consumed by ships on the ocean today is greater than the entire
- 42:23Isaiah: electrical grid of the world.
- 42:26Isaiah: Just just the ships. Correct. Just ships burning hydrocarbons are consuming
- 42:32Isaiah: more energy than the entire global electrical grid. Right.
- 42:36Josh: So that is a fun fact.
- 42:37David: That is hydrocarbons.
- 42:39Isaiah: Hydrocarbons are actually a much larger grid that's more distributed,
- 42:43Isaiah: that's more flexible than electrical, the electrical grid today.
- 42:47Isaiah: Right now, there are some downsides to hydrocarbons. Right. One of the big downsides
- 42:51Isaiah: is that you're continuously adding CO2 to the atmosphere. you know,
- 42:54Isaiah: every year that you use them.
- 42:56Isaiah: Eventually, we want to stop doing that for a bunch of reasons.
- 42:59Isaiah: It's not just climate change.
- 42:59Isaiah: It's also the fact that, you know, eventually the CO2 level in the atmosphere
- 43:03Isaiah: becomes, you know, too high for, you know, after about 600 ppm,
- 43:08Isaiah: your brain function, you know, starts to go down those sorts of things.
- 43:11Isaiah: So there are lots of reasons why over time, that's not sustainable.
- 43:14Isaiah: But if you just think about it as a grid, right, think about it as just moving
- 43:17Isaiah: energy around, the hydrocarbon grid, I would say is far better,
- 43:22Isaiah: far better than the electrical grid and it's far larger and it has potential
- 43:26Isaiah: to move terawatt hours of energy around.
- 43:29Isaiah: Now, if you could fix the CO2 problem part of that and only get the logistics
- 43:34Isaiah: part, you know, you would have essentially given yourself the ability to distribute
- 43:39Isaiah: all of the world's energy from only a couple of points, which is great for verticalization.
- 43:44Isaiah: And it's actually quite solvable. The way that you do that is you take the CO2
- 43:48Isaiah: out of the atmosphere and you build it into a hydrocarbon, allow people to burn
- 43:52Isaiah: it, which puts it back into the atmosphere.
- 43:53Isaiah: And you take it back out, send it out, allow people to burn it,
- 43:56Isaiah: puts it back in. you take it back out, and you've created a closed loop of CO2, right?
- 44:01Isaiah: So you're not adding net new CO2 to the atmosphere.
- 44:04Isaiah: Every year, you have a fixed rate of people, you know, CO2 ppm.
- 44:09Isaiah: And you're essentially just using the atmosphere as a transport mechanism to
- 44:13Isaiah: get your ingredients back to you again.
- 44:15Isaiah: Because remember, CO2, you know, these, it's not carbon, that's energetic,
- 44:19Isaiah: it's the structure of the molecule that's, you know, that's energetic.
- 44:23Isaiah: And the nuclear fission is essentially infusing co2 and water uh into an energetic
- 44:28Isaiah: form which is a hydrocarbon right you're ejecting the oxygen out of that now
- 44:31Isaiah: you have an unoxidized chemical uh and i'm sorry i know i'm getting a little
- 44:35Isaiah: bit uh chemistry you know bored here but uh that is essentially what we're what we're planning to do.
- 44:41Josh: Yeah i'm gonna try to ask you this question in a way
- 44:43Josh: that that you can explain to normal people where we don't go too deep in
- 44:46Josh: chemistry but i'm curious about what makes these reactors different
- 44:49Josh: than um i i know people there people
- 44:52Josh: the pebble bed reactors are very popular the gen 4 reactors that are coming
- 44:55Josh: they're much larger you mentioned modularity is one part of it but what are
- 44:58Josh: the benefits aside from the small size aside from the modularity that you are
- 45:02Josh: kind of taking advantage of relative to the size is it just size or is there
- 45:05Josh: something else that's also going on behind the seeds or within the reactor that
- 45:08Josh: that makes it more like it's more powerful and more efficient
- 45:12Isaiah: So I would actually say that these reactors will be less powerful per size than
- 45:17Isaiah: some of the reactors that have been built before.
- 45:19Isaiah: The reason that we do that is that it makes it safer, right?
- 45:21Isaiah: So one of our beliefs here is like safety is probably the most important driver of cost in nuclear.
- 45:27Isaiah: If you can make a reactor that's 10 times safer, you can actually make it 10
- 45:30Isaiah: times cheaper because it allows you to do it more often, more quickly deployed at scale.
- 45:35Isaiah: So these will actually be a little bit less power dense than traditional light water reactors.
- 45:39Isaiah: But we actually get to manufacture them we get to make
- 45:41Isaiah: a ton of them and that makes them cheaper the really unique thing
- 45:44Isaiah: here is that these reactors are just a lot hotter right so
- 45:47Isaiah: the outlet temperature on these reactors will be around
- 45:50Isaiah: 800 850 degrees celsius that's compared
- 45:53Isaiah: to 300 sometimes 350 degrees celsius
- 45:57Isaiah: in a light water reactor that unlocks
- 46:00Isaiah: two really important things so the way that you make energy
- 46:03Isaiah: in a nuclear reactor traditionally is that you have
- 46:06Isaiah: a very hot outlet temperature and then you
- 46:09Isaiah: have ambient uh air at a
- 46:12Isaiah: certain temperature as well and you can extract energy from the
- 46:15Isaiah: difference between those two temperatures right and this is called carno
- 46:18Isaiah: efficiency right so you have a hot a t hot and a
- 46:20Isaiah: t cold and the difference between those temperatures governs the
- 46:24Isaiah: maximum amount of energy they can get out of that for most plants around the
- 46:28Isaiah: world this is 20 to 30 percent right of the of the total energy that you can
- 46:33Isaiah: get out of that in a hydrocarbon engine which works a similar way you can push
- 46:37Isaiah: you know into the mid 30s in you know very efficient.
- 46:42Isaiah: Nat gas, combined cycle generators, you can push 50% total efficiency.
- 46:49Isaiah: But this is all limited by the basic physics of the difference between your
- 46:55Isaiah: hot side and your cold side.
- 46:56Isaiah: The way to increase that diff and the way to increase the efficiency is essentially
- 47:01Isaiah: just to make the difference larger.
- 47:03Isaiah: The larger the difference between the cold side and the hot side,
- 47:05Isaiah: the greater efficiency you can get out of that.
- 47:07Isaiah: And it turns out that at 850C, you can actually get really efficient at producing electricity, right?
- 47:14Isaiah: So we'll be significantly more
- 47:15Isaiah: efficient at producing electricity than a traditional nuclear reactor.
- 47:19Isaiah: Now, the other really interesting thing that gets unlocked here by doing high
- 47:23Isaiah: temperatures is actually direct production of hydrogen, right?
- 47:28Isaiah: So ideally, right, hydrogen is a chemical energy, right?
- 47:31Isaiah: Pure hydrogen, because it's deoxidized, and the fact of oxygen in the atmosphere
- 47:36Isaiah: means that it's chemical potential energy.
- 47:38Isaiah: If you take that hydrogen and you combine it with the atmosphere,
- 47:41Isaiah: you get water and you get a ton of energy, right?
- 47:43Isaiah: So in theory, a really good thing to do with a nuclear reactor is to seed that process, right?
- 47:49Isaiah: You get some water, you combine it with reactor energy, and you get free hydrogen.
- 47:54Isaiah: And now that's a very valuable thing that you can go and sell.
- 47:57Isaiah: You can combine it with CO2 to make a hydrocarbon. You can do a bunch of things with it.
- 48:00Isaiah: Now, the way in the past that people have thought about nuclear to hydrogen
- 48:04Isaiah: is to start with electricity, right?
- 48:09Isaiah: So have a nuclear reactor that spins a turbine, makes electricity,
- 48:12Isaiah: run the electricity through an electrolyzer, right, that electrolyzes water,
- 48:16Isaiah: and then you get hydrogen out of it.
- 48:18Isaiah: The problem with this is that you get two efficiency hits right
- 48:22Isaiah: so you get the efficiency hit of making uh electricity right
- 48:25Isaiah: which as we know could be a you know a 60 70
- 48:28Isaiah: hit to your efficiency you lose a ton of that energy just making the electricity
- 48:32Isaiah: then you have the efficiency hit of running it through an electrolyzer right
- 48:36Isaiah: and that electrolyzer also has an efficiency you know related to it as well
- 48:39Isaiah: and you're losing a lot of that energy so by the time you've gone from uranium
- 48:42Isaiah: fission in a core to chemical potential hydrogen you've lost a ton of energy in that process.
- 48:47Isaiah: The other thing is you've added a lot of physical machinery,
- 48:50Isaiah: right? So you've added a turbine and a generator and an electrolyzer.
- 48:54Isaiah: And again, you want to make machines as small as possible and as simple as possible.
- 48:58Isaiah: An interesting alternate to this is that you just use heat to split water, right?
- 49:04Isaiah: So any chemical will actually decompose.
- 49:07Isaiah: It'll break down at a certain temperature, right? So at a certain temperature,
- 49:10Isaiah: every chemical compound will decompose.
- 49:13Isaiah: And so in theory, you can essentially just get water hot enough from a nuclear
- 49:18Isaiah: reactor to get free hydrogen out of it.
- 49:21Isaiah: Now, in practicality, if you catalyze it properly, that temperature is somewhere
- 49:25Isaiah: around 1600 to 1800 degrees Celsius.
- 49:27Isaiah: That's too hot for us today. Someday we'll have reactors that run that hot, too hot for us today.
- 49:32Isaiah: But what you can do is you can run that water through a couple of chemical cycles
- 49:37Isaiah: and transform them into another chemical that has a much lower decomposition temperature.
- 49:42Isaiah: So what I'm talking about here is something called the sulfur iodine cycle.
- 49:46Isaiah: The sulfur iodine cycle is a chemical cycle that takes water,
- 49:50Isaiah: makes two other acids out of that water, and then you use heat to decompose
- 49:55Isaiah: those acids, and you get hydrogen out of that, and then you recycle the ingredients.
- 50:00Isaiah: So sulfur and iodine, if you combine water,
- 50:03Isaiah: with sulfur dioxide and iodine you get
- 50:06Isaiah: two acids out of that you get a hydriotic acid and sulfuric
- 50:09Isaiah: acid and you can actually decompose those two
- 50:13Isaiah: acids uh just below the output temperature of
- 50:15Isaiah: this reactor right so you can do it around 750 to 800 degrees celsius and they
- 50:20Isaiah: will just thermally break down and you get the free hydrogen out of that um
- 50:24Isaiah: so what are we left with well you don't need a turbine right because we're not
- 50:27Isaiah: making electricity you don't need a generator and you just need a couple of
- 50:33Isaiah: tanks of chemicals, right?
- 50:34Isaiah: And need a good heat exchanger to do that thermal decomposition.
- 50:37Isaiah: So we see this as an incredible way to add a much higher efficiency where you're
- 50:41Isaiah: not limited by the Carnot cycle and you're not limited by the efficiency of
- 50:45Isaiah: an electrolyzer to essentially just take reactor heat with very minimal moving
- 50:48Isaiah: parts and just a couple of tanks of chemicals and make hydrogen.
- 50:52Isaiah: And we think it'll be the cheapest hydrogen in the world. Sorry,
- 50:55Isaiah: you told me to say that without chemistry and then there's a tonic chemistry. I'm sorry.
- 50:59David: There was a lot of, yeah, chemistry and like matter. that
- 51:02David: was a in the contrast of bits versus atoms
- 51:05David: that was heavy on the atoms side of things yep and
- 51:08David: uh maybe you could just like extrapolate like when we're
- 51:11David: talking about atoms and moving atoms and manipulating atoms to produce the things
- 51:15David: that we want the conversation starts with a lot of the stuff that you just said
- 51:19David: first it starts with the getting the energy producing the energy in order to
- 51:23David: manipulate atoms uh josh brought up this contrast of like for the last you know
- 51:27David: 30 years since the rise of the internet, the rise of Silicon Valley,
- 51:31David: the world, humanity, has really been heavily invested into bits.
- 51:34David: Like, how do we make the bits in the right order, the ones and zeros in the
- 51:37David: right order to produce value?
- 51:38David: And like, atoms has lagged in contrast to bits over the rise of the internet.
- 51:44David: But you are getting really excited about atoms. Maybe you can,
- 51:47David: can you give, get me and Josh and also our listeners, get them excited about atoms.
- 51:51David: Like once we unlock having the right atoms in the right order to unlock energy,
- 51:56David: how does the world of atoms get easier to change, easier to flip, flip a bit?
- 52:01David: Like how do we get flipping atoms easy as flipping bits downstream of all of
- 52:06David: this? Just get us excited about Matt Adams.
- 52:08Isaiah: So I'm actually going to flip it around for you a little bit and say,
- 52:11Isaiah: everyone has always been excited about atoms
- 52:14Isaiah: like atoms is actually what we we have all cared
- 52:17Isaiah: about for the last 50 years but we also care about money
- 52:20Isaiah: right and it what's been true over the last like 30 to 40 years is like well
- 52:25Isaiah: first of all the reason we care about money is generally because of atoms like
- 52:29Isaiah: what do people do once they get money from let's say starting a sass company
- 52:32Isaiah: and becoming a billionaire well they spend that money on atoms right they they
- 52:36Isaiah: start to have a private chef, which makes them delicious food.
- 52:39Isaiah: They get a private jet, which like flies them around wherever they want to go.
- 52:43Isaiah: They get a beautiful house, they get a boat, right? So I would actually argue
- 52:46Isaiah: like the world of atoms has always been the thing that is very interesting to people.
- 52:52Isaiah: Now, the second thing is that there's this intellectual side that's also very
- 52:56Isaiah: interesting to people, which is like the right way to order bits, right?
- 53:00Isaiah: And that is like a captivating question in the mind that has,
- 53:04Isaiah: you know, driven a generation of entrepreneurs and a generation of innovators and engineers.
- 53:09Isaiah: But I think that's mostly just been driven by the fact that the world of bits
- 53:14Isaiah: was really the only place you could be intellectually curious, right?
- 53:18Isaiah: If you're a intellectually curious person, and you're an engineer,
- 53:21Isaiah: and you have the option before you as a.
- 53:24Isaiah: Look, life starts when you're in high school, right? So like,
- 53:27Isaiah: when you're in high school, and the options in front of you are opening a laptop,
- 53:30Isaiah: and creating something, right, by the end of the day, right, by the end of the day,
- 53:35Isaiah: as a 17 year old with a laptop, you can have created something that's functional,
- 53:39Isaiah: and maybe even makes you some money.
- 53:41Isaiah: And a couple years later, you could be making a lot of money.
- 53:43Isaiah: And in five years, you could be a millionaire, right? Like, the world of bits
- 53:47Isaiah: was the place that that happened.
- 53:49Isaiah: So I think that our obsession with bits is actually more an obsession with innovation.
- 53:55Isaiah: It's an obsession with discovery and with engineering.
- 53:58Isaiah: And the world of bits was the only place you could really do that.
- 54:01Isaiah: So then we have to back up and say, like, why was bits the only place you could do that?
- 54:05Isaiah: Well, there's two reasons. Like, one is the simple, like, political answer, right?
- 54:11Isaiah: Which is like, it became very hard to do things in the world of atoms in the West.
- 54:15Isaiah: We added an enormous amount of federal regulation over everything that moves.
- 54:19Isaiah: And we didn't do that in bits, right? And so a 17-year-old could open a laptop
- 54:22Isaiah: and create something with almost no interaction with regulation.
- 54:26Isaiah: Whereas, you know, just trying to, you know, make a sample rocket,
- 54:32Isaiah: you're wondering like, oh, am I, you know, south of some sort of like regulation
- 54:36Isaiah: here that says that I can't have, you know, this chemical in this room and that sort of thing.
- 54:40Isaiah: And so there's just a very quick, easy path to being an engineer,
- 54:44Isaiah: to being an innovator, to being somebody who's intellectually curious with bits.
- 54:48Isaiah: The other thing, though, is that it's the second thing we talked about where
- 54:51Isaiah: there is a fundamental limitation in the world of atoms that hasn't existed
- 54:56Isaiah: in bits in terms of like cycle time, right?
- 54:59Isaiah: Like, so the fact that if you're sitting in front of a laptop,
- 55:02Isaiah: you can have a piece of software at the end of the day that's doing something cool.
- 55:05Isaiah: Whereas, you know, if you have a physical thing in your mind,
- 55:07Isaiah: it maybe takes a couple of weeks, right?
- 55:10Isaiah: I think that's also changing. And that's what I'm really, really excited about, right?
- 55:14Isaiah: The things that we talked about before, you have energy, intelligence, and dexterity.
- 55:19Isaiah: As intelligence and dexterity get cheaper, and energy gets cheaper,
- 55:23Isaiah: I believe that we will start to play with matter in the same way that we play with bits, right?
- 55:29Isaiah: Life starts in high school, okay? It starts where you play.
- 55:32Isaiah: The reason that we have so many incredible software engineers and so much software
- 55:34Isaiah: is that people play with computers when they are in high school, right?
- 55:39Isaiah: And literally play, We're playing video games.
- 55:42Isaiah: A lot of software engineers that I know got into software because they were
- 55:45Isaiah: playing video games and it gave them this love of computers.
- 55:47Isaiah: And then they started modding the software and they wanted it to do cooler things.
- 55:51Isaiah: And that taught them software engineering because they want to make an extension
- 55:54Isaiah: to Minecraft, something like that.
- 55:57Isaiah: And I think that we're going to start playing with atoms. What would playing with atoms look like?
- 56:01Isaiah: Well, it would look like talking to an AI that runs a CNC machine or runs a 3D printer.
- 56:07Isaiah: And you actually can start to get these cycle times again. You can maybe by
- 56:10Isaiah: the end of the day, be holding the thing that you thought about.
- 56:12Isaiah: And then the next day you tweak it, you make it better. You could be holding
- 56:15Isaiah: the physical object that you were thinking about.
- 56:17Isaiah: I don't think I need to convince people that that's more exciting than software, right?
- 56:21Isaiah: Like you imagine a drone
- 56:24Isaiah: that can fly you around right and within a
- 56:27Isaiah: couple days you you're sitting on it and it's in the air right like that's that's
- 56:31Isaiah: the future that we that you know i would like to see and that i think i think
- 56:35Isaiah: happens in the next you know 10 to 20 years as dexterity gets cheaper as intelligence
- 56:40Isaiah: gets cheaper i don't think i will have to convince many people to be to be tinkering
- 56:44Isaiah: with you know the real world once it becomes possible to do that again.
- 56:48Josh: Yeah, that sounds right. And it feels like the world of atoms as that accelerates
- 56:52Josh: will be even more accessible and more, I guess, quality of life improving for
- 56:56Josh: the average person than the world of bits.
- 56:57Josh: I feel like with the world of bits and correct me where I'm wrong,
- 57:00Josh: but a lot of times you are extracting value from software or maybe you're injecting
- 57:04Josh: yourself into social media.
- 57:05Josh: You're just kind of reading and writing with this thing, but it doesn't extrapolate
- 57:08Josh: out too much into the real world. So when we do have this accessibility,
- 57:11Josh: I think about myself and where I could use an abundance of energy.
- 57:14Josh: My car, for example, it costs 20 something cents per kilowatt.
- 57:16Josh: If we get that down to free, it becomes much easier to get around.
- 57:20Josh: But even things where we're building
- 57:21Josh: humanoid robots and these things can probably be more cost effective.
- 57:25Josh: I'm curious kind of if you can if you have any fun or interesting examples to
- 57:29Josh: get people excited about what what it actually looks like for the average person.
- 57:33Josh: Like how is how's my day actually improved as we get this abundance of energy that's much cheaper?
- 57:38Isaiah: Yeah, absolutely. I mean, here's just a really like everyday person example.
- 57:43Isaiah: The reason that your dishwasher sucks is because of energy regulation, right?
- 57:47Isaiah: The reason that you can't just like throw an entire plate of food into the dishwasher
- 57:51Isaiah: without having to do any wiping, like, all right, when you're done eating food,
- 57:55Isaiah: you should basically just pick up the plate in front of you and like throw it.
- 57:59Isaiah: To a machine and the machine does the rest right and
- 58:02Isaiah: like the next time you're ready to eat food you like pick up a plate you put
- 58:05Isaiah: food on it and you like throw it back to the machine that's how this should
- 58:08Isaiah: work and the only reason that it doesn't work that way is actually energy regulation
- 58:12Isaiah: it's called energy star there's a there's a fleet of regulations that we've
- 58:15Isaiah: put around how our appliances use energy that has essentially forced the industry to,
- 58:22Isaiah: create these machines around a function of regulation why
- 58:25Isaiah: do like dishwashers and washing machines like
- 58:28Isaiah: seem like they don't really get that much better and the user interface
- 58:31Isaiah: doesn't change that much it's essentially because we're solving for energy regulations
- 58:35Isaiah: right so in an energy abundant future like the
- 58:38Isaiah: machines should just do the annoying stuff for you you know we're 50 years from
- 58:42Isaiah: the invention of i mean probably more than that of the dishwasher and it's like
- 58:46Isaiah: not that different of an experience um so i i would i would say like let's get
- 58:51Isaiah: way more creative like what is what does living in a house look like well it
- 58:55Isaiah: looks like just doing what you enjoy,
- 58:57Isaiah: and you know when you're like literally throw it i think that'd be pretty sick
- 59:00Isaiah: like i want i want to see i want to come up with like a dishwasher of the future
- 59:04Isaiah: where you literally throw it that would be sick um oh.
- 59:07Josh: That makes me
- 59:08Isaiah: Real happy and like all of your your clothes
- 59:11Isaiah: like your dishwasher your washing machine should not just
- 59:14Isaiah: first of all you shouldn't load it like what is loading it that's nonsense like
- 59:16Isaiah: i want to throw my clothes at the at the basket and it just comes
- 59:19Isaiah: back folded right my my washing machine should fold
- 59:22Isaiah: my clothes too and should put them back in the drawer and um
- 59:26Isaiah: and you know like that that sort of thing is like very very obvious
- 59:28Isaiah: to me maybe that's through humanoids maybe that's through you know just better
- 59:32Isaiah: dishwashers and the concept of a dishwasher becomes uh becomes very different
- 59:36Isaiah: but all of these things are are unlocked by by energy now something that's very
- 59:41Isaiah: motivating to me i talked about the dishwashers and the washing machines because
- 59:44Isaiah: that's like an everyman thing but like i'm also extremely motivated by by outer space
- 59:48Isaiah: Right. And there's no formulation where we are man among the stars,
- 59:54Isaiah: man on the moon, man in Mars without abundant energy. And that's what's really, really exciting to me.
- 1:00:00Isaiah: Energy is essentially the biggest tool that you need to go and make the solar
- 1:00:04Isaiah: system a fun place to be for humans.
- 1:00:07Isaiah: You know, it's how you can terraform a planet. It's how you can create habitations.
- 1:00:11Isaiah: You know, it's how you can create, you know, big floating cities above Venus.
- 1:00:16Isaiah: And it's that's you know there's lots of mechanical problems to solve in there
- 1:00:19Isaiah: but again there's an extent to which mechanical problems will be solved by intelligence
- 1:00:23Isaiah: right intelligence and dexterity and essentially you just need a lot of energy
- 1:00:26Isaiah: to do it that's what i'm really excited about.
- 1:00:28Josh: So i feel like there's probably these these two core pillars that people can
- 1:00:32Josh: get really excited it's about how this energy affects their everyday life and
- 1:00:35Josh: we could probably have a full podcast conversation about the interesting new
- 1:00:39Josh: ways that you could design things that we use every day to be improved.
- 1:00:41Josh: But it's also the dreamer vision, where now because we have this new abundant
- 1:00:46Josh: energy unlocked, we can dream about going to the stars and the downstream effects of that.
- 1:00:49Josh: We had Sean McGuire on the show fairly recently, and he was talking about how
- 1:00:53Josh: focusing on something like Mars has downstream effects for people back at home,
- 1:00:56Josh: where in order to get to Mars, we need that nuclear react that fits in a suitcase,
- 1:00:59Josh: and we need all these new technologies.
- 1:01:01Josh: So I think, and I'm hopeful based on what you're saying, is that we will get
- 1:01:04Josh: all these downstream effects hopefully fairly soon, or at least directionally
- 1:01:08Josh: we're headed towards that now in the way that we weren't in the past.
- 1:01:10Josh: I'm curious what you think about timelines.
- 1:01:12Josh: When will people start to notice the effects of this cheaper energy?
- 1:01:16Josh: When will we start to have dishwashers that can catch the dishes or robots that
- 1:01:20Josh: can fold our clothes in a way that's kind of accessible for the average person to use?
- 1:01:24Isaiah: I think that is entirely limited by entrepreneurs, right?
- 1:01:29Isaiah: So when we think of like tech today and we think of like startups today,
- 1:01:32Isaiah: we're all we're really talking about is like young, crazy people who have some
- 1:01:37Isaiah: like wild vision of how a dishwasher should actually catch your plate and then
- 1:01:41Isaiah: decide to go make that thing a reality.
- 1:01:44Isaiah: And the fundamental motivation for that is twofold.
- 1:01:47Isaiah: Like one, they want to imprint their will on the universe and they want,
- 1:01:50Isaiah: you know, every single home to have a dishwasher that catches your dishes.
- 1:01:52Isaiah: Two they want to become a billionaire or a centimillionaire or
- 1:01:55Isaiah: whatever um the uh becoming
- 1:01:59Isaiah: a centimillionaire and the possibility of imprinting your your will
- 1:02:02Isaiah: on reality has been mostly impossible in the physical world in the west right
- 1:02:07Isaiah: different in in you know other countries in the world specifically china but
- 1:02:10Isaiah: in the west this has not been a path because of not enough energy and also because
- 1:02:15Isaiah: of very stringent regulation that makes it just difficult for innovation to
- 1:02:19Isaiah: happen and difficult for companies to scale.
- 1:02:22Isaiah: I think both of those things are heading in the right direction right now,
- 1:02:25Isaiah: which is that you see tons of entrepreneurs suddenly realizing that you can
- 1:02:29Isaiah: become a billionaire by making something cool.
- 1:02:31Isaiah: Impulse Labs is a great example of this, right? Sam is a buddy.
- 1:02:34Isaiah: He was like, Stowe's should be 100 times better than they are right now,
- 1:02:38Isaiah: right? And that's what he's doing.
- 1:02:39Isaiah: So I think there will be a ton more people who go out and do things like that.
- 1:02:43Isaiah: The second side is the regulation side. I think we're seeing a lot a fundamental
- 1:02:48Isaiah: change in how we think about regulation, especially at the federal level,
- 1:02:51Isaiah: that will affect that, you know, significantly.
- 1:02:53Isaiah: But it's it's gated on people listening to this podcast like it's gated to to
- 1:02:58Isaiah: young people in high school who are like, I have a different vision for what your couch should be.
- 1:03:03Isaiah: I think the couch should be way sicker than it is right now.
- 1:03:06Isaiah: And I'm going to become a billionaire doing that.
- 1:03:08Josh: That's a future that seems really excited that I can get very pumped about.
- 1:03:11Josh: It feels like the future ahead is actually going to look like the future.
- 1:03:14Josh: When I look out over New York City, it will probably look materially different
- 1:03:18Josh: than over the next decade than it did in the past decade.
- 1:03:20Josh: So that's a future I think a lot of people can get super excited about.
- 1:03:23Isaiah: This is a great point, by the way. And in the future, looking like the future
- 1:03:26Isaiah: is like also why we did this.
- 1:03:28Isaiah: You know, we have a bunch of people on Twitter. I collect Twitter haters. It's very fun.
- 1:03:33Isaiah: And we're like, why does your nuclear reactor look like a video game or like,
- 1:03:37Isaiah: you know, what's going on here? And like the answer is.
- 1:03:39Josh: It reminded me almost like an NVIDIA GPU type thing. It looks very cool.
- 1:03:42Isaiah: You know, I tried to make it not look like a GPU. It's very,
- 1:03:45Isaiah: very hard to make a vertical box not look like a GPU.
- 1:03:48Isaiah: It's just kind of what they look like. But, you know, it is very futuristic.
- 1:03:53Isaiah: It's Tron. It's Star Trek.
- 1:03:55Isaiah: And, yeah, the reason is absolutely the future should look like the future.
- 1:03:58Isaiah: And, you know, when you're walking into a nuclear reactor that was built in
- 1:04:02Isaiah: the year 2025, it should not feel like you're at like a hospital switchboard in the 1970s.
- 1:04:08Isaiah: And that's definitely what we're going for here.
- 1:04:10David: For the podcast listeners that are not watching the video, Isaiah's background
- 1:04:14David: is the most sci-fi industrial looking thing. It looks like you just opened the
- 1:04:19David: first level in Doom and you're on Mars.
- 1:04:22David: While he was talking, a man in a Segway just zipped on by, going like 20 miles an hour.
- 1:04:27David: And it was extremely distracting because it was a little bit surreal just watching
- 1:04:31David: this man zipping around this factory floor with a nuclear power reactor.
- 1:04:34Isaiah: I didn't realize that. That's great. Sometimes when I'm on calls,
- 1:04:37Isaiah: people think that this is a fake background until I see a forklift go by,
- 1:04:41Isaiah: you know, carrying a pallet. And they're like, oh, that's real. That's happening.
- 1:04:45Josh: It's very real. Well, there's one more topic that I want to touch on that's
- 1:04:47Josh: very front of mind for us particularly here.
- 1:04:51Josh: Limitless is how we're powering kind of this AI and the intelligence revolution
- 1:04:55Josh: and how we're doing these data centers and kind of how we power the rest of
- 1:04:59Josh: everything. So these are modular reactors.
- 1:05:01Josh: I understand that you can use them in clusters.
- 1:05:03Josh: You could kind of stack them on top of each other to create data.
- 1:05:06Josh: What I understand also is companies
- 1:05:08Josh: like XAI and companies like OpenAI are kind of energy constrained.
- 1:05:15Josh: And what I'm curious to ask you about is, will this technology be capable of
- 1:05:19Josh: powering these data centers, one?
- 1:05:21Josh: And then is it actually powerful enough or is it modular enough that we could
- 1:05:26Josh: scale that across the country to the average person? So, like,
- 1:05:29Josh: will we be able to power data centers? Will we be able to power my neighborhood?
- 1:05:33Josh: How does that kind of distribution of these reactors work as you start to roll them out?
- 1:05:37Isaiah: Yeah. So this is, you know, just good business sense at this point.
- 1:05:41Isaiah: You know, what, how do you actually go and scale a business?
- 1:05:43Isaiah: I would love if our reactors in the next five years could power every American home.
- 1:05:47Isaiah: There are business constraints to that, regulatory constraints to that.
- 1:05:51Isaiah: I think the easiest thing for Valor
- 1:05:53Isaiah: Atomics to do today is to go help AI achieve all of its goals, right?
- 1:05:58Isaiah: Help all of the hyperscalers get all the power that they need to win the AI
- 1:06:01Isaiah: race to make sure that the United States of America is the most dominant AI country in the world.
- 1:06:07Isaiah: That's a massive, massive problem that we're going to solve in the next five years.
- 1:06:11Isaiah: Now, beyond that, yes, I'm very excited about that energy getting into your
- 1:06:15Isaiah: hands. And I think there are two ways that that can happen.
- 1:06:18Isaiah: The one way is, you know, we go and build, you know, small reactors around the country, right?
- 1:06:22Isaiah: So we have four of these units next to your neighborhood, that sort of thing.
- 1:06:27Isaiah: Another really interesting way, though, is that we just make the hydrocarbons
- 1:06:30Isaiah: that the world consumes, right? So if you're going to get on a jet aircraft
- 1:06:35Isaiah: in about five years, I hope that that fuel is made by Valor Atomics Reactors.
- 1:06:40Isaiah: And I hope that that fuel is about a third the cost that it is today.
- 1:06:44Isaiah: And because fuel is the largest operating cost of an airline,
- 1:06:48Isaiah: I hope that your plane ticket is much cheaper.
- 1:06:50Isaiah: And if you're going to be driving on a bus or you're going to be driving on
- 1:06:54Isaiah: a truck or you're getting goods delivered to your house from a semi truck,
- 1:06:58Isaiah: I hope that all of those things are much, much cheaper because they're buying
- 1:07:01Isaiah: Valor Atomics fuel, which is a whole lot cheaper than refining oil.
- 1:07:04Isaiah: And then in the long term, I think absolutely our reactors are powering the
- 1:07:08Isaiah: grid all around the world.
- 1:07:09Josh: I'm curious about the global energy mix, kind of how nuclear,
- 1:07:13Josh: how prescient nuclear is relative to others.
- 1:07:15Josh: So we're burning lots of fossil fuels. We have a lot of solar energy.
- 1:07:18Josh: Does the equilibrium eventually balance out to a mix of those three?
- 1:07:22Josh: Or do you see a future in which it's actually all just nuclear?
- 1:07:24Isaiah: I believe that the power mix in the next, let's say, 50 years is going to become 99.1.
- 1:07:29Isaiah: 99 nuclear fission, 1%, you know, other things. I think that solar will always have...
- 1:07:36Isaiah: Some applicability in remote places, right? There's always going to be that
- 1:07:40Isaiah: one place that you want to be where there's no infrastructure and you just need
- 1:07:43Isaiah: a bit of power to run some compute, you know, to keep yourself warm.
- 1:07:47Isaiah: And it's hard to beat a solar panel for that.
- 1:07:49Isaiah: But in terms of the massive, massive volumes that humanity needs going forward
- 1:07:54Isaiah: to power AI, to power robotics, it's going to be nuclear.
- 1:07:57Isaiah: And it's in even hydrocarbons, right? Most of the world's energy today is hydrocarbons.
- 1:08:01Isaiah: And if those hydrocarbons become just a transport mechanism for nuclear power,
- 1:08:05Isaiah: I think you're going to see a world of 99.1.
- 1:08:08Isaiah: And I think that's going to be a much cheaper way. And we're going to it's going
- 1:08:10Isaiah: to be much more abundant.
- 1:08:11David: Isaiah, as we wrap up this podcast, and you get back to work working on a literal
- 1:08:16David: nuclear reactor that's in your background, what, what are you going to do first?
- 1:08:19David: Like, seriously, what's next for you?
- 1:08:21David: What are your priorities for this week for this month?
- 1:08:24David: Where are you in the arc of what you're trying to build?
- 1:08:27Isaiah: Absolutely. The next goal for Valor Atomics is essentially to go rebuild this
- 1:08:32Isaiah: thing one to one, put uranium in it and split atoms for the first time.
- 1:08:35Isaiah: That's all we think about every day.
- 1:08:37Isaiah: You know, nothing gets built in the world without it actually getting built,
- 1:08:40Isaiah: right? One of our big convictions at Valor is that you can only design so much on paper, right?
- 1:08:45Isaiah: Designing something for five years on a piece of paper is going to teach you
- 1:08:48Isaiah: less than building it in the first year, testing it, building another one,
- 1:08:52Isaiah: testing it, building another one, testing it.
- 1:08:54Isaiah: That's what we're doing for the next few years. We're building reactors.
- 1:08:57Isaiah: We're making them bigger, more powerful, more sophisticated.
- 1:08:59Isaiah: And we're getting into the practice of building reactors and splitting atoms.
- 1:09:03Isaiah: That's our entire focus right now.
- 1:09:05Isaiah: So look out for Ward 1, which will be our first critical nuclear reactor.
- 1:09:09David: And if you had a message for our listeners, our listeners are pretty intellectually
- 1:09:12David: curious, high agency people who just always like getting their fingers in the dirt.
- 1:09:18David: Any advice for them? How can they support you if they are just like peaked and
- 1:09:22David: pilled by your mission or just any general advice for what they should do if
- 1:09:26David: they are just interested in learning more?
- 1:09:28Isaiah: Yeah, absolutely. You can follow me on Twitter, Isaiah underscore P underscore
- 1:09:31Isaiah: Taylor. Post some awesome stuff in there all the time. We keep it spicy.
- 1:09:36Isaiah: You can find Valor Atomics, ValorAtomics.com. That's V-A-L-A-R Atomics.com.
- 1:09:41Isaiah: And come visit us. Come check out the reactor.
- 1:09:43David: Where is it? Where is the actual reactor? Where is the facility?
- 1:09:48Isaiah: We're here in Los Angeles. We're in Hawthorne, about a mile from SpaceX.
- 1:09:51Isaiah: We've got great beaches, great surfing, and some of the best engineers in the
- 1:09:54Isaiah: world creating the future.
- 1:09:55Josh: I just wanted to let people know to absolutely follow you guys,
- 1:09:58Josh: because that's actually how I found you.
- 1:10:00Josh: I love the theatrics you do around the company, where you guys had this big unveiling event.
- 1:10:06Josh: And I was like, who are these people that are turning a nuclear reactor event
- 1:10:09Josh: into this big thing? And it was you. And it makes the future more exciting.
- 1:10:13Josh: And just wanted to thank you, because we need more founders like you trying
- 1:10:17Josh: these hard things, improving our world in this life of Adam so that the everyday
- 1:10:21Josh: life becomes a lot more exciting. So we're just super, super grateful.
- 1:10:24Josh: Really glad that you joined us today and excited for other people to hear your mission.
- 1:10:28Isaiah: Well, thank you. And I'm glad that you fell for my psyop of the party,
- 1:10:32Isaiah: which was essentially an exercise to see how many tech bros we could get to
- 1:10:35Isaiah: show up into a building wearing a suit and tie.
- 1:10:37Isaiah: And I think that we did quite well. We saw a lot of suits and ties that night
- 1:10:42Isaiah: on Tech Bro. So it was very successful.
- 1:10:45Josh: Certainly nerd sniped me. Yeah.
- 1:10:47David: Isaiah, thanks for joining us on Limitless.
- 1:10:49Isaiah: Awesome. Thank you so much, guys.