Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 208 - 1/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 208 - 1/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 208 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:35
Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
0:38
week, getting to the tail end of the month of January.
0:41
Before you know it, as I mentioned yesterday, pitchers
0:44
and catchers, MLB, we got the Super Bowl.
0:46
We got to take care of, of course, conference tournaments
0:49
and March Madness. And I did see a little bit of
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movement in terms of the Super Bowl.
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Just one small update. We're still hanging.
0:55
Basically, Kansas City minus 6 1/2.
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You guys probably know how I stand when it comes to this
1:00
game. This is a Mahomes die on the
1:02
hill of a Mahomes play, but also some good angles here in terms
1:06
of rhythm, predicting Kansas City upwards of a -, 2.2 or even
1:10
a -. 5 favorite in this game. So I will be most likely getting
1:14
down on Mahomes in Kansas City, but I'm going to wait it out,
1:18
see if I can get the best money line price possible.
1:21
I'm trying to get up downwards of probably -120 that's kind of
1:25
the number that I'm holding out for.
1:27
But in terms of the total, there was a little bit of movement
1:29
from yesterday to today. So we're, we're pretty static
1:32
here with the side -1 1/2 Kansas City.
1:35
But we did notice a little under money show up over the last 24
1:39
hours. Last time we talked from
1:41
yesterday to today, because yesterday and pretty much since
1:44
this line came out, we had a total of 49 1/2, a pretty high
1:48
total. The public still thinks this
1:50
line is going to go over because if you look at the bet splits
1:53
right now, currently 84% of bets and dollars at DraftKings are
1:56
going over. However, we did see even though
2:00
there's 86% of bets at circa going over as well, there is
2:05
some under money that came in over the last 24 hours because
2:07
there are a couple 49 1/2 still out there, but quite a few are
2:11
juiced to the under. There are a couple 40 nines now
2:15
and I do see a 48 1/2. So it looks like there was a
2:17
little bit of under money that came in, you know last 24 hours
2:20
or so. The one bet split that I noticed
2:23
in terms of circa is that only 14% of bets, but 41% of dollars
2:28
are on the under. And I do have some systems here.
2:31
If you look at Super Bowl unders the last 2021 years, nothing
2:36
crazy, 11 and 10 to the under, so he can't take much of that.
2:39
But if you look at a high playoff total of 47 or more, the
2:43
under is 61% since 2018. Now, you remember the last time
2:48
these teams played, it was a, what was it, 35 or 3835 game?
2:52
They scored over 70 points. So I think, you know, 2 similar
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teams. Obviously, you got a lot of the
2:57
major players in this game. Once again, some different, you
3:00
know, additions and subtractions on both sides.
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But the public is still saying, hey, there's going to be another
3:05
game that flies over and maybe it will.
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But we have seen this total drop over the last 24 hours a little
3:11
bit. And the other thing that kind of
3:13
I'm thinking about, if you guys remember the last Patriots Super
3:17
Bowl when they beat the Rams, I want to say that total was like
3:19
56545556. It was an extremely high total
3:25
and it was, what was it, a 16 to three-game or a 5:50 game?
3:29
I forgot what it was. I remember I just met at the
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time, she wasn't even officially my girlfriend.
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Now she's my wife. This is how long ago it was, but
3:37
we are sweating that game. Gronk had a big catch late
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Patriots iced it. Maybe that's the last patriots
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Super Bowl that I'll ever witness.
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But just goes to show you 2 teams high-powered.
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It flew over last time, but hey, it's a high total high totals
3:51
have historically gone under. It has gone down a little bit.
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What are you guys thinking? I I'm not I'm not playing the
3:56
under right now, but I just think it's interesting that
3:59
based on the market movement there are some respected betters
4:02
out there who did get down on under 49 1/2.
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So if you're thinking this is a bet your mortgage on the over #1
4:08
never do that number two. Hey, at least some people
4:11
disagree and think this might be a lower scoring game.
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That's the one update that I wanted to share with you guys
4:16
today. Now turn the page to a big
4:18
Wednesday episode 2 O eight of the ASG pod.
4:21
We need a bounce back day because yesterday golden
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sombrero, a pathetic night of sports betting O and 4 -, 4
4:28
units. If it wasn't enough that we only
4:30
lost Colorado lose by two, Ohio lost by three.
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Dayton got blown out. The one that really kind of
4:36
stuck with me and really, really hurt painfully because I feel
4:39
like I made just a completely stupid idiot play was the
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Bruins. Maybe I let my bias seep in a
4:45
little bit. Bruins have been playing better.
4:47
You're going up against one of the worst teams in the league in
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Buffalo. And I told you at the time that
4:51
was more of a system play for me in terms of a lot of rested Rd.
4:54
favorite system matches. But the line did move a little
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bit toward Buffalo. And then right before the game
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started last, I would say, I don't know, I think it's like
5:02
63645 that thing shot up to like Buffalo -120 So I'm like, I'm
5:08
definitely on the wrong side of the smart money.
5:10
But maybe the, you know, the Bruins can eek out a win against
5:13
a really bad team. Well, they go up one nothing.
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And I'm like, hey, we maybe we'll get lucky here.
5:17
What happens? They get completely blown out
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and wiped off the ice. They lose 7:00 to 2:00.
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So that was one of those bets where I probably maybe injected
5:25
too much of my bias. Maybe I wanted to sweat my
5:27
Bruins. I try never to do that, but that
5:30
one's on me. I can take, you know, Colorado
5:32
and Ohio coming up short because I know those were sharp plays.
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And even Dayton, even though I had some people who I respected
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really like Saint Bonaventure there.
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Dayton still, I want to say they closed.
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Yeah -2 1/2 - 3 even. So he beat the closing line with
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Dayton even though they got blown out.
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But it's that Bruins play that I feel like a chump playing the
5:50
Bruins last night. So hopefully, hopefully that's a
5:53
very rare mistake of mine. I would say typically I don't do
5:55
that. But whatever reason I said, hey,
5:57
they're playing better, they're going to beat Buffalo.
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Wrong move by me. Smart money had the had the
6:02
other position there, so hopefully we can bounce back
6:05
today and have a winning night. With that being said, I have a
6:07
four pack of sweats can stick to college hoops and see if we can
6:11
get some winners here on the college.
6:13
Not the gridiron, but the college court.
6:15
So with that being said, let's dive right in.
6:18
I got an early game for you, 6:30 PM Eastern Time.
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This is a matchup between Radford and UNC Asheville and
6:25
one of the first things to know about this game is it is is that
6:28
it is an added or extra game. Obscure game obscure sharp line
6:32
move because this is game three O 655-330-6554.
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So right off the bat, 630 early start added extra game.
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That means that the public doesn't care about it.
6:43
They want nothing to do with it. They can't even find it on their
6:45
app. However, these are some of the
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games that I would call kind of your your diamonds in the rough
6:50
your your uncut gems, whatever you want to call them.
6:52
Because even though the public may not care about Radford,
6:55
North Carolina Asheville tonight looks like sharps have taken a
6:58
position so little background. I'll give you my play here,
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Radford. These are two good teams,
7:02
actually. Radford comes in 14 and eight.
7:05
They just snapped A2 game losing skid.
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They beat Presbyterian 82 to 69 easily covering as a 2 1/2 point
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Rd. favorite. Meanwhile, UNC Asheville,
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they're 15 and 6. They've won five in a row.
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They're red hot. They just took down Charleston
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Southern 69 to 61, covering as a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
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So what have we seen across the market here?
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Well, North Carolina Asheville at home opened as a very short 2
7:28
or 2 1/2 point home favorite. Any minus twos immediately got
7:32
up to 2 1/2. And now we're seeing a lot of 2
7:34
1/2 juiced up toward NC Asheville, the Bulldogs, by the
7:37
way. So it's -2 1/2 -, 115.
7:40
Some shops even have reached 3 at times.
7:43
So it's pretty clear all movement liability has been, has
7:46
been on North Carolina Asheville.
7:48
Now take a look at at the bet splits here.
7:50
Right now, DraftKings 79% of spread bets, 85% of spread
7:55
dollars are on UNC Asheville. So it might be saying, hey,
7:58
that's really public. We're going with the 79% side.
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Well, remember added game, extra game, low bet, obscure game.
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So to me that 79% isn't public junk.
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Guys at the bar bet in North Carolina, Asheville, they can't
8:11
even find it on TV. They can't even find it on their
8:13
app. That tells me it's mostly sharp
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betters who have really targeted this game.
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The other thing with sharps is that they don't care if they can
8:20
watch it or not. They're going to trust their
8:22
numbers and make that bet regardless if it's if it's on TV
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or not. Also, keep on digging here.
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A lot of money coming in on UNC Asheville just to win straight
8:31
up. Now, I got him a little bit
8:33
earlier today -145 on the money line, then upwards of around
8:37
-160 if you're playing it with me.
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And again, this is a money line. Short favorites.
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Can't tell you how many times I've laid a 2 1/2 and one by one
8:45
or two and lost. And I said never again.
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So I'll pay that juice to make sure we just win the game.
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But if you look at Asheville in the spot, pretty good bet split
8:53
as well. 83% bets, 92% dollars on the money line.
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So again, another low bets higher dollar, obscure sharp
9:00
line move with a good split. Now Ken Palm has Asheville
9:04
winning by three. UNC Asheville does have the
9:06
better effective field goal percentage, 52% versus 50%.
9:11
They do take better care of the ball.
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They rank 26th in turnover percentage versus 249 for
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Radford. So hopefully that that is, you
9:19
know, something that we noticed tonight where, hey, Radford's
9:21
turning it over and see Asheville is not.
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That's a big discrepancy, 26th versus 249th.
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You also get Home Rd. Asheville 9 and O at home.
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Let's hope that continues. Radford is five and seven on the
9:33
road. Also, I was looking at Asheville
9:36
with our friends at Rhythm, and Rhythm has Asheville -2.3.
9:40
So you're kind of right on that number.
9:42
But again, Ken Poms got him by three rhythms got him by 2.3.
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We're basically sitting 2 1/2 across the market.
9:48
But I'm going to put some some faith in this low bet obscure
9:51
overlook game with some good sharp splits and and line moves.
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So give me to start the night hopefully a winner.
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NC Asheville 3O6554 on the money line again, I got -145 shop
10:04
around. You're probably going to get
10:05
around -155 -, 160 at this point.
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Next one for you just so happens to be another another UNC team,
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not Asheville, but Greensboro at home against East Tennessee
10:17
state. Now 7:00 game here tonight we
10:19
have East Tennessee coming in 12 and 9.
10:22
They did just see however, their two game win streak come to an
10:25
end. They lost to chat Chattanooga
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say that 10 times fast 71 to 63. They lost out right as a four
10:32
point home favorite. On the other hand, UNC
10:34
Greensboro 13 and eight on the year playing pretty well.
10:37
They've won three of their last four.
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Just edged BMI 60 to 57. Did not cover, however, as a 7
10:43
1/2 point Rd. favorite. So what are we seeing across the
10:46
market here? Well, very similar.
10:47
I think if you like Asheville, you'll like Greensboro because
10:50
this game open Greensboro listed as a very short 1 1/2 point home
10:55
favorite and a pretty clear move toward Greensboro.
10:58
Greensboro went from -1 1/2 up to -2 1/2.
11:01
Now this is not an added extra game.
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This is just 7:00 game 697698, but it is still a very low back
11:07
game. So the fact that we're seeing
11:10
pretty clear movement tells me that sharps have targeted North
11:13
Carolina Greensboro in this one. You look at the splits, 83%
11:16
bats, 86% dollars at DraftKings. So a heavy portion here of both
11:21
public and sharp support, but I would argue more sharp because
11:24
it's a lower back game. Once again, mitigating some
11:27
risk. The fact that hey, it's a, it's
11:29
a short number. It opened 1 1/2 Greensboro.
11:31
What if they win by two and you lay a 2 1/2 right now and loose?
11:34
I'm not going to put myself through that torture.
11:36
Let's just win the damn game. They're called the Spartans, by
11:39
the way. Spartans are around -145 on the
11:42
money line. Might be able to get around a -,
11:45
138 if you can shop around. I think that was at FanDuel.
11:48
But a couple things to like number one, UNC Greensboro, Ken
11:52
Palm has them predicted to win by three.
11:54
So you're kind of right on that number.
11:55
But good that he's a little more bullish than the market, which
11:58
is mostly 2 1/2. But then also 3 point shooting.
12:02
Hopefully NC Greensboro can hit their threes at home.
12:04
They're shooting 37% versus 35% for East Tennessee.
12:09
Also big advantage free throw shooting.
12:11
If this is a tight game late, hopefully we can make our free
12:14
throws because NC Greensboro is shooting 74% from the free throw
12:18
stripe versus only 65% for East Tennessee State.
12:22
Home Rd. Greensboro 7 and one at home,
12:24
East Tennessee three and six on the road.
12:27
And then of course, our friends at Rhythm, they have Greensboro
12:31
-2.6. So again, open -1 1/2 up to 2
12:35
1/2. Ken Palms got him by three,
12:37
Rhythms got him -2.6. We got good splits.
12:40
Home Rd. Edge here, Better shooting from
12:42
the free throw line and three-point stripe or line here
12:45
or arc, whatever you want to call it.
12:47
So those advantages hopefully will be to our benefit tonight.
12:50
I'm going NC Greensboro on the money line again, around -135 -,
12:56
140 next one for you. The big one, the one that I'm
12:59
most excited to sweat tonight because this is right up our
13:02
alley. If you remember the other night,
13:04
Arizona and in Iowa State obviously needed a miracle there
13:08
with Caleb love. And also isn't it funny guys
13:10
like you get a miracle with Caleb love hitting that three
13:13
quarter shot the night before you're you're walking on air the
13:16
next night. You go on for like that's that's
13:18
if that's not the microcosm of betting the ups and downs.
13:20
I don't know what is. But anyway, Alabama and
13:24
Mississippi State one of the most heavily bet games of the
13:26
night and boy is it right up our alley.
13:30
I love the spot toward Mississippi State.
13:32
Let's set the stage here. Eight, 9:00 tonight, extremely
13:36
heavily bet game. Alabama comes in as a great
13:38
team, 17 and three, ranked 4th in the country.
13:41
They've won three in a row. Just took down LSU 80 to 73,
13:45
didn't cover though they're -17 1/2 in that one at home.
13:49
Ended up winning by 7. Meanwhile, Mississippi State
13:52
also having a really good year, 16 and 4, ranked 14th.
13:56
They've won two of their last three.
13:57
Just took down South Carolina 65 to 60 in overtime, didn't cover,
14:01
though they were minus 6 1/2 on the road on in that one.
14:04
So what have you seen across the market?
14:07
Well, the opener is very important to me.
14:09
And so is the line move because this game opened at around to
14:12
pick them or some shops opened Mississippi State -1 at home.
14:16
Now we have to, of course, award a little bit of, you know,
14:19
homecourt advantage here. But still, the public says
14:22
Mississippi State is favored. You know, this should be Alabama
14:25
-5 Alabama is 17 and three. They're ranked 4th in the
14:29
country. Yeah, Mississippi State's got a
14:30
good record on the ranked 14th. But Alabama is the much better
14:34
team. However, even though you're
14:37
getting nearly 80% of spread bets at DraftKings going Crimson
14:40
Tide and one of the most heavily back games of the night, the
14:43
line has moved further toward Mississippi State.
14:45
Mississippi State went from again a pick to -1 now up to -1
14:50
1/2. So why is this line moving
14:52
toward Mississippi State if everybody and their mother is
14:55
playing? Alabama tells me that we have an
14:57
epic fade The trendy dog reverse line move in favor of
15:00
Mississippi State. Now, if you even just take away
15:03
the fishy, you know, favoritism here in terms of Mississippi
15:07
State, you would think they'd be a dog, not obviously homecourt
15:10
that that applies as well. But just from a contrarian
15:13
standpoint, if you just take away the line, move the
15:15
percentages bets and dollars only focus on the percentage of
15:18
tickets. Mississippi State is only
15:21
getting 22% of spread bets tonight.
15:23
So just from the the standpoint of nine O clock game, one of the
15:27
most heavily back games tonight, you go to the bar anywhere in
15:29
America tonight, turn it, turn on the TV's at 9:00.
15:33
It walk in the bar at 9:00. Alabama, Mississippi State is
15:36
going to be on the TV's and everyone's playing Alabama.
15:38
So just from the standpoint of wanting to bet against the drunk
15:41
guys at the bar and go contrarian.
15:43
I like this spot toward Mississippi State.
15:46
But as you guys have known hopefully and learn, you know,
15:48
through this podcast, it's not enough to just be contrarian.
15:51
Contrarian is a founding philosophy, but it's not
15:53
everything. You can't just blindly bet
15:56
against the public and become a successful better.
15:58
You also have to be with the sharps.
16:00
And we do have that element of smart money because this line is
16:03
moved toward Mississippi State even though the public is all
16:06
over Alabama. If you look in particular
16:08
DraftKings, 22% of spread bets, but nearly 50% of dollars are on
16:13
Mississippi State. So good low bets, higher dollars
16:15
bet split. Now I money line Mississippi
16:17
State, they're around -1 1/2 the game opened around to pick them.
16:21
That's telling you it's a basically a coin flip.
16:23
It could be a one point win. So I laid -120 really not a bad
16:27
juice price there. There's high as -125 at some
16:30
shops. So of course, try to shop
16:32
around, get that best number. But if you look at the bets with
16:35
the DraftKings, 23% of money line bets 47% of money line
16:40
dollars at circa 67% of money line bets over 90% of money line
16:46
dollars. So both DraftKings and FanDuel
16:49
have a really good bet split on the money line for Mississippi
16:52
State to win straight up. Now, Ken Palm, our buddy, he has
16:56
Mississippi State winning this game by one point, which is
16:58
another reason why I want a money line.
17:00
He Bulldogs from the advanced analytics do have a couple
17:03
advantages. I noticed one would be the
17:05
better defensive efficiency, 37th in the country versus 43rd.
17:09
Nothing huge, but a little bit better.
17:11
But here's where I think hopefully we have a big
17:13
advantage, forcing turnovers. So when you're on defense, can
17:17
you pick the pocket? Can you block a shot?
17:19
Can you get out in transition? The Mississippi State Bulldogs
17:22
ranked 54th in the country. Alabama ranks 343.
17:27
Alabama was a great team, but they really don't turn you over.
17:30
Mississippi State does. Also, Mississippi State does
17:32
take better care of the ball. They're 32nd in the country in
17:35
turnover percentage. Crimson Tide are 137th.
17:38
So they're a good offensive team, but they can also turn it
17:40
over. And then you guys know, we got a
17:42
system match here. 2 ranked teams playing each other.
17:45
Take the home favorite, very simple system, but straight up
17:48
on the money line is 22 and 11 this year, 67%.
17:52
That's pretty good, but it's actually been better than that
17:54
since 2021. It's 156 and 4876%.
18:00
Lastly, our friends at Rhythm, they have Mississippi State
18:03
-1.1. So nothing huge in terms of
18:06
rhythm edge, but at least they don't have, you know, Alabama
18:10
favored in this spot. But man, I can't wait to sweat
18:12
this one. We had some smaller games to
18:14
start the pod here today, but there's a big one tonight.
18:17
Alabama, Mississippi State, everyone playing Alabama line
18:20
going to Mississippi State. You can imagine that that courts
18:22
probably that that gyms going to be rocking tonight.
18:25
Hopefully, hopefully they will they storm the court.
18:27
What's the protocol there? You're technically favored.
18:29
Can you storm the court when you're favored?
18:31
Who knows? That's that's a problem.
18:33
Hopefully that we'll figure out here tonight.
18:35
But I love the spot toward Mississippi State on the money
18:38
line. Then last bit of the night, you
18:41
want to stay up late with me? 10:00 Fox Sports 1.
18:43
We have a big match up here in the Mountain West.
18:46
So we have UNLV against Utah State.
18:49
Now UNLV comes in 11:00 and 9:00, but they've lost two
18:52
straight. Utah State really good team.
18:54
They're 18 and 2 not yet ranked, but they probably will be soon.
18:59
They just beat Air Force, pretty much crushed them. 8758 you'll
19:04
get UNLV that just lost a really close 175 to 73 against New
19:07
Mexico. So one thing I noticed, not much
19:11
movement in terms of the side. You pretty much have Utah State
19:14
around a 10 1/2 or 11 point favorite.
19:17
But I did notice some smart money hit this over.
19:20
Now this total open at some shops as low as 144 1/2.
19:25
As soon as that 144 1/2 was posted, immediately got steamed
19:28
up. Actually at one point got all
19:30
the way as high as I want to say it might have touched one 47146
19:35
1/2. I was able to find an over 145
19:39
1/2 at FanDuel -115. So I'm going over 145 1/2.
19:43
But pretty much it's a late night game.
19:45
We're all movement liability has been toward this over.
19:49
You look at Ken Palm, he has a 147.
19:52
So again, you're kind of right on the edge there.
19:54
But you really like this bet split at draftking 68% of bets,
19:58
but 97% of dollars are on this over.
20:01
Also a lot of offensive advantages for both teams here,
20:04
which is hopefully why we're going to.
20:06
Root for points and get a lot of points scored because UNLV
20:09
averages 71, gives up 70. Utah State averages on the year,
20:13
83 points now they're pretty good defensively, only giving up
20:16
68. But some of these box scores
20:19
last few games 879065 that was lower, but 8185?
20:24
I mean this is a team of Utah State that can get into the mid
20:27
80s every single game. You'll get UNLV not quite as
20:32
high, but in the 70s pretty routinely.
20:34
A couple things I did notice though, offensive efficiency,
20:37
Utah State, 27th in the country, UNLV 96.
20:41
So top 100 for both. But here's one thing that I
20:43
really like 3 point shooting. Can you knock down threes?
20:47
If you if you have two teams that can hit threes, man, that
20:50
is a that is a great start. Hopefully catching it over both
20:53
these teams are shooting 36% so that's pretty good from beyond
20:57
the arc. So I'm going to play this over
20:59
guys again. Open 144 1/2, bet up to 145 and
21:02
a half, 146 1/2 again, shop Brown.
21:05
I got over 145 1/2 at FanDuel, but this looks like a pretty
21:08
good bet split. Good couple, good offensive
21:11
teams, in particular Utah State. Let's even get a lot of points
21:14
in this one. I'm going Utah State, UNLV, late
21:17
night sweat. I got over 145 1/2 juiced up
21:21
-115 at FanDuel. So UNLV, Utah State, over 145
21:26
1/2 Mississippi State, N UNC Greensboro and UNC Asheville.
21:30
All of those three sides on the money line.
21:34
So how about does it for episode 2 O eight of the ASG pod powered
21:38
by rhythm looking for a bounce back day after a pretty pathetic
21:42
embarrassing night last night. Hey, sometimes that happens in
21:44
sports betting, but guess what we got some games hopefully to
21:48
win for today. Now if you enjoy this podcast,
21:51
aside from the results from last night, hopefully you find some
21:53
value in the betting insights. Could you do me a big solid?
21:58
Do me a big favor #1 thank you for listening each day to the
22:01
pod, taking the time out of your busy lives to put on some
22:04
headphones or I don't know how you guys, maybe you're making
22:06
dinner. You got it playing on Alexa.
22:08
Hey Alexa, play the All systems Go sports betting podcast.
22:11
Got to try that every now and again.
22:13
I'll be Either way. I appreciate you guys mean so
22:15
much to me that win, lose or draw, we're building this
22:18
community focusing on data line movement that splits numbers not
22:22
not not opinions and bias. So that being said, could you do
22:26
me a solid? Could you give this podcast a
22:28
five star review? If you're listening on Spotify
22:31
or iTunes, it would really be helpful to help us to continue
22:33
to grow the podcast. If you want to recommend it to a
22:36
friend or click the follow button.
22:37
That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
22:40
That would be awesome as well. Next, if you are intrigued by
22:43
data-driven sports betting, learning how to read the market
22:46
like a Wall Street trader reads the stock market, looking at how
22:50
a line open, how it moves, bet split system matches.
22:53
If any of this is intriguing to you and you want to learn more
22:56
than guess what, I got a great book that you should go by.
22:59
Just go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
23:02
Sports Betting. I wrote that a few years ago,
23:04
very proud of it. It's got everything I've learned
23:06
in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
23:08
they move. How to read line movement.
23:10
How to locate sharp action. How to place a bet in person or
23:13
online, How to shop for the best line.
23:15
How to set up a bankroll management plan.
23:17
Chapters on all the major sports.
23:18
All included in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:21
So grab a copy for you or a friend and guess what?
23:24
Bring it to the book, I'll sign it for you.
23:26
I'll buy you a beer or a ginger ale next.
23:29
Have you taken advantage of a 7 day free trial of Juice Reel or
23:32
Rhythm yet? Well, if you haven't, now's the
23:34
time leading up to Super Bowl week because I know you're gonna
23:37
want to play some props. And Rhythm is great for AI
23:40
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
23:43
And of course, Juice Reel, where you can find all of the ASG
23:46
podcast best bets as well as Robo Jackson, which by the way,
23:50
I forgot to mention, Robo Jackson spits out two best bets
23:53
each day. One of them is on Mississippi
23:55
State tonight. So I love seeing that overlap.
23:58
I'll be also get those arbitrage indicators.
24:01
Sharp Mush plays. Shop for the best line futures.
24:04
It's all located in Juice Reel. So go download Juice Reel, go
24:07
download rhythm. It'll be off and running,
24:09
hopefully increasing your winning percentage, making
24:12
data-driven sports bets. So that about does it for
24:15
episode 2 O eight of the pod. As always, I'm going to leave
24:18
you with a couple things. One, whether I see you at the
24:20
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island in the
24:23
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
24:26
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
24:28
Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
24:31
Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
24:34
get down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
24:36
runners where the lowest use possible is found at the South
24:39
Point or sweat and sharp contrane plays jumping in the
24:41
stadium swimming pool. When you cash a big ticket at
24:44
Circa, you know what you're going to do?
24:45
You're going to show me Bruins, Ohio, Dayton and Colorado.
24:48
We're going to RIP them up, recycle them and we're going to
24:51
be on to the next there because last night was a was a not a
24:55
great night. Pretty, pretty bad overall, but
24:58
hey, that happens. It's it's buy the ticket, take
25:00
the ride. It's a roller coaster.
25:01
You're going to have good nights.
25:02
You're going to have bad nights. But as always, next bet
25:06
mentality Coach Ki was reading in one of his biographies next
25:10
bet mentality he learned in the military, nothing that you did
25:13
previously matters. It's what you do next and focus
25:16
on the next play. Try to get it right the next
25:18
time because you can never change the past.
25:21
Although I do remember in what was it, Great Gatsby, you can
25:25
never you can never you could never change the past.
25:28
So yes, you can anyway. But actually you can't.
25:32
That being said, though, guys, let's see if we can get some
25:34
winners here for tonight. As always, stay sharp, stay
25:36
contrarian, bet against the public, place yourself on the
25:39
side of the house. Always be with the smart money,
25:41
never against it. Will smart money when every time
25:44
No, we had some smart money plays in college hoops, beat
25:46
some closing lines, just didn't get any breaks.
25:49
The Bruins game, though, however, that one, I'm
25:51
embarrassed by that. That was a mistake by me.
25:53
I should not have played the Bees.
25:55
But as always, guys, we're going to keep grinding O and four,
25:58
four and O2 and 2-3 and one, one and three model blueprint never
26:03
changes. Let's see if we can have a
26:04
winning night here for tonight. So best of luck, everyone.
26:07
I'll see you tomorrow. It'll be a big thirsty Thursday
26:10
edition episode 2 O nine of the all systems go sports betting
26:14
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and enjoy
26:17
the sweats.