Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | February 23, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

NBA Show | February 23, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
All system's gone clear. We lift on what is going on YouTube station Mayo
0:38
Media today on this Friday, we got your boy Ham, we got Hebrew
0:43
back in the house, gonna run it back from our show yesterday. We
0:46
appreciate everyone that tuned in. We got those hundred likes. We got Rio's
0:51
call to day, which was none of than Cave Cunningham put up a fifty
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burger on the d K Street, so thank you for doing that. If
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you are new today, please you hit that light, please hit that subscribe
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over here on Mayo helps him out a lot. Then heading over to our
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station as well. We're close to six thousand. I know when we get
1:07
the six k Hoop Tambo the rest of the team, they're gonna be doing
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some giveaways over there to make sure you're liking and subscribing at both sites.
1:15
But I'll go ahead and bring the man in himself, Rio, great calls
1:18
last night. I listened to our show after the fact that man, you
1:21
were all over it, So kudos to you. Kudos to that Kate Cunningham
1:25
call today. What's going on man, how you feeling? Yeah, I
1:27
appreciate that. Feeling good. Last night was big, big night over here.
1:32
We had somebody ship the four dollars twenty max for seventy five hundred.
1:38
Don't have the name pulled up, but I saw him post it earlier this
1:41
morning. But yeah, shout out to whoever it was, the ship that
1:45
had a really really good lineup Hemiossy, that's right, Hemissy. Yeah,
1:49
really good line though, had had the pivot off of or the pivot onto
1:53
Taylor Hendrix got some Kyle Kuzman there. He obviously went off. Hendricks had
1:57
a great game at low Ship last night, but yeah, a good good
2:00
night for me. Had a little sweat going on towards the end of the
2:04
night, maybe a little bit a little premature, but you know, I
2:07
still had a top one hundred finish, still a profitable night over here.
2:12
But yeah, I mean looking forward to talking about this six game slate.
2:15
I kind of like how it's laid out to four point thirty or a seven
2:19
thirty pm start time if you're East Coaster, and then last game locks at
2:23
thirty minutes after that, so you don't have to sit around all night wait
2:25
for news. If you want to go, spend some time with the family,
2:28
spend some time with the kids, with the lady. Tonight would be
2:30
a good night to do that. There's a nice four game night late tonight
2:35
though at ten pm Eastern, I'll probably be playing that. I'll have some
2:38
content up for the showdown stuff as well as usual as usual. But yeah,
2:44
looking forward to talking about this slate, see if I can build off
2:46
of the low owned cade call last night. Yeah, and just for those
2:51
first time tuning in, we're gonna focus on the six game DK main slate.
2:55
As Rio said, there will be a four game slate. We won't
2:59
have any content up for that per se. We still have projections. Rio
3:02
does a showdown piece every Monday through Friday. Who's the showdown game tonight?
3:07
In in that late night, that late night tip those four games? I
3:13
believe it's the Lakers in San Antonio. It's a ten thirty Eastern games should
3:17
be playing one Lakers, both teams on a back to back. We do
3:20
think Lebron's coming back in tonight. And I do also want to mention there
3:23
is a good if you're in the FanDuel the one bad thing about fandom.
3:27
We're gonna focus on DK on the show, but there's it's a ten games
3:30
slate. The main slate, but they got a four to forty four with
3:34
one hundred k up top on top of the fact that the winner gets a
3:37
seat into their live final. I've never seen that before where you win one
3:40
hundred k and another ten k to get into the live final. So pretty
3:45
cool over there if you want to, if you want to pull an all
3:47
nighter, there are ten games real quick. We just announced Partner would degenerate
3:53
seventy five and him and all those mother fathers over there. So if you're
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not a member of ship at Nation today, make sure you hit on over
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there to ship a Nation into the word. DJEN fifteen get you fifteen percent
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off of all of your membership plans. We cover all the sports, all
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the sports for one low price. I think the annual price if you hit
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djen fifteen is gonna be five to fifteen, which a lot of those sites
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out there are are charging that for one sport. You get, you get
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our discord, no toxicity, no toxicity in that. You got Hebrew who
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lives in that thing. When I'm about nine o'clock when I go to bed,
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Hebrew is just getting started, so he's in there all night. So
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so make sure you get on over there to ship at nation dot com.
4:31
Any questions that we see or any that I was looking at something else,
4:35
but we see my boy, Jordan Newan's in here. What's going on?
4:38
Jordan? Richie Small's as always Para Bay who's always in our discord? Jasmine
4:43
Chang? Oh hey, Jasmine, I know, Jasmine Chang. That's not
4:46
stop? Who's that not stopping my symmetry? Whoever you are, Nate d
4:50
what's going on? Man, Cody Berry, Let's get right into it.
4:54
Six games Rio the first one. I gonna see a lot of uh,
4:59
gonna see a lot of these Hawks in lineups. I believe tonight we've got
5:01
Toronto taken on these Atlanta Hawks in the at L six thirty tips Central time.
5:08
Talk to me about this game. What do you think and how you
5:10
got Yeah, so this is gonna be probably the premier game of the night
5:15
from a DFS perspective. One of the highest totals on the slate. I
5:18
believe pretty close spread. Hawks favored by seven, seven and a half.
5:24
But yeah, two teams that are really struggling defensively. Hawks have been,
5:28
you know, one of the worst teams defensively all season long. They've been
5:30
producing some great DFS game environments. Definitely gonna have exposure to both sides of
5:34
this game. But matchupwise, yeah, the Hawks one of the worst overall
5:40
defenses this season. Bottom two defensive rated team up to this point of the
5:44
season, bottom four in three point and catch and shoot defense, bottom two
5:47
rim defense, bottom three transition, bottom four pick and roll. They just
5:53
get killed all over the all over the court. So really everybody on the
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Hawks are in a good spot. Mentioned yesterday about how are sorted the Raptors.
6:00
I mentioned yesterday how the Raptors a really good struggling post oj and Obi
6:04
post Pascal Siakam trade their bottom four defensive rated team since the beginning of twenty
6:10
twenty four. Bottom four rim, bottom five three point defense. So yeah,
6:15
you can look to both sides of this game. I'll start with the
6:16
Toronto side though. Scottie Barnes is gonna be the highest upside guy on the
6:23
Toronto side of things, and he looks really good tonight. Eight point a
6:26
k should be a fast paced game environment. He's been taking on some more
6:29
ball handling as of late, touch time is up to round five minutes over
6:32
the last five games or so. And then he splashed some triple double upside
6:36
three games go ahead, a triple double put up a sixty spot. I
6:41
like the upside for him a lot sub nine K on honestly, where there's
6:45
not a ton of really good spin up options. The highest priced guy is
6:47
shake Gil just tonight at almost eleven K, and that's going to be a
6:51
little bit tougher for him to pay off. So I like Scotty Barnes's spend
6:54
up. I think Argie Barrett is okay. He's a top transition scorer for
6:59
this Raptors team, pretty efficient off ball shooter as well, so he's got
7:01
a pretty good matchup. But I do think I prefer Emmanuel Quickly to RJ.
7:05
Barrett one hundred or a same price actually a different position. I just
7:10
like the matchup for Quickly a lot. Here tonight gonna see a lot of
7:12
Trey Young should have pretty solid assist upside with the Hawks giving up a ton
7:16
of points to pick and roll roll man, so he can get that two
7:18
man pick and roll game going with Yaka Purtle. And then he's got pretty
7:23
good upside with the transition scoring and the the catch and shoot stuff, so
7:27
I like him. And then Yaka Purtle last or one of the last guys
7:30
I'll mention for the Raptors. I like attacking this Hawks team with opposing centers.
7:35
He's a pretty solid pick and roll guy. Hawks are allowing the third
7:39
most points off of offensive rebounds as well, so I think that he's got
7:42
some pretty big upside. And then the last guy I'll mention on the Raptors
7:45
is Gary Trent Junior. I like going to him. I like looking at
7:48
him in matchups where teams struggle versus catch and shoot guys. He's a really
7:54
good off ball catch and shoot guy. I think he's got pretty big scoring
7:58
upside in this matchup. Four point three k playing around thirty minutes a night,
8:01
so I like him as a value. And then to touch on the
8:03
Atlanta stuff really quickly. I think Trey Young is probably my top spin up
8:09
tonight. Just love the spot for Trey where the Raptors have no on ball
8:13
defense, Like I mentioned no Oj Andnobi. They'll probably throw a little bit
8:16
of Bruce Brown on him, maybe try to throw a little bit of manual
8:18
quickly on him. But I think he's got a really really good match up
8:22
here tonight, So I like Trey at nine point four K, I think
8:24
the Johnt Murray is probably gonna get a lot more ownership. I'm seeing Trey
8:26
around five to six percent and de Jonte thirty plus percent, so that seems
8:31
like a pretty good leverage spot to try to get up to Tray Young here.
8:35
He definitely has a higher upside than Dejohntay, But de Jon say,
8:39
you know it's gonna the two K would probably go a long way tonight,
8:43
you know, seven point five versus nine point four K. So I do
8:46
think that he'll garner a lot more ownership for that reason. But I'm gonna
8:48
side with Trey there. Like Jayalen Johnson in these these sped up, high
8:54
paced type matchups. He he seems to have a really good floor ceiling combo
8:58
here as well. With the Clinton compeller returning going to be on a minute
9:01
limit, so I think they'll give Jayen Johnson more run as the small ball
9:05
center, which they did last game. He produced twelve rebounds in that last
9:07
game playing ast a small ball center. But I always like Jayalen Johnson in
9:11
these fast paced game environments. Raptors struggling with their rim defense and three point
9:16
defense so he kind of has a lot of different avenues to get there tonight.
9:20
And then a guy that I'm seeing with really low ownership that I think
9:24
that projection systems are going to be really slow to update. DeAndre Hunter.
9:30
Really like him tonight. I think that he tops thirty minutes, you know,
9:33
having the week off, he was kind of getting ramped up towards the
9:35
towards the ull Star break, played twenty eight minutes and back to back games,
9:39
put up thirty seven and a half twenty nine point twenty five DK points
9:41
in those two games. But yeah, this is just a great match up
9:45
for all these these Hawks. But I think that people are going to be
9:46
really slow to react to DeAndre Hunter. And this is a guy that's you
9:50
know normally I would say like a six K player, getting him at forty
9:54
nine hundred really low ownership, I wouldn't even be surprised to see him start.
9:58
I kind of hope he doesn't starts. I think they'll keep ownership down.
10:01
But I think that he's a he's a great value options. Tonight.
10:03
I'll definitely be bumping him up in my my MM runs for sure. Yeah,
10:09
I think last game he didn't start and still saw twenty eight minutes.
10:11
This is gonna be a great game, Like you said, up and down
10:15
him. It's almost seven points total, was higher than any other game on
10:18
the board, higher than like thirty points in two games, I believe out
10:22
of the six, which in a lot. I'm with you on the raptors,
10:24
really like quickly, really like Pearl. Read your article over there at
10:28
ship at nation dot com, the slate plan talking about the pick and roll
10:31
defense. You alluded to that, so I think Pearl's a great play.
10:33
And then Jalen Johnson, man, I don't I don't know if you looked
10:37
at his projection on the on the solver, but it's it's it's it's way
10:39
up there. Uh he's projected very highly for us. I don't know how
10:43
he is in the industry, but yeah, love me some Johnson, and
10:46
I know that's your boy. I feel like I always call it, I
10:48
call everyone your boy because you're you're so high on him. But uh,
10:52
he's he's a great play tonight, Mitchell in the chat asking where would you
10:56
put Barnes point guard or small forward or is it kind of kind of a
11:01
roster dependent I would probably end up getting more of him at small forwards tonight.
11:05
Small forward seems like a pretty weak position, and I like a lot
11:11
of these point guards tonight, so I would probably have more of him at
11:13
the small forward spot. But that's that's a good question. How many how
11:16
many? How many Hawks and Raptors? Like is too many? And let's
11:20
say a GPP type build, could you get three Hawks? I think that's
11:22
going to be on the winner. Yeah, I could definitely see that tonight.
11:26
I could see lineup starting with you know, Trey Jyalen Johnson and then
11:31
finishing out with DeAndre Hunter. I think that all those guys have enough upside
11:35
at their respective price tags to be on the winner tonight for sure. I
11:37
mean this is the best, the best game environment in the whole slate.
11:43
Definitely the highest total and pretty close enough spread, and we could see this
11:46
one being really high scoring. So I think that you can get to three
11:48
guys tonight for sure. And Williams asked about Fernando. No Fernando for me.
11:52
I think he started the last time the Hawks played, played twenty six
11:56
minutes. But with Capella, I think he's back limited. Then you got,
12:01
like you said, Hunter Johnson, No Fernando for me, any Fernando
12:05
for you and your player pool Reo, No, I don't think so he's
12:07
still going to get the backup center minutes tonight with Clint Capella. I would
12:11
imagine Clinton doesn't see more than twenty four minutes tonight, So I don't think
12:16
that Bruno fills in the rest of the twenty four center minutes that are left
12:20
behind by Clint Capella. I could see him probably getting eighteen and then you
12:24
see Deantre Hunter or Jalen Johnson get the rest of those. I think that
12:28
he's probably out of play for me tonight at four point four k yep,
12:33
sounds like a play. And moving on to the next game, We're headed
12:35
to the City of Brotherly Love. Both teams on the second night of a
12:39
back to back. We have the Cavs take it on the Sixers. They
12:43
are five point favorites two hundred and twenty nine and a half point total.
12:48
I know we were all over Evan Mobley last night, who had a great
12:50
game? You core, Darius Garland still too cheap, Donovan Mitchell still listed
12:56
as questionable. Talk to me a little bit about this game where you go
13:00
and let's talk both sids. Who you got who's out. Yeah, so
13:03
I mentioned it yesterday. The Cavaliers not really a team I'm looking to attack
13:07
in DFS. Didn't really see anybody on the Magic put up a GPP aworthy
13:13
score. I think we see something similar tonight on the Sixer side of things,
13:16
So you can start to kind of make a case for just crossing these
13:20
guys off. I mean, I guess if you want to keep in like
13:24
a Paul Reid or Tyrese MAXI finally showed a little bit of upside last night,
13:28
But none of these guys are probably going to make my initial playerpool.
13:33
Maybe just those two that I mentioned, maybe even Buddy Heel. But Sixer
13:35
is going to be getting a little bit more healthier. They're getting another you
13:39
know, mid to low usage guy back with the Anthony Melton, which would
13:43
definitely help improve their their defense, which has been really struggling badly as of
13:48
late. But he's going to be on a pretty strict minutes limit, I
13:50
would assume, returning from a back injury that held him out for a while.
13:54
I think that he's going to require a pretty lengthy ramp up period,
13:58
so I wouldn't expect heavy minutes from him. But sixers would probably be a
14:03
cross off for me and then the Cavaliers stuff. I mean, I have
14:07
interest in Evan Mobley and Daris Garland again here at their price tags. We
14:11
saw Garland played thirty seven minutes, Mobley played thirty four minutes. These guys
14:15
aren't gonna be on a minute's limit anymore. So I think even you know,
14:20
even if we don't have Donovan Mitchell ruled out tonight, I think that
14:22
they're totally fine to keep in your playerpool, and they would get much better
14:26
if Donovan Mitchell were to be ruled out. Yeah, I mean, it's
14:31
kind of the same stories last night. I think that these guys are fine.
14:33
I think Jared Allen's fine. I think that if Mitchell's out, you
14:39
can probably look to Isaac Ocoro and Max Struce again. But I don't mean
14:43
Core will be okay, he's been playing pretty well three point five K.
14:46
But yeah, kind of, I think this one's pretty straightforward. You're looking
14:50
at Mobley and Garland tonight, and then those guys get much better if Donald
14:54
Mitchell's ruled out. Yeah, I'm with you. If if Mitchell's out,
14:58
I kind of like Jared Allen tonight. I have a I'll have some interest
15:01
in him just based on obviously no embiid. I think he could eat Paul
15:05
Rees launch and whoever else they want to throw in there. Don't even know
15:07
if Obama will get minutes whoever the backup center is for the six er,
15:09
Give me some Jared Allen should should he miss? Uh? Chris just wanna
15:16
just want to address this. Uh. These shows, generally speaking, are
15:18
are our geared towards DraftKings. That's where the majority of the people are.
15:22
But we certainly appreciate you tuning in. And hey, if you're a remember
15:26
over at ship at nation dot com, we still have everything over there for
15:28
you. As it relates to FanDuel full projections. Rio still does a right
15:33
up uh on any player that that would be in the in the UH in
15:37
the in the game tonight. So yeah, check us out UH. Ship
15:39
at nation dot com. We have full projections. We just won't touch on
15:43
touch on them on these shows. We certainly appreciate you tuning in today.
15:46
If you are new or if you hadn't hit that hit that like or subscribe
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button, make sure you're doing that. We really appreciate it helps us out
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a ton over here. It take us about two seconds. Hit that like
15:56
button. Moving on to the next game, we have another team playing on
16:00
the back to back, lost in OKC last night, headed into Memphis.
16:03
That's right, Los Angeles Clippers taken on the Memphis Grizzlies in Rio. I'm
16:07
old enough to remember this used to be a huge rivalry back in the Grit
16:10
and Grand days. Used to go to a lot of these games. But
16:11
get the Clippers taking on the depleted Memphis Grizzlies, who actually have been playing
16:15
pretty good of late. Talking me about this game, two hundred and twenty
16:18
three point total, Clippers are nine point favorites. It's a Luke Canard revenge
16:23
game, if you will. Tonight as well, taken on its former mates
16:30
and you're on mute pal, Sorry about that. Yeah, I was just
16:36
agree with you. The Grizzlies, they've been playing pretty well lately, mainly
16:38
just because their defense has really held up. They were a team that was
16:42
giving up a ton of three pointers earlier in the year, but they've been
16:45
they've been kind of improving that area, a little bit more of a rim
16:48
funnel as of late. But yeah, their defense has been really good.
16:51
They're top seven ranked defense our defensive rated team since the start of twenty twenty
16:56
four, allowing the fourth least three pointers per game and the ninth most points
17:00
at the rim over that span. But their offense has just been non existent.
17:06
I mean, this team really struggles to score points. They're dead last
17:10
offensive rating this season. Definitely missing guys like Desmond Maine, Marcus Smart,
17:14
John Morant this year. But yeah, this game not a ton of interest
17:19
in it. Yeah, I don't know. I mean, you can get
17:23
to Kawhi, Leonard, Paul George, James Harden, all these guys are
17:26
playing really well right now. Paul George no longer on a minutes limit,
17:30
pretty good price, like eight point one k for him. Kawhi been playing
17:33
great, so I you know, you can make case for these guys.
17:36
I think Kawhi is probably gonna get a lot of Jared Jackson Junior on defense,
17:41
which you know, it's slightly neutral to below neutral matchup for him.
17:48
But yeah, I think the guy that I'm most interested in on the Clipper
17:51
side of the thing is going to be Eve because zubats he was you know,
17:55
he has a minutes limit lifted last game. This is a pretty good
17:57
match up for him. A little bit better of a man for opposing centers
18:00
than it is versus Okay, see they're a really good rim defense. You
18:04
know, they struggle with their offensive rebounding, but this is a much better
18:08
matchup from a scoring perspective for Ivica Zubat. So I think I have the
18:12
most interest in him, and I'm not really looking to many of these other
18:18
Clippers other than Kawhi and Peache. Just a little bit of interest in them.
18:21
And then I think the only guys that would make my playerpool on the
18:23
Memphis side of things is Jaron Jackson Junior and Vince Williams. But not super
18:27
excited about either one in particular. Clippers have been pretty much about slightly above
18:33
average in every defensive metric this season. So yeah, not a lot of
18:37
interest in this game. Yeah, I'm with you on that. The thing
18:41
with you know, the big three, if you will, For the Clippers,
18:42
it's just so tough to predict who's going to go off for fifty.
18:45
I mean, they're not cheap, they're all on the eight ks. Zubac,
18:48
I like a little bit talk to me a little bit about Zubac versus
18:52
yakup Pertl A slightly different price eight hundred dollars difference. Do you like better
18:56
between those two? If you're choosing, you know, choosing those two sinners,
19:03
Zubac or Perl, I think I will go with with Zubac just for
19:11
the slightly uh, the salary savings on him. I think that their upsides
19:15
are maybe a little bit, you know, pretty similar. I think obviously
19:18
Pro probably has a little bit more in a slightly better matchup. But yeah,
19:22
I think I golding with the Zubuk good deal, yeah for me in
19:26
this game. This game is going to be a pass for me. I
19:29
mean, Jared Jackson Junior's listened as questionable, but I do believe he's gonna
19:33
play uh and then nobody else on the Grizzlies, no Clippers. Like I
19:37
said, there's just too many miles to feed and you just never know you
19:40
got you got to hit the uh, got to hit the right one for
19:42
me, So that's a pass. Moving on to the next game, we
19:45
have Washington taken on Okac in the second highest total of the night. It
19:49
is a sixteen point spread, two hundred and forty two point total. You
19:53
got SGA MVP candidate Chet Holmeran is in a great matchup. My boy from
19:59
last night, Jaylen Williams, who I love again? Talk to me a
20:02
little bit about this game. Can we play any Can we play any Wizards?
20:04
Can we play any? Coming off the bench, Jordan Poole, talk
20:07
to me a little bit about this game. Who you got? Yeah?
20:11
Good, really good spot for these Okay, see you guys. Wizards mentioned
20:14
it last night. They're gonna be the same defense that they are all season
20:17
long. Just a terrible rim defense. Pretty decent job at limiting three pointers,
20:22
limiting golf ball shooters, but yeah, worst rim defense all season long.
20:25
So I think that Shay in a great spot. Obviously a great match
20:29
for him. Wizards are bottom four in DVP. I believe versus point guards
20:33
eleven kate price tag a little bit tougher to payoff. But I don't think
20:36
you need to worry about it too much. With this slate being small,
20:38
they're not being you know, you don't have Yokis, you don't have Jannis,
20:42
you don't have Luca. So Shay probably ends up, as you know,
20:45
one of the highest row points raw points scores tonight, which you would
20:49
probably need. The only downside to him is that this game could get out
20:53
of hand pretty quickly with it being a back to back for Washington. Not
21:00
sure if they're gonna be resting guys or anything like that, but yeah,
21:02
I mean I can see this game getting out of hand pretty quickly. You
21:04
know, maybe even by halftime they could be up by twenty plus or something
21:07
like that. But yeah, Chet in a good spot as well. This
21:11
is the best matchup for opposing centers. The Wizard's dead last and DVP by
21:14
a pretty wide margin versus the center position. Chet's been playing really well lately,
21:18
been a really good shot blocker as well. I think that if the
21:22
Wizards are able to keep this game slightly within reach, Chet would be pretty
21:26
good. But he might be one of the first guys to lose minutes in
21:29
a blowout. But I do love the spot for him. Same thing,
21:33
Jaylen Williams, Your boy had a really He's been playing really well, very
21:37
consistent fantasy scorer as of late forty plus DK points in four of last five
21:41
games. Gets a second best matchup versus point power forwards in terms of DVP.
21:47
Should have no issues getting to the rim. I think he's the thunder
21:51
second best rim scorer down low, so he gets a great spot, and
21:56
then I don't think I'm really going to look to get to any of these
21:57
other okay see guys, unless we see some sort of funky, you know,
22:02
different starting lineup. Because they did start started Isaiah Joe in the second
22:08
half last game over Josh Giddy, I'm not sure if they're going to do
22:11
that again. This game doesn't meet as much as it does versus one against
22:15
the Clippers, so I would imagine they go to the same starting five,
22:18
but just keep an eye out for something like that. I think Isaijoh would
22:22
be a pretty solid value if he does get the start. And then on
22:26
the Washington side of things, yeah, it's tough to get up to like
22:30
Kuzma and Danny, I guess tis two you can throw it in there.
22:33
As you know, with this game likely to blow out, those guys are
22:37
going to lose minutes for sure. Kuzma would lose minutes. I think Denny
22:40
probably a little a little bit safer from a minute's perspective if this game were
22:42
to blow out. Tyas is kind of okay because the price tag is low
22:47
enough and he's been playing really well. His assist numbers have looked really good
22:49
since they shifted Jordan Poole to a smaller role, so he's fine. I
22:55
think that the guys you'd be looking to on the wizard side of things,
22:59
so they got that, produced some catch a shoe points, some of the
23:03
offensive rebounders, so like Marvin Backley could have a slightly efficient game, but
23:07
he did lose minutes just randomly. Last night. He started off really hot
23:10
and then I think he only played like seventeen minutes. So it's kind of
23:12
tough to buy into that when you don't really know what the role is for
23:15
him. But yeah, I think that. I think that Denny is okay.
23:19
I think Tyas is okay. But one guy that I do kind of
23:22
like as like a lower owned value option, low ish in terms of this
23:26
late I've seen around like twelve to fifteen percent on him. But corek kispert
23:30
four point three K. He's a really good catch a shoe guy. Had
23:33
a really big game in a very similar matchup two games ago versus New Orleans
23:38
Pelicans. Pelicans have been struggling against three point shooters as of late. He
23:42
went for thirty seven and a half DK points, twenty real points shot five
23:45
or ten from three. He's been pretty consistent as of late. Has a
23:48
even a forty five game mix in there at thirty six against Cleveland, forty
23:52
five against Boston, really tough defense. So I think that courk Kispert is
23:56
a pretty solid value option at four point three K. And you know,
24:00
a pivot off of his own teammate bill All Coolibali, who's coming in around
24:03
forty percent and he just hasn't even the minutes that he's getting. He's sing
24:07
around thirty minutes a night and just not producing outside of every king his title
24:10
would say he's doing some cardio up there exactly. He did have a good
24:14
game against Boston sing game corek Hispert did have a good game as well,
24:17
But yeah, I like Hisburgh over Coolibali tonight. Yes, a similar price,
24:22
And I'm with you as well in that. You know, one guy
24:25
we didn't talk about, Gordon Hayward, who you know who's going to get
24:29
some more minutes too, and only played fourteen minutes in his debut last night
24:32
for the Thunder. But this should be a blowout. Yeah, Jaylen Williams,
24:34
I mean I was I he was my play of the day and he
24:37
was he was doing terrible. Then you look up and he's still got forty,
24:41
you know, forty DK points, So he's gonna play thirty thirty thirty
24:45
five minutes, assuming, assuming it's it's a close game. But there's just
24:48
so many guys. They're all I feel like they're all twenty five and younger
24:52
Gordon's probably the old head on that team. You know, you know as
24:55
you know, being him. But they're a fun team to watch. I'm
24:57
with you, Marvin Bagley would be my favorite Washington piece tonight. I don't
25:03
mind him at fifty five hundred. I'm with you, like, why to
25:06
heally get seventeen minutes? But give me some, Give me some Bagley.
25:10
And then you talked to me to some Kispert too. For a cheap forty
25:12
three hundred, can can knock down some threes? And then SGA you mentioned
25:17
it as well, not a lot of spend ups tonight. SGA in a
25:19
great spot. Can the can the Wizards keep it close? And Eddie.
25:25
Eddie was right on the money with this. Denver was up I feel like
25:27
twenty the whole game, bless you, was up twenty the whole game yesterday,
25:30
and they kept their starters in for the most part. Jokics was remarkable,
25:36
per usual. Appreciate you throwing that in there. Eddie, got about
25:41
two games left, got about one hundred and fifteen watching. If you haven't
25:45
yet done so, make sure you're hitting that like had n subscribe button.
25:48
We're going to give you these plays of the day on this Friday. Get
25:52
you to the weekend. Get you a shipper. You can be like him
25:53
and see a ship at Nation member who shipped the what the twenty max four
25:59
dollars yesterday for seventy five hundred. Great job in him to see played a
26:02
lot of the plays that Hebrew Cheetah was on himself. We got two games
26:06
left, Hebrew. We're going down to New Orleans where Miami first came back
26:11
taking on these Pelicans. Point Williamson, who was in the news this morning.
26:17
Rio, I don't know, you were probably sleeping, but he was
26:18
in the news this morning because your boy Steven A. Mith was talking trash
26:22
about Zion, telling me you need to stay off those hamburgers. Does that
26:26
give him some extra motivation tonight? The Pelicans three point favorites coming off that
26:30
big game last night. Talking about this game, Tyler hero is questionable.
26:34
Who you got in this one? Yeah? I mean, he's gonna have
26:38
to play, first of all, to get his revenge. He does come
26:41
into the game questionable with the the foot injury. It's kind of it's been
26:45
like a Lebron James Anthony Davis type of questionable tag where he's been playing through
26:49
it. But with this one being a back to back, there is a
26:53
chance that he sits. Hopefully we'll get that news soon. Hopefully we'll get
26:57
it before the slate starts, because that would really shake things up. I
27:00
mean, the Ingram news is going to shake things up as well. We
27:02
did see Herb Jones and Trey Murphy put up pretty big scores at their respective
27:07
price tags, so this team would be a pretty solid source of value in
27:11
many ways. But yeah, I did see what Steven Asmith said's kind of
27:18
kind of funny. I mean, I don't disagree with him, but you
27:19
know, he's playing really well right now, so maybe maybe it's given him
27:23
some more some more energy, some more strength eating all those burgers and things
27:27
like that. But yeah, from a matchup standpoint, this Heat team,
27:32
they've been really really solid defensively in the new year. I think they're the
27:36
top defensive rated team in the last couple of months, last couple of weeks
27:38
something like that. But yeah, they've kind of shifted their focus to being
27:42
a team that takes away the rim scoring. They've been really just hunkering down
27:47
down low. Obviously, bam Adebayo an elite rim protector. This team plays
27:51
really good team defense. They play a lot of zone, so that kind
27:53
of funnels teams to play to kind of shoot more three pointers against them.
27:57
They've been along a little bit or three pointers or tenth most points off catch
28:02
and shoot tenth most. I don't have the three point numbers, but they're
28:07
slightly finaling a lot of their defense to three point shooters. I think that
28:10
guys like I mean, I don't know if you call Trae mur if you
28:12
a three point shooter right now, because he's just shooting so bad, but
28:15
the matchup would be good for him. Matchup would be really good for CJ.
28:18
McCollum. I think HERB Jones would be pretty solid as well. And
28:22
then if, like you know, if Ingram and Zion are out, then
28:26
a guy like Jordan Hawkins at three K could could be a guy that performs
28:30
pretty well in the minutes that he's given. Najie Marshall would be come into
28:33
play. We have those two guys are out, I think you're looking at
28:37
the guys up top, mainly Cege McCollum would be really good. He has
28:38
a really good numbers with those two off the court the season, thirty five
28:42
percent usage rate averages almost sixty d K points per thirty six minutes, thirty
28:48
six percent assist percentage, which is pretty massive, So his role would be
28:51
would be pretty elite regardless of how tough the matchup would be. And then
28:56
Jones Vncenis would be much safer from a minute standpoint, would have much more
29:00
rebounding upside. Don't love the match up for him, but his price tag
29:03
is really good six point three K. If those two guys were to be
29:07
out. He has really good numbers as well with Zion off the core,
29:10
fifty four point four DK points per thirty six minutes, around twenty percent rebounding
29:15
usage, So pretty good role for him. And then yeah, like I
29:18
mentioned, Herb and Trey Murphy would be the two value guys I'd be looking
29:21
to. Herb Is about thirty five DK points per thirty six and Trey Murphy
29:26
forty six d K points per thirty six, really small sample size, but
29:30
his uses usage is still pretty low. And then on the heat side of
29:33
things, we're waiting on Ty the hero news he's questionable. Don't really have
29:37
much much to add on to that. I don't really know what his his
29:41
status is, but if you were to miss then I do like Duncan Robinson
29:45
at four point nine K. This Pelicans team has been giving up a ton
29:48
of three pointers as of late. Duncan really really good three point shooter.
29:52
Been adding a little bit more peripherals to his stat line as well. The
29:56
rebounding and assistant numbers have been up. I think Kevin Love would make sense
30:00
as a value option three point eight K as a three point shooter, off
30:04
ball, catch and shoot type guy, and then Bam and Jimmy up top
30:08
would have really big roles. I like Jimmy as it is right now.
30:12
Seven point seven K really good price tact for him. He's gonna step right
30:15
back into a big role after missing a couple of games due to personal reasons.
30:19
Should not be limited at all. He said he's ready to play,
30:22
so I think that he is a really solid admits your option at seven point
30:26
seven K, and I think that Bam would be a lot better if you're
30:27
or we're out. Gotcha you man, I can't believe you said Kevin Love.
30:34
I said never again to Kevin Love about two months ago. Then I
30:37
looked he put up thirty nine like two games ago. Well, man,
30:41
he's a tough click because you just never know if he's gonna play eight minutes
30:44
or twenty eight minutes. So yeah, really waiting on that. On that
30:48
Hero news, I'm with you, Duncan Robinson, especially if he's if he's
30:52
starting, can put it up, can shoot it with the best of him,
30:55
especially if he gets thirty plus minutes. And obviously the big news with
30:57
Ingram seen last night questionable again tonight and then Zion want him in. Zion
31:03
been playing a lot more at the point as well, so you're getting a
31:07
lot of assists. I think he was. Did he almost have a double
31:10
double or triple double last night? And I think they took away one of
31:12
his assists to bring him to bring him off that stat line. But any
31:15
of a he's he's playing lights out basketball right now. For those Pelicans last
31:21
game of the night, we have the Phoenix Suns three and a half point
31:25
favorites heading into Houston facing these rockets two hundred and thirty three point total.
31:30
Thirty three and a half point total we have Bradley Bill was listing he's either
31:36
out or doubtful, and Nurkic is out or doubtful as well. I don't
31:38
know if you have an update on that, but let's assume those two guys
31:42
are gonna miss. We know Bill missed last night. Obviously got take KD,
31:45
got Booker, got some of these other value sons. Talk to me
31:48
a little bit about this game. Where you going? Yeah, I just
31:52
want to mention before we dive into this. I wanted to pull up Jordan's
31:56
comment real quick because we did have some something's going on in this score.
32:00
Djen going through some some health issues right now. So if you are in
32:04
our discord, even you know, if you follow him on Twitter, maybe
32:07
send him a send him some positive energy his way. I know he's been
32:10
working his ass off and definitely want him to get healthy so he can come
32:15
back hundred percent and give you guys the content. I know that he's kicked
32:19
himself for not being able to work right now for you guys, but yeah,
32:22
definitely wishing Djen all the giving him all the energy that he needs right
32:27
now for sure. But yeah, this game, last one of the night,
32:30
Phoenix versus Houston should get some value on the sun side of things.
32:36
Like you mentioned, Bradley Beale used and their Kitch both expected to miss tonight.
32:38
Both were listed doubt foils. Yeah, we could definitely assume that they
32:42
will be out. We should see Eric Gordon Drew you Banks start in their
32:45
place, have been seeing Eric Gordon start, been playing pretty decently. I'll
32:52
start with you Banks, just because I think that he's probably gonna get a
32:54
good amount of ownership. I don't disagree that he's a good value plate tonight,
32:57
but I do think that the downside for him is pretty low. He's
33:01
had three starts this year. I don't have the numbers pulled up, but
33:05
he's averaged averaging around thirteen point three DK points in his three starts this season.
33:09
The minutes have been, you know, pretty low. I think he
33:13
had like fifteen or something like that in the first game he started, had
33:15
a pretty good game last time out, got twenty plus DK points in his
33:20
last start. I just wanted to mention the downside because I do think that
33:23
there is a path for him to lose minutes. I think that Royce O'Neil
33:29
could could steal some of those minutes. He's been playing a lot of minutes
33:30
regardless. But this the Suns team has been a little bit more comfortable running
33:35
Kevin Durant as the small ball five. They did it against the Kings a
33:37
few weeks back. I think that they could do it here. Senggun pretty
33:42
undersized center. Obviously, he's a you know, really good scorer, really
33:45
good overall center, so he could be Kevin Dura would definitely be undersized from
33:50
like a weight standpoint, But yeah, I do think that they could probably
33:53
run more Kevin Durant as a small ball five, and I think that Royce
33:57
O'Neil would get a ton of run. I like Rossa Neil as a v
34:00
option tonight regardless. But do think that there's a pretty big upside on Royce
34:04
O'Neill, who's been playing around thirty minutes and I getting more integrated into the
34:07
offense. With this being only like his you know, fourth or fifth game
34:10
with the Suns. Yeah, we'll see see Kevin Durant and Devin Booker lead
34:16
the way. From a usage standpoint, Kevin Durant thirty two percent usage rate
34:21
with Bill and Nurkic off the court. Booker leading the team in usage thirty
34:24
three percent, has a huge thirty eight percent assist percentage with Beal and Nurkiic
34:30
off the court the season, averaging around fifty DK points per thirty six minutes.
34:34
Both these guys get a pretty tough matchup though. Kevin Durant going to
34:37
be guarded by Jabari Smith Junior, who's a you know, really really lengthy
34:40
long defender, pretty pretty solid defender as well, been a plus defender all
34:45
season long. Devin Booker going to see Dylan Brooks, which everybody knows.
34:50
He's, you know, he's not very good offensively, but really good defensive
34:52
player. I don't know if you would categorize him as elite, but I
34:57
mean he's a he's a really solid on ball defender. So I think that
35:00
these guys do have tougher matchups. But the Rockets they've been kind of struggling
35:02
as of late. They were getting beaten by three point shooters a lot,
35:07
giving up a ton of three point shooters. Their transition defense has been a
35:08
little bit worse. Yeah, So I think that these guys do have some
35:15
upside regardless of the matchup being tough. I think you can look at Grayson
35:17
Allen and Eric Gordon as well. They'll definitely take on more of an offensive
35:21
workload. Pretty good matchup for the three point shooters, so I think one
35:23
of these guys could put up a pretty solid score. I think that the
35:25
minutes are much safer. Grace Allend was losing a little bit of run two
35:31
games ago. But yeah, I think that these guys are fine at their
35:36
price tags. And then on the rocket side of things, I'm really only
35:42
looking at Sengoon and Fred van Fleet. But I'm a little bit hesitant on
35:45
Fred van Fleet right now. He's just not playing goods. He hasn't topped
35:49
thirty seven DK points in like seven straight games, just shooting the ball really,
35:52
really poorly. Do like the matchup, though, I have been attacking
35:55
the Suns team with opposing guards all season long. They just they lack on
36:00
ball defense right now. They are bottom ten in pick and roll in both
36:04
pick and roll categories the Suns are, So I think there is a little
36:07
bit of upside for Fred van Fleet, but man, he's just playing really
36:09
bad right now. Would much rather just get up to Sangoon eight point five
36:13
k pretty reasonable price site for him. Won't have to deal with the size
36:16
of your use of Nurkish down low. Could be an easier match if the
36:20
Suns do run more small ball. So I like Senggoon the most, and
36:24
that's really all that I'm looking to on the rocket side of things. Could
36:28
you go Van Vliet and Senggoon in the same line up? Maybe bring it
36:31
back with like a Booker KD or somebody, or or a U Banks or
36:36
somebody like that. Yeah, I think you could do that. I do
36:37
think that Fred van Fleet and Seng Gun probably positive positively correlate. I can
36:43
actually pull this up on our correlation sheet on our website, do a little
36:47
little promo while we're doing this. Yeah, I do definitely think that you
36:52
could play those two guys together. Yeah, because when I hear you talking
36:55
about like bad pick and roll defense is like, you know, you're obviously
36:58
gonna have the point guard a going to have the guy rolling. Maybe they
37:00
both go off, and you know, Van Vliet can't be terrible all season
37:06
long as he's due for a bounce back. Spot got a great matchup tonight
37:08
against his Sun's team. We just gave up what was it seventy or eighty
37:13
last night. I know Luke is a little different type of ballplayer, but
37:15
not very good at guarding the point guard position. That'll do it for these
37:22
six games. I know we didn't get to one hundred likes. That's okay,
37:24
it's Friday. Not as many people as we're watching yesterday. Rio,
37:29
I say we give them a play of the day before we get on out
37:31
of here. But before I kick it over to you, just one last
37:35
plug as it relates to ship at nation dot com. If you're not a
37:38
member yet, head on over to ship atnation dot com. Enter the promo
37:43
code DJN fifteen. They're gonna give you fifteen percent off your membership plan.
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We cover all the major sports including MMA, NHL, NASCAR, college football.
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We just brought over. No better time to join the Nation now,
37:58
Rio, I'm gonna kick it to you first. Let's uh, let's give
38:00
let's give the people one play today, your favorite let's call it point per
38:05
dollar play. You had k yesterday and knocked it out of the park with
38:08
that fifty burger. Who you got today? Yeah, guy, I'm gonna
38:14
be going with tonight. Is a value piece because I do think that with
38:20
it with the small slates, you do see a lot of ownership condensing around
38:22
certain value plays, which is a I think it's a pretty good spot to
38:25
get different large slates. It's a little bit harder because the value becomes a
38:29
lot better. But I do think on a smaller slate, when we don't
38:31
have you know, the backup center three K backup center, that's just going
38:36
to garner all the ownership, you're starting to look at guys in the you
38:39
know, the forward range. You see a lot of ownership on Kolabali,
38:43
a lot on Royce O'Neil, some on on Corey Kispert. So guys,
38:46
I'm looking at guys in that range in that position. And the guy that
38:51
I am gonna be going at tonight is a DeAndre Hunter four point nine K
38:54
small forward, power forward eligible for the Atlanta Hawks. I think that he
39:00
gets back to his normal minutes workload. I'm thinking thirty plus minutes from him
39:02
tonight. Really good game environment and yeah, I really like the under Hunter
39:07
tonight, so he will be somebody down and to be heavily overweight on.
39:10
Yeah, great play. Mon's gonna come from the same game. But before
39:13
we do that. Brock's asking any Lamar Stevens for the Memphis Grizzlies, We
39:19
did not mention him. I don't personally have any interest in Lamar Stevens.
39:22
I don't think you said his name. But do you have any interest in
39:27
Lamar Stevens tonight? Is he's popping in anyone else's projections? I don't know
39:30
where he's popping, but is he popping in your projections? Rio? No,
39:36
I'm not seeing it from him. He's been getting more run with Jaron
39:39
Jackson Junior missing last couple of games. But Jared Jackson should be back tonight,
39:44
So I think that Lamar Stevens will go back to a very limited role
39:49
because this Grizzies team does have They do have a lot of bodies right now.
39:52
I mean they've been thin all season long, but they're getting some guys
39:54
back. So I don't think that we need to look to Lamar Stevens tonight.
39:59
Yeah. And then he yeah, then he just talked about the JJ
40:01
injury. Yeah, and this Memphis team, you know, not playing for
40:04
anything, no need, and you know, rolling guys out there for forty
40:07
minutes, it'll make it spread around. No, Lamar Stevens for me.
40:10
If you got any more questions, feel free to put him in the chat.
40:14
But my play of the day it's gonna come from that same game.
40:15
Like I said, one of the worst teams guarding the point guard. You
40:20
said that also bad in the pick and roll, which I like. But
40:22
give me a manual quickly for this Toronto's Raptors team. I think he's gonna
40:27
go way under own to night sixty nine hundred bucks going up against Trey Young
40:30
and one of the worst defenses in the NBA. I think this game shoots
40:35
out two hundred and forty seven point total, one of the highest, no,
40:38
the highest of the night by a wide margin. That would do it
40:43
for us. Any other departing words, any other thing for the people before
40:47
we get on out of here for the weekend. Rio uh No, I
40:52
really think that we covered it all. Sorry that we couldn't cover the last
40:55
four games for a FanDuel makes a little bit up for when you have these
41:00
split slates, got you know, one side doing twelve games, one's doing
41:04
a you know, so it makes it a little bit tougher to be able
41:07
to cover all that. But if you are a member, will definitely have
41:09
projections up for that. Boomer has been killing it with his projection, so
41:13
wuld definitely rely on those. But yeah, no, I think that this
41:17
is a pretty pretty solid slate, good slate to get a little contrarian in
41:21
the value some good spend up options. So I'm looking forward to it tonight.
41:23
Hopefully we can have a repeat performance of last night. Somebody ships the
41:29
one hundred k, which is I don't know if you saw the well you're
41:30
not on draftings anymore, but they have a four dollars one hundred k up
41:35
top now. Oh really every night or just tonight they've been mixing in.
41:39
They did it last week. Yeah, they did it last week. I
41:45
think before the All Star break. I remember they did it a few years
41:46
ago. But it's like a like a mini max type thing thing six hundred
41:51
to enter it to max it. But there's like over one hundred thousand people
41:54
in it, so it's pretty pretty big lotto. I'll be in there,
41:58
hopefully I can. I can take it down tonight got closed last night,
42:00
but hopefully tonight's my night. Yeah, no, awesome, And then someone's
42:05
asking about Peyton. Yeah, that's my guy, Peyton. In the background.
42:07
Peyton Kobe and then you can bare to see him because of the glare.
42:10
That's that's MJ. That's Mike, the greatest player in the history of
42:14
the National Basketball Association. Rio, don't question me on that. See is
42:19
this in reference to Manuel Quickly? I'm assuming it is. Yeah, you
42:24
probably know a little bit more about his stats on the back to back.
42:27
I don't know what that has to do with anything, But is that what
42:30
do you think about that? Is he bad on I'm assuming he's bad on
42:32
the back back end of a back to back? I don't know. I
42:37
mean title mentioned something yesterday about I mean, these stats are kind of a
42:42
little overvalued. I think I wouldn't look at something like that for a reason
42:47
to get off somebody that I like. But yeah, I don't know if
42:51
you If that's your reasoning for getting off of him, Benny, then by
42:54
all means do it. I like the matchup for Quickly enough for me to
42:58
overlook something like that. Yeah, I don't know what that means. Thirty
43:00
percent historically on back to back I don't know if that's field goal percentage or
43:05
percentage owned or I don't know what that means. But Ben, if you
43:07
if you got it in there in the chat. Let us know it's its
43:10
price, Benny, Yeah, I it's his price, it's the slate,
43:13
it's the team he's playing. I mean, there's several reasons. While you
43:15
know, while I'm into too quickly tonight, one other thing I wanted to
43:21
to talk about, and I was in the chat, but I don't see
43:23
it. But I think that'll do it for us over here at Shiping Nation,
43:28
we certainly appreciate it. Everybody tuning in tonight for my man Rio,
43:32
I'll be back Monday. Rio will be back Tuesday with title. I'll be
43:37
back Monday with nads. But for Rio, I'm ham. We'll see at
43:40
the top of the leaderboards and let ship its hands. Hans must have been step Ans