Latest / Pod Save America / “Raise Caitlyn Jenner’s taxes!”
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Thank you.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 3: I'm Jon Lovett. I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 0:24Speaker 2: On today's show, President Biden prepares to roll out an
- 0:26Speaker 2: ambitious agenda ahead of his first address to a joint
- 0:28Speaker 2: session of Congress. The potential recall in California gets more
- 0:31Speaker 2: attention now that Caitlyn Jenner has declared her candidacy for governor.
- 0:35Speaker 2: And Republicans trot out some truly ridiculous arguments against D.C. statehood.
- 0:39Speaker 2: Then Tommy talks to Hunter Biden about his new book,
- 0:43Speaker 2: Beautiful Things. But first, you don't have to watch Wednesday's
- 0:48Speaker 2: joint session speech alone. We're reviving the group thread. Yay,
- 0:53Speaker 2: group thread. Exciting.
- 0:55Speaker 3: I missed it.
- 0:56Speaker 2: I missed it, too. So come follow along with us
- 0:58Speaker 2: and some other folks from the Crooked Media universe. The
- 1:00Speaker 2: whole family is going to be here at YouTube.com slash
- 1:03Speaker 2: Crooked Media on Wednesday night, 9 p.m. Eastern, 6 p.m. Pacific.
- 1:09Speaker 2: Come join us.
- 1:09Speaker 4: It'll be fun. All right.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Let's get to the news. On Wednesday evening, Joe Biden
- 1:14Speaker 2: will mark 100 days in office with his very first
- 1:17Speaker 2: address to a joint session of Congress. We'll dig into
- 1:19Speaker 2: the speech in a second, but I do want to
- 1:20Speaker 2: start with the political context. Virtually all the major news
- 1:24Speaker 2: organizations released polls over the weekend that give the president
- 1:27Speaker 2: an average job approval of about 54%, with 41% disapproving.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Basically the mirror image of Trump's polling at this point
- 1:36Speaker 2: in his presidency. Nearly 70% of voters are pleased with
- 1:40Speaker 2: Biden's handling of the pandemic and majorities approve of both
- 1:44Speaker 2: his COVID rescue plan and his infrastructure plan. But he
- 1:48Speaker 2: only gets around 30% for his handling of border security
- 1:51Speaker 2: and immigration. That's his worst issue. And his approval among
- 1:55Speaker 2: Republican voters is around 10%. I'll stop there to give
- 1:59Speaker 2: you guys a chance to react. Tommy, anything in these
- 2:01Speaker 2: numbers that you found surprising or at least notable?
- 2:04Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 2:05Speaker 3: Also, I know we pretend 100 days is a big mark,
- 2:08Speaker 3: but you'd think that these media outlets would talk and
- 2:11Speaker 3: space out their polling since it's very expensive and clearly
- 2:14Speaker 3: redundant here, but I digress.
- 2:16Speaker 2: Just a polling dump.
- 2:18Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 2:18Speaker 3: It's just like, we don't need all the same numbers.
- 2:21Speaker 3: A couple of things jumped out at me. One, 78%
- 2:24Speaker 3: of Republicans strongly disapprove of how Biden is handling the job.
- 2:29Speaker 3: That is higher than the equivalent number of Democrats who
- 2:32Speaker 3: strongly disapproved of how Trump was doing at this point.
- 2:35Speaker 3: And it's almost double the comparative number for Obama in 2009.
- 2:39Speaker 3: To me, that just shows how deep and how damaging
- 2:42Speaker 3: the Trump election lie really was. And I think if
- 2:44Speaker 3: reporters or anyone else that want to wring their hands
- 2:48Speaker 3: about polarization, look no further than that number. Polarization is
- 2:52Speaker 3: really the theme of this whole thing. I mean, Dan
- 2:54Speaker 3: made this point in his newsletter, but Biden has done
- 2:57Speaker 3: an incredible job handling COVID. He's gotten shots in arms faster,
- 3:01Speaker 3: and he mailed cash to millions of people. But his
- 3:05Speaker 3: approval rating now is just barely over his election number,
- 3:10Speaker 3: which speaks to how hard it is to move numbers
- 3:13Speaker 3: these days. You also see it on the numbers within
- 3:16Speaker 3: the economy. So 58% of Americans rated the economy negatively.
- 3:21Speaker 3: That's unchanged from a previous ABC poll in September of 2020.
- 3:25Speaker 3: I'm talking about the ABC poll here. But what's interesting
- 3:28Speaker 3: here is Democrats' views on the economy went from 18%
- 3:33Speaker 3: positive in September to 49% positive today. Republicans viewed the
- 3:38Speaker 3: economy positively. 69% of Republicans viewed the economy positively in September,
- 3:44Speaker 3: and 35% of them view it positively today. So The
- 3:48Speaker 3: numbers stayed in the same place, but the parties just
- 3:50Speaker 3: completely flipped their views of the economy based on who
- 3:54Speaker 3: is in charge. That just speaks to how we're just
- 3:57Speaker 3: being pulled in the direction of whatever team we're on.
- 4:00Speaker 3: The good news for Biden is the COVID rescue package
- 4:02Speaker 3: remains popular. The infrastructure spending he wants to do is wildly,
- 4:07Speaker 3: shockingly popular. It's even popular to raise taxes on businesses
- 4:11Speaker 3: to pay for it. A lot of good things for
- 4:12Speaker 3: him in terms of agenda and the things he wants
- 4:15Speaker 3: to do, the challenge is just going to be the
- 4:18Speaker 3: fact that like the country is just supporting whatever team
- 4:22Speaker 3: they're on. And that's a tough place to be if
- 4:25Speaker 3: you're trying to move numbers.
- 4:28Speaker 2: I do want to stay on that for a second,
- 4:29Speaker 2: because I think, as you said, and as Dan pointed
- 4:31Speaker 2: out too, polarization sort of is the defining characteristic of
- 4:34Speaker 2: politics today. I think it's being driven primarily by the
- 4:38Speaker 2: different information ecosystems we all inhabit, right? Like The idea
- 4:42Speaker 2: that 70% of the country approves of how Biden's handling
- 4:45Speaker 2: the pandemic, and it's the number one issue on voters'
- 4:47Speaker 2: minds in a lot of these polls, and yet it's
- 4:49Speaker 2: not driving the approval rating necessarily. The approval rating is
- 4:52Speaker 2: at 54%, which is just a couple points above his
- 4:55Speaker 2: vote share in the 2020 election, which was 51%. And also,
- 5:00Speaker 2: even when you get into questions of ideology, most voters
- 5:03Speaker 2: still think that he's somewhere in the middle, right? 42%
- 5:08Speaker 2: say he's moderate in the NBC poll. 48% say his
- 5:11Speaker 2: views are just about right in the Washington Post poll.
- 5:14Speaker 2: So it's not like you've got a bunch of voters
- 5:15Speaker 2: out there saying they don't like him because of his ideology,
- 5:18Speaker 2: because he's too liberal or too conservative, whatever. It's partisanship.
- 5:22Speaker 2: It's pure partisanship driving these numbers, which makes you realize
- 5:26Speaker 2: that Biden is playing on a very narrow, narrow field
- 5:31Speaker 2: between now and 2022 and now in 2024. And there
- 5:32Speaker 2: aren't many minds that that he can convince or Democrats
- 5:39Speaker 2: can convince either way, no matter what they do, good
- 5:42Speaker 2: or bad. Love it. What did you think? What did
- 5:45Speaker 2: you think about that?
- 5:46Speaker 5: I think I would see it differently than that. So
- 5:49Speaker 5: I'm not disagreeing with what you're describing when you call
- 5:53Speaker 5: it polarization, but it's really not polarization. I think what
- 5:57Speaker 5: we're seeing is like a Fox News tax tax The
- 6:00Speaker 5: grace period that a Democratic president would get from Republicans
- 6:03Speaker 5: or a Republican president would get from Democrats just didn't happen.
- 6:06Speaker 5: Even Barack Obama in 2009 had higher approval rating numbers
- 6:09Speaker 5: amongst Republicans at the beginning of his term. And I
- 6:12Speaker 5: think what you saw over the course of the Obama
- 6:15Speaker 5: administration over eight years is the rise of this Fox
- 6:19Speaker 5: News ecosystem, which had always been there, obviously, with right-wing
- 6:23Speaker 5: talk and right-wing radio. But the rise of Facebook, the
- 6:26Speaker 5: rise of these closed information ecosystems, what you see is
- 6:29Speaker 5: Republican support for Barack Obama starts dropping from where it was,
- 6:33Speaker 5: low 30s, high 20s. It starts to drop and drop
- 6:37Speaker 5: and drop. And then it craters, stays around 10, 15, whatever,
- 6:40Speaker 5: so a low number. And it never comes back up.
- 6:43Speaker 5: It never comes back up. And Joe Biden has not
- 6:45Speaker 5: been afforded the same grace period because the information ecosystem
- 6:49Speaker 5: is now so closed that there's no space for that
- 6:51Speaker 5: to happen. And like, you know, His approval rating amongst
- 6:56Speaker 5: independents is in the 60s. His approval rating among Democrats
- 6:59Speaker 5: is in the 90s. His approval rating among Republicans is very,
- 7:02Speaker 5: very low. And people will say, oh, like this is
- 7:05Speaker 5: a mirror image of what happened under Trump. But independents
- 7:10Speaker 5: under Trump stayed relatively low. They moved between like, you know,
- 7:13Speaker 5: the 30s and the 40s.
- 7:15Speaker 2: When I said marriage, I mean, it's like Trump is
- 7:17Speaker 2: different than sort of Trump is outside what you'd expect
- 7:20Speaker 2: from typical polarization because Trump's approval rating was shit at
- 7:24Speaker 2: this point.
- 7:24Speaker 3: Right.
- 7:25Speaker 2: But that's like you said, it's purely because of independence.
- 7:28Speaker 2: The Democrats and Republicans for each successive Democratic and Republican president,
- 7:32Speaker 2: you're seeing that even more Democrats are approving of the
- 7:34Speaker 2: Democratic president and even more Republicans are approving of the
- 7:37Speaker 2: Republican president as we go on to successive presidents. with
- 7:40Speaker 2: the independents basically being the only group that sort of
- 7:43Speaker 2: swings back and forth.
- 7:44Speaker 1: Right.
- 7:44Speaker 5: But what's interesting is in the numbers is the Democrats
- 7:47Speaker 5: and the independents move a little bit more together because
- 7:51Speaker 5: they're living more in reality than.
- 7:53Speaker 6: This cordoned off group of Republicans.
- 7:54Speaker 5: And so when we call it polarization, really it is this,
- 7:58Speaker 5: you know, 30 to 40 percent of the electorate that
- 8:01Speaker 5: is now fully isolated itself. And they will be at
- 8:05Speaker 5: zero for a Democrat and they will be in the
- 8:07Speaker 5: 90s for a Republican.
- 8:08Speaker 6: And we just have to.
- 8:09Speaker 5: Except, you know, I see some pundits say, oh, you know,
- 8:12Speaker 5: Joe Biden's approval rating may be above 50, but it's
- 8:15Speaker 5: the lowest for any new president. But that's the tax.
- 8:17Speaker 5: That's like the Fox News tax that we're going to
- 8:19Speaker 5: have to accept. And the electorate is behaving like election
- 8:23Speaker 5: day is tomorrow the entire time. You know, polarization, spikes, polls,
- 8:28Speaker 5: people move apart before presidential elections. Now that's just sticky
- 8:33Speaker 5: and that's just continuing. Right.
- 8:35Speaker 2: I do think, Tommy, I don't know if you agree
- 8:36Speaker 2: with this, but like to me, this validates Biden's strategy
- 8:41Speaker 2: or at least it explains Biden's strategy so far, which
- 8:43Speaker 2: is like do a lot of big things, pass a
- 8:46Speaker 2: lot of your policies, which are popular without politicizing them,
- 8:50Speaker 2: or at least to the extent that you can.
- 8:51Speaker 1: Right.
- 8:52Speaker 2: Like he's always talking about how his plans will help
- 8:54Speaker 2: Republicans and. You know, the Republicans support his plans. He
- 8:58Speaker 2: also tries to stay out of these culture wars to
- 9:00Speaker 2: the extent that he can while still standing up for
- 9:03Speaker 2: progressive values. Like, it does seem like the Biden people
- 9:06Speaker 2: understand that with their approval rating among Republicans as low
- 9:09Speaker 2: as it is, and they're not really going to fix that.
- 9:11Speaker 2: They can't afford to piss off either independents or Democratic-based voters.
- 9:16Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, in the CBS poll, they asked, like,
- 9:19Speaker 3: do you want to see congressional Republicans try to compromise
- 9:21Speaker 3: and find common ground, blah, blah, blah. Like, 70% of
- 9:25Speaker 3: voters want to see the parties find common ground. common ground.
- 9:30Speaker 3: When then you ask these same voters in the CBS poll,
- 9:33Speaker 3: and what have the Republicans in Congress done? 61% of
- 9:36Speaker 3: them said they opposed Joe Biden as much as possible,
- 9:38Speaker 3: whereas 58% of them said Joe Biden is trying to compromise.
- 9:42Speaker 3: So I think that absolutely validates the Biden strategy, despite
- 9:46Speaker 3: all the hand wringing about like, how does Joe Biden
- 9:49Speaker 3: define bipartisanship? He's kicking the shit out of Republicans in
- 9:52Speaker 3: Congress when it comes to this exact metric. So I think,
- 9:55Speaker 3: you know, ultimately, like, I think we make too much
- 9:58Speaker 3: of these bipartisanship numbers in these polls. Like, sure, people
- 10:03Speaker 3: want to see Washington get along and, you know, play nice.
- 10:07Speaker 3: But in reality, I think they'll they care much more
- 10:09Speaker 3: at the end of the day about the sort of
- 10:11Speaker 3: policy things we're talking about, like the COVID relief bill
- 10:14Speaker 3: than they do, you know, tone.
- 10:17Speaker 5: Well, I feel like you can look back and say, okay, well,
- 10:20Speaker 5: they decided to pass the COVID relief bill without a
- 10:23Speaker 5: single Republican vote. How has that affected the approval rating
- 10:26Speaker 5: of the COVID relief bill? It's incredibly popular.
- 10:28Speaker 3: It doesn't matter.
- 10:29Speaker 6: Once it's passed, it's passed.
- 10:31Speaker 2: You know, what's interesting is you see that the bigger
- 10:33Speaker 2: issue now is that the infrastructure plan, while popular, is
- 10:37Speaker 2: less popular than the COVID rescue plan. And part of
- 10:40Speaker 2: that is it's not because, oh, Joe Biden hasn't gone
- 10:44Speaker 2: after Republicans on the infrastructure plan. It's Enough people don't
- 10:47Speaker 2: know what's in it. And also, I think that with
- 10:49Speaker 2: the American Rescue Plan, you have the checks and people
- 10:52Speaker 2: could understand that they were going to get a check
- 10:53Speaker 2: in the mail. Part of this whole fucking thing, why
- 10:55Speaker 2: it drives me nuts that we keep talking about infrastructure
- 10:58Speaker 2: and how to define everything as infrastructure as opposed to
- 11:00Speaker 2: just jobs, is people need to know what's in this
- 11:02Speaker 2: plan for them. Like the Biden strategy is very simple.
- 11:05Speaker 2: It's like, let's do things that make people's lives better,
- 11:08Speaker 2: that they can see is going to make their lives better.
- 11:10Speaker 2: And even with polarization as it is, we're going to
- 11:13Speaker 2: go into 2022 knowing that we could be fucked in
- 11:15Speaker 2: the midterms just because of the way polarization is. But
- 11:18Speaker 2: from now until then, we're going to get everything done
- 11:20Speaker 2: that we possibly can to improve people's lives, to give
- 11:23Speaker 2: us the most fighting chance possible in the midterms.
- 11:26Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, like you see on the infrastructure, the
- 11:28Speaker 5: infrastructure proposal that two to one people support making major
- 11:32Speaker 5: changes to get Republican votes. But it's like, well, If
- 11:36Speaker 5: there's no real understanding of what Republican changes would be
- 11:39Speaker 5: versus Democratic changes, what actually are the ideological divides on
- 11:41Speaker 5: the issue?
- 11:42Speaker 2: Of course.
- 11:42Speaker 5: Yeah, sure.
- 11:42Speaker 6: Major changes.
- 11:43Speaker 5: I don't know.
- 11:43Speaker 4: Whatever.
- 11:44Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 11:44Speaker 6: Major changes to get Republican votes. Sounds good to me.
- 11:46Speaker 4: It's play acting.
- 11:47Speaker 5: Yeah, it is.
- 11:49Speaker 2: Let's talk about Wednesday night. The president's first speech to
- 11:52Speaker 2: Congress isn't technically a State of the Union. It's just
- 11:55Speaker 2: referred to as an address to a joint session. So
- 11:57Speaker 2: there's that. Biden is delivering his later than most presidents
- 12:01Speaker 2: and to a smaller in-person audience because of COVID protocols.
- 12:03Speaker 2: Only 200 people will be in attendance. Members of Congress
- 12:06Speaker 2: can't bring guests, no cabinet members, only Chief Justice Roberts
- 12:11Speaker 2: from the Supreme Court, and only the chairman of the
- 12:13Speaker 2: Joint Chiefs from the military. The speech will also mark
- 12:15Speaker 2: the first time that two women, Kamala Harris and Nancy Pelosi,
- 12:18Speaker 2: have ever sat behind the president on the dais.
- 12:22Speaker 3: Love it.
- 12:22Speaker 2: You want to talk about what you and I endured
- 12:24Speaker 2: while writing these monstrous speeches and what the goal is
- 12:28Speaker 2: supposed to be?
- 12:30Speaker 5: Well, I feel like every administration starts out with a plan.
- 12:35Speaker 5: to deliver a shorter, tighter, message-driven, non-laundry list version of
- 12:39Speaker 5: this speech. And then that plan meets the reality of
- 12:42Speaker 5: all the different pieces of the agenda that need to
- 12:46Speaker 5: be included. And that the state of the union or
- 12:49Speaker 5: the joint address, it becomes a deadline.
- 12:52Speaker 6: Everybody loves a deadline.
- 12:53Speaker 5: And it becomes this kind of organizing moment through which
- 12:55Speaker 5: a bunch of different fights play out. But of course,
- 12:57Speaker 5: that internecine arguments over policy agenda items doesn't tend to
- 13:02Speaker 5: redound to like, exquisite writing, you know, does it tend
- 13:06Speaker 5: to lead to the best rhetoric?
- 13:10Speaker 2: It's tough. I mean, we did. You know, that's why
- 13:12Speaker 2: you you try to keep it as short as possible.
- 13:14Speaker 2: You try to inject moments of levity, which thank God
- 13:18Speaker 2: you were there for a long time in the White
- 13:20Speaker 2: House and you helped with this. I think we have
- 13:22Speaker 2: a clip of one of your your best jokes from this.
- 13:25Speaker 6: This is unbelievable. We got rid of one.
- 13:27Speaker 1: Rule from 40 years ago that could have forced some
- 13:30Speaker 1: dairy farmers to spend ten thousand dollars a year proving
- 13:33Speaker 1: that they could contain a spill because milk was somehow
- 13:37Speaker 1: classified as an oil product. With a rule like that,
- 13:41Speaker 1: I guess it was worth crying over spilled milk. I'm
- 13:54Speaker 1: confident a farmer can contain a milk spill without a
- 13:57Speaker 1: federal agency looking over his shoulder.
- 14:02Speaker 5: Now, let's be clear here. That was your joke. That
- 14:05Speaker 5: was your joke. My joke, which I think was deemed
- 14:09Speaker 5: too edgy. It was too edgy for the State of
- 14:12Speaker 5: the Union.
- 14:13Speaker 4: It wasn't.
- 14:13Speaker 6: It was just a different, worse joke.
- 14:14Speaker 5: But my joke was, I don't see why we're making
- 14:17Speaker 5: such a big deal out of a problem that can
- 14:19Speaker 5: be solved with Oreos. That was my joke.
- 14:23Speaker 2: Well, yeah, you can see why that really would have
- 14:26Speaker 2: cleaned things up if we just added that in there, too.
- 14:30Speaker 2: I just... Yeah, no, that was my joke. It was
- 14:32Speaker 2: fucking terrible. I will blame everyone else in the federal
- 14:36Speaker 2: government for seeing the speech, and not one person flagged that.
- 14:40Speaker 2: Not one person flagged that awful joke, including Barack Obama.
- 14:43Speaker 6: It worked.
- 14:44Speaker 5: It worked.
- 14:45Speaker 2: It was fine.
- 14:46Speaker 5: It was fine.
- 14:46Speaker 2: I thought I was going to quit the next day. Tommy,
- 14:50Speaker 2: what do you think that the small in-person audience and
- 14:53Speaker 2: lack of guests does to the speech? And also, apparently,
- 14:56Speaker 2: I saw this in Punchbowl the other day, a bunch
- 14:57Speaker 2: of Republicans in the House and the Senate... have already
- 14:59Speaker 2: said they're not going to attend.
- 15:01Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 15:02Speaker 3: So, I mean, I guess if Congress, if they can't
- 15:05Speaker 3: bring guests, that means that Matt Gaetz can't bring another
- 15:07Speaker 3: Holocaust-denying journalist, which is a thing that actually happened. I
- 15:11Speaker 3: don't totally get these COVID protocols. I mean, especially if
- 15:13Speaker 3: they're all vaccinated, but whatever. Those who watched the Oscars
- 15:17Speaker 3: last night probably got a decent dry run of how
- 15:19Speaker 3: it might look and feel different, which is just smaller.
- 15:22Speaker 3: There's a little less energy in the crowd. You know,
- 15:25Speaker 3: it's just like the room feels bigger. I wonder if
- 15:28Speaker 3: Biden can bring guests because often the White House has
- 15:30Speaker 3: a guest, you know, sits in the in the box
- 15:32Speaker 3: of the first lady. And those individuals bring some of
- 15:35Speaker 3: the biggest emotional moments in these speeches.
- 15:37Speaker 1: Right.
- 15:37Speaker 3: You can imagine Biden bringing out a veteran who'd served
- 15:40Speaker 3: multiple tours in Afghanistan to thank him or her for
- 15:44Speaker 3: their service and highlight that the war is ending. And
- 15:46Speaker 3: those are usually resonant and sort of like a clip
- 15:49Speaker 3: for the news. Again, like if these Republicans no show,
- 15:53Speaker 3: I think that it ultimately is not that big of
- 15:55Speaker 3: a deal. But I do think that will add to
- 15:58Speaker 3: Biden's case that he is being more bipartisan and reasonable.
- 16:02Speaker 3: And then these Republicans just are like petulant brats who
- 16:05Speaker 3: no-show the joint session. I mean, that seems very silly
- 16:07Speaker 3: to me.
- 16:08Speaker 2: I would note it in the speech to try to
- 16:09Speaker 2: fuck them. I would do it in a very nice way.
- 16:12Speaker 2: But if there's a bunch of them who doesn't come
- 16:13Speaker 2: and be like, and look, I'm trying my hardest to
- 16:15Speaker 2: work with Republicans on all these priorities. Some of them
- 16:17Speaker 2: didn't even want to show up tonight. I hope that
- 16:19Speaker 2: can change. Sorry, you couldn't make it. Twist the knife
- 16:22Speaker 2: a little. Lovett, I don't know if you remember, but the...
- 16:26Speaker 2: In the first year we did this, Obama floated. You know,
- 16:30Speaker 2: he's like, I think one of the most annoying things
- 16:32Speaker 2: about the State of the Union is that like one
- 16:34Speaker 2: side gets up and claps and the other do. And
- 16:35Speaker 2: then there's everything's interrupted with applause. And maybe we should
- 16:39Speaker 2: tell Congress in advance, we should talk to Nancy and
- 16:41Speaker 2: Harry and say, you know, don't have them stand up
- 16:44Speaker 2: and no one should clap. And so it could just
- 16:46Speaker 2: be like a shorter speech that's like more emotional. And
- 16:48Speaker 2: I think immediately like Axelrod and- gibbs and everyone was
- 16:51Speaker 2: like yeah that's not a good idea what was the.
- 16:54Speaker 5: Year but what was in their year where they were
- 16:57Speaker 5: like let's not sit let's not sit on opposite sides
- 17:00Speaker 5: of the aisle let's each go with a republican.
- 17:02Speaker 2: Oh yeah everyone like every every democrat republican like brought
- 17:05Speaker 2: an opposite member of the party trying to sit so
- 17:07Speaker 2: it was like some fucking performative theater bipartisan bullshit that
- 17:11Speaker 2: was terrible but i like i think that the lack
- 17:13Speaker 2: of people in there um the fact that there's not
- 17:16Speaker 2: going to be as much energy and applause speaks to
- 17:20Speaker 2: the need to have an even shorter speech as usual
- 17:22Speaker 2: that's more thematic and less and that includes less applause
- 17:25Speaker 2: lines which by the way biden has done this before
- 17:27Speaker 2: he's practiced this because his whole campaign he was robbed
- 17:32Speaker 2: of huge crowds that you usually get during a presidential
- 17:34Speaker 2: campaign it's the way he gave the convention speech it's
- 17:36Speaker 2: the way he gave the election night speech so he's
- 17:38Speaker 2: sort of practiced in this but i do wonder if
- 17:40Speaker 2: it's going to be shorter because of that and i
- 17:42Speaker 2: think it could be more effective.
- 17:43Speaker 5: That way i do also think well first of all
- 17:45Speaker 5: what i would what I hope is happening is if
- 17:47Speaker 5: Republicans refuse to go, Nancy Pelosi is like, okay, those
- 17:50Speaker 5: will just be more applauding, standing Democrats in the space.
- 17:56Speaker 6: Yeah, like I do think it can be a shorter speech.
- 17:58Speaker 6: It's also.
- 18:02Speaker 5: Like it is every time you see a space that's
- 18:05Speaker 5: usually filled, that's spread out, it reminds everyone of the
- 18:08Speaker 5: gravity of the moment and why he was elected and
- 18:10Speaker 5: the task before him.
- 18:11Speaker 2: I think it is Yeah, there's going to be masks, too, right?
- 18:15Speaker 2: Like Kamala and Nancy will have masks on, I'm sure.
- 18:17Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, it's it's it's.
- 18:22Speaker 5: It's I think the last part of, you know, hopefully
- 18:26Speaker 5: we're moving out of this pandemic. And if we are,
- 18:27Speaker 5: this will be one of the last major events in
- 18:30Speaker 5: which his the you know, it is defined by the
- 18:34Speaker 5: reality of the pandemic and that will be infused in
- 18:36Speaker 5: the speech. And I think only adds to the credibility
- 18:40Speaker 5: he has gained on this issue. as somebody largely respected
- 18:43Speaker 5: even by a lot of Republicans for his leadership on COVID.
- 18:47Speaker 2: I do think in terms of what he needs to achieve,
- 18:50Speaker 2: I would probably spend less time on what we've already
- 18:53Speaker 2: achieved with the pandemic. People understand that. His approval rating
- 18:56Speaker 2: is very high on that. And one of the reasons
- 18:59Speaker 2: I think the American Rescue Plan was able to pass
- 19:02Speaker 2: so easily is They sold that bill really well and
- 19:04Speaker 2: including what was in that bill really well and everyone
- 19:07Speaker 2: understood that. And I don't think people know that about
- 19:10Speaker 2: either the American Jobs Plan or the American Families Plan.
- 19:12Speaker 2: And I would spend a lot of time just really
- 19:14Speaker 2: making sure that every single person at home knew exactly
- 19:17Speaker 2: what they were going to get out of these bills
- 19:18Speaker 2: and how their life was going to change. That would
- 19:20Speaker 2: be my main goal. I don't know if you guys
- 19:21Speaker 2: think there's anything else they should be– he should be
- 19:23Speaker 2: trying to do.
- 19:24Speaker 3: I mean, I like that you guys are– still lobbying
- 19:27Speaker 3: for shorter speeches and less work from retirement. I respect
- 19:30Speaker 3: that very much. Three of us were talking about tone.
- 19:36Speaker 3: This is my personal take based on no data, no
- 19:38Speaker 3: focus groups, literally what I want to hear. I think
- 19:41Speaker 3: that over the last year plus, Biden has done an
- 19:44Speaker 3: amazing job consoling the nation through COVID. The cliche about
- 19:48Speaker 3: Bill Clinton was he felt your pain, but the reality
- 19:50Speaker 3: with Joe Biden is that he has endured more pain
- 19:52Speaker 3: and all this genuine heartbreak and more than anyone should
- 19:54Speaker 3: have to endure. And what's admirable about him as a
- 19:57Speaker 3: human being is the way he's channeled that into empathy
- 20:00Speaker 3: for others. But I would really like sort of what
- 20:03Speaker 3: Lovett was saying. I would love to see the balance
- 20:06Speaker 3: tip heavily on the side of optimism here, And I
- 20:09Speaker 3: don't think it has to be blind optimism or lofty
- 20:13Speaker 3: rhetoric about how we've always succeeded. It can be contingent optimism,
- 20:18Speaker 3: meaning you can say, we've gotten 200 million shots in
- 20:21Speaker 3: arms because we passed the COVID relief bill. People could
- 20:25Speaker 3: stay in their homes because we sent them checks. We
- 20:27Speaker 3: let them defer mortgage payments. I am so optimistic about
- 20:31Speaker 3: the future of this country and the economy, but we
- 20:34Speaker 3: need to pass this infrastructure bill to get to that
- 20:37Speaker 3: even better place.
- 20:38Speaker 4: Right.
- 20:39Speaker 3: Like, but I just, I don't want to see us
- 20:42Speaker 3: wallowing in how awful things have been because I think
- 20:45Speaker 3: people are pretty well aware of how shitty the past
- 20:48Speaker 3: year and a half has been at this point. And
- 20:50Speaker 3: I think I, at least I am just desperate for
- 20:54Speaker 3: whatever feels like reality, the new or getting back to
- 20:57Speaker 3: like sort of new reality.
- 21:00Speaker 2: I just could not agree more. I mean, I was
- 21:03Speaker 2: feeling it watching the beginning of the Oscars last night, right?
- 21:06Speaker 2: It's like, and, you know, ratings for the Oscars are down,
- 21:09Speaker 2: ratings for all these award shows have been way down. And,
- 21:11Speaker 2: you know, my own completely untested theory is part of
- 21:13Speaker 2: it is everyone has suffered this past year, many people
- 21:18Speaker 2: far more than others, people have grieved. And everyone's dealing
- 21:23Speaker 2: with that in their own lives. And when you're tuning
- 21:25Speaker 2: into some public event, like there is a limit to
- 21:28Speaker 2: how much I think we all want to be reminded
- 21:31Speaker 2: of that all the time, right? It is appropriate to
- 21:34Speaker 2: have a moment of silence for those we've lost and
- 21:37Speaker 2: to talk about the people we've lost and the grief
- 21:39Speaker 2: we're going through. There's absolutely a moment for that. But
- 21:41Speaker 2: then like, you really do have to lift people up
- 21:44Speaker 2: at some point because it is, it's just tough to
- 21:46Speaker 2: watch and it's tough to keep reminding yourself over and
- 21:48Speaker 2: over of that.
- 21:49Speaker 5: I also, um, You know, there's this like some of
- 21:55Speaker 5: the polling around youth approval of Biden has like started
- 21:58Speaker 5: this conversation about like just the transformative nature and surprisingly
- 22:01Speaker 5: transformative nature of these first 100 days. And a lot
- 22:04Speaker 5: of people have also noted this, that that maybe Joe
- 22:08Speaker 5: Biden's one of his superpowers is. is he makes every
- 22:12Speaker 5: position he takes seem like a moderate consensus view. It's just,
- 22:15Speaker 5: it is infused.
- 22:16Speaker 6: It's part of his history. It's part of his age.
- 22:18Speaker 5: It's part of his fact that he's an old white guy.
- 22:21Speaker 5: But this is also an opportunity, I think, to make
- 22:24Speaker 5: moderate an expansive, progressive definition of politics, to make an
- 22:30Speaker 5: argument for the scope of what he's doing in a
- 22:34Speaker 5: larger way. Yes, talk about the policies, talk about what
- 22:36Speaker 5: they'll do. But now that I think He has the
- 22:39Speaker 5: kind of now full backing of Democrats and a lot
- 22:42Speaker 5: of respect from progressives as he moves into this next
- 22:45Speaker 5: phase of trying to get infrastructure done, trying to get
- 22:47Speaker 5: this family plan done. I think it's an opportunity to
- 22:49Speaker 5: make a larger case. This is my philosophy. This is
- 22:52Speaker 5: my ideology. And stating a claim for this new Democratic
- 22:55Speaker 5: consensus in front of the biggest audience it'll have for
- 22:58Speaker 5: a very long time.
- 23:00Speaker 2: Well, I'm sure he'll do that when he almost certainly
- 23:02Speaker 2: will talk about his American Jobs Plan and his new
- 23:05Speaker 2: American Families Plan, which reportedly calls for as much as $ 1. 8
- 23:08Speaker 2: trillion in spending on national child care, universal pre-K, tuition-free
- 23:12Speaker 2: community college, paid family and medical leave, bigger Affordable Care
- 23:16Speaker 2: Act subsidies, and a four-year extension of the child tax
- 23:18Speaker 2: credit that would cut child poverty in half. Biden will
- 23:21Speaker 2: also reportedly finance the plan by proposing higher taxes on
- 23:24Speaker 2: the wealthy, specifically a higher capital gains tax and a
- 23:27Speaker 2: higher top marginal income tax rate. Um, this may sound
- 23:31Speaker 2: like a lot of great stuff in one bill, but
- 23:32Speaker 2: just to give you an idea of how challenging this
- 23:34Speaker 2: will be for Biden, he already got a letter from
- 23:36Speaker 2: 17 democratic senators asking him to add healthcare reform to
- 23:39Speaker 2: the American families plan, including an expansion of Medicaid, lowering
- 23:43Speaker 2: the eligibility age for Medicare and negotiating lower drug prices.
- 23:47Speaker 5: Love it.
- 23:47Speaker 2: What do you think the pros and cons are of
- 23:49Speaker 2: adding all that to the American families plan? Like should
- 23:51Speaker 2: Biden add healthcare and why do you think he wouldn't?
- 23:55Speaker 5: Well, I, It's not, it's not the healthcare bill. It's the,
- 23:58Speaker 5: it's a different set of policies. Like I, I want
- 24:02Speaker 5: to do those things too, but there's a, you know,
- 24:04Speaker 5: I think Saki's talked about this in the briefing room
- 24:07Speaker 5: that this bill isn't the, isn't the sum total of all.
- 24:09Speaker 6: The administration's priorities.
- 24:10Speaker 5: If the, if the view is like, we should be
- 24:12Speaker 5: doing these healthcare pieces first, like that, there's an argument
- 24:14Speaker 5: to be made for that. But on the other hand,
- 24:17Speaker 5: at the same time, you have Joe Manchin saying he's
- 24:20Speaker 5: not ready to do all kinds of things to pay
- 24:22Speaker 5: for this. He's not sure about the expense. Like There
- 24:24Speaker 5: are bounds on both sides of this issue. I get
- 24:26Speaker 5: pushing to make it more expansive and turning this into
- 24:29Speaker 5: a kind of more omnibus health care bill, too. But
- 24:31Speaker 5: like getting this giant, massive change to the way in
- 24:36Speaker 5: which we do family leave, medical leave, child care, it's
- 24:39Speaker 5: a big, giant proposal.
- 24:42Speaker 6: And like we can make it even bigger.
- 24:44Speaker 5: But like, I don't know, it just seems like saying like,
- 24:48Speaker 5: why isn't this everything is like is tough to justify.
- 24:53Speaker 2: It is tough because I think, you know, I know
- 24:55Speaker 2: that Jen said it's not the end of his agenda,
- 24:57Speaker 2: but it sort of is the last train leaving the
- 24:59Speaker 2: station before the.
- 25:01Speaker 3: I mean, right.
- 25:01Speaker 2: We only have two more reconciliation bills. We have the
- 25:04Speaker 2: American jobs plan that's got to go in one. And
- 25:06Speaker 2: then you basically got to have the American families plan
- 25:08Speaker 2: go in the other. And then that's all she wrote. Unless, again,
- 25:12Speaker 2: we're like hoping for the miracle of getting rid of
- 25:14Speaker 2: the filibuster for just any old legislation. But they're not
- 25:18Speaker 2: going to be able to probably do another budget bill.
- 25:20Speaker 2: There might be one more that you get in right
- 25:22Speaker 2: before the midterms, but it's hard to do it in
- 25:23Speaker 2: a midterm year, right?
- 25:24Speaker 6: You could do it at the beginning.
- 25:25Speaker 5: You could, like, I don't totally understand why the beginning
- 25:29Speaker 5: of 2022 is a period of time where Democrats feel
- 25:32Speaker 5: like they can't legislate.
- 25:34Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm wondering if the American Families Plan, I think
- 25:36Speaker 2: that the American Families Plan reconciliation bill might be stealing
- 25:39Speaker 2: it from the beginning of 2022. That's how you're getting
- 25:41Speaker 2: in an extra one in 2021.
- 25:43Speaker 5: The parliamentarians, like, you can do any, we're unlimited. We
- 25:48Speaker 5: get all the reconciliation bills we want.
- 25:49Speaker 3: Yeah, it changes every other day.
- 25:51Speaker 2: It's really tough. And I think that like the Biden
- 25:52Speaker 2: people are thinking they probably, you know, learned another lesson
- 25:56Speaker 2: from from the Obama administration is they've learned many like,
- 25:58Speaker 2: do we really want to dive into a big health
- 26:01Speaker 2: care fight on top of everything else if we're going
- 26:03Speaker 2: to shore up and expand the Affordable Care Act with
- 26:07Speaker 2: all these extra subsidies? That said, expansion of Medicaid, lowering
- 26:11Speaker 2: the eligibility age for Medicare, and negotiating lower drug prices, incredibly,
- 26:15Speaker 2: incredibly popular things, super important, would change a lot of lives.
- 26:19Speaker 2: But that's not to say that, of course, all the
- 26:21Speaker 2: other things they're going to do in the American Families
- 26:22Speaker 2: Plan wouldn't also change lives. I mean, this is some
- 26:25Speaker 2: pretty big stuff. Universal pre-K, tuition-free community college, the child
- 26:29Speaker 2: tax credit alone, basically Social Security for kids, making it permanent.
- 26:33Speaker 2: would be a huge, huge legacy item. So it's tough.
- 26:36Speaker 2: It's really tough. So Tommy, Republicans are freaking out about
- 26:39Speaker 2: the higher taxes on the wealthy, of course, which Axios
- 26:42Speaker 2: referred to as eye-popping. Are these tax hikes eye-popping? How
- 26:46Speaker 2: should Biden handle the coming tax attack on this?
- 26:49Speaker 3: I think that he should lean into this fight. So
- 26:52Speaker 3: the fact that Biden wants to pay for this infrastructure
- 26:55Speaker 3: plan by increasing taxes on businesses is actually more popular
- 26:59Speaker 3: than the plan itself. And so what we're talking about
- 27:02Speaker 3: here is Trump cut the corporate tax rate from 35%
- 27:05Speaker 3: to 21%. Biden is saying, let's raise the corporate tax
- 27:10Speaker 3: rate back up to 28%. I don't think anyone thinks
- 27:12Speaker 3: the sky is going to fall then. I don't think
- 27:14Speaker 3: that's eye popping. And voters are also broadly supportive of
- 27:18Speaker 3: increasing taxes on the very wealthy. And so what Biden
- 27:21Speaker 3: wants to do is return the top marginal income tax
- 27:25Speaker 3: rate to 39.6%, which is where it was before the
- 27:29Speaker 3: Trump tax cut. And then he wants to fix part
- 27:32Speaker 3: of the tax code that is just clearly unfair that
- 27:35Speaker 3: says money you make from investments will be taxed at
- 27:37Speaker 3: a lower rate than money earned from work, right? So
- 27:40Speaker 3: a millionaire who sells a stock that they've owned for
- 27:42Speaker 3: more than a year pays a 20% federal rate. That's nuts.
- 27:46Speaker 3: Biden will basically make that tax rate the same as
- 27:49Speaker 3: what that person would pay on income. And they'll get
- 27:52Speaker 3: rid of loopholes that allow rich people to save tons
- 27:55Speaker 3: of money on taxes when they die and they pass
- 27:58Speaker 3: on assets like artwork or like stocks So I think
- 28:02Speaker 3: the whole thing is pretty logical. Someone who just passively
- 28:07Speaker 3: owns an asset shouldn't pay less tax on income derived
- 28:10Speaker 3: from that thing than an individual who's a construction worker
- 28:13Speaker 3: or a doctor or some other job. And then to
- 28:16Speaker 3: the eye-popping description, I mean, the top marginal tax rates
- 28:22Speaker 3: were in the 70% bracket in the 70s. They were
- 28:23Speaker 3: as high as 94% right after World War II. Those
- 28:30Speaker 3: are eye-popping numbers. I think what most people think is
- 28:33Speaker 3: that the really eye-popping offensive thing about US tax policy
- 28:38Speaker 3: and what it is allowed to happen in this country
- 28:41Speaker 3: is the economic inequality. So it's funny, like Republicans, you
- 28:45Speaker 3: can tell they're just like desperate to call Biden, you know,
- 28:49Speaker 3: sort of a tax and spend liberal. But When you
- 28:52Speaker 3: look at the Democrats' tax cuts, including the March stimulus,
- 28:56Speaker 3: the net effect is to drive down tax rates on
- 28:59Speaker 3: low and middle income people so much so this year
- 29:01Speaker 3: that those earning less than $ 75, 000 on average will owe
- 29:05Speaker 3: nothing in federal income taxes. That's where we want to
- 29:08Speaker 3: be as a party, cutting taxes for people making less
- 29:10Speaker 3: than 75 grand, raising taxes on billionaires who are passing
- 29:14Speaker 3: along artwork to their kids. It feels like a no brainer.
- 29:17Speaker 2: I would have a huge portion of the speech Wednesday
- 29:20Speaker 2: night taking on this tax issue. I would be running
- 29:23Speaker 2: ads about it. I would be goading Republicans into this fight.
- 29:27Speaker 2: It is the most popular issue that we could fight on.
- 29:30Speaker 2: And like you said, Tommy, the corporate tax increase is
- 29:33Speaker 2: more popular than the infrastructure plan. And the tax increase
- 29:36Speaker 2: on wealthy individuals and capital gains taxes is even more
- 29:40Speaker 2: popular than the corporate tax increase because, you know. corporations
- 29:43Speaker 2: say oh if you raise taxes on us we'll pass
- 29:45Speaker 2: them on to consumers and sometimes people buy that stuff
- 29:47Speaker 2: like that but raising taxes on wealthy individuals on the
- 29:50Speaker 2: top one percent or in the case of the capital
- 29:52Speaker 2: gains like the top 0.4 percent is like a 70
- 29:56Speaker 2: percent issue uh donald donald trump was least popular two
- 30:00Speaker 2: times in his presidency two times of all the bad
- 30:02Speaker 2: shit he did the insurrection, the caging children, everything, the
- 30:06Speaker 2: two times he was the least popular was when he
- 30:08Speaker 2: tried to pass that tax cut for the rich and
- 30:10Speaker 2: we try to take people's health care away. That's when
- 30:12Speaker 2: he was least popular. And so like if Republicans do
- 30:15Speaker 2: not want to have a fight, at least the smart
- 30:16Speaker 2: Republicans do not want to have a fight about taxes.
- 30:19Speaker 2: And Biden should take it to them every single day
- 30:21Speaker 2: from now until the midterms.
- 30:23Speaker 5: Yeah, I by the way, I assume the reason he's
- 30:25Speaker 5: starting with the cap gains rate, ultimately, if you include
- 30:30Speaker 5: like the Obama surcharge above the top marginal rate is
- 30:33Speaker 5: because he's actually negotiating with Democrats from wealthier states. That's
- 30:38Speaker 5: where this negotiation will largely take place. Yeah.
- 30:41Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 30:42Speaker 5: I mean, the Republican position is no taxes on inheritance,
- 30:48Speaker 5: no tax on wealth, lower taxes on corporations, and the
- 30:52Speaker 5: ability for families to perpetually pass on assets while never
- 30:57Speaker 5: paying taxes as those assets gain in value.
- 31:00Speaker 2: It's a workers' party now. It's a workers' party.
- 31:03Speaker 5: The Republican position, the official position is for, that is oligarchy.
- 31:07Speaker 6: That's what that does.
- 31:08Speaker 5: That creates a giant pool of basically permanently untaxable wealth
- 31:12Speaker 5: that grows and grows and grows and is passed down
- 31:14Speaker 5: from generation to generation.
- 31:15Speaker 6: And that is like aristocracy. That's what that creates.
- 31:18Speaker 5: A situation in which wealth is rarely taxed and is
- 31:21Speaker 5: able to accrue in value over generations without ever actually
- 31:25Speaker 5: being taxed as it grows is a recipe for creating
- 31:28Speaker 5: an aristocracy. That is what they want to do. And
- 31:30Speaker 5: that is what they have succeeded in doing over the
- 31:33Speaker 5: past few years.
- 31:34Speaker 6: And we have to roll back.
- 31:44Speaker 4: All right.
- 31:44Speaker 2: We haven't yet talked about the potential recall election brewing
- 31:48Speaker 2: here in our home state, but it's getting a lot
- 31:49Speaker 2: more attention now that Caitlyn Jenner announced last week that
- 31:51Speaker 2: she's joining the list of candidates who intend to challenge
- 31:54Speaker 2: Governor Gavin Newsom if the effort moves forward. The current
- 31:57Speaker 2: recall petition was first introduced before COVID hit in February 2020,
- 32:01Speaker 2: but it gained steam when a judge lengthened the window
- 32:03Speaker 2: of time to collect signatures as a result of the
- 32:05Speaker 2: pandemic and conservatives grew frustrated with Newsom's public health restrictions.
- 32:10Speaker 2: Recall supporters say that they have the nearly 1.5 million
- 32:13Speaker 2: signatures they need to get on the ballot sometime this fall,
- 32:16Speaker 2: but we'll know for sure any day now when election
- 32:18Speaker 2: officials finish verifying those signatures. Jenner is one of several
- 32:22Speaker 2: Republicans running, including John Cox, who lost to Newsom by
- 32:25Speaker 2: almost 24 points in 2018. and a bunch of other
- 32:28Speaker 2: goobers who might potentially run, including Trump Twitter troll Rick
- 32:31Speaker 2: Grinnell and adult film actress Mary Carey, who ran against
- 32:35Speaker 2: Gray Davis in the 2003 recall. All right, first, Tommy,
- 32:39Speaker 2: how common are recall elections? How do they work? And
- 32:41Speaker 2: why would a recall be potentially more challenging for Newsom
- 32:44Speaker 2: than just a regular election?
- 32:46Speaker 3: So one thing that folks should know is that this
- 32:48Speaker 3: recall could cost the state up to $ 400 million. But
- 32:53Speaker 3: Gavin is up in 2022. So we might drop $ 400
- 32:57Speaker 3: million to recall a guy a year early. That is
- 32:59Speaker 3: so stupid. Also, you can recall a politician for basically
- 33:03Speaker 3: anything in California. It's not like impeachment where there's some
- 33:06Speaker 3: bar you need to reach. You basically need to get
- 33:08Speaker 3: signatures from 12% of the voters who voted in the
- 33:10Speaker 3: last election to or about 1.5 million people. California is
- 33:14Speaker 3: a huge state. You could probably recall Gavin Newsom with
- 33:17Speaker 3: like just QAnon believers and anti-vaxxers, which is basically what's happening.
- 33:21Speaker 3: And as John noted, it's especially easy this year because
- 33:24Speaker 3: the organizers got this extra 120 days to collect signatures.
- 33:28Speaker 3: So it's likely that we will go forward with the
- 33:31Speaker 3: recall and voters will ultimately be asked to vote on
- 33:34Speaker 3: two things. One, should Gavin Newsom be recalled? And two,
- 33:38Speaker 3: if he's recalled, who should replace him? Now, The whole
- 33:42Speaker 3: fight is over part one, but the thing to know
- 33:45Speaker 3: about question two, about like who gets on the ballot
- 33:47Speaker 3: is it's again, absurdly easy to get on the ballot.
- 33:50Speaker 3: You basically have to pay like four grand. In 2003,
- 33:54Speaker 3: there were 135 candidates on the ballot and you could
- 33:57Speaker 3: see exponentially more this time. And so like the reason
- 34:00Speaker 3: this is such a bad and dumb process is you
- 34:03Speaker 3: just have to win with a plurality. So you could
- 34:05Speaker 3: see a Rick Grinnell or a Caitlyn Jenner win with
- 34:09Speaker 3: like 15% of the vote. So the good news for
- 34:11Speaker 3: Gavin is it seems very unlikely that this will work.
- 34:17Speaker 3: Lots of money is pouring in from billionaires and national
- 34:20Speaker 3: political parties. But when Gray Davis was recalled in 2003,
- 34:25Speaker 3: Gray Davis was way less popular. And the Democratic registration
- 34:28Speaker 3: advantage in the state today is triple what it was then.
- 34:32Speaker 3: So it's a waste of time. I think it's really
- 34:34Speaker 3: annoying for Gavin and his folks. But we do need
- 34:37Speaker 3: to pay attention to Because there could be another variant.
- 34:40Speaker 3: There could be a bad fire season. You never know
- 34:42Speaker 3: what could happen. And the people behind this effort are
- 34:45Speaker 3: some dark, dark, weird, crazy people. The guy leading the
- 34:49Speaker 3: recall effort who filed the petition is a retired cop
- 34:52Speaker 3: who posted on Facebook, microchip illegal aliens. It works. Just
- 34:56Speaker 3: ask animal control. That's kind of the caliber of person
- 35:00Speaker 3: that is behind this.
- 35:01Speaker 2: So it's worth watching. recalls are circuses.
- 35:06Speaker 6: It's a, yeah, no, it's a circus.
- 35:08Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 35:08Speaker 5: Like, so gray Davis, much less popular state was less
- 35:10Speaker 5: democratic and it got to 55% on the first question of,
- 35:14Speaker 5: do you want to recall? Uh, and even though there
- 35:16Speaker 5: were a ton of people on the ballot, I think
- 35:18Speaker 5: Schwarzenegger got like 48%. So it like it coalesced around
- 35:21Speaker 5: Schwarzenegger because he was somebody who would actually was a celebrity.
- 35:24Speaker 5: Obviously it was incredibly well known and also had some involvement, uh,
- 35:27Speaker 5: in politics, man, you know, this was supposed to be
- 35:30Speaker 5: a crank thing. And then the pandemic happened. I will
- 35:33Speaker 5: say if they do have the votes and it seems
- 35:36Speaker 5: like they do for the recall, this will be the
- 35:37Speaker 5: most expensive French laundry visit, most expensive restaurant meal in
- 35:42Speaker 5: like human fucking history. Because it really did like it
- 35:46Speaker 5: turned something that was about right wing politics, big VC
- 35:50Speaker 5: real estate donors who kind of fund this shit every
- 35:53Speaker 5: time into like a larger question about his pandemic response,
- 35:56Speaker 5: which is.
- 35:57Speaker 3: You know, bummer.
- 35:59Speaker 2: Just to underline some of the facts Tommy was giving us. So,
- 36:03Speaker 2: you know, a couple of polls so far. Basically, the recall,
- 36:07Speaker 2: do you want to recall Newsom is polling at around
- 36:09Speaker 2: 40% in the last couple of polls recently. His approval
- 36:12Speaker 2: rating is currently at 52%. By contrast, Gray Davis's approval
- 36:16Speaker 2: ratings when he was recalled in 2003, the only other
- 36:19Speaker 2: governor to ever be recalled in California history. He was
- 36:22Speaker 2: in the low to mid 20s. the low to mid-20s.
- 36:25Speaker 2: Of course he was recalled. So Newsom is still, you know,
- 36:28Speaker 2: it's down from Newsom's approval rating earlier in the pandemic
- 36:31Speaker 2: and earlier in his term when he was up at 57-60,
- 36:34Speaker 2: but he's still at 42. And as Tommy pointed out
- 36:36Speaker 2: on the registration, Democrats also account for 46% of the
- 36:40Speaker 2: registered voters versus just 24% for Republicans. So that's just
- 36:45Speaker 2: the shape of the state, the shape of the electorate
- 36:48Speaker 2: just makes it really, really tough. We're also sitting, by
- 36:51Speaker 2: the way, right now with the lowest per capita COVID
- 36:54Speaker 2: infection rate of any state in the continental US right now.
- 36:58Speaker 2: I think only Hawaii is doing better than us.
- 37:00Speaker 3: Yeah, look, governing any state during COVID was really hard.
- 37:03Speaker 3: We still don't have a handle on why and when
- 37:06Speaker 3: these waves came back. So I have some sympathy there.
- 37:10Speaker 3: I do think people were particularly pissed about reopening a
- 37:13Speaker 3: little too early and then some of the questions around schools.
- 37:15Speaker 3: But I do think by the time this vote actually occurs,
- 37:18Speaker 3: that should all be solves. But yeah, I just think
- 37:22Speaker 3: the thing to underscore is like 12%, you need signatures
- 37:27Speaker 3: from 12% of equivalent of the people who voted in
- 37:29Speaker 3: the last election. That just means that like everyone, every
- 37:32Speaker 3: governor could be recalled at any time because there's always
- 37:36Speaker 3: like 12% of your opponent's base that hates you enough
- 37:40Speaker 3: to sign one of these signatures. And if you have
- 37:42Speaker 3: some billionaire backing a direct mail campaign or an effort
- 37:46Speaker 3: to organize it, it's very easy to do. And then
- 37:48Speaker 3: the judge gives them another 120 days. I mean, this
- 37:50Speaker 3: is very, it's a messy situation, but boy, these California
- 37:53Speaker 3: rules are stupid.
- 37:56Speaker 6: They're so stupid. They're so stupid. What are we doing here?
- 38:00Speaker 6: We're going to spend, he's good.
- 38:01Speaker 2: He's up.
- 38:02Speaker 6: He's up in a fucking year. What are we? It's
- 38:05Speaker 6: like ridiculous, ridiculous.
- 38:07Speaker 5: Nuts.
- 38:09Speaker 2: So they are stupid. We are living with them. Unfortunately,
- 38:11Speaker 2: we cannot get rid of the rules. We're facing this.
- 38:13Speaker 2: What if you're love, if you're Gavin Newsom and you
- 38:16Speaker 2: see Caitlyn Jenner enter the race, are you happy? Are
- 38:18Speaker 2: you not happy? Like what's your what's your strategy if
- 38:21Speaker 2: you're Gavin Newsom in this in this recall election, which
- 38:24Speaker 2: he will likely face?
- 38:25Speaker 5: I don't think anybody's happy. I don't think you're happy
- 38:28Speaker 5: about any of this. I will say, like, I do
- 38:33Speaker 5: see a bunch of different people kind of like casting
- 38:35Speaker 5: out for what to say around Caitlyn Jenner. I saw
- 38:38Speaker 5: Karen Bass talking about the fact that she didn't think
- 38:41Speaker 5: Republicans would get behind a trans candidate. I do think
- 38:45Speaker 5: the fact that Caitlyn Jenner is a former Trump supporter
- 38:49Speaker 5: who is now meeting with Trump campaign manager, former campaign
- 38:55Speaker 5: manager Brad Parscale, and that her strategy seems to be
- 38:59Speaker 5: entirely rooted in xenophobia and the same kind of Trump politics,
- 39:03Speaker 5: death penalty, attacking the DAs, blaming Gavin Newsom for the
- 39:07Speaker 5: decisions of separately elected district attorneys, I think is where
- 39:13Speaker 5: I would be focused on. This is a Republican-backed, Trump-money-backed,
- 39:19Speaker 5: real estate interest-backed effort, and I would be attacking the
- 39:24Speaker 5: whole effort and then Caitlyn Jenner as the face of
- 39:27Speaker 5: it for being a right-wing Trump-backed... I see people calling
- 39:32Speaker 5: Caitlyn Jenner the Republican candidate. I would think about calling
- 39:34Speaker 5: her the Trump candidate, given how much Trump interest is
- 39:36Speaker 5: now behind her, and I would be focusing on that.
- 39:41Speaker 2: Tommy, what do you think? What do you think about
- 39:43Speaker 2: Caitlyn Jenner's entrance to the race, and how would you
- 39:45Speaker 2: run against her?
- 39:45Speaker 3: I mean, look, Caitlyn Jenner jumped into the race and immediately...
- 39:50Speaker 3: demonstrated why she shouldn't be running and doesn't know anything
- 39:52Speaker 3: about politics. Like Lovett just mentioned, she attacked Governor Newsom
- 39:55Speaker 3: for decisions made by the San Francisco district attorney. But
- 39:58Speaker 3: in California, we vote for our DAs. Gavin doesn't appoint them, right?
- 40:02Speaker 3: So like, come on, get your shit together. I would
- 40:06Speaker 3: like the real, the campaign is on this first question
- 40:10Speaker 3: of should Gavin Newsom be recalled? And if I'm his team,
- 40:14Speaker 3: I'm going to talk about all the things I did well.
- 40:17Speaker 3: I'm going to keep sort of like doing the job well,
- 40:19Speaker 3: get shots in arms, get schools reopened, right? Like show competence.
- 40:22Speaker 3: And then just say, the way this works is if
- 40:25Speaker 3: you vote to recall me, there's a serious chance that
- 40:28Speaker 3: you're going to get some hardcore MAGA person, whether it's
- 40:31Speaker 3: Caitlyn Jenner or Rick Grinnell, one of the most like
- 40:34Speaker 3: unhinged assholes to ever, you know, come out of Republican politics.
- 40:38Speaker 3: So like, you know, that's what it could be. Like
- 40:41Speaker 3: the downside risk of recalling Gavin Newsom is so high
- 40:46Speaker 3: given how much these votes get split and the fact
- 40:48Speaker 3: that you can win with plurality that like, you know, you're,
- 40:51Speaker 3: you just shouldn't risk it. It'd be my message.
- 40:54Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 40:54Speaker 2: I think you're, I think that's exactly right. It's, it's,
- 40:56Speaker 2: it's me, Gavin Newsom versus Trumpy and chaos. Because if, if, if, if,
- 41:01Speaker 2: if you vote and the recall happens, any, any one
- 41:04Speaker 2: of these fucking nut cases could end up being your governor.
- 41:08Speaker 2: And by the way, Like here's our state, lowest COVID
- 41:11Speaker 2: infection rate. All of the public health restrictions will be
- 41:14Speaker 2: lifted on June 15th. Needs to make sure that all
- 41:17Speaker 2: the kids are back in school by the fall as well,
- 41:20Speaker 2: because you don't want any other issues. But if all
- 41:22Speaker 2: those issues are solved, right? Like if the pandemic sort
- 41:25Speaker 2: of starts fading in people's minds, or at least some
- 41:27Speaker 2: of the public health restrictions, part of the pandemic and
- 41:30Speaker 2: people are vaccinated, things are going well, and the state's
- 41:32Speaker 2: got surplus budget right now too, then he can tout
- 41:35Speaker 2: the job he's done and say, it's either me or chaos.
- 41:39Speaker 2: and a bunch of MAGA people, and that's that. But
- 41:42Speaker 2: it's not great. Not great that we're going to have
- 41:45Speaker 2: to deal with the whole, the Caitlyn Jenner show for
- 41:47Speaker 2: the next however many months.
- 41:49Speaker 3: I think if you ask, like if you talk to
- 41:51Speaker 3: Gavin's people off the record, like this is very annoying.
- 41:54Speaker 3: They feel like they're very well positioned to beat question one,
- 41:57Speaker 3: which is should we be recalled? But you just don't
- 42:00Speaker 3: know what you don't know. Like none of us saw
- 42:02Speaker 3: a pandemic coming a little over a year ago, right?
- 42:05Speaker 3: Like bad things can happen in the state. He could
- 42:07Speaker 3: get blamed for it. And so they're taking it very seriously.
- 42:10Speaker 3: They brought a new staff to bring it on, but
- 42:12Speaker 3: it's just, this state is like so close to ungovernable
- 42:15Speaker 3: that you throw a fucking recall election on top of that.
- 42:18Speaker 3: And it's just, it's absurd. I just can't believe we're
- 42:20Speaker 3: doing this.
- 42:21Speaker 5: And then there's the question of whether or not you
- 42:22Speaker 5: want some kind of democratic stalking horse in the candidates.
- 42:27Speaker 5: And like, I like, it is going to be inevitably
- 42:31Speaker 5: Gavin Newsom's position that you don't want that, that you
- 42:33Speaker 5: don't want.
- 42:33Speaker 6: To introduce the complexity.
- 42:34Speaker 3: They don't want that at all.
- 42:35Speaker 5: You don't want to, but, but, One of the lessons
- 42:39Speaker 5: from 2003 is you don't want that till all of
- 42:41Speaker 5: a sudden you wish you really had rallied behind one person.
- 42:43Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 42:44Speaker 3: In 03, they had Cruz Bustamante on the ticket and
- 42:47Speaker 3: just Schwarzenegger mopped up. So yeah, I don't see like someone, look,
- 42:51Speaker 3: celebrity and name ID is everything. We've all learned that
- 42:54Speaker 3: the hard way recently, but I don't know if Caitlyn
- 42:56Speaker 3: Jenner is the one to do it. Like Schwarzenegger was
- 42:58Speaker 3: certainly next level in terms of fame. But yeah, this
- 43:01Speaker 3: thing could cut a million different ways.
- 43:04Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's why Gavin is vacuuming up endorsements
- 43:07Speaker 2: as fast as he possibly can from Democrats so that
- 43:10Speaker 2: no one else runs. On the other side, Caitlyn Jenner
- 43:12Speaker 2: has not received many endorsements, including not a single endorsement from,
- 43:16Speaker 2: not a single word spoken from a Kardashian or a Jenner. Khloe, Kendall, Kourtney.
- 43:22Speaker 3: It's tough. None of them.
- 43:24Speaker 2: None of them have endorsed the offer yet. It is
- 43:27Speaker 2: a sad state.
- 43:32Speaker 5: That what we want to say is this is, of course,
- 43:35Speaker 5: ridiculous and there's nothing to worry about.
- 43:38Speaker 6: But we stopped being able to say that quite some
- 43:40Speaker 6: time ago.
- 43:42Speaker 2: We all just came from the Trump era. If you
- 43:44Speaker 2: want to help stop the recall effort, there is a website, stoptherepublicanrecall.com.
- 43:50Speaker 2: You can find ways to volunteer and donate to make
- 43:52Speaker 2: sure this nightmare doesn't happen.
- 43:55Speaker 4: All right.
- 43:56Speaker 2: One more thing to mention before we get to Tommy's
- 43:57Speaker 2: interview with Hunter Biden. The House passed legislation on Thursday
- 44:00Speaker 2: that would make the District of Columbia the 51st state,
- 44:03Speaker 2: granting it two senators and appropriate representation in the House.
- 44:07Speaker 2: The proposal is now in front of the Senate, and
- 44:09Speaker 2: Republicans are offering quite a few reasons that they're not
- 44:11Speaker 2: happy with it. And Lovett, I believe you've prepared a
- 44:14Speaker 2: game for the occasion.
- 44:16Speaker 5: The District of Columbia. The museums are free, but the
- 44:18Speaker 5: people are not. The House has now passed a bill.
- 44:20Speaker 6: To make D.C.
- 44:21Speaker 5: The nation's 51st state, which would be called Washington-Douglas Commonwealth,
- 44:25Speaker 5: named after, of course... Douglas Emhoff. The bill heads to
- 44:29Speaker 5: the Senate where Democrats will either change Senate rules and
- 44:32Speaker 5: pass the bill with 50 votes or Joe Manchin will
- 44:34Speaker 5: use the powers of Kilgrave to find 10 Republicans to
- 44:37Speaker 5: support the addition of one beautiful new star to the
- 44:39Speaker 5: Stars and Stripes. Republicans are scrambling to justify their opposition
- 44:42Speaker 5: to granting full and equal citizenship to one of the
- 44:45Speaker 5: most diverse regions in the country without saying that they
- 44:47Speaker 5: just don't want to create two Democratic senators in perpetuity
- 44:50Speaker 5: with a dash of it's pretty black and that just
- 44:52Speaker 5: bugs us. This has led to some pretty ornate justifications
- 44:55Speaker 5: for opposing statehood. So let's see if John and Tommy
- 44:57Speaker 5: can tell the real quotes from the fake ones in
- 44:59Speaker 5: a game we're calling DC is a state of mind.
- 45:03Speaker 3: Are you ready?
- 45:05Speaker 6: John and Tommy.
- 45:06Speaker 2: So ready.
- 45:08Speaker 6: Some of these are real.
- 45:09Speaker 5: Some of them are fake.
- 45:09Speaker 6: Here we go.
- 45:10Speaker 5: There's no, I mean, obviously they're all fake, but some
- 45:12Speaker 5: of them were really said. There's no question that DC
- 45:15Speaker 5: residents already impact the national debate. For the members here today,
- 45:18Speaker 5: how many of you saw DC statehood yard signs or
- 45:20Speaker 5: bumper stickers or banners on your way to the hearing today?
- 45:23Speaker 5: I certainly did. Where else in the nation could such
- 45:25Speaker 5: a simple action reach so many members of Congress?
- 45:28Speaker 6: Tommy, I'll start with you.
- 45:29Speaker 5: Real.
- 45:30Speaker 6: That's real.
- 45:31Speaker 5: That's Zach Smith from the Heritage Foundation.
- 45:34Speaker 6: Next quote.
- 45:34Speaker 5: Look, if you're not fracking, you're not a state. It's
- 45:37Speaker 5: as simple as that. But I'm here today to talk
- 45:40Speaker 5: about the border crisis.
- 45:41Speaker 4: John?
- 45:43Speaker 2: Shit.
- 45:46Speaker 1: Real.
- 45:47Speaker 6: No, it's fake. I made it up.
- 45:49Speaker 4: That was good.
- 45:50Speaker 2: That was good.
- 45:50Speaker 6: The twist at the end gave it some.
- 45:54Speaker 2: The Franken thing totally sounds like something they'd say.
- 45:58Speaker 3: Tommy, over to you.
- 45:59Speaker 6: D.C.
- 45:59Speaker 5: Wouldn't even qualify as a singular congressional district because of
- 46:03Speaker 5: its low population.
- 46:05Speaker 3: Real and said in front of Liz Cheney, who has
- 46:07Speaker 3: a lower population, I believe.
- 46:09Speaker 6: Yes, that's correct. That's from Congresswoman Nancy Mace.
- 46:12Speaker 4: D.C.
- 46:13Speaker 5: Wouldn't even be the smallest state it would be ahead
- 46:16Speaker 5: of Vermont and, yes, Wyoming.
- 46:18Speaker 6: John, over to you.
- 46:19Speaker 5: Wyoming has three times as many workers in mining, logging,
- 46:22Speaker 5: and construction and 10 times as many workers in manufacturing.
- 46:26Speaker 5: Wyoming is a well-rounded, working-class state.
- 46:29Speaker 2: Fake.
- 46:30Speaker 3: That's real.
- 46:31Speaker 5: From Senator Tom Cotton. If you put it through the
- 46:35Speaker 5: Google translator, well-rounded does mean white. That's how you translate
- 46:40Speaker 5: that quote. Tommy, you're absolutely crushing it.
- 46:44Speaker 6: Next quote over to you. Enough with the power grab.
- 46:48Speaker 6: There are only eight Starbucks locations.
- 46:54Speaker 3: Fake because there's way more Starbucks than that.
- 46:57Speaker 6: That's correct.
- 46:58Speaker 5: There are only eight Starbucks in Vermont. Alaska has around 20. D.C.
- 47:02Speaker 5: has 91.
- 47:03Speaker 6: It also wouldn't be a good reason. John, back to you.
- 47:06Speaker 6: The founding fathers never intended for Washington, D.C. to be
- 47:08Speaker 6: a state.
- 47:11Speaker 1: Real.
- 47:12Speaker 5: Yes, that's real from Senator Mike Rounds of South Dakota,
- 47:15Speaker 5: which is one of the smallest states in the country
- 47:16Speaker 5: because we made two Dakotas. Fun fact, when President Harrison
- 47:21Speaker 5: signed the papers granting statehood to the Dakotas, there was
- 47:24Speaker 5: a rivalry of which one got to become a state first.
- 47:26Speaker 5: So they shuffled the papers and it's not recorded. We
- 47:30Speaker 5: don't know which state became a state first, South Dakota
- 47:32Speaker 5: or North Dakota.
- 47:32Speaker 2: Isn't that interesting?
- 47:33Speaker 4: Fascinating.
- 47:33Speaker 1: I like that.
- 47:34Speaker 4: I like that. Yeah. Yeah.
- 47:36Speaker 5: It's random.
- 47:36Speaker 2: Let's combine them.
- 47:38Speaker 6: Let's combine them.
- 47:40Speaker 5: Tommy, to you, DC would be the only state without
- 47:42Speaker 5: an airport, without a car dealership, without a landfill.
- 47:45Speaker 2: Real.
- 47:46Speaker 5: That is real. That was Congressman Jody Heiss of Georgia.
- 47:49Speaker 5: Of course, DC does have car dealerships. And while it
- 47:51Speaker 5: may not have a landfill, it does have a repository
- 47:54Speaker 5: of trash called the Heritage Foundation.
- 47:57Speaker 6: Tommy, you've won the game.
- 47:59Speaker 5: It was a real, it was a stunning defeat.
- 48:01Speaker 3: It was a rout.
- 48:02Speaker 6: It was a rout. When we come back, I don't know, something.
- 48:07Speaker 3: John, over to you.
- 48:08Speaker 2: When we come back, we will have Tommy's interview with
- 48:12Speaker 2: Hunter Biden about his new book, Beautiful Things.
- 48:24Speaker 3: I am very excited to be joined today by Hunter Biden,
- 48:26Speaker 3: who is the author of the new book, Beautiful Things. Hunter,
- 48:29Speaker 3: thanks for doing the show.
- 48:30Speaker 4: Thanks for having me, Tommy. Thank you.
- 48:33Speaker 3: I don't know if you remember this, but we met
- 48:35Speaker 3: once before.
- 48:36Speaker 4: A hundred percent on a plane.
- 48:38Speaker 3: Do you remember this?
- 48:39Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 48:40Speaker 1: Okay.
- 48:41Speaker 5: 2004.
- 48:41Speaker 3: I'm 24 years old. We're seated next to each other.
- 48:43Speaker 3: The flight to Boston to the democratic convention. I just
- 48:47Speaker 3: been allowed to go by my boss. You made the
- 48:50Speaker 3: enormous mistake of asking me why I was headed to Boston.
- 48:54Speaker 3: And then I think I vomited, um, anxiety and excitement
- 48:57Speaker 3: at you nonstop for two hours. So thank you for that.
- 49:00Speaker 4: Exactly.
- 49:01Speaker 1: You know what?
- 49:02Speaker 4: Um, um, Yeah, I remember we talked about your uncle. Yeah.
- 49:07Speaker 3: Yeah, who was a political writer.
- 49:08Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly.
- 49:10Speaker 3: And then I think about two hours, like an hour
- 49:13Speaker 3: 59 into the flight, I said, you know, I realized
- 49:15Speaker 3: I forgot to ask you what you're doing here. And
- 49:17Speaker 3: you just said to me, I think, oh, you know,
- 49:18Speaker 3: my dad's speaking. You know, you didn't really get into
- 49:21Speaker 3: it in any way. Didn't big time me. It was
- 49:23Speaker 3: just like, oh, yeah, go and see my dad.
- 49:24Speaker 4: No, it's so funny because I absolutely remember that vividly, vividly. Yeah.
- 49:31Speaker 4: That's so funny. God.
- 49:32Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 49:33Speaker 3: Well, a long time ago. So listen, thank you for
- 49:36Speaker 3: doing this. The book, again, is Beautiful Things. it is,
- 49:41Speaker 3: I felt like it's sort of like two separate books
- 49:43Speaker 3: that are inextricably connected, right? There's the part about, you know,
- 49:47Speaker 3: the loss of your brother, Beau, and the stories about,
- 49:50Speaker 3: you know, like the love and resiliency of your family.
- 49:52Speaker 3: And then there's an account of battles with addiction and
- 49:55Speaker 3: a journey to sobriety. And I was hoping we could
- 49:57Speaker 3: start by just, you know, talking about Beau, because, you know,
- 50:00Speaker 3: what became clear to me from reading the book was
- 50:04Speaker 3: that you guys were more than just brothers. You know,
- 50:06Speaker 3: you often talked about yourself and Bo or yourself and
- 50:09Speaker 3: your dad and Bo is almost like one entity that
- 50:13Speaker 3: was bound together by love and by tragedy and these
- 50:16Speaker 3: connections that were just unbelievably strong. I was wondering if
- 50:18Speaker 3: we could just start by talking about him and that
- 50:20Speaker 3: bond you shared with your family, because I do think
- 50:22Speaker 3: it's so important to understanding you.
- 50:25Speaker 4: I love talking about it. So thanks, Tommy. I mean,
- 50:27Speaker 4: you had met Bo a number of times, right, Tommy?
- 50:30Speaker 4: And he was a special person. to everybody who met him,
- 50:35Speaker 4: literally everybody who met him. And for me, I think
- 50:40Speaker 4: that Bo and I would have been as close as
- 50:41Speaker 4: we were by the nature of my family and the
- 50:45Speaker 4: way that we were a year and a day apart.
- 50:52Speaker 4: And we were the firstborn in my family of that generation.
- 50:55Speaker 4: And so we were kind of everybody's playthings, my aunts
- 50:59Speaker 4: and uncles. But when my mom and sister died, it
- 51:04Speaker 4: drew us even closer together in the sense that we
- 51:09Speaker 4: were the focus of everyone's love in my family for
- 51:12Speaker 4: a very long period of time, trying to make us
- 51:15Speaker 4: whole again. And I often, and I talk about this
- 51:21Speaker 4: in the book, I felt, I feel a sense of
- 51:27Speaker 4: guilt almost in, And talking about that period of time
- 51:33Speaker 4: in my life as a trauma, because what I remember most,
- 51:39Speaker 4: what is at the forefront of my mind, is just
- 51:43Speaker 4: the incredible amount of love that was given to us.
- 51:47Speaker 4: But in particular, the incredible amount of love that was
- 51:54Speaker 4: my brother, period. We were together constantly. And we were
- 51:59Speaker 4: with my dad. constantly we had this rule where we
- 52:01Speaker 4: could go to um with my dad wherever whenever we
- 52:06Speaker 4: wanted um and you know we probably took it took
- 52:10Speaker 4: advantage of it a little um too much sometimes but
- 52:14Speaker 4: uh so we were you know we'd be on the
- 52:16Speaker 4: train with him down to dc running around the halls
- 52:18Speaker 4: of the russell senate building my dad took the train
- 52:21Speaker 4: back and forth every day and then um that Bond
- 52:26Speaker 4: just existed until the day he died. We literally spoke.
- 52:31Speaker 4: I think people, somebody wrote a thing like, oh my God,
- 52:35Speaker 4: the president has to call his son every day. Like
- 52:38Speaker 4: that must be a burden. My dad has called me
- 52:40Speaker 4: every day since the day I left for college. And
- 52:44Speaker 4: it's a lot easier to get in touch with me
- 52:46Speaker 4: now than it was at other times. But Bo was
- 52:52Speaker 4: my rock. And I always kind of considered us two
- 52:54Speaker 4: sides of the same coin Uh, and, uh, he was
- 52:58Speaker 4: as proud of me as I was of him. And, uh,
- 53:01Speaker 4: and it was a, uh, and that's what the, you know,
- 53:05Speaker 4: I'm glad you started here because really, you know, the
- 53:07Speaker 4: book is really a love story. It's a love letter
- 53:09Speaker 4: to those, to the people that, um, they never gave
- 53:13Speaker 4: up on, uh, on me. Um, uh, and it's a
- 53:18Speaker 4: story that a lot of families I think will understand
- 53:20Speaker 4: because so many people are going through it right now. Yeah.
- 53:24Speaker 3: I mean, the book is like a love story about
- 53:26Speaker 3: your family. And I feel like I learned a lot
- 53:28Speaker 3: about who you are as a group, the character of
- 53:30Speaker 3: your father, you know, and it's beautiful in that sense.
- 53:34Speaker 3: It's also includes some incredibly raw descriptions of tough times
- 53:38Speaker 3: in your life, including when Bo was sick. And it
- 53:41Speaker 3: was hard to read, but there was part of me
- 53:43Speaker 3: that came through this thinking like, it's good for people
- 53:45Speaker 3: to read this. Because when my dad died from cancer,
- 53:49Speaker 3: I couldn't help but notice how often I saw uplifting
- 53:51Speaker 3: stories about people beating it, or it described euphemistically, right,
- 53:56Speaker 3: as like this person fought valiantly against the disease. And
- 54:00Speaker 3: at times it made me mad because my experience was
- 54:04Speaker 3: like fucking hell. You know what I mean? Watching someone
- 54:07Speaker 3: like deal with how cruel a disease can be and
- 54:11Speaker 3: how painful it can be and how traumatizing. that experience was.
- 54:14Speaker 3: And you know, you said in the book, and you
- 54:15Speaker 3: said here, like, you refuse to give yourself the excuse
- 54:19Speaker 3: of trauma or tragedy, leading to addiction. But it was
- 54:23Speaker 3: hard not to read that and just feel like the
- 54:25Speaker 3: accumulation of what you had experienced, or to see how
- 54:30Speaker 3: that could read lead to turning to alcohol or relapse
- 54:33Speaker 3: down the road. And I just don't know. I was wondering, like,
- 54:36Speaker 3: you're so you're almost hard on yourself to rule that out.
- 54:39Speaker 3: And I kind of wondered why.
- 54:41Speaker 4: Yeah. And I, you know, the thing is, is that
- 54:43Speaker 4: I don't, um, I don't rule it out. Uh, but
- 54:48Speaker 4: I never want to use it as an excuse. And
- 54:51Speaker 4: I also don't, um, uh, want anyone to come away
- 54:54Speaker 4: with the impression, which they won't if they read the
- 54:57Speaker 4: book of that, my experience is anyway unique. I mean, Tommy, you,
- 55:03Speaker 4: the amount of, I mean, you loved your dad and,
- 55:06Speaker 4: and having to, uh, go through that is, um, is
- 55:13Speaker 4: too often a story that I don't know any, that
- 55:17Speaker 4: has not touched someone in some way, whether it's grief
- 55:23Speaker 4: and loss, someone dying of cancer, or whether it's a
- 55:31Speaker 4: tragic loss, like the loss of my mother and my
- 55:34Speaker 4: sister in an auto accident. And what the book is really,
- 55:38Speaker 4: I hope, saying to people is you're not alone. And
- 55:43Speaker 4: by the way, you know, is that you're not alone
- 55:46Speaker 4: in the fact that, that your, your brother, your dad, your,
- 55:51Speaker 4: your daughter lost their battle to cancer. It wasn't because
- 55:56Speaker 4: they didn't try hard. I know that I understand that
- 55:59Speaker 4: frustration that you had. I would get really angry too,
- 56:03Speaker 4: not angry, frustrated and confused. And I, you know, there's,
- 56:08Speaker 4: too many, uh, words to could probably possibly describe that feeling.
- 56:15Speaker 4: Maybe there's no word that can fully describe the feeling
- 56:17Speaker 4: of saying we're fighting too. Like what, what the hell
- 56:20Speaker 4: are you talking about? Like, right. And, you know, uh,
- 56:26Speaker 4: and then grief is a, is a really funny thing. And,
- 56:30Speaker 4: you know, I knew a way to, um, that was
- 56:34Speaker 4: kind of the answer to all things for addicts, for
- 56:36Speaker 4: someone that suffers from addiction, what I believe is ultimately
- 56:40Speaker 4: a brain disease is, is, you know, people ask, why
- 56:44Speaker 4: do you do drugs? Well, because they work and they
- 56:48Speaker 4: work until they don't. It's the fastest way I know
- 56:51Speaker 4: of erasing that pain. And it's the, it's the fastest
- 56:56Speaker 4: way to, to, to hold different health for me.
- 57:00Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah.
- 57:01Speaker 3: I mean, and so, Look, a lot of memoirs, a
- 57:03Speaker 3: lot of books, especially if like you're not a politician,
- 57:06Speaker 3: but you're someone who's sort of like come from that world,
- 57:08Speaker 3: they often sand off the edges or omit the worst details.
- 57:12Speaker 3: You clearly did not do that. You talk in great
- 57:14Speaker 3: detail about alcohol and drug abuse, including extended periods of
- 57:17Speaker 3: like sort of nonstop crack use. Why did you decide
- 57:21Speaker 3: to just lay it all out? Was that a tough decision?
- 57:24Speaker 4: No, it wasn't because when I decided to write the book,
- 57:31Speaker 4: I knew that the book that I wanted to write
- 57:33Speaker 4: was the whole, the full story of the depths of
- 57:37Speaker 4: my addiction. Because I don't, I didn't, I think that
- 57:43Speaker 4: the value of the story and the reason I'm so
- 57:48Speaker 4: vivid about it was to let people know that are
- 57:51Speaker 4: suffering sick in the same way that I was. And
- 57:54Speaker 4: it's millions of people is that they're not alone. Is
- 57:57Speaker 4: that I was, I was truly there. I understand guys.
- 58:00Speaker 4: And by the way, to take some of the stigma
- 58:03Speaker 4: out of it, take the shame out of it. I mean,
- 58:05Speaker 4: I wrote it with the fully cognizant of the fact
- 58:09Speaker 4: that my dad was at that time when I wrote
- 58:11Speaker 4: the book, the former vice president of the United States
- 58:14Speaker 4: and the nominee for, well, he wasn't the nominee at all,
- 58:17Speaker 4: but by the time I had finished the book, but
- 58:21Speaker 4: a lot of people didn't think he was going to
- 58:23Speaker 4: be the nominee. Well, before I finished the book, but
- 58:27Speaker 4: the point is, is that, I wanted to let people
- 58:31Speaker 4: know that I was there. I was one of those
- 58:36Speaker 4: people in that room with them. And someone said to me,
- 58:40Speaker 4: we've all been in rooms in which we couldn't die.
- 58:45Speaker 4: And what he meant by that is that we've all
- 58:48Speaker 4: done things that we're not proud of in our addiction
- 58:53Speaker 4: and sometimes not even in our addiction in which I
- 58:57Speaker 4: wanted to let people know that I was in those
- 58:58Speaker 4: room too, and I got out, I made it out. Yeah.
- 59:03Speaker 3: So there's a period in the book you know when
- 59:06Speaker 3: you're you kind of get back to LA and you
- 59:09Speaker 3: sort of I think you write that you essentially decided
- 59:11Speaker 3: to succumb to addiction and kind of give up on
- 59:14Speaker 3: you know like the sense of self you once had
- 59:16Speaker 3: this past life and that's when the like the Giuliani
- 59:19Speaker 3: attacks about Burisma and everything else really started to ramp
- 59:22Speaker 3: up you're obviously like you know using heavily at that
- 59:26Speaker 3: point but were you monitoring these things in real time
- 59:28Speaker 3: like What was that like to just see this shit
- 59:31Speaker 3: just pop up?
- 59:34Speaker 4: The truth is that in a way, I had completely
- 59:39Speaker 4: insulated myself from it because I was so focused on
- 59:42Speaker 4: my addiction. I was so focused. When you're in that,
- 59:46Speaker 4: at least at the level of addiction that I found
- 59:48Speaker 4: myself in, in which I was smoking literally every 15
- 59:56Speaker 4: to 30 minutes. And if I wasn't smoking, it was
- 59:58Speaker 4: looking for, you know, a way to replenish my, my supply. And,
- 1:00:06Speaker 4: and I would get messages in from, from people that
- 1:00:11Speaker 4: cared about me, that loved me and said, Hunter, you gotta,
- 1:00:13Speaker 4: you know, address this. You gotta, you know, this story
- 1:00:17Speaker 4: is being written. And it just compounded my, uh, determination that,
- 1:00:23Speaker 4: you know, I, um, you know, I'm the lost cause
- 1:00:28Speaker 4: I did. I'd given up on myself. I'd given up on,
- 1:00:30Speaker 4: you know, I didn't, uh, I'd lost Bo. Um, uh,
- 1:00:36Speaker 4: my daughters desperately, desperately, desperately were constantly, um, uh, trying
- 1:00:42Speaker 4: to save me. I mean, they're, they're the most constant
- 1:00:45Speaker 4: other than my, my dad, um, in, in my life,
- 1:00:49Speaker 4: but I decided to just disappear. And strangely enough, what
- 1:00:54Speaker 4: happened was, is that Adam Entos, who's a New Yorker writer,
- 1:01:00Speaker 4: got in touch with a friend of mine who is
- 1:01:04Speaker 4: my lawyer, but also my brother's oldest friend and my
- 1:01:07Speaker 4: oldest friend, one of my oldest friends. And he said,
- 1:01:13Speaker 4: I'd like to talk to Hunter. And the reason I
- 1:01:16Speaker 4: talked to him is because, you know, I was a snob.
- 1:01:21Speaker 4: I mean, it was the New Yorker. I was like,
- 1:01:25Speaker 4: I'm going to talk to this guy. You know what
- 1:01:26Speaker 4: I mean? Because I always wanted to write for the
- 1:01:28Speaker 4: New Yorker since I was 16 years old. And he
- 1:01:32Speaker 4: kind of saved my life. It's really interesting. He didn't
- 1:01:34Speaker 4: have any intention of that, but it was really interesting.
- 1:01:39Speaker 4: It opened my heart just crack enough to meet Melissa.
- 1:01:42Speaker 3: Yeah, you really laid it out to him. It resulted
- 1:01:45Speaker 3: in this 11,000 word piece that came out in, I think,
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: July of 2019. Putting on my like political hack hat
- 1:01:50Speaker 3: for a second, in a sense, it was brilliant, right?
- 1:01:52Speaker 3: Because as you said in the book, no one's calling
- 1:01:54Speaker 3: up saying like, hey, we're hearing rumors, the Daily Mail
- 1:01:57Speaker 3: and TMZ are reporting. You just fucking laid it all
- 1:01:59Speaker 3: out there. But did you get a call from the
- 1:02:01Speaker 3: campaign that was like, hey, is this coming?
- 1:02:03Speaker 4: Tommy, you guys would have killed me. If you guys
- 1:02:08Speaker 4: had gotten wind of this, there is no way. that
- 1:02:11Speaker 4: you would have ever allowed it to happen. You would
- 1:02:15Speaker 4: have shut it down so fast. Like I knew, by
- 1:02:18Speaker 4: the way, any professional would have. And I had enough sense,
- 1:02:24Speaker 4: and I've been around this long enough to know, that
- 1:02:28Speaker 4: if I had told anybody inside the campaign that, by
- 1:02:30Speaker 4: the way, I'm talking to Adam Entos about all of
- 1:02:33Speaker 4: these Giuliani accusations, but I decided also to get into
- 1:02:36Speaker 4: a full description of the level of my crack addiction.
- 1:02:41Speaker 4: I think people would have literally, um, and, but in fairness, um,
- 1:02:47Speaker 4: and you know, all the players, um, uh, when it
- 1:02:52Speaker 4: did become evident that that's what I had done, they
- 1:02:56Speaker 4: were fully supportive of, um, of, uh, of, of, of
- 1:03:02Speaker 4: speaking the truth because ultimately at the end of the day,
- 1:03:04Speaker 4: what I realized is this is that, you know, like,
- 1:03:08Speaker 4: we're not much different than anybody else as a family. Right.
- 1:03:12Speaker 4: You know, I don't know any family that doesn't have
- 1:03:14Speaker 4: someone that they love, that they respect, that they believe is, um,
- 1:03:17Speaker 4: is worth it. That has struggled with addiction. Um, uh,
- 1:03:22Speaker 4: or in addiction, I include, um, the most addictive drug
- 1:03:26Speaker 4: in the world. Um, in my opinion, it's alcohol, the
- 1:03:28Speaker 4: most destructive. And I don't know anybody that, um, uh, that, uh, when, uh,
- 1:03:34Speaker 4: It came out, you know, I think everybody was a
- 1:03:36Speaker 4: little bit shocked because I think what really shocks people, Tommy,
- 1:03:41Speaker 4: is crack. Yeah. I think that more than anything, it
- 1:03:46Speaker 4: carries such a, it's such a loaded word and it
- 1:03:51Speaker 4: conjures things that are not necessarily true, but it really
- 1:03:57Speaker 4: kind of shocks the conscious a little bit. Yeah. But anyway.
- 1:04:02Speaker 4: I think a lot of people saw in me and
- 1:04:06Speaker 4: in our family, saw their families and saw themselves.
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: Yeah, I do too. And look, I've worked in politics
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: for a while. You've been around politics your whole life.
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: Neither of us expects it to be gentle or always high-minded.
- 1:04:19Speaker 3: That said, like to your point about every family experiences
- 1:04:22Speaker 3: some sort of level of addiction, Donald Trump's brother, Fred,
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: died at 43 because of alcoholism. You know, Donald Trump
- 1:04:28Speaker 3: said that had a profound impact on him. But they...
- 1:04:32Speaker 3: they didn't just go after your business dealings. They went
- 1:04:34Speaker 3: after your substance abuse problems, right? Like that little prick
- 1:04:37Speaker 3: Don Jr. like makes jokes about it, right? Like did
- 1:04:41Speaker 3: that level of viciousness surprise you at all? Because it
- 1:04:44Speaker 3: surprised me. I know he's a horrible human being devoid
- 1:04:47Speaker 3: of empathy. That like, it's still, it surprised me on
- 1:04:51Speaker 3: a human level and on a political level, because I
- 1:04:54Speaker 3: just thought to myself, attacking someone for an addiction seems
- 1:04:57Speaker 3: like a fucking crazy thing to do.
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:05:00Speaker 4: Well, just so there's a bunch of a few different
- 1:05:04Speaker 4: ways that I think about it. I think you do, too.
- 1:05:06Speaker 4: You put on your political hat. OK. And you wonder,
- 1:05:10Speaker 4: what the hell are they doing this for? Because it
- 1:05:13Speaker 4: seems so vindictive, small and mean. Like, who are they
- 1:05:17Speaker 4: appealing to?
- 1:05:17Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:05:18Speaker 4: By doing this. And you just try to figure out
- 1:05:20Speaker 4: that part, which is hard to figure out, because I
- 1:05:24Speaker 4: don't think most Americans are small, vindictive and mean spirited. Um,
- 1:05:30Speaker 4: then you put on the other, uh, uh, hat is, uh,
- 1:05:34Speaker 4: what's their end game? Um, is, uh, what is the,
- 1:05:39Speaker 4: you know, what's the, what's the greater grand strategy here?
- 1:05:41Speaker 4: And you realize there is no great strategy. They are
- 1:05:44Speaker 4: just small and vindictive and mean. And, um, but on
- 1:05:48Speaker 4: a personal level, I, I have been. My dad's been
- 1:05:53Speaker 4: a senator since I was two years old. He's been
- 1:05:55Speaker 4: in the middle of national politics my entire life, including
- 1:06:01Speaker 4: at the highest levels with you guys in the administration.
- 1:06:06Speaker 4: And I've never experienced or witnessed or know any time
- 1:06:09Speaker 4: in history in which there has been that level of meanness.
- 1:06:17Speaker 4: I don't know. I mean, Tommy, you're a student of this.
- 1:06:19Speaker 4: I don't know. I don't think there has been. from
- 1:06:22Speaker 4: soup to nuts with me. And so I finally figured
- 1:06:26Speaker 4: out what it was. I really do believe they consciously
- 1:06:31Speaker 4: understood that the most important thing to my dad was
- 1:06:35Speaker 4: me and his family, not just me, but me, my sister,
- 1:06:40Speaker 4: my brother, and his family. And if they could attack
- 1:06:45Speaker 4: me and keep me locked in my prison of addiction, um, or, uh,
- 1:06:55Speaker 4: or do worse to me that, um, to his one
- 1:06:59Speaker 4: remaining son, that it would be almost impossible for him
- 1:07:02Speaker 4: to in some way, but they don't know him. They
- 1:07:04Speaker 4: don't know him. They don't know us. And what they
- 1:07:06Speaker 4: didn't count on was that, um, that has always just
- 1:07:10Speaker 4: made us stronger. It made us, um, if we were,
- 1:07:13Speaker 4: we were, um, steel where we were reinforced steel by
- 1:07:16Speaker 4: the end of this campaign.
- 1:07:18Speaker 3: Well, speaking as a guy who's, um, day can be
- 1:07:21Speaker 3: ruined by a mean tweet. Uh, I have enormous respect
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: for your resilience there and your father's resilience too. I mean, like,
- 1:07:28Speaker 3: I guess, you know, for your, for, for your dad,
- 1:07:30Speaker 3: for your family, I mean, it must've just been agony
- 1:07:33Speaker 3: watching someone they love so much just be the subject
- 1:07:35Speaker 3: of these attacks. Like where's Hunter? Like what, what is
- 1:07:37Speaker 3: the end game of the where's Hunter attack? Like you're
- 1:07:39Speaker 3: going to like pop your head out of some like
- 1:07:41Speaker 3: bank in Ukraine. Oh, here at like, what the fuck
- 1:07:43Speaker 3: did they think they're going to find?
- 1:07:44Speaker 4: Excuse my language. I don't know. I don't know. I mean,
- 1:07:48Speaker 4: that's the thing is like, as I said in the book,
- 1:07:50Speaker 4: I'm right here. And, you know, I mean, they've done
- 1:07:53Speaker 4: a really good job of continuously harassing us on a
- 1:07:57Speaker 4: personal level. I mean, you know, Bullhorn is outside the house.
- 1:08:00Speaker 4: Melissa was pregnant and, you know.
- 1:08:03Speaker 3: The text to your daughter really broke me. Like some
- 1:08:06Speaker 3: random person said harassing text to your daughter. I was like,
- 1:08:09Speaker 3: how far have we fallen that someone would do that?
- 1:08:11Speaker 4: Yeah, and that's kind of almost a constant, and particularly
- 1:08:17Speaker 4: during back of the campaign. But it's really crazy, Tony.
- 1:08:22Speaker 4: Just the actual story of it is I talked to
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: Adam Entos when Giuliani kind of ramps up these attacks,
- 1:08:32Speaker 4: which he clearly is doing this deal in Ukraine, which
- 1:08:36Speaker 4: led to the impeachment and backfired on him. and then
- 1:08:40Speaker 4: all the personal attacks start in the, um, uh, but
- 1:08:44Speaker 4: by then the New Yorker article came out. And so I,
- 1:08:47Speaker 4: I felt incredibly inoculated by the fact that, like I said,
- 1:08:51Speaker 4: you don't need a laptop. You have my book. Right. And,
- 1:08:55Speaker 4: and then that, that was when I met Melissa and
- 1:09:04Speaker 4: she started the hard work and I started the hard
- 1:09:06Speaker 4: work of, of getting clean and sober. Yeah. And so
- 1:09:10Speaker 4: all that period of time, when you think that it
- 1:09:12Speaker 4: was like the weight of the world was on me,
- 1:09:15Speaker 4: is it, I knew I only had to do one
- 1:09:17Speaker 4: thing right every day, and that was not to pick
- 1:09:19Speaker 4: up a drink or a drug. When you have that
- 1:09:21Speaker 4: level of focus and you realize how close you were
- 1:09:23Speaker 4: to death and how awful your existence was, then you
- 1:09:28Speaker 4: get to wake up next to someone that loves you
- 1:09:32Speaker 4: and reconnect with all of the people that so care
- 1:09:37Speaker 4: about you. And I have to say, literally it's the,
- 1:09:42Speaker 4: it's my brother gave me the key to my own,
- 1:09:45Speaker 4: the prison of my own making, which was beautiful things.
- 1:09:49Speaker 4: And that's the title of the book is I get
- 1:09:52Speaker 4: to wake up every day and I started this practice
- 1:09:55Speaker 4: of just literally counting through my head, all of the
- 1:09:58Speaker 4: things that I have to be grateful for. And, um,
- 1:10:03Speaker 4: and there were so many, uh, that at least when
- 1:10:05Speaker 4: I would set the table that way with all the
- 1:10:07Speaker 4: beautiful things that I have in my life, um, All
- 1:10:11Speaker 4: the other stuff just became background noise. Not that it
- 1:10:15Speaker 4: didn't break through sometimes. It wasn't fun, but it was
- 1:10:21Speaker 4: a beautiful moment in my life at the same time.
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: Right, right.
- 1:10:24Speaker 3: So, yeah, I want to talk about the recovery elements
- 1:10:26Speaker 3: because I found it really interesting and really helpful just
- 1:10:29Speaker 3: to kind of understand it better. Because, look, I have
- 1:10:31Speaker 3: a lot of alcoholics in my family. My father was
- 1:10:34Speaker 3: an alcoholic, but he was sober before I was kind
- 1:10:36Speaker 3: of old enough to be aware of it. And it always, like...
- 1:10:40Speaker 3: it always struck me as almost surprising. He was like
- 1:10:42Speaker 3: a guy who flew fighter jets and like drove up motors, right?
- 1:10:45Speaker 3: Like he felt it's funny that someone in your life
- 1:10:47Speaker 3: can feel so in control. And then to know that
- 1:10:50Speaker 3: there's this other thing where they have no control. So,
- 1:10:54Speaker 3: you know, and I never sat down with him and
- 1:10:55Speaker 3: said like, what are the basics? I was wondering if
- 1:10:57Speaker 3: we could do that. Like what, for listeners, like what
- 1:11:00Speaker 3: is AA? What is the 12 step program? Like how
- 1:11:02Speaker 3: does that work and how does that help someone who's
- 1:11:03Speaker 3: battling addiction?
- 1:11:05Speaker 4: Well, for me, I think I can talk about it in, uh,
- 1:11:09Speaker 4: in the way that it has helped me. And number
- 1:11:12Speaker 4: one is to realize that you're not alone. I think
- 1:11:16Speaker 4: the biggest thing of walking into a room of other
- 1:11:18Speaker 4: people that raise their hand and say, I'm an alcoholic
- 1:11:20Speaker 4: or I'm an addict, um, uh, is to realize that, uh,
- 1:11:26Speaker 4: that you're not the only one. And then to hear
- 1:11:28Speaker 4: the specificity of what it was like for them, what
- 1:11:31Speaker 4: it's like now and what they're doing to get better. Um,
- 1:11:35Speaker 4: is such an incredibly liberating thing because many addicts feel
- 1:11:40Speaker 4: when they're trapped in their addiction is that no one
- 1:11:43Speaker 4: could possibly understand what it's like or how their problems
- 1:11:49Speaker 4: are greater than the problems that anybody else has. They're
- 1:11:51Speaker 4: so unique that they can't be solved. And what you
- 1:11:56Speaker 4: realize in those groups, in the support groups, in whichever form,
- 1:12:01Speaker 4: whether it's AA or many others that are out there,
- 1:12:04Speaker 4: is the first thing you realize is you're not alone.
- 1:12:06Speaker 4: And what addiction wants for you is for you to
- 1:12:09Speaker 4: remain alone. It wants to be the only answer that
- 1:12:12Speaker 4: you have. And when you start to realize that there
- 1:12:15Speaker 4: may be another answer, it just is a, it's an
- 1:12:19Speaker 4: incredibly deliberating feeling and, and hopefully hang on to it. Yeah.
- 1:12:24Speaker 3: So, and you also tried some more sort of intense approaches,
- 1:12:28Speaker 3: like sort of taking other powerful drugs like Ibogaine or
- 1:12:30Speaker 3: ketamine to help reduce addiction. did that experience help at all?
- 1:12:35Speaker 3: Like what was that like?
- 1:12:38Speaker 4: I think that every, every piece of it helped every
- 1:12:40Speaker 4: time that I, um, uh, reached out for a solution, um,
- 1:12:44Speaker 4: I reached out for, um, I took a helping hand. Um, uh,
- 1:12:49Speaker 4: I think it, um, it had a, hopefully a cumulative effect.
- 1:12:53Speaker 4: I think that, uh, my, um, uh, and, and it's
- 1:12:58Speaker 4: all about the level of intention that you put into it. Um,
- 1:13:02Speaker 4: my experience with Ibogaine was very powerful, um, but not
- 1:13:06Speaker 4: something that I necessarily would recommend to everybody, but I,
- 1:13:09Speaker 4: I know the science behind it now. And I know
- 1:13:12Speaker 4: the science behind how it is particularly effective in treating
- 1:13:16Speaker 4: people with PTSD and, uh, and particularly as it relates
- 1:13:19Speaker 4: to opiate addiction. Um, I know the science behind the
- 1:13:23Speaker 4: way in which, uh, uh, ketamine infusion therapy is helping
- 1:13:27Speaker 4: people with severe traumatic experiences, uh, And I think that
- 1:13:33Speaker 4: there are so many things that we have not explored
- 1:13:37Speaker 4: that could be useful. But the one thing I do
- 1:13:42Speaker 4: know too is that I don't think that there's any
- 1:13:44Speaker 4: silver bullet. I think that the, and I do know this,
- 1:13:48Speaker 4: is that ultimately at the end of the day, no
- 1:13:51Speaker 4: matter what, it's a decision that you have to make.
- 1:14:01Speaker 4: day by day, sometimes, sometimes minute by minute. Because, you know,
- 1:14:08Speaker 4: as I said before, the drug that has been the
- 1:14:12Speaker 4: most damaging to me and I think damaging to all
- 1:14:15Speaker 4: of society is completely ubiquitous. It's in front of you
- 1:14:19Speaker 4: all the time, which is alcohol. Yeah, yeah.
- 1:14:22Speaker 3: And it's marketed to you and everything, whether you know
- 1:14:23Speaker 3: it or not. There's a really stark line in the
- 1:14:27Speaker 3: book where you write, there's a popular theory that an
- 1:14:29Speaker 3: addict needs to hit bottom before he or she can
- 1:14:31Speaker 3: be helped. The addicts I know who hit bottom are dead.
- 1:14:35Speaker 3: That terrible conventional wisdom, I thought was a good reminder
- 1:14:38Speaker 3: that there is no instruction manual that I've seen for
- 1:14:42Speaker 3: how to help someone you know or you love that
- 1:14:45Speaker 3: you see dealing with addiction. In the book, you describe
- 1:14:47Speaker 3: a lot of different attempts to get sober, including a
- 1:14:51Speaker 3: surprise intervention by your family that just doesn't go well.
- 1:14:55Speaker 3: It's really heartbreaking. Do you have advice for folks who
- 1:14:57Speaker 3: might be listening who maybe have an addict in their
- 1:15:00Speaker 3: life and they want to help them before they sort
- 1:15:04Speaker 3: of hit that rock bottom point. Like, is there anything
- 1:15:06Speaker 3: you'd suggest of like how to deal with it?
- 1:15:08Speaker 4: Number one, don't give up hope. I know how awful
- 1:15:14Speaker 4: it is. It's the, the, the pain that an addict
- 1:15:17Speaker 4: can cause. And I'm not talking about when addicts act
- 1:15:21Speaker 4: out in ways that are violent and, and, and criminal.
- 1:15:25Speaker 4: I mean, that is, that is something that I think that,
- 1:15:29Speaker 4: is obviously you have to protect yourself against no matter what,
- 1:15:33Speaker 4: but if you have someone that you love, that is
- 1:15:36Speaker 4: just not getting it and you keep reaching out to
- 1:15:40Speaker 4: help them and they keep rejecting that help is just
- 1:15:44Speaker 4: know this. It's not about you. It's not that your
- 1:15:48Speaker 4: love isn't enough. It's not that you, you know, that
- 1:15:52Speaker 4: you're not enough for them. It's not about you. It is,
- 1:15:55Speaker 4: it is a, It's a disease of the brain. They
- 1:15:58Speaker 4: have literally the neurons that are firing and what is
- 1:16:04Speaker 4: being told to the addict is that there's only one
- 1:16:09Speaker 4: answer to their pain. There's only one answer, which is
- 1:16:11Speaker 4: to continue to reach for the drug that they've become
- 1:16:14Speaker 4: physically and in many ways psychologically dependent upon. So what
- 1:16:21Speaker 4: I say is this, is that I know this. When
- 1:16:24Speaker 4: I was in the middle of that tunnel of addiction,
- 1:16:29Speaker 4: and there was not light on either side, the chances
- 1:16:33Speaker 4: of me finding my way out, unless someone came into
- 1:16:36Speaker 4: the tunnel with the lantern to guide me out were zero.
- 1:16:40Speaker 4: And so I just say to all of those people
- 1:16:44Speaker 4: that have someone that they love and that they know
- 1:16:47Speaker 4: is worth saving is just never, never stop trying, never
- 1:16:51Speaker 4: stop trying.
- 1:16:53Speaker 3: And I want to ask you in a minute about
- 1:16:55Speaker 3: the person who helped you get out of that tunnel.
- 1:16:57Speaker 3: But just one more question. There's a juxtaposition in the book,
- 1:17:01Speaker 3: I think, of your situation and the privilege and money
- 1:17:07Speaker 3: you made through consulting, including the Burisma contract, and the
- 1:17:11Speaker 3: reality of the typical crack user or crack seller in
- 1:17:15Speaker 3: the communities in America, particularly that the drug is ravaged. And,
- 1:17:20Speaker 3: you know, your experience is obviously like pretty atypical, right?
- 1:17:22Speaker 3: Like the money allowed you to fall off the grid.
- 1:17:24Speaker 3: It allowed you to buy huge quantities of drugs. And
- 1:17:27Speaker 3: at times it seemed to protect you because, you know,
- 1:17:30Speaker 3: when sort of users or dealers are coming in and
- 1:17:32Speaker 3: out of hotel rooms in LA or when the staff
- 1:17:35Speaker 3: finds paraphernalia, right, their reaction isn't have him arrested. It's,
- 1:17:39Speaker 3: you know, politely kick him out. So looking back, I
- 1:17:42Speaker 3: just wonder how you viewed sort of the money you
- 1:17:45Speaker 3: made through your clients that enabled that addiction and also
- 1:17:49Speaker 3: maybe the ways that protected you from consequences that might
- 1:17:52Speaker 3: have landed a lot of other people in jail?
- 1:17:55Speaker 4: I think it's completely unfair. And I think that I
- 1:18:01Speaker 4: am 100% still here today and not in a jail
- 1:18:06Speaker 4: cell or in an institution. because of my privilege and
- 1:18:12Speaker 4: not just the privilege of a family that loved me,
- 1:18:14Speaker 4: but the privilege of the fact that I had been
- 1:18:18Speaker 4: very successful up until the point that I wasn't and
- 1:18:23Speaker 4: had the ability to make a choice in many respects
- 1:18:28Speaker 4: of staying in a motel at $ 89 a night along
- 1:18:30Speaker 4: 95 in Connecticut or at a $ 300 a night you know,
- 1:18:39Speaker 4: suite in LA. And what I always say is that,
- 1:18:44Speaker 4: you know, what we have to start to, uh and
- 1:18:47Speaker 4: this is this is the conversation i'm i'm all in
- 1:18:50Speaker 4: for is addiction drug use is a mental health problem
- 1:18:58Speaker 4: it is a uh it's a a problem that can
- 1:19:03Speaker 4: be addressed and we need to be able to start
- 1:19:05Speaker 4: to discuss it as a mental health problem within the
- 1:19:09Speaker 4: structure of our health systems. And it is not a
- 1:19:16Speaker 4: criminal problem. It is not a problem that can be
- 1:19:22Speaker 4: solved or addressed by the criminal justice system. One thing
- 1:19:30Speaker 4: we're absolutely certain, I can say with I'm 100% certain
- 1:19:34Speaker 4: about is the criminal justice system has done nothing to
- 1:19:37Speaker 4: be able to solve our addiction epidemic that we are,
- 1:19:41Speaker 4: that we've been in. And now it's just gotten worse,
- 1:19:44Speaker 4: particularly with the pandemic. And, you know, I got the
- 1:19:49Speaker 4: opportunity of high-end rehabs and alternative treatments when 99% of
- 1:19:56Speaker 4: the people they get, the only answer they have is
- 1:19:59Speaker 4: jail or an institution. Yeah.
- 1:20:02Speaker 3: Have you, do you like lobby your dad or like
- 1:20:04Speaker 3: DOJ or lawmakers on, on sort of these, the need
- 1:20:06Speaker 3: to decriminalize these things? Cause like, I agree with you.
- 1:20:09Speaker 3: It seems like a conversation that's starting, but is, is
- 1:20:12Speaker 3: not picking up steam fast enough sometimes.
- 1:20:14Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 1:20:15Speaker 4: Well, I understand the question, but as you know, I
- 1:20:18Speaker 4: don't lobby my dad about it. I mean, I wrote, um, uh, I, uh,
- 1:20:26Speaker 4: I know what I believe. I'm ready to engage in
- 1:20:29Speaker 4: the discussion in a public way with you. I know
- 1:20:34Speaker 4: that I think that we just have to start to
- 1:20:37Speaker 4: rethink it. I think one of the people that has been,
- 1:20:40Speaker 4: I don't think has been, I know, knows more about
- 1:20:44Speaker 4: this from a personal level, but also from a policy
- 1:20:48Speaker 4: level is Patrick Kennedy, who's done an enormous amount of
- 1:20:51Speaker 4: work when he was in Congress and still continues to do.
- 1:20:56Speaker 4: And I think it's something that it's a really opportune time, Tony,
- 1:21:01Speaker 4: to begin to really look at this because, like I said,
- 1:21:07Speaker 4: right now, I don't know if you've seen the numbers
- 1:21:08Speaker 4: from the CDC as it relates to addiction and overdose,
- 1:21:14Speaker 4: not just as it relates to opiate, but across the
- 1:21:16Speaker 4: board during this time of the pandemic. And it is
- 1:21:19Speaker 4: just staggering, staggering. Yeah. Yeah.
- 1:21:23Speaker 3: Last question.
- 1:21:24Speaker 4: So, you know, you.
- 1:21:25Speaker 3: miraculously you met your wife, uh, Melissa, uh, in LA,
- 1:21:30Speaker 3: you fell in love, you figure out a way to
- 1:21:32Speaker 3: get sober. I mean, can you tell the story of
- 1:21:33Speaker 3: like how this happened, how it's going? Um, because it's pretty,
- 1:21:36Speaker 3: it is, it's a truly miraculous ending to, to the story.
- 1:21:40Speaker 4: Yeah, I know. I'm, I'm, uh, yeah, I got to
- 1:21:43Speaker 4: write a book too, so that people know that it, it, uh,
- 1:21:46Speaker 4: it actually works. Um, but because it is a, uh,
- 1:21:50Speaker 4: it seems miraculous, but one of the things I've since
- 1:21:52Speaker 4: written the book and, telling the story, what I found
- 1:21:55Speaker 4: is that, you know, I'm not the first person that
- 1:21:59Speaker 4: ever fell in love at first sight. And I ended up,
- 1:22:05Speaker 4: I don't know why I should ever be this lucky.
- 1:22:09Speaker 4: I know that I have my guardian angels of my
- 1:22:12Speaker 4: brother and sister and my mom. And I'd love to
- 1:22:16Speaker 4: think that they had a hand in it. But what
- 1:22:19Speaker 4: I always say about Melissa is this, is that She
- 1:22:27Speaker 4: was a stranger that had a familiar soul. It felt
- 1:22:35Speaker 4: like coming home, but I knew that I had already,
- 1:22:39Speaker 4: I rejected that love from home so many times that
- 1:22:45Speaker 4: it took someone that didn't have all of that, my
- 1:22:51Speaker 4: immediate rejection of like literally, like I talk about at
- 1:22:55Speaker 4: the intervention, like I ran, I literally ran away and
- 1:23:01Speaker 4: whatever it was, you know, my heart was open just
- 1:23:04Speaker 4: enough for me to allow Melissa to do, start the
- 1:23:11Speaker 4: hard work. And man, it was hard, Tommy. I'll tell
- 1:23:14Speaker 4: you what, I mean, I was drinking a quarter vodka
- 1:23:16Speaker 4: a day and smoking an enormous amount of drugs and
- 1:23:21Speaker 4: anything else that I could put in my body to
- 1:23:23Speaker 4: just numb myself. And, uh, and you know, Melissa took
- 1:23:29Speaker 4: my keys, took my phone. She, I mean, she took
- 1:23:32Speaker 4: my pants. I mean, I literally couldn't leave the house
- 1:23:35Speaker 4: and she had to do that work for a long time. Uh, but, uh,
- 1:23:41Speaker 4: you know, I ended up in a pretty great place.
- 1:23:44Speaker 3: Well, that is, um, It's a great book.
- 1:23:48Speaker 4: The book is Beautiful Things.
- 1:23:49Speaker 3: I think everyone should read it because, I don't know,
- 1:23:52Speaker 3: it's rare to read it on its account of addiction
- 1:23:55Speaker 3: and of recovery and of a human story about a
- 1:23:59Speaker 3: family and love. And I think it's just very much
- 1:24:01Speaker 3: worth your time. So thank you for writing it. And
- 1:24:03Speaker 3: thanks for talking to me today.
- 1:24:06Speaker 4: It's great to see you again, Tony. You too. It's
- 1:24:08Speaker 4: been a long, long time.
- 1:24:09Speaker 3: See you on a flight to Boston in a couple
- 1:24:11Speaker 3: of weeks, maybe.
- 1:24:11Speaker 4: Yeah, there you go. Yeah, exactly. Thank you. Thank you, buddy.
- 1:24:20Speaker 2: Thank you to Hunter Biden for joining us today. We'll
- 1:24:23Speaker 2: see you guys Wednesday night at Group Thread. And then
- 1:24:25Speaker 2: Dan and I will have a pod on Thursday about
- 1:24:27Speaker 2: the big joint address. Bye, everyone.
- 1:24:29Speaker 4: Bye.
- 1:24:37Speaker 2: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. The executive
- 1:24:40Speaker 2: producer is Michael Martinez. Our senior producer is Flavia Casas.
- 1:24:44Speaker 2: Our associate producers are Jordan Waller, Jazzy Marine, and Olivia Martinez.
- 1:24:48Speaker 2: It's mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin is
- 1:24:51Speaker 2: our sound engineer. Thanks to Tanya Somenator, Katie Long, Roman Papadimitriou,
- 1:24:56Speaker 2: Caroline Rustin, and Justine Howe for production support. And to
- 1:24:59Speaker 2: our digital team, Elijah Cohn, Nar Melkonian, Yale Freed, and
- 1:25:02Speaker 2: Milo Kim, who film and upload these episodes as videos
- 1:25:06Speaker 2: every week.