Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR DFS - South Point 400, 2026 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential

Transcript

NASCAR DFS - South Point 400, 2026 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff. Good morning, welcome to
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: this weekend's NASCAR Quick Hit here for Ship It Nation.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: I am Eric, also known as TheGame on Discord, and
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: this morning, I gotta move my microphone here a little bit,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: this morning we're going to be talking about the South
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: Point Hotel and Casino 400 taking place in Sin City,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas Motor Speedway, but before... We go ahead and
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: break down. Turn off my microphone a little bit. Before
• 1:06
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• 2:46
  Speaker 1: this morning's show will be a little bit quicker than
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: normal because it is NFL Sunday, and I'm recording this
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit later than we normally do because I
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: was at the racetrack, All day yesterday. So if you
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: haven't been to a racetrack lately, you should go. They're
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: great to be to. But like I mentioned earlier this morning,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: we're breaking down the South Point Hotel and Casino 400
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. There are 267 laps on
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: deck for today, which equals out to roughly 186.9 Dominator points.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: If this all sounds familiar to last week, guess what?
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: It is. all familiar to last week. Why? Because Las
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: Vegas and Kansas are kind of like the same. Uh,
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: they're mile and a half. They race extremely similar. Uh,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: the folks who were really good last week should also
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: be really good this week. Um, yeah, so it's kind
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: of a carbon copy for what we got last week. Uh,
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: Saturday night, they had a fantastic, fantastic, uh, O'Reilly series
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: race with Sprint car driver Corey Day coming through at
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: the end. We can only hope we have a race
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: as good as that was last night, today, in the
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Cup Series. Do I think we're going to get one? No,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: but we can only hope. We can only hope. All right,
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: let's go ahead and pull up the NASCAR Stoned here. And,
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: of course, the Stoned version just has the ownership projection
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: ceiling and points per dollar blanked out. If you want
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: that information, be a member. Shippenation.com. The big two takeaways
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: from practice yesterday were Josh Berry and Noah Gregson. Josh
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: Berry seems like it's everybody's favorite driver after his hot streak.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: He had a really terrible practice. And then like half hour,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: 35 minutes in, something like that, he crashed. Team rolled
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: out a backup car. Now, he was slow before that
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: in the primary car. Smashed that primary car. Team rolled
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: out a backup car. Do I think he's a 35th
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: place car? No, I don't. Especially because he won here
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: in Vegas for his very first NASCAR Cup Series race,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: I believe, last year. So he's good here, right? He's
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: not a 35th place car, but they were dead last
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: in practice with the primary car, and now they're going
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: to the backup car. He will be very heavily owned today,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: and for good reason, but I don't know. I don't know. Uh,
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: Noah Gregson also, uh, cut a tire down, piled into
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: the wall hard, um, did not make a qualifying lap.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: I forget if they rolled out the backup car or not.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: I think they did. Don't quote me on that. I
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: know they didn't take qualifying lap. Um, this is Noah's
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: hometown racetrack. So, um, not that I like to go
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: into like narratives like that, but, uh, you can't tell
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: me it's your hometown racetrack and you're trying to start
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: dead last and finished at last. Right. So, um, I
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: think Josh Berry will get a ton of ownership today
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: and for good reason. But if you're looking for a
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: little pivot and to save some more money, just go
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: to Noah. Right. Do I think like obviously Josh Berry
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: has more of an upside to Noah, but Josh Berry
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: was super slow in practice with the primary car. Now
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: he has the backup car. And Gregson was not all
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: that terrible, at least compared to Berry in practice. So.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: Or play both. I feel like a lot of people
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: will play both. So, like I said, Josh Berry, he
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: wrecked hard. He was slow beforehand. He is a backup car.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: Noah Gregson cut down a tire. He will be starting
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: in the rear of the field as well. This is
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Noah's home track, as mentioned before. So, a little extra
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: motivation for Noah Gregson. Let's go ahead and break down
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: now the starting lineup. Starting on the pole. And really,
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: the first five positions. Joe Gibbs Racing. Hello, Joe Gibbs Racing.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Joe Gibbs Racing takes up one, two, three, four. That's right.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: The first four spots. Rows one and two. Nothing but
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: Joe Gibbs Racing. Denny Hamblin on the pole. Ty Gibbs
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: outside pole. Seabell third. Chase Briscoe fourth. Denny is my
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: obvious favorite out of them all. He has the clean air. However,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: we all know any of those cars are capable of winning.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: Same goes for fifth place starting Tyler Reddick. We all
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: forget the run he went on at the beginning of
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: the year. These mile-and-a-half tracks where you can rip the
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: top are his bread and butter. Watch the move Corey
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Day did yesterday at the end of the NASCAR O'Reilly
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Series race. That's the kind of race car driver Tyler
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Reddick is. Gibbs, Bell, Briscoe, and Reddick are not nearly
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: getting the ownership as Hamlin and the next upcoming Kyle
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: Larson are. But I love the idea in GPPs of
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: pairing Hamlin or Larson with either Gibbs, Bell, Briscoe, or
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: Redick to get you a little bit different than everybody
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: who's just going to group up Hamlin and Larson together.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: But the aforementioned sixth-place starting Kyle Larson, he is far
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: and away the king of Las Vegas. He put an
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: absolute stomping on them last week at Kansas. It would
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: not surprise me to see him put a stomping on
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: them again today, right? Really wouldn't. I wrote on the website,
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: I consider Hamlin and Larson 1A, 1B. I'll let you
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: decide who's the 1A, who's the 1B. Larson was crazy
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: fast during practice, qualified sixth. Hamlin, super fast in practice,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: not as fast as Larson, right? Put it on the poll.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: Hamlin has that much Ballyhoo clean air that the next
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: gen car seems to love. Larson doesn't. Larson has five
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: Toyotas to pass, right? And this is all assuming Larson
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: or Hamlin gets to jump in and takes off and
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: gets the clean air. At least the first, however many laps.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: So I think Hamlin and Larson will be by far
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: and away the top two potential dominators for the day. Uh,
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: what for GPPs one fifties, I don't mind the idea
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: of pairing Hamlin, uh, with one of Gibbs, Bell, Briscoe,
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: or Reddick, or Larson with one of Gibbs, Bell, Briscoe,
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: or Reddick. Next up, the highest qualifying forward is Austin
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: Sindrick in seventh. He surprised us a bit last week. Yeah,
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: for 7,900, I think I don't have an issue taking
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: a chance with him. Do I think he will lose
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: some spots? Do I think he will finish in seventh? Yeah,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: but I don't think he'll fall too far back, so
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: I don't mind taking a shot on Austin Sindrick. William
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Byron is also fantastic at Vegas. Don't sleep on Willie B.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: He could probably be also considered one of those like
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: secondary dominator picks, like in the, in the Gibbs, Bell, Briscoe,
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: and a Reddit portion. The only reason I don't have
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: him listed as such is he has to go through
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: all of those Toyotas and Larson, right? So like Larson
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: is just, just killed everybody at Kansas. So it's like,
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: you got to have him rank because he's also the
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: king of Vegas, but like, Like, uh, Willie B has
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: some work to do, but he could do it. It's just,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: it's been a while since we've seen him do it. Uh,
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: Bubba Wallace in ninth. Sure. Uh, I always take a
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: shot on Bubba, uh, especially at mile and a half. Uh,
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Carson Hosovar, uh, last week. I don't think he, who
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: did anybody hate him last week? I forget. I forget.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Everyone hates him every week. I forget who hates who went. Um, look,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Spire's been fast all year. especially Josevar in that car,
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Daniel Suarez in that car, maybe not so much Michael McDowell, but, uh,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Josevar and Suarez for sure. Spire Motorsports is bringing back
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Casey Kane next year, the truck series. Let's go Casey
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: Kane Fridays. So, um, yeah, both Josevar and Suarez, I
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: think are worth considerations. They looked fantastic in practice. Their
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: power rankings don't look great, but we've seen these cars
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: have speed on these style of racetracks already this season.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: So Don't be afraid. They're kind of like baby Hendrick.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Ryan Preece. Sure. I'll take a shot on Ryan Preece
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: losing his team owner. Brad Keselowski is out of RFK
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: racing at the end of this year, and it doesn't
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: sound great. Sounds like RFK wanted Keselowski to be done.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: and uh keselowski said no so so it's like uh
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: i think roush fenway are buying out the keselowski portion
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: and who knows what's going to end up with keselowski
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: next year but we're not talking about him right now
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: we're talking about ryan priest he didn't look great obviously
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: 32nd 24th 22nd 14th but he is a chase driver
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: so is he going to win the championship of course
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: not but he still is in the playoffs he's still
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: fighting right so I think he's worth being in the
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: player pool. Chase Elliott. Sure. 8,500. We have to like
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: the equipment per dollar, right? Equipment per dollar. So yeah,
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: for Chase Elliott, Chris Buescher. Yup. Love me some Chris Buescher.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Wherever Brad goes, I hope he takes Chris Buescher with
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: them because I feel like RFK is holding down Chris Buescher.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: And that goes for Brian Priest too. I feel like
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: you're going to see both of those drivers take a
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: step back. with no Keselowski in the fold next year.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: I said that at nine Oh six on October 4th,
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: we'll see how right I am in a year from now. Um,
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: the lame duck, Alex Bowman, he has good track ranking here,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: but I'm still sus on him. So keep them in
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: your player pool, but I'm not going to go over
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: to moon to make sure I get any of him. Uh,
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: Brad K cheap. Uh, he has a lot on his mind,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how much I love playing him today.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: but maybe he's extra motivated to have a good day
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: to show any potential teams, hey, I'm worth a shot.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: I personally think he is pairing up with Colleague and
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: going the Dodge route. However, Colleague came out and said,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: we know nothing about that. I have literally never had
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: any conversations with Brad Kozlowski. So, I don't know. We'll
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: see what happens with Brad K at the end of
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: next year. Ross Chastain, look, track house scares me. They
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: scare me, scare me, they scare me. Decent last week.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: Is he going to bring that speed again this week?
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I kind of need more than one race, right? Now,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: it's helpful that this race is so much similar to
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: last week's race, right? So if you want to take
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: a shot on Melloman, feel free. He's starting 17th, so
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: he does have some PD upside. Track house just scares me. Uh,
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Michael McDowell, he's a no for me, dog. Uh, I
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: can't see how he's going to be in that car
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: next year for Spire. I'm not sure what his contract
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: situation is, but I think, uh, I think if they
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: can get out of it, I think they will. Um,
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: the Dinger in 19th, you gotta save some money somewhere.
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: He's 5,700. I'll take a shot. Uh, Ryan Blaney in 20th,
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: middle of the road in practice, one of the fastest
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: cars all season long. Uh, I don't think he's going
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: to dominate, but he definitely has top 10, top five upside.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: It just sucks that he's 10-2, right? It sucks that
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Denny's 11, Kyle's 11-5, and they're probably going to soak
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: up the majority of the laps led, fast lap points,
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: I would assume. Then you have Blaney at 10-2 in 20th,
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: kind of middle of the road, so. Is he worth
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: being in your player pool? Absolutely. Is he worth making
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: sure you get some exposure to? Absolutely. But I can't
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: see myself going crazy for him today. That Jones boy. Yeah,
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: I always take a shot on Eric Jones in these
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: style of racetracks. Love me that Jones boy. Yeah, I
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: feel like they have some good juju going for next year.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I'll be very interested to see where Legacy Motor Club
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: ends up at the end of next year. I feel
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: like I said that last year too. They're still like
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: exactly the same. So we'll see. Riley Herbst, he crushed it.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: I feel like this is the race he crushed it
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: in the Xfinity Series one year where he was just
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: out on this crazy lead. Yeah, that's not going to
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: happen today in Cup. I don't have him as a
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: GPP play. I kind of have him just as a
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: complete fade. The positive for Riley Herbst is that he is...
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: budget-friendly at 6K. I wish he was starting a little
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: bit deeper in the field, but he does have a
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Toyota under the hood. And his 23XI teammates are starting
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: 5th and 9th, so... I think he's worth a fade,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: but I do understand if you do want to get
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: some exposure to Mr. Herbst today. Joey Logano is great
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: here as well. He's starting 23rd, a 9,500. Middle-of-the-road practice.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: Cheaper than Blaney. In my opinion, if you are dead
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: set and going Blaney but you're struggling on cash, drop
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: down to Joey and save, what, a couple hundred bucks.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: Maybe that'll work and it gives you some more PD upside.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: Cole Custer, SVG, and Ricky Stinkhouse. No, no, no. Todd
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Gilliland and Austin Dillon. I'll take a shot. Todd Gilliland
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: looked god-awful in practice, but it's Gilley, so kind of
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: hoping for the best there. Austin Dillon, yeah, middle-of-the-road practice.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: start 28th. So kind of hoping he just gets, you know,
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: in the top 15, uh, Ty Dillon. No, uh, Zane Smith. Yeah.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: I'll take a shot. In this case, he's, he's hard
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: to figure out. Uh, Connor Zilich. I'm going to say no.
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: He looked okay in practice. Um, like I mentioned earlier with,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: with Chastain track, how scares me. They've been trash all
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: season long, all season long. And, uh, I'm sick of, oh,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: he has the potential, so he's starting in the back.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Good practice. The kid's a hell of a driver. It's
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: just track house in general, or maybe it's that team
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: in general. I don't know, but it's a fade for me.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: I understand if you want to play the Z-Man. I
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: kind of like that, the Z-Man. But it's going to
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: be a no for me. John Hunter Nemechek. Yeah. Toyota. Okay.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Austin Hill. 16th in the 15 lap. Okay. You know,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: these are like, we're trying to save money. Like, you know,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: these are, these are like last click type drivers, right? Uh, Cody,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: where no. And then we have Josh Berry and Noah
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Gregson who both, uh, both crashed during practice and will
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: both be heavily owned today. Uh, Josh Berry is on
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: a crazy, fantastic, um, string of races. Uh, solid, solid finishes. Uh,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: and this is Noah Gregson's home track. So, you know,
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: he's not going to want to lay an egg in
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: qualifying and in the race. Right. So, uh, hopefully a
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: top 20 for Noah and Hey, that's it for me, folks.
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: It is NFL Sunday. I quite literally think it's nine o'clock.
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: I think there's a game in Europe right now. Uh,
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to share my screen. Let me double
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: check that. Am I right on that? Yes. In the,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: in Washington at nine 30. I have zero interest in that,
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: but I know some people do. So I'm going to
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: go ahead and wrap up this morning's show. Thank you
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: so much as always. The NASCAR season is, we're wrapping
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: up here, folks. We only have like five races left
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: or something like that. Here, let me look at my phone.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: Let me look at my telephone. We have this week
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: in Vegas, Charlotte, Phoenix, Daga, Martinsville, and Homestead. One, two, three, four, five.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Six races, which includes today. So six more times this
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: year we're going to get together and talk about left-hand turns.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: I appreciate you all. Good luck in all of your
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: slates today. If any further drivers are announced as going
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: to the rear, I will, as always, mention it in
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: the Discord. Any questions, please feel free to tag me
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: on Discord. And as always, always, let's ship it! Thank you.