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Thursday BEST BETS | College Basketball NIT Semifinals & Crown & MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/2/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this, Man, the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four.
• 0:28
  Speaker 3: I have not had a good season Man with Wickens,
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins. Archie,
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know. It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: But I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: years doing this I don't know what to even tell
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, perise, the.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: Slump disconvenuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you with toadstool Sports for Thursday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: April second, my birthday. Not happy about yesterday. One and
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: two uh could have easily probably been at least two
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: and one. Started out nice, We got the win with
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: the Chicago Cobs easy. Then the next game up looked
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: like it was going under Yankee Seattle. That was a
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: one nothing game until like the sixth inning, first five
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: inning under would have been winner. I chose to leave
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: the bullpens in, and the bullpens failed just enough that
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: the thing went over because each team scored a run
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: in the ninth inning when the game was pretty much
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: kind of decided already at that point. Of the Yankees
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: only one by two, but still they padded their lead
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: in the ninth inning, and then the Mariners scored one
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: run back in the bottom of the ninth So multiple
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: runs late in that game to send that thing over barely.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: It landed eight. I'm not happy about that. And then
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: Minnesota Kansas City. Yeah, that makes me look like an idiot,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: but that was like, dude, Joe Ryan just did not
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: have it. He was bad in the game. Noah Cameron
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: put up you know, his line was fine. He like
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: held up his end of the bargain. The game was
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: still within like the under was still within reach, even
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: though it wasn't looking good. It was like five to
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: one I think in the fifth or sixth inning, I'm like, well,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: that's not good, but hopefully the bullpens can kind of
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: just cool things down a little bit here. No, the
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: bullpens were an absolute train wreck in that game. I
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened in that game, Like double digit
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: runs scored in the final like three innings of that game.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you about it. Kansas
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: City's bullpen cannot possibly be as bad as that. Minnesota's
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: is bad, but even theirs, I don't think could possibly
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: be that bad. We're gonna move on to today. I'm
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: gonna have one play it is in the NHL. I'm
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about all the other things that are going
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: on today. We have more college basketball Crown, the NIT
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: semi finals, and three baseball games and NBA also going
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: on today. But I don't really like any of those boards. Zach,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Let's get into it.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: We're gonna start with Major League baseball because there is
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: an afternoon game which is hold on, you're gonna zoom
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: in here. I'm on college basketball right now, though. Let's
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: move baseball over very small baseball board today afternoon game
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: Minnesota Kansas City. Zach, there you go, because it is
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: getaway day for these two teams. They're finishing this series.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: The other two games involved the first game of a
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: new series, which is more my bread and butter. My
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: bread and butter is when teams are you know, traveling
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: and shifting series you can find more like situational angles.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: Minnesota Kansas City, though, yeah, they're finishing a three game
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: series here. Now, Minnesota is trying to avoid the sweep.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: So sometimes I will lean towards the team it's trying
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: to avoid the sweep because the team that is trying
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: to get the sweep, it's like the pressure is a
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: little bit more on them and the other team might
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: be able to make some adjustments. Is Kansas City gonna
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Milwaukee. I'm gonna say no, because it
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: is a divisional series here, so every one of these
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: games kind of matters. Yeah, you want the sweep. I mean,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be honest. I think you sh should get
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: it because your ace is on the mound here. But
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, Uh, what's up? She squealed. What's
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: going on? All right? Bullpen wise, I'm I'm gonna still
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: give Kansas City a bullpen edge generally, but they did
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: use six relief pitchers yesterday, which is not what you
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: want to see. Even though Joe Ryan was way worse
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: in the game than Noah Cameron was, Minnesota only us
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: three relief pitchers yesterday. So even though Kansas City is
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen, I believe, at least for now, you know,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: the rest situation could kind of even that out a
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: little bit. So I don't really see that much of
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: a bullpen edge one way or the other. Both offenses
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: are not very good either. Like I couldn't even tell
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: you really which one of these offenses is better now.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: Todz Bradley is pitching for the Twins here decent start.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: In his first start, he had nine strikeouts. I mean,
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: he does strike out a lot of guys, I'll give
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: him that, but he didn't even go five innings. He
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: was very inefficient with his pitches. Threw ninety two pitches
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: and four to third. This was at Baltimore. He did
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: he hold he excuse me, he held them to one
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: earned run. But he did also walk three guys, so
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It wasn't the greatest outing against Kansas City.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: He actually has dominant numbers though, in fifty five at
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: bats thirteen to two strike out walk ratio, one oh
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: nine batting average allowed two to eighty six ops. Very
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: very good numbers for Bradley against the Royals, specifically, which
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: is gonna be needed because the Royals' best pitcher is
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: on the mound Cole Reagan's. I mean, don't look at
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: what his numbers looked like in one start. I mean
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: he had a bad start against Atlanta on the road.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Gave up three home runs, four and runs, four walks,
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: six hits, and four four innings, pitched five strike ups.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: That could have been even worse. The fact that he
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: put ten men on base, gave up three long balls
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: and three long balls. I almost sad long bombs, long balls, dude.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: I need to get the curb enthusiasm long balls, dude,
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: that's what we need for. That should be a baseball
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: drop for me. I'm gonna try to find it anyway. Yeah,
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Reagan's it could have been even worse for him, dude.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: He put way too many guys on base. But first
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: start of the season, you can kind of just throw
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: it out. To be honestly, I wouldn't put that much
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: weight into that. We know that he's a good pitcher,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: so that's what I'm going with. We've seen what he's
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: done throughout his career. His numbers are pretty good here
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota forty four at bats seventeen to four, strike up,
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, one eighty two, batting average allowed five sixty
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: eight ops. Uh, because he has a lot a couple
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: of home runs here excuse me, one home run to Lewis.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean i'd be looking at the under
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: in this game again really if I was doing anything
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: with it. But I don't want to include the bullpens.
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: The bullpen's got rocked yesterday. They're not in the greatest
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: shape here. The money's coming in on the over. We
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: still don't know what's going on with this Kaufman Stadium
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: with the new walls, Like, are we really gonna say
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: that this is like a really hitter friendly park now
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: after this park has been pitcher friendly, you know, and
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: they move the walls in a little bit, is that? Like,
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: I seriously don't see that turning this ballpark at a
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: course field. Even though we did see a very high
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: scoring game last night, the first game that was played
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: in this series was two days before then, and it
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: was a very low scoring game. So I don't think
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: there's anything that we could really read into yet. We
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: need to see this over the longer term, see what
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: actually happens in the stadium. The totals at nine and
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: a half in this game, though, which seems insane for
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: a Cole Reagan's game. It seems too high to me, dude,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: it really does. Sixty two percent of the tickets on
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: the under, ninety percent of the cash on the over.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: Though money on the over, my lean would be under
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings would be my leen. In
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: this game, you could probably get an under four and
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: a half or maybe even better, maybe five. So with
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: the way these two starters match up, that's the way
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: that I see this going lower scoring early in the game.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Take the bullpens out of the equation for the side.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: You know, the money looks like it's coming in on
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: Minnesota seventy seven percent of tickets, only sixty five percent
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Royals. The line down to
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty one for minus one sixty. I'm not
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: really going to disagree with the Minnesota side here, man,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: because again they're a big underdog. They're trying to avoid
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: the Sweet Pier, so the motivation is probably gonna be
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: more on their side. And Bradley is better than you
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: would expect against Kansas City. It's actually probably one of
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: the best matchups that he could get. Really like, he's
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: not that good, but specifically against the Royals, his numbers
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: are pretty good, so that would be my opinion in
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: that game. The night Games, we have an ESPN Unlimited whatever,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: unlimited MLB TV game Atlanta at Arizona. Atlanta is starting
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: a road trip off of winning against the A's. Dez's
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: start to the season for Atlanta sail apparently. He he
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: was ill yesterday, sick as a dog, and he's still
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: had a very good performance, So there you go. He's
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: a veteran man. Now they're going out on the road. Now,
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be Atlanta's first road game. I don't
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: love teams in their first road game, really, but starting
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: a road trip with a little bit of momentum a
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: lot of times you will get a good performance out
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: of a team starting a road trip because they'll be focused.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Arizona is staying at home, but they're coming off of
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: a sweep of Detroit, which I think is misleading. Like,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: I don't think this Arizona team is very good, and
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: coming off of sweep like that, there's the potential for
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a let down here, even
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: though I know that was an interleague series, but still,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: you know, I think Arizona looked better than they actually
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: are in that series. Arizona's bullpen, I'm still gonna rank
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: them as one of the worst bullpens in baseball until
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: we get more data here. They use three relief pitchers
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: yesterday only used three as well. Sale was able to
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: get them deep into the game, I think yesterday. So
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give it Lanta a bullpen edge here. Arizona
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: does have the better offense starting pitching wise, I mean,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: just looking at the names here. You know what I'm
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: gonna say. I'm gonna say Atlanta has the pitching edge
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: year because I don't like Ryan Nelson. Ronaldo Lopez is
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Braves. Good start in his opener against
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, six innings, pitch one on run, only three
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: strikeouts though two walks. Looks like he did not pick
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: up the win even though they won six to two.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: They must have won later in the game. Against Arizona.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: He has okay numbers and forty at bats seventy seven
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: to seventy to one whoa seven to one strikeout walk
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: ratio is good to seventy five batting average allowed six
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: forty three ops. That ops is pretty low, so he
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: Ronaldo low Pez. So he's doing pretty well against Arizona.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: Typically Ryan Nelson pitching for Arizona. You know, I think
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: that there was something weird going on with him last
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: year because he had never been that good, and then
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the year that all of Arizona's starting pitchers start doing
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: way worse, he somehow starts doing way better even though
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: he's not even good. It makes no sense to me.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I don't buy it. He was not very good in
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: his first start this season. But it was at the Dodgers,
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: so you can kind of, I guess, give him a
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: pass for that. He give it four and runs, four strikeouts,
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: three walks, two home runs allowed, only two hits allowed,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: but that, you know, not a good outing there. Against
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: the Braves. His numbers are a bit all over the
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: place and fifty five at bats, eleven strikeouts, six walks,
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: two hundred batting average is quite low, but he's allowed
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: four home runs to them, four different batters of home
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: and off him seven eighty eight ops. So Nelson overall
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: not great numbers there. I'm gonna lean Atlanta in this one.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: I think you have the better starting pitcher here, you
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen, possible focus spot starting a road
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: trip here Arizona, possible let down off of a sweep
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: Atlanta down from minus one twenty to minus one twelve.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: But they have seventy four percent of tickets ninety percent
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. I'm gonna lean yeah, towards
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: the Braves there, but slightly. Mets at San Francisco is
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: the last game here. Looks like we may have had
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: a Blue Jays White Sox game scheduled for the afternoon
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: here too, but that is postponed, so that means we
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: might get a double header between those two over the
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: weekend or something. I don't know. Anyway, Mets at San Francisco.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: This is the start of a new series, Mets coming
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: in from Saint Louis, so they do have to go
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: play a late night game on the Pacific Coast, which
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: a lot of times I don't like that. It can
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: mess with the team's biological clock a little bit when
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: they're having to go to the West coast for the
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: first time. But they're going from the center time z
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: on right now and not from the East. At least,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Sar Francisco is staying in the Pacific times zone and
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: coming back from losing yesterday to San Diego but winning
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: the series, so they did win a series or they
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: lost pretty badly yesterday. Situation might set up a little
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: bit better for San Francisco here, but the Mets did
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: just lose to the Cardinals I think again yesterday, so
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: that's you know, the Mets. It might be good for
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: them to just starting a new series. That was an
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: ugly series for them. Man, the Mets losing to a
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: bad Cardinals team the last two games, Mets being the
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: better team there, so maybe they will bounce back here.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: Mets used a ton of relief pitchers, though they used
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: five relief pitchers in that game. The Giants only used three,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: but only a Barocki. Barooki only for three pitches, so
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: he might be available again. Sar Francisco, I think has
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen anyway, so they have a bullpen edge
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: here the Giant, I almost said the forty nine ers
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: the Giants do. I'm gonna give the Mets the offensive
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: edge of course. Here. David Peterson is pitching for the Mets.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: He did have a shutout for five and a third
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: in his first outing against Pittsburgh. Bad offense for Pittsburgh.
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: San Francisco's is not really much better, though he did
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: have two walks. As usual, he walks too many guys,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: but didn't allow a lot of hits. Not really a
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: strikeout guy either. Peterson against the Giants he has okay
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: numbers and seventy five at bats two fifty three average,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: allowed six eighty four ops. The one bad stat is
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: the strikeout walk ratio fifteen to thirteen, so again that's
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: not good. I mean, that's way too many walks, which
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: is kind of typical. Of Peterson, but nine of them
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: are a Domis, so it looks like he does pitch
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: around him a little bit. Overall, mediocre numbers for him
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: against San Francisco. Robbie Ray is pitching for San Francisco.
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: His first outing was good, especially considering it was against
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: the Yankees. He held them to tour and runs in
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: five and a third, four strikeouts, no walks. Pretty good
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: outing from Ray. He had a good year last year
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: in general, though he started getting worse at the end
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: of the season. Going up against the Mets here another
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: pretty potent offense, he does have good numbers against them
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: in eighty two at bats twenty two to three, strikeout
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: walk ratio one eighty three average, a lot of five
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: fifty three oh ps. So I think Ray, based on
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: those matchup numbers, does have the edge here. That's the
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: way I'm gonna lean. I'm gonna lean towards the Giants
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: as the underdog here. Mets are minus one twenty. Maybe
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: it's just my David Peterson hate. I don't know. I
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: think the Giants have the pitching edge throughout this game, though,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: and the travel edge here. Sixty percent of tickets, ninety
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on the Mets. So the
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's disagreeing with me on that one
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: and indicating on the Mets. But what can you do, man,
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: I find myself disagreeing with these early market reads pretty
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: often baseball, and maybe it's a good thing, maybe it isn't.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: My baseball season was very up and down last year.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: Usually my baseball is good. So I don't know, man,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: And I think we're just about even in baseball so
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: far this year, So I don't know. All right, let's
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: go to NHL. There are way too many NHL games, man.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: I hate how lopside of the hockey schedule is. Oh, here,
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: three games one day and then fourteen the next Yeah,
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: fuck you again. Make it like nine and seven or something, man, like,
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: give me a break here. Buffalo at Ottawa is the
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: first game. Now we have to pay attention to the
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: standings here where Buffalo is pretty comfortably. They're sitting comfortably,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: although I guess ideally they want to try to get
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: the overall one seed in the conference, you know, which
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: is They're tied right now with Carolina, but Autawa is
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: trying to get into the playoffs. Otto is two points
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: back of Columbus. For the last playoff spot right now.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: So Ottawa is definitely going to be motivated here. Buffalo
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: is coming off beating the Islanders, which is a decent
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: win there, Buffalo with a little bit less to play for,
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: but they are starting a road trip. Sometimes you will
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: be focused to start the road trip, but again less
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: to play for than Ottawa because Buffalo is already comfortably
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Ottawa has lost three games in a row.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: They are returning home from Florida though, so a lot
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: of times when a team returns home, I don't really
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: love that spot because they can be distracted by having
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: to get back to home life. But they're only on
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: the road for two games Saturday and Tuesday. This is
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: a huge game for them. So I will lean to
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Ottawa in this one. Man. I think the motivation is
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: just stronger there. The money seems to somewhat agree. Fifty
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets fifty seven percent of the cash
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: on Ottawa for now. They're sitting at minus one fifteen
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: down for minus one to twenty five. So when it's
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: a team that's, you know, in desperation mode, sometimes they
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: will be a little bit overvalued in the market though.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: But when it's a line that's just asking you to
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: pick the winner. That's where I tend to lean to
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: the team. It does have more motivation there. You know,
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: I won't want to lay like a huge price with them,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: but with ottawa'z literally just pick the winner, and that's
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: what they're trying to do there. So that would be
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: my opinion in that one. Pittsburgh got Tampa Bay. Pittsburgh
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: beat us the other day. It was a bad spot
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: in my opinion for Pittsburgh, and they still beat Detroit.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Now they're going to Tampa Bay. A part of that
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: handicap was that they'd be looking ahead to Tampa Bay.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: So I don't really see Pittsburgh not putting in an
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: effort in this game. Pittsburgh is still I mean, they're
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the playoffs right now. They're probably
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: not gonna fall out, but there's still a chance because
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: they're in the lesser division year, so there's a chance
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: they fall into the wildcard. Pretty unlikely they're gonna drop
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: out of the playoffs at this point though, to the
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: lesser team, you know versus Tampa Bay. Here though, coming
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: off multiple big wins in a row against the Islanders
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: of Detroit. That was a back to back as well.
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: Just kind of ridiculous, man. Now, it is weird to
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: have a single game road trip and have to go
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: to Florida. Though. Tampa Bay they're staying at home, and
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: they just took a loss to Montreal on Tuesday, pretty
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: ugly for to one loss at home. I think the
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: spot is better for Tampa Bay. Man. Tampa Bay is
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: pretty comfortably in the playoffs right now. They might still
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: be playing for like seeding and stuff too, though, so
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: both teams kind of in a similar motivational spot. I
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: would say Tampa Bay minus won seventy one on the
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: money line, eighty six percent of the tickets, ninety two
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Tampa. I lean Tampa in
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: that game, but not a strong opinion, and they do
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: look like a pretty public side there, but also possibly
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: the side that's taking the money. My Boston Bruins are
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: going to Florida. Bruins on a nice wind streak right now.
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: They've won four in a row, including two road games,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: both in overtime, coming off a huge win over Dallas though,
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Man and the Bruins have put themselves in a very
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: good playoff position right now. Which I think I clicked
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: on the wrong thing here. I wanted to get the
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: standings back up here. Man, the Bruins, it's not a lock,
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: but they're sitting decently right now in the top wildcard
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: spot with a six point edge over the next best team,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: Columbus Bruins, with a possible chance to move out of
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: the wildcard too. They'd have to leap frog Montreal, but
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: they're only two points below Montreal here. But I don't
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: think this is a good spot for the Bruins. It's
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: a tricky spot having to go to Florida off a
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: bunch of those big wins. Yeah, there's a rivalry here.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: These teams don't like each other. So the Bruins still
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: might get up for it. Florida is still the team
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: that eliminated the Bruins. The last two seasons of the
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: Bruins are in the playoffs. Florida still is the two
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: time returning champs as well. But Florida not having a
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: good season. They're not gonna be in the playoffs this year.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. They just beat Ottawa on Tuesday.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is better for Florida though, So
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: I am gonna lead to Florida. In this game, Bruins
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: are up to minus one fifty six on the money line,
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of tickets, ninety three percent of the
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: cash on the Bruins with money coming in on that side,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: it looks like they're up for minus one forty. I
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: would not do that. I think that's way too much
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: of a price. Bruins also not as good on the road.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: I know they've won their last two road games, both
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: in overtime, but this is too much of a price
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: to lay. Dude, in a spot like this, I wouldn't
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: do it. I would lean towards Florida. As far as
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: Florida is concerned. You know, they're not going anywhere this year,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: so this might be one of the games that Florida
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: does put in an effort because there is a rivalry here,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: so I think Florida may show up for that game. Kyle,
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: what's up? Yes? That is correct, Yes, yep. It is
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: my birthday. It's always letdown, man, you know what I mean.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: There's like, I don't know, there's all this build up
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: to it, like mentally, and then you're like, oh, it's
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: just another day. I'm old. Yeah, all right, you know
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Montreal at the Rangers here. Montreal to just beat Tampa Bay.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: That was a big win for Montreal. Montreal is sitting
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: okay right now in the playoff race, like they're not
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: gonna fall out of the playoffs most likely, but they
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: could potentially drop behind the Bruins. So there is a
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: little bit of motivation there, but they could be in
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot coming up a couple of huge wins.
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: They've won six games in a row. They beat Carolina
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: and Tampa Bay. Now they're going up the East coast
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: to play the Rangers. They're playing a third game in
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: four days, and actually, am I doing this rate? This
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: is a fourth game in six days. I almost thought
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: it was a fourth and five. It's a fourth and
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: six and a fifth and eight. So they're playing a
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: lot of games at quick succession here, man, So I
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: don't really like the spot for Montreal here. Now the Rangers,
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: we know the knock on them as they suck at home,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: they're eliminated. Maybe they're gonna get up for a game
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: like this though, at home against a playoff team. They
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: get a chance to play spoiler against a fellow Original
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: six team. Rangers have actually won three home games in
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: a row. Go figure, They're horrible at home all year,
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: and now they're on a three game home win streak.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: Two of them. I mean, all of those wins are
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: against non playoff teams though, so this will be the
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: better of those teams that they're playing. But I kind
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: of like the Rangers in this game, you know, staying
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: at home. Yeah, they're coming off a rivalry win over
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, but I think they'll get up for a
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: game against a team where they have a chance to
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: maybe play spoiler Montreal, possible let down here. They're at
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty up for minus one thirty five. Seems
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: like a bit of a price to lay on the
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: road there. They're public ninety three percent of the tickets,
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the cash on Montreal. Yeah, I'm
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: gonna lean towards the Rangers in that one. When would
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: I ever like the Rangers at home? No? I mean
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: I have sometimes, but that game I do. But that's
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: not gonna be on my card. Oh, thank you, yes,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: thanks everybody? All right, Detroit at Philadelphia, This is a
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: good game. These two teams are both in the wildcard
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: hunt right now. They're both still fighting to try to
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs. Playoffs, Detroit beat philip No. No. They lost
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: to Philadelphia on March twenty eighth at home, so there
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a quick revenge angle. I
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: don't really want to call it revenge because again, it's
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: not like that team is like angry. It's more like
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: the team that lost is the team that can make
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: the adjustments to what went wrong in that first game.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: Detroit's lost four of the last five, including that home
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: loss to Philadelphia. They just got bombed by Pittsburgh and
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: that was a bad loss that we took here on
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: the show. I thought it was a good spot. Did
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: not work out. Now, I think you're gonna get effort
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: out of Detroit here. Man. They're better than what they
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: look like over this recent stretch. They can make the
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: adjustments off of that home loss to Philadelphia. They just
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: took another ugly loss there to Pittsburgh. Philadelphia is coming
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: off a tougher ish loss, a close loss to Washington,
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: who was also kind of in the thick of the
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: wild card race right now. That was a bad spot
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: for Philadelphia though, kind of because they'd beaten Detroit on
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: the road. They beat Dallas, then they had to go
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: to Washington. I talked about that game. I talk about
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: every game, but you know, I mentioned I leaned to
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: Washington in that game, but Washington was also in a
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: bad spot. Philly, you know, definitely could theoretically bounce back
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: from that, but I think Detroit is in the stronger
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: bounce back or readjustment spot whatever. I like Detroit in
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: this game, but the money is not agreeing with the
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is sitting at minus one ten, but Detroit looks
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: like a public road underdog, which is not what you want.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: Seventy eight percent of tickets only seventy five percent of
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: the cash on Detroit. I don't like that, look, man,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: I really don't because I lean that way. I lean
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: to Detroit there, and the market read is something that
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: I really would never want to be on a public
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: underdog like that. I always want to fade that pretty much.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: In this case, I'm staying away though, but I do
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: lean to Detroit in that one. Based off of the
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: situation Columbus at Carolina. These two teams just play at
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: each other, and Carolina one at Columbus five to two,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: So there is maybe a zigzag here where the team
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: that lost might have the adjustments to make. You know,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: Columbus just lost at home. You know they're gonna they're
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: gonna want to get this thing. Because Columbus was above
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: the wildcards. They were like in the actual you know,
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: like they're in the division leader spots in the playoffs.
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: Now they've fallen into the last wildcard spot behind the Bruins.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: So just because of the nature of the division that
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: they're in, so they're hanging on to the last wildcard
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: spot right now and coming off losing at home to Carolina,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get a big effort out of
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: Columbus here. Man. Maybe not so much from Carolina because
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: they're already comfortably in the playoffs. They are fighting to
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: get that one, you know, that top overall seed though,
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: so they get home ice throughout. But I think Columbus's
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: motivation is stronger to stay in the playoffs completely. Carolina
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: might take Columbus lightly after beating them on the road here.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Carolina does have the Islanders next, which is a somewhat
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: big game. I'm gonna lean to Columbus in this one.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: Carolina pretty big favorite. They've dropped a bit for minus
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: one ninety one seventy six money looks like it is
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: on the Carolina side, but I do not agree with that.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Sixty two percent of the tickets are on Columbus, sixty
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the casual on Carolina. I don't see that. No.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, market Reid looks very strong on Carolina,
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: but I don't see it at all. I think the
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: motivation is on Columbus there, and you're getting them as
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: a big underdog. That is the type of spot that
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: I tend to kind of look at, where when you
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: pretty much know you're gonna get a motivated team and
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: they're a big underdog, that's what you want. You want
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: like the big effort out of the underdog versus maybe
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: questionable effort from the big favorite, you know. So that's
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: the way that I look at that game. We have
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: a Hulu double header. The next game up is the
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: first game of the Hulu doubleheader, Washington at New Jersey.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: Washington is trying to get into the playoffs. They're still
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: in the wildcard race here, so that's their motivation. They've
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: won three games in a row, beat Utah and Vegas
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: on the road, those are probably both playoff teams. Then
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: they beat Philadelphia, who's battling them for a wildcard spot.
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: They caught Philadelphia in a bad spot. For Philadelphia, like
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: I mentioned, wasn't a great spot for Washington either. Now
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Washington's got to go play New Jersey and up next
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: they got Buffalo, which I think is a bigger game,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: and Buffalo is one of the top teams in the
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: conference this year. So I don't love Washington in the spot. Man,
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: they're coming off beating one of their one of the
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: teams that's battling them for this last wildcard spot. Huge
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: game agains Buffalo on deck. One of the types of
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: games that maybe a team like New Jersey is gonna
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: still get up for as a TV game like this,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: a Hulu game, chance to play spoiler on New Jersey.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: You know, they're just playing out the stretch at this
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: point pretty much. They're not gonna make the playoffs. Most likely.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: They just lost pretty badly at the Rangers, so maybe
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: they will be in a bounce back mode from that.
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: They're only going from Manhattan back to New Jersey here.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: I like the devils in this game. That's the way
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: I would lean. Not my play, but the money looks
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: like it disagrees with me on this one too. I'm
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with the market on every game here, man, Washington
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: has flipped from plus one hundreds and minus want to
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: wait seventy eight percent of tickets and only fifty nine
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on New Jersey. So New Jersey
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: looks like a public home underdog, which is really what
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: you don't want. Yeah, this public You know the read
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: of the market. When you see a public team like
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: that with less of the cash on them, especially when
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: they're the dog, you want to stay away. Man. You
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: want to either fade that team or just stay away
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: from it. So I am staying away, but I don't
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: quite get it now. Yes, Washington is the motivated, like
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: they are gonna be motivated to try to make the playoffs.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: So sometimes that will overvalue a team, you know what
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: I mean. Although in this case, you're really just asking
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: them to win the game, so there is that, But
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: even so pressure could be on. I prefer New Jersey
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: in that one. All right, the next game is gonna
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: be my play. But I don't know if I need
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: I feel like I need I need to just I
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: need to jump take a quick break. I'll be back
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: and then we do a basketball to talk about too.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be right back. Hold on, yep. Inside, I
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: want to kill myself. We are on OWN seven, run
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: over two days after tonight. It was just complete bullshit.
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five. I don't even know what to
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: tell you above that.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: Own four that.
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: Have not had a good season.
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: Man with wiokends the slump that I'm on and the
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: to burn my browins.
• 32:34
  Speaker 4: Hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: the Bruins arch hape.
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. But I'm not I
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after.
• 32:50
  Speaker 4: The worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 32:52
  Speaker 4: you as I always am until I die at least
• 32:57
  Speaker 4: oh and two yesterday and yesterday did not go well
• 33:00
  Speaker 4: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: To the slump, praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: it all. All right, best bet here is gonna be, uh, Winnipeg.
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: If you want to go just money line on this,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: you can. I'm doing a split bet, partially on the
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half puck line, which I found
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: at minus one seventy five, and partially money line plus
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: one forty. I mean that money line is in that ranger.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: If you want to just do it, you could just
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: go money line only on this. This is the split
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: that I have on this right now.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: So whoops.
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: Basically it would be, yeah, that's quite a split, isn't
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: It would be if you're going to try to win
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: one hundred, it would be like seventy three on the
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy five part of it. That part of
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: it would return forty one sixty seven, and then you
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: put that amount on the money line. So the idea
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: is you're basically making your own plus one puck line,
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: so if they lose by exactly one, your bet will push,
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense, And some books do offer that
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: plus one puck line as well, But we are gonna
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: go with Winnipeg in this one. Dallas, you could argue
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: that they're gonna bounce back here, but I think that
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: is kind of the typical public argument, like, oh, this
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: is a good team, it's been playing bad recently, they've
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: lost six of their last seven, and now they're back home,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: they should bounce back, right. My opinion is no, that's
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: not what typically happens because they're returning home from a
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: road trip that they've been on for a week. They
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: had to go to the East coast pretty much the
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Northeast and didn't have a good road trip. But when
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: teams return home a lot of times they are distracted.
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: They got to get back to home life. They got
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: stuff to do. And Dallas does have a big game
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: up next against Colorado man a TV game on Saturday.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: That's a huge game. And for Dallas, they're pretty much,
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say they're completely locked into their
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: spot here, but pretty close. They're already in the playoffs,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: they already clinched a playoffs spot. They're eight points behind Colorado.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: Even with Colorado's loss to Vancouver yesterday. I did mention
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: my leam to Vancouver yesterday outright, win for Vancouver's pretty crazy.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: I congratulations to Jeffrey who won money on that game.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: But Dallas, yeah, they're also six points ahead of Minnesota here,
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: and of course they're not going to fall into the
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: wildcard or anything like that, so you know, they're fairly
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: locked into the spot that they're in right now. So
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: that's why they've been on just total cruise control here.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: And I don't think this is a focused spot for
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: them for Winnipeg, because they're not going anywhere this year.
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: This is one of their big games remaining on the schedule.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: They're not going to be in the playoffs. They're on
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: the road here. They're going from Chicago to Dallas. They
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: just scraped by, skated by Chicago in their last game,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: and you remember I talked about that that was a
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot the Winnipeg was in because they'd beaten Colorado
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: the game before that and they had this big Dallas
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: game on deck and they still got through Chicago. Chicago
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: was not very good, but I think this is definitely
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: one of those remaining games that you'll get an effort
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: out of Winnipeg here. That's what we're gonna do. Dallas
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: is down for minus one seventy eight to minus one sixty,
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: so some early movement against Dallas here. It's a low
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: total too, which should help out with the playing the
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: underdog here. Might be a closer game if it's lower scoring.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Dallas does play a lot of lower scoring games. Winnipeg
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: really does too, especially if Hellabuck is in Net. I
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: don't know if he will be, but we're playing the
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: spot here anyway. Man total in the five and a
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: half range here, ninety one percent tickets, ninety nine percent
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Dallas. Not much to read into
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: that other than the fact that I think Dallas is
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: a public side there. So we're gonna go with Winnipeg
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: on that one. And that is my only play of
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: the day being selective here. The aforementioned Vancouver playing on
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: a back to back here going to Minnesota. Vancouver just
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: beat the Avalanche yesterday and they're winning that game, I
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: think six to two or six to three. Colorado came
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: all the way back and tied the game and then
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: Vancouver still won and got an empty netter at the end.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Ridiculous game for Vancouver, and now they're on a back
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: to back. They're playing a third game of four days,
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days, fifth game in eight days,
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. Could be a big let down
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: for them after that huge effort yesterday pulling off the
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: biggest ups Dude, I think that was the biggest line
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: in hockey of the season, and the underdog one. It's
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: the biggest upset of the year line wise, So they
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: could be in a letdown spot. Although Minnesota is not
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: really a team that you overlook, it's just that that
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: was such a monumental win last night. The Vancouver might
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: have nothing left in the tank here, even if they
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: want to try to put in an effort mentally Minnesota.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: Though I don't exactly want to jump on Minnesota here either.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: They're returning home from a road trip. They've been off
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: for a while, They've been off since Saturday, so they
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: do have way more rest. This is a huge rest
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: advantage from Minnesota here, but they did return home from
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: road trips, so again I'm gonna mention it. When teams
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: return on from road trips, they can get distracted, got
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: to get back to home life. You might overlook a
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: team like Vancouver. Although because Vancouver beat Colorado last night,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: maybe Minnesota is sitting around like, oh crap, we need
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: to actually pay attention to this game. Minnesota is going
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: to be in the playoffs as well. They're pretty much
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: locked in, to be honest, like they're gonna be probably
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: they're gonna stay in this three spot in the central.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: You know, the next closest teams to them are not
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: even that close, So so that's that Minnesota is fairly
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: locked in. They're at minus four to ten, so they're
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: basically about the same size favorite as Colorado was last night.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: The reason why it's jacked up even further is because
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Minnesota has that monster rest advantage here that's being factored
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: into the line, So they might actually wind up being
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: the heaviest favorite of the hockey season, even though Colorado
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: was definitely better than Minnesota. It's just because of the spot.
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: Eighty three percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: cash on Minnesota. Oh my god, yeah, I mean I
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: can't play this game. There's no way an over might
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: make sense in this one. I know Vancouver was in
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: that really high scoring game last night. But Vancouver, you know,
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: they're not very good at defending. Both teams are in
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: kind of questionable spots. The only issue with Minnesota is
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: they've been off for so long that their offense might
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: struggle a little bit early in the game. So that
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: would be my worry there. But the total did flip
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: to six and a half juice to the over so
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with the over there. I really
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: don't like the side at all in one way or
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: the other. Both teams just in bad spots. Man Chicago
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: at Edmonton. Chicago not going anywhere. Edmonton pretty much safely
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Chicago has lost four games in a row.
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: They might get up for this game though, because this
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: is the start of a new road trip. A lot
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: of times when things aren't going well, you know, you
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: start a new road trip, it's like hitting the reset
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: button and you focus. They're not going to overlook Edmonton,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: so you might get an effort out of Chicago here.
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: Edmonton's won four games in a row. They are staying
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: at home. They do a Vegas on deck, which is
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: a bit of a bigger game. So I'm gonna have
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: a slight lean towards Chicago and this one Edmonton down
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: to minus two twenty eight. Here we don't see the
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: percentages yet, but you'd be able to get Chicago at
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: probably like a decent puck line price on that one.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: Calgary at Vegas. Calgary just got wrecked by Colorado, and
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: that was the game before last night's Colorado caame versus Vancouver.
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Colorado is probably feeling a bit high after beating anybody
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: nine to two. You might be feeling pretty high. Calgary
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: coming off a nine to two loss, you got to
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: figure they're probably gonna show up and try to win
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: a game, you know, even though they're not going anywhere
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: this year. They get to play a team that's gonna
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: be in the playoffs. In Vegas, they're coming off a
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: really horrendous looking loss, even though it was to the
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: best team in hockey. I think you're gonna get effort
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: out of Calgary here. Now for Vegas, they just beat
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: Vancouver on Monday and they're staying at home. Now. I
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention Vegas actually fired their coach and they
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: or they at least well they did, I guess, because
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: they hired a new coach. They have John Tortorella. Now,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: who's been around a former Ranger coach, by the way,
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: and where else was he? I forget he was on
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: multiple different teams, coaching multiple different teams. But anyway, I
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: completely forgot to mention that on Monday because a lot
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: of times when a team as a new coach, it
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: sparks the team, like if they didn't like that previous
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: coach and they like the new coach, they'll play harder,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: especially in that first game, and a lot of times
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: the players want to prove that, like the reason why
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: the team was losing was not them and it was
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: the coach. So Vegas had actually lost six of their
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: last seven games prior to that. They bring in Tortorella
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: and they win, although it was against Vancouver, who suck.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: Calgary also suck, but Vegas does have Edmondson a deck
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: that is a bigger game against Edmondson this specific spot.
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: I think maybe there could be a little bit of
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: a letdown after you have that big you know, you
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: get up like big for your new coach, you know
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: what I mean. Sometimes it will just give you momentum
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: that carries and you will start winning a bunch of games.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna lean to Calgary in this game. Vegas,
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: the pressure is a little bit more on them as well,
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: because they're trying to maintain a playoff spot here. They're
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: tied with Utah right now. It's just that Vegas has
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: the tie breakers. That's why they're in. Or no, they're
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: in because they're in the Pacific. Utah is in the
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: Central that's why. So I don't even know which one
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: of those teams has the tie breakers. So Vegas they
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: do not want to fall out here, although I don't
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: think they're not going to miss the playoffs, but you know,
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: they do have to worry about falling into a wildcard spot.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: But maybe that means the pressure is gonna be on them.
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: Calgary has no pressure on them, you know what I mean,
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: because they're not gonna make the playoffs. So h Vegas
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: at minus two forty five here, ninety five percent of
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash on them.
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: Do with that information what you want. Toronto at San Jose,
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: both of these teams just being Anaheim. Toronto has more
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: rest though, cause San Jose played yesterday. Toronto hasn't played
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: since Monday, and they're staying in California here, so maybe
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an advantage there, having extra rest
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: and having already adjusted to the time zone. But they
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: did just be an Anaheim, which is a big win.
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: They got the Kings on deck, who are currently in
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, So you know, Toronto might overlook San Jose,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: possibly cause San Jose is not going to be a
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: playoff team. Most likely San Jose also just being Anaheim,
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: like I said, and they did it yesterday. Now they're
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: staying at home, but they have a rest disadvantage because
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: they played yesterday. They might not totally pay attention to
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Toronto either. The money is indicating on San Jose though
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: they're minus one twenty seventy nine percent of the tickets
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: on Toronto, ninety two percent of the cash on San Jose,
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: So the money's indicating on San Jose. I kind of
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: disagree with that one too, though, I kind of lean
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: slightly towards Toronto. But possibly this is another game where
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: you could potentially look towards an over though I worry
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: a little bit because Toronto's had enough rest that maybe
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: it'll mess with their offense, and you know, they don't
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: have Austin Matthews for the rest of the season, I'm
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: pretty sure. But with two teams with nothing left to
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: play for it basically, you know, these games can kind
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: of turn into like scrimmages, or the defense isn't as intense,
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: so over, you know, doesn't It's not like, yeah, I
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: mean over kind of makes sense to me. I should
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: say Utah at Seattle. This is the second of the
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: Hulu games. Here. Utah is trying to stay in the
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: playoff race. Here Seattle has a chance to make the
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: playoff still too, So both these teams are gonna be motivated.
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: Utah just beat the Kings six to two on Saturday,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: so they've been off for a while coming off a
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: pretty big win. LA is currently in the last wildcard spot,
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: overtaking Nashville, and that's gonna be interesting given what the
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: what the matchup isn't the last game we're going to
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: talk about here. To should be focused here, but you know,
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: with time off, maybe they are kind of riding that
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: high from that LA win. Seattle might be a little
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: bit more desperate here, which sometimes means the pressure is
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: on you, but sometimes it means you could get a
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: team playing a little bit looser. But the problem with
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: Seattle's they were turning on from a long road trip.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: They've been on the roads. It's the nineteenth that's insane.
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: March nineteenth, that's crazy. You almost never see a road
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: trip this long anymore. And they didn't do well on
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: the road trip either. But you know, I talk about
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: this when a team returns home from road trips, it's difficult.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: You got to get back to home life, especially when
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: you've been away for that long. Stuff happens that you
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: have to do at home. Man, this is a big
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: game though, for both teams, Like Seattle is trying to
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: stay alive here, like they're actually right here in the
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: thick of it. They're only two two points back from
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: the wildcard here, and actually San Jose is closer than
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: I thought. Man, san Jose could potentially make the playoffs.
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: So I scratch what I just said about San Jose. Man,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: that's why the motive, that's why the money's coming in
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: on San Jose because they're they do have a chance
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: to make the playoffs. But I still lean to Toronto
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: and that I think that means the pressure is actually
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: more on San Jose there. So again, yeah, some additional
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: information there, But yeah, Seattle these teams are all so
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: clustered in here man, between La San Jose, Nashville, Winnipeg. Winnipeg,
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: who we're on today, by the way, is a big underdog.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: They're actually in this hunt too, so that might actually
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: help our play that Winnipeg's gonna have more motivation as
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: a big underdog. And Seattle here and really Saint Louis.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: Every one of those teams is within four points of
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: each other and they're all fighting basically for one playoff spot.
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: That's absolutely insane. So yeah, so Seattle's in that thick
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: of it there, but it's a very difficult spot for
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: Seattle returning home from that long of a road trip.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean to Utah. Mean, Utah kind
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: of needs to show up as well. Man, they're minus
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: one thirty on the money line. I would have to
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: lean towards fading a team coming back from that long
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: of a road trip. So yeah, both teams with motivation
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: there though, Nashville at the Kings, like I said, I'm
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: laughing at this because these are the two teams that
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: are These were the two teams that were that were
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: the closest there to fighting for the wildcard. But now
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: San Jose has thrown themselves in the mix there. Still,
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: this is a huge game. LA currently holds the last wildcard.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: Predators are one point behind them, so if Nashville wins
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: this game, they'll jump ahead of LA. Again. Here we
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: know that LA is not good at home Eitherville is
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: having to fly from Florida here though Nashville just lost
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: a close game at Tampa Bay. They've had a bunch
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: of days off, they haven't played since Sunday. But still,
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: the time zone adjustments sometimes can kind of mess with you.
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: You know, Nashville having to have played in Florida now
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: going all the way out to California for ten thirty
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: PM game might not be that easy. The Kings are
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: staying at home, so they're at least adjusted to the
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: time zone. Problem is, they played last night, so they
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: do have a pretty big rest disadvantage here. They beat
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis barely last night and they used Forstburg and Nets,
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: so probably they're gonna use Kemper in net this time.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: It has been their primary goalie here. LA not good
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: at home though, like I mentioned, they're eleven, seventeen and
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: eight at home. That's pretty bad. Nashville not exactly great
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: on the road fourteen sixteen and six. This is a
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: very very difficult game to handicap. The money seems to
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: kind of be indicating on Nashville early LA down for
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty minus one nineteen. We don't see the
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: percentages yet. I mean, I don't know, man. I mean,
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: I guess I'm gonna agree with Nashville slightly. I mean,
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: they do have a huge rest edge there. But I'm
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: kind of rooting against them at this point, man, because
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: they've let me down so many times in because they
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: made such a big deal out of their stupid pride nights.
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: So they go, all right, let's do NBA. I don't
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: find this to be a very interesting NBA board. I
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: know I skipped NBA last night too, and the night
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: before that, even though the night before that we did
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: get Orlando. Right, Celtics actually got a fairly easy win
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: against Miami last night, So I'm happy to be wrong
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: when that's the case. All right, Phoenix and Charlotte is
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: the first game here. Phoenix is already in the in
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: the Eastern time zone. They just lost to Orlando in
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: that game that I was right about on Tuesday. Possible
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: bounce back for Phoenix. I mean, Phoenix is I believe
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: they're playing to try to avoid the play in right now,
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: although so is Charlotte. Really so both teams kind of
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: have a similar motivation here. They're both going to be
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: in the either of the playoffs or the play in
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: at worse for both these teams. Charlotte just had an
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: easy win at Brooklyn. They're returning home from a single
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: game road trip there. I don't have a good read
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: on this game at all. There's just no angle that
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: I really like here at all. The market Reid is
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: saying to take the points with Phoenix. Hornets are down
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: from six to five, seventy eight percent of tickets fifty
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on them, so it looks
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: like the cash percentage is indicating towards Phoenix. We know Phoenix.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: They're really good against the spread this year for the
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: most part, So I'm not going to really disagree with
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: leaning towards taking the points of Phoenix. Not really a
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: game that I want to get involved in. And I
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: believe Brooks did come back for Phoenix in the last game.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Let me say he's not on the injury report, so
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: I think he did, so this will be the second
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: game with him back, and usually the first game is
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: the game where that's kind of a problem. It looks
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: like Mark Williams is out now. Mac Williams, he's an
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: underrated big man man. I think he's pretty solid. So
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: he's been out for like a month though I didn't
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: even realize he was out. But anyway, Yeah, I'm gonna
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: lean to Phoenix there. There's a Amazon Prime doubleheader. The
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: two best games are both on that, so the schedule
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: maker's got that right. Minnesota at Detroit is the first game,
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: although we know Cad Cunningham is not playing for Detroit.
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: Anthony Edwards did play, I think in the last Minnesota game.
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: I think he came back and played against Dallas. He's
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: questionable for tonight, but I'm assuming he's gonna go because
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure he did play in this game, right,
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: let me see. He did, but he came off the bench,
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: so they kind of worked his way back and he
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: played actually pretty well off the bench. He did a
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: lot in twenty three minutes. So I think Edwards is
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: probably to start tonight. That would be my guess, even
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: though he is listed as questionable right now. Minnesota did
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: just beat Dallas by thirty points on Monday. But they're
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: not gonna overlook Detroit, especially when Detroit just beat them
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: by twenty two at Minnesota and that was without Anthony Edwards,
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, and of course cunning him did not
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: play in that game for Detroit, So Minnesota might make
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: some adjustments here, you know, to that ugly home loss
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: to Detroit. Detroit really doesn't have that much to play
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: for here, man. I mean, they're pretty much locked into
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: the one seed in the East, so they at some
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: point they're gonna be focused on making sure they're a
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: bit health they going into the playoffs, you know. I mean,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll show up for this game because it's one
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: of their last bigger games. They just beat Toronto on
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: Tuesday by double digits. I like Minnesota in this game.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: I think the motivation is more on the Minnesota side,
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of jocking for playoff positioning at the
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: very least, and they have that road revenge angle if
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: you want to call it. That were like an adjustment.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Pistons down from five and a half to three, probably
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: indicative that Edwards is gonna play for the Tea Wolves here.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: Don't see the percentages yet, but I'm leaning towards taking
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: the points with the Wolves in that one. The other
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: prime game is Lakers at Thunder Uh yeah La at
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City. Here, Lakers are one of the hottest teams
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: in basketball right now. Still don't know if I'm necessarily
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: buying it. I still don't really trust their defense. They
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: did just beat Cleveland. Cleveland seems like they're almost intentionally
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: going for the four seeds that they so that they
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: get to play Detroit in the second round of the
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: playoffs and avoid Celtics and Knicks. So the Lakers, Yeah,
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: that was a win. It was a good win for
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: the Lakers though, over Cleveland for sure. But they're not
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Oklahoma City either. You know, it's a big
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: game here. Oklahoma City technically still trying to hang on
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: to the one seed. I think it's pretty unlikely at
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: this that the Spurs will be able to overtake them though.
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City playing a third big game in a row.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: They just beat the Knicks and Detroit at home. They
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: beat Detroit in overtime though, and I will you know
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: sometimes I mentioned this, Oklahoma City was a double digit
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game Detroit without Cunningham whatever. So sometimes
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: when a team's a huge favorite and they barely get by,
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: you'll see a better effort out of them in the
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: next game. But I kind of just see that as
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: a big win though, like you just beat Detroit Man
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: that you don't really consider yourself to be that huge
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: of a favorite. Really, when you're playing the best team
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: in the Eastern not the best team, but the team
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: of the best record in the Eastern Conference, even if
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: they are without their best player, this is a difficult
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: game to handicap. The money is indicating on the Thunder.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: For what that's worth fifty five percent of tickets on
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: la Thunder or down from ten to nine here sixty
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: four percent of the money on the Thunder. I mean,
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you something by lining the Thunder
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: is almost a double digit favorite against the Lakers. I mean,
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: the Thunder probably only get about two points for home courts.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: So Osbeger's telling you there is a disparity between these
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: two teams. I don't believe there are any real injuries here,
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: but I could be wrong. Let me say not really.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, Marcus Smart is out for all the Lakers,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: you know, so pretty much the rosters are close to
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: being fully intact in that game. Yeah, I mean the
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: money is saying the thunder. I mean, I don't really
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: have an opinion one way or the other there, So
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: do with that information what you want. I prefer to
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: see the Lakers lose, though, just because I can't stand them.
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: Can't stand yeah as well, reference Seinfeld constantly on the
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: show Cleveland at Golden State. Cleveland just lost to the Lakers.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they're staying in the Pacific time zone
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: for this one day off. They might get up for
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: a game against the Warriors. I mean this is their
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: biggest well, I don't know if this is their biggest
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: remaining game because they do play Atlanta twice late in
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: the season and Atlanta is in the playoff race right now,
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. I mean, Golden State, they're not
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: having a good season. I mean, they lost Jimmy Butler
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: or Curry looks like he might not come back, so
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know how much you really
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: pay attention to Golden State at this point. Golden State
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: just lost by double digits at home yesterday to San Antonio,
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: so they have no rest, but they are staying at
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: home off an ugly loss, so pretty tough game to
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: handicap Here as well, Calves are ten point favorite down
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: from ten and a half, so the money slightly indicating
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: towards the Warriors. I guess I probably would lean towards
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: taking the points of the Warriors there, but again, that
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: is not a game I want to get involved in it all. Yeah,
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: I have no respect for those rooting interests there. How
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: the fuck are you a Yankee fan and a Laker fan.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: It's like you intentionally just want to pick the most
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: despicable teams to root for. It's so fucking stupid, dude.
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: The Lakers are just like this gay, like Hollywood team.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: That's always been their identity. The Celtics are always like
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: the blue collar, like we're gonna physically beat you up
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: type of team, and that's how they got to the
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Lakers so often, like back in the eighties, because the
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Lakers couldn't match the Celtics physicality and kind of their
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: mental games. The Lakers were not tough, you know what
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: I mean. Yankees also kind of have that same aura,
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, with the stupid pin stripes
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: and how they didn't allow beards until they started allowing
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: them just for Devin Williams last year and he was
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: a complete ass closer and now he's not even on
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: the team. It's also stupid, man, Yankee's with that stupid,
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: you know, buttoned up aura that they have there. Oh
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: we have to have this clean look. We're professionals. Yeah
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: that's gay, all right, Whereas obviously the Red Sox had
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: that you know, blue call. It's the Boston personality, man,
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: the blue collar personality. Like, no, we're gonna get down
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: and dirty in the mud. You know, we're the idiots,
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. We're gonna have all massive
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: beards and long hair and pine tar over a helmet's
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Uh, yeah, that's what I like, man,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: I like I like tough, dirty men. All right. There
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: you go. Bruins have that same attitude too, all right.
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: A couple of NBA games left here, New Orleans at Portland.
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: This is actually probably my strongest opinion, which is really
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: ridiculous to even think about the Pelicans. I mean, they're
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: just playing out the stretch here. They finally did not
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: have a good game against Houston. Now they've been off
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: since Sunday and they're starting a road trip. I think
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: it's a good spot for New Orleans because you lose
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: five games in a row, one of the best things
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: for you to just forget about it, just disrupt that
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: losing momentum by having you know, a lot of time
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: off and then go out on the road. I think
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: that's helpful to New Orleans. Meanwhile, Portland just pulled off
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: an upset against the Clippers, who they're jocking for positioning
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: for the play in spots and whatever. Portland has big
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: games on deck against Denver, San Antonio and then the
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: Clippers again, So this does look like the flat spot
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: in portland schedule here against New Orleans, and they have
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: less rest because they played on Tuesday and pulled off
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: that mild upset. So I like the Pelicans in this one.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Blazers down from seven and a half to six, that
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: is my strongest opinion, though you're not getting the key
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: number anymore of seven seven and a half where teams
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: stop intentionally fouling, But I would lean towards the Pelicans
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: in that one. Dude, how the fuck does he come
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: up with these teams to root for? You would think
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: that with his other rooting interests he'd root for him,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: either the Cowboys or the Patriots or something. I have
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: no idea, dude, Falcons makes absolutely no sense, but at
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: least I respect that though at the very least, all right,
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: san Antonio at the Clippers here, San Antonio just beat
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: Golden State. I mean to me, it's almost like they're
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: kind of going through the motions. But they're winning all
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: these games, though most of them are against not great teams.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna catch the Thunder, but there's
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: still only two games back of the Thunder or two
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: and a half. Maybe they do have Denver on deck.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: Maybe they consider that to be a bigger game. Clippers
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: are coming off that loss to Portland and they are
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: staying at home. Clippers, really, I think they have more
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: to play for here because they're jocking for positioning and
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: trying to avoid the play ins if they can. So
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: I lean to the Clippers in this one. And the
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: money agrees with me on this. Spurs down from four
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: and a half to four eighty eight percent of the
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: tickets on the Spurs seventy percent of the cash on
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: the Clippers. That is a spot where when you kind
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: of know that a team has more to play for
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: like the Clippers, but in this case, they're actually a
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: home underdog. You know that they're not gonna be really
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: overvalued in the market, you know, and you know you're
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: gonna get an effort out of them. They're trying to
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: win the game and they're an underdog, so they can
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: fall short and still cover for you, you know what
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: I mean. So that's the type of situation that I
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: do like. So I do like the Clippers in that one.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: Plus the points not a play for me though. And
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: then we have men's college basketball to talk about here.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: The college basketball crown continues where last night Oklahoma won,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: but I think they had to go into overtime to
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: get it done against the shell of a Colorado team.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: It seems like they took them lightly. And then I
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: was correct about Baylor. Baylor won easily last night, so
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: they both advanced. The other two games in this first
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: round or tonight also at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: so same venue as last night. Now I'll mention what
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: I mentioned yesterday as well, that these teams have been
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: off for a while now, so their offenses could be
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit cold and the shooting could be off,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: like especially early in the game because they have to
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: get used to a new venue and shooting in a
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: new venue. Although it's gonna be worse in the final
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: four because it's in this huge football stadium. You know,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: it's at the Colt Stadium Lucas Oil. But in this case,
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: you know, the MGM Grand Arena is not a huge
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: basketball venue, so the site lines might not be as bad.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: But still, these teams have to get used to the
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: new arena. Still, they have to you know, get used
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: to playing again. So I think both games last night
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: actually were fairly low scoring. First half unders do make
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: sense in situations like this when you think teams are
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: gonna start slow because they haven't played for a while.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: We know that West Virginia the first game is Stanford
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: to West Virginia. West Virginia they play ridiculously slow, so
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: it might be, you know, pretty extreme in this case.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: You might get a very low scoring in first half
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: in this one. Now, Stanford they were pretty much embarrassed,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: like they were looking to maybe try to put themselves
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: in the tournament picture, and they lost right away. His
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: favorites to pit in the opening round of the ACC tournament.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: So I think Stanford actually might get up for this
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: game because they don't want that to be the last
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: game of the season that they had, you know what,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, losing as a favorite and pretty much ending
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: your tournament hopes. I mean, that's ridiculous. So I think
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be excited to play again here. And as
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: I mentioned yesterday, these teams are all playing for nil money,
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: so that's the incentive here. I think West Virginia probably
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: wants to be here too. I mean, it seemed like
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: the only team that didn't really want to was Colorado,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: and they still played pretty top last night. West Virginia
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: had a pretty ugly loss to BYU to get knocked
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: out of the Big twelve tournament. There, I think maybe
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: the motivational edge is slightly towards Stanford, but the money
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: is coming in on West Virginia. Stanford's a one point favorite,
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of tickets, ninety three percent of the
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: cash on West Virginia, money indicating on West Virginia. I mean,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is kind of that team that I usually
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: considered to be a bet on team because they play
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: ridiculously ugly and slow and that could frustrate opponents, you know, uh,
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: and betters never want to bet on teams that play
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: like that, so you know, I'm not gonna I don't
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: have that much of a reason to disagree with West
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: Virginia there, other than the fact that Stanford's last loss
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: was a bit uglier. I think the under kind of
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: makes more sense here. Fifty two tickets, fifty eight percent
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the under, uh totals at one
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: thirty six for the full game. If I look at
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: ken bomb real quick, here, let me see where are
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: these teams at. West Virginia is third slowest in the
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: entire country. Stanford is fairly slow as well. Uh, both
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: teams I think are top one hundred deep menses. Yeah,
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is actually a top twenty deep mens and
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: Stanford is within the top like eighty. So yeah, I
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with an under. First half under, like I said,
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense in a game like this too,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: where you have two slow, you know, slow teams that
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: play deepens and they have to get used to the
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: site lines again and neither team is that good on offense.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: So yeah, the first half under makes sense. Full game
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: under also makes sense to me in that game. The
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: other game in this tournament after that is Rutgers and Creighton. So,
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: like I mentioned, some of these conferences got auto bids
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: into this tournament, which I don't know how those are determined.
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: Rutgers took a loss somewhere in the Big Ten tournament.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: They lost to They beat Minnesota actually in that tournament,
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: I think. Then they lost to UCLA, So you know,
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: that's not an embarrassing loss losing to Ucla, who wound
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: up in the tournament. Of course, Creighton lost to Seton Hall,
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: who did not make the tournament, but Seton Hall was
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: not that bad either, probably the fourth best team in
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: the Big East of Seton Hall was This is interesting
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: with Creighton here. You know Creighton, I mean, they're used
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: to being in the actual tournament, so I don't know
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: how excited they're gonna be to be in this thing.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: Rutgers is not really a team that's always in the
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: you know, the Big Dance, you know what I mean.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: Creighton is basically always in the Big Dance, So I
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: don't know how excited they're gonna be to be in
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: this thing. But they are favored by four up from
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: two and a half, and the money is coming in
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: on them. Seventy nine percent of tickets, ninety six percent
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Creighton. The other thing you gotta
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: be aware of is Creighton their coach is stepping down.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: Doug McDermott is at his name. He has announced that
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: he's stepping down as their coach. I don't know if
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: he's retiring or if he might go somewhere else, but
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: Creighton already had a plan in place where Alan Huss
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: I think is his name, the coach from high Point,
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: not this year, but last year and the years prior
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: to that. He has been the assistant for Creighton over
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: this past season, and he was basically in line to
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: take over knowing that McDermott was gonna step down. So
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: this is I was like, which team was that again?
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it's Creighton. So I don't know who's coaching
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: this game. That would be something to look into. Actually,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna look right into it right now. Let me
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: see Creighton Crown coach. Let's see a little bit of
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: a McDermott is coaching. It looks like here he announced
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: his retirement, but he is going to coach here with
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: my alliterative, my alliteration for my Google search. There you
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: know what that means, Creighton might have a little bit
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: of a motivational boost there, you know what I mean.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: Even though Creighton might not feel good about not being
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: in the tournament because they're always in the actual tournament
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: pretty much the last few years they have been, but
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: because they know that this is McDermott's last ride, like
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: this could literally be the last game that McDermott coaches
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: if they lose, So that might actually motivate the players,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, because they want to send
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: them off in the right way. So I actually think
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: because of that, Creighton is actually going to try to
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: win this thing for you know, to send McDermott out
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: in a good way. So I'm not going to disagree
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: with the Creighton side then, you know, for that reason.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: So it's an interesting thing to think about there. Rutgers, Yeah,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: you know, they are going to try to slow the
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: game down. They play an ugly slow style. They're not
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: particularly good on deepfense or offense. So they're a little
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: bit better on defense and offense. But outside the top
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: one hundred and both, Creighton is actually in the top
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: seventy five and ken Bum's overall rankings that actually better
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball, offense and deepmense and
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: Creighton actually doesn't play that fast this year, so you know, yeah,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: I mean all that being said, yeah, I will actually
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: lean to Creighton in that one, even though my first
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: instinct was to fade them because I've thought they'd be
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: disappointed to be in this thing. But now I'm thinking
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: about it, and because of the McDermott, you know, inspiration
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: aspect of that, I probably swing around to the other
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: side there. I like Creighton, dirty sock, what's up? Thank you, sir,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: thank you everybody. All right, mister Pinsey's never coming back,
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: as I yelled at him, all right, and then we
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: do have the NIT semifinals, the NIT back in action,
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: and dude, I'm so used to this being in in
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: Madison Square Garden, in the Madison Square Garden, and it's not.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: We're looking at hinkle Field House in Indianapolis, which is
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: where Butler plays. So Butler is hosting these So that
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: does mean that these teams won't have to get used
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: to this like you know, football stadium. But still if
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: you haven't played at hinkle Field House, it is still
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: kind of weird to play in like it looks like
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: an airplane hangar and the sides go like way way
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: out and up. If you've watched Hoosier's classic movie Rip
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: Gene Hackman, the Hinckelfield House was used in that movie.
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: Like that's where they're playing like the state championship or
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: whatever in that game in that excuse me, in that movie.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, you guys know what I'm talking about. Anyway, Yes,
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: So that's where this is. It's at Butler's Home arena here.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: First game is New Mexico and Tulsa. Now, both of
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: these teams have played every game of the tournament so
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: far at home, and New Mexico as a big home
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: home advantage in the pit. So them having to go
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: from Albuquerque or whatever all the way out to Indianapolis
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: for this is it kind of a weird spot for
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. I would say they lose the home advantage
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: they had. They beat Sam Houston, George Washington, Saint Joe's
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: to get here. I'm not that impressed by those wins really, obviously,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not impressed by whatever. Saint Joe's man. George Washington
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: was better than people think, though, you know, Sam Houston
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: not that bad either, Tulsa. Tulsa plays plays really good
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: offense and they don't play deep beense very well. Tulsa
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: is coming off kind of a big win really if
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: you think about it. They played all their games at home.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: They beat Stephen f. Austin UNLV, and then they beat Wichiton.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: That was kind of a big game against Wichita because
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: it was revenge because Wichita was the team that knocked
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: Tulsa out of the American Conference man, so that was
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: kind of a big win for Tulsa there. And Tulsa
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: playing at home in all these games. They got to
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: go now play in Indianapolis, which is gonna be weird
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: for them too. New Mexico is definitely the better of
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: the two teams. New Mexico, of course, they did not
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: make the actual tournament, but at this point they're obviously
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: trying to win the NIT. I mean, they've made it
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: to the final four here. New Mexico's pretty balanced. They're
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: almost top fifty in both offense and defense. They do
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: play fast, but so does Tulsa. So that's the thing.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: New Mexico kind of does similar things to Tulsa, but
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: they're just kind of better at it. Tulsa is a
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: slightly better offense, but Tulsa's way worse on defense than
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. Is Tulsa actually doesn't play as fast as
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: I thought. They're more a little bit mid tempo, I
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: would say. But yeah, I like New Mexico in this one. Again,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: I think the cream might kind of start rising to
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: the top here. They're laying three and a half sixty
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: on New Mexico, even though we're removing their home advantage here,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: you're doing the same thing to Tulsa. Yeah, I like
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: New Mexico in that one. And then the other game
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: is Illinois State in Auburn. Illinois State is the only
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: one of the teams remaining that has not played every
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: game at home. In fact, they actually won two road
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: games against wig Forest and Dayton. And after they beat Dayton,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: my guess is, well, I was gonna say they stayed
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: in the area, but Illinois State is you know they're
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: staying in the area anyway, right because they were in
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: Ohio over the Dayton game. This game is in Indianapolis,
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: and if Illinois State went back to campus or whatever,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: that's only going to Illinois. So that's not even a
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: big deal. So Illinois does have a little bit of
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: a geographic advantage here, but they are coming off two
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: upset wins, so in their path they beat Kent State
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: and then they beat Wake and Dayton on the road.
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: So you know, I don't love a team coming off
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: back to back upsets like that necessarily and ask them
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: to pull off a third straight upset. Auburn is definitely
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: the best team in this tournament. I know everyone, you know,
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: everybody's shitting on aub or how Auburn doesn't deserve to
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: make the NCAA tournament whenever yet, Okay, but Auburn is.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: You know, they're pretty good, to be honest. Ken Bum's
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: got them fortieth overall in the country. They're not good
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: on deepfense though they're a top twelve offense, but they're
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: outside the top one hundred on deepfense, and that is
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: the question with Auburn. And they play a mid tempo style,
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: kind of a weird style for Auburn this year. Illinois
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: State is the better defense, so that's the thing. They're
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: the way worse offense, but there are significantly better defense,
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: and they play a little bit slower than Auburn. So
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: Illinois State does fall into that category of well, they
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: are road testing for one thing. But I was gonna
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: say they they play better deepfense, so they are the
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: better deepense getting points here technically, so that is one reason.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: And maybe like Illinois State here, although Auburn is kind
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: of the better I mean, Auburn is the better team.
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: They're laying six and a half here down from seven.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it is kind of indicating on
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: Auburn sixty five percent of tickets, ninety one percent of
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. I think I lean towards taking
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: the points of Illinois State in this one, though, man,
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: even though I would love to see Auburn win the
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: n and just shut all the naysayers up and and
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: Auburn New Mexico Final would actually be a fun game
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: to watch. So that's kind of what I'm rooting for.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: But Illinois State's a pretty good team, man, you know,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: especially on the deepfensive side of things, and they're playing
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: in their area of the country, they're road tests, and
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: it's just that, you know, you're kind of asking them
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: to pull off three straight upsets in a row, although
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: at least in this case, you're only asking them to
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: cover if you take the points with them, so all
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: things to consider there, and then you know, unders potentially
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: worth you know, maybe worth looks in these games. I
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: wouldn't want to do it in Tulsa, New Mexico really though,
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: because these teams play a bit faster to some extent
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: and kind of rely more on offense. The Illinois State
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: Auburn game is really more of a that's like a
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: correlated thing, where like, if you like the under, you
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: probably like Illinois State. If you like the over, then
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: you probably like Auburn, you know what I mean? Because Auburn,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna cover, they're gonna be scoring more points.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: If State's gonna cover, they're gonna be slowing the game
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: down and uh, playing deepfense. You know, the totals at
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: one forty nine in that game, the Tulson New Mexico game,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: it's obviously higher at one sixty one and a half.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: But of course, you know, with these teams playing in
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: a new venue that they're not necessarily familiar with, unders
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: early kind of makes sense. So if you wanted to
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: go under, like first half Illinois State Auburn, that makes
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: sense to me as well. For those reasons. So that's
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, man. And of course my my screen
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: share gets all messed up there, you know, leaving and
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: playing media and going in and out stream. Yards got
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: some issues, man. Ohpinzi's in the office. That sucks. That's true.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I know what that's like. Not for a while,
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: but I I've spent you know, two decades working in offices.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Tyson, that's right. How did I forget about
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: mister Chicken Tyson? Yeah, Mike Tyson? Where's he at? Man?
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: He's too wrote to bet? Oh so okay, Yeah. I
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: don't want to tempt him, man. I don't want to
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: be you know, the I don't want to be his
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: poison apple or his you know, serpent or whatever. Yeah.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: But you know, if he's able to watch without being
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: tempted to bet, obviously I would be happy. I'm dude.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: I would be happy to have these guys back anytime,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: even though I might yell at you for things, especially
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: Binzy because his rooting interests are terrible. But that's gonna
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: do it, man. My only play of the day is
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: the Winnipeg Jets. Like I said, if you want to
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: go just money line on this, you could do that too.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: I'm going split bet partially on the pocket line, partially
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: on the money line.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 3: There.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: I like the spot for Winnipeg. So that's where we're
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: going with that only play of the day. Let's have
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: a good day, everybody. Let's get a win. Let's have
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: my one play on my birthday be a winner. How
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: about that? All right? Yeah, that's gonna do it. Learn
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: a tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram, like subscribe,
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: give me good comments on the channel here, let's boot
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: this thing. We have a kind of a slow growth
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: right now. Let's let's get a faster growth. We're on
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: audio as well, Apple Spotify can check it out there.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: Covering you because my yuke channel on YouTube, Patreon dot com,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: slash and learn to toe over some bonus stuff that
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: I never keep up with, and Loser casts every Tuesday night.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging out all right.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: Peace