Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 43: Week 11 College Football Betting Preview

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Episode 43: Week 11 College Football Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, at your favorite time of week,
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get download the crazy sheets, You get you something cold to drink, and
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you get ready to talk about some college football. I'm marketing. I'm here
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in the college football podcasting studios. Gott is backing on the road. Brother,
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How the hell are you, man? I'm good, getting ready to
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get rolling. Good week last week, I mean, the only games that
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I lost I put on the board. I mean, that is a shitty
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I had a great week. But that's a that's a brutal that's a that's
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a brutal stretch for the cast. It's just you know, picking games,
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and you know it's harder than it sounds. But it was. It was
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a fun week. Last week was a it was a good time. It
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was good good maction is terrible. It's watchable, but it's terrible. I
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I don't know what's wrong with Ohio. Offensively, they look like a disaster.
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Their defense is nasty, but they can't get anything done. But I
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think we're gonna have to start laying of struggling. They're struggling. How about
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how about my rocket? So get you a Toledo baby, gets you?
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I mean they are a hail Mary, Mark, a Hail Mary from Luke
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Alsmeyer from being undefeated. Absolutely, and look because they've looked better and if
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they were undefeated, they would be the new Year six guy. It wouldn't
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be tou lane. I guess that. I thought, my man Willie Fritz
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may be about to hang up win t well. I mean, what do
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you end up with the bowl game last year and there they have a championship
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win too? I mean, what's he about to hang up twelve or thirteen
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wins something like that? Yeah, you know, I mean, holy smoke.
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I mean Tulane was two and ten his first and he's about to win
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twenty semidd games back to back years. That's pretty darn impressive. You know.
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It's we talk about a lot of things on this podcast. Coaching and
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we've in college football is so paramount, so paramount, and in the NFL
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quarterback plays paramount. Coaching in college football is paramount. Look a look at
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Matt Rule at Baylor. He took over that program, turned it into something
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good, left it in good shape. Goes the NFL doesn't work. If
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you've watched Nebraska this year, that team has gotten better, you know,
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since they've changed out the quarterback play. They've gotten more physical in the trench.
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They I think they may make a bowl. And this team has been
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wondering in the wilderness for a long time, and so is he. And
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the thing is is all these ads go try to make a splash. They
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want to. They're worried about what people are saying on the internet. It
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gives a shit. None of those people know what they're talking about. Anyway,
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Go get a football coach. Oh, it's I agree with you completely,
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And you know a couple of things football coach news. You've got an
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offense coordinator at Colorado demoted because he didn't like the way shar sanders so is
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handling the offense or was getting handled there. Dione didn't. I don't know.
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They took a step back in every statistical category last week two. That's
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fabulous, I did. That team has got a lot of holes. And
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it's kind of funny you look back at the beginning of the season. We
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just talked about Nebraska. Nebraska started the wrong quarterback to start the season.
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Once they've changed quarterbacks, things have gotten better. That team has improved as
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the season has been going on. Uh. And then we thought TCU was
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good. TCU is fucking terrible. I mean, that team's gonna be lucky
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to go bowling. I think they've got one left win left in them,
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and they're gonna get up and go for Baylor next week because that's all they
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got left. But they're gonna go from playing the Natty to not go into
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a bowl most likely this season. That's crazy. That is crazy. That
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is crazy. But you know what, it's just a nature of college football.
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In look, last year, they caught lightning in a bottle. Yeah,
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there are seven games that they want. Mark. We hated them every
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week, especially when they started winning. And I've got a good friend,
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his wife was listening, she her sons at TCU. She was just,
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I mean wearing me out every week, just like, why are you always
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picking against because they weren't good and you seeing it, It's like, you
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know, this team's overachieving. It's the whole reason I took Pittsburgh against Louisiana,
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I mean against Louisville when they went on the road. I don't think
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Pittsburgh better than they are, but Louisville's not good enough to go undefeated.
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It's the same thing with air Force. You knew they were gonna stumble.
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It's the reason I put Wyoming two weeks ago or three weeks ago, because
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they're not good enough to go undefeated. Those teams are flawed and sooner or
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later it's going to bite them. And it bit air Force last week against
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a bad Army team because Army is not very good. No, no,
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not all in a game this week. If you want to play it,
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that I think is interesting. I haven't decided if I'm going to get down
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on it. I've seen a few services release it and that's kind of moved
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the line a little bit. Would be Tennessee just to cover the money line
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against Missouri. Missouri's schedule has been a gauntlet the last couple of weeks and
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the last four weeks in a row, four or five weeks in a row.
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Missouri is pretty darn good, really good. I liked her quarterback.
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I think he's I think he plays good. But they looked like they belonged
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on the field with Georgia. Yeah, and I mean from a physical standpoint,
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and that's hard to do. But see, I think Luther Burton he's
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going to try to go, but I think he's hurt and he's a he's
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a playmaker for them, And I just don't know, you know, with
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Tennessee, how they're gonna be able to do it. Because Tennessee is a
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different team than last year. Yeah that's I don't like backing Joe Milton,
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But man a, Tennessee's defense last year was this year, and you had
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Tennessee's offense from last year, this team would have been awesome. But Tennessee
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will, they'll lean on you and pound you, and I just I kind
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of wonder what does Missouri have left in the tank. Whereas Tennessee last week
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their starters played twenty four snaps, thirty seven snaps something like that. It's
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Connecticut. Oh oh, I can't believe I didn't better on that game.
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Yeah, you know. To me, though, going going to Tennessee really
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fast, Look, how much can you say about how different this team is,
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yet they're still really good? I agree, And they're a totally different
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offense. To me, that is a mark of a program that's turning the
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corner, and you got a coaching staff that's going to use the talent they've
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got available and make it happen. They look nothing like the football team they
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were last year. Throwing the football and they're not trying to know they had
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a wide receiver get hurt. Their quarterback's not as good. They're like,
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screw it, we got to run the ball. We'll run the ball.
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And look, they had a big lead on Alabama. I mean it's I
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just like what that coaching staff's doing. I think there's good things on the
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horizon for the volunteers. No, I totally agree. And Josh Heipel's looked
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good. The recruiting class has been good. I think he rides out this
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season and we get into next and it's like he's gonna be okay. So
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I'm not against all that. So No, anyway, and you got some
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interesting things this week. I'm reading from some different elements that we could see.
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Quen. You were back uh and against TCU, And I would love
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to take Texas in the spot because I think TCU is just it's over for
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them. But I you know, I think they realize if Texas wins out,
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they're in the National Championship Tournament. Especially with Alabama doing what they're doing,
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that's exactly right. And I would tell you right now my Bama ticket
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to win the Natty and to win the SEC. I don't hate it anymore.
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They got somebody's got a stumble bug. Look, I guess if they
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beat Georgia, they're gonna get in anyway. If if Georgia keeps winning and
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they've beat undefeated Georgia in the boy you talk about hysteria, that will be
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what are you gonna do? Leave Georgia out? What if you leave Georgia
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out? You take Bama a pack, you take whoever wins the Pac twelve.
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Let's say Oregon, you take Texas, and you take an undefeated Big
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Ten winner, and and you look back at Georgia and you go, oh,
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y'all really played nobody all season long, and that's not our fault.
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Well it is we've got one game in three years, That's what that's that's
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the initial response, which is kind of hard for me to underrate. So
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that is gonna be that's gonna be fabulous, because look, Florida State don't
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have many more they lose. I mean, that's the bottom of that league's
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not very good. Louisville is death in the champion in the ACC Championship will
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probably be their best opportunity because they've got Miami this week, They've got Florida
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to end and who they got next week. I looked and I can't remember
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North Alabama. North Alabama. I knew it was somebody that that was the
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way of that. I can't see. I can't if Florida State wins out
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they beat Miami Florida, I also too, Yeah they're in. And but
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what happens if they lose to Louisville in the in the I mean, you
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have got This is the first time that I see away from mass chaos,
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like I kept seeing teams play each other. Are you really telling me that
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that you can see Washington going undefeated and losing the Oregon in the FACT twelve
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championship, Because I can, I absolutely can. You know they got lucky
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candidly to win that game the first time. So, I mean, you
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talk about it, there's chaos. You know, you think they're not gonna
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be winding and screaming we beat them once? Oh, you know it is
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gonna be. I mean, I can see chaos this year, so it's
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kind of fun. But I will also tell you this is the first year
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that I that I ever believe there are six or seven teams that might be
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good enough to win the Natty. I think that's never been the case before,
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and I do think that's a sign of the transfer portal. And I
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think it's how little these these upper echelon teams, their rosters change a ton
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too, and they don't they can't develop the depth and everything they have in
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the past. So a lot of things are changing. A good time to
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go to a twelve team playoffs. Let me say it like that. I
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don't disagree with a couple of things. Love the way Mike Gundhy handled Bedlam
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at the end, being like, hey, we ain't playing those fuckers again.
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It's like you want to leave, you leave, but we're not gonna
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go out of our way to schedule you to put you back on our schedule.
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But then I love Drake Stoop's comment this week when the guy gott He's
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like, hey, you know, so what do you all got left to
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play for? When he comes out, you know, I love the game,
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I love my team, And you could tell he was genuine. Yeah,
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it was awesome. Love that A couple other things I love UNLV Baby
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seven and two. Do not hate on this team. Barry Odom God,
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you gotta think the UNLV athletic director wants to write a thank you note to
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Jimbo Fisher, going, man, thank you so much for taking Bobby Petrino
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in his cancer and this away from our program so we can do so well
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this year. Very Odaim out of here at UNLV teams seven and two,
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dude and their favorite at home this weekend. It gets wyoming. Yep,
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no doubt the that is doing a great job. I wonder how long Odoin
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is gonna be there. He will certainly be on some head coaching rad rs
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pretty fast because look, he didn't do a bad job at Missouri. I
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don't care what anybody says. No, I mean he did. He did
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a pretty good job up there. I don't think they should have fired him
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when they did, but I think Odin will definitely be on some radars for
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some jobs. There's gonna be a lot of shake up in college football this
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year. I think there's gonna be a lot of changing Fascinated to see what
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Texas A and M does. That is going to be, I mean,
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gonna be extremely interesting. Gas comes back against them. I can't see them
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winning that football game because I don't think they can score enough to keep up
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and LSU can score on anybody. That that'll be I mean now they're really
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going to keep that guy with that many losses, so that that's it's super
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fascinating. I mean, just a fascinating deal. How about my man,
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we talked about sitting on the bench last week for L s U, I
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mean for USC K Will, I'm sitting over there and the guy rubbing on
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his shoulder like, oh okay, he doesn't even get up shake hands,
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and then he just takes it, goes on and takes it to the in
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degree and hops up in the stands and hugs his mom's crying. Everybody's like,
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I love to see the I love to see the want too and all.
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That's not the way I took that at all. That was not the
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way that came off to me at all. Is that he was so downtrodden,
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it upset and all of that. Man, if I'm in an NFL
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GM, I got a lot of questions that looked a lot like me,
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me, Me. That didn't look a lot like you know, my team's
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not performing like I hoped it would, and they are already floating out their
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ownership for a team. Man, see Jay Stroutz here, does look like
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the second quarterback's gonna turn out to be the best one in that crowd.
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So might be happening again this year too. He's got a lot of what
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to mars. He is not the surefire, you know, he's now Patrick
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Mahomes. That I don't think. And look, I don't think Patrick Mahomes
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is Patrick Mahomes without Andy Reid doing what he's done. Mahomes has just been
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coachable and has improved tremendously. Uh since he since he's hat put up there?
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So is this guy coachable? What's he going to do? I think
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USC made a good decision switching out, but I don't think it matters the
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defensive coordinator. I think that I think they got a lot of problems,
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and they've got a fan base bitching and complaining about Lincoln. Riley College fan
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bases are getting this this generation. They're just completing the utter idiots. I
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mean, they have all have a keyboard, they've all got X, they
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are Twitter or whatever you want to go. They've all got Instagram, and
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they have zero idea about the game because so many of them never played and
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don't play. It is amazing to me, I mean absolutely amazing to me
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that somebody would be bitching about Lincoln Riley. I mean, they're bad on
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defens fired as quarterbacks coordinator. It will get it figured out. He already
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brought in better defensive players. This is this is a hard game. But
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let me explain something to you. You want that high flying offense kind of
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hard to play defense because you know how you get a physical defense. You
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pound the shit out of each other in practice. That's how you get a
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physical defense. So I got one for you. I'll put this out for
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any of the fall us on Twitter, his at the Crazy Sheet, at
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Mark gatneb or at Mark at Scott dens One. I don't want to talk
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about this week because we have it, but I want to put it out
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there. We can talk about next week. Who's the coach at Michigan next
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year? I mean, because based on that response, it sounds like Harball,
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be careful, how you disciplined? Look, I mean, look,
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what did they know that the Big ten doesn't know? Oh man? That
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response, That's what that response says to me is did they do it because
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they called it? Look, we already know there's reports out there that Ryan
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Days had family spying on them and private investigators and all kinds of stuff,
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and allegedly that's how this got discovered. And now it's be careful with how
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you discipline this because there might be going on other places. Holy smokes,
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they needed that. Literally, nobody in the Big ten was around the SEC
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in the late nineties and the early two thousands. When Mike's Live just goes
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on and just reels, it ends like, hey, boys, quit slinging
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mud. You get in mud on each other, on you as much as
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you get on the other guy, Shut up and play football. Don't go
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turn in somebody. Everything goes through the SEC office, and boom, the
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league took off big tending to be careful slinging mud. These coaches need to
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shut their miles talking about because let me tell you, none of them's house
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is clean. No, I've been on college football enough to know none of
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them's house is clean. I think Michigan hired somebody from the Trump administration on
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how to create some subterfuge when you dial yourself into some conflicts playing mud everywhere,
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Just just go full Rick James, fuck your couch, fuck your couch.
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Just just come on now, I don't care. You don't know that
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skit, go back and look it up. Fact, they're not gonna be
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able to suspend him. They may suspend him, but he's gonna take it
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right to court. They're not gonna do violate their book because I heard Illegal
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Analysts talk about this on the podcast yesterday and he was talking about that they'll
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absolutely get an injunction until after the season til the investigations completed. Blah blah
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blah blah blah. I'm like, wow, I was like, then everybody
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in the Big ten's gonna hate them. I mean, at this point,
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though, same question as we asked, do you just go full put your
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hammer down and just keep counting them? Uh? Yeah, you can.
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I just think I don't know. I like Michigan, I got nothing wrong
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with I don't frankly have anything wrong with them stealing signs. Now. I
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hope it comes out in a grade thirty for thirty or a league special for
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that matter. So I'm excited as far as it goes. The more days
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of our lives, college football gets off the field with everything else that's happened,
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I mean, we're paying players, you can transfer all over the country.
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Why the fuck not can we not have spies? I mean, it's
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crazy what goes on in college football at this point. Who cares. It's
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like, there's thirty seven there's thirty seven thousand cameras at every single football game.
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If someone wants to sit in the stands or somewhere and just record a
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coach, it's like, great, all right, now you've got to figure
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all that shit out. It's like, that's part of the game. You're
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here to win. It goes on in baseball, it goes on everywhere else.
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It's like, anyway beside the point scot we had a weekend last week.
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I think we were about five hundred last week on the pot. Is
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that right? Well, but let me look, I'll tell you we are.
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I guess total we were. Yeah, the main pitch we went three
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and three and went three and one off the board. So we're still hovering
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a little bit above the Mendoza line. I'm okay with that. College football
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has been harder this year, man, I'm not gonna lie to you.
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First games got we got two games Thursday night Southern miss Ula LA. Was
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leaning on lou Ula La here, but we've got a quarterback injury, and
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so I'm gonna back off of that game and let it sit. But Louisville
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Virginia in this acc spot. You can get Louisville still at minus twenty and
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a half. Louisville comes in here with only that one loss to pitt They've
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got a clear path not only to hit their over under win total in this
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game, which was eight and a half, got that ticket in pocket,
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but also to make it to the a SEC championship team. And this was
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a team that no one was talking about. And it was an interesting handicap
18:37
to me, who walked into the season number one. I really like Jeff
18:41
Brohm and this was a good spot. He's going home. They wanted him
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the first go round, they didn't get him, and you know the dismissal
18:49
of Saturfy to move on from last year to this year. It wasn't like
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he'd left that team and there was no talent. There was a good roster
18:56
that brom inherited, and then he brought a quarterback in that had actually played
19:00
for him at Purdue. This is a solid squad, I think. Other
19:03
than that slip up that they had against Purdue against Pittsburgh when they had to
19:07
go up there and it was just a really bad spot for him, They're
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okay, I like this team. I'm gonna lay a big number on Thursday
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night. Anything under twenty one is a bye from me. Yeah, I
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don't disagree. I you know, this can't feels like Virginia has played a
19:25
little better. It feels like the over is a play too. But I
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agree with you. I like Louisville here. This Louisville defense is good,
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is shockingly good. It is. They are really good against the run,
19:37
and I don't think anybody saw that coming. And at the end of the
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day, this Virginia offense is challenged. Louisville's very good mixing it up,
19:47
a very balanced offense, so I think they give Virginia all kinds of problems.
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Yeah, I agree with that, and Virginia has looked better since they've
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kind of strapped in there. But I can't say. I mean, this
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team's two and seven, a little bit of fight left in them. I
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don't know what they've got, but I'm gonna go Louisville. Anything under twenty
20:03
one for me is a bye at this point. Next game's got a Friday
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night high school football nights. You got two games Friday night, North Texas
20:11
and SMU and Wyoming and UNLV. North Texas is averaging thirty five points a
20:18
game, giving up thirty six. They're three and six straight up six and
20:21
three against the number. The Pony is just scoring forty points a game.
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But this one's gonna shock you. They're only giving up sixteen. They're seven
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and two straight up five and four against the number. These two teams are
20:33
forty five minutes apart. North Texas is gonna drive through themselves down into Dallas,
20:37
and by that the only people from North Texas that will show up and
20:41
cheer for this team are probably guys that are North Texas graduates that live in
20:45
the Metroplex that'll come over to watch the game because they're close to the stadium.
20:48
It's not like there's a huge home field the Fantage when you play up
20:52
in Denton. I like the Ponies here, baby, this team's played solid.
20:56
Give me Stone Nation. If you haven't watched the Ponies play yet,
20:59
you don't know what I'm talking about. Yeah. I like SMU here.
21:03
They have looked good. I think the offense is too much so this North
21:06
Texas team has had a lot of problems. Talked about three and six.
21:10
It makes you ask a lot of questions. Is GJ. Kenny the guy
21:15
who is the guy was an incardin word, the keys to that success because
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North Texas has had all kinds of problems. He's gone in done a great
21:23
job at Texas State. I like smooth right here. I think they get
21:27
this done. I think they get it done comfortably. I think this is
21:32
likely a twenty five point win. Oh, I think this is a blowout.
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Yeah. At sim you's got a shot to win the ACS. I
21:40
mean, to win the conference, and I think you got to stay focused
21:42
here. I mean, this team legitimately has a chance to win ten games,
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and so you know, I think their dialoge they got that. They've
21:48
definitely got a chance to win ten games. Yeah. Absolutely, How about
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smooth? Can you imagine getting a ten and two smooth and then you're off
21:56
to the ACC next year. I mean that would be fantastic for that program.
22:02
Oh yeah, next one, Scottie, I want to go back to
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SEC Bama Kentucky over unders forty six. Kentucky's getting ten and a half points
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at home. Both these teams are scoring around thirty points a game. Bama's
22:17
giving up eighteen, Kentucky's only giving up twenty two. Bama's eight and one
22:21
straight up After that win over LSU last week in six and three against the
22:25
number. Kentucky's six and three straight up five and four against the number.
22:29
I'm gonna give you a quick rundown of my thoughts here and I'm gonna let
22:30
you fill in the dit fill in the blanks. Bama after Benching, you
22:34
know, came out slow ish. They lose the Texas game, and then
22:38
they sent mill Row in that South Florida game, which everybody kind of remembers,
22:44
and we just kind of threw Bama away and we talked about this on
22:47
the podcast. That's when I actually bought a Bama ticket. And Bama and
22:52
Milrow have improved, their offenses evolved, this defense is coming together. Kentucky.
22:57
I think blew their wide er in the season and I just can't see
23:02
it here. I think Bama goes up to the big grocery store and gets
23:06
a win here this weekend. I think they're going to found them. Watching
23:10
Kentucky, it feels like Bama's getting right. Yeah, well, this is
23:12
a talented team, but it just feels like they're getting right at the right
23:17
time, just kind of what Saban always does. As team's gotten better every
23:21
week. Uh, Kentucky cannot throw the football. More importantly, they had
23:26
a lot of trouble protecting Leary in the game that I watched. Larry maybe
23:30
out. Larry left the last game, and then it's what I was just
23:33
about to go to because they couldn't protect against us in Mississippi State can't get
23:38
anybody to the quarterback against anybody. I mean, hell, we make a
23:42
Heisman quarterback every week and it is literally they're not able to protect him.
23:49
Hell, there ain't no weight they're gonna be able to protect him against Bama.
23:52
I think Bama destroys these guys, and Larry doesn't play. I think
23:56
they get smooth gassed here. That's some good shit right there. I agree
24:00
with you. I would get this game now. I think this game is
24:03
going to hit some releases. I've seen it on a couple of folks,
24:07
but I think this game is going to hit some releases and go up.
24:08
If you can get a ten ten and a half, I would say you
24:11
need to buy on that pretty quick. Do you have an opinion on Miami
24:15
Florida State? This used to be such a great game. It was the
24:19
best rivalry in football, you think in the late eighties and the nineties.
24:26
I think it was the best rivalry. I won't even say late eighties,
24:27
I'll say eighties and into the late nineties. This was the best rivalry in
24:33
football. They went at it and it was like watching the damn Pro Bowl
24:37
every week. I mean there was just stud after stud after stud and Bobby
24:42
Bowden would be Nick Saban if it hadn't been for Miami or Hellipee to have
24:47
a field goal kicker, I mean not even I mean Hellic was losing because
24:52
they couldn't make field goals. I mean had three straight years they were wide
24:56
right? Was the difference in the ballgame? The you know that is this
25:00
is such a great robbery. I ain't Miami's gonna come out and play great.
25:04
I think this is too many points. But this Miami team's flawed,
25:08
too flawed for me to gamble on it. I mean for me to put
25:11
it on the podcast, but I'll tell you I'm a bet on Miami this
25:15
weekend. Interesting that I think it's too many points. Another one I like
25:18
that I'm not putting on the podcast yet. Is I like North Carolina lay
25:21
in fourteen and a half. This North Carolina team is better. They finally
25:26
have started playing defense, but Duke without Riley Leonard is they're bad. And
25:33
not only that, they may be down to their third string quarterback because what's
25:40
his name, Henry Balon the fourth he was pulled out and they're not sure
25:42
if he's playing this week or not. And so you give me Duke on
25:47
their third string quarterback when they struggle already against a North Carolina team that I
25:52
think is trending in the right direction, and I like it. I would
25:56
lay fourteen and a half. Maybe I don't like to buy the hook,
26:00
but I think North Carolina beats the dog shit out of Duke this weekend.
26:03
Not official play on the podcast, but those are two acc games and I
26:07
really like both of them. Uh, James Madison, the little Purple Wagon,
26:12
You want to lay twenty five against Connecticut? Uh? Now, the
26:18
defensive end that has just greak havoc is hurt for James Madison, So I
26:25
don't Yeah, probably, I don't know how the hell are going to score.
26:27
But James Madison's defense is nasty. It is nasty, but I do
26:33
think it takes a step back because that kid's made it bunch. Hell,
26:36
I can't remember how many tackles for a what it's like twenty five. I
26:38
mean, that kid is just lighting it up, and he was a legit
26:42
National Defensive Player of the Year candidate. I mean, he's just been tearing
26:47
it up. I think he's got twelve and a half sacks and is out
26:49
for the year with a knee injury, which sucks. But next game we've
26:53
got to go to Scotty West Virginia, Oklahoma bounce back game for OU here.
26:59
Oh, you'll be back in Norman this week after bedlum West Virginia traveling
27:03
in. The question is how much does Oklahoma have left in the tank against
27:07
a physical West Virginia team? Over under here is fifty eight. Oklahoma's laying
27:11
thirteen West Virginia scoring thirty one points a game. They're giving up twenty four.
27:15
They're six and three straight up six and three against the number Oklahoma scoring
27:19
forty points a game, giving up twenty. There's seven and two straight up
27:22
seven, six and three against number FO two straight losses. You gotta wonder
27:27
does Oklahoma have anything left? The injury report's starting to grow a little bit.
27:33
They've been in some I mean both of these games they lost for to
27:34
Kansas, Oklahoma State. Both of these teams are gonna probably finish with eight
27:40
plus wins. Oklahoma State's got a pathway to play for the Big Twelve championship
27:42
in this one. West Virginia, to me, is completely outperformed anything I
27:48
expected from the squad. I thought Neil Brown was gonna be I thought he'd
27:52
get fired for sure this season. Now I don't. I think he's even
27:55
if he finishes six and six. I think he's got a job. This
27:57
team plays physical. I think this is gonna be a dog fight right here.
28:03
Yeah, I do too. And look, West Virginia's had a tough
28:04
schedule. Don't forget they played Penn State early in the year. They went
28:08
on the road early in the season to TCU. You know they've played when
28:15
TCU was playing still playing well that this has been a tough schedule. I
28:19
like West Virginia here a lot. It's the physicality that I like in this
28:25
ball game. I think they're gonna take the whole. I think they're a
28:30
live dog, Mark, I mean my dog. You like country roads.
28:33
I like country roads definitely plus thirteen country roads plus thirteen. Maybe diving in
28:38
there went the wrong John Denver song in your back up there, But I
28:41
like country roads here. I like what this team's got. I like the
28:45
physicality of this team quite a bit. I think they're getting it done weekend.
28:48
We got defensively and they can pound the rock too. And OU's defense
28:52
has gotten banged up. There's actually some key injuries that you need to pay
28:56
attention to in that one, so I would dig into it. But I
28:59
really like West Virginia this weekend. I think they get it done in this
29:02
Big twelve game. Keep things rolling and move from there. Scottie, Let's
29:06
go back to the team that has been so good to us and anybody else
29:08
in the nation that wants to back them. Let's talk about the Arizona Wildcats
29:14
against Colorado. In this one. I think Colorado is circling the drain.
29:18
We've already talked about how they switched offensive coordinators, demoting the offensive coordinator last
29:25
week to bring him down. Speaking if I want to throw this in there
29:27
real quick. Funniest tweet I saw all week was how to fix Iowa's offense,
29:33
which was to hire dan Enos and then fire dan Enos and immediately your
29:37
offense is better. So they did look better last week, a lot better,
29:42
And so yeah, I thought that was hysterical. But Arizona laying a
29:48
big number, I mean compared to what we thought going into the season on
29:51
this one ten and a half against this Colorado team. Does Colorado have anything
29:55
left to be able to hang on and get this one out of here?
29:57
No, I don't think so. A. I think Arizona's really good.
30:00
Do you realize how close they are to being one loss football team? Washington's
30:06
the only team that's truly beaten. Yeah, they should have been in Mississippiate
30:10
had six current overs on the road in an overtime loss, and Startgules should
30:14
have won that ball game. Had they changed quarterbacks, they would have won
30:18
that ball game. That's the bottom line. And and and then they lost
30:22
in double over. I think it was double overtime to USC, but it
30:25
may have been three overtimes either way. They went to overtime and against against
30:30
USC as well and easily could have won that that ball game. Uh So,
30:34
you know, at the end of the day, I really really really
30:40
like this football team. Uh So it'll be it'll be interesting to to see
30:45
how that how this team goes, because I don't think there's because the Laura
30:48
is now back, They're not switching off of No, there's no way you
30:52
can switch off the qv I mean they're not. That's the bottom line.
30:56
Uh. I like this football team or a lot and take that they're eight
31:00
and one. It gets the spread as well. Let's ride this baby eight
31:04
to one and gets the spread in one and eight to the under. I
31:08
think they're gonna suffocate Colorado's offense this week. I do too, I do
31:12
too. That's my deal is. I don't know how Colorado is gonna struggle.
31:15
They can get after a quarterback. They can get back there, so
31:18
just go they get They have really good lineback for what. Yeah, Colorado's
31:22
Colorado's offensive line is bad. I mean it was bad going in the season.
31:26
There was no doubt about that. It's it's just not good. I
31:29
think Arizona defensively causes all kinds of problems for this team. I wonder if
31:33
this team's gonna be losing a lot of momentum coming in here. Go with
31:37
Arizona there the hot hand. Let's keep rolling with it, Scotty, let's
31:41
get to another one team I was on last week cannot get me there,
31:44
and they're going on the road this week. I alway stayed he'll be traveling
31:45
up to Provo play the storm in Mormons, boys in special underwear over under
31:51
here is forty one and a half. BYU's getting eight is what you're seeing
31:55
now. I've seen that line all the way from between six and a half
31:56
to eight. I like I state here BYU Keaton Slovas is out. The
32:04
backup's been in. It hasn't been good since they've gone to that spot.
32:07
This Iowa State team, I know they lost that game to Kansas last week.
32:10
We were on them. We thought it would be a good spot,
32:13
couldn't get it done. I think they come in here and cover this game.
32:15
This BYU team is just frankly, anytime they've had to step up and
32:20
play a Big twelve level roster, they haven't been able to be even remotely
32:24
competitive. The only team that they've beaten in the Big twelve was Texas Tech,
32:30
and Texas Tech rolled out an intermural quarterback when they played that game.
32:34
I have no fing idea other than dan ENO's how this team beat Arkansas week
32:39
three of the season, because they're just not that good. And so I'm
32:43
gonna take Iowa State on the road in Provo to cover the number. It's
32:47
a weird number and eight. I think they cover this one when easy,
32:51
is my opinion. This is more of a I'm checking off as against you
32:58
here, I'm bad. How much do you think they hate that they didn't
33:01
hire Kyle whitting him, I mean went to school there. They're watching him
33:06
just I mean just smoke it at Utah and have been for two decades and
33:12
this team has just been stumbling around. So anyway, at the end of
33:16
the day, this is an antibhy you pick. I agree with you,
33:20
solvas out. I think this team struggles like Iowa State. They're playing better
33:23
football. I think they get it done. Last game, I got Scottie
33:28
Aragon at home against USC over under here is seventy three and a half is
33:34
what it's currently at. Oregon's laying fifteen on my Handicap's going to be short.
33:40
USC's defense is not physical and it's actually not that big, and they've
33:45
been getting manhandled. They didn't get a whole lot of them. They just
33:46
don't get a lot of push and this Oregon team is rolling, and I
33:52
think they go in there and get it done. I think they just absolutely
33:55
pound this USC team. I think the USC team's gonna start shutting it down
34:00
with the losses that they've had. And Oregon, on the other hand,
34:02
is looking at this thing that they've got a chance to win the Natty.
34:06
Plus they're playing USC. You gotta this is one of those teams when you
34:09
play, you always get up for it because you want to beat the Jersey
34:13
and I think this is a chance that you Oregon can come in and frankly,
34:16
I think they might could embarrass us. See this Oregon defense is for
34:20
real. I think this team has improved every week. When this team hopefully
34:24
gets a chance to play Washington in the Pac twelve Championship, I think it's
34:29
gonna be a fantastic game. I'm rolling with the Ducks at home in Otson.
34:32
Well here's the bill. Sc has sucked donkey balls on the road,
34:37
yo. I mean, there's no other way to say it. At Arizona
34:39
State they were not very good. They were thirty four point favorites only I
34:45
mean, hell, they barely scored thirty four. They nearly lost to Colorado.
34:50
Colorado and absolutely atrocious up there. Didn't look good there, went to
34:54
Notre Dame, got smoked by four touchdowns, and then at Cal they should
35:00
have lost that football game. I think this team gets hammer time this weekend
35:07
because this is by far the hardest place to play. I think this defense
35:10
is playing well. They're gonna get after them without having the blitz, and
35:15
I think they give Paed Williams all kinds of problems. I'm ready to see
35:21
the Ducks get it done on Saturday. This is some Pac twelve after dark
35:25
baby. This thing didn't kick off till nine to thirty. Place is gonna
35:29
be row d, baby, I mean rowdy, So it'll be it's gonna
35:34
be awesome. It gonna be some drunk Aragonians up there getting drink. They
35:37
drink. Do think they drink any of that Pinot noir did they make done
35:42
in Southern Oregon to tailgate with up in one? Yeah? You know,
35:45
come on, man, you know they're drinking some craft beer up there.
35:46
Let's get let's get serious. Man. You kind of maybe smoking the weed
35:52
up there in organ exactly what they're doing. But that's a whole other story.
35:54
Uh, you got any other games you kind of lean on. I've
35:58
looked at a couple of things you're gonna do. I love Georgia State.
36:01
This weekend lay into appy struggles, stopping to run Georgia State nine two at
36:07
home. I think they're gonna pound Appalachian State. I like Kansas laying three
36:10
and a half against your Red Raiders against Uncle Jimmy's Red Raider, Jimmy Rowark's
36:15
Red Raiders. I've looked at that game inside now. I think Kansas State
36:21
probably thumps Baylor pretty hard if they want to. I kind of like Charlotte
36:25
against Memphis. I like to coach at Charlotte a lot. I kind of
36:30
like it there, but I have not played any of that. That's not
36:32
official. The other two I have put on I'm probably gonna put on the
36:35
board that are out there, but yeah, I like North Carolina would be
36:37
one of them. Uh in the other spot that's there. Where are you
36:42
on Michigan Penn State. I think Michigan fucking throw State. I think they
36:46
drill them. I think they're the Penn State's got to run the football.
36:49
I think they're gonna even though they're at home early in the day, I
36:52
think they're gonna. I think they're going to run into the same problems they
36:54
ran into against Ohio State that they're not going to be able to run the
36:58
football and quarterbacks just not gonna be able to get it done easier obviously because
37:02
he's at home. But the he gonna come out third four touchdowns like you
37:07
did last week. So I think they struggle. Boy, he just looked
37:10
so bad against Olio State. Again. I understand road versus home is significantly
37:15
different when you're a freshman, but it ain't that damn different. I mean,
37:19
what was he seventeen for like forty two or something like that. I
37:22
mean he was awful, yeah, and he couldn't throw the football down the
37:25
field at all. I think they struggled mightily. Plus I think Michigan this
37:30
is a full on circle the Wagons ballgame for Michigan. If you want to
37:35
really ugly, watch take pit in that game against Syracuse. Syracuse is about
37:40
to go roll out their backup quarterback to Garrett Strader. He's rough, bro,
37:45
I mean real rough. That's one of the things with the transferred portal.
37:50
There's not a lot of quarterback depth on these rosters, and so it's
37:52
a big step back for these two teams. I'm not against a Florida pick
37:57
with Garrett. That's Meyers starting for you as LSU this week. I haven't
38:00
laid anything up to dig into that one a little bit more. You got
38:02
any live dogs you want to roll this out on them. We can't put
38:06
a little mainline together that one. More like I like Texas A and m
38:09
IF. If the quarterback plays Johnson plays, they're gonna pay. On Misissippi
38:15
State, I think State is as talking about circling the drain. I think
38:19
the Bulldogs are circling the drain. Minus eighteen is the Aggies. I think
38:22
they covered on the high state scores on that defense. With with the offense
38:28
they're going, they'll probably play Parson the freshman quarterback. Some it's a freshman.
38:32
It's on the road, the night games, the Aggies only night game
38:37
of the year out of all their big games. That's kind of hard to
38:39
believe. I think the college station will be rowty. Bulldogs don't have an
38:43
answer for it. I told you I think West Virginia is a lie.
38:47
Is a live play, and I do I do still like that. Do
38:52
still like that ball game. If Jade Daniels doesn't play, be interested see
38:58
what the Gators can muster up in that ball game. I won't call them
39:00
an upset special, but I do think that is a I do think that
39:05
is a ball game that that's a game to keith its own. And uh,
39:08
as much as we loved as much as we love Ulahla Wyomings, I
39:16
mean UNLV, Wyoming's a live dog in that game too. They could certainly,
39:21
I think you could be right, But I do love me some you
39:23
and LV. The only the one I've got that I'm I'm gonna dig a
39:25
little bit more into is Arkansas. Teams three and six. They fired and
39:30
he knows, offense looked so much better last week from that spike and it,
39:35
you know, it looked a lot more like last year. And so
39:38
this team's you know, they get a win against Auburns this week at home,
39:43
this team has a has a chance, uh technically play nobody that next
39:46
week. And then they got Missouri. Yeah, that's always a close game,
39:51
and so there's there's definitely some chances that are out there. Yeah,
39:53
they have Florida International and then they got Missou at the end of the season.
39:57
So anyway, it's gonna be a fun week, Scott. There's some
39:59
good games out there, good watchability. Hopefully we can get y'all some winners,
40:02
put some tickets in hand. Biggest play for me, I think this
40:06
weekend's go I'm gonna go Bbama minus ten and a half UH in that spot
40:09
against Kentucky. I just cannot see Kentucky having anything left. And I think
40:15
Bama is trending in a good direction. And I don't know that the books
40:19
have quite caught up to it yet. Yeah, I don't. I don't
40:22
disagree with you. I think UH on our on the board. I think
40:25
Arizona is probably my favorite play. I think Colorado has got some problems,
40:30
like like Arizona going going up to UH, going up to Boulder. I'm
40:37
curious to see if that place is packed us. Again that being said,
40:39
folks, give us a rating and give us a tweet. Hit us up.
40:43
Always enjoy it, Enjoy your weekend, and we will talk to you
40:46
next week.