Latest / The Bolt Report / The Bolt Report | 27 March
Transcript
- 0:11Speaker 1: He's the gold reform it and the fireworks begin in
- 0:16Speaker 1: just half an hour. Peter didn't give a speech that
- 0:19Speaker 1: could win him the election against all the odds, and
- 0:22Speaker 1: you'll see it right here. It's the opposition leader's reply
- 0:25Speaker 1: to the budget. And you know already that's got Prime
- 0:28Speaker 1: Minister Anthony Albanize worried. And you know that because the
- 0:32Speaker 1: Labor's already leaking that ALBANIZI will call the election tomorrow
- 0:35Speaker 1: instead of waiting as expected until Sunday. In fact, I
- 0:38Speaker 1: suspect Albanize's own department might even have made a deliberate
- 0:43Speaker 1: mistake this morning when it posted that the governor was
- 0:46Speaker 1: in caretakingm ote already and then said I'm sorry, I
- 0:49Speaker 1: had deleted it just four minutes later. Guys, we heard
- 0:53Speaker 1: your dog whistle or the ship's siren. To be honest, now,
- 0:57Speaker 1: Albany is he calling the election tomorrow means that the
- 1:00Speaker 1: TV news bulletins tonight and the papers tomorrow will talk
- 1:04Speaker 1: more about that than what Dutton is going to say tonight.
- 1:10Speaker 1: And I would say it's no wonder that Albanieze would
- 1:12Speaker 1: like that to be to the SEW because I think
- 1:15Speaker 1: it's worried Duntan is obviously holding back something big for
- 1:19Speaker 1: his speech tonight. But what is already foreshadow today is
- 1:23Speaker 1: a tax cut that will match or nearly the labor
- 1:26Speaker 1: tax cut in its budget on Tuesday. But it's not
- 1:31Speaker 1: a cut in income tax. Dunton's instead promising one year
- 1:34Speaker 1: cut next susan petrol twenty five cents a later off
- 1:37Speaker 1: save you about forteen dollars each time you fill up
- 1:40Speaker 1: a full tank.
- 1:41Speaker 2: People will be your net terms better off under us
- 1:44Speaker 2: because overall, in their family budgets they'll be paying less taxes.
- 1:49Speaker 1: Now, obviously this is not the tax reform I wanted
- 1:52Speaker 1: the country needs. It's not even the tax cut I suggested,
- 1:56Speaker 1: which I would have thought, you know, double the government's
- 1:58Speaker 1: five dollars a week off and boast hay out cut
- 2:01Speaker 1: is bigger. Case closed. On the other hand, there is
- 2:05Speaker 1: one big difference between Labour's cut and the Coalitions. The
- 2:10Speaker 1: cost Dutton's cut to petrol exise is eleven billion dollars cheaper,
- 2:17Speaker 1: which gives him room tonight to promise something else, something big.
- 2:23Speaker 1: As for voters, a Dutton's cut may just give more
- 2:27Speaker 1: bang for the buck. Albany, his tax cut is so
- 2:30Speaker 1: small just five dollars a week, and it won't come
- 2:32Speaker 1: crucial point until fifteen months from now, and then it'll
- 2:37Speaker 1: take another year before it's followed by another five dollars
- 2:40Speaker 1: a week. In contrast, Dutton is one year cutting petrol
- 2:43Speaker 1: exis will start straight away, instant relief, and it will
- 2:48Speaker 1: save most people almost as much money in one year
- 2:51Speaker 1: anyway as Albanese as will in the next three years
- 2:55Speaker 1: when and then, of course there'll be another election, more
- 2:57Speaker 1: tax promises, and we can start all over again. Dunton
- 3:00Speaker 1: claims his cut will save the average motorists including pensioners,
- 3:05Speaker 1: about seven hundred to seven hundred fifty dollars a year. Well,
- 3:09Speaker 1: let's see, Labour's tax cuts will save taxpayers but not pensioners,
- 3:17Speaker 1: just a few dollars more over the next three years,
- 3:19Speaker 1: this say, eight hundred and four dollars, so really not
- 3:23Speaker 1: that much difference. But that's not all. Actually, cheaper petrol
- 3:28Speaker 1: and diesel also means cheaper transport costs for businesses, which
- 3:31Speaker 1: then can keep their prices lower for consumers, so there's
- 3:35Speaker 1: another saving. And cut to petrol prices will give most
- 3:40Speaker 1: help to motorists in outer city and country seats drive
- 3:44Speaker 1: more and those tend to be the seats that the
- 3:47Speaker 1: Liberals really really want to do well in. So that
- 3:50Speaker 1: may be why the Treasurer of this morning looks stressed
- 3:53Speaker 1: even while insisting his tax cut was better.
- 3:57Speaker 2: If Peter Dutton wins the election, Australians will earn less
- 4:00Speaker 2: and keep less of what they earn.
- 4:04Speaker 1: Yet Jim Chalmers the same blow three years ago, thought
- 4:07Speaker 1: cutting petrol exos was actually a good idea whether then
- 4:10Speaker 1: liberal government wanted to do it.
- 4:14Speaker 2: So the twenty two cents a leader fuel excise cut,
- 4:17Speaker 2: you support it, yeah, but it's bad policy, isn't it. Well,
- 4:20Speaker 2: I don't think it's bad policy to support people through
- 4:23Speaker 2: difficult times. You know, the fact that petrol prices have
- 4:26Speaker 2: been through the roof has been a break on the
- 4:28Speaker 2: economy and it's made it harder for families who are
- 4:30Speaker 2: already dealing with real wages going backwards. You know, one
- 4:33Speaker 2: of the defining features of this government for almost ten
- 4:35Speaker 2: years now is stagnant wages, families finding it harder to
- 4:38Speaker 2: make ends meet. We've got a responsibility to do the
- 4:40Speaker 2: right thing by.
- 4:41Speaker 1: That couldn't say better. So that's why the Alberneze government
- 4:46Speaker 1: is our screaming election. Look over here, election, elects, election,
- 4:49Speaker 1: don't look over there at Dutton's promise and this one
- 4:54Speaker 1: other thing that's going to worry the Prime Minister and
- 4:56Speaker 1: give Dutton hope. I know Labour said, look more cocker
- 4:59Speaker 1: hoop in Parliament today than the Coalition. But it has
- 5:02Speaker 1: been assumed that there's six seats that the Liberals lost
- 5:07Speaker 1: to the Teal Climate Party. Let's not call them independence.
- 5:11Speaker 1: That's that's a fraud the Teal Party the last selection.
- 5:15Speaker 1: It was assumed that we're lost to the Liberals for
- 5:17Speaker 1: years to come. But a new JWS poll admitedly with
- 5:22Speaker 1: a small sample size, shows that Teals Zoey Daniel in
- 5:27Speaker 1: huge trouble in the Melbo Seed of Goldstone forty six
- 5:29Speaker 1: percent after preferences to form a Liberal MP, Tim Wilson's
- 5:33Speaker 1: fifty four and in nearby Couyong Minie ran cleaning on
- 5:38Speaker 1: by just fifty forty nine against Liberal challenger Emelia Hamer.
- 5:42Speaker 1: But then again, that poll was taken before Ryan made
- 5:47Speaker 1: a fool of herself, before her husband was caught stealing
- 5:50Speaker 1: one of Hamer's Liberal posters that belongs to me. Hey,
- 5:54Speaker 1: you can take it off the property. But it belongs
- 5:56Speaker 1: to me.
- 5:56Speaker 3: If it goes back up, it'll be taken down again.
- 6:00Speaker 1: Was also taken before Ryan was then filmed angrily snubbing
- 6:04Speaker 1: journalists who asked her about her husband's theft. Could you
- 6:08Speaker 1: please get your cameras away from me? And pole was
- 6:14Speaker 1: taken before even more ryan embarrassment today news that her
- 6:19Speaker 1: staff and volunteers were instructed in a training video to
- 6:25Speaker 1: call her doctor Ryan. It's really really important to use
- 6:30Speaker 1: the term doctor Manique Ryan.
- 6:32Speaker 4: We want people to know that she's a doctor.
- 6:36Speaker 1: Now. That didn't impress some locals today.
- 6:42Speaker 3: If she wants to be a doctor, go back to
- 6:44Speaker 3: the hospital.
- 6:47Speaker 1: Now. What's also cause costing the teals and labor support
- 6:51Speaker 1: is cost of leaving poul about that Australians getting poorer.
- 6:56Speaker 1: The economy is struggling, and once again that clues people
- 7:01Speaker 1: in Ryan's life. Kuyong, there are.
- 7:05Speaker 5: Twenty eight shops vacant between High Street and Model Tary Road.
- 7:11Speaker 1: So we're all set now tomorrow for tomorrow and for
- 7:15Speaker 1: a campaign that's going to decide whether Anthony abernez It
- 7:19Speaker 1: will be the first Prime minister in ninety four years
- 7:22Speaker 1: to lose an election after serving just one term, the
- 7:25Speaker 1: term in which he has made Australians poorer and not richer.
- 7:30Speaker 1: And that's the fact, not as tiny tax cut. That's
- 7:35Speaker 1: the thing that's going to be the real issue. Join
- 7:44Speaker 1: me now is my Thursday regular Barnaby Joyce, the Nationals
- 7:47Speaker 1: front bencher and former Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Jewyce good
- 7:52Speaker 1: to see and leaving aside, all have said it remains
- 7:54Speaker 1: the fact that the Coalition has voted against a tax cut.
- 7:59Speaker 1: Does that embarrass.
- 8:00Speaker 5: You No, because I think we have to call it
- 8:05Speaker 5: for exactly what it is. This is the political art
- 8:09Speaker 5: of the most cunning and shrewd thesbian to offer you
- 8:14Speaker 5: five dollars a week or was that eighty cents a
- 8:17Speaker 5: day or there about seventy eighty cents a day and
- 8:21Speaker 5: to say now I approven your impurity and my divinity
- 8:26Speaker 5: because of what you just did to me. You know,
- 8:29Speaker 5: it's caught for what it is. It's ridiculous. It's a trinket.
- 8:34Speaker 5: And what we have to say to the Australian people
- 8:38Speaker 5: is in their quest for this sort of intermittent nirvana,
- 8:41Speaker 5: intermitted power, where you're going to be paying multiples of
- 8:46Speaker 5: that a day, multiples of that a day because they
- 8:49Speaker 5: have to worship the great God Geia at Paris and
- 8:53Speaker 5: say all the appropriate things to achieve their twenty thirty
- 8:57Speaker 5: eighty two percent into minted target.
- 9:00Speaker 1: That's what's going to hurt you.
- 9:02Speaker 5: That's what's going to hurt you. And I think that's
- 9:04Speaker 5: really but I'm interrupted.
- 9:07Speaker 1: I'm interrupting you because you could go on for another
- 9:10Speaker 1: couple of minutes arguing this point. But the thing is,
- 9:14Speaker 1: you could have answered it in one second if you said, well,
- 9:17Speaker 1: our tax cuts are bigger, this is the issue. But
- 9:20Speaker 1: they're not right, and that's the that's the problem you're
- 9:23Speaker 1: going to have in selling it. There's another problem here.
- 9:27Speaker 1: The government's tax cut is now law. Parliament voted for
- 9:30Speaker 1: it yesterday. The Shadow Treasurer today said, well, a coalition government,
- 9:35Speaker 1: if elected, is going to repeal that tax cut to
- 9:39Speaker 1: offer this petrol excize instead. Vatama, can you tell me
- 9:43Speaker 1: in what planet will any parliament, any Senate vote to
- 9:47Speaker 1: repeal a tax cut. That's fantasy, isn't it.
- 9:53Speaker 5: I believe that the focus of all treasurers finance ministers
- 9:58Speaker 5: will always be on the those who are the most
- 10:00Speaker 5: vulnerable and how they managed, how we managed to keep
- 10:04Speaker 5: dignity in their lives by keeping catching their wallet, and
- 10:08Speaker 5: with a cut in excise, it allows them. Because we've
- 10:10Speaker 5: got to remember, poor people live the furthest away from
- 10:14Speaker 5: the services. That's why the houses are cheaper, or the
- 10:16Speaker 5: rents are cheaper, and even those rents in those houses
- 10:19Speaker 5: they can't afford. And the cars they drive are not
- 10:21Speaker 5: the better cars. So to offer a reprieve and excise
- 10:25Speaker 5: for a period is a lot more efficacious and looking
- 10:28Speaker 5: after people who are doing it tough than offering them
- 10:31Speaker 5: whatever they is.
- 10:32Speaker 1: Seventy five and it comes to day, and it'll come
- 10:35Speaker 1: a year earlier than the labor's mostly tax cut. I've
- 10:39Speaker 1: got all that. I'm just saying, there's no Senate they're
- 10:43Speaker 1: ever going to say no, we're going to repeal a
- 10:46Speaker 1: tax cut. Is it? Well, I'm not here to talk.
- 10:51Speaker 5: I've been a senator eight years, seven months in a day,
- 10:54Speaker 5: and vague and various things they can be. But I've
- 10:57Speaker 5: seen some marvelous things go through the Senate and some
- 11:00Speaker 5: rather brilliant ideas never progress. So I'll leave the peculiarities
- 11:06Speaker 5: and the embrolios which is our nation's Senate, to those
- 11:10Speaker 5: wonderful senators and to the people who pop up from
- 11:14Speaker 5: Tasmania with a couple of thousand votes and somehow end
- 11:16Speaker 5: up running having a management job in our nation. But
- 11:20Speaker 5: what we what I do know is that the overall
- 11:23Speaker 5: narrative has got to be one of are you really
- 11:27Speaker 5: truly reaching out to those who are doing it tough
- 11:29Speaker 5: in a cost of living crisis, the porous, those who
- 11:32Speaker 5: are struggling and offering them something meaningful. Look look at
- 11:35Speaker 5: your life. What do you think has happened in the
- 11:38Speaker 5: last three years? Do you honestly believe that where we
- 11:41Speaker 5: have arrived is a better place than where you were
- 11:45Speaker 5: three years ago?
- 11:46Speaker 1: See? The other issue is the debt right that this
- 11:48Speaker 1: government has wracked up. You think, how do they treat
- 11:51Speaker 1: public finances with such contempt the spending? And I thought, well,
- 11:57Speaker 1: here's an example of this mindset in this Canberra bubble
- 12:00Speaker 1: under this government. We had someone from the one of
- 12:08Speaker 1: the government departments front up to a Senate committee yesterday
- 12:12Speaker 1: and say, hello, we have been admitting this to this
- 12:17Speaker 1: We have spent thirty five thousand dollars Barnaby to design
- 12:22Speaker 1: a prototype desk that you can sit at and also
- 12:26Speaker 1: work out standing up a desk that's now actually in storage,
- 12:31Speaker 1: when in fact you or I can buy one on
- 12:33Speaker 1: the internet. In fact, my wife has bought one on
- 12:36Speaker 1: the internet for five hundred and sixty two dollars, not
- 12:39Speaker 1: thirty five thousand dollars, just five hundred and sixty two dollars.
- 12:43Speaker 1: And it's only now dawning on that government department. This
- 12:45Speaker 1: prototype desk might be a waste of our money. Here
- 12:48Speaker 1: she is.
- 12:50Speaker 4: We will need to look through our Capital Works program
- 12:53Speaker 4: about issues like this to think about if that cost
- 12:57Speaker 4: is something that's sustainable, and other provide something that members
- 13:01Speaker 4: and senators want to need.
- 13:04Speaker 1: Right there, Barnaby proofs that the most expensive way to
- 13:08Speaker 1: get anything done and still have it not work will
- 13:10Speaker 1: be used is to ask the government, isn't.
- 13:13Speaker 5: It isn't it amazing how you can always be a
- 13:17Speaker 5: big man at the sale yards with another man's checkbook.
- 13:19Speaker 5: They as they say, it's easy to be a big person.
- 13:23Speaker 5: Let's call a man a new to gender term. But
- 13:25Speaker 5: it's easy to be big when you're using someone else's money.
- 13:28Speaker 5: You know, it's you can buy all sorts of marvelous
- 13:30Speaker 5: presents with someone else's credit card. And if you said
- 13:33Speaker 5: to that individual, you just had then how about we
- 13:36Speaker 5: take it out of your wage, thirty five thousand dollars
- 13:40Speaker 5: for a glorified school desk. I wonder if she would
- 13:43Speaker 5: have said, no, no, you're not taking twenty five thousand
- 13:47Speaker 5: dollars off me for a glorified school desk. But they
- 13:51Speaker 5: did it with your money because they believe they can.
- 13:53Speaker 5: And that's that same methodology and the same IQ that
- 13:57Speaker 5: runs through the whole show, right up to your to
- 14:00Speaker 5: your wind house and your whole panels. And that's why
- 14:02Speaker 5: you got to watch out. That's why you've got to
- 14:04Speaker 5: be so concerned. I was sacked the Shadow Finance Minister
- 14:08Speaker 5: back in twenty ten, in the glory days of my
- 14:10Speaker 5: first admission to the shadow Cabinet, because I had temerity
- 14:14Speaker 5: to say that the debt when it passed one hundred
- 14:17Speaker 5: billion dollars, was on a bad trajectory and Cook was
- 14:20Speaker 5: going to get us into all sorts of strife. It
- 14:22Speaker 5: might even go past a half a trillion dollars. And
- 14:26Speaker 5: I had my bottom booted out. Bang and mister Raddal, Oh, wow,
- 14:31Speaker 5: the Secretary of the Treasury in the rby, Oh, he's outrageous,
- 14:34Speaker 5: he's outrageous. Well, ladies and gentlemen, it's just gone through
- 14:37Speaker 5: a trillion, right, and it's heading north at a rate
- 14:40Speaker 5: of knots.
- 14:41Speaker 1: Going to be Jewish. Good to talk to you, and
- 14:44Speaker 1: good luck with the campaign, Thank you very much. And
- 14:50Speaker 1: after the break Donald Trump's signal scandal, this is a
- 14:54Speaker 1: medium beat out because really there is actually a much
- 14:57Speaker 1: bigger worry to tell you about, plus Peter Dutton's by
- 15:04Speaker 1: now before we crossed through Parliament for Peter Dutton's a
- 15:06Speaker 1: big budget speech to more trouble in Donald Trump's administration.
- 15:11Speaker 1: Now the media is in hysterics over a yes, admittedly
- 15:15Speaker 1: idiotic mistake by Trump's national security advisor Mike Wallaz. He
- 15:19Speaker 1: somehow included a left wing journalist who hates Donald Trump
- 15:22Speaker 1: to a chat on Signal a group chat, a signal
- 15:26Speaker 1: being an encrypted messaging app, along with almost all Trump's
- 15:29Speaker 1: top national security and intelligence official as vice president, his
- 15:33Speaker 1: Secretary of State, is CIA chief is Director of National Intelligence,
- 15:37Speaker 1: and more. And on this group chat, these people were
- 15:40Speaker 1: talking about bombing Iranian BacT hootie rebels and Yemen. Now,
- 15:45Speaker 1: the leaked posts included one from the Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth,
- 15:50Speaker 1: which where is actually given the exact times when missiles
- 15:55Speaker 1: and drones and warplanes would be unleashed on Yemen. Now,
- 16:00Speaker 1: if these messages have been in sucepted immediately, that have
- 16:02Speaker 1: given the hooties time to hide or prepare air defenses
- 16:06Speaker 1: or whatever. But Heatn said, there's still pretending this wasn't
- 16:09Speaker 1: a gross security breach. Nobody's texting war plans.
- 16:14Speaker 3: There's no units, no locations, no routes, no flight paths.
- 16:22Speaker 1: Well, there's a liar there. All the same. This seems
- 16:27Speaker 1: to me actually just a stupid mistake that is soon
- 16:30Speaker 1: fixed and far more dangerous, which isn't getting the attention.
- 16:34Speaker 1: It's something I've warned about when Trump attacked Ukraine and
- 16:36Speaker 1: its president and he said treated Russian President Vladimir Putin
- 16:40Speaker 1: as a friend while Trump was trying to negotiate an
- 16:43Speaker 1: end too Putin's invasion of Ukraine. Now, I predicted that
- 16:46Speaker 1: trashing Ukraine would just encourage Putin people with very a
- 16:51Speaker 1: number of Trump fans watching and apologize again for going
- 16:54Speaker 1: on this. We're upset with me. But Putin we're now
- 16:58Speaker 1: seeing exactly what I've warned about. Putin has only rejected
- 17:00Speaker 1: Trump's call for a thirty day cease fire. He's now said, Okay,
- 17:05Speaker 1: I'll agree to a temporary cease fire, but only in
- 17:08Speaker 1: the Black Sea, because that, by the way, is where
- 17:11Speaker 1: Ukrainian drones have been sinking Russian warships and chasing them away.
- 17:14Speaker 1: And Putin has demanded in exchange for what's actually advantaged
- 17:18Speaker 1: to him, that the world first drops sanctions on Russian
- 17:20Speaker 1: banks and agricultural exports and all. That's on top of
- 17:23Speaker 1: Putin's earlier demand that Ukraine hand over five of its regions.
- 17:28Speaker 1: This is a dictator who's not negotiating a ceasefire. He's
- 17:31Speaker 1: demanding a total surrender of Ukraine because Trump has looked
- 17:36Speaker 1: like he'd rather betray Ukraine than fight for it. Joining
- 17:39Speaker 1: me is Shawn Spicer, Trump's first White House spokesman, Shawn Spicer.
- 17:44Speaker 1: This leaked chat on signal President Trump was clearly not happier,
- 17:48Speaker 1: though wearing the mask. His team is claiming no classified
- 17:52Speaker 1: information of war plans were released, but that said, the
- 17:55Speaker 1: Defense Secretary's posted this chat did include the timings of
- 17:58Speaker 1: when warplanes missile and drones we're individually taking off of
- 18:02Speaker 1: being fired. How big a mistake is this, Well.
- 18:08Speaker 3: Look, I've been around classified information for almost three decades.
- 18:11Speaker 3: And there's a couple issues here. The first one is
- 18:13Speaker 3: the platform acceptable. What the CIA director has said is
- 18:17Speaker 3: that signal, which is that messaging platform that they're talking about,
- 18:21Speaker 3: was installed on their computers and their devices by the government,
- 18:25Speaker 3: so therefore that's okay. Then the next question is was
- 18:29Speaker 3: their classified information. Look, I think there's a difference between
- 18:32Speaker 3: sensitive and sloppy and classified talking about the timing of
- 18:38Speaker 3: an action. Is it necessarily classified? I'd say it's sensitive,
- 18:43Speaker 3: it's not helpful, it's sloppy, But in and of itself,
- 18:47Speaker 3: to say something's going to happen at two o'clock without
- 18:49Speaker 3: any particular targeting information or location information is really what
- 18:54Speaker 3: makes it classified. So you know, the President has said
- 18:58Speaker 3: that they're going to learn from this and move forward.
- 19:00Speaker 3: I hope that that's the case. And I think, you know,
- 19:04Speaker 3: the bigger issue here is, again remember whether it was
- 19:07Speaker 3: on signal or anything else, the question is why was
- 19:09Speaker 3: a journalist brought into the group? So you know, it's
- 19:13Speaker 3: sort of getting lost in the discussion because you could
- 19:16Speaker 3: be at the highest levels of classification if you bring
- 19:19Speaker 3: somebody into the conversation. That's the biggest problem.
- 19:23Speaker 1: Oh sure, is it's astonishing that the cream. So speak
- 19:27Speaker 1: of President Trump's security apparatus, there not one of the masters.
- 19:31Speaker 1: Who's this other guy in their chat group? Not one,
- 19:35Speaker 1: it's just amazing National Security advisor Mike Woltz. Well, he's
- 19:41Speaker 1: the one that added this journalist. He said, I don't
- 19:43Speaker 1: know him from Adam, yet somehow included him. The President
- 19:48Speaker 1: did defend Mike Waltz, but he did also suggest he's
- 19:51Speaker 1: smart en up and not do this sort of stuff. Again,
- 19:54Speaker 1: how much trouble is Waltz.
- 19:55Speaker 3: In, you know, Andrew? The way I think of this
- 19:59Speaker 3: is if this goes on for another two days and
- 20:02Speaker 3: another shoe drops, right, So, for example, Mike Waltz has
- 20:06Speaker 3: said I don't know the guy, and if there were, say,
- 20:09Speaker 3: and here's the other thing. Just to be clear, Jeffrey Goldberg,
- 20:12Speaker 3: the scumbag journalist that put this out, if he were,
- 20:15Speaker 3: he's already admitted he's into you know, seeing him at
- 20:18Speaker 3: a couple parties over the last several years, but definitely
- 20:21Speaker 3: not in the last couple of years, so he corroborates that. Now,
- 20:25Speaker 3: if there were some kind of text chain or something
- 20:27Speaker 3: like that that showed differently, I think that would be
- 20:29Speaker 3: an issue. But as far as I can tell. Look,
- 20:32Speaker 3: Trump's probably more upset that it was Jeffrey Greenberg more
- 20:36Speaker 3: than anything else. And so what I think is going
- 20:40Speaker 3: to happen is if this story doesn't get any additional oxygen,
- 20:44Speaker 3: which it looks like it's over, then my guess is
- 20:47Speaker 3: by the weekend, Waltz is in good shape. He's supposed
- 20:50Speaker 3: to be headed on this trip with the Vances to Greenland,
- 20:53Speaker 3: which I'm probably guessing that he's excited just to go
- 20:56Speaker 3: to Greenland or frankly anywhere in the world that's not
- 21:00Speaker 3: the White House right now, just to get away. And
- 21:05Speaker 3: so look, if he can get to Monday, I think
- 21:07Speaker 3: he's probably fine.
- 21:08Speaker 1: He raised an interesting possibility there, maybe Trump wants Greenland
- 21:12Speaker 1: to be America Siberia where you send eron officials.
- 21:17Speaker 3: But you know, the bigger question is is he going
- 21:19Speaker 3: to Greenland? It's is he coming back from Greenland?
- 21:24Speaker 1: Oh, very good question, very good question. Sure, I tend
- 21:29Speaker 1: to agree with you that after this weekend, you know,
- 21:32Speaker 1: noble end right, they'll learn they'll fix one with hope.
- 21:36Speaker 1: To me, far more concern is the story that got
- 21:40Speaker 1: very little play, and that is Vladimir Putin doing exactly
- 21:43Speaker 1: what I predicted exactly what I feared, delaying and delaying
- 21:47Speaker 1: saying yes the presidency is fire proposal, fearing that Donald
- 21:51Speaker 1: Trump wants to wash his hands of Ukraine anyway after
- 21:54Speaker 1: the way he's been treating it, which I thought it
- 21:57Speaker 1: was a mistake. Putin's the latest demand is or a
- 22:00Speaker 1: ceasefire just in the Black Sea, only in the Black Sea,
- 22:05Speaker 1: to stop Ukraine attacking Russian shipping is driven the Russia's
- 22:08Speaker 1: navy out of the Black Sea and exchanged for just
- 22:11Speaker 1: the ceasefire there, putting one's wistern sanctions on Russia a
- 22:15Speaker 1: lot of them to be dropped. How long before President
- 22:18Speaker 1: Trump loses patience with Russia and not Ukraine.
- 22:23Speaker 3: I think the broader question is is the ball moving
- 22:26Speaker 3: forward right? And does Putin abuse some of these incremental
- 22:30Speaker 3: steps forward? So if Putin were to do something to
- 22:34Speaker 3: undermine the trust that I think is being shown to him,
- 22:37Speaker 3: the deference that is being shown him, then I think
- 22:40Speaker 3: Trump's going to lose his mind because he sees the
- 22:42Speaker 3: same media that you and I read, and if he
- 22:45Speaker 3: is seen as Putin taking advantage of him, He's not
- 22:49Speaker 3: going to stand for that. I mean, that's just I
- 22:51Speaker 3: think Trump wants a deal. You're absolutely right, But I
- 22:55Speaker 3: think if he feels like Putin is taking advantage of
- 22:57Speaker 3: him in some way, he's going to retaliate economically, militarily,
- 23:02Speaker 3: something like that. Maybe it's you know, commercially, but I
- 23:05Speaker 3: think that there's no question that so far, at least,
- 23:10Speaker 3: we're making incremental progress towards peace. It may not be huge,
- 23:14Speaker 3: it may be something you know, a little more than
- 23:18Speaker 3: Putin wants, but so far it sounds like Ukraine is
- 23:21Speaker 3: okay with this. I just again, I'm all for this.
- 23:25Speaker 3: It's sort of like the old Reagan adage, trust but verify.
- 23:28Speaker 3: So if we have to take some baby steps forward,
- 23:30Speaker 3: I'm okay with that. But I share your concern. If
- 23:34Speaker 3: Putin tries to take advantage of the situation, I think
- 23:37Speaker 3: Trump's going to.
- 23:38Speaker 5: Lose his mind.
- 23:39Speaker 1: Well, I think he's already taken advantage of it. Ukraine
- 23:42Speaker 1: is not happy with dropping the sanctions in exchange for
- 23:45Speaker 1: being stopped from keeping Russian bullshits out of the Black Sea.
- 23:50Speaker 1: I mean he is playing it is, you know, offering
- 23:53Speaker 1: almost nothing on many things have advantaged to Russia, and
- 23:57Speaker 1: it's changed for massive concessions. I reckon that game has
- 24:02Speaker 1: been got to be called out very very soon, but
- 24:04Speaker 1: sewn space we shall see. Things are changing so fast
- 24:07Speaker 1: you have no idea what's going to happen tomorrow. Thank
- 24:10Speaker 1: you so much for your time you've had, sir, take care. Okay,
- 24:16Speaker 1: So now we're going to go in a second or
- 24:18Speaker 1: a minute and a bit to Peter Dutton to so
- 24:22Speaker 1: what's been called the speech of his life. I think
- 24:26Speaker 1: that's actually not quite true. I thought the thing that
- 24:29Speaker 1: he's done that really set the tone and put him
- 24:32Speaker 1: back in the race made the Liberals go from unelectable
- 24:36Speaker 1: what two and a half years ago to ride in
- 24:38Speaker 1: the race right now. This is a decision to say
- 24:40Speaker 1: no to the voice, no to this attempt to divide
- 24:43Speaker 1: us by Ray. So yes, this is actually a big speech,
- 24:47Speaker 1: but it's not the key moment. I think that said,
- 24:52Speaker 1: there's been a little lack of focus over the last
- 24:55Speaker 1: few weeks, lots of momentum from the Liberals. Like I
- 24:59Speaker 1: said before that the Liberals seem to be not quite
- 25:02Speaker 1: as up as Labor in the House of Representatives today
- 25:05Speaker 1: in question time. So well, things change so fast there's
- 25:10Speaker 1: probably going to be a May three election five weeks.
- 25:13Speaker 1: Five weeks is a long time in politics and it
- 25:16Speaker 1: could all start again for Peter Dutton tonight. I think
- 25:19Speaker 1: it's going to need to do something big. We're hearing
- 25:22Speaker 1: that it's probably going to be about things like a
- 25:24Speaker 1: gas reservation policy to make sure that less of our
- 25:28Speaker 1: gas is shipped overseas and kept in this country because
- 25:32Speaker 1: we are just these power prices are driving businesses broke
- 25:35Speaker 1: and hurting consumers as well voters as well, So that
- 25:38Speaker 1: might be part of it. And I also think there
- 25:40Speaker 1: might be something on defense. We sure need that. You
- 25:43Speaker 1: can't have austrained so much peril and defense just dawdling
- 25:47Speaker 1: around like it is. So we shall see what's going
- 25:50Speaker 1: to come up. Peter Dutton, Well, what a moment of truth.
- 25:54Speaker 1: And tomorrow, of course astras As as soon as Peter
- 25:58Speaker 1: Dutton has finished speaking, the Homnis will be up to
- 26:01Speaker 1: the Governor General and say give me an election, probably
- 26:05Speaker 1: May three, and that'll take us through an electure campaign
- 26:08Speaker 1: that will actually be more disruptive than most antac Day
- 26:12Speaker 1: Easter pauses. For both of those pauses that one or
- 26:16Speaker 1: two of the leaders might or both of them might think, gee,
- 26:20Speaker 1: that was welcome. So we shall see what a time
- 26:23Speaker 1: for Australia. I actually find it amazing that there's even
- 26:26Speaker 1: a debate here about whether Albanizi will be returned, because
- 26:30Speaker 1: we are talking about a fall in our standard of
- 26:32Speaker 1: living like we have not seen for many, many years outside,
- 26:36Speaker 1: you know, like the pandemic. How this is still up
- 26:40Speaker 1: in the air, I do not know. And that might
- 26:44Speaker 1: have something to do with the Liberals not making the
- 26:46Speaker 1: case strong enough for on cost of living and all that,
- 26:50Speaker 1: but who knows. That said, there was a good start
- 26:54Speaker 1: I think by the policy to all right, let's stop
- 26:59Speaker 1: there a year from the problem every year opposite leader himself,
- 27:02Speaker 1: Peter Dutton