Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 576 - 9/10/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 576 - 9/10/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:01
54321 All systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
0:13
Hello and welcome. To episode 570.
0:17
Six of the all. Systems.
0:19
Go sports betting podcast. Powered by.
0:22
Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
0:25
Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
0:31
Happy Thirsty Thursday. Another day here in the arena,
0:35
guys. And we got another.
0:36
Week. One NFL.
0:38
Game to get down. On here for tonight.
0:40
So hop in, hop in the plane, we're going to fly.
0:42
For 15 hours we're going to go down to Melbourne, Australia,
0:45
I've never been to. Australia, I'd love to go one
0:47
day, although I'm a little, little scared of that plane
0:49
ride. But either way guys, we got a
0:51
game to talk about. I got a best bet for you.
0:53
It's a play we talked about and put in pocket yesterday, so
0:56
we're going to re up that play. I like it just as much, if not
0:59
more than I did yesterday. But a full updated breakdown of
1:02
49ers and Rams and then. I have a.
1:06
College football best. Bet that I want.
1:08
To hand out to you because I'm looking at the college football
1:09
board. We have tomorrow.
1:12
What is it like 2 big games and there's a few other games but
1:15
there's one. Game in.
1:16
Particular that has. A really sharp line move.
1:18
And I'm hoping that we can. Get this.
1:20
Number right now, before it falls even further also we're
1:23
going. To play a couple books off of
1:24
each other because some. Books are as much as a full
1:27
point difference, but. This is a a.
1:28
Just blueprint play Sharp RLM we're.
1:31
Going to see if a dog can bark for us for tomorrow and then
1:35
also. I got another NFL.
1:36
Bet for you. So we have obviously week.
1:38
One came through. Huge of the Patriots.
1:40
Last night plus 3 1/2. Always get the hook.
1:42
More on that in a second. But we also talked about in
1:46
pocket. Texans plus 1 1/2.
1:48
Remember that was rhythm saying they should be.
1:50
Favored by. 1 1/2. I got the Vikings money line dog
1:53
to fave. I got the Saints +7.
1:55
Rhythm thinks that. Should be closer to. 4.
1:57
And then I got one more bet for you.
1:59
There's another game that really hasn't.
2:01
Moved at all, but it's being juiced up.
2:03
In favor of dropping to a key number, I'm thinking we should
2:05
grab this hook right now and oh by the way, it has a fantastic
2:09
rhythm edge rhythm thinks it should be about a pick em game
2:11
and we can get a 3 1/2 here so stay tuned for that so for today
2:15
guys we got. Rams, 49ers we'll talk about.
2:19
Then a college. Game for tomorrow and then
2:21
another game to add to. Our NFL card here for Sunday, so
2:24
we're going to see if we can head down to Australia and get a
2:27
win. Wouldn't that be nice?
2:28
Now a couple reminders. Looking back to our last night,
2:31
guys, we won our first NFL bet of the year, the Patriots.
2:34
Now you can look at this one of two ways.
2:36
I'm a Patriots. Fan so I always.
2:38
Say to myself. OK, what?
2:39
What am I rooting for my my bet to win or my team to win?
2:42
Well, I'm always rooting for my bet.
2:43
To win. So on the one.
2:45
Hand I'm happy Patriots covered the plus. 3 1/2, That was a
2:48
blueprint play for us. That's the kind of play.
2:51
That we can apply all season. Long, that's really my.
2:53
Favorite spot when you're? Contrarian.
2:55
Which means you're getting. Less than half the tickets.
2:57
Yet the line is. Moving.
2:58
In your direction, remember. Patriots are plus. 4 1/2 down to
3:02
3 1/2. And they closed it.
3:03
Three, but then also getting a good rhythm edge.
3:06
Rhythm thought it should be around a. 3 point game rhythm.
3:08
Nailed it. So with that sharp.
3:10
RLM Contrarian all our dog system matches.
3:13
There's a sharp mush edge from. Friends at Juice Reel.
3:16
And of course the importance there of, not just.
3:18
Picking the right side but getting the best.
3:20
Number we cannot stress enough. How important getting?
3:22
Hooks and key. Numbers are.
3:24
Because if you got a + 3 Patriots late, you push, you
3:27
shouldn't have, you should have won that game out, right.
3:29
But you got the plus 3 1/2 like we did on the pod, got it early.
3:32
We cashed with the hook. So there are so many games that
3:34
land on the key numbers like 3, like 6 or 7.
3:38
So getting that that hook is so crucial.
3:40
So on the one hand, I'm happy. Patriots covered the plus. 3
3:43
1/2. But as a side note, as a.
3:45
Patriots fan? How freaking?
3:47
Pathetic was that second-half and Drake May just tossing the
3:50
ball to the other team and then last play of the game.
3:54
To be honest with you, I was shocked that he threw the
3:56
interception, but I was actually happy.
3:58
I'm again, I'm a Pats fan. I didn't play their win total,
4:00
but it's in my blood. I grew up watching the Patriots
4:03
with my dad. I remember one of the earliest
4:06
memories is the was the 1996 Super Bowl.
4:09
I was like. Nine years old.
4:11
My mom and dad actually went down to New Orleans and the
4:13
Patriots were in New Orleans playing the they didn't go for
4:15
the game. They went for I think like a
4:16
work trip, but it was around the Super Bowl.
4:18
They got me a Patriots hat. We we had we didn't have cable
4:22
TV so back in those days put like a little Bunny ears antenna
4:26
and me and my dad would watch the the.
4:28
Foggy, Christmasy, snowy TV. Pat's fan my whole life, but I'm
4:32
on the one hand I'm like, OK, that's great.
4:35
He threw the pick because that. Guaranteed the plus. 3 1/2 with
4:37
cash you lose by three because there's a chance there where he
4:42
doesn't throw the pick. I mean, obviously one of the
4:44
touchdown that's best of of all. Worlds that guarantees.
4:47
Pat's win and cover, but in my head, I'm thinking he's going
4:51
to, he's going to, you know, not score, but kick a field goal,
4:54
tie it up. And then maybe, depending on the
4:57
coin flip, you know, Seattle walks it off and then win by 6
5:00
because they don't kick the extra point when you win in
5:02
overtime. And then we lose by 6 and don't
5:03
cover the 3 1/2. So a horrific, terrible loss.
5:07
Drake may looking like a complete idiot.
5:08
I don't know, can I still can't believe he threw those passes
5:11
late. But again, all we care about
5:13
care about is betting. So we got the Patriots plus 3
5:15
1/2 real quick before we get into all of our game breakdowns,
5:19
another reminder for you guys, Survivor.
5:22
That's right. A lot of people reaching out
5:24
like, oh, last night was the last night to join your Survivor
5:26
contest, right? Nope it.
5:28
Was the last night if you wanted to use.
5:31
Seahawks or Patriots, but. It's open until Sunday this
5:34
Sunday. September 13th when those one.
5:37
O'clock games go off. It's it's, it's over.
5:40
You cannot join. The the contest is locked, so
5:43
you have until this Sunday at 1:00.
5:45
To join in, but I'm looking at the it's it's it's incredible.
5:49
Guys. I want to give you all a shout
5:50
out if you signed up if you haven't yet.
5:51
Please sign up now. We're up to 248.
5:55
Entries and I, I. Feel like it was like 150 like.
5:58
2 days ago SO. I'm loving.
6:01
All the support I'm loving. Seeing you guys join if you
6:03
haven't joined yet again, click the the link that's pinned to my
6:07
profile pages. Go to my Twitter page at Josh
6:09
under score insights. You'll see a bunch of promos for
6:12
it. You can also click the the link
6:14
in the bio description of the pod.
6:15
But thank. You for signing up.
6:16
Please if you haven't signed up. Do it now.
6:19
This is a fun thing. We can all get involved in it's
6:21
50 bucks each. It gives you a rooting interest.
6:23
Each week and. Survivors blowing up so.
6:26
It's fun to be a part of. I'm, I think I'm going Jaguars.
6:29
I know everyone likes. The Chargers Chargers.
6:31
Lines actually fallen away. From San Diego or LA, they've.
6:35
Gone from -10 1/2 down to 9 1/2. It's juice like it may go to 9
6:38
toward. Arizona Jags have gone up -7 1/2
6:42
up to 9. Or 8 1/2.
6:44
So I'm thinking Jags and then maybe you save Chargers next
6:47
week for for the Raiders. But please join the join the
6:51
contest. I was looking last year guys.
6:53
There were 172 signups. The first.
6:55
Annual Applebaum Survivor contest.
6:57
Now, still with a few days left, we're.
6:59
At 2:48. So let's see, can we get to 3?
7:01
100 sign up and I'm going to challenge.
7:03
You to go. Send that invite link.
7:06
To a buddy of. Yours.
7:07
Your dad. Your uncle, your cousin, your
7:09
son, your. Colleague your Co worker?
7:10
Your neighbor. Again, get him.
7:12
Involved it's fun. Let's all, let's all.
7:14
Join here and obviously the bigger the pot, the bigger the
7:17
payout. The more people join, the bigger
7:19
the payout for whoever. Can survive in advance.
7:21
But please, you only have a few days left to.
7:23
Join the Applebaum Splash Sports second annual Survivor contest.
7:27
So that means being said. Let's get back to do what we
7:30
love to do. Sweating NFL games so.
7:33
Came through the Patriots. Last night plus 3 1/2.
7:35
Let's see if we can get another winner here for.
7:37
Tonight so. 49ers, Rams 8. Thirty, 5:00 PM Eastern Time.
7:42
This one is. Kicking off in a cricket.
7:44
Stadium the Melbourne Cricket. Something in in Melbourne,
7:48
Australia. Let's talk line moves.
7:49
Bet split system matches. I'll give you my play for this
7:51
one. For tonight, so the.
7:54
Niners. Went 12:00 and 5:00.
7:55
Last year. Odds makers expect another.
7:57
Good season for them. Their win total is 9 1/2.
8:00
Over -146 at DK. The Rams.
8:03
You know how much everyone is loving them The.
8:05
Betting market. Loves them too.
8:07
They went 12:00 and 5:00 last year.
8:09
Their win total is 11 1/2 / -, 130 That's the highest win total
8:13
in. Football, they're also plus.
8:14
500. To win it all, that is the the
8:17
best odds overall. Now what have we seen across the
8:19
market? Will this game?
8:21
Open with the Rams. Listed as a 2 1/2 point neutral
8:24
site favorite and we've seen a. Ton of public love.
8:28
On the Rams now the Rams have. Could have been a little bit of
8:31
sharp money hitting Rams -2 1/2. Early, but the public.
8:34
Certainly loves the Rams. Again, you got Aaron.
8:37
Donald, even though he's not playing this game, but he's
8:39
returning. You got Miles, Garrett Mcduffie.
8:41
This team's locked. And loaded McVeigh, Stafford,
8:43
the whole deal. Pukunakua.
8:46
So we've seen nothing but public.
8:47
Love on LA 65% of spread bets are going with the Rams.
8:52
Now, this movement has pushed the Rams -2 1/2 at one point all
8:56
the way to -4 but when that 4 was available, we saw some
9:00
sharp. Buyback on the Niners go from +4
9:03
down to plus 3 1/2. Now, what's notable?
9:06
To me is that. When you look.
9:08
At the -3 and a halfs. For the Rams.
9:11
Just looking at the line yesterday, it was juiced up
9:13
toward. The Rams -3 1/2 -, 115 - 120.
9:17
And I mentioned to you guys. Getting the four.
9:19
And if you had access to a four I already.
9:21
Played 49ers plus 4. You can still get it at the
9:24
score. Or Bally bet today.
9:25
But every other books 3 1/2. But the juice is trying is
9:28
starting to even out a little bit because.
9:29
Now you're seeing some Rams -3 1/2 - 115 - 112 - 110 The Juice.
9:35
Is kind of again getting back, not.
9:37
Juiced up toward the Rams, but. More toward -110.
9:40
So that tells me. We got some sharp buyback on the
9:42
Niners, Niners. Are a epic.
9:45
Contrarian play. They're only getting about 1/3
9:47
of tickets and a heavily bet prime time game.
9:49
This game's on Netflix, so make sure you're.
9:52
Locked and loaded or you steal your your your mom and dad's.
9:54
Password at DK 35% bets 45% dollars on the San Fran spread,
10:01
but get a load of this over at circa 62% spread.
10:03
Bets 87% spread dollars. On San Fran.
10:08
So we got some buy back, we got some good.
10:10
Sharp splits contrarian at. DK Sharp splits over at at
10:13
Circa, then we get into our system matches.
10:16
So if you're a week one dog. Patriots came through last
10:19
night. 49ers in the in the week one dog spot here 80. 7 and 70
10:23
against. The Spread 55% Win rate 7.
10:26
Percent ROI since. 2016 Dig a little deeper if you're a
10:29
division divisional dog in Week 1, those teams are 35 and 20 ATS
10:35
64 percent, 22% ROI since 2016. And then inflated.
10:40
Dogs. So if you're a Week 1 inflated
10:42
dog, getting at least a point off the opener.
10:44
So in this case your +2 NAFTA plus 3 1/2 in this case.
10:49
It's been a really good spot to take that extra point with that
10:52
inflated dog, especially when they're unpopular.
10:54
Those teams are 40 and 25 against the spread 62 percent
10:58
18. Percent ROI since 20. 16.
11:01
Kyle Shanahan, he's been good as a dog.
11:03
When getting. Four points or less, 17 to 9
11:06
against. The Spread 65.
11:07
Percent, 28%. ROI we have a. 10% sharp mush
11:12
edge on the 49ers. So little.
11:13
Bit of a. Sharp.
11:15
You know Sharp. Edge there from our friends.
11:16
At at Juice Reel. Now, in terms of the total, I've
11:19
seen a lot of people really like the under.
11:21
People that I. Respect It has fallen 49 down to
11:24
48 1/2 or 48. Tough part for me is that the
11:28
bet splits don't really back it up.
11:30
Bet splits at DK are 39% bets, 50% dollars on the over.
11:34
At circa 44% bets 55% dollars on the over.
11:38
So those bet. Splits have me laying.
11:40
Off a total even though prime time unders they are. 55% since
11:44
2016 and. When the prime time.
11:46
Total is 47 or more. A is considered a high prime
11:49
time total. The under is 57% since 20. 16 So
11:53
again the. Splits are just weird.
11:56
It does look like there's some under money here.
11:58
Either way, you know total. Fall in a bit is typically good
12:01
for a dog. But guys, I'm going 49ers, I'm
12:04
not going to call the. Niners a quote UN quote.
12:06
Sharp. Bet because they don't.
12:07
Have like a line freezer RLM. This is an.
12:10
Inflated line dog value bet where we're getting a.
12:14
Point off the opener. We're super contrarian.
12:16
We got good. Splits.
12:17
We got a. Ton of good system matches.
12:19
So I took. 49ers plus four very important.
12:22
For you out there listening to shop around and get that best
12:25
number because. If they lose by 4.
12:26
If it's 2420. If it's 30263120.
12:30
Seven, you know if it's. 2723 Think of all these.
12:35
Possible outcomes. You got to push.
12:37
This San Fran +4 not lose San Fran plus 3 1/2.
12:41
Right now, Caesar's is plus. 3 1/2 minus one O 7 FanDuel plus 3
12:45
1/2 minus one O 8 Bet MGM plus 3 1/2 minus one O 5 DK plus 3 1/2
12:50
minus one O 8 Fanatics plus 3 1/2 - 110.
12:54
But again, the score and Valley bet I.
12:56
Just checked. Before I started the pod.
12:58
You can still get plus 4 -, 110 at the score.
13:01
That's where I bet the Niners and Valley bet is plus 4 -, 113.
13:06
So first bet here bet. For tonight.
13:08
See if we get another dog to bark.
13:10
I'm on 49ers plus 4 now. A bet for tomorrow.
13:15
That caught my eye. Because I don't want to just
13:17
completely focus on NFLI. Love NFL but still college
13:21
football. I love betting college football
13:23
as well. So here's the game.
13:24
That. Jumped out to me.
13:25
For tomorrow night, Missouri visiting Kansas.
13:28
It's 8:00. It's on Fox.
13:30
It's a heavily bet. Primetime game and.
13:32
It has a very, very sharp. Reverse line move.
13:35
Missouri comes. In one and O, they're ranked
13:37
23rd. They just destroyed.
13:40
Poor little Arkansas Pine Bluff. 54 to 14.
13:43
Kansas is also one and O they beat up on Long Island.
13:47
Long Island 50. One to six, so.
13:49
Both teams are one and O. Both teams had blowout wins
13:52
against Little. Schools.
13:53
In their in their first game, but the public is very clearly
13:57
thinking. Missouri's the better.
13:58
Team Why? Because of the rankings when you
14:00
have one team ranked so Missouri's 23rd Kansas.
14:03
Is unranked typically. Public is going to just
14:05
automatically say, oh, you're ranked, you're better ranking,
14:07
you're you know. You're a better.
14:08
Team you should. Cover this number.
14:10
But here's where it gets interesting.
14:12
We look at Missouri ranked. Team they opened minus. 6 1/2
14:17
guys, the line is down to -5 1/2 and I'm seeing a couple books
14:21
down to 5. And FanDuel is even down to four
14:23
and a. Half.
14:24
So why is this line dropping toward Kansas?
14:28
If Missouri by the. Way is a very popular.
14:30
Team Missouri is getting 61. Percent of spread bets.
14:34
At DK if you flip it. Look at the splits on Kansas
14:38
opening plus 6 1/2 down to plus 5 1/2 or even 5 or 4 1/2.
14:42
So the lines moving toward Kansas.
14:44
It's a reverse line move. Because of DK.
14:46
Heavily bet. 8:00 game, they're only getting 39% of spread bets,
14:51
but 87% of spread dollars. You go.
14:54
Over to Circa. 73% of spread bets.
14:57
Over 90. Percent of spread dollars.
15:00
So Publix on Missouri? But line is moving toward
15:02
Kansas. Kansas has a Really.
15:04
Sharp low bets, higher dollar split at.
15:06
Both DK. And circa we.
15:08
Also have an unranked. Versus ranked opportunity.
15:10
So I always love buying low on the.
15:11
Unranked versus the ranked. Oh, by the way.
15:14
Rhythm has Kansas plus 5.3. So a little bit.
15:18
Of an edge there on the plus 5.5.
15:21
And then also popped open Juice Reel.
15:23
Noticed a 26. Percent sharp mush edge on
15:26
Kansas. But if you're giving me, you
15:28
know, again, this isn't, you know, a night where we have a
15:31
million games and a bunch. Of primetime games, this.
15:33
Is the. Primetime game tomorrow night,
15:36
8:00 on Fox. Extremely.
15:38
Heavily bet, most heavily bet game and we've seen nothing.
15:40
But line movement toward Kansas, even though.
15:43
Public is going Missouri so again last angle here is find
15:46
the best number Caesar's. Plus. 5 1/2 - 113.
15:50
FanDuel is. 4 1/2 minus one O 8. I love that anytime you have a
15:54
a, you know, good book like. FanDuel.
15:56
Or a circa that's. You know, more bullish than the
15:59
other. Other books and you can still
16:01
get a good number. That's always a good.
16:02
Sign the Score plus 5 1/2 - 115 Bally bets down to plus 5 - 1 O
16:08
8 DraftKings plus 5 1/2 - 112, but both Bet MGM and Fanatics
16:13
are plus 5 1/2 - 110 standard. Juice.
16:17
So tomorrow night, everyone's playing Mizzou.
16:19
Lions going toward Kansas? We've seen no.
16:21
Buyback, it's been consistently dropping toward Kansas.
16:25
I bet it at. Bet MGM Plus 5 1/2 - 110.
16:29
Let's go Kansas Jayhawks now 1 addition to our best bet card
16:34
for this weekend so I. Already have in pocket Texans
16:37
plus 1 1/2 Vikings money line -115 and Saints +7.
16:42
I got one more bet for you. Let's look at a match.
16:45
Up here between the Baltimore. Ravens and the Indianapolis
16:49
Colts. Now this one caught my eye.
16:51
Because I'm thinking similar to the Patriots.
16:54
Game last night. We need this hook.
16:55
Before it falls so in this matchup.
16:58
Baltimore Ravens. They opened as a. 3 1/2 point
17:01
Rd. Favorite and.
17:02
Public. Is saying Ravens are the better?
17:04
Team here. If you look at the bet.
17:06
Splits. Right now, 60% of spread bets
17:09
are laying with the Ravens. But here's the important.
17:11
Factor even though nearly 2/3. Of bets are on.
17:14
Ravens Ravens aren't up -3 1/2 to -4 1/2 - 5.
17:19
They've stayed right where. They're at they have not moved
17:21
off of -3 1/2. That tells me you have a line
17:23
freeze. So again, line freezes.
17:25
When you have heavy betting one side but the line won't move.
17:28
Think of it this way. Publix all.
17:29
Over Lamar Jackson. But the odds makers don't want
17:32
to go up to. Four or five.
17:33
Because they don't want to hand out a better number.
17:35
To Indianapolis Colts Packers. The other angle here.
17:38
Is the juiced up side is the Colts Colts.
17:41
Are only getting 40% bets, but nearly 60% of the.
17:44
Money at. DK Sharp Split.
17:46
And yet. The juice is on the Colts side,
17:49
so Colts are plus. 3 1/2 -117 at caesar's -118 at Bet MGM and
17:56
FanDuel -120 at The Score and fanatics -115 at DraftKings and
18:02
Valley. Bet.
18:03
So all the juice is toward the Indy.
18:05
Side like it's getting down to three.
18:07
So I don't want to wait until tomorrow.
18:08
Or wait until Sunday again. Colts lose by three.
18:11
We want. To cash with the 3 1/2 of the
18:13
hook so line freeze. Getting the hook now before it
18:16
falls. But most importantly.
18:19
Listen to this guy's. Our friends at Rhythm who have
18:22
created the Sharp. AI models.
18:25
Straight out of Goodwill Hunting and MIT.
18:27
They have a Green Star recommended play on Colts plus 3
18:30
1/2 and listen to this. The AI model has.
18:33
Colts plus 0.7 basically a one point game.
18:39
So if the public's on Baltimore. And we can go contrarian with
18:42
the. Colts, if we.
18:42
Have a line freeze on the Colts. If we're juiced up with the hook
18:45
toward the Colts and if. We have a low bets higher dollar
18:47
split on the Colts. And rhythm is.
18:49
Saying it should be about a one point game.
18:51
Less than a one point game. Nearly a pick'em game that sent
18:55
me over the edge and I had to play Colts here.
18:57
Guys, so I did. Take the Colts Plus. 3 1/2 -
19:00
115. At Bally Bet along with DK,
19:03
those are your lowest juice prices.
19:05
But again line freeze. And rhythms got Colts plus 0. .7
19:09
so. Nearly a full 3.
19:10
Point Edge. Which is good enough for me.
19:13
So add Colts. Plus 3 1/2 to the list.
19:15
If you'd like to ride with me so that about does it for episode
19:18
570. Six of the all.
19:20
Systems go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
19:23
This is the part of the pod where we wrap.
19:24
Things up. I always start first by saying.
19:26
Thank you. Thank you for listening.
19:28
Thank you for tuning in. You got busy lives.
19:31
Kids are back to school. People are working.
19:33
You're just, you know. You're hanging on for.
19:35
Dear life, if you're like me with a almost nearly six month
19:38
old baby, but you guys TuneIn and that means a lot.
19:41
So thank you for supporting the pod.
19:42
If you feel so. Inclined if you want to be.
19:44
Generous and make my. Day please could.
19:46
You give this pod a five star review.
19:48
If you like listening to it, give it five stars on Spotify or
19:51
iTunes. Recommend the pod to.
19:52
A friend. Click the follow button, retweet
19:55
or like the pod. When I put it.
19:56
Out on Twitter. Any or all?
19:58
Those things we very much appreciate it.
20:00
Next, if you enjoy this style of.
20:02
Sports betting, Data-driven, sharp contrarian betting
20:05
focusing on line movement. Bet split.
20:07
System matches. Taking a contrarian.
20:08
Approach if this style of betting.
20:10
Has appealed to you. You want to learn?
20:12
More. About data-driven betting, you
20:14
want to support the. Team you have someone.
20:16
In your life, who could use some data-driven tips?
20:18
I'd love for you to go to Amazon.
20:20
Dot com and type. In the NFL, sharp.
20:22
Betting playbook or type? In the everything.
20:24
Guide to sports betting. Those are the two books that
20:27
I've written. Very proud of both.
20:28
But if you grab a copy and then meet.
20:30
Me at the sports book. I'll sign them for you and.
20:32
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale, get some nachos, we'll
20:35
sweat. We'll sweat the Niners tonight
20:38
next. Have you downloaded?
20:39
Rhythm in juice. Reel yet?
20:41
Well, if you haven't. What are you waiting for?
20:42
They're 2 great apps I use everyday.
20:45
Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions for game.
20:47
Bets and player props, Rhythm said it was.
20:49
It would. Be a three-point game.
20:50
Last night it was a three-point game and we catch with the
20:53
Patriots 3 1/2. But I love getting those rhythm
20:56
edges. I also love using Juice Reel.
20:58
I sync up my sports books, post all my plays on juice.
21:02
Reel you can. Do the same.
21:03
Gives you a running report card of your action.
21:05
You'll get the robo. Jackson best bet picks the sharp
21:07
mush indicators the. Arbitrage plays the shop for the
21:10
best sign futures and if you'd. Like to support the team.
21:13
You can get my best bets directly from the Juice Reel
21:15
app. 10 bucks a week or 25 bucks a month?
21:18
As soon as I make a bet, it goes.
21:20
Right to the all. Systems go profile page and you
21:22
can tail fade do whatever you like, but I have a bunch of you
21:25
guys who have signed up recently and I appreciate you.
21:27
Thank you SO. Much.
21:28
For supporting the team and again got to go download both.
21:32
Juice, reel and rhythm. Next you have a live odds page.
21:36
Well, if you don't have one, you need one.
21:38
You got to be able to track the market in real time.
21:40
Got to be able to see OK this line opened at.
21:42
This number the opener. Column which never changes.
21:45
All the current odds next to it immediately pull up the line.
21:48
History. See which?
21:48
Direction line is moving. Figure out which direction the.
21:51
Juice is moving. Helps you to.
21:53
To decide when to place the bet it's got.
21:55
All the major. Books you can shop for the best.
21:58
Line and. Get those live in game wagering
22:00
odds all available to you when you give a shot to.
22:03
Odds logic, they're. The best live odds page around.
22:06
I highly recommend it. I use it every day.
22:08
I love it and if you want to give it a shot, use this special
22:10
link. Oddslogic.com slash.
22:14
Josh 123. So that about does it for
22:16
episode 576. Of the ASG pod.
22:19
On a big Thirsty Thursday. As always guys, two final
22:22
thoughts. One, whether I see you at the.
22:23
Borgata in Atlantic. City Twin River in Rhode Island
22:26
the. Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
22:27
Foxwoods. Or Mohegan Sun.
22:29
Down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston Plain Ridge
22:31
Park. Casino MGM.
22:32
Springfield or the Nash in my. Neck of.
22:34
The woods on the border of Massachusetts in New Hampshire,
22:37
we're out in the desert where the true.
22:38
Grinders get down where Billy Walter sends his number runners
22:41
with. Lowest choose possible is.
22:43
Found at the South Point. Or.
22:44
Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
22:46
Jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
22:48
When you cash a big ticket at Circa, whatever it may be,
22:50
you're going to walk up to me. Show me a beautiful Patriots
22:54
Plus. 3 1/2. The hook was crucial, just as we
22:57
stressed. And boy.
22:58
What? Whatever was that important?
23:01
Again, terrible loss of your Pats fan, but you know we've
23:03
cashed our ticket. That's all that matters.
23:05
Show me that. Pats plus 3 1/2.
23:07
First one's on me, next one's on.
23:09
You will post about the book Sweatsharp contrary in place all
23:12
night long. So as always, guys coming off a.
23:14
One and O night or an O in one night.
23:16
A hot. Streak.
23:16
A cold streak, whether things are going our way or or they're
23:19
not. Or we're just.
23:20
Grinding as always, we can never get too high when things.
23:22
Are good or too low? When things are bad, we got to
23:24
stay the course again. We can't get.
23:27
To thinking betting is easy when we're winning.
23:29
Or it's impossible when we're losing?
23:31
Whenever as good as we think when we're hot, we're never as
23:33
bad as we think when we're cold. Just got to stay the course.
23:35
Be selective in our process. Stay true to the process.
23:39
Discipline. With our bankroll management
23:40
bettrus not bet to win if we can find the games that.
23:43
Fit our model. And avoid the games that don't
23:45
we're looking for. Those games that are against the
23:47
public. With the house with.
23:48
The pros Flat bet. Avoid parlays, get some.
23:51
COV. If we can do that, we're.
23:53
Going to be successful sports bettors, so I hope.
23:55
Everyone has a great Thirsty Thursday.
23:58
Go Niners. Of course, if you haven't done
24:00
it yet. Sign up for the Applebaum
24:01
Survivor Contest. For up to 248, let's get.
24:03
To 300 go sign up if you. Haven't, and then if you've
24:06
already signed up. Go tell a friend.
24:08
Let's get more people to join. Bigger, bigger payout, the more
24:11
people that join. And of course.
24:13
Hopefully the Niners can cover and I'll be right.
24:15
Back at it tomorrow. For episode 577 of the All
24:19
Systems Go Sports Betting podcast, Owered by Rhythm.
24:23
Good luck everybody and go an Fran.