Latest / The SME Stream / Andrew Dickens: Can we really say the rock star economy is back?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. The corner has been turned. The five
- 0:03Speaker 1: year pandemic pandemonium has been tamed. This was the headline
- 0:07Speaker 1: at the end of last week. Inflation is down and
- 0:09Speaker 1: the very first interest rate cuts since the Reserve Bank
- 0:12Speaker 1: realized that overstimulated everything five years ago finally happened. It's
- 0:17Speaker 1: proof that tax cuts were not inflationary, said the finance minister. Well,
- 0:22Speaker 1: that's true, but it's not a sign that the cost
- 0:25Speaker 1: of living crisis is over. Is it just me? Or
- 0:29Speaker 1: do you think inflation and the cost of living increases
- 0:32Speaker 1: are two heads of the same monster, and they're measured
- 0:35Speaker 1: in different ways. So it's true that tax cuts are
- 0:38Speaker 1: not being sucked up by discretionary spending so causing inflation,
- 0:43Speaker 1: but they are being sucked up by the increases and
- 0:45Speaker 1: charges brought about by a cut in government spending, a
- 0:49Speaker 1: continued housing shortage and its costs, and local government trying
- 0:53Speaker 1: to bridge the infrastructure deficit has been grown for decades.
- 0:57Speaker 1: So that's where my tax cuts are going. I can
- 0:58Speaker 1: tell you exactly. My family's tax cuts are going straight
- 1:01Speaker 1: into increased rates and because we're on the end of
- 1:05Speaker 1: a ferry line, increased public transport costs now that the
- 1:09Speaker 1: subsidies had ended, because we've got three people using ferries
- 1:12Speaker 1: of the house, so all the tax cuts are going
- 1:14Speaker 1: straight pretty much into that to be fair. So I'm
- 1:17Speaker 1: not spending it on discretionary items, I'm not firing on
- 1:20Speaker 1: the inflation. So it's still great news. The corner has
- 1:24Speaker 1: been turned so much so that Thomas Coglin and the
- 1:27Speaker 1: Herald said, put on your dancing shoes. The rock star
- 1:30Speaker 1: economy is back, and we can thank Luxon and Willis,
- 1:35Speaker 1: which is true, they did their part. It's also true
- 1:38Speaker 1: that the economists have been saying this would happen for
- 1:40Speaker 1: over a year now. It's also true that economists have
- 1:43Speaker 1: been saying all year that a lot of money has
- 1:45Speaker 1: been dormant, waiting for a turn in the interest rates
- 1:48Speaker 1: as a signal that it's all back on again. That
- 1:51Speaker 1: has finally happened, and so here we go, the rock
- 1:55Speaker 1: star economy on the return. But was the rock star
- 1:59Speaker 1: economy that we remain so fondly really ever a rock
- 2:02Speaker 1: star in the first place, and do we really want
- 2:04Speaker 1: it back? The rockstar economy was an economy of growth,
- 2:10Speaker 1: spurned on by high immigration, low interest rates, and beg
- 2:16Speaker 1: capital gains from a strangled housing market that was then
- 2:20Speaker 1: spent by houseowners. It was a rock star as long
- 2:24Speaker 1: as you had property that you could raise capital on.
- 2:28Speaker 1: And throughout the glory days many warned that there was
- 2:31Speaker 1: no productivity gains in our rockstar economy, that there was
- 2:34Speaker 1: too much reliance on dairy and tourism in our rockstar economy,
- 2:38Speaker 1: that there was too much spending on fripperies in our
- 2:41Speaker 1: rockstar economy, and that there was too little investment on
- 2:44Speaker 1: infrastructure that will make us more competitive in our rockstar economy.
- 2:50Speaker 1: Can we really say a rock star economy is back
- 2:55Speaker 1: when we wait a month for a doctor's appointment or
- 2:58Speaker 1: three months for surgery in a rotting past its use
- 3:01Speaker 1: by hospital. Can we really be a rockstar economy if
- 3:06Speaker 1: we can't make enough electricity to keep the pulp and
- 3:11Speaker 1: paper mills operating. Can we really say we're a rockstar
- 3:17Speaker 1: economy when half our water is lost in leaks? So
- 3:22Speaker 1: here's the truth. The return of a key government style
- 3:27Speaker 1: rock star economy will benefit me, It may indeed benefit you,
- 3:31Speaker 1: It will be benefit anyone with equity. And look, I
- 3:35Speaker 1: know I'm grateful and those people vote, But don't you
- 3:39Speaker 1: want something better than that. Don't you think it's time
- 3:42Speaker 1: the country point it's big boy pants on and fixed
- 3:44Speaker 1: up the stuff that's been plaguing us for decades and
- 3:46Speaker 1: makes us seem like a third world country. Because if
- 3:49Speaker 1: we can do that, then we will be a true
- 3:51Speaker 1: rockstar economy, and the people that manage that feat will
- 3:55Speaker 1: be hailed as the true masters of this economy.