Latest / No Dirt No Flowers Podcast / Supply Chain Advocate & Connector / Ft. Pete Mahony
Transcript
- 0:00And we're back with another new episode of No
- 0:02Dirt, No Flowers. Today we welcome the one and
- 0:04only Pete Mahoney to the podcast. A true friend
- 0:07to the hop grower, Pete discusses his entry into
- 0:10the hop industry nearly 40 years ago back in
- 0:12Oregon and the good old days of the handshake
- 0:14contracts, leading all the way up to the craft
- 0:17boom and how it changed the hop industry forever.
- 0:19It's a fun, insightful episode and always great
- 0:21to sit down and talk with Pete. Enjoy the pod.
- 0:32Yeah, we're recording. Oh, wonderful. Yeah, we're
- 0:35sitting with the Pete Mahoney. Has to be one
- 0:40of the most, I was going to say, recognized or
- 0:44known characters in the hop industry. Individuals
- 0:48in the hop industry. Oh, yeah. Would you go as
- 0:51far as to say legendary? I would say legendary.
- 0:54I could, yeah. Welcome to the show, Pete. Well,
- 0:57thank you guys. Yeah, I appreciate the compliments.
- 1:00The legendary Pete Mahoney. Yeah, I never thought
- 1:04I would achieve that sort of status in this industry.
- 1:08In fact, I never thought I'd work in this industry
- 1:12as long as I did. Really? Well, I remember when
- 1:16I first started in Oregon nearly 40 years ago,
- 1:21I... I started out in Hubbard, Oregon. I was
- 1:26the hop buyer, and I oversaw the warehouse down
- 1:30there and the take -in and so forth. And I thought,
- 1:33well, I'll do this for a couple years, and then
- 1:35I'll get a real job. And that was for Haas at
- 1:38the time? That was Haas at the time, yeah. But
- 1:41I never would have thought 40 years later I had
- 1:46a full career in the hop industry. It sucks you
- 1:50in. It really does, yeah. It gets in your blood,
- 1:52as you guys well know. And, you know, I worked
- 1:56on a hop farm as a kid for my summer jobs, the
- 2:00Coleman family down in, you know, St. Paul, Oregon,
- 2:03my hometown. And, yeah, so I did all the usual
- 2:07stuff on the hop farm as a kid. And that is one
- 2:10thing I'll say that's changed, fortunately. I
- 2:13used to have to get up early in the morning and...
- 2:16move irrigation pipe in the hop fields and i
- 2:19hated that you know you're you're moving 20 foot
- 2:22four inch pipe carrying two at a time and weaving
- 2:26your way through a hop yard and you got these
- 2:28vines just like ripping across your face and
- 2:31then in the afternoon it's just humid and hot
- 2:34but you have to wear a long sleeve shirt and
- 2:36so fortunately they don't irrigate hops that
- 2:38way anymore so um that was one nice change now
- 2:41they use i'm still surprised that there's as
- 2:44much I guess, above ground sprinkler irrigation
- 2:48in Oregon as there is. I mean, they're using
- 2:50things like big guns. Yeah. On babies usually,
- 2:53right? Well, even adults. Like when we went down
- 2:56there and did that tour about a year ago, there
- 2:58was still overhead sprinklers, big gun type sprinklers.
- 3:03But not pipes anymore. I don't know. I haven't
- 3:07seen any pipes still. Yeah. I don't think they
- 3:10use pipe anymore down there. No. I don't think
- 3:11so. But moving irrigation pipe is. Not easy.
- 3:15Yeah. Oh yeah. Oh, especially in those muddy
- 3:17fields. Oh yeah. One time I was down there probably
- 3:20five or six years ago, my map wasn't working
- 3:23and I was talking to Brandon Davidson. For those
- 3:27of you that don't know hop farmer down there,
- 3:28I was trying to find him. He's out in the field.
- 3:30So he sent me a pin. Well, it sent me into, I
- 3:35can't, I remember it was a Steiner growers field.
- 3:37I can't remember who it was. And I was like,
- 3:39I don't. I didn't know they had a field down
- 3:42here. So I started driving around the backside,
- 3:43and they had a big gun up on the hill, and I
- 3:47got stuck in a bunch of mud down there, and they
- 3:51had to come down, like pull a Yakima Chief Ranch's
- 3:54employee out of their field full of mud with
- 3:57a tractor. Like, oh, geez. We've had to pull
- 4:01my dad out of some fields. Really? Yeah. That
- 4:04doesn't surprise me. So was the Coleman Ranch,
- 4:10was that all one operation back then? Yeah, it
- 4:15was really more one operation back then. You
- 4:17know, there's Bob Coleman, the grandfather or
- 4:22the father to John and Bill. And then so he had
- 4:26kind of his own entity. And then John and Bill
- 4:28did. But they all worked together really as one.
- 4:31one farm and it was just down the road from my
- 4:33house on mahoney road and uh my parents still
- 4:37live down there but uh yeah i used to hop on
- 4:40my little atc and run down to the shop every
- 4:42morning and hop in a pickup with some guys to
- 4:45go out and move irrigation pipe the story of
- 4:48so many of us farmers yeah Got on my motorcycle
- 4:51or my four -wheeler and went to work. Yeah, yeah.
- 4:54So did you stay doing that through, like, because
- 4:56you went to OSU, right? I did, yeah, yeah. So
- 4:58I did that, you know, for summer jobs through
- 5:01high school and college. And then, yeah, right
- 5:04out of Oregon State, then I got the job with
- 5:07Haas down there and did that for, I think, about
- 5:11three years. And, yeah, one thing I reflected
- 5:15on or remembered was the first purchase of hops
- 5:18that I made. And, you know, I'm still kind of
- 5:21a kid, you know, new to the job. And it was some
- 5:24spots that I purchased at harvest time. And they
- 5:27might have been some little ammets. But it was
- 5:30from Steve Coleman. No kidding. But I remember
- 5:34going out to track him down. You know, he's a
- 5:36hard guy to get a hold of. And finally found
- 5:38him out in some field. And he's the type of guy
- 5:41that he just extends his hand, looks you in the
- 5:44eye, and you shake on it. And we got a deal.
- 5:49I mean, he'd be fine. You don't need any paperwork
- 5:51or anything. But, you know, of course, you have
- 5:53to follow up with that. But I kind of like that,
- 5:55you know, where you just look a guy in the eye
- 5:57and shake his hand and you know that's all that's
- 6:01needed, you know. I miss those days. Yeah, yeah,
- 6:04I do too. So did you have a connection into the
- 6:08hop industry, or was it just kind of proximity?
- 6:10You ended up working on a hop farm? Yeah, my
- 6:13family didn't farm. We just lived out in the
- 6:17farming area outside of St. Paul. So no connection,
- 6:21really. Just John Jr., Coleman, was a good personal
- 6:26friend of mine and still is. And so, yeah, it
- 6:29just led to me getting a summer job there on
- 6:32their farm. But, yeah, when I was out of school,
- 6:36Oregon State, I was, you know, it was before
- 6:40the Internet. And, you know, you're looking in
- 6:42the paper for postings of jobs. And, you know,
- 6:45you kind of rely on who you know and connections
- 6:49more. You're not getting on Indeed and stuff
- 6:52like that. That didn't exist back then. But I
- 6:55do remember there was a – I heard about it through
- 6:58the Coleman service. Anheuser -Busch before ABI,
- 7:01just AB, they were going to – put a kind of a
- 7:05field man, field person out here somewhere in,
- 7:08you know, Yakima or Oregon. And was that during
- 7:12John Reeves? Yes, it was. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. So
- 7:16in fact, I interviewed with John Reeves and Gary
- 7:21Wittgenstein, if you remember that name. And
- 7:24I didn't get the job. But they actually hired
- 7:28a great guy, Daryl Smith. You guys probably know
- 7:30Daryl. And he was way more experienced than me.
- 7:33I'm just a fresh kid out of college, you know.
- 7:36But, yeah, so it was the next thing that kind
- 7:39of came along was a fellow down in Oregon that
- 7:41did the purchasing. Ted and Agnes was his name.
- 7:45But he was leaving his position to go take a
- 7:50job, I think, in the. financial sector as a stockbroker,
- 7:54I think. And then, so there was an opening. And
- 7:58so I interviewed for the job. I remember interviewing
- 8:01with Henry Barth and ended up getting it. How'd
- 8:07that interview go with Henry? Because for those
- 8:09of us that know Henry, you know Henry. For, you
- 8:12know, the newer people in the industry, Henry
- 8:15was... a unique individual yeah yeah no I was
- 8:19quite intimidated for sure and I don't know I
- 8:24don't remember all the details of how that interview
- 8:26went and the questions I just remember being
- 8:28shaken in my boots kind of you know because you
- 8:31know he you could tell he was German but yeah
- 8:36and then you know he'd come out a few times to
- 8:38check on things after I had the job and And he
- 8:42let you know that he's paying attention to the
- 8:44details. You know, Mr. Mahoney, you need to clean
- 8:46these hops over in the corner. That doesn't look
- 8:48good, you know, and stuff like that. But I thought
- 8:51that was great. You know, he comes out and he's
- 8:54watching things. He was looking in the eye, shake
- 8:59your hand. He was, yeah. That kind of guy. Uh
- 9:01-huh, yep. Definitely more of the old school,
- 9:03old guard kind of guy, yeah. I remember going
- 9:06back to D .C. doing some negotiations between
- 9:12our farm and haas and interacting with henry
- 9:15and i was more of an observer than obviously
- 9:18a negotiator at that age but my dad brought me
- 9:21along and it was really interesting yeah yeah
- 9:24but in the end you know you'd shake hands and
- 9:26you'd go do your thing and there would be paperwork
- 9:30that would follow but but it was uh it definitely
- 9:32felt more of that all right we got a deal and
- 9:35you can trust me the now where it's like, I don't
- 9:39know, you get on a phone call and you make a
- 9:41deal and then quote unquote, and before the paperwork
- 9:46comes, it could all fall apart. I used to, when
- 9:52I came into it in 2012, started working with
- 9:55growers. That's how I like to do it was all right.
- 9:58We've got an agreement. I trust you. You trust
- 10:00me. Don't give me a reason not to trust you.
- 10:02And I won't give you a reason not to trust me.
- 10:04And then. When it started getting really competitive
- 10:07about eight years later or seven years later.
- 10:10But that's always something that stuck with me,
- 10:12and it's just kind of my nature too. But, you
- 10:15know, this is such a small little industry and
- 10:17how important those relationships are. You know,
- 10:20there's only roughly 70 growers. And, yeah, when
- 10:24you're working within that small of a community,
- 10:28the relationships are huge, and you don't want
- 10:32to jeopardize. those relationships and and so
- 10:36to me just just really standing by your values
- 10:40you know having to being honest don't play games
- 10:44you know strong integrity those sort of things
- 10:47you you don't want to stray away from that at
- 10:52all because that that'll come back to bite you
- 10:54and so that I always thought that that was one
- 10:58of the things that allowed me to be fairly successful
- 11:01in in my career which was more focused on the
- 11:04grower relationships throughout those 40 years
- 11:07yeah so how so you were down there for three
- 11:11years well yeah so about three years uh on the
- 11:14hop side and then uh in those days um haas had
- 11:18diversified into some other areas and they had
- 11:21a hazelnut processing plant over in dundee oregon
- 11:25And so I moved actually into that plant for about
- 11:28five years as a plant manager and sort of the
- 11:32field man as well. Still doing hops? No. So then
- 11:37I was only hazelnuts. So I was completely out
- 11:39of hops into hazelnuts. But then an opportunity
- 11:44with the company came up in Yakima, and I decided
- 11:49to take that. I'd been up to Yakima a number
- 11:51of times over the years. But it was to move more
- 11:54into the production area. And I worked under
- 11:58a guy named Jim Stouffer, who was more or less
- 12:03like the VP of manufacturing up here in Yakima.
- 12:06So I worked under him then for a number of years.
- 12:09And that opened up a whole new world that I wasn't
- 12:13exposed to before it was hot processing. I just
- 12:16knew bales and warehousing and loading them up
- 12:20on trucks to either go to Yakima or to... Go
- 12:23to a brewer. Keep them from catching on fire.
- 12:25Keep them from catching on fire, which we didn't
- 12:27always do, unfortunately. So, yeah, so I actually
- 12:33did the manufacturing role up here then. Jim
- 12:35had retired, and then I took on that position
- 12:38and did that for probably 15 -ish years. So what
- 12:41year did that start, that position? That would
- 12:44have been maybe 94, 95 range, somewhere around
- 12:51there, yeah. Wow. What did you study in college
- 12:54out of curiosity? Business, yeah. A business
- 12:56degree from Oregon State. So go Beavs. They're
- 13:01hopefully going to make it to Omaha again. Their
- 13:03baseball team is really strong. Oh, yeah. Absolutely.
- 13:07Sorry, I didn't mean to interrupt. I was just
- 13:09thinking, man. But, you know, back in those days,
- 13:13too, when I was first getting into the manufacturing
- 13:16area, You know, the products that we had back
- 13:20then were far fewer than, you know, what we have
- 13:23today. You know, it was predominantly, well,
- 13:27the focus was more on extract because back in
- 13:30those days probably, what, 80 % of the U .S.
- 13:34crop was alpha. You know, it was well before
- 13:37this whole craft boom and all these new flavor
- 13:41aroma varieties. And when you say extract, you
- 13:44just mean basically CO2 extract for bittering.
- 13:47Yeah, and actually it was before CO2, it was
- 13:50hexane. Oh, that's right. Yeah, so they had a
- 13:55hexane plant here. Solvent -based extraction.
- 13:57Solvent -based, exactly. And then as the industry
- 14:00was moving more towards non -solvent sort of
- 14:05based products, so CO2 then became the new standard
- 14:10for extraction. Was CO2 extraction cheaper than
- 14:15hexane or just? Safer. Safer. It wasn't cheaper.
- 14:22Was it more expensive or about the same? I think
- 14:25it was comparable, yeah. Maybe a little bit more
- 14:28expensive. Certainly the equipment was, you know,
- 14:31operating under high pressure. Who put the first
- 14:34extract plant in? That's a good question. I'm
- 14:39not sure if it was Haas or Steiner. About the
- 14:42same time, I would say, though. Okay. In the
- 14:46U .S., yeah. And both? Both organizations had
- 14:48solvent -based extraction prior to CO2 extraction.
- 14:52Okay. Yep. And then there was also an extract
- 14:56plant in Sydney, Nebraska. That's right. Is that
- 14:59the Pfizer one? That's the Pfizer one. Yeah.
- 15:02But, yeah, so focus on extract, but then the
- 15:06pellets, you know, it's predominantly, you know,
- 15:09type 90 and type 45, and then isopellets came
- 15:13into the mix. Things just kind of stayed that
- 15:18way for a number of years. So what year did T45s
- 15:21come into the picture? Well, I think T45s were
- 15:25created back in the 70s. They had been around
- 15:30quite a while. And I think there's more interest
- 15:34in T45, say, in the 80s, 90s, because these aroma
- 15:42varieties didn't have a lot of alpha in them.
- 15:45We didn't have these. you know, new varieties
- 15:48that are the flavor varieties that are an aroma,
- 15:51but they have 12%, 14 % alpha in them. So when
- 15:55you have these lower alpha aromas, there was
- 15:58more interest in T45 because then you could take
- 16:01like a cluster cascade and close to double the
- 16:05alpha by concentrating it through the type 45
- 16:07process. What's the difference between a T45
- 16:11and something like a cryo or a CGX or something
- 16:13that's out there, a Lupo Max? Those products
- 16:17really are basically built as a T45. Yeah. Which
- 16:23is interesting because there's all these new
- 16:24brands that have come out around T45 or T45 type,
- 16:29but essentially T45 or concentrated pellets has
- 16:32been around since the 70s. Yeah, exactly. Just
- 16:37process improvement probably on some of those.
- 16:40Yeah, exactly. And yield improvement. The level
- 16:47of concentration, there's a range there too.
- 16:49It's not like a 45 % concentration. It could
- 16:54vary. More focus on controlling temperature.
- 17:01It's a catch -22. You need heat to pelletize
- 17:05for the hop powder to bind, but then you don't
- 17:09want too much heat where that starts degrading
- 17:12the quality of the hop. So some refinements there
- 17:16to deal with that situation. Yeah, interesting.
- 17:21Very interesting. So you came in, took the processing
- 17:25manufacturing job up here, were exposed to and
- 17:31focused on T90, T45, CO2 extraction. Right. Yeah,
- 17:37around that time frame is when downstream products
- 17:41started to show up. Initially, we're, I'd say,
- 17:46more focused on extract -based liquid downstream
- 17:50products. Like Tetra. Like Tetra and Roe and
- 17:54Ike, you know, further refinements of extract.
- 17:58And so, you know, those products then, they provided
- 18:01some benefits in brewing, such as light stability
- 18:04or foam enhancement, you know, more efficient
- 18:09bittering or conversion in the brew kettle and
- 18:13so forth. But a lot of liquid -based advanced
- 18:18products and not so much new pellet products.
- 18:22It was still, you know, this would have been
- 18:24like, what, in the early 90s or so. This is also
- 18:27still an alpha world. Still an alpha world at
- 18:29this point, yeah. Were most of those Ike and
- 18:34Tetra, were those developed outside of the hop
- 18:38industry or were those developed by Steiner,
- 18:41Haas? Or other industries? Where did those come
- 18:46from? Yeah, I would say it's a combination of
- 18:50that. Early on, I'd say there was some outside
- 18:54development, but also there was a lot of focus
- 18:58inside as well. The hop dealers were staffing
- 19:02up their R &D teams. to develop some of these
- 19:07new products but uh but there were some other
- 19:09outside companies more flavor oriented companies
- 19:12that were working on these sort of products as
- 19:15well so it was a combination what's the main
- 19:19use for tetra well tetra would be more for both
- 19:25light stability but foam enhancement yeah so
- 19:30product types are advancing Mostly focused on
- 19:34alpha. Mostly focused on alpha at the time. Right.
- 19:38I guess jumping forward to craft. So this is
- 19:43probably now 2009, 10, 11 range. So how did your
- 19:51roles in the company change during that time
- 19:54warp? Okay, yeah. So I did the manufacturing
- 19:58for maybe 15 years or so. It was at the point
- 20:05where Alex Barth was handling the purchasing
- 20:10for Haas amongst a number of other things. He
- 20:14took over. He took over from Henry von Eichel.
- 20:18Henry von Eichel, yeah. Yeah, and became CEO
- 20:20of the company. And for clarity of that, he became
- 20:24CEO of Haas, and then they had their Barth counterpart
- 20:29over in Europe. Right, exactly. which his brother
- 20:34was the CEO. Stefan Barth was the CEO of Barth
- 20:36in Europe. Alex was CEO of Haas in the US. But
- 20:41at that time, then they created this, the new
- 20:44position of VP of supply chain and purchasing.
- 20:48And that's when they offered that up to me to
- 20:52move out of manufacturing into the supply chain
- 20:55role. And then the, so a big, big part of my
- 20:59focus then became Grower purchasing. Shaking
- 21:05growers' hands. Shaking growers' hands again,
- 21:07but kind of at a more strategic level, higher
- 21:11level, and then working deeply with our positions,
- 21:15inventory positions and so forth. And so that
- 21:19happened just a little before Kraft. So that
- 21:21could have been 2008, 2009, somewhere in that
- 21:26timeframe. So as you moved into VP of supply
- 21:30chain, looking or spending more time looking
- 21:34at inventories and burn rates and things like
- 21:36that did you still have your finger on the pulse
- 21:39or have involvement in the manufacturing processing
- 21:42or did you completely move out of that i i would
- 21:46say i completely moved out of manufacturing yeah
- 21:49i i was heavily involved in directing the inventory,
- 21:57you know, after the crop comes in and selections
- 22:00are done and all that, there's a lot of moving
- 22:03parts to management of the inventory. So I was
- 22:08still heavily involved in kind of orchestrating
- 22:10that, but not the actual management of the plants.
- 22:13Did you orchestrate Roy Farms' bills being put
- 22:16outside the storage facility? Well, that was
- 22:20a little bit under my watch. Let's take the lid
- 22:25off that and look around. What are we talking
- 22:27about here? What was that? That was during the
- 22:31volatility of Earth. That was during the time
- 22:37where, you know, CTZ bales were moving all over
- 22:41the place and we didn't have as strict processing
- 22:44guidelines as we do now. things were catching
- 22:48on fire sometimes and i believe if i remember
- 22:52right correct if i'm wrong it's after we built
- 22:54this new cooling room and we're piling making
- 22:59big piles of hops which is common practice now
- 23:02but at the time with the um i guess you could
- 23:06say kind of you know evolving processing parameters
- 23:10and the ctz itself and and then learning how
- 23:16to handle these big piles of hops we had some
- 23:19variability in our bales being delivered to haas
- 23:22is that do you think that's accurate i'd say
- 23:24that's accurate and then i don't know continue
- 23:29i don't i can't remember how it got to where
- 23:31like basically our bales had to go sit outside
- 23:33the warehouse for some period of time to make
- 23:35sure they didn't catch on fire before they went
- 23:37into the warehouse did they Yeah, they did. But
- 23:44if I recall correctly, that might have been,
- 23:48we had a couple fires back to back, and I think
- 23:51that was like 99 in 2000. And so I guess it was
- 23:57when I was more in the manufacturing role. The
- 23:58fires were right there in 2000. Yeah, they were.
- 24:03That was a big problem, of course. Not just with
- 24:06us. No, no, no. Yeah. Not just with you guys.
- 24:09I'm just saying as an industry. And whenever
- 24:12you have a warehouse burned down, that's a bad
- 24:14thing for the owner of the warehouse and the
- 24:17hops, but also the industry in general. We don't
- 24:22want anybody to have fires in this industry.
- 24:24It's too small. And then from an insurability
- 24:27standpoint, that gets to be... very problematic
- 24:30as well. And that spreads across the industry.
- 24:32Like if there's a fire in the supply chain, those
- 24:35insurance premiums ripple through the entire
- 24:38industry. Yeah. Yeah. So, so when we have those
- 24:41fires, you know, yeah, they're, they're, you
- 24:43know, we're kind of scrambling to figure out
- 24:46what are the next moves to make here to, to make
- 24:48sure that doesn't happen. And, and back to the
- 24:51Roy Farms bails, we, you know, we, we were probably
- 24:54overreacting. It was just, Whatever, you know,
- 24:58let's just set those outside and mitigate any
- 25:02risk that we think we may have until we understand
- 25:05things a little more clearly and do a deeper
- 25:08dive into things. I mean, also, in all fairness,
- 25:12you know, we're learning how to deal with these
- 25:14big piles. And one thing that we learned, which
- 25:16has become, I guess, more of an industry standard
- 25:20now, is blowing air up through the piles. If
- 25:24you get an unstable kill dumped in those piles,
- 25:27you can alleviate the breakdown of those hops
- 25:32by moving air through the piles, which we took
- 25:35from the potato industry. Because I remember
- 25:37one of the first things that I was involved in
- 25:40when I came back to the ranch full -time was
- 25:41drying in the kiln and then handling the hops
- 25:44through baling. And we weren't doing a whole
- 25:48lot of pelletizing at the time. It was mostly
- 25:49baling. And I remember just... having to rip
- 25:53open multiple piles with a backhoe, physically
- 25:55rip them open with a backhoe to break them apart
- 25:59before they would catch on fire. So you mean
- 26:03the fires that are going on around the ranch
- 26:04with hops is not a new thing? No. No, but now
- 26:11we seem to have isolated it to the compost pile.
- 26:14It just happens in the compost pile. Spot fire
- 26:19this last weekend near our compost pile. Once
- 26:23again, which is for about the fourth time we've
- 26:25learned that you don't want to take old hop pellets
- 26:28or bales that you're disposing of and throw them
- 26:32next to the compost pile. Green hops and brown
- 26:36hops don't mix very well. Nope. Anyway. The other
- 26:41thing I was going to say that really changed
- 26:43the landscape of the industry, as we got into
- 26:47craft, And as it relates more to the role that
- 26:50I had was the, obviously craft just completely
- 26:53changed the hop landscape. But it was the proliferation
- 26:57of all these new varieties. And, you know, so,
- 26:59you know, half of my career was a few high alpha
- 27:04varieties and a handful of aromas. And that didn't
- 27:07change much. Which aromas? Willamette? Willamette.
- 27:10There would have been Cascade, a little bit of
- 27:13Cascade. as much as, you know, we see nowadays.
- 27:16Fuggle. Oh, yeah. Oh, cluster probably. Cluster,
- 27:20right, yeah. But there's, I'm sure, a few more
- 27:23I'm forgetting. But, yeah, the variety mix didn't
- 27:27really change much, and the way you handle them,
- 27:29pretty straightforward. But here comes all these
- 27:31new varieties now with craft, and a lot of them
- 27:36being proprietary varieties, which that greatly
- 27:39changed the way that we purchased hops, because
- 27:42when you... when you throw proprietary varieties
- 27:45into the mix, it's not really the commodity sort
- 27:49of space anymore. You can't just go out and buy
- 27:52spots. You can't buy them on the open market,
- 27:56kind of timing the market or whatever. And that
- 27:59was a game at the time. That was the game. That
- 28:00was the game, yeah. It was much more of a trading
- 28:02commodity game for a few decades. And then, as
- 28:09I said, the proprietary varieties became about...
- 28:1265 % of the acreage out there. So, so all of
- 28:17a sudden, you know, you have pushing three quarters
- 28:19of re -acreage is not gameable. You know, it's,
- 28:23it's varieties you have to contract in say the
- 28:27winter months before the growing season, you
- 28:30got to make those decisions well in advance of
- 28:32growing the crop or otherwise they're just not
- 28:35going to be there. And that was challenging.
- 28:38It still is today. It still is challenging. Apparently.
- 28:41Yeah, exactly. And because, you know, December,
- 28:44January, do you have a crystal clear ball picture
- 28:49on what your true demand is for that coming crop
- 28:51for those proprietary varieties? And, you know,
- 28:55in this sort of market, you just don't. You know,
- 28:57the brewers struggle with, you know, we're not
- 28:59sure how much of that we're really going to need
- 29:00in the end. And so you do what you can to. anchor
- 29:04down on on some numbers and that's what's going
- 29:07to be grown and then uh then i'd say as the crop
- 29:12comes in what changed you know back in the day
- 29:15we we did a little hop selection you know in
- 29:18in the alpha markets and uh although the guys
- 29:21that would come to do selection on alpha varieties
- 29:24you know we just knew that they they picked the
- 29:27highest alpha lots because they were buying pounds
- 29:29of hops of course they they want the most alpha
- 29:31in them but it wasn't focused on flavor as it
- 29:34is now. What did that look like? They're literally
- 29:37coming into a conference room and you're giving
- 29:39them a spreadsheet and they're saying, yeah,
- 29:42we'll take those ones. Yep, pretty much. When
- 29:45did it change from buying pounds to pounds of
- 29:48alpha? Or kilograms of alpha? Yeah, that's a
- 29:52good question. I don't know. That might have
- 29:56been 15, 20 years ago. You know, 15 years ago,
- 30:02I'm guessing, that we started buying alpha varieties
- 30:06on a dollar per pound of alpha basis and selling
- 30:09on a KGA basis. Yeah. Yeah. Makes a lot more
- 30:13sense. Exactly. Because I remember my earlier
- 30:18days in the industry, once again, being more
- 30:20of an observer, but observing all these contract
- 30:23negotiations and contracts, and there is this
- 30:26constant flip -flopping between. pounds of alpha
- 30:30and kilograms of alpha and like loss calculations
- 30:33and methods of analysis methods of analysis because
- 30:37sometimes and maybe this was more because we're
- 30:41going brewer direct on some of those contracts
- 30:44international contracts that we're converting
- 30:46back from a kilogram alpha sale yeah and then
- 30:51depending on who you're having the conversation
- 30:52with because we would have these brewer direct
- 30:56contracts and then we would toll process through
- 30:58haas and you know we would be it was hard to
- 31:02keep it straight sometimes we're talking pounds
- 31:04of alpha sometimes we're talking kilograms of
- 31:06alpha what was the contract in what was the tolling
- 31:08contract in yeah and and i even like said the
- 31:12the method of analysis you know spectra was always
- 31:15kind of the standby and then you you have hplc
- 31:18now and a few others but but Spectro to HPLC
- 31:22could swing the alpha by 10%. We learned that
- 31:26the hard way. So yeah, you got to pay attention
- 31:30to that method of analysis for sure. Because
- 31:32when you have slim margins already and it's like,
- 31:35dang it. I didn't realize I sold that on HPLC.
- 31:38I thought it was Spectro. But yeah, back to hop
- 31:44selection. The other thing that was kind of different,
- 31:47like you said, Drew, The brewers that would come
- 31:51to do selection, they'd see all these lots on
- 31:54the table, and the lot numbers were more of an
- 31:59internal lot number. The brewer didn't know the
- 32:02grower lot number. Oh, really? They didn't even
- 32:04really know the grower, and frankly, I don't
- 32:06think they really cared. They were just buying
- 32:08hops from a dealer. And show me your hops you
- 32:11have on the table. Well, we might have had those
- 32:13hops coming from... 10 different growers. But
- 32:16that was another change that Kraft brought was
- 32:20much more transparency in that whole process
- 32:23where Kraft wanted to know, well, whose hops
- 32:25are those and what farm did they come from? And
- 32:27I want to go out and meet that grower and I want
- 32:29to go look at his farm. And so now the lots that,
- 32:34you know, the way we lot the samples for selection,
- 32:37I mean, it has all the grower numbers on and
- 32:39the brewers all know who the growers are. And
- 32:41I want to see some more from Roy Farms on the
- 32:43table. Naturally. Yeah. Of course. So yeah, it
- 32:49really became much more transparent. But I have
- 32:53to admit, from an inventory management standpoint,
- 32:55more challenging by far. And really, a hop selection
- 33:00for a contract, it has to be a discrete production
- 33:05run as well. So alpha, you can just run these
- 33:09large... alpha runs and it's just extract coming
- 33:12out the back end. And, uh, but, but when you
- 33:16have aroma varieties being selected individually
- 33:18by, by each brewer and you know, that has to
- 33:21be a separate discrete production run. And so
- 33:24it creates more challenges than in your processing
- 33:26plants and have met less efficiencies then because
- 33:30of that changing over and so forth. But that's
- 33:33just the nature of it. So how'd that work? From
- 33:38a merchant's perspective or from your perspective
- 33:40when ABI, as an example, was buying direct from
- 33:45growers. Because they obviously had more insight
- 33:51into who they're buying from and probably had
- 33:54an opinion on that. And then that, maybe not
- 33:58directly led into, but I remember when we were
- 34:01dealing with other large breweries direct, Anheuser
- 34:06-Busch had a... you know a very i would say robust
- 34:09or intentional grower direct portion of their
- 34:13business and still do still have a grower direct
- 34:16portion but then there's other large breweries
- 34:19that that we're dealing with at the time and
- 34:22i think that was a little bit unique at the time
- 34:24from your perspective was that was the grower
- 34:30um why was the grower kind of pursued in more
- 34:37of a direct way outside of going through the
- 34:39merchants? Was it strictly cost or was there
- 34:43more than that? Yeah, I mean, it would just be
- 34:47my opinion on that. I never really heard any
- 34:51comments on that from brewers. But I would say
- 34:54certainly for a number of brewers, cost, you
- 35:01know, they would feel. A better price on the
- 35:07raw hop on the bales could be obtained by buying
- 35:12direct from the grower. And then you reach out
- 35:15to a hop dealer to do a tolling, a processing
- 35:19arrangement to get those hops converted. And
- 35:22yeah, I'd say from an economic standpoint that
- 35:26that was probably the lowest cost approach to
- 35:29take as opposed to just buying the... finished
- 35:34product from a dealer. But there's pros and cons
- 35:38of that whole thing. There is, yeah, there is.
- 35:40So, yeah, and I think one of the pros to buying
- 35:47from the dealer network is you have a broader
- 35:50selection then, you know, when you're buying
- 35:52directly from a grower, maybe they have a problem
- 35:55one year and I'm not so wild about those hops.
- 35:57Well, that's what I grew. And it was easier to
- 36:01do it from... my perspective it was easier to
- 36:04do it um to some degree back when it was just
- 36:08alpha because it's like you're producing a spec
- 36:10yeah exactly more than more than you know a spec
- 36:14plus nuance yeah and the the the nuance is you
- 36:19know that's a challenging thing to to address
- 36:23with the brewer there's there's so many different
- 36:25subjective views on on the aroma the flavor and
- 36:31which kind of gets back into what you're talking
- 36:32about was selection and how that had that was
- 36:35changing where you did a little bit of selection
- 36:37prior and now you're doing this new selection
- 36:41process which i can't even imagine i mean we
- 36:45see it in a microcosm on our farm but that with
- 36:50that many customers coming through it's got to
- 36:52be challenging yeah it is for sure and And sometimes
- 36:56what you throw on the table, they're maybe still
- 37:00looking for something a little different. Hey,
- 37:02can you throw, you got some Oregon lots I can
- 37:05look at. We hear the aromas are good this year
- 37:07out of Oregon or Idaho or whatever, or even some
- 37:10specific growers. And so it's quite the juggling
- 37:14that has to be done to deal with that. So then
- 37:17how involved in that were you? VP of supply chain
- 37:22management. Yeah. So I, I, uh, wasn't directly
- 37:26involved in the process with the, the brewer,
- 37:31my team was, but I, at a high level was accountable
- 37:35for that process. So, um, but, but, you know,
- 37:40we, we really valued the feedback that we were
- 37:42getting from the, the brewers, the, you know,
- 37:45even through our sales team that, uh, you know,
- 37:48we, we, would would follow up on requests from
- 37:53brewers say next year can you add a few more
- 37:55from this region or that region of that of a
- 37:59certain variety or we'd like to see a few from
- 38:02this grower and that grower so so that would
- 38:04even guide a little bit of my purchasing for
- 38:07the next year that you know i'm going to add
- 38:09a little more from that farm of centennials or
- 38:12whatever and a little more from oregon or idaho
- 38:14and and to try to meet that brewer's needs you
- 38:18know for the coming year so So it was fairly
- 38:21dynamic, but we valued that sort of input. But,
- 38:24yeah, I wasn't the one in the selection room
- 38:27always. I did value walking in at times for key
- 38:30brewers just to kind of watch the process, hear
- 38:32the comments, and, you know, just to kind of
- 38:37get some direct feedback myself from some of
- 38:39the bigger guys. Something. Well, you know, at
- 38:45the peak we were getting a couple hundred coming
- 38:47in, so there's just. I couldn't attend all of
- 38:50those, but it was kind of where I could. Something
- 38:54I've always wondered, because, you know, when
- 38:57I was with Yakima Chief Ranches, my focus was
- 39:00all on proprietary ops. And so we were focused
- 39:03just keenly on harvest date, how everything was
- 39:06picked, quality. We brought it all in and focused
- 39:09on making sure everything was consistent, high
- 39:13quality. And then coming to Roy's, very little
- 39:16of our... hops that are not grown that are not
- 39:22proprietary hops we grow for chief or haws very
- 39:25few of the other varieties actually go to a merchant
- 39:28but i've always wondered if there's growers that
- 39:33are selling direct public varieties specifically
- 39:38and they're delivering to merchants doesn't does
- 39:44that mean the merchants often are getting stuff
- 39:48that's already been looked through by brewers
- 39:50by the time they they get to the merchant and
- 39:54so there's less less selection i mean i have
- 39:58no idea i've just always wondered this how did
- 40:01or were you able to go and say we want to pick
- 40:04which cascade lots we're getting from you grower
- 40:07x or y or yeah that that's a gray area for sure
- 40:12um You know, some of the, even though they're
- 40:16publics, you know, some growers would have, you
- 40:20know, a specific field, you know, sold to a brewer
- 40:24or a merchant. But in other cases, you know,
- 40:31it just all comes in. And I have to say, I don't
- 40:34know exactly how some of the growers are determining
- 40:37up front. You know, I want these lots to, you
- 40:40know, we might have been storing the hops. for
- 40:44that grower, for his direct deal. But the grower
- 40:47would be the ones at time of delivery to tell
- 40:50us, you know, these lots are going to my brewer
- 40:53contract and these lots are going to go to your
- 40:56contract, the dealer contract. So the grower
- 40:59was really, for the most part, dictating that
- 41:03at time of delivery. Again, a few cases I know
- 41:07we would have specific fields purchased, but...
- 41:12That's happened here and there, but do you feel
- 41:16like that's still a way of purchasing? I mean,
- 41:21on the publics and, I guess, non -proprietary
- 41:26varieties in general. Because we've had that
- 41:29either by a brewer or by a merchant in the past,
- 41:31but it's been very hit or miss in terms of that's
- 41:35how they're contracting. I guess the question
- 41:39is, is that still... Is that still a way to contract
- 41:44these days? Oh, because you used to see fields
- 41:48that you would drive by fields. This was more
- 41:50common like 10 years ago. You would see fields
- 41:53that were like proud. This field is growing for,
- 41:56you know, Sierra Nevada or New Belgium. Sierra
- 42:00Nevada is a really good example. I mean, there's
- 42:03a couple cases where they're like, we want that
- 42:05field. We never had a sign out in front of it.
- 42:08But I think Rich Van Horn down the street had
- 42:10either a New Belgium or a Sierra sign. And then
- 42:13you'd see him in Oregon, too. I know Coleman's,
- 42:15I think, had him. But I don't know if I see that
- 42:18anymore. But then I don't ever remember doing
- 42:24a field -specific contract with a merchant. Unless
- 42:29it's proprietary. Unless it's proprietary. Yeah.
- 42:33We've done some of that with Publix, but it's
- 42:36not the norm for sure. Was that because there
- 42:39was something unique about it, or is that just
- 42:41more of a defensive move that you will make sure
- 42:43that you didn't get just the leftovers? I would
- 42:47say it was more unique about it. You know, when
- 42:52the contract was made, maybe multiple fields
- 42:56were available, and we kind of liked that one.
- 42:59We knew some history on that one field. But again,
- 43:05it wasn't the norm. It was a special mix of virus
- 43:07and non -virus cascade block. Yeah, it could
- 43:10have been. You know, that little virus adds a
- 43:15little spice. Yeah. So I was just thinking about
- 43:21more so macro numbers, higher level view of things.
- 43:27You know, I think it was around the last. Big
- 43:33alpha market. We came out of that with a pretty
- 43:37sharp drop into a bear market. That was around
- 43:412009 and 10. And in 2011 then in modern times,
- 43:48you know, that was kind of the low point of acreage.
- 43:50So we were in the northwest around 30 ,000 acres
- 43:54in 2011. And still probably a high percentage
- 44:00of that being alpha. And then this crop market
- 44:03comes along just at the perfect time. So 30 ,000
- 44:09acres from 2011 in 10 years' time to 21, we doubled.
- 44:17That's crazy. That's really, I'd say, the biggest.
- 44:22impact, you know, on this, this hop industry
- 44:25that Kraft had doubling the acreage in just a
- 44:2810 year period. Now, maybe at the end of that
- 44:3010 year period, we didn't quite need all of that,
- 44:32but, but that got us to, you know, nearly 116
- 44:35million pounds and about a little over 60, 61
- 44:38,000 acres, you know, somewhere in the process
- 44:43there or that timeframe, you know, the U S then
- 44:45became the largest producing country over or
- 44:48surpassed Germany for a few years there. And,
- 44:51uh, But that doubling of acreage really didn't
- 44:55bring on too many new growers. You know, there
- 44:58might have been a couple in the mix there. But
- 45:00the point is, you know, that the existing grower
- 45:03base, the 70 growers, made massive investments,
- 45:08you know, to double that acreage. We've never
- 45:11had 60 ,000 acres before. You know, all that
- 45:14infrastructure expansion was needed. So, you
- 45:17know, tremendous investment in the industry.
- 45:19Would we figure that... like the total investment
- 45:22in the industry was to get from 30 to 60. oh
- 45:27it had to have been north of a billion really
- 45:31if you think oh gosh yeah because it's not just
- 45:34the it's not just land trellis and picking machines
- 45:37it's extract plants pellet plants it's warehouse
- 45:44space all over the place i mean yeah i'd say
- 45:49it's north of a billion i did in like 20 i'd
- 45:56have to go back and look but something like 2016
- 45:57i was writing an article for about investment
- 46:00grower reinvestment you know for the program
- 46:02we were running and i legitimately randomly sampled
- 46:07like just grabbed our list of growers and did
- 46:11like a random sort seven growers and it was something
- 46:17like just those seven alone it was something
- 46:20like 120 million dollars or something it was
- 46:25huge well and then how do you calculate or include
- 46:32all these changeovers that we've had to try and
- 46:35meet the market on the rise and the drop i mean
- 46:37at one point i did the math across our farm and
- 46:41i don't know what the number was it was disgusting
- 46:45like 20 million dollars or something like that
- 46:48over the 10 year run and trying to chase market
- 46:52demand and just in like replanting and then replanting
- 46:57again yeah yeah because back in those earlier
- 47:00days pre -craft even back in my early days uh
- 47:06some of these fields were 20 year old fields
- 47:11you know they you just change them out and that
- 47:14doesn't happen nowadays No. Coleman's had that
- 47:17Willamette field down on the river bottom there.
- 47:20Yeah. That I think was like 55 years old. They
- 47:24took it out a couple of years ago. Could be,
- 47:25yeah. Yeah. Still produced well at the end. No,
- 47:28I mean, I think that's a, I don't know. I don't
- 47:31know if that's completely understood. I mean,
- 47:33some varieties probably need more of a refresh
- 47:36than others. But generally speaking, I think
- 47:39that these hop varieties can go a lot longer
- 47:41with the proper. farming practices than than
- 47:45they are but a lot of them will never get the
- 47:49chance to see that that yeah exactly change it
- 47:51out you got to change it out because the market's
- 47:53up down yeah sideways yeah yeah and one one little
- 47:58tangent was so during this big run -up we didn't
- 48:02know if the the u .s the northwest industry was
- 48:05going to be able to keep up with this rising
- 48:06demand and so you know that's time when you started
- 48:10seeing more more uh hop farms outside of the
- 48:13michigan probably being one of the biggest exactly
- 48:16michigan so um so again we really didn't know
- 48:20if we'd have to start supplementing from outside
- 48:23the northwest so we started looking at some of
- 48:25that uh and i would say mainly michigan yeah
- 48:28and good stuff being grown but it was just a
- 48:32little different and so so it wasn't easy to
- 48:36just kind of say pick up from Michigan or another
- 48:42state and add that into the mix. You had to get
- 48:46brewers to do trials with that. We viewed them
- 48:52as separate distinct varieties, not just Cascade,
- 48:57but it's Michigan Cascade versus Northwest Cascade.
- 49:01So in the end, as the Northwest growers were
- 49:04able to expand make that massive investment,
- 49:10um, we, we recognized that, well, we, we, it's
- 49:13just easier to stay within our lane here and,
- 49:17and wheelhouse in the Northwest and, and not
- 49:20be kind of adding new varieties, let's say into
- 49:23the mix by buying outside of the Northwest. So
- 49:25we, we really didn't pursue that. And I, I know
- 49:27now as the market's correcting, um, you know,
- 49:30as we're last year, we were down to like 42 ,000
- 49:34acres in the Northwest, you know, the number
- 49:35of the Non -Northwest growers are not there anymore,
- 49:40and we kind of figured that might be the way
- 49:42it would go. Which has happened before. I mean,
- 49:44you know, hops have been grown in a lot of different
- 49:47regions, and whenever there's a market contraction,
- 49:51it comes back to the Pacific Northwest. Right.
- 49:54That was a strange phenomenon, the big expansion
- 50:01that brought in, you know, like you said, just
- 50:03a handful of growers in the Northwest. Meaningful
- 50:06acreage. I mean, maybe 3 ,000, 4 ,000 acres of
- 50:09new growers. And then there were a handful of
- 50:13growers that were either getting out of hops
- 50:17or just had a tiny bit that decided to invest
- 50:20in it. But a lot of the kind of the generational
- 50:23more established farms sat back through the growth
- 50:29until kind of the 2018, 2019 started expanding.
- 50:35you know they'd seen just coming fresh out of
- 50:37the collapse out of the alpha deal they didn't
- 50:39want to watch craft collapse and so they wouldn't
- 50:42spend the money and put it in until they you
- 50:46know jesus grew again and grew again and then
- 50:48i've often wondered if people would have said
- 50:53yeah we are going to support that growth would
- 50:58we have overshot as much as we did because you
- 51:02would have been You would have got the growth
- 51:04earlier to keep up, so we wouldn't always be
- 51:06chasing, chasing, chasing. Because the market
- 51:10was just always under -contracted from a brewer
- 51:15standpoint, so we were always chasing it. And
- 51:17then finally, when the growth stopped, I mean,
- 51:20it was two years before everybody realized that
- 51:24we didn't need it because we were still backfilling
- 51:27everything. Babies and... It's kind of wild.
- 51:32Yeah, it is hard to put the brakes on timely.
- 51:36Although I do think the proprietaries helped
- 51:39that. If the 62 ,000, 61 ,000 acres was all public,
- 51:45it might have taken another couple years to slow
- 51:49that train down. It would have been uglier. It
- 51:52would have been uglier for sure, yeah. But the
- 51:55owners of the proprietaries, we had full control
- 51:58over. the supply. And once we started getting
- 52:02some clarity on, wow, we got way too much, you
- 52:04know, that that's the owner decides then the
- 52:07owner of the variety, we're not growing that
- 52:09next year. Uh, whereas a public, maybe the grower
- 52:13still wants to roll the dice and keep it in for
- 52:15another year or two. Oh, growers love rolling
- 52:19the dice. Oh yeah. Yeah. Cause they grow hops.
- 52:23Cause they grow hops. That's interesting too,
- 52:26to watch, you know, it's clear on, Les always
- 52:30says the cure for low prices is low prices. But
- 52:34when you have, you know... Old Les Roy. Yeah.
- 52:37You have proprietary owners, and there's, you
- 52:41know, 10, 12 of them. Some of them partnered
- 52:44with other companies, you know, HBC being one
- 52:47of them, where, you know, each company has to
- 52:51make their own decisions. It's not like the owner
- 52:54of a Zaka can go, like, Latitude 46 can't go
- 52:58to... and start comparing notes on things or
- 53:02anything like that. You can't have those discussions.
- 53:05But kind of interesting how everybody seemingly
- 53:08ran into the same conclusion at the same time
- 53:11and pulled the brakes back. But it was still
- 53:15too late. But it has corrected quickly. Yeah,
- 53:21that definitely shows in the USDA hop stocks
- 53:23report. It's trending nicely downward. inventory
- 53:28but um yeah so yeah what is a good inventory
- 53:32number from a prior vp of supply chain in today's
- 53:40percentage wise not percentage wise yeah um percent
- 53:45of the total crop well i don't know i mean like
- 53:49right now what are we i mean this was all public
- 53:51information at the hop convention we were Stock
- 53:55reports are currently at, what were they currently
- 53:59at? 110? It was a much more balanced number because
- 54:06it got all the way up to like 200%, didn't it?
- 54:08Wasn't there like 200 million? I think so, yeah.
- 54:12And so we burned off, if I remember right, we
- 54:14burned off about, we as an industry burned off
- 54:16about 20 million pounds of inventory last year,
- 54:19dropped that number down. And I can't remember
- 54:22what a healthy number. is 70 90 million well
- 54:26it's super hard to determine because you have
- 54:29like anything that's alpha going through extract
- 54:31plants those extract plants run or you know year
- 54:35round and so it might be 20 months before they
- 54:38make it to a brewery right it could be yeah for
- 54:41sure and so those stocks are sitting there but
- 54:43that's in a healthy cycle versus because they
- 54:46don't break it out by alpha and aroma but Back
- 54:51to the question, what's a good amount of inventory
- 54:54for the supply chain? Yeah, that is a hard one
- 54:57to answer. And you have inventory policies at
- 55:02brewers vary greatly, and a lot of them are much
- 55:06more just in time, and others still want to have
- 55:09X amount, even like a year or two on hand. Some
- 55:16brewers back in the day, I won't name names,
- 55:18they carried a three -year, three years of inventory.
- 55:21Yeah, right. There were several in that two -
- 55:23to three -year range. Yeah. And that was just
- 55:25a matter of policy, which I guess I get that,
- 55:30where they want to make sure that they don't
- 55:33have any issues, inventory issues, but who carries
- 55:37the cost of that inventory? Right. And they've
- 55:40shifted that greatly to... the dealer slash grower
- 55:45bucket. So, yeah, so this coming year, you know,
- 55:51I don't know what acreage will be. I think it
- 55:53might go up a little bit, not much. I've heard
- 55:57some preliminary numbers. There's speculation
- 56:00that it could go up 1 ,500 acres this next year.
- 56:05That comes out in June. It does, yeah. So, so
- 56:10with 25 crop, it was roughly say 42 ,000 acres
- 56:14and I think 83 million pounds. And yeah, if you
- 56:19add another 1500, 2000 acres, so if we get up
- 56:22to 43, 44 ,000 acres could be 86, 87 million
- 56:28pounds, maybe in that range. And then if we're
- 56:30getting the stock stocks down to about 90 ish.
- 56:34Yeah. Right. Is that, is that a hell? Is that
- 56:37balanced? Is that. Too little? Is that too much?
- 56:42It is so hard to tell. I know. It is. It is.
- 56:45The thing, like, if we look at... Azaka is the
- 56:48one that we're paying really close attention
- 56:50to right now because there's a big uptick in
- 56:53demand that we're seeing. Shameless Azaka plug.
- 56:56Well, I mean, if you do use Azaka, make sure
- 57:00you're contracted because we can't afford to
- 57:03speculate to go long again. But... A lot of people
- 57:08aren't contracting. They're just buying spot.
- 57:09And it's just like what we think is that the
- 57:12inventory is out there at the dealer and brewer
- 57:15levels just running out because nobody really
- 57:18knows how big that market is. Nobody really knows
- 57:20how big the hop market is or how many pounds
- 57:26of hops make it in beer every year. We probably
- 57:29could get within 15 % on... You know, depending
- 57:34on how big the crop is, that's an important number
- 57:37or material number. So we could have overshot
- 57:41our reductions and the right amount might be
- 57:4447 ,000 acres. I don't know. I think we probably
- 57:49have overshot the reduction, but that was needed.
- 57:51You know, we needed to dip below the actual demand
- 57:55consumption for a couple, two, three years maybe.
- 57:59Here's an interesting question. market corrections
- 58:04and you've been around a few in your career do
- 58:07you think this one is worse same better in terms
- 58:14of impacts to the industry yeah that's an interesting
- 58:19one i i would say it it's worse in my opinion
- 58:28it's because of the the fact that 80 60 or 70
- 58:35to 80 percent of its aroma varieties and and
- 58:38the uh number of varieties that are being grown
- 58:42out there now it's it's just a more difficult
- 58:44correction to make than back in more of a commodity
- 58:47space it's um it's almost like each variety has
- 58:52its own market which it does yeah i mean that
- 58:55maybe that's an obvious statement but To your
- 58:57point, we used to be able to follow these macro
- 59:00trends and kind of make more macro type decisions.
- 59:03And now everything's got layers and it's like
- 59:06you can't look at it on a macro scale as easily.
- 59:11Yeah. I mean, there's a number of varieties,
- 59:14aroma varieties out there that probably have
- 59:18maintained a reasonably balanced position through
- 59:23this correction. And then, of course, a number
- 59:27of the bigger, newer ones, a lot of them being
- 59:30proprietary, are the ones that got heavily oversupplied
- 59:34and needed the deeper corrections. But others,
- 59:38not so much. So it's a little more complicated
- 59:42now, this sort of a correction, than prior to
- 59:46all these aroma varieties, prior to craft. Do
- 59:49you remember, I mean, because obviously there's
- 59:50some growers that, a lot of growers are struggling
- 59:53through, this market correction along with like
- 59:57economic pressures and all the things we have
- 59:59to deal with. Do you remember the grower level
- 1:00:05impacts being similar to this, like throughout
- 1:00:08your career? I don't know. This one feels a little
- 1:00:12bit worse in that, in that regard, but I could
- 1:00:16be, I could be remembering it differently. Yeah.
- 1:00:21I, I don't know. It might be a little, A little
- 1:00:24more impactful now because of, I don't know,
- 1:00:29I just feel growers nowadays with this massive
- 1:00:32investment that was made, you know, are much
- 1:00:35more leveraged than maybe they were in prior
- 1:00:40market corrections. Yeah, you got to think between
- 1:00:44the debt load that's being carried and the increased
- 1:00:49demand on. quality and quality systems so all
- 1:00:53the overhead that sits at the grower level is
- 1:00:57and at the merchant level it has to yeah just
- 1:01:00the burden has got to be quite a bit higher how
- 1:01:03much along that line i've been speculating on
- 1:01:07this um but i'd be curious from your standpoint
- 1:01:10how much waste do you think there is in the system
- 1:01:15in terms of I guess through all of the inefficiencies
- 1:01:21that exist in some of this, I don't think you
- 1:01:23can get around. But like, for example, if we
- 1:01:28didn't have to change over acres and if the farm
- 1:01:32was full and we were delivering hops and getting
- 1:01:34paid within six months of harvest, no matter
- 1:01:37what, we would probably be able to, just at the
- 1:01:41farm level, we'd probably be able to get, and
- 1:01:44we're a large farm, get away with. $9 ,500 an
- 1:01:47acre, something like that. But because of changeovers
- 1:01:51every year and inventory not moving, we are direct,
- 1:01:57so we have to eat some of that. All of those,
- 1:01:59maybe we need $12 ,000 an acre. And then if you
- 1:02:03look into the merchant level where they're sitting
- 1:02:08on a bunch of inventory, which there's buildings
- 1:02:10that are attached to that and interest carrying
- 1:02:13costs and all that, that's another cost. if it
- 1:02:16left the warehouse within 12 months maybe instead
- 1:02:20of being you know so maybe really a grower if
- 1:02:25everything was perfect might need five dollars
- 1:02:26bound i don't know and the merchant might need
- 1:02:29two dollars a pound and then everything would
- 1:02:32be but instead because of the stacked challenges
- 1:02:36of the industry it might require 8 .50 a pound
- 1:02:40or something but i mean percentage wise i think
- 1:02:44it's somewhere around 20 % or something, but
- 1:02:46I'd be curious your opinion, how much. Yeah,
- 1:02:50it's hard to put a number on that. Um, I do think
- 1:02:53there, there is a lot of waste in the system,
- 1:02:56no doubt. And I, I always, you know, you, you
- 1:03:01follow the inventory and, um, you know, when
- 1:03:04I see large inventories just sitting in the warehouse
- 1:03:09that weren't needed and the The cost of the inventory
- 1:03:14is just huge in the system. And, you know, maybe
- 1:03:20it comes down to better demand forecasting, which
- 1:03:24is a huge challenge. But I always thought, like
- 1:03:28with aroma varieties, if we could manage instead
- 1:03:32of all these discrete contracts, and I know it's
- 1:03:38idealistic, but if you could just... pool, say,
- 1:03:42all of your Citra into one bucket and everybody
- 1:03:45took out of that same bucket, I probably would
- 1:03:48have bought 25 % less Citra than we had to buy
- 1:03:53for covering all these individual contracts.
- 1:03:55Because you just know that all that inventory
- 1:03:57is not going to be needed. But I never could
- 1:04:01figure out a way to, how do we run this situation
- 1:04:06a little shorter from an inventory standpoint?
- 1:04:10And because sometimes inventories move around
- 1:04:13in the warehouse from customer to customer, but
- 1:04:16that requires a lot of discussion. And usually
- 1:04:19that decision is probably made on the later side
- 1:04:23of things than, you know, early on. And by that
- 1:04:28point, inventories have already built up to some
- 1:04:30degree. And so, yeah, it's interesting to think
- 1:04:33about, like, yeah, what if you could have this
- 1:04:34big pool of hops people could. could pull out
- 1:04:40of, right, instead of carrying everything discreetly
- 1:04:42in different inventories. Right, because, you
- 1:04:46know, harvest time, of course, there's the huge
- 1:04:49focus on hop selection. But, you know, we sell
- 1:04:53hops year -round, and, you know, a lot of hops
- 1:04:56get sold just off the shelf, you know, stock
- 1:05:00product, and it's true to type. It meets spec.
- 1:05:03It checks all the boxes. It's great stuff. I
- 1:05:09like that kind of selling is easier, but if there'd
- 1:05:13be a way to put a little more flexibility into
- 1:05:17the system in terms of inventory management,
- 1:05:21we could trim out a lot of waste in terms of
- 1:05:24growing more hops than we probably really need.
- 1:05:29Yeah. Well, then the other challenge that's inherent
- 1:05:31in it, and I don't think there's any way around
- 1:05:34this, is the nature of craft brewing. is that
- 1:05:39a brewer could have a new brand that just explodes
- 1:05:43and it's taking market share from its other brands
- 1:05:49and it uses a completely different hop profile.
- 1:05:53And so then they don't know what's going to happen
- 1:05:56next year. And that stuff can change quick, quick.
- 1:06:02But I mean, that gets into demand forecasting.
- 1:06:05Yeah, I'm just like, there's like a lot of it
- 1:06:07you can't get away from. And then a lot of it
- 1:06:10we should, to your point, like if we could find
- 1:06:12ways to manage around getting it to the brewer.
- 1:06:15And this probably rolls up into that bigger efficiency
- 1:06:20or inefficiency number that you're referencing.
- 1:06:24How much better do you think we could be as an
- 1:06:26industry if you had like monthly calls with brewers
- 1:06:30instead of? instead of the conversations mimicking
- 1:06:35the contract duration you know because like we
- 1:06:39have a three -year contract you might meet annually
- 1:06:42at least this is how it used to be we're transitioning
- 1:06:45into more kind of like monthly or you know quarterly
- 1:06:47or you know type of of meetings and it seems
- 1:06:50to be helping but uh and maybe that's impossible
- 1:06:53to do like completely across the entire supply
- 1:06:56chain but i but it is helping whereas in there
- 1:06:59was a period of time there where you had a three
- 1:07:01-year contract and you would maybe meet once
- 1:07:03a year. And then this big problem would surface
- 1:07:11at the end of the three -year contract or two
- 1:07:14years in. Yeah, once a year is not nearly enough.
- 1:07:18And yeah, I would say the demand forecast is
- 1:07:23the biggest challenge we have in this little
- 1:07:25industry. And we need that input from the brewers.
- 1:07:30And I know it's a challenge for brewers. It's
- 1:07:33hard, yeah. But to your point, just increasing
- 1:07:37the communication can only help. And whenever
- 1:07:41something new is occurring with the brewer that's
- 1:07:45relevant to us, we don't want to hear about that
- 1:07:48six months later because maybe some things are
- 1:07:50already put into motion that we can't undo. And
- 1:07:53yeah, I always, when it was time to really start
- 1:07:56coming into the market to buy more hops, my first
- 1:08:00call or through the sales team was to reach out
- 1:08:05to brewers, at least the key ones that you could
- 1:08:08see were sitting on inventories. And you wanted
- 1:08:11to try to work some deals behind the scenes,
- 1:08:14kind of. reposition a bit with your sales contracts
- 1:08:19and get that kind of straightened out a little
- 1:08:22bit if you could. And then if you still needed
- 1:08:24to go pick up more hops, then you reach out to
- 1:08:26the growers. But again, the point is, you know,
- 1:08:30having good communication with the brewer, especially
- 1:08:34ones that have larger positions or you're kind
- 1:08:37of here and might have some changes coming up
- 1:08:39or problems or whatever. Those are the ones you
- 1:08:43want to be talking to. you may be able to fix
- 1:08:47some things in those conversations instead of
- 1:08:50just going out and growing more hops. Or maybe
- 1:08:53the hops are already under contract with the
- 1:08:55grower, and the last thing you want to do is
- 1:08:57have that contract grown again next year when
- 1:08:59those hops we already know today are not going
- 1:09:02to be needed. So don't put more of those out
- 1:09:04into the market. Because once they're grown,
- 1:09:06they're going to find a home somewhere. Or they're
- 1:09:09going to get pushed into the supply chain and
- 1:09:11then sit in. other warehouses and the industry
- 1:09:15at large is going to lose visibility and it makes
- 1:09:20it even harder to manage. Oh yeah. Oh yeah. I
- 1:09:23don't know how many times, uh, you know, we'd,
- 1:09:26we'd learn about pretty large inventories out
- 1:09:29there, like a couple, two, three years later,
- 1:09:31like where the heck did that come from? And pretty
- 1:09:34significant amounts too. And we, some of those
- 1:09:38things were totally off our radar for a few years
- 1:09:41and then they just, show up, well, that has an
- 1:09:44impact then on the market. Now that you know
- 1:09:47about that, that's going to find a home somehow,
- 1:09:50but it's going to impact the market. It seems
- 1:09:54like if you could know right as soon as somebody
- 1:10:00knows, the efficiency that could be gained for
- 1:10:04everybody would be huge. As an example, if somebody
- 1:10:08came to, let's just say direct to Roy Farms right
- 1:10:11now. They have a 100 ,000 -pound Centennial contract.
- 1:10:16We just trained it, right? Traditional mindset
- 1:10:21would be, well, you send the contract, it's May,
- 1:10:25we're trained, we've sunk 3 ,000 bucks an acre
- 1:10:29into the crop by now, so we'll readjust the contract
- 1:10:33next year. Well, realistically, what we should
- 1:10:36be doing is saying, we're not going to put any
- 1:10:39more money into that. and fine, let's adjust
- 1:10:44it down, but let's just recoup what we've had,
- 1:10:47work through the supply chain. Maybe instead
- 1:10:50of paying $8 a pound, you're going to pay $9
- 1:10:53a pound for this year, but you're not going to
- 1:10:55get too many hops, and we're going to come away
- 1:10:58at least recovering most of what we put in. That's
- 1:11:01better for everybody in the entire supply chain
- 1:11:05if people would just have the discussion as soon
- 1:11:07as they know instead of being concerned about
- 1:11:09what is this. But, I mean, there are ways around
- 1:11:15it, I think. A lot of it, not all of it. Well,
- 1:11:19I mean, we've kind of been answering one of my
- 1:11:23questions, which, what do you think needs to
- 1:11:25change in the supply chain? Yeah, I do feel more
- 1:11:31flexibility. Don't know how that is achieved,
- 1:11:35but we need greater flexibility in the supply
- 1:11:38chain. And better communication throughout the
- 1:11:44supply chain from ultimately the brewer to the
- 1:11:47grower to try to anticipate changes in the demand
- 1:11:53forecast as best we can. I agree. Where do you
- 1:11:58think the, and either one of you could answer
- 1:12:02this or both, maybe different answers. Where
- 1:12:05do you think the grower direct or the emergence
- 1:12:09of, grower direct came from and was it created
- 1:12:14by the brewers was it created by growers was
- 1:12:16it created by merchants and is it a good thing
- 1:12:20could it be improved a problem i probably got
- 1:12:24more answers for the latter part of that question
- 1:12:27than how it started i don't remember how it started
- 1:12:31we need we need less roy yeah that is more of
- 1:12:34a less roy question how it started i that it
- 1:12:37goes back before my time but uh you know i i
- 1:12:42just know ab has continues to have a long -standing
- 1:12:47grower direct you know so were were they the
- 1:12:50first ones to start doing that uh if they weren't
- 1:12:53the first they were probably the first significantly
- 1:12:56sized brewery yeah because they are the most
- 1:13:01significantly sized brewery Yes. And then, you
- 1:13:07know, Coors was in the mix there as well for
- 1:13:09quite a while. And, yeah, so, you know, I agree.
- 1:13:14Of a big player, probably AB was the first one
- 1:13:18to really get in that. AB now, ABI. ABI, yeah.
- 1:13:23But I think back then, too, they were. doing
- 1:13:28a combination of grower direct and from the dealers.
- 1:13:32And I can't answer really why they went that
- 1:13:38route or what they were seeing. The benefits
- 1:13:40of that was to, you know, keep smegs in the merchant
- 1:13:44basket, but also to be buying direct from the
- 1:13:47grower. But, you know, I would say there really
- 1:13:52wasn't a lot of... new grower direct until craft.
- 1:13:59Yeah. The, the, the, the, the longer term players,
- 1:14:02the, in the market, they, they didn't go down
- 1:14:05the grower direct path, but craft, I think it's
- 1:14:09craft brewer started to get larger. And again,
- 1:14:11like I said earlier, the transparency of the
- 1:14:13industry was shifting. Yeah. That's, that's when
- 1:14:17I think a number of craft brewers wanted to start.
- 1:14:21developing relationships directly with you know
- 1:14:23growers that they desired they preferred yeah
- 1:14:27i don't remember how it started for us i mean
- 1:14:30um beyond i know that my grandfather was approached
- 1:14:34by anheuser -busch and we were one of the earlier
- 1:14:36direct growers for anheuser -busch but beyond
- 1:14:42that well which which led into you know coors
- 1:14:46and miller coors and you know on and on sab miller
- 1:14:50and heineken some of those other earlier direct
- 1:14:55contracts i believe that we're just searched
- 1:15:01out because of our size at the time partially
- 1:15:04i do know that i remember some of the decisions
- 1:15:11my father made to go direct or quasi direct was
- 1:15:15because of uh simplicity and efficiency in the
- 1:15:19supply chain i mean as an example and it was
- 1:15:21hyper competitive during periods of that time
- 1:15:24you know in some cases we had these brokers that
- 1:15:28would come out and buy hops and that made a lot
- 1:15:31of sense when the industry had a higher number
- 1:15:34of players smaller acreages volumes need to kind
- 1:15:39of be consolidated up and served up to a larger
- 1:15:43merchant in some cases And, and we had grown
- 1:15:47to a size where we just strictly did not need
- 1:15:51a broker in between us and a brewer or between
- 1:15:54us and a merchant in some cases. And that was
- 1:15:58back in the alpha days. And so I don't know,
- 1:16:02it's your question. Is it better? Is it worse?
- 1:16:05I don't know. There's I flip flop at times. I'm
- 1:16:07like, can someone just take all of our volume
- 1:16:10and deal with it? But there's also been probably
- 1:16:17an equal number of times where I'm like, man,
- 1:16:19I'm glad we have our direct program because we
- 1:16:21have some sort of agency over our farm and the
- 1:16:26ability to move that product into the market.
- 1:16:29I very much go back and forth on that. I do really
- 1:16:33enjoy the relationships that we have through
- 1:16:35our grower direct program. That's honestly one
- 1:16:39of the highlights with the ebbs and flows of
- 1:16:40the market. the consistency of the relationship
- 1:16:44even though some of those conversations are harder
- 1:16:46than others or easier than others but yeah i
- 1:16:50think that well we've said this quite a bit since
- 1:16:54i've been at roy's that really what we want is
- 1:16:57a seat at the table to have discussions and to
- 1:17:00interact with the brewers and make sure they're
- 1:17:02getting what they want we and we want to have
- 1:17:05a touch point in there yeah i think it's important
- 1:17:08on for the brewer it's important for us to in
- 1:17:12your words have a seat at the table one of the
- 1:17:15problems though is is that you know even with
- 1:17:18the best intentions things can gravitate towards
- 1:17:21control and yeah and marginalizing and so and
- 1:17:27i'm not saying that in a negative way it's just
- 1:17:29i think that's a natural course of action if
- 1:17:31you don't have the right intentions and the right
- 1:17:34structure and So I think that's always been a
- 1:17:37challenge to try and get something like that
- 1:17:38in place. And it's even more complicated with
- 1:17:40a farm our size because you can't just go in
- 1:17:43and roll into a framework that's probably already
- 1:17:48established. Yeah, that is a tough question to
- 1:17:52answer. But I do think it depends on the perspective.
- 1:17:59Is it better for the brewer? Is it better for
- 1:18:01the grower? I think from the grower side, Mike,
- 1:18:04I agree with you that the larger farms, I would
- 1:18:10say there's a benefit to having a slice of the
- 1:18:14portfolio being direct with some big guys out
- 1:18:17there. There's a lot of small farms that don't
- 1:18:22want to even get into that space. They want just
- 1:18:25a few dealer customers for their hops and keep
- 1:18:30it simple. not have to deal with a hop selection
- 1:18:34from a brewer or whether or not they don't, they
- 1:18:37have a problem with your hops or whatever. Now,
- 1:18:39what do you do with that Mr. Grower, you know,
- 1:18:40with a dealer, you know, those things kind of
- 1:18:42just get taken care of. But so, so yeah, the
- 1:18:46bigger guys, I think it makes sense to do some
- 1:18:48grow direct. And from a dealer standpoint, I
- 1:18:53wouldn't say grower direct was problematic. You
- 1:18:57know, it's Tolling margins aren't as attractive
- 1:19:02as sales margins. Yeah, sales margins. So just
- 1:19:06taking in hops for a brewer that bought them
- 1:19:09direct from a grower and then doing the pelleting
- 1:19:12or extraction, yeah, you know, it keeps volume
- 1:19:15in your plant. So that's a positive. But, you
- 1:19:19know, the margins aren't going to be as nice
- 1:19:21as a sales margin would be. Yeah. It's very interesting.
- 1:19:27What time is it? 11 oh nice oh geez i gotta go
- 1:19:32thanks for coming on pete glad to be here parting
- 1:19:36words of wisdom from pete mahoney um it's it's
- 1:19:44been a fun industry to work in i've enjoyed you
- 1:19:48know nearly a 40 -year career working in this
- 1:19:51industry and i've greatly The most rewarding
- 1:19:55thing I'd say that I enjoyed throughout my career
- 1:19:58was just the relationships I've had with the
- 1:20:01growers. It's like a fraternity in a way. It's
- 1:20:04just a unique group of folks that really have
- 1:20:08been kind of the same over all that time in terms
- 1:20:12of the family farms. I've seen the generations
- 1:20:16change. I used to work with... More your dad
- 1:20:19and Michael and now you. And that was the case
- 1:20:23with many other farms. And I'd like to see that.
- 1:20:25I like seeing the younger generation coming up.
- 1:20:28And I was glad Kraft came along when it did,
- 1:20:30the bull market, because it brought some more
- 1:20:34interest to the industry that kind of kept the
- 1:20:36next generation interested in staying on the
- 1:20:39family farm and brought some kids back. So, yeah,
- 1:20:42I really enjoyed the relationships the most.
- 1:20:46And, you know, I have a lot of, you know, friends
- 1:20:50as a result of that that will continue to be
- 1:20:53my friends. So, anyway, it's been a fun ride.
- 1:20:57I've enjoyed it. I've enjoyed our interactions
- 1:21:00a lot. And I've always felt that you were a really
- 1:21:04great proponent and conduit within the supply
- 1:21:08chain. A real good perspective and just like
- 1:21:15kind of this point of balance between brewer,
- 1:21:18merchant, and grower with your role. Yeah, it
- 1:21:21felt really good. And I don't know the internal
- 1:21:24workings of, you know, if that was easy or hard
- 1:21:26or, you know, but it was much appreciated on
- 1:21:30the grower side. And I speculate that it was
- 1:21:32appreciated at all levels of the supply chain.
- 1:21:35And I think that your upcoming award, your...
- 1:21:41Order of the Hop Award over in Germany is well
- 1:21:45-deserved. Well, thank you. Absolutely. Quite
- 1:21:49honored to receive that. Yeah, so as a grower
- 1:21:53and a friend, thank you. You are welcome, Mike.
- 1:21:59It's been a pleasure. Yeah, well, thanks for
- 1:22:01coming on, and I think we'll have you on again.
- 1:22:03I think there's topics that we didn't cover.
- 1:22:05Sounds good. It's been fun. Thanks, guys.