Latest / In the Loop AI / This Week in AI: NVIDIA Earnings, Anthropic vs Pentagon, Perplexity Computer
Transcript
- 0:00Josh: NVIDIA earnings are in, the stock is moving, and pretty much everyone has an
- 0:03Josh: opinion on what this means.
- 0:05Josh: But most of the commentary, I think, is missing the real story,
- 0:08Josh: which isn't actually about this quarter at all.
- 0:10Josh: It's about whether AI is in a super cycle that has likes for years or whether
- 0:14Josh: we're about one overbuilds away from a dot com style wipeout.
- 0:17Josh: Today, we're getting into the thesis that has Wall Street buzzing,
- 0:21Josh: which is, I mean, kind of answering the question, are we in a bubble or not?
- 0:24Josh: And if we're not, how much longer do we have? We have a lot of new data points
- 0:27Josh: now with this NVIDIA earnings report that I think are worth getting excited about.
- 0:31Josh: This is also the AI Weekly Roundup where we talk about the top news of the week.
- 0:34Josh: So in addition to this, we have Perplexity. They launched a new personal computer from the ground up.
- 0:39Josh: Cloud Cowork has become OpenClaw now. There's many OpenClaw alternatives that
- 0:44Josh: come from everywhere. And Anthropic
- 0:45Josh: wiped out, what was it, 15% of IBM's market cap in one single post.
- 0:50Josh: So lots of things are happening quickly, but maybe we'll start with the NVIDIA earnings report.
- 0:54Ejaaz: Yeah, so NVIDIA earnings pretty much broke the entire stock market. And I'll tell you why.
- 1:00Ejaaz: For every single target, they beat it.
- 1:04Ejaaz: They beat earnings per share. They brought in $68.1 billion in Q4,
- 1:10Ejaaz: which is up about 70% from the year before and 20% from the previous quarter.
- 1:15Ejaaz: And they're also estimating $78 billion for Q1 of this year,
- 1:20Ejaaz: whereas the Wall Street estimates were about $72 billion.
- 1:23Ejaaz: So things are looking pretty positive, right? And actually, in post-closed market,
- 1:28Ejaaz: the stock pumped 4%. But this morning, it's down 4%. It completely retraced the move entirely.
- 1:36Ejaaz: So it added $150 billion to their market cap, and then it completely removed it.
- 1:40Ejaaz: And I think that there's just a clear misunderstanding of what NVIDIA is doing
- 1:45Ejaaz: here and why it's actually bullish.
- 1:47Ejaaz: I think a lot of people look at this and say, this seems like an AI CapEx bubble.
- 1:51Ejaaz: I don't know how much more sustainable it is.
- 1:53Ejaaz: And to be honest, I'm going to spend a bit of time arguing as to why it actually
- 1:56Ejaaz: is pretty amazing, because we're talking about a 75% year upon year growth.
- 2:01Ejaaz: And I think that what the market misunderstands is there is a lot of investment in GPUs.
- 2:07Ejaaz: Buying GPUs is very expensive. And at some point, the music has to stop, right?
- 2:11Ejaaz: Except that the companies buying the GPUs are, number one, fully utilizing all
- 2:17Ejaaz: their GPUs, so they're maxed out and they need to actually buy more.
- 2:20Ejaaz: But number two, there's a story about a little thing known as electricity or
- 2:24Ejaaz: energy, which needs to power these GPUs.
- 2:27Ejaaz: And we just don't have enough of it.
- 2:30Josh: Yeah, any way you look at this report, the numbers are pretty outrageous.
- 2:33Josh: I mean, revenue of this quarter coming in at $80 billion estimate versus 72.
- 2:38Josh: I mean, the amount of money they're going to be earning and the profit margin
- 2:43Josh: that they have on those earnings is just absolutely gigantic.
- 2:47Josh: And I think one of the best takes that answered the question,
- 2:51Josh: are we in a bubble or not? Where are we in the bubble?
- 2:53Josh: What does this bubble look like? Is from this guy named Gavin Baker.
- 2:57Josh: I think everyone here, we love Gavin Baker. He's great.
- 3:01Josh: He's an analyst at Atreides Capital, I think.
- 3:03Josh: And right before the earnings report, he published this
- 3:06Josh: post not knowing what the results were going to be not knowing
- 3:09Josh: kind of how impressive it was going to be and he
- 3:11Josh: kind of broke it down into a few sections with
- 3:15Josh: the core question is like nvidia's earnings durability is it actually going
- 3:20Josh: to be able to hold through not only this report but through future reports and
- 3:24Josh: he he outlines in this paper that every major tech revolution like railroads
- 3:29Josh: radio the internet it follows the same playbook generally where the market correctly
- 3:33Josh: identifies the potential of
- 3:35Ejaaz: That creates a bubble.
- 3:36Josh: And then the excitement creates that bubble and the demand temporary collapses.
- 3:40Josh: And then there's a crash.
- 3:41Josh: And he has this line that I love that says, believing this time is different
- 3:44Josh: is dangerous, but I think this time might be different.
- 3:48Josh: Maybe you have some insight as to why he really believes this time is different,
- 3:51Josh: because it seems like this is backed up by like real information that separates
- 3:55Josh: this bubble from those previous bubbles, like railroads, like the radio,
- 3:58Josh: like the internet, even this time actually is different for a few key reasons.
- 4:03Ejaaz: Yeah, so he makes the very valid point that in every previous bubble,
- 4:07Ejaaz: we have overstepped what is actually real.
- 4:11Ejaaz: So in this case, the people that are calling for the AI CapEx bubble,
- 4:14Ejaaz: their argument would be that all the GPUs that are being bought aren't actually
- 4:18Ejaaz: being utilized and they're just kind of sitting and collecting dust.
- 4:21Ejaaz: The truth is all these GPUs, all these new ones and five to 10 year old GPUs are maxed out.
- 4:29Ejaaz: In fact, if you wanted to go and rent a five-year-old GPU from NVIDIA or from
- 4:34Ejaaz: a secondary market right now, you'd be paying roughly one and a half times the
- 4:39Ejaaz: original cost of the GPU five years ago.
- 4:42Ejaaz: The demand is off the scale and it's not stopping anytime soon.
- 4:46Ejaaz: But the second more prescient point that he makes is the hyperscalers,
- 4:51Ejaaz: even if they wanted to blow up a bubble that would lead to an ultimate collapse
- 4:55Ejaaz: that all the doomers are talking about,
- 4:57Ejaaz: they can't because they're limited by the amount of electricity and power that
- 5:02Ejaaz: our grid can currently support.
- 5:05Ejaaz: So he's saying that we can buy all these GPUs and they could overbuy it,
- 5:08Ejaaz: but they will have not enough power to power them up in the first place.
- 5:12Ejaaz: So in a weird sort of way, the hyperscalers are restricted from creating the
- 5:17Ejaaz: bubble that everyone is fearing and, you know, worrying about.
- 5:21Josh: Yeah, in the dot-com bubble, there's this huge race to deploy fiber as fast
- 5:24Josh: as possible across the oceans, across the continents to get everyone connected online.
- 5:28Josh: And the reality is, is that they were able to deploy the fiber so much faster
- 5:32Josh: than, I mean, we could come up with use cases for it.
- 5:34Josh: And in this case, the inverse is true where everyone wants to move quickly.
- 5:37Josh: But he has this really elegant line that says, we're constrained by watts and
- 5:41Josh: wafers, meaning we don't have enough electricity, we don't have enough chips.
- 5:44Josh: And as a result, that becomes the limiting factor, enabling the growth.
- 5:49Josh: And it will stop us from actually accelerating as fast as we could and smoothing
- 5:53Josh: out what could eventually become a bubble, but still has a lot of narrative runway left.
- 5:58Josh: The summary of this is that so long as nvidia is printing cash and doing well
- 6:04Josh: there is basically infinite demand because they are just not able to create
- 6:09Josh: as much as the industry desires and as a result of watts and wafers being the limiting factor
- 6:16Josh: we are just not able to reach bubble levels required to make things,
- 6:20Josh: to put things into the danger zone.
- 6:22Josh: So kind of his sentiment, and it seems like the sentiment after this NVIDIA
- 6:25Josh: report is that there's a lot of time left before you have to worry about things collapsing.
- 6:29Josh: And there will be ruts along the way, but we are like still green lights full speed ahead.
- 6:35Ejaaz: A lot of people are worried about AI basically replacing human labor entirely.
- 6:40Ejaaz: And he makes the point that because we're restrained by energy and the electrical
- 6:44Ejaaz: grid, and we will be for the foreseeable future for the next at least five years
- 6:48Ejaaz: until we build this thing, this stuff takes a lot of time.
- 6:50Ejaaz: We'll reach a point where we buy enough GPUs, but the cost of paying an AI to
- 6:55Ejaaz: do a human job actually becomes more expensive than just employing a human.
- 6:59Ejaaz: As long as we have this limiting factor of electricity and power,
- 7:03Ejaaz: humans are good for the foreseeable future.
- 7:05Ejaaz: And of course, take that with a pinch of salt. It's interesting,
- 7:07Ejaaz: this article was a direct rebuttal to a really.
- 7:11Ejaaz: Tantalizingly written post from citrini which is a
- 7:14Ejaaz: research firm which basically outlined the doomer case where
- 7:17Ejaaz: ai takes over everything and you know humans basically need to kind of like
- 7:21Ejaaz: fight for themselves and like subsidize themselves through i don't know some
- 7:24Ejaaz: kind of just voluntary payment uh structure and so he's outlining the positive
- 7:28Ejaaz: side of this here josh i don't know if you saw but there was also a piece that
- 7:31Ejaaz: came out from citadel securities which by the way,
- 7:35Ejaaz: is the most funniest thing ever because Citadel is like known for making most
- 7:39Ejaaz: of their money from shorting stuff.
- 7:41Ejaaz: So the fact that they're now like super bullish, this new technology is just
- 7:44Ejaaz: kind of hilarious. They must have quite a few long positions open.
- 7:47Ejaaz: But yeah, I think overall, the point that's being made here is like NVIDIA is beating its earnings.
- 7:51Ejaaz: It's consistently done this for about eight quarters now. Let me repeat that.
- 7:56Ejaaz: Around eight quarters. They're up 75% in gross revenue from last year.
- 8:03Ejaaz: They've been repeating this for about two years now.
- 8:07Ejaaz: This train isn't stopping. And I don't know how much longer the doomers can
- 8:10Ejaaz: keep saying, hey, I think this is the top.
- 8:13Ejaaz: This is the top. This is the end. I just don't think we're there yet.
- 8:15Josh: What we see is the CapEx spend that we talked about a few weeks ago.
- 8:20Josh: Like clearly this is all going to places like NVIDIA. These companies have pledged
- 8:23Josh: $650 billion of CapEx spend, which is almost exclusively going to AI buildouts.
- 8:30Josh: NVIDIA is going to see a ton of that. These earners are not going to slow down.
- 8:32Josh: The build-outs are not going to stop.
- 8:34Josh: I mean, it's just a very clear path to moving forward and to continuing this
- 8:37Josh: growth. And it's really exciting to be a part of this ride.
- 8:40Josh: Another ride that I went on yesterday
- 8:42Josh: was with Perplexity saying that they rebuilt the personal computer.
- 8:46Ejaaz: Josh, how much did that trigger you, that single sentence?
- 8:49Josh: I'm just a little confused because, you know, Perplexity, they've been quiet.
- 8:54Josh: We had Arvin, the CEO, as a guest on the show. Feel free to go back and find that interview.
- 8:57Josh: It was really interesting because
- 8:59Josh: they pivoted the entire company around building an agentic browser.
- 9:02Josh: And now it appears like they have expanded from the browser to the entire computer.
- 9:07Josh: So, Ijaz, I haven't looked into this news entirely. I'm not exactly sure what it is they built.
- 9:11Josh: But based on the announcement video, it seems like computer use is actually
- 9:15Josh: getting pretty good on perplexity. Is that true?
- 9:17Ejaaz: Let's start with the good news. The vision with perplexity computer is number
- 9:20Ejaaz: one, they didn't rebuild an actual physical computer.
- 9:25Ejaaz: What they rebuilt was the operating system for a computer.
- 9:29Ejaaz: So right now, if you have Windows, you booted up Windows. If you have Mac OS, you have Mac OS.
- 9:34Ejaaz: What they've tried to do here is build a layer on top of that that unites all
- 9:38Ejaaz: the things that you might potentially do on a computer, whether that's coding.
- 9:43Ejaaz: Whether that's doing your nine-to-five job, whether it's opening up a browser,
- 9:46Ejaaz: whether it's like playing around with a few apps.
- 9:48Ejaaz: They've unified it on a single layer called perplexity computer.
- 9:52Ejaaz: Why did they do this? Well, their argument is very simple. They're saying,
- 9:56Ejaaz: hey, you're using a different model for your browser.
- 9:59Ejaaz: You're using a different model to
- 10:00Ejaaz: code, using a different model to spin up agents to do your work for you.
- 10:04Ejaaz: Let me just bring all of this under one roof and make a single unified experience.
- 10:09Ejaaz: So I actually love the vision. And I think that something like this is actually
- 10:13Ejaaz: desperately needed in a world where we have open claw.
- 10:16Ejaaz: And it's funny, we're just talking about like 10 different open claw variants.
- 10:19Ejaaz: We have clawed co-work. I have a million subscriptions.
- 10:22Ejaaz: My mind is going crazy. I just want one singular thing that I can like operate on.
- 10:26Ejaaz: And this is what that thing supposedly does. It can research,
- 10:31Ejaaz: design, code, deploy, and manage any project end to end.
- 10:34Ejaaz: So that sounds good. But the question is, can it actually do it?
- 10:38Ejaaz: So I want to go through like a few demos.
- 10:40Ejaaz: One, which is showing, I think this might be the actual video where it takes
- 10:44Ejaaz: a long form video and creates a short form type of content. Do I have that right, Josh?
- 10:48Josh: Oh yeah, this is, it's about halfway into this video. It's, it's pretty well
- 10:51Josh: done because I've been trying to get this to work with a service like Claude
- 10:54Josh: And it doesn't have the ability to edit videos within it.
- 10:59Josh: So I think that is a plus one to perplexity where the example that it uses,
- 11:02Josh: it's like go to an interview that Dario Mode, the CEO of Anthropocad,
- 11:06Josh: and then pull out a specific part and turn it into a clip.
- 11:09Josh: And then it actually went and it rendered the clip and it added subtitles and
- 11:13Josh: descriptions and it did everything that a producer on a show like ours would do.
- 11:17Josh: So that was really interesting. And I think it's exciting to see these companies
- 11:21Josh: leaning more into this new AI first operating system because as these ai models
- 11:26Josh: are getting better at computer use and anthropic just acquired another company
- 11:29Josh: that is exceptional at computer use they're going to continue to kind of rebuild
- 11:34Josh: what the computer does but through the ai first lens
- 11:37Josh: And this seems pretty interesting. Like as someone who hasn't used Perplexity
- 11:40Josh: in months, I'm reconsidering maybe I should sign up for a subscription and try this out.
- 11:45Ejaaz: Yeah, the way I would describe this is it is open core, but for normies,
- 11:50Ejaaz: for the everyday person, you don't have to worry about massive security issues.
- 11:54Ejaaz: It's a really simple and easy looking interface in terms of like connecting your apps.
- 11:59Ejaaz: I think a portion of this data is held privately.
- 12:02Ejaaz: The agents are very intuitive to use. You just kind of like prompt them.
- 12:05Ejaaz: If you look at one of these demos right here, he says, I'm thinking about buying
- 12:09Ejaaz: Walter White's house and turning it into a rental. Please build me a financial model.
- 12:13Ejaaz: And it just kind of goes off and does its own thing. You don't need to tell it what tool to use.
- 12:17Ejaaz: If it requires access to Slack or something, it'll say, hey,
- 12:20Ejaaz: can I get access to Slack? You just say, yes, approved.
- 12:22Ejaaz: And it just kind of like gets on with it. So I think that's pretty cool.
- 12:25Ejaaz: There are also other few demos that I quite enjoyed.
- 12:29Ejaaz: So if you're not in the finance world, or maybe you are, but you would have
- 12:32Ejaaz: heard of something called Bloomberg Terminal. It is like the mecca.
- 12:35Ejaaz: It costs $30,000 a year to access, and you get all the latest,
- 12:40Ejaaz: greatest financial news before the public gets it.
- 12:42Ejaaz: If important financial news breaks, it breaks on Bloomberg Terminal first. It is the mecca.
- 12:47Ejaaz: Someone rebuilt it from scratch using perplexity computer, and it took them
- 12:52Ejaaz: less than an hour to do so.
- 12:54Ejaaz: So you've already automated away $30,000 a
- 12:58Ejaaz: year worth of value for the cost of a single prompt and if i look at this interface
- 13:02Ejaaz: right here from this demo it actually looks super legit now i don't know what
- 13:07Ejaaz: ip infringements happen here and like in defense of the non-perplexity computer supporters.
- 13:15Ejaaz: We actually kind of did something similar, Josh. I think we,
- 13:18Ejaaz: what did we use to build this?
- 13:19Ejaaz: We used, oh yeah, we did a test between Cloud Code, Opus 4.6 and Codex 5.3.
- 13:25Ejaaz: And we said, hey, can you build up an investment tracker analysis app for us?
- 13:30Ejaaz: And I did it in a few minutes, but it wasn't to the extent that this thing is.
- 13:33Ejaaz: So I think it's just that added layer of an operating system helps you kind
- 13:37Ejaaz: of piece together a bunch of different tools and builds a better app or a better
- 13:42Ejaaz: tool or a better web experience for versus like prior.
- 13:45Josh: Models it'll get you close like what what
- 13:48Josh: is this missing well it's missing the real-time news it's missing the
- 13:51Josh: private chat room so it loses a lot of the value that comes from that thirty
- 13:55Josh: thousand dollars or however much it costs but it created an interface that without
- 13:59Josh: those added values it actually looks pretty much like a bloomberg terminal and
- 14:03Josh: it all the data works all the news tracks all the charts are accurate and it
- 14:08Josh: creates this fun dashboard with a single prompt.
- 14:10Josh: So perplexity seems like they're onto something.
- 14:12Josh: I hope that they are aware that the rest of the industry is also working very
- 14:17Josh: hard to doing this. In fact, they might even be there already.
- 14:20Josh: And when I'm saying that, I'm referencing Claude Cowork because essentially
- 14:23Josh: this week they have turned Claude Cowork into OpenClaw one step at a time.
- 14:27Josh: And I think this started with news that was discussing scheduled tasks.
- 14:32Josh: So a big thing about OpenClaw in particular is that it has a heartbeat and every
- 14:37Josh: 30 minutes it kind of wakes up and it goes through its tasks and what Claude
- 14:41Josh: does now is you can schedule tasks to happen throughout the course of the day.
- 14:45Josh: You could ask it for a morning brief, you could ask for weekly updates,
- 14:48Josh: for Friday presentations, whatever it may be, it adds these things called
- 14:52Josh: cron jobs into the Claude co-work operating system and i think it's it's another step of
- 15:00Josh: Claude and Anthropic and a lot of these companies kind of working towards this
- 15:04Josh: first operating system in a way that is is very compelling like now i have it
- 15:08Josh: do a little morning roundup where in the morning it'll go through all the news
- 15:12Josh: that i missed over the night and just give me a couple bullet points to see
- 15:15Josh: if there's anything i find interesting it's pretty cool yeah i
- 15:17Ejaaz: Mean that's one very essential part of what makes open claw an amazing product
- 15:21Ejaaz: and the fact that now you have like this kind of sandbox version where you don't
- 15:24Ejaaz: need to kind of check for any security risks or anything like that is awesome.
- 15:28Ejaaz: That's not the only tool that they launched this week. Like Anthropik's been
- 15:31Ejaaz: on a generational run this week alone.
- 15:34Josh: It seems like every day they're announcing a new feature.
- 15:36Ejaaz: I need them to give me a break because it takes a while to process these things,
- 15:41Ejaaz: but they're just shipping every single day at this point. I'm tired, dude.
- 15:44Ejaaz: So this new feature is called Remote Control, which is exactly what it sounds
- 15:49Ejaaz: like. you can now code using Claude from your phone whilst you're going on a
- 15:54Ejaaz: walk, whilst you're walking on the dog.
- 15:55Ejaaz: So if you need to get away from a screen,
- 15:59Ejaaz: Now, I'm sorry, you're chained, you're ball and chained even when you leave
- 16:02Ejaaz: your house at this point.
- 16:03Ejaaz: It's really cool because one of the great parts about OpenClaw was the fact
- 16:07Ejaaz: that you could lay in bed or communicate with your coding agent or your claw
- 16:11Ejaaz: bot from anywhere in the world. And you didn't need to be at your desktop terminal at that specific time.
- 16:17Ejaaz: Clawed code and Anthropic prior to this announcement required you to do so.
- 16:21Ejaaz: Now you don't need to be able to do that. So now when you combine this with
- 16:24Ejaaz: the autonomous cron jobs that you just mentioned, Josh, you start to see what
- 16:28Ejaaz: the vision is going to be.
- 16:29Ejaaz: And it looks something very similar to OpenClaw.
- 16:32Ejaaz: But to go back to the original form of Anthropic announcements,
- 16:36Ejaaz: they typically announce, I don't know, what is it?
- 16:38Ejaaz: One to three new plugins for Clawed in general, Cowork specifically, maybe every week.
- 16:44Ejaaz: And it results in a, I saw a stat here, it results in a 10 to 35% stock decline
- 16:50Ejaaz: of any company that currently has the winning leading software,
- 16:55Ejaaz: because now Clawed has automated that entirely. and we have a new one this week. That's crazy.
- 16:59Josh: We need to pause there for a second to just to acknowledge how powerful Anthropic
- 17:03Josh: has become, where a single tweet and a single feature unlock has the ability
- 17:09Josh: to move markets billions, maybe tens of billions of dollars.
- 17:12Josh: And what I find funny and ironic before we get into what happened this week
- 17:15Josh: with the news is that it seems as if this is a power only Anthropic holds.
- 17:20Josh: If ChatGPT announced something similar to this, I'm not sure it has the impact of anthropic and quad.
- 17:27Josh: And I think that's worth acknowledging is because they haven't.
- 17:30Josh: They haven't. Yeah, we haven't seen this. And I think it's worth acknowledging
- 17:33Josh: because Anthropic very clearly is seen as not only a powerhouse,
- 17:37Josh: but a real threat to a lot of institutions, a lot of companies that have been
- 17:41Josh: kind of grounded in their ways.
- 17:42Josh: And this example this week, I love, it's so funny.
- 17:45Josh: So please share with us what the hell happened with this new post that knocked
- 17:50Josh: a certain company off the grid.
- 17:53Ejaaz: Okay. So there are many different types of programming languages and one very
- 17:58Ejaaz: important and I guess essential programming language for the business world
- 18:02Ejaaz: for data processing specifically is known as COBOL, C-O-B-O-L.
- 18:07Ejaaz: It stands for Common Business Oriented Language.
- 18:10Ejaaz: And one particular company called IBM has held the monopoly on this.
- 18:14Ejaaz: And the reason why they've held the monopoly on this is that it's quite a complex
- 18:18Ejaaz: programming language to understand.
- 18:19Ejaaz: You need to kind of like learn how the different tools work.
- 18:22Ejaaz: Then you need to adopt how the language actually fits to your business. it's a whole process.
- 18:27Ejaaz: IBM walks you through hand in hand and figures it out for you,
- 18:30Ejaaz: and they charge you a premium price to be able to do that.
- 18:34Ejaaz: Until two days ago, when Anthropic announced that they had launched a single
- 18:38Ejaaz: plugin that was coded from scratch using Claude Code, and it does all of that
- 18:43Ejaaz: for you, for the cost of a single prompt.
- 18:46Ejaaz: The news wasn't too great. IBM stock, it says here it dumped 10%.
- 18:50Ejaaz: It actually dumped 15% within an hour of that tweet going live.
- 18:56Ejaaz: Just insane to see. And this isn't the first time Anthropic has done this.
- 18:59Ejaaz: They announced a legal plugin about a week and a half ago, and all law stocks
- 19:03Ejaaz: dumped about 30 billion dollars just insane.
- 19:05Josh: That's a huge amount of money that's blown and i
- 19:08Josh: think it's it's a testament to kind of where things are going right it's
- 19:11Josh: ibm makes so much money because cobalt is such a old outdated
- 19:15Josh: protocol that no one really supports no
- 19:18Josh: one really understands how it works they're maintaining dinosaur code and now
- 19:21Josh: anthropic comes in and says we're not like humans we don't get tired we don't
- 19:25Josh: get bored we will actually just go and work with your cobalt code and fix things
- 19:28Josh: and that knocked 15 that's a huge amount of money and that's still not the extent
- 19:33Josh: of all the philanthropic news this week because there is another security implementation.
- 19:38Josh: So if I remember correctly, when they announced Opus, maybe it's 4.6,
- 19:43Josh: they announced it with the fact that
- 19:45Josh: it found 500 zero-day vulnerabilities in code.
- 19:49Josh: Correct. Meaning that there is existing code bases out there that have exploits.
- 19:53Josh: It uncovered 500 of them just via the AI model itself.
- 19:57Josh: And now what they're doing, it seems, is they're kind of reversing that and
- 20:00Josh: allowing you to have the tools to play defense against Claw's own hacking abilities. Is that right?
- 20:05Ejaaz: Yeah, I actually think that it might have been Codex 5.3 from OpenAI,
- 20:09Ejaaz: but the fact is like both models can do the same thing.
- 20:12Ejaaz: And these coding models are getting so good finding the vulnerabilities that
- 20:16Ejaaz: humans are very prone to implementing in their own code.
- 20:20Ejaaz: And these vulnerabilities, by the way, can be exploited for billions of dollars.
- 20:23Ejaaz: I'm not like underselling this. Like if you are a multi-billion dollar company,
- 20:27Ejaaz: a hundred billion dollars plus, right?
- 20:29Ejaaz: And you have security floor that gives people access to personal data or back
- 20:33Ejaaz: account information, that could be a really large financial and legal risk for
- 20:37Ejaaz: you. So it's very important that you patch these things up.
- 20:39Ejaaz: But the issue is humans, well, number one, need to be an expert in that specific
- 20:45Ejaaz: code base in order to find those specific flaws.
- 20:49Ejaaz: So there's only usually about three to five people in any of these big companies that can do that.
- 20:53Ejaaz: So there's a heavy risk point there, where if those people leave the company,
- 20:58Ejaaz: or they decide to like go focus on something else, you now have an open risk.
- 21:03Ejaaz: Claude announced this new tool called Claude Code Security, which now does this for you.
- 21:09Ejaaz: It scans your entire code repository in about 10 to 30 minutes.
- 21:14Ejaaz: It understands the nuance and the way that you wrote this code,
- 21:20Ejaaz: the context with your business, et cetera, et cetera.
- 21:22Ejaaz: And then it finds all the security flaws for you.
- 21:25Ejaaz: Typically, this would have taken a team of five to 10 people months,
- 21:29Ejaaz: or it's like a recurring thing.
- 21:31Ejaaz: And now you can just run a single prompt like every 30 minutes or every week,
- 21:35Ejaaz: and it'll discover all the flaws for you, but it gets even better.
- 21:38Ejaaz: It proposes the solution that you need to fix in order to resolve that security issue.
- 21:46Ejaaz: It doesn't go to the extent where it writes up the fix for you,
- 21:49Ejaaz: although you can definitely say like, hey, okay, that sounds good,
- 21:52Ejaaz: build the fix for me, because they wanted to maintain the human in the loop.
- 21:55Ejaaz: But if you can imagine, if the AI is already good enough to find the flaws and
- 21:59Ejaaz: create the fix for the flaws, you might just let this thing run autonomously for you.
- 22:03Ejaaz: Now, let me ask you this, how much is that product worth for your business?
- 22:07Ejaaz: It's probably like tens of billions of dollars, if not more.
- 22:09Josh: They're just continuing to snipe and cherry pick the value from every existing
- 22:13Josh: company until it's all in one. It's amazing the amount that they're absorbing in the market.
- 22:18Josh: We have a few things left to cover this week that I kind of want to go through quickly.
- 22:22Josh: The first one being the XAI Pentagon deal.
- 22:25Josh: XAI and Grok is now powering Pentagon's AI technology. And we had a crazy sentence.
- 22:30Josh: This is like a strange narrative timeline that we're running.
- 22:32Josh: And we had an episode earlier this week that I would recommend checking out
- 22:35Josh: about Anthropic and their kind of difficulties they've been having in dealing
- 22:39Josh: with the government because they seemingly don't want to give access to all
- 22:43Josh: of the ways in which the Pentagon wants to use it.
- 22:47Josh: But it appears as if Grok and XAI did not have this problem.
- 22:51Josh: And the plan is that they're going to fully integrate Grok starting later this
- 22:55Josh: month into military operations. What those are, I don't know.
- 22:58Josh: I'm not sure we'll ever find out. But I just find it interesting...
- 23:01Josh: That there is a new kind of role in government here for AI Labs and Grok is
- 23:06Josh: now going to be one of the front runners here.
- 23:08Josh: This comes on the back of, I mean, more drama with Anthropic, right?
- 23:12Josh: It was after we recorded the episode, there was still even more.
- 23:15Josh: I mean, apparently Anthropic has an ultimatum where by Friday they have to either
- 23:21Josh: decide if they're going to comply with the Pentagon's request or not.
- 23:25Josh: And if they don't, what's at stake here for Anthropic?
- 23:29Ejaaz: So there's this thing I'm highlighting here called the Defense Production Act.
- 23:33Ejaaz: The Pentagon basically has two options if Anthropik refuses.
- 23:36Ejaaz: On Friday, they can force their hand, initiating the Defense Production Act to basically say,
- 23:41Ejaaz: sorry, you legally now need to give me an uncensored version,
- 23:45Ejaaz: even though you declined, because it is now the official law and it's a case
- 23:48Ejaaz: of national state security, which, by the way, is an insane thing.
- 23:52Ejaaz: Or they can take option two, which is blacklist Anthropik and all of their models
- 23:58Ejaaz: as a security risk to the nation,
- 24:01Ejaaz: which means that Anthropic probably ceases to receive any kind of government
- 24:06Ejaaz: funding or regulatory support in the future.
- 24:09Ejaaz: And it also pushes up all the other models that have signed partnerships with
- 24:13Ejaaz: the Pentagon, such as Grok.
- 24:15Ejaaz: And I hear OpenAI and Google is doing the same as well.
- 24:18Ejaaz: The sentiment has been split on this, Josh. I've seen both sides.
- 24:21Ejaaz: One saying Anthropic just needs to wisen up. And I think that was a lot of the
- 24:25Ejaaz: argument that we gave on our episode earlier this week. Again,
- 24:27Ejaaz: please go check it out. Let us know if you think we're wrong.
- 24:29Ejaaz: But then the other side, like I saw Jeff Dean tweet this morning.
- 24:32Ejaaz: Jeff Dean is like the guy from Google. He built so many of Google's key products.
- 24:38Ejaaz: And he said, I like that Anthropics taking a stand and it's important that they don't violate,
- 24:43Ejaaz: I think is what the first amendment or whatever it is where you can't surveil
- 24:46Ejaaz: all Americans. And I respect the fourth, the fourth.
- 24:49Josh: Yeah. It's seems heavy handed, right? Like I can understand not working with
- 24:54Josh: them, but putting them on a blacklist seems a bit extortive,
- 24:58Josh: especially when there's other options. Yeah.
- 25:00Ejaaz: Well, here's the thing, like the government's favorite model.
- 25:03Ejaaz: And Pete said this himself,
- 25:05Ejaaz: the head of the Pentagon, he said that Claude is the best model and they've
- 25:08Ejaaz: been using it for over a year now so you can imagine if claude has been trained
- 25:12Ejaaz: with all your employees it's been entrenched on your data you kind of don't
- 25:16Ejaaz: want to rip that out and then like train a new model from scratch so,
- 25:20Ejaaz: Antarmic has everything to win and lose here.
- 25:23Josh: Yeah, it's interesting because I'm sure we're missing a lot of context too,
- 25:26Josh: due to just the general private nature of how these deals work.
- 25:28Josh: So it's going to be tough to really give an honest opinion because I'm sure
- 25:33Josh: we're missing a lot of data, but interesting nonetheless.
- 25:35Josh: And congrats to XAI and the team for getting a new contract.
- 25:39Josh: Last winner of the week, AMD. Oh my God, 15% jump in one day on a Meta deal.
- 25:46Josh: Meta is now working with AMD. I thought Meta was working with NVIDIA. That's what I thought.
- 25:52Ejaaz: But no, they signed a new $6 billion compute partnership.
- 25:56Ejaaz: And remember, it's not a deal now. It's just, we're specifically calling it partnerships.
- 26:01Ejaaz: These are crazy. Yeah, it's insane. The circular economy is back.
- 26:05Ejaaz: The nature of the deal is basically Meta doesn't want to rely solely on NVIDIA
- 26:10Ejaaz: chips, although NVIDIA is the big boy here.
- 26:13Ejaaz: So they want to diversify their compute arsenal so that if anything were to
- 26:17Ejaaz: happen to NVIDIA or any of the other chip makers, they can still stay alive
- 26:20Ejaaz: and feed their product to you.
- 26:23Ejaaz: Now, Meta has been out of the kind of news for a while because their models
- 26:28Ejaaz: weren't able to keep up and they spent about, what was it?
- 26:31Ejaaz: Like a hundred to maybe $200 billion to hire like something ridiculous,
- 26:36Ejaaz: like 50 people in their new AI team and they have had nothing to show for it.
- 26:40Ejaaz: Rumor says they're meant to be releasing a new model in a few weeks time.
- 26:43Ejaaz: Avocado is the code name. and so if that is all it's hyped up to be then they're
- 26:48Ejaaz: going to need all the data center compute that they can and they seem to be
- 26:52Ejaaz: sure that amd will be the ones to be one of the main providers for them so they've
- 26:56Ejaaz: locked in that deal they're building out data centers and yeah amd stock jumped
- 27:00Ejaaz: 15 absolutely insane well.
- 27:02Josh: Happy for all parties involved i think one thing throughout the episode there's
- 27:06Josh: a central theme in which there is no amount that can satiate the demand And
- 27:11Josh: for AI compute and energy and electricity.
- 27:14Josh: And like, I'm sure Meta would prefer to work with NVIDIA.
- 27:18Josh: This is the option that they have because they need GPUs they
- 27:21Josh: need compute they need energy and they have no choice so
- 27:24Josh: we are going to continue this run this
- 27:27Josh: generational run that we've had really in the world of AI
- 27:30Josh: it doesn't seem like the top is in it doesn't seem like the top is anywhere near
- 27:34Josh: and that leaves me optimistic and wanting to continue to deploy
- 27:37Josh: capital into this ever-changing absolutely outrageous
- 27:40Josh: market but that is another week of the AI
- 27:43Josh: roundup I hope you guys enjoyed this one I hope you enjoyed all the
- 27:46Josh: episodes this week if you missed any they're pretty short normally 20 to
- 27:49Josh: 25 minutes we talked about uh google had some pretty
- 27:51Josh: amazing tools where now we can create songs and jingles for
- 27:54Josh: the podcast we talked about anthropic at length and
- 27:57Josh: now we have this kind of roundup that is covering just about anything
- 28:00Josh: that you would need if you don't feel satiated we
- 28:03Josh: have a second form of content which is the newsletter every wednesday
- 28:07Josh: release the think piece this week was about a new company that i am
- 28:09Josh: very excited about a startup that i guarantee 95 plus maybe 99 of the people
- 28:15Josh: listening have not heard of so if you're interested in that or if you're interested
- 28:18Josh: in the second roundup which is released every friday uh ejes is tackling that
- 28:22Josh: one and i would highly advise subscribing the links are all in the description
- 28:25Josh: down below ejes any final notes before we we part for the weekend nope
- 28:29Ejaaz: Wherever you listen or watch us please like subscribe give us a rating it helps
- 28:32Ejaaz: us out so much and we will see you on the next one.