Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB Best Bets 1/24/26
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:02Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
- 0:07Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
- 0:11Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 0:13Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
- 0:15Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
- 0:18Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
- 0:20Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
- 0:22Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
- 0:26Speaker 2: good day at all.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
- 0:32Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:36Speaker 2: slump continues.
- 0:37Speaker 1: I've reached into pink.
- 0:39Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
- 0:43Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the.
- 0:44Speaker 1: Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't
- 0:47Speaker 1: even know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
- 0:51Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
- 0:53Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man's back with you
- 0:56Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could.
- 0:59Speaker 2: Possibly have with you, as I always am.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:06Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
- 1:10Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
- 1:13Speaker 2: years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:16Speaker 2: The slump, yesse, the slump disconvenuus, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:26Speaker 2: other than potentially.
- 1:27Speaker 1: End it all.
- 1:33Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's Toad back with you with Toad
- 1:36Speaker 2: still Sports College Basketball edition for January twenty fourth. Did
- 1:42Speaker 2: I get it right? I don't know, dude. I'm like
- 1:44Speaker 2: barely awake. Well I wouldn't say that, but I was
- 1:47Speaker 2: going to sleep.
- 1:49Speaker 1: I was. I started handicapping the Saturday board.
- 1:52Speaker 2: Uh, I don't know, probably nine thirty ten my time Eastern.
- 1:57Speaker 1: Took me a couple hours to do it, even though.
- 1:59Speaker 2: It's a little bit of a shorter board than it
- 2:01Speaker 2: would have been because of the weather. But I got
- 2:05Speaker 2: a massive headache that delayed me. I'm like seeing stars
- 2:10Speaker 2: and stuff. So now I'm like, the headaches not happening
- 2:12Speaker 2: right now. I'm hopped up on pain killers. I'm all
- 2:14Speaker 2: on stimulants here. The painkillers are also like clearing my sinus,
- 2:18Speaker 2: so maybe I don't have to go blow my nose
- 2:21Speaker 2: a million times during the show. Yo, you're getting me
- 2:24Speaker 2: in peak form right now, baby. But I think I
- 2:27Speaker 2: got some good plays. We're gonna bounce back from this
- 2:30Speaker 2: atrocious hockey day today. My college basketball play one today.
- 2:34Speaker 2: So there you go, We're gonna bounce back. We're gonna
- 2:38Speaker 2: have some good college basketball plays. I think I've narrowed
- 2:41Speaker 2: it down. I think I'm being selective. I'm gonna give
- 2:43Speaker 2: about six plays. I'm gonna talk about the big games.
- 2:46Speaker 2: I'll talk about the other means that I have. I have,
- 2:48Speaker 2: like I don't know, maybe ten or so games that
- 2:52Speaker 2: were almost on my card eleven actually, so I'm gonna
- 2:57Speaker 2: have to talk about every one of those as well.
- 2:59Speaker 1: So I'm really trying to narrow it down here for everybody.
- 3:02Speaker 2: I go with what I think are the best kind
- 3:06Speaker 2: of going based off of vibes. Man, I'm running on
- 3:08Speaker 2: fumes here, man, Like I said, painkillers, coffee, whatever, let's
- 3:13Speaker 2: get into it.
- 3:14Speaker 1: Why not.
- 3:15Speaker 2: One thing I did forget to mention is I was like, oh,
- 3:17Speaker 2: why are there's so many teams playing back to back
- 3:20Speaker 2: Thursday Friday. Well that's because some of the games that
- 3:22Speaker 2: were played today that were those back to back situations
- 3:26Speaker 2: were going to be Saturday. But they got moved because
- 3:29Speaker 2: of the weather. So some of these games got moved.
- 3:31Speaker 2: Some of the teams that were gonna play on Saturday
- 3:34Speaker 2: want to playing today, and then some of the games
- 3:37Speaker 2: that were gonna be later on Saturday got moved earlier
- 3:40Speaker 2: on Saturday because of the weather. Because everybody's freaking out.
- 3:44Speaker 2: I mean, I'm up here in New England and I'm
- 3:46Speaker 2: just like, oh, we're gonna get like two to three
- 3:48Speaker 2: feet of snow. I guess all right, like that that
- 3:50Speaker 2: hasn't happened for a little while up here. But meanwhile,
- 3:55Speaker 2: like down in whatever, Texas somewhere down to the south,
- 3:59Speaker 2: it's like, oh my god, we're gonna get ice and
- 4:01Speaker 2: the whole state shuts down, and not.
- 4:04Speaker 1: The other kind of ice. But whatever, let's get into it.
- 4:07Speaker 2: I don't want to take too long here, man, but
- 4:09Speaker 2: I was gonna sleep and then do this in the morning,
- 4:11Speaker 2: but I obviously I cannot sleep, so I'm like, let's
- 4:13Speaker 2: just get it done, man, momm on fire here and
- 4:16Speaker 2: hope my headache doesn't come back. We got a bunch
- 4:19Speaker 2: of games early here, man. We have some eleven AM games.
- 4:22Speaker 2: Mercer and Wafford is actually a pretty good game. I'm
- 4:24Speaker 2: assuming these eleven AM games must be the ones that
- 4:27Speaker 2: got bumped up that.
- 4:27Speaker 1: We're gonna be later.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Well maybe not the Florida one, but these Wafford and
- 4:33Speaker 2: Kentucky most likely. I think we're gonna be noon games
- 4:35Speaker 2: or something that got moved earlier, or maybe even later
- 4:38Speaker 2: after noon games because of the weather.
- 4:40Speaker 1: Whatever.
- 4:41Speaker 2: Mercer and Wafford is a pretty good game, to be honest.
- 4:44Speaker 2: In the soacon here, these teams are both near the
- 4:48Speaker 2: top of the conference. Right now, they're tied in the
- 4:50Speaker 2: conference standings. This is a second meeting, and I talk
- 4:53Speaker 2: about this a lot of times. In the second meeting,
- 4:55Speaker 2: you want to dig into what happened in the first meeting,
- 4:58Speaker 2: and those are just some kind of outlier there. And
- 5:00Speaker 2: the first meeting was at Mercer. Mercer won the game
- 5:03Speaker 2: by twelve, and it was a really really high scoring game.
- 5:07Speaker 2: So I mean, based on that, you could maybe take
- 5:09Speaker 2: a look towards maybe an under in this game, just
- 5:12Speaker 2: because that game was so high scoring. And this total
- 5:14Speaker 2: is already plummeted down to one sixty one, which seems
- 5:18Speaker 2: like a pretty low total given given the two teams
- 5:22Speaker 2: combined for over two hundred in the first game. I
- 5:24Speaker 2: believe is what that is. Unless I can't do math
- 5:26Speaker 2: right now because my mind is totally out of it.
- 5:29Speaker 1: But what happened in this game, well, I don't know.
- 5:31Speaker 1: I mean Mercer. I looked at it earlier.
- 5:33Speaker 2: Mercer did shoot ridiculously in the game, so there is
- 5:36Speaker 2: some room for regression here. I think from the Mercer
- 5:39Speaker 2: side of things, they actually had thirteen fewer field goal
- 5:42Speaker 2: attempts in the game, but still won because they shot
- 5:45Speaker 2: sixty four percent from the field sixty three percent from three.
- 5:49Speaker 2: Mercer did win the rebounding battle as well, But it
- 5:51Speaker 2: looks like there is some room for Mercer to regress
- 5:55Speaker 2: shooting wise after a game like that, and Wafford will
- 5:59Speaker 2: likely try to make some adjustments to that and show
- 6:01Speaker 2: up in the avenging role here. Also, I noticed that
- 6:06Speaker 2: that game, the line in that game was interesting compared
- 6:10Speaker 2: to what it is in this game. This game, we're
- 6:12Speaker 2: looking at Mercer being about a one and a half
- 6:14Speaker 2: point favorite, and in the first game that they played.
- 6:18Speaker 2: I just noticed this. This line just seemed way off
- 6:22Speaker 2: to me. Mercer was a three and a half point
- 6:24Speaker 2: favorite in that game at home, but now they're a
- 6:28Speaker 2: one point road favorite basically, which would indicate that at
- 6:31Speaker 2: home they should have been like a probably like a
- 6:33Speaker 2: six and a half point favorite or something.
- 6:36Speaker 1: So something seems off.
- 6:38Speaker 2: Here, like like, why is this line so skewed towards Mercer.
- 6:42Speaker 1: Now.
- 6:44Speaker 2: I don't know if there's if there are personnel changes
- 6:47Speaker 2: or something, because I don't dig into it that far,
- 6:49Speaker 2: but I would lean towards Wafford in this game for
- 6:51Speaker 2: that reason. Although you are gonna be stepping in front
- 6:53Speaker 2: of a Mercer train here, they're not really.
- 6:56Speaker 1: In a bad spot.
- 6:57Speaker 2: They just beat Western Kentucky in the last game, but
- 7:00Speaker 2: because Wafford lost the first matchup, because this line seems
- 7:04Speaker 2: out of whack, I would lean.
- 7:06Speaker 1: Towards Wafford in this game for those reasons.
- 7:08Speaker 2: Wafford did just beat Samford at home, although Samford's not
- 7:12Speaker 2: very good this year. Wafford's on a two game win
- 7:14Speaker 2: streak there as well. Wafford would be the lean for
- 7:18Speaker 2: me in that game with a Mercer has gone up
- 7:20Speaker 2: from a one to one and a half pint favorite,
- 7:21Speaker 2: but just the revenge factor pus the line making no
- 7:25Speaker 2: sense to me is pretty much by Those are my
- 7:28Speaker 2: thoughts on that, but I don't have a strong opinion
- 7:31Speaker 2: on that.
- 7:31Speaker 1: At all Zach, What's up Man?
- 7:35Speaker 2: Royals The Queen's Royals for the College Basketball Show, Charles,
- 7:40Speaker 2: What's up Man? Thanks for hanging out, oh Man. This game, this.
- 7:44Speaker 1: Show is not gonna end until three in the morning. ESPN.
- 7:48Speaker 2: We have ole Miss at Kentucky early at eleven am.
- 7:52Speaker 1: This game.
- 7:53Speaker 2: Ole Miss just lost a three game winstree. They did
- 7:56Speaker 2: lose at home to Auburn. It was not a great loss,
- 7:59Speaker 2: but Auburn I believe was the road favorite in that game.
- 8:01Speaker 1: Ole Miss is just not very good this year.
- 8:04Speaker 2: But it was also not a very good spot for
- 8:06Speaker 2: ole Miss because they had won against Mississippi State the
- 8:10Speaker 2: game before that, in their big rivalry game, and there
- 8:12Speaker 2: were a road underdog in that game, a small ish underdog,
- 8:16Speaker 2: so kind of a bad spot for them. Maybe they
- 8:19Speaker 2: were looking ahead to Kentucky on the horizon as well.
- 8:22Speaker 2: You could definitely make the argument this is going to
- 8:24Speaker 2: be a bounce back type of spot for all Miss
- 8:26Speaker 2: here after that.
- 8:28Speaker 1: But for Kentucky.
- 8:29Speaker 2: I think they're probably in a positive spot here as well,
- 8:32Speaker 2: because they just didn't play that well against Texas, and
- 8:35Speaker 2: we had Texas here on the show, plus the points
- 8:38Speaker 2: and they did cover even though Kentucky won.
- 8:41Speaker 1: Kentucky did not cover. It was a close game.
- 8:43Speaker 2: Kentucky didn't do that well as a seven point favorite there,
- 8:46Speaker 2: and they were coming off a big upset road win
- 8:49Speaker 2: over Tennessee. So that's why I chose to fade them,
- 8:53Speaker 2: or at least one of the reasons why I chose
- 8:54Speaker 2: to fade them. I could see both teams showing up here,
- 8:58Speaker 2: but Kentucky there is the potential. They're looking ahead to
- 9:01Speaker 2: Vandy next man, that is a big game coming up
- 9:04Speaker 2: next van He's still one of the better teams in
- 9:06Speaker 2: the SEC, even though they've lost three games in a row,
- 9:10Speaker 2: so it's kind of.
- 9:10Speaker 1: A difficult handicap for me.
- 9:12Speaker 2: The line has gone up to ten and a half on.
- 9:16Speaker 1: On a Kentucky here.
- 9:17Speaker 2: Obviously, Kentucky's the big favorite here now Kentucky, they're definitely
- 9:22Speaker 2: an underrated commodity right now. Ken Bum has them twenty
- 9:25Speaker 2: fifth in the country, so he's basically saying they should
- 9:28Speaker 2: still be ranked. They've been all over the place, up
- 9:31Speaker 2: and down, you know. I mean, the line movement is
- 9:35Speaker 2: saying Kentucky. I'm not really gonna disagree with laying the points.
- 9:38Speaker 2: I do think oh Miss is just really not that
- 9:41Speaker 2: good this year, and they try to play.
- 9:43Speaker 1: A lot slower.
- 9:43Speaker 2: I believe that Kentucky does, so if Kentucky's able to
- 9:46Speaker 2: speed it up, they might be able to do it.
- 9:49Speaker 1: If both teams.
- 9:50Speaker 2: Are going to be focused here, then I would be
- 9:52Speaker 2: leaning that way. But you don't have to worry about
- 9:54Speaker 2: the look ahead component for Kentucky. So those are my
- 9:57Speaker 2: thoughts on that. Yes, I'm leaning towards Wafford. I don't
- 10:02Speaker 2: know if they still have the granny free throw guy though.
- 10:06Speaker 1: Three am.
- 10:07Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm gonna make it. Wait, do
- 10:11Speaker 2: the Royals actually do that? They moved the fences in
- 10:14Speaker 2: ten feet? That's interesting to know because Kaufman Stadium was
- 10:17Speaker 2: one of the most pitcher friendly ballparks. That's gonna skew
- 10:22Speaker 2: some things. That's gonna change some things. You've been on
- 10:26Speaker 2: Gaatechee tomorrow. I don't know anything about that. What are
- 10:30Speaker 2: the odds on that? Or we're gonna delve into UFC? Now,
- 10:34Speaker 2: who's he even fighting? I have no idea. I just
- 10:36Speaker 2: think Gaechee is like a very very public fighter. As
- 10:41Speaker 2: far as I can tell, it seems like everybody likes
- 10:43Speaker 2: this guy. I don't know a whole lot about it, though.
- 10:48Speaker 2: Let me see who's he fighting? What's going on here?
- 10:53Speaker 2: I'm looking, I'm trying to figure it out right now.
- 10:58Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 10:58Speaker 2: I mean I would, I would give you my opinion
- 11:00Speaker 2: on it, but I have no idea what's happening in
- 11:02Speaker 2: that game or that fight.
- 11:04Speaker 1: I should say, dude, I'm totally out of it.
- 11:06Speaker 2: The UFC board might actually have it here though, Pimblet,
- 11:11Speaker 2: I don't even know who the fuck that is.
- 11:13Speaker 1: So you're probably not getting any value on Gaichee.
- 11:16Speaker 2: I'll tell you that because he's the well, he's the
- 11:19Speaker 2: more well known.
- 11:20Speaker 1: Of the two fighters.
- 11:21Speaker 2: I have to imagine Patty Pimblet is that is, he irish,
- 11:27Speaker 2: hasn't fought anybody good. Yeah, but dude, Gaichie is going
- 11:30Speaker 2: to be a huge favorite, right, you would have to imagine.
- 11:35Speaker 2: Let me see here, I can't pronounce his name. I
- 11:41Speaker 2: mean I can't spell his name or I can't pronounce
- 11:43Speaker 2: it either, Gaichie.
- 11:45Speaker 1: Yo. Wait, Pimblet is actually the favorite? What he's up to?
- 11:50Speaker 2: Mindus, dude, I would have I would not play Gaichee
- 11:53Speaker 2: if he's an underdog, because I thought he was going
- 11:55Speaker 2: to be a favorite in that matchup. I don't know
- 11:56Speaker 2: anything about UFC. I would not play Gaichie as an
- 11:59Speaker 2: under dog. It looks way too easy to do that. No,
- 12:03Speaker 2: I wouldn't do it.
- 12:03Speaker 1: No way.
- 12:05Speaker 2: The money looks like it's come in and move Pimblet
- 12:07Speaker 2: up from minus two thirty minus two forty five as well.
- 12:11Speaker 1: Looks like the real money is coming in on that side.
- 12:13Speaker 2: And I'm imagining he's not the public side because the
- 12:16Speaker 2: public knows Gachie better and they.
- 12:20Speaker 1: They like to play underdogs to try to win money.
- 12:22Speaker 1: So I don't I don't like that. Let me see here,
- 12:26Speaker 1: he's minus two forty on. Uh, well, I can't. I
- 12:29Speaker 1: don't think I could. Dude. I don't think YouTube allows
- 12:32Speaker 1: you to say the names of the books.
- 12:35Speaker 2: Just because they're not allowed in some states. Yeah, I mean,
- 12:41Speaker 2: I want to see, like where the public betting is
- 12:43Speaker 2: on this, but like, that's my read on it. I
- 12:47Speaker 2: don't like it, man, I do not like that bet. Yeah,
- 12:52Speaker 2: that would be my read on it without without knowing
- 12:55Speaker 2: anything at all, I think that I think Pimblet is
- 12:58Speaker 2: gonna win that fight.
- 13:01Speaker 1: Okay, let me see where are we at.
- 13:04Speaker 2: We're at, Oh, the battle one of the battles of
- 13:06Speaker 2: North Carolina, Wake Forest, and Duke on the c W
- 13:10Speaker 2: as we start the actual noonslate here. Wake Forest did
- 13:14Speaker 2: just lose pretty ugly at home to SMU in their
- 13:17Speaker 2: last game. Maybe they were looking ahead to Duke a
- 13:19Speaker 2: huge game. Obviously, I expect Wake Forest will probably show up.
- 13:23Speaker 2: They played pretty well at North Carolina at least when
- 13:26Speaker 2: they played them, Although Duke is the best of the
- 13:28Speaker 2: North Carolina teams here still a wake didn't do as
- 13:31Speaker 2: well when they played at NC State. But you at
- 13:34Speaker 2: least pretty much know you're gonna get an effort out.
- 13:36Speaker 1: Of Wake here.
- 13:38Speaker 2: And it is kind of a weird spot for Duke
- 13:40Speaker 2: because they were returning home from the Pacific Coast, so
- 13:43Speaker 2: they're flying cross country here and coming off a pretty
- 13:46Speaker 2: satisfying thirty point win over Stanford, and they have to
- 13:50Speaker 2: play ranked Louisville in two days.
- 13:53Speaker 1: So my leading this one would have to be to
- 13:55Speaker 1: Wake Forest plus the points.
- 13:58Speaker 2: You could definitely make a little bit of an argument
- 14:00Speaker 2: that maybe it's even a sandwich spot that Duke is in.
- 14:03Speaker 2: You're obviously not gonna get any line value on Duke either,
- 14:06Speaker 2: because they're like always the public side and Wake always
- 14:09Speaker 2: plays the little brother as well, Duke's.
- 14:11Speaker 1: An eighteen point favorite there.
- 14:13Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to lose the game, obviously,
- 14:15Speaker 2: but I think Wake might give them a little bit
- 14:17Speaker 2: of a fight there. Oh, use it as a bonus bet.
- 14:22Speaker 2: All right, mister Pinsey, what's up?
- 14:25Speaker 1: Man?
- 14:25Speaker 2: I apologize for coming on at like all random hours. Man,
- 14:31Speaker 2: I have mostly a set schedule, but not quite. Is
- 14:36Speaker 2: Nate in the house here because we have his Nebraska
- 14:39Speaker 2: team here number seven in the country at Minnesota on
- 14:42Speaker 2: Fox Sports one, And this line is looking you know,
- 14:46Speaker 2: it's looking a little bit dicey for Nebraska. They're a
- 14:49Speaker 2: six point favorite here, it's gone up a little bit.
- 14:51Speaker 2: But this is not a spot where I want to
- 14:53Speaker 2: come in and fade Nebraska, really. But if you force
- 14:56Speaker 2: me to lean in this game, I probably would lean
- 14:59Speaker 2: towards fading them, though, because they have their huge game
- 15:02Speaker 2: on deck with Michigan.
- 15:04Speaker 1: Man, Man, that is that could definitely be a look
- 15:07Speaker 1: ahead spot, you know.
- 15:08Speaker 2: So that's really that's the main part of the handicap here,
- 15:12Speaker 2: which is, again, it's not enough for me to fade
- 15:15Speaker 2: Nebraska here. I mean, they're coming off beating Washington at home.
- 15:18Speaker 1: Whatever.
- 15:19Speaker 2: It's not really that horrendous of a spot for them,
- 15:22Speaker 2: other than the fact that Michigan is looming on deck Minnesota,
- 15:26Speaker 2: I mean, you at least probably know they're going to
- 15:27Speaker 2: get up for this game. Minnesota has lost four games
- 15:30Speaker 2: in a row. They're back at home, and a lot
- 15:33Speaker 2: of times when teams go out on the road, they
- 15:35Speaker 2: come back home and they actually lost their last home game.
- 15:37Speaker 2: In this case, Minnesota lost their last two home games.
- 15:40Speaker 2: You will get a decent effort out of the team
- 15:42Speaker 2: in that spot. One thing Minnesota does have going for
- 15:45Speaker 2: them is they've actually been good in their conference home games,
- 15:48Speaker 2: losing by one tusc and by three to Wisconsin. Although
- 15:53Speaker 2: if you remember, I had Minnesota in that game against Wisconsin,
- 15:55Speaker 2: they failed to cover by one point because Wisconsin was
- 15:59Speaker 2: coming off the win over Michigan, so they caught Wisconsin
- 16:02Speaker 2: in a very good spot.
- 16:03Speaker 1: Oh in, Minnesota does.
- 16:06Speaker 2: Have a win over Iowa at home as well, so
- 16:08Speaker 2: that is a good win. And they beat Indiana at
- 16:11Speaker 2: home as well. So yeah, this Minnesota team, they have
- 16:14Speaker 2: been good at home in conference place, So there is that.
- 16:18Speaker 2: And I believe we do have a pacing contrast here
- 16:21Speaker 2: as well, because I believe Nebraska actually no dude, I
- 16:24Speaker 2: keep thinking Nebraska is a fast paced team, but they're not.
- 16:27Speaker 2: Under their new coaching regime here, They're actually a slower
- 16:30Speaker 2: paced team, so scratch that, so there should be a
- 16:33Speaker 2: slower paced game here. In general, the total is low
- 16:36Speaker 2: in the one thirties. All that being said, I would
- 16:40Speaker 2: lean to taking the points with Minnesota, but it does
- 16:42Speaker 2: not make my card. CBS at twelve noon as well,
- 16:47Speaker 2: we have Maryland at number ten Michigan Stateium.
- 16:50Speaker 1: This is a lopsided game.
- 16:52Speaker 2: Obviously, Maryland might be the worst team in the Big
- 16:54Speaker 2: Ten and they're really bad. They just lost at Illinois,
- 16:59Speaker 2: second straight road game. Now, it wasn't a close game
- 17:01Speaker 2: against Illinois, they lost by nineteen, but it's tough to
- 17:05Speaker 2: play all these road games in a row.
- 17:07Speaker 1: As well.
- 17:08Speaker 2: On Michigan State, I don't think they're in a particularly
- 17:10Speaker 2: bad spot. No, Well, they're coming back from the Pacific Coast,
- 17:13Speaker 2: so there is that. I guess it's a little bit
- 17:15Speaker 2: of an unfamiliar travel spot. I guess they've won five
- 17:18Speaker 2: games in a row. They beat Oregon out there, which
- 17:21Speaker 2: is not a huge win or anything, but there is
- 17:25Speaker 2: the possibility they just kind of just want to get
- 17:28Speaker 2: in and get out of this game. But they only
- 17:29Speaker 2: play Rutgers next as well, So a couple of easy
- 17:33Speaker 2: games here from Michigan State. They're a nineteen point favorite here.
- 17:37Speaker 2: What you could probably say is you're not gonna get
- 17:39Speaker 2: any line value on Michigan State, and they do play
- 17:41Speaker 2: slow and focus on defense a low total of one
- 17:44Speaker 2: forty and a half, so makes it a little bit
- 17:47Speaker 2: more difficult for them to win by a twenty point margin.
- 17:51Speaker 2: So I mean, if you forced me to, I guess
- 17:52Speaker 2: I would probably lean towards taking the points. But I
- 17:56Speaker 2: don't want any part of that game. Big game on
- 17:59Speaker 2: ESPN two at Dune ranked versus ranked North Carolina, Garrett,
- 18:04Speaker 2: wherever you are ranked twenty second in the country against
- 18:07Speaker 2: Virginia who's ranked?
- 18:08Speaker 1: What are they ranked fourteenth? Now?
- 18:12Speaker 2: I do like to get sell ken Pom to see, like,
- 18:14Speaker 2: are these rankings off by any means? And yeah, it
- 18:18Speaker 2: looks like they kind of are as ken Bum as
- 18:20Speaker 2: North Carolina at thirty third, So he has them not
- 18:23Speaker 2: even in the top twenty five right now, which is
- 18:25Speaker 2: not great, and he has Virginia thirteenth. So Virginia is
- 18:30Speaker 2: basically appropriately ranked by the rankings makers and North Carolina
- 18:33Speaker 2: is overrated, and you can kind of tell that that's
- 18:36Speaker 2: the case based on the fact that this line is
- 18:37Speaker 2: actually fairly high. Virginia is a seven point favorite here,
- 18:42Speaker 2: actually six and a half now it looks like I
- 18:44Speaker 2: thought I saw seven and a half's out there earlier,
- 18:46Speaker 2: but it's gone down a little bit, so maybe there's
- 18:50Speaker 2: some money coming into North Carolina. To me, this game
- 18:54Speaker 2: looks like North Carolina might wind up being kind of
- 18:56Speaker 2: a public underdog, though, because I think the public is
- 18:59Speaker 2: just not totally old on Virginia. They still they play
- 19:03Speaker 2: a little bit faster now that Tony Bennett is not
- 19:06Speaker 2: there anymore, but they're still kind of perceived. I think
- 19:08Speaker 2: it's this not great offensive team that plays ugly basketball.
- 19:12Speaker 2: North Carolina is still kind of that perception. Oh yeah,
- 19:15Speaker 2: this is a team that scores, and yeah they still
- 19:18Speaker 2: do that. They still run the floor, play fairly fast, whatever.
- 19:22Speaker 2: So Virginia might not have the advantage of being able
- 19:24Speaker 2: to slow it down as much here, but they might
- 19:26Speaker 2: still try to play the slower game here. As far
- 19:30Speaker 2: as what the scheduling spot looks like, North Carolina is
- 19:34Speaker 2: coming into this game off of nice bounce back win
- 19:37Speaker 2: they destroyed Notre Dame after North Carolina lost both games
- 19:41Speaker 2: out on the Pacific Coast. But now they're going back
- 19:43Speaker 2: out on the road, and North Carolina has not been
- 19:45Speaker 2: good on the road, although I know two of those
- 19:48Speaker 2: road losses that they have were the ones on the
- 19:50Speaker 2: Pacific Coast, so kind of a weird travel spot. But
- 19:53Speaker 2: Virginia is definitely better than Stanford and cow and North
- 19:56Speaker 2: Carolina also lost by double digits at SMU, so those
- 20:01Speaker 2: are their road losses. They do have a road win
- 20:03Speaker 2: at Kentucky Othough. Kentucky's been up and down and all
- 20:06Speaker 2: over the place, so I don't know what we expect
- 20:09Speaker 2: on in North Carolina here, but they haven't exactly been
- 20:11Speaker 2: good on the road, although this is gonna be their
- 20:14Speaker 2: nearest road game so far. But I would probably have
- 20:18Speaker 2: to lean towards laying it with Virginia. Virginia's coming back
- 20:21Speaker 2: home off of a couple of wins. They had a
- 20:23Speaker 2: close win at SMU in the last game.
- 20:26Speaker 1: Unfortunately we took a loss in that one because.
- 20:28Speaker 2: Virginia had beaten Louisville the game before then, it had
- 20:31Speaker 2: this UNC game on deck, so I thought it was
- 20:33Speaker 2: a sandwich spot in SMU. Came close and didn't cover
- 20:37Speaker 2: and let us down unfortunately. But it wasn't like a
- 20:40Speaker 2: game where I think Virginia is going to be in
- 20:42Speaker 2: some sort of you know, hangover spot or letdown spot
- 20:45Speaker 2: or anything like that. I would probably lean towards laying
- 20:47Speaker 2: it with Virginia in that one, but not a strong opinion.
- 20:51Speaker 1: Really for me.
- 20:53Speaker 2: A Number fifteen Vandy at Mississippi State at noon. Vandy
- 20:57Speaker 2: started out like really really hot to start the season.
- 20:59Speaker 2: Of course, the lost three games in a row now,
- 21:02Speaker 2: but they lost.
- 21:03Speaker 1: I believe all three losses were pretty.
- 21:06Speaker 2: Decent teams, even Texas. Texas is pretty underrated in my opinion.
- 21:10Speaker 2: Ken Bum has them forty first, which isn't great, but
- 21:13Speaker 2: he does have them as an extremely unlucky team Texas,
- 21:16Speaker 2: so they're at least better than they look. And then
- 21:18Speaker 2: Vandy no shame really and losing to Florida, and then
- 21:21Speaker 2: they lost to Arkansas. I mean, those are not horrible
- 21:23Speaker 2: losses really. Arkansas was a road loss, so I Vandy.
- 21:28Speaker 2: The tails of their demise I think are overstated right now,
- 21:33Speaker 2: where everybody's saying, oh, now that they've encountered these good teams,
- 21:36Speaker 2: now they can't win. Well, they did beat Alabama not
- 21:39Speaker 2: that long ago, though Alabama is not great. But I
- 21:42Speaker 2: think at some point Vandy's going to bounce back here.
- 21:44Speaker 1: Man.
- 21:44Speaker 2: I think after this ugly loss to Arkansas, maybe it
- 21:47Speaker 2: happens here. Ninety three to sixty eight. I mean, that
- 21:50Speaker 2: is a bad loss, and they were coming off.
- 21:52Speaker 1: A huge game against Florida.
- 21:53Speaker 2: The prior game, so it was kind of a hangover
- 21:56Speaker 2: spot there. They do play Kentucky next, which is kind
- 21:59Speaker 2: of a big game, but I don't know. I think
- 22:00Speaker 2: Vandy's gonna show up, would be my opinion to try
- 22:04Speaker 2: to write the ship here. Mississippi State probably is gonna
- 22:07Speaker 2: show up as well, as they're coming back home. Or
- 22:09Speaker 2: the last time they were here they lost two games
- 22:13Speaker 2: in a row to Alabama and to their rival oh Miss.
- 22:16Speaker 2: They just went out on the road and they lost
- 22:18Speaker 2: by twenty to Texas A and M, So I think
- 22:20Speaker 2: Mississippi State will show up as well. But I think
- 22:25Speaker 2: if we're expecting both teams to show up here, I
- 22:27Speaker 2: think Vandy is probably the lean in this one. They're
- 22:30Speaker 2: up to a seven and a half point road favorite here,
- 22:32Speaker 2: so again, I think the tails of their demise are
- 22:35Speaker 2: being overstated here with the fact that they're still laying
- 22:38Speaker 2: a bunch of points on the road here and getting
- 22:40Speaker 2: respect from the odds makers, and Ken bum stills them
- 22:43Speaker 2: is the fifteenth best team in the country. They're still
- 22:45Speaker 2: a pretty legit team, man, Ken bumb stills them is
- 22:49Speaker 2: the second best SEC team behind Florida, and I think
- 22:51Speaker 2: it's fairly close between the two of them still. So
- 22:55Speaker 2: those are my thoughts on that one. Number eighteen, Clemson
- 22:58Speaker 2: is at Georgia Tech, a new one on the ACC network.
- 23:02Speaker 2: Clemson coming into this one off of losing a long
- 23:06Speaker 2: wind streak. Man, Clemson had not lost a conference game yet.
- 23:10Speaker 2: And you know what I say, when you have a
- 23:12Speaker 2: team that hasn't lost in a long time, They hadn't
- 23:14Speaker 2: lost this They lost back to back games to Alabama.
- 23:17Speaker 1: And BYU long long ago.
- 23:19Speaker 2: So when a team has a long win streak, snap,
- 23:21Speaker 2: but I think it can hang them over into the
- 23:23Speaker 2: next game. And this is a tough overtime game against
- 23:26Speaker 2: a pretty underrated NC State team. And unfortunately that one
- 23:29Speaker 2: was not on my card because I liked NC State
- 23:32Speaker 2: in that game and they won Outright now, I don't
- 23:35Speaker 2: know that Clemson is going to necessarily bounce back right away.
- 23:39Speaker 2: They don't have a huge game on deck really though
- 23:41Speaker 2: against Pitt. I mean, Pitt's not that good, although Pitt
- 23:44Speaker 2: did give them a run for their money at Pitt.
- 23:46Speaker 2: Pitt came to within five of them when they played
- 23:50Speaker 2: them before. But I don't want Georgia Tech here either,
- 23:54Speaker 2: because Georgia Tech is coming off beating NC State. So
- 23:58Speaker 2: people might look at this at the well, if Georgia
- 24:00Speaker 2: Tech beat NC State on the road and NC State
- 24:03Speaker 2: beat Clemson at Clemson, then maybe Georgia Tech's a live
- 24:06Speaker 2: underdog here, right, I wouldn't go that far, even though
- 24:10Speaker 2: I don't think the spot is that great for Clemson.
- 24:12Speaker 2: I definitely have my reservations about looking at Georgia Tech.
- 24:16Speaker 1: In this one.
- 24:17Speaker 2: Now, Georgia Tech did erase a three game losing streak
- 24:20Speaker 2: with that win over NC State, but that was a
- 24:22Speaker 2: good road win, man, And it was actually really good
- 24:26Speaker 2: because they were a huge underdog in this game. There
- 24:28Speaker 2: were seventeen and a half point underdogs in this game,
- 24:31Speaker 2: and Will Wade was not happy about his team's loss
- 24:34Speaker 2: in that game. So yeah, I mean you could definitely
- 24:37Speaker 2: make the argument it's a letdown spot after that for
- 24:39Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. So I don't want any part of them
- 24:41Speaker 2: either in this game, although they're not gonna overlook Clemson
- 24:44Speaker 2: coming into their house though, you know, so it's a
- 24:47Speaker 2: difficult handicap for sure. Clemson has dropped from an eight
- 24:50Speaker 2: point favorite to a seven and a half point favorite here. Man,
- 24:55Speaker 2: it's a difficult handicap. I mean, I I guess I
- 25:00Speaker 2: would actually probably have to lean towards laying the points
- 25:02Speaker 2: to the Clemson though, just because they did lose as
- 25:04Speaker 2: a home favorite.
- 25:05Speaker 1: I worry about that hangover effect.
- 25:07Speaker 2: But I can't be on a team that just pulled
- 25:09Speaker 2: off a monster upset like that.
- 25:13Speaker 1: With Georgia tacks, So that would be my opinion.
- 25:14Speaker 2: But of course you do have to worry that Clemson
- 25:17Speaker 2: they're not really built, like their style is not conducive
- 25:20Speaker 2: to laying points on the road like.
- 25:21Speaker 1: This though, so that's kind of a problem.
- 25:23Speaker 2: They play kind of a slow defensive style and the
- 25:26Speaker 2: totals pretty low in the one forties. Okay, we do
- 25:34Speaker 2: have American at holy Cross. I mean, I just I
- 25:38Speaker 2: looked at this game because American is coming off this
- 25:40Speaker 2: big win over Colgate. They got a little bit of
- 25:42Speaker 2: revenge against Colgates, so they're looking like they could be
- 25:45Speaker 2: in a letdown spot. But then you look at their schedule.
- 25:48Speaker 2: American actually lost at home to holy Cross earlier this year,
- 25:52Speaker 2: and American were like eight and a half point favorites
- 25:54Speaker 2: in that game. So they had a bad game against
- 25:57Speaker 2: holy Cross, so that might actually keep them from overlooking
- 26:00Speaker 2: holy Cross here. And I dove into that game and
- 26:03Speaker 2: it was definitely kind of misleading, Like I think American
- 26:05Speaker 2: had a terrible shooting game or something.
- 26:09Speaker 1: Yeah, they shot eight percent from three point range in
- 26:12Speaker 1: the game.
- 26:13Speaker 2: That was one thing that happened. The Holy Cross also
- 26:15Speaker 2: went to the line more often. The holy Cross actually
- 26:18Speaker 2: won the rebounding battle by one. But holy Cross also
- 26:20Speaker 2: shot fifty five percent from the field, so they outscored
- 26:25Speaker 2: American from the field even though American had more field
- 26:28Speaker 2: goal attempts. So it's kind of a misleading result. So
- 26:30Speaker 2: there are some positives for American here that it is
- 26:33Speaker 2: one of those second meetings where they actually might still
- 26:36Speaker 2: show up here. Holy Cross did get blown out by
- 26:39Speaker 2: Navy in their last game, and I don't really see
- 26:41Speaker 2: them overlooking American even though they did beat them that
- 26:44Speaker 2: one time, because American is higher up than they are
- 26:47Speaker 2: in the standing. So this is another difficult handicap. But
- 26:50Speaker 2: I just figured i'd go, you know, go through my
- 26:52Speaker 2: thought process with you here. American's down from four to
- 26:55Speaker 2: two here though, so the initial line of was coming
- 26:57Speaker 2: in on the Holy Cross side. You know, I guess
- 27:04Speaker 2: I'll agree with it because American did just get that
- 27:07Speaker 2: big win over a Colgate.
- 27:08Speaker 1: But I don't really love that, man.
- 27:11Speaker 2: ESPNU has NC State at pit at noon as well.
- 27:15Speaker 1: A lot of these games are earlier.
- 27:16Speaker 2: There are a lot of earlier games tomorrow, man, and
- 27:18Speaker 2: the board is a little bit shorter again because some
- 27:21Speaker 2: games actually got postponed.
- 27:23Speaker 1: Because of the weather as well.
- 27:24Speaker 2: So there are a few games on the board that
- 27:26Speaker 2: none of them got canceled. I don't think even though
- 27:28Speaker 2: it says some of them are canceled on the board,
- 27:30Speaker 2: those ones got moved to today's Friday.
- 27:33Speaker 1: And then there are some that are postponed until whenever.
- 27:37Speaker 1: NC State.
- 27:37Speaker 2: Of course, they're coming off that huge win at Clemson.
- 27:40Speaker 2: That was a big win for them. They were not
- 27:41Speaker 2: a huge underdog in the game, but big time win
- 27:44Speaker 2: for them.
- 27:45Speaker 1: Man.
- 27:45Speaker 2: And now they're playing not only a second straight road game,
- 27:47Speaker 2: but a fourth road game in five games. That's not
- 27:50Speaker 2: easy to do having to go up to Pit. They
- 27:53Speaker 2: do have Syracuse on deck, which is at least a
- 27:55Speaker 2: bigger name. You know, Syracuse has been better than Pitt
- 27:58Speaker 2: this season as well. Pitt has been the Pits. They've
- 28:01Speaker 2: been awful this season so far. They've had some real
- 28:06Speaker 2: ugly losses in conference play here, although they've played some
- 28:09Speaker 2: decent teams in conference, so they haven't played any of
- 28:11Speaker 2: the North Carolina teams yet. I don't think Pitt probably
- 28:15Speaker 2: is gonna show up here as they've lost five of
- 28:17Speaker 2: their last six games. They just went up to Boston
- 28:20Speaker 2: College and lost that game, and that was after getting
- 28:22Speaker 2: smoked by Louisville in the game prior to that, so
- 28:25Speaker 2: I think Pitt and that was their prior home game
- 28:28Speaker 2: by the way, so the last time Pitt was on
- 28:30Speaker 2: this floor, they were losing one hundred to fifty nine
- 28:32Speaker 2: to Louisville. So I think Pitt will show up in
- 28:35Speaker 2: this game. So I do prefer Pitt as far as
- 28:38Speaker 2: the side and that one. It doesn't make my car,
- 28:42Speaker 2: but I like Pitt in that one. NC States all
- 28:44Speaker 2: the way up to a seven point favorite in that
- 28:46Speaker 2: one too. Total not too high at one forty five
- 28:49Speaker 2: and a half as well. So I like Pitt plus
- 28:51Speaker 2: the points in that one. You had a parlay today
- 28:55Speaker 2: with Louisiana, Monroe, East Carolina, Mercy hearst a minute, Saint
- 29:01Speaker 2: Louis and Utah State. Yeah, that's crazy. I didn't expect
- 29:06Speaker 2: Saint Louis to win in a blowout like that. Man,
- 29:08Speaker 2: I was kind of leaning against them in that game.
- 29:10Speaker 2: I think I liked Furman.
- 29:12Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 29:12Speaker 2: I don't know what my thoughts were on some of
- 29:13Speaker 2: those other games. I don't think I touched on all
- 29:15Speaker 2: of them.
- 29:16Speaker 1: Today.
- 29:16Speaker 2: I liked Utah State to bounce back. But that's good.
- 29:19Speaker 2: That's a big.
- 29:20Speaker 1: Hopefully one big on that. I don't know.
- 29:24Speaker 2: Okay, next up, play number one is coming up next,
- 29:29Speaker 2: All right, let's do it, man. I'm also consulting my
- 29:33Speaker 2: guide here because I have other games that almost made
- 29:36Speaker 2: my car that I'm talking about here, but I'm trying
- 29:38Speaker 2: to limit it.
- 29:38Speaker 1: To the best, man, the best of the best. Let's go.
- 29:43Speaker 1: First game up.
- 29:45Speaker 2: I know this is gonna look extremely ugly, but we're
- 29:48Speaker 2: gonna lay the points with Sacred Heart nine and a half. Well,
- 29:52Speaker 2: who are they playing? Yeah, they're playing Niagara. I mean
- 29:54Speaker 2: Niagara is really, really bad. But nobody's gonna the public's
- 29:58Speaker 2: not even gonna look at this game. But why would
- 30:01Speaker 2: the public want to lay if they do look at it,
- 30:03Speaker 2: Why would they want to lay nine and a half
- 30:04Speaker 2: with an eight and thirteen team? Right Like, it looks
- 30:07Speaker 2: like both these teams are bad. So the line looks
- 30:10Speaker 2: way too big. But the osmakers are obviously telling you
- 30:14Speaker 2: something here. They're telling you that Niagara sucks. It's what
- 30:16Speaker 2: they're telling you. And if you look at the spot here,
- 30:19Speaker 2: this has a lot that I like going for it.
- 30:22Speaker 1: Man.
- 30:23Speaker 2: Niagara just went to Fairfield and took Fairfield to the limit.
- 30:27Speaker 2: And Fairfield was a ten and a half point favorite
- 30:30Speaker 2: in this game, and Niagara almost won the game outright,
- 30:34Speaker 2: And Niagara was only in position to win this game
- 30:37Speaker 2: right at the end, after Fairfield was winning by double
- 30:40Speaker 2: digits early. Fairfield was hanging on to a lead for
- 30:43Speaker 2: most of the game, and then Niagara took the lead
- 30:45Speaker 2: in the final minutes of the game and then blew it.
- 30:48Speaker 2: Fairfield hit a three pointer I think with like hardly
- 30:51Speaker 2: any time left, So that is just that is brutal, dude. Yeah,
- 30:55Speaker 2: they hit a three pointer with seven seconds left. That's
- 30:58Speaker 2: how Niagara lost that game. So even though Fairfield doesn't
- 31:01Speaker 2: look like they're that good of a team, that was
- 31:03Speaker 2: a monster game where Niagara almost pulled off an upset. Man,
- 31:07Speaker 2: if you look at the stats in the game, it
- 31:09Speaker 2: was misleading.
- 31:09Speaker 1: Because of course it was.
- 31:13Speaker 2: Let me see here, what was Yeah, Fairfield out rebounded
- 31:16Speaker 2: Niagara by ten. They led seventy five percent of the game,
- 31:19Speaker 2: so they played better in the game than Niagara did.
- 31:24Speaker 2: Fairfield had five more field goal attempts as well, so yeah,
- 31:28Speaker 2: they won the game, but they should have won the
- 31:30Speaker 2: game by more based on these stats. Man, they didn't
- 31:32Speaker 2: shoot that well from three, although neither team really did.
- 31:34Speaker 2: But also Fairfield was just not hitting their free throws either,
- 31:39Speaker 2: although neither team got to the line much. But really
- 31:42Speaker 2: it was the rebounding battle that really like did it
- 31:44Speaker 2: for me? Like, yeah, Fairfield actually was the better team
- 31:46Speaker 2: in that game. So now Niagara's coming off of that
- 31:49Speaker 2: game and they're playing a second straight road game, and
- 31:52Speaker 2: they're actually playing a fifth road game in the last
- 31:55Speaker 2: six games, which is really not easy to do. And
- 31:58Speaker 2: they play Sianna now and then Maris and those are
- 32:02Speaker 2: pretty good teams in the conference, man, and they lost
- 32:05Speaker 2: eighty three to fifty four when they played they actually
- 32:08Speaker 2: already played Sianna, and that's what they did against them.
- 32:11Speaker 2: They lost at Sianna, got totally embarrassed. So I think
- 32:14Speaker 2: they might be looking ahead to Sianna man.
- 32:16Speaker 1: For that reason.
- 32:17Speaker 2: And there might be even more of a reason to
- 32:19Speaker 2: look ahead because guess who they beat in conference. One
- 32:22Speaker 2: of the only two conference wins was against Sacred Heart,
- 32:26Speaker 2: so Sacred Heart actually lost to Niagara already. So I
- 32:30Speaker 2: think Sacred Heart's gonna remember that and not be happy
- 32:32Speaker 2: about that and actually show up and not take Niagara
- 32:35Speaker 2: for granted here, whereas Niagara already beat them once. And
- 32:39Speaker 2: if you look at this game, it was also misleading.
- 32:41Speaker 2: I think Sacred Heart was only a one and a
- 32:43Speaker 2: half point favorite, though on the road they open three
- 32:48Speaker 2: and a half. So yeah, this line looks a little
- 32:50Speaker 2: bit high based on that, But even so, I.
- 32:53Speaker 1: Mean, I just think there was a lot misleading about
- 32:55Speaker 1: all of this. Man.
- 32:56Speaker 2: Sacred Heart lost the turnover battle in that game. They
- 32:59Speaker 2: won the rebounding out of by thirteen, so they were
- 33:02Speaker 2: the better team in that regard. They had six more
- 33:05Speaker 2: field goal attempts as well, but they only shot thirty
- 33:07Speaker 2: eight percent from the field twenty six percent from three
- 33:10Speaker 2: and Niagara shot forty two percent from three and hit
- 33:13Speaker 2: ten three pointers. So this was a misleading result. Man,
- 33:18Speaker 2: if you if you dig into this box score for
- 33:20Speaker 2: a whole bunch of reasons, Sacred Heart was really the
- 33:23Speaker 2: better team in the game, and again they lost based
- 33:25Speaker 2: on turnovers and just not shooting well. So I think
- 33:29Speaker 2: there's a lot of room for some positive regression you
- 33:31Speaker 2: have for Sacred Heart in this game. So it is
- 33:34Speaker 2: one of those It is a revenge spot basically, if
- 33:37Speaker 2: you want to call it that, but more of a
- 33:38Speaker 2: second meeting adjustment spot.
- 33:41Speaker 1: But it's also a.
- 33:41Speaker 2: Spot where I think Sacred Heart is going to be
- 33:43Speaker 2: focused because they almost lost their previous game, which was
- 33:46Speaker 2: a home game against Canesius, and Sacred Heart was a
- 33:49Speaker 2: huge favorite in this game. They were ten and a
- 33:51Speaker 2: half point favorites and they almost lost the game to Canesius.
- 33:55Speaker 2: So dude, everything that I look for in this game
- 33:57Speaker 2: is lining up. But Sacred Heart look at this game. Yeah,
- 34:01Speaker 2: I mean, Sacred Heart did win the rebounding battle by
- 34:05Speaker 2: one against Kenesius. It was a close game statistically, so
- 34:10Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say this is really a misleading game,
- 34:12Speaker 2: although Sacred Heart again was not knocking down their free throws,
- 34:15Speaker 2: so maybe that's a problem.
- 34:17Speaker 1: That they have.
- 34:17Speaker 2: But still it was a bad game for them when
- 34:20Speaker 2: they almost lost the games. So hopefully all of that
- 34:23Speaker 2: makes sense. I'm too tired, man. It's a nine to
- 34:27Speaker 2: nine and a half is the line on this one.
- 34:28Speaker 2: I know it's a low total, one thirty nine and
- 34:30Speaker 2: a half. But Niagara is terrible. Oh, we haven't even
- 34:32Speaker 2: looked at ken Bomb yet.
- 34:34Speaker 1: Ken Bomb's got.
- 34:35Speaker 2: Sacred Heart two hundred and seventy ninth, which is bad obviously,
- 34:39Speaker 2: and they're a really bad defense, but they're not too
- 34:42Speaker 2: high up in as luck index.
- 34:44Speaker 1: And if you look at Niagara here.
- 34:47Speaker 2: He has Niagara as legit.
- 34:51Speaker 1: They're just an awful team.
- 34:52Speaker 2: They're in the bottom thirteen or fourteen teams in all
- 34:56Speaker 2: of Division one. They're bad on both sides of the ball,
- 34:59Speaker 2: offensive defense, outside of the top.
- 35:02Speaker 1: Three thirty in both, and they play the.
- 35:05Speaker 2: Absolute slowest tempo in all of basketball. So there is that,
- 35:10Speaker 2: I guess. But that means Sacred Heart's probably gonna try
- 35:12Speaker 2: to speed them up a little bit and get them
- 35:15Speaker 2: frustrated that way and get them uncomfortable that way.
- 35:17Speaker 1: So yeah.
- 35:21Speaker 2: Again, mostly it's a situational play, but I think ken
- 35:23Speaker 2: Bum's numbers bear it out because Niagara is just a really,
- 35:26Speaker 2: really bad team. I think ken Bomb has this line
- 35:29Speaker 2: somewhere close to where it is. So that's the first play.
- 35:32Speaker 2: Hopefully that makes sense. Yeah, they suck, but maybe Purple Eagles. Yeah,
- 35:38Speaker 2: they don't even exist. Well, they're Eagles that are choking.
- 35:41Speaker 2: They're the George Floyd Eagles. But yeah, I mean, Niagara
- 35:46Speaker 2: sucking is not enough reason for me to do it,
- 35:49Speaker 2: but I gave you all the reasons why I'm doing that.
- 35:51Speaker 2: Niagara sucks is factory into the line, but I just
- 35:54Speaker 2: gave you all the other reasons why I like that play.
- 35:57Speaker 2: That's on ESPN Plus if you want it all right,
- 36:02Speaker 2: let me see what other games is I gonna talk
- 36:03Speaker 2: about here. Elon at Charleston is an interesting one. Elon
- 36:09Speaker 2: we just gotta win with tousand against them, So I
- 36:12Speaker 2: thought Elon is in a bad spot right because they
- 36:15Speaker 2: had upset Hofstra the game before that on the road.
- 36:17Speaker 2: That was a nice win for Elon against what I
- 36:20Speaker 2: think is probably the best team in the Colonial Hastra.
- 36:23Speaker 2: Elon had a bit of a let down against towsand
- 36:26Speaker 2: and also I think they might have been looking ahead
- 36:28Speaker 2: to Charleston because Charleston is one of the best teams
- 36:31Speaker 2: in this conference as well, and I think Charleston is
- 36:34Speaker 2: the bigger brother to Elon in South Carolina. I think
- 36:37Speaker 2: they're am I wrong about that? Is Elon in North Carolina.
- 36:39Speaker 2: I keep messing that up. I apologize, but yeah, they are.
- 36:42Speaker 2: My mistake, it's North Carolina. But whatever, Charleston's still a.
- 36:46Speaker 1: Big game for them.
- 36:47Speaker 2: So now I think the shoe was on the other foot,
- 36:49Speaker 2: and I think Elon coming up that ugly home loss
- 36:52Speaker 2: as a favorite, they were caught in a sandwich. I
- 36:55Speaker 2: think they're gonna be looking I think they're gonna be
- 36:56Speaker 2: focused excusually on this game now against Charleston. Charleston just
- 37:01Speaker 2: bounced back with a decent win over Campbell, but Charleston
- 37:05Speaker 2: as Hofstra up next. Man, that's a big game that
- 37:08Speaker 2: might determine something in this conference.
- 37:10Speaker 1: I know Howstra does have three conference losses.
- 37:13Speaker 2: Now, but that is a big game coming up against
- 37:16Speaker 2: Hafstrom Man so and Charleston already beat Elon on the road,
- 37:20Speaker 2: by the way, so this is an avenging road underdog
- 37:24Speaker 2: angle for Elon. Here as Charleston went to Elon and
- 37:27Speaker 2: beat them in the prior game, So I would only
- 37:30Speaker 2: play Elon in this game.
- 37:32Speaker 1: Charleston's a three and a half point favorite.
- 37:34Speaker 2: It looks like it's going up a little bit, but yes,
- 37:36Speaker 2: I would take the points with Elon in that game.
- 37:39Speaker 1: All right. Next up now, Towsing at NCAA T. I
- 37:48Speaker 1: kind of had my eye.
- 37:49Speaker 2: On this is because NCAAT just upset hofstrum Man. I mean,
- 37:53Speaker 2: that is a huge win. They were a big underdog
- 37:56Speaker 2: in that game. I'm pretty sure ridiculous win for NCAA
- 37:58Speaker 2: and T. I mean, they're really bad team. There were
- 38:01Speaker 2: nine and a half point underdogs in this game. That
- 38:03Speaker 2: was a big win for them.
- 38:05Speaker 1: Now the one positive for them because.
- 38:07Speaker 2: I think they're in a letdown spot here, but that
- 38:09Speaker 2: was their first conference win, and I talk about how
- 38:11Speaker 2: sometimes when you get that first conference win you break
- 38:14Speaker 2: a losing streak, it will actually propel you with some
- 38:17Speaker 2: momentum forwards. So it's not all negative frenzy at here.
- 38:21Speaker 2: But I still kind of lean towards it being a
- 38:22Speaker 2: letdown spot for them. But tousand is also coming off
- 38:26Speaker 2: a pretty nice win. Like I said, we had them
- 38:28Speaker 2: against Elon. That was a nice upset win. Now this
- 38:31Speaker 2: is their second straight road game, and who do they
- 38:33Speaker 2: have on deck? They have un See Wilmington on deck,
- 38:36Speaker 2: and that is a big game you and see Wilmington
- 38:39Speaker 2: is still sitting atop the conference here, and it's definitely
- 38:42Speaker 2: one of the best teams in this conference. So thousand
- 38:45Speaker 2: is kind of in a sandwich spot here, man, So
- 38:48Speaker 2: what can we do about that game? I mean, besides
- 38:51Speaker 2: stay off of it because I'm a sides guy and
- 38:53Speaker 2: that's all I really do. Thousand's up from five to
- 38:56Speaker 2: seven and a half here though, so the money looks
- 38:58Speaker 2: like it has come in on than laying the points,
- 39:01Speaker 2: and yeah, you know, I guess I won't disagree with that,
- 39:06Speaker 2: just because my instinc just to fade the team coming
- 39:08Speaker 2: off the bigger upset and that was NCA and T
- 39:11Speaker 2: and NCA T. As I've talked about, they're really that
- 39:14Speaker 2: one dimensional team with one really really good player that
- 39:16Speaker 2: they have. So if you know how to stop him,
- 39:20Speaker 2: you could shut them down, and most teams have been
- 39:23Speaker 2: able to do that. Talking a lot about the colonial here, man,
- 39:27Speaker 2: there are a lot of kind of situational angles to
- 39:29Speaker 2: talk about here. Monmouth is at Campbell. Monmouth just took
- 39:32Speaker 2: a loss at Hampton. Not a great loss. Hampton not
- 39:36Speaker 2: a very good team. I don't think either team was
- 39:38Speaker 2: a huge favorite in this game. No, Hampton was a
- 39:40Speaker 2: small favorite in the game. Still pretty ugly for Monmouth.
- 39:44Speaker 2: It is a second straight road game. But really my
- 39:47Speaker 2: concern here would be that Campbell might not be in
- 39:49Speaker 2: a good spot here because look at the run that
- 39:51Speaker 2: they just made.
- 39:52Speaker 1: Man, they just played three.
- 39:53Speaker 2: Straight road games, played to within one of Elon, It,
- 39:56Speaker 2: played to within three of UNC Wilmington, and played to
- 39:58Speaker 2: within four of charl And I presume they were an
- 40:02Speaker 2: underdog in all three of those games.
- 40:03Speaker 1: So they're coming off of three big performances in.
- 40:06Speaker 2: A row, and they already beat Monmouth on the road,
- 40:09Speaker 2: and that's who they're playing here.
- 40:11Speaker 1: And if you dive into that box score.
- 40:15Speaker 2: This game, I mean, Campbell.
- 40:19Speaker 1: What was it? I forget what I was gonna say.
- 40:20Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Campbell, I don't know. I forget.
- 40:22Speaker 2: I apologize. I forget what I was gonna say about
- 40:24Speaker 2: this game. Campbell did actually out rebound mom in the game,
- 40:27Speaker 2: so in a way, they were actually the better team
- 40:28Speaker 2: in the game. A lot of the stats are actually
- 40:30Speaker 2: kind of close in the game, so there wasn't really anything.
- 40:32Speaker 1: To really see in that box score there. But never mind.
- 40:35Speaker 2: I apologize, man, I'm trying to remember all my thoughts
- 40:38Speaker 2: from what I looked at all these games earlier, and
- 40:40Speaker 2: as I rehandicap everything. But I would take the points
- 40:43Speaker 2: with Mondmouth in this game if I was gonna play
- 40:45Speaker 2: This one actually almost made my card, but then I
- 40:48Speaker 2: guess I just did what I just did there, and
- 40:50Speaker 2: I dug into the box score and I didn't really
- 40:52Speaker 2: see enough there to want to do it. But it
- 40:54Speaker 2: is still I think a hangover spot for Campbell plus
- 40:57Speaker 2: road revenge for Monmouth here, So you're getting five and
- 41:01Speaker 2: a half now, it looks like with Monmouth there the number.
- 41:04Speaker 1: Dropped a little bit from six.
- 41:05Speaker 2: But yes, I would take the points in that one
- 41:07Speaker 2: with Monmouth if I was gonna play it. Hostra is
- 41:10Speaker 2: that William and Mary. This is actually a pretty interesting game.
- 41:13Speaker 2: William and Mary having a decent season and actually is
- 41:16Speaker 2: ahead of Hofstra right now because they have the tiebreaker. Interestingly,
- 41:20Speaker 2: you gotta think Hostro is gonna bounce back here, though
- 41:23Speaker 2: I know they're playing a third road game in four games.
- 41:25Speaker 2: Though in a second straight road game, but that was
- 41:27Speaker 2: an ugly, ugly loss to NCAA and Team Man, so
- 41:31Speaker 2: I do think that they bounce back in this one.
- 41:33Speaker 1: From that, I would prefer Hostra in this game. They
- 41:36Speaker 1: are the better team.
- 41:38Speaker 2: And William and Mary just beat UNC Wilmington and they
- 41:43Speaker 2: beat NCAA and T the game before that, which isn't
- 41:45Speaker 2: a big deal except that if the public comes and
- 41:47Speaker 2: looks at this, they're gonna see, oh, William and Mary
- 41:49Speaker 2: beat NCAA and T and they beat Hofstra, so they
- 41:52Speaker 2: might want William and Mary in this game.
- 41:54Speaker 1: But I don't look at things that way.
- 41:55Speaker 2: Man, that transitive property thing, it doesn't mean a whole
- 41:58Speaker 2: lot like you can't for which team is better just
- 42:01Speaker 2: based on one result, you know, for each team, right,
- 42:04Speaker 2: it depends on what the situation was.
- 42:06Speaker 1: Whatever.
- 42:07Speaker 2: Now, William and Mary, they're not gonna overlook Hofstra, but
- 42:09Speaker 2: that was a huge win for them against UNC Wilmington,
- 42:12Speaker 2: so having to play another big game, although at least
- 42:15Speaker 2: for them they're staying at home.
- 42:16Speaker 1: But I would have to lean towards Hofstra in this game.
- 42:20Speaker 2: William and Mary is actually up to a two and
- 42:22Speaker 2: a half point favorite there, so you're getting a couple
- 42:24Speaker 2: of points there with what I think is the better team.
- 42:27Speaker 2: Hofstra and the Osburgers are still telling you they are
- 42:29Speaker 2: the better team because William and Mary isn't getting full
- 42:32Speaker 2: home court there. But I would lean to Hostra in
- 42:34Speaker 2: that one, all right. Twelve thirty pm on Fox Big
- 42:38Speaker 2: East play Villanova at Yukon. Yukon ranked number two in
- 42:42Speaker 2: the country according to the rankings, but ken Bam is
- 42:46Speaker 2: kind of saying not so fast here.
- 42:48Speaker 1: Oh.
- 42:49Speaker 2: Ken Bom has Yukon eleventh in his rankings. So Yukon,
- 42:53Speaker 2: they're a little bit overrated right now. Man, He's got
- 42:56Speaker 2: them thirty third in his luck Index. Yukon's a very
- 42:59Speaker 2: good defensive team. They have some offensive deficiencies and they're
- 43:04Speaker 2: like kind of the typical Yukon team though except less balance,
- 43:07Speaker 2: I guess, than what they have had when they were
- 43:10Speaker 2: like that really good team a couple of years ago.
- 43:12Speaker 2: They still play slow, they still play really good defense,
- 43:15Speaker 2: and Villanova does that as well. So I think an
- 43:19Speaker 2: under does make sense in this game because both teams
- 43:21Speaker 2: play slow, both teams focus on defense, so under might
- 43:25Speaker 2: actually be better than the side.
- 43:27Speaker 1: And this one.
- 43:27Speaker 2: The total actually went up a little bit to one
- 43:29Speaker 2: thirty six, but I do think under is worthy of
- 43:32Speaker 2: maybe a look in this one, although I don't do
- 43:34Speaker 2: really anything with totals. Villanova just beat Georgetown. Nothing to
- 43:38Speaker 2: really see there, but now they're going out on the
- 43:40Speaker 2: road to face you Connell. They haven't exactly been bad
- 43:43Speaker 2: on the road Villanova. They beat Seaton Hall on the road.
- 43:46Speaker 2: They beat Butler on the road easily. They beat Marquette.
- 43:50Speaker 2: I know Marquettes down and Villanova didn't win by that much,
- 43:53Speaker 2: but still a road win.
- 43:54Speaker 1: Providence they won on the road as well.
- 43:56Speaker 2: So Villanova they're actually undefeated in conference on the road,
- 44:00Speaker 2: so they've been good on the road, but they haven't
- 44:02Speaker 2: played a team as good as Yukon on the road yet.
- 44:04Speaker 2: The Big East is not a great conference though man
- 44:08Speaker 2: Yukon is still the best team in the conference and
- 44:10Speaker 2: they're just not really that good, and Saint John's is
- 44:14Speaker 2: the next best team.
- 44:15Speaker 1: I think a ken bum has them at twenty second.
- 44:18Speaker 2: Yukon also just played Georgetown, but they almost lost, so
- 44:22Speaker 2: people might look at that and say, well, Villanova just
- 44:24Speaker 2: beat Georgetown easily and Yukon just struggle with Georgetown, so
- 44:28Speaker 2: they the public might actually want Villanova in this game
- 44:31Speaker 2: plus the points, even though they might still have a
- 44:33Speaker 2: tendency to lay points with the number two ranked team.
- 44:36Speaker 2: But the fact that Yukon's coming off a bad game
- 44:39Speaker 2: where they almost lost to Georgetown and now they're back
- 44:42Speaker 2: at home where they have been a little bit better
- 44:44Speaker 2: on me see is this, Uh you got to look
- 44:46Speaker 2: at where the game is. By the way, this is
- 44:48Speaker 2: in Hartford, So it's not in stores Connecticut, because I
- 44:51Speaker 2: think Yukon has a bigger home advantage in stores because
- 44:54Speaker 2: that's on campus and you get the rowdy crowd with
- 44:57Speaker 2: you know, all the college kids can just show up.
- 45:00Speaker 2: It was.
- 45:00Speaker 1: Hartford is more like the.
- 45:01Speaker 2: Old Yukon money that shows up at those games, you know,
- 45:04Speaker 2: so the crowd is less crazy for it. But if
- 45:09Speaker 2: I had to lean to a side, I would probably
- 45:11Speaker 2: lay it with Yukon.
- 45:12Speaker 1: They're up to ten and a half year, but.
- 45:13Speaker 2: They are coming off the worst performance.
- 45:16Speaker 1: Really.
- 45:17Speaker 2: Villanova is not gonna overlook them, of course though, so
- 45:20Speaker 2: you know, I think both teams showing up and playing
- 45:23Speaker 2: defense there might lend itself towards an under Like I said,
- 45:26Speaker 2: even though that seems not correlated to Yukon covering, But
- 45:30Speaker 2: those are the ways that I lean in that game.
- 45:33Speaker 2: Georgetown is at Providence on TNT. I'm gonna try to
- 45:37Speaker 2: hit the TV games at least Georgetown. Of course, like
- 45:39Speaker 2: I said, they just lost at Villanova on the heels
- 45:42Speaker 2: of playing Yukon really close. It was a tough spot
- 45:45Speaker 2: for Georgetown after that huge performance against Yukon to then
- 45:49Speaker 2: have to go to Villanova right after that.
- 45:51Speaker 1: Not easy. Man.
- 45:52Speaker 2: Now they're going to Providence another road game, playing a
- 45:56Speaker 2: second straight road game.
- 45:57Speaker 1: Not easy. Third road game in four games.
- 45:59Speaker 2: Still not easy to do, man, Providence, They're coming into
- 46:03Speaker 2: this game coming back from Marquette and they had a
- 46:06Speaker 2: really crazy game against Marquette that went into overtime.
- 46:09Speaker 1: Both teams scored over one hundred points in the game.
- 46:12Speaker 2: Marquette came away with the win, but it was, you know,
- 46:16Speaker 2: a fast paced game, and those teams just play fast
- 46:18Speaker 2: and they don't play defense. Right now, Providence of Marquette,
- 46:23Speaker 2: So what do we do with this game?
- 46:25Speaker 1: I don't know, man.
- 46:26Speaker 2: Providence does have Yukon next, so there is the potential
- 46:29Speaker 2: look ahead there for Providence. There these teams have not
- 46:32Speaker 2: played yet this season. Providence is a six and a
- 46:36Speaker 2: half point favorite in this game. They're oft from six
- 46:38Speaker 2: to six and a half.
- 46:41Speaker 1: You know, I don't know. I almost want to lead towards.
- 46:44Speaker 2: Taking the points here because Georgetown is coming off that
- 46:47Speaker 2: uglier game there in Providence, is coming up that fast
- 46:50Speaker 2: paced barn Burner and having to travel back from Milwaukee
- 46:53Speaker 2: here and has.
- 46:54Speaker 1: Yukon on decks.
- 46:55Speaker 2: So I think I would probably actually lead towards Georgetown there,
- 46:58Speaker 2: but not a strong opinion.
- 47:00Speaker 1: One PM, we have number twenty one.
- 47:02Speaker 2: Georgia at Texas, trying to fly through these man, see
- 47:06Speaker 2: how fast I can go. I've only given out one
- 47:09Speaker 2: of my plays so far, and I've given out, yeah,
- 47:11Speaker 2: a few of my leans so far. I don't want
- 47:12Speaker 2: to miss any of my leans though, so don't worry.
- 47:15Speaker 2: I'm keeping an eye on it, I hope, okay, But yeah,
- 47:19Speaker 2: I'm talking about all the big games obviously as well.
- 47:22Speaker 1: Georgia at Texas.
- 47:23Speaker 2: This is the only instance that we have tomorrow an
- 47:26Speaker 2: unranked team that's favored over ranked team, so that is
- 47:29Speaker 2: something to keep in mind. Although it hasn't worked as
- 47:31Speaker 2: well this year as it has in the past, the
- 47:33Speaker 2: odds makers are onto it, man, so the odds makers
- 47:35Speaker 2: are skewing the line in that direction. In a lot
- 47:38Speaker 2: of these games. I'm staying away from this game completely,
- 47:42Speaker 2: but there might be some reasons why Texas does deserve
- 47:45Speaker 2: to be a small home favorite here. Even though Georgia
- 47:48Speaker 2: is the better team, as I pointed out, it's not
- 47:51Speaker 2: by that much. Ken Bomas, Texas is one of the
- 47:53Speaker 2: unluckiest teams in the entire country right now. They're really
- 47:57Speaker 2: really good on offense, but they're not good defensively, and
- 48:00Speaker 2: that's been their problem. Georgetown is definitely the much Georgia
- 48:04Speaker 2: excuse me, is the much more balanced team and ranked
- 48:08Speaker 2: twenty seventh according to ken Pom, though so he does
- 48:10Speaker 2: not have Georgia as being ranked, so the gap between
- 48:14Speaker 2: these two teams is not that big. He does have
- 48:16Speaker 2: Georgia as the fastest tempo team in the entire country,
- 48:20Speaker 2: which usually I don't like that. I mean, that's just
- 48:23Speaker 2: too fast, although somehow Georgia does manage to still play
- 48:26Speaker 2: decent defense. Texas is actually the more efficient offense, though
- 48:30Speaker 2: Texas plays more of a mid tempo game where they
- 48:33Speaker 2: might try to slow this thing down and try to
- 48:35Speaker 2: frustrate a Georgia team that's gonna want to go lightning
- 48:38Speaker 2: fast here. As far as the scheduling spot is concerned.
- 48:42Speaker 2: It is a second straight road game for Georgia, so
- 48:45Speaker 2: they just be Missouri, although not a really great win,
- 48:48Speaker 2: but they did win on the road against Missouri. Now
- 48:51Speaker 2: a second straight road game, and they do have Tennessee
- 48:53Speaker 2: up next, so maybe a potential look ahead there. Texas
- 48:57Speaker 2: coming into this game off of a close game, man,
- 49:01Speaker 2: they as I said, we had to win on Texas
- 49:03Speaker 2: in that when they covered against Kentucky, although they didn't win.
- 49:07Speaker 2: But Texas, I worry, man, because look at this run
- 49:09Speaker 2: of games that Texas has had. They were on the
- 49:12Speaker 2: road against Tennessee, although they kind of got blown out
- 49:14Speaker 2: in that one. Then they won on the road at Alabama.
- 49:17Speaker 2: They beat Vandy at home, I think, dealing Vandy their
- 49:20Speaker 2: first loss. They lost as a favorite at home to
- 49:23Speaker 2: Texas A and M. But Texas A and M is
- 49:25Speaker 2: still sitting a top the SEC right now, even though
- 49:27Speaker 2: they are not the best team in the SEC. Then
- 49:31Speaker 2: Texas went on the road to Kentucky and almost won
- 49:34Speaker 2: as a seven point underdog. So I just don't want
- 49:37Speaker 2: any part of Texas here, man. I don't want any
- 49:39Speaker 2: part of either side in this game. So again it's
- 49:42Speaker 2: a stay away from me, some of you know, some
- 49:45Speaker 2: of the sharp guys, some of the professional guys are
- 49:47Speaker 2: gonna be playing Texas in this one because it's that
- 49:50Speaker 2: unranked favorite. Like the numbers, guys are definitely gonna be
- 49:53Speaker 2: on Texas in this one Situationally, I don't love it.
- 49:57Speaker 2: Texas up from one and a half to two and
- 49:59Speaker 2: a half. It looks like they might actually be a
- 50:01Speaker 2: three point favorite by the time this game goes off,
- 50:05Speaker 2: and the.
- 50:05Speaker 1: Total is quite high.
- 50:06Speaker 2: It dropped a little bit down to one sixty nine,
- 50:09Speaker 2: but total being that high kind of expected that maybe
- 50:11Speaker 2: Georgia will still be able to run up tempo here,
- 50:17Speaker 2: you know, M I don't know, man, I guess I
- 50:21Speaker 2: would slightly lean towards Texas in that game still, just
- 50:26Speaker 2: you know, just because I have to, because because they're
- 50:29Speaker 2: the unranked favorite. But I have to stay away from
- 50:32Speaker 2: that game. Drake at Indiana State Missouri Valley's got some
- 50:36Speaker 2: addressing stuff going on. Drake just dealt Murray State their
- 50:39Speaker 2: first conference loss. And now I don't think Murray State
- 50:42Speaker 2: is actually the best team in this conference, but they
- 50:44Speaker 2: are one of the best teams. A Belmont I still
- 50:46Speaker 2: think is the best, but that was a big win
- 50:48Speaker 2: for Drake, dude, beating Murray State, beating them in a
- 50:51Speaker 2: very high scoring game, scoring over one hundred points, and
- 50:54Speaker 2: that was in regulation. The Murray State racers, man, I
- 50:57Speaker 2: think they do race. Big win for Drake. Now they're
- 51:02Speaker 2: going on the road to Indiana State. They did already
- 51:04Speaker 2: actually play Indiana State this year and they did beat
- 51:06Speaker 2: them by.
- 51:07Speaker 1: Two at home, so there is a little bit of.
- 51:11Speaker 2: Maybe a revenge angle for Indiana State there, but really
- 51:14Speaker 2: it's just kind of that Drake is in a letdown
- 51:16Speaker 2: spot here. But the problem with Indiana State is when
- 51:19Speaker 2: I go to look at their scheduling spot, they just
- 51:22Speaker 2: played Murray State really close on the road after actually
- 51:25Speaker 2: beating Illinois State the game before that, So big win
- 51:28Speaker 2: against one of the better teams in the conference. And
- 51:30Speaker 2: they played Murray State really close on the road. And
- 51:32Speaker 2: they played Bradley fairly close on the road as well,
- 51:34Speaker 2: losing by seven, but I think that game was fairly
- 51:37Speaker 2: close as well. So I don't really want Indiana State
- 51:39Speaker 2: here either. Man, coming off of those that stretch of
- 51:43Speaker 2: big games, it's another game that I just have to
- 51:45Speaker 2: stay away from. If you force me to lean, I
- 51:49Speaker 2: guess I would lean to Indiana State in the game.
- 51:51Speaker 1: They are up from two to two and a half. Here.
- 51:53Speaker 2: They are still the avenging team here in the second
- 51:56Speaker 2: of the conference games here between the two teams. But yeah,
- 52:01Speaker 2: it's not one that I'm interested in really, And Indiana State,
- 52:05Speaker 2: you know, they might still focus on Drake again just
- 52:07Speaker 2: because they haven't beaten Drake this season and Drake was
- 52:10Speaker 2: the conference winner last year. Illinois State in Belmont pretty
- 52:14Speaker 2: good game in the Missouri Valley as well. Here, both
- 52:19Speaker 2: of these teams are near the top of the conference.
- 52:20Speaker 2: They think Belmont is legitimately the best team in the conference.
- 52:23Speaker 2: Illinois State is one of the best teams still. Illinois
- 52:26Speaker 2: State's coming off some nice games. They beat Bradley at home,
- 52:29Speaker 2: they beaten Northern Iowa at home. Northern Iowa's been sliding, man,
- 52:33Speaker 2: But now Illinois State has to go on the road
- 52:35Speaker 2: to Belmont. Not gonna be that easy of a game, man,
- 52:38Speaker 2: I don't think looking at what they've done on the road.
- 52:41Speaker 1: They did beat Drake on the road.
- 52:42Speaker 2: But they lost to Vallopol, They lost to Indiana State
- 52:45Speaker 2: on the road, so their road recording conference has not
- 52:48Speaker 2: been that good as far as Belmont is concerned. Both
- 52:52Speaker 2: teams are gonna show up for this game. I would
- 52:54Speaker 2: have to imagine, because it's a big game for both teams.
- 52:56Speaker 2: Belmont coming off kind of the easier win and kind
- 52:59Speaker 2: of the worst performance I guess against Southern Illinois, and
- 53:03Speaker 2: I think they're the better of these two teams still,
- 53:05Speaker 2: So I would lean to Belmont in this game if
- 53:07Speaker 2: I was gonna have to play it, which luckily I
- 53:11Speaker 2: don't have to play it. Luckily you don't have to
- 53:13Speaker 2: play anything. This game is actually not even on the board,
- 53:15Speaker 2: so that's something to be aware of. So actually this
- 53:18Speaker 2: game might actually be like postponed or something, so that's something.
- 53:22Speaker 1: To keep in mind.
- 53:24Speaker 2: So I apologize some of these games that I might
- 53:26Speaker 2: talk about might wind up not on the board, so
- 53:29Speaker 2: somebody to keep in mind with that. I guess Northern
- 53:32Speaker 2: Kentucky in Right State is going to be the best
- 53:34Speaker 2: Horizon matchup tomorrow. Right State I think is the best
- 53:37Speaker 2: team in the conference. They're sitting atop the conference, but
- 53:40Speaker 2: Northern Kentucky's not that far behind.
- 53:42Speaker 1: Man. Northern Kentucky did just lose to Robert Morris at home.
- 53:47Speaker 2: Now they're going on the road to play Right State,
- 53:49Speaker 2: I believe, Yeah, these teams have not played yet this season.
- 53:52Speaker 2: I think you have to scroll up to kind of
- 53:53Speaker 2: see because some of these conferences play some early conference games.
- 53:56Speaker 1: Yeah, they play Right State to finish the season.
- 53:59Speaker 2: By the way, how interesting if those two teams might
- 54:02Speaker 2: be vying for the one the number one seed. Who knows,
- 54:07Speaker 2: But they are coming off a loss to Robert Morris
- 54:09Speaker 2: at home. I still think they probably focused on Robert
- 54:12Speaker 2: Morris though, because they had beaten Robert Morris.
- 54:15Speaker 1: On the road before. Though it was a little bit
- 54:17Speaker 1: of road.
- 54:17Speaker 2: Revenge for Robert Morris, but Robert Morris was still the
- 54:20Speaker 2: team that won the conference last year. But you know,
- 54:22Speaker 2: there was road revenge for Robert Morris there. Maybe Northern
- 54:25Speaker 2: Kentucky was looking ahead to Wright State. For Right State,
- 54:30Speaker 2: they're coming off the much worse game though. They just
- 54:33Speaker 2: lost as a huge favorite at home to Cleveland State.
- 54:36Speaker 2: That is a really really bad loss for Right State,
- 54:40Speaker 2: So I think they were looking ahead. I think they
- 54:43Speaker 2: My guess would be that they bounce back here. But
- 54:45Speaker 2: one concern that I have is they were on a
- 54:48Speaker 2: big win streak. Man, they only had one conference loss
- 54:51Speaker 2: prior to that, and they just lost a long win
- 54:54Speaker 2: streak and when a team loses a win streak like that,
- 54:56Speaker 2: sometimes it will hang them over into the next game.
- 54:58Speaker 2: But that was such a HORRENDU lost to a really
- 55:01Speaker 2: ugly Cleveland State team. Right State was a fifteen and
- 55:04Speaker 2: a half point favored in that game, So if I
- 55:08Speaker 2: was gonna play it, I think I would still have
- 55:09Speaker 2: to lean towards Wright State. They're down from three and
- 55:12Speaker 2: a half to three here, although I think they're actually
- 55:13Speaker 2: the better team. I don't know if Ken Pum concurs
- 55:16Speaker 2: with that right now. He does so, I think we're
- 55:19Speaker 2: getting a little bit short changed on the line there.
- 55:21Speaker 2: I think maybe there's a little bit of value on
- 55:23Speaker 2: Right State there. The line did drop from three and
- 55:26Speaker 2: a half to three, but I would lay it with
- 55:28Speaker 2: Right State if I was gonna play that game. Quinnipiac
- 55:32Speaker 2: at Marist is gonna be probably the best.
- 55:34Speaker 1: Game in the matt Ac Conference here.
- 55:37Speaker 2: Quinnipiac one of the best teams in the conference, and
- 55:40Speaker 2: Marist is pretty good in the conference man as well.
- 55:43Speaker 2: I think Marist is one of the best teams in
- 55:45Speaker 2: the conference as well. Ken Bomb has had them as
- 55:47Speaker 2: the highest ranked team in the conference for a long time.
- 55:50Speaker 2: I don't know if he still does, but I think
- 55:52Speaker 2: both teams will show up here though. For Quinnipiac, though,
- 55:55Speaker 2: they're playing a second straight road game in three road games.
- 55:58Speaker 1: In four day's for four days.
- 56:00Speaker 2: That would have been saying four games, which is not
- 56:04Speaker 2: as easy for Maris here. Maris just lost pretty ugly
- 56:08Speaker 2: at Sianna, so I think they might have been looking ahead.
- 56:11Speaker 1: And I believe these two teams already played.
- 56:13Speaker 2: Yes, Maris lost at Quinnipiac already by six, but it
- 56:18Speaker 2: is technically a revenge angle for Marius here. They might
- 56:21Speaker 2: have some adjustments to make. I prefer Marrison this one.
- 56:24Speaker 2: I actually think they're the better team, and they're in
- 56:27Speaker 2: the better spot here coming off a double digit loss here.
- 56:31Speaker 2: So yeah, and because of the way the road game's
- 56:35Speaker 2: set up for Quinnipiac, I don't think is really advantageous
- 56:38Speaker 2: to them. Maris is up from three to three and
- 56:40Speaker 2: a half here. I would lean towards laying it with
- 56:42Speaker 2: Maris in that one. Ken Bum's got Marius as is
- 56:45Speaker 2: one hundred and sixty first team.
- 56:47Speaker 1: They're really in balanced.
- 56:48Speaker 2: They're actually really good defensively and bad offensively, really bad offensively,
- 56:53Speaker 2: so they are very imbalanced though, which is not a
- 56:55Speaker 2: great thing for quinnipiack he does love Quinnipiac as the
- 57:00Speaker 2: worst of the two teams, even though they aren't more balanced.
- 57:03Speaker 2: Marist is also going to try to slow the game
- 57:06Speaker 2: down and Quinnipiac wants to speed it up. So if
- 57:09Speaker 2: Maris slows it down, they might be able to frustrate
- 57:11Speaker 2: Quinnipiac a little bit in this game.
- 57:14Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts on that.
- 57:16Speaker 2: Ken bum does have Quinnipiac way up high in his
- 57:19Speaker 2: luck index too, so they've been the luckier team by far.
- 57:22Speaker 2: Maris underperforming according to ken Palm, so another reason to
- 57:26Speaker 2: look towards Marist in that game.
- 57:28Speaker 1: So I do like Marist in that one.
- 57:31Speaker 2: Making sure I haven't skipped any of the games I
- 57:33Speaker 2: wanted to talk about here, I don't believe I have.
- 57:37Speaker 1: All right, let's see.
- 57:41Speaker 2: If you want me to talk about any of these
- 57:43Speaker 2: other games. I mean, I'm here, so I guess I will.
- 57:45Speaker 2: But I'm trying to get this done in less than
- 57:47Speaker 2: two and a half hours this time. SEC Network at
- 57:51Speaker 2: one PM has South Carolina at Texas A and M.
- 57:55Speaker 1: Now Texas A and M.
- 57:56Speaker 2: They're sitting atop the SEC and the record looks really good.
- 57:59Speaker 2: But They're not as good as their record looks. Man
- 58:02Speaker 2: ken Bum has them thirty eighth in the country, so
- 58:05Speaker 2: I mean they're a decent team, they should be a
- 58:06Speaker 2: tournament team, whatever, but they're.
- 58:08Speaker 1: Not as good as they might look. Now.
- 58:10Speaker 2: South Carolina just gotta win over Oklahoma and that broke
- 58:14Speaker 2: a losing streak for South Carolina, so I think that
- 58:16Speaker 2: might give them some momentum coming into this game. I
- 58:18Speaker 2: don't really see them overlooking A and M. Even though
- 58:21Speaker 2: South Carolina plays Florida next. I don't think they're gonna
- 58:24Speaker 2: overlook the team that's atop the conference here, so I
- 58:27Speaker 2: do think you'll get an effort out of them. A
- 58:29Speaker 2: and M just destroyed Mississippi State. They're staying at home.
- 58:33Speaker 2: They do have Georgia up next, so there is maybe
- 58:36Speaker 2: that potential look at for them, and maybe the potential
- 58:38Speaker 2: they overlook a South Carolina team that's near the bottom
- 58:41Speaker 2: of the SEC standings here. So I would probably need
- 58:45Speaker 2: to taking the points in this one with South Carolina.
- 58:48Speaker 2: A and M is up to a ten point favorite there,
- 58:51Speaker 2: but I would probably take it with South Carolina if
- 58:54Speaker 2: I was gonna play it.
- 58:56Speaker 1: Okay TV and HBO.
- 59:01Speaker 2: Max has Saint John's at Xavier at one thirty pm,
- 59:04Speaker 2: a weird start time for this one. Saint John's coming
- 59:07Speaker 2: off a good win over Seaton Hall, so they did
- 59:10Speaker 2: beat a team that's been good in the Big East
- 59:13Speaker 2: so far. But you could make the argument this was
- 59:15Speaker 2: a bad performance from Saint John's because they were an
- 59:18Speaker 2: eleven and a half point favor and they almost lost
- 59:21Speaker 2: the game, and Seton Hall was winning this game by
- 59:23Speaker 2: double digits in the second half, so Seton Hall might
- 59:26Speaker 2: actually consider that to be an escape and not a
- 59:29Speaker 2: very good performance. Now they're going on the road to Xavier.
- 59:33Speaker 2: You know, there is the potential they do overlook Xavier
- 59:36Speaker 2: because Xavier's not having a good season. But I don't know, man,
- 59:40Speaker 2: you're a big favorite like that and you almost lose.
- 59:42Speaker 2: I do think you're gonna kind of refocus and show
- 59:45Speaker 2: up in the next game, and we'll see if our
- 59:48Speaker 2: buddy Rick Patino is you know, is good at motivating
- 59:52Speaker 2: his team with thoughts like this.
- 59:54Speaker 1: Yeah, inside, I want to kill myself for Xavier.
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: By the way, I think people think that that was
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: from when they lost in the tournament last year to Arkansas,
- 1:00:05Speaker 2: but that's not what that was.
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: That was I don't remember what that was.
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: That was a clip from I think the prior year
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: or something. Anyway, Xavier is coming off a big performance
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: against Creighton. I believe they were an underdog at Creighton.
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: They went on the road and almost pulled off an upset.
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: Is eight and a half point dogs against Xavier, so
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: excuse me against Creighton. So even though yeah, Xavier should
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: get up for a game against Saint John's, I actually
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: think the spot sets up better for Saint John's in
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: this one.
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: So that's the way I would lean.
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: They're down for May and a half to eight, But
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: if I was gonna play the game, I would lay
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: it with Saint John's with the Red Storm in that
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: one of the Communist storm. Hopefully that's not what we get.
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: Army Navy gets a TV game on CBS Sports.
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: What is this football?
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: This does not look like an appealing game to watch man.
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: It's on CBS Sports just because it's Army Navy. But
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: Navy is definitely the better team. Navy is sitting atop
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: the Patriot League right now. They're one of the best
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: teams in the Patriot League. Army they did just break
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: along losing streak with a win over Bucknell, so they
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: might have a little bit of momentum coming into this.
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: But they are playing a fourth road game in five games,
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: which isn't that easy to do. But maybe they'll have
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: some new momentum coming in here.
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: They're not gonna.
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: Overlook Navy at the very least, Navy coming into this
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: with a.
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: Win over holy Cross.
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: They got Boston University up next, not really a bad
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: spot for Navy. I wouldn't say no real like look ahead,
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: no sort of look ahead or anything like that. I
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: almost said no, sir, no, sir, no look ahead. Navy
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: down from twelve and a half to ten and a
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: half here, so it looks like some money has come
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: in on the Army side here. Total fairly low at
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: one forty three and a half. I don't really have
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: an opinion. I mean, I guess I would lean with
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: where the market's going there and take the points, but
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: I don't have an opinion on the game really. CBS
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: at two PM has West Virginia at number one ranked Arizona.
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: I believe Ken Bomb has Arizona ranked second. He does,
- 1:02:01Speaker 2: behind Michigan. They're a legit team, man, Arizona may actually
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: be I might actually even still make the argument that
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: they're the best team right now. I mean, I know
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: they're undefeated, so that's an easy argument to make. But
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: based on the balance that they have fourth in ken
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: Bum's defensive rankings and third and fourth and offense third
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: and defense excusually, they're like the most balanced team out there.
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: Michigan good as well, seven and two, respect respectively. Both
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: teams play too fast for my liking though, But yeah,
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: Arizona has been really really good.
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: Now when we look at the spot here West Virginia,
- 1:02:38Speaker 2: they're a tricky team, man, because they have a North
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: Texas's coach that came over there, and they're playing this
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: real ugly slow down style, which they already were, but
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: even more so this year. Now West Virginia is already
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: in Arizona. They beat Arizona State in the prior game,
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: and Bobby Hurley is probably gonna get fired. But I
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: don't see West Virginia overlooking Arizona obviously. Although they are
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: playing a third road game in four games and having
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: to do the the two games in Arizona portion of
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: their schedule here, which isn't easy to do for Arizona,
- 1:03:11Speaker 2: there is the potential they look ahead here because they
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: have BYU on deck Arizona. Sorry to Jeffrey, Arizona pulled
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: away from Cincinnati in that game. I told you that
- 1:03:21Speaker 2: if I was gonna play that game, I would have.
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: Laid the points in that one.
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: Jeffrey was correct about the under which I did agree
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: with in that game, but I prefer laying it with
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: Arizona there because Cincinnati was coming off some big game
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: and you and Arizona had almost well not almost lost,
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: but just wasn't that good at UCF. So I liked
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: Arizona and that when they got the job done. But
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: now Arizona might be looking ahead to playing BYU in
- 1:03:45Speaker 2: two days. Man, that's gonna be a big ranked matchup,
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: and that's gonna be Arizona's first real test in quite
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: a while.
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: Arizona.
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: They had a really like difficult out of conference schedule
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: where they beat UCLA, although they look down a little bit.
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: They beat which is looking like a very good win.
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: They beat yukon good win. They beat Auburn, which isn't
- 1:04:05Speaker 2: looking as good now in Alabama, and San Diego State
- 1:04:09Speaker 2: blew them out.
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: That's a good win as well, so Arizona.
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: Yet they based a good out of conference schedule, but
- 1:04:14Speaker 2: they have not been tested in the Big Twelve yet. Really,
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: they've had a very easy, actually Big twelve schedule.
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit of a concern there.
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: West Virginia is gonna try to come in and slow
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: this thing down and Arizona's gonna try to speed it
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: way up. But might Arizona be looking ahead? That is
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: the concern. They're laying seventeen and a half points here.
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: I mean, you're probably not gonna get any line value
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: with a team like Arizona who's ranked number one and
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: laying points and whatever. I would probably lean towards West Virginia.
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: The total is low at one forty four and a half,
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: seemingly indicating that West Virginia might actually be able to
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: slow the game down enough to maybe stay within that number.
- 1:04:52Speaker 2: I'll lean that way, but it's not a strong opinion
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: at all. A number six Houston at number twelve, Texas
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: Tech is one of the best games the day. It
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: is on ESPN Big Texas Battle here. I believe Texas
- 1:05:05Speaker 2: Tech is is the only Big twelve team that beat
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: Houston last year. Now this is a second matchup. Already,
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: Houston already beat Texas Tech. Close by four at home.
- 1:05:17Speaker 2: I dug into this box score a little bit, and
- 1:05:18Speaker 2: Houston was the better team in the game. They had
- 1:05:21Speaker 2: a really bad shooting game, so this game could have
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: been uglier for Texas Tech. Houston had more field goal
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: attempts in the game. They did go to the free
- 1:05:28Speaker 2: throw line way more. Houston only won the rebounding battle
- 1:05:31Speaker 2: by one though in Texas Tech was really bad in
- 1:05:34Speaker 2: the turnover department. But looking at the box score, yeah,
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: Houston was the better team. They did win. They didn't
- 1:05:40Speaker 2: cover Houston. They're obviously on a roll right now. They
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: just destroyed Arizona State. They'll put up one hundred points
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: against them, which is unlike Houston because they're not really
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: as good offensively. This Houston team is not as good
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: as they were last year.
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:05:56Speaker 2: Unfortunately, because I like Houston, I like what Kelvin Samson
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: does there. Like these slow grinding defensive teams. Like from
- 1:06:03Speaker 2: a betting perspective, they always get overlooked in this spot,
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: I'm not so sure of though.
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:06:08Speaker 2: Houston hasn't played too many road games. This is only
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: their third road game all season. There are other road results.
- 1:06:15Speaker 2: They won at Cincinnati by seven, and they beat Baylor
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: by twenty.
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: Two on the road.
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: Good win for sure, but Texas Tech's obviously the best
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: of those three teams. Texas Tech already saw Houston once.
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: This is gonna be a monster game for Texas Tech.
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: It'll be a big game for both teams.
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: Probably means a little bit more to Texas Tech, which
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: is why I faded Texas Tech in that prior game
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: at Baylor, and Texas Tech did not fall into the
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: sandwich spot which I thought they would after beating BYU
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: with Houston on deck.
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: Somehow Texas Tech.
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: Was able to crush Baylor and crush our spirits.
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: We took a loss.
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: I thought it was a great spot to play Baylor there,
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: it wasn't Texas Tech playing through here.
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards Texas Tech in this game.
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: Houston has dropped from a two and a half way
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: favorite to a one point favorite. Now it's expected to
- 1:07:05Speaker 2: be a close game. I wouldn't really mind an under
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: in this game either. The total at one, I mean,
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: it seems too obvious. Like both teams are good defensively,
- 1:07:13Speaker 2: both teams play slow, both teams are pretty balanced though,
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: and Texas Tech is actually better offensively. But Houston is
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: actually the significantly better defensive team, So I guess take
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: all that into account there, and according to Kemp, both
- 1:07:29Speaker 2: teams are actually somewhat high in the Luck Index right now.
- 1:07:31Speaker 2: Texas Tech does play more of a mid tempo though,
- 1:07:34Speaker 2: so they might actually try to speed up Houston a
- 1:07:36Speaker 2: little bit in that game. Okay, what else we got
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: going on here? We have a George Mason at Rhode Island.
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: Kind of interesting. George Mason just beat George Washington, and
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: I leaned to the other way in that one. It
- 1:07:51Speaker 2: was I believe it was like a triple revenge spot
- 1:07:53Speaker 2: for George Washington George Mason. I just I don't know, man,
- 1:07:58Speaker 2: I just don't think they're as good as the record
- 1:07:59Speaker 2: looks right now. And Ken Bom I believe has them
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: as a pretty lucky team right now. But George Mason
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: got the job done and beat George Washington anyway, even
- 1:08:07Speaker 2: though again it was I think triple revenge for Washington,
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: George Washington. George Washington was eliminated from the conference tournament.
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure by George Mason last year. Now, George
- 1:08:17Speaker 2: Mason's going on the road of a pretty big win.
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: They have to go face Rhode Island up next to
- 1:08:22Speaker 2: they have Davidson. Davidson is higher up in the standings
- 1:08:25Speaker 2: of Rhode Island, so potential kind of weird spot here
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: for George Mason. But Rhode Island just pulled off a
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: nice road upset at Richmond, so they are coming off
- 1:08:35Speaker 2: an upset here. Now they're not gonna overlook George Mason.
- 1:08:39Speaker 2: I would probably still need to Rhode Island in this one,
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: but George Mason's up to a two point favor here, man.
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: I just I don't know.
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: I still keep thinking that George, just like with Miami Ohio,
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: I still think George Mason's gonna like drop at some point.
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: Although they're a decent team.
- 1:08:54Speaker 2: They're in the top one hundred and Ken Bumps Index
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: Bolden offense and defense, and they're high up in as
- 1:09:01Speaker 2: luck in next to though, like.
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: I said, seventy fifth.
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: So we will see Duquane at Loyola Chicago. This almost
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: made my card. Ducaine is coming off a really, really
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: good game against Saint Louis.
- 1:09:13Speaker 1: You just saw how good Saint Louis was tonight. Man.
- 1:09:16Speaker 2: I know, beating Saint Bonaventure isn't that impressive, but they
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: crushed Saint Bonaventure, Man, and Bonaventure is not as bad
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: as they look. This Saint Louis team, they're legit like
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: they're probably gonna get in that large bin in the
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: tournament even if they don't win the conference tournament. Saint
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: Louis they got Robbiavilla there. We're gonna finally get to
- 1:09:35Speaker 2: see him Kareem Abdul Jabbar in the tournament.
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: Saint Louis, they're.
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: One of the best field goal percentage teams in all
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: of college basketball right now. They get all these looks
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: right near the basket. Man, they actually I heard this
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: stat that's insane. I don't even know who's tracking this stat,
- 1:09:51Speaker 2: but Saint Louis has the shortest average field goal attempt
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: distance in all of college bas basketball. And I know
- 1:10:01Speaker 2: we're not talking about Saint Louis here, but I just
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: figured out mentioned it.
- 1:10:04Speaker 1: That's insane.
- 1:10:04Speaker 2: So that means Saint Louis is taking all of their
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: shots from like right near the basket basically, but they
- 1:10:09Speaker 2: still can actually knock down shots from the outside.
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: To Saint Louis is dangerous.
- 1:10:14Speaker 2: Man, and Dukane played really well against him and almost
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: pulled off the upset. So I think this is a
- 1:10:19Speaker 2: letdown spot for Ducinne coming off of that. Man, pretty
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: much as simple as that. And for Loyola Chicago, they
- 1:10:26Speaker 2: finally got a conference win at some point.
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: Oh no, that was early on. Never mind, I thought
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: they were coming off a conference win. My mistake.
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: They're coming off losing really badly to Saint Bonaventure. But
- 1:10:35Speaker 2: they are coming back home here. They were okay in
- 1:10:39Speaker 2: their last home game against George Mason. They played close
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: at home against Dayton as well. So Loyola Chicago, I mean,
- 1:10:45Speaker 2: they haven't been as bad at home. I guess Ducaine
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: is really not a great team. Uh but just because
- 1:10:51Speaker 2: it's a letdown spot, I think, or a hangover spot.
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: After Dukane played really well against Saint Louis, I think
- 1:10:57Speaker 2: I would take the points here. With Loyola, I consider
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: putting it on my card.
- 1:11:02Speaker 1: There just weren't enough factors.
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: I'm just not blindly playing like the hangover spot or
- 1:11:06Speaker 2: anything like that. I'm being more selected and I'm maturing. Man,
- 1:11:13Speaker 2: this line looks like it's state of five. Ducaine was
- 1:11:15Speaker 2: not a five point underdog at any point. I think
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: pregame just has that messed up I think they've just
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: been sitting as a five point favorite. Next up is
- 1:11:22Speaker 2: one of my plays, and it's gonna be another favorite.
- 1:11:27Speaker 1: So I know I'm delving into the favorites here. Best bets, baby.
- 1:11:35Speaker 2: Don't worry though, I do have some underdogs, but my
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: first couple of plays are favorites. All the rest of
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: them are underdogs after this though, But you can't just
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: play all underdogs. Man, We're gonna be on Dayton minus
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: the points here against Saint Joe's. This is on TV
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: as well, CBS Sports. I'm not making it a play
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: just because it's a TV game or anything. You don't
- 1:11:54Speaker 2: want to force anything, but I like how this sets
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: up Man.
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: Dayton.
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: They just lost to Lasal. Dude, that is a really,
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: really bad loss. Lausal not a very good team in
- 1:12:06Speaker 2: this conference. Dayton was definitely a favorite in.
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: This one on the road.
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: They were nine and a half point favorite in this one,
- 1:12:13Speaker 2: basically a ten point favorite with the juice there that
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: was on the nine and a half so Dayton. Yeah,
- 1:12:19Speaker 2: it was a game that they went into that game.
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: They should have won the game. I mean they were again,
- 1:12:24Speaker 2: they were almost they were a double digit favorite in
- 1:12:26Speaker 2: the game, but if you look at what happened in
- 1:12:27Speaker 2: this game. LaSalle was beating them thirty three to eight
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: right out.
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: Of the gate in this game.
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: That is insane, and Dayton's still almost won the game.
- 1:12:37Speaker 2: They almost came back and still won. Now, yes, that
- 1:12:40Speaker 2: did end along win streak for dayton I get it.
- 1:12:43Speaker 2: So sometimes I think a team's gonna be hungover when
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: that happens. Yeah, they're having to go from LaSalle to
- 1:12:48Speaker 2: Saint Joe's, But as Jeffrey will tell you, I believe
- 1:12:52Speaker 2: both of those teams are in Philadelphia, so they're not
- 1:12:54Speaker 2: really having to travel far between these two games, so
- 1:12:57Speaker 2: I'm less concerned about the travel here. And their road
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: game prior to their last home game was at Duquane,
- 1:13:02Speaker 2: which is also in Pennsylvania, So whatever, But I think
- 1:13:08Speaker 2: this is a bounce back spot. That was a miserably
- 1:13:11Speaker 2: ugly loss there.
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: Man. And meanwhile, on the other side, let's look what
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: did Saint Joe's doing their last game. Let's take a look.
- 1:13:17Speaker 2: Oh, yeah, Saint Joe's just lost a win streak, so
- 1:13:20Speaker 2: this might hang them over from that. So I believe
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: both teams did. But look what Saint Joe's did.
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: They went to.
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: VCU as fourteen and a half point underdogs, and Saint
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: Joe's almost beat VCU, who won the conference last year.
- 1:13:34Speaker 2: VC was one of the best teams in the conference.
- 1:13:37Speaker 2: Everybody gets up to play them. That was a huge
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: game for Saint Joe's and they were in this game
- 1:13:41Speaker 2: basically right to the wire. Man, they were within one
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: possession in the final minute of this game, and they
- 1:13:47Speaker 2: led like midway through the second half with oh oh,
- 1:13:50Speaker 2: with eleven eleven left in the second half they led.
- 1:13:52Speaker 2: They actually led deeper than that, They led by two
- 1:13:55Speaker 2: with eight minutes left.
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: So Saint Joe's put in a huge performance in that one.
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: So I think this is a hangover spot for them
- 1:14:02Speaker 2: as much as they might get up for a game
- 1:14:03Speaker 2: against Dayton. Yeah, I think they're gonna be hung over
- 1:14:06Speaker 2: the man and again for Dayton. If you dig into
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: that box sports, see why did they really lose to LaSalle?
- 1:14:12Speaker 1: Here?
- 1:14:14Speaker 2: I mean Dayton only shot thirteen percent from three point range.
- 1:14:18Speaker 2: That is a major outlier. LaSalle had ten more free
- 1:14:22Speaker 2: throw attempts in the game. They kept going to the
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: free throw line. Dayton's still out rebounding them as bad
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: as they played in the game. So Yeah, it all
- 1:14:29Speaker 2: lines up for me, man pretty much. I think it's
- 1:14:32Speaker 2: enough for a play on Dayton. The money looks like
- 1:14:35Speaker 2: it's agreeing. They're up from five to six here looking
- 1:14:37Speaker 2: at Kenbum, I know there's a lot that goes into
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: the handicapping here. Dayton is very good defensively thirty first. Defensively,
- 1:14:45Speaker 2: they're in ken Bomb's top one hundred at seventy eighth,
- 1:14:48Speaker 2: although they're not as good offensively.
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: They're kind of a.
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: Mid tempo team and a mid mid tier luck team,
- 1:14:54Speaker 2: so nothing to really see there for Saint Joseph's though
- 1:14:59Speaker 2: they are very high and ken Bum's luck in exit
- 1:15:01Speaker 2: thirty eight.
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: So he's telling you that Saint Joe's is.
- 1:15:04Speaker 2: Overperforming and they're actually the worst team on both sides
- 1:15:08Speaker 2: of the ball. Other better defensively than offensively. But I
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: believe I just said Dayton also is. But Dayton is
- 1:15:15Speaker 2: better than Saint Joe's on both sides of the ball.
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: Both teams are better defensively than offensively, but Dayton's just
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: better all around, and Saint Joe's is the luckier team.
- 1:15:25Speaker 2: Both teams play kind of a similar tempo, so that's
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: not really gonna be a concern.
- 1:15:28Speaker 1: In this one, we're laying.
- 1:15:30Speaker 2: It with Dayton Man and that will that will do
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: it there.
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: Yep, mid Temple.
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: I'm used to Dayton being a bit of a slow team,
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: even though they're named the Flyers.
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: But okay, so yes, we're laying it with Dayton in
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: that one.
- 1:15:45Speaker 2: Okay, what else did I want to talk about here?
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: Win through a bed Presbyterian? Did I want to talk
- 1:15:53Speaker 2: about this game?
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean Winthrop to just beat Radford.
- 1:15:56Speaker 2: So they went on this run of beating high Point,
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: which was a massive win. They barely got by unc
- 1:16:01Speaker 2: Ashville in what I thought was a sandwich spot and
- 1:16:04Speaker 2: we got a win with unc Asheville and that one
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: they covered.
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: Winthrop then beat Radford in their last game.
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: That was a nice win for Winthrop, although if you
- 1:16:12Speaker 2: look into the box where Winthrop was a pretty big
- 1:16:14Speaker 2: favorite in that game though, and they actually almost lost
- 1:16:17Speaker 2: the game, so you could I could.
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: I could see that game going both ways.
- 1:16:22Speaker 2: Either they're hungover because it was a big win, or
- 1:16:24Speaker 2: they're gonna refocus because they should have won by more
- 1:16:27Speaker 2: as a bigger favorite. So I don't really know what
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: to do with this one, to be honest, Presbyterian coming
- 1:16:33Speaker 2: up beating Charleston Southern, which I think was kind of
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: an in state win there for Presbyterian. I think they're
- 1:16:39Speaker 2: gonna show up at least for the game against Winthrop.
- 1:16:41Speaker 2: I don't even know why I'm talking about this game,
- 1:16:43Speaker 2: but Winthrop's down from six and a half to five
- 1:16:45Speaker 2: and a half here.
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: I would probably agree with that move.
- 1:16:48Speaker 2: Take the points with Presbyterian, but no strong opinion on
- 1:16:51Speaker 2: that one at all. Miami at Syracuse on the ACC
- 1:16:55Speaker 2: Network at two pm Eastern Miami. They're coming off a
- 1:17:00Speaker 2: really really ugly loss to Florida State. Man, you know,
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: Florida State got up for that game, but Florida State
- 1:17:05Speaker 2: is a bad team. Florida State definitely put a lot
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: of weight into that game, though Miami is their bigger
- 1:17:11Speaker 2: brother in Florida. At this point, Miami was a double
- 1:17:14Speaker 2: digit favorite and lost the game.
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: So you know what I always say, when.
- 1:17:17Speaker 2: You have a double digit favorite that loses the game,
- 1:17:19Speaker 2: you want to look for them to bounce back, typically
- 1:17:21Speaker 2: in the next game. And you can kind of see
- 1:17:23Speaker 2: why they lost that game because they had played Clemson
- 1:17:26Speaker 2: the game before that, and they had I believe Miami
- 1:17:29Speaker 2: was undefeated in conference prior to losing to Clemson, so
- 1:17:32Speaker 2: I think they essentially lost the game twice. That was
- 1:17:34Speaker 2: a big game against Clemson. It ended a long win
- 1:17:37Speaker 2: streat from Miami. I just think they were hung over,
- 1:17:40Speaker 2: and I think Florida State really got up for it.
- 1:17:43Speaker 2: Now Miami does have to go to Syracuse here, which
- 1:17:45Speaker 2: is not that easy to do. They do a Stanford
- 1:17:47Speaker 2: on deck. I don't really know if that's any sort
- 1:17:49Speaker 2: of look ahead, but Syracuse is playing poorly enough that
- 1:17:53Speaker 2: there's still maybe a team that gets overlooked a little bit.
- 1:17:56Speaker 2: Syracuse is coming up the more difficult game, though. They
- 1:17:58Speaker 2: just lost at home to Virginia TENN who's been playing
- 1:18:01Speaker 2: well enough to be higher than them in the standings
- 1:18:03Speaker 2: at least, even though I think they're a little bit overrated.
- 1:18:06Speaker 2: Virginia Tech is so I would probably lean to Miami
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: and this one still, just because they're coming off just
- 1:18:12Speaker 2: such a disgusting loss. I think they will show up
- 1:18:14Speaker 2: with focus and they are the better team. Miami's laying
- 1:18:18Speaker 2: two points here on the road. I would probably lean
- 1:18:20Speaker 2: towards laying it in that one. Okay, what else we
- 1:18:27Speaker 2: got going on here?
- 1:18:28Speaker 1: Man?
- 1:18:28Speaker 2: Espn U has I'm gonna talk about the TV games
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: man Yale at Penn here the IVY League. Yale is
- 1:18:35Speaker 2: definitely the best team in the IVY and they're showing
- 1:18:38Speaker 2: it now, even though they did lose to Princeton in
- 1:18:40Speaker 2: the IVY already. Yale's kind of on a roll now.
- 1:18:43Speaker 2: But this is only gonna be their third conference road
- 1:18:46Speaker 2: game and they're only one to one on the road.
- 1:18:48Speaker 2: I believe they lost at Princeton. They're going to Penn here.
- 1:18:51Speaker 2: Penn has been playing okay in the conference. Penn did
- 1:18:54Speaker 2: just lose at Harvard, though, so Harvard's up near the
- 1:18:57Speaker 2: top of the IVY standings right now to one of
- 1:19:00Speaker 2: the better teams in the IVY this year, I think.
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: So.
- 1:19:02Speaker 2: Penn is having to play two pretty big games in
- 1:19:05Speaker 2: a row, so that does make it a little bit
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: more difficult for them, whereas Yale is coming off an
- 1:19:09Speaker 2: easy win over Columbia, I believe. So. I do think
- 1:19:11Speaker 2: Yale is probably the side to look at here through
- 1:19:14Speaker 2: up from six and a half to seven here, laying
- 1:19:16Speaker 2: that on the road, although obviously you gotta think pen
- 1:19:20Speaker 2: will at least try to get up for that game.
- 1:19:22Speaker 1: But that is my opinion.
- 1:19:24Speaker 2: In that game, this Binghamton main game almost made my card.
- 1:19:28Speaker 2: And if it's because look at what Binghamton did in
- 1:19:31Speaker 2: their last game. Man, they lost to the UNH by six.
- 1:19:33Speaker 2: You might think, well, so what like UNH is bad, right, yeah,
- 1:19:37Speaker 2: but Binghamton is so bad that they were like a
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: double digit underdog in this game, nine and a half
- 1:19:43Speaker 2: at least, and they took New Hampshire into three overtimes
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: in this game and then finally fell short. That's brutal, man.
- 1:19:52Speaker 2: It's even more brutal if you had the under in
- 1:19:55Speaker 2: this game because the game was underthrew the first overtime
- 1:19:59Speaker 2: and then it wound up going over because the game.
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: Went triple ot.
- 1:20:02Speaker 2: But Binghamton coming off a triple ote game or they
- 1:20:05Speaker 2: were a huge underdog, I don't see them having a
- 1:20:07Speaker 2: whole lot left here man against Maine, so I would
- 1:20:10Speaker 2: have to lay the points with Maine.
- 1:20:12Speaker 1: And this one, Maine finally.
- 1:20:13Speaker 2: At least kind of got back on track with a
- 1:20:15Speaker 2: win over Allbany just staying at home. And people might
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: look at say, oh, well, Maine lost horribly to UNH
- 1:20:20Speaker 2: at home by seventeen, and Binghamton just almost beat UNH
- 1:20:24Speaker 2: on the road, So why would be late points with
- 1:20:26Speaker 2: Maine here, right, although I don't think the public is
- 1:20:28Speaker 2: gonna look at this game at all with all these
- 1:20:30Speaker 2: other games going on, but I would lay it with Maine.
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: That's the only way I would look here. Though the
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: line did drop from four and a half to three
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: and a half.
- 1:20:36Speaker 2: Here, and it is a very low total one twenty
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: four and a half. It's gonna be ugly, but that
- 1:20:41Speaker 2: spot is just awful for Binghamton, so I would lean
- 1:20:45Speaker 2: towards Maine in that one. And then on the other side, Yeah,
- 1:20:48Speaker 2: unh is coming off that triple ot game as well
- 1:20:51Speaker 2: and having to play Albany, but unh was the team
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: that should have won the game as a big favorite.
- 1:20:56Speaker 2: So sometimes a team that's a big favorite will actually
- 1:20:59Speaker 2: bounce back and refocus in the next game. But coming
- 1:21:03Speaker 2: off a three overtime game definitely could take a lot
- 1:21:05Speaker 2: out of you.
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: Obviously.
- 1:21:07Speaker 2: Albany, of course, just lost at Maine, did lose a
- 1:21:09Speaker 2: win streak on That wasn't a great loss for Albany.
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: Maine is not very good this year. Albany was actually
- 1:21:15Speaker 2: the favorite in that game, you know, just because it
- 1:21:19Speaker 2: is I don't know, because it is Triple OT.
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: I guess I would probably still I would probably.
- 1:21:24Speaker 2: Lead to Albany, just because I don't really want New
- 1:21:26Speaker 2: Hampshire coming off a triple ot game.
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: They're minus one in that game.
- 1:21:31Speaker 2: Osmakers are telling you at least that Albany is a
- 1:21:33Speaker 2: slightly better team there.
- 1:21:34Speaker 1: That's not a surprise, all right. Northeastern is at Drexel.
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: Drexel is coming off losing close to at thousand, and
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: I believe that was part of my thousand handicap was
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: that Drexel was a pretty big underdog in this one
- 1:21:49Speaker 2: man seven and a half point dog, and they almost
- 1:21:51Speaker 2: upset thousand, so I think they could.
- 1:21:54Speaker 1: Be hung over a little bit.
- 1:21:55Speaker 2: And meanwhile, Northeastern really they screwed us pretty much. They
- 1:22:00Speaker 2: caught Stony Brook and what I thought was a great
- 1:22:02Speaker 2: spot in Northeastern really let us down in that one.
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: Now they're going on the road to Drexel.
- 1:22:08Speaker 2: Here, I could only look towards taking the points with
- 1:22:11Speaker 2: Northeastern in this one.
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: They are actually an underdog.
- 1:22:14Speaker 2: The osmakers are telling you Drexel is the better team,
- 1:22:16Speaker 2: but they're down from six to five and a half here.
- 1:22:19Speaker 2: I think the spot is a lot worse for Drexel
- 1:22:21Speaker 2: coming off that good performance as an underdog. I would
- 1:22:24Speaker 2: take the points with Northeastern in that game. Okay, we
- 1:22:31Speaker 2: got Oklahoma and Missouri on ESPN two, an SEC battle
- 1:22:38Speaker 2: that I think used to be a big twelve battle.
- 1:22:40Speaker 2: Oklahoma's lost five games in a row. They just had
- 1:22:42Speaker 2: a pretty ugly loss at South Carolina, second straight road game.
- 1:22:46Speaker 2: But I kind of think Oklahoma's gonna bounce back and
- 1:22:49Speaker 2: kind of be the more desperate team here because they're
- 1:22:51Speaker 2: just at the complete bottom of the standings in the SEC.
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: They got Arkansas next.
- 1:22:55Speaker 2: When you're losing like this, I don't really think you're
- 1:22:57Speaker 2: gonna overlook anybody. Missouri's got a pretty looking record too,
- 1:23:01Speaker 2: so I don't think you're gonna overlook Missouri. Meanwhile, Missouri
- 1:23:04Speaker 2: did just have a close game against Georgia, a ranked
- 1:23:07Speaker 2: Georgia team. Although Missouri might have actually been a favorite
- 1:23:10Speaker 2: in that game. Let me see, Yeah, they were. They
- 1:23:13Speaker 2: were one and a half way favorite in the game.
- 1:23:15Speaker 2: Big game though, and they have a big game on
- 1:23:17Speaker 2: deck against Alabama. So I like Oklahoma in this game, man,
- 1:23:22Speaker 2: and that would be the way I would lean. I
- 1:23:23Speaker 2: would take the points with Oklahoma, uh plus the five
- 1:23:27Speaker 2: in that one. It is basically a sandwich spot. I
- 1:23:29Speaker 2: think for Missouri, I just worry a little bit, just
- 1:23:32Speaker 2: like well, I don't know how big was that game
- 1:23:34Speaker 2: against Georgia. I mean, Missouri still lost three out of
- 1:23:37Speaker 2: the last four games, so I don't know. They still
- 1:23:40Speaker 2: might be focused just for that reason. And then I
- 1:23:43Speaker 2: think I looked at Ken Palm on this and it
- 1:23:45Speaker 2: didn't really check the boxes for me.
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: Here.
- 1:23:48Speaker 2: Let me see, Missouri's fairly high in his luck index
- 1:23:50Speaker 2: at one oh six.
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: Who are looking, We're looking at Oklahoma. Oklahoma was not
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: that far back.
- 1:23:55Speaker 2: Actually, Oklahoma was really unlucky in his luck in deck here.
- 1:24:01Speaker 2: Although Oklahoma is the worst of the defensive teams, they're
- 1:24:05Speaker 2: the better offense, but only slightly.
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: The big gap is Missouri is the.
- 1:24:09Speaker 2: Better defensive team here. Both teams play a little bit slow. Yeah,
- 1:24:14Speaker 2: I'll leave it off my card, but but I like
- 1:24:16Speaker 2: Oklahoma plus the points in that one. All right, New
- 1:24:21Speaker 2: Mexico State let us down, man, I mean they they
- 1:24:25Speaker 2: caught Missouri State in such a good spot man. And yeah,
- 1:24:29Speaker 2: don't don't listen to Justin the Missouri State guy on
- 1:24:32Speaker 2: that because it's not all about what you see, right,
- 1:24:34Speaker 2: because your eyes can deceive you, and you heard my
- 1:24:36Speaker 2: handicap in that game. And I know there were multiple
- 1:24:38Speaker 2: professional betters that agreed that I followed that agreed with
- 1:24:41Speaker 2: me on that New Mexico State game.
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: So I gave it out, you know, of my own
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: volition that morning.
- 1:24:46Speaker 2: And then I listened to you know, like Brian Power
- 1:24:48Speaker 2: on wager Talk, actually on the morning Wagers Back with
- 1:24:52Speaker 2: him and Mark Zenom.
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: Probably actually my.
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: Favorite sports betting show, just because their dynamic is so hilarious.
- 1:24:59Speaker 2: They're but not on Wager Talk, on the picks and parlays.
- 1:25:03Speaker 2: So I recommend that show.
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: Great show. But I heard they gave it out as
- 1:25:06Speaker 1: a play.
- 1:25:06Speaker 2: I think it was one of the two gave it
- 1:25:08Speaker 2: out as a play on that show after I had
- 1:25:10Speaker 2: already given it out. I was like, sweet, they agree
- 1:25:12Speaker 2: with me. They agreed with Northeastern as well, and we
- 1:25:14Speaker 2: lost both of those.
- 1:25:15Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:25:17Speaker 2: Uh but yeah, anyway, New Mexico State, they were a
- 1:25:20Speaker 2: favorite in that game and they probably should have won
- 1:25:22Speaker 2: the game. There were some misleading things about that as well.
- 1:25:25Speaker 2: New Mexico State I believe won the field goal attempt.
- 1:25:29Speaker 1: Battle and the rebounding battle.
- 1:25:30Speaker 2: If I'm not mistaken, In that game, it's still lost,
- 1:25:32Speaker 2: so I kind of expect them to bounce back here.
- 1:25:35Speaker 2: And for FIU, which is who they're playing, your Florida International,
- 1:25:39Speaker 2: you know they're probably gonna be focused too. But they
- 1:25:41Speaker 2: are playing a fifth road game in the last six games,
- 1:25:44Speaker 2: which is not.
- 1:25:45Speaker 1: Easy to do.
- 1:25:46Speaker 2: But they did just lose to UTAP, who's right with
- 1:25:49Speaker 2: them near the bottom of the standings here, so that's
- 1:25:51Speaker 2: not great for FIU either. So I kind of think
- 1:25:54Speaker 2: both teams do show up in the game, but New
- 1:25:56Speaker 2: Mexico State is the better team. They're down from eight
- 1:25:59Speaker 2: to seven and a half year. But if I was
- 1:26:01Speaker 2: gonna play it, I would probably lay it with New
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: Mexico State. I believe that these teams actually played. Yeah,
- 1:26:05Speaker 2: they actually played already. New Mexico State lost at FIU
- 1:26:09Speaker 2: by fifteen in as well, so there is a little
- 1:26:12Speaker 2: bit of a second meeting revenge angle here on New
- 1:26:15Speaker 2: Mexico State as well, so I would look towards laying
- 1:26:18Speaker 2: the points with them. They've been a really, really unlucky team,
- 1:26:21Speaker 2: as I talked about in that last game as well
- 1:26:23Speaker 2: when we did play them, they've been very unlucky. Man
- 1:26:27Speaker 2: Western Kentucky at Sam Houston Western Kentucky. They just played
- 1:26:32Speaker 2: pretty close against Liberty Man.
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: It was a big game for them.
- 1:26:34Speaker 2: I know I didn't mention Liberty today, but Western Kentucky
- 1:26:38Speaker 2: played them really close. And now Western Kentucky's gonna go
- 1:26:41Speaker 2: out on the road after that big game, only losing
- 1:26:43Speaker 2: by seven, and they're going to this Sam Houston team
- 1:26:46Speaker 2: that I keep talking about how they're underrated. I think
- 1:26:49Speaker 2: although they are ahead of Western Kentucky in the standings
- 1:26:51Speaker 2: now Sam Houston is staying at home. I think the
- 1:26:54Speaker 2: spot sets up easier for them. They just beat Kennisol,
- 1:26:56Speaker 2: though Kennesaw is a bit down this year, so I
- 1:27:00Speaker 2: prefer Sam Houston in this one. They're down from six
- 1:27:04Speaker 2: to four and a half though, so the money looks
- 1:27:05Speaker 2: like it's coming against that one, but I would lean
- 1:27:08Speaker 2: towards laying it with Sam Houston.
- 1:27:09Speaker 1: I still think they're a little.
- 1:27:10Speaker 2: Bit of an undervalued team there. Virginia Tech at number
- 1:27:15Speaker 2: twenty three, Louisville on the CW at two point fifteen pm.
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: We're working our way through baby again. Virginia Tech.
- 1:27:24Speaker 2: I don't think they're as good as the record looks,
- 1:27:26Speaker 2: so in a way, I think the rankings makers kind
- 1:27:28Speaker 2: of have this right, that Louisville is actually the better
- 1:27:30Speaker 2: team of the two. Ken Baum has Louisville rank sixteenth
- 1:27:35Speaker 2: in the country as well, so he does concur and
- 1:27:38Speaker 2: he has Virginia Tech all the way down at fifty six,
- 1:27:41Speaker 2: So he is telling you there is a decent gap
- 1:27:43Speaker 2: between these two teams, maybe more so than the rankings
- 1:27:47Speaker 2: make it look where they have Louisville at twenty third.
- 1:27:49Speaker 2: As far as the spot, Virginia Tech did just go
- 1:27:52Speaker 2: up to Syracuse.
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: They won the game. Now, another road game.
- 1:27:56Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna overlook Louisville, but having to
- 1:27:58Speaker 2: go down from Syracuse to Louisville going into what might
- 1:28:01Speaker 2: be this weird snow environment. I know I haven't mentioned
- 1:28:04Speaker 2: the snow since the top of the show, but I'm.
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: Trying to just handicap.
- 1:28:08Speaker 2: But based on those situations or whatever, the snow can
- 1:28:11Speaker 2: imback travel and stuff.
- 1:28:13Speaker 1: So I think generally.
- 1:28:13Speaker 2: These games that are gonna be in the snowy areas,
- 1:28:16Speaker 2: I think generally that does help the home teams. Now,
- 1:28:22Speaker 2: I don't think Virginia Tech is gonna overlook Louisville, but
- 1:28:26Speaker 2: it's a third road game in four games.
- 1:28:27Speaker 1: That's not that easy. For Louisville.
- 1:28:32Speaker 2: The concern with Louisville is that they have a huge
- 1:28:34Speaker 2: game on deck against Duke, and that's in two days.
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: And Louisville did just put up one.
- 1:28:39Speaker 2: Hundred points against Pitt and that was after Louisville had
- 1:28:41Speaker 2: a pretty big game against Virginia. So you could definitely
- 1:28:44Speaker 2: make the argument this is a little bit of a
- 1:28:45Speaker 2: sandwich spot here. They might be looking ahead to Duke,
- 1:28:49Speaker 2: so the spot is not all bad for Virginia Tech.
- 1:28:52Speaker 2: Louisville is up from ten and a half to twelve,
- 1:28:54Speaker 2: so I think this might be a game where the
- 1:28:55Speaker 2: numbers kind of conflict with the situation, right, I think
- 1:28:59Speaker 2: it is warranted.
- 1:29:00Speaker 1: Louisville is a.
- 1:29:00Speaker 2: Double digit favorite here, as I just showed you with
- 1:29:03Speaker 2: what the rankings actually say on ken Bomb, but I
- 1:29:06Speaker 2: think the.
- 1:29:06Speaker 1: Scheduling spot is actually worse for Louisville.
- 1:29:09Speaker 2: So I think I would actually probably take the boys
- 1:29:11Speaker 2: to the Virginia Tech in that one if I was
- 1:29:13Speaker 2: forced to play it.
- 1:29:14Speaker 1: But luckily I'm not all right.
- 1:29:17Speaker 2: Fox at three pm as a really good game in
- 1:29:19Speaker 2: the Big Ten between number eleven Illinois and number four Perdue,
- 1:29:23Speaker 2: And if you look at ken Bomb, he's got produced
- 1:29:25Speaker 2: seven in Illinois eight. And he has Illinois number one
- 1:29:29Speaker 2: in offense and Purdue number two in offense. Crazy, and
- 1:29:34Speaker 2: he has both teams a little bit worse defensively. Both
- 1:29:38Speaker 2: they're both they're really similar teams this year, believe it
- 1:29:40Speaker 2: or not. Illinois plays a little plays a bit slower
- 1:29:43Speaker 2: this year than they have in the past. Both teams
- 1:29:45Speaker 2: actually kind of slow the game down a little bit.
- 1:29:47Speaker 2: Ken Bomb has Purdue as the luckier team. But both
- 1:29:50Speaker 2: teams are really good offensively, and they're both fairly good
- 1:29:53Speaker 2: defensively as well. Very very similar teams here, which is crazy.
- 1:29:59Speaker 2: Illinois just beating Maryland and whatever I mean, they have
- 1:30:02Speaker 2: momentum coming off of that.
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: So the spot sets up.
- 1:30:04Speaker 2: Fine for Illinois here. It is very difficult to play
- 1:30:07Speaker 2: at Purdue.
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: Purdue. The spot might be a little bit trickier here.
- 1:30:11Speaker 2: They did just lose on the road to UCLA, and
- 1:30:14Speaker 2: generally I like teams.
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: To bounce back if they lost as a favorite.
- 1:30:19Speaker 2: But that might not be the case here, man, because
- 1:30:22Speaker 2: Purdue had not lost a conference game yet. They'd only
- 1:30:26Speaker 2: lost one game all season, and it was to Iowa
- 1:30:29Speaker 2: State in that weird game where it's looking like more
- 1:30:33Speaker 2: of an outlier, but we know Iowa State it's a
- 1:30:35Speaker 2: legit team too. Now, did just lose at UCLA is
- 1:30:38Speaker 2: what I'm talking about. Purdue was on the road, they
- 1:30:40Speaker 2: had to play those two Pacific Coast games. They didn't
- 1:30:43Speaker 2: play well in those games, barely getting by USC and
- 1:30:46Speaker 2: then losing to UCLA. But when a team loses a
- 1:30:49Speaker 2: long wind streak like that, like I'll say again, and
- 1:30:51Speaker 2: they lose their undefeated conference record, it could actually hang
- 1:30:54Speaker 2: them over. And Purdue is the team that's having to
- 1:30:56Speaker 2: travel back from the West Coast, where Illinois is not
- 1:31:01Speaker 2: having to do that. Illinois is just going from Illinois
- 1:31:03Speaker 2: to Indiana here. So I actually prefer the spot for
- 1:31:07Speaker 2: Illinois here. And I also think that the rankings makers
- 1:31:10Speaker 2: have this a.
- 1:31:10Speaker 1: Little bit off here.
- 1:31:11Speaker 2: I think Purdue is legit, I just think that Illinois
- 1:31:14Speaker 2: is also legit, and I think Illinois is a little
- 1:31:17Speaker 2: bit of the under ranked commodity here. Purdue is up
- 1:31:20Speaker 2: to a five and a half point favorite here, but
- 1:31:21Speaker 2: I would probably lean towards taking the points mid Illinois
- 1:31:24Speaker 2: here given what we just saw there. But not a
- 1:31:28Speaker 2: play from me Peacock and NBC Sports at three pm.
- 1:31:32Speaker 2: Number nine Iowa State at Oklahoma State, and this is
- 1:31:36Speaker 2: gonna look like a line where maybe it looks kind
- 1:31:38Speaker 2: of easy to play Iowa State. They're ten point favorite,
- 1:31:42Speaker 2: but the public probably is gonna come in on the
- 1:31:43Speaker 2: Iowa State side here. Ken bumpstill is Iowa State very legit.
- 1:31:48Speaker 2: They're the fifth best team according to his rankings, so
- 1:31:51Speaker 2: the rankings makers have kind of docked them too much
- 1:31:53Speaker 2: for losing on the road to Kansas and a Cincinnati,
- 1:31:57Speaker 2: but Iowa State not looking good on the road in
- 1:32:02Speaker 2: conference play.
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:32:03Speaker 2: They did win at Baylor, which is decent, although Baylor
- 1:32:05Speaker 2: has been struggling. They lost at Kansas, which is not
- 1:32:08Speaker 2: an easy place to play, but Kansas blew them out
- 1:32:10Speaker 2: by twenty one, and then they did follow that up
- 1:32:12Speaker 2: with a loss to Cincinnati. Al though you could make
- 1:32:15Speaker 2: the argument it was kind of a lose the same
- 1:32:17Speaker 2: game twice situation, like a hangover spot. After Iowa State
- 1:32:21Speaker 2: lost to Kansas, that was literally their first loss of
- 1:32:23Speaker 2: the season, so we've seen that. I think every team
- 1:32:26Speaker 2: that lost their undefeated status just laid into the season
- 1:32:30Speaker 2: actually lost that second game.
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: So I'm telling you that is a strong angle. Although
- 1:32:34Speaker 1: I don't think I play at any of those, but.
- 1:32:38Speaker 2: Iowa State, I mean, you could also make the argument
- 1:32:40Speaker 2: that they're really good on the road too, because they
- 1:32:42Speaker 2: beat Purdue on the road, which is really not easy
- 1:32:45Speaker 2: to do, and they beat them eighty one to fifty eight,
- 1:32:47Speaker 2: So that was a great road win for them. Now,
- 1:32:51Speaker 2: Iowa State, it's coming up a nice bounce back Whinever
- 1:32:53Speaker 2: UCF they beat them by thirty, They're going on the
- 1:32:56Speaker 2: road to Oklahoma State. They did already beat Oklahoma State
- 1:32:59Speaker 2: at home by twelve, although Iowa State I believe did
- 1:33:02Speaker 2: not cover the number in that one, so maybe they
- 1:33:06Speaker 2: will still take Oklahoma State seriously for that reason. But
- 1:33:09Speaker 2: I think the momentum is kind of on their side
- 1:33:11Speaker 2: because they did have that bounce back whenever UCF.
- 1:33:14Speaker 1: And I think maybe the numbers might be slightly.
- 1:33:16Speaker 2: On Iowa State's side too, because they're actually a little
- 1:33:18Speaker 2: bit under ranked right now and Oklahoma State looks good
- 1:33:21Speaker 2: at fourteen and five overall. But I've been pointing out
- 1:33:23Speaker 2: that's because they had a really weak out of conference schedule. Now, yes,
- 1:33:27Speaker 2: they've had a brutal conference schedule so far, losing to
- 1:33:30Speaker 2: you know, Texas Tech, Iowa State, well, they beat UCF.
- 1:33:34Speaker 1: It's been somewhat brutal.
- 1:33:36Speaker 2: But Oklahoma State, I just don't think they're as good
- 1:33:38Speaker 2: as their record looks. But you could also make the
- 1:33:41Speaker 2: argument that because Oklahoma State's a bubble team, they got
- 1:33:44Speaker 2: to show up for this game, man, because they want
- 1:33:46Speaker 2: to make the NCAA tournament and they're on the bubble
- 1:33:50Speaker 2: and all the bracketologies right now. But they're coming off
- 1:33:52Speaker 2: a tough road game against TCU where Oklahoma State was
- 1:33:55Speaker 2: a pretty big underdog in this one eight and a
- 1:33:57Speaker 2: half and they almost pulled off the up and they
- 1:34:00Speaker 2: were actually winning this game throughout the second half.
- 1:34:02Speaker 1: So that was kind of a brutal loss.
- 1:34:04Speaker 2: After they had TCU on the ropes. So all of
- 1:34:08Speaker 2: that being said, I think I would probably lead towards
- 1:34:10Speaker 2: laying it with Iowa State, but that's not gonna be
- 1:34:13Speaker 2: a play for me. Next game up, however, it is,
- 1:34:16Speaker 2: and it's a TV game Lucky US on USA Network
- 1:34:19Speaker 2: between Richmond and George Washington.
- 1:34:22Speaker 1: Here's where the underdogs start.
- 1:34:24Speaker 2: Baby, We're gonna take Richmond and a nice underdog price
- 1:34:26Speaker 2: at eight and a half here. I don't know if
- 1:34:30Speaker 2: we can get a better number on this now, but yeah,
- 1:34:32Speaker 2: it looks like it's still eight and a half. It's
- 1:34:33Speaker 2: gone up a little bit. It's not a low total,
- 1:34:35Speaker 2: but I still want to do this. In this case, Richmond,
- 1:34:40Speaker 2: They're coming up a pretty ugly loss to Rhode Island.
- 1:34:42Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:34:42Speaker 2: As I pointed out when I talked about Rhode Island,
- 1:34:44Speaker 2: Richmond was a pretty decent sized favorite in this one.
- 1:34:47Speaker 2: Took the loss in the game, actually only a three
- 1:34:49Speaker 2: and a half point favorite. But yeah, Richmond took the
- 1:34:53Speaker 2: loss in the game. They didn't have a good game
- 1:34:55Speaker 2: in this one. Yeah, Rhode Island did actually outplay them
- 1:34:57Speaker 2: on the on the stat sheet and whatever. So that's
- 1:35:01Speaker 2: not a great sign for Richmond. But I do think
- 1:35:04Speaker 2: they're gonna be up for this game against George Washington,
- 1:35:07Speaker 2: partially due to the fact that Richmond already lost at
- 1:35:10Speaker 2: home to George Washington by fourteen points. So we do
- 1:35:13Speaker 2: have an avenging road underdog here. If we look at
- 1:35:17Speaker 2: this game, George Washington was only a two and a
- 1:35:18Speaker 2: half point favorite in this one, so yeah, eight and
- 1:35:20Speaker 2: a half is about right based on that, So the
- 1:35:24Speaker 2: line seems okay. But look at what happened in this game, man,
- 1:35:28Speaker 2: George Washington shot out of their minds in this game.
- 1:35:30Speaker 2: They only had one more field goal attempt than Richmond did,
- 1:35:33Speaker 2: but they shot fifty nine percent from the field. They
- 1:35:35Speaker 2: shot fifty two percent from three point range, and that's
- 1:35:39Speaker 2: basically how they won the game. The rebound battle was close,
- 1:35:43Speaker 2: so statistically it was a much much closer game than
- 1:35:46Speaker 2: what the final score indicates. It was just a really
- 1:35:48Speaker 2: good shooting performance for George Washington. And now I also
- 1:35:52Speaker 2: don't like the spot for George Washington here because they
- 1:35:55Speaker 2: just took that difficult loss at George Mason. Man, that
- 1:35:58Speaker 2: was a big game for them. Battle of the Georgia's.
- 1:36:01Speaker 2: George Mason's one of the only undefeated teams.
- 1:36:04Speaker 1: Left in the A ten.
- 1:36:06Speaker 2: And guess who the other team is that's undefeated in
- 1:36:08Speaker 2: the A ten. And guess who George Washington's next opponent is. Yeah,
- 1:36:12Speaker 2: that would be Saint Louis. They play Saint Louis in
- 1:36:15Speaker 2: three days. So this is a Sandwich spot man plus
- 1:36:19Speaker 2: the avenging road underdog angle here for Richmond. Yeah, we're
- 1:36:22Speaker 2: gonna be on Richmond in this one. As far as
- 1:36:25Speaker 2: what ken Bum has got going on in this one
- 1:36:28Speaker 2: for George Washington, he has them as a decent team.
- 1:36:31Speaker 2: You know, seventy fifth he does have them very unlucky,
- 1:36:33Speaker 2: so I don't necessarily want to fade a team that's
- 1:36:37Speaker 2: you know, Ken Bomb has rated as a very unlucky team.
- 1:36:40Speaker 2: That means that they're actually better than they look, but
- 1:36:42Speaker 2: they're bad defensively one fifty sixth in deepfense, forty fourth
- 1:36:46Speaker 2: in offense.
- 1:36:47Speaker 1: They play really fast.
- 1:36:50Speaker 2: Richmond is a mid tempo team though, so I don't
- 1:36:52Speaker 2: think Richmond is gonna be really thrown off by a
- 1:36:53Speaker 2: fast tempo game. But I believe Richmond is actually the
- 1:36:57Speaker 2: better defense here, believe it or not. Rich and they're
- 1:37:01Speaker 2: better offensively than defensively. But George Washington is so lopsided here. Yeah,
- 1:37:09Speaker 2: George Washington is so lopsided towards the offensive side that
- 1:37:12Speaker 2: we're actually getting the better defense getting points with Richmond here.
- 1:37:15Speaker 2: And though kem Bum does have Richmond outside of the
- 1:37:18Speaker 2: top one hundred, he saw has them pretty unlucky themselves
- 1:37:21Speaker 2: at two eighty third in the country, so there isn't
- 1:37:23Speaker 2: a huge luck to spare it here. Both teams are
- 1:37:25Speaker 2: actually underperforming according to him. So all of that being said, yeah,
- 1:37:31Speaker 2: I think we got a lot of stuff going for
- 1:37:32Speaker 2: us here in this one. So we got rote avenging
- 1:37:35Speaker 2: road underdog. We get George Washington being in a sandwich spot,
- 1:37:40Speaker 2: Richmond coming off losing as a favorite, and we have
- 1:37:44Speaker 2: technically the better defense according to kembom's rankings as the underdog.
- 1:37:48Speaker 1: So let's do it.
- 1:37:49Speaker 2: Richmond plus the points, all right? What other games we
- 1:37:56Speaker 2: want to talk about here? I don't know if you
- 1:37:59Speaker 2: see a Colorado was that interesting when I looked. It's
- 1:38:01Speaker 2: a weird spot for UCF to have to go out
- 1:38:03Speaker 2: to elevation here. UCF just got blown out by Iowa
- 1:38:07Speaker 2: State on the road. But it's a third road game
- 1:38:09Speaker 2: in four games for them. You know, it's not gonna
- 1:38:12Speaker 2: be the easiest spot for them, of course, but for Colorado,
- 1:38:15Speaker 2: that's right for Colorado.
- 1:38:16Speaker 1: They're staying at home.
- 1:38:17Speaker 2: But Colorado just played pretty close against Kansas. I think
- 1:38:20Speaker 2: Kansas actually covered barely. But that was a big game
- 1:38:23Speaker 2: for Colorado. Man, and they have a big game up
- 1:38:26Speaker 2: next too against Iowa State, so they are kind of
- 1:38:29Speaker 2: in a sandwich spot here.
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: It's just that I worry.
- 1:38:32Speaker 2: About UCF having to go into elevation and stuff like that.
- 1:38:35Speaker 2: But yeah, I would lean towards UCF in this game.
- 1:38:37Speaker 2: I think UCF maybe a little bit under the radar.
- 1:38:40Speaker 2: Now ken Bum's got them at forty six. He definitely
- 1:38:43Speaker 2: has them as the better team over Colorado, who has
- 1:38:45Speaker 2: as eightieth.
- 1:38:46Speaker 1: This one's not on my card, but it does look
- 1:38:49Speaker 1: like a sandwich to me. The Colorado's in here.
- 1:38:51Speaker 2: Like I said, Bill self also missed that game, by
- 1:38:54Speaker 2: the way, I forgot to mention that because he is
- 1:38:56Speaker 2: in the hospital and I thought Colorado would or he
- 1:39:00Speaker 2: was at least for that game if the Colorado would
- 1:39:02Speaker 2: show up, and they did, but they just fell just short.
- 1:39:05Speaker 2: Nice performance from Colorado, but if you look at what
- 1:39:07Speaker 2: happened in that game, they didn't really take Kansas to
- 1:39:10Speaker 2: the wire. In the game, they kind of caught back
- 1:39:13Speaker 2: up near the end if they were down eleven in
- 1:39:15Speaker 2: the closing minutes, and then it was kind of cosmetic
- 1:39:18Speaker 2: at the end that they caught back up. So it
- 1:39:20Speaker 2: won't quite make my card, but I would lean towards
- 1:39:24Speaker 2: UCF in this one.
- 1:39:25Speaker 1: In Colorado is laying two and a half. Now, which
- 1:39:28Speaker 1: Central Florida is the better of the two teams? As
- 1:39:31Speaker 1: I told you, Ken Bomb's rankings bear that out.
- 1:39:34Speaker 2: So you are getting the better team getting points, and
- 1:39:36Speaker 2: even the oddsmakers are telling you U see f is
- 1:39:39Speaker 2: the better team, but I think they're the better team
- 1:39:41Speaker 2: by a more significant margin than only about you know,
- 1:39:43Speaker 2: a point or so or whatever. We're giving Colorado for
- 1:39:46Speaker 2: home home court there. So that's what I think about that.
- 1:39:49Speaker 2: Saint Peter's and Merrimac is one of the better games
- 1:39:53Speaker 2: in the matt At as well. I think Quinnipiac Marris
- 1:39:55Speaker 2: is actually better. But these are the two teams that
- 1:39:58Speaker 2: are atop the matt Ac stand right now, and they
- 1:40:01Speaker 2: already played once. Saint Peter's, I believe, beat Merrimack at home,
- 1:40:07Speaker 2: right Yes, Saint Peter's beat Merrimack at home by thirteen
- 1:40:11Speaker 2: might have been a little bit of a misleading result,
- 1:40:13Speaker 2: the fact that they won by that much.
- 1:40:15Speaker 1: Saint Peter's is on a roll here.
- 1:40:17Speaker 2: They just beat Iona, And you remember I gave out
- 1:40:20Speaker 2: Saint Peter's as a play in that one because I
- 1:40:21Speaker 2: thought they'd be looking ahead to Merrimack. Iona didn't get
- 1:40:24Speaker 2: it done for us, but they did get it done
- 1:40:26Speaker 2: for us against Merrimac. So Merrimack also just played Iona
- 1:40:30Speaker 2: and lost. And now people might think, well, if people
- 1:40:33Speaker 2: are gonna look at this game, they might think, well,
- 1:40:35Speaker 2: if Iona beat Merrimac, and Saint Peter's beat Iona, and
- 1:40:41Speaker 2: Saint Peter's already beat Merrimack, then of course Saint Peter's
- 1:40:44Speaker 2: gonna be able to win this game again, right where
- 1:40:46Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be a bit of an underdog.
- 1:40:48Speaker 2: I think, yeah, Merrimack's a three point favorite here, so
- 1:40:52Speaker 2: I think the public, if they look at this game,
- 1:40:53Speaker 2: they're gonna want Saint Peter's for those reasons. But I
- 1:40:57Speaker 2: disagree with it Ileen the other way. Merrimack again, they're
- 1:41:00Speaker 2: the team it has the adjustments to make here. They
- 1:41:03Speaker 2: have played a pretty difficult schedule over the last few games, man,
- 1:41:06Speaker 2: and that was why I faded them against Iona, because
- 1:41:08Speaker 2: they'd beaten Quinnipiac and Maris both on the road, and
- 1:41:11Speaker 2: they were playing a third excuse me, a second straight
- 1:41:14Speaker 2: road game and a fourth road game in five games.
- 1:41:16Speaker 2: So I just think it all caught up to them,
- 1:41:18Speaker 2: and I think they were looking ahead to Saint Peter's.
- 1:41:21Speaker 2: But I think this is probably the spot where Merrimack
- 1:41:24Speaker 2: comes back and plays better in this one. So I
- 1:41:25Speaker 2: would lean to Merrimack in that one. It's not on
- 1:41:28Speaker 2: my card, but that's the way I would lean in
- 1:41:30Speaker 2: that one, all right, What other games do we want
- 1:41:35Speaker 2: to talk about here? Man, trying to keep this somewhat short,
- 1:41:38Speaker 2: to talk about the games that are at least interesting.
- 1:41:41Speaker 1: I'm looking at the games that I have left as.
- 1:41:43Speaker 2: Far as my Leans, UCF was on the list, Oklahoma, Okay,
- 1:41:48Speaker 2: I have three more plays, and I have four more
- 1:41:51Speaker 2: additional Leans that I have. The next big game up
- 1:41:55Speaker 2: ESPN four PM, Auburn at Florida, And the first thing
- 1:41:58Speaker 2: that I thought of is this, this is a huge
- 1:42:00Speaker 2: revenge spot for Auburn. Man, it's Final four revenge. I
- 1:42:04Speaker 2: know the teams have different personnel here now, and whatever
- 1:42:08Speaker 2: I know, Auburn has a different coach now though it's
- 1:42:11Speaker 2: Bruce pearls Son, so still in the same coaching tree
- 1:42:14Speaker 2: here basically. So I think there's a huge revenge motive
- 1:42:18Speaker 2: for Auburn here in this game. And Florida has relegitimized themselves.
- 1:42:22Speaker 1: You know, they're back.
- 1:42:22Speaker 2: Sixteenth in the rankings. Ken Bum actually has them better
- 1:42:25Speaker 2: than that at tenth. But I think in the public's eyes,
- 1:42:29Speaker 2: Florida is all the way back, man, So I think
- 1:42:32Speaker 2: I would only be able to lean towards Auburn here.
- 1:42:34Speaker 2: I think that Final four revenge is a big, big
- 1:42:37Speaker 2: motivator here, because of course that's the last time these
- 1:42:40Speaker 2: two teams faced off, even though again there were different teams.
- 1:42:44Speaker 2: You remember who eliminated you from the from the tournament, man,
- 1:42:48Speaker 2: especially when it was in the final four.
- 1:42:50Speaker 1: You know.
- 1:42:52Speaker 2: So Auburn is coming off a decent win over ol Miss.
- 1:42:55Speaker 2: I mean it was a momentum continuing win, is what
- 1:42:57Speaker 2: I should say.
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: Over ol Miss.
- 1:43:00Speaker 2: I'm not a win that's gonna give them a letdown
- 1:43:02Speaker 2: or anything like that. So they have momentum coming into
- 1:43:05Speaker 2: this one. Auburn is also gonna kind of need to
- 1:43:07Speaker 2: pad their resume more so. I think, you know, you're
- 1:43:10Speaker 2: gonna get an effort out of Auburn for all these reasons.
- 1:43:12Speaker 2: And that's what I like. Underdogs that you pretty much
- 1:43:15Speaker 2: know are gonna give you an effort. So Auburn they
- 1:43:18Speaker 2: need to bolster their tournament resume. And it's a huge
- 1:43:20Speaker 2: revenge game. So I like all that for the Auburn side.
- 1:43:24Speaker 2: For Florida, they just came up beating LSU and we
- 1:43:27Speaker 2: lost taking the points with LSU in a close call,
- 1:43:31Speaker 2: they almost were able to cover that. I thought Florida
- 1:43:34Speaker 2: was gonna be in a bit of a letdown spot
- 1:43:35Speaker 2: if they beat Vandy, a huge win to establish themselves
- 1:43:38Speaker 2: as basically the best team in the SEC. So the
- 1:43:42Speaker 2: spot's not horrible for Florida here. They only have South
- 1:43:44Speaker 2: Carolina up next or whatever. But I would lean to
- 1:43:47Speaker 2: Auburn here is what I think is probably the more
- 1:43:49Speaker 2: motivated team here, and maybe you're getting a couple too
- 1:43:52Speaker 2: many points here in this one. Florida is up to
- 1:43:54Speaker 2: eleven and a half now, so I do think Auburn
- 1:43:58Speaker 2: is kind of under the radar. Kembum has Auburn is
- 1:44:00Speaker 2: the thirtieth best team in the country, so they're not bad.
- 1:44:03Speaker 1: They faced the third most difficult.
- 1:44:05Speaker 2: Schedule as well, though of course Florida has faced a
- 1:44:08Speaker 2: very difficult schedule as well. Fourth Florida is one of
- 1:44:11Speaker 2: ken Bum's unluckier teams in the country as well, But
- 1:44:15Speaker 2: I prefer Auburn in that one plus the points CBS
- 1:44:19Speaker 2: Sports at four Missouri Valley got Murray State at Northern Iowa.
- 1:44:23Speaker 2: Murray State did just take that loss to Drake. That
- 1:44:25Speaker 2: was kind of an ugly loss, but that was Murray
- 1:44:28Speaker 2: State's first conference loss and they had not lost since
- 1:44:30Speaker 2: they lost to MacNeice all the way back way early
- 1:44:34Speaker 2: in the season. Man, So this is Murray State team.
- 1:44:37Speaker 1: I mean they're.
- 1:44:39Speaker 2: Losses that were out of conference, were on the road
- 1:44:41Speaker 2: at SMU, to Middle Tennessee was one of the better
- 1:44:44Speaker 2: teams than Conference US they and to MacNeice. So this
- 1:44:46Speaker 2: Murray State team is kind of legit. And they beat
- 1:44:50Speaker 2: Acrid as well. They have had a decent resume so far,
- 1:44:53Speaker 2: but now they finally took a conference loss, and I
- 1:44:56Speaker 2: always talk about how that might hang you over into
- 1:44:58Speaker 2: the next game. They're staying in the state of Iowa
- 1:45:00Speaker 2: at least, playing two Iowa teams in a row here,
- 1:45:02Speaker 2: but taking that first conference loss couldeng you over. And
- 1:45:05Speaker 2: Northern Iowa has been playing so poorly recently, the Murray
- 1:45:08Speaker 2: State might actually look ahead because they have Illinois State
- 1:45:11Speaker 2: and Belmont on deck, and those teams have been playing
- 1:45:14Speaker 2: better and are both in the top four in the
- 1:45:16Speaker 2: conference stands or as Northern Iowa's been falling apart. This
- 1:45:19Speaker 2: Northern Iowa team, their offense can't get it together right now,
- 1:45:22Speaker 2: even though their defense has been good.
- 1:45:23Speaker 1: They've lost five games in a row.
- 1:45:26Speaker 2: But they did just have a close loss on the
- 1:45:28Speaker 2: road as a decent sized underdog to Illinois State. So
- 1:45:32Speaker 2: they could be in a bit of a hangover spot
- 1:45:34Speaker 2: coming off of that too. Although they're coming back home
- 1:45:36Speaker 2: and the last time they were at home things didn't
- 1:45:39Speaker 2: go well for them.
- 1:45:39Speaker 1: They lost to.
- 1:45:40Speaker 2: Illinois Chicago at home, so that wasn't a good home
- 1:45:43Speaker 2: loss for them there. And I don't believe these two
- 1:45:46Speaker 2: teams have played each other yet.
- 1:45:50Speaker 1: Wait have they? Let me make sure.
- 1:45:52Speaker 2: Sometimes these teams don't play a second conference matchp No.
- 1:45:56Speaker 1: They do play twice, but they have not played yet.
- 1:45:59Speaker 2: So this game pretty difficult handicap for me and man,
- 1:46:03Speaker 2: but I would probably lean towards Northern Iowa. You're getting
- 1:46:08Speaker 2: a pick em price on this one. Northern Iowa has
- 1:46:10Speaker 2: the much uglier record, so it looks very very easy
- 1:46:13Speaker 2: to play Murray State in a pick the winner type
- 1:46:15Speaker 2: of game, and the public might actually want some action
- 1:46:17Speaker 2: on this because it's on TV, So I would lean
- 1:46:21Speaker 2: towards Northern Iowa. Ken bumb is Murray State ninety first
- 1:46:24Speaker 2: in the country, pretty lucky at seventy eighth. They're not
- 1:46:27Speaker 2: a very good defensive team, so Northern Iowa is the
- 1:46:29Speaker 2: way better defensive team and they're just outside of the
- 1:46:32Speaker 2: top one hundred according to Kemba, but they're just very lopsided.
- 1:46:35Speaker 2: They're horrible offensively, but they are the better defense, and
- 1:46:39Speaker 2: you know, I like that. And they slow the game
- 1:46:41Speaker 2: way down, which Murray State is not gonna want. Murray
- 1:46:44Speaker 2: State plays way fast. Northern Iowa likes to play way slow,
- 1:46:48Speaker 2: which might frustrate Murray State.
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: The racers if they're gonna.
- 1:46:54Speaker 2: Try to race in this game, Northern i was probably
- 1:46:56Speaker 2: not gonna let them, and I just lost it. But
- 1:46:58Speaker 2: Northern Iowa was way low and Kemp Bump's luck index
- 1:47:01Speaker 2: as well, So definitely some indicators that I like to
- 1:47:03Speaker 2: look for leaning towards Northern.
- 1:47:06Speaker 1: Iowa in that game.
- 1:47:08Speaker 2: Justin what's up, man, Yes, sir, your team is out
- 1:47:11Speaker 2: of the NVC now. They moved to the Conference USA, man,
- 1:47:16Speaker 2: But I like the Missouri Valley a lot of kind
- 1:47:18Speaker 2: of competitive matchups there. ESPN two has a matchup between
- 1:47:23Speaker 2: Memphis and Wichita State in the American Conference.
- 1:47:26Speaker 1: This is a decent game. Both these teams are decent.
- 1:47:29Speaker 2: They're both kind of in the middle of the conference
- 1:47:31Speaker 2: pack right now, but no team has really been able
- 1:47:33Speaker 2: to separate themselves in this conference. Memphis just took a
- 1:47:36Speaker 2: pretty ugly loss at Tulsa by seventeen, even though it's
- 1:47:40Speaker 2: also has been one of the better teams.
- 1:47:41Speaker 1: In the conference.
- 1:47:43Speaker 2: It's possible Memphis is kind of in a bounce back
- 1:47:46Speaker 2: mode after that. These two teams haven't played each other yet,
- 1:47:48Speaker 2: but it is a second straight road game for Memphis here.
- 1:47:52Speaker 2: Now going to Wichita, Wichita is not that bad of
- 1:47:54Speaker 2: a team either. Wichita just had an easier win against
- 1:47:58Speaker 2: East Carolina. Unfortunately we lost on that. East Carolina did
- 1:48:01Speaker 2: not cover for US. They missed by a few points there.
- 1:48:04Speaker 2: But I thought Wichita coming off that big win over
- 1:48:07Speaker 2: USF South Florida in with Memphis and Tulsa on deck,
- 1:48:11Speaker 2: I really thought that was a Sandwich spot. But East Carolina, man,
- 1:48:14Speaker 2: they're miserable. But yeah, Wichita does have momentum coming into
- 1:48:19Speaker 2: this one. You know, maybe the game means a little
- 1:48:23Speaker 2: bit more to Wichitaka is Memphis is seeming always the
- 1:48:26Speaker 2: team that wins this conference. Wichita is down from four
- 1:48:28Speaker 2: to three and a half here. I would probably lean
- 1:48:34Speaker 2: towards laying it with Wichitab but I really don't have
- 1:48:36Speaker 2: a strong opinion on that one, and a lot of
- 1:48:38Speaker 2: it would just have to do with the fact that
- 1:48:40Speaker 2: teams are just gonna put a target on Memphis's back
- 1:48:43Speaker 2: because they keep winning this conference every year. So that's
- 1:48:47Speaker 2: what I think there. The Valley is yeah, smarter play,
- 1:48:51Speaker 2: less physical. I like physical play, though. I like when
- 1:48:53Speaker 2: defenses beat you up, which is kind of why I
- 1:48:56Speaker 2: like Northern Iowa because I think they kind of do
- 1:48:58Speaker 2: that there. ESPN You oddly has a swack game between
- 1:49:03Speaker 2: Jackson's State and Bethune Cookman, although these two teams actually both.
- 1:49:09Speaker 1: Like tested themselves out of conference.
- 1:49:10Speaker 2: I mean I always talked about how Jackson State has
- 1:49:13Speaker 2: ridiculous out of conference schedules the last couple of years.
- 1:49:16Speaker 2: So these two teams are both battle testing and they're
- 1:49:19Speaker 2: both near the top of the swack, partially because they
- 1:49:22Speaker 2: are very battle tested. So it is kind of an
- 1:49:24Speaker 2: interesting game. I think both teams will show up for it.
- 1:49:27Speaker 2: Jackson State just beat Texas Southern. Texas Southern has not
- 1:49:31Speaker 2: been having a good year. Bethune Cookman coming into this
- 1:49:34Speaker 2: beating Arkansas Pine Bluff on the road. They've been more
- 1:49:37Speaker 2: of a middle of the road type of team here.
- 1:49:40Speaker 2: I don't really see much of an angle in this.
- 1:49:42Speaker 2: It's just both teams are gonna show up for this.
- 1:49:44Speaker 2: I think it probably just kind of comes down to
- 1:49:45Speaker 2: which of the teams is actually the better team here,
- 1:49:48Speaker 2: uh and Ken sue the odsweakers are telling you Bethune
- 1:49:52Speaker 2: Cookman is significantly better as a nine point favorite in
- 1:49:55Speaker 2: this one. And the public, if they look at this
- 1:49:58Speaker 2: game and they want some TV action, they're probably gonna
- 1:50:01Speaker 2: think this line is a lot to lay. Like, I
- 1:50:03Speaker 2: don't think they want to lay a big favorite price
- 1:50:05Speaker 2: with the team and as a blow five hundred record,
- 1:50:07Speaker 2: so I think they might lean towards taking the points
- 1:50:10Speaker 2: in this one. But because of that, I would probably
- 1:50:12Speaker 2: actually lay it with Pethune Cookman, but I'm not gonna
- 1:50:15Speaker 2: do it. Sob oh, you just listened to my breakdown
- 1:50:21Speaker 2: on that. I gave my opinion on that game. I
- 1:50:24Speaker 2: lean to Minnesota. I think the main part of the
- 1:50:27Speaker 2: handicap is it's potentially a look ahead spot with Nebraska.
- 1:50:30Speaker 2: I mean, Minnesota on deck. Ohio State did get it
- 1:50:34Speaker 2: done for you. I agreed with that play. That was
- 1:50:35Speaker 2: a good one for you. They covered, yes, correct that
- 1:50:41Speaker 2: Nebraska one. I lean towards Minnesota plus the points when
- 1:50:44Speaker 2: I'm staying away from that. But the other thing of
- 1:50:46Speaker 2: note that I mentioned is Minnesota has actually been pretty
- 1:50:49Speaker 2: good in their home conference games this year, so that
- 1:50:51Speaker 2: is something to keep in mind in that one, plus
- 1:50:54Speaker 2: Nebraska being in the look ahead. But it's not I
- 1:50:56Speaker 2: don't think it's a strong opinion. Trying to give just
- 1:50:59Speaker 2: the strongest here. Baby San Diego State at UNLV on CBS.
- 1:51:03Speaker 2: I do have an opinion on this one, but it's
- 1:51:05Speaker 2: not the strongest. It's a Mountain West game. It's gonna
- 1:51:08Speaker 2: be kind of interesting. San Diego State. They're coming off
- 1:51:12Speaker 2: a loss to Grand Canyon. Grand Canyon, they're playing, they're
- 1:51:15Speaker 2: playing well in the conference right now. Man, It's it's
- 1:51:18Speaker 2: a new conference for them, and maybe Grand Canyon's taking
- 1:51:21Speaker 2: a little bit of a little bit advantage of being
- 1:51:24Speaker 2: at home, and you know, their home arena being unfamiliar
- 1:51:27Speaker 2: for these Mountain West teams to have to go there.
- 1:51:29Speaker 2: Because I think Grand Canyon's two big wins, we're both
- 1:51:32Speaker 2: at home, and some of it might have to do
- 1:51:34Speaker 2: with the unfamiliarity. But yeah, San Diego State is coming
- 1:51:37Speaker 2: off that loss at Grand Canyon, and San Diego State
- 1:51:41Speaker 2: was definitely a favorite in this game only one and
- 1:51:44Speaker 2: a half though. Now do does San Diego State bounce
- 1:51:47Speaker 2: back here or are they gonna be hungover because that
- 1:51:51Speaker 2: was their first conference loss. And I talk about how
- 1:51:54Speaker 2: when a team loses the wind streak, it takes their
- 1:51:56Speaker 2: first conference loss, it might hang them over a little bit.
- 1:51:59Speaker 2: And they'd play New Mexico the game before then got
- 1:52:01Speaker 2: a nice win against New Mexico, who is one of
- 1:52:03Speaker 2: the better teams in the conference. So that probably put
- 1:52:06Speaker 2: them in maybe a little bit of a letdown spot
- 1:52:08Speaker 2: going to Grand Canyon, but it's being a letdown spots. Yeah,
- 1:52:13Speaker 2: this is the second straight road game for San Diego State,
- 1:52:15Speaker 2: although they're only going from Grand Canyon in Arizona up
- 1:52:18Speaker 2: to Las Vegas here, And of course they're familiar with
- 1:52:20Speaker 2: going to Vegas because the Mountain West Tournament is there.
- 1:52:23Speaker 2: They play at UNLV every year as well, probably, But
- 1:52:27Speaker 2: the big letdown spot here is what UNLV is at.
- 1:52:29Speaker 2: I mean, they just beat Utah State on the road.
- 1:52:32Speaker 2: That was a ridiculous win for UNLV. Fifteen and a
- 1:52:36Speaker 2: half point underdogs. They pulled off the upset against Utah State.
- 1:52:39Speaker 2: But if you look at that spot for Utah State,
- 1:52:41Speaker 2: they lost at Grand Canyon the game before that, and
- 1:52:44Speaker 2: that was one of those spots where Utah State had
- 1:52:47Speaker 2: taken their first conference loss, they lost a long win streak,
- 1:52:50Speaker 2: so again they were hungover I think.
- 1:52:52Speaker 1: Into that next game.
- 1:52:54Speaker 2: But now, what do we do with this game, because
- 1:52:56Speaker 2: I think San Diego State is in a similar hangover
- 1:52:58Speaker 2: spot to that, but v is in a monster letdown spot.
- 1:53:02Speaker 2: That was a monster upset there. I don't think they're
- 1:53:06Speaker 2: gonna overlook san Diego State. San Diego State's at the
- 1:53:08Speaker 2: top of the conference. They're always pretty much near the
- 1:53:11Speaker 2: top of the conference. But I just think probably the
- 1:53:14Speaker 2: main factor is that letdown spot for UNLV, where I
- 1:53:18Speaker 2: think it's more just that they won't be able to
- 1:53:20Speaker 2: put in that big of an effort two games in
- 1:53:22Speaker 2: a row. So I would probably lay it with San
- 1:53:24Speaker 2: Diego State in this one, but I'm staying away from
- 1:53:26Speaker 2: the game either.
- 1:53:27Speaker 1: They're up from five to five and a half in
- 1:53:29Speaker 1: that one.
- 1:53:31Speaker 2: Eight thirty nine in the morning that you get up
- 1:53:33Speaker 2: in the morning and I'm still up at three am.
- 1:53:36Speaker 1: Basically it's three am. Must be lonely.
- 1:53:42Speaker 2: You're just thinking about, Yeah, that line, Yeah, the line,
- 1:53:45Speaker 2: It looks way too easy to play Nebraska. I agree
- 1:53:48Speaker 2: with that, but Nebraska's had lines like that multiple times
- 1:53:51Speaker 2: this year. Man, and they keep covering them. So you know,
- 1:53:54Speaker 2: it's one of those ones where like sharps are probably
- 1:53:56Speaker 2: gonna come in. Oh yeah, it's fade Nebraska. And I
- 1:53:58Speaker 2: don't even disagree with that, but I just don't want
- 1:54:01Speaker 2: it on my card.
- 1:54:02Speaker 1: You got your soccer plays.
- 1:54:04Speaker 2: Going on, which the time, Loyola they used to be
- 1:54:10Speaker 2: Mountain West. Yeah, a lot of these teams, dude, I
- 1:54:12Speaker 2: remember or not Mountain Why do I keep saying Mountain West,
- 1:54:15Speaker 2: Missouri Valley, Wichita used to be in there. I think
- 1:54:17Speaker 2: Loyola used to be in there, Creighton used to.
- 1:54:20Speaker 1: Be in there. I remember the days.
- 1:54:21Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what what do you mean by
- 1:54:26Speaker 2: BB Bible Belt? What are we talking What are we
- 1:54:28Speaker 2: talking about? BB versus FB? I don't know what we're
- 1:54:33Speaker 2: talking about? Oh, basketball versus football?
- 1:54:37Speaker 1: Of course?
- 1:54:37Speaker 2: Yeah, right, yes, those schools are much more Yeah, they're
- 1:54:42Speaker 2: much more basketball because basketball Division one is just one
- 1:54:45Speaker 2: big umbrella in basketball where was in football. It's separated
- 1:54:48Speaker 2: out into FBS and FCS. So those Missouri Valley teams
- 1:54:52Speaker 2: are FCS football teams for the most part. Okay, ACC
- 1:54:59Speaker 2: Network at four pm, flur Florida State at SMU. Really
- 1:55:02Speaker 2: the only way I could look at this is that
- 1:55:04Speaker 2: Florida State just pulled off a monster up set at
- 1:55:06Speaker 2: Miami that I already talked about. I think they were
- 1:55:08Speaker 2: like double digit underdogs in that game. Huge game for
- 1:55:11Speaker 2: Florida State and even bigger because that's their in state
- 1:55:14Speaker 2: rival and basically a bigger brother Miami.
- 1:55:17Speaker 1: And now they have to play a.
- 1:55:18Speaker 2: Second straight road game, a third road game in four games,
- 1:55:21Speaker 2: a little bit of an unfamiliar venue really because SMU
- 1:55:24Speaker 2: hasn't been in this conference that long. Yeah, I think
- 1:55:27Speaker 2: it's a major letdown spot for Florida State. The one
- 1:55:29Speaker 2: thing they do have going for them is they finally
- 1:55:31Speaker 2: did get that monkey off their back and they won
- 1:55:33Speaker 2: an ACC game, So sometimes that will give you some
- 1:55:36Speaker 2: positive momentum. But I think the letdown spot is pretty
- 1:55:40Speaker 2: heavy here. SMU nice bounce back win at Wake in
- 1:55:44Speaker 2: their last game, but one concern I guess is they
- 1:55:46Speaker 2: do have Louis von on deck, so they might overlook
- 1:55:49Speaker 2: Florida State for that reason because Florida State.
- 1:55:51Speaker 1: Just still hasn't been that good. So I would lean
- 1:55:55Speaker 1: towards SMU.
- 1:55:56Speaker 2: I would lay it they're a twelve point favorite here,
- 1:55:58Speaker 2: but it's not on my card.
- 1:56:01Speaker 1: Okay, what else we got going on here? Man?
- 1:56:04Speaker 2: Moving through? Moving through, I got a few. All the
- 1:56:09Speaker 2: games I have left I think are somewhat later games.
- 1:56:11Speaker 2: A lot of the games, like I said, moved up
- 1:56:13Speaker 2: earlier because of the weather. Tulsa and Rice was kind
- 1:56:17Speaker 2: of a weird game when I looked at it. Tulsa
- 1:56:20Speaker 2: just beat Memphis after beating UAB.
- 1:56:22Speaker 1: Those are big wins. Man. UAB still like kind of
- 1:56:26Speaker 1: a decent name in the conference. But you beat Memphis.
- 1:56:29Speaker 2: Again, it's like always the team to beat in this conference,
- 1:56:31Speaker 2: and you smash them by seventeen.
- 1:56:33Speaker 1: That's a big win. Man. Now they're going to Rice.
- 1:56:36Speaker 2: And by the way, Tulsa already played Rice and they
- 1:56:38Speaker 2: beat them by forty nine points at home, So Tulsa.
- 1:56:43Speaker 1: Might look right past Rice here.
- 1:56:45Speaker 2: They got North Texas up next, then Wichita, then FAU.
- 1:56:49Speaker 2: You know, I wish it was a team that was
- 1:56:50Speaker 2: doing better than North Texas is because they're not doing
- 1:56:52Speaker 2: that well. Because this might have the makings of a
- 1:56:55Speaker 2: bit of a sandwich spot here. At the very least,
- 1:56:58Speaker 2: I think they won't take Rice seriously after they absolutely
- 1:57:01Speaker 2: embarrass Rice in that first game. And Rice may very
- 1:57:05Speaker 2: well show up in this game, Man, they're at home,
- 1:57:07Speaker 2: they get Tulsa coming in. Might be maybe a little
- 1:57:10Speaker 2: bit of a difficult spot for Rice, just because they
- 1:57:12Speaker 2: did play well against Temple in the previous game and
- 1:57:15Speaker 2: Temple was likely a favorite in that game and Rice
- 1:57:19Speaker 2: almost came away with the win in that game. They
- 1:57:21Speaker 2: were actually Rice was actually favored in that game. Wow,
- 1:57:24Speaker 2: I did not expect that. Temple I think just overrated
- 1:57:28Speaker 2: right now. So yeah, you know, I think the spot's
- 1:57:32Speaker 2: not great for Tulsa in that one. Rice pretty huge
- 1:57:35Speaker 2: revenge spot actually might actually be one revenge is actually
- 1:57:39Speaker 2: the reason for it, rather than just making adjustments or whatever,
- 1:57:42Speaker 2: because you're gonna be pissed if a team beat you
- 1:57:44Speaker 2: by almost fifty even though it was at their place.
- 1:57:47Speaker 2: But and the game's not on the board actually right now,
- 1:57:50Speaker 2: so this might be I apologize. This might be a
- 1:57:52Speaker 2: game that's getting postponed as well, So I apologize for that,
- 1:57:58Speaker 2: all right. SEC Network at five PM. LSU at number twenty, Arkansas.
- 1:58:02Speaker 2: More of a football match up here than a basketball matchup.
- 1:58:06Speaker 2: LSU just played at Florida, took the double digit loss.
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: Didn't cover a second straight road game.
- 1:58:11Speaker 2: But I think LSU will show up because they're falling
- 1:58:14Speaker 2: out of the tournament picture here, man, so they need
- 1:58:16Speaker 2: some win against some team that's gonna be in the tournament,
- 1:58:21Speaker 2: you know. So LSU, you're probably gonna get motivation out
- 1:58:24Speaker 2: of them at the very least.
- 1:58:25Speaker 1: And Arkansas.
- 1:58:26Speaker 2: I just had a nice win for Vandy, so I
- 1:58:29Speaker 2: think it might be a little bit of a letdown
- 1:58:31Speaker 2: for Arkansas. They stomped Vandy ninety three to sixty eight,
- 1:58:34Speaker 2: and Vandy was coming off that big game against Florida
- 1:58:37Speaker 2: where they fell just short. So I think Arkansas caught
- 1:58:39Speaker 2: Vandy at the right time. I would lean towards LSU
- 1:58:43Speaker 2: in this one. I think you're gonna get potentially the
- 1:58:47Speaker 2: bigger effort out of them as the underdog here. They
- 1:58:49Speaker 2: are ten point underdog in this one. So that's my
- 1:58:52Speaker 2: opinion in that one. NCAA and T in thousand. I'm
- 1:58:59Speaker 2: doing it for man, I'm running through the entire college
- 1:59:02Speaker 2: basketball board. I do my sort, I do quick handicap,
- 1:59:06Speaker 2: and basically I look at the scheduling spots.
- 1:59:09Speaker 1: If I see something that I like.
- 1:59:11Speaker 2: What I do is I look at the schedule first,
- 1:59:12Speaker 2: because I do the situational stuff. If I like what
- 1:59:15Speaker 2: I see in the scheduling. Then I start like digging in,
- 1:59:18Speaker 2: like was there a first matchup? What happened in that
- 1:59:20Speaker 2: first matchup? You know, I look at the Ken Palm stuff,
- 1:59:24Speaker 2: so I try to consider all of it. A VCU
- 1:59:27Speaker 2: at Davidson on USA Network, so this one's televised as well.
- 1:59:31Speaker 2: It's an interesting one, but I think the big part
- 1:59:33Speaker 2: of the handicap is VCU just almost lost to Saint Joe's,
- 1:59:37Speaker 2: which I already mentioned, which is why we're fading Saint
- 1:59:39Speaker 2: Joe's here a VCU coming off that when a big
- 1:59:42Speaker 2: favorite does poorly like VCU did, I think they do
- 1:59:45Speaker 2: tend to show up with some effort in the next game.
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: It is a third road game of four.
- 1:59:51Speaker 2: Games, which is a little bit difficult, but I think
- 1:59:53Speaker 2: they will show up here. I think they are the
- 1:59:54Speaker 2: better team, and I think VCU might actually be a
- 1:59:56Speaker 2: little bit under the radar just because they face a
- 1:59:59Speaker 2: pretty difficult out of conference schedule. Ken Bump slows them
- 2:00:02Speaker 2: forty seventh in the country, so he has them as
- 2:00:05Speaker 2: like absolutely the second best team in the conference behind
- 2:00:08Speaker 2: Saint Louis. Of course, Davidson coming into this game off
- 2:00:12Speaker 2: of beating Fordham and didn't have a great game against
- 2:00:14Speaker 2: Fordham where I think we got a push on the show.
- 2:00:18Speaker 2: I think I unfortunately gave it out a four and
- 2:00:20Speaker 2: a half, but I found a five, like I think
- 2:00:22Speaker 2: right when I was doing it for the push with
- 2:00:24Speaker 2: Fordham there. But Davidson I thought was in a sandwich
- 2:00:27Speaker 2: spot because they were coming up that game against George Washington.
- 2:00:31Speaker 1: That was a big game.
- 2:00:31Speaker 2: They pulled off the upset and they had VCU on deck,
- 2:00:34Speaker 2: so I think they got caught in a sandwich.
- 2:00:36Speaker 1: So I expect Davidson to show up too.
- 2:00:37Speaker 2: But because VCU had such a bad performance in their
- 2:00:40Speaker 2: last game, I would probably have to lay it with
- 2:00:43Speaker 2: VCU here. They're up from four and a half to six.
- 2:00:46Speaker 2: That line also, it almost looks short to me, knowing
- 2:00:49Speaker 2: how good VCU really is here, I would probably lay.
- 2:00:51Speaker 1: It in that one.
- 2:00:55Speaker 2: Trevaon Brazil at Arkansas, Springfield, Missouri.
- 2:01:00Speaker 1: The Springfield three, Baby, I'm a true crime guys.
- 2:01:02Speaker 2: Well, that's one of the most baffling cases out there,
- 2:01:05Speaker 2: the Springfield three. You know, it was two high school
- 2:01:11Speaker 2: chicks and the mother of one of them, all disappeared
- 2:01:13Speaker 2: from the same house and have never been seen again.
- 2:01:16Speaker 1: You can look up.
- 2:01:16Speaker 2: That case very very strange, and there were some It's
- 2:01:21Speaker 2: very frustrating too, because a lot of potential evidence got
- 2:01:25Speaker 2: kind of destroyed just by witnesses being stupid pretty much.
- 2:01:29Speaker 2: Very very frustrating as a true crime buff because if
- 2:01:32Speaker 2: that hadn't happened, the case.
- 2:01:34Speaker 1: Might have been solved in some way. Yeah.
- 2:01:39Speaker 2: I don't do soccer, so that's why I don't even try.
- 2:01:42Speaker 1: There is way too much going on with soccer. I
- 2:01:44Speaker 1: don't do it.
- 2:01:44Speaker 2: I might dive into the World Cup this year, but
- 2:01:47Speaker 2: I don't know. I did a little bit the last
- 2:01:50Speaker 2: time the World Cup was around. I think I may
- 2:01:52Speaker 2: have had one or two plays. But Seaton Hall at
- 2:01:55Speaker 2: DePaul on True TV, Big East matchup at five pm.
- 2:02:00Speaker 1: Seaton Hall coming into this game, they had a big
- 2:02:03Speaker 1: game against Saint John's man Seaton Hall.
- 2:02:05Speaker 2: I know they've lost three games in a row, so
- 2:02:07Speaker 2: you might make the argument they're kind of desperate for
- 2:02:09Speaker 2: a win here.
- 2:02:10Speaker 1: But that was a huge game.
- 2:02:11Speaker 2: As I said, they were like double digit underdogs at
- 2:02:14Speaker 2: Saint John's and they led the game by double digits
- 2:02:17Speaker 2: in the second half and then lost the game. Brutal
- 2:02:20Speaker 2: loss for Seaton Hall. Oh wait, I forgot I'm sorry.
- 2:02:23Speaker 2: This is one of my best bets. Actually my apologies,
- 2:02:26Speaker 2: and it's for these reasons. We're gonna fade Seaton Hall here.
- 2:02:30Speaker 2: We're gonna take De Paul plus two and a half.
- 2:02:33Speaker 2: It looks way too easy to play Seaton Hall at
- 2:02:35Speaker 2: two and a half. I think even though they've faded
- 2:02:37Speaker 2: a little bit in the standings, they still have the
- 2:02:39Speaker 2: way prettier looking record. They still have the name recognition.
- 2:02:42Speaker 2: Nobody wants to play De Paul to De Paul is
- 2:02:45Speaker 2: actually a little bit improved this year. They're no longer
- 2:02:47Speaker 2: a dormat and Seaton Hall again, I think they're in.
- 2:02:51Speaker 1: A horrible spot.
- 2:02:51Speaker 2: That was a brutal way to lose that game against
- 2:02:54Speaker 2: Saint John's. Man Like, they had the game and Saint
- 2:02:58Speaker 2: John's was horrible shooting in the game, and they shot
- 2:03:00Speaker 2: seventeen percent from three thirty six percent from the field.
- 2:03:05Speaker 2: I know Seton Hall didn't shoot that much better from
- 2:03:07Speaker 2: the field, but Saint John's was missing their threes. They
- 2:03:11Speaker 2: had one more field goal attempt in the game. At least,
- 2:03:14Speaker 2: they did have way more free throw Saint John's did.
- 2:03:17Speaker 2: In the rebound battle was actually exactly the same, but
- 2:03:20Speaker 2: even so, again, it was a huge game for Seaton Hall.
- 2:03:23Speaker 2: They were up double digits in the second half, blew
- 2:03:25Speaker 2: the game lost right at the end.
- 2:03:27Speaker 1: Now they got to go.
- 2:03:28Speaker 2: From Madison Square Garden, I think, out to De Paul
- 2:03:31Speaker 2: to the Chicago area. I don't think it's a good
- 2:03:33Speaker 2: spot for them man.
- 2:03:35Speaker 1: And for De Paul here.
- 2:03:38Speaker 2: De Paul did just lose on the road at Butler,
- 2:03:40Speaker 2: but the game wasn't really that close.
- 2:03:41Speaker 1: They lost by seven.
- 2:03:42Speaker 2: I think they might have been a little bit of
- 2:03:44Speaker 2: a bigger underdog than that, but the game wasn't really close.
- 2:03:47Speaker 2: I think it was a little bit cosmetic at the end.
- 2:03:50Speaker 2: Now that Paul is back at home, if you look
- 2:03:51Speaker 2: at what they've done at home in conference, hasn't been
- 2:03:54Speaker 2: that bad. They lost to Yukon, of course, by eighteen,
- 2:03:57Speaker 2: but they beat Xavier, beat Georgetown, beat Mark. I know
- 2:04:00Speaker 2: Seaton Hall is better than those three teams, and they're
- 2:04:02Speaker 2: not as good as Yukon. So there's somewhere in the
- 2:04:05Speaker 2: middle here. But that couple with this spot for Seaton
- 2:04:08Speaker 2: Hall here. Ken Baum doesn't love Seaton Hall. He has
- 2:04:12Speaker 2: them forty ninth, though he does have them a bit unlucky,
- 2:04:15Speaker 2: but he has them only forty ninth in the country.
- 2:04:17Speaker 2: They're very weak offensively, but they're a top ten defensive team.
- 2:04:21Speaker 2: But that's not exactly what you want laying points on
- 2:04:23Speaker 2: the road in a bad spot. They play slow, and
- 2:04:26Speaker 2: so does De Paul. So I think this is gonna
- 2:04:28Speaker 2: be a game that's gonna be slow. Points are gonna
- 2:04:30Speaker 2: be at a premium to Paul is not bad defensively either,
- 2:04:33Speaker 2: at sixtieth according to ken Bom, and they're one hundred
- 2:04:37Speaker 2: and seventh overall. So yes, Seaton Hall is the better
- 2:04:39Speaker 2: team on both sides of the ball, but that's factoring
- 2:04:43Speaker 2: into the line. I think the spot is terrible for them.
- 2:04:46Speaker 2: I like it for DePaul Man. So that's where we're going.
- 2:04:49Speaker 2: We're going with DePaul in that one, and what I
- 2:04:53Speaker 2: think is gonna be kind of a just ugly, ugly game.
- 2:04:57Speaker 2: I probably wouldn't really, I don't know if I would
- 2:04:59Speaker 2: necessarily just career an under either.
- 2:05:01Speaker 1: It's one thirty four and a half.
- 2:05:03Speaker 2: But I worry that, you know, with the team like
- 2:05:06Speaker 2: Seaton Hall that's coming off a big game like that,
- 2:05:08Speaker 2: they could be, you know, maybe a little bit tired
- 2:05:11Speaker 2: and not playing defense at the highest level here. But
- 2:05:14Speaker 2: Seten Hall did drop from three to two to two
- 2:05:16Speaker 2: and a half in this one, so it looks like
- 2:05:18Speaker 2: a little bit of money maybe agreeing with me on
- 2:05:20Speaker 2: that one.
- 2:05:22Speaker 1: You see Riverside, you see Davis.
- 2:05:23Speaker 2: I kind of eyeballed this because you see, Davis just
- 2:05:26Speaker 2: had a close game against you see San Diego, and
- 2:05:28Speaker 2: that was after beating you see Irvine, and those are
- 2:05:31Speaker 2: still two of the best teams in this conference. Man,
- 2:05:33Speaker 2: So you see Davis could be in a little bit
- 2:05:36Speaker 2: of a hangover spot here facing you see Riverside, who
- 2:05:39Speaker 2: I believe they have not played yet this year. Yeah,
- 2:05:42Speaker 2: they played them again later on in February. Riverside did leave.
- 2:05:46Speaker 2: They did let me down once this year. They're coming
- 2:05:49Speaker 2: up an uglier loss you see Irvine though, So people
- 2:05:51Speaker 2: might even look at that and say, oh, well, if
- 2:05:53Speaker 2: you see Irvine blew out, you see Riverside, and you
- 2:05:56Speaker 2: see Davis beat you see Irvine, and then of course
- 2:05:58Speaker 2: you see Davis win this game, right, But again, that's
- 2:06:01Speaker 2: not the way that it goes. That's not the way
- 2:06:04Speaker 2: to handicap it. And yes, of course, you see Davis
- 2:06:06Speaker 2: is the better team here. They're laying nine points. But
- 2:06:08Speaker 2: I just think they're in a bit of a hangover
- 2:06:11Speaker 2: spot after that big performance against U SEE San Diego.
- 2:06:14Speaker 2: I would lean towards taking the points with UC riverside
- 2:06:17Speaker 2: in that one. I considered it, but not gonna be
- 2:06:22Speaker 2: a play. Nate, what's up man? One am Arizona time? Yes,
- 2:06:26Speaker 2: it's three am my time, dude. I was gonna sleep
- 2:06:28Speaker 2: and do this in the morning, but I did all
- 2:06:31Speaker 2: the handicapping. I had a headache, but now I'm just
- 2:06:33Speaker 2: fired up because I'm on like, took the paint killers
- 2:06:36Speaker 2: to the headache, had some coffee. I'm rolling, man, and
- 2:06:40Speaker 2: I just handicapped everything, so it's all fresh in my mind.
- 2:06:43Speaker 1: Thank you, Nate, Naa.
- 2:06:46Speaker 2: I already talked about You're on Nebraska team though, and
- 2:06:48Speaker 2: I do lean against them, but it is not one
- 2:06:50Speaker 2: of my plays here.
- 2:06:52Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be Michigan though in their
- 2:06:54Speaker 1: next game. Forty eight teams in the World Cup.
- 2:06:59Speaker 2: Really wow, it was bekistan Is. It was Bekistan really
- 2:07:04Speaker 2: in it? And Curis, Now what do we what? Curisa
- 2:07:07Speaker 2: is not even a country, right, what what do we tall?
- 2:07:10Speaker 2: Isn't that just it's it's an island, but I think
- 2:07:12Speaker 2: it's owned by I don't know, some other country. What
- 2:07:15Speaker 2: are we talking about here? I don't know, man, that
- 2:07:18Speaker 2: seems weird to me. The World Cup is hosted by
- 2:07:20Speaker 2: the US. I know that because I think some of
- 2:07:23Speaker 2: it is up here in Boston, because we really have
- 2:07:25Speaker 2: the infrastructure for that. It's actually out of Gillette Stadium
- 2:07:28Speaker 2: where the Patriots play, So let Foxborough deal with it.
- 2:07:31Speaker 2: It's not that close to Boston. It's like thirty minutes
- 2:07:34Speaker 2: outside of Boston, all right. Yeah, Portland State at Idaho
- 2:07:41Speaker 2: might be an interesting one in the Big Sky, just
- 2:07:43Speaker 2: because Portland State's still undefeated in the conference in Idaho's
- 2:07:46Speaker 2: fourth in the conference. Stating, it's Portland State coming off
- 2:07:49Speaker 2: not a great performance against Eastern Washington Washington. But I
- 2:07:52Speaker 2: told you I liked Eastern Washington in that game because
- 2:07:56Speaker 2: I don't think Portland State is really as good as
- 2:07:57Speaker 2: the record looks. But Eastern Washington is definitely not as
- 2:08:00Speaker 2: bad as the record looks from Portland State, and they
- 2:08:02Speaker 2: still covered that number by one or two points. They're
- 2:08:05Speaker 2: second straight road game now to go to Idaho. But
- 2:08:08Speaker 2: it's not really that much of a travel spot from
- 2:08:09Speaker 2: Eastern Washington to University of Idahoa.
- 2:08:12Speaker 1: Idaho's really close to the Washington border.
- 2:08:16Speaker 2: Idaho coming off an easy win over Sacramento State though,
- 2:08:19Speaker 2: so the spot probably actually sets up still a little
- 2:08:21Speaker 2: bit better for Idaho here, and these teams have not
- 2:08:25Speaker 2: played each other yet, I would probably lean towards Idaho here. Man,
- 2:08:29Speaker 2: they're up from two to two with juice here. There's
- 2:08:31Speaker 2: a reason why they're favored. The osmakers are telling you
- 2:08:33Speaker 2: that Idaho is not that much worse than Portland State,
- 2:08:36Speaker 2: so to the point where they're actually favored as the
- 2:08:38Speaker 2: team with the uglier records. So that's the way I
- 2:08:40Speaker 2: lean there. They qualified apparently Dutch coach Oddvocat.
- 2:08:49Speaker 1: He's a lawyer.
- 2:08:50Speaker 2: Doesn't that mean lawyer and a bunch of different bunch
- 2:08:54Speaker 2: of different languages. So that's your curisy you're talking about.
- 2:08:58Speaker 2: But they're a Dutch territory, So why wouldn't that be
- 2:09:01Speaker 2: the Netherlands. Then If that's the case, the Netherlands is
- 2:09:04Speaker 2: like always in the World Cup, they're like usually good, right.
- 2:09:07Speaker 1: The orange they play orange.
- 2:09:08Speaker 2: Because that's their royal color. They wear orange. I don't know,
- 2:09:12Speaker 2: that's that seems very weird to me. Fox Sports, or
- 2:09:15Speaker 2: excuse me, Fox at five point thirty PM has Holy
- 2:09:18Speaker 2: War Round two between Utah and number thirteen BYU. Utah
- 2:09:23Speaker 2: played really well in the first game man at home,
- 2:09:25Speaker 2: only losing to BYU by five. Utah is not a
- 2:09:29Speaker 2: very good team, of course. They're at the bottom of
- 2:09:31Speaker 2: the Big Twelve standings. They might actually be the worst
- 2:09:34Speaker 2: team in the Big Twelve. They're probably gonna get up
- 2:09:36Speaker 2: for Round two against BYU, though, even though BYU might
- 2:09:39Speaker 2: have reason to take them seriously after Utah played them
- 2:09:42Speaker 2: really tough at Utah.
- 2:09:45Speaker 1: Utah is coming up.
- 2:09:46Speaker 2: A close loss at Kansas State, which I don't exactly love,
- 2:09:49Speaker 2: and now playing a third road game in four games.
- 2:09:51Speaker 2: I don't necessarily love that, but you're likely to get
- 2:09:54Speaker 2: an effort out of them again in this game.
- 2:09:56Speaker 1: At the very least.
- 2:09:57Speaker 2: BYU does have a major look ahead here Arizona, and
- 2:10:01Speaker 2: they did just lose to Texas tackle though I don't
- 2:10:03Speaker 2: really consider it to be a sandwich.
- 2:10:05Speaker 1: Because they did lose by double digits on the road
- 2:10:08Speaker 1: to Texas, Texa. It wasn't really close.
- 2:10:11Speaker 2: That did end a long wind streak for BYU, though,
- 2:10:14Speaker 2: so that's the other concern here, and again I'm gonna
- 2:10:16Speaker 2: mention it BYU only had one loss all season. It
- 2:10:19Speaker 2: was a really close loss against Yukon, and I believe
- 2:10:23Speaker 2: that game was in Madison's was in Madison Square Guard.
- 2:10:26Speaker 2: I know it was in Boston at the TV Goden,
- 2:10:29Speaker 2: the Titty Goden, So it was a very Yukon heavy
- 2:10:32Speaker 2: crowd there. And BYU still played really well in that game.
- 2:10:37Speaker 2: And now BYU's taking, they've taken their first conference loss.
- 2:10:40Speaker 2: They hadn't lost since that game way early in the
- 2:10:42Speaker 2: season against Yukon.
- 2:10:43Speaker 1: And again I'll.
- 2:10:44Speaker 2: Talk about it, when you have a long wind streak
- 2:10:47Speaker 2: snap like this again definitely hang you over into the
- 2:10:49Speaker 2: next game.
- 2:10:50Speaker 1: So from that respect, I.
- 2:10:51Speaker 2: Do think you could argue this is a sandwich spot,
- 2:10:54Speaker 2: and they do have Arizona next is the other part
- 2:10:57Speaker 2: of it in two days. That is a major look
- 2:10:59Speaker 2: ahead spot there well. So for round two, I do
- 2:11:02Speaker 2: lean to Utah again in this one, plus the points
- 2:11:05Speaker 2: by use laying eighteen and a half in this one
- 2:11:07Speaker 2: certainly the better team, but I would take the points
- 2:11:10Speaker 2: with Utah if I was gonna play it.
- 2:11:12Speaker 1: Nancy, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out, Nancy out
- 2:11:15Speaker 1: in the Pacific.
- 2:11:16Speaker 2: Time zone somewhere there. Unlike me, I'm just an insane person, Okay.
- 2:11:25Speaker 2: ESPN at six PM, we have the battle of these
- 2:11:28Speaker 2: two Texas teams Round two. I don't know what you
- 2:11:30Speaker 2: want to call it this TCU versus Baylor round two.
- 2:11:33Speaker 2: These teams already played once at TCU, and I believe
- 2:11:37Speaker 2: Baylor was actually a favorite in that game even though.
- 2:11:40Speaker 1: It was at TCU and TCU got the win.
- 2:11:43Speaker 2: Now TCU is coming up beating Oklahoma State close at home,
- 2:11:47Speaker 2: and I mentioned that game because TCU was a big
- 2:11:49Speaker 2: favorite in that game and they almost lost the game,
- 2:11:52Speaker 2: So I think they might have more focus in this
- 2:11:55Speaker 2: game against Baylor. Although it is a third road game
- 2:11:57Speaker 2: in four games, so that Oklahoma State win also did
- 2:12:00Speaker 2: snap a four game losing street for them, so TCU
- 2:12:03Speaker 2: does probably have a little bit of momentum coming into this,
- 2:12:06Speaker 2: but they did already beat Baylor once and they have
- 2:12:09Speaker 2: Houston on deck, so that is a pretty big look
- 2:12:12Speaker 2: ahead to Houston Man, who is still the best of
- 2:12:15Speaker 2: the Texas teams, even though I think they might lose
- 2:12:17Speaker 2: to Texas Tech today. Baylor coming into this game off
- 2:12:21Speaker 2: two more losses. Baylor's really been struggling, Man, but they
- 2:12:25Speaker 2: faced a difficult conference schedule. They had the road game
- 2:12:27Speaker 2: against TCU, they got Iowa State and.
- 2:12:30Speaker 1: Houston at home, that's not easy.
- 2:12:33Speaker 2: Decent win on the road at Oklahoma State, even though
- 2:12:35Speaker 2: Oklahoma State's not as good as they look, Kansas on
- 2:12:39Speaker 2: the road, that's not easy. In Texas Tech at home.
- 2:12:42Speaker 2: I think Baylor might be a little bit underrated right now.
- 2:12:45Speaker 1: Man. Their conference record looks really, really.
- 2:12:47Speaker 2: Bad, but they've probably faced the most difficult conference schedule
- 2:12:51Speaker 2: out of anybody in the Big Twelve. I mean, how
- 2:12:53Speaker 2: could it get really more difficult than that. They've played
- 2:12:55Speaker 2: all of the best teams in the conference already once,
- 2:12:58Speaker 2: So I think there might you might wind up getting
- 2:13:01Speaker 2: a little bit of value in Baylor in this one.
- 2:13:03Speaker 1: Man. They're coming off a pretty much a blowout loss.
- 2:13:05Speaker 2: To Texas Tech, so I would have to prefer Baylor
- 2:13:08Speaker 2: in this one. And they're actually laying four points here
- 2:13:11Speaker 2: because like I said, I think they were actually laying
- 2:13:13Speaker 2: points at TCU, So this line might actually be a
- 2:13:16Speaker 2: little bit short based on that. So I would lean
- 2:13:19Speaker 2: to Baylor in that game. I think they're under the
- 2:13:22Speaker 2: radar right now. The public's gonna probably look at this
- 2:13:24Speaker 2: and see Baylor with like the worst record here, the
- 2:13:27Speaker 2: worst conference record, Like, why would they want to lay
- 2:13:29Speaker 2: points right, but I think that might be the right
- 2:13:32Speaker 2: move in that one. Dick Dick advocat very very strange.
- 2:13:39Speaker 2: Dick Avocado is what. That's what I'm gonna call him.
- 2:13:44Speaker 2: Ex Netherlands national coach. All right, last thing I remember
- 2:13:47Speaker 2: about the Netherlands I remember them being they made some
- 2:13:50Speaker 2: deep run in.
- 2:13:51Speaker 1: The World Cup not that long ago. Right, that's the
- 2:13:54Speaker 1: last thing I remember. I don't know. Fox Sports won.
- 2:13:56Speaker 2: At six pm, we have Northwestern at UCLA. Now, of
- 2:14:00Speaker 2: course I already talked about UCLA and what did they
- 2:14:02Speaker 2: do in their last game. Well, they pulled off a
- 2:14:04Speaker 2: huge win against Purdue. So immediately my reaction is UCLA
- 2:14:08Speaker 2: is going to be in a huge letdown spot here. Yeah,
- 2:14:11Speaker 2: But the problem with that is that Northwestern kind of
- 2:14:14Speaker 2: is too, because they just pulled off an upset at USC.
- 2:14:17Speaker 2: And that was one of my winners the other night
- 2:14:19Speaker 2: because I thought USC was in a bad spot because
- 2:14:21Speaker 2: they had just played Purdue and played them really tough.
- 2:14:24Speaker 2: So USC was in a bit of a hangover spot there.
- 2:14:27Speaker 2: Northwestern was able to get the job done. But now
- 2:14:29Speaker 2: Northwestern is coming off a seven point road underdog upset,
- 2:14:33Speaker 2: So the question is what.
- 2:14:34Speaker 1: Do they have left in the tank.
- 2:14:36Speaker 2: They did end a long losing street for themselves with that, though,
- 2:14:39Speaker 2: and they faced a pretty difficult schedule in conference. Man,
- 2:14:41Speaker 2: they played in Michigan State, Illinois, Nebraska already, Wisconsin, and
- 2:14:46Speaker 2: Ohio State as well, so Northwestern they faced one of
- 2:14:49Speaker 2: the more difficult conference schedules.
- 2:14:51Speaker 1: I think they are still a bit of.
- 2:14:52Speaker 2: An underrated commodity here, and because they did just break
- 2:14:56Speaker 2: a losing street, I think maybe that will give them
- 2:14:58Speaker 2: a little bit of momentum here. I would probably have
- 2:15:01Speaker 2: to lean to Northwestern in this one. Man, it doesn't
- 2:15:03Speaker 2: make my card, but I think that is the lean here.
- 2:15:06Speaker 2: Ucla is Oregon next. I don't know if they consider
- 2:15:09Speaker 2: that to be a big game or not. They already
- 2:15:10Speaker 2: beat Oregon once, but that's one of those former Pac
- 2:15:13Speaker 2: twelve matchups. Ucla is a seven and a half point
- 2:15:16Speaker 2: favorite here. I'd be leaning towards the Northwestern. And you
- 2:15:19Speaker 2: remember when I talked about Northwestern in their last game.
- 2:15:22Speaker 1: They're really really underrated.
- 2:15:24Speaker 2: Ken Bomb has them as the second unluckiest team in
- 2:15:27Speaker 2: the country now and they faced the twenty fifth strongest
- 2:15:30Speaker 2: schedule as well, So they're an underrated kamadity here right now.
- 2:15:33Speaker 2: The top one hundred in both offense and defense sixty
- 2:15:37Speaker 2: first overall, UCLA is only fortyeth so UCLA is not
- 2:15:41Speaker 2: that much better than Northwestern Man, although UCLA is slightly
- 2:15:46Speaker 2: better on both sides of the ball. Really, UCLA is
- 2:15:49Speaker 2: a little bit of an unlucky team as well though,
- 2:15:51Speaker 2: according to Kent Bomb.
- 2:15:52Speaker 1: But anyway, yes, I.
- 2:15:56Speaker 2: Lean towards the Northwestern still in that in that one
- 2:16:01Speaker 2: currousel is super small. Yeah, it's a Cinderella story. I
- 2:16:05Speaker 2: just I think it's weird because I guess you can
- 2:16:07Speaker 2: qualify for the World Copy even if you're not actually
- 2:16:09Speaker 2: like an independent country.
- 2:16:11Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 2:16:13Speaker 2: They're in a group with Germany. Yeah, Germany should kill
- 2:16:15Speaker 2: them probably, right. Germany is always good. Netherlands are strong
- 2:16:20Speaker 2: as well.
- 2:16:21Speaker 1: Good to know.
- 2:16:23Speaker 2: A lot of players that are in the EPL, the
- 2:16:25Speaker 2: English Premier League. Yes, they're Dutch players. You're gonna be
- 2:16:31Speaker 2: looking for what Poland what are we talking.
- 2:16:33Speaker 1: About if they qualify?
- 2:16:39Speaker 2: I'm not sure what we're talking that's your home country, right,
- 2:16:43Speaker 2: I'm not sure what you mean by that. I'm trying
- 2:16:45Speaker 2: to parse that. I apologize, like I can't really figure
- 2:16:48Speaker 2: out what that said.
- 2:16:49Speaker 1: All right?
- 2:16:50Speaker 2: Acc Network for some reason this game is televised between
- 2:16:54Speaker 2: BC and Notre Dame. I mean they are rivals because
- 2:16:57Speaker 2: they're two Catholic schools, so they have a rivalry. They
- 2:16:59Speaker 2: have a football rivalry. BC just got that winter of
- 2:17:03Speaker 2: pit They have a little bit of momentum with two
- 2:17:05Speaker 2: wins in a row. They got to go out to
- 2:17:07Speaker 2: South Bend here now though BC has not been good
- 2:17:09Speaker 2: on the road. They've lost all their road conference games
- 2:17:12Speaker 2: so far. They only have one true road win on
- 2:17:16Speaker 2: the season. It was at Temple, who I just pointed
- 2:17:18Speaker 2: out is overrated. So yeah, BC has not been good
- 2:17:21Speaker 2: on the road. They do have Virginia up next as well,
- 2:17:23Speaker 2: which is a potential look ahead here. They might overlook
- 2:17:27Speaker 2: Notre Dame because Notre Dame has hasn't been that good either.
- 2:17:30Speaker 2: Notre Dame just got smashed by North Carolina. Now they're
- 2:17:33Speaker 2: coming back home, and the last time they were at
- 2:17:35Speaker 2: home they didn't do well. They lost to Miami. They've
- 2:17:38Speaker 2: lost four five games in a row. Excuse me, but
- 2:17:40Speaker 2: they also have Virginia on deck. But to me, I
- 2:17:43Speaker 2: think the spot probably looks a little bit better for
- 2:17:45Speaker 2: Notre Dame in this one. Boston College is also a
- 2:17:48Speaker 2: bad team Notre Dame dropped from may and a half
- 2:17:51Speaker 2: to seven and a half. It is a low total
- 2:17:52Speaker 2: in the one thirties. But I think people are gonna
- 2:17:55Speaker 2: look at this game and not want to lay points.
- 2:17:57Speaker 2: Why would you want to lay points with a one
- 2:18:00Speaker 2: in five conference team was ten and nine overall? Like,
- 2:18:02Speaker 2: somebody looks weird about that line, right, But the osmakers
- 2:18:05Speaker 2: are telling you Notre Dame is the better of the
- 2:18:07Speaker 2: two teams, So I would probably have to lean that way. Oh,
- 2:18:14Speaker 2: you might wind up facing the Netherlands in the group stage.
- 2:18:17Speaker 2: Is it already decided?
- 2:18:19Speaker 1: Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia and Oh so, I guess it's not
- 2:18:22Speaker 1: all decided.
- 2:18:23Speaker 2: It's gonna be either Albania, Poland, Ukraine or Sweden. Sweden
- 2:18:27Speaker 2: are my guys man Sweden and Italy? Uh? Those I'm
- 2:18:31Speaker 2: Swedish and Italian, and of course I'm American.
- 2:18:35Speaker 1: But I don't know.
- 2:18:38Speaker 2: There's always just way too much hype over the US
- 2:18:40Speaker 2: team being in it. Yeah, the US gets a rigged group.
- 2:18:43Speaker 2: They're gonna lose once they get out of the group stage, though,
- 2:18:45Speaker 2: I think that's what always happens. They're probably not that good. Okay,
- 2:18:53Speaker 2: what other games that I want to talk about here. Man,
- 2:18:56Speaker 2: we're getting towards the end here. How many how many play.
- 2:19:00Speaker 1: Is do I have left?
- 2:19:00Speaker 2: I have two more players in the night games. I
- 2:19:04Speaker 2: have a couple more liens here as well. One is
- 2:19:06Speaker 2: Canisius in Fairfield. This is a leen, not a play
- 2:19:09Speaker 2: This is the other side of that matchup that I
- 2:19:11Speaker 2: do have a plan Sacred Heart.
- 2:19:12Speaker 1: Remember, this is the other side of that.
- 2:19:15Speaker 2: Canesius just had a big game against Sacred Heart, though
- 2:19:19Speaker 2: I don't know how big they considered that game to
- 2:19:21Speaker 2: be because they were really close in overall record, right,
- 2:19:24Speaker 2: So I don't know if Canesius, if these players like,
- 2:19:26Speaker 2: realize that Sacred Heart was the way like they were
- 2:19:30Speaker 2: a really heavy favor here at ten and a half, right,
- 2:19:32Speaker 2: So I don't know if the players realize that or not.
- 2:19:34Speaker 2: But Canesius almost pulled off a big upset of a
- 2:19:37Speaker 2: ten and a half point variety there, so they could
- 2:19:40Speaker 2: be a bit.
- 2:19:40Speaker 1: Hung over here.
- 2:19:41Speaker 2: Another road game here going to Fairfield or I think
- 2:19:43Speaker 2: both these games are actually in Fairfield, Connecticut. I think
- 2:19:46Speaker 2: Sacred Heart is in Fairfield. It is so Canesius is
- 2:19:50Speaker 2: actually playing both games in the same city. They do
- 2:19:53Speaker 2: a Marist up next, and that might be a look
- 2:19:55Speaker 2: ahead because I know canes just are not going anywhere,
- 2:19:57Speaker 2: so maybe they.
- 2:19:58Speaker 1: Look ahead to Maris.
- 2:20:00Speaker 2: This is also a second matchup by the way, Canesius
- 2:20:02Speaker 2: beat Fairfield in Kenesius, which is in Buffalo earlier this year,
- 2:20:08Speaker 2: so interesting, and canese just just shot out of their
- 2:20:11Speaker 2: minds in this game.
- 2:20:12Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:20:12Speaker 2: They shot fifty four percent from three point range in
- 2:20:15Speaker 2: the game. Fairfield out rebounded them but still lost the game,
- 2:20:18Speaker 2: but it was mostly because Fairfield, excuse me, because Canesius
- 2:20:22Speaker 2: just wasn't missing any of their threes, so that was
- 2:20:24Speaker 2: a misleading result. I think Fairfield was like a six
- 2:20:27Speaker 2: to six and a half point favorite in that one.
- 2:20:29Speaker 2: So there is like a little bit of a I
- 2:20:32Speaker 2: don't want to say revenge, but like an adjustment angle
- 2:20:36Speaker 2: here for Fairfield to adjust to what happened in that game.
- 2:20:39Speaker 2: And I think, based on the fact there were six
- 2:20:40Speaker 2: and a half point favorites in that one, this line
- 2:20:42Speaker 2: is actually a little bit short, as I'll show you
- 2:20:44Speaker 2: in a minute.
- 2:20:44Speaker 1: I think it's about ten and a half.
- 2:20:46Speaker 2: But the setup in this game for Fairfield is also
- 2:20:49Speaker 2: pretty good because I just pointed out they just almost
- 2:20:51Speaker 2: lost at home. To Niagara and they ended a losing
- 2:20:54Speaker 2: streak with that win. And as I keep talking about,
- 2:20:57Speaker 2: when the team almost takes a loss at home like that,
- 2:21:00Speaker 2: they tend to do better in the next game. When
- 2:21:04Speaker 2: they almost take a loss as a huge favorite, I mean,
- 2:21:06Speaker 2: they tend to refocus and play a lot better in
- 2:21:09Speaker 2: the next game. So I would lay the points with
- 2:21:11Speaker 2: Fairfield in this game. Not on my card, but it's close.
- 2:21:16Speaker 2: This one almost makes my card. They're up from ten
- 2:21:18Speaker 2: to ten and a half here. It is a low
- 2:21:20Speaker 2: total of one forty two. But yes, I would lay
- 2:21:23Speaker 2: it with Fairfield in that one. Paraguay Australia, Yeah, those
- 2:21:28Speaker 2: are not good teams. Paraguay might be all right because
- 2:21:32Speaker 2: they're a South American team. Australia I highly doubt is
- 2:21:35Speaker 2: any good.
- 2:21:39Speaker 1: What else do we have here in Manhattan?
- 2:21:40Speaker 2: And I own I took a look at this one
- 2:21:43Speaker 2: and Manhattan just almost pulled off an upset at Quinnipiac.
- 2:21:47Speaker 2: Man Manhattan took Quinnipiac into overtime. That was a big
- 2:21:51Speaker 2: game for Manhattan. Quinnipiac were thirteen and a half pointing
- 2:21:54Speaker 2: favorites in this game. So what I always say when
- 2:21:57Speaker 2: a team is a huge underdog and they almost pull
- 2:21:59Speaker 2: off a huge upset like this, especially when it was
- 2:22:01Speaker 2: against a.
- 2:22:01Speaker 1: Team that's known to be one of the.
- 2:22:03Speaker 2: Best teams in the matt AC. I think Manhattan might
- 2:22:07Speaker 2: be in a little bit of a hangover spot here. Man,
- 2:22:09Speaker 2: they're playing a third road game in four games as well,
- 2:22:11Speaker 2: they are having to go to Iona. Hear now they
- 2:22:14Speaker 2: maybe they don't overlook Iona because Iona is still a
- 2:22:17Speaker 2: decent team in the conference. But the main reason why
- 2:22:20Speaker 2: I don't want to play Iona here is that Iona
- 2:22:22Speaker 2: just got us a good win against Merra mac Man.
- 2:22:24Speaker 2: That was a big win, beating one of the top
- 2:22:27Speaker 2: teams in the conference at least record wise, and dealing
- 2:22:30Speaker 2: them one of their first losses in conference play in
- 2:22:33Speaker 2: a tough game. So I'm gonna stay away from it.
- 2:22:35Speaker 2: But I like Iona in that one. I would have
- 2:22:38Speaker 2: to fade Manhattan if I was gonna do it. And
- 2:22:40Speaker 2: the line's eight and a half. So the owsmakers are
- 2:22:42Speaker 2: still telling you there is a pretty sizable gap between
- 2:22:45Speaker 2: these two teams, and that Iona is the better of
- 2:22:47Speaker 2: these two teams. Although this is a little bit of
- 2:22:49Speaker 2: a rivalry Manhattan I believe plays in Manhattan.
- 2:22:53Speaker 1: I think although sometimes those names are miss Leab.
- 2:22:56Speaker 2: Not Manhattan, Kansas, Manhattan, the Borough of New York, but
- 2:23:00Speaker 2: I own it is like just outside of New York City,
- 2:23:02Speaker 2: I think. So there is a little bit of a
- 2:23:04Speaker 2: rivalry between those two teams. They don't want you to
- 2:23:10Speaker 2: make money in what way? Next up is one of
- 2:23:15Speaker 2: my plays here, we're gonna do this. We're gonna play
- 2:23:17Speaker 2: on Fresno State plus the three and a half here
- 2:23:19Speaker 2: against Grand Canyon. It's time to fade Grand Canyon here. Man,
- 2:23:23Speaker 2: there are a lot of things that I like about
- 2:23:25Speaker 2: this one. First of all, the fact that it's only
- 2:23:27Speaker 2: three and a half. It looks almost too easy to
- 2:23:29Speaker 2: lay the points with Grand Canyon now, right, because they
- 2:23:32Speaker 2: have a way prettier record at twelve and six. They're
- 2:23:34Speaker 2: five and two in conference. Fresno's nine and ten, three
- 2:23:37Speaker 2: and five in the conference. So why would we want
- 2:23:40Speaker 2: to do this?
- 2:23:40Speaker 1: Right?
- 2:23:41Speaker 2: Well, first of all, I mean, obviously this is gonna
- 2:23:44Speaker 2: be about the spot once I get down to it.
- 2:23:46Speaker 2: But Grand Cane is eighty second according to Kimbom's rankings.
- 2:23:49Speaker 2: They're in the mid tier of the of his Luck Index.
- 2:23:52Speaker 2: They're a mid tempo team. Okay, they're really good defensively
- 2:23:55Speaker 2: thirtieth in defense, their offense kind of lacks at one
- 2:23:58Speaker 2: fifty seventh. Okay, we kind of know who Grand Canyon is.
- 2:24:03Speaker 2: Fresno is not horrible at one thirty two in kem
- 2:24:06Speaker 2: BOM's rankings, and they're very unlucky at three hundred and
- 2:24:10Speaker 2: six in kem BAM's lucky next, and they face the
- 2:24:12Speaker 2: ninety eight strength of schedule, so they face difficult schedules
- 2:24:15Speaker 2: so far. They play a mid tempo just like Grand
- 2:24:17Speaker 2: Canyon does, so there's gonna be no tempo concern here.
- 2:24:20Speaker 2: But ken Bom is telling you Fresno has underperformed the
- 2:24:24Speaker 2: fact that they're one of the like sixty unluckiest teams
- 2:24:27Speaker 2: in the country. And they're defensively, they're almost as good
- 2:24:30Speaker 2: as Grand Canyon.
- 2:24:31Speaker 1: They're bad offensively.
- 2:24:33Speaker 2: Both teams are better defensively than offensively, and I know
- 2:24:35Speaker 2: Fresno might struggle a little bit on the offensive end here,
- 2:24:38Speaker 2: but this is probably gonna be a defensive battle. Fresno
- 2:24:42Speaker 2: is sixty six in defensive cording to ken Bomb, so
- 2:24:45Speaker 2: we got what might be a pretty good defensive matchup here,
- 2:24:48Speaker 2: which makes sense to take the points for that reason.
- 2:24:51Speaker 2: Pretty low total in the low one forties, so expected
- 2:24:54Speaker 2: to be that. But this is about the spot man.
- 2:24:58Speaker 2: And look what Grand Canyon does just they have announced
- 2:25:01Speaker 2: themselves in the Mountain west Man. They beat Boise on
- 2:25:05Speaker 2: the road, which is pretty good. But then look at
- 2:25:07Speaker 2: what they did in their last two games. They beat
- 2:25:09Speaker 2: Utah State, who had not lost in conference yet and
- 2:25:12Speaker 2: was really really good and I think somewhere around like
- 2:25:15Speaker 2: thirty fourth or thirty fifth and ken Bomb's rankings. Huge
- 2:25:19Speaker 2: win for Grand Canyon there.
- 2:25:21Speaker 1: And then what do they do.
- 2:25:22Speaker 2: They had to play San Diego State in the next game.
- 2:25:23Speaker 2: Oh yeah, they beat them too, and dealt San Diego
- 2:25:26Speaker 2: State their first conference loss as well. So Grand Canyon
- 2:25:29Speaker 2: took the top two teams in this conference, beat them
- 2:25:32Speaker 2: both and gave them their first conference loss. I think
- 2:25:35Speaker 2: this is a major hangover spot and I think it
- 2:25:37Speaker 2: might be Sandwich spot as well, because they played Nevada
- 2:25:41Speaker 2: next and then they played Boise again. Boise is still
- 2:25:44Speaker 2: known to be one of the better teams in the conference,
- 2:25:46Speaker 2: but Nevada is the fourth team in the conference standings
- 2:25:49Speaker 2: right now and the only other team besides New Mexico
- 2:25:51Speaker 2: that's above Grand Canyon and the standings and the only
- 2:25:54Speaker 2: one of those teams they haven't.
- 2:25:55Speaker 1: Played yet, so I think it's a sandwich spot as well.
- 2:25:58Speaker 1: Horrible spot. Grand Canyon is in here man.
- 2:26:03Speaker 2: And now as far as Grand Canyon, if you look
- 2:26:05Speaker 2: at what they've done so far, Yeah, they did have
- 2:26:06Speaker 2: that win at Boise, although Boise was really struggling for
- 2:26:10Speaker 2: some reason. I think Boise was actually kind of in
- 2:26:12Speaker 2: a bad spot. Yes they were, because remember I gave
- 2:26:14Speaker 2: out Grand Canyon as a play in that game, so
- 2:26:17Speaker 2: we can explain what happened in that game because.
- 2:26:19Speaker 1: Boise, where is it?
- 2:26:21Speaker 2: Boise had just beaten San Diego State on the road
- 2:26:23Speaker 2: in like double overtime or something, triple overtime, my mistake.
- 2:26:28Speaker 2: So they were coming off that monster game. Yeah, excuse
- 2:26:31Speaker 2: they lost, excuse me, triple oats and they had stayed
- 2:26:34Speaker 2: on deck. That was a major sandwich spot. The Grand
- 2:26:37Speaker 2: Canyon caught Boise in there, so they caught Boise at
- 2:26:40Speaker 2: a perfect time to beat them.
- 2:26:43Speaker 1: So we had that as a win on the show.
- 2:26:46Speaker 2: And since then, Grand Canyon has only played one more
- 2:26:49Speaker 2: road conference game and they lost to on New Mexico.
- 2:26:51Speaker 2: They did win at Wyoming earlier, so yeah, they're two
- 2:26:54Speaker 2: and one on the road in conference play, but Wyoming's
- 2:26:56Speaker 2: not that good. Those two huge wins for Grand Canyon,
- 2:26:59Speaker 2: both at home. By the way, the Mountain West is
- 2:27:02Speaker 2: the most home oriented conference I believe. Oh no, they
- 2:27:08Speaker 2: have been over the last few years. I mean, they've
- 2:27:10Speaker 2: been one of the most home oriented conferences.
- 2:27:12Speaker 1: I apologize.
- 2:27:13Speaker 2: I'm thinking of the West Coast Conference now. I'm gonna
- 2:27:15Speaker 2: get to that in a minute. The West Coast Conference
- 2:27:18Speaker 2: has been the best home conference this year, where there's
- 2:27:22Speaker 2: the biggest home road dichotomy in that conference this year.
- 2:27:25Speaker 1: I think some of it has to do with a lot.
- 2:27:27Speaker 2: Of those teams being unfamiliar with each other though, But
- 2:27:29Speaker 2: that's what we have going on here too with Grand Canyon.
- 2:27:32Speaker 2: Now Grand Canyon is on the other end of this week,
- 2:27:34Speaker 2: they have to go to an unfamiliar environment. They have
- 2:27:37Speaker 2: to go to Fresno. Fresno did just lose to New Mexico.
- 2:27:40Speaker 2: It was a decent performance from them. They covered for
- 2:27:43Speaker 2: us against New Mexico, so we got to win on
- 2:27:45Speaker 2: that one with Fresno, but the game was never close
- 2:27:47Speaker 2: as far as like, Fresno never had a chance to
- 2:27:49Speaker 2: win the game. They actually, luckily for us, they made
- 2:27:53Speaker 2: a run at the end of the game to cover
- 2:27:54Speaker 2: and got cosmetic there at the end. They were still
- 2:27:57Speaker 2: actually covering before that, but they made it look a
- 2:28:00Speaker 2: little bit better than that. Now they're back at home,
- 2:28:03Speaker 2: and they've been better in the conference at home. Man,
- 2:28:05Speaker 2: if you look at look at what Fresno has done
- 2:28:07Speaker 2: at home so far. They lost by nine at home
- 2:28:10Speaker 2: to Utah State, they lost by one at home to Nevada,
- 2:28:13Speaker 2: and they beat Colorado State by ten, beat Wyoming by three.
- 2:28:17Speaker 2: Not impressive really, but still they've been Obviously they've been
- 2:28:20Speaker 2: better at home than on the road.
- 2:28:22Speaker 1: Now they get Grand Canyon.
- 2:28:23Speaker 2: It's an unfamiliar environment for Grand Canyon, a horrible spot
- 2:28:26Speaker 2: for Grand Canyon. So yeah, all that being said, we're
- 2:28:29Speaker 2: taking the points with Fresno in that game.
- 2:28:31Speaker 1: I like that one. I mean I like all the
- 2:28:34Speaker 1: ones I've given out.
- 2:28:35Speaker 2: But yes, Olympic hockey, no, no way, I'm not gonna
- 2:28:40Speaker 2: pay attention to it, Absolutely not.
- 2:28:43Speaker 1: I'm not.
- 2:28:44Speaker 2: I have way too much on my plan. I'm not
- 2:28:45Speaker 2: gonna do Olympics. Arizona's a big basketball state. Yes, well,
- 2:28:53Speaker 2: Arizona State is way down, but yeah, the Arizona Wildcats
- 2:28:56Speaker 2: are good. Grand Canyon is pretty good. I'm not doing
- 2:29:03Speaker 2: anything with the Olympics. Absolutely not, dude. I can't stand
- 2:29:08Speaker 2: the Olympics.
- 2:29:09Speaker 1: It's just like, oh it is is like a pride fest. Basically.
- 2:29:14Speaker 2: You saw what the Summer Olympics look like in France
- 2:29:17Speaker 2: when it happened. Where where are the Winter Olympics this time?
- 2:29:20Speaker 1: Wait? Are they in the US or they're in Canada?
- 2:29:23Speaker 1: I don't know where where. I don't even know where
- 2:29:25Speaker 1: they're located.
- 2:29:26Speaker 2: No idea, No, no, I'm not I'm not a kamie dude.
- 2:29:32Speaker 2: If anything, Dude, the Olympic Committee is communist. It's communists
- 2:29:36Speaker 2: to give them any.
- 2:29:38Speaker 1: Viewership at all.
- 2:29:39Speaker 2: Again, you saw what the Summer Olympics look like in France. Well,
- 2:29:44Speaker 2: I guess because it's in Italy with a what's her
- 2:29:46Speaker 2: face there?
- 2:29:46Speaker 1: Maloney?
- 2:29:47Speaker 2: Maybe it'll be sort of a fake conservative. I don't know,
- 2:29:51Speaker 2: it'll be some Zionist like bullshit.
- 2:29:53Speaker 1: Probably.
- 2:29:54Speaker 2: No, I'm not watching that crap. The Summer Olympics was
- 2:29:58Speaker 2: totally demonic. I can't tell you how much I can't
- 2:30:02Speaker 2: stand the Olympics. Although I prefer winter to summer Olympics,
- 2:30:05Speaker 2: so there is that. Because it does have hockey and
- 2:30:08Speaker 2: some of the more manly sports there. But all right
- 2:30:11Speaker 2: back on track here, we've got to finish this off.
- 2:30:13Speaker 2: I have one more play, and I have one more
- 2:30:17Speaker 2: leen as well. San Francisco at Gonzaga, number eight in
- 2:30:21Speaker 2: the country on CBS Sports. Here, San Francisco, you gotta
- 2:30:25Speaker 2: figure the at least show up.
- 2:30:27Speaker 1: For this game, man.
- 2:30:27Speaker 2: Gonzaga, of course, we know they're elite, but they got
- 2:30:30Speaker 2: a target on their back, and it's gonna be a
- 2:30:32Speaker 2: matter of is Gonzaga gonna cover some massive spread here.
- 2:30:36Speaker 2: Gonzaga just failed to cover I think against Pepperdine, even
- 2:30:40Speaker 2: though they beat them by a ton anyway, But Gonzaga
- 2:30:42Speaker 2: has Saint Mary's on deck, man, so I think they
- 2:30:45Speaker 2: might overlook San Francisco a little bit here. San Francisco
- 2:30:47Speaker 2: has been faltering a little bit. Of course, Gonzaga Saint
- 2:30:52Speaker 2: Mary's is always like the battle for who is the
- 2:30:54Speaker 2: best team in the conference, right, although maybe Santa Clara
- 2:30:57Speaker 2: has something to say about that. But I would lean
- 2:30:59Speaker 2: towards San Francisco in this game. Not a play for
- 2:31:02Speaker 2: me or anything, but Gonzaga is down from eighteen to
- 2:31:04Speaker 2: seventeen here, I would lean towards taking the points. As
- 2:31:08Speaker 2: far as San Francisco is concerned. Oh yeah, they just
- 2:31:11Speaker 2: be Washington State. Yeah, I mean Washington State's not that
- 2:31:14Speaker 2: good this year. So yeah, hockey is definitely better than
- 2:31:19Speaker 2: every other sport. Next up the Battle of Kansas on
- 2:31:23Speaker 2: Fox at eight pm, Number nineteen Kansas. I don't know
- 2:31:26Speaker 2: if Bill self is going to be back for this
- 2:31:28Speaker 2: game or not, because he missed the last game. He
- 2:31:30Speaker 2: is returning apparently, you know, prayers for Bill self even
- 2:31:35Speaker 2: though I'm not a huge fan of him, but you know,
- 2:31:37Speaker 2: he keeps having these hospitalizations, which isn't good. Now, Kansas
- 2:31:42Speaker 2: just went into Colorado and they did cover, but they
- 2:31:46Speaker 2: kind of barely got the job done.
- 2:31:47Speaker 1: There wasn't the greatest game for them.
- 2:31:49Speaker 2: Now they're on the road at Kansas State, but they
- 2:31:51Speaker 2: do have a pretty big look ahead to BYU and
- 2:31:53Speaker 2: then Texas Tech after that, so they might kind.
- 2:31:55Speaker 1: Of overlook Kansas State here.
- 2:31:57Speaker 2: To be honest, I know it's a big rivalry, but
- 2:31:59Speaker 2: obviously Kansas State is the little of the two brothers here,
- 2:32:03Speaker 2: especially over the last couple of years, and Kansas State,
- 2:32:06Speaker 2: I think the spot sets up a little bit better
- 2:32:08Speaker 2: for them because they just ended along losely streak by
- 2:32:11Speaker 2: finally getting a win. They beat Utah. That was their
- 2:32:13Speaker 2: first conference win. And you know I talk about that
- 2:32:15Speaker 2: when a team finally gets that first conference win, they
- 2:32:19Speaker 2: get that off their back. They can finally just play
- 2:32:22Speaker 2: a little bit looser this big robbery game here for them.
- 2:32:26Speaker 2: I would lean towards Kansas State in this game. The
- 2:32:29Speaker 2: line is also pretty suspicious looking. Kansas is down from
- 2:32:33Speaker 2: a five point favorite to a four and app boy
- 2:32:35Speaker 2: favorite looks very very easy to lay the points with
- 2:32:38Speaker 2: Kansas year, but given what the spot looks like, I
- 2:32:40Speaker 2: would lean towards taking it with Kansas State in that one.
- 2:32:46Speaker 2: All right, Fox Sports one has Nevada at New Mexico.
- 2:32:50Speaker 2: Nevada coming off an easy blowout win over San Jose State.
- 2:32:55Speaker 2: Now they're going on the road to face in New Mexico.
- 2:32:56Speaker 2: I don't think these teams have faced off yet this year.
- 2:32:59Speaker 2: New Mexico was always a difficult place to play though
- 2:33:01Speaker 2: in the pit. But Nevada, I mean, they play there
- 2:33:04Speaker 2: every year though, so they're kind of used to it.
- 2:33:07Speaker 2: New Mexico is the team it's coming off kind of
- 2:33:09Speaker 2: the worst performance though against Fresno, although they they had
- 2:33:12Speaker 2: the game in hand and won it fairly easily. But
- 2:33:14Speaker 2: you remember that was a sandwich spot, I said, because
- 2:33:17Speaker 2: I gave up Fresno plus the points they covered for us.
- 2:33:21Speaker 2: New Mexico had come off that big game against San
- 2:33:23Speaker 2: Diego State the game prior and lost barely, and they
- 2:33:26Speaker 2: had this Nevada game on deck, which I thought would
- 2:33:28Speaker 2: be bigger. So they had not the greatest performance against Fresno.
- 2:33:32Speaker 2: So in this game, I would lean towards New Mexico.
- 2:33:36Speaker 1: Where are they at.
- 2:33:36Speaker 2: They're down from eight and a half to seven and
- 2:33:38Speaker 2: a half here, but I would probably lean towards laying it,
- 2:33:41Speaker 2: even though it looks like the number.
- 2:33:42Speaker 1: Did tick down a little bit.
- 2:33:46Speaker 2: Also, I think the public, if they look at this game,
- 2:33:48Speaker 2: they might think the line looks big because both teams
- 2:33:50Speaker 2: have very similar records, so it looks like New Mexico's
- 2:33:54Speaker 2: favored by too much.
- 2:33:55Speaker 1: But the oddsmakers are telling you that.
- 2:33:57Speaker 2: They are the better team to enough of a degree
- 2:34:00Speaker 2: that they're that much of a favorite. Saint Mary's is
- 2:34:03Speaker 2: at Portland, and I just pointed out because Saint Mary's
- 2:34:05Speaker 2: has Gonzaga on deck, so definitely could be a look
- 2:34:08Speaker 2: ahead there, and they already beat Portland at home by
- 2:34:11Speaker 2: twenty one points, so they might look right past Portland here.
- 2:34:14Speaker 2: Saint Mary's did just beat Oregon State easily, but Oregon
- 2:34:17Speaker 2: State hasn't been good, so I don't know that that's
- 2:34:19Speaker 2: gonna really be. It's not a letdown spot or anything
- 2:34:21Speaker 2: like that, although Oregon State was that former PAC twelve team.
- 2:34:25Speaker 2: But all that being said, yes, I do lean to
- 2:34:27Speaker 2: Portland in this game. Portland just beat Loyal Marymount on
- 2:34:32Speaker 2: the road, which is a decent win for Portland, though
- 2:34:34Speaker 2: probably it was an upset. It was an eight and
- 2:34:37Speaker 2: a half point upset, so I don't really want to
- 2:34:39Speaker 2: jump on Portland for that reason because they did pull
- 2:34:41Speaker 2: off an upset of their own. But that is the
- 2:34:43Speaker 2: way I would lean if I was gonna play it,
- 2:34:45Speaker 2: I would take the points of Portland. They're a fourteen
- 2:34:48Speaker 2: a half point underdog here and the total is pretty
- 2:34:50Speaker 2: low at one forty five. And you know, Saint Mary's
- 2:34:52Speaker 2: plays really slow basketball, so laying double digits on the
- 2:34:56Speaker 2: road with them not really something I'd be interested in. Okay,
- 2:35:02Speaker 2: ACC Network has the Battle of California, Cal and Stanford here.
- 2:35:07Speaker 1: Kind of a weird setup in this game? Is it
- 2:35:09Speaker 1: eight pm Eastern? As well?
- 2:35:11Speaker 2: Cal is coming up beating North Carolina, so they could
- 2:35:15Speaker 2: be in a letdown spot off of that man, and
- 2:35:18Speaker 2: they haven't played since then and that did break a
- 2:35:20Speaker 2: losing street for them, but it still could be a
- 2:35:22Speaker 2: letdown spot, even though I don't really think they're gonna
- 2:35:24Speaker 2: overlook Stanford. I mean, Stanford is still a rival of there.
- 2:35:27Speaker 2: Stanford's ahead of them in the standings. But the spot
- 2:35:30Speaker 2: I think is actually better for Stanford because they played
- 2:35:32Speaker 2: North Carolina earlier and then they follow that up with
- 2:35:37Speaker 2: getting crushed by Duke. So after Stanford beating North Carolina,
- 2:35:40Speaker 2: they got obliterated by thirty by Duke, so that's what
- 2:35:43Speaker 2: they're coming off of. So I do think the spot
- 2:35:45Speaker 2: does set up better for Stanford because of that.
- 2:35:48Speaker 1: So that would be my lean in this one.
- 2:35:50Speaker 2: They're down from five to four and a half, but
- 2:35:52Speaker 2: I would lean towards laying the points with Stanford in
- 2:35:55Speaker 2: that game. What else do we have left here? A
- 2:36:00Speaker 2: Utah Valley at cal Baptist A Utah Valley is coming
- 2:36:03Speaker 2: off a really ugly loss at Southern Utah and this
- 2:36:06Speaker 2: is the Whack is really weird this year.
- 2:36:08Speaker 1: The Whack is whack.
- 2:36:09Speaker 2: They only have seven teams in it, so the teams
- 2:36:12Speaker 2: in this conference in a lot of cases are gonna
- 2:36:14Speaker 2: play each other three times, which is I think the
- 2:36:17Speaker 2: only conference that has this, and that wasn't the case
- 2:36:20Speaker 2: until this year until Grand Canyon and Seattle left the conference.
- 2:36:24Speaker 2: This conference is gonna have third matchups in the conference,
- 2:36:28Speaker 2: and that Southern Utah one was a second matchup. Of course,
- 2:36:30Speaker 2: the Utah Valley won the first one by double digits,
- 2:36:33Speaker 2: but I think Southern Utah maybe made some adjustments or whatever.
- 2:36:37Speaker 1: But I also think this was a misleading result.
- 2:36:39Speaker 2: Utah Valley was a huge favorite here twelve and a
- 2:36:41Speaker 2: half on the road, lost the game outright. Southern Utah
- 2:36:45Speaker 2: shot fifty one percent from the field and fifty two
- 2:36:47Speaker 2: percent from three point range.
- 2:36:49Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man.
- 2:36:51Speaker 2: They did out rebound Utah Valley, which is a little
- 2:36:53Speaker 2: bit of a concern for Utah Valley and the fact
- 2:36:55Speaker 2: that Southern Utah lost the turnover battle by a lot
- 2:36:58Speaker 2: and still won. But these shooting percentages were major outliers.
- 2:37:03Speaker 2: Utah Valley had fifteen more field goal attempts in the game,
- 2:37:07Speaker 2: so they did have way more possessions basically, but they
- 2:37:10Speaker 2: had they only shot thirty seven percent from the floor
- 2:37:13Speaker 2: and twenty three percent from three, and they missed a
- 2:37:16Speaker 2: lot of their free throws too, so the shooting was
- 2:37:18Speaker 2: just terrible for Utah Valley in that game. I think
- 2:37:21Speaker 2: they bounced back in this one, but I believe they've
- 2:37:24Speaker 2: already beaten cal Baptist once and cal Baptists, of course
- 2:37:27Speaker 2: will show up for a game. Yeah, cal Baptists lost
- 2:37:30Speaker 2: at Utah Valley by seven, although they played pretty competitively
- 2:37:33Speaker 2: in that game.
- 2:37:34Speaker 1: Cal Baptist is on a little bit of a role here.
- 2:37:36Speaker 2: Of course, They're not going to overlook Utah Valley, but
- 2:37:39Speaker 2: Utah Valley is the better team coming off a very
- 2:37:41Speaker 2: misleading result in a very ugly loss.
- 2:37:43Speaker 1: So I leaned towards Utah Valley here.
- 2:37:45Speaker 2: They're only a one point favorite, though, and that does
- 2:37:48Speaker 2: concern me because if the public looks at this game,
- 2:37:51Speaker 2: it might look a little bit easy to lay the
- 2:37:52Speaker 2: points with them, although I guess their record's not that
- 2:37:55Speaker 2: much better looking than cal Baptists. But yes, I would
- 2:37:58Speaker 2: lean towards Utah value the bounce back in that one.
- 2:38:01Speaker 2: Eight thirty pm Eastern on ESPN, Tennessee is at Alabama,
- 2:38:05Speaker 2: number seventeen Alabama, and I think.
- 2:38:07Speaker 1: The rankings makers have this a little bit off.
- 2:38:11Speaker 2: Ken Bum has Alabama actually close at eighteenth, but he
- 2:38:15Speaker 2: has Tennessee in the top twenty five at twenty third,
- 2:38:18Speaker 2: so he does not have these teams separated by much.
- 2:38:21Speaker 1: Now.
- 2:38:22Speaker 2: I believe that it is the case that Tennessee has
- 2:38:25Speaker 2: won four games in a row against Alabama.
- 2:38:28Speaker 1: I believe it is the case.
- 2:38:28Speaker 2: So Tennessee has kind of had their number for whatever reason,
- 2:38:32Speaker 2: and that reason might be because they're the better defense.
- 2:38:35Speaker 2: I mean, this is a This is one of those
- 2:38:37Speaker 2: matchups sort of offense versus defense.
- 2:38:39Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:38:40Speaker 2: Alabama is a very good offense, they're not a very
- 2:38:42Speaker 2: good defense. Tennessee is a very good defense, and they're
- 2:38:45Speaker 2: a not so good offense.
- 2:38:47Speaker 1: So it's like which one of these is gonna win out?
- 2:38:49Speaker 2: And Tennessee plays slow and Alabama plays fast. So it's
- 2:38:52Speaker 2: that typical type of matchup. It's been that way for
- 2:38:55Speaker 2: a while with these two teams. I usually like to
- 2:38:58Speaker 2: look towards the better defense. You are getting points with
- 2:39:01Speaker 2: the better defense. Here with Tennessee, they do have a
- 2:39:03Speaker 2: track record of beating Alabama. Though it doesn't mean that
- 2:39:06Speaker 2: Alabama's gonna be in a little bit of a revenge
- 2:39:08Speaker 2: spot here because they keep losing to Tennessee.
- 2:39:10Speaker 1: But again, when it keeps.
- 2:39:12Speaker 2: Happening, it could just mean that there's a matchup thing
- 2:39:15Speaker 2: and that the coaches have a certain thing going on.
- 2:39:18Speaker 2: Rick Barnes matches up well against Natos for whatever reason. Now,
- 2:39:24Speaker 2: Alabama should be able to control the tempo, you would
- 2:39:26Speaker 2: think here, because it's at home for them, and usually
- 2:39:29Speaker 2: the home team could do that. But it is easier
- 2:39:30Speaker 2: to slow it down than to speed the game up,
- 2:39:33Speaker 2: so maybe Tennessee will be able to do that. The
- 2:39:35Speaker 2: total is high at one sixty eight, which kind of
- 2:39:37Speaker 2: tells you the osricers a kind of thinking Alabama will
- 2:39:40Speaker 2: control the pace here. Alabama's up from the three and
- 2:39:42Speaker 2: a half point favorite to a five point favorite. Now,
- 2:39:45Speaker 2: I do think that the side and total are correlated
- 2:39:48Speaker 2: in this game, because again it's just it's the way
- 2:39:51Speaker 2: the styles match up here. I think Tennessee is correlated
- 2:39:55Speaker 2: to an under in this game and Alabama's correlated to
- 2:39:57Speaker 2: an over in this game. Tennessee is coming up an
- 2:40:01Speaker 2: ugly loss at home to Kentucky. Tennessee was a favorite
- 2:40:05Speaker 2: in that game and they lost, so I think they
- 2:40:07Speaker 2: will be focused in this game. Now. I don't think
- 2:40:10Speaker 2: Alabama's gonna overlook Tennessee, of course, because as I pointed out,
- 2:40:13Speaker 2: Tennessee keeps beating them and Alabama just had kind of
- 2:40:16Speaker 2: a lackluster game where they only got by Oklahoma by
- 2:40:19Speaker 2: two on the road in their last game. So both
- 2:40:22Speaker 2: teams will show up here. But if I was gonna
- 2:40:25Speaker 2: play it, I would probably have to take the points
- 2:40:27Speaker 2: to Tennessee.
- 2:40:28Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:40:28Speaker 2: I think that they're being a little bit undervalued by
- 2:40:31Speaker 2: the rankings makers here by not ranking them. I like
- 2:40:35Speaker 2: the better defense getting points. Tennessee seems to just have
- 2:40:37Speaker 2: the matchup edge over them recently. So that is my
- 2:40:40Speaker 2: opinion on that one, but it's not a strong opinion.
- 2:40:44Speaker 1: Of course.
- 2:40:47Speaker 2: I will talk about Southern Utah at Utah at Tech.
- 2:40:49Speaker 2: Of course, the Southern Utah you gotta think they're gonna
- 2:40:52Speaker 2: letdown Spider, because they did just pull off that huge
- 2:40:54Speaker 2: upset win that I just talked about over Utah Valley,
- 2:40:57Speaker 2: very misleading result, where Southern Utah somehow out of their
- 2:41:00Speaker 2: minds in the game.
- 2:41:02Speaker 1: Now, they might.
- 2:41:03Speaker 2: Not overlook Utah Tech here though, because Utah Tech beat
- 2:41:06Speaker 2: them by fourteen the last time they were here. Both
- 2:41:09Speaker 2: of those were at Utah Tech actually so maybe there
- 2:41:13Speaker 2: will be some adjustments to Southern Utah mix. But I
- 2:41:15Speaker 2: think the main part of the handicap is this is
- 2:41:17Speaker 2: going to be a letdown spot for them, and they
- 2:41:20Speaker 2: have not been good on the road. They've lost every
- 2:41:22Speaker 2: road conference game and the only one that was close
- 2:41:25Speaker 2: was against cal Baptist, although that was only three conference
- 2:41:28Speaker 2: games I think, but zero to three on the road,
- 2:41:31Speaker 2: Utah Tech is laying a bundle of points here. They're
- 2:41:33Speaker 2: laying about a touchdown a basketball touchdown here, and the
- 2:41:37Speaker 2: public might not like that because again, if they look
- 2:41:40Speaker 2: at this game, a team below five hundred laying six
- 2:41:43Speaker 2: and a half seven points doesn't look that tempting. Utah
- 2:41:47Speaker 2: Tech did just lose at cal Baptist, which is not
- 2:41:50Speaker 2: a great performance from them. I think cal Baptist was
- 2:41:52Speaker 2: the favorite though. Yeah eight and a half, so Utah
- 2:41:55Speaker 2: Tech almost covered in that game. But again, if I
- 2:41:58Speaker 2: was gonna play it, I would lay the points with
- 2:41:59Speaker 2: the Utah Tech in this one.
- 2:42:01Speaker 1: They're a seven point favorite.
- 2:42:02Speaker 2: Like I said, in this one, I think it's the
- 2:42:04Speaker 2: only way to really see that game. Southern Utah being
- 2:42:07Speaker 2: in a letdown spot. Oh yeah, per I'm on the
- 2:42:12Speaker 2: perkoseets yeah, I'm perked up. Well, those are not the
- 2:42:16Speaker 2: painkillers that I took. It was just your standard you know,
- 2:42:19Speaker 2: tile and all in a leave and stuff, Tyland.
- 2:42:21Speaker 1: It was the tail and all.
- 2:42:22Speaker 2: It's making me super autistic. Okay, next up my final play.
- 2:42:27Speaker 2: I think you guys might like this one. It's another underdog.
- 2:42:29Speaker 2: It's that conference that I was talking about, the West
- 2:42:31Speaker 2: Coast Conference where the home teams have been winning at
- 2:42:35Speaker 2: the highest rate out of any conference. And we don't
- 2:42:37Speaker 2: need the home team to win here, we need them
- 2:42:39Speaker 2: to cover. We're gonna be on San Diego plus fourteen.
- 2:42:42Speaker 2: We're gonna fade Santa Clara here, even though Santa Clara
- 2:42:46Speaker 2: is announcing themselves and they're a legit team, but we're
- 2:42:49Speaker 2: getting a lot of points here, man.
- 2:42:51Speaker 1: So obviously that's gonna be part of.
- 2:42:54Speaker 2: The handicap here. It's thirteen and a half fourteen here whatever.
- 2:42:56Speaker 2: I know it's a bit of a high total.
- 2:42:58Speaker 1: But I guess beggars can't be choosers here.
- 2:43:01Speaker 2: But the reason we're gonna fad Santa Clara here is
- 2:43:04Speaker 2: they just had a huge win over Saint Mary's.
- 2:43:06Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:43:07Speaker 2: That was a monster win for them. That kind of
- 2:43:09Speaker 2: announced Santa Clara. As Hey, we're actually in the mix
- 2:43:13Speaker 2: here in the West Coast Conference. It's not just gonzagaon
- 2:43:15Speaker 2: Saint Mary's this year. Man, we're in the mix now.
- 2:43:18Speaker 2: They're tied with Saint Mary's as far as the conference
- 2:43:21Speaker 2: record goes. That was a huge win for Santa Clara,
- 2:43:23Speaker 2: and I did lean that way in the game. I
- 2:43:25Speaker 2: mentioned I liked them in that game, but now I
- 2:43:27Speaker 2: don't like them at San Diego. They play San Francisco
- 2:43:31Speaker 2: next after this, and San Francisco is right behind Santa
- 2:43:34Speaker 2: Clara and the standings, so that's still probably gonna be
- 2:43:37Speaker 2: a big game, much bigger than San Diego's down in
- 2:43:40Speaker 2: the bottom.
- 2:43:41Speaker 1: Of half of the half of the conference here.
- 2:43:45Speaker 2: Santa Clara already played San Diego and beat them by
- 2:43:48Speaker 2: twenty eight at Santa Clara, of course, so they might
- 2:43:52Speaker 2: overlook San Diego for that reason too, because they already
- 2:43:56Speaker 2: destroyed them.
- 2:43:57Speaker 1: I wasn't really anything misleading about this.
- 2:44:00Speaker 2: Santa Clara actually absolutely dominated them on the rebounds and whatever, which, yeah,
- 2:44:04Speaker 2: that does concern me a bit, But I just think
- 2:44:06Speaker 2: this is a spot where you're not gonna get a
- 2:44:08Speaker 2: focused Santa Clara team here. Man, very easy to overlook
- 2:44:12Speaker 2: San Diego and San Diego. They're just coming up beating
- 2:44:16Speaker 2: Washington State. They're back at home.
- 2:44:18Speaker 1: But the thing that I like so Washington State, I mean,
- 2:44:20Speaker 1: they're not what they once were.
- 2:44:21Speaker 2: Of course, Okay, San Diego is not gonna overlook Santa
- 2:44:23Speaker 2: Clara already losing to them by a lot once. You know,
- 2:44:27Speaker 2: Santa Clara obviously one of the top teams in the
- 2:44:30Speaker 2: conference this year, but beating Washington State again is not
- 2:44:33Speaker 2: what it once was. You know, Washington State's not in
- 2:44:35Speaker 2: the Pac twelve anymore. They're not a very good team
- 2:44:37Speaker 2: this year. San Diego was only a one and a
- 2:44:39Speaker 2: half point.
- 2:44:40Speaker 1: Underdog in this game.
- 2:44:41Speaker 2: I thought they might have actually been a favorite in
- 2:44:43Speaker 2: this game. And yeah, I guess it does concern me
- 2:44:46Speaker 2: a little bit that San Diego did shoot really well
- 2:44:48Speaker 2: in the game. Fifty four percent from three was pretty
- 2:44:51Speaker 2: big time, but Washington State had way more free throw
- 2:44:54Speaker 2: attempts in the game, so it was massively lopsided foul
- 2:44:57Speaker 2: calling in this game, and San Diego still won the So.
- 2:45:00Speaker 1: I like that.
- 2:45:01Speaker 2: And San Diego did have more field goal attempts in
- 2:45:05Speaker 2: the game, so they did outplay Washington State possession wise
- 2:45:10Speaker 2: of the verly so though some of that was the
- 2:45:11Speaker 2: turnover battle being won by San Diego. But the thing
- 2:45:15Speaker 2: that kind of pushes me over the edge here not
- 2:45:17Speaker 2: just that I think Santa Clara is in a huge
- 2:45:20Speaker 2: letdown spot. But look at San Diego. You know how
- 2:45:22Speaker 2: I said, this conference is really good at home. Look
- 2:45:24Speaker 2: at San Diego at home this year in conference. They
- 2:45:27Speaker 2: beat Pacific, and Pacific is a pretty good team actually
- 2:45:30Speaker 2: in the conference this year in San Diego beat them
- 2:45:32Speaker 2: by twelve. They beat pepper Dime, but Pepperdine is not
- 2:45:36Speaker 2: that good, but they beat them easily by twenty. They
- 2:45:39Speaker 2: beat Washington State, like I just said, so three wins
- 2:45:43Speaker 2: in the conference. They have one loss at home in conference.
- 2:45:45Speaker 2: It was to Gonzaga. They only lost by six at
- 2:45:50Speaker 2: home to Gonzaga. So this San Diego team, they can
- 2:45:52Speaker 2: actually play at home, man, and they're not going to
- 2:45:55Speaker 2: be intimidated by this. You know, if they can play
- 2:45:57Speaker 2: it within six of Gonzaga at home, they can certainly
- 2:46:00Speaker 2: do this. Even though that's not really the only thing
- 2:46:03Speaker 2: you want to look at as far as handicapping, right,
- 2:46:05Speaker 2: but it does seem to be a trend in this conference,
- 2:46:07Speaker 2: and including with San Diego that they're just much much
- 2:46:10Speaker 2: better at home and it's a horrible spot for Santa Clara.
- 2:46:13Speaker 2: So we're taking the points with San Diego in that game.
- 2:46:18Speaker 2: And to finish it off, we got Cincinnati and Arizona
- 2:46:20Speaker 2: State on CBS Sports Late Night Degenerate Special here at
- 2:46:25Speaker 2: ten PM.
- 2:46:27Speaker 1: The Late Night.
- 2:46:27Speaker 2: Degenerate Special because it's the televised one. Cincinnati is making
- 2:46:30Speaker 2: the Arizona trip. They did just lose at Arizona and
- 2:46:33Speaker 2: they really fell apart late in that game and just
- 2:46:36Speaker 2: stopped scoring. Basically, though Cincinnati's bad offensively, still not easy
- 2:46:41Speaker 2: to play both Arizona.
- 2:46:42Speaker 1: Teams in a row on the road, though.
- 2:46:44Speaker 2: Man and Arizona State they're I think, really gonna be
- 2:46:48Speaker 2: kind of in an embarrassed mood here.
- 2:46:50Speaker 1: They've lost three games in a row. Bobby Hurley is.
- 2:46:52Speaker 2: Kind of flipping out there. They just lost at home
- 2:46:54Speaker 2: to West Virginia. Like I said, so, I do think
- 2:46:56Speaker 2: Arizona State will show up in this game. I think
- 2:46:59Speaker 2: the spot's a little bit better for Arizona State. Cincinnati
- 2:47:02Speaker 2: down from three to two and a half here. I
- 2:47:03Speaker 2: would lean towards Arizona State there plus the points, but
- 2:47:08Speaker 2: no real strong opinion there and then you see Irvine
- 2:47:10Speaker 2: at you See San Diego. Last game we'll talk about
- 2:47:13Speaker 2: should be a good game. These teams are both right
- 2:47:15Speaker 2: near the top of the Big West. You see Irvine
- 2:47:18Speaker 2: nice bounce back win, even though it was a third
- 2:47:20Speaker 2: straight road game. They had a tough game at you
- 2:47:23Speaker 2: See Davis after they played really close against Hawaii out
- 2:47:26Speaker 2: in Hawaii the game before that, So you see Irvine
- 2:47:29Speaker 2: I think was definitely in a bit of a hangover
- 2:47:31Speaker 2: after that and lost to you See Davis because of it.
- 2:47:33Speaker 2: They bounced back nicely against U see Riverside. But now
- 2:47:36Speaker 2: this is their fourth straight road game and it's at
- 2:47:40Speaker 2: you See San Diego. Now Irvine might have a little
- 2:47:42Speaker 2: bit more extra motivation here because you see San Diego
- 2:47:46Speaker 2: of course won the conference last year and basically dethroned
- 2:47:49Speaker 2: Irvine kind of.
- 2:47:50Speaker 1: Irvine had won.
- 2:47:50Speaker 2: It the previous not the previous year, but a couple
- 2:47:54Speaker 2: of years prior to that, and I think Long Beach
- 2:47:56Speaker 2: State actually came from out of nowhere and upset you
- 2:47:58Speaker 2: see Irvine to win it two years ago.
- 2:48:00Speaker 1: But you see San Diego.
- 2:48:01Speaker 2: Basically establish themselves as the best team in the conference
- 2:48:04Speaker 2: last year and knocked Irvine kind of out of that status.
- 2:48:07Speaker 2: So Irvine might have a little bit more of a
- 2:48:09Speaker 2: chip on their shoulder for this game. But the scheduling
- 2:48:12Speaker 2: spot I think favors you See San Diego a little
- 2:48:14Speaker 2: bit because they did.
- 2:48:15Speaker 1: Just have a bad game on the road at UC Davis.
- 2:48:19Speaker 2: Barely got by that game, and the last time they
- 2:48:21Speaker 2: were back at home, they're back at home. The last
- 2:48:23Speaker 2: time they were home they lost to cal stateon Northred's.
- 2:48:26Speaker 2: They actually lost their last two home games. They lost
- 2:48:28Speaker 2: to Bullerton the game before that, but I think that
- 2:48:30Speaker 2: might have been because they played Hawaii. They beat Hawaii
- 2:48:33Speaker 2: the game before that was a big win, so I
- 2:48:35Speaker 2: think they were in a letdown spot there, so a
- 2:48:38Speaker 2: lot of stuff going on here. I would lean do
- 2:48:40Speaker 2: you see San Diego in this one though, as I
- 2:48:42Speaker 2: was kind of alluding to there, They're up from one
- 2:48:44Speaker 2: and a half to three, So the osmakers are telling you, well,
- 2:48:47Speaker 2: the osmakers aligning them as a favorite, although telling you
- 2:48:50Speaker 2: that you see Irvine is actually the slightly better team
- 2:48:52Speaker 2: because you see San Diego's not getting full home court
- 2:48:55Speaker 2: this time. Yeah, they're definitely not as good as last year,
- 2:48:58Speaker 2: but I prefer them in this spot and Yeah, the
- 2:49:04Speaker 2: money seems like it's coming in on that side early.
- 2:49:06Speaker 2: And that's it, man, that's gonna do it. I thought
- 2:49:09Speaker 2: I was gonna keep it an under two and a
- 2:49:10Speaker 2: half hours.
- 2:49:10Speaker 1: I did not. Once again.
- 2:49:12Speaker 2: All the plays here, Sacred Heart minus the points, Dayton
- 2:49:16Speaker 2: minus the points, Richmond plus the points, to Paul plus
- 2:49:20Speaker 2: the points, Fresno plus the points, and San Diego plus
- 2:49:24Speaker 2: the points. Those are all my plays. Hopefully we get
- 2:49:28Speaker 2: some wins here. We need a bounce back. Day hasn't
- 2:49:31Speaker 2: been that good.
- 2:49:32Speaker 1: Not a good January, man.
- 2:49:33Speaker 2: I think we're a little bit down in January. So
- 2:49:35Speaker 2: we got to bounce back here.
- 2:49:36Speaker 1: Now. I think I can finally get a little bit
- 2:49:38Speaker 1: of sleep and.
- 2:49:38Speaker 2: I'll be back and I'll have to talk about hockey
- 2:49:41Speaker 2: and NBA for tomorrow. That's probably a big hockey board
- 2:49:44Speaker 2: as well. Learn a tone on Twitter, learn to tone
- 2:49:46Speaker 2: on Instagram, you know, like subscribe, comment on the channel here.
- 2:49:51Speaker 1: We're on audio as well.
- 2:49:52Speaker 2: Give me good reviews over there, Spotify, Apple listen over
- 2:49:55Speaker 2: there as well.
- 2:49:56Speaker 1: That helps me out.
- 2:49:57Speaker 2: Covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube, Patreon,
- 2:50:00Speaker 2: Calm Slash from the head to toe and you can
- 2:50:01Speaker 2: get some bonus stuff I did just do the cover
- 2:50:04Speaker 2: for Harry Balls. I think it is the guy's name.
- 2:50:07Speaker 2: I gave him one of my covers there that he requested.
- 2:50:11Speaker 2: I got to get back to at least one for Charles.
- 2:50:14Speaker 2: I forget what my next I think I decided what
- 2:50:16Speaker 2: I was gonna do, but I forget what my next
- 2:50:18Speaker 2: one is gonna be.
- 2:50:19Speaker 1: I'll figure it out, man.
- 2:50:20Speaker 2: Again, Thanks everybody for hanging out, and oh check out Loser.
- 2:50:24Speaker 1: Cast as well. Every Tuesday night, the comedy podcast that
- 2:50:26Speaker 1: I'm on.
- 2:50:27Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. I'm really gonna be on something
- 2:50:30Speaker 2: tomorrow morning. At least I don't have to get up
- 2:50:32Speaker 2: as well. I'm gonna get up as early as I
- 2:50:34Speaker 2: usually do, but I'll get Yeah, four hours of sleep,
- 2:50:37Speaker 2: that'll be great. But at least now doing this show
- 2:50:40Speaker 2: has tired me out enough that I can actually sleep.
- 2:50:42Speaker 2: Probably it's like, you know, jerking off before you sleep
- 2:50:45Speaker 2: or whatever, you know, just to you know, just to
- 2:50:48Speaker 2: tire you out enough to get you in the mood
- 2:50:50Speaker 2: to sleep.
- 2:50:51Speaker 1: You know.
- 2:50:51Speaker 2: That's that's this show for me. So you guys just
- 2:50:53Speaker 2: all saw me jerk off for two and a half hour,
- 2:50:55Speaker 2: for three hours, Holy shit, that's gonna do it.
- 2:50:58Speaker 1: Peace, everybody. Nobody's even listening at this point. Peace.