Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | December 16, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:05Fall. System's going clear for lift off. What's up, guys, you're
- 0:37batcheated here? Are gonna be talking about this? Uh NBA DFS slate Saturday,
- 0:43December sixteenth, we got a nine games slate on tap. I got
- 0:47some injury news. I'm gonna be going pretty quickly in this one. Don't
- 0:51really have a ton of time to go super deep into all of the matchup
- 0:54based stuff. Just gonna be running through some of the plays for each game.
- 0:58Got a busy day ahead of me, so it will start with the
- 1:02Philadelphia seventy six ers taken on Charlotte Hornets two thirty one over under Philly favored
- 1:06by nine. Yeah, on the Philly side, pretty much just gonna be
- 1:11embid for a bus, embad or bus for me. Here, a really
- 1:14good matchup versus Charlotte, who struggled versus opposing centers this year with no Mark
- 1:18Williams, so he's a really, really strong spind up. I could see
- 1:21him getting his full workload since he's been limited to about thirty minutes in the
- 1:25last two games due to blowout. I think the Hornet should be able to
- 1:27hang around here. We could see a big ceiling performance out of embiid,
- 1:30so I like him a lot of suspend up and on the Charlotte side,
- 1:34Terry Rozier has one of the best roles right now for ball handlers and point
- 1:40guards. Just been dominating usage, been dominating, assist percentage, time,
- 1:45possession, all that. Price a getting up there at nine K. But
- 1:48it was tip for matchup versus the Anthony Melton, but his minute should be
- 1:51should be sky high, so I don't mind him at all. I think
- 1:53I prefer Miles Bridges and to Terry Rozier in this one easier matchup versus Tobias
- 1:59Hair, and his minute should be really high too. If PJ. Washington
- 2:02were to Michigan, a little bit less interest if PJ is in, but
- 2:07I still think Moles Bridges is a fine play. Let's move on to the
- 2:13Atlanta Hawks. Taken on in Cleveland, Cavaliers got a solid two thirty six
- 2:17over under Cleveland favored by two and a half. Yeah. On the Atlanta
- 2:23side, I think this is a sneaky good matchup for Trey Young. The
- 2:27Cavaliers play a lot of drop coverage in terms of pick and roll, so
- 2:30I think that just with the way he's been playing right now, the way
- 2:32he's been shooting, the way he's been assisting, I think that he could
- 2:35put up a pretty solid score again here, and yeah, they drop coverage.
- 2:39Matchup should be one that really benefits him. Should be able to get
- 2:44a ton of open looks from three, and should be able to set up
- 2:46his his teammates for some open looks. I like Trey Young as well at
- 2:51ten point one Clint Capella if DeAndre Hunter were to miss, sees a pretty
- 2:57big minutes boost. Got up to thirty four and thirty five minutes in the
- 3:00last two games that Hunters missed. They're starting to run him and a Yakakongu
- 3:06more side by side as the four and the five, which is definitely boosted
- 3:09both their their upsides in minutes and in uh in fantasy scoring. So I
- 3:14like Capella a lot. If Hunter were to miss again on the Cavaliers side,
- 3:20they're gonna be really thin. No Darius Garland, no Evan Mobley for
- 3:22quite some time, so we're gonna see pretty heavy minutes from the main main
- 3:25four guys, Donovan Mitchell, Jared Allen, Max Strus, Karris Lavert and
- 3:32yeah, I love love Donovan Mitchell here. Really good matchup, even though
- 3:37he's gonna be going against the Jean Tae Murray just uh. I mean,
- 3:40the Hawks are top four paced team, top bottom four defense, bottom four
- 3:45rim defense, bottom ten three point defense. They allow the fifth most points
- 3:49in transitions. I think that Donovan could put up a really really big scoring
- 3:52night just with all the usage to go around with no Mobiley and Garland.
- 3:57Jared Allen should see a pretty safe minute flour here going against Clint Pella probably
- 4:00gets up thirty five, thirty six, and the Hawks are bottom four rim
- 4:04defense, bottom seven and DVP versus center on the year, so this is
- 4:08a pretty solid match for him at a you know, almost seven K.
- 4:12Max Strews and Caris Lavert also going to see huge minutes. Strews has been
- 4:16one of the biggest beneficiars with no Daris, Garland and Mobley on the court
- 4:19this year. He's a seven point usage bump in his his usage rates,
- 4:25so he should be a fine play. I think I prefer Karros Lavert though,
- 4:29just going to be seen all the all the minutes, and we'll take
- 4:32on a really big ball handling role, regardless if that's off the bench or
- 4:36starting. He's a fine play regardless, and we'll have to keep an eye
- 4:41on the don't what they do with the starting lineup. Could see Craig Porter
- 4:44Junior step in there and take on the point guard role again. But if
- 4:48he doesn't start, I don't think that he's in play. He's just been
- 4:50out of the rotation for quite some time, so that'll do it for that
- 4:54game. Chicago and Miami next got a lower total to eighteen. Miami favored
- 4:59by five. I have two of the slower paced teams in the league,
- 5:01so makes sense. Hea'd are really struggling to defend the interier right now with
- 5:05no Bam out of Bio, so I think that Vucevich has a really good
- 5:10matchup April one. K is definitely a fair price sect for him. He's
- 5:13been playing really well lately fifty six and fifty eight DK points and back to
- 5:17that games, so he's a fine play. Kobe White, one of the
- 5:23better players in the league over the last two weeks, just been crashing it
- 5:26minutes or sky high ball handling has been trending upwards too. I think if
- 5:30you're take into account what he's done over the past two weeks, he's just
- 5:32a little bit under priced for his role, so I don't think that seven
- 5:35point seven k is it's too crazy to pay for him, and then I'm
- 5:40pretty much just fading. The Miami heat in the side just don't really seem
- 5:44much that stands out, and let's move over to Phil dot or Indiana versus
- 5:50Minnesota two forty one over under with Miami or Minnesota favored by nine big injury
- 5:58news. If Tyres Halliburn were to miss, then I think that all of
- 6:02you know Benigmatheren, TJ McConnell, but heal Bruce Brown would definitely be in
- 6:09play here. Definitely would make TJ mccollin a really good value and five point
- 6:15one k he could definitely pay up the price. I've always been a solid
- 6:17fantasy point per minuted guy when he gets the minutes, so he would definitely
- 6:21be the preferred option. If Alburn is in then I just don't only have
- 6:26much interest in the Indiana side. They're running a pretty pretty deep rotation right
- 6:30now, so we're not seeing anybody kind of separate, so I'd be fine
- 6:33getting away from Indiana. If Aliburn is in Minnesota, it's going to be
- 6:38the main three guys for me, Kat and Edwards and Rudy Gobert all have
- 6:43great matchups. I think I lean Kat just he's been one of the safer
- 6:47guys and gets really one of the better matchups versus for opposing power forwards,
- 6:54so I like him the most. I think that you could play all of
- 6:56them, but I would be cautious on how you're grouping them. For me,
- 7:00would be Max one Kat and Anthony Edwards and Max one Cat and Rudy
- 7:04Gobert, and then yeah, Nasri definitely in play as well. Fifty five
- 7:10hundred. He's got huge upside, one of the few guys in that range
- 7:14that comes off the bench that could really give you forty, So I wouldn't
- 7:16mind him at all as a value piece. Let's move over to Brooklyn versus
- 7:20Golden State two thirty five over under Golden State favorite by three. Don't really
- 7:26have a ton of interest in this game. I'm kind of fine getting away
- 7:30from the Brooklyn guys. If there was one person to pick out, I
- 7:33think it would be Nick Claxon. He'll have probably the best matchup on the
- 7:39on the net side, just the Warriors kind of towards the bottom of the
- 7:42pack in DVP versus centers and then the Warriors. They're pretty pretty easy to
- 7:49I mean, it's a tough team to peg. They run a pretty deep
- 7:54rotation, so you're not really seeing huge myths from anybody. So I don't
- 7:57think even Steph Curry, projecting as well as he is right now, is
- 8:01much in play for me. I'd much want to look to guys like Jonathan
- 8:05Kaminga and Brandon Podziemski. POD's got it to thirty five minutes. Last game,
- 8:09he led the team in minutes, so I think that he's probably my
- 8:13preferred option down there. Kamino is still limited to around twenty five minutes,
- 8:16so his role didn't change much even though he was starting. But those would
- 8:20be the two guys I'll be looking to. Okay and now he got okay
- 8:24See taking on Denver to thirty six, Denver favorite by four. Solid matchup
- 8:30for SGA here with no KCP, who's their best on ball defender? Okay
- 8:35See playing super fast and paced, one of the best offenses. I think
- 8:37that you could definitely get to him at ten point five. K Jayalen Williams
- 8:43and Josh Gid would be the out of two guys I'd be interested in.
- 8:46More So the giddy side minutes are not going to be there, but his
- 8:48his usage and just the fantasy scoring has been up the last two games.
- 8:52Last two games, got over or up to forty one DK points him back
- 8:56to back games, but still hasn't top thirty minutes, so it might be
- 9:01a little thin. And then yeah, on the nugget side is pretty much
- 9:05just joke. It's or bust. Good matchup versus Chad and okay see okay
- 9:09See's bottom nine and DVP versus center position, so solid matchup for him.
- 9:16They'll do it for that game's move over to Dallas and Portland. We got
- 9:20two thirty four over under Dallas favored by five excuse me, uh? And
- 9:26yeah, Luca, great play here again. Maverick's same story. They're gonna
- 9:31be pretty thin with no Kyrie and some of the other secondary guys, maybe
- 9:35no Seth Curry here. His minutes have been extremely high lately and he's playing
- 9:41to that MVP caliber that we know from Luca. Sixty three DK points in
- 9:46three straight games definitely has the upside to get up to ninety DK points.
- 9:52Has already shown that in you know, a week or two ago. I
- 9:54think this is a matchup where you know, pretty solid over under close bread
- 10:00good, just really good matchup for him. I think he shows out tonight
- 10:05and puts up a seventy plus pointer in this one. And then yeah,
- 10:11the Portland side getting a little bit tougher with them getting fully healthy, getting
- 10:15brogged in Jeremy Grant, DeAndre Aden backs that kind of take things a little
- 10:18bit of the upside on guys like Anthonty Simons, Shade and sharp Man.
- 10:22It should still be really high for those guys, but just I don't see
- 10:26we're I don't think we're going to see the mid forty to fifty point game
- 10:28from them as much going forward with with this team getting fully healthy, I
- 10:33think, just price adjusted in matchup based, I would kind of lean to
- 10:37DeAndre Aiden as my favorite play on the Blazers Mavericks the bottom half of the
- 10:41league and rim defenses here in bottom six and DVP versus center, so he
- 10:46would probably be my preferred option. Okay, Utah taking on Sacramento two forty
- 10:54over under Sacramento favored by nine. Pretty big injury news in this one,
- 10:56got the Jazz going to be without Clarkson, John carl omer Year at seven
- 11:01and possibly tat Horn Tucker and the Kings have Darn Fox is questionable. On
- 11:07the Jazz side with all the injury stuff, I think the guys you have
- 11:11interested in would be Walker Kesler and Calling Sexton. I think Gloria is going
- 11:15to be on a pretty strict Minister Stricken right now, just coming back from
- 11:18the hamstring injury. Pretty solid matchup for both Sexton and Kessler. Wants to
- 11:24Simmotus Sabonis not the best interior defenders. I think Kesler could definitely get it
- 11:28going and put up a big boy score at sixty four hundred. And then
- 11:33on the King side, yeah, I mean, if if foxes out,
- 11:35they'll probably start Davion Mitchell. I don't think that he'd be in play,
- 11:37just a really low usage, low fantasy guy. Much rather get up to
- 11:43Malik Monk. He sees a really big usage bump and huge assist rate boost
- 11:48with no Darn Fox on the floor, and similar story to Sabonis, a
- 11:52bit of a tougher matchup versus Walker Kessler. Jazz have kind of shored up
- 11:56there into your defenses here, but Sabonis assist rate goes up to thirty six
- 12:01percent with no Darren Fox and he's already been playing really well this year from
- 12:07a playmaking standpoint, don't do it for that game. Let's move to the
- 12:11Knicks, last last game of the night, New York Knicks and the Clippers.
- 12:16Pretty easy one to break down. I think. On the next side,
- 12:18you're just looking to Julius Randall and Jalen Brunson here a slightly into Brunson
- 12:24just for the price tag and matchup. Pretty tough matchup for Julius Randald,
- 12:26gonna be going against Kawhi Leonard, one of the better powerful defenders in the
- 12:33leagues. I think it's a pretty tough matchup for Ranald to get there.
- 12:35And then the Clipper side, if Paul George were to miss, I think
- 12:39you could go right back to James Harden. Kawhi Leonard would have a lean
- 12:41to James Harden also for the matchup, going to see probably RJ. Barrett
- 12:46Devincenzo type guys. And yeah, I mean that's pretty much it. If
- 12:52George is in, I think I would have a lot less interest in the
- 12:54Clipper side, probably just be a full fade of this game if if George
- 12:58is in. But yeah, that's gonna do it for this one. Good
- 13:03luck to you everybody. Hope everybody has a good weekend, good Saturday and
- 13:05good Sunday of football and yeah, happy holidays. See you guys later