Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Can the Bitcoin ETF Take Bitcoin to $1M in 2024? | EP 895
Transcript
- 0:03It's. All going to zero against
- 0:06Bitcoin. It's going up forever.
- 0:16You're against Bitcoin. You're against freedom.
- 0:20Yo, welcome to another episode of Simply Bitcoin Live.
- 0:23Your number one source for the peaceful Bitcoin revolutionary
- 0:26code breaking news called Traumatic Warfare will be got
- 0:28you be your guide through the separation of money and state.
- 0:32Holy cow. Starting the year off strong.
- 0:36A 3K pump from 42,000 to 45,000. Everyone is so excited about
- 0:42this potential ETF approval. People are saying that it's
- 0:46going to be approved January 5th.
- 0:48People are saying that it's going to be approved January
- 0:5010th, but what if it doesn't get approved at all?
- 0:53And we're getting these crazy price predictions as well?
- 0:56We have the legendary one and only Samsung now basically
- 0:59saying $1 million Bitcoin. I know it sounds like pretty
- 1:04crazy, like it sounds like absurd if you think about it.
- 1:07But there is also other people that are saying are throwing out
- 1:10these crazy price predictions as well.
- 1:12I know, OK, let's talk about diminishing returns.
- 1:16Everyone's saying, you know, it's a lot harder for Bitcoin to
- 1:19like pump these magnitudes and this and this and that and blah
- 1:23blah blah blah blah but that. But that's the theory.
- 1:25Like that's the thing of this cycle.
- 1:28Like I agree with American Hoddle.
- 1:30I think people were so blue balled.
- 1:32Forgive my language out of the last cycle, you know, due to the
- 1:37China ban, I know everyone says it's the rehypothecation of of
- 1:40FTXML, whatever. I really believe it's the China
- 1:43ban that really cut the last cycle short.
- 1:47But I think everyone has PTSD from that occurrence.
- 1:51Like Bitcoin just hit 69 K people were expecting 100K that
- 1:56I think. I think people like are like,
- 1:58they internalize that and they're like there's no effing
- 2:00way. But if we go back to 2017,
- 2:04right, 2017, we went from like 1K to 20K, that's a 20X.
- 2:10OK. So even if we do half of that,
- 2:13even if we do half of what we did in 2017, I'm not saying that
- 2:18we can, but let's say we do, let's run a thought experiment
- 2:22from here. That's $450,000.
- 2:26Maybe we would do a 5X. That's still a ridiculous, you
- 2:30know, a a ridiculous multiples. So you know, I, I, I I think
- 2:35that's the, that's the Achilles heel.
- 2:37I think that's like the thing this cycle that is going to
- 2:41catch people off guard. That's what my gut is telling
- 2:43me. I think a lot of people are, a
- 2:46lot of people are buying into the diminishing returns
- 2:50narrative. I really see that, and if we
- 2:54were to learn from previous cycles, and if we were just to
- 2:56learn from things in general, Bitcoin does the exact opposite
- 3:01of what everyone thinks it's going to do.
- 3:04Last year people were saying, OK, the top is going to be
- 3:0730K35K bada Bing bada boom, bitcoins at $45,000.
- 3:13It ended the year with 44K, right?
- 3:16For 42 or 43 K No one expected that.
- 3:19No one expected these crazy, crazy rises from Bitcoin.
- 3:23Now I understand it's an anticipation of the Bitcoin spot
- 3:27ETF. Everyone is super hyped.
- 3:30You have Larry Fink, you know, basically evangelizing Bitcoin,
- 3:35saying hey, everyone's flying to quality.
- 3:38Another thing as well, you had Jim Cramer.
- 3:40I don't know if this is a good thing, a good thing, or a bad
- 3:44thing, but Jim Cramer on CNNBC literally said you can't kill
- 3:48Bitcoin This morning. We have the clip for you guys.
- 3:52What world do we live in? Like, this is absolutely
- 3:55bonkers. One thing's for sure though, I
- 3:57feel really, really hyped about 2024 in Bitcoin terms.
- 4:01I think this is going to be a phenomenal year for Bitcoin.
- 4:06I'm really, really excited. But like always, guys, this is
- 4:10simply Bitcoin after all. Not your keys, not your cheese.
- 4:15So it's don't buy the ETF that's captured Bitcoin.
- 4:20Buy Bitcoin, whatever exchange you choose.
- 4:22Obviously we recommend our sponsor Swan.
- 4:25Buy Bitcoin, mine Bitcoin, earn Bitcoin and take that Bitcoin
- 4:29into self custody. Learn how to take self custody.
- 4:32There's like, you know, BTC Sessions has this amazing
- 4:36channel where he literally teaches you how to do it.
- 4:41It's very, very easy. So you have absolutely no
- 4:44excuse. Anyways, this is the first
- 4:47episode of Simply Bitcoin 2024. I'm extremely I'm extremely
- 4:52excited. I'm super, super hyped.
- 4:54I I got my break. I got to spend some time on the
- 4:57beach. It was delicious.
- 4:59It was great. The water was cold, which
- 5:01doesn't happen very often in Miami.
- 5:04Usually it's like like the water's like hot, like Jacuzzi
- 5:07hot, but like, I guess it's like winter and stuff.
- 5:11Anyways, Opti, what do you do this break bro?
- 5:13I did absolutely nothing and it feels good to be back.
- 5:17Let's go boys. We're back and wait.
- 5:21Can. I You're not in a You're not in
- 5:23a closet anymore. What's happening?
- 5:25Yeah, I'm no longer in my daddy's office.
- 5:27And did you fly back? I'm back in the Stew.
- 5:29I flew back last Wednesday. Did you fly back or did you walk
- 5:34back? I should not walk back.
- 5:36No, that's a long walk. I wouldn't.
- 5:38I still wouldn't be here. But guys, hold on.
- 5:41Before we start this show, can we acknowledge that Nico is
- 5:44already being bearish on the first episode of Simply Bitcoin?
- 5:47Couldn't be me. Can't relate, guys.
- 5:49Maybe 1,000,000. A little high for this cycle but
- 5:53I think it's good. I think people are absolutely
- 5:55way too bearish out there and and this is a good thing shouts
- 5:59out the vague because vague gets it.
- 6:00So let me just read bakes comment real quick because this
- 6:03is exactly what I think as well. He goes diminishing returns
- 6:07narrative is wrong because network effects grow stronger
- 6:10the larger Bitcoin gets which means it actually speeds up guys
- 6:14and shouts out the CJ Constantinos.
- 6:17I I always butcher his last name, but he's been saying that
- 6:20diminishing returns theory works in a commodity money.
- 6:23But what we're going to see moving forward is that everyone
- 6:27is going to be using Bitcoin as the monetary instrument.
- 6:31So it's going to change dynamics.
- 6:34But hey, no one knows. All we know is 21 million hard
- 6:38cap. All the world's wealth is going
- 6:41to eventually get funneled into the 21 million hard cap.
- 6:44And this is the way guys. So the point remains the same.
- 6:48Make sure you're stacking, make sure you're taking your Bitcoin
- 6:51into cold storage. And this is kind of what I'm
- 6:53going to be talking about today. I'm I'm super glad we don't have
- 6:55a guest today because I'm, I wanted to do this yesterday, but
- 6:59we took a break. We're going to be get well, I
- 7:01rather I'm going to be giving you my 2024 Bitcoin blueprint.
- 7:05It's super simple guys. This is your goals for the year
- 7:08moving forward. It's always the same goals but
- 7:11we got to give you guys, get you guys heads on straight and make
- 7:15sure. You guys are?
- 7:16Stacking and know why you're stacking.
- 7:18I I had way too many conversations with friends over
- 7:21the holiday break and it just blew my mind how little my
- 7:26friends and family are saving and This is why we Bitcoin is so
- 7:30that you guys are saving in the best savings technology period.
- 7:35So going to give you the basics and then all year long I'm going
- 7:40to be reiterating the basics and making sure that every new
- 7:43person that comes on to Bitcoin, simply Bitcoin rather and
- 7:47Bitcoin in general knows what we're doing, why we do it and
- 7:51how to succeed moving forward in the midway parts of the 2020
- 7:56man, where, Nico, we're almost halfway through this decade like
- 8:00absolutely crazy and Bitcoin's going to go nuclear.
- 8:02I'm convinced it's going nuclear this year.
- 8:09The chat's going crazy. Shut up to the chat.
- 8:11It's. It's we miss you.
- 8:13We miss you. Anyways.
- 8:14Yeah, we did miss you guys. We did miss you guys a lot.
- 8:17But simply bear cord. We hope, we hope, we hope.
- 8:21Pull up, pull up that, pull up that comment.
- 8:23We hope everyone had an amazing holiday season.
- 8:26I hope everyone had time to relax, spend time with the
- 8:30family. It was nice taking a break for
- 8:34the first time in three years. I felt life coming back to me
- 8:39after the third day. But I gotta say, I was I I I
- 8:42really, really wanted to get back into the folds.
- 8:45I really miss making content. And I really, I really missed
- 8:49talking to you guys and hanging out with you guys.
- 8:51So we're really, really happy to be back.
- 8:53Guys. It's going to be a hell of a
- 8:54show. Strap in, get ready.
- 8:57Let's get to the numbers. Let's do it.
- 9:01The Bitcoin numbers. Is your Bitcoin and cold storage
- 9:04really secure? Is your seed phrase really
- 9:07secure? Stamp seeds?
- 9:09Do it yourself. Kit has everything you need to
- 9:11hammer your seed words into commercial grade titanium plates
- 9:16instead of just writing them on paper.
- 9:18Don't store your generational wealth on paper.
- 9:22Papers prone to water damage, fire damage.
- 9:25You want to put your generational wealth on one of
- 9:27the strongest metals on planet earth, Titanium.
- 9:30Your words are actually stamped into this metal plate with this
- 9:33hammer and these letter stamps. And once your words are in, they
- 9:37aren't going anywhere. No risk of the plate breaking
- 9:40apart and pieces falling everywhere.
- 9:42Titanium stamp seeds will survive nearly triple the heat
- 9:45produced by a house fire. They're also crush proof,
- 9:48waterproof, non corrosive, and time proof.
- 9:51All things that paper is not allowing you to huddle your
- 9:53Bitcoin with Peace of Mind for the long haul.
- 9:56Stamp your seed on stamp seed. Also, I do want to give a very
- 10:02special shout out to our Rumble and Twitter audience.
- 10:07We got 50 on Rumble, almost 50 on Twitter.
- 10:11Shout out to you guys. We really really appreciate
- 10:15y'all. If you can't find us on YouTube
- 10:17for whatever reason, you could always find us on alternative
- 10:20video platforms. Also guys, I made it super easy
- 10:22for you guys. You can use the QR code right
- 10:25now on your screen. You could scan it and it will
- 10:27take you directly to the stamp seed website.
- 10:30You can use promo code simply they got 15% off the entire.
- 10:34Anything you want to get on the entire website, use promo code.
- 10:37Simply you get 15% off. Don't store your generational
- 10:42wealth on paper. Store on one of the strongest
- 10:45metals on planet Earth. Store it on titanium.
- 10:47Put your generational wealth on titanium.
- 10:49At the time of recording, the Bitcoin price is 45,205 SAT's
- 10:54per dollar. 2213 block height 824,036 blocks to having 15,964
- 11:04having estimate April 19th, 2024.
- 11:07Total Lightning network capacity 4945 Bitcoin capacity value 223
- 11:15million U.S. dollars. Realize monetary inflation
- 11:18continuing to take Fiat currencies to absolute school
- 11:221.75% Market cap of Bitcoin $885 billion almost at a trillion.
- 11:28We are almost at a trillion ladies and gentlemen.
- 11:31Bitcoin versus gold market cap 6.43 percent.
- 11:35These stats right here, they're gonna go, This one's gonna go
- 11:38down ever so slowly and this one hopefully goes up quicker.
- 11:43But these are the types of things that we'll look back in
- 11:475-10 years and you're gonna see, man, you're gonna see this crawl
- 11:52up and you're gonna be like, holy crap, we're at 75% of the
- 11:55market cap of gold and it's going to feel really, really
- 11:58good. I mean, for us, maybe not so
- 12:00much for Peter Schiff. Anyway, Speaking of
- 12:02capitulations, check this out. Jim Cramer, out of all people,
- 12:09capitulated. He literally said on CNNBC this
- 12:13morning, Shout out to the team over at Swan that was able to
- 12:17capture it. And now it's making the rounds
- 12:19all over Twitter, he says. You can't kill Bitcoin.
- 12:22You don't believe me? Well, I'll play you the clip and
- 12:24then we'll talk about it. And obviously it had a great
- 12:26year last year. Yeah, we got that clearing event
- 12:29of Sandbank and Freed going down and that seemed to make people
- 12:34feel, you know what, we're safe And then the ETF, we continue to
- 12:38endless ETF And yeah, look, I, I, it's very rare that I've ever
- 12:41seen that this way. It's it could it be a waiting
- 12:44for good. Oh, I mean, no, there won't be
- 12:46an ETF. But I do think that the people
- 12:48who are in it for that are going to use that as a chance to sell
- 12:52this thing is you can't kill it. And the late Charlie Munger, who
- 12:58was so brilliant on so many things, was blind to this.
- 13:03Now you can say, wait a second, maybe it's all going to come
- 13:06around. Has has not spared any negative
- 13:10words. No, but look, I mean, it's a
- 13:13reality and it's a technological marvel.
- 13:16And I think people have to start recognizing that it it it's here
- 13:20to stay. The SEC has been against it
- 13:22almost the whole time. Yeah.
- 13:24Now that doesn't mean that every one of these is here to stay,
- 13:26but I do think that it's about this is a remarkable comeback.
- 13:31That was unexpected. And except for for all the bulls
- 13:34who turned out to be right, Gangster does a lot of
- 13:36jawboning. It didn't work.
- 13:39He wants people. He wants people to be in ones.
- 13:42So, I mean, when you speak to him, he just wouldn't like
- 13:45everybody involved to have to be like it's a registered security
- 13:50and he failed. And I think even the Commodity
- 13:53Futures Training Commission is not aligned with it.
- 13:55All right. So I mean, like, like, what else
- 14:02do you gotta say? I mean, like what else do you
- 14:04gotta say? Like, we point out this
- 14:09phenomenon all the time. We talk about bitcoins,
- 14:12incentives, and everyone has bowed down to the king.
- 14:17OK, you had a couple years ago, you had the CEO of BlackRock,
- 14:25Larry Fink, saying this is not, this is isn't, this isn't any
- 14:28good. It's only good for money
- 14:30laundering. You had Kramer, who was a hyper
- 14:32skeptic and now he's like, dude, you can't kill this thing.
- 14:38If you can't kill it, if you can't beat your enemy, you got
- 14:41to join your enemy. I guess that's the expression,
- 14:43something along those lines. And I think that's what you're
- 14:46witnessing here. I think you're seeing
- 14:47capitulation, but if you've been here a minute, this is crazy.
- 14:52It's my eighth year in Bitcoin. I could have never have imagined
- 14:59all of this stuff that's happening if you would have told
- 15:02me years ago, have things, you know, like whether it's Michael
- 15:08Saylor taking a Bitcoin strategy on the public company level,
- 15:13whether it's El Salvador making Bitcoin legal tender, whether
- 15:17it's the legacy financial media in the United States being pro
- 15:22Bitcoin. I would have never have believed
- 15:26you. Has this thing grown up?
- 15:29You know how? How much progress have we've
- 15:32made? It's it's absolutely incredible.
- 15:35And I'm going to tell you this guys, the best is yet to come.
- 15:40The best is yet to come. Bitcoins best days are ahead of
- 15:44us and look at everything that's happened.
- 15:48We are still in the very beginning of this thing.
- 15:52We have no idea what it's going to do, what the consequences of
- 15:57a Bitcoin eyes world are going to be, what we have.
- 16:00You know, some idea, we have an idea.
- 16:03But it makes me extremely optimistic, very positive about
- 16:08the future. While the Fiat world is
- 16:10collapsing all around us, the lies are suffering from
- 16:14inflation themselves. The excuses are accelerating,
- 16:18The tyranny is accelerating. We're all protected by this
- 16:24beautiful Orange Force field that we call Bitcoin.
- 16:28Anyways, If you take self custody.
- 16:30If you don't take self custody that that none of none of what I
- 16:33just said applies to you. So definitely take self custody
- 16:37and store your seed phrase on titanium.
- 16:39And you could do that by getting yourself a stamp seed promo code
- 16:42simply. Anyways, Opti, what's your take
- 16:45on Kramer? I mean bro, is it is it done?
- 16:47Did the bear market just start because it's inverse.
- 16:50There's the there's the law of inverse Kramer, right?
- 16:53Yeah. So you know first on getting my
- 16:56cynical take first and foremost you know Jim Cramer being
- 17:00bullish on Bitcoin is absolutely terrifying just considering the
- 17:03inverse. Kramer never fails.
- 17:06But and and then also you know Jim Cramer saying you can't kill
- 17:09Bitcoin is absolutely terrifying.
- 17:12Like just rip. You know there there goes
- 17:14Bitcoin. It was a good run.
- 17:15It was fun while it lasted guys. But no, no, no.
- 17:18Like like for reals. I I I do think that Jim Cramer
- 17:23is a lot smarter than we make him out to be.
- 17:25Like legitimately guys after this last year I I just I kind
- 17:29of think like Jim Cramer is just toeing the party lines.
- 17:32Like they tell him what to sell and what and what to buy and and
- 17:35in the back end he's probably doing his own inverse Kramer on
- 17:38the things he tells people on what's at Mad Money or whatever.
- 17:41But there is one point though that he said that I find very
- 17:46interesting is he said that the ETF Bitcoin spot ETF will
- 17:52probably be a sell the news moment which means it's not
- 17:55going to be a sell the news news moment and it's going to
- 17:57absolutely pump. So there is some signal in there
- 18:00throughout the whole thing and hopefully one of these inverse
- 18:03Kramer's hits and it's not so much that bitcoins going to die
- 18:07obviously we're joking we we we know that Bitcoin you know it
- 18:11last year we or what's it 2020-2021 I I forget the date
- 18:15now it's all blur but we had a nation state attack by China and
- 18:18Bitcoin is still chugging along. We're seeing at the very end of
- 18:22the year that the US is also having a very negative bet.
- 18:25But then we're also seeing the biggest asset managers in the
- 18:28world trying to do their best to neuter Bitcoin.
- 18:31And so you know we are in the then they fight you stage.
- 18:34And I don't think they can't stop Bitcoin because of everyone
- 18:36out there running nodes because everyone out there ensuring that
- 18:40they're taking their Bitcoin into custody.
- 18:42And what there's going to be roughly around like what a 1.5
- 18:46million Bitcoin left or 2 million Bitcoin left till 2140.
- 18:52Like all these asset managers in the world are are going to be
- 18:55fighting for a very small amount of Bitcoin.
- 18:59And most of the Bitcoin is in cold storage.
- 19:02So shouts out to everyone out there and I forget the numbers
- 19:04and I haven't looked at them in the last couple of weeks and I,
- 19:07I they probably haven't changed much.
- 19:08But what were the numbers Nika, like 70% of all Bitcoin hasn't
- 19:12moved in over a year or two. So all most of the Bitcoin is
- 19:16being coddled. It's in cold storage.
- 19:18And so all these asset managers in the world, you know the.
- 19:21Black rocks of the world. They are going to do whatever
- 19:24they can to incentivize you guys to sell your Bitcoin.
- 19:28But we know we're not going to sell them their Bitcoin, our
- 19:30Bitcoin. You're going to hold that
- 19:32Bitcoin into cold storage. You're going to continue to eat
- 19:35up the supply and take even more Bitcoin off exchanges.
- 19:40And that feedback loop, man, that you know, supply and demand
- 19:43economics very simply is going to do the work for us.
- 19:47The game theory of Bitcoin is going to be pushed into
- 19:50OverDrive this year. I am fully convinced of this.
- 19:53I think, I think we really are being very bullish or bearish in
- 19:57regards to what bitcoins going to do this year.
- 20:00You know, as you brought up huddle and he, he did the meme
- 20:03this morning of like and maybe maybe I'll pull it up for you
- 20:06guys later and he goes, you know, ADIQ.
- 20:09Bitcoiner 3 green one red candle in the in the cycle usually
- 20:15historically Bitcoin goes up 3 green candles.
- 20:18Oh, I saw the. Years, one down, that's the
- 20:21cycle. So far we only have two, two
- 20:24points, you know on that data, but hey, 3 green, one red.
- 20:29We got one green candle last year.
- 20:31So if historically we are correct, we have two years of
- 20:36pumping and then you guys are bearish out there and saying
- 20:39we're not even going to hit a 100K.
- 20:40Like couldn't be me, can't, can't relate 3 green, one red.
- 20:43This is known. It's written in stone.
- 20:46No, it's oh, you got it. Let's go.
- 20:47Yeah, but but actually go do the quote, tweet first, show the
- 20:51chart BTC, quote the picture. Yeah, there you go, 3 green, one
- 20:55red, you know, pumps for three years.
- 20:58It goes down one year and we have what, 123 data points on
- 21:04this. And if that pattern remains,
- 21:07we're going to have two more years of pumping and then what,
- 21:102026 will have a negative red month, a red year, so hey.
- 21:17I love, I love this though. Like, it's like and we're going
- 21:21to talk a lot. Nico Nico literally is the
- 21:24midwit meme right now, and I'm on the 80 IQ side.
- 21:30Oh man, it's like, no, what the fuck have I ever said that?
- 21:33That's not true. You.
- 21:34Literally said this earlier, the cycle theory isn't backed by
- 21:37anything. There isn't enough data.
- 21:39Actually, you didn't say that. You didn't say that.
- 21:41And you've never. Said that, OK, I take it back.
- 21:44You actually aren't the midwit, you are the Ad IQ Bitcoiner.
- 21:47OK, cool. I'm fine.
- 21:49We're, we're we're on. We're both on the left side of
- 21:52the bell curve. Fine.
- 21:53OK, I've accepted it. Yeah, Huddle's on the right
- 21:56side. We're on the left side.
- 21:59Anyways, but I mean like bro OK in all seriousness, like common
- 22:04sense OK like it hasn't broken it yet.
- 22:09So like if it hasn't broken it like Huddle's on point like 3
- 22:13greens one red. Like like unless like this
- 22:17breaks like this doesn't apply. Psycho theory isn't backed by
- 22:22anything these this isn't enough data to infer anything from
- 22:25these patterns. Like bro like you're wrong dude,
- 22:28until this breaks. That's what I gotta say about
- 22:30that. But I think Huddle's on point
- 22:32like always. Anyways, I do wanna give a shout
- 22:35out to our merch guys. Really, really helps us help us
- 22:40support the channel. The way that you do That is you
- 22:44go to simplybitcoin.com and you can buy either AT shirt or you
- 22:51could buy our hoodies. They both say Bitcoin or slavery
- 22:56in the stitching. We really do pay attention to
- 22:58quality and the details and all that stuff and it really, really
- 23:01helps us stay independent and it really, really helps us stay on
- 23:04air. So if you guys want a sports
- 23:06show. Matthew, I already hear you.
- 23:08I know the hats are coming. We have been talking again.
- 23:11Like I've been telling you guys for, I don't know, 2-3 months
- 23:14now with a Bitcoin artist. We've been trying to get in
- 23:17touch with our. Our supplier to get you guys to
- 23:21merch out. So we got some stuff in the
- 23:23works for you guys. So yeah, if you guys want to Rep
- 23:26the show and support the show, check out our merch and wine.
- 23:30Won't get upset with us. Anyways, let's hit the news.
- 23:33We have a lot to talk about. The Daily News.
- 23:40I want to give a shout out. To our sponsor, Foundation
- 23:43Devices, it's self custody done right.
- 23:46They built a premium grade hardware wallet called Passport
- 23:49right here in the US. It's fully open source and
- 23:52verifiable. It's the most intuitive Bitcoin
- 23:55wallet designed with the UX, reminiscent of a simple feature
- 23:59phone so you will know how to navigate it and use it the
- 24:02moment you pick it up. Get your Bitcoin off exchanges
- 24:05and into your into your own hands in just a few minutes.
- 24:08Experience the Peace of Mind that comes with taking ownership
- 24:11of your own keys. After a massive sell out during
- 24:14Bitcoin Miami 2023, the passport is back in stock at
- 24:18foundationdevices.com. Bitcoin only, open source,
- 24:21Verifiable completely air gap security model, gorgeous design,
- 24:25craft premium grade materials. If you're thinking about getting
- 24:29your Bitcoin off exchange changes, this is the one for
- 24:31you. Check out the passport link in
- 24:33the show notes below to learn more.
- 24:37All right everybody, we, we, we got a lot to talk about.
- 24:41But before we do that, guys, check out the QR code on your
- 24:44screen right now. Take you directly to the
- 24:46Foundation Devices website where you can get yourself a Passport
- 24:50hardware wallet. Guys, I highly recommend it.
- 24:52It's completely open source. It's air gapped, has a camera on
- 24:57the back so you can scan the QR codes as an SD port on the top.
- 25:03I highly recommend it guys. If you wanna get a hardware
- 25:06wallet for you know someone who doesn't have experience taking
- 25:09Self custody Foundation's the way to go.
- 25:12They also have an onboarding service called Concierge and
- 25:16they will. Bitcoin QA will literally hand
- 25:18hold you into taking self custody, right?
- 25:23So highly recommend it. Check out our sponsor Passport
- 25:29by Foundation Devices. Not your keys, not your Bitcoin
- 25:32guys. OK, so let's talk about the
- 25:35title of today's video. Is a $1 million Bitcoin
- 25:40possible? It's an absurd prediction, but
- 25:44guys like, I mean think about it like a 10X is 450,000 from here,
- 25:50right? So roughly A20X would be a
- 25:57$1,000,000 Bitcoin if, if my if my maths is correct, we did this
- 26:03in 2017. Like we we've done this before,
- 26:06we've been here. So we went from literally the
- 26:11beginning of 2017, we went from 1000 and we basically went to 20
- 26:20K So it was, it was an 18X in a span of a year.
- 26:25So we've been here before. Now.
- 26:26I know the diminishing returns, people would say, listen, that's
- 26:30not going to happen. This time it was a if we get all
- 26:36the way to the top, it was roughly a 6.5 X.
- 26:39But I believe this cycle was cut short.
- 26:42I'll tell you why it was cut short.
- 26:44It was it was the China man. I I really, really believe this
- 26:51played a huge role and not that many people talk about it.
- 26:56I, I I like, I I don't see enough people talk about the
- 27:03Bitcoin price and the hash rate even though that I think it
- 27:08played a massive role and I will make the case for that right
- 27:14now. OK, so here is the and let's
- 27:20zoom in a little bit and let's scroll up if I learn how to
- 27:25fucking use this. Excuse me.
- 27:28OK. So all right.
- 27:35So this is the China ban happened right here.
- 27:40OK. This is the hash rate.
- 27:42The price literally fell with the hash rate, right?
- 27:48And why did that happen? Like why did the price, why did
- 27:50the hash rate start dropping and why did the price fall with it?
- 27:55It was literally the CCP that banned Bitcoin mining within its
- 27:59borders, and that led to Chinese miners to sell their hardware to
- 28:06relocate overseas. Now, I think this was the second
- 28:11biggest event, and it literally took roughly like nine months
- 28:16for the hash rate to recover, in my opinion.
- 28:19And again, I and I and I've spoken about this.
- 28:21I had a panel at Unconfiscatable in in Vegas.
- 28:23I think it was 2022, and I've said this many, many times.
- 28:28I think that this was, after the fork wars, the second biggest
- 28:35consequential moment in Bitcoin's history in terms of
- 28:38testing Bitcoin's ability to survive while it's being
- 28:43attacked. While things are chaotic in the
- 28:46background. And I believe that this hash
- 28:51rate drop and the price that dropped with it, cut the 2020,
- 28:58the 2021, the 2021 bull market short, right?
- 29:04So the hash rate dropped around here and the price went with it
- 29:09and we only hit 69 K Now we're going into speculation right
- 29:14now, but let's say that the price of Bitcoin went from 10K
- 29:19and it hit 100K. That would have been an 8X,
- 29:22right? We don't have a China, we don't
- 29:25have a potential China ban happening right now.
- 29:29We don't. The hash rate is located in
- 29:33Canada and the United States. Or isn't just going to be some
- 29:37bureaucratic official Elizabeth Warren.
- 29:39I mean, she's going to try, but it's not as easy as, you know,
- 29:44someone just snapping their finger and then shutting down
- 29:47mining in the United States, as much as some bureaucrats would
- 29:50want to do that. So I think I have reason to
- 29:55believe that this cycle not only because the hash rate is going
- 29:59to continue to go up, it's continuing to go parabolic, but
- 30:04also because of the spot Bitcoin ETFs and because of the amount
- 30:08of capital that is going to flow in because there's something
- 30:12that also you guys, you have to remember about the spot Bitcoin
- 30:15ETFs, right. And the capital markets in the
- 30:18US and they can't just sell paper Bitcoin, they have to if
- 30:25they're selling Bitcoin, if people are buying those spot
- 30:27Bitcoin ETFs, they have to go out and buy that Bitcoin, right.
- 30:33So the price suppression that happens in futures is not the
- 30:38same in. It's not the same with the spot
- 30:43Bitcoin ETF. Now that's not to say it's
- 30:46captured, that's not to say it's not captured Bitcoin.
- 30:49That's not to say that you know 5-10 years from now as the you
- 30:56know the Fiat currency continues to degrade and clown world
- 30:59continues to accelerate. the US government isn't going to six
- 31:03one O2 all that Bitcoin in the in the spot ETF.
- 31:07That's not to say that's going to happen, right.
- 31:10But it's a little bit different. And think about all the inflows
- 31:15that are going to happen. Like you're talking about the
- 31:17largest asset manager in the world.
- 31:19You guys have been seeing the commercials.
- 31:21In fact I have another one for you guys.
- 31:23So it's not only the Most Interesting man, you know, the
- 31:26most interesting Man in the world, a couple of others, all
- 31:30of Wall Street is just dropping these commercials for people to
- 31:34buy Bitcoin. I mean, I know it's not direct
- 31:37Bitcoin. I get it.
- 31:38I understand. I understand where you guys are
- 31:40coming from. But think about that marketing
- 31:44machine. Think about the millions of
- 31:46dollars that are being spent to market Bitcoin.
- 31:50And now all of a sudden, 'cause you have to realize the
- 31:52consequence of this, if you're an asset manager, you can now
- 32:02hide behind BlackRock, right? So you don't have to put your,
- 32:06your, you know, your job on the line.
- 32:09If Larry Fink says it's OK and there is a regulated financial
- 32:15instrument of which you can offer your clients, and you have
- 32:19Michael Saylor getting these crazy returns with the Bitcoin
- 32:22strategy, it's not so risky to offer your clients this anymore
- 32:28in the eyes of financial advisors, right?
- 32:33So I really do believe that this is a major, major milestone for
- 32:39Bitcoin and there's going to be massive amounts of inflows that
- 32:44could potentially be beneficial for the price.
- 32:46Now we are a Bitcoin maxi show after all.
- 32:50And what I got to say about that is that yes, number go up might,
- 32:53you know, might go up, number go up might do its thing.
- 32:57But there's two things that are happening here.
- 32:59There's number go up and there's the Bitcoin revolution.
- 33:02The Bitcoin revolution is peep individuals taking self custody.
- 33:07That is what will actually change things.
- 33:09Never forget that, right. So as much as you say, oh,
- 33:13BlackRock and institutions and nation state adoption, I don't
- 33:16care about that. If we want things to change,
- 33:21what we want is individuals taking self custody of their
- 33:25wealth. There's two separate things
- 33:28happening right now. It's our job as bitcoiners, as
- 33:32individuals to convince people around you to take self custody.
- 33:38The two first sponsors on our show are literally tools and
- 33:45products that you can use to take self custody.
- 33:48In fact, it's so freaking easy. We made it easy for you guys,
- 33:53right? So you have no excuse and your
- 33:55parents have no excuse. Because yes, it might be super
- 33:58easy to now buy Bitcoin on your Charles Schwab account and your
- 34:02Robin Hood account. Oh my God, I bought Bitcoin
- 34:04BlackRock. This is so easy.
- 34:06But they they will rug you and they can rug you.
- 34:10And they have rugged people in the past, especially when
- 34:13governments get into a get into a a a pickle, they get into a
- 34:18corner. What do they do?
- 34:20They seize the public's wealth, though.
- 34:22How? How do you protect yourself
- 34:23against that? Take self custody.
- 34:25And you want to know why Elizabeth Warren is so against
- 34:27self custody, that's why. Because she can't easily
- 34:31confiscate your wealth anyways. So here's another one of the ads
- 34:35that were dropped by these I dropped by one of these Wall
- 34:41Street institutions. So let's check this one out.
- 34:43You know it's. Amazing to me the tremendous
- 34:45impact that the home computers have had on on everyone.
- 34:49And yet it seems the people I've talked to say that it takes you
- 34:52longer to do something by putting it into a computer and
- 34:55calling it up again than if you just kept simple record yourself
- 34:58in the house. I mean, like, you know, it's not
- 35:15an exchange, it's not crypto.com, it's not Coinbase,
- 35:19it's not FTX that that commercial was very clear.
- 35:28Bitcoins. Time has come Now.
- 35:30Where it's a bit of a misrepresentation is Bitcoin's
- 35:35time has come by my shit coin, by my my ETF, right.
- 35:41But we're getting there. We're getting there, right?
- 35:42It's a foot in the door. And for all the Maxis that are
- 35:45like Nico, the the ETFs are guys, this was inevitable.
- 35:51This look Bitcoin is for enemies.
- 35:54It's inevitable that nation States and these large financial
- 35:59institutions were going to adopt it.
- 36:02That was the natural order of things.
- 36:04If you want hyper bitcoinization, this is.
- 36:08This is what's going to happen now.
- 36:10The battle of our time, the next couple of years is governments
- 36:15are going to use these ETFs to try to capture Bitcoin.
- 36:20That's what they're going to try to do.
- 36:22And it's up to us, the community bitcoiners, to really be the
- 36:27last line of the fence and say, listen, as much as this ETF
- 36:31product is convenient, as much as it's accepted by Larry Fink,
- 36:35I would rather own the real thing.
- 36:37I would rather own real Bitcoin and have that Bitcoin in self
- 36:41custody, right? So just something to keep in
- 36:44mind. Now let's go back to the title
- 36:47of today's video. Here's Samsung Mao once again,
- 36:51January 1st, so yesterday. It's a new year filled with new
- 36:55possibilities like $1 million Bitcoin.
- 36:59All the best for 2024. Now we went over in the
- 37:01beginning why? You know, in terms of the last
- 37:07cycles performances, you know, if we get a 10X, if we get a
- 37:1215X, if we get a 5X, you know, you're talking about $250,000
- 37:18Bitcoin, $200,000 Bitcoin. You're talking about half,
- 37:20$1,000,000 Bitcoin. These are very, very big effing
- 37:24numbers, right? And I just don't believe in that
- 37:27diminishing return theory. And I asked the audience, by the
- 37:30way, in the YouTube chat, I, I, I put out a poll about 30
- 37:34minutes ago, 149 of you voted that you do not believe the
- 37:41diminishing returns theory is correct.
- 37:44So I mean, and I also asked you guys, I asked you guys a couple
- 37:52days ago, and forgive my typo, by the way, in a community post
- 37:56on YouTube, I said what will be the next cycle peak in 2024,
- 38:01about 26% of you said 150 K and about 226% of you said over
- 38:09300,000, right? So 12% of you said 250 K, 13%
- 38:13said 200K and 23% of you said 100K.
- 38:18So the general consensus, I think it's right in the middle
- 38:21half people are feeling, you know, conservative with 150K
- 38:25Bitcoin and half the people are feeling bullish with 300K
- 38:28Bitcoin. So let's take a look at, you
- 38:32know, other predominant figures in the industry.
- 38:36Let's take a look at what they're anticipating.
- 38:39Let's take a look at what they're looking for in in the
- 38:43future of Bitcoin, right. So we have Kathy Wood, who so
- 38:50several experts in the field, both individuals and
- 38:52institutions are bullish on the price of Bitcoin moving into the
- 38:54year 2024. These forecasts can be seen
- 38:57below. So we've talked about Kathy Wood
- 38:58before. She has three predictions.
- 39:01Actually. The conservative prediction
- 39:04things for 20/29/2020, thirty or 2030 is $250,000 Bitcoin, then
- 39:11$648,000 Bitcoin and then $1.5 million Bitcoin if we have these
- 39:17massive adoption and that's by 20-30, right?
- 39:21However, she said that Bitcoin could potentially reach 650,000
- 39:27by 2024. I mean, very, very bullish.
- 39:31Here's Mike Novogratz. I'm really curious to know if he
- 39:35still has that Luna tattoo. Definitely.
- 39:38He He I mean, holy, holy cow. Maybe he like like, maybe he
- 39:42like like. Dude, how could you cover that
- 39:44one up? It was huge and colorful.
- 39:47Speaking of tattoo, this is hilarious.
- 39:49So in 2021, he anticipated Bitcoin reaching 500,000 by
- 39:532024. Even planning a How do you say
- 39:57that Opti? I can't.
- 39:58Commemorative. There you go, tattoo for the
- 40:00milestone. So.
- 40:02So. He's covering it up, covering up
- 40:04the Luna. One he's covering up the the
- 40:06Luna one with a Bitcoin tattoo. Shout out Mike Novogratz.
- 40:10Novogratz maintains a long term optimistic view, believing
- 40:13Bitcoin will eventually hit half a million, though not within the
- 40:16next five years. So I mean one thing and the
- 40:18other, OK, so here's Tim Draper. Tim Draper says billionaire
- 40:23investor Tim Draper, known for early advocacy of
- 40:25cryptocurrency, hasn't has adjusted his prediction for
- 40:27bitcoin's value. Initially, Draper Vote
- 40:30forecasted the Bitcoin would reach 200, 350K by 2020 by June
- 40:332023. However, he recently
- 40:35acknowledged that this target might be delayed until 2025,
- 40:39attributing the postponement to an unexpected enforcement
- 40:42actions by the US government, particularly the SEC.
- 40:46So we have of course the legendary Max Kaiser, one of the
- 40:49people that originally orange pilled me, him and Andreas
- 40:52Antonopoulos. And the Kaiser report was a big
- 40:55inspiration for Simply Bitcoin, by the way.
- 40:56For anyone that doesn't know, he is of course, predicting 220 K
- 41:02Bitcoin. We have Fun Strat research.
- 41:05Fun Strat, A predominant research firm, has set an
- 41:07ambitious target for Bitcoin, predicting it could soar to
- 41:10$180,000 by it's 2024 halving standard charter investment
- 41:16bank. They're predicting 120K by the
- 41:20end of 2024. And here's Robert Kiyosaki.
- 41:23He is predicting 100,000 by 2024.
- 41:27And here's Adam Back. Adam back play place the bet
- 41:31with our boy Vikingo shout out the 305 Miami till I die and he
- 41:36was betting Vikingo that Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by the
- 41:42halving. So by the 31st of March 2024,
- 41:46Adam Back has placed a bet with Vikingo that it would reach 100
- 41:50a 100K by then. I mean that's basically like a
- 41:542X from here. So if if Bitcoin double S from
- 41:58the price that it is right now at 45,000, I mean there you go,
- 42:04there is you know a there's there's 100K Bitcoin.
- 42:08So we have Jesse Myers who's known as BTC Crisis on on
- 42:12Twitter and he is predicting that Bitcoin will surpass
- 42:17100,000 after the 2024 block subsidy.
- 42:22And we have Arthur Hayes. Arthur Hayes is the founder of
- 42:26Bitmex and he is predicting a $70,000 by by 2024.
- 42:32But check this out, another $1,000,000 prediction.
- 42:35He predicts a significant surge in bitcoins value with a long
- 42:40term projection of 750K to 1,000,000 by 2026.
- 42:46I when I read those numbers, I get very worried about Opti with
- 42:51a million. At this point I think Opti's
- 42:53gonna be in Vegas and I will never see him again and I am
- 42:57very concerned. So I I hope it doesn't move up
- 43:01that fast. I hope Opti gets older before we
- 43:05get $1,000,000 Bitcoin. Yeah, you're too funny.
- 43:08Oh, man. OK, so we have JP Morgan.
- 43:12JP is we all know how Jamie Dimon feels about this thing.
- 43:17They predict that Bitcoin could reach 45 K by 2024.
- 43:21In your face, Jamie Dimon, it's already 45,000 K It's already a
- 43:25$45,000. We've already broken this
- 43:29prediction. And we have Ben Berg, the
- 43:31investment bank. Ben Berg has updated this
- 43:33forecast for Bitcoin, setting a target of 56,000 for April 20,
- 43:372024. I mean, I agree.
- 43:39I think that this is very conservative.
- 43:41I think we'll definitely hit this.
- 43:42So I don't, I don't know guys, we don't speculate on this show
- 43:45that none of these are our personal opinions, but let us
- 43:48know what you guys think. Drop in the comment, drop in the
- 43:51comments. What you guys think we are
- 43:54starting off the year strong. Do you think Bitcoin?
- 43:57What, what price of Bitcoin do you think it's going to hit in
- 43:592024? Do you think that $1,000,000
- 44:02Bitcoin in this timeline is you know, is is is feasible?
- 44:08Is it something that you know is is so you know, completely out
- 44:13of the question? Let us know what you guys think.
- 44:16I really want to know, but I just want to leave it at this.
- 44:19I think American huddle says it best.
- 44:21But before I go to American Huddle, I do want to highlight
- 44:26Sailor even sailors feeling bullish in 2024, how high do you
- 44:30expect bitcoins price to soar? So even sailors thinking these
- 44:33questions, obviously he is shout out micro strategy.
- 44:36By the way it's at 300% last year.
- 44:40So sailors crushing it. He looks like an absolute hero.
- 44:44What other public company is going to follow in his
- 44:46footsteps? We shall know very soon. 75,000
- 44:49votes and the majority voted that Bitcoin is going to hit
- 44:54100K in twenty 2434% and the second highest vote which was 20
- 45:00not 27.9%. People believe that Bitcoin was
- 45:04going to hit 200 K in 2024 and I'm going to leave it at this
- 45:09and I think American Huddle said it best.
- 45:12Let me see if this music is it might be copyrighted, so I might
- 45:17not play the music, but you you'll get the GIF anyways.
- 45:21And here's Squirtle from Pokémon and he's playing the saxophone.
- 45:25I'll play a little second of the music.
- 45:28Perfect. You guys know what song it is
- 45:31Anyways, so he says quote Dude, what are you thinking when you
- 45:34say Bitcoin can go to a million this cycle?
- 45:37Don't you know you were just wrong?
- 45:39You said 500 K last cycle. Why should anyone take you
- 45:43seriously? What makes you think it's going
- 45:46to a million? What indicators are you seeing?
- 45:49And then American huddle says it best my brain, and it's
- 45:52literally the sky squirrel on the saxophone not giving a
- 46:00flying F So I really want to know, what do you guys think?
- 46:04Do you guys believe? Where is this going?
- 46:07Again, we don't speculate on simply Bitcoin.
- 46:09We can't tell you what we think, but we can show you what
- 46:13everyone else thinks we. Don't speculate, but we just
- 46:16speculated for the last 15 minutes.
- 46:17Oh, we didn't speculate. We were just showing you what
- 46:19everyone else is thinking. It's the first.
- 46:22It's the first episode of the year.
- 46:24We got to start it off strong. We got to give the people what
- 46:28they want, bro, OK? We're starting very strong and
- 46:33just doubling down. I I really like this tweet by
- 46:35huddle just to kind of show the D Gen. math as he said quick D
- 46:39Gen. math. Bitcoin is only 22 X from a
- 46:42million. It did a 20X in 2017.
- 46:44It did a 16X in 2011. It did an 88X in 2013.
- 46:48It's been six years since we had 1000 plus percentage upward
- 46:52moves we're due with the King GIF here it it just goes to show
- 46:57guys that like. Bitcoin Price moving?
- 47:01I know, like we're getting too big numbers now, so it seems a
- 47:04lot scarier. But as Nico kind of covered
- 47:07throughout this whole thing, like, I think we're
- 47:10underestimating how much liquidity is going to get into
- 47:14Bitcoin. You know, we started with the
- 47:16China Bitcoin ban as one of the factors that really blew ball
- 47:20dust in the last bull run and then let like we didn't even
- 47:25touch on the fact that FTX had a what like?
- 47:28Millions of Bitcoin, paper Bitcoin out there and those were
- 47:32factors that skewed the Bitcoin price up and down.
- 47:35And now all of that's been cleared out of the way.
- 47:38And here we are moving into 2024 into the second leg of this bull
- 47:43run and going into the more defining point of the of the
- 47:46cycle where the price usually starts to run.
- 47:49So if the last bull run basically got neutered and now
- 47:53those factors are out of the way, I think it's I like this is
- 47:56my running thesis. Like, I really do believe that
- 47:58this 2024 and 2025, the price is going to go absolutely crazy.
- 48:01And of course, you know, who am I?
- 48:03I just, I I this is what I think my original sin is.
- 48:06I'm stupidly bullish, but I just think there's going to be so
- 48:09much liquidity going into Bitcoin.
- 48:11We're seeing that the biggest asset manager in the world are
- 48:14doing their best to get not only Bitcoin price exposure, but
- 48:17they're going to try to neuter Bitcoin.
- 48:18Obviously, try to funnel everything into an ETF as Nico's
- 48:21been calling it, you know, captured Bitcoin.
- 48:24But. I don't know if you guys were
- 48:26here 2017 and that was basically all retail price movement and it
- 48:31got absolutely frothy then. And now.
- 48:34I think we're going to get way more media exposure this next
- 48:37two years. We're seeing every asset manager
- 48:40in the world going to have to educate their customers on
- 48:42Bitcoin. And then we're seeing all the
- 48:44corporate press talking about Bitcoin.
- 48:46We're seeing Bitcoin Maxis be a part of the corporate press.
- 48:49And then just think about all these compounding when everyone
- 48:53and your mother and your best friend is all, they're going to
- 48:55see Bitcoin price start to move and they're going to ask you,
- 48:58wait, should I be buying some Bitcoin?
- 49:00So I've been saying it for a couple of months.
- 49:02I think we're seeing a perfect storm set up for Bitcoin.
- 49:05We're having the having in a couple of months, like
- 49:08everything is working in our favor.
- 49:10So you know. Shouts out the huddle with the D
- 49:12Gen. math. We're we're not going to
- 49:14speculate, but the price is going up forever, Laura.
- 49:16So I think it's just going to show very clearly that the
- 49:20Bitcoin price is going to go nuclear this year.
- 49:23And I I really do. You think we are underestimating
- 49:27how little capital it's going to take to move the markets?
- 49:29Everyone knows that the Bitcoin price is basically moved on the
- 49:32margin by people trading their Bitcoin and most bitcoins in
- 49:36cold storage. Most of the people that own
- 49:37Bitcoin are huddling it and and just knowing that they own
- 49:41something that is extremely valuable.
- 49:43You know, Infinity divided by 21 million Bitcoin is the most
- 49:46scarce thing in the world. And if you're smart, or rather
- 49:50if you're not a traitor like most of us, you just hold on to
- 49:53it and know that this is my savings in the future, it will
- 49:56be worth more than it is today. It's because what 8 million
- 50:00people are going to have to scramble for 21 million Bitcoin,
- 50:02like it has to go up. This is the simple basic
- 50:06economics and then not alone to even talk about the mining
- 50:09economics of it, that the Bitcoin price has to go up for
- 50:12it to be feasible for the Bitcoin mining companies to be
- 50:14profitable. So like we're seeing a perfect
- 50:16storm going on right now and I really do believe that the force
- 50:20multiplier of of liquidity and capital that's going to go into
- 50:23Bitcoin, I think we're underestimating.
- 50:25Now is 1,000,000 kind of like like Nico said jokingly.
- 50:29You know, I I don't want to. See $1 million Bitcoin, like in
- 50:34a year or two. Not for my own personal health,
- 50:36but just because of that, the meme of the race to avoid the
- 50:39war. We kind of want the Bitcoin
- 50:40price to be a slow evolution upwards versus just like waking
- 50:45up overnight and now you know. At a million Bitcoin, which
- 50:48would mean that something has really broken in the Fiat world.
- 50:51So we definitely want to see a slow, gradual climb of Bitcoin.
- 50:54I think that's what we're going to be seeing all year.
- 50:56Of course, this is the beginning of the year, second day of 2024,
- 51:00so we are kind of speculating a little bit, even though we do
- 51:03our best to not speculate. All we know though is take
- 51:06Bitcoin into custody. It is going up forever.
- 51:09It has to let the black rocks of the world, let the asset
- 51:13managers of the world try to neuter Bitcoin with the spot
- 51:15Bitcoin ETF. Let it let Elizabeth Warren come
- 51:17out here and try to neuter Bitcoin with governmental
- 51:21regulations. It doesn't matter because we run
- 51:24the nodes, we take Bitcoin into custody and more and more people
- 51:29are going to expand the network effects of Bitcoin and it's just
- 51:33going to be a beautiful sight to be to behold.
- 51:35You guys are on the front lines. You guys have asymmetric
- 51:38knowledge right now and the world hasn't woken up to the
- 51:42fact that they need Bitcoin and it's just so beautiful to be a
- 51:44Bitcoin at this point. It's just man huddle.
- 51:48Make sure you have the strong hands because you will have to
- 51:52make it through the huddle buyout zone.
- 51:53These people want your Bitcoin because they understand there's
- 51:56a problem and the only solution, as far as I can see, is Bitcoin.
- 52:00So here we are guys. It's gonna be a very, very
- 52:03beautiful 2024. In my opinion.
- 52:05One. 100% Before we move on to the culture, ladies and
- 52:09gentlemen, I'm gonna end the poll and I asked you guys, is
- 52:13the diminishing returns theory correct?
- 52:1767% of you guys said no and 32% of you guys said yes.
- 52:22There's 190 people that voted. I also, I do want to give a
- 52:28shout out to our sponsor, Kabir Rex.
- 52:32They're the most trusted place to buy, sell and host mining
- 52:35equipment. You got to check out their
- 52:36racks. You could do that by scanning
- 52:38the QR code. It will take you directly to
- 52:40their Telegram marketplace. You could check out their
- 52:43inventory and connect with a member of their sales team.
- 52:45They make purchasing their products easy and transparent.
- 52:48You could also sell your mining equipment with them.
- 52:50You could access their vast network of domestic and
- 52:53international customers when you sell your mining equipment with
- 52:58kaboom racks. So check out their racks.
- 53:00Check out kaboom racks today. All right, everybody, let's get
- 53:04to the culture. We have a lot to talk about.
- 53:06Let's check it out. The Daily Culture.
- 53:12Brought to you by Swan bitcoin.com Swan is the best way
- 53:16to build your Bitcoin stack with automated Bitcoin savings plans
- 53:19and instant purchases serving clients of any size from $10 to
- 53:24$10 million. We love Swan because they
- 53:26incentivize self custody and dollar cost averaging.
- 53:30What are you waiting for? Visit swanbitcoin.com today.
- 53:35All right. Boys and girls.
- 53:36Girls and boys. This is a culture.
- 53:37Where I give you guys some action or advice or I have
- 53:40guests on and we have great conversations.
- 53:42But I figured it's the beginning of 2024 and we're seeing a whole
- 53:47bunch of new people join the channel.
- 53:49And so I kind of want to just give you a blueprint for 2024.
- 53:52And and again as I said in the beginning I was having
- 53:54conversations with my friend here.
- 53:55Let me let me go let me do this. I I was having conversation with
- 53:58my friends and family over to the holiday breaks and you.
- 54:02We've all seen the metrics we covered the metrics and the
- 54:04numbers the the statistics and the data all of last year, just
- 54:08how little people are savings and it just it really blew my
- 54:12mind. I was asking my friends and I
- 54:14keep asking them the same question.
- 54:15You know, I, I I poke and prod and I'm on just like do you have
- 54:18any savings You know are you thinking about your future
- 54:21what's going on are you living paycheck to paycheck?
- 54:23You know, I I try not to pry too much into people's finances
- 54:26because we all know that it's kind of rude, or at least has
- 54:28been portrayed as rude. And so my job here is usually
- 54:32give you some actual advice. And I figured, hey, it's the
- 54:35first. Basically, the first episode is
- 54:38simply Bitcoin. I will be reiterating on this
- 54:40all year, but I want to give you a blueprint for what you should
- 54:43be doing going into 2024 and the rest of the year.
- 54:47If you're new here, you just happen to find the channel
- 54:49because of the title, you know, because we did some good
- 54:51clickbait. Well, I want to give you guys
- 54:54what you should be doing all year.
- 54:56This is the game plan. This is the blueprint for every
- 54:58single one of us. This is what you do as a
- 55:00bitcoiner. You change your behavior because
- 55:02you realize, hey, I'm holding on to the most valuable asset in
- 55:07the world and I have to have strong hands.
- 55:09I got to be ready for this. So let's go into this.
- 55:12I just have a simple blueprint. I I even have, you know, some
- 55:14wallets to talk about. So first and foremost guys, I
- 55:18hope even if you haven't read it, you know I took this first
- 55:20point from The Richest Man in Babylon.
- 55:22It's a great book and a classic 100 year old financial book.
- 55:27It's it's a novel, but I I tweaked it.
- 55:30The richest man in the Citadel I I it blows my mind how many of
- 55:34my friends are living paycheck to paycheck and it it actually
- 55:37absolutely kills me. So everyone asks me should I be
- 55:40buying Bitcoin today? Should you think the Bitcoin
- 55:42price is going to retrace? I don't know man.
- 55:44I capitulate my fear as quickly as I get it.
- 55:47And as you see here again, this is from a richest man in
- 55:50Babylon, but I I tweaked it. The richest man in the Citadel.
- 55:52Just take 10% of your paycheck, put it aside.
- 55:55Never touch it. That is for future you pay
- 55:58yourself first. This is the way guys you just
- 56:00you want to save something. And look, the asset managers in
- 56:03the world, they're doing what? One percent, 5%.
- 56:05Well, minimum 10% of your paycheck you should be saving in
- 56:09Bitcoin. Never touch that.
- 56:10That is for future you. If you're like me, a DGN
- 56:13bitcoiner, than you do half of your paycheck.
- 56:15I was living with my parents, I did half of all money coming in
- 56:17into Bitcoin. That's the only reason I'm able
- 56:20to do this with you guys today is because I save money.
- 56:22You need to have capital to be able to be an entrepreneur to be
- 56:26able to live the life you want to.
- 56:27Which means you have to save some money.
- 56:30Next one, guys. Secure the bag.
- 56:32We've been talking about this all day.
- 56:34You know wallets. I'm gonna name all the wallets.
- 56:36You need to make sure your Bitcoin is in custody in cold
- 56:39storage. You have your backup not on a
- 56:42piece of paper in your sock drawer on titanium on something
- 56:44that will last. And here let you know.
- 56:46Wallets. I I do this every I, I, I do
- 56:49this constantly. I'll probably have to do this
- 56:51multiple times 1/4 but wallet. I update this constantly.
- 56:55You know, first and foremost, you know maybe people think this
- 56:59is this is bad practice but I think it takes steps to get to a
- 57:03cold storage set up that you know is secure.
- 57:05First and foremost, most people just download a mobile wallet on
- 57:07their phone. It's better than keeping your
- 57:10Bitcoin on an exchange. So mobile wallets that I like
- 57:13Blue Wallet, Green Wallet, Breeze in Phoenix and wallet is
- 57:15Satoshi are lightning wallets that are I think are awesome.
- 57:19And then nunchuck Nunchuck's been super awesome.
- 57:21You can do a multi six set up with your mobile wallet.
- 57:24Absolutely great wallets. These are the wallets I
- 57:25recommend. There's some new ones that I'm
- 57:27going to try to experiment with for you guys so that I'm update
- 57:30and you know I'm always looking for a cooler, sleeker wallet,
- 57:33desktop wallets of course. I think it's a a rite of
- 57:36passage. Download Bitcoin Core, do the
- 57:38initial block, download, you know, do the process as I think
- 57:43it was intended to do. But there's also Sparrow and
- 57:46Spectre, which are basically some more bells and whistles on
- 57:49top of Bitcoin Core. I absolutely love Sparrow.
- 57:51And then you can be an Electrum junkie like Nico.
- 57:53Once something works, you don't have to switch it, guys.
- 57:55Just make sure that you have your Bitcoin secured for long
- 57:59term. This is the goal.
- 58:00And then of course there's hardware wallets like Passport
- 58:02or sponsor or cold card. There's Jade, there's seed
- 58:05signer. If you want to buy it off the
- 58:06shelf, buy parts off the shelf. Build yourself a seed signer.
- 58:09Absolutely Epic. These are things that I
- 58:11recommend. These are things that I use on
- 58:13my setup and I just highly recommend if you don't know what
- 58:16wallet to start with, maybe start with a mobile wallet and
- 58:18then work your way towards doing either a desktop wallet or a
- 58:22hardware wallet or even considering a multi sig setup.
- 58:25And then the next thing. And then of course these are in
- 58:28no particular order. You need to have unshakable
- 58:31conviction guys. And by that I mean you need to
- 58:33educate yourself and you need to understand why you huddle.
- 58:36Once you know why you huddle, the huddle becomes easy.
- 58:39And I'm telling you, this year is going to get crazy.
- 58:42We're going to get bombarded by so much fun and so much anti
- 58:46Bitcoin propaganda that if you don't know why you're huddling
- 58:49your Bitcoin, you might not make it through the huddle buyout
- 58:52zone again. Why are you going to exchange
- 58:56the scarcest asset in the world for literally unlimited paper
- 59:02IO? Us.
- 59:03It makes absolutely no sense. Yes, we have to gauge the
- 59:07Bitcoin purchasing power in Fiat terms, but do not exchange your
- 59:12Bitcoin for paper IO us. This is the way.
- 59:15All right, next one. I say it all the time.
- 59:17You guys heard me say it all year.
- 59:18Fit mine plus Fit Body. This is the way guys like money
- 59:22means nothing without your health.
- 59:24And if you're simply sacrificing everything for more money and
- 59:28you are putting your health on the back burner, that is a
- 59:30failure. Make sure you are in warrior
- 59:34strength going into 2025. This year should be a pivotal
- 59:38year for you and you want to be in fighting condition guys.
- 59:43You cannot do anything if your mind is hazy and your body is
- 59:46weak. You want to be a warrior.
- 59:48This is a revolution. Like we tell you guys all the
- 59:50time, you need to be mentally fit and physically fit and then
- 59:54the last one, guys create value. You need to build your skills.
- 59:57You need to build businesses, solve problems, solve rich
- 1:00:00people's problems. This is the best way to make
- 1:00:02money and like I say all the time, you know the best way to
- 1:00:05stack Sats is probably to get paid in Bitcoin guys.
- 1:00:07So if you are able to. Exchange your skills, your
- 1:00:13services, your goods, your products for Bitcoin.
- 1:00:16I highly recommend this so that you can stack in a way outside
- 1:00:20of just, you know, exchanging your Fiat for Bitcoin.
- 1:00:24Join the Bitcoin parallel economy and join the Bitcoin
- 1:00:27standard. And guys also on this point do
- 1:00:31not feel shamed into having a Fiat job and stacking Bitcoin.
- 1:00:36This is the way as well. That means you're still a
- 1:00:38Bitcoin or do not think that you just have to go all in on
- 1:00:41Bitcoin. You only need to get paid in
- 1:00:43Bitcoin and that that's the only way you're going to be a
- 1:00:46bitcoiner. No, literally exchanging your
- 1:00:49Fiat for Bitcoin is the way. As I said in the beginning, you
- 1:00:52need some capital, so you're going to have to use your Fiat
- 1:00:57job so that you can save in Bitcoin.
- 1:00:59And then at a certain point you will feel Okay and go all in on
- 1:01:03Bitcoin. You will create a Bitcoin job,
- 1:01:06You will, you know, be completely on the Bitcoin
- 1:01:08standard. You will only interact with bit
- 1:01:10corners and kind of on that. Last part I should have put it
- 1:01:12here, is build your local community guys, someone said in
- 1:01:15the chat here, I actually have it right here.
- 1:01:17You know, the most dangerous people at times are your friends
- 1:01:20and family. Well, This is why you want to be
- 1:01:21surrounded with bit corners, you know, I know it's going to get
- 1:01:24frothy. It always gets frothy around
- 1:01:26this time and everyone goes to Bitcoin meet ups, but you want
- 1:01:29to ensure that the community around you knows what is going
- 1:01:33on. So again part of that
- 1:01:35unshakeable conviction is educating your friends and
- 1:01:37family so that they know why we do what we do and also so that
- 1:01:41they become bit corners and again guys number go up usually
- 1:01:45brings more people in than not. So this year I really do believe
- 1:01:49that as the price goes up as we've been speculating the whole
- 1:01:51show, it'll become easier to orange pull your friends and
- 1:01:55family. And as we see in clown world,
- 1:01:56you know the Fiat world is literally number go down
- 1:01:59technology, it degrades every aspect of society, your
- 1:02:03purchasing power goes down and when you're on the Bitcoin
- 1:02:06standard we always show you the life price in Bitcoin website.
- 1:02:11And if you've been a bitcoiner this last year, you know your
- 1:02:15life, your life got what, 150% cheaper than it did the year
- 1:02:19before. Literally everything got cheaper
- 1:02:21if you're on the Bitcoin standard.
- 1:02:22So again, I wanted to do this one on the very first episode of
- 1:02:272024 because it was, it's really eye opening if you have these
- 1:02:31conversations with your friends and family and no one is saving
- 1:02:34any money. And I'm not saying you're going
- 1:02:36to save your way to prosperity, but I'm saying you need to save
- 1:02:39some capital, pay yourself 1st and then as I said, in the very
- 1:02:43end, create value. Build your skills up as a
- 1:02:47person, as as someone that is providing value to society.
- 1:02:50Solve rich people's problems. Convert the profits into
- 1:02:54Bitcoin. This is how you can take over in
- 1:02:562024. And I've been saying this all
- 1:02:58the time. I don't know how many times I've
- 1:02:59said this on the show, but I'm fully convinced it's never been
- 1:03:02easier to dominate in 2024 when everyone is asleep and you have
- 1:03:06this asymmetric knowledge to stack Bitcoin and to improve
- 1:03:10your life and literally be the the goat of your bloodline.
- 1:03:15And they'll be like, I am so happy my great, great, great
- 1:03:18grandfather was stacking Bitcoin and they'll have your face over
- 1:03:21the fireplace and oil painting and they'll be like, that is the
- 1:03:25goat that changed the trajectory of my bloodline because he was
- 1:03:29saving in Bitcoin. This is what's going on guys.
- 1:03:32I'm convinced 100% that 2024 is going to be a defining year for
- 1:03:37Bitcoin. We're seeing the asset managers
- 1:03:39of the world start to want Bitcoin exposure.
- 1:03:42We see the politicians and the unproductive class trying to
- 1:03:45neuter Bitcoin. So you got to run a node, you
- 1:03:48need to take Bitcoin into custody, you need to stack sats
- 1:03:51as much as humanly possible, capitulate your Fiat as quickly
- 1:03:55as possible. But of course, as I say all the
- 1:03:57time, you know PSA, pay your bills first, make sure you're
- 1:04:01able to pay rent, eat food you need to survive and then again,
- 1:04:04fit my fit mind, fit body guys. This is the blueprint for
- 1:04:08success in 2024. Do not let the shit coin
- 1:04:11scammers and you know the the grifters convince you otherwise.
- 1:04:16What you need to do is stack as much as humanly possible.
- 1:04:19You need to sacrifice a little bit now to live the life you
- 1:04:22want to in the future. And it's literally this simple.
- 1:04:24It's easier said than done. But if you do it.
- 1:04:28Your life will improve and I can only tell you that because I've
- 1:04:31seen hundreds of my friends do it.
- 1:04:33Nico and I have done it. And this is the way guys.
- 1:04:36You need to have some capital saved up so that you can live
- 1:04:38the life you want to live. This is the blueprint for 2024.
- 1:04:42I will be reiterating on this all year long because more and
- 1:04:45more people are coming to the channel and I just I the reason
- 1:04:49I do what I do is because when I got into Bitcoin, I fell for all
- 1:04:53the shit coin scams. I've wrecked myself.
- 1:04:56I've lost more Bitcoin than I'd like to even tell you guys.
- 1:05:00But these lessons don't come easy.
- 1:05:03You can listen to us, understand that this is the blueprint or
- 1:05:07you know you can put your hand on the stove.
- 1:05:09And I'm telling you guys it's as simple as the blueprint that I
- 1:05:12that I gave you. You need to pay yourself first.
- 1:05:15Take some of your paychecks aside.
- 1:05:16Don't touch it. Live within your means.
- 1:05:19Build your skills, build your value, create a business and get
- 1:05:25on the Bitcoin standard and of course be a part of the parallel
- 1:05:28economy anyways. Anyways Nico, I I just I felt
- 1:05:33like this is a good message for 2024 to start the year and we'll
- 1:05:37we'll be giving you guys lessons throughout the year and and
- 1:05:39things we've learned. And of course we're going to
- 1:05:41bring guests on so that they can tell you their stories and their
- 1:05:44thoughts and all this good stuff.
- 1:05:46But first and foremost guys, this is the blueprint for 2024
- 1:05:49bitcoiners are taking over today.
- 1:05:52It's never been easier to dominate because everyone else
- 1:05:55is walking like headless chickens in a daze and we have
- 1:06:00the best money in the world. Make sure you secure it. 100
- 1:06:05percent, 100%, dude. First of all, that was
- 1:06:08inspiring. They don't call Saint Opti.
- 1:06:11You know, St. Opti for no reason.
- 1:06:13So 100%, bro. Guys, this is this is such a
- 1:06:19beautiful moment and time to be alive.
- 1:06:22This is going to be a great year.
- 1:06:25I'm looking forward to it. We had a great 2023, thanks to
- 1:06:31all you guys. Really.
- 1:06:32Support for the channel really means the world to us and this
- 1:06:38is the beautiful part about Bitcoin is a lion incentive.
- 1:06:41So we're all going to win this year.
- 1:06:44Obviously, you know, Sailor has more purchasing power, so he's
- 1:06:48going to benefit a little bit more because he's able to stack
- 1:06:51more Bitcoin. But anyone, everyone benefits
- 1:06:55equally in the sense that you know those gains though you know
- 1:06:59that Bitcoin going up, it's going to benefit everyone
- 1:07:01equally. There are no special privileges
- 1:07:03in Bitcoin. So the like I said, the best is
- 1:07:07yet to come. This is just the very, very
- 1:07:10beginning of the story. And guys, when 50 years from now
- 1:07:16when you're going to be talking to your grandchildren and your
- 1:07:19family and whatever, you're going to talk, you're going to
- 1:07:21be talking about the good old days.
- 1:07:23These are the good old days. We are living the good old days.
- 1:07:27These are the moments that you will never forget when we were
- 1:07:30fighting the monetary demons in the on the battle in the
- 1:07:34battleground of the Internet, in the digital trenches, out
- 1:07:38memeing them. You will never forget these
- 1:07:41moments in your life, and the question that you have to ask
- 1:07:44for yourself is what side were you on?
- 1:07:47What were you doing during the separation of money and state?
- 1:07:50What were you doing during this disintermediation of
- 1:07:53information? What side were you on?
- 1:07:56Were you on the side of the collectivist or were you on the
- 1:07:59side of, in the end, the individualist?
- 1:08:01Were you on the side of freedom or were you on the side of
- 1:08:04slavery? Were you on the side of central
- 1:08:06bank digital currencies? Or were you on the side of
- 1:08:09Bitcoin? And you know when?
- 1:08:12When the dust settles, you will never forget that.
- 1:08:16You will never forget what side you were on.
- 1:08:19So buckle up, take self custody, properly secure your seed
- 1:08:25phrase, do it on titanium, and it's going to be a hell of a
- 1:08:29year. Anyways, guys, I hope you
- 1:08:30enjoyed the first episode of Simply Bitcoin Live.
- 1:08:34We're back. We'll be back.
- 1:08:38We'll be back with the meme review in full force on Fridays.
- 1:08:43Opti is going to be dropping in hot.
- 1:08:44Maybe we do it Wednesdays as well.
- 1:08:46I don't know. Yeah, let's, let's, let's do a
- 1:08:49meme review tomorrow, Opti. Why not Let's do a meme review
- 1:08:51tomorrow. Let's do a meme review tomorrow.
- 1:08:54We got to give the people what they want.
- 1:08:56But we love you guys. We're really happy to be back.
- 1:08:59Thank you guys so much for letting us take a break.
- 1:09:02Really, really helped with our mental health.
- 1:09:06It it's it's really a grind making content.
- 1:09:09I'm not going to lie, it really, really is.
- 1:09:12And if you do that progressively for three years straight, it
- 1:09:14really starts to you go. Crazy.
- 1:09:17Yeah, it really starts to take a toll.
- 1:09:19And what what a lot of people don't know also is that my day
- 1:09:22job is at swan. So I make I I I managed the the
- 1:09:25swan channel and I managed the simply Bitcoin channel.
- 1:09:28So it's it's it's very, very taxing to say the least.
- 1:09:33But I hope you guys enjoy the content and we really put our
- 1:09:38heart and soul into it. Also, shout out to the rest of
- 1:09:41the Simply Bitcoin team, We would not be here without them.
- 1:09:44Sophie, Ani, Jax, Morpheus. And of course you know, our head
- 1:09:49of Growth and you know the mastermind behind the Simply
- 1:09:54Originals, our Boy Ruston who's going to be dropping some fire
- 1:09:57content very, very soon. Rustin's going to be taking it
- 1:10:00up, taking it up a notch this year.
- 1:10:03Also our master editor, John of course.
- 1:10:07So the the Simply Bitcoin team and crew is very thankful for
- 1:10:11you guys. Like I said, we would not be
- 1:10:13here without you, our boy Zach, our awesome writer.
- 1:10:17And am I missing anybody Opti have so many people, just Boy
- 1:10:22and Isaac who is literally running the business.
- 1:10:26And everyone that's gonna fill in on the Wednesdays, we got a
- 1:10:30roster of people, shouts out the Mike Hobart.
- 1:10:33We'll have a few more people that fill in with us.
- 1:10:35But you are another deal, guys. We love you.
- 1:10:37We appreciate you guys spread all the Bitcoin signal.
- 1:10:40It's all about getting people on the Bitcoin standard.
- 1:10:42This is the way. This is how we win.
- 1:10:45It's people holding the best money in the world.
- 1:10:48Freedom, money. Wait, hold on.
- 1:10:50You're against Bitcoin. You're against freedom.
- 1:10:53Boom. Exactly.
- 1:10:55Yeah. Listen, let's go 2024 coming in
- 1:11:01strong. All right guys, we will.
- 1:11:03If you guys enjoyed the show, you know to do smash that like
- 1:11:04button, consider subscribing if you feel like we provided you
- 1:11:07value. But the number one thing you
- 1:11:08could do to help push the peaceful Bitcoin revolution that
- 1:11:10share Bitcoin content, don't share shit coin content, altcoin
- 1:11:14content. It's counterproductive in our
- 1:11:16opinion. Even though we respect all
- 1:11:18content creators share Bitcoin, content doesn't.
- 1:11:21Matter. You know, don't be exclusive of
- 1:11:23what Bitcoin content you're going to share.
- 1:11:25Share all Bitcoin content. It's OK to disagree, Bitcoiners.
- 1:11:29It's OK to disagree. We all have a different
- 1:11:31approach. So.
- 1:11:34But we love you guys and we'll be back tomorrow for another
- 1:11:39episode of Simply Bitcoin Live. Peace out everybody.
- 1:11:44Enjoy the rest of your day.