Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | December 12, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

NBA Show | December 12, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
Fall systems going clear the lift. What is going on? Everybody? We're
0:38
back my man, Rio and I talking some hoops. Five games today,
0:42
Hey, five games ain't bad on the Tuesday Big Boy Slate yesterday, Big
0:46
Boy Slate tomorrow. Decided to talk some hoops. Rio, We're gonna do
0:50
a lot of if then scenarios. It's only five games, but injury news
0:54
like a ten games slate. The importance very crazy. But we will get
0:58
the Dallas Lakers game. A lot of the news is the first game of
1:00
night seven thirty Eastern, so we will get that news. We'll be in
1:03
the discord everything on the site. We'll be updated. Bring you into May.
1:07
How you doing on this Tuesday afternoon. Yeah, I'm doing all right.
1:12
Had a pretty I mean, we had a really big weekend and ship
1:15
it over the weekend for football, like over six hundred thousand dollars and wins,
1:19
which is just insane. I was able to contribute a little bit to
1:23
that. Missed out on the main slate for NFL, but played some afternoon.
1:27
I had a little ship over there. So it's it's been a been
1:30
a decent weekend for me as far as that goes. But yeah, I'm
1:34
excited to talk about the slate. Decent amount of injury news as well,
1:38
pretty big injury news. We'll get to it as it comes well, because
1:42
you get all that news before the game, before the game locks, which
1:46
will be nice. But yeah, I'm excited to talk about five Game Slate
1:49
as opposed to a huge thirteen thirteen gamer yesterday. Yeah. Absolutely, I
1:55
mean I wanted to shout out DFS Juice, so great night to you on
2:00
a lot of big wins yesterday as well, DFS Juice. Our guy is
2:04
giving away free memberships always around. He had a big win yesterday and then
2:07
another one in the NFL discord. Let me try and find it quick.
2:12
He was the part like third or fourth place for thirty two thousand. Ck
2:16
Fly shout out to you as well, ck Fly thirty one thousand and fourth
2:22
place. Awesome team there. Acress to the winners. Yeah, it's been
2:24
amazing over here. No NFL today, NHL big prize pools over there.
2:29
We do have you covered NHL streets also NBA of course five Games Slate,
2:34
and we do have that promo code still going try twenty. We do have
2:37
a weekly, six month and annual package. Annual the best deal. But
2:40
for monthly sixty nine dollars a month. If you just code, try twenty
2:45
twenty dollars off gets you down to forty nine dollars a month, gets you
2:47
in the discord too weekly no discord access. That is definitely a huge part
2:52
of our content. Then is our part of our content over here? Chcch
2:57
I knew it. You were talking salty crew hat No had equals no winning.
3:00
I don't like that mojo. My man win me some money title.
3:04
I was gonna try Dante, but CHR got that bad mojo on my side.
3:07
There's my man Juice, good stuff. Who else we got in here?
3:10
Marque? What's going on? Good stuff? And Saturday Pair by Michael
3:15
W JD. Knox, Brian England, Sean Sullivan, William Wins, A
3:19
lot, a lot of familiar faces having in here, Lochlann Hope, everybody
3:23
out here having a good day. We appreciate that, like Bun appreciate that
3:27
subscribe button helps us out a ton rio. Before we get game by game,
3:30
you want to tell the people I mentioned the injury news we're waiting on,
3:35
talk about what Q tags, and then we'll go game by game and
3:37
talk more about if that scenarios. Yes, I mean the biggest one is
3:40
definitely the we got DFS juice gonna hit that on the discord, yep.
3:49
Yes, the big news is the Luca injury. News got down grade to
3:53
questionable beginning of the day, so they're already gonna be pretty thin. Kyrie
3:58
is going to be out, Josh Green already out, getting Grant Williams back,
4:01
but you have Tim Hardaway junior, Derek Jones junior, and all of
4:04
Luca questionable. So I mean this could be a huge value spot. You
4:08
could probably end up playing four to five guys on the Mavericks realistically, if
4:12
they're going to be that thin. I mean that's a big one. Lebron
4:15
Anthony Davis both questionable. I think this is I mean Ad has usually been
4:18
probable, but now he's downgraded to questionable, So I mean there's a good
4:25
chance one of them sits. Maybe they both play, but maybe maybe one
4:30
sits tonight, one sits tomorrow. They're on it back to back, so
4:33
that would definitely change up a slate a ton too. Jared Vanderbilt questionable.
4:38
This is a new injury, so this is not the same injury that he
4:41
was missing the beginning of the season with this is a back injury, so
4:46
another new injury for him. Those are the big ones. But I mean,
4:50
you have Jamal Murray questionable, you got Alex Caruso questionable, Karris Lavert
4:59
questionable. I mean he we come back tonight. But I mean the big
5:00
one is the Yeah, the Mavericks and the Lakers game. Yep, we'll
5:05
go gain my game again. I'll remind people of the Q tags we're waiting
5:09
on. But five thirty Eastern, thirty minutes later than usual, Lakers and
5:15
the Lakers and Mavericks is the game we're waiting on injury news. I'm not
5:16
going to backload after that, so whatever news we get, I'm gonna run
5:19
my lineups like that, of course, And we have two games later eight
5:24
pm and eight thirty Eastern to monitor late swaths and stuff like that. But
5:29
we'll get into it. And again shout out to you DFS Juice, I
5:31
DM you in discord. He wants to give away two one month memberships.
5:36
So I'm trying to think of something real. If you can think of something,
5:40
how to choose someone someone guessing something in chat, something like that.
5:44
But Field, so listening, check your DMS DFS juice. Maybe you can
5:47
help me out. Let's get to the first, the first game of the
5:50
night Rio again, five thirty or seven five thirty my time, seven thirty
5:55
pm Eastern Start. Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics two twenty four and a half total.
6:00
Austin is favored by twelve injuries in this one, Evan Mobley or Kerris.
6:04
Lavert's questionable. So I'll mention Evan Mobley in chat earlier, but Lavert's
6:09
questionable. And then you go to the other side for Boston, they are
6:12
healthy, and then you look at ownership in this game. Don't see much
6:15
even with carosel Out, I still don't think much gets to the Cavs side
6:19
as far as Boston. Yeah, I mean maybe a little Derek White.
6:25
I don't think much ownership at all in this first game though, five games
6:29
lay making a four games later. Do you see any pieces in this one?
6:31
Yeah, there's a couple of pieces I'm semi interested in. Not a
6:34
ton of interest in this game as a whole, But I mean both these
6:38
teams are pretty solid defensively. Celtics top four in the league in defensive raiding,
6:42
Cleveland top eight, Both these teams are really solid into your defenses.
6:46
They give up slightly more points to three point shooters, so guys like Max
6:50
Shruce on the Cavaliers side could be in play. I mean, he's been
6:57
been pretty solid this year. Normally a guy that's just been a just a
7:00
three point thread, but he's added some more peripherals to his game, more
7:03
rebounding, more assists upside, so he's a fine play at sixty four hundred.
7:08
And on the Celtics side, Derek White probably my favorite play from the
7:15
starters. He's been just really, really solid this year. Seems like to
7:19
me the best point per dollar play on the Celtic side, considering he's the
7:23
cheapest starter, and he's been one of the most consistent pieces of the Celtics
7:29
side in terms of draftings scoring. Scored no less than thirty one DK points
7:32
in six games in his last six games, and he's gone over forty one
7:36
half of those games, so he seems like a pretty solid play at sixty
7:40
four hundred as well. Just have a tough time getting up to the Tatum
7:46
Brown, Porzingis, Drew Holliday. I just don't see a ton of upside
7:49
from any of those guys, particularly when they're all healthy. Fine price tag
7:55
for Jason Tatum though under ten k nine point nine, it's basically ten k,
7:59
but he's you know, he's been He's been fine this year. Just
8:03
don't I don't love the matchup, don't love this game environment. I'll probably
8:07
just be Max One, Tatum, Jalen Brown if you did wanted to get
8:09
into those guys, but I'll probably end up fading most of the Celtics side
8:15
outside of Derek White, And I mean, the the LeVert news doesn't really
8:18
do much for me. Maybe if he's in, you could play him.
8:22
He's only fifty four hundred, but I would assume he'd be on a on
8:24
a pretty strict minute limit considering he's been out for quite some time, So
8:30
I don't think that he's a smash play by any means. And all of
8:33
the secondary guys are pretty priced up if LeVert were to be out, so
8:37
like, none of them really scream value. George Niang four nine ochoruls for
8:41
a Dean Wade four to four and he barely scores any any points. So
8:48
yeah, it's mainly just Derek White and Max Strews in this game for me.
8:52
Yeah, So Mobley is out. Jared Allen center is it loaded again?
8:54
As most lates like, I still don't like Jared Allen for the six
8:58
seven Probly I don't like this game. I would definitely max one Tatum Brown
9:03
Like you said, I think d Mitch is interesting as a contrarian spend as
9:07
well, but that's probably how I go about this game. Five games slate.
9:11
Make it a four games slate, pretty low total, big spread.
9:15
This next game is the big game on the slate though, DFS juices if
9:18
he got back to me. He didn't get back to me yet, but
9:20
after this game we will have how to win again two months. DFS Juice
9:26
is given out one month to do it for members. Shout out to you
9:28
man, really appreciate it, and again congrats to you. Next game Lakers
9:31
Dallas. Big injury news in this one. Lakers are four and a half
9:35
point favorites two thirty one total. Going to the Lakers side, we are
9:39
waiting on Ad and Lebron both questionable, Jared Vanderbilt questionable as well. On
9:45
the Dallas side, Luca Derreck Jones and Tim Hardaway all questionable. Kyrie and
9:52
Josh Greener out. I mean, man, if like the even two of
9:54
the three on Dallas are rolled out, you'll have to load up on them.
9:58
What are your I mean, Lebron's always q ad Like, are you
10:03
just assuming they're in the Dallas side, I'm not so sure of. Do
10:07
you think like if Dallas rules some of their guys out, if Lucas ruled
10:11
out, then they maybe sit one of them. Talk about your whole thoughts
10:13
on this one. Yeah, So there's definitely a chance that if Luca gets
10:18
ruled out that the Lakers just say, okay, let's give one of a
10:22
d or Lebron arrests tonight. But I'm kind of coming into it thinking that
10:26
both of them play, just because this is a game on TNT, so
10:31
you nationally televised game. Lebron always wants to play those ones. It is
10:35
a little bit worrisome that Anthony Davis is now questionable when he's been probable.
10:37
But I mean, he just came off of a huge performance, played forty
10:41
one minutes in the n Season Tournament championship game, so I wouldn't be surprised
10:46
to see him sit. But it makes it a little bit more sense for
10:48
one of them to sit tomorrow. I think that they're playing the Spurs,
10:52
so that should be the game that they should They should win pretty easily.
10:54
This this feels like a game that both these teams are gonna want to win.
10:58
So I think think that all these guys are gonna try to get out
11:01
there and play. Uh but yeah, I mean the Lakers side, That's
11:05
what I think. But Luca, I think it's a pretty true questionable.
11:09
He got dinged up towards the end of the game. I think it was
11:13
it's a back injury for him, and he was kind of coming out limping
11:16
after the game. He said that both of his knees were swollen as well.
11:18
He played forty four minutes last night, so I mean there's a really
11:22
good chance that he sits, and if not, I mean he could probably
11:26
be pretty limited. I mean that's you know, he only only didn't play
11:30
four minutes of the game last night, So that's that's pretty tough on your
11:33
body when you're when you're that banged up. Derek Jones Junior, he took
11:37
a knee, needs to a knee last game, and that's kind of what
11:41
what ruled him out. He was he started off super hot. I don't
11:45
really have strongly and if he's in or out. I mean, if you
11:46
you take a knee and you have to sit out for the whole game,
11:48
I would imagine that would keep you out for another game or two. So
11:52
I mean, if he's out, that's gonna open up a ton of minutes
11:54
for for Dante X and Grant Williams, those type of guys. And yeah,
12:00
I don't really have a strong lean on Tim Hardaway Junior. He was
12:01
downgraded downgraded last game just he was not on the injury port and they got
12:09
downgraded questionable then to out. Maybe there's a chance that he plays. Maybe
12:13
they just knew that it was a back to back and they needed him tonight,
12:18
so you know, maybe he's in. I don't really have a strong
12:20
lean. I wish it did have a better lean, but yeah, in
12:24
terms of the matchup, Lakers have been picking up their defense a lot this
12:28
year. They're in the top seven and D rating and the Mavericks on the
12:31
other hand and bottom eight. Mavericks playing up and paced this year. The
12:37
Lakers are doing a really good job of taking away the interior scoring. So
12:39
I think that would take away guys like Derek Lively, guys that are mostly
12:45
operating around the rim, but they're giving up a ton of three pointers this
12:48
year bottom four and three pointers allowed per game, and the Mavericks on the
12:52
other side are bottom nine in rim points allowed, So Lebron AD should have
12:56
no issues with this matchup if they were to play. Yeah, I mean,
13:01
I don't know. If you want to you want to break down what
13:03
you're seeing from an injury standpoint, it would definitely be helpful because it's kind
13:07
of kind of tough to break it down when you don't really have all the
13:11
information for sure. Yeah, no, you did a great job, and
13:13
yeah, we'll be in discord. Cores will be updated projections, obviously,
13:18
and that's a huge part. I'm thinking Lebron and AD play again. We
13:22
will get this news before lock. The Dallas side's interesting, like the Dereck
13:26
Jones. I'm assuming, well at least one of these Dallas guys is my
13:31
guess. If I had a lean, Even if they're all in no,
13:33
like Dante ExHAM right now, is will be the most popular play on the
13:37
slates, And if any of those guys are ruled out, he only becomes
13:39
better. I'll be probably locking Dante Xham is what I'm thinking. If the
13:45
Jones Junior the hardaways. Even if lucas in like then Seth Curry people already
13:50
bringing him up is pretty interesting. Derek Grant Williams also gets a boost.
13:54
You know, if Derek Jones is out like the minutes, I'm gonna be
13:58
playing a lot of these Dallas guys even if all three of them are ruled
14:01
in. Like I said, I still love Xum. What are your thoughts
14:05
on like Luca then, Like, I don't think anyone would really get to
14:09
Luca at that price tag? Do we have enough value on this slave?
14:15
And I'm not quite sure They're talk about Lively a little bit too, because
14:18
Center Center's loaded today and I think Lively will be one of the most popular.
14:22
But you mentioned I mean, AD's no slouch down there. The tough
14:26
and the paint. Is that something we can get away from maybe Grant in
14:28
the corner for a little value. What are your thoughts? I'm speaking out
14:33
loud with you, but it's gonna be pretty easy. I mean, if
14:35
any of these guys are ruled out with the slate's easy. If Ad or
14:39
Lebron's out, you jam them. You play all these reeves and all the
14:41
other ones. And if Luker, these guys are out, you play all
14:45
the Dallas. Even if everyone's in in this game, I still probably think
14:48
it's the best game on the slave. But X them's for sure core play
14:50
regardless of what happens for me. Yeah, I would agree with that.
14:54
In terms of Lively, it really just depends on if Anthony Davis is in.
14:58
I mean, I'm this a lot whenever there's a pretty solid center on
15:03
the opposite side of Ad mentioned it in the nd season Tournament Championship game that
15:07
you know, Miles Turner. He does have a ton of upside, but
15:09
the downside is to him. That downside for people that are defending Anthony Davis
15:15
is just big foul trouble. And you saw he fouled out in like twenty
15:18
two to twenty four minutes something like that. So that would be the downside
15:20
for Lively. But he's been playing super well lately. He got sixteen rebounds
15:26
last game, had another sixteen rebound game a couple of games before against OKC.
15:33
So if Anthony Davis is out, I would definitely have a lot a
15:35
lot more interest in Lively because then he'll be going up against guys like Jackson
15:39
Hayes, and maybe Christian Wood gets back into the rotation, but yeah,
15:46
go ahead. What are your thoughts on Jaden Hardy Obviously if would need some
15:50
of these guys rolled out, but let's say Hardaway and Jones or one of
15:54
the two are outs. Do you have a take on this? I think
15:56
you can play them both if Luke is out for sure or then then these
16:00
guys are that that's when you really get the big boost. So I guess
16:03
how much with the Jones Junior Hardaway would be more in my opinion, but
16:07
with your thoughts there, so I think Hardy obviously would become a really good
16:11
play if Luca was out. But even if Luca is in and Tim Hardaway
16:15
Junior is out, then I still think he's in play because they won't have
16:18
any sort of ball handling behind Luca if if Tim Hardaway Junior doesn't play,
16:22
because you know, Kyrie is usually the guy that will be taking up some
16:26
of the ball handling role, but behind him it would be Tim Hardaway Junior
16:30
being more of a ball handler when in the non Luca minutes. So I
16:33
think that you would need one of Tim Hardaway Junior and Luca to be out
16:37
to get to Hardy, I think, and if both of them are in
16:42
Seth too, I think Seth is kind of fine where he is. He
16:45
should probably probably get the start. Yeah, I think he's probably fine,
16:55
just just because he's more of a catch and shoe guy and this is a
16:56
pretty good matchup for him. You just kind of see Jen Hardy's minutes could
17:02
cut down when they have multiple ball handlers in there. So I think that
17:03
you need you need one of Luca or a hardway to be out for him
17:07
to be a really good play. Yeah, just to wrap a bow on
17:11
this game, I think we touched on the Dallas side really well. Lakers
17:15
side. Even if Lebron and AD are in. AD is gonna get some
17:18
ownership. He has that power forward power forward eligibility as well, which is
17:22
big. The price tag is good, like value isn't great on this light
17:26
if everyone's ruled in like that's why, like Luca, he's a great he's
17:30
a good play like, he projects very well. He's just way up there.
17:33
And with the lack of value that we have right now, it'd be
17:36
more of the mid tier. Bill and AD would be more of the priority
17:38
there. And even if they're all in reads very good price, dag d
17:44
Rs, Torrian Prince, cam Reddish, like all of them, I think
17:47
will be in play. And that's just because the lack of value we have
17:49
right now for the Torrian Prince is the cam Reddish. If some value opens
17:53
up, like if these Lakers are in but the Hardaway and Derek Jones are
17:56
out, then you'd go to the Dallas side get the value with the Grant
18:00
Williams and stuff. That's how I'm seeing this game. Lay in the house.
18:03
Misses your stash, I mean it'll be back tomorrow. He'll probably have
18:07
a full stash. That's how fast this man can grow it. What's going
18:10
on, Jake? Hope? Everything's well? All right? So DFS juice,
18:12
did we found out how we're gonna do it? Give it away?
18:17
You can only put your answer in once in YouTube chat. If no one
18:19
gets it in like five minutes or something, we'll redo it. But if
18:23
you do it twice, you're automatically banned. Two memberships or two people one
18:27
month memberships, two players between five and seven k on DraftKings on this late
18:33
today, go only put one player. We have two memberships to give.
18:37
When you get one, I'll be looking in the chat but two player one
18:41
player between five and seven k. He picked two of them. Shout out
18:45
to you, DFS Juice. Next game on the slate, Denver Nogg get
18:48
Chicago Bulls two twenty total. Denver is favored by seven and a half.
18:52
Injury news in this one as well. Jamal Murray is questionable if he's out,
18:56
Reggie Jackson slides into point guard becomes a on play. If you have
19:00
any lien on that, let me know. Bull Side Lavina is out.
19:03
Caruso is questionable. I'll just sort of right to you in this game again,
19:08
the same thing we're talking Luka goes with Jokic. I don't think he's
19:12
I think he's gonna be pretty low relative is late. He's going to be
19:15
low owned, and that's because the center position is loaded and the lack of
19:18
value right now. If the value opens up in that Dallas game, Jokic
19:23
is even easier to get and be a stronger play there. Do you think
19:27
you can get to him right now? Any leans on Jamal? What are
19:30
you doing in this one? Yeah? I don't think I'll I'll beget into
19:33
Jokic on this slate. I mean if I'll be playing fifty to seventy lineups
19:38
nights. I'll definitely have some of him in my portfolio, but the value
19:42
right now, as it seems, is not that good. Obviously, would
19:45
change a lot. If we get the Dallas news that we need, then
19:48
you could probably get up to Jokic and some other guys. But in terms
19:52
of a game environment, I mean, this game is going to be pretty
19:55
gross, pretty low total. Both these teams are bottom five and pay the
20:00
Bulls are the number one slowest paced team and Nuggets at number five. Both
20:04
these teams are bottom two and three in transition scoring. Nuggets love to just
20:08
get set up in the half court offense. They're one of the most efficient
20:11
half court offenses in the league, so they're gonna they're gonna take their time
20:15
getting their offense going. So nothing really stands out. I don't They're not
20:18
gonna be like extra possessions in this game, just with how slow it's gonna
20:22
play. So on the Nuggets side, if everybody's in, Jamal Murray's in,
20:26
then it's pretty much just given me. Be Yokich, your bust for
20:27
me. Had a bounce back game last night in terms of shooting, got
20:32
up to twenty five points nine of thirteen shooting after the two really down games,
20:36
And this will be the second time that these teams have faced off this
20:38
year. Last time, Yokich went for twenty eight sixteen to nine, which
20:41
is pretty solid score. I mean when I wrote last night, I preferred
20:47
Luca over Jokic, But now with just all the injury news and Luca might
20:49
be a little bit monitored on minutes, then I probably prefer Yokic over him.
20:55
But the matchup is just it's it's about neutral. Yokic can always go
20:59
off. Maybe he is kind of getting his rhythm back scoring, so he's
21:03
fine. The matchup for Jamal Murray, I mean, it's pretty good,
21:07
so if he does play, then he's a pretty solid play ian. The
21:11
Bulls are I think they're dead last and three point three pointers allowed per game,
21:17
and Jamal Murray's minutes are starting to creep up, got to thirty two
21:19
minutes last game. But his injury, it's a it's a new ankle injury,
21:25
so there's a chance that he sits out too. He injured his left
21:29
ankle last game when it's the right one that has been injured all year,
21:32
so there's a there's definitely a chance that he sits, and like you said,
21:33
that would put Reggie Jackson too the starting lineup. I think he could
21:37
definitely be in play at sixty three hundred if Jamal is out. I mean,
21:42
this is a sneaky good matchup for Michael Porter Junior also just with the
21:47
catch and shoot stuff. But seven point six k is really expensive for him
21:49
with Aaron Gordon back, with Jokic there, with possibly Jamal Murray there to
21:55
have a tough time paying that price tag for him. And then on the
22:00
bull side, I mean, the Bulls will be really thin again if ox
22:03
Caruso were to miss. I mean, he's just been getting just been picking
22:06
up a new injury every single game he plays, it seems like, so,
22:08
I mean, there's definitely a chance that he sits, but there's also
22:11
possibility that him sitting last night was just due to the fact that it was
22:15
a back to back and maybe they wanted to get him out there for this
22:18
game. But regardless, Kobe White would be my preferred bawl. I mean,
22:22
he's just been playing out of his mind lately. Minutes have just been
22:26
huge, got it to forty five minutes last game. Been seeing no less
22:30
than like thirty nine thirty eight minutes over like the last six or seven games,
22:37
he's been shooting lights out to last eleven games. He shot over forty
22:41
percent from three in all but one of those games. And he's been up
22:45
in like the fifty sixty range, which is just like Sef Curry like numbers.
22:48
So he's been been crushing it and definitely would prefer him the most on
22:52
the bull side. And then if you want to get too like Patrick Williams,
22:56
he's fine. Fifty seven hundred should play a lot of minutes if Crusoe
23:00
to be out again. And I originally had Andrei Drummond listen in the slave
23:04
Plan just because the value was not that good as of writing it last night.
23:08
But four y eight hundred, I mean, if if there were any
23:11
issues with Vucevich getting into foul trouble, then that would give Drummons some extra
23:17
minutes. I mean, he's just been a fantasy monster this year. He
23:19
had sixteen rebounds in fourteen minutes last night, so you know that he's got
23:22
the upside. It's just that that's a really like low owned mm type of
23:26
play. But yeah, not a ton of interest in this game. Yeah,
23:30
good breakdown, I listened to most of it. I was trying so
23:34
nobody. We only had one person get an answer right, but he put
23:38
it in twice. It was a second answer that he gave, so I
23:41
can't count that. So we're gonna run it back, but it's gonna be
23:44
different this time. We're gonna go step because I mean, it feels like
23:48
every single player was listed in that range. And if you are a member,
23:52
don't don't put it in here. Obviously. Let's let's let someone new
23:56
member, two new people try it out. Seven all the way to nine
24:02
are point nine K, So I guess the ten K range tatum? Is
24:04
that nine point nine K seven point two K is Kobe White DraftKings pricing go,
24:10
I have two of them again, only one answer for you both or
24:14
for everyone out there. All right, let's get to the next game.
24:15
Rio, I don't really have too much to add, Like I don't Drummond's
24:19
interesting. If all these guys are ruled in, they're really still isn't great
24:23
value? He projects awful. He's at a great center position, so he
24:27
literally might be one percent owned. Like you said, he always has that
24:30
foul trouble out where that's where he would get those minutes and he's a point
24:34
per minuted monster. So not the craziest thing as of right now. I
24:38
don't think I get too much Jokic, just with the nature of the slate.
24:42
Again, that's if those Dallas or Lakers guys who ruled out, it
24:47
opens a lot more value. This is probably my least favorite game. The
24:49
first game in this game are my least favorite games on the slate, So
24:53
not much, not much interest for me in this one. And again those
24:57
three games we have seven thirty, seven, thirty eight, and then we
25:00
have two hour break ten pm and ten thirty pm Eastern. I will break
25:06
it down right now. Warriors Suns two thirty one total suns are favored by
25:10
one on the Golden State side, Gary Payton's out. That's the only news
25:14
there. On the Denver side. Oh what am I saying with the Denver
25:18
side. On the Phoenix side, KD is out, Grayson Allen is out,
25:23
Devin Booker ten point four K we see no KD. I still don't
25:29
think. I still think the Abs of the world would probably be Paul George
25:33
A. D. Kawhi. I think they get more ownership. Booker is
25:36
an interesting contrarian spend kind of fits in the d Mitch for me, my
25:40
two favorite contrarian spens because Yoge and Lucas still too expensive for me, but
25:44
they still have that upside. Anything else besides that, what are your thoughts
25:48
on Booker and what else in this game? Yeah? I mean this this
25:51
game should be really fun just from a viewing standpoint. Not sure how I
25:56
like it from a fantasy standpoint though. Starting with the Warrior side, I
26:00
mean, they're they're gonna be fully healthy, so you know, all Chris
26:03
Paul, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson off the injury port and when they're fully
26:08
healthy, kind of tough to pinpoint which one is going to be the one
26:11
to to kind of separate from the pack. So I'll be I'll be a
26:17
lot lower on the Warrior side, maybe just be a max one to two
26:19
situation. But I did want to mention kuminga really quick because I think Steve
26:26
Kerr has kind of been hinting at a lineup change. He's been saying that
26:30
the you know, the Draymond Green and Kevon Looney four or five starting lineup,
26:34
as good as it was last year, has not been as good this
26:37
year. So there's a chance that they bring in you know, Kaminga or
26:41
Darya Sargeant to the starting lineup just to give them a little bit more of
26:44
a spark, and then bring Loonie in off the bench soon's Kuminga has been
26:48
playing pretty well lately too, so he would probably be my favorite Warrior,
26:52
but not projecting very well right now. Obviously could change if he's if he's
26:56
announced the starter, but yeah, don't really have a ton of interest in
27:00
the Warrior's side. And then on Phoenix, I was hoping that KD would
27:04
play. It would have been the first time that we saw the big three
27:07
for Booker, Beale and KD play together this season, but fortunately he's going
27:11
to miss another game. Yeah, Devin Booker, like you said, he's
27:15
going to be really low owned. I think he's a pretty solid spend up
27:18
to his role as the lead ballhandler this year has been really good. He's
27:22
leading the team in time of possession with seven point two minutes. Usage is
27:26
up to twenty eight point four percent. He's leading the team in assist percentage,
27:30
so he's a really strong play I did like it a little bit better
27:33
with Kevin Durant in just because he would have got probably a weaker defender in
27:37
one of Clay or Curry or something like that, But now he'll probably see
27:41
Andrew Wiggins, who's been a pretty solid on ball defender his whole career.
27:45
But the usage is going to be there, the minute should be really high.
27:48
So I like Devin Booker a lot as a spend up. Nurkic is
27:52
pretty tough to get to. I just think that this is a matchup that
27:55
he could kind of get played off of the floor, just with how the
27:56
Warriors like to play with more small ball stuff. Seven point four k is
28:02
pretty tough, but the Warriors are pretty pretty bad against centers on the year,
28:07
surprisingly, So if you want to spend up for him at seven point
28:10
four four k is a contrarian type spend up, then by all means,
28:14
go ahead, and I'm gonna take a wait and see approach. On Bradley
28:17
Beal, I just don't think that his minutes are going to be full right
28:18
now. I think he could probably be limited to twenty four to twenty six
28:22
ish minutes after just being in and out of the lineup all season, So
28:27
he's going to be a be a fade for me, and then all the
28:32
secondary guys Eric Gordon is a little bit too expensive, o Kogie Cadabates,
28:37
The opt don't really have any sort of upside. Maybe this is a game
28:41
where Drew Eubanks gets a little bit more minutes over over Nurkicz, just just
28:45
with the play style with him being more like a small ball center, so
28:48
he would be a fine value option. But there's one person way down at
28:53
three point nine k that's been kind of popping off as a value option right
28:57
now is Tremezi Met who he got up to twenty three minutes last game against
29:02
Sacramento. Not sure if that was just more like a revenge narrative type thing,
29:07
but you know, he's he's like a small ball power forward center.
29:11
So this could be a matchup where he sees a little bit extra minutes.
29:14
We haven't projected for about seventeen minutes right now, so that would be if
29:18
nothing else opens up, then he could definitely be a value option. But
29:22
I really don't have a ton of interest in this game outside of Devin Booker
29:25
and then a little bit of kaminga any thoughts on Wiggins or Clay. I
29:30
mean, man, it's growth clicking these game logs, but assume like if
29:33
all these Dallas and Lakers guys are in fits that mid tier build. We
29:37
know we've seen the ceiling in the past. I mean really like, I
29:41
love this. I love that Dallas Lakers game, and outside of that,
29:44
these other games are kind of just like, I'll pick a couple of pieces
29:48
off this Lake game. There's I guess a couple of pieces I like,
29:52
but really nothing stands out to me outside of this Lakers Dallas game. And
29:56
a lot of that I think has to do with just not much value.
29:59
But thoughts on Wiggins or Clay, I think I'm gonna get some No,
30:03
I don't think I'll have much of them. Yeah, it's just tough to
30:07
find a ceiling from any of these guys. Somebody did mention that, uh
30:11
Klay Thompson likes to show out against Devin Booker. Yeah, I guess,
30:15
But I mean his minutes have been up where he got to thirty nine minutes
30:19
last game, he still only got to twenty nine Draftings points. I just
30:22
don't really know, Like what is his ceiling. He doesn't add any peripherals.
30:27
Really, he has to score a lot of points and he's just not
30:30
been shooting the ball. That well this year, so I'd be fine.
30:33
I mean, if I had to choose one out, prefer Wiggins just small
30:37
forward, power forward eligible he's cheaper. But man, I mean the floor
30:42
is really low for all of these guys that are not named Draymond Green and
30:47
Steph Curry pretty much. Yeah, and I think I think they both very
30:52
well could start with no Grayson Allen as well. I think it's those two.
30:56
There's two spots not to start. It's gonna be Beal Book Nurkic and
31:00
then probably those two or maybe Eric Gordon. It'll be It'll probably be Eric
31:04
Gordon. Then I would guess o, Kogi, you think it's scoring over
31:08
all? Right? Yeah, and we did you all right? Jake it
31:12
was MPJ the other one. No one did guess though, So I'm gonna
31:18
think of something quick. Jake the man, you're always in here. You
31:21
won a membership from VFS Juice email info at chipanation dot com. Take a
31:26
picture of your YouTube and we'll get you hooked up there. And let's see
31:30
how I want to do this other one. All right, we just talked
31:33
about that game Golden State Phoenix. I have somebody in mind in that game.
31:37
Put it in chat Go last game on the slate Rio. Any final
31:44
thoughts on that Golden State Phoenix. I think we covered it pretty well.
31:45
Not great, not a very exciting game, Jordan says, Raid Phoenix or
31:51
Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Clippers two thirty five and a half total. Clippers are
31:55
favored by three going to the injury report. On the Clipper side, nothing
32:00
at all we have to worry about. Going to the other side for the
32:04
Kings, nothing we have to worry about. In terms of ownership, again
32:08
I mentioned I think the Studs, assuming everyone's in a d PG Kawhi all
32:14
are the highest owned studs given their prices. Harden seven point ak on the
32:21
other side, Sabonus definitely a contrarion spend. Daron Fox a contrarian spend.
32:24
I like Booker, I like D. Mitch More, the Keegan Murray's,
32:29
the Kevin Herders of the world like they kind of fit that mid tier build.
32:32
It's a tough slate man my favorites in this game. Like I said,
32:36
I prefer D Mitch, I prefer Booker. It probably be these mid
32:38
tier guys, the Keegan Murray's of the world. I do not love it
32:42
at all. I don't know, Trey Lyles, Malik Monk maybe those are
32:45
my favorite. What are your thoughts? I think I have more interest in
32:50
this game than you do, just with the way that the King's been playing
32:52
lately, their top ten in pace now than that the number has been climbing
32:55
ever since Daron Fox got back to the starting lineup. And I mean they're
33:00
facing against the Clippers, who are a top five defense, but they struggle
33:04
to put away the Trailblazers. Last night they gave it but one hundred and
33:06
twenty seven points to them. So I think that just all these guys playing
33:09
such heavy minutes might have a negative effect on their defense, so we could
33:14
I think this game has a sneaky chance to shoot out. From a matchup
33:17
perspective, the Kings are a little bit more vulnerable to interior scoring. Some
33:22
Bonus is not that great of a defender. So I mean guys like I
33:25
mean Zubac, I have a good amount of interest in I like Kawhi Leonard
33:30
in this matchup. Paul George is in a good spot. James Harden projects
33:32
really well, but he's a I think more of a floor play for me.
33:37
But yet Darren Fox. I have a lot of interest in him as
33:39
a Conturan spend up as well. Gonna be a tougher matchup going against Terrence
33:45
Man, I'm guessing is going to be the guy that's on him. But
33:46
I mean, he's just been one of the best scorers this year. He's
33:49
averaging thirty point four points per game. The Clippers on ball defense has been
33:52
a little bit a little bit down the last couple of games. They give
33:57
up thirty eight and twenty seven points to the duo of Ferny Simon's and Strad
34:00
and Sharp last night, and all these guys played pretty heavy minutes, so
34:04
I think they could have some tired legs. And Fox only played thirty three
34:07
minutes last night, still put up twenty nine points. And last time these
34:12
teams faced, he put up a forty ball forty five and three in thirty
34:15
eight minutes. So I like him a lot as the low owned late night
34:20
hammer, been leading the team in possession minutes to almost seven per game,
34:25
And yeah, I really like him a lot. Sabonis, like you said,
34:29
as a Contriance fan as well, he's kind of gotten back to doing
34:32
the normal Sabonis things after having a couple of down games, his role has
34:37
been increasing. Got over fifty four front court touches per game, and he's
34:42
averaging over seven assists per game, So I mean his his floor is pretty
34:45
high just with all the rebounding and assist upside, and if he could add
34:49
some scoring, definitely got really big upside. Matchup is a little bit tough,
34:53
though Zubak has been a really solid center defender this year. He shut
34:58
down a couple of bigger name guys, so I tougher matchup for some bonus,
35:01
I prefer I prefer Darren Fox to those those two guys. The league
35:10
monks I have interested into been one of the better six men in the league.
35:16
He showed again last night, going for twenty one and nine and twenty
35:19
eight minutes. So he's he's always got the opportunity to Nucas Slade at six
35:22
point one case. I think you gotta keep him in mind. And yes,
35:28
I really like Fox on the Sacramento side, have some interest in Malague
35:32
Monk a little bit in some bonus. But on the Clipper side, I
35:36
mean that's a really good matchup for Paul George. He hasn't really shown a
35:38
ton of a ton of upside since James Harden's got into the lineup. I
35:43
mean last night he did put up a pretty solid fantasy game. We got
35:46
twenty eight and eight, but it was only for forty six points. So
35:51
I think he's probably my least favorite out of the three. I would be
35:53
Max one of Paul, George, Kawhi and James Harden. I think not
35:58
sure more than one of them could get there. Maybe on a smaller site
36:01
you can make it Max two. But yeah, I like Kawhi Leonard a
36:06
lot too. He's been probably the most consistent scorer on this team since hard
36:09
and joined it. Leads a team in usage when all three of them are
36:13
on the court together, and in four straight games he's seen over thirty eight
36:16
minutes. I think the price tag is pretty fair for Kauiet at eight K.
36:21
Similar story to James Harden two, lower usage guy, but he's been
36:24
leading the team in assists percentage when all three are on the court together,
36:29
and he's got the cheapest price tag, but he's probably shown the least upside,
36:32
so I think he probably is my second favorite. Just Price suggested,
36:37
and then yeah, I mentioned Zubac. I think he's a really, really
36:40
strong play at sixty two six point two. K Sabonus has been a little
36:45
bit. He's given up some bigger games to centers on the year, and
36:49
Zubac with the pick and roll stuff, has been really good with James Harden
36:52
and his minutes are way up there. It's seen saw thirty three minutes last
36:55
games forty two before that, so I think that he's pretty safe for around
37:00
thirty two minutes in this game, and he could definitely smash that price tag.
37:05
Man, This light is tough. The like the Clipper sides interesting,
37:08
but like PG like they're gonna get ownership, which is why, and like
37:13
I'm gonna be playing Lakers Dallas game. I know that that's the one thing
37:15
that absolutely sticks out. Even if all these guys are in the Reez price
37:20
tags, the camp like there's enough value. The Chiefs are getting run and
37:24
I like the game environment the most. Outside of that, What are your
37:28
thoughts on Trey Lyles Senator's completely loaded? That was the one position I'm trying
37:31
to you. Like Zubach, I'm definitely gonna bump him. I think Vouch
37:35
is interesting. I don't think I spent enough time on Vouch, but he
37:38
has that upside, Like, I just I'm not gonna really get to the
37:40
jokiches right now unless value opens up. So what are your thoughts, Trey
37:44
Lyles, I mean, definitely smashed last game. He ran good. The
37:47
minutes were way up. I don't know if there was if a bonus and
37:51
foul trouble or something, but he got thirty minutes six or seven from the
37:53
field thirty DK points. Any thoughts there, I'm looking at the rotation really
38:00
quick. I'm trying to see if he got any extra blowout run or anything
38:02
like that. Yeah, I mean he played a pretty full second hand.
38:08
He had twenty three minutes, but he had thirteen, sixteen, seventeen,
38:12
seventeen before. Like that was definitely his most minutes in a couple of weeks.
38:16
Yeah, well, I don't know if that was why. Yeah,
38:20
I think, I mean he played a he played like a fifteen minute second
38:23
half stints. I'm assuming that had something to do with it. Probably mean
38:27
it looked like he took away some minutes from Kevin Herder a little bit because
38:30
he was sharing the floor with Sabonis. Yeah, I don't know, He's
38:35
he's always fine. Four K. Any of those guys all right before we
38:39
get on out here trying to get this like three K to four point six
38:44
K range, give me a couple of your favorites, because man, is
38:46
it gross assuming that they're in, Assuming we don't have the Grant Willie,
38:50
like, assuming Luca's in, hardway, all these guys are in, who
38:52
are we going to I know you said four point six K, but I
38:57
probably like Grant Williams the most just because I know that he's gonna he's gonna
39:01
play the minutes and it's a I guess it's a fine matchup for three point
39:06
shooters if you want to consider him that, but definitely brings a little bit
39:09
of foul risk and be going against Lebron most likely. Let me look Richard
39:15
Prince cam Reddish. I do think that Prince could his minutes will be a
39:22
little bit safer if Jared Vanderbilt were to be out. So I think he's
39:24
probably fine at four point one K. Just I mean, really, what
39:28
is the like the upside for him? I guess if he gets you twenty
39:31
five, you'd be pretty happy with that. I'm thinking even twenty in this
39:35
range, Like you get twenty from any of these guys eighteen you just gotta
39:38
get the studs right, I'm not I'm not hoping for much right now.
39:44
Thoughts on Vanderbilt if he plays, I don't think that you need to go
39:49
there. He's he's not gonna see more than I mean, just with the
39:52
injury too, he's not gonna see more than fourteen fifteen minutes. And he's
39:54
a really low fantasy guy. He's just more of a he's like the Showdown
40:00
play. Yeah, I thought you meant the Lockdown defender, but yeah,
40:04
oh yeah that's so. But I know play. I agree Daniel Tice.
40:08
Someone's asking, Yeah, I mean he has been losing a little bit.
40:13
I mean he missed two games ago, but his minutes are a little bit
40:15
down. Last game he only saw fourteen minutes, just with Zubac playing heavier
40:20
minutes. But he should On a normal night, he'll see around eighteen to
40:24
twenty minutes. And he's been a really solid fantasy point per minuted guy in
40:28
his career, So I definitely think he's in play. He was originally in
40:30
the slate plan before we got more of this news and just before I decided
40:36
to want to kind of fade this lower range. But it's gonna be a
40:38
little bit tougher too, unless you bump up some of the mid tier plays.
40:44
There was one guy who didn't mention a couple of guys who didn't really
40:46
mention. Julian Strawther on the Nuggets. He saw twenty eight minutes last night.
40:52
I mean, he had like his best game of his young career.
40:55
He got twenty two points at five steals, took sixteen. I don't think
41:00
he's going to be doing that on a nightly basis, but I think if
41:02
Jamal Murray were to be out, that would kind of secure his minutes in
41:06
the second unit. So he probably sees close to eighteen to twenty minutes and
41:12
maybe would seem more if the game were to blow out. So I think
41:15
he's okay. I mean, he's probably the best option in that like sub
41:19
three point seven k range. I think that he's one of the guys down
41:22
there that will truly see minutes and then prosper the Olivier Mexans prosper on the
41:31
on the Mavericks side, He'll be in play too if if Derek Jones Junior
41:36
and Tim Hardaway and Luca were to miss. But I think that's probably the
41:38
only way I would get to him as if for sure all three of miss,
41:44
but maybe if two of them were to miss, I could see myself
41:45
getting into him. I like it. Yeah, the straw other SHOT's really
41:49
interesting because you do have that Jamal Murray offside. If he does miss in
41:52
that game, most people are going to be playing. I mean three games
41:55
start early. Dallas Lakers will get a lot of ownership, so if you
42:00
have late swap flexibility, you can definitely get there, and then the MP's
42:05
would be a stronger play. Denver would definitely this my second favorite spot on
42:08
the slates. Well, like go collect said a lot of Q takes,
42:10
I'm sure something will open up. Probably that's how the NBA works. Just
42:15
wanted to run through some more scenarios because right now, if the slate locked
42:17
value is pretty difficult, good stuff is always over you. Again, we'll
42:22
be a discord, core plays, projections, ownership, everything will be updated
42:27
throughout the night. Any change, All changes are in yellow. Get in
42:30
the discord. Oh, I forgot Nate d did win. Someone was asking
42:35
like, how there's only so many options? How how do you not guess
42:37
it? My thoughts as well, but it was Eric Gordon, which I
42:40
did not see NATed. There you go. That was the wrong answer.
42:45
He said seventy four or whatever it was, and men get it right,
42:47
so my man Jordan doesn't say it's right. There you go. Info at
42:51
ship a Nation dot com. Email, send your YouTube, send a picture
42:55
with your YouTube as well. We will get you hooked up. You and
42:58
Jake. Congrats to you guys. Shout out to DFS Juice as well.
43:01
Coming off the big win. Looking to keep it rolling tonight, Headovershipenation dot
43:06
com again, get in the discord. We do have weekly, monthly,
43:08
six months, and annual packages. They all come with the discord except the
43:13
weekly Monitor, injury News, anything else you got for the people real no,
43:17
look forward to seeing the new members in discord later tonight. Absolutely are
43:22
Nate and Jake. Jake's always in the YouTube, soways Nate. It's excited
43:25
to have you guys. Make sure to get in an email. Good luck
43:29
everybody out there. We'll be back tomorrow as always talking a little big or
43:32
slate for rio untitled town. Good luck, have a good one and then
44:02
must have then steps