Latest / DEEP INSIGHT / What could happen during the US government shutdown
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Let's start in the US, where the government has shut
- 0:02Speaker 1: down for the first time in almost seven years after
- 0:05Speaker 1: lawmakers fail to pass a last ditch funding plan. This
- 0:09Speaker 1: means that many non essential government services will grind to
- 0:13Speaker 1: a halt. Life pictures coming to us, of course, from
- 0:15Speaker 1: Capitol Hill. It's just after seven in the morning Eastern time.
- 0:19Speaker 1: But in the Senate on Tuesday, Democrats rejected a Republican
- 0:23Speaker 1: plan to extend the federal government for at least another
- 0:26Speaker 1: seven weeks. They demanded a reverse to health care cuts
- 0:30Speaker 1: in return for their support. Shutdowns in the US are
- 0:33Speaker 1: not that unusual, but there is a big difference this
- 0:36Speaker 1: time around. President Trump has threatened to use the shutdown
- 0:40Speaker 1: to bring in a wave of mass and irreversible firings
- 0:44Speaker 1: of thousands of federal workers.
- 0:46Speaker 2: We can do things during the shutdown that are irreversible,
- 0:51Speaker 2: that are bad for them and irreversible by them, like
- 0:54Speaker 2: cutting vast numbers of people out, cutting things that they like,
- 0:57Speaker 2: cutting programs that they like, So make you a risk
- 1:00Speaker 2: by having a shutdown. Because of the shutdown, we can
- 1:03Speaker 2: do things medically and other ways, including benefits. We can
- 1:08Speaker 2: cut large numbers of people, and we don't want to
- 1:11Speaker 2: do that, but we don't want fraud waste interviews.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Well, this is the first federal government shutdown for nearly
- 1:18Speaker 1: seven years, So what does it mean for government workers
- 1:21Speaker 1: and which services could be affected? BBC verify as mcnique
- 1:25Speaker 1: has been looking at the potential impact.
- 1:27Speaker 3: What will we see now there's a US government shutdown?
- 1:30Speaker 3: The short answer is we don't know for sure, but
- 1:33Speaker 3: we can build a picture based on previous federal shutdowns.
- 1:37Speaker 3: What generally happens is that government workers who are deemed
- 1:40Speaker 3: non essential are put on temporary, unpaid leave and normally
- 1:45Speaker 3: paid later. This could affect services including federally funded preschools,
- 1:50Speaker 3: the Student Loans Department, programs to help low income families
- 1:54Speaker 3: get food, National parks and museums could shut and approval
- 1:59Speaker 3: of new benefit iFIT payments may stop. It's worth pointing
- 2:02Speaker 3: out government services often get funding from different sources and
- 2:07Speaker 3: so closures may be staggered. In the past, some vital
- 2:11Speaker 3: services have not come to a halt and are expected
- 2:14Speaker 3: to continue. Medical care in hospitals, border protection, law enforcement,
- 2:19Speaker 3: and air traffic control are expected to carry on, with
- 2:22Speaker 3: employees being paid later. Active duty military members generally keep
- 2:28Speaker 3: on working, and social security and disability payments would still
- 2:32Speaker 3: be sent out. Ice operations are likely to be deemed
- 2:35Speaker 3: essential by the president, given his crackdown on illegal immigration,
- 2:40Speaker 3: a big priority in his second term. The Trump administration,
- 2:44Speaker 3: initially with Elon Musk at the forefront, has spent the
- 2:47Speaker 3: last nine months drastically cutting parts of the national government,
- 2:51Speaker 3: and the White House has suggested it could use this
- 2:53Speaker 3: shutdown to cut many more jobs permanently. So how often
- 2:58Speaker 3: do government shutdowns happen? There have been quite a few
- 3:01Speaker 3: over the past fifty years. Most were only a matter
- 3:04Speaker 3: of days, although in nineteen ninety five under President Clinton
- 3:08Speaker 3: it went on for twenty one days, in twenty thirteen
- 3:11Speaker 3: under President Obama sixteen days, and in December twenty eighteen,
- 3:16Speaker 3: in Trump's first term, the longest shut down so far began,
- 3:20Speaker 3: lasting thirty five days. So how long could this shutdown last?
- 3:24Speaker 3: We simply don't know. The Republicans and Democrats seem miles apart,
- 3:29Speaker 3: and the disagreements are increasingly bitter.
- 3:31Speaker 4: All Americans are going to feel some impact because, whether
- 3:34Speaker 4: they realize it or not, there's certain government services and
- 3:36Speaker 4: government activities that.
- 3:39Speaker 3: Are affecting your day to day lives. The last shutdown
- 3:42Speaker 3: ended after long lines at airports caused by air traffic
- 3:46Speaker 3: controllers and security staff calling in sick became a symbol
- 3:50Speaker 3: of a country paralyzed. A similar impact this time will
- 3:54Speaker 3: increase pressure to do a deal.
- 3:58Speaker 1: There was no big there. Let's take you too. You'll
- 4:00Speaker 1: can join the CBS correspondent Nami Ruckham, who is covering
- 4:03Speaker 1: this story for US. Nimik, I ask you about the
- 4:05Speaker 1: politics of all of this. Are we essentially now looking
- 4:09Speaker 1: at a bit of a standoff here? A stair off
- 4:13Speaker 1: in a.
- 4:13Speaker 4: Way, Lucy, good to be with you. It certainly seems so.
- 4:16Speaker 4: Democrats are calling for a deal on healthcare provisions, which
- 4:20Speaker 4: they say cannot wait, but top Republicans say they won't
- 4:24Speaker 4: negotiate until the government reopens. So it's the usual blame
- 4:27Speaker 4: game we often see in Washington this morning, while hundreds
- 4:31Speaker 4: of thousands of jobs hang in the balance. All night long,
- 4:34Speaker 4: lawmakers on both sides have been posting on social media
- 4:37Speaker 4: saying the other side is responsible. The White House, for example,
- 4:41Speaker 4: was quick to point the finger at the Democrats, posting
- 4:43Speaker 4: an image on x shortly after midnight calling it a
- 4:46Speaker 4: Democrat shutdown. Meantime, former Vice president and Democratic presidential nominee
- 4:52Speaker 4: Kamala Harris pinned the blame directly on the GOP, saying
- 4:56Speaker 4: Republicans are in charge of the White House, the House,
- 4:58Speaker 4: and the Senate. This is their shutdown.
- 5:01Speaker 1: Lucy Well, as we've mentioned, this is not the first
- 5:04Speaker 1: time the US government implemented a shutdown. In twenty eighteen,
- 5:08Speaker 1: President Trump partially shut the government down for thirty four days,
- 5:11Speaker 1: making it the longest in US history. As we know, Naomi,
- 5:14Speaker 1: it cost the US government and estimated eighteen billion dollars.
- 5:18Speaker 1: That's according to the Congressional Budget Office, the same body
- 5:21Speaker 1: now I've met. This current shutdown could cost the US
- 5:24Speaker 1: economy four hundred million dollars a day. It take us
- 5:28Speaker 1: from what the broader concerns are from people about the
- 5:30Speaker 1: impact on the economy, Naomi.
- 5:32Speaker 4: Well, Lucy, the longer the shutdown goes on, the bigger
- 5:35Speaker 4: the impact on the broader economy. Here's some good news.
- 5:39Speaker 4: The seventy four million Americans who collect Social Security will
- 5:42Speaker 4: keep getting their monthly checks, So that's good for consumer spending.
- 5:46Speaker 4: But some services could be disrupted, and that means Wall
- 5:49Speaker 4: Street is watching closely. Dow Future has already dropped two
- 5:53Speaker 4: hundred points this morning, the shutdown could force the US
- 5:56Speaker 4: Labor Department to stop releasing crucial economic data like Friday's
- 6:00Speaker 4: anticipated monthly jobs report, and without that kind of data,
- 6:04Speaker 4: investors will have to rely on other, less reliable information.
- 6:08Speaker 4: That means they might take more conservative positions because of
- 6:11Speaker 4: the anticipated volatility, and that kind of delay for such
- 6:15Speaker 4: an important report could also cause confusion and more questions
- 6:20Speaker 4: about what the Federal Reserve might announce regarding interest rates.
- 6:23Speaker 4: Worth noting, though members of Congress and the President will
- 6:27Speaker 4: continue to receive their paychecks during the shutdown.