Latest / The House Never Wins / Is Messi Destined To Fail In The World Cup? | La Casa No Gana Epiosde #91

Transcript

Is Messi Destined To Fail In The World Cup? | La Casa No Gana Epiosde #91 · The House Never Wins

• 0:00
  - Oh my god. 91
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  - episodes
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  - already.
• 0:04
  - We are so grateful and we are so
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  - excited to be here today with you, of
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  - course.
• 0:09
  - I'm not alone. I'm here with Pau. So
• 0:11
  - Pau, welcome to La Casa Nogana.
• 0:15
  - Hi, Favi. Another episode here in La Casa
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  - Nogana. Hola, football babies. Welcome back to the
• 0:20
  - chaos podcast where football pressure becomes
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  - emotional damage, Favi, and betting markets become therapy
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  - sessions.
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  - Today, we're talking about course, expectations,
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  - trauma,
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  - and, why certain national teams enter the World
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  - Cup carrying the weight of an entire
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  - country.
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  - Because talent alone doesn't win World Cup fight.
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  - I mean, power pressure change
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  - everything.
• 0:49
  - Yes. And honestly, some team some teams are
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  - arrive at tournaments already mentally
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  - exhausted. You know what? Especially the football giants.
• 0:59
  - Yes. Of course. Today, we are breaking down
• 1:01
  - the courses and pressure hunting the biggest national
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  - teams ahead of 2026,
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  - Fabi. And and very important, how does pressure
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  - affects
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  - betting,
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  - narrative,
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  - social media, and the players themselves?
• 1:17
  - Yes. This episode is basically basically football psychology
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  - mixed with emotional
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  - Gambling, Fabi.
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  - Our favorite genre.
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  - England,
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  - the pressure
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  - machine, Paul.
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  - Yes. So we need we have to start
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  - with England, Fabi.
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  - Yes. The annual
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  - football is coming home. Emotional
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  - roller coaster.
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  - And England, honestly, might have the heaviest media
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  - pressure in world football.
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  - And I mean, the craziest,
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  - craziest part is they've only won one World
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  - Cup. One.
• 1:58
  - Yes. In 1966,
• 2:00
  - still carrying the entire national identity,
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  - and we need to say that this World
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  - Cup
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  - was like
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  - a robbery.
• 2:10
  - Yes. And then meanwhile,
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  - every generation
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  - since then has been called the golden generation.
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  - Why?
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  - Yes. For example, Beckham era,
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  - Gerard era, Lampard era, Kane era, and now
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  - Bellingham.
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  - Exactly. Every four years, England gets a present
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  - like football avengers.
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  - Yes. And the pressure becomes
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  - terrifying, Pavi.
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  - Because because
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  - England media is
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  - relentless.
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  - Yes. One bad game and suddenly
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  - the tie the tabloids, the newspapers
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  - want to destroy
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  - everybody. The emotional swings around England are genuinely
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  - extreme.
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  - And then social media made it even
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  - worse.
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  - Yes. Especially
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  - after penalties, Bobby.
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  - Oh my god. England
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  - penalty shootouts are basically
• 3:07
  - national trauma events.
• 3:10
  - Yes. The internet starts preparing memes before the
• 3:13
  - shoutout
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  - even begins.
• 3:16
  - But
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  - here is the betting angle nobody talks about.
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  - Yes. England
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  - moves ridiculous
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  - amounts of money. Few national teams attract more
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  - emotional public
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  - than England.
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  - And that happens because patriotic betting is real.
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  - It's something real.
• 3:36
  - Yes.
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  - English fans bet emotionally
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  - because they genuinely believe
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  - every tournament could finally be the one.
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  - Which
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  - which affects the odds?
• 3:48
  - Exactly. Sometimes England odds lose real value because
• 3:52
  - sport books now,
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  - money is coming anyway.
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  - And the public
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  - inflates the market emotionally.
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  - Yes. That's what makes England
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  - fascinating.
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  - The betting
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  - market market sometimes reflects emotion
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  - more than football savvy.
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  - And then, when England lose
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  - The reaction definitely becomes nuclear.
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  - Like players getting abuse online, media chaos,
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  - fun meltdowns.
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  - Yes.
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  - I mean, being England manager honestly sounds
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  - terrifying.
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  - Like the worst
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  - worst job interview ever. Now, let's think about
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  - one of everyone's favorite which is Brazil,
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  - trapped
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  - by history.
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  - Okay. Now, Brazil, which is a completely
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  - different kind of pressure.
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  - Because Brazil pressure comes from legacy.
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  - Yes.
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  - Five World Cups, most successful
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  - nation ever.
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  - But they haven't won since
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  - 2002.
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  - Which sounds
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  - impossible
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  - when you think about Brazilian football mythology, Fab,
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  - especially considering
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  - how much talent Brazil constantly produces.
• 5:12
  - Exactly. Brazil is supposed to dominate every time.
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  - But every tournament
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  - since the since then has added more pressure.
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  - Painful eliminations,
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  - huge expectation
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  - and historic collapse.
• 5:29
  - Yes. Do you remember the seven,
• 5:31
  - one still traumatizes
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  - football fans globally?
• 5:35
  - Oh my god. That much permanently
• 5:38
  - changed football culture online.
• 5:41
  - Yes. And despite everything, Brazil still enters
• 5:44
  - almost every World Cup as a favorite, Fauci.
• 5:48
  - That's because people respect the batch.
• 5:51
  - Yes. And maybe nostalgia affects
• 5:54
  - betting heavily.
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  - Exactly. Because people still emotionally associate Brazil with
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  - beautiful
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  - and unstoppable
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  - football.
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  - Yes. The even
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  - if modern Brazil isn't always dominant.
• 6:09
  - That's the big question now.
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  - Is Brazil still the giant or are people
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  - betting on memories and history?
• 6:19
  - That's because the sheriff himself
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  - carries betting power.
• 6:25
  - Yes. Sportsbooks
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  - know casual bettors trust Brazil
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  - automatically.
• 6:31
  - And, honestly, pal, sometimes the aura matters and
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  - matters a lot.
• 6:38
  - Yes, Flavia. But aura doesn't score goals.
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  - Pau, Twitter will hate that sentence.
• 6:46
  - Brazilian
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  - football Twitter already
• 6:49
  - typing
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  - essays.
• 6:52
  - Yes, but
• 6:53
  - but right now, we need to talk about
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  - your country, Pau. Your country, one of the
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  - favorites this year maybe, Mexico. The fifth match
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  - course.
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  - I know Mexico might have the most emotionally
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  - exhausting
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  - pressure of all because Mexico
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  - expectations
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  - are deeply emotional and deeply cultural value.
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  - That's because Mexico this year pressure feels
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  - deeply reginal
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  - and emotional.
• 7:23
  - Yes. And sometimes sometimes the obsession with the
• 7:26
  - quinto and now sexto partido
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  - became legendary.
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  - And right now, people joke about this sexto
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  - partido too.
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  - Yes. Mexico
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  - consistently
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  - qualifies,
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  - consistently
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  - competes.
• 7:41
  - But, Pau, honestly,
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  - the quarterfinal barrier became
• 7:46
  - physiological?
• 7:48
  - I think, yes. And Mexican
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  - media turns every World Cup into a national
• 7:54
  - emotional
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  - event here. Every tournament is tied to
• 7:58
  - try Fabi.
• 7:59
  - And the expectations
• 8:01
  - becomes
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  - huge. Yeah. Sometimes
• 8:04
  - bigger than the actual football level. That's the
• 8:06
  - truth. And that disconnect creates enormous pressure on
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  - players.
• 8:11
  - Exactly
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  - Pau.
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  - And betting wise, Mexico generates
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  - insane
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  - action
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  - in North America.
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  - Massive massive emotional betting volume. Massive.
• 8:24
  - Yes. Because people don't always bet rationally on
• 8:27
  - Mexico. That's it too. They bet they bet
• 8:31
  - with hope.
• 8:33
  - Yes. That's such a perfect way to describe
• 8:36
  - it. Hope might be the strongest force in
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  - sports betting.
• 8:40
  - Yes. Because fans they want. They wanted the
• 8:43
  - break through moment
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  - so badly.
• 8:47
  - Yes. Especially with partial home advantage is in
• 8:51
  - 2026.
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  - Oh my god. That pressure, it's going to
• 8:55
  - be unbelievable.
• 8:57
  - And do you think Fabi Huston heals or
• 9:00
  - hurts
• 9:01
  - emotional? Oh my god. I mean, I think
• 9:03
  - both. Yeah.
• 9:05
  - Yes. Exactly. Even my answer too. The emotion
• 9:08
  - and the emotional intensity cuts Bob ways.
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  - Ground energy helps.
• 9:15
  - Ground energy helps.
• 9:17
  - Yes. But expectations
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  - become
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  - terrifying, Fadi.
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  - And then every match
• 9:24
  - suddenly feels story.
• 9:26
  - Now, Pau, let's talk about France suffering from
• 9:30
  - success. Poor France.
• 9:33
  - Yes. Poor France.
• 9:35
  - That
• 9:36
  - France has the opposite problem, Pappy, than Mexico.
• 9:39
  - Yeah. Like, being France's sufferings from being too
• 9:43
  - good?
• 9:44
  - Yes. In twenty eighteen champions, twenty twenty two
• 9:48
  - finalists,
• 9:49
  - ridiculous death. And and Mbappe entering 2026
• 9:54
  - in his athletic
• 9:55
  - prime. It's terrifying.
• 9:59
  - Yes. France bench could probably make quarter finals.
• 10:03
  - Honestly, unfair. Unfair.
• 10:06
  - But dominance
• 10:07
  - creates pressure too, Fabian.
• 10:09
  - Because now people expect
• 10:12
  - perfection.
• 10:14
  - Yes. And when a team becomes too fa
• 10:17
  - favorite,
• 10:18
  - the betting value
• 10:20
  - disappears.
• 10:22
  - Yes. Exactly.
• 10:23
  - Odds get lower because everyone trust
• 10:26
  - them. The market adjust aggressively
• 10:29
  - for elite teams. Which honestly, Pau, that create,
• 10:32
  - like, a weird
• 10:33
  - physiological
• 10:35
  - situation.
• 10:37
  - Yes. Because France is judged,
• 10:39
  - differently than everyone else.
• 10:42
  - Quarter final exists from another team might feel
• 10:46
  - respectable?
• 10:49
  - For France, it feels like a failure maybe.
• 10:53
  - That's the price of dominance.
• 10:56
  - So, Fabi, do you think it's harder to
• 10:59
  - surprise the world or
• 11:01
  - stay on top?
• 11:02
  - Oh my god. Staying on top easily.
• 11:06
  - Yes. I think the same. Winning once is
• 11:09
  - difficult.
• 11:10
  - Staying dominant
• 11:11
  - is brutal. I mean, underdogs, they play free,
• 11:15
  - but Giants
• 11:16
  - play scare
• 11:18
  - of failure.
• 11:20
  - Wow. That's actually deep.
• 11:23
  - Thank you. Thank you, babe. Thank you. I
• 11:25
  - contain
• 11:26
  - multitudes.
• 11:27
  - Now who has who has the most
• 11:31
  - pressure in 2026,
• 11:33
  - Pau?
• 11:35
  - Okay. Final debate.
• 11:37
  - Which national team enters 2026
• 11:40
  - under
• 11:41
  - the most pressure?
• 11:43
  - I mean, for me, England because the emotional
• 11:46
  - cycle never stops.
• 11:49
  - Yes. I like it. I will say Brazil
• 11:52
  - because history demands
• 11:54
  - greatness.
• 11:55
  - Or
• 11:56
  - Mexico because of home expectations?
• 12:01
  - Okay. Or maybe France because dominance creates impossible
• 12:06
  - standards.
• 12:07
  - Don't forget Argentina because the defending champions always
• 12:11
  - becomes targets.
• 12:13
  - Especially after the messy era narrative, people are
• 12:17
  - going to analyze every Argentina's performance emotionally.
• 12:21
  - Everyone wants to see if they can maintain
• 12:24
  - prestige?
• 12:26
  - Honestly,
• 12:27
  - I think pressure breaks more teams than tactic
• 12:31
  - tactics maybe.
• 12:32
  - I completely agree with you, Pau.
• 12:35
  - Yes. At workups, the mental side becomes
• 12:39
  - massive, especially once knockout football starts. Yes. That's
• 12:43
  - because talent gaps at elite level are smaller
• 12:47
  - than people think.
• 12:50
  - But, Fabi, emotionally?
• 12:53
  - That's where tournaments are won.
• 12:57
  - Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes. So today's lesson, Fabi,
• 13:01
  - football giants
• 13:02
  - don't just carry talent. No. No. No. No.
• 13:05
  - No. They carry trauma,
• 13:08
  - story, expectations,
• 13:10
  - and millions
• 13:11
  - of emotional
• 13:12
  - betters.
• 13:15
  - Yes. World Cup
• 13:17
  - aren't just about skill.
• 13:19
  - No. No. No. They are about surviving
• 13:23
  - pressure. So drop your pick here for the
• 13:25
  - most pressure team of 2026,
• 13:28
  - please. We will rate it. Yes. And remember,
• 13:31
  - babes. Remember. The bigger,
• 13:34
  - the football giant. The louder they collapse.
• 13:38
  - So remember that please.
• 13:40
  - And remember,
• 13:41
  - obviously, follow us on social media, Instagram, Discord,
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• 13:50
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• 14:11
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• 14:14
  - in this twenty twenty six World Cup and
• 14:17
  - see you all next week. Bye.
• 14:20
  - Bye.