Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 98 - 8/15/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 98 - 8/15/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:17
Hello and welcome to episode 98 of the All Systems Go sports
0:23
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:26
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on?
0:32
Everyone? Happy thirsty Thursday.
0:35
We got a lot to get to on today's pod.
0:37
I'll call it a quality not quantity day because we do have
0:41
some sweats here across multiple sports, including a preseason
0:45
game here tonight between the Patriots.
0:46
My Patriots. I'm almost embarrassed to call
0:49
them my Patriots because I think they're going to be awful this
0:52
year. But I do have a bet here on the
0:54
Patriots and the Eagles here for tonight preseason game kicking
0:57
off at 7:00 at Gillette. And then I also have a bet for
1:01
you in the WNBA little golf clap.
1:03
We got WNBA back in our lives, which is fantastic.
1:07
And if you remember, prior to the Olympics, we were grinding
1:09
pretty hard WNBA with our great rhythm, AI backed models and
1:13
predictions. And there was one game here
1:15
tonight that caught my eye in which the line movement and the
1:19
AI and my personal models, along with the community model, we're
1:22
all pointing in One Direction. So I got a sweat for you and
1:25
WNBAI got a bet here on the NFL pre season.
1:29
I also have a futures bet for you.
1:30
And it's going to be tied to the New England Patriots, tied to
1:33
the fact that I think and not just what I think, because when
1:36
you're betting on sports, you don't want to bet based on what
1:38
you think will happen, but what the market is telling me.
1:41
And it's kind of coinciding with what I think.
1:43
So I'll lean on the look at here, but I think it's going to
1:45
be a long year for the Patriots. Obviously, if you missed it,
1:48
they traded Matt Judon yesterday to the Atlanta Falcons.
1:50
I think they're in tank mode personally, which again,
1:53
probably is the best. Smart play long term, but
1:56
pathetic if you're a Pats fan. But have a futures bet tied to
1:58
the Pats, which I'm going to share with you guys today.
2:01
So two pack, one NFL preseason game for today, one WNBA game,
2:06
and then, you know, 2 1/2 pack. I guess with the futures bet, No
2:08
Major League Baseball had a lot of people reach out to me today
2:11
saying, who do you like? You know what, what do you want
2:13
in baseball today? Really nothing caught my eye.
2:16
It's a small slate. There's only seven games, really
2:18
not much in the way of sharp reverse line moves or, you know,
2:21
Steam or anything. So I'm taking a day off from
2:24
baseball, which is fine. I think if you are, you know,
2:27
trying to be the sharpest better you can be, it's never a bad
2:30
thing to lay off and, and don't try to force something if the
2:33
system's there, if it's sharp matching, you know, different,
2:37
you know, boxes that we like to check off, hey, fire away.
2:39
But if nothing's there, don't force it.
2:41
So today's going to be a, a football day and a WNBA day now.
2:45
I buried the lead. We kept our winning streak going
2:47
yesterday, guys 2 and 1 + 0.5 units.
2:50
So we were able to stack another half unit yesterday, which I
2:53
will take every day of the week. Had the dads come up big league
2:56
for the team. Big winner there, 8:00 to 2:00
2:59
as well as the Guardians. Guardians, what did they win?
3:01
Six to one. The only loser again, I, I, I
3:05
don't know what it is about the G men.
3:07
They stink. They're frauds, complete frauds.
3:09
We even beat the closing line with the giants -125 they close
3:12
like -130 even -135 they lose 13 to two.
3:17
So I guess it's, you know, kind of a, a good problem to have.
3:19
If you bet on a team three nights in a row, they lose all
3:22
three nights. But still, you're able to have
3:23
winning nights just, you know, overall.
3:26
But Giants, anyone remember you watching?
3:28
What was it? Who wants to be a millionaire?
3:31
You are the weakest link. Goodbye.
3:32
Maybe it wasn't millionaire some other show, but the Giants are
3:35
the weakest link. So goodbye.
3:36
I'm done with the Giants, at least for the time being.
3:39
But either way, 2 and 1 + 1/2 unit, we will take it for a
3:42
third straight winning day. Trying to make today our fourth
3:45
straight winning day. So I want to start off with a
3:48
big preseason game here tonight. There's only one game.
3:51
It's Patriots and it's Eagles. And this one is interesting for
3:53
a variety of reasons. So let's set the stage and I'm
3:56
gonna give you my bet here for tonight.
3:58
So Eagles come in one and O, they beat the Ravens in week one
4:02
of the preseason 16 to 13. They cover it as a 1 1/2 point
4:05
Rd. favorite. I believe they're a dog to fave
4:07
line moving that one. Patriots meanwhile, one and O as
4:10
well just took down the Panthers 17 to three.
4:13
I think maybe they covered that number.
4:15
I lost the over on that game, but they covered the was it -6
4:18
1/2. So for tonight, this is a very
4:21
sharp line move guys dog to fave in favor of the Patriots.
4:24
This game opened Philadelphia Eagles listed around a 2 1/2
4:28
point Rd. favorite and the public is leading Eagles.
4:31
Obviously, you know, been in the Super Bowl recently, been a
4:33
really good team for number of years at this point, they're
4:36
getting upwards of 55% of spread bets.
4:39
So they're they're the slight public play tonight.
4:41
But what's the line doing, guys? This thing is steaming, flipping
4:44
super sharp RLM toward the Patriots.
4:47
We open -2 1/2 Eagles, now it's -3 Patriots.
4:51
So a huge dog to fave flip in favor of New England.
4:54
Only getting 45% bets are the Patriots, but 61% of dollars.
4:59
So good low bets, higher dollars, sharp contrarian bet
5:02
split. And also game day movement.
5:03
I put a lot of stock into where's the line moving on game
5:06
day? That's when limits are raised,
5:08
the bigger bats come in. And it's also in the preseason
5:10
when information based bats, you know, like maybe, you know, word
5:13
starts to leak out, hey, we're really not going to play our
5:15
guys or oh, we really are going to play our guys.
5:17
So game, game movement just in general for all sports is
5:20
notable to me because the limits are raised, but especially in
5:22
preseason when it comes to information based bats.
5:25
And the Patriots were -2 1/2 last night.
5:27
Now they're up to three. So line keeps going toward New
5:30
England. Now you might be asking yourself
5:32
if the Patriots are going to be bad this year, which I think
5:34
they are. And the Eagles are going to be
5:35
pretty good. Why is this line steaming so
5:37
hard, flipping dog to fave in favor of New England?
5:40
Well, you guessed it, who's playing and who's not.
5:43
First thing you got to know is that these teams have been
5:46
practicing joint practices. So they've been practicing
5:49
against each other at Gillette throughout the week.
5:51
I can tell you as I, you know, live and die by my New England
5:55
sports. I'm, you know, in Boston or
5:57
outskirts of Boston, Mass hole my whole life.
6:00
I follow these, my team's very closely.
6:02
You're hearing every day about how terrible the Patriots look
6:04
in these joint practices. They can't do anything
6:06
offensively. They have no offensive line.
6:09
They're getting manhandled, they're getting destroyed and
6:11
they look pathetic. That and that this is coming
6:13
from a Patriots fan. However, what's important here
6:17
is the way these coaches are going to handle this game.
6:19
It looks like from what I've read and picked up on is that
6:22
like the Eagles are happy the way they're joint practicing.
6:25
The Patriots are not. Eagles are dominating.
6:27
Patriots stink. So Sirianni and Philly, they're
6:31
probably not going to play their starters much.
6:33
It looks like they may play Hertz and, you know, A.J.
6:35
Brown and these guys maybe for one series, just get a sweat and
6:38
then get out of there and avoid injury because you'll hear a lot
6:40
of coaches say this. They put a lot of value into the
6:42
joint practices, almost even more so than the games.
6:46
So Eagles are not expected to play their starters very long.
6:49
Meanwhile, the Patriots are expected to play their starters
6:52
quite a bit here. Now, a big reason for that is
6:54
they've been so terrible in joint practices that they need
6:57
these reps It's, you know, important for them to get more
7:00
experience, more reps, more opportunities to play better, to
7:03
feel better about themselves. So you have one team who's
7:06
played poorly and needs to play their starters to get in a
7:08
groove, another team that played great in joint practices and has
7:11
nothing to prove and is really just trying to avoid injuries.
7:14
So that's I think the big reason why you're seeing this flip
7:17
toward New England is that they're more likely going to
7:20
play a majority of their starters.
7:22
Now, if you also look at a couple other factors here,
7:25
there's a little bit of a schedule advantage to the
7:26
Patriots tonight. I know it's pre season and it
7:29
feels like all things are equal, but the Patriots played their
7:33
first game last week on Thursday, the Eagles played on
7:36
Friday. So Eagles are on a bit of a
7:37
short week and I read an article about Sirianni even mentioning
7:40
how it was a bit of a short week for them.
7:42
Also, New England's playing their second straight home game.
7:45
Philly's playing their second straight Rd. game.
7:47
So this just feels like almost like a throw away to me for the
7:49
for the Eagles. Obviously, you know, if you get
7:52
in there and you're playing your second, third, fourth string
7:54
guy, you're going to play your hardest.
7:56
But it seems to me the way the team these teams are handling it
7:58
is it's much more meaningful tonight's game for the Patriots
8:01
than it is the Eagles. Let's look at the quarterbacks.
8:04
Of course, you got to know who's playing and who isn't.
8:06
Patriots are going to start Jacoby Brissette.
8:08
But I'm hearing that they might play a lot of Drake May tonight.
8:11
As a Pats fan and just New England in general, everyone was
8:14
mad that Drake May only played a tiny little bit in the first
8:17
game. As you watch all these other
8:19
quarterbacks like Bonex and Pennex and you know McCarthy, he
8:22
got hurt, but these other guys are lighting it up.
8:24
So you probably will see more of Drake May, some Joe Milton,
8:27
maybe Bailey, Zappy Eagles, probably going to start Hertz
8:31
just for a series and then go to Picket and Tanner McKee.
8:34
So we know that the Patriots are handling this probably more
8:37
seriously, more meaningful to them to play well, the dog to
8:41
fave line moves in their favor. So we want to play the Pats, but
8:44
how are we going to attack them? I'm going to go back to the well
8:47
with a first half money line play.
8:49
We've cashed a few of these Texans, cashed one for us.
8:52
The G men cashed for us, the good G men, the football G men,
8:54
not the terrible, pathetic San Francisco G men.
8:58
But I'm going to go first half money line on the Patriots to
9:01
win the first half, to have a lead going into halftime.
9:04
And here's a good step for you. Favorites on the first half
9:07
money line this preseason 9, four and four 69% with an 11%
9:13
ROI. So these first half the teams
9:16
who are favored to win the game typically have a lead going into
9:19
halftime. But here's the other thing in
9:21
general, like if you tell me you want to buy low on Philly plus
9:24
three like I get that however, one thing you know I guess that
9:29
you would like about that would be dogs have done very well in
9:33
week one week one of the preseason dogs went 11 and six
9:35
against the spread 65%. So what does that mean?
9:39
It means that, you know, with these huge line moves, the team
9:42
that's taking in the line movement and is favored, you
9:44
probably want to play them just first half because you know,
9:47
they're playing more of their guys first half. second-half, it
9:50
gets crazy. Backups come in, lot of weird
9:53
things can take place, big comebacks.
9:55
It just gets a little little squirrelly in the second-half.
9:58
So that's my angle. I'm taking the Patriots to have
10:00
a lead at halftime. It's important for them to play
10:02
well. Eagles, not so much.
10:04
And again, favorites are 69% with a lead at halftime, yet
10:10
dogs are covering 65% of the full game odds.
10:12
So I'm going to play that favorite first half favorite
10:15
system with the Patriots? I got Patriots first half at
10:18
-160 terms of the total, didn't have a ton here.
10:22
It was notable to me. It did tick up a little bit.
10:24
It was like 33 1/2 up to 36 1/2. But now game day, it's down to
10:28
35. Some books even 34 1/2.
10:31
I don't love playing the under. It looks like an obvious under
10:34
unders are 12 and 571% to start the preseason and there's but
10:39
the one thing that worries me is 72% of bets are on the unders.
10:42
This is the public under and both these teams went under in
10:44
week 1. So it feels like hey, they both
10:46
went under. Unders are cashing 70% so far.
10:49
Play the under yet it did take up a little bit.
10:52
Game day movement is falling back now, But I don't want to be
10:54
in a public under because again, remember, public loves to bet
10:57
overs, root for more points. So that just seems a little too
11:00
public to go under for me. So I'm just going to go Patriots
11:03
here. I'm going to go Patriots to
11:04
hopefully win the first half, take a lead at halftime.
11:08
I got the Patriots first half at -160 now tying into the
11:12
Patriots, I'm going to bet on them tonight to have a lead at
11:15
the going into the first half. But I'm going to bet against
11:18
them for the full season. Now.
11:20
Why am I going to do that? Let's focus on the wind total #1
11:24
Patriots went, was it 4 and 13 last year.
11:26
They lose Belichick, you know, maybe their quarterback play
11:29
will be better with Brissette this year because I don't know
11:31
how much worse you can get from obviously the crap that they put
11:35
out last year with Mac Jones. But the market is really down on
11:39
the Patriots and they traded away Judon.
11:41
It's starting to feel like they're tanking.
11:43
This is the way Robert Kraft is talking about.
11:45
Hey, our goal is to make the playoffs.
11:47
Hey, I don't know how many games we're going to win.
11:48
Like it seems like they're almost resigned to the fact that
11:51
they're going to be bad this year.
11:53
Big thing for me is they have no offensive line.
11:55
Can you guys tell me who the starting tackles are for the
11:58
Patriots? It's not Matt Light, it's not
12:01
Nate Solder. It looks like right now it's
12:03
Vidarian Lowe or Chux Okorafor on the left side and then right
12:07
side. I don't even know who it's going
12:09
to be. Maybe one of these rookies that
12:11
they brought in. But this offensive line looks
12:15
terrible. They have really no tackles,
12:18
don't really have any wide receivers.
12:20
Even their defense is taking a big hit.
12:21
No bar more. He got blood.
12:23
He has blood clots. He's going to be out for a
12:25
while. Judon just got traded away.
12:27
This is going to be a long year for me, but here's the thing.
12:30
I'm not going to bet a win total under just because it looks and
12:33
feels like the team's going to be bad.
12:35
I need data to prove to me that smart money has come in on and
12:39
under. And that's what's happened here,
12:40
guys. This morning I opened up my
12:42
e-mail and I got a new fresh batch of data for my buddy John
12:45
Ewing at Bet MGM, guy who gives us the great bet splits for
12:48
biting for UFC. And it's the updated win totals
12:52
with movement as well as juice prices and most importantly,
12:56
bets in dollars. So I Scroll down the Patriots
12:59
and here's what I found. Patriots win total open at 5 1/2
13:02
going into the year. It's now down to 4 1/2.
13:05
So right off the bat, that tells us that smart money hit the
13:07
under 5 1/2. But here's where it gets good.
13:10
The under 4 1/2, even though it you know, I have a little
13:13
hesitation and heartburn taking under 4 1/2 when it opened five
13:16
and a half like I'm getting the worst of the number.
13:18
But here's where I'm still going to go under 4 1/2 wins.
13:21
If you look at the bet splits for this under, only 38% of bets
13:26
are taking the Patriots under. But 75% of the money, the money
13:30
money money is on the under. That is a massive low bets,
13:34
higher dollar, sharp contrarian bet split.
13:36
Again, think of it this way, 62% of bets are on the over, yet the
13:40
total fell. And why did it fall?
13:42
Because you have three out of $4.00 on the under.
13:45
So that is a huge low bets, higher dollars.
13:47
Great, fantastic bet split of all the teams over or under.
13:52
I believe that's the biggest discrepancy bets in dollars.
13:55
What is that 3537% discrepancy again?
13:59
Only 38% bets, but 75% money is on this under.
14:03
And then additionally, we're getting a little bit of a plus
14:05
money payout here. Right now at Bet MGM, they have
14:08
under 4 1/2 wins as high as plus 1:30.
14:11
I've seen other books as low as like plus one O 5, but there's
14:13
no minus numbers. So shop around.
14:16
You can pretty easily find like a + 110 + 115, but you have a
14:20
rookie coach, you have Berset, good guy, but journeyman and not
14:24
that talented. You have no offensive line.
14:26
I think it's going to be a terrible year for the Patriots.
14:29
And trading Judon to me is like the the icing on the cake.
14:32
Just saying, hey, they're almost telling us that they're tanking.
14:36
So they're playing for the future and they're not playing
14:37
for the now. And they only won four games
14:39
last year. You lose Belichick, you know,
14:42
again, maybe he lost his fastball last couple years, but
14:45
still Belichick to Mayo is a huge drop off.
14:48
I'm going with the Patriots, hopefully win the first half
14:50
tonight, but I placed the futures bet.
14:52
If you want to ride with me, I'm on Patriots under 4 1/2 win
14:55
total. I got it at plus 115.
14:58
Now over to some WNBA because the WNBA is back, baby.
15:03
And the one thing I love about WNBA being back is that we get
15:05
to get back to our rhythm AI predicted models.
15:09
So I'm going to focus on a match up here tonight, an 8:00 game
15:13
between the Mystics and the links.
15:16
Now this one is interesting for a couple different reasons.
15:19
So remember one thing important here is that we're coming off a
15:22
very long layoff because we had WNBA take the break for the
15:26
Olympics. So they're now back to playing
15:29
regular season games. And if you need a little
15:31
refresher because again, I can't tell you many, I know Caitlin
15:34
Clark and a couple other players, obviously as a
15:37
data-driven better, you don't really have to know the players.
15:39
You just have to know how to read the market.
15:41
But a little background, then I'll give you my play tonight.
15:43
So it's a Mystics against the links, Washington Mystics
15:47
against Minnesota Lynx 8:00 tonight.
15:49
And currently we have a total of 156 1/2 and we have the Lynx
15:54
favored by 8 1/2 at home. Now the Mystics are one of the
15:57
worst teams in WNBA. They're six and 19.
16:01
There are three and 10 on the road.
16:03
Lynx are one of the best teams. They're 17 and 8:11 and 3:00 at
16:06
home. So what have we seen across the
16:08
market here? Well, here's the way I use
16:11
rhythm to my advantage. I don't open rhythm until I get
16:13
a feel for what the markets doing because at my core heart
16:17
and soul, I'm a data-driven better.
16:19
So tell me what the markets doing.
16:21
The market I'm going to focus on the total here is going up with
16:25
the total. The total opened as low as 155
16:28
1/2 for Mystics and links. Now it's up to 156 1/2.
16:31
Some books even 157. So shop around.
16:34
Try to find the over 156 1/2 if you can.
16:37
Now it's not that public of a play because currently only
16:40
around 60% of bets and dollars are going over.
16:43
Yet we've seen this total tick up now 1 system that we love is
16:47
overs on the rise. Do you guys remember this one
16:49
when you see the total tick up at least one point off the
16:53
opener? The over is 36 and 22 this year,
16:57
62 percent, 19% ROI, $100 better.
17:01
Just playing overs that rise at least half point.
17:03
As long as it takes up a point play, the over $100 better will
17:07
be up $1200 this year. So we got a good system match
17:10
the totals on the rise. We have a decent bet split.
17:13
It's not like it's 90% of bets over.
17:14
It's not that public. But here's where it gets good.
17:17
Now that I know that hey, we're checking off boxes, I got a
17:20
system on the over. It's ticking up decent bet
17:23
split. Now let's pop open rhythm rhythm
17:26
for their AI backed models and predictions.
17:27
Remember, they're going to give you a couple different options.
17:29
One is just to follow the AI backed model, which is basically
17:33
kind of like their best version, their best bet model, and then
17:37
you can create your own models. So here's what I found for
17:39
tonight. The rhythm AI backed model is
17:43
predicting 157.6 for the total points, so 156 1/2.
17:49
We would cash that over. Now typically I look for a
17:51
bigger edge than that. And luckily here's where my
17:53
model is leaning even harder to be over my AI backed model,
17:57
which I you know, you can create your own with rhythm.
17:59
You can put in whatever factors are more important to you.
18:02
I learn more on pace and three-point shooting and field
18:05
goal percentage. My rhythm AI backed model I
18:08
called my Josh model is predicting 160 point 1160.1.
18:14
So both the rhythm model, not that it's way over the current
18:18
total, but my model is a good, you know, three points up, 3 1/2
18:22
points more than what we're showing.
18:24
And then look at the community model.
18:26
This is one of the new great premium features that's going to
18:28
be unveiled. I always joke about the
18:30
community model, like when you see, for example, 60.9% of
18:35
everyone in the app who's created a model is is on the
18:38
over. Now you may say to yourself,
18:40
Josh, you're a contrarian. What are you doing on the 60%
18:42
side? Shouldn't you be on the 40%
18:44
side? Yes, when it comes to the
18:45
public. But when it comes to rhythm,
18:48
public's not really using rhythm.
18:49
Rhythm is a, you know, kind of AI don't know a high-powered
18:53
data-driven app model that doesn't really appeal to drunk
18:56
guys at the bar. It appeals to us because we're
18:58
sharp, data-driven, contrarian betters.
19:00
My whole point being is if I'm with the 60.9% on the over, I'm
19:05
not with drunk guys at the bar. I'm with other sharp people who
19:08
are data-driven who have created models on the over.
19:11
We talked about the rest, you know, coming back from the
19:13
Olympics, so should be rested ready to go.
19:15
But here's another angle that I found. 3 point shooting.
19:19
Did you guys know that the Mystics and the links are
19:22
actually tied for second in the WNBA with the most 3 pointers
19:26
made per game? They're averaging 9.83 pointers
19:29
per game. The links are shooting 38.4%
19:32
from three and the Mystics are shooting 36.7% from three.
19:38
Links are #1 three-point shooting percentage.
19:41
The Mystics are #2 so that's one thing I'm going to look for.
19:44
If you're a good three-point shooting team, that's probably
19:46
why my model is higher on the total going over.
19:49
That's a good angle to put up points and hopefully cash that
19:52
over. So the total is ticking up.
19:54
Decent bet split, good system match.
19:56
I have two models, mine and the Rhythm AI model, both telling me
19:59
to go over. Community models says go over,
20:02
they're rested and they're both good 3 point shooting teams.
20:05
So it's been a while, but let's get right back to sweating WNBA.
20:08
I'm going Mystics and links over 156 1/2.
20:13
Try to find the 156 1/2 because again, there are some shops at
20:16
1:57, but that's my bet. Mystics links over 156 1/2 if
20:20
you want to sweat it with me. So that about does it.
20:23
Again, no baseball today. I know there's some games, but
20:26
don't want to force it. You've been running hot in
20:28
baseball. It's not give it away just cuz
20:29
we're dying for the action. We got a WNBA over.
20:32
We got a Patriots under 4 1/2 win total that we can sweat all
20:35
season long. And I'm gonna go Patriots first
20:37
half money line tonight at -160 So that about does it for
20:42
episode 98 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered
20:47
by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
20:49
though, where I leave you with a few things.
20:50
First off #1 thank you. Thank you for taking the time
20:54
out of your day to pull up a chair to the virtual bar, to
20:56
sweat sharp contrarian plays, to breakdown games with me.
20:59
It means so much that you guys tune in each day, so thank you
21:02
for that. Secondly, can you help me to
21:05
grow this podcast? I'm going to ask something of
21:07
you. Could you please do me a favor,
21:09
a big favor, make my day and give this podcast a 5 star
21:13
review. Whether you're listening on
21:14
Spotify or iTunes, there's an option to rate the pod or leave
21:18
a good review. Give it five stars.
21:20
That'll mean a lot to me guys. That would really help us to
21:22
grow the pod. You know, the more, the more
21:25
five star reviews, you know, the more we rise up the charts and
21:28
the ratings. If you also want to recommend
21:29
the pod to a friend, that would be great.
21:31
If there's also an option to follow the pod that way as soon
21:34
as it gets posted each day you get alerted to it, that'll be
21:37
great as well. But seriously, give it five
21:39
stars. It would make my day and I
21:41
really appreciate you guys. Secondly, if you enjoy this
21:45
style of betting, data-driven contrarian betting, breaking
21:48
down what the numbers are telling us, what the market is
21:50
telling us, looking at line movement and system matches and
21:54
bet splits and flat betting and not parlaying.
21:57
If this style of betting has opened a window for you, a door
22:00
to get through and hopefully make some money betting on
22:02
sports, then guess what? If you want to learn more and
22:05
even get even become that much better as a sports better,
22:09
data-driven better, then guess what, you can go buy my book,
22:12
support the team, pick up a copy, buy it for you or for a
22:15
friend. It's got everything I've learned
22:16
in the industry. All you got to do is go to
22:18
Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to sports
22:21
betting. But it's got how lines are set,
22:23
how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
22:26
locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
22:29
how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
22:31
management plan, chapters on all the major sports.
22:34
It would be a great time to pick it up to get yourself ready for
22:36
football as well. So pick up a copy if you've
22:39
already bought 1. Thank you.
22:41
When I see at the book, I'm going to sign my book for you.
22:42
I'm going to buy you a beer. Maybe we'll split some, split
22:45
some wings or something or get a ginger ale.
22:47
If you don't drink that's fine too.
22:49
But seriously, I'd really appreciate it guys.
22:51
Lastly, have you signed up for your 7 day free trial of Rhythm
22:55
and Juice Reel? Well, if you haven't done it
22:57
yet, I want you to do that right now.
22:59
Rhythm obviously you want it back now because WNBA is here.
23:02
They have already system matches for NFL week 1 and College
23:06
football week 1. They're going to have NBA here
23:08
soon. It would be a great time for you
23:10
to get your feet wet with rhythm.
23:12
Rhythm is incredible because they have AI backed models and
23:15
predictions for player props, game predictions.
23:19
Golf as well. I'm not a huge golf better but I
23:21
know some of you are. So if you want to bet some top
23:24
20s, the rhythm edge, that'll be great as well.
23:27
And then Juice Reel also a fantastic app Juice Reel is
23:30
great with their sharp mush bets each day system matches the Robo
23:35
Jackson best bet picks arbitrage opportunities.
23:38
They'll quickly tell you you know what kind of how to how to
23:42
place the arbitrage bets to guarantee a winning bet and a
23:45
winning profit. And then also you can sync up
23:47
your sports books. So when you place a bet at
23:50
FanDuel or DraftKings or Bet MGM or Caesar's or ESPN bet or
23:53
Fanatics or whatever book you use, it automatically will show
23:57
up in Juice Reel and then give you a running report card of
23:59
your action. So 2 great apps that I lean on
24:02
and you should too, Rhythm and Juice Reel.
24:05
I want you guys to sign up in a specific way.
24:07
Click the custom link located in the bio description of this
24:11
podcast on Spotify or iTunes. Then you'll be able to test it
24:15
out and I think you're going to like it, help you, help you to
24:17
cash some bets, hopefully. So that about does it.
24:20
Another pod here in the books guys.
24:22
I was hoping the 100th episode will land on a Friday.
24:26
Unfortunately, it's going to be Monday.
24:28
We're almost at 100 pods. Can you believe it?
24:30
But this is the part of the pod where I leave you with a couple
24:32
things. One, whether I see you at the
24:34
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
24:38
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in
24:40
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park
24:43
Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
24:46
Massachusetts. Or of course, out in the desert
24:48
where the true grinders get down or Billy Walters sends his
24:51
number runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the
24:53
South Point. Or Sweat and Sharp Contrarian
24:55
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool at Circa, wherever
24:59
it may be. You're going to flash me another
25:00
winning night of tickets. Show me a Padres ticket.
25:03
Thank you, Dad. Show me a Guardians ticket.
25:06
That Giants ticket, man, I can't believe three in a row do you
25:09
see? You stink, Giants.
25:10
What a bunch of frauds. But still, two in 1 + 1/2 unit
25:13
will take it every single time. Guys, first one's on me, next
25:16
one's on you. We're going to post about the
25:17
book Sweat Sharp Contrarian Plays All Night Long.
25:21
So wish you the best luck everyone.
25:23
I know probably you're looking for more sweats, but hey, we got
25:25
to be selective. So we got WNBA, we got NFL pre
25:29
season as well as a full season bet.
25:31
I'm looking toward tomorrow. Should get your fill with
25:33
baseball tomorrow. We have a full slate with our
25:37
Marty. Seen some early line moves here,
25:39
so looking forward to it. Guys have a fantastic Thirsty
25:42
Thursday and oh, I buried the lead.
25:44
We should have a biting play for you tomorrow as we have a huge
25:47
UFC 305 on Saturday. Duplessis versus Izzy out of
25:52
Sonya, so stay tuned for that on tomorrow's pod, but I'll see you
25:55
guys tomorrow. Stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet
25:58
against the public, place yourself on the side of the
26:00
house. Always be with the smart money,
26:02
never against it. Will smart money win every time?
26:05
Of course not. Again, betting is hard.
26:07
Crazy things happen. We've been on the sharp side of
26:09
the giants three nights in a row and they blow and they gave us a
26:12
bunch of losses. But here's the thing, long term,
26:15
always remember forest amongst the trees.
26:17
Marathon, not a Sprint. If we can find that system match
26:20
each day against the public with the house, with the pros flat
26:23
bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
26:26
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters.
26:29
So have a great night everybody. I'll see you tomorrow on a big
26:32
Friday for episode 99 of the All systems go sports betting
26:36
podcast powered by rhythm. Enjoy your Thursday guys, good
26:40
luck.