Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / "Madoff Speaks" Author: Bernie Madoff Resented His Investors
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside
- 0:04Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day, we bring
- 0:06Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along
- 0:11Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast
- 0:15Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and
- 0:18Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Cornard made Off, the
- 0:23Speaker 1: Manhattan investment advisor who promised stellar returns to his A
- 0:27Speaker 1: list clients and instead you frauded them of more than
- 0:29Speaker 1: nineteen billion dollars in history's largest Ponzi scheme, has died.
- 0:34Speaker 1: He was eighty two. We want to get more color
- 0:36Speaker 1: on the man behind the scam, Bernie made Off, and
- 0:40Speaker 1: we do that. We're so fortunate to have Jim Campbell.
- 0:43Speaker 1: Jim is the author of an upcoming book entitled Made
- 0:46Speaker 1: Off Talks. He's also hosted the radio shows Business Talk
- 0:48Speaker 1: with Jim Campbell and his crime show Forensic Talk with
- 0:51Speaker 1: Jim Campbell. Jim, thanks so much for joining us. I
- 0:53Speaker 1: know you have your book coming out on Bernie made Off.
- 0:55Speaker 1: Made Off Talks available April. Talk to us about out
- 1:00Speaker 1: the access you had to Bernie made Off for this book.
- 1:04Speaker 1: I think it's just really interesting. Well, first all, thanks
- 1:08Speaker 1: for having me on. Obviously something most have happened today,
- 1:10Speaker 1: and it is big news. Actually, Um, it was very
- 1:14Speaker 1: It was really fortuitous in the sense that I was
- 1:17Speaker 1: doing an interview from my show on a book on
- 1:19Speaker 1: made Off and they let me speak off the record
- 1:22Speaker 1: with Andrew made Off, and UM, I told him would
- 1:25Speaker 1: be very open. I asked him tough questions. He obviously
- 1:28Speaker 1: was doing nothing publicly because he was under all kinds
- 1:31Speaker 1: of assault from the Southern District of New York and
- 1:33Speaker 1: recific made Off trustee. He introduced me then to Ruth Madeoff,
- 1:38Speaker 1: who again fortuitously had just moved to Greenwich, where I live,
- 1:42Speaker 1: and we developed a relationship. She introduced me to Bernie.
- 1:46Speaker 1: Bernie and I communicated. I had got over four hundred
- 1:49Speaker 1: pages between handwritten letters emails. Um, he's very Nixtonian. He
- 1:54Speaker 1: had this need compulsion to kind of explain everything. Fascinating guy. Um,
- 2:00Speaker 1: you'd just be amazed about him. He was not driven
- 2:03Speaker 1: by greed, um, ironically driven by control. And let me
- 2:08Speaker 1: just tell you then you can ask you whatever you want.
- 2:10Speaker 1: The biggest single thing that blows my mind is he
- 2:12Speaker 1: built side by side one of the most ethical, innovative,
- 2:17Speaker 1: and leading businesses on Wall Street. That was his market
- 2:19Speaker 1: maker at the same time, two fours down behind the
- 2:23Speaker 1: locked uh door with several unsophisticated folks, he built the
- 2:28Speaker 1: biggest criminal enterprise in Wall Street history. It wasn't like
- 2:32Speaker 1: he got in trouble had to double down and then
- 2:35Speaker 1: do a Ponzi scheme he thought he would get out of.
- 2:37Speaker 1: He built them side by side. So I wonder do
- 2:43Speaker 1: you feel sorry for Bernie made off? I know he
- 2:46Speaker 1: committed I guess you could say heinous crimes, although they
- 2:50Speaker 1: were you know, financial and nature. Um he did bankrupt
- 2:54Speaker 1: a lot of people who, you know, their lives were
- 2:56Speaker 1: made considerably worse afterwards. They were suicide, one of whom
- 3:01Speaker 1: was his own son, though um Mark killed himself in
- 3:04Speaker 1: two thousand and ten and then Andrew died of lymphoma
- 3:07Speaker 1: in two thousand fourteen. I mean, do you feel bad
- 3:11Speaker 1: for the guy? I think the way to answer that
- 3:14Speaker 1: question is was he a pure social path? Um who
- 3:19Speaker 1: sentce you was a financial terrorist? And the answer is no,
- 3:22Speaker 1: It's not black and white. He ran the firm like
- 3:25Speaker 1: a family. He paid for folks sudden medical expenses their
- 3:30Speaker 1: honeymoons traditionally, and so it was not black and white.
- 3:34Speaker 1: On the other hand, he has the sociopath aspects of
- 3:38Speaker 1: very little empathy. He had resentment for his victims in
- 3:42Speaker 1: some sense, he thought they were greedy. They were always
- 3:44Speaker 1: asking him for more. He could never say no. So
- 3:48Speaker 1: it's kind of a mixed bag. He's obviously can never
- 3:51Speaker 1: be forgiven for what he did, and he could never
- 3:53Speaker 1: come to grips essentially with honestly admitting it. But he's
- 3:58Speaker 1: not at you know, pure sociopath evil God what I found.
- 4:05Speaker 1: I'm sorry. Let me just say Ellie was out, you know,
- 4:07Speaker 1: the famed Nazi hunter, Holocaust survivor, Nobel Peace Prize winner,
- 4:13Speaker 1: was asked if he could forgive made off and he
- 4:15Speaker 1: said no. To forgive first of all, and this is
- 4:17Speaker 1: a direct quote, would mean that he would come on
- 4:20Speaker 1: his knees and asked for ask for forgiveness. He wouldn't
- 4:23Speaker 1: do that. Um. Is that right? Did he never do
- 4:27Speaker 1: that even to someone like Ellie Wizzell Well, let me
- 4:31Speaker 1: tell you this, and this is kind of an irony. Um.
- 4:34Speaker 1: He wrote a one satins letter to Andrew, and Andrew's
- 4:38Speaker 1: partner fiancee Um that said, I'm so sorry, Dad, essentially
- 4:44Speaker 1: apologizing for the scheme not even a look. But it
- 4:47Speaker 1: was one set. At the same time, I was getting
- 4:50Speaker 1: six seven single spaced letters in beautiful, exquisitive handwriting, explaining
- 4:56Speaker 1: and rationalizing everything. So yeah, he had a tough time.
- 5:00Speaker 1: He had an ego that could never admit any kind
- 5:02Speaker 1: of loss, which is not something to be a tribute
- 5:06Speaker 1: and the trait you want to have if you're in
- 5:07Speaker 1: the investment business, where losses are are part of the game,
- 5:10Speaker 1: similar to President Trump in that way. And so there's
- 5:13Speaker 1: a huge denial mechanism. And though he did not ask
- 5:16Speaker 1: for forgiveness, he told me Um he felt he felt
- 5:20Speaker 1: really bad for his his uh you know, his victims
- 5:23Speaker 1: and everything he knew he'd done wrong. He was devastated
- 5:26Speaker 1: by what he did to his sons. He essentially killed
- 5:28Speaker 1: both because Andrew died slowly of cancer. But I spent
- 5:34Speaker 1: a lot of time with victims, and Um, it's it's
- 5:38Speaker 1: very very hard to forgive a guy, um, knowing what
- 5:41Speaker 1: he what he the damage that he calls Jim and
- 5:44Speaker 1: your communications with made off. You know, did you talk
- 5:48Speaker 1: to Hi about the angle? Only angles that fascinates me
- 5:51Speaker 1: was you know, it seems like he took advantage of
- 5:55Speaker 1: his friends, um and maybe praying upon their Jewish religion. Hey,
- 6:00Speaker 1: you know, you know that's where a lot of his
- 6:03Speaker 1: relationships came from, whether it's a synagogue or just you know,
- 6:06Speaker 1: uh circle of friends and pomp Beach or Adam Hampton's.
- 6:10Speaker 1: And it seemed to really prey upon you know, his friends,
- 6:14Speaker 1: that his Jewish friends. Did that come up at all?
- 6:18Speaker 1: Oh yeah, he's um in a sense, it was almost
- 6:21Speaker 1: a financial holocaust, and in the Jewish community, UM to
- 6:24Speaker 1: betray financially um, you know, fellow brotherren is almost beyond conception,
- 6:30Speaker 1: which is one of the reasons he was so successful.
- 6:33Speaker 1: Here's example of the two sides of him. His his
- 6:36Speaker 1: he had big four investors who he basically took his
- 6:40Speaker 1: lower net worth investors and passed the money onto them
- 6:43Speaker 1: and what I call a reverse Robin hood and um
- 6:47Speaker 1: one of the uh, one of the four Norm Levy
- 6:50Speaker 1: he was very close to and and and worked hand
- 6:53Speaker 1: in hand and when he died even sort of took
- 6:55Speaker 1: care of him to keep control over him. At the
- 6:57Speaker 1: same time, he was the executor of his non real estate.
- 7:00Speaker 1: Asked that he was a big real estate investor. He
- 7:02Speaker 1: stole twitter in fifty million to pump into his headge fund. So, um,
- 7:07Speaker 1: you know, how do you fathom this guy? It is
- 7:10Speaker 1: it's it's an it's an amazing, um, you know thing
- 7:13Speaker 1: that I have been sort of blessed with to try
- 7:15Speaker 1: to diagnose this and get under the hood. Did he
- 7:19Speaker 1: have any friends at the end, Jim, you mentioned that
- 7:22Speaker 1: you have that you have a relationship with Ruth, And
- 7:26Speaker 1: I know at one point, I think after mark suicide,
- 7:29Speaker 1: she said she was never going to talk to Bernie again.
- 7:32Speaker 1: But surely she must have remained in contact if she
- 7:34Speaker 1: hiked you up. Yeah. She Um. The first thing is
- 7:38Speaker 1: that that she's really was almost cult like controlled by him,
- 7:42Speaker 1: and she had a very hard time decoupling from him.
- 7:45Speaker 1: She was thirteen years old when they started dating. She
- 7:48Speaker 1: believed his rationalizations and minimizations at first. By the time
- 7:52Speaker 1: I met her, she was presenting to me at least that, um,
- 7:55Speaker 1: you know that he was going to that she was
- 7:57Speaker 1: cutting off relations to the degree she could. He emailed her,
- 8:00Speaker 1: he phoned her, They were in communication. Still they were.
- 8:03Speaker 1: She was also obviously through me funnel uh stuff to him.
- 8:08Speaker 1: But um, it was very hard for her to get through.
- 8:12Speaker 1: To be honest, she was also very hurt, as I
- 8:14Speaker 1: say in the book, by um some sexual affairs that
- 8:17Speaker 1: he had that actually related more to control of his
- 8:20Speaker 1: investors than it did to the pure sex. But that's
- 8:23Speaker 1: all in the book. You'll find Also in the book,
- 8:25Speaker 1: I will just uh, I'm the first meteor media source
- 8:28Speaker 1: I believe to determine if Ruth, Mark and Andrew were
- 8:32Speaker 1: complicit in any way. The FBI and the SIF the
- 8:36Speaker 1: trust stee believe that they had to have known, and
- 8:39Speaker 1: I have I've got a it's in chapter eight, folks, right,
- 8:43Speaker 1: that's interesting real quick? How is his time in prison,
- 8:47Speaker 1: the ten years? How hard was it? Did he have
- 8:49Speaker 1: any friends or any supporters or is he really alone?
- 8:53Speaker 1: My understanding was that actually, you know, he's charismatic, and
- 8:57Speaker 1: uh he is. He is a non con con man
- 9:02Speaker 1: because he's so low Keith and I think he gained
- 9:04Speaker 1: a lot of respect that a lot of the prisoners
- 9:07Speaker 1: thought he was kind of cool. We'll pull off what
- 9:09Speaker 1: he pulled off, and he's kind of a survivor that way. Um.
- 9:14Speaker 1: He's been sick for a while, though pretty badly and isolated.
- 9:18Speaker 1: I think the hospital wins all right. Jim, Hey Jim,
- 9:20Speaker 1: we really appreciate you taking time here on this really
- 9:23Speaker 1: important day. Jim Campbell, he's the author of the upcoming
- 9:26Speaker 1: book it's due uh out in stores and on online
- 9:29Speaker 1: on April seven, entitled Made Off Talks, so that should
- 9:34Speaker 1: be very interest giving the timing that we have here. Jim,
- 9:36Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us here. Point based public
- 9:43Speaker 1: offering today via directed listening. We're still waiting for that
- 9:46Speaker 1: to open, but it is certainly has the attention of
- 9:49Speaker 1: a global Wall Street. Meltem Demror's cheap strategy officer from
- 9:53Speaker 1: coin Shares Group, joins us here today. Give us your
- 9:56Speaker 1: thoughts of what's the feeling inside coin Shares today. Quick delineation.
- 10:02Speaker 1: Coin Base is listening today. Coin Shares, which is my firm,
- 10:06Speaker 1: listed about a month ago, so look really great day
- 10:09Speaker 1: for the industry. Coin Base is not only going to
- 10:12Speaker 1: be a great validation, not just for crypto assets, which
- 10:16Speaker 1: are two trillion dollar market now, but for the companies
- 10:19Speaker 1: building in the crypto ecosystem slated to be und billion
- 10:23Speaker 1: dollar I p O. I think we're going to tap
- 10:25Speaker 1: a hundred fifty billion by the end of the week.
- 10:27Speaker 1: Coin Base will be bigger than Golden and Stacks, which
- 10:29Speaker 1: is amazing. But really the monumental moment here is we're
- 10:33Speaker 1: firmly planting the flag in the ground. Crypto is an
- 10:36Speaker 1: asset class. Crypto is an industry, and for investors, this
- 10:40Speaker 1: is a place where you can no longer afford to ignore.
- 10:44Speaker 1: You have to be allocating to this sector. You can
- 10:47Speaker 1: do it be the assets themselves. That's what we do
- 10:49Speaker 1: at coin Shares. We have five billion in assets under
- 10:52Speaker 1: management in our change trade of products. Or now with
- 10:55Speaker 1: coin base, you can buy equity in high growth sintech companies.
- 10:59Speaker 1: So we're super excited. So let's talk about the well,
- 11:02Speaker 1: to some extent, the differences right. Coin Base is an exchange,
- 11:05Speaker 1: the largest US cryptocurrency exchange. What you offer with your
- 11:09Speaker 1: exchange traded product is the ability to and correct me
- 11:14Speaker 1: if if I'm wrong to buy bitcoin, but I don't
- 11:17Speaker 1: have to. I can buy bitcoin with your E t P,
- 11:19Speaker 1: but I don't have to figure out how to hold it.
- 11:22Speaker 1: Do I put it in? I don't know what it's
- 11:23Speaker 1: called cold storage or whatever. Um you guarantee my security,
- 11:28Speaker 1: you know, you know, I know what I'm talking about, Meltham. No,
- 11:32Speaker 1: But the point is you. Um, you basically take the
- 11:36Speaker 1: busy work out of it for an old gen Z
- 11:39Speaker 1: guy like me, and I don't have to worry about
- 11:41Speaker 1: someone stealing it. I I still own it though, Yep,
- 11:45Speaker 1: exactly right. So coin Shares we've been around for the
- 11:49Speaker 1: last seven years and basically what we do. We're an
- 11:52Speaker 1: investment firm that does a lot of different things. Were
- 11:55Speaker 1: best known for products, which again you can go onto
- 11:58Speaker 1: any old brokerage platform type in a ticker and hold
- 12:01Speaker 1: crypto exposure in your account. Coin based lifts you buy
- 12:05Speaker 1: the underlying assets directly, which is different right there. They're
- 12:09Speaker 1: more of an exchange and a bank effectively. But again,
- 12:13Speaker 1: there's tons of innovation in this space. We're seeing a
- 12:15Speaker 1: lot of different companies going public over the coming months
- 12:19Speaker 1: and years, and we're really excited. You know, I manage
- 12:23Speaker 1: our venture portfolio. We're also interesting in a lot of
- 12:26Speaker 1: these companies with our balance sheet capital and we're just
- 12:29Speaker 1: so excited to see huge validation. I just want to
- 12:33Speaker 1: say one more thing on the coin based on listing.
- 12:36Speaker 1: What's really cool. Here's Colin Based didn't do an I
- 12:38Speaker 1: p O. They're going to market through a direct listing,
- 12:42Speaker 1: which I think is great, um. But more importantly, this
- 12:46Speaker 1: listing is going to be the biggest direct listing and
- 12:50Speaker 1: one of the biggest capital markets events we've seen in
- 12:53Speaker 1: the venture space in the last ten years. So I
- 12:56Speaker 1: think again, the fact that this is a crypto native
- 12:59Speaker 1: comp ane that's able to achieve this type of outcome
- 13:03Speaker 1: just validates why it's so important for investors to allocate
- 13:06Speaker 1: to this space. And then I think again, just a
- 13:09Speaker 1: huge moment for this industry. After seven years of being
- 13:13Speaker 1: called crazy and the traditional financial world shutting us, we
- 13:18Speaker 1: are now being accepted because we speak in the language
- 13:21Speaker 1: that investors understand, which is money. Well, you know, my
- 13:25Speaker 1: my heartache is UM. When I started researching and reporting
- 13:29Speaker 1: on bitcoin in two thousand twelve, I bought some, put
- 13:31Speaker 1: it in my blockchain wallet and promptly forgot the password.
- 13:35Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not feeling the pain as much as
- 13:38Speaker 1: some of the bigger whales that did the same. But Um.
- 13:42Speaker 1: The benefit I guess of an et P which you
- 13:44Speaker 1: offer is that I would be able to what call
- 13:46Speaker 1: somebody and say, hey, help me out here exactly. And
- 13:50Speaker 1: it's also the other element that's really important is you
- 13:52Speaker 1: can hold exchange trigger products in your retirement account. Right,
- 13:56Speaker 1: so tax advantage savings really important. Through me, Are you
- 14:05Speaker 1: going through a tunnel? Are you in an elevator right now?
- 14:08Speaker 1: You know I'm right hear me? Okay, yeah, okay, you're
- 14:11Speaker 1: breaking up a little bit. We got you, okay. So, look,
- 14:15Speaker 1: that big opportunity with E T t s is the
- 14:16Speaker 1: retirement accounts. Americans hold the majority of their wealth in
- 14:20Speaker 1: their homes and in their retirement accounts. So we want
- 14:23Speaker 1: to get crypto into every retirement account so that people
- 14:27Speaker 1: can grow their their wealth through this asthet class and
- 14:30Speaker 1: through these businesses in their tax advantaged savings, especially as
- 14:34Speaker 1: the U. S. Government looks to tax earners and savers
- 14:37Speaker 1: alike at a much higher basis than the years going
- 14:40Speaker 1: forward given all of the deficit that we're seeing in
- 14:43Speaker 1: this country and in the world more broadly. Meltime, you
- 14:47Speaker 1: talked about maybe some of the uptake of some of
- 14:50Speaker 1: this cryptocurrencies at there give us a sense for the
- 14:52Speaker 1: institutional appetite for all things crypto. There's concerns that maybe
- 14:57Speaker 1: we're not seeing the uptake from some of the big
- 15:00Speaker 1: institutional investors. What's your experience, Yeah, absolutely, so, look from
- 15:05Speaker 1: an asset allocation perspective. We produced the weekly fund Flows
- 15:09Speaker 1: reports that tracks all of the inflows and outflows into
- 15:12Speaker 1: crypto products that are publicly traded right now, those products
- 15:16Speaker 1: have over sixty billion in assets under management between them.
- 15:20Speaker 1: The last two quarters have seen record inflows. And I'll
- 15:24Speaker 1: just share one more fact. Gold has typically been the
- 15:27Speaker 1: preferred portfolio diversifier for institutions. What we are seeing right
- 15:33Speaker 1: now is over the last two quarters, gold products and
- 15:37Speaker 1: gold ETF have seen twenty billion dollars in outflows. Crypto
- 15:42Speaker 1: products have seen seven billion dollars in inflows. And so
- 15:46Speaker 1: what we have here is a sector rotation. Investors and
- 15:50Speaker 1: allocators need diversifiers in the current macro climates. Our research
- 15:54Speaker 1: has found a four percent allocation to bitcoins is the
- 15:58Speaker 1: optimal portfolio diversitycation to balance risk and reward. JP Morgan
- 16:03Speaker 1: says one percent that we think our research is better
- 16:06Speaker 1: at four per cents um. But look, investors are looking
- 16:09Speaker 1: to diversify. They're looking for places to generate return. With
- 16:13Speaker 1: real inflation at two point five to three percent and
- 16:17Speaker 1: fixed in comic close to zero and real rate it
- 16:19Speaker 1: close to zero. We think crypto and bitcoin will play
- 16:23Speaker 1: an increasingly important role in investor portfolios and allocators are
- 16:27Speaker 1: starting to come out of the woodwork. They're starting to
- 16:29Speaker 1: allocate in size, and nowhere is that more apparent than
- 16:32Speaker 1: the inflows we're being into these products. All right, Melton,
- 16:36Speaker 1: great to get some time with you. I hope we
- 16:38Speaker 1: can talk to you a little bit more after this.
- 16:40Speaker 1: Melton um Demers has been really a huge driving force
- 16:44Speaker 1: in this industry. She's on the she founded the World
- 16:47Speaker 1: Economic Forum Blockchain Council, and you've probably seen her if
- 16:51Speaker 1: you watch c SPAN testifying in front of Congress on
- 16:55Speaker 1: digital currencies. She also teaches at m I T as
- 16:58Speaker 1: well as ox Ford and UM. Right now, you know,
- 17:02Speaker 1: we're focused on the coin based direct listing. It's indicated
- 17:04Speaker 1: to open at three five and no now indicated to
- 17:08Speaker 1: open at three six five dollars in the NASDAC debut.
- 17:11Speaker 1: But there's so much more to talk about around crypto,
- 17:14Speaker 1: especially as here in Europe they're talking about digital currency
- 17:16Speaker 1: and they're focused on privacy. I wonder how much of
- 17:18Speaker 1: that she believes. We'll get her back on again soon.
- 17:21Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg, John Tucker. They're talking about some of
- 17:27Speaker 1: the big banks that have come out today. JP Morgan
- 17:31Speaker 1: Goldman Sachs Wells Fargo. We have one of the top
- 17:35Speaker 1: bank analysts on Wall Street Quick Chris Whalen joins, us
- 17:38Speaker 1: chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, And Chris, let me get
- 17:43Speaker 1: your reaction first to JP Morgan. I mean, everyone is
- 17:46Speaker 1: saying it was such a great quarter, and yet the
- 17:49Speaker 1: shares are down for the third day in a row. Well,
- 17:53Speaker 1: it's because we're counting last year's earnings. Very simply, if
- 17:57Speaker 1: you back out the release of loan loss reserves, which
- 18:00Speaker 1: they had put aside when COVID first exploded on the scene, Um,
- 18:05Speaker 1: we're now taking them back into income. So if you
- 18:08Speaker 1: really look at the numbers, their expenses were up, revenues
- 18:12Speaker 1: were flat, and as you mentioned in your intro, loan
- 18:16Speaker 1: demand is soft. Um. You know, it's funny in the
- 18:19Speaker 1: classical economics texts, when rates rise, you're supposed to see
- 18:23Speaker 1: an expansion of margins on lending. We're not seeing that. Uh,
- 18:27Speaker 1: net interest margin is being squeezed. So I think, honestly, uh,
- 18:31Speaker 1: it may be record gap earnings because the accountants and
- 18:35Speaker 1: the Fed let them take four and a half billion
- 18:38Speaker 1: dollars back into income from loan loss reserves. But if
- 18:41Speaker 1: you back that out, the numbers don't look so good.
- 18:44Speaker 1: And I think that's what the more astute observers on
- 18:47Speaker 1: the street are going to trade based on how concerned
- 18:50Speaker 1: are you about the commentary from JP Morgan about the
- 18:54Speaker 1: corporate loan growth or the lack thereof in terms of demand.
- 18:57Speaker 1: Is that something you view as temporary that event Actually,
- 19:00Speaker 1: as this economy reopens, we will, in fact see lenders
- 19:03Speaker 1: come back into the market, our barbarers come back into
- 19:05Speaker 1: the market. We've had soft loan demand for a while.
- 19:10Speaker 1: And you know, the street typically hasn't focused on this.
- 19:14Speaker 1: They just focus on the press release, maybe the first
- 19:17Speaker 1: paragraph of the press release when it comes to earnings.
- 19:19Speaker 1: But banks are in a very difficult environment now because
- 19:23Speaker 1: the FED has created scarcity and just about any asset
- 19:27Speaker 1: class you look at, and the competition for big commercial
- 19:31Speaker 1: loans is intense. So in order for banks to win
- 19:35Speaker 1: that business, they have to be willing to drop their rate,
- 19:37Speaker 1: and in some cases the banks just fold their arms
- 19:40Speaker 1: and say, no, I'm going to just leave the reserves
- 19:43Speaker 1: at the FED. I don't need to work for nothing,
- 19:46Speaker 1: which is what quantitative easing really means. It means financial
- 19:49Speaker 1: assets have no value and so I think the FED
- 19:52Speaker 1: needs to rethink what they're doing because if we leave
- 19:55Speaker 1: current policy in place, I think banks are going to
- 19:58Speaker 1: be in trouble by the end of the year. There's
- 20:00Speaker 1: a certain level of interest earnings that they have to
- 20:03Speaker 1: have to survive, and we are going to test those
- 20:06Speaker 1: limits because of people like Janet Yellen and j Powell.
- 20:10Speaker 1: They just don't get it. You know, they're they're working
- 20:13Speaker 1: with a playbook that's twenty five years old. Yeah, but Chris,
- 20:16Speaker 1: I mean, you know, we're coming out of this pandemic.
- 20:18Speaker 1: It's all about getting the economy open. And these banks
- 20:21Speaker 1: are printing record profits. Nobody's going to cry for these guys. Well,
- 20:25Speaker 1: they're printing record gap profits. But if you back out
- 20:28Speaker 1: the low loss reserves, they're not doing that. Well, um,
- 20:32Speaker 1: look at again, look at the results if you take
- 20:35Speaker 1: that out, because remember that's last year's profits were counting.
- 20:38Speaker 1: Now that's not this year. Market stuff. I mean, you know,
- 20:42Speaker 1: the consolidation in the banking industry has resulted in five
- 20:45Speaker 1: six of these players just racking up numbers that and
- 20:47Speaker 1: I used to work on the street, we'd never even
- 20:49Speaker 1: think of these levels of profitability. Well, no, and and
- 20:53Speaker 1: thank God, because it is the transactional side of people
- 20:57Speaker 1: like Goldman and JP Morgan that's gonna save them temporarily
- 21:01Speaker 1: from quantitative easing, the the ill effects on net interest
- 21:05Speaker 1: margin and on the return on earning assets, which is
- 21:08Speaker 1: really all that matters with banks. You know, banks a
- 21:11Speaker 1: big portfolio. If they're not making money on their assets,
- 21:15Speaker 1: you can survive for a while when the FED pushes
- 21:17Speaker 1: the cost of funds down. The cost of funds for
- 21:20Speaker 1: the whole industry today is about eleven billion dollars for
- 21:24Speaker 1: twenty trillion dollars worth of assets. Think about that, and
- 21:28Speaker 1: that's just helping them look okay. So over the next
- 21:33Speaker 1: several quarters, the benefit of that cheap funding is gonna
- 21:36Speaker 1: eventually EBB and the the earnings on assets are falling
- 21:40Speaker 1: just as fast. So it's kind of a race to
- 21:43Speaker 1: the bottom right now on banks, the mid sized banks,
- 21:46Speaker 1: I mean, it could be an example the bank I
- 21:48Speaker 1: love Western Alliance that just bought a big mortgage company,
- 21:51Speaker 1: a Mara home from Apollo. They're gonna do okay because
- 21:55Speaker 1: the smaller banks have more pricing power. They're they're chasing
- 21:58Speaker 1: smaller loans. But the big banks, you know, they are
- 22:02Speaker 1: in a world a hurt right now because the competition
- 22:05Speaker 1: for large assets is global. Every private equity fund, every
- 22:09Speaker 1: sovereign fund, they're all chasing the same customers and so
- 22:13Speaker 1: JP Thank god they have capital markets. Is any of
- 22:17Speaker 1: the big banks positioned well to deal with this situation then,
- 22:20Speaker 1: Chris or do you look down? Um? The latter two,
- 22:25Speaker 1: the smaller, midsize and smaller banks look the best bank
- 22:31Speaker 1: in the top five as US bankrupt consistently, they have
- 22:34Speaker 1: actually been taking more losses in the other banks half,
- 22:37Speaker 1: which I see as a sign of strength. They're cleaning house.
- 22:41Speaker 1: There's a lot of forbearance on the street. So as
- 22:43Speaker 1: an analyst, when my clients asked me about these banks,
- 22:46Speaker 1: I tell them off. And I don't know because the
- 22:49Speaker 1: FED has countenanced forbearance on commercial credits, especially commercial real estate,
- 22:55Speaker 1: that I think we're going to regret. Because their hope
- 22:58Speaker 1: is that the economy bounces is yere. You know, people
- 23:01Speaker 1: go back to New York City, we start to see
- 23:03Speaker 1: utilization of commercial assets return. I'm not sure that's going
- 23:07Speaker 1: to happen. I think the ravage is right. I think
- 23:09Speaker 1: New York City is in trouble, and all the lenders
- 23:12Speaker 1: who have exposure to commercial real estate and cities like
- 23:15Speaker 1: New York, Chicago, Los Angeles. I think they've got a long,
- 23:19Speaker 1: long road ahead of them. Hey, Chris, thanks so much
- 23:21Speaker 1: for joining us to really appreciate your take on some
- 23:24Speaker 1: of these big bank earnings uh that we are dealing
- 23:27Speaker 1: with this morning, and also more to come later this week.
- 23:30Speaker 1: Chris Whalen. He is chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, based
- 23:34Speaker 1: in New York and getting some guy to here. Coin
- 23:35Speaker 1: Voice a coin base indicated to open at three and
- 23:37Speaker 1: at forty. We'll have more coming up now. I want
- 23:42Speaker 1: to get over to Bloomberg. Business Week reporter William Turton
- 23:45Speaker 1: has written a story with Joshua Bruce dun about a
- 23:49Speaker 1: kid really twenty three year old coder who kept q
- 23:54Speaker 1: and On online when no one else would. That's the
- 23:57Speaker 1: headline from your Business Week story. Um who is this kid?
- 24:02Speaker 1: He's not. He doesn't appear to be a white supremacist
- 24:05Speaker 1: or um a q and on follower? Um where did
- 24:10Speaker 1: you find him? Hi? Thanks for having me. Nick Limb
- 24:14Speaker 1: is the CEO and founder of a company called Bonmo Tech,
- 24:18Speaker 1: which is based in his hometown of Vancouver, Washington, and
- 24:21Speaker 1: they provide various web services. But most importantly they provide
- 24:26Speaker 1: a what's called the cd N service, which prevents websites
- 24:30Speaker 1: from being knocked offline by kind of malicious attacks. And
- 24:34Speaker 1: so you know, websites like eight coun and the Daily Stormer,
- 24:37Speaker 1: which is like white nationalist website, have been kind of
- 24:40Speaker 1: dropped by mainstream providers of that service, like cloud Player
- 24:43Speaker 1: for example. So Limb's company von Tech kind of steps
- 24:47Speaker 1: in to fill that void, and his clients, um, you know,
- 24:50Speaker 1: as far as we can tell, is a very small
- 24:52Speaker 1: amount of people who kind of run some of the
- 24:54Speaker 1: most extremist websites on the Internet, alright, So it kind
- 24:58Speaker 1: of goes to I think a lot of folks when
- 25:00Speaker 1: I think about uh technology and social media and the
- 25:04Speaker 1: spread of extremist views. I think obviously of the brand
- 25:07Speaker 1: names the facebooks of the world, but there's also, as
- 25:10Speaker 1: you point out in this Business Week story, there's a
- 25:12Speaker 1: lot of smaller players involved as well. This is is
- 25:15Speaker 1: more than just Facebook, right, and you know, there's this
- 25:20Speaker 1: kind of interesting debate going on right right now about
- 25:23Speaker 1: the platforming and social media censorship, right, But so what
- 25:27Speaker 1: if you take it a little further and think about,
- 25:29Speaker 1: you know, does someone have a right to have a
- 25:31Speaker 1: website even you know, even if it has kind of
- 25:33Speaker 1: the most abhorrent views um and limb is is kind
- 25:38Speaker 1: of you know, and what he explains as the maximum
- 25:41Speaker 1: for free speech. Um. And you know, he kind of
- 25:44Speaker 1: summed up his his ideology when it comes to this
- 25:47Speaker 1: issue to us, you know, very simply by just saying,
- 25:49Speaker 1: I don't care as long as it's not illegal in
- 25:51Speaker 1: the US. You know, he's happort it. But he believes
- 25:55Speaker 1: in free speech. Then you're saying, well, right, that's what
- 25:59Speaker 1: that's what he says that that I think how he
- 26:00Speaker 1: justifies you know, kind of exclusively offering his services to
- 26:05Speaker 1: you know, extremely far right uh websites, He exclusively offers
- 26:08Speaker 1: them to them or is he just the only one
- 26:11Speaker 1: that will accept them? Are you saying he actively white
- 26:15Speaker 1: supremacists that's true, Yes, he does. You know, we found
- 26:19Speaker 1: an instance where he you know, actively courted Andrew England,
- 26:23Speaker 1: who runs the white supremacy of website Daily Stormer, and
- 26:26Speaker 1: offered him free services. Um. But you know he claimed that,
- 26:33Speaker 1: you know, he offers his services to everyone, but the
- 26:36Speaker 1: only ones that we could find really were sites like
- 26:39Speaker 1: a coon in the Daily Stormer who else does this, um,
- 26:43Speaker 1: you know, I mean it's it's hard to believe that
- 26:45Speaker 1: this twenty three old with this small company is the
- 26:48Speaker 1: only one providing I guess technical support for some of
- 26:52Speaker 1: these extremist groups. Is is this a collection a lot
- 26:56Speaker 1: of small players out there, William? Well, you know, as
- 27:01Speaker 1: we know in the story cloud Flare it's still offer
- 27:04Speaker 1: services to sites that kind of have these extreme mists used, right.
- 27:07Speaker 1: They they've only really dropped support of certain sites um. Um,
- 27:12Speaker 1: you know, under a lot of kind of public scrutiny
- 27:14Speaker 1: and pressure, right and this is an extremely nuance and
- 27:16Speaker 1: complicated issue, which cloud Flaire has itself talked about. UM.
- 27:20Speaker 1: But you know, there's as far as I know, there's
- 27:23Speaker 1: there's no one really like Nick um, you know, considering
- 27:27Speaker 1: most people don't actually have problems using using mainstream providers
- 27:31Speaker 1: unless there's kind of a massive backlash that comes from it.
- 27:35Speaker 1: It's funny I would have thought you'd see in in
- 27:37Speaker 1: UM maybe Eastern Europe or Asia, the hosts of these
- 27:43Speaker 1: Q and on UM supportive websites. Now I say that, um,
- 27:48Speaker 1: William without thinking about Facebook and Twitter, which Paul mentioned
- 27:51Speaker 1: the top I don't obviously UM surf the web and
- 27:56Speaker 1: go to these little niche places. But I do see
- 27:59Speaker 1: these kind of weird views, I guess if I can.
- 28:02Speaker 1: I don't want to make a value judgment of it,
- 28:04Speaker 1: but I do see these kind of Q and on
- 28:05Speaker 1: views spreading across everyday Facebook pages, right, I mean, you
- 28:11Speaker 1: know the Facebook difficulty and moderating content has been well documented,
- 28:17Speaker 1: of course. I mean, I think it's just sort of interesting. Um,
- 28:20Speaker 1: you know how even if you try to d platform someone, right,
- 28:25Speaker 1: like if if cloud player stops offering its services, state Coon,
- 28:28Speaker 1: there's someone like Nick who can kind of build the gaps.
- 28:31Speaker 1: So it's really just a question of how hard these
- 28:33Speaker 1: sites want to try to keep themselves online. And then
- 28:36Speaker 1: you know, you're you're at a point where you're kind
- 28:38Speaker 1: of playing this cat and mouse game, right, and so
- 28:41Speaker 1: what effectively what are you doing? Right? You're kind of
- 28:43Speaker 1: chasing different sites to different service writers, but maybe you're
- 28:47Speaker 1: not actually kind of confronting the real question of the
- 28:50Speaker 1: content and how to how to address it, you know, societally.
- 28:55Speaker 1: So well, has there been any pushback on Nick Limmon
- 29:00Speaker 1: and his company van wall Tech? Has been any regulatory pushback,
- 29:03Speaker 1: legal pushback, um? Anything that might people try to stifle
- 29:08Speaker 1: his operation. Yeah, you know, we feature a researcher in
- 29:12Speaker 1: the story who kind of had made it a personal
- 29:15Speaker 1: mission of his too to disrupt Limb's operations. And so
- 29:20Speaker 1: he you know, found one of the providers that helped
- 29:24Speaker 1: provide Limbs his services and wrote them and they took
- 29:27Speaker 1: them offline. But you know, as I was just saying,
- 29:30Speaker 1: Nick quickly found someone else to to keep the services going.
- 29:33Speaker 1: So um, you know, there's always I think gonna be
- 29:39Speaker 1: someone that that will be able to offer this kind
- 29:41Speaker 1: of thing. I guess. I guess the question is is
- 29:43Speaker 1: he um is he helping to keep any illegal content
- 29:49Speaker 1: out there? I mean you mentioned, for example, not just
- 29:52Speaker 1: white supremacist websites, but there are also you know these
- 29:56Speaker 1: kind of four chan eight chan. I guess it's more
- 29:58Speaker 1: into eight coon now I can and keep up um.
- 30:01Speaker 1: They also that's intense at all. They also branch they
- 30:05Speaker 1: also branch into really uh illegal things like child pornography.
- 30:11Speaker 1: Right well a coon, you know fans shown pornography, or
- 30:16Speaker 1: at least it says it does, and and Limb is
- 30:18Speaker 1: very clear that you know, if if you know something
- 30:20Speaker 1: was illegal, he wouldn't support it. Right now, in practice,
- 30:24Speaker 1: what does that actually look like it's It's hard to tell, um,
- 30:27Speaker 1: But you know, I think these people aren't actually really
- 30:30Speaker 1: that interested in having much legal liability. They're they're more
- 30:33Speaker 1: interested in seeing how far they can push the First Amendment.
- 30:36Speaker 1: UM and uh, you know, as far as kind of
- 30:39Speaker 1: any regulatory illegal pushback, I mean, not much has been
- 30:43Speaker 1: written about Limb or his company, UM, and he actually
- 30:46Speaker 1: avoided a lot of scrutiny during the kind of peak
- 30:48Speaker 1: of Q and on. But you know, I am curious
- 30:50Speaker 1: to see what happens next. I don't anticipate any legal
- 30:54Speaker 1: regulatory perspect because Limb, you know, as far as I
- 30:56Speaker 1: can tell, isn't doing anything illegal. Interesting. William, thanks much
- 31:00Speaker 1: for bringing this this story. William Turton, cybersecurity reporter for
- 31:03Speaker 1: Bloomberg News. His story on a small part of the
- 31:08Speaker 1: Internet as but certainly a big part for some of
- 31:11Speaker 1: these extremist websites. You can find his story in this
- 31:15Speaker 1: week's edition of Bloomberg Business. Sweet Thanks for listening to
- 31:19Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen to
- 31:22Speaker 1: interviews with Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer.
- 31:27Speaker 1: I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt Miller three
- 31:31Speaker 1: put on fall Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney
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