Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | Yeah I Suck | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/23/26
Transcript
- 0:16Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
- 0:20Speaker 1: your chicks.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt.
- 0:22Speaker 1: Man, you look like a mist three teen Parlette turned
- 0:27Speaker 1: the dust in your head.
- 0:29Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like.
- 0:31Speaker 1: They made you this man.
- 0:33Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet?
- 0:35Speaker 3: Don't you fade from the floor, your name, steal me
- 0:39Speaker 3: something on somebody for show.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. Now, hold on,
- 0:51Speaker 1: hold on nothing.
- 0:54Speaker 3: Nice not now, hold on, Load on me, but it
- 1:10Speaker 3: don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on.
- 1:17Speaker 2: And stay with me. Now, what's up?
- 1:28Speaker 4: Birdbody's towed back with you with toadstool sports. My camera's
- 1:32Speaker 4: not behaving correctly here, probably because the TV's in the
- 1:36Speaker 4: background whatever, or my eyesight is just totally fucked up,
- 1:40Speaker 4: and it's so blurry that I think, no, there we go.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not my eyes. There we go. Am I
- 1:45Speaker 2: having another stroke? I have no idea. Maybe force some
- 1:50Speaker 2: blaze yesterday that did not go well. Well. I don't
- 1:52Speaker 2: think I forced them. I don't know.
- 1:54Speaker 4: Tampa would have been a winner if you played them
- 1:55Speaker 4: in the first five and they're winning the game two
- 1:57Speaker 4: to nothing in the fucking eighth inning. So I guess
- 2:01Speaker 4: we can't rely on their fucking bullpen because they blew
- 2:04Speaker 4: that game and lost it even though they had to
- 2:06Speaker 4: lead the entire game, so probably should have been a win.
- 2:10Speaker 4: It would have been if I limited it to first five.
- 2:12Speaker 4: Pisses me off. Yeah, kind of a bullshit loser on
- 2:17Speaker 4: that one. The other games not so much. I don't
- 2:22Speaker 4: know what to say about Pittsburgh Dodgers. A Schoobal had
- 2:25Speaker 4: a bad inning early in the game. It was three
- 2:26Speaker 4: nothing Pittsburgh, and I'm like, yeah, all right, we're not
- 2:30Speaker 4: gonna get this one. But then it was still three
- 2:32Speaker 4: nothing in the bottom or yeah, in the into the fourth,
- 2:35Speaker 4: into the top of the fourth, No, into the bottom
- 2:38Speaker 4: of the fourth, I'm like, okay, yeah, we have three
- 2:40Speaker 4: more half innings to go.
- 2:42Speaker 2: Get this done. Man, just don't allow another run. One
- 2:45Speaker 2: more run would.
- 2:46Speaker 4: Have been a push, which I guess I would have accepted, but.
- 2:51Speaker 2: You know, there's a chance that's still gonna win.
- 2:53Speaker 4: And then no, Jared Jones loses it and he gives
- 2:56Speaker 4: up two runs in each the fourth and the fifth
- 2:59Speaker 4: innings and we lose that one big time. Then the
- 3:03Speaker 4: WNBA game, I don't know what to say about that.
- 3:07Speaker 4: Phoenix had a huge deficit and they overcame it and
- 3:10Speaker 4: they got to within the spread to start the fourth quarter.
- 3:13Speaker 4: They had a huge third quarter, so I think they
- 3:15Speaker 4: were down fifteen at the half. They cut it to
- 3:17Speaker 4: five I think at the beginning of the fourth quarter,
- 3:20Speaker 4: and it looked like everything was kind of trending in
- 3:22Speaker 4: the right direction. They did have a huge free throw
- 3:25Speaker 4: to Sverity in the game, and that's not a good sign.
- 3:27Speaker 4: When you have a huge free throw to Sparity and
- 3:29Speaker 4: you still lose the game, that means you're doing other
- 3:32Speaker 4: things poorly, which in this case they shot really poorly.
- 3:36Speaker 2: But they also had fewer field.
- 3:37Speaker 4: Goal attempts in the game, which I considered to not
- 3:40Speaker 4: be a good sign. They actually won the rebound battle, though,
- 3:43Speaker 4: so it wasn't all necessarily as bad as it looked
- 3:48Speaker 4: on the.
- 3:48Speaker 2: Scoreboard for Phoenix.
- 3:49Speaker 4: Still, I think it was probably the wrong call though,
- 3:53Speaker 4: and they wound up not covering.
- 3:55Speaker 2: Obviously.
- 3:56Speaker 4: I can't get anything right in the WNBA. Do not
- 3:59Speaker 4: listen to me. We're not gonna have a winning season
- 4:01Speaker 4: at WNBA at this point. I'm two games below five hundred,
- 4:04Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure now, and a lot of those losses
- 4:06Speaker 4: are bullshit. I think it's just too much to overcome
- 4:09Speaker 4: at this point. There's only a month left in the season.
- 4:13Speaker 4: I'm gonna give out a play today and you know
- 4:15Speaker 4: it's gonna lose.
- 4:15Speaker 2: So don't listen to me. Do not listen to anything
- 4:19Speaker 2: that I have to say here.
- 4:21Speaker 4: Baseball first game up? Oh yeah, how about it playing baseball.
- 4:24Speaker 4: I'm sure this one will win. Yeah, uh no, this
- 4:32Speaker 4: is don't listen to me.
- 4:34Speaker 2: Man.
- 4:34Speaker 4: We're gonna take Saint Louis Philadelphia under the eight. Yeah,
- 4:37Speaker 4: We're going full game on this.
- 4:39Speaker 2: Even though I.
- 4:39Speaker 4: Don't really love these bullpens, the bullpens are at least rested.
- 4:43Speaker 4: Saint Louis only is one guy out of their bullpen
- 4:45Speaker 4: Yesterday's they have their choice of relievers basically today. Philadelphia
- 4:50Speaker 4: kind of the same deal for them, like their better
- 4:52Speaker 4: relievers are available today.
- 4:54Speaker 2: So I think we can go full game on this.
- 4:57Speaker 2: Philadelphia is.
- 4:58Speaker 4: I mean, the game was a blowout yesterday, so that's
- 5:00Speaker 4: why you had just relievers that are not high leverage
- 5:04Speaker 4: getting into the game yesterday. So sometimes that will give
- 5:06Speaker 4: you a setup where if not a lot of relief
- 5:09Speaker 4: arms came into the game, it'll be a setup where
- 5:12Speaker 4: the high leverage arms will all be available.
- 5:14Speaker 2: That's what we have here. Philadelphia is hot right now.
- 5:16Speaker 4: They've won eight games in a row, on the verge
- 5:19Speaker 4: of sweeping this series, and of course, when I talk
- 5:22Speaker 4: about that, I do say that a lot of times
- 5:24Speaker 4: you want to look towards the other team, look towards
- 5:26Speaker 4: the team trying to avoid the sweep Philadelphia. One of
- 5:30Speaker 4: the questions would be, do they have a look ahead here?
- 5:32Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 5:33Speaker 4: Maybe, I mean, they have a road trip starting tomorrow
- 5:36Speaker 4: where they have to go to Seattle, seems like, or
- 5:38Speaker 4: that's at least Tuesday. Maybe they might have the day
- 5:40Speaker 4: off tomorrow. Actually they're playing Seattle next though. Having to
- 5:45Speaker 4: travel up to the Pacific coast maybe not great for
- 5:47Speaker 4: them there. So yeah, I mean, you could make the
- 5:50Speaker 4: argument that maybe you could look towards Saint Louis here,
- 5:52Speaker 4: but you have to fade a really good picture on
- 5:55Speaker 4: the side of Philadelphia here. So I don't really want
- 5:57Speaker 4: to do that. But I am going to look at
- 5:59Speaker 4: the under in this game instead, the Bullpens. I mean,
- 6:03Speaker 4: I think they're at least in a manageable situation here.
- 6:06Speaker 4: Philadelphia is eighteenth, Saint Louis is twenty first, They're not
- 6:10Speaker 4: like the absolute worst bullpens, so I'll leave them in
- 6:15Speaker 4: hopefully they don't blow it. But of course I'm also
- 6:17Speaker 4: gonna hope that the starters, especially Phillies, can kind of
- 6:20Speaker 4: get us a bit deeper into this game as well,
- 6:24Speaker 4: So we'll extend the game here. And sometimes when you
- 6:27Speaker 4: shorten the game, like the room for error becomes less,
- 6:30Speaker 4: you know what I mean. But if you wanted to
- 6:31Speaker 4: take a first five on this, you could probably find
- 6:34Speaker 4: a four out there at a pretty good price, So
- 6:36Speaker 4: I wouldn't disagree with that if you went first five
- 6:40Speaker 4: under here. Hitting wise, these teams are not excellent, although
- 6:45Speaker 4: Philly's been good recently and they are better at home.
- 6:48Speaker 2: They're up to fifteenth.
- 6:49Speaker 4: Saint Louis is twenty fourth, tied with the Mets and
- 6:52Speaker 4: the Reds, So I think a Phillies tied with with Arizona,
- 6:57Speaker 4: I think that you could potentially fade offenses yere. But
- 7:00Speaker 4: I'm gonna get the starting pitching Kyle Lay. I mean,
- 7:03Speaker 4: this guy is actually in pretty good form right now,
- 7:05Speaker 4: believe it or not, after he looked really bad at
- 7:08Speaker 4: the beginning of the season. Three point two to four
- 7:10Speaker 4: era is good, although this one point three to one
- 7:12Speaker 4: whip is not really that good. He is a little
- 7:15Speaker 4: bit worse on the road three point six to one
- 7:17Speaker 4: Roady Ray, but it's not something that's necessarily that bad.
- 7:21Speaker 2: His splits are not really that significant.
- 7:23Speaker 4: Saint Louis has won his last three starts, and he's
- 7:26Speaker 4: been good over those starts this month. He has a
- 7:28Speaker 4: really crazy twenty to zero strikeout walk raceio this month,
- 7:32Speaker 4: so his command is definitely on point here in the
- 7:35Speaker 4: three starts this month. He is only going exactly five
- 7:38Speaker 4: innings in these starts, but I think it's more kind
- 7:41Speaker 4: of about the pitch count.
- 7:42Speaker 2: So again, yeah, if.
- 7:43Speaker 4: You wanted to go first five on this, I'm not
- 7:45Speaker 4: gonna really disagree with that either. But yeah, he was
- 7:47Speaker 4: good in all those starts. The bullpen didn't really hurt
- 7:50Speaker 4: him either. Behind him, they won all three of those games.
- 7:53Speaker 4: Like I said, he got to win in all three
- 7:56Speaker 4: and he has only allowed three runs across those fifth
- 8:00Speaker 4: teen innings this month, and in fact, he has not
- 8:01Speaker 4: allowed more than touring runs in a start going all
- 8:04Speaker 4: the way back into mid June, so he's been really
- 8:07Speaker 4: good for a while now. His hit rate is still
- 8:11Speaker 4: too high though he's still a bit too hit a
- 8:13Speaker 4: but he doesn't really walk that many guys.
- 8:15Speaker 2: His strikeout rate is okay, but I think this is
- 8:17Speaker 2: good enough to.
- 8:19Speaker 4: Get us a decent amount of the way here towards this.
- 8:22Speaker 4: Under his overall numbers, his strik out walker ratio is
- 8:26Speaker 4: actually pretty decent because he doesn't walk too many guys.
- 8:29Speaker 4: His strikeout up for nine is all right. Against Philly,
- 8:33Speaker 4: he does do okay in thirty four at bats two
- 8:36Speaker 4: sixty five average allowed but a pretty low six eighteen ops,
- 8:39Speaker 4: nine strikeouts, no walks, so he'said good command when he's
- 8:43Speaker 4: pitched against Philly, and they have not done a ton
- 8:46Speaker 4: of extra base damage against him, So I like that.
- 8:49Speaker 4: And of course I am also back in Christopher Sanchez
- 8:52Speaker 4: on the other side here, who I think is going
- 8:54Speaker 4: to do more of the heavy lifting as far as
- 8:56Speaker 4: this under his concern two point five one era to
- 9:00Speaker 4: whip for him really good at home one point four
- 9:03Speaker 4: to homiere. His swits are definitely more significant and he
- 9:07Speaker 4: is definitely better at home, so we're going to back
- 9:09Speaker 4: him there here.
- 9:10Speaker 2: He's pitching well recently as well.
- 9:12Speaker 4: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every start
- 9:14Speaker 4: going all the way back to that one bad start
- 9:17Speaker 4: that he had right before the All Star break.
- 9:18Speaker 2: He's been good since then. For the most part.
- 9:21Speaker 4: His walk rate has gone up a little bit recently,
- 9:25Speaker 4: he's been more hittable than he usually is this year.
- 9:28Speaker 4: I think he's changed something because he used.
- 9:30Speaker 2: To have walk issues.
- 9:32Speaker 4: This year his walk number is actually quite low and
- 9:34Speaker 4: his strike gout rate is really high, So it seems
- 9:36Speaker 4: like he's changed some things. He's pitching maybe a little
- 9:39Speaker 4: bit more to contact potentially. Whatever he's doing, though it
- 9:43Speaker 4: is working. He's facing a week Saint Louis lineup, hearing
- 9:46Speaker 4: they do not do well against him in thirty nine
- 9:48Speaker 4: at bats one seventy nine average, four ninety five ops,
- 9:52Speaker 4: sixteen to three strike out walk ratio. So I don't
- 9:57Speaker 4: think that Sanchez should do poorly here. Well to take
- 10:00Speaker 4: the under here in this one, money seems like it
- 10:02Speaker 4: agrees with it. Sixty seven percent of tickets on the over,
- 10:05Speaker 4: fifty five percent of the cash on the over, so
- 10:08Speaker 4: it does look like the money is somewhat indicating against
- 10:11Speaker 4: what seems to be a little bit of a public
- 10:13Speaker 4: over here. Money also indicating against Philly ninety one percent
- 10:17Speaker 4: of tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash on them
- 10:19Speaker 4: at about minus two to ten or so, there are
- 10:23Speaker 4: probably arguments for him. I could see an argument for
- 10:25Speaker 4: taking Saint Louis plus like the half run or something
- 10:28Speaker 4: in the first five if you think lay he can
- 10:30Speaker 4: kind of battle against Sanchez here. Maybe he candle though
- 10:34Speaker 4: he's not the better pitcher obviously, but if you think
- 10:37Speaker 4: Saint Louis might be.
- 10:37Speaker 2: Able to hang around, it's gonna be a lower scoring game.
- 10:41Speaker 2: A Saint Louis like run.
- 10:42Speaker 4: Line play is like not totally out of the question,
- 10:45Speaker 4: you know, And they're guaranteed to bat at all nine innings,
- 10:49Speaker 4: So there you go, because they're the road team. I
- 10:52Speaker 4: think that's pretty much all I got on that one.
- 10:54Speaker 4: But also Saint Louis again possibly extra motivated to try
- 10:58Speaker 4: to avoid the suitep there, although phil there were then
- 11:01Speaker 4: three games of Atlanta now in their division, so Philly
- 11:04Speaker 4: could actually still overtake Atlanta and their division, which is
- 11:07Speaker 4: an insane thought. And I still think Philly is overrated,
- 11:11Speaker 4: but they do have three really good starting pitchers, and
- 11:14Speaker 4: Sanchez is one of them.
- 11:16Speaker 1: All right.
- 11:16Speaker 4: Tampa Bay Baltimore, this is another series where there's a
- 11:21Speaker 4: team trying to avoid a sweep and it is Tampa Bay.
- 11:24Speaker 4: They should have won for US yesterday man two nothing
- 11:27Speaker 4: in the eighth inning and they blow the fucking game.
- 11:30Speaker 2: Not happy about that at all.
- 11:32Speaker 4: As far as trying to get shipped right on the
- 11:34Speaker 4: show here, Yeah, but Tampa Bay might be a little
- 11:39Speaker 4: bit extra motivated here to try to avoid the sweep.
- 11:41Speaker 4: Baltimore is not really going to overlook them, though, I
- 11:43Speaker 4: wouldn't imagine because this is a big divisional series. Baltimore
- 11:46Speaker 4: only plays Saint Louis next, so I think Baltimore will
- 11:49Speaker 4: have more focus on this game. Still, at the very least,
- 11:53Speaker 4: they get a chance to spoil some of the party.
- 11:56Speaker 2: For a divisional foe. Tampa Bay used four relief pitch yesterday.
- 12:01Speaker 4: Baltimore used four as well, although, of course, as a
- 12:05Speaker 4: Red Sox fan, the Red Sox pulled that game out
- 12:07Speaker 4: of their ast yesterday while the Yankees and Rays both
- 12:11Speaker 4: lost yesterday, so the Red Sox did gain a game
- 12:14Speaker 4: on both of them yesterday.
- 12:15Speaker 2: But whatever.
- 12:17Speaker 4: Bullpen wise, these bullpens are closely matched. I think Tampa
- 12:21Speaker 4: Bay ranks out higher. They're number four, Baltimore is. This
- 12:25Speaker 4: is based on whip Baltimore is. Where are they somewhere
- 12:29Speaker 4: in the middle. I think, I don't Why don't I
- 12:31Speaker 4: see them? Where the hell is Baltimore?
- 12:33Speaker 2: What?
- 12:34Speaker 3: Oh?
- 12:34Speaker 2: They're tenth there? They are? Yeah, but Baltimore's rays a
- 12:38Speaker 2: little bit better. I don't know.
- 12:39Speaker 4: I think the bullpens are closely matched, kind of close
- 12:42Speaker 4: usage there. Tampa Bay is sixth offensively. They're not as
- 12:46Speaker 4: good on the road though, Tampa Bay in general. Baltimore
- 12:49Speaker 4: eighteenth offensively, but Tampa does appear to have the edge
- 12:52Speaker 4: there as well.
- 12:53Speaker 2: Nick Martinez is pitching for Tampa Bay.
- 12:56Speaker 4: He's got the better numbers this year, though the advanced
- 12:58Speaker 4: analytics guys, as I keep saying, really don't like him
- 13:01Speaker 4: because he doesn't strike guys out. But he's been a
- 13:04Speaker 4: pretty effective pitcher this year, and his entire career hasn't
- 13:07Speaker 4: been that bad. So I don't think he's as bad
- 13:11Speaker 4: as the advanced analytics guys make him seem, although they
- 13:14Speaker 4: will say he's not as good as his numbers make
- 13:15Speaker 4: him look.
- 13:16Speaker 2: That's probably true. But good season for him.
- 13:18Speaker 4: Three point zero five ERA, one point one four Whip,
- 13:21Speaker 4: He's been really good on the road, two point one
- 13:24Speaker 4: four roadyra So he is a guy you could back
- 13:26Speaker 4: on the road. Wasn't good in his last outing though,
- 13:29Speaker 4: at home against Toronto, so his current form maybe a
- 13:33Speaker 4: little bit in question here. That was not a good
- 13:35Speaker 4: start against a very weak Toronto offense. I don't know
- 13:38Speaker 4: what went wrong in that game. But he's pitching well
- 13:42Speaker 4: command wise here. He's not really walking anybody. He's a
- 13:45Speaker 4: little bit too hittable, though he does pitch to contact
- 13:48Speaker 4: because he's not a strikeout guy. His hit rate is average,
- 13:51Speaker 4: I would say this year, but he doesn't really walk anybody.
- 13:54Speaker 4: His strikeout rate is low, but his walk rate is
- 13:56Speaker 4: so low that his strikeout walk ratios pretty good. His
- 14:01Speaker 4: strike up for nine is definitely low, though, one of
- 14:03Speaker 4: the lowest that he's posted in his career. Actually still
- 14:07Speaker 4: having an effective season anyway, though, and he's been good
- 14:10Speaker 4: on the road, and he's good against Baltimore, but been
- 14:12Speaker 4: in a small sample thirteen at bats, five hitters of
- 14:15Speaker 4: face him only one extra base hit Pete Alonzo home run,
- 14:19Speaker 4: and in fact, Alonso has both hits the Baltimore has
- 14:23Speaker 4: against Martinez. By the way, I forgot to mention, there
- 14:27Speaker 4: was that really bad call the other day in that
- 14:29Speaker 4: Baltimore Yankee game where Pete Alonzo clearly.
- 14:32Speaker 2: Hit a home run and it went over the foul pole.
- 14:34Speaker 4: But if you look at the all the diagrams and stuff,
- 14:37Speaker 4: and you slow it down and you look at the
- 14:38Speaker 4: right angles.
- 14:39Speaker 2: It was clearly a fair ball. It was it should
- 14:41Speaker 2: have been a solo home run, and the Yankees won
- 14:44Speaker 2: that game by two, so I don't know if it
- 14:46Speaker 2: really mattered, but they called it foul even I think
- 14:49Speaker 2: upon review that was a terrible call. But whatever.
- 14:54Speaker 4: Anyway, Martine's overall does do well against Baltimore one fifty
- 14:58Speaker 4: four average allowed six to fifty one h ps, four
- 15:00Speaker 4: to two strikeout walk ratio. Shane boz is pitching for Baltimore.
- 15:06Speaker 4: He's been okay for the most part. Four point two
- 15:09Speaker 4: ERA one point three to five whip isn't really that good.
- 15:12Speaker 4: Better ERA at home three point seven four, but his
- 15:15Speaker 4: opponent of batting average is a lot worse at home,
- 15:17Speaker 4: believe it or not, so he's getting out of some jams.
- 15:20Speaker 4: It looks like at home two to eighty opponent batting
- 15:22Speaker 4: average at home that isn't great. He's coming up a
- 15:26Speaker 4: pretty good start against the Yankees or he had a
- 15:27Speaker 4: ton of strikeouts, although wound up losing the game and
- 15:31Speaker 4: got no run support.
- 15:32Speaker 2: But it was a good start for him. Against the Yankees.
- 15:35Speaker 4: He's got a pretty strong twenty five to five strike
- 15:37Speaker 4: out walk ratio this month, so he's striking guys out
- 15:40Speaker 4: right now, not really walking a lot of guys. Three
- 15:42Speaker 4: out of the four of his starts this month have
- 15:44Speaker 4: been good. He's been more good than bad over the
- 15:48Speaker 4: past couple of months. His hit rate is still too
- 15:51Speaker 4: high on the season, his walk rate is okay, his
- 15:53Speaker 4: strike out rate is okay, so a lot of mediocre
- 15:56Speaker 4: to hear again, a mediocres strike out walker ratio as well,
- 16:00Speaker 4: and strike up for nine and strike up for nine
- 16:02Speaker 4: actually lower than it has been mostly throughout his career,
- 16:06Speaker 4: so his strike out rates a little bit lower this
- 16:08Speaker 4: year for whatever reason. Against the Rays, he's been pretty
- 16:11Speaker 4: good and forty six at bats one ninety six average
- 16:14Speaker 4: allowed five to seventy one ohps, fifteen to six strike
- 16:17Speaker 4: out walk ratio. Not the greatest ratio, But I think
- 16:21Speaker 4: this game is an under man. That's the way I
- 16:23Speaker 4: would play it. This almost made the cut for me.
- 16:26Speaker 4: I'm gonna talk about it. I think I have two
- 16:28Speaker 4: games that just missed the cut for me. This is
- 16:31Speaker 4: one of them. And I started this out what am
- 16:33Speaker 4: I gonna say under in every game today? The totals
- 16:36Speaker 4: high in this one though, it's it's a nine, which
- 16:39Speaker 4: the osmakers are kind of indicating to you that they
- 16:41Speaker 4: think it's gonna be a higher scoring game.
- 16:43Speaker 2: I don't know about that. And if you wanted to
- 16:44Speaker 2: limit this to first five.
- 16:46Speaker 4: If you don't trust the bullpens enough, that might be
- 16:49Speaker 4: an okay way of doing that too, although I think
- 16:51Speaker 4: the bullpens are okay and the starters might be able
- 16:54Speaker 4: to get you a decent amount of the way there.
- 16:56Speaker 4: First five under makes some sense as well though, and
- 17:00Speaker 4: you'll probably get a four and a half on that.
- 17:03Speaker 4: But yeah, the high total worries me a little bit
- 17:05Speaker 4: about the under because the oddsmakers seem to think it
- 17:07Speaker 4: might be a bit of a higher scoring game.
- 17:10Speaker 2: Money is backing the under.
- 17:12Speaker 4: It looks like though seventy nine percent of tickets ninety
- 17:14Speaker 4: percent of the cash on the under. That is how
- 17:16Speaker 4: I play it. I'd go under either full game or
- 17:19Speaker 4: first five. I was thinking full game because you get
- 17:22Speaker 4: that you're on that key number of nine, So getting
- 17:25Speaker 4: under that, it's it's not really a number that I
- 17:28Speaker 4: typically play an under with, but you get on that
- 17:30Speaker 4: key number nine at the very least money, also indicating
- 17:35Speaker 4: a Baltimore seventy percent of tickets on Tampa sixty nine
- 17:38Speaker 4: percent of the cash on Baltimore.
- 17:40Speaker 2: I don't think I agree with that.
- 17:42Speaker 4: Even though Tampa is not that good on the road,
- 17:44Speaker 4: I think Tampa trying to avoid the suitep maybe a
- 17:46Speaker 4: little extra motivated. Martinez is better on the road than
- 17:50Speaker 4: boz Is at home. I think got slightly lean Tampa,
- 17:54Speaker 4: But I think the under is the better way to
- 17:56Speaker 4: look in that game.
- 17:58Speaker 2: Toronto and the Yankees could be an under here, man.
- 18:02Speaker 4: I mean, this has been a pretty low scoring series,
- 18:04Speaker 4: and the last time he Seems played not long ago.
- 18:07Speaker 4: Every game I think in that series went under. They're
- 18:11Speaker 4: playing a lot of low scoring games here. These are
- 18:12Speaker 4: offenses that are not doing well right now. This is
- 18:16Speaker 4: a split series. As Dylan cees, this game yesterday was
- 18:21Speaker 4: way more lopsided towards the Blue Jays than it looked.
- 18:24Speaker 4: Dylan Sees had a no hitter into the seventh inning
- 18:26Speaker 4: and then the bullpen almost blew it for him. And
- 18:28Speaker 4: if you look at the hits, Toronto's offense should have
- 18:32Speaker 4: put up more runs here. They out hit the Yankees
- 18:34Speaker 4: yesterday fifteen to four, and they only won the game
- 18:37Speaker 4: four to three.
- 18:38Speaker 2: That is ridiculous.
- 18:39Speaker 4: Toronto was stranding base runners all over the place in
- 18:43Speaker 4: the game, kind of like the Red Sox. I think
- 18:47Speaker 4: two days ago the Red Sox were just awful. Was
- 18:51Speaker 4: stranding base runners. I think it was two days it was, no,
- 18:53Speaker 4: it was it yesterday.
- 18:54Speaker 2: It was two days ago.
- 18:55Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure the Red Sox had a game where
- 18:57Speaker 4: I think the strand did ten base runners or something
- 19:02Speaker 4: and had they were like one for their first thirteen
- 19:05Speaker 4: at the runners of scoring position or something like that.
- 19:07Speaker 2: Whatever.
- 19:09Speaker 4: Anyway, this game could be another under here Toronto and
- 19:13Speaker 4: the Yankees here. That would be the way I'd been
- 19:14Speaker 4: leaning here in this one. Although Toronto put up more
- 19:17Speaker 4: offense than it looked like yesterday, that team, their offense.
- 19:20Speaker 2: Just can't put up runs generally. Though.
- 19:23Speaker 4: Yankees used three relieve pitchers yesterday, Toronto used three as well.
- 19:28Speaker 4: Yankees do have the higher ranked bullpen, they're number three,
- 19:31Speaker 4: they're number two in era. Toronto's not too bad at sixteen,
- 19:35Speaker 4: and they do have a good closer who did get
- 19:37Speaker 4: them to save yesterday Varland, but I believe he'll be
- 19:40Speaker 4: unavailable today because of that, probably maybe not.
- 19:43Speaker 2: You never know. Yankees' offense struggling.
- 19:46Speaker 4: Man, they're nineteenth in offense right now and Toronto is
- 19:51Speaker 4: that's over the course of the season, and Toronto's twenty seventh. Yeah,
- 19:55Speaker 4: we're looking at some offenses that haven't been doing well.
- 19:57Speaker 4: The pitching in this game looks decent to me. Jose
- 20:01Speaker 4: Soriano is pitching for Toronto. Pretty good season for him
- 20:04Speaker 4: for him, three point two to three RA, one point
- 20:07Speaker 4: two to six WHIP and what we know about him,
- 20:10Speaker 4: he's usually good on the road two point nine to
- 20:12Speaker 4: six roady RA this year, that's pretty good.
- 20:15Speaker 2: He's been good with Toronto. He's made three starts with
- 20:18Speaker 2: them so far. He's allowed three or fewer earned.
- 20:21Speaker 4: Runs and all of them his walk rate hasn't really
- 20:24Speaker 4: been that good. His strike cut rate has been down
- 20:26Speaker 4: a bit in those starts, but he's been somewhat effective
- 20:29Speaker 4: and Toronto has won all three of those games, even
- 20:31Speaker 4: though they're not a team that can hit so although
- 20:34Speaker 4: they have backed him with some runs in those games though,
- 20:37Speaker 4: so he's getting run support. But overall low hit rate,
- 20:41Speaker 4: decent strike cut rate that's gone down recently, though walk
- 20:45Speaker 4: rate is too high, so Soriano kind of struggling with
- 20:48Speaker 4: the walks.
- 20:48Speaker 2: That is usually his main issue is the walks.
- 20:52Speaker 4: His strikeout walk ratio is actually kind of bad because
- 20:55Speaker 4: of that, his walk rate is definitely too high. His
- 20:57Speaker 4: strike up for nine is pretty good this year as well,
- 21:00Speaker 4: although it's gone down with Toronto for whatever reason. But
- 21:03Speaker 4: it's a small sample size. Soriano has been decent against
- 21:06Speaker 4: the Yankees and thirty at bats, a lot of strikeouts
- 21:09Speaker 4: eleven three walks, two sixty seven average seven to thirty
- 21:13Speaker 4: three ops. So I think Siriano matches up okay. Here,
- 21:17Speaker 4: Carlos Redon is pitching for the Yankees. He's making his
- 21:21Speaker 4: second start since coming back from injury. He's been decent
- 21:25Speaker 4: over the course of the season. A short season for
- 21:27Speaker 4: him though, three point two to two ERA, one point
- 21:29Speaker 4: two to three WHIP.
- 21:30Speaker 2: He's been pretty good at home two.
- 21:32Speaker 4: Point eight one ERA at home is one start when
- 21:36Speaker 4: he came back from injury. We got to win with
- 21:38Speaker 4: that on the show with the Yankees against Baltimore.
- 21:42Speaker 2: Yankees.
- 21:43Speaker 4: A bullpen came in and did a lot of work
- 21:45Speaker 4: behind Rodon because he was limited.
- 21:47Speaker 2: They limited his pitch count. He went four innings.
- 21:49Speaker 4: He did Okay, nothing spectacular, but a decent way to
- 21:53Speaker 4: get back into the swing of things. You know, now
- 21:55Speaker 4: that he's on schedule again, I think he might pitch
- 21:58Speaker 4: well here. He gets a pretty easy match up against
- 22:00Speaker 4: Toronto as far as radon.
- 22:02Speaker 2: He's not allowing many hits at all.
- 22:03Speaker 4: He is walking too many guys, though, and his strikeout
- 22:06Speaker 4: rate is pretty good, so his issue is also the walks.
- 22:09Speaker 4: His strike out walk ratio isn't really that good because
- 22:12Speaker 4: the walks are too many.
- 22:14Speaker 2: Streke up for nine is pretty good.
- 22:17Speaker 4: Numbers against Toronto are not as good as you would think, though,
- 22:20Speaker 4: one hundred and seven at bats to seventy one average,
- 22:22Speaker 4: eight thirty three ohps, twenty five to sixteen strike out
- 22:26Speaker 4: walk ratio, So he actually struggles against Toronto and vlad
- 22:29Speaker 4: Guerrero just absolutely destroys him. Clement does pretty well as well,
- 22:35Speaker 4: but it's really just those two guys. If you want
- 22:37Speaker 4: a player prop, though, I'd recommend hits US runs plus
- 22:40Speaker 4: RBIs over. I know people love to go over because
- 22:44Speaker 4: it's more fun, but I find I don't do props really,
- 22:47Speaker 4: but I would find a situation like this where you
- 22:49Speaker 4: have a guy that just absolutely wrecks a particular picture,
- 22:52Speaker 4: and it's in a big sample. Guerrero is twelve for
- 22:55Speaker 4: nineteen off of Redon with three doubles, two home runs,
- 23:00Speaker 4: then walks and no strikeouts.
- 23:02Speaker 2: That's unbelievable.
- 23:04Speaker 4: But this Toronto lineup is still ass Guerrero, by the way,
- 23:08Speaker 4: I believe he has no home runs on the road
- 23:11Speaker 4: this year, although I know they're at home here, but
- 23:13Speaker 4: let me is that right?
- 23:14Speaker 2: I think that might be right? Let me say, I'm.
- 23:16Speaker 4: Looking at his splits right now. There was some really
- 23:18Speaker 4: crazy stat that I saw. He just hasn't hit like
- 23:21Speaker 4: any home runs this year. Oh no, I want to
- 23:25Speaker 4: see his splits. Yeah, I'm just interested.
- 23:30Speaker 2: Let me see home.
- 23:35Speaker 4: Yeah zero Yeah, zero home runs at home this year?
- 23:39Speaker 4: Absolutely insane and they're at home here, so maybe maybe
- 23:43Speaker 4: you don't want to take him runs with his RBIs
- 23:46Speaker 4: or I don't know what's going on with him this year.
- 23:48Speaker 2: Man.
- 23:49Speaker 4: Yeah, zero home runs for him at home is unbelievable.
- 23:54Speaker 4: Pretty much not a good season for Toronto. But yeah,
- 23:57Speaker 4: I my I think on this game was under but
- 24:01Speaker 4: the money is indicating on the over fifty five percent
- 24:04Speaker 4: of tickets on the under, sixty one percent of the
- 24:06Speaker 4: cash on the over total's fairly low at eight seven
- 24:10Speaker 4: and a half. Somewhere between those two numbers, money is
- 24:13Speaker 4: indicating on Toronto, and I don't disagree with that. Sixty
- 24:17Speaker 4: eight percent of tickets on the Yankees seventy seven percent
- 24:19Speaker 4: of the cash on Toronto Yankees are in the minus
- 24:22Speaker 4: one thirty something range. Given that Soriano's generally good on
- 24:25Speaker 4: the road and he has better matchup numbers than Redone does,
- 24:30Speaker 4: Toronto makes some sense. I would say in the first
- 24:32Speaker 4: five again, which I said yesterday to and that was correct,
- 24:35Speaker 4: and Toronto's bullpen almost blew it after. I think they
- 24:39Speaker 4: were up three to nothing or something at the end
- 24:41Speaker 4: of five, maybe two nothing, But yeah, Toronto first five
- 24:44Speaker 4: is worth a look again in this one, I would
- 24:46Speaker 4: say maybe that's better than the under actually, given what
- 24:49Speaker 4: the matchup numbers look like. So yeah, I lean under,
- 24:52Speaker 4: But maybe Toronto first five is a better play in
- 24:55Speaker 4: that game. I don't know, Dirty Sock, what's up? Thanks
- 24:59Speaker 4: for hanging out all right, Washington, Miami. This game does
- 25:06Speaker 4: not look like it has a particularly good pitching matchup here.
- 25:09Speaker 4: Miami is on the verge of a sweep, Washington looking
- 25:13Speaker 4: like they might finally be packing it in Man. This
- 25:15Speaker 4: Washington offense kind of starting to struggle at bit here,
- 25:18Speaker 4: even though they've been one of the top offenses this year.
- 25:21Speaker 4: Is Miami gonna overlook them though, I'm not so sure,
- 25:23Speaker 4: because Miami's trying to make the playoffs, so they kind
- 25:26Speaker 4: of have to playoffs because they kind of have to
- 25:28Speaker 4: be motivated in all these games, so they.
- 25:33Speaker 2: Might not overlook Washington as a divisional opponent.
- 25:36Speaker 4: Miami does play Boston next, I don't know if that's
- 25:38Speaker 4: going to be a big deal or not. I don't
- 25:41Speaker 4: know if they're going to look ahead to that really possibly,
- 25:44Speaker 4: but Washington, they do fall into a spot where you
- 25:47Speaker 4: might get an extra motivated team trying to avoid the
- 25:49Speaker 4: sweep here. Washington's bullpen is definitely the inferior of the two,
- 25:54Speaker 4: although they only use two guys out of the bullpen
- 25:56Speaker 4: yesterday Miami used four. But Miami is the better bull
- 26:00Speaker 4: They ranked sixth, although I don't think they're that good.
- 26:03Speaker 4: Washington is twenty fifth, though Washington one of the worst bullpens.
- 26:07Speaker 4: Miami is ninth, offensively tied with the White Sox. Washington
- 26:11Speaker 4: is third, although they've been a little bit worse recently.
- 26:14Speaker 4: Like I said, but still definitely a capable offense, and
- 26:18Speaker 4: they might get something going in this game because this
- 26:20Speaker 4: pitching matchup. Yeah, man, Jackson Kent just pitching for Washington.
- 26:25Speaker 4: He's probably not as bad as these numbers look. Nine
- 26:28Speaker 4: point three to ninety RA, two point four to eight
- 26:30Speaker 4: whip obviously that's really bad, and twelve point two to
- 26:34Speaker 4: seven Roady Ra is really bad. But he's only made
- 26:36Speaker 4: two starts so far in his career, so I don't
- 26:40Speaker 4: know what you can really gauge from this. It's a
- 26:42Speaker 4: small sample, but I don't think he's trustworthy right now.
- 26:45Speaker 4: I'll tell you that he hasn't gone more than four
- 26:47Speaker 4: innings in either start. Maybe a give him a pass
- 26:49Speaker 4: for his first start because it was against the Cubs
- 26:52Speaker 4: and they're a hard hitting team.
- 26:54Speaker 2: He maybe was nervous. He walked way too many guys there.
- 26:57Speaker 4: But going into Texas and facing a week Texas lineup
- 27:01Speaker 4: in a pitcher friendly park and doing poorly again and
- 27:04Speaker 4: having more walks than that one, or again having a
- 27:08Speaker 4: lot of walks, I should say in that one, that
- 27:10Speaker 4: doesn't make me want to trust this guy at all
- 27:12Speaker 4: right now. Too many hits allowed, too many walks by
- 27:16Speaker 4: far more than one walk an inning. Strike out rate
- 27:19Speaker 4: is good, so he does have strike up potential and
- 27:20Speaker 4: he gets a lot of ground balls. It looks like
- 27:22Speaker 4: I'm not so sure, but it looks like he does
- 27:25Speaker 4: have the talent of fool major league hitters. It's just
- 27:27Speaker 4: he's very wild and he's also hittable so far. At
- 27:30Speaker 4: the same time, Miami, of course won't have seen him before,
- 27:34Speaker 4: so maybe he has an edge there with the unfamiliarity.
- 27:37Speaker 4: But I don't think he's trustworthy right now, and I
- 27:39Speaker 4: don't trust Jansen Junk on the other side either. I
- 27:42Speaker 4: think Jackson Kent has a way higher ceiling here because
- 27:45Speaker 4: you don't know what he's capable of.
- 27:47Speaker 2: Junk.
- 27:47Speaker 4: We've seen what he's capable of, and it's mediocrity.
- 27:51Speaker 2: He's got a.
- 27:52Speaker 4: Four point three seven ERA one point three six whip,
- 27:55Speaker 4: not great. He is better at home though, three point
- 27:57Speaker 4: eighty three home ram. He's been okay in his last
- 28:01Speaker 4: five starts. He's allowed two or fewer earned runs, you know,
- 28:04Speaker 4: all of them, so that's not too bad. A couple
- 28:06Speaker 4: of them are really short outings, though, and he's not
- 28:08Speaker 4: striking anybody out right now, so that's not great. He's
- 28:11Speaker 4: not really a strikeout pitcher. He's still too hittable on
- 28:14Speaker 4: the season. His walk rate is fine, his strike up
- 28:17Speaker 4: rate is definitely low, though again he doesn't really put
- 28:21Speaker 4: a ton of guys on base, but he doesn't strike
- 28:23Speaker 4: guys out either, although it's with this pretty bad. So again, yeah,
- 28:27Speaker 4: he's too hittable, but yeah, strike out walk ratio not great.
- 28:31Speaker 4: Strike out for nine obviously not very good. Numbers against
- 28:34Speaker 4: Washington not good. At twenty five at bats they have
- 28:37Speaker 4: seven guys who have faced him three twenty average nine
- 28:40Speaker 4: h six ozh ps five to one strikeout walk ratio.
- 28:44Speaker 4: So I don't trust junk in this game. I think
- 28:47Speaker 4: an over might be the way to look at this.
- 28:49Speaker 4: I mean, I don't think the pitching is anything that
- 28:52Speaker 4: you can really trust here. I know I said over
- 28:54Speaker 4: yesterday and I'm pretty sure it did not happen. But
- 28:56Speaker 4: the money looks like it is strongly agreeing with an
- 28:59Speaker 4: over here. Fifty two percent of tickets on the under,
- 29:01Speaker 4: ninety five percent of the cash on the over. Total
- 29:04Speaker 4: is pretty reasonable at eight eight and a half. It
- 29:06Speaker 4: is a picture friendly ballpark though in Miami, but the
- 29:10Speaker 4: pitching looks pretty ugly here. So I think over and
- 29:14Speaker 4: the money seems to be indicating towards Washington, and I
- 29:17Speaker 4: don't disagree. Uh, seventy seven percent of tickets, fifty nine
- 29:20Speaker 4: percent of the cash on Miami, they're at about minus
- 29:23Speaker 4: one fifty something here.
- 29:24Speaker 2: I don't know if Junk.
- 29:25Speaker 4: Should be that much of a favorite really against anybody,
- 29:28Speaker 4: to be honest, and Kent, like I said, there's possibly
- 29:31Speaker 4: some upside there. It's just such a small stamp. You
- 29:34Speaker 4: have no idea what you're gonna get, So I think
- 29:35Speaker 4: there's a lot of variants. So I think if we're
- 29:37Speaker 4: gonna play Washington, you're kind of playing you should play
- 29:39Speaker 4: it at first five because their bullpen is bad, So
- 29:43Speaker 4: Washington first five probably maybe even a run line situation
- 29:47Speaker 4: like plus the half run.
- 29:49Speaker 2: Maybe Kent can outpitch Junk. It's definitely possible. I think his.
- 29:52Speaker 4: Ceiling is there for him to be able to do that,
- 29:55Speaker 4: but he might also be atrocious. So I would prefer
- 29:57Speaker 4: playing Over in this game, but Washington would be a
- 30:02Speaker 4: slight lean for me as well, agreeing with the market
- 30:05Speaker 4: read on that. As well as in Houston, the A's
- 30:10Speaker 4: I believe, finally won a game yesterday somehow, four to three.
- 30:14Speaker 2: The A's had lost a bunch of games in a row.
- 30:16Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure Houston needs to keep winning, man, so
- 30:19Speaker 4: I don't think they're gonna overlook the A's, especially after
- 30:22Speaker 4: losing yesterday. Houston trying to maintain their I think they
- 30:26Speaker 4: still have the lead in the Al West. I'm not
- 30:28Speaker 4: even sure at this point. Houston fighting for the division
- 30:31Speaker 4: though for sure, and or a wildcard spot. Houston used
- 30:34Speaker 4: three relief pitchers.
- 30:35Speaker 2: Yes today.
- 30:35Speaker 4: They obviously have the better bullpen here. The A's also
- 30:39Speaker 4: used three. The A's bullpen's very bad. They're twenty ninth
- 30:42Speaker 4: in whip but actually they're tied and whip now with
- 30:45Speaker 4: the with the Royals as the worst bullpen man. Their
- 30:48Speaker 4: era is almost six. I mean, come on, horrible bullpen.
- 30:52Speaker 4: Houston's bullpen is the better one, the ranked twelve. Houston
- 30:56Speaker 4: is also the better offense number eleven. The A's are seven.
- 31:00Speaker 4: I think the A's have shut a couple.
- 31:02Speaker 2: Of their hitters down as well.
- 31:04Speaker 4: There's been some injuries this stuff going on there, and
- 31:07Speaker 4: the A's look like they're going with a bullpen game
- 31:09Speaker 4: here too, which that's not gonna be good either. It
- 31:13Speaker 4: looks like they might not even have actually listed a
- 31:16Speaker 4: starter here.
- 31:16Speaker 2: Let me say we're are the A's.
- 31:20Speaker 4: No they Yeah, They've listed to a Basso, but he's
- 31:23Speaker 4: a relief pitcher. His era looks alright, but his whip
- 31:27Speaker 4: isn't good. I don't think he's gonna go deep into
- 31:28Speaker 4: this game or anything. It looks like he generally goes
- 31:31Speaker 4: one to two innings here. He'll probably be an opener
- 31:34Speaker 4: and then give way to the horrible, horrible A's bullpen.
- 31:39Speaker 4: Basso isn't even good against Houston, So yeah, I mean,
- 31:43Speaker 4: I would not want to bank on the A's in
- 31:45Speaker 4: this game whatsoever. The question is, do you want to
- 31:48Speaker 4: really lay a price like this with Houston with Christian
- 31:50Speaker 4: Hobvier on the mound?
- 31:52Speaker 2: Probably not.
- 31:53Speaker 4: I mean, this guy looks like he's not returning well
- 31:55Speaker 4: from his injuries. Six point four to four ERA, one
- 31:58Speaker 4: point six' eight whip really. Bad he's had some good
- 32:03Speaker 4: seasons in his, career but this is not one of.
- 32:06Speaker 4: Them HE'S i guess a little bit better at home
- 32:09Speaker 4: six point one to one homey ra still not good at.
- 32:12Speaker 4: All he's not going too deep into some of these starts.
- 32:15Speaker 4: Here he's still allowing too many. Runs he's not really
- 32:18Speaker 4: walking anybody recently so at least there's That houston's been
- 32:21Speaker 4: losing most of the games he goes out, there though
- 32:24Speaker 4: they've lost six of his last seven starts or seven.
- 32:27Speaker 4: Appearances his hit rate is too, high his walk rates
- 32:30Speaker 4: not very. Good his strike out rate is, okay not
- 32:32Speaker 4: a lot to like, here low strikeout walk ratio because
- 32:36Speaker 4: the walk rate's ridiculously. High strike up for nine isn't
- 32:39Speaker 4: really that good. Either his numbers against The a's are generally.
- 32:43Speaker 4: Good thirty five at bats two twenty nine average five
- 32:46Speaker 4: to sixty five ohps seven of, four strikeout walk ratio
- 32:49Speaker 4: is not. GREAT i Think javier is definitely preferable to
- 32:52Speaker 4: the whatever The a's are doing with their pitching. Here
- 32:55Speaker 4: But houston's got ninety one percent of, tickets ninety percent
- 32:59Speaker 4: of the cash on, them and you got a lay
- 33:00Speaker 4: minus one to eighty with. THEM i, MEAN i Think
- 33:03Speaker 4: houston probably does win this, game BUT i really really
- 33:07Speaker 4: don't like. THAT i don't like the price the market
- 33:10Speaker 4: read is indicating Against. HOUSTON i don't really See howavier
- 33:14Speaker 4: being trustworthy here at. All SO i think the better
- 33:16Speaker 4: ways to look at this game are probably to look at.
- 33:17Speaker 2: Totals the over is.
- 33:19Speaker 4: Getting a lot of money seventy nine percent of tickets
- 33:22Speaker 4: on the, under sixty eight percent of the cash on the.
- 33:23Speaker 2: OVER i wouldn't.
- 33:25Speaker 4: Disagree with the. Over the totals at. NINE i, mean
- 33:28Speaker 4: it's kind of high for a. Reason you can get
- 33:30Speaker 4: it on that key number nine THAT i think would
- 33:33Speaker 4: be a fine way to look at this.
- 33:35Speaker 2: Game BUT i Think houston team total over.
- 33:37Speaker 4: Is probably the best approach Because javier does have good matchup,
- 33:41Speaker 4: numbers so we might actually have a good start for.
- 33:43Speaker 4: ONCE i think what's guaranteed is That houston should score
- 33:47Speaker 4: runs against this mess of An a's pitching staff, Here
- 33:50Speaker 4: like it's a bullpend game from the worst bullpen in.
- 33:53Speaker 4: Baseball So, houston if they don't score runs in this,
- 33:57Speaker 4: game then that's not a good.
- 33:59Speaker 2: Sign you need him to score a lot.
- 34:01Speaker 4: Though they're a heavy favorite with a total of, nine
- 34:03Speaker 4: so you're gonna Need houston to probably SCORE i would
- 34:06Speaker 4: guess you need him to score at least six runs,
- 34:08Speaker 4: here but they're definitely capable of, that AND i think
- 34:10Speaker 4: that's possibly the best way to play that, game Is
- 34:13Speaker 4: houston over their team, total even though it's gonna be
- 34:16Speaker 4: a high. Number detroit At Kansas, CITY i don't know
- 34:19Speaker 4: Where zach is right, now But Kansas city has been
- 34:22Speaker 4: won seven games.
- 34:23Speaker 2: In a Row.
- 34:25Speaker 4: DETROIT i Thought Kansas city was gonna start losing it
- 34:28Speaker 4: in this series because like they beat The angels in
- 34:31Speaker 4: The a's who gives a? Shit but Then detroit coming.
- 34:34Speaker 4: In detroit's been good on the, season BUT i Think
- 34:36Speaker 4: detroit might be done. Now, man now That detroit has
- 34:39Speaker 4: lost this, Series like what do they have? Left like
- 34:43Speaker 4: this could be a dream crusher type of scenario WHERE
- 34:46Speaker 4: i don't really pinpoint like an exact moment for a
- 34:50Speaker 4: dream crusher in baseball because it's hard to say because
- 34:52Speaker 4: like when a team gets mathematically, ELIMINATED i guess maybe
- 34:55Speaker 4: that would technically be the dream. Crusher detroit is not,
- 34:58Speaker 4: yet but there's six games back in the. Division now
- 35:02Speaker 4: they're still in the wildcard. Race but losing two games
- 35:05Speaker 4: in a row Of Kansas, city it just can't, happen,
- 35:08Speaker 4: man it can't. Happen so Maybe detroit is gonna be
- 35:11Speaker 4: in a bad mental state. Here, However Kansas city still
- 35:15Speaker 4: sucks And detroit's the better, team And detroit's trying to
- 35:18Speaker 4: avoid a sweet, peer so that has to be hesitating
- 35:20Speaker 4: to really want to, say, Well detroit's is gonna come
- 35:22Speaker 4: into this game mentally, down.
- 35:25Speaker 2: You know WHAT i? Mean maybe they.
- 35:26Speaker 4: Won't maybe they'll be like we gotta avoid the sweet peer.
- 35:29Speaker 4: Man it'll be one of those typical better team trying
- 35:31Speaker 4: to over the sweep. SCENARIOS i don't know which one
- 35:34Speaker 4: it's gonna, be to be, honest And detroit has not
- 35:36Speaker 4: listed a starter, here which worries me because it Means
- 35:39Speaker 4: detroit might not be taking the game. SERIOUSLY i don't
- 35:42Speaker 4: know what they're, doing to be, Honest detroit used two relief. Pitchers, yes,
- 35:46Speaker 4: today they're definitely the better. Bullpen Kansas city also used,
- 35:49Speaker 4: two But Kansas city's bullpen they're ranked their second, last
- 35:54Speaker 4: the second worst bullpen behind the. As let's put it that,
- 35:57Speaker 4: way And detroit's bullpen is decent or. Fourteenth detroit's offense
- 36:03Speaker 4: is also better the Thirteenth Kansas city. Twentieth the, pitching
- 36:08Speaker 4: Though detroit is not listed as starter in this, game.
- 36:11Speaker 4: UNDECIDED i don't really get, why, olthough let me, see
- 36:15Speaker 4: have they listened to starting? Now because From brevaldez it
- 36:18Speaker 4: would be his turn on the rotation and he'd be
- 36:21Speaker 4: on normal.
- 36:21Speaker 2: Rest he pitched six days. Ago SO i don't see why.
- 36:24Speaker 4: It wouldn't be, him and he could be their savior
- 36:26Speaker 4: because he does have good numbers against The.
- 36:29Speaker 2: Royals SO i don't know why it wouldn't be him.
- 36:31Speaker 2: Here where are we looking?
- 36:32Speaker 4: Here where it's not gonna be, him it's gonna Be wag's.
- 36:36Speaker 4: Pack that that's not, good. MAN i think that's a
- 36:39Speaker 4: that's a bullpen.
- 36:40Speaker 2: GAME i guess For detroit, HERE i don't know what they're, Doing,
- 36:43Speaker 2: like are they Pushing valdez back a? Day? Like what
- 36:46Speaker 2: are we doing Here?
- 36:48Speaker 4: Detroit, yeah apparently they're Pushing valdez back to tomorrow against The.
- 36:53Speaker 2: RAYS i think that's a stupid, move.
- 36:55Speaker 4: Dude and The, royals by the, WAY i don't think
- 36:58Speaker 4: The royals are gonna look ahead The. ROYALS i don't
- 37:00Speaker 4: even know who they're playing, next BUT i looked earlier
- 37:03Speaker 4: today they're Playing.
- 37:04Speaker 2: Toronto who.
- 37:04Speaker 4: CARES i think The royals are still gonna try to
- 37:07Speaker 4: spoil The royals to SPOIL i think The royals are
- 37:10Speaker 4: gonna try to Spoil detroit season here, Man SO i think.
- 37:14Speaker 2: The royals will be motivated.
- 37:15Speaker 4: Here But detroit looks like they're not taking this game,
- 37:18Speaker 4: Seriously Like valdez would not be on like one day
- 37:23Speaker 4: short rest, here like he'd be on normal rest.
- 37:25Speaker 2: Here SO i honestly have no.
- 37:28Speaker 4: Idea why they're pushing him, back especially because they need
- 37:31Speaker 4: to stop the bleeding. Here they lost four straight. Games
- 37:34Speaker 4: valdez has good numbers against The, royals so why would
- 37:37Speaker 4: you push him?
- 37:37Speaker 2: BACK i have no.
- 37:38Speaker 4: Idea but it's gonna be a bullpen game For detroit. Here,
- 37:42Speaker 4: yeah that's probably not. Good, AGAIN i don't know what they're.
- 37:46Speaker 4: Doing i'm pretty sure this is a bullpen. Game, Yeah
- 37:48Speaker 4: wagg's back is listed as a relief pitcher. Here he's
- 37:53Speaker 4: had good, numbers but, yeah he's gonna be an. Opener
- 37:55Speaker 4: he'll go one to two innings probably and then yield
- 37:58Speaker 4: to the. Bullpen and they'ren okay bullpen And detroit they're
- 38:02Speaker 4: known for bullpen. Games so maybe it won't work out that.
- 38:04Speaker 4: Poorly maybe they'll still get the win here Because Kansas
- 38:08Speaker 4: city is also going with a bullpen game With Daniel lynch.
- 38:12Speaker 2: The fourth listed as a.
- 38:13Speaker 4: Starter he did go four innings last, time so you
- 38:16Speaker 4: never really, know like he might go deeper into this.
- 38:19Speaker 4: Game i'm kind of thinking he's probably gonna go somewhere
- 38:22Speaker 4: in the vicinity of two to three innings, HERE i don't,
- 38:24Speaker 4: Know and then you're gonna get a lot Of Kansas
- 38:26Speaker 4: city's BULLPEN i think in this, one which is not
- 38:29Speaker 4: good For Kansas.
- 38:30Speaker 2: CITY i don't know what to do with this.
- 38:32Speaker 4: Game to be, honest the money's back In Kansas. City
- 38:35Speaker 4: i'm not really SURE i agree with. THAT i don't
- 38:36Speaker 4: see a great reason to do. That fifty one percent to,
- 38:40Speaker 4: ticket sixty eight percent of the cash On Kansas.
- 38:42Speaker 2: City it's basically a pickham. Price it does look way
- 38:45Speaker 2: too easy to Take.
- 38:46Speaker 4: Detroit but in a situation where it's Like detroit's got
- 38:50Speaker 4: to win this, Game like the only reason THAT i
- 38:53Speaker 4: can see to Play Kansas city is if you Think
- 38:55Speaker 4: detroit is just gonna not show up.
- 38:57Speaker 2: Anymore But i'm not so sure that's.
- 38:59Speaker 4: True they might still show, up try to, win try
- 39:02Speaker 4: to overid the, sweep be motivated.
- 39:03Speaker 2: HERE i don't.
- 39:04Speaker 4: Know but going with a bullpen, Game warriors that maybe
- 39:07Speaker 4: they're not taking the game that, seriously but because it
- 39:10Speaker 4: Is detroit and they do the bullpen thing a, lot
- 39:13Speaker 4: like they're the team that's most known for doing. That
- 39:15Speaker 4: detroit And Tampa bay basically they are the teams that
- 39:17Speaker 4: do that the. Most maybe it's an intentional. THING i don't,
- 39:22Speaker 4: know But Kansas city also going with a bullpen game looks.
- 39:25Speaker 4: Ugly the money's playing the over eight and a, half
- 39:28Speaker 4: AND i would probably agree with that.
- 39:30Speaker 2: Because you know, ME i hate bullpen.
- 39:31Speaker 4: Games so seventy eight percent of tickets on the, under
- 39:34Speaker 4: ninety four percent of the cash and the over OVER
- 39:37Speaker 4: i think is worth consideration in this game at least
- 39:40Speaker 4: maybe the best way to play this, game because bullpen
- 39:44Speaker 4: games are just such a wild.
- 39:46Speaker 2: Card you just never.
- 39:47Speaker 4: Know BUT i think if one bullpen game is gonna
- 39:49Speaker 4: do better than the, OTHER i would imagine it would
- 39:51Speaker 4: Be detroit's like being more successful because they're known for doing.
- 39:56Speaker 2: It you could maybe look at A.
- 39:58Speaker 4: Detroit team total over, here like just look for them
- 40:01Speaker 4: to actually show, up maybe for once break out the
- 40:03Speaker 4: bats against this Bad Kansas city pitching set up. Here
- 40:07Speaker 4: you'll need them to probably score five in the, game
- 40:10Speaker 4: which is not too, bad so maybe something like that
- 40:14Speaker 4: might make.
- 40:14Speaker 2: Sense mets And White.
- 40:16Speaker 4: SOX i almost put this one on my, car but
- 40:18Speaker 4: the money seems to completely disagree with me on.
- 40:20Speaker 2: THIS i like The mets in this.
- 40:22Speaker 4: ONE i think they have a pretty big pitching edge
- 40:24Speaker 4: here in this, one But i'm staying away from. It
- 40:28Speaker 4: White sox did lose ugly yesterday ten to, five and
- 40:31Speaker 4: The White sox are still in the thick of a
- 40:33Speaker 4: playoff race, here although they're atop the Al central here
- 40:37Speaker 4: by three and a half, games so possible maybe they
- 40:39Speaker 4: have their foot off the gas a little, bit but
- 40:41Speaker 4: after losing ten to five, yesterday maybe they bounce back
- 40:44Speaker 4: with a better effort.
- 40:45Speaker 2: Here these teams have split the series so.
- 40:48Speaker 4: Far The mets will have the better bullpend here in
- 40:51Speaker 4: my opinion that they use four guys out of.
- 40:53Speaker 2: The bullpen, yesterday BUT i don't think they really.
- 40:56Speaker 4: Use their better relievers because it was kind of a
- 40:58Speaker 4: lopsided win for. Them White sox used three relief. Pitchers
- 41:02Speaker 4: they didn't really use their best relievers. Either, METS i
- 41:06Speaker 4: think do have the bullpen as LIKE i, said they're ringing,
- 41:08Speaker 4: Seventh White sox not that much worse though they're, fifteenth
- 41:11Speaker 4: but their era is not that much, worse SO i
- 41:13Speaker 4: think it is fairly. Close but The White socks are
- 41:16Speaker 4: going with the bullpen game. Here White sox are definitely
- 41:19Speaker 4: the better offense they're, ninth tied With. Miami mets are twenty.
- 41:22Speaker 4: Fourth mets have been better at least. Recently they're tied
- 41:25Speaker 4: with The reds and The. Cardinals, now isn't that. Great
- 41:29Speaker 4: mets are going With nolan, McClain so you, KNOW i
- 41:31Speaker 4: do like. That he's he's legit. Man this has been
- 41:35Speaker 4: a good season for, him his breakout. Season the thing
- 41:38Speaker 4: you ought to worry about is he's, young and he's
- 41:40Speaker 4: thrown more innings than he has in the, past so
- 41:43Speaker 4: he's getting close to that one fifty inning. Threshold it's,
- 41:47Speaker 4: arbitrary but that's kind of the number THAT i use
- 41:49Speaker 4: WHERE i start to really get worried with a guy
- 41:52Speaker 4: that hasn't thrown them any innings. Yet he's in the
- 41:53Speaker 4: one forties right. Now three point three FOUR, era one
- 41:57Speaker 4: point one six.
- 41:58Speaker 2: Whip good season from.
- 41:59Speaker 4: Him he's been really good on the, road two point
- 42:01Speaker 4: seven roadyra and he's not really showing. WELL i don't,
- 42:05Speaker 4: know because his walk number has gotten, worse so maybe
- 42:08Speaker 4: that is a bad.
- 42:08Speaker 2: Sign but he's not allowing that many runs.
- 42:10Speaker 4: Still he allowed one run each in his last two
- 42:12Speaker 4: starts Against atlanta And San. Diego The San diego is
- 42:16Speaker 4: hitting better. Recently his, issue if he has, one is the,
- 42:19Speaker 4: walks and that has been an issue.
- 42:21Speaker 2: Recently but he's very hard to. Hit his walk rate's
- 42:24Speaker 2: a little bit.
- 42:25Speaker 4: High strikeout rate is also high though still strike out
- 42:28Speaker 4: walk ratio is good because he gets a lot of.
- 42:30Speaker 4: Strikeouts strike out per nine definitely a good number. There
- 42:34Speaker 4: White sox basically haven't seen. Him Only Jake, rogers who
- 42:38Speaker 4: had a walk off home run the other, day and
- 42:40Speaker 4: it's been on three different teams in a span of
- 42:43Speaker 4: like a, week it, seems On detroit and then The Red,
- 42:47Speaker 4: sox and then The Red sox had to let him
- 42:50Speaker 4: go because The Red sox are not going to keep
- 42:52Speaker 4: three catchers and he was just the throw in in
- 42:55Speaker 4: The Adlu rutchman. Deal rogers is zero for two with
- 42:58Speaker 4: a walk and a strikeout Against nolan, McClain BUT i
- 43:02Speaker 4: think McClain sets up well.
- 43:03Speaker 2: Here he'll be unfamiliar to The White.
- 43:05Speaker 4: Socks the only issue is is he wearing down because
- 43:08Speaker 4: he's thrown one hundred and forty one innings or. Whatever
- 43:11Speaker 4: that's the only real question here with. Them but he's
- 43:13Speaker 4: got unfamiliarity, here and usually when a talented pitcher like
- 43:16Speaker 4: that has that edge or has that, Unfamiliarity it is
- 43:20Speaker 4: an edge for. Them chicago's going With Sean. Nukeomb he'll
- 43:24Speaker 4: be an opener. Here he's been good and they've actually
- 43:27Speaker 4: had success in this, Role like they've won five of
- 43:30Speaker 4: the last six games he's appeared.
- 43:31Speaker 2: In The White sox have won all of those.
- 43:33Speaker 4: Games So i'm not GONNA i don't THINK i could
- 43:36Speaker 4: completely write them off just because they're going with a bullpen.
- 43:39Speaker 4: Game BUT i would prefer McClain over A White sox bullpen,
- 43:43Speaker 4: game you, KNOW i, mean what do you want me to?
- 43:45Speaker 2: Say, like what does this bullpen game? Mean?
- 43:47Speaker 4: Like Is Eric fetti coming into the? Game that wouldn't be?
- 43:51Speaker 4: GOOD i wouldn't.
- 43:51Speaker 2: Think, SO i don't.
- 43:52Speaker 4: Know even Though nukeom's got some good stats, here he's
- 43:55Speaker 4: only gonna be in the game. Briefly and actually The
- 43:56Speaker 4: mets have hit him, well So nukeom might give up
- 43:59Speaker 4: something while he's in there. Too so, YEAH i would
- 44:03Speaker 4: play The mets IF i was gonna play this. Game
- 44:06Speaker 4: the money does not agree with me at. All fifty
- 44:08Speaker 4: two percent of tickets on The. METS i don't think
- 44:11Speaker 4: the public really would be signing with The METS i
- 44:13Speaker 4: mean it's not a heavy percentage or, anything but to,
- 44:16Speaker 4: me you would think the public would just play The White, sox,
- 44:18Speaker 4: right like the public likes. Offenses that's what you get
- 44:21Speaker 4: with The White. Sox The White sox have the better.
- 44:23Speaker 4: RECORD i don't see them playing The mets at, All
- 44:26Speaker 4: but we have eighty four percent of the cash on
- 44:28Speaker 4: The White.
- 44:28Speaker 2: Sox it's basically a pickham.
- 44:30Speaker 4: Price but, YEAH i mean the WAY i see this, game,
- 44:34Speaker 4: yeah it would Be mets for, me and that one
- 44:36Speaker 4: almost made the cut for. Me so those are my
- 44:39Speaker 4: feelings on that. Game so the two THAT i left
- 44:42Speaker 4: off my card were the under In Tampa bay And.
- 44:44Speaker 4: Baltimore that one almost made it for, me and then
- 44:47Speaker 4: the or maybe the first five. UNDER i wasn't able
- 44:51Speaker 4: to really decide on, that AND i decided wrong. Yesterday
- 44:53Speaker 4: but Then, METS i would say full game in this
- 44:55Speaker 4: one because The White sox bullpen's coming into the game,
- 44:57Speaker 4: early so comparing the, bullpens you, know it's kind of
- 45:02Speaker 4: useless in a set up like, That SO i would
- 45:05Speaker 4: Say mets full game in that. One but, yeah the
- 45:07Speaker 4: money disagrees with the, entirely so whatever money slightly tilted
- 45:12Speaker 4: towards the over in that game as, well at eight
- 45:14Speaker 4: or eight and a. HALF i don't have a thought about, that,
- 45:17Speaker 4: BASICALLY i don't. KNOW i, mean the game almost seems
- 45:21Speaker 4: a little bit more underish to, me BUT i think
- 45:25Speaker 4: that would be a little bit dangerous, Though anaheim In.
- 45:28Speaker 4: Texas this is a kind of a weird. One this
- 45:32Speaker 4: has been a very low scoring, series so we've had
- 45:34Speaker 4: the unders have shown up In texas, again and we
- 45:37Speaker 4: got one right the other day with the under in
- 45:39Speaker 4: the first game of this.
- 45:39Speaker 2: Year is it was a zero zero game at the
- 45:42Speaker 2: end of.
- 45:42Speaker 4: Nine so, yeah that was one of the easiest unders you'll,
- 45:46Speaker 4: get although it gets a little bit risky when you
- 45:48Speaker 4: go into extra innings with a ghost not, risky but
- 45:51Speaker 4: you can get a bad beat with these stupid fucking
- 45:53Speaker 4: ghost runners in the extra. Innings but that didn't happen
- 45:57Speaker 4: in that one. Obviously texas then lost yesterday three and to.
- 46:01Speaker 4: Nothing and you, KNOW i talk about. Teams usually you're
- 46:03Speaker 4: pretty motivated after they get shut out at. Home usually
- 46:07Speaker 4: you want to look towards that. Team And texas is
- 46:09Speaker 4: only one game back In houston, here So, texas this
- 46:12Speaker 4: is a bad, division, Dude houston's the top the division
- 46:15Speaker 4: with a five hunder. Record, yeah that's. Great texas should
- 46:19Speaker 4: be motivated. Here man still fighting for it here And
- 46:22Speaker 4: seattle's still not out of it. Either But anaheim is
- 46:25Speaker 4: probably gonna show up to you, Know, anaheim it's a
- 46:27Speaker 4: divisional series for. Them they probably want to spoil the
- 46:30Speaker 4: party For, texas SO i think they'll be motivated as.
- 46:32Speaker 4: WELL i don't like The anaheim. Bullpen they only use
- 46:36Speaker 4: two guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday we did use
- 46:38Speaker 4: them in the other in the under the other. Day,
- 46:41Speaker 4: TEXAS i don't really love their bullpen. Either this year
- 46:44Speaker 4: they used three guys out of. Theirs but we did
- 46:46Speaker 4: back the bullpens in the game the other, day and
- 46:48Speaker 4: the bullpens have been fine in this. Series texas has
- 46:51Speaker 4: been disappointing though in the. Season AS i always, say
- 46:53Speaker 4: they're nineteenth with AN era above, four which is a
- 46:57Speaker 4: Great anaheim's is actually a little bit. Lower even though
- 46:59Speaker 4: they're twenty. Second these are they're not the worst two
- 47:03Speaker 4: bullpens in. Baseball they're very mediocre slash below average bullpens.
- 47:08Speaker 4: Though but to counter, that you're looking at too bad offenses,
- 47:11Speaker 4: year and that's been part of the equation in this
- 47:14Speaker 4: series as far as why these games have been so low.
- 47:16Speaker 4: Scoring it's a pitcher friendly, park but also these offenses
- 47:20Speaker 4: are pretty. Bad texas twenty, Second anaheim twenty. Eighth anaheim
- 47:25Speaker 4: is going with you Say kakuchi, HERE i forgot about.
- 47:29Speaker 4: Him he's been injured for most of the. Season he's
- 47:31Speaker 4: coming back. Now he's a veteran, pitcher and a lot
- 47:34Speaker 4: of times when veterans come, BACK i like to back
- 47:37Speaker 4: them because the team sometimes will rally around them and
- 47:39Speaker 4: get excited and want to back that, pitcher you know
- 47:42Speaker 4: WHAT i. Mean But, kakuchi he's like an unbackable pitcher
- 47:46Speaker 4: on the road, Though so even though there might be
- 47:48Speaker 4: the excitement that he's coming, back he might be pumped
- 47:50Speaker 4: to get back out. There him pitching on the road
- 47:53Speaker 4: is usually a no go for. Me his numbers on
- 47:55Speaker 4: the season before he went down also, bad five point,
- 47:58Speaker 4: eight one point five eight.
- 48:00Speaker 2: Whip but it's the road, stuff.
- 48:03Speaker 4: Man he has extreme home, roadspits and that's always been
- 48:06Speaker 4: the case with. Him no matter what team he's, on
- 48:08Speaker 4: he always pitches better at. HOME i don't know why
- 48:11Speaker 4: seven point two roadira? Horrible Uh, SO i don't think
- 48:15Speaker 4: he's backable, here although he hasn't pitched It's. April anaheim in,
- 48:18Speaker 4: fact lost every game that he.
- 48:20Speaker 2: Pitched in In.
- 48:21Speaker 4: April they only won one game behind him Against, houston
- 48:25Speaker 4: and he wasn't even good in that, start really his
- 48:27Speaker 4: first start of the, season and then every other time he,
- 48:29Speaker 4: pitched every game was a loss For. Anaheim, yeah that's
- 48:33Speaker 4: not a good. SIGN i don't think this guy's backable. Here,
- 48:36Speaker 4: however it is a pitcher friendly park, here and its
- 48:39Speaker 4: numbers Against texas are actually. Fine they're actually good pretty
- 48:42Speaker 4: much except for the. Walks seventy nine at, bats two
- 48:45Speaker 4: h three, average five eighty six, ops sixteen to twelve
- 48:49Speaker 4: strike out walk ratio is really bad, though But texas
- 48:52Speaker 4: has not been able to Hit, kakuchi so maybe you,
- 48:57Speaker 4: know as far as road starts, going he's terrible on the.
- 48:59Speaker 4: Road but if he's gonna not be terrible in a road,
- 49:03Speaker 4: start it would be as it would be a game like,
- 49:05Speaker 4: this you know WHAT i, mean where it's a pitcher friendly,
- 49:08Speaker 4: park a week, offense and a game where his guys
- 49:12Speaker 4: might rally around. Him Cal quantrell is pitching For. TEXAS
- 49:16Speaker 4: i don't know how he's doing what he's. Doing quantrell
- 49:18Speaker 4: is like a career like spot starter and relief, guy
- 49:22Speaker 4: and he's got good numbers this year three point one THREE,
- 49:24Speaker 4: era one point one to Five, whip some of it
- 49:27Speaker 4: pitching out of the, bullpens some of its. Starting he's
- 49:29Speaker 4: been good at home two point nine to. Eight Homie,
- 49:32Speaker 4: ray he was really good in his last. Start he
- 49:34Speaker 4: Shut washington out for seven innings and didn't walk anybody
- 49:38Speaker 4: and had five. Strikeouts uh, YEAH i, MEAN i don't
- 49:42Speaker 4: know what to, say Man quandrell's in pretty good form right.
- 49:45Speaker 4: NOW i don't THINK i still don't think he's actually good,
- 49:48Speaker 4: though but you, KNOW i, mean his hit rate is pretty,
- 49:52Speaker 4: low so you got to give him. That his walk
- 49:54Speaker 4: rate it's not too bad. Either he doesn't strike anybody out,
- 49:56Speaker 4: though so the advanced analytics guys will not like. That
- 50:00Speaker 4: miss strike out walk ratio is pretty low because of
- 50:02Speaker 4: the lack of. Strikeouts strike up for nine also not
- 50:05Speaker 4: a good, number so he's not a good strike up,
- 50:07Speaker 4: pitcher but he's not putting guys on, base so you
- 50:09Speaker 4: got to give him credit for. That And, anaheim they
- 50:13Speaker 4: do not have a good. Offense their numbers Against quantrille
- 50:16Speaker 4: are kind of mediocre are two eighty three average is.
- 50:18Speaker 4: High six eighty eight ohps is not very high, though
- 50:21Speaker 4: so they don't hit him for. Power in sixty at,
- 50:24Speaker 4: bats ten, strikeouts five, walks that's not a good ratio.
- 50:27Speaker 4: Either what do we do with this one? Man, HONESTLY
- 50:32Speaker 4: i don't. Know the money's indicating On texas somewhat eighty
- 50:36Speaker 4: two percent of, tickets eighty nine percent of the cash on.
- 50:38Speaker 4: Them they're about minus one fifty something.
- 50:40Speaker 2: Here they're a bit.
- 50:41Speaker 4: Public the public Knows texas needs to win this game
- 50:44Speaker 4: to stay in the. Race the oddsmakers know that as,
- 50:48Speaker 4: well and they're going to juice the price a little
- 50:50Speaker 4: bit On texas for that. REASON i Think quantrell, THOUGH i,
- 50:53Speaker 4: mean he obviously has the way better home road. Splits
- 50:56Speaker 4: he might not, start so you got to take that into.
- 50:58Speaker 4: Account To texas might put an opener in front of
- 51:00Speaker 4: them or do something weird like, that so you got
- 51:02Speaker 4: to take that into. ACCOUNT i think if you're gonna
- 51:04Speaker 4: play this, GAME i would Pick kakuchi must start and
- 51:06Speaker 4: not pick a starter For, texas ALTHOUGH i think it
- 51:09Speaker 4: is probably about eighty.
- 51:10Speaker 2: Percent the quandrill is going to just start the game.
- 51:13Speaker 4: Though uh but, yeah SO i would slightly lean Towards
- 51:17Speaker 4: Texas as like a minus one run, line BUT i.
- 51:20Speaker 2: Still think the over is worth.
- 51:22Speaker 4: Considering here seventy percent of tickets on the, under fifty
- 51:25Speaker 4: six percent of the cash on the, under so the
- 51:27Speaker 4: money seems to be kind of indicating.
- 51:29Speaker 2: Towards the over.
- 51:30Speaker 4: HERE i don't really think the public is coming in
- 51:33Speaker 4: and playing an under here, Though so it's hard to
- 51:35Speaker 4: gauge with these percentages on a total like this because
- 51:38Speaker 4: most of that money is probably professional. Money but it,
- 51:42Speaker 4: again it's hard to gauge that when you see less
- 51:44Speaker 4: of the cash than the ticket percentage on, it because
- 51:47Speaker 4: that still indicates that the bigger bets.
- 51:49Speaker 2: Have been on the over more so than the. Under so.
- 51:53Speaker 4: Totals at seven and a half or eight here possibly
- 51:57Speaker 4: a better way to play. This you could Go texas
- 51:59Speaker 4: team total, over you know WHAT i, Mean, quantrill take
- 52:02Speaker 4: that out of the. Equation take him out of the
- 52:04Speaker 4: equation a little. Bit, kakuchi we pretty much know he's
- 52:07Speaker 4: usually just a complete disaster on the, road so you
- 52:10Speaker 4: could do, That but then, Again texas does well against.
- 52:13Speaker 2: Him you know, What this could be an under and.
- 52:18Speaker 4: Out this game just has me all over the, Place
- 52:21Speaker 4: like looking at the starting pitching on the, surface like
- 52:23Speaker 4: my instinct, was, yeah this is terrible. Pitching it should
- 52:26Speaker 4: be an Over when you look at the matchup, numbers
- 52:28Speaker 4: it actually makes it seem like more of an UNDER
- 52:32Speaker 4: i don't, know, man this is a hard game to
- 52:34Speaker 4: figure out for. Me so, yeah that game is nowhere
- 52:37Speaker 4: close to make it to being on my.
- 52:39Speaker 2: Card let's put it that.
- 52:40Speaker 4: Way do what you want with all the info Though
- 52:44Speaker 4: cleveland And. Colorado cleveland's on the version of getting the
- 52:47Speaker 4: sweet pair. In cleveland does need to keep winning because
- 52:50Speaker 4: they're in the middle of the playoff.
- 52:51Speaker 2: Race, however maybe they do Overlook. Colorado.
- 52:53Speaker 4: Here cleveland is Playing anaheim next, though which is not
- 52:56Speaker 4: really a big. Deal But colorado is gonna be one
- 52:59Speaker 4: of those home team's looking to avoid the sweet. Peer
- 53:03Speaker 4: they don't have the pitching edge in this. GAME i,
- 53:05Speaker 4: mean when Does colorado ever really So cleveland might be
- 53:08Speaker 4: able to get the sweet.
- 53:09Speaker 2: Peer, cleveland they might make the.
- 53:11Speaker 4: Playoffs, Man, cleveland they have one of the easiest schedule. Remaining,
- 53:16Speaker 4: Cleveland they're playing a lot of weak teams in the
- 53:18Speaker 4: remaining for the rest of the season, here and Obviously
- 53:23Speaker 4: colorado is one of. Them CLEVELAND i used three relief pitchers.
- 53:27Speaker 4: Yesterday they do have the better bullpen. Here colorado used
- 53:30Speaker 4: three as, well so no crazy usage or. Anything But
- 53:34Speaker 4: colorado's twenty. Seventh cleveland is. SEVENTEENTH i think they're a
- 53:40Speaker 4: little bit better than, that though out of the, bullpen
- 53:42Speaker 4: they're not good. Offensively cleveland is dead last in offense,
- 53:46Speaker 4: thirtieth but they put up at least some offense in
- 53:48Speaker 4: this series because it's in Corse field and it's against bad,
- 53:51Speaker 4: pitching so at Least cleveland's been able to do something
- 53:54Speaker 4: offensively in this. Series colorado is fifth, offensively so they
- 53:58Speaker 4: are the better, offense But cleveland is going With Foster.
- 54:01Speaker 4: Griffin he's had a good season three point one EIGHTY,
- 54:03Speaker 4: rra one point one to one.
- 54:05Speaker 2: Whip mostly With.
- 54:06Speaker 4: Washington cleveland picked him up with the trade. Deadline one
- 54:09Speaker 4: thing you gotta worry about with him is his innings.
- 54:12Speaker 4: Count he's up to one hundred and forty four and
- 54:15Speaker 4: a third innings and he's never done that.
- 54:17Speaker 2: Before Uh, so not even.
- 54:19Speaker 4: Close the most innings that he ever threw in a
- 54:22Speaker 4: season before was six and a. Third so that's that's
- 54:27Speaker 4: how crazy the season has.
- 54:28Speaker 2: Been for.
- 54:29Speaker 4: Him he's thirty one years old and he's never stuck
- 54:31Speaker 4: In Major league. Baseball had him pitched In Major league
- 54:34Speaker 4: baseball since twenty twenty, two and he's.
- 54:36Speaker 2: Having this really good season from out of. Nowhere it's.
- 54:39Speaker 4: Crazy but you do have to worry about him wearing
- 54:41Speaker 4: down a little bit because it's more innings than he's
- 54:43Speaker 4: ever thrown. Before but he's pitching well right. Now he's
- 54:47Speaker 4: still in good form right. Now After cleveland picked him,
- 54:49Speaker 4: up he had a bad start against The mets and
- 54:51Speaker 4: it started looking like maybe he was wearing, down but he's.
- 54:55Speaker 4: No he bounced back nicely and he pitched well Against
- 54:58Speaker 4: detroit And San francisco after, that Although San francisco.
- 55:01Speaker 2: Is not a good. Offense But griffin looks like he
- 55:04Speaker 2: is back and form right. Now at the very.
- 55:05Speaker 4: Least he's got a pretty low hit rate, here low
- 55:08Speaker 4: walk rate as. Well strike out rate is. Okay one
- 55:11Speaker 4: thing you do have to be concerned with in course
- 55:12Speaker 4: field is fly ball rate and home run. Rate his
- 55:15Speaker 4: fly ball rate's not that, bad but he does allow
- 55:17Speaker 4: a lot of home runs, still so that might be
- 55:20Speaker 4: a little bit of a. Concern did he didgit course
- 55:23Speaker 4: field at all this. YEAR i guess this is another.
- 55:25Speaker 4: QUESTION i don't think he did like when he was
- 55:27Speaker 4: With washington Yet i'm pretty sure he did.
- 55:28Speaker 2: Not his numbers Against.
- 55:31Speaker 4: Colorado, yeah he obviously has not Faced colorado this. Year
- 55:35Speaker 4: they only have one guy who's faced, Him, norby who's
- 55:38Speaker 4: zero for three with two strikeouts against. Him So griffin
- 55:41Speaker 4: has unfamiliarity against The. Rockies maybe that's an extra edge
- 55:45Speaker 4: for him man Where colorado will have to figure him
- 55:47Speaker 4: out on the. Fly colorado's going with the guy that
- 55:50Speaker 4: the advanced analytics guys hate the, Most Tomayuki, sugano because
- 55:54Speaker 4: this guy's expected e ray is like. Seven BUT i
- 55:58Speaker 4: don't really buy into, that and it's really are is actually?
- 56:01Speaker 2: Erased four point? SEVEN i buy that is he.
- 56:04Speaker 4: Rased maybe should be a little bit higher than, that
- 56:06Speaker 4: BUT i don't buy that it should be as bad as.
- 56:08Speaker 4: SEVEN i think those advanced analytics kind of skew those
- 56:12Speaker 4: numbers a bit too.
- 56:13Speaker 2: Much one point two six whip is.
- 56:15Speaker 4: Not, good but it's not really that, bad and for whatever,
- 56:17Speaker 4: reason he's a little bit better at home in course
- 56:20Speaker 4: field four point five. Yrra even Though sugano is a
- 56:23Speaker 4: fly ball, pitcher he's a heavier flyball pitcher Than, griffin
- 56:27Speaker 4: and he's allowed twenty six home, runs so the home
- 56:29Speaker 4: run rates, bad but a lot of them have been solo,
- 56:32Speaker 4: shots so maybe he's getting a little bit lucky with
- 56:34Speaker 4: the timing on. That but he's not putting that many
- 56:36Speaker 4: guys on base, either and that is part of, it
- 56:39Speaker 4: that he puts few enough guys on base that just
- 56:42Speaker 4: happened to not be guys on base when the home
- 56:44Speaker 4: runs happened for the most. Part but, yeah he's definitely
- 56:47Speaker 4: allowed too many home. Runs it's BEEN i don't, know.
- 56:50Speaker 4: Man he's only allowed no home runs in a few
- 56:53Speaker 4: starts this, season so that's not. Good but he's allowed
- 56:58Speaker 4: a few, runs although his last start was that good
- 57:00Speaker 4: against The, dodgers but they were a good. Offense some
- 57:03Speaker 4: bad fielding kind of hurt his start as, Well but besides,
- 57:06Speaker 4: that he's been pretty. Good he's allowed three or fewer
- 57:08Speaker 4: on runs and all the other starts In august In,
- 57:10Speaker 4: JULY i think he was injured for a little while in.
- 57:13Speaker 4: There he's got a high hit rate on the, season,
- 57:15Speaker 4: though which is not. Good really doesn't walk anybody, though
- 57:18Speaker 4: so his command is, decent but he doesn't strike anybody out,
- 57:22Speaker 4: either which is why the advanced analytics guys do not like.
- 57:25Speaker 4: Him but he walks very few, people so the base
- 57:28Speaker 4: runners are somewhat limited for that. Reason Strike out walk
- 57:31Speaker 4: ratio is not, great but it's not. Horrible streke out
- 57:35Speaker 4: for nine really isn't very, good so, again not a strikeout.
- 57:38Speaker 4: Pitcher cleveland has not had good numbers against him in
- 57:41Speaker 4: thirty five at bats two twenty nine average seven to
- 57:43Speaker 4: twenty five ohps five to. Four strike out walk ratio
- 57:47Speaker 4: is not, Great BUT i think this might be a
- 57:50Speaker 4: first five. Under like maybe that's my opinion. HERE i,
- 57:54Speaker 4: mean it's always dangerous in course, field BUT i think
- 57:58Speaker 4: the pitching matchup might get you there with. That when
- 58:01Speaker 4: the full game total is eleven or eleven and a,
- 58:04Speaker 4: Half i'd, rather you, Know i'd rather be if you're
- 58:06Speaker 4: gonna play an over in the full game or, whatever
- 58:08Speaker 4: which is where the money is headed seventy six percent
- 58:10Speaker 4: of tickets on the under seventy percent of the cash
- 58:12Speaker 4: or the. Over if you're gonna play the over in
- 58:15Speaker 4: the full, game you gotta get on that eleven and
- 58:16Speaker 4: not the eleven and a. Half BUT i think maybe
- 58:20Speaker 4: first five. Under, UH i Mean sugano has been decent
- 58:23Speaker 4: at home for whatever, reason you, know maybe it's, mystifying
- 58:27Speaker 4: but it keeps. Happening And griffin's been pretty. Good but
- 58:29Speaker 4: there are definitely, concerns Like sugano's definitely not as good
- 58:33Speaker 4: as his numbers might, suggest And, griffin you, know his
- 58:38Speaker 4: innings pitch count is a little bit of a question
- 58:41Speaker 4: as well at this. Point so they're definitely question marks with.
- 58:43Speaker 4: It but first five under you'll probably get like a
- 58:45Speaker 4: six on. That it seems like maybe it'll get, there
- 58:50Speaker 4: BUT i don't. KNOW i don't want to deal with it. Though, obviously,
- 58:54Speaker 4: Uh San francisco And, boston The Red sox are on
- 58:57Speaker 4: the verge of. SWEEP i don't know if they're gonna
- 58:59Speaker 4: look ahead to my or. Not but The Red sox
- 59:01Speaker 4: pulled that win out of their. Ass yesterday wasn't a
- 59:04Speaker 4: good game for. Them their offense was. PATHETIC i thought
- 59:07Speaker 4: the offense would come out in that game. Yesterday on both,
- 59:10Speaker 4: sides the pitchers were both better THAN i. Thought, SANDOVAL i,
- 59:14Speaker 4: MEAN i don't Think sandoval was as good as he
- 59:16Speaker 4: looked in that, Game like he got kind of lucky
- 59:18Speaker 4: to allow the few runs that he did. Allow the
- 59:21Speaker 4: two runs did. Well The Red sox couldn't hit that
- 59:24Speaker 4: guy at. ALL i don't know what the. Fuck then
- 59:26Speaker 4: The Red sox wound up scoring all three runs in
- 59:28Speaker 4: the ninth, inning although The Red sox did have chances
- 59:31Speaker 4: in That The Red sox loaded the bases in the
- 59:33Speaker 4: eighth Inning i'm pretty sure and didn't. Score but then
- 59:36Speaker 4: The giants did the same thing in the top of
- 59:38Speaker 4: the NINTH i don't. Know and then The Red sox
- 59:40Speaker 4: were able to score three runs in the ninth inning
- 59:42Speaker 4: and walk off with the.
- 59:42Speaker 2: Win really crazy. Stuff and will Your rebray you like
- 59:47Speaker 2: took his shirt off while he was still on the
- 59:49Speaker 2: field after he scored the winning. Run AND i don't
- 59:52Speaker 2: even think they'd replay reviewed it, yet and he already
- 59:55Speaker 2: had his shirt off he was. Safe it was a crazy.
- 59:58Speaker 4: Play it was a will you are A bray kind
- 1:00:00Speaker 4: of like hard hit in the infield and somehow it
- 1:00:04Speaker 4: was to the right side of the infield somehow With
- 1:00:07Speaker 4: bray was able to score from third base on, that,
- 1:00:10Speaker 4: yeah and get in before the. TAG i have no idea,
- 1:00:14Speaker 4: anyway crazy dramatic win for The Red. Sox they're the
- 1:00:18Speaker 4: better team, here BUT i don't, know, MAN i just don't.
- 1:00:22Speaker 4: Know Red sox have the better bullpen. Here they used
- 1:00:27Speaker 4: three guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday but The Red
- 1:00:29Speaker 4: sox are kind of hurting in the bullpen right now
- 1:00:31Speaker 4: because they're still Without whitlock And slaton, here so that
- 1:00:34Speaker 4: is not. Good San francisco's bullpen is not. Great they
- 1:00:38Speaker 4: used three guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday Red sox
- 1:00:41Speaker 4: is still ranked number one in bullpen and BOTH era And.
- 1:00:44Speaker 4: Whip San francisco's twenty. Fourth they have not been. Great
- 1:00:48Speaker 4: they're not the, worst but they're not great at. All
- 1:00:51Speaker 4: Red sox are up to Eighth, offensively they're better in
- 1:00:54Speaker 4: that department than The giants as.
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: Well The giants are twenty.
- 1:00:56Speaker 4: First Red sox still not a good home team a,
- 1:01:00Speaker 4: THOUGH i, think by the, WAY i think The Red
- 1:01:02Speaker 4: sox for the first time all, season except for maybe
- 1:01:05Speaker 4: at the very beginning of the, season The Red sox
- 1:01:07Speaker 4: have a winning record at. Home oh my, god, yeah
- 1:01:11Speaker 4: there you. Go they've been better at home at least
- 1:01:13Speaker 4: it's The All star break. Though Matt wilkinson the tug
- 1:01:19Speaker 4: boat is pitching For San francisco. HERE i have no
- 1:01:22Speaker 4: idea what you're gonna get out of. Him he's got
- 1:01:24Speaker 4: a zero eer race of our point five. Whip obviously that's.
- 1:01:27Speaker 4: Good but he's only pitched two winnings so. Far he
- 1:01:30Speaker 4: made a start Against cleveland and they took him out pretty.
- 1:01:33Speaker 4: Quickly in that, game he was, good he was. Efficient
- 1:01:36Speaker 4: he didn't allow any. Runs he only allowed one hit
- 1:01:38Speaker 4: and no, walks so he didn't strike anybody out. EITHER
- 1:01:40Speaker 4: i think he's a little bit overhyped just because he
- 1:01:43Speaker 4: is the tug, boat and he's a big, dude a big,
- 1:01:47Speaker 4: lefty and he throws the invisible if you don't, remember
- 1:01:50Speaker 4: which has to do with his.
- 1:01:53Speaker 3: Arm.
- 1:01:53Speaker 4: Motion he's able to hide his fastball like really well
- 1:01:57Speaker 4: out or disguise it really.
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: WELL i don't know what the.
- 1:01:59Speaker 4: Deal he doesn't throw that fast, though even though he's
- 1:02:02Speaker 4: a two hundred and fifty pound. Dude you think he
- 1:02:04Speaker 4: would throw harder than he. Does he throws like kind
- 1:02:06Speaker 4: of mid, NINETIES i, think but whatever load to mid.
- 1:02:09Speaker 4: Nineties but he does off speed. Stuff he fools hitters
- 1:02:14Speaker 4: red socks won't have seen him. Before BUT i have
- 1:02:16Speaker 4: no idea or you're gonna get out Of wilkinson, here
- 1:02:18Speaker 4: AND i don't know how long they're gonna let him
- 1:02:20Speaker 4: go in this, game so probably you're gonna get a
- 1:02:22Speaker 4: lot Of San francisco bullpen in this game, still BUT
- 1:02:24Speaker 4: i honestly have no. Idea and then The Red socks
- 1:02:27Speaker 4: are going With Jake. Bennett bennett has not been as good,
- 1:02:30Speaker 4: recently although he's had a decent. Season But, bennett he's
- 1:02:33Speaker 4: not a strikeout. Pitcher he's got a three point four
- 1:02:35Speaker 4: to SIX era one point oh seven. Win that's pretty
- 1:02:38Speaker 4: good for WHAT i think is his rookie. Season, yeah
- 1:02:41Speaker 4: so he's had a decent season for. Sure he's been
- 1:02:44Speaker 4: basically the same home and, away it doesn't really. Matter
- 1:02:48Speaker 4: he struggled recently, though his last three starts not really as,
- 1:02:51Speaker 4: good although two of them are road starts against The
- 1:02:54Speaker 4: dodgers and The. Pirates that's not. Easy but he did
- 1:02:57Speaker 4: struggle at home against The a's, two which is maybe
- 1:02:59Speaker 4: not a great. Time his hit rate is still pretty
- 1:03:02Speaker 4: low in the. Season doesn't really walk, anybody so that's,
- 1:03:05Speaker 4: good although his strike cut rate is also kind of,
- 1:03:07Speaker 4: low so that's not. Good but he hasn't put many
- 1:03:09Speaker 4: guys on, base and his strike out walk ratio is
- 1:03:12Speaker 4: still good because he doesn't walk. Anybody strake ut per
- 1:03:15Speaker 4: nine is low, though so advanced analytics guys won't like.
- 1:03:19Speaker 4: Him giants kind of a weak offense, though and they
- 1:03:21Speaker 4: have not Seen bennett, before so we have a lot
- 1:03:23Speaker 4: of unfamiliarity between these two starting pitchers.
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: Here what does that mean for this? Game and maybe an, under.
- 1:03:33Speaker 4: Maybe a first five, under because you don't really know
- 1:03:35Speaker 4: how long these guys are gonna go in this. GAME
- 1:03:37Speaker 4: i don't know how MUCH i trust either bullpen really right,
- 1:03:40Speaker 4: now to be, honest although maybe the bullpen's are trustworthy.
- 1:03:43Speaker 4: Enough the full game is eight and a, half the
- 1:03:45Speaker 4: money is back in the under sixty six percent of
- 1:03:48Speaker 4: the cash on the or six percent of tickets on
- 1:03:50Speaker 4: the over thirty four percent of the cash on the.
- 1:03:52Speaker 4: Under money seems, yeah you, know money seems to be
- 1:03:58Speaker 4: on the. UNDER i think maybe a first five on
- 1:04:00Speaker 4: does make some. Sense you'll probably be able to find
- 1:04:02Speaker 4: a four and a half on. That that might be
- 1:04:04Speaker 4: the better way to approach this is first five. UNDER
- 1:04:07Speaker 4: i GUESS i probably still wouldn't disagree going full game on.
- 1:04:10Speaker 4: It maybe the bullpens are good enough to hold, there
- 1:04:13Speaker 4: but the bullpen might do extra work Behind, wilkinson you,
- 1:04:17Speaker 4: know because you, know you don't know how Much San
- 1:04:19Speaker 4: francisco is gonna use him like they limited him in
- 1:04:21Speaker 4: his first, start and they don't want to like overwork these,
- 1:04:24Speaker 4: guys so they might be building them up and maybe
- 1:04:26Speaker 4: you see him go about four innings this. TIME i
- 1:04:29Speaker 4: don't know how much the tug boat can pull in this.
- 1:04:33Speaker 4: GAME i don't, know but, yeah first five under seems
- 1:04:36Speaker 4: to maybe make the most. Sense all, Right i'll be right,
- 1:04:39Speaker 4: back and then the next game is another play for.
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: ME. Bc what's?
- 1:04:42Speaker 3: Up?
- 1:04:43Speaker 4: Man, yes thank, you thanks for hanging. Out i'm, yes gutin. Dog,
- 1:04:47Speaker 4: yes all, Right i'll be right.
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: Back.
- 1:04:55Speaker 4: Yep INSIDE i want to kill. Myself we were on
- 1:05:00Speaker 4: and seven run over the last two days after.
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: Tonight it was just complete. Bullshit so that's.
- 1:05:05Speaker 4: That's i'm gonna start off this show Horrible sunday one and.
- 1:05:08Speaker 2: FIVE i don't even know what to tell you about.
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: THAT i just don't want to do this. ANYMORE i
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: have never seen anything like.
- 1:05:15Speaker 4: This man with the slump continuing two straight, losses not
- 1:05:20Speaker 4: a good day at.
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: All oh in FOUR i have not had a good.
- 1:05:25Speaker 2: Season man with, wookends the slump That i'm on and
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: the slump, Continues i've reached a new. Peak, Actually i'm
- 1:05:34Speaker 2: gonna burn My broins. Hat, MAN i don't know what
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: is going on with The. Bruins march, Eight is that
- 1:05:40Speaker 2: what it? IS i don't even know it's It's march,
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: NINTH i think who even? Knows, MAN i don't know
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: what data is. ANYMORE i don't even know what data is. Anymore,
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: man back with you after the worst day THAT i
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: can possibly, Have back with you AS i always am.
- 1:05:56Speaker 5: UNTIL i die at least oh and two yesterday and
- 1:06:00Speaker 5: yesterday did not go well for. Me own five the
- 1:06:03Speaker 5: worst month That i've ever had in my eighteen years doing.
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: THIS i don't know what to even tell you about this.
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: Anymore to the slump, series the slump, Discontinuous the slump.
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: Continues somebody fucking kill, me. PLEASE i don't even know
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: WHAT i should do at this, point other than potentially
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: end it.
- 1:06:21Speaker 4: All, yeah that's. Right the next game is my other baseball.
- 1:06:33Speaker 4: Play we're gonna Take Cubs mariners under seven and a half.
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: HERE i like the under in this. One. Uh it's
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: a picture friendly, park you.
- 1:06:41Speaker 4: Know so you see me playing a lot of unders
- 1:06:44Speaker 4: In seattle, games and there's a reason for. It both
- 1:06:48Speaker 4: games in the series have actually gone over SO i
- 1:06:50Speaker 4: think maybe it is time for an under. Here seattle's
- 1:06:52Speaker 4: on the verge of a sweep. Here seattle playing some
- 1:06:55Speaker 4: motivated baseball. Here of, course we did take the loss
- 1:06:57Speaker 4: in the first game BECAUSE i thought it was a
- 1:06:59Speaker 4: really bad spot For seattle with the return home spot
- 1:07:02Speaker 4: spot plus rest. Disadvantage cubs probably should have won that,
- 1:07:07Speaker 4: game and they blew, it and they had a huge
- 1:07:10Speaker 4: hit advantage in that, game still.
- 1:07:12Speaker 2: Lost i'm pissed about.
- 1:07:13Speaker 4: It seattle won yesterday as, well And Kate anderson wasn't
- 1:07:17Speaker 4: great in the game. Yesterday seattle should have lost yesterday,
- 1:07:21Speaker 4: too in the overcame a deficit in that.
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: Game they were down four to, TWO i think.
- 1:07:24Speaker 4: In the eighth, then and they pulled that game out
- 1:07:27Speaker 4: of their ass as.
- 1:07:27Speaker 2: Well kind of, ridiculous but they're playing motivated baseball late in.
- 1:07:33Speaker 4: Games The cubs don't really need this as much As seattle.
- 1:07:36Speaker 4: Does seattle's in that heated race in The Al. West
- 1:07:39Speaker 4: The cubs are going to make the playoffs like pretty
- 1:07:41Speaker 4: much regardless of what happens.
- 1:07:42Speaker 2: Here The cubs used three.
- 1:07:44Speaker 4: Relief pitchers, yesterday but we're going to back their bullpen.
- 1:07:47Speaker 4: Here their better arms are basically all available here for
- 1:07:50Speaker 4: the most.
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: PART i think.
- 1:07:51Speaker 4: So, actually maybe that's not the case because they did
- 1:07:54Speaker 4: blow the game, yesterday BUT i still think The cubs
- 1:07:57Speaker 4: pretty clean look to their bullpen here right. Now as
- 1:08:00Speaker 4: far as the, Usage seattle did use three guys that
- 1:08:02Speaker 4: they didn't use any of their better. Relievers they use
- 1:08:04Speaker 4: their better relievers On friday, night but not last, Night
- 1:08:07Speaker 4: SO i think we're fine with backing both bullpens.
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: Here cubs are.
- 1:08:12Speaker 4: Thirteenth they're not a bad bullpen seattle thirtieth ranking would,
- 1:08:17Speaker 4: suggest but they've been disappointing. Recently but maybe they're bullpen's
- 1:08:21Speaker 4: coming around again. Here they've been decent out of the
- 1:08:23Speaker 4: bullpen in.
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: This series at.
- 1:08:24Speaker 4: Least we also are looking at A seattle offense that's been.
- 1:08:28Speaker 4: Bad even though they've put up some offense in this
- 1:08:31Speaker 4: series twenty, ninth, offensively they're still. Bad The cubs are
- 1:08:34Speaker 4: good though they're number, two but they might be stifled
- 1:08:37Speaker 4: by the pitching in this.
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: One.
- 1:08:38Speaker 4: MAN i like the pitching matchup. Here obviously we get
- 1:08:41Speaker 4: showed To Im nagat pitching for The. Cubs he's, solid
- 1:08:44Speaker 4: he was struggling a little bit in the middle of the,
- 1:08:47Speaker 4: season but he's turned it. Around he looks good and
- 1:08:49Speaker 4: he's been good since he's been in the. MAJORS a
- 1:08:52Speaker 4: three point seven to seven Year rang one point zero nine.
- 1:08:55Speaker 4: Whip he's a little bit better on the road to
- 1:08:58Speaker 4: three point six to two roadier races are better on the.
- 1:09:00Speaker 4: Road cubs have won five of his last six. Outings
- 1:09:05Speaker 4: they've won all three of his outings this. Month he's
- 1:09:07Speaker 4: pitched pretty. Well he's had a twenty one to three
- 1:09:09Speaker 4: strike out walk ratio this, month and he's not facing weak.
- 1:09:13Speaker 4: Offenses Year Dodgers Washington White sox sets a decent. Sign
- 1:09:17Speaker 4: he wasn't great in The washington, one but still good
- 1:09:20Speaker 4: command throughout these. Starts he's in pretty good for him right.
- 1:09:23Speaker 4: Now he's got a low hit, rate low walk, rate
- 1:09:26Speaker 4: does a lot of too many home, runs but that
- 1:09:28Speaker 4: might be lowered a little bit in This seattle.
- 1:09:31Speaker 2: Stadium so this might be a good stadium for him
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: to pitch.
- 1:09:33Speaker 4: IN i think a lot of that is The wrigley
- 1:09:35Speaker 4: like wind effect kind of fucking him. Over seattle should
- 1:09:39Speaker 4: be a better environment for him as far as that's.
- 1:09:41Speaker 4: Concerned he is more of a fly ball, pitcher but
- 1:09:43Speaker 4: that plays better in a big stadium like, this And
- 1:09:47Speaker 4: seattle hasn't really seen him that. Much they have four
- 1:09:50Speaker 4: guys who have faced, him and they haven't done.
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: Well they only have one extra base, hit a double From.
- 1:09:54Speaker 4: Naylor naylor's the only guy in their lineup that has
- 1:09:57Speaker 4: any hits off. Him they're two for eighteen off, him
- 1:10:00Speaker 4: one eleven, average two seventy eight ops for zero strikeout walk.
- 1:10:05Speaker 4: Ratio SO i think Im minaga sets up pretty well
- 1:10:08Speaker 4: in this. Game pitcher from the, park unfamiliarity and good
- 1:10:13Speaker 4: numbers against the guys that have Faced and on the other,
- 1:10:15Speaker 4: SIDE i Like Bryce miller as. Well pitching For. Seattle
- 1:10:18Speaker 4: he's had a pretty good. Season of those win loss record.
- 1:10:20Speaker 4: Sucks that's not really his, fault it's because his team
- 1:10:25Speaker 4: can't hit a three point seven one point four. Whip
- 1:10:29Speaker 4: he's really good at home two point zero nine home,
- 1:10:31Speaker 4: areas so the home road splits both are in favor
- 1:10:34Speaker 4: of these pitchers, here Especially. Miller he's significantly better at.
- 1:10:38Speaker 4: Home won sixty two opponent a batting average allot at
- 1:10:41Speaker 4: home as. Well, miller his team's losing all of his.
- 1:10:45Speaker 4: Starts there's no doubt about. That and he hasn't pitched
- 1:10:47Speaker 4: well this, month but he faced The yankees And milwaukee
- 1:10:51Speaker 4: in his last two. STARTS i, MEAN i know The
- 1:10:53Speaker 4: cubs are a good offense as, well BUT i think
- 1:10:55Speaker 4: he's gonna turn this.
- 1:10:56Speaker 2: Around his numbers weren't even that bad in The yankee.
- 1:10:58Speaker 4: Start, really his command was still, good SO i think
- 1:11:01Speaker 4: he got a little bit unlucky to allow as many
- 1:11:03Speaker 4: runs as he. Did he definitely wasn't good in his last.
- 1:11:05Speaker 4: Start he was the one in that twenty two to
- 1:11:07Speaker 4: nothing game Against. Milwaukee SO i think he's gonna be
- 1:11:10Speaker 4: in a bounce back spot, here. MAN i, mean that
- 1:11:13Speaker 4: was an, ugly ugly game all, around and you can't
- 1:11:17Speaker 4: let that.
- 1:11:18Speaker 2: Stand you got to bounce back from. THAT i think he.
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: Will that was on the. Road he's back at home here.
- 1:11:23Speaker 4: NOW i Know seattle's lost his last seven starts in a,
- 1:11:25Speaker 4: row but we're not Asking seattle to win this. Game
- 1:11:27Speaker 4: we're asking the under to come through. Here miller's got
- 1:11:31Speaker 4: pretty good numbers against The. Cubs they haven't really seen
- 1:11:33Speaker 4: much of. Him they have six guys who have faced
- 1:11:35Speaker 4: him twenty eight at bats two fourteen, average six seventy
- 1:11:39Speaker 4: four oh. Ps the only problem is one strikeout in six.
- 1:11:42Speaker 2: Walks it's not.
- 1:11:43Speaker 4: Good but it looks like he kind of pitches around
- 1:11:45Speaker 4: Like bregman and stuff like. That i'm not that concerned about.
- 1:11:49Speaker 4: IT i think this game pretty much has underwritten all over.
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: It to, ME i like both.
- 1:11:53Speaker 4: Starters the money seems to be strongly indicating on the
- 1:11:57Speaker 4: under you can get the seven and a.
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: Half it's like widely available.
- 1:12:00Speaker 4: Here you might have to pay a little bit for,
- 1:12:01Speaker 4: it but you get under that key number seven and
- 1:12:04Speaker 4: a half with that hook.
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: There so, yeah.
- 1:12:08Speaker 4: Sixty one percent of tickets on the, over seventy one
- 1:12:10Speaker 4: percent of the cash on the. Under money definitely backing
- 1:12:13Speaker 4: the under, here that's what we're gonna. Do money's also
- 1:12:16Speaker 4: backing The cubs seventy three percent of, tickets eighty four
- 1:12:18Speaker 4: percent of the cash on The. Cubs they're at like
- 1:12:21Speaker 4: minus one twelve or so.
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: HERE i don't really disagree with The.
- 1:12:25Speaker 4: CUBS i Think Ema, naga the more like HE'S i
- 1:12:29Speaker 4: think he might be the better of the two, starters
- 1:12:32Speaker 4: kind of maybe sets up a little bit better in this,
- 1:12:35Speaker 4: game better current, form at least For Mima. Naga SO
- 1:12:38Speaker 4: i wouldn't, Really and The cubs are trying to avoid the,
- 1:12:40Speaker 4: sweep SO i wouldn't really.
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: Disagree but The mariners are, trying, man they're trying to
- 1:12:44Speaker 2: avoid the.
- 1:12:45Speaker 4: Sweeper they Played philadelphia. Next i'm not sure they're gonna
- 1:12:48Speaker 4: look ahead to that or. Not The cubs are still
- 1:12:50Speaker 4: a Big National league opponent as, well, so but, yeah
- 1:12:54Speaker 4: the under is What i'm focusing on. There that's the
- 1:12:56Speaker 4: play all, Right, Minnesota San. Diego minnesota is trying to
- 1:13:00Speaker 4: avoid a sweep. Here San diego's playing with, effort, man
- 1:13:04Speaker 4: because they're in the wildcard race right, now trying to
- 1:13:07Speaker 4: keep pace there With arizona and. WHATEVER i Think seattle's
- 1:13:09Speaker 4: a excuse. ME i Think San diego is ahead Of.
- 1:13:12Speaker 4: Arizona minnesota is still trying to make the playoffs, too. Though,
- 1:13:15Speaker 4: man they're in THE al wildcard. Race they're in the
- 1:13:18Speaker 4: race for their division as. WELL i didn't Think minnesota
- 1:13:22Speaker 4: is gonna be able to do it, though AND i still.
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: Don't they're bullpen is a big.
- 1:13:25Speaker 4: Concern the use only three guys, yesterday but their bullpen
- 1:13:28Speaker 4: is way worse Than San. Diego's San diego used four guys,
- 1:13:32Speaker 4: though and they Use Mason miller in both, games so
- 1:13:34Speaker 4: he's probably not available. Here San diego is still the
- 1:13:38Speaker 4: better bullpen though there ain't. Eighth minnesota is twenty, eight
- 1:13:41Speaker 4: SO i Think San diego still has a bullpen advantage.
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: Here minnesota twelfth in.
- 1:13:46Speaker 4: Offense San diego has been one of the better offenses
- 1:13:48Speaker 4: since The All Star, break although they're twenty third. Overall
- 1:13:53Speaker 4: BUT i think these offenses are kind of closely matched.
- 1:13:55Speaker 4: Here Bailey ober getting The star From. Minnesota this does
- 1:13:58Speaker 4: not look like a.
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: Great pitching match in this.
- 1:14:00Speaker 4: One ober has been okay four point six to two
- 1:14:03Speaker 4: Yar ra one point two to five whip is not too,
- 1:14:05Speaker 4: bad but he's definitely not good on the road six point,
- 1:14:08Speaker 4: two six point seven to. Five Roady ray with the
- 1:14:12Speaker 4: THREE zho nine opponent batting. Average he's way worse on
- 1:14:14Speaker 4: the road than he is at. Home, however this is
- 1:14:17Speaker 4: a pitcher from the ballpark. Here he's been decent ish.
- 1:14:22Speaker 4: Recently he's been alright in his recent outings here over
- 1:14:26Speaker 4: the course of the. Season his hit rate is like
- 1:14:29Speaker 4: right at one per, inning which is kind of mediocres
- 1:14:31Speaker 4: walk rates, low though strikeout rate is low as well,
- 1:14:35Speaker 4: though so he doesn't really strike anybody. Out but he
- 1:14:38Speaker 4: doesn't really walk, anybody so his strike out walk ratio
- 1:14:40Speaker 4: is kind of all. Right his strike up per nine
- 1:14:43Speaker 4: is a little bit low this, year, though but he's
- 1:14:45Speaker 4: actually good Against San diego and eighty three at, bats seventeen,
- 1:14:49Speaker 4: strikeouts no wall two forty one average six sixty three.
- 1:14:52Speaker 4: Ohps so even though he stinks on the, road this
- 1:14:55Speaker 4: might actually be a decent uh matchup for him here decent,
- 1:15:00Speaker 4: location pitching in a pitcher friendly ballpark against an offense
- 1:15:03Speaker 4: that he typically does alright. Against by the, WAY i
- 1:15:06Speaker 4: did forget to go over the the overall stats For
- 1:15:10Speaker 4: Ema naga And imanaga And miller There, emanaga, yeah like,
- 1:15:16Speaker 4: He's oh, NO i THINK i did go over, them
- 1:15:18Speaker 4: DIDN'T I i don't. Know I'm i'm all out of, it,
- 1:15:20Speaker 4: MAN i usually. Am imanaga's got a good strike out
- 1:15:22Speaker 4: walk ratio though in a pretty decent strike up for nine,
- 1:15:25Speaker 4: whatever And Bryce miller really good strike out walk. Ratio Fro,
- 1:15:29Speaker 4: miller he doesn't really walk. Anybody his strike out for
- 1:15:33Speaker 4: nine is also pretty, Solid.
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: So there you.
- 1:15:36Speaker 4: Go, uh but you could you could have probably figured
- 1:15:38Speaker 4: that out. Anyway, Anyway San diego back to. Them Walker
- 1:15:42Speaker 4: buehler is pitching For San, DIEGO i mean four point
- 1:15:47Speaker 4: seven to NINETY ra one point three to nine whip not,
- 1:15:49Speaker 4: great although he's been okay, recently and he's been better
- 1:15:53Speaker 4: at home four point four to One HOMIE, Ra SO
- 1:15:55Speaker 4: i think pitching In San diego has helped him a little,
- 1:15:57Speaker 4: bit pitching in a pitcher friendly. Ballpark he's been genuinely
- 1:16:01Speaker 4: pretty good for the last month plus, here around three
- 1:16:04Speaker 4: or few runs in most of these, outings or in
- 1:16:07Speaker 4: all of, THEM i should, say through Late. July but
- 1:16:12Speaker 4: he's not going deep into some of these, outings AND
- 1:16:14Speaker 4: i still don't really trust. Him he's got a thirteen
- 1:16:16Speaker 4: to seven strike out walk race year. Here strike out
- 1:16:18Speaker 4: walk ratio hasn't been good really at all throughout the season.
- 1:16:22Speaker 4: Here he's got an okay hit, rate his walk rate
- 1:16:24Speaker 4: is kind of too. High strike out rates not really that,
- 1:16:27Speaker 4: good so the numbers don't look that. Good Strike out
- 1:16:30Speaker 4: walk ratio is fairly bad at two point one.
- 1:16:34Speaker 2: Straight up for nine is actually.
- 1:16:36Speaker 4: Decent it's better than it has been in a, while
- 1:16:39Speaker 4: so for, him at, least he's striking out more guys
- 1:16:41Speaker 4: than he has been. Recently minnesota has five guys who
- 1:16:44Speaker 4: have faced him but they've done some damage against HIM
- 1:16:46Speaker 4: a three thirty average three thirty, three excuse, me seven
- 1:16:49Speaker 4: to fifty ops eight to two with strike out walk
- 1:16:52Speaker 4: ratio in those twenty seven at. BATS i don't know
- 1:16:58Speaker 4: what to do with this, game. MAN i, mean the
- 1:16:59Speaker 4: pitch doesn't really look great overall here the money is
- 1:17:03Speaker 4: backing the, over fifty one percent of tickets on the,
- 1:17:05Speaker 4: under a fifty eight percent of cash on the. Over
- 1:17:07Speaker 4: the total is pretty high for A San diego home.
- 1:17:10Speaker 4: Game it's eight and a half or.
- 1:17:12Speaker 2: Nine if you're.
- 1:17:13Speaker 4: Gonna play the, OVER i probably do Lean, over BUT
- 1:17:16Speaker 4: i would see want to find like the eight and
- 1:17:18Speaker 4: a half rather than the nine to get below that
- 1:17:20Speaker 4: key number. There money's coming in At San. Diego i'm
- 1:17:24Speaker 4: not so sure THAT i agree with. That eighty four
- 1:17:26Speaker 4: percent of tickets ninety two percent of the cash On San,
- 1:17:28Speaker 4: diego they're about minus one thirty something. HERE i WOULD
- 1:17:31Speaker 4: i THINK i would Lean minnesota in the first five,
- 1:17:33Speaker 4: here LIKE i don't like their, bullpend But over has
- 1:17:36Speaker 4: the better matchup. NUMBERS i don't know IF i trust
- 1:17:38Speaker 4: him because he's so bad on the, road but he's
- 1:17:41Speaker 4: got better matchup numbers Than bueller.
- 1:17:43Speaker 2: Does minnesota is trying to avoid the.
- 1:17:44Speaker 4: Sweep minnesota first five makes some sense to, me and,
- 1:17:48Speaker 4: YEAH i would probably slightly lean over as.
- 1:17:51Speaker 2: Well all, Right pittsburgh AND la.
- 1:17:56Speaker 4: Don't want to talk about the game, yesterday and of
- 1:17:58Speaker 4: course the full game wound up being a push on the.
- 1:18:01Speaker 4: Seven it just really pisses me, off. Man all seven
- 1:18:05Speaker 4: runs came home in the first five and then the
- 1:18:07Speaker 4: bullpen's didn't allow. Anything just come, on, man come, On
- 1:18:11Speaker 4: i'm so fucking. Pissed The dodgers are on the verge
- 1:18:15Speaker 4: of a sweep. Here they won five.
- 1:18:16Speaker 2: Games in a. Row will they Overlook pittsburgh? HERE i don't.
- 1:18:19Speaker 2: Know pittsburgh might be.
- 1:18:21Speaker 4: Like they might be done for the, season, man you
- 1:18:23Speaker 4: know WHAT i. Mean Like skeens might be shut. DOWN
- 1:18:26Speaker 4: i don't know if we're gonna See skeens. Again he
- 1:18:28Speaker 4: might be shut down for the rest of the season
- 1:18:30Speaker 4: BECAUSE i think he has some injury or. Something you
- 1:18:32Speaker 4: don't want to hurt your, guy, man when you know
- 1:18:35Speaker 4: you're not gonna make the playoffs pretty much at this.
- 1:18:37Speaker 4: Point So pittsburgh might shut him, down but they might
- 1:18:40Speaker 4: still show up to try to win a game AGAINST.
- 1:18:42Speaker 2: La the problem is this looks like a huge pitching.
- 1:18:45Speaker 4: Edge for The dodgers. Here, however you do have to
- 1:18:47Speaker 4: pay a huge price for.
- 1:18:48Speaker 2: Them.
- 1:18:48Speaker 4: Here dodgers use three relief. Pitchers yesterday they are the better.
- 1:18:52Speaker 4: Bullpen pirates used. Four dodgers are an okay. Bullpen they' ranked,
- 1:18:58Speaker 4: Eleventh yres are twenty, third although the era is really
- 1:19:02Speaker 4: not that, bad SO i think there's not that much
- 1:19:04Speaker 4: of a gap between the two. Bullpens both offense are
- 1:19:08Speaker 4: Good dodgers number, One pittsburgh number.
- 1:19:10Speaker 2: Four but, again it looks like.
- 1:19:13Speaker 4: A big pitching a mismatch in favor of The dodgers,
- 1:19:16Speaker 4: here Although pittsburgh might be looking to avoid the sweep The.
- 1:19:19Speaker 4: Dodgers who are they playing? Next they're Playing atlanta. Next
- 1:19:23Speaker 4: that is a pretty big. Season And luke who's coming back?
- 1:19:26Speaker 4: Tomorrow by the, Way glass. Noo so The dodgers are
- 1:19:28Speaker 4: doing this thing again where their best pitchers are basically
- 1:19:31Speaker 4: just injured all. Season The dodgers still make the playoffs
- 1:19:35Speaker 4: as one of the higher. Seeds and then oh, yeah
- 1:19:37Speaker 4: by the, Way snell and glasnow are back all of a,
- 1:19:39Speaker 4: sudden and we have this like insurmountable starting pitching.
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: Rotation it's so insane. Dude, Anyway.
- 1:19:47Speaker 4: Pittsburgh is going with a bullpen game in this. One
- 1:19:49Speaker 4: they're going With Lake bashar or however he pronounce his name.
- 1:19:53Speaker 4: HERE i don't. Know he's got fine numbers on the,
- 1:19:56Speaker 4: season BUT i don't know how good this really. Is
- 1:19:58Speaker 4: he's bad on the. Road he's probably only gonna Go
- 1:20:03Speaker 4: he'll go somewhere between one and three innings. Here if
- 1:20:06Speaker 4: you want to play this, game you might just Pick
- 1:20:08Speaker 4: snell must start for The dodgers and don't pick a
- 1:20:10Speaker 4: starter For pittsburgh because they're going with some sort of bullpen.
- 1:20:14Speaker 4: Game but though it probably will Be bashar, opening BUT
- 1:20:17Speaker 4: i have no. Idea he just pitched against The dodgers On.
- 1:20:19Speaker 4: FRIDAY i think he came out of the bullpen On,
- 1:20:22Speaker 4: friday so that tells you he's not gonna pitch that
- 1:20:24Speaker 4: many innings here. Today his numbers against The dodgers are
- 1:20:27Speaker 4: also pretty bad in a small sample, size SO i
- 1:20:30Speaker 4: don't see how you could Trust pittsburgh's pitching. Here And
- 1:20:33Speaker 4: Blake snell was pitching for The. Dodgers LIKE i, said
- 1:20:37Speaker 4: he's only made three starts on the. Season he's got
- 1:20:39Speaker 4: a three point six Y, rra one point one to
- 1:20:41Speaker 4: three whip a five arra at, home BUT i wouldn't
- 1:20:45Speaker 4: really put much weight into. That he had one bad
- 1:20:48Speaker 4: start at home at the very big Or, no it
- 1:20:50Speaker 4: was In may actually against The.
- 1:20:52Speaker 2: Braves that was.
- 1:20:53Speaker 4: The only start that he, made and then they shut
- 1:20:55Speaker 4: him down, again shut it. Down he's come back AND
- 1:20:58Speaker 4: i think he's gonna be in the rotation for the
- 1:21:00Speaker 4: remainder of the season and postseason. Now and he's been
- 1:21:03Speaker 4: good since he's come. Back he's gone twelve innings and
- 1:21:05Speaker 4: he's only allowed two runs on five. Hits dodgers won
- 1:21:09Speaker 4: both games against The royals and The.
- 1:21:11Speaker 2: Rockies in course.
- 1:21:12Speaker 4: Field snell's Doing snell things. Here high strike out rate
- 1:21:17Speaker 4: and kind of somewhat high walk. RATE i, mean that's
- 1:21:19Speaker 4: exactly how he. Pitches low hit, rate somewhat high walk
- 1:21:23Speaker 4: rate although.
- 1:21:24Speaker 2: It doesn't that doesn't even look that bad this season so,
- 1:21:26Speaker 2: far and strike out rate.
- 1:21:28Speaker 4: High that's usually what he. Does so he looks like
- 1:21:31Speaker 4: he's basically The snell that we. Remember his numbers Against
- 1:21:35Speaker 4: pittsburgh fine in forty at bats to seventy five, average
- 1:21:39Speaker 4: same one, ops fifteen to five strike out walk. RATIO i,
- 1:21:44Speaker 4: mean The dodgers look like they should win this, game
- 1:21:46Speaker 4: even though it's one of those situations WHERE i don't
- 1:21:49Speaker 4: love to play on a team that's going for the
- 1:21:51Speaker 4: sweep and you can't lay minus to.
- 1:21:53Speaker 2: Eighty you just can't do.
- 1:21:55Speaker 4: It ninety two percent of, tickets ninety two percent of
- 1:21:57Speaker 4: the cash on The, dodgers they're extremely, public the money's
- 1:22:01Speaker 4: coming in on the over pretty strongly total of eight
- 1:22:05Speaker 4: and a. HALF i don't know IF i like, that.
- 1:22:07Speaker 4: THOUGH i, mean you do get two kind of questionable.
- 1:22:09Speaker 4: Bullpens you get a bullpen game out Of pittsburgh. Here
- 1:22:12Speaker 4: you could Play dodgers over their team, TOTAL i, guess
- 1:22:15Speaker 4: because pretty likely they're gonna score runs against This pittsburgh pitching.
- 1:22:19Speaker 4: Setup you need The dodgers to probably score six runs
- 1:22:24Speaker 4: though at least, here which is a, lot especially when
- 1:22:27Speaker 4: they're not. Gonnat they're potentially not batting.
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: In the ninth inning if they're already.
- 1:22:31Speaker 4: AHEAD i still this is one game WHERE i probably
- 1:22:34Speaker 4: still wouldn't be opposed to laying the minus one and
- 1:22:36Speaker 4: a half run, line even though The dodgers might not
- 1:22:39Speaker 4: bad in the ninth. INNING i, mean it's a huge,
- 1:22:42Speaker 4: mismatch so maybe minus one and a half runs get
- 1:22:45Speaker 4: the price. Down it seems like a game of The
- 1:22:48Speaker 4: dodgers should still win this thing and probably do it by.
- 1:22:50Speaker 4: Margin BUT i don't, Know, man And pittsburgh could be
- 1:22:54Speaker 4: in you, know potential dream crusher mode or whatever.
- 1:22:57Speaker 2: Here who, Knows, zach what's, up? MAN i think hanging.
- 1:23:00Speaker 4: Out, Yes royals have won like seven games in a. Row,
- 1:23:04Speaker 4: MAN i already talked about that. Game it looks like
- 1:23:07Speaker 4: a real ugly pitching matchup in that.
- 1:23:09Speaker 2: Game i'll tell you That.
- 1:23:12Speaker 4: Cincinnati And arizona are on peacock in the last of
- 1:23:16Speaker 4: the afternoon games. Here arizona lost badly yesterday after they
- 1:23:19Speaker 4: had a shutout win in the first game of the
- 1:23:22Speaker 4: series eleven to. Five lost yesterday against A reds offense
- 1:23:26Speaker 4: and that was wasn't That soroka on the mound For? Arizona,
- 1:23:29Speaker 4: YEAH i don't know what the hell happened in that.
- 1:23:31Speaker 4: Game that's not Good. ARIZONA i think should win here.
- 1:23:35Speaker 4: Though arizona's the team with the motivation. Here they're coming
- 1:23:38Speaker 4: off an ugly. Loss they're in the wildcard race right,
- 1:23:41Speaker 4: Now reds are. Not arizona used three relief. Pitchers i'm
- 1:23:46Speaker 4: not gonna say The reds are just gonna lie down
- 1:23:48Speaker 4: because they can play spoiler and. Whatever but Still reds
- 1:23:50Speaker 4: have the worst of the two. Bullpens they used three
- 1:23:52Speaker 4: guys yesterday as. Well arizona's ranked ninth in bullpen BUT
- 1:23:56Speaker 4: i don't think they're that good because THE era is
- 1:23:58Speaker 4: above four did the better these two, bullpens Though cincinnati
- 1:24:02Speaker 4: era in the mid. Fours they ranked twenty sixth in bullpen,
- 1:24:05Speaker 4: whips So arizona is still better. There arizona's the better.
- 1:24:09Speaker 4: Offense they've been good since The All star. Break they're,
- 1:24:11Speaker 4: fifteenth tied With philly right. Now both those offenses on the.
- 1:24:15Speaker 4: Rise cincinnati twenty fourth tie with The mets And. Cardinals
- 1:24:21Speaker 4: not a great offense from. Them this does not look
- 1:24:24Speaker 4: like a great pitching matchup. Here andrew Ra abbot is
- 1:24:26Speaker 4: pitching For. Cincinnati this has been his worst. SEASON i,
- 1:24:29Speaker 4: mean it has not been a great season for. Him
- 1:24:31Speaker 4: four point zero SEVENTY, ra but at one point four
- 1:24:33Speaker 4: whip is very. Ugly he's better on the road, though
- 1:24:36Speaker 4: three point three to six ROADY. Ra cincinnati has a
- 1:24:40Speaker 4: hitter friendly, park But arizona also has hit her.
- 1:24:43Speaker 2: Friendly abbot was good in his last.
- 1:24:45Speaker 4: Start it was Against Saint, louis but he's been pretty
- 1:24:48Speaker 4: decent in three of his four starts this, month although
- 1:24:51Speaker 4: a strikeout walk ratio kind of counters, that like it
- 1:24:54Speaker 4: has not been. Good fourteen to twelve strike out walk
- 1:24:57Speaker 4: ratio this. Month that's not enough strikeouts and that's two
- 1:25:00Speaker 4: he walks man and that's been the case for him all. Season,
- 1:25:04Speaker 4: really his hit rate's not, bad but he walks way
- 1:25:07Speaker 4: too many guys this. Season walks have been kind of
- 1:25:09Speaker 4: an issue for him throughout his, career but this year
- 1:25:11Speaker 4: it's been really bad and his strike up rate is,
- 1:25:14Speaker 4: Down so his strike up walk ratio is really bad this,
- 1:25:16Speaker 4: year one point.
- 1:25:18Speaker 2: Six it's by far the worst that he's.
- 1:25:19Speaker 4: Posted SO i don't know what's happening, him because he
- 1:25:22Speaker 4: was pretty good last year for the most. Part, yeah
- 1:25:25Speaker 4: not so much this. Year strake up for nine is down.
- 1:25:28Speaker 4: Again things not looking great for him. Here his numbers
- 1:25:33Speaker 4: against The arizona are mediocre and sixty three at bats
- 1:25:36Speaker 4: two pointy four, average seven forty nine, ohps sixteen to
- 1:25:39Speaker 4: five strike up walk. Ratios, alright okay numbers Against. Arizona
- 1:25:43Speaker 4: he does pitch better on the, road so maybe this
- 1:25:46Speaker 4: is an okay matchup for. Him Mitch bratt is pitching For.
- 1:25:49Speaker 4: Arizona he's, young and he's been up and down so
- 1:25:52Speaker 4: far this. Season four point one to SEVENTY ra but
- 1:25:55Speaker 4: a one point four to seven whip is not very.
- 1:25:57Speaker 4: Good he's been good at home, though two point zero,
- 1:26:00Speaker 4: home and he was pitching well UNTIL i tried to
- 1:26:04Speaker 4: back him against The Red sox and WHAT i thought
- 1:26:06Speaker 4: was a bad spot with The Red sox returning home
- 1:26:08Speaker 4: from the, road and, yeah The Red.
- 1:26:10Speaker 2: Sox wound up winning that game.
- 1:26:11Speaker 4: Easily brat really struggled in that, one but he was
- 1:26:15Speaker 4: informed before that he had like a couple of good
- 1:26:17Speaker 4: starts in a row prior to. That he's definitely capable
- 1:26:21Speaker 4: of pitching, well so maybe he does bounce back. Here
- 1:26:23Speaker 4: HE'S i, think pretty unpredictable right. Now he's got a
- 1:26:27Speaker 4: decent hit rate al though his walk rate is definitely
- 1:26:29Speaker 4: too high and his strike up rate is just. Okay
- 1:26:32Speaker 4: it really isn't that, impressive so his strike up walk
- 1:26:34Speaker 4: ratio is very, bad mostly because the walks are just
- 1:26:37Speaker 4: way too. High strake up for nine, though isn't really
- 1:26:40Speaker 4: that good. Either So bratt is it looks like he's
- 1:26:42Speaker 4: not a great Strike cup. Pitcher reds haven't seen him before,
- 1:26:46Speaker 4: though so he does have that edge of unfamiliarity against The.
- 1:26:49Speaker 4: REDS i don't know what to do with this.
- 1:26:52Speaker 3: Game.
- 1:26:52Speaker 4: Man the money's actually back in the, under even though
- 1:26:55Speaker 4: on the surface this does kind of look like an
- 1:26:57Speaker 4: over though the totals at nine kind of a high,
- 1:27:00Speaker 4: total but fifty six percent of tickets on the over
- 1:27:03Speaker 4: fifty five percent of the cash on the, under money
- 1:27:05Speaker 4: seems to be back in the. Under arizona's public everybody
- 1:27:10Speaker 4: Knows arizona needs to win seventy five percent of tickets
- 1:27:13Speaker 4: and cash On arizona at minus one, thirties so Market
- 1:27:16Speaker 4: reid seems to kind of be indicating On cincinnati just
- 1:27:20Speaker 4: as a public fade. Here and MAYBE i Mean abbott
- 1:27:24Speaker 4: is better on the. Road he's the more established of
- 1:27:26Speaker 4: the two. Pitchers he has okay matchup. Numbers but given
- 1:27:29Speaker 4: that he has okay matchup numbers And bratt is capable
- 1:27:33Speaker 4: and is unfamiliar To, cincinnati maybe there is kind of
- 1:27:36Speaker 4: an angle for a first five under. Here it's a
- 1:27:39Speaker 4: really really difficult game to figure.
- 1:27:41Speaker 2: Out.
- 1:27:41Speaker 4: Man this is one of the most unpredictable games on the,
- 1:27:43Speaker 4: board this, one and whatever the other game was THAT
- 1:27:46Speaker 4: i talked about THAT i said was massively. UNPREDICTABLE i
- 1:27:48Speaker 4: forget what the other one, was but, yeah, WHATEVER i.
- 1:27:52Speaker 2: Don't like the.
- 1:27:52Speaker 4: Game and then the night game is actually AN Espn
- 1:27:55Speaker 4: Sunday night, game and it's BECAUSE espn is covering The
- 1:27:58Speaker 4: Little League World series.
- 1:27:59Speaker 2: Now and that's what this game. Is this is The Little.
- 1:28:02Speaker 2: League It's Little league batters playing in this. Game, no
- 1:28:05Speaker 2: this is the Annual Little League World Series.
- 1:28:09Speaker 4: Classic it's being played in the town In pennsylvania where
- 1:28:13Speaker 4: The Little League World series. Is so it's weird because
- 1:28:16Speaker 4: this series has been In. Milwaukee so these teams are
- 1:28:19Speaker 4: traveling From milwaukee To pennsylvania for this. Game this happens every.
- 1:28:23Speaker 4: YEAR i think it's different teams in the game every.
- 1:28:25Speaker 4: Year but, basically The Little League World series players get
- 1:28:29Speaker 4: to LIKE i, think meet the baseball players here and
- 1:28:33Speaker 4: meet like the major league, players and it's a whole.
- 1:28:35Speaker 2: Event you, know it happens every. Year but that's what
- 1:28:37Speaker 2: is going on here.
- 1:28:38Speaker 4: Tonight so this is a neutral site game Here Atlanta,
- 1:28:41Speaker 4: milwaukee and it's an interesting, game and you got two
- 1:28:44Speaker 4: good teams. Here milwaukee's been good in the, Series milwaukee's
- 1:28:47Speaker 4: trying to get the sweep. Here maybe it'll throw off
- 1:28:51Speaker 4: their momentum having to travel away from, home though it's
- 1:28:54Speaker 4: been an under series as well so, far both games
- 1:28:57Speaker 4: being very low. Scoring The braves have only scored two
- 1:28:59Speaker 4: n in the, series With milwaukee winning both.
- 1:29:02Speaker 2: Games.
- 1:29:03Speaker 4: Here milwaukee has a strong bullpen these three guys out
- 1:29:06Speaker 4: of the, bullpen but their better relievers are mostly available here.
- 1:29:10Speaker 4: Today atlanta's been a good bullpen as, well THOUGH i
- 1:29:13Speaker 4: Think milwaukee's is. Better atlanta only used two guys out
- 1:29:16Speaker 4: of their bullpen. Yesterday atlanta's number two in bullpen, whip
- 1:29:20Speaker 4: ALTHOUGH i think THEY'RE i would put them at fourth right,
- 1:29:23Speaker 4: now AND i would Put milwaukee, third but that would
- 1:29:25Speaker 4: be how The eras line.
- 1:29:27Speaker 2: Up milwaukee's fifth in. Whip but you got two good bullpens,
- 1:29:30Speaker 2: HERE i, MEAN i think that's pretty much what you
- 1:29:32Speaker 2: need to know as far as this game is. CONCERNED
- 1:29:34Speaker 2: i think they're pretty closely.
- 1:29:35Speaker 4: Matched milwaukee's seventh in, offense The braves are. Fourteenth So
- 1:29:40Speaker 4: milwaukee's been the better offense over the course of the
- 1:29:43Speaker 4: season and Recently atlanta's kind of fallen off offensively. Recently
- 1:29:46Speaker 4: this does not look like a very good starting bitching
- 1:29:48Speaker 4: match up. Here in this, one, however the totals low
- 1:29:51Speaker 4: AND i don't know if the stadium is known for
- 1:29:54Speaker 4: being particularly pitcher. Friendly maybe it is because the total is,
- 1:29:57Speaker 4: low and maybe part of the reason why it's low
- 1:30:00Speaker 4: as That Tyler maley is pitching For. Atlanta hasn't really
- 1:30:04Speaker 4: had a great season four point five to THREE, era
- 1:30:07Speaker 4: one point three to ONE, whip and he's been generally
- 1:30:09Speaker 4: bad on the road six point five to five roady. Ray,
- 1:30:12Speaker 4: oh this is not a true road game, here and
- 1:30:15Speaker 4: he's made two good road starts For atlanta so. Far
- 1:30:18Speaker 4: so Since atlanta got, him he's been. Good in every
- 1:30:20Speaker 4: start he's got at least six. Innings he's allowed two
- 1:30:23Speaker 4: or fewer earned runs in every start. Here his strike
- 1:30:26Speaker 4: out rates been. High he's been surprisingly good.
- 1:30:29Speaker 2: Since atlanta got.
- 1:30:30Speaker 4: Him he's been a good addition to their starting, rotation
- 1:30:33Speaker 4: which seems, crazy but that's the.
- 1:30:35Speaker 2: Case his hit rate.
- 1:30:36Speaker 4: Is okay on the, season his walk rate is, MEDIOCRE
- 1:30:39Speaker 4: i would, say and his strike up rate is, decent
- 1:30:42Speaker 4: so there isn't really anything.
- 1:30:43Speaker 2: That bad about his overall. Numbers his strike out walk
- 1:30:46Speaker 2: ratio is.
- 1:30:46Speaker 4: Okay it's been better With, atlanta but maybe there's gonna
- 1:30:51Speaker 4: be some regression. There Strike out per nine is decent as,
- 1:30:54Speaker 4: well so his numbers really across the board aren't really that,
- 1:30:57Speaker 4: bad and his numbers Against milwaukee are. Good in forty
- 1:31:00Speaker 4: five at, bats one seventy eight average, allowed four eighty eight.
- 1:31:03Speaker 4: Ohps the only bad number here is the walks fifteen
- 1:31:06Speaker 4: to seven strike at walk. Ratio So molly is in
- 1:31:09Speaker 4: good for him right, now and he does do well Against,
- 1:31:11Speaker 4: milwaukee SO i think he might have.
- 1:31:13Speaker 2: Another good start.
- 1:31:14Speaker 4: Here and, it's you, know a spotlight game, here so
- 1:31:17Speaker 4: maybe the pitchers will step it. Up Shane drohan looks
- 1:31:20Speaker 4: like he's getting the start From. Milwaukee he's been pretty
- 1:31:24Speaker 4: decent this, season though he hasn't been as good. RECENTLY
- 1:31:27Speaker 4: espn still refuses to put his picture up. Here three
- 1:31:30Speaker 4: point eight SIXTY, ra one point two to five whip not.
- 1:31:33Speaker 4: Bad he's not as good at, home although this is
- 1:31:36Speaker 4: not a true home game four point two to one
- 1:31:39Speaker 4: home Y, ra but better on the, road and this
- 1:31:41Speaker 4: is a game that's not in his home. Stadium he
- 1:31:44Speaker 4: was one of the beneficiaries of that twenty two to
- 1:31:46Speaker 4: nothing they. Win he pitched in that, game ALTHOUGH i
- 1:31:48Speaker 4: don't know if he started the game or, not so
- 1:31:50Speaker 4: that's the other.
- 1:31:51Speaker 2: Thing.
- 1:31:51Speaker 4: MILWAUKEE i think they might use an opener in front of,
- 1:31:54Speaker 4: him so i'd be aware of that. That if you're
- 1:31:56Speaker 4: gonna play this, GAME i would Pick molly must start For,
- 1:32:00Speaker 4: atlanta but not pick a startup In milwaukee because they
- 1:32:03Speaker 4: might do something weird with their pitching rotation.
- 1:32:05Speaker 2: Here. Drohan he's had some issues.
- 1:32:08Speaker 4: Though this, month like ten to nine strike out walk
- 1:32:11Speaker 4: ratio that is really not. Good so he's in worst
- 1:32:14Speaker 4: form right now than he has, been and he hasn't
- 1:32:17Speaker 4: really gone that many innings. Yet he's only up to one,
- 1:32:19Speaker 4: hundred but it is still the most that he's thrown probably.
- 1:32:22Speaker 4: EVER i think this is his rookie season, too, Right
- 1:32:25Speaker 4: yeah it. Is so he's at a good, season but
- 1:32:27Speaker 4: he seems to be kind of falling apart a little bit.
- 1:32:30Speaker 4: Here his strike out rate is still pretty, good his
- 1:32:33Speaker 4: hit rate is, decent walk rate is. Okay strike out
- 1:32:37Speaker 4: walk ratio is right there at, three so it's right
- 1:32:40Speaker 4: around WHAT i look for is like the average threshold.
- 1:32:43Speaker 4: There Maybe i'm a little bit too stringent with, that
- 1:32:47Speaker 4: like maybe three is actually slightly. Good his strike up
- 1:32:50Speaker 4: for nine almost nine is pretty. Good braves haven't seen him,
- 1:32:54Speaker 4: before so maybe The braves will struggle to hit him.
- 1:32:56Speaker 4: Here braves offense struggling unfamiliar with Droe. Han the under
- 1:33:02Speaker 4: does make some sense in this, game and the money
- 1:33:04Speaker 4: is indicating towards. That sixty three percent of tickets on
- 1:33:07Speaker 4: the over thirty five percent of the cash on the,
- 1:33:10Speaker 4: Over so the money is indicating towards the under seven
- 1:33:13Speaker 4: and a. HALF i agree with, that AND i agree
- 1:33:15Speaker 4: with the money On atlanta to actually seventy four percent
- 1:33:18Speaker 4: of tickets On, milwaukee sixty nine percent of the cash On.
- 1:33:21Speaker 4: Atlanta atlanta's trying to avoid the. Sweep the public is
- 1:33:24Speaker 4: all over the hot, team which Is. Milwaukee drohan has
- 1:33:27Speaker 4: been in bad form. Recently mally is in much better recent.
- 1:33:30Speaker 4: Form it's not a true road game For mali, here
- 1:33:32Speaker 4: and he has good numbers that we've already established Against.
- 1:33:35Speaker 4: Milwaukee so, YEAH i agree with the market in both of.
- 1:33:38Speaker 4: THOSE i lean, Under and Maybe atlanta's the better way
- 1:33:42Speaker 4: to play, it trying to avoid the sweep so And
- 1:33:45Speaker 4: milwaukee having to leave home might just throw them kind
- 1:33:47Speaker 4: of off their momentum a little.
- 1:33:49Speaker 2: Bit, Maybe so, YEAH i Think. Atlanta atlanta as a
- 1:33:53Speaker 2: side might.
- 1:33:53Speaker 4: Be the best way to play. That maybe first five as.
- 1:33:57Speaker 4: WELL i don't, know you could go full. Game maybe
- 1:34:00Speaker 4: their bullpens shouldn't kill. You but both bullpens are, good all,
- 1:34:05Speaker 4: right and that is it for. Baseball, finally baseball takes
- 1:34:09Speaker 4: forever to get. Through you're doing push ups while drinking white,
- 1:34:14Speaker 4: claw all, right drunk low car push, ups all?
- 1:34:17Speaker 2: RIGHT i like. It, yes it's the last day of the.
- 1:34:20Speaker 2: Weekend we HAVE wnba. Here i'm giving out A wnba.
- 1:34:24Speaker 4: Play seattle At dallas is the first, game which is
- 1:34:27Speaker 4: the afternoon game. Here dallas looks like they could be
- 1:34:30Speaker 4: in a letdown. Spot they just Beat indiana on their last.
- 1:34:32Speaker 4: Game that was a big win for. Them staying at.
- 1:34:34Speaker 4: HOME i don't really see them paying that much attention To.
- 1:34:37Speaker 4: Seattle seattle. Sucks dallas has some, injuries Including, fud their
- 1:34:43Speaker 4: number one draft pick this. Year she's been shut down
- 1:34:45Speaker 4: for the, season so that's maybe not great For. DALLAS i,
- 1:34:48Speaker 4: mean she wasn't showing up on the overall stat sheet much,
- 1:34:51Speaker 4: here but she was kind of like a utility, player
- 1:34:55Speaker 4: like doing a lot of different things out. There so
- 1:34:57Speaker 4: who knows A seattle very bad, team one of the
- 1:35:00Speaker 4: worst in the. League so Obviously seattle's going to be
- 1:35:03Speaker 4: a huge underdog. Here seattle coming in and losing most
- 1:35:09Speaker 4: of their recent. GAMES i, mean it's been bad for.
- 1:35:11Speaker 4: Them they've lost thirteen of their last fourteen. GAMES i
- 1:35:15Speaker 4: think is what this is really really. Ugly they haven't
- 1:35:18Speaker 4: played for a, week, though so THEY i think they
- 1:35:20Speaker 4: have a little bit of a rest advantage. Here maybe
- 1:35:23Speaker 4: they show up for this, game getting to go out
- 1:35:25Speaker 4: on the.
- 1:35:26Speaker 2: Road for a game Play.
- 1:35:27Speaker 4: DALLAS i would Leave seattle, here but it's not a
- 1:35:29Speaker 4: strong opinion for. Me the money seems to be all
- 1:35:32Speaker 4: Over dallas, though at minus eight minus eight and a half,
- 1:35:35Speaker 4: here fifty six percent of tickets ninety three percent of
- 1:35:37Speaker 4: the cous On. DALLAS i think that line kind of looks,
- 1:35:40Speaker 4: low but it makes it look too easy to Play, dallas, Right,
- 1:35:44Speaker 4: like who's gonna play anything other Than? Dallas So i'm
- 1:35:47Speaker 4: kind of surprised the money is coming in A. DALLAS
- 1:35:49Speaker 4: i don't THINK i would agree with. THAT i THINK
- 1:35:50Speaker 4: i would Lean seattle plus the eight and a, half
- 1:35:53Speaker 4: BUT i don't want to do. It to, me it's
- 1:35:56Speaker 4: a simple it's a letdown spot For. DALLAS i don't
- 1:35:59Speaker 4: have a big game. UP i think it's a letdown
- 1:36:01Speaker 4: spot and Maybe dallas is slightly overrated here And dallas
- 1:36:06Speaker 4: doesn't play great defense, still and laying price like that
- 1:36:10Speaker 4: may not be the GREATEST.
- 1:36:11Speaker 2: Idea total's not that high in that game. Either it's
- 1:36:14Speaker 2: in the mid.
- 1:36:15Speaker 4: Range next game up is my, plan and it's THE
- 1:36:18Speaker 4: tv game ON nbc And. Peacock let's get back on
- 1:36:21Speaker 4: track with a STUPID.
- 1:36:22Speaker 2: Wnba.
- 1:36:23Speaker 4: Man this is really all about the scheduling, spot AND
- 1:36:29Speaker 4: i know it's factor into the line a little, bit
- 1:36:31Speaker 4: but we're gonna Take chicago plus three and a. HALF
- 1:36:33Speaker 4: i feel Like i'm Playing chicago a, lot but they've done.
- 1:36:36Speaker 2: Okay for me for the most.
- 1:36:38Speaker 4: PART i Know chicago doesn't look like they're in the
- 1:36:40Speaker 4: greatest spot because they're coming off two big wins Against
- 1:36:43Speaker 4: New york And Golden. State but they last played On,
- 1:36:46Speaker 4: friday and that's gonna be part of the key.
- 1:36:48Speaker 2: Here they're staying at. Home they're not gonna Overlook.
- 1:36:51Speaker 4: Indiana the last time they Played indiana here was On august,
- 1:36:54Speaker 4: eighth so a couple of weeks, ago and they lost
- 1:36:56Speaker 4: here at. Home they played pretty. Well they only lost by,
- 1:36:58Speaker 4: four but they did. Lose they're not going to Overlook
- 1:37:02Speaker 4: indiana in my, opinion and what kind of sealed the
- 1:37:06Speaker 4: deal for me BECAUSE i was worried That chicago could
- 1:37:08Speaker 4: be in a letdown after pulling off an upset Against Golden.
- 1:37:10Speaker 4: State this is a primetime game on NATIONAL tv at,
- 1:37:15Speaker 4: home and teams get up for those types of, games
- 1:37:18Speaker 4: SO i think they will get up for, it especially
- 1:37:20Speaker 4: because it's against a name team Like. Indiana and that
- 1:37:23Speaker 4: game Against Golden, STATE i know it was. Big it
- 1:37:26Speaker 4: was like a quick revenge, game But chicago was winning
- 1:37:28Speaker 4: that game by like twenty points early in the game
- 1:37:31Speaker 4: and they almost blew. It so they actually kind of
- 1:37:33Speaker 4: played better in the game than the final score sort
- 1:37:35Speaker 4: of makes it.
- 1:37:36Speaker 2: Look but the key here is That, indiana even Though.
- 1:37:39Speaker 4: CHICAGO i, think is playing their fourth game in eight,
- 1:37:42Speaker 4: days look At indiana's. Schedule they played yesterday and they
- 1:37:47Speaker 4: had a really tough game Against New york, yesterday A
- 1:37:50Speaker 4: New york team THAT i.
- 1:37:51Speaker 2: Liked New. York in the game, Yesterday New york finally
- 1:37:53Speaker 2: was able to Beat.
- 1:37:54Speaker 4: INDIANA i was a double revenge game For New, york
- 1:37:56Speaker 4: but that game was close right at the, End it
- 1:37:59Speaker 4: was like a tied game or a one point game
- 1:38:01Speaker 4: with like a minute to. Go and then there were
- 1:38:03Speaker 4: some fouls at the end THAT i think made the
- 1:38:05Speaker 4: game look a little bit less close than it.
- 1:38:08Speaker 2: Was it was a, close.
- 1:38:09Speaker 4: Tight game, yesterday, Man and Now indiana is coming off
- 1:38:13Speaker 4: of that game on a back to, back traveling From
- 1:38:16Speaker 4: New york To. Chicago they're also playing a third game
- 1:38:19Speaker 4: in four, days all in different. Cities they're playing a
- 1:38:22Speaker 4: fourth game in excuse, you, Yeah they're playing a fourth
- 1:38:27Speaker 4: game in six, days all in different. Cities and they're
- 1:38:30Speaker 4: playing a fifth game in eight, days all in different,
- 1:38:33Speaker 4: cities which includes an overtime game Against.
- 1:38:36Speaker 2: Dallas and they're also playing a sixth game in ten, days.
- 1:38:40Speaker 4: All in different. Cities this is, Brutal like you don't
- 1:38:42Speaker 4: see scheduling spots like this very often in THE.
- 1:38:45Speaker 2: Wnba this is An indiana team THAT i think.
- 1:38:47Speaker 4: Is just gonna be out of gas at this. Point
- 1:38:49Speaker 4: in the last two games are pretty big Against dallas
- 1:38:52Speaker 4: And New. York this is not a good spot for.
- 1:38:54Speaker 4: Them you can say what you want as far As
- 1:38:56Speaker 4: chicago's rest situation that they played On, Friday chicago is
- 1:39:00Speaker 4: only playing one fewer game and Then indiana is over the,
- 1:39:04Speaker 4: stretch But chicago's staying at home for, It So indiana's
- 1:39:07Speaker 4: having to do this all in different, cities really really.
- 1:39:10Speaker 2: Really brutal scheduling spot for.
- 1:39:12Speaker 4: Them and the last time they were here they won Against,
- 1:39:14Speaker 4: chicago AND i think we Had chicago by the way
- 1:39:17Speaker 4: in that, game BUT i think they did cover BECAUSE
- 1:39:19Speaker 4: i think the number was bigger than. This of, course
- 1:39:20Speaker 4: the number is going to be lower here because the
- 1:39:22Speaker 4: oddsmakers know how bad of a spot.
- 1:39:24Speaker 2: This is For.
- 1:39:24Speaker 4: Indiana but if you're giving Me chicago is an underdog
- 1:39:28Speaker 4: here still in a spot like, this, yeah LET'S i,
- 1:39:31Speaker 4: say let's do, it you, know even THOUGH i think
- 1:39:34Speaker 4: normally they'd probably be about a five to five and
- 1:39:36Speaker 4: a half point underdog. Here and whatever it, Was i'm
- 1:39:38Speaker 4: pretty sure they covered it in that last game Where
- 1:39:41Speaker 4: i'm pretty SURE i gave Out chicago in that last.
- 1:39:43Speaker 2: Game that was a horrible spot For.
- 1:39:45Speaker 4: Indiana they are coming Off, minnesota an overtime game Against,
- 1:39:48Speaker 4: vegas and then With New york after. That that was
- 1:39:50Speaker 4: a mega sandwich. Spot so the only REASON i wouldn't
- 1:39:53Speaker 4: have given that out is the play would have been
- 1:39:55Speaker 4: If chicago was in some sort of bad spot, there.
- 1:39:59Speaker 2: WHICH i don't believe they.
- 1:40:00Speaker 4: Were, No So i'm pretty SURE i gave that out
- 1:40:01Speaker 4: as a, play And i'm pretty sure it was a.
- 1:40:03Speaker 4: Win let's get another win here With, chicago, MAN i
- 1:40:07Speaker 4: say we do it In indiana doesn't have a big
- 1:40:09Speaker 4: game up. NEXT i think they Play connecticut when they return.
- 1:40:11Speaker 4: Home but even, so this looks like a terrible spot
- 1:40:14Speaker 4: For indiana to, me so let's do. It and the
- 1:40:17Speaker 4: money agrees with me on. This eighty five percent of
- 1:40:19Speaker 4: the tickets and only fifty two percent of the cash In.
- 1:40:21Speaker 4: Indiana we could have had a better number on, THIS
- 1:40:25Speaker 4: i would say get at. It though a few of
- 1:40:26Speaker 4: the books still have a three and a, half it
- 1:40:28Speaker 4: looks like it's three now would open it four and a.
- 1:40:30Speaker 2: Half so we're losing value on this.
- 1:40:33Speaker 4: QUICKLY i guess the only concern is it's a high
- 1:40:36Speaker 4: total one eighty six and a half And chicago does
- 1:40:39Speaker 4: not really play that, slow WHICH i THINK i mentioned
- 1:40:41Speaker 4: the last time these two teams. Played indiana plays really,
- 1:40:44Speaker 4: fast BUT i think that Hurts indiana more in a
- 1:40:47Speaker 4: rest spot like, this because when you play, fast.
- 1:40:49Speaker 2: You're gonna be even more out of. Gas you know
- 1:40:51Speaker 2: WHAT i.
- 1:40:51Speaker 4: Mean so Maybe, chicago because they do tend to also play,
- 1:40:55Speaker 4: fast the rest advantage might actually Hurt indiana more in
- 1:40:59Speaker 4: a case like, this rest the rest disadvantage For, INDIANA
- 1:41:02Speaker 4: i mean might hurt them more because of the style.
- 1:41:04Speaker 4: Here so Maybe chicago will try to slow them down
- 1:41:07Speaker 4: TO i don't, know BUT i say we take the
- 1:41:09Speaker 4: points To. Chicago we gotta get back on track, here,
- 1:41:12Speaker 4: man better fucking. HAPPENED wnba went well for us last.
- 1:41:16Speaker 4: Year i've had a lot of nice underdog plays in
- 1:41:19Speaker 4: THE wnba this, year but some real bullshit losses.
- 1:41:22Speaker 2: This year in THE wnba as.
- 1:41:23Speaker 4: Well washington At. PORTLAND i, Mean washington is obviously the
- 1:41:28Speaker 4: better team. Here portland's are turning on from a road.
- 1:41:30Speaker 4: Trip and by the, way one THING i, forgot uh
- 1:41:33Speaker 4: the game that they just played Against toronto was not In.
- 1:41:35Speaker 2: Toronto it was actually In.
- 1:41:37Speaker 4: Vancouver it was a neutral site, game AND i still
- 1:41:40Speaker 4: leaned To toronto in that, game AND i got it
- 1:41:43Speaker 4: correct just BECAUSE i don't, know it just felt like
- 1:41:46Speaker 4: it felt way too easy to Play portland in that.
- 1:41:48Speaker 4: One it was a weird, game but, yeah it was In.
- 1:41:51Speaker 4: Vancouver but either, Way portlands are turning on from a road.
- 1:41:54Speaker 2: Trip.
- 1:41:54Speaker 4: Here they've been on the road for more than a,
- 1:41:56Speaker 4: week and you KNOW i talk about that when a team.
- 1:41:58Speaker 2: Returns home from the. ROAD i don't love that spot
- 1:42:01Speaker 2: because they could be. Distracted they gotta get back to home.
- 1:42:03Speaker 4: Life and in, fact they actually Beat washington In washington
- 1:42:07Speaker 4: and embarrass them by nineteen points back On july, sixteen
- 1:42:10Speaker 4: So washington might actually not overlook them here for that.
- 1:42:14Speaker 4: Reason SO i don't like the spot That portland is in.
- 1:42:18Speaker 4: Here BUT i don't really want to lay points With
- 1:42:20Speaker 4: washington on the road, either because they're more of a defensive.
- 1:42:23Speaker 4: Team this is a low total, Game i'm pretty sure. Here,
- 1:42:26Speaker 4: yeah it's in the one, sixties So washington plays low
- 1:42:29Speaker 4: scoring games for the most. Part washington's also coming up
- 1:42:32Speaker 4: a pretty big game themselves Against, minnesota although they lost by.
- 1:42:35Speaker 4: TEN i don't think it was that, close so they
- 1:42:38Speaker 4: did lose that. Game they're starting a road, trip it
- 1:42:40Speaker 4: usually is a focused. SPOT i think the spot's better
- 1:42:44Speaker 4: For washington, here. Man even THOUGH i don't love laying
- 1:42:49Speaker 4: points like this on the, road the money seems to
- 1:42:52Speaker 4: kind of be indicating On. Washington they're laying five and
- 1:42:54Speaker 4: a half though usually, AGAIN i don't like the lay
- 1:42:57Speaker 4: points with the defensive team Like, washington with everybody knows
- 1:43:00Speaker 4: they're the better team eighty nine percent of, tickets ninety
- 1:43:03Speaker 4: three percent of the cash on. Them BUT i THINK
- 1:43:04Speaker 4: i would lean their way because, again they got embarrassed
- 1:43:07Speaker 4: at home By portland the last time they played, them
- 1:43:09Speaker 4: so they're not gonna Overlook portland.
- 1:43:11Speaker 2: Here portland returning home from the road not.
- 1:43:14Speaker 4: Great the other negative For washington, though is they are
- 1:43:16Speaker 4: traveling to The pacific coast. Here, however it's a seven
- 1:43:19Speaker 4: Pm eastern game, though so it's not one of those
- 1:43:22Speaker 4: late Night West coast, games SO i don't think you
- 1:43:24Speaker 4: really have to worry about that For. Washington So i'm
- 1:43:26Speaker 4: gonna Lean washington slightly in that. One and then we
- 1:43:29Speaker 4: Have vegas At, toronto Where toronto looks like they're staying at,
- 1:43:33Speaker 4: home but they're, not because remember they were In vancouver
- 1:43:37Speaker 4: for that game whatever Against, portland so they're actually returning
- 1:43:40Speaker 4: home from a road, trip which was, really really. Weird
- 1:43:43Speaker 4: they went To, washington then had to go all the
- 1:43:45Speaker 4: way out To vancouver and play a third game.
- 1:43:48Speaker 2: In four, days and they still got the.
- 1:43:50Speaker 4: WIN i, mean something looked really fishy about That portland,
- 1:43:53Speaker 4: line SO i still lean To toronto in that, one
- 1:43:56Speaker 4: AND i forgot That toronto is having.
- 1:43:57Speaker 2: To go To, vancouver but they still.
- 1:43:59Speaker 4: Wont that's kind of important Because toronto ended a really
- 1:44:02Speaker 4: long losing.
- 1:44:03Speaker 2: Streak they lost twelve games in a.
- 1:44:05Speaker 4: Row when a team ends a losing streak like, that
- 1:44:07Speaker 4: a lot of times they're gonna play better in the next.
- 1:44:10Speaker 4: Game you, know it'll like end that losing, Momentum so
- 1:44:13Speaker 4: a lot of times that helps. Them i'm not SURE
- 1:44:15Speaker 4: i love this, though because they're returning home from the,
- 1:44:18Speaker 4: road even though it was less than a week long road.
- 1:44:20Speaker 4: TRIP i don't love the road trip return spot. Here
- 1:44:24Speaker 4: vegas probably isn't gonna Take toronto seriously, though because the
- 1:44:27Speaker 4: last time they Played, toronto the easily beat them by
- 1:44:29Speaker 4: twenty six.
- 1:44:30Speaker 2: Points here In Toronto, toronto, though their.
- 1:44:33Speaker 4: Rest situation is not great after they had a lot
- 1:44:36Speaker 4: of rest before those last few. Games they're now playing
- 1:44:38Speaker 4: a fourth game in six days or whatever this, is
- 1:44:42Speaker 4: with traveling between every, game so that's not very good.
- 1:44:44Speaker 4: Either SO i don't love the scheduling spot For toronto. Here,
- 1:44:50Speaker 4: Really vegas just had an easy win Over connecticut but
- 1:44:53Speaker 4: they are having to travel To toronto here to start
- 1:44:56Speaker 4: a road, trip but they're Playing toronto again next back at.
- 1:44:59Speaker 2: Home which is very, weird very very weird.
- 1:45:02Speaker 4: Spot, actually it's just a single game road Trip, vegas
- 1:45:05Speaker 4: or they have to go To toronto for no real.
- 1:45:07Speaker 4: Reason SO i don't like the spot For, vegas even
- 1:45:10Speaker 4: though they're more. Rested they're coming off of a real
- 1:45:12Speaker 4: easy win Over, connecticut so the spot's not exactly bad For,
- 1:45:16Speaker 4: vegas and the money is coming in On. Vegas BUT
- 1:45:19Speaker 4: i wouldn't lay fourteen fourteen and a half on the.
- 1:45:22Speaker 4: ROAD i, mean that's just not something THAT i. Do
- 1:45:24Speaker 4: even though it's a high total one to eighty one
- 1:45:26Speaker 4: and a half fifty seven percent of tickets seventy nine
- 1:45:28Speaker 4: percent of the casual On, VEGAS i think the price
- 1:45:31Speaker 4: is probably up higher than it usually would be as,
- 1:45:33Speaker 4: well because, everybody like the, oddsmakers Know toronto's in a
- 1:45:36Speaker 4: bad rest situation. HERE i think the price is definitely too,
- 1:45:40Speaker 4: high although the money is back In vegas. HERE i don't, know,
- 1:45:45Speaker 4: MAN i Think i'm might slightly lean towards taking the points.
- 1:45:48Speaker 4: THERE i really don't love, it, though but it just
- 1:45:51Speaker 4: seems like a spot where like why Would vegas really
- 1:45:53Speaker 4: pay attention To?
- 1:45:54Speaker 2: Toronto like why would?
- 1:45:55Speaker 4: They like do you really want to, Go, oh, yeah
- 1:45:57Speaker 4: we have to go travel To toronto for this one
- 1:46:00Speaker 4: game play against this team we already annihilated, Recently like
- 1:46:03Speaker 4: why Would vegas show up for?
- 1:46:04Speaker 2: That you know WHAT i? Mean, although, again they don't
- 1:46:08Speaker 2: have any big games upcoming, either SO i don't. Know
- 1:46:11Speaker 2: but Asking vegas in a spot where they might have
- 1:46:13Speaker 2: questionable motivation to cover like, that it's kind of, Ridiculous
- 1:46:16Speaker 2: like DO i Think vegas is gonna? Win, yeah but
- 1:46:19Speaker 2: covering that number when they might not have any motivation
- 1:46:22Speaker 2: to do, So, YEAH i don't like, it but, whatever all,
- 1:46:26Speaker 2: Right and then we do have ONE nfl.
- 1:46:27Speaker 4: Game it wouldn't be A sunday without. It, man even
- 1:46:30Speaker 4: the last season we didn't have. Any but there is
- 1:46:32Speaker 4: ONE nfl preseason, Game i'm pretty. Sure, Yeah seattle In
- 1:46:35Speaker 4: tennessee On fox In.
- 1:46:37Speaker 2: Tennessee.
- 1:46:38Speaker 4: INTERESTING i Believe seattle went To tennessee during the season
- 1:46:41Speaker 4: last year In tennessee put up a pretty good fight
- 1:46:44Speaker 4: against them and covered IF i remember, Correctly AND i
- 1:46:47Speaker 4: remember being mad BECAUSE i didn't put it on my
- 1:46:50Speaker 4: card on the. Show BUT i think it was in
- 1:46:51Speaker 4: my pick five entry that won me money last. Year
- 1:46:54Speaker 4: by the, way On Splash, sports it was like their
- 1:46:56Speaker 4: version of The Super. Contest you have to pick five
- 1:46:59Speaker 4: games against the spread every.
- 1:47:01Speaker 2: WEEK i did. WELL i want up in the money
- 1:47:03Speaker 2: in that.
- 1:47:03Speaker 4: ONE i THINK i won like a grand or, something
- 1:47:05Speaker 4: ALTHOUGH i think it was about A i don't know the.
- 1:47:07Speaker 4: ENTRY i think was probably one hundred or, something SO
- 1:47:09Speaker 4: i won like nine hundred something on, it which not,
- 1:47:12Speaker 4: bad although you know that return for doing that for
- 1:47:15Speaker 4: a full season and putting in all that effort. Whatever
- 1:47:18Speaker 4: but that, ONE i remember it was a bad spot For,
- 1:47:21Speaker 4: seattle BUT i think that's irrelevant. HERE i should have
- 1:47:24Speaker 4: added into my. Car but at LEAST i got a
- 1:47:26Speaker 4: pick five entry right on. It tennessee looked pretty good
- 1:47:30Speaker 4: in their first. Game they won at the forty nine
- 1:47:33Speaker 4: ers in their first preseason, game but the forty nine
- 1:47:35Speaker 4: ers benched everybody in that, game SO i wouldn't take
- 1:47:38Speaker 4: that much away from that. Win ALTHOUGH i Think tennessee
- 1:47:41Speaker 4: should be somewhat improved this. YEAR i, mean they do
- 1:47:44Speaker 4: have a new coach, though so we'll see how that.
- 1:47:47Speaker 4: Goes but new coaches usually try to win preseason. Games
- 1:47:51Speaker 4: seattle does not have a new coach, here but they
- 1:47:55Speaker 4: might still try because they fall into that category where
- 1:47:57Speaker 4: they're coming off an ugly first preseason, game or they
- 1:48:00Speaker 4: only scored seven points.
- 1:48:01Speaker 2: At home and they lost to The.
- 1:48:03Speaker 4: Cowboys SO i Think seattle might actually try harder in
- 1:48:06Speaker 4: this game for that. Reason to, me it looks like
- 1:48:09Speaker 4: both teams will show up with effort in this, one
- 1:48:12Speaker 4: and that's kind of what you have To you have
- 1:48:13Speaker 4: to try to gauge motivation in. Preseason but you also
- 1:48:16Speaker 4: gonna look at the quarterback. ROTATION i don't know If
- 1:48:19Speaker 4: donald is gonna get into this game or. NOT i
- 1:48:21Speaker 4: don't know What seattle's running back situation is gonna look
- 1:48:25Speaker 4: like when the season starts as, well Because charbonnet is
- 1:48:27Speaker 4: hurt right. Now so it looks like they're basically going
- 1:48:29Speaker 4: with their first round draft pick this, Year Jadarian.
- 1:48:33Speaker 2: Price he might be. GOOD i don't.
- 1:48:35Speaker 4: Know he's a speed running, back so you figure that
- 1:48:38Speaker 4: once the season, starts if they have everybody, healthy they're
- 1:48:40Speaker 4: gonna use him as like a change of, pace like
- 1:48:43Speaker 4: a speedback on like pass on passing downs and.
- 1:48:48Speaker 2: Stuff BUT i have no, idea. Dude but, anyway For.
- 1:48:50Speaker 4: SEATTLE i don't know how Much Sam darnald will get
- 1:48:52Speaker 4: in this. Game he might get in the game a little.
- 1:48:54Speaker 4: Bit then behind him they Have Drew, locke who is
- 1:48:56Speaker 4: a very experienced there's been system for a, while BUT
- 1:49:00Speaker 4: i don't know if they're really gonna go crazy on
- 1:49:02Speaker 4: offense with him out. There Jalen milroe is like a
- 1:49:05Speaker 4: dual threat who adds a different to mention, here and
- 1:49:08Speaker 4: he looked somewhat okay in that first, game SO i don't.
- 1:49:13Speaker 4: Know maybe The seahawks quarterback rotation is okay Here. Tennessee
- 1:49:17Speaker 4: you might see Cam ward getting some action out. There
- 1:49:21Speaker 4: he hasn't really had to deal with injuries so far
- 1:49:22Speaker 4: in his. Career trubisky would be the next guy in
- 1:49:26Speaker 4: line and possibly would be starting this game or coming
- 1:49:29Speaker 4: in pretty. Quickly But trubisky is, Questionable so you might
- 1:49:32Speaker 4: see Will levis as. Well but and THEN i don't
- 1:49:35Speaker 4: know If Hennon hooker is getting. Involved he might get involved.
- 1:49:38Speaker 2: A little bit.
- 1:49:38Speaker 4: Here But tennessee has got a very experienced quarterback depth chart,
- 1:49:42Speaker 4: Here but it's also a depth chart where they might
- 1:49:44Speaker 4: not pull out all the stops. Here you know WHAT i,
- 1:49:46Speaker 4: mean because you pretty much know what you're gonna get
- 1:49:48Speaker 4: With trubisky And levis, Here so.
- 1:49:51Speaker 2: WHATEVER.
- 1:49:53Speaker 4: I don't, know maybe an under in this game might
- 1:49:56Speaker 4: make more sense than anything. ELSE i, MEAN i don't
- 1:49:58Speaker 4: want to deal with. It the money's heavily back in the,
- 1:50:00Speaker 4: over so what DO i? Know total thirty seven and
- 1:50:03Speaker 4: a half sixty two percent of tickets on the, under
- 1:50:04Speaker 4: ninety four percent of the cash on the. Over but
- 1:50:07Speaker 4: if you have a situation where it looks like you
- 1:50:09Speaker 4: don't really need, to like see.
- 1:50:10Speaker 2: What you have in these backup, quarterbacks you know WHAT i?
- 1:50:12Speaker 4: Mean it seems like it might be more of a
- 1:50:14Speaker 4: like vanilla offense type of, game but maybe, not maybe
- 1:50:18Speaker 4: BECAUSE i do see both coaches being, motivated which might
- 1:50:21Speaker 4: mean both teams will be trying to. Score SO i
- 1:50:23Speaker 4: guess maybe that does counter that a little. Bit tennessee
- 1:50:26Speaker 4: is also a four and a half point, favorite but
- 1:50:28Speaker 4: the money's coming in On. Seattle the public is predictably On,
- 1:50:32Speaker 4: seattle because of course The Super bowl winners are getting
- 1:50:35Speaker 4: four and a half points against The. TITANS i, mean
- 1:50:38Speaker 4: it looks way too easy to Take. Seattle but the
- 1:50:40Speaker 4: money's also Playing. Seattle eighty percent of, tickets ninety four
- 1:50:43Speaker 4: percent of the cash Of. Seattle and you know, what
- 1:50:47Speaker 4: Maybe seattle is the right way to look in this,
- 1:50:49Speaker 4: game Because tennessee maybe did look too good in that
- 1:50:52Speaker 4: first game against the forty nine ers or the forty
- 1:50:54Speaker 4: nine ers not playing anybody In, seattle looked real ugly
- 1:50:58Speaker 4: against The, cowboys and probably are gonna come out with
- 1:51:00Speaker 4: a little bit of better effort. Here so, YEAH i
- 1:51:03Speaker 4: don't THINK i would disagree with grabbing the points With seattle.
- 1:51:06Speaker 2: There maybe that is the better way to. Look but it's.
- 1:51:08Speaker 2: PRESEASON i don't really do shit with. Preseason.
- 1:51:12Speaker 4: Zach you're rooting for The. Titans is that your? Team
- 1:51:15Speaker 4: that is pretty? Random Why Royals Titans? Devils, like how
- 1:51:19Speaker 4: does that?
- 1:51:20Speaker 2: HAPPEN i have no. IDEA i, MEAN i GUESS i
- 1:51:25Speaker 2: don't hate. It it just seems very.
- 1:51:26Speaker 4: Random NOTRE i, Mean i'm not a fan Of Notre,
- 1:51:29Speaker 4: dame you know, ME i don't Like Notre. DAME i,
- 1:51:32Speaker 4: Mean i've got one of the rivals on my hat,
- 1:51:34Speaker 4: HERE bc where The catholic rivals? Here speaking of, WHICH
- 1:51:38Speaker 4: i still have to Watch Catholics Versus convicts thirty for
- 1:51:41Speaker 4: thirty On netflix before it's, gone BECAUSE i still haven't watched,
- 1:51:44Speaker 4: it which is The Notre Dame miami rivalry. Documentary Price, yet,
- 1:51:49Speaker 4: well you like him because he went To Notre. DAME
- 1:51:52Speaker 4: i think he's better than. That i'm not sold on.
- 1:51:54Speaker 4: LOVE i Think price might be better than. LOVE i
- 1:51:57Speaker 4: don't really think love is that good the Whole what
- 1:52:00Speaker 4: do they ACTUALLY i don't know what they call that.
- 1:52:02Speaker 4: Rivalry it must have some other, name, Right The Holy
- 1:52:05Speaker 4: war is too generic of a. Name The Holy war
- 1:52:07Speaker 4: is THE Byu utah. Rivalry SO i don't, know, man
- 1:52:13Speaker 4: that's gonna do it, Though learn a tone On, twitter
- 1:52:16Speaker 4: learn a tone On, instagram like subscribe to the channel
- 1:52:20Speaker 4: here and you'll get notifications WHEN i go. Live college
- 1:52:23Speaker 4: football preview is coming. UP i am gonna do. IT
- 1:52:25Speaker 4: i gotta do.
- 1:52:26Speaker 2: It before it officially.
- 1:52:28Speaker 4: Starts college football is happening next, weekend, man first, GAMES i,
- 1:52:32Speaker 4: think Or, saturday maybe Even. Friday AND i usually like
- 1:52:36Speaker 4: at least kind of focusing on one. Play and last
- 1:52:39Speaker 4: year it. Lost the year before, that it was a.
- 1:52:41Speaker 2: Great play that. Won so we'll. See but USUALLY i
- 1:52:44Speaker 2: do wind up with like one play in that week.
- 1:52:46Speaker 4: Zero but we'll see what happens this. Time but, yes
- 1:52:50Speaker 4: be on the lookout for that, subscribes you get. NOTIFIED
- 1:52:53Speaker 4: i will be doing probably one MORE nfl previous show
- 1:52:56Speaker 4: and maybe two.
- 1:52:57Speaker 2: BECAUSE i talked To.
- 1:52:57Speaker 4: Clint he said he would do a ball, show although
- 1:53:00Speaker 4: we're not gonna do it. Live but he was just
- 1:53:02Speaker 4: here the other. Night he is on The Tom cruise right,
- 1:53:06Speaker 4: now not being gay and you, know having a homosexual volleyball.
- 1:53:11Speaker 4: Montage although the hilarious thing about that Is clint was
- 1:53:15Speaker 4: a beach volleyball player In San, diego so he was
- 1:53:18Speaker 4: doing the top gun shirtless volleyball. Stuffs clint And Tom cruise. Man,
- 1:53:25Speaker 4: yeah now that image can be in your. Head BUT
- 1:53:29Speaker 4: i Believe clint is gonna actually be back here again
- 1:53:31Speaker 4: after the cruise for a little.
- 1:53:33Speaker 2: WHILE i don't. KNOW i don't THINK i have the
- 1:53:35Speaker 2: setup to this. Live let me see, Though ACTUALLY i
- 1:53:44Speaker 2: think MAYBE i actually.
- 1:53:45Speaker 4: DO i THINK i have two mic inputs because on
- 1:53:49Speaker 4: my scarlet, HERE i think they're just. DIFFERENT i don't,
- 1:53:52Speaker 4: know BECAUSE i don't THINK i have two Different, no
- 1:53:54Speaker 4: MAYBE i, don't BECAUSE i don't THINK i have two
- 1:53:56Speaker 4: different volume controls for. IT i think you have to
- 1:53:58Speaker 4: use one or the other. Input SO i don't THINK
- 1:54:01Speaker 4: i actually can handle.
- 1:54:02Speaker 2: Two BUT i don't.
- 1:54:02Speaker 4: KNOW i was thinking about doing a Live, bald which
- 1:54:06Speaker 4: would be. CRAZY i don't really have a great seating
- 1:54:09Speaker 4: set up for it here, though as you can, say but,
- 1:54:12Speaker 4: WHATEVER i could bring another chair in here.
- 1:54:15Speaker 2: ANYWAY i don't. Know we'll figure it.
- 1:54:16Speaker 4: Out But clint said that he would do THE i
- 1:54:18Speaker 4: would do Some bald at some, point maybe when he
- 1:54:21Speaker 4: gets back, home though maybe it'll happen or. WHATEVER nfl
- 1:54:25Speaker 4: SEASON i think starts the week after or two weeks
- 1:54:28Speaker 4: after college football, starts right, yeah because college Football week,
- 1:54:31Speaker 4: zero then there's college Football week, one and THEN Nfl
- 1:54:33Speaker 4: week one is usually the week after, that so we
- 1:54:36Speaker 4: have a little bit of time for.
- 1:54:37Speaker 2: That, anyway what else DO i have to promote?
- 1:54:40Speaker 4: Here we're on, Audio, Apple, Spotify spreaker check that Out
- 1:54:45Speaker 4: covered In you because my yuke channel on, YouTube i
- 1:54:47Speaker 4: put up a couple Of wheezer covers from the new,
- 1:54:49Speaker 4: album WHICH i, Like props to. Them i've been talking
- 1:54:51Speaker 4: about that on my. SHOW i gotta start doing like
- 1:54:54Speaker 4: maybe other like maybe opinion, content like review, context as people.
- 1:54:58Speaker 2: Seem to like. That people like listening to people's.
- 1:55:01Speaker 4: Opinions, man and these are my opinions on these. Games
- 1:55:04Speaker 4: BUT i mean it's a little bit. DIFFERENT i guess
- 1:55:07Speaker 4: what else DO i have to promote? Here patreon dot,
- 1:55:11Speaker 4: com slash learn to. Toad you can support me that,
- 1:55:13Speaker 4: way THOUGH i Apologize i'm not very active on.
- 1:55:15Speaker 2: There, MAN i gotta get better about. THAT i still
- 1:55:17Speaker 2: have COVERS i need to do for.
- 1:55:19Speaker 4: People it's, bad but it's the way that it. Is
- 1:55:22Speaker 4: my voice just hasn't BEEN i, Know i've been putting
- 1:55:25Speaker 4: out other. Covers my voice really needs to be in
- 1:55:27Speaker 4: decent shape for some of the, requests and it's AND
- 1:55:30Speaker 4: i don't want to like make them really. Bad like
- 1:55:32Speaker 4: when it's a cover That i'm just doing on my,
- 1:55:34Speaker 4: Own i'm just, LIKE i don't really care as much
- 1:55:36Speaker 4: about what it sounds, Like SO i don't know. Whatever
- 1:55:40Speaker 4: loser cast Every tuesday and then The New York giants
- 1:55:43Speaker 4: g spot.
- 1:55:43Speaker 2: Podcast we got to figure that out. Too as we've talked.
- 1:55:46Speaker 4: About like doing live watch parties watch streams during the
- 1:55:50Speaker 4: games we'll. See i've considered doing that here on this
- 1:55:52Speaker 4: show and maybe offered His patreon content where if you
- 1:55:56Speaker 4: guys want me to do a live stream While i'm
- 1:55:58Speaker 4: like paying attention to different games THAT i, have like
- 1:56:00Speaker 4: bets on and. WHATEVER i could maybe consider doing something like.
- 1:56:05Speaker 4: THAT i don't, know maybe it'll be.
- 1:56:06Speaker 2: FUN i don't.
- 1:56:07Speaker 4: Know you can watch me overreact to. Everything BUT i
- 1:56:09Speaker 4: can't stomach watching these.
- 1:56:10Speaker 2: GAMES i don't. Know it's just it feels like it's
- 1:56:12Speaker 2: just so much content and it would take up like
- 1:56:15Speaker 2: a lot of my. Time but if it's.
- 1:56:16Speaker 4: Gonna make me, money, finally MAYBE i should do that, anyway,
- 1:56:20Speaker 4: Whatever but oh, yeah my plays today one more time
- 1:56:23Speaker 4: under eight In, Cardinals, phillies under seven and a half
- 1:56:26Speaker 4: In Cubs. Mariners so we're being the undertakers again today
- 1:56:29Speaker 4: and then we will take The Chicago sky and THE
- 1:56:32Speaker 4: wnba plus the. Points just a horrible scheduling spot For,
- 1:56:36Speaker 4: indiana so let's get it.
- 1:56:37Speaker 2: Done that's gonna do. It learn. It, OH i don't,
- 1:56:40Speaker 2: Know i'm USING i usually do that before the, plugs
- 1:56:43Speaker 2: BUT i already did the.
- 1:56:43Speaker 4: Plugs that's gonna do. It have a Good, sunday. Everybody
- 1:56:47Speaker 4: i'll be back. Tomorrow it'll be an easier slate to
- 1:56:49Speaker 4: break down tomorrow because it's a shorter baseball card and
- 1:56:52Speaker 4: probably FEW wnba games and no.
- 1:56:54Speaker 2: Football so that's gonna do it for.
- 1:56:56Speaker 4: Now the football content will be starting, Though so if
- 1:57:00Speaker 4: you remember the way THAT i do, IT i usually
- 1:57:02Speaker 4: do it the night before because at that point the
- 1:57:05Speaker 4: lines have kind of coalesced and maybe you've missed like
- 1:57:08Speaker 4: some of the line moves. There BUT i think it's
- 1:57:10Speaker 4: the best time where you have like the most information
- 1:57:13Speaker 4: and the lines have kind of moved in a way
- 1:57:15Speaker 4: where you can kind of tell what's going on and
- 1:57:17Speaker 4: where the actual professional money is and.
- 1:57:19Speaker 2: Whatever BUT i do a lot of.
- 1:57:20Speaker 4: Situation it's all situational, stuff so sometimes you miss some
- 1:57:23Speaker 4: of the better. Numbers BUT i still find THAT i
- 1:57:26Speaker 4: think the, better yeah approach for, me at, least is
- 1:57:28Speaker 4: to do the shows the night before for those football,
- 1:57:31Speaker 4: ones so late night parties coming.
- 1:57:33Speaker 2: Back, man it takes a lot out of. Me it
- 1:57:35Speaker 2: doesn't allow me to, sleep but that's HOW i do.
- 1:57:37Speaker 4: It friday nights will be college football shows And saturday
- 1:57:41Speaker 4: nights will be THE nfl, shows and THEN i talk
- 1:57:43Speaker 4: about the other the games that are not On saturdays And.
- 1:57:46Speaker 2: SUNDAYS i talk about those the morning. Of so that's
- 1:57:49Speaker 2: WHERE i was.
- 1:57:50Speaker 4: Missed He thursday night with THE Nfl Thursday night, plays
- 1:57:52Speaker 4: got almost every one of The thursday night spread predictions,
- 1:57:57Speaker 4: correct and only gave out a few of them as actual.
- 1:58:00Speaker 4: Plays but STILL i won't be able to do that,
- 1:58:02Speaker 4: again just so you, Know but that's gonna do.
- 1:58:05Speaker 2: It.
- 1:58:06Speaker 1: Peace if the doc starts, talking hand me the phone
- 1:58:15Speaker 1: at somebody and so let somebody know you do not
- 1:58:21Speaker 1: have to.
- 1:58:22Speaker 3: Lose this Round, longe hold, on hold, on nothing, nice not.
- 1:58:34Speaker 3: Now hold, on hold. On let me pull you that
- 1:58:45Speaker 3: bad luck by, time but it don't get the. Crown Hold,
- 1:58:54Speaker 3: on hold, on stay with, me, now hold, on hold,
- 1:59:04Speaker 3: On
- 1:59:07Speaker 2: You're still here now