Latest / Toadstool Sports / SATURDAY BEST BETS | NCAA Tournament Elite 8 & MLB & NHL & NBA | 3/28/26
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:05Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 0:08Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:11Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:15Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
- 0:17Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
- 0:20Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
- 0:24Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Oh and
- 0:27Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season. Man with
- 0:32Speaker 1: wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
- 0:37Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
- 0:41Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
- 0:43Speaker 1: with the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
- 0:49Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
- 0:53Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
- 0:55Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
- 0:59Speaker 1: Back with few as I always am until I die,
- 1:03Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
- 1:06Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
- 1:10Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 1: To the slumpy, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
- 1:20Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
- 1:24Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
- 1:33Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's towed back with you with Toadstool
- 1:36Speaker 1: Sports Saturday, March twenty eighth. We're gonna talk all the
- 1:42Speaker 1: sports here. Man. We got a massive hockey card or
- 1:47Speaker 1: hockey board today, not card, because I'm actually skipping the
- 1:50Speaker 1: entire hockey board. I don't like it well enough. Man.
- 1:53Speaker 1: We'll talk about it. I'll give you what I think
- 1:55Speaker 1: maybe the strongest opinions there, but I don't love them enough.
- 2:00Speaker 1: A few NBA games we'll talk about. I don't have
- 2:02Speaker 1: anything there either. I will have a college basketball play
- 2:05Speaker 1: in the Elite eight round here. I like it well enough,
- 2:07Speaker 1: and I'm gonna have one baseball play. So I'm being
- 2:11Speaker 1: very very selective here and hopefully we can hopefully we
- 2:14Speaker 1: can get both of these and go two and zero.
- 2:16Speaker 1: I like both of these plays. We went two and
- 2:18Speaker 1: one on the show yesterday. Houston Astros were lost the
- 2:23Speaker 1: ass Trows. I don't know what's going on with them. Men,
- 2:27Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you. That was horrible.
- 2:30Speaker 1: Burrows didn't get it done for us. I mean he
- 2:32Speaker 1: had basically one bad inning and that was the entire
- 2:35Speaker 1: game pretty much. You know, just Astros were down a
- 2:39Speaker 1: few runs. You keep thinking, well, they might be able
- 2:41Speaker 1: to actually come back here because Anaeim's pitching is so bad.
- 2:44Speaker 1: But no, that did not happen. The other two should
- 2:48Speaker 1: have been way easier winners. The under in Detroit San Diego.
- 2:53Speaker 1: If you played that first five inning under, I think
- 2:55Speaker 1: there were no runs scores, so that was an easy win.
- 2:58Speaker 1: If you did that, it should have been easy the
- 3:00Speaker 1: whole way. Man, it was a one nothing game in
- 3:02Speaker 1: like the seventh inning, I want to say, and then
- 3:05Speaker 1: it got extremely dicey, pretty much because Detroit against San
- 3:10Speaker 1: Diego's very good bullpens. San Diego had one of the
- 3:13Speaker 1: best bullpens in baseball last year and hasn't changed that
- 3:16Speaker 1: much personnel wise. Detroit put up like four runs, five
- 3:20Speaker 1: runs maybe in the top of the eighth or something,
- 3:23Speaker 1: which put it right on seven and luckily no more
- 3:26Speaker 1: runs scored after that, so we still got the under.
- 3:30Speaker 1: The win there with the under seven and a half,
- 3:32Speaker 1: it should have been a lot easier, though first five
- 3:37Speaker 1: apparently was the better play there, But you wouldn't again,
- 3:39Speaker 1: you wouldn't think that with those two bullpens. I know,
- 3:42Speaker 1: the bullpens got a little bit used the prior night,
- 3:45Speaker 1: but that's just like normal bullpen usage, so I don't know.
- 3:49Speaker 1: And then the Chicago Bulls, I mean, that game was
- 3:51Speaker 1: looking like such an easy cover for almost the entire game.
- 3:54Speaker 1: The Bulls were winning the game outright for more than
- 3:57Speaker 1: like half the game, and they're still within like two
- 3:59Speaker 1: or three points at the end of the third quarter, Like,
- 4:02Speaker 1: all right, this is clearly gonna be a cover, Like
- 4:04Speaker 1: just all they have to do is not get outscored
- 4:06Speaker 1: by like twenty points in the fourth quarter. And then
- 4:10Speaker 1: I look like five minutes later and they're down twenty
- 4:14Speaker 1: at plus nineteen and a half. I'm like, are you
- 4:15Speaker 1: fucking kidding me? It was like they hadn't even scored
- 4:18Speaker 1: in the entire fourth quarter at all, Like how do
- 4:22Speaker 1: you get out scored by twenty points in the fourth quarter?
- 4:26Speaker 1: But luckily they actually still covered. They lost by eighteen,
- 4:29Speaker 1: so we still got that one. And I dude, I
- 4:33Speaker 1: think it was the right call that should not have happened, Like,
- 4:37Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know what else to say,
- 4:39Speaker 1: Like it was clearly the right call, but we did
- 4:42Speaker 1: get the winner with that. The number I believe was
- 4:44Speaker 1: mostly nineteen when the game went off, but they lost
- 4:48Speaker 1: by eighteen, So I'm pretty sure anybody who played that
- 4:52Speaker 1: gotta win on that. Charles, what's up? Theyks for hanging out? Yes, correct, Kyle,
- 5:00Speaker 1: what's up the intro video? Dude, I keep forgetting the
- 5:05Speaker 1: name of the dew that did the music for it,
- 5:07Speaker 1: though I took the music and I can tell you
- 5:11Speaker 1: the the clips are from Laney, so shout out to Laney.
- 5:15Speaker 1: But I wish I remember the name of the dew
- 5:17Speaker 1: that did the music for it, because I took both
- 5:21Speaker 1: of those things. I took Laney's clip montage the music,
- 5:24Speaker 1: and I put them together so I made the finished product.
- 5:30Speaker 1: All Right, we're gonna talk about baseball first, I guess,
- 5:34Speaker 1: because there's a lot of it and it's in the afternoon,
- 5:36Speaker 1: although I know there's a little bit of afternoon hockey
- 5:38Speaker 1: as well. You're gonna get all the plays that I
- 5:42Speaker 1: have pretty much right up front in this show. Just
- 5:45Speaker 1: the way that it is baseball. We have a full
- 5:48Speaker 1: baseball board today, so I think every team might be
- 5:52Speaker 1: playing today. I don't know if there's maybe a couple
- 5:54Speaker 1: teams off today because we had I don't know why
- 5:57Speaker 1: they do this, or they stagger the opening days. It's
- 6:00Speaker 1: something to do with rainouts. I don't know. It doesn't
- 6:02Speaker 1: make any sense to me, really, but whatever. All right,
- 6:06Speaker 1: the first game up is not until two fifteen in
- 6:09Speaker 1: the afternoon, so it's later afternoon baseball. I guess today.
- 6:12Speaker 1: I don't know. Tampa Bay and Saint Louis. These two
- 6:16Speaker 1: teams did not play yesterday. Saint Louis won two days
- 6:19Speaker 1: ago to open the series. I believe nine to seven
- 6:24Speaker 1: or something like that. I'm pretty sure Tampa Bay was
- 6:25Speaker 1: winning that game six to one, and they took Drew
- 6:29Speaker 1: Rasmussen out of the game after he pitched pretty well,
- 6:32Speaker 1: and then Tampa's bullpen got completely lit up by this
- 6:36Speaker 1: terrible Saint Louis team. Do we expect Saint Louis to
- 6:39Speaker 1: win again here? I mean, I think they're gonna have
- 6:42Speaker 1: a bad season, but they're at home and they are
- 6:45Speaker 1: actually favored in this game. Joe Boyle is pitching for
- 6:48Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. I don't know. I don't know how to
- 6:52Speaker 1: gauge boyle Man. I mean, we haven't seen that much
- 6:54Speaker 1: of him. He didn't do great when he pitched last year,
- 6:57Speaker 1: didn't pitch that much. Saint Louis actually did see him
- 7:01Speaker 1: last year at one point, I believe, and they have
- 7:03Speaker 1: sixteen at bats off him, a three seventy five batting average,
- 7:06Speaker 1: eighty two ops off of him, so he has not
- 7:11Speaker 1: done well against Saint Louis. Michael McGreevy, I think is
- 7:16Speaker 1: probably the better pitcher here. He's still young, he showed
- 7:20Speaker 1: glimpses of being pretty good last year, also has shown
- 7:23Speaker 1: signs of not being good. Tampa Bay has also never
- 7:27Speaker 1: seen McGreevy before, so there might be a little bit
- 7:30Speaker 1: of an edge from McGreevy just because he's completely unknown.
- 7:34Speaker 1: But both of these starting pitchers are a little bit
- 7:37Speaker 1: unknown here. The money is actually pretty much all over
- 7:40Speaker 1: Tampa Bay here to bounce back after that loss, because
- 7:43Speaker 1: I think they are still the better team. But this
- 7:45Speaker 1: pitching matchup I'm not quite sure of. Although I think
- 7:49Speaker 1: you could probably give Tampa Bay the bullpen edge based
- 7:52Speaker 1: on what we saw last year. Although Saint Louis Is
- 7:54Speaker 1: actually wasn't that bad, but they got rid of a
- 7:56Speaker 1: lot of those guys. I think Saint Louis they're gonna
- 7:59Speaker 1: be bad this year. The offense is also not good.
- 8:02Speaker 1: Uh so I think you probably safely say that Tampa's
- 8:05Speaker 1: gonna have the better offense here. Fifty five percent of
- 8:08Speaker 1: the tickets are on Saint Louis, ninety four percent of
- 8:10Speaker 1: the cash though on Tampa Bay. My instinct on this
- 8:15Speaker 1: was under because you have rested bullpens here at least,
- 8:18Speaker 1: I don't think really that either bullpen is as bad
- 8:21Speaker 1: as maybe they might have looked in the first game,
- 8:23Speaker 1: especially Tampa's. The first game was way high scoring, so
- 8:27Speaker 1: people are gonna have a tendency to not want an
- 8:29Speaker 1: under here, especially when they don't know who these starting
- 8:32Speaker 1: pitchers are. But because they're both they both might have
- 8:36Speaker 1: some talent, they're both young, they're both kind of unfamiliar
- 8:39Speaker 1: to the opposing hitters. Still under would be my opinion
- 8:42Speaker 1: in this game. Seventy six percent of the tickets are
- 8:44Speaker 1: on the over, eighty three percent of the money on
- 8:47Speaker 1: the under. So yeah, I mean, not a strong opinion
- 8:52Speaker 1: for me. The next game up is gonna be my
- 8:54Speaker 1: actual baseball play though, mister Pinzy, what's up? No, No,
- 9:02Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about that game yet. Yeah, I'm gonna
- 9:05Speaker 1: give you a lot of reasons why not. Only is
- 9:08Speaker 1: that not the case, I think Arizona could lose that
- 9:11Speaker 1: game outright, Washington and the Cubs. This is gonna be
- 9:17Speaker 1: my actual play. We're gonna play the Cubs on the
- 9:25Speaker 1: run line at minus one and a half. I found
- 9:28Speaker 1: it out there at minus one twelve. It's maybe around
- 9:32Speaker 1: minus one fifteen. The number has gone up, so I
- 9:35Speaker 1: think it might keep going up too, So I would say, like,
- 9:37Speaker 1: try to get the best price that you can on this.
- 9:40Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Cubs to just blow out
- 9:42Speaker 1: this awful Washington team. People might not want it because
- 9:46Speaker 1: Washington blew out the Cubs in the first game ten
- 9:49Speaker 1: to four, which was really inexplicable. But the Cubs are
- 9:52Speaker 1: clearly the way better team here, like I think Washington
- 9:56Speaker 1: might be, like, honestly, they could be historically bad this year.
- 10:00Speaker 1: I don't know how to explain what happened in that
- 10:02Speaker 1: game other than yeah, they had an unfamiliar pitcher to
- 10:04Speaker 1: the Cubs. Cavali was pitching there. We don't have to
- 10:08Speaker 1: worry about that in this game, though, we don't have
- 10:10Speaker 1: to worry about the Cubs being unfamiliar with Miles Michelus,
- 10:14Speaker 1: who's pitching for Washington here. They picked him up over
- 10:16Speaker 1: the off season. I know. I talked about it yesterday
- 10:20Speaker 1: where I talked about how pitchers tend to want to
- 10:22Speaker 1: do well when they have their first start for their
- 10:24Speaker 1: new team. Yeah, that's true, but that can only go
- 10:29Speaker 1: so far. Man, when you're a late thirties dude like
- 10:33Speaker 1: Miles Micholas and this guy, you know, he's a junk pitcher.
- 10:38Speaker 1: He's not that good. And you want to see his
- 10:40Speaker 1: numbers against the Cubs, Yeah, oh boy, one hundred and
- 10:44Speaker 1: eighty seven at batsworth because he was on Saint Louis
- 10:47Speaker 1: up until this year. He does have a good thirty
- 10:49Speaker 1: three to three strikeout walk ratio against him. That's not
- 10:52Speaker 1: a lot of strikeouts, it's very few walks, but pretty
- 10:56Speaker 1: much that. The reason for the few walks, it seems,
- 10:58Speaker 1: is because he's just throwing it right over the plate
- 11:00Speaker 1: to everybody. As you have multiple home runs and here
- 11:03Speaker 1: for Bush, PCA is seven for nine with five home
- 11:08Speaker 1: runs off of him. Hap has just destroyed him as well.
- 11:12Speaker 1: Horner Horny has destroyed him as well. Swanson not too
- 11:16Speaker 1: bad against him. He's given up a three h five
- 11:19Speaker 1: average and eight seventy two ops to the Cubs in
- 11:22Speaker 1: a lot of it bats. And you want to see
- 11:25Speaker 1: what he did last year against the Cubs. The last
- 11:28Speaker 1: two times he pitched in this stadium he pitched in
- 11:32Speaker 1: the season. In his last game of the season, literally
- 11:35Speaker 1: the last time he pitched was year, he gave up
- 11:38Speaker 1: three home runs of five innings in a twelve to
- 11:41Speaker 1: one loss to the Cubs. And yeah, I know you
- 11:44Speaker 1: might argue, well, that means the next time he pitch
- 11:46Speaker 1: this year he's gonna do better. Right, I don't know
- 11:50Speaker 1: about that, because the previous time he pitched at the
- 11:53Speaker 1: Cubs was that notorious game where he allowed six home
- 11:57Speaker 1: runs to the Cubs on July fourth, Aaron Wrigley on
- 12:01Speaker 1: ten hits in six innings and they lost that game
- 12:04Speaker 1: eleven to three. So, yeah, his track record against the Cubs,
- 12:08Speaker 1: let's just say it's not good. He's going up against
- 12:12Speaker 1: Cad Horton, who is clearly the better pitcher here. Had
- 12:16Speaker 1: a really good season last year, kind of from out
- 12:18Speaker 1: of nowhere, young talented pitcher for the Cubs man, not
- 12:21Speaker 1: Scott Horton, Cad Horton. He's good. I mean, I don't
- 12:25Speaker 1: know what else to tell you. Good numbers last year. Now,
- 12:28Speaker 1: his numbers against Washington are a little bit if he
- 12:30Speaker 1: three to zero eight, batting average allowed seven forty two
- 12:33Speaker 1: oh ps. But I'm gonna overlook that a bit because
- 12:35Speaker 1: it's only in thirteen at bats, and really, I mean,
- 12:39Speaker 1: what can you gauge from that. It's a small sample size.
- 12:42Speaker 1: A couple of guys have a couple of hits off him, Like,
- 12:45Speaker 1: I don't think you can really take that much away
- 12:46Speaker 1: from that. He's clearly the way better pitcher. Cubs have
- 12:50Speaker 1: the way better offense. The Cubs have the better bullpen.
- 12:53Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, it's a bounced back spot. And you
- 12:56Speaker 1: have Mikolas who's just historically, at least recent history last
- 13:00Speaker 1: year was unbelievably bad against rig against the Cubs in
- 13:05Speaker 1: Wrigley Man, Like I'm talking about, like that six home
- 13:08Speaker 1: run performance was like historic, Like everybody was making fun
- 13:12Speaker 1: of it. And I don't see any reason to think
- 13:14Speaker 1: that he's gonna be better enough to win this game
- 13:17Speaker 1: by any means, you know what I mean, even if
- 13:19Speaker 1: he pitches better than that, it's still not gonna be good.
- 13:22Speaker 1: So we are gonna go with the Cubs here. They're
- 13:25Speaker 1: all the way up to minus two twenty already for
- 13:27Speaker 1: minus one eighty two, So I think the real money
- 13:29Speaker 1: is actually playing the Cubs here. Even though it looks
- 13:32Speaker 1: too easy in some ways, I think this is still
- 13:35Speaker 1: the spot to do it because people might hesitate a
- 13:38Speaker 1: little bit because everybody's going by this one game sample size.
- 13:42Speaker 1: Oh maybe Washington could beat the Cubs here. No, no,
- 13:45Speaker 1: they cannot. The Cubs are gonna win this game easily.
- 13:49Speaker 1: That's my play there, Suzuki, I have no idea. I
- 13:54Speaker 1: don't really think it matters. I think he is out
- 13:59Speaker 1: because he wasn't listed on that like the battle versus
- 14:03Speaker 1: Pitcher thing shows the active lineup, so yeah, he's not
- 14:06Speaker 1: listed in here, so he's out. And even with him
- 14:09Speaker 1: out of there, I showed you the numbers here, Micholas
- 14:12Speaker 1: has been horrible against the Cubs, so I don't think
- 14:15Speaker 1: it matters at all as far as that handicap is concerned.
- 14:20Speaker 1: All right, a's at Toronto. Toronto won this game yesterday
- 14:25Speaker 1: three to two, Wanda being a pitching battle. I told
- 14:30Speaker 1: you Severino is better on the road, Man, I thought
- 14:33Speaker 1: the A's had a decent chance. If you played the
- 14:35Speaker 1: A's first five inning plus a half run, you got
- 14:38Speaker 1: totally screwed because they were winning the game one nothing
- 14:41Speaker 1: in the bottom of the fifth. That was brutal. This game.
- 14:44Speaker 1: Is Jeffrey Springs pitching for the A's. He's you know,
- 14:48Speaker 1: he's he's all right. He's a serviceable pitcher. Against Toronto,
- 14:53Speaker 1: He's been okay in sixty eight at bats to thirty
- 14:56Speaker 1: five average A lot seven to seventy seven ops is
- 14:58Speaker 1: a little bit high though, because he's a lot four
- 15:00Speaker 1: home runs to them. Eighteen to seven strike out walk
- 15:03Speaker 1: ratios not anything to write home about. Tough to gauge
- 15:07Speaker 1: what you're gonna get out of Springs. Dylan Cease will
- 15:10Speaker 1: be making his first start for Toronto. He had a
- 15:14Speaker 1: pretty bad season last year. I'm not gonna lie man
- 15:16Speaker 1: and him going from a very picture friendly park in
- 15:19Speaker 1: San Diego to Toronto, which is not as much. I
- 15:23Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mentioned this signing by the Jays.
- 15:27Speaker 1: I don't know if it's that good really, Cease. I mean,
- 15:32Speaker 1: he could definitely strike guys out, he can definitely throw hard,
- 15:34Speaker 1: but I don't like what we saw out of him
- 15:36Speaker 1: last year, especially given how picture friendly that ballpark is now.
- 15:41Speaker 1: He should get up for this game because it is
- 15:43Speaker 1: his first game with his new team, so he wants
- 15:45Speaker 1: to kind of get out there prove himself. The A's
- 15:48Speaker 1: are actually a pretty good line up, though, a lot
- 15:50Speaker 1: of young hitters on this team that are good. Thirty
- 15:53Speaker 1: nine at bats against cease lifetime nine to eight strike
- 15:57Speaker 1: at walk ratio is not good for seat eighty two
- 16:00Speaker 1: batting average allowed that's high as well. Seven to sixty
- 16:03Speaker 1: three ohps is pretty high as well, So Cease has
- 16:07Speaker 1: not ceased the the A's bats particularly well I when
- 16:11Speaker 1: he's faced them. The money is coming into Toronto here
- 16:14Speaker 1: up to minus one eighty four seventy eight percent of
- 16:17Speaker 1: tickets ninety one percent of the cash on Toronto. Man,
- 16:23Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I don't know about it. Man,
- 16:26Speaker 1: I have no good read on this game at all.
- 16:28Speaker 1: The money is saying Toronto in this game. My read
- 16:32Speaker 1: is just, yeah, I don't I don't have a good
- 16:34Speaker 1: read on this game at all. I would almost have
- 16:37Speaker 1: a tendency to lean towards an over here over eight
- 16:40Speaker 1: and a half. But the money looks like it is
- 16:42Speaker 1: coming in on the under in that game, So I
- 16:45Speaker 1: guess do what you want with that information, but that's
- 16:47Speaker 1: a total stay away. Minnesota at Baltimore. These two teams
- 16:51Speaker 1: did not play yesterday. Oh and I guess you know
- 16:54Speaker 1: because I'm showing yeah, the as, I'll show you the
- 16:57Speaker 1: bullpen usage too, because why not. Yesterday the A's used
- 17:00Speaker 1: three relief pitchers though they're bullpen is pretty bad, so
- 17:04Speaker 1: I don't know what we could really take away from that.
- 17:08Speaker 1: Toronto used three relief pitchers as well a couple of
- 17:12Speaker 1: their better relievers, I think because they had to they
- 17:14Speaker 1: were in a save situation yesterday. So that's the full
- 17:17Speaker 1: information on that game. Minnesota and Baltimore did not play yesterday.
- 17:22Speaker 1: Baltimore I believe won the first game. Yeah it was
- 17:25Speaker 1: only two to one though, so Rogers doing well again
- 17:28Speaker 1: for Baltimore there, mister Rogers. It was a beautiful day
- 17:32Speaker 1: in the neighborhood there, although that's never the case in Baltimore.
- 17:37Speaker 1: But you know, for the Orioles it was in that game.
- 17:40Speaker 1: Minnesota will have Taj Bradley. I believe they picked him
- 17:45Speaker 1: up at the trade deadline last year, so I don't
- 17:47Speaker 1: think this is his Minnesota debut. I think he has
- 17:49Speaker 1: pitched for Minnesota a little bit. But he's a mystery
- 17:53Speaker 1: to me man, because he does have pretty good like
- 17:55Speaker 1: strike up potential, but his numbers have just been bad
- 17:59Speaker 1: throughout his career, so I don't know if he's ever
- 18:01Speaker 1: gonna turn it around or not. And the problem with
- 18:03Speaker 1: facing Baltimore, of course, is that Bradley was on Tampa Bay,
- 18:07Speaker 1: so Baltimore is familiar with him. They have sixty six
- 18:10Speaker 1: at bats off him, a three forty eight batting average
- 18:13Speaker 1: against him in one thousand and forty six ops, so
- 18:17Speaker 1: needless to say, he has not done well against Baltimore
- 18:20Speaker 1: in his career. Nineteen to five strike out walk ratio
- 18:24Speaker 1: is not that bad, but all these other numbers are
- 18:26Speaker 1: pretty awful. So again, the strikeouts are there, but he's
- 18:29Speaker 1: way too hittable. He's going up against Kyle Bradish Bradish.
- 18:34Speaker 1: I don't know how he pronounced his name. I believe
- 18:37Speaker 1: Bradish was making relief appearances last year, if I'm not mistaken,
- 18:43Speaker 1: Actually maybe I am mistaken. I don't know. I guess
- 18:45Speaker 1: he looks like he came back late in the season.
- 18:48Speaker 1: I totally forgot about him. To be honest, he came
- 18:51Speaker 1: back late in the season last year, and he actually
- 18:53Speaker 1: pitched pretty well after he came back, so I don't
- 18:57Speaker 1: know what to expect out of him. But Minnesota not
- 19:00Speaker 1: a good lineup, and they only have seven at bats
- 19:03Speaker 1: off of Bradish in his career. Only three of their
- 19:05Speaker 1: hitters have ever even seen him before. They're two for
- 19:08Speaker 1: seven with no extra base hits, two strikeouts, no walks,
- 19:12Speaker 1: So Bradish I think does have the upper hand in
- 19:15Speaker 1: the starting pitching matchup. The money is coming in a Baltimore. Baltimore.
- 19:20Speaker 1: I mean they their bullpen was pretty bad last year,
- 19:23Speaker 1: but both bullpens were bad, and Baltimore I think pretty
- 19:26Speaker 1: clearly has the better offense out of the two teams.
- 19:28Speaker 1: Here eighty nine percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of
- 19:31Speaker 1: the cash on Baltimore. I don't disagree with Baltimore in
- 19:35Speaker 1: this one. That is probably the way that I would lean.
- 19:38Speaker 1: They're up to minus one fifty seven here, I mean
- 19:41Speaker 1: money line getting a little bit pricey. Maybe you start
- 19:43Speaker 1: looking towards splitting the bet run line money line. You
- 19:46Speaker 1: could go Baltimore over their team total maybe as well,
- 19:49Speaker 1: because it's actually a fairly low total in this one
- 19:52Speaker 1: at seven and a half. But I think Baltimore could
- 19:54Speaker 1: definitely go over their team total against Bradley plus Minnesota's bullpen,
- 20:00Speaker 1: So that might be the way I would look, although
- 20:01Speaker 1: I know early season you tend to want to look
- 20:03Speaker 1: more towards unders, but and yesterday that was more of
- 20:07Speaker 1: the case than the day before that at least Texas
- 20:11Speaker 1: and Philadelphia. By the way, that's a Fox Sports one
- 20:15Speaker 1: game Minnesota Baltimore, and the game that we're on with
- 20:18Speaker 1: the Cubs is on MLB Unlimited in ESPN, it looks
- 20:22Speaker 1: like Texas and Philadelphia. This is kind of an interesting
- 20:26Speaker 1: game here where it's it's sort of pitching versus hitting
- 20:29Speaker 1: because Texas is a much more pitching oriented team. Philadelphia
- 20:33Speaker 1: is a more hitting oriented team. Jacob deGrom is pitching
- 20:37Speaker 1: for Texas. These two teams did not play yesterday. I
- 20:40Speaker 1: believe they played the day before that. Philly won five
- 20:44Speaker 1: to three two days ago. De Grom maybe the Rangers'
- 20:47Speaker 1: best pitcher. I mean, he's old, but he bitched really
- 20:49Speaker 1: well last year, so he's he still has his stuff. Man. Yeah,
- 20:54Speaker 1: I mean de Grom I think he's a Hall of
- 20:56Speaker 1: Fame pitcher man, But he's going up against a good
- 20:59Speaker 1: line pier. Although now Philly is pretty familiar with him,
- 21:03Speaker 1: kind of because he was on the Mets for a
- 21:05Speaker 1: lot of his career. So Philly, they're long timers, have
- 21:08Speaker 1: seen him a lot. They have one hundred and seventy
- 21:09Speaker 1: seven at bats off him. Uh sixty nine to fourteen
- 21:12Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio is pretty good for de gram
- 21:15Speaker 1: that's a lot of strikeouts. He's also he has good
- 21:18Speaker 1: numbers across the board against them, pretty much a two
- 21:20Speaker 1: point fifteen batting average allowed, six thirty four ohps allowed. Now,
- 21:25Speaker 1: you got to take into account that some of that
- 21:26Speaker 1: was when he was a completely elite pitcher, although he
- 21:30Speaker 1: hasn't really dropped off that much. So I think you
- 21:32Speaker 1: should actually still get a pretty decent performance out of
- 21:36Speaker 1: him here. I think it's more questionable what we're gonna
- 21:39Speaker 1: get out of Aaron Nola, who's pitching for the Phillies.
- 21:43Speaker 1: He came back last year off of Tommy John surgery,
- 21:46Speaker 1: I want to say, and he was not pitching well
- 21:47Speaker 1: at all, looking like he might. You know, some guys
- 21:51Speaker 1: just don't come back from that surgery, especially when they're
- 21:54Speaker 1: like in the thirties and they have to try to
- 21:56Speaker 1: come back. But I will say that Nola did start
- 21:59Speaker 1: pitching a little bit better. Are very late in the season,
- 22:02Speaker 1: so maybe he does still have something because he used
- 22:04Speaker 1: to be a good pitcher. He's going up against a
- 22:07Speaker 1: lineup that's not that good in Texas. They have one
- 22:09Speaker 1: hundred and twenty two at bats off him. A lot
- 22:12Speaker 1: of it is Nemo though, because I believe Nimo was
- 22:14Speaker 1: on the Mets, so he's seen him a lot. Thirty
- 22:17Speaker 1: nine to nineteen strike a walk ratio is pretty bad.
- 22:21Speaker 1: That's way too many walks, but a lot of them
- 22:24Speaker 1: are Nemo. Uh. And Nimo has not actually hit him
- 22:27Speaker 1: that well, He's just kind of pitched around him, it
- 22:29Speaker 1: looks like. But overall, I mean, the numbers are not
- 22:31Speaker 1: that bad. Two forty six batting average allowed against Texas
- 22:36Speaker 1: seven thirty three ops is getting a little bit on
- 22:38Speaker 1: the higher range. It all comes down to do we
- 22:42Speaker 1: really think Nola is like, has he turned the corner
- 22:45Speaker 1: and is he bouncing back? Well, the money seems to
- 22:48Speaker 1: think so, because sixty five percent of the tickets are
- 22:50Speaker 1: on Texas. The public seems to want to Grom because
- 22:53Speaker 1: they know his name. They don't trust Nola. Six era
- 22:58Speaker 1: last year, I mean, why would you. But again, and
- 23:00Speaker 1: like I said, if you dig into Nola's stats, he
- 23:03Speaker 1: pitched a little bit better. At the end of the year,
- 23:05Speaker 1: Philly flipped from plus one oh three to minus one
- 23:08Speaker 1: oh nine. Here. It's seventy six percent of the money
- 23:10Speaker 1: on Philly here, so it's a pretty strong market read
- 23:14Speaker 1: on the Phillies here. I think the thinking is basically
- 23:17Speaker 1: that de Gram is just being overpriced in the market. Basically,
- 23:21Speaker 1: I think is the thinking here. Philadelphia definitely has the
- 23:24Speaker 1: better offense, although usually I like better pitching. But then
- 23:27Speaker 1: the question becomes, will Nola become like what he once was?
- 23:31Speaker 1: You know what I mean, because he was actually pretty
- 23:33Speaker 1: good up until that surgery, So the old Nola would
- 23:38Speaker 1: be able to have a pitching battle here against deGrom basically,
- 23:41Speaker 1: you know. And the total is low as well. It's
- 23:43Speaker 1: gone all the way down from eight and a half
- 23:45Speaker 1: to seven, so a lot of the money that's coming
- 23:47Speaker 1: in seems to kind of suggest it. Betters are thinking
- 23:51Speaker 1: that Nola, like professional betters seem to think that Nola
- 23:54Speaker 1: is actually going to pitch well here, I don't want
- 23:57Speaker 1: to put my money on it, but we'll see what happens. Man,
- 24:00Speaker 1: that's what the market rita saying. I think if you
- 24:04Speaker 1: really wanted to try to play an under in this game,
- 24:06Speaker 1: I mean, maybe looking in the first five innings might
- 24:08Speaker 1: be a better approach here, because I just I don't
- 24:13Speaker 1: trust Phillies bullpen. Still, Texas is bullpen I think should
- 24:16Speaker 1: be pretty good again. But it's also early in the season,
- 24:19Speaker 1: so I don't know exactly what we're gonna get here.
- 24:22Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati. My Red Sox will have
- 24:26Speaker 1: Sonny Gray making his Red Sox debut. Like I keep saying,
- 24:31Speaker 1: you know, pitchers usually try to step it up and
- 24:33Speaker 1: pitch better when they're making their debut for a team
- 24:38Speaker 1: getting you know, a big contract and whatever. But I
- 24:41Speaker 1: mean Gray, he was only okay last year. He is
- 24:44Speaker 1: getting up there in age and he has good command,
- 24:47Speaker 1: but the problem is he's just too hittable sometimes, man,
- 24:51Speaker 1: especially now that he's older. He can't just like throw
- 24:53Speaker 1: it by hitters anymore. Up against the Reds. It's unfortunate
- 24:58Speaker 1: because he was in the Reds vision for a while
- 25:01Speaker 1: with Cincinnati, so that's an unfortunate draw for him. In
- 25:05Speaker 1: his Red Sox tabut. Reds are familiar with him ninety
- 25:08Speaker 1: at bats against him. He does have a really good
- 25:10Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio against him, Like I keep saying,
- 25:13Speaker 1: thirty one to four, so that that stat is never
- 25:17Speaker 1: a problem for Gray, but he tends to allow too
- 25:20Speaker 1: many hits hard hits to seventy eight batting average against
- 25:24Speaker 1: for the Reds against him and eight forty two OPS,
- 25:27Speaker 1: so Gray has not actually done that well against them.
- 25:31Speaker 1: Brady Singer is pitching for the Reds. They picked him
- 25:34Speaker 1: up before last season. He came over from Kansas City.
- 25:39Speaker 1: He had a decent season last year. The Red Sox
- 25:42Speaker 1: do have good numbers off him though for the most part,
- 25:46Speaker 1: seventy one at bats against him, eighteen to six strike
- 25:49Speaker 1: up walk ratio is pretty normal. To ninety six batting
- 25:53Speaker 1: average allowed though, and seven to thirty one OPS, so
- 25:56Speaker 1: the Red Sox to have pretty good offensive numbers against
- 25:59Speaker 1: Singer in their careers. This game, the money's coming in
- 26:05Speaker 1: on the under, but I don't know if I really
- 26:07Speaker 1: agree with that. I could kind of see this being
- 26:09Speaker 1: a higher scoring game. It's still kind of an afternoon game.
- 26:13Speaker 1: It's in a hitter friendly ballpark in Cincinnati. The hitters
- 26:16Speaker 1: are all pretty much familiar with these pitchers. But again,
- 26:20Speaker 1: it is still early season, so unders do come home
- 26:23Speaker 1: a lot of the time. The money is saying under here,
- 26:25Speaker 1: but I would not play the under like I lean over.
- 26:29Speaker 1: And the money is coming in on the Red Sox
- 26:31Speaker 1: as well, up to minus one thirty six for minus
- 26:33Speaker 1: one eighteen, sixty six percent of tickets, sixty eight percent
- 26:37Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on the Red Sox. Now,
- 26:40Speaker 1: the Red Sox, you probably do have to give them
- 26:42Speaker 1: the slight edge with the starting pitcher. You probably do
- 26:45Speaker 1: have to give them a slight edge on offense, and
- 26:47Speaker 1: probably also in the bullpen. So just like I said
- 26:50Speaker 1: in the first game, I think the Red Sox are
- 26:51Speaker 1: the slightly better team all around. But is that enough
- 26:54Speaker 1: to be laying a price like this. I don't know.
- 26:57Speaker 1: They're a cheaper price than they were in the first game,
- 27:00Speaker 1: but because you know Crochet was pitching that game. We'll
- 27:05Speaker 1: see what happens, man, We'll see how this Red Sox
- 27:07Speaker 1: newly formed pitching staff looks here with their new top three.
- 27:12Speaker 1: I believe Suarez is going to be pitching the next game,
- 27:14Speaker 1: so we'll see what happens. Man. I don't want to
- 27:17Speaker 1: play the game though, I don't really have a strong
- 27:18Speaker 1: opinion on that game either. This next game I almost
- 27:22Speaker 1: consider putting on my card Colorado and Miami. I No,
- 27:25Speaker 1: it's totally ugly. These two teams did play yesterday. Who
- 27:29Speaker 1: that's Ken Pum. I don't trust either of these bullpens.
- 27:34Speaker 1: Colorado used a few relief pitchers yesterday, no huge deal
- 27:37Speaker 1: though Miami also used three. Not really a ton of
- 27:41Speaker 1: bullpen usage yet. Here Michael Lorenz in his pitching for
- 27:44Speaker 1: Colorado and this will be his rocky debut. Now how
- 27:48Speaker 1: rocky will it be? I don't know. He came over
- 27:50Speaker 1: from Kansas City. He didn't do that well with Kansas
- 27:53Speaker 1: City last year, which is not good because that was
- 27:56Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly park that he was pitching in there.
- 27:58Speaker 1: Going from there to core Field might not be good.
- 28:01Speaker 1: Although at least here he's not having a pitch of
- 28:03Speaker 1: course field yet, so maybe he will pitch well here.
- 28:06Speaker 1: Miami's one more pitcher friendly park. These offenses are not
- 28:10Speaker 1: really that great either now, especially Colorado. Will Lorenzen be
- 28:16Speaker 1: able to pitch well in his debut with his new team,
- 28:18Speaker 1: I don't know, Like how excited is he gonna be
- 28:19Speaker 1: that he's going from a potential playoff team in the
- 28:22Speaker 1: Royals to a team that's a doormat like the Rockies.
- 28:26Speaker 1: I don't know, is he really gonna be that excited
- 28:28Speaker 1: to pitch for them. That's one concern that I have.
- 28:31Speaker 1: But Miami is really unfamiliar with them. They only have
- 28:34Speaker 1: six at bats against him, because I think he spent
- 28:36Speaker 1: most of his career in the American League. They're one
- 28:39Speaker 1: for six off him, with three strikeouts and no walks.
- 28:42Speaker 1: Only three of their hitters have ever faced him before.
- 28:45Speaker 1: So Lorenzo might have the upper hand there because again
- 28:48Speaker 1: I talk about how pitchers have a little bit of
- 28:50Speaker 1: an edge of the opposing lineups has never seen them before.
- 28:53Speaker 1: And Uri Perez is pitching for Miami. You know me,
- 28:56Speaker 1: I like him. I like Perez even though I think
- 28:58Speaker 1: he had two Tommy Johns on surgeries before the age
- 29:01Speaker 1: of twenty two. It's a lot easier to bounce back
- 29:04Speaker 1: from that when you're that young. Perez has some really
- 29:07Speaker 1: really good stuff, man, and he's six' eight if. So you,
- 29:11Speaker 1: know his arm angle is kind of. Strange if you
- 29:14Speaker 1: watch the way he. Pitches he has a really really,
- 29:17Speaker 1: weird like really really weird movement towards the plate that
- 29:21Speaker 1: throws guys off and he throws pretty hard. TOO i Like.
- 29:24Speaker 1: Perez he's a good. Pitcher colorado only has eighteen at
- 29:28Speaker 1: bats off, him and they have not been successful against.
- 29:31Speaker 1: Him one to eleven batting average against, him five to
- 29:33Speaker 1: seventy ONE, ops five to three strike a walk. Ratio
- 29:37Speaker 1: that's the. Thing perez can be a bit wild at
- 29:40Speaker 1: times and he needs to clean that, up but he's
- 29:43Speaker 1: also pretty difficult to. HIT i think he is the
- 29:46Speaker 1: better pitcher, here and that's part of the reason Why
- 29:48Speaker 1: miami is a pretty big favorite. Here but you, know
- 29:52Speaker 1: it might be. Warranted the money is coming in On.
- 29:54Speaker 1: Miami their minus one eighty four seventy two percent of
- 29:57Speaker 1: tickets ninety eight percent of the cash On. Miami BUT
- 30:00Speaker 1: i was leaning under in this. Game the under in
- 30:04Speaker 1: this game almost was a consideration for. Me you'd have
- 30:07Speaker 1: to pay about minus one twenty now to go under
- 30:10Speaker 1: seven and a half on this, THOUGH uh public looks
- 30:12Speaker 1: like they want over eighty percent of tickets ninety seven
- 30:16Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the. Over BUT i think
- 30:18Speaker 1: under makes sense because both pictures are pretty. Unfamiliar BUT
- 30:22Speaker 1: i have my concerns still a little bit with both of.
- 30:24Speaker 1: THEM i do have concerns about the bullpens as, Well
- 30:27Speaker 1: so under first five innings might make more sense in this.
- 30:31Speaker 1: Game but seven is a key, number of, course so
- 30:33Speaker 1: if you get under the seven and a half full,
- 30:35Speaker 1: game SOMETIMES i will do that instead of trying to
- 30:37Speaker 1: go like under three in the first, five because like
- 30:40Speaker 1: three is really really cutting it close for a first five.
- 30:45Speaker 1: Bet but then, again these bullpens are pretty, untrustworthy so
- 30:50Speaker 1: that's WHY, i you, KNOW i kind of just, decided,
- 30:53Speaker 1: Yeah i'm gonna leave this one off my. CARD i
- 30:55Speaker 1: would not disagree with The miami side in that, game,
- 30:58Speaker 1: either but you, KNOW i THINK i prefer like some
- 31:02Speaker 1: sort of under in that, game but don't prefer it strongly.
- 31:07Speaker 1: Enough pittsburgh at The. METS i told YOU i Thought
- 31:11Speaker 1: pittsburgh was a little bit overvalued Because Paul skeen's was
- 31:14Speaker 1: on the mound in that first, game, man And Paul
- 31:16Speaker 1: skeen's had his worst performance in The, majors giving up
- 31:20Speaker 1: five runs without getting out of the first inning after
- 31:23Speaker 1: he was staked to a two nothing. Lead that's pretty.
- 31:25Speaker 1: RIDICULOUS i don't Think pittsburgh is very, good, MAN i really.
- 31:30Speaker 1: DON'T i don't, KNOW i do not understand the. Hype
- 31:33Speaker 1: skeens is really good, obviously But pittsburgh is still gonna
- 31:36Speaker 1: be pretty bad this. YEAR i don't think they're gonna
- 31:39Speaker 1: come in last place in their division this. YEAR i
- 31:41Speaker 1: think The cardinals are, horrible but even, so they're not that.
- 31:45Speaker 1: Good The, METS i, think are definitely in contention to
- 31:48Speaker 1: win THE Nl east this. YEAR i believe The mets
- 31:54Speaker 1: won that game like eleven to seven or something like
- 31:56Speaker 1: that was very high. Scoring, oh by the, WAY i
- 31:58Speaker 1: will Say Colorado miami yesterday very low, scoring two to.
- 32:01Speaker 1: One So i'm kind of surprised that the public would
- 32:04Speaker 1: want to come in and play an over in that
- 32:06Speaker 1: game because it's not a course field. Game, yesterday it
- 32:09Speaker 1: was so low, scoring you would think that fewer people
- 32:11Speaker 1: would want to go over. There but because it was low,
- 32:14Speaker 1: SCORING i kind of hesitate to want to say this
- 32:16Speaker 1: game is also gonna be low. Scoring, yes, Yeah Livy,
- 32:24Speaker 1: dunn she. Should she should break up With Paul skins
- 32:28Speaker 1: and marry me. Instead she can get shirtless piggyback rides
- 32:34Speaker 1: from me. INSTEAD i have broad. Shoulders, man put a
- 32:38Speaker 1: broad on my, shoulders all. Right Mitch keller is pitching
- 32:42Speaker 1: For pittsburgh. Here he's not a bad. PITCHER i, mean
- 32:46Speaker 1: he goes kind of under the radar because he doesn't
- 32:48Speaker 1: have that name. Recognition but he's decent against The. Mets
- 32:52Speaker 1: his numbers are actually pretty good in his, career seventy
- 32:54Speaker 1: seven at bats to a way to average, allowed six
- 32:57Speaker 1: to twenty six. Ops that's pretty. Good the number is
- 33:00Speaker 1: too high twenty four to twelve strike out walk, ratio
- 33:03Speaker 1: but it looks like it's because he kind of pitches
- 33:05Speaker 1: around the best guys, here the best, Hitters lindor And.
- 33:08Speaker 1: Sodo soto has hit him, Well lindor has, not but
- 33:12Speaker 1: he's kind of pitched around them with. Walks our old,
- 33:16Speaker 1: Pal David peterson is pitching for The, mets the guy
- 33:19Speaker 1: who always has a horrendous. Whip AND i keep saying
- 33:22Speaker 1: like this guy's gonna. Regress he's not that. Good it
- 33:25Speaker 1: keeps not, happening except it did at the end of last.
- 33:28Speaker 1: Year he did regress and his, number HIS era went
- 33:31Speaker 1: way up at the end of the season last. Year
- 33:33Speaker 1: i'm not A peterson, fan as you. KNOW i don't
- 33:35Speaker 1: think he's that. Good he gets a lot of ground,
- 33:38Speaker 1: balls which is why he kind of succeeds when other
- 33:41Speaker 1: guys would fail because he definitely puts way too many
- 33:43Speaker 1: guys on, base WHICH i think you're just skating on
- 33:46Speaker 1: thin ice when you do. That his numbers against The
- 33:48Speaker 1: pirates are not. Horrible in sixty three at bats twenty
- 33:52Speaker 1: two to twelve strike out walk ratio is not, good
- 33:55Speaker 1: though that's way too many. Walks, again two pH six
- 33:59Speaker 1: batting allowed is good because again he induces a lot
- 34:03Speaker 1: of a ground ball. Outs but seven thirty ops that's
- 34:07Speaker 1: teetering on like the high side there as. Well oh,
- 34:11Speaker 1: MAN i don't love. IT i don't love the game at.
- 34:14Speaker 1: All you, know The mets have gone all the way
- 34:18Speaker 1: up for minus one thirty five to minus one seventy one,
- 34:21Speaker 1: here WHICH i don't even understand why they would have
- 34:23Speaker 1: moved that much on the money, Line like what do
- 34:26Speaker 1: they change their starting pitcher or something like what is
- 34:29Speaker 1: going on with? That LIKE i actually probably think there's
- 34:32Speaker 1: some value on The pittsburgh, side to be, honest eighty
- 34:35Speaker 1: percent of, tickets eighty four percent of the cash on The.
- 34:37Speaker 1: Mets mets are going to be a public. Side the
- 34:39Speaker 1: under is taking money as well, here and you, KNOW
- 34:42Speaker 1: i see the arguments for the, under because AGAIN i
- 34:45Speaker 1: just showed you the pitching stats are not that. Bad
- 34:47Speaker 1: like matchup, wise with these two pitchers, here you have
- 34:51Speaker 1: to go under seven and a half full game, though
- 34:53Speaker 1: AND i don't know If i'm willing to do. That.
- 34:55Speaker 1: PITTSBURGH i, Mean pittsburgh's BULLPEN i think was pretty bad
- 34:58Speaker 1: last year IF i remember, correctly they might not be
- 35:01Speaker 1: that good this. Year The mets BULLPEN i think was all,
- 35:03Speaker 1: right but you, KNOW i would not really want to
- 35:07Speaker 1: put my trust in those. Bullpens you, know if you
- 35:10Speaker 1: wanted to Go pittsburgh first five innings and have your
- 35:14Speaker 1: money be On keller to kind of Duel peterson in
- 35:17Speaker 1: the first part of this, GAME i think that there
- 35:20Speaker 1: might be a chance That keller out pitches, them especially
- 35:23Speaker 1: because people are gonna be, like, well If Paul skins
- 35:26Speaker 1: couldn't even pitch well against The, mets Then pittsburgh has
- 35:29Speaker 1: no chance to win any of these games against The, mets.
- 35:32Speaker 1: RIGHT i think that might be what the public thinks,
- 35:35Speaker 1: Now so it might be a spot where maybe you
- 35:37Speaker 1: can actually find some value on The pirates side somehow
- 35:40Speaker 1: in that. GAME i don't want to do anything with, it,
- 35:43Speaker 1: Though which college basketball team is the hottest. CHEERLEADERS i don't.
- 35:50Speaker 1: KNOW i haven't, REALLY i haven't paid enough attention to. That.
- 35:53Speaker 1: UNFORTUNATELY i like The midwest chicks, though because you, know
- 35:57Speaker 1: they're probably more Like, christian you know WHAT i. Mean
- 36:00Speaker 1: although like, stereotypically everybody's gonna, say Like florida, Schools california,
- 36:05Speaker 1: schools and, yeah those schools do have hot, Cheerleaders BUT
- 36:08Speaker 1: i don't, KNOW i like kind of Those midwest. Ones,
- 36:11Speaker 1: Man i'd have to look and see what they look. Like,
- 36:12Speaker 1: now gonna watch That Iowa illinois game and you, know
- 36:19Speaker 1: and we'll we'll do the. Research, yes all, Right anaheim And.
- 36:29Speaker 1: Houston this is, crazy man That anaheim has won the
- 36:33Speaker 1: first two games of the. Series Is houston really this?
- 36:36Speaker 1: Bad they can't be. RIGHT i don't, know, man these
- 36:40Speaker 1: teams played. Yesterday we got the loss With. Houston that
- 36:44Speaker 1: was the only loss from the. Show. Yesterday houston used
- 36:46Speaker 1: three relief pitchers, Yesterday anaheim us. Four anaheim definitely has
- 36:52Speaker 1: the lesser bullpen. Here there's no question about. That houston
- 36:55Speaker 1: should have an edge offensively and with the. Bullpen anaheim
- 37:00Speaker 1: might actually be going with a bullpen game. Here i'm
- 37:03Speaker 1: not sure what they're doing Because reed Det meers is
- 37:05Speaker 1: their listed. Starter he had a GOOD era last, year
- 37:08Speaker 1: but his whip was not very good and he mostly
- 37:11Speaker 1: came out of the. Bullpen BUT i think he didn't
- 37:12Speaker 1: really pitch that much last. YEAR i think he might
- 37:15Speaker 1: have been. Injured let me. See, no he actually pitched
- 37:19Speaker 1: a lot of the, season more THAN i, thought so
- 37:20Speaker 1: he was pretty much a relief pitcher. Yesterday SO i
- 37:23Speaker 1: don't know if that Means anaheim's going with a bullpen
- 37:26Speaker 1: game in the third game of the. YEAR i honestly
- 37:28Speaker 1: have no idea what they're. Doing Although dettvers has made
- 37:31Speaker 1: starts before in his career as well that have gone
- 37:33Speaker 1: longer into. Games but he's no mystery To. Houston houston
- 37:37Speaker 1: has one hundred at bats against. Him he has a
- 37:39Speaker 1: pretty bad twenty two to thirteen strike a walk ratio against. Him,
- 37:43Speaker 1: yeah that's quite. Bad two to ninety batting average, allowed
- 37:46Speaker 1: eight to seventeen ops. Allowed none of those numbers are.
- 37:49Speaker 1: Good so If dettvers is in this game for an
- 37:52Speaker 1: extended period of, TIME i don't think that's a good
- 37:54Speaker 1: thing For anaheim. Either Christian javier is pitching for The.
- 37:58Speaker 1: Astros he's, OKAY i, MEAN i think he was injured
- 38:03Speaker 1: and came back later in the. Season last. Year he wasn't,
- 38:06Speaker 1: Great he wasn't. Awful he does have good numbers Against, anaheim,
- 38:09Speaker 1: THOUGH i mean they're a pretty bad. Lineup seventy six
- 38:12Speaker 1: at bats against. Him trout is zero for fourteen against
- 38:16Speaker 1: him with ten strikeouts and two. Walks that's. Insane he
- 38:20Speaker 1: completely Destroys Mike. Trout H, so you, Know, TROUT i
- 38:24Speaker 1: know has been injured basically every single. Season he's actually
- 38:28Speaker 1: playing right. Now But javier actually has done great against.
- 38:32Speaker 1: Them javier has twenty six strike got six walks Against anaheim,
- 38:36Speaker 1: overall one seventy one average allowed very low and five
- 38:39Speaker 1: thirty four ops also very. LOW i think you have
- 38:43Speaker 1: to give the edge To houston in this game again, here,
- 38:46Speaker 1: man their minus one forty ninety one percent of, tickets
- 38:49Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the. Cast houston gonna try to
- 38:52Speaker 1: avoid a sweet. Pyramidal i'm assuming they're playing tomorrow, too
- 38:56Speaker 1: Because sunday is usually the last game of the. Series
- 38:59Speaker 1: but after losing the first two games at, home even
- 39:02Speaker 1: though they're the better, team he got at The houston
- 39:04Speaker 1: is gonna do something in this. Game. MAN i would
- 39:07Speaker 1: lean To houston money line in that, game but not
- 39:10Speaker 1: gonna be on my. Card White Sox. Milwaukee these teams
- 39:14Speaker 1: played two days. Ago Now milwaukee won fourteen to TWO
- 39:23Speaker 1: i think in that. Game so people are only gonna
- 39:25Speaker 1: want to Play milwaukee. Here they're probably only gonna want
- 39:27Speaker 1: to Play overs. Here we Know milwaukee based on last.
- 39:30Speaker 1: Year their hitting has been really good In. Milwaukee this
- 39:35Speaker 1: pitching matchup does look, like you, know it might be
- 39:38Speaker 1: a little bit over conducive as. Well burke is pitching
- 39:41Speaker 1: for The White. Sox he really trailed off later in
- 39:45Speaker 1: the season one of Their massachusetts starters that they have,
- 39:48Speaker 1: there him And Shane. Smith smith was the better of the,
- 39:51Speaker 1: two Though burke had a really high whip by the
- 39:55Speaker 1: time the season was, over WHICH i don't. Like obviously Against,
- 40:00Speaker 1: milwaukee though they have not seen a lot of. Them
- 40:02Speaker 1: fifteen at bats against, him three to four strikeout walk
- 40:05Speaker 1: ratio is really, bad but they only have two hits off,
- 40:07Speaker 1: him no extra base hits one thirty three average four
- 40:10Speaker 1: to forty nine. Ops he may do well here because
- 40:13Speaker 1: it's a small sample. Size milwaukee's just not that familiar with,
- 40:17Speaker 1: him And Chad patrick is pitching For milwaukee, here who's
- 40:21Speaker 1: one of their young starting. Pitchers, here he's done okay for.
- 40:24Speaker 1: Them his whip was a little bit higher THAN i
- 40:26Speaker 1: would want to. See last, year his era looked, good
- 40:29Speaker 1: but the whip indicated that he was a little bit
- 40:31Speaker 1: worse than. That but you want to talk about fifteen at,
- 40:35Speaker 1: BATS i think both these pictures have fifteen at bats
- 40:38Speaker 1: worth against the opposing. Lineups, here The White socks are
- 40:41Speaker 1: three for fifteen off, him three, strikeouts no, walks one
- 40:45Speaker 1: extra base hit a double from Me, DRATH i don't
- 40:48Speaker 1: even know you pronounced his, Name Meadrith meredith what uh?
- 40:53Speaker 1: Yeah so two hundred bating average will have four to
- 40:55Speaker 1: seventy four sixty seven ops allowed. There so both pictures
- 40:59Speaker 1: are pretty familiar with the opposing. Lineups and because that
- 41:04Speaker 1: first game was so high, Scoring i'm tempted to say
- 41:09Speaker 1: under in this. GAME i know it sounds completely, insane
- 41:12Speaker 1: BUT i think that might be the WAY i would
- 41:14Speaker 1: kind of look at this. Game the totals at, eight
- 41:16Speaker 1: we don't really see the money coming in on this.
- 41:18Speaker 1: Yet as far as the, Side milwaukee's dropped to minus
- 41:21Speaker 1: one eighty, three eighty four percent of the tickets around
- 41:24Speaker 1: them we don't really see the rest of the numbers.
- 41:26Speaker 1: Yet milwaukee is definitely gonna be a public. SIDE i
- 41:30Speaker 1: would not want to lay it With milwaukee here really
- 41:33Speaker 1: in any. Capacity you, know if you forced me to
- 41:37Speaker 1: give you a lean on that, GAME i would say.
- 41:38Speaker 1: Under but that game is far from being a play for.
- 41:42Speaker 1: Me Kansas city is That? Atlanta these two teams PLAYED
- 41:46Speaker 1: i think two days ago And atlanta won six to
- 41:48Speaker 1: nothing or was that? YESTERDAY i know that was. Yesterday my.
- 41:51Speaker 1: Mistake so you, know we always look at the bullpens.
- 41:55Speaker 1: HERE i feel LIKE i overanalyzed the baseball. Here anaheim
- 41:58Speaker 1: used three relief, pitchers, yes, Shoulday Kansas city used To
- 42:03Speaker 1: Kansas city had a pretty good bullpend last, year IF
- 42:08Speaker 1: i remember correctly part of, it probably because it's a
- 42:11Speaker 1: picture from the. Park atlanta's bullpen was okay as. Well
- 42:16Speaker 1: HAVE i really gone through all these games at this? Point,
- 42:18Speaker 1: YEAH i GUESS i, have all, Right so it'll be
- 42:20Speaker 1: like an hour less than an hour to get through
- 42:22Speaker 1: all these pitching matchup here is somewhat, INTERESTING i guess
- 42:28Speaker 1: With Michael waka's pitching For Kansas. City he's been around
- 42:32Speaker 1: for a long long. Time, Man he's. Good he's he's
- 42:35Speaker 1: a command. Pitcher he doesn't come in and blow guys,
- 42:38Speaker 1: away but he has good, control doesn't put a ton
- 42:42Speaker 1: of guys on, base really gets guys. Out you, know
- 42:44Speaker 1: he does what he's supposed to. Do he's the type
- 42:47Speaker 1: of picture that nobody wants to really bet on. It
- 42:49Speaker 1: so that's WHAT i, like you know WHAT i, mean
- 42:52Speaker 1: a picture that's better than people think he is because
- 42:54Speaker 1: he's not like this flashy. Pitcher his numbers Against atlanta are.
- 42:58Speaker 1: Okay in sixty one of bats fifteen to four strike
- 43:01Speaker 1: a walk. Ratio, again he doesn't strike a lot of guys.
- 43:04Speaker 1: Out doesn't really walk a lot of guys, either, though
- 43:07Speaker 1: despite his name being walka two forty six batting average
- 43:11Speaker 1: allowed seven thirty five ops allowed is a little bit
- 43:13Speaker 1: higher though he's allowed a few too many, hits hard
- 43:16Speaker 1: hits to The, braves but overall still decent numbers against The.
- 43:20Speaker 1: Braves he's going up Against Ronaldo, lopez SO i think
- 43:24Speaker 1: has kind of been. Injured lopez kind of a large,
- 43:28Speaker 1: gentleman two twenty five at six,' one. That's big he
- 43:35Speaker 1: did not pitch much. LAST year i, Don't, believe so,
- 43:38Speaker 1: YOU know I think he's better than what his numbers last,
- 43:40Speaker 1: year suggested, of course because those numbers looked. Really bad
- 43:43Speaker 1: but he's facing a Pretty Weak kansas city. Line up
- 43:46Speaker 1: fifty five at bats, against them a lifetime thirteen to
- 43:50Speaker 1: one strike a walk ratio is very good to eighteen
- 43:53Speaker 1: batting average allowed and six. Fifty Ops so lopez has
- 43:56Speaker 1: actually done pretty Well Against. Kansas city pretty much all
- 44:00Speaker 1: the money is coming In on. Atlanta, HERE basically i
- 44:03Speaker 1: think the feeling Is, THAT lopez i think is just
- 44:06Speaker 1: way under the. Radar here atlanta up to minus one forty,
- 44:09Speaker 1: five here sixty percent, of tickets ninety four percent of
- 44:11Speaker 1: the Cash. On atlanta the money also coming in on,
- 44:15Speaker 1: the over which somewhat. SURPRISES me i don't have a
- 44:18Speaker 1: good gauge on the. TOTAL here I think i would
- 44:21Speaker 1: agree with the money here and Agree, with ATLANTA because
- 44:23Speaker 1: i Do think lopez is a bit under the. Radar here,
- 44:27Speaker 1: YOU know i don't think that the bullpens are really
- 44:29Speaker 1: a huge advantage one way or, the OTHER and i
- 44:31Speaker 1: Do think atlanta still has the, better offense EVEN though
- 44:34Speaker 1: I know profar is never gonna. Play again he's just
- 44:38Speaker 1: gonna be suspended for the rest of. His Career but
- 44:40Speaker 1: atlanta still has some other, bats THERE and i know
- 44:43Speaker 1: They lost ozuana. As well, so yeah if you watch my,
- 44:46Speaker 1: Season preview i'm not that High on Atlanta And kissas
- 44:49Speaker 1: city's pitching MIGHT actually I Mean kissas city definitely could
- 44:53Speaker 1: make the playoffs. THIS year i will. Admit that but
- 44:57Speaker 1: AND usually i, like PITCHING but I think lopez is
- 44:59Speaker 1: at actually better than people think. He is so that's
- 45:02Speaker 1: my breakdown On that Yankees At. San francisco If the
- 45:06Speaker 1: yankees are gonna lose, A game i could pray that
- 45:10Speaker 1: they're gonna start losing. Some games maybe it'll be a
- 45:12Speaker 1: Game With will. Warren Pitching will warren was notoriously bad
- 45:16Speaker 1: on the road. Last year he's a young pitcher For.
- 45:18Speaker 1: The yankees he was actually pretty good, at home but
- 45:21Speaker 1: on the road he had like a FIVE v r.
- 45:23Speaker 1: Last year but he's Facing A san francisco lineup that's not.
- 45:26Speaker 1: That good he's in a pitcher friendly, park here so
- 45:30Speaker 1: maybe this isn't the worst matchup, for him although overall
- 45:33Speaker 1: his whip was actually pretty bad. Last year he does
- 45:37Speaker 1: not have a lot of at bats Against, the giants
- 45:39Speaker 1: so they're not that familiar. With them they have nine
- 45:41Speaker 1: at bats. Against him he has no strikeouts, against them though,
- 45:45Speaker 1: two walks and he's giving up a Double. To ramos
- 45:49Speaker 1: not a whole lot you can engage, from that but
- 45:51Speaker 1: maybe he has a little bit of an advantage Just
- 45:53Speaker 1: Because san francisco hasn't seen. Him Much tyler maley is
- 45:57Speaker 1: pitching For the. Giants here they picked him up over.
- 46:00Speaker 1: The offseason he pitched pretty well For the rangers, last
- 46:04Speaker 1: year and now he's going to another pretty pitcher, friendly
- 46:06Speaker 1: PARK which i think should serve him. Pretty well how
- 46:11Speaker 1: good is he going, TO be i. Don't know and
- 46:12Speaker 1: this is a tough draw against one of the best offenses,
- 46:15Speaker 1: in Baseball. The yankees seventy five at bats There for molly,
- 46:20Speaker 1: against them nineteen to eight strike up walk ratio is.
- 46:23Speaker 1: Not terrific two fifty three average allowed is, not bad
- 46:26Speaker 1: but he's allowed an eight to seventy two ohps. To
- 46:28Speaker 1: Them gold schmidt and McMahon have both kind of, wrecked
- 46:31Speaker 1: him and they're both very familiar with him, because WELL
- 46:35Speaker 1: actually i don't, know WHY because i was gonna say
- 46:37Speaker 1: they used to be in, this division but that's. Not,
- 46:39Speaker 1: right well yes. IT is i Mean gold schmidt Was
- 46:41Speaker 1: on arizona and McMahon Was. On colorado but Where? Was
- 46:45Speaker 1: mally was he in this division? Before, him no he
- 46:48Speaker 1: Was on cincinnati earlier in. His CAREER because i was
- 46:50Speaker 1: gonna say he's IN The nl, west now but that's
- 46:52Speaker 1: not where he. Was before, SO yeah i. DON'T know
- 46:56Speaker 1: i don't think it's the best Matchup for. Mally HERE
- 46:58Speaker 1: so i. Don't Know the yankees are a, public side
- 47:01Speaker 1: but they flip from plus one twenty five to minus one.
- 47:04Speaker 1: TWENTY seven i don't think. THAT'S right i don't Think
- 47:06Speaker 1: the yankees were an underdog when. THIS'S open i would highly.
- 47:10Speaker 1: DOUBT that i think maybe they were minus one twenty
- 47:12Speaker 1: five in the screen just is. Fucked up seventy four percent,
- 47:16Speaker 1: of tickets ninety percent of the cash On. The yankees
- 47:20Speaker 1: money also kind of coming in towards the over in,
- 47:22Speaker 1: This game so do with that information when you want?
- 47:26Speaker 1: The money Is saying yankees, an OVER and i don't
- 47:28Speaker 1: really have a strong opinion to the, contrary there, Because
- 47:31Speaker 1: again warren is bad on, The road molly has been
- 47:34Speaker 1: seen before By. The yankees i'm not necessarily going to
- 47:37Speaker 1: disagree with. AN over i probably still wouldn't really disagree
- 47:40Speaker 1: With the yankees. Again, EITHER yes i Told you judge
- 47:46Speaker 1: he went over his. Player prop i'm not, a PROPSKUY
- 47:49Speaker 1: but i told you that yesterday after his horrible season
- 47:52Speaker 1: opener bounced. Back time plus he had really good Numbers Against,
- 47:56Speaker 1: Robbie Ray so judge definitely went over, HIS hits us
- 48:00Speaker 1: runs plus. RBI's prop i think he did it just
- 48:03Speaker 1: by hitting a, home run so. THEY go i would
- 48:06Speaker 1: not have played the home run prop or the total,
- 48:08Speaker 1: basis prop but he won all. Of those, So Yes
- 48:13Speaker 1: AND i'm i am not a fan Of. The yankees.
- 48:15Speaker 1: FUCK them i want to see them lose. Every time.
- 48:19Speaker 1: Fuck them. Yankees suck, And Yeah, Aaron boone i'm glad
- 48:25Speaker 1: that they have him there as a manager because he's.
- 48:26Speaker 1: An idiot Fuck. Fuck boone by, the way WHAT'S the?
- 48:32Speaker 1: I do WHY do i Forget, The yeah Aaron, fucking
- 48:35Speaker 1: boone that's. The phrase fuck. That GUY r i P To. Tim,
- 48:39Speaker 1: Wakefield no i'm gonna root For the dodgers Over, the yankees.
- 48:45Speaker 1: No question Fuck. The, YANKEES no i don't even Like,
- 48:50Speaker 1: the dodgers, And no i'm rooting For the dodgers Over
- 48:52Speaker 1: the yankees every. Fucking time Fuck. The yankees, all right let's,
- 49:00Speaker 1: See here Detroit At. San diego this is. A game
- 49:06Speaker 1: i actually kind of like the over in, this game
- 49:09Speaker 1: even though it's a pitcher. Friendly park it's early in.
- 49:11Speaker 1: The season last night's game got a little. Bit dicey
- 49:14Speaker 1: we had the under here on the show and we
- 49:16Speaker 1: did get. The win it should have been a. LOT
- 49:18Speaker 1: easier i think the starting pitching definitely did. Their job
- 49:22Speaker 1: first five inning would have been no. Sweat winner this
- 49:26Speaker 1: pitching matchup is not. Good Though jack flaherty is pitching For.
- 49:29Speaker 1: The Tigers san diego is pretty familiar with him because
- 49:32Speaker 1: he WAS on la for a. Bit there they have
- 49:35Speaker 1: ninety one at bats, against him twenty six to fourteen
- 49:38Speaker 1: strike a walk raceio that is. Pretty bad two seventy
- 49:41Speaker 1: five batting average and eight twenty two, ops here so,
- 49:48Speaker 1: you know he's allowed some pretty good hitting Numbers to
- 49:53Speaker 1: he's allowed pretty good hitting Numbers To san. Diego here Fuck, you.
- 49:56Speaker 1: Penzi Dude The red sox have the six best odds
- 49:59Speaker 1: to In The world series. This year they were in
- 50:02Speaker 1: the fucking playoffs, last year and they have a huge
- 50:05Speaker 1: amount of. Young, talent like what the fuck are you even?
- 50:07Speaker 1: Talking About The red sox are not even that much
- 50:10Speaker 1: worse Than. The yankees you're a. Fucking idiot get the
- 50:12Speaker 1: fuck out, of here. All Right randy vazquez pitching For.
- 50:18Speaker 1: The podres, YOU know i don't like. This guy he
- 50:20Speaker 1: has an era that makes him look like he's, pretty
- 50:22Speaker 1: good but he. Walks everybody his whip is just, sky
- 50:26Speaker 1: high although he actually did start pitching better towards the
- 50:29Speaker 1: end of, The year so, YOU know i don't know
- 50:34Speaker 1: what to Think. About vazquez i'm not a, fan though
- 50:37Speaker 1: only thirteen of Bats from detroit, AGAINST them i guess
- 50:40Speaker 1: he's not that familiar. To them but, three strikeouts, four
- 50:44Speaker 1: walks that's not good. At all three eighty five batting
- 50:47Speaker 1: average allowed is certainly. Not good thirteen twenty five ops that's.
- 50:51Speaker 1: All bad so, YOU know i don't like either, pitcher.
- 50:55Speaker 1: Here man. That's it that's just what it comes. Down
- 50:57Speaker 1: to the matchup numbers for one of them look, Good
- 51:01Speaker 1: EITHER so i actually think the over is the way
- 51:04Speaker 1: to play. This game the money is coming In Towards
- 51:08Speaker 1: san diego for what. That's Worth to detroit's down for
- 51:10Speaker 1: minus one twenty five to minus one, oh six fifty
- 51:13Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets Are on detroit fifty three
- 51:15Speaker 1: percent of the Cash On san diego money coming In In.
- 51:18Speaker 1: San diego the total's gone up a. LITTLE bit i
- 51:21Speaker 1: think maybe there is some actual money on the over here.
- 51:23Speaker 1: As well it's in no man's land in, the eights
- 51:26Speaker 1: so you can play the over at a decent, PRICE there,
- 51:29Speaker 1: I think and that is THE way i would lean
- 51:31Speaker 1: to the over in. That GAME like, I said and,
- 51:34Speaker 1: you know the bullpens are not. Exactly rested although the bullpens,
- 51:37Speaker 1: aren't bad but the bullpens did not help us out.
- 51:41Speaker 1: Last night they almost. Killed. Us Uh san diego has
- 51:44Speaker 1: used a lot of their bullpen over the last, two
- 51:46Speaker 1: days which is. Not good four relief. Pitchers yesterday detroit
- 51:51Speaker 1: actually used a little bit less of theirs with their
- 51:52Speaker 1: bullpen is the lesser of. The two so kind of
- 51:57Speaker 1: a lot going on in. THAT game i would not
- 51:59Speaker 1: want To Play san. DIEGO though I just i never Trust,
- 52:01Speaker 1: vaskaz man so That's, Not yeah i'm THAT'S all i
- 52:06Speaker 1: have to say. About that that's not really what they.
- 52:12Speaker 1: Always do but. They. Did uh they should not Have
- 52:15Speaker 1: Let mookie, betts go and fucking who else did they? Let?
- 52:18Speaker 1: Go there they let a couple of guys go that
- 52:20Speaker 1: they Shouldn't Have, bets bogarts maybe one of those, other
- 52:23Speaker 1: guys the guys that Won that. World series that. Was
- 52:26Speaker 1: STUPID but i was Pro the. Devers trade devers is a.
- 52:30Speaker 1: Fucking moron he didn't want to. Be here he doesn't
- 52:33Speaker 1: put in. The effort fuck. THAT guy i was for.
- 52:36Speaker 1: That Trade The red sox Picked Up garrett crochet when
- 52:39Speaker 1: he was like twenty three, years old so that was a.
- 52:42Speaker 1: Good signing, or sorry that was a. Good trade, but
- 52:45Speaker 1: yes they had a trade away one of their catchers. For,
- 52:47Speaker 1: him yes but Whatever The, red sox they're making a lot,
- 52:53Speaker 1: of trades a lot of people don't. LIKE them i
- 52:56Speaker 1: think that the the moves that they've made over the
- 52:59Speaker 1: last like years have actually, been okay even, Though yeah
- 53:01Speaker 1: i'm Not a breslo. Fan, EITHER dude i kind of
- 53:04Speaker 1: want him out. Of here but, YOU know i don't
- 53:09Speaker 1: think the moves That The red sox have made over
- 53:10Speaker 1: the last year have, Been, BAD like i. Really don't
- 53:15Speaker 1: the only ONE that i really had an issue with
- 53:16Speaker 1: Was Getting matt's motts as a rental and Giving Away
- 53:21Speaker 1: blaze alexander. For Him but alexander's not Even On saint.
- 53:24Speaker 1: Louis anymore So maybe alexander's not going to turn. Into
- 53:28Speaker 1: anything that was kind of the only ONE that i really.
- 53:30Speaker 1: DIDN'T like i didn't really love them trading the, Password
- 53:35Speaker 1: either but they have too, many outfielders so that's. The
- 53:38Speaker 1: thing but, right, now dude they signed crusheto long. Term
- 53:41Speaker 1: deal it doesn't look like they're gonna be Giving Up.
- 53:44Speaker 1: Roman anthony they have not Traded away early or totally
- 53:48Speaker 1: totally is IN triple a right, Now though But and
- 53:51Speaker 1: early is in. The bullpen, but yeah they've kept all
- 53:55Speaker 1: those guys, at Least And marcela myer's. Still here, YOU
- 54:00Speaker 1: know i. DON'T know i, mean again they've kept the
- 54:04Speaker 1: young guys. They have, right NOW they're i think they
- 54:06Speaker 1: are trying to build this team around. Those Guys, roman anthony.
- 54:09Speaker 1: Et cetera betts had a great homer. LAST night i didn't.
- 54:15Speaker 1: See it dodgers are, just yeah they're good on offense.
- 54:18Speaker 1: At home no what they made a couple of dumb
- 54:25Speaker 1: signs like. THEY made i think they made a, oh
- 54:27Speaker 1: yeah one. Other, trade yeah they should not have Gotten.
- 54:29Speaker 1: Dustin may that was, a, trade Right dustin may was.
- 54:32Speaker 1: A trade and then, they, signed uh They Signed walker
- 54:37Speaker 1: bueller before. Last year those guys are both already off,
- 54:40Speaker 1: The team, so like what do you want? FROM me
- 54:42Speaker 1: i Told you. BUELLER sucks i Told you. May sucks
- 54:46Speaker 1: they're not On The red. Sox anymore they're, both gone.
- 54:49Speaker 1: SO whatever I think bueller was a free, agent signing
- 54:52Speaker 1: so that didn't lose anybody by. Doing that And Then,
- 54:56Speaker 1: Dustin may yeah that was a. Stupid trade every year
- 54:59Speaker 1: they gave up. For him that. Was dumb, but yeah,
- 55:02Speaker 1: all right that was one other ONE that i. Disagreed with,
- 55:05Speaker 1: But WHATEVER well i, DON'T know i. MEAN totally i
- 55:11Speaker 1: mean he he could maybe be an elite closer. Or something. Who,
- 55:14Speaker 1: knows uh elite closers are definitely a. VALUABLE asset i like,
- 55:22Speaker 1: to dude if you saw you saw totally that video
- 55:26Speaker 1: that came out like a couple of, weeks ago right
- 55:28Speaker 1: where he was given that a, PowerPoint presentation uh to
- 55:32Speaker 1: the team and he like took his shirt off. AND
- 55:34Speaker 1: whatever i don't even remember what the presentation. WAS about i,
- 55:37Speaker 1: was like this guy, rules man and he Looks Like.
- 55:39Speaker 1: Reid coverdale, so yeah they better. Keep, totally uh they're.
- 55:44Speaker 1: Starting rotation it just has too many guys in it,
- 55:46Speaker 1: right NOW so i don't know what. They're doing they're
- 55:49Speaker 1: developing totally right Now at wooster The woo socks because they, Moved,
- 55:54Speaker 1: away dude the past socks moved from one extremely shitty
- 55:58Speaker 1: crimer in an Area, And Patucket, rhode Island, To wooster
- 56:01Speaker 1: mass to. Another one so isn't that? Just Great arizona
- 56:07Speaker 1: At the, Dodgers, here arizona. They suck, you Know the
- 56:13Speaker 1: dodgers are obviously the way better. Team here, OH wait
- 56:16Speaker 1: i wanted to look at the pitching. Matchup here dodgers
- 56:19Speaker 1: have already wonted the two games against. THEM already i
- 56:23Speaker 1: don't like either of, these bullpens and both bullpen's pitched. Last,
- 56:26Speaker 1: Night uh dodgers used six relief, pitchers yesterday so that's.
- 56:31Speaker 1: Not GOOD so i would not want to factor Of
- 56:32Speaker 1: the dodgers' bullpen into ANYTHING that i want to Do
- 56:35Speaker 1: unless i'm fading. Them, Today, UH diamondbacks i pretty much
- 56:40Speaker 1: want to always fade. Their bullpen they used three, relievers
- 56:43Speaker 1: yesterday so you know that's something to take into. Account Here,
- 56:49Speaker 1: christian campbell do they? TRADE him i don't. Even, remember
- 56:54Speaker 1: oh they know they still. Have, him Yeah, he's yeah
- 56:56Speaker 1: He's in. Triple ay he's. Another outfield do they have
- 56:59Speaker 1: too many? Outfielders, THOUGH yeah i mean maybe they brought
- 57:02Speaker 1: him up, too Early but i'm, YOU know i. DON'T
- 57:04Speaker 1: know i think he's gonna be good and if somebody,
- 57:07Speaker 1: gets hurt he's probably gonna be one of the next
- 57:09Speaker 1: guys to come up for. The outfield so, THAT'S yeah
- 57:12Speaker 1: I mean i. Like him, you know we'll see. What
- 57:15Speaker 1: Happens red sox also held On. To rafaela he's been
- 57:19Speaker 1: way better than, Expected too so, all Right. E rod
- 57:24Speaker 1: Speaking Of, red sox he used to be On The.
- 57:26Speaker 1: Red sox he was On Their world. Series team i'm
- 57:29Speaker 1: pretty sure in, TWENTY eighteen i would not want him
- 57:31Speaker 1: On The red sox, right, NOW though i will tell
- 57:34Speaker 1: you that he used to have. Good stuff He's Had tommy.
- 57:36Speaker 1: John surgery he hasn't been the same. Since then he
- 57:39Speaker 1: was really awful last year Against. The dodgers he's been.
- 57:44Speaker 1: Pretty bad one hundred and thirty one, at bats thirty
- 57:47Speaker 1: four to sixteen strike out walk. Race year that's. Not
- 57:49Speaker 1: good three h five batting average, allowed bad nine to
- 57:53Speaker 1: twenty eight ohps allowed. Very bad so don't think we
- 57:57Speaker 1: could Expect e rod to do a whole. Lot, here
- 58:00Speaker 1: obviously there's a huge starting pitching edge Of the. Dodgers
- 58:03Speaker 1: Year tyler glasnow is. Pitching here he's he's their number.
- 58:07Speaker 1: Three starter he'd be an ace on like every other team,
- 58:11Speaker 1: in baseball and he's the number three starter For. The dodgers, my,
- 58:15Speaker 1: god wait who pitched For the dodgers. LAST night i don't. Even,
- 58:19Speaker 1: Remember Oh emmett. Sheehan, DID yeah I think glasnow's better.
- 58:21Speaker 1: Than him glasnow is probably actually their second best Starter Behind.
- 58:25Speaker 1: U yamamoto i might argue he's still. THEIR best i.
- 58:29Speaker 1: Don't know and do they Still have snell in, THERE
- 58:33Speaker 1: too i don't. Even, Know anyway Against, The diamondbacks glasnow has.
- 58:37Speaker 1: Been alright thirty one at bats, against them seven to
- 58:39Speaker 1: four strike a walk ratio is not. Very good you'd
- 58:42Speaker 1: expect that to. Be better you'd actually expect he would
- 58:44Speaker 1: have more at bats. Against them and that's because he
- 58:48Speaker 1: Was On tampa bay until like last year, or something
- 58:50Speaker 1: and then he has been hurt most of the time
- 58:53Speaker 1: he's been On. The dodgers two twenty six batting average
- 58:56Speaker 1: allowed seven TO one. Ops ALLOWED the ops is a little.
- 58:59Speaker 1: Bit high but other, than that he's done. Pretty, well
- 59:01Speaker 1: obviously he's the way a better. Pitcher here, You know
- 59:06Speaker 1: i'm gonna say it, YET again I think dodgers over
- 59:08Speaker 1: their team total might be the way to look at
- 59:10Speaker 1: this game over, in general in, THIS game i wouldn't disagree.
- 59:14Speaker 1: With it the money looks like it is coming in
- 59:16Speaker 1: on the, over here, you know fading. BOTH bullpens i
- 59:18Speaker 1: wouldn't disagree with any, of that even though if you
- 59:22Speaker 1: want to go over here you have to kind, of
- 59:24Speaker 1: dodge like a good start from Dodge, the dodgers you
- 59:27Speaker 1: have To dodge glasgow actually. Being good though that's kind
- 59:30Speaker 1: of the one. PROBLEM there i would rather Just fade,
- 59:32Speaker 1: arizona here EVEN though i want to kind of Fade
- 59:35Speaker 1: the dodgers' bullpend. Here TOO but I think dodgers over
- 59:39Speaker 1: their team total makes sense. To Me the dodgers in
- 59:42Speaker 1: minus two thirty five on the, money line they're gonna.
- 59:45Speaker 1: BE public i don't really see another way to Play
- 59:47Speaker 1: the dodgers in that. ONE though, i mean if you
- 59:50Speaker 1: if you want to go run line, with it, all
- 59:52Speaker 1: right but, YOU know, i mean it seems like When the,
- 59:55Speaker 1: dodgers win they do tend to win by margin, at
- 59:57Speaker 1: HOME but i would not want to really. Do it
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: And then Cleveland, and seattle these two teams have already.
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: Played twice they. Played yesterday it was a lower scoring
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: game yesterday And a seattle win yesterday five, To one
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: so these two teams have split the verse. Two games
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: cleveland used two relief. Pitchers yesterday both these bullpens should
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: actually be fairly, GOOD again, i Think. Especially seattle seattle
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: used three relief. PITCHERS yesterday i would not necessarily, want to,
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: YOU know i still wouldn't fade the bullpens in, this
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: GAME and i actually like to starting pitching. Matchup Two
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: joey cantillo is Pitching. For cleveland he started pitching pretty
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: well towards the end of the season. Last Year the
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: mariners have basically never seen. Him before Only Former Red
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: Sox Rob roth Roth reb Snyder Now rob refsnyder is
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: the only hitter they have who's ever faced. Him before
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: he's won, for three often with a single walk at.
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: A Strikeout but cantio is basically completely Unfamiliar, to SEATTLE
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: so i think that's an advantage to him early on
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: because they haven't seen. Him before by, the way a
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: couple of these games Are. On Fox the yankees game
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: is what Else? Is new and then this game IS On.
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: Mlb network brian wo will finally make his debut for
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: the season here as the third starter For. The mariners
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: EVEN though i think he's clearly their. Best starter he's
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: been really good like the whole time he's been up in. The,
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: Majors man i'm a. WU fan i. Like him he's
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: not Good, against cleveland but it's in a very small
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: sample size of eight at batsm kwan as a home run.
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: Off him they're three For eight offen with a, home
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: run a Double, from nailor one, strike out, One walk
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: so his numbers don't, look good but very small. Sample
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: size i'm not about to, say, that yeah you Should
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: fade wu here or anything. Like that seattle's up to
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: minus one to, eighty one eighty eight percent of, the
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: tickets ninety nine percent of the Cash. ON seattle i
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: would go under in, this game and the money is
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: already it looks like the initial move was towards. The
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: under its already under juiced on the, seven there so
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: you could have had under seven and a half at
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: a really good. Price there it's already juiced to the,
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: Under SEVEN so i think the real money did come
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: in on, the under even though it looks like some
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: of the money's on the. OVER here i would go
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: under in. That one you could make it maybe a
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: first five inning bet if you want to. As WELL
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: but i don't really see much of a reason to
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: leave the pens out of. That one and it's a
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: night Game, in seattle, You know Seattle Pitcher. Friendly, park
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: yeah under would be THE way i would lean in.
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: THAT game I know i've had under leans in two
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: Of Those seattle, cleveland games and the first one. Was
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: not that would not have been. A winner i did
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: not give out a play on. It though, all right
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: let's go to college, basketball next And then i'm gonna
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: take a break and after that and then we have
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: a TON of nhl long, Show today i'm gonna give
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: you guys a play in college, basketball here and we
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: Have the. Elite. EIGHT now i got five out Of
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: the elite eight right in. My Bracket michigan state made
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: a huge comeback in the game and had a chance but.
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: Fell short i'm not happy. About that so that took
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: out one Of my. Elite eights it took out. MY
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: survivor i should have Fucking. TAKEN tennessee i. ALMOST did
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: i almost Switched to Tennessee and jefferson didn't Play For.
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: Iowa state bad Times For. Iowa State. MAN tennessee i
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: only have them in the sweet sixteen in, my bracket
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: but that was better than a lot of, People did
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: so there you go. With that but, you know so
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: At least Tennessee and iowa basically nobody had them in the,
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: elite eight so, you know so we didn't do that
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: bad with our elite. Eight here all final four for us,
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: still alive and we'll see if that. CONTINUES here i
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: do think that both of our teams will, win here but.
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: We'll see iowa has To. Face. Illinois now illinois is
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: coming off a very impressive Win, over houston but the
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: final score looked kind of CLOSE because i think they
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: won by. Like Six but illinois Absolutely trashed houston in,
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: that game and they did It, in houston and this
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: game is Also. In, houston Now the houston fans that
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: were taking up all, the seats they are probably just gonna.
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: Clear OUT so I think illinois is definitely gonna have
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: a crowd edge here because they just they have a bigger.
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: FAN base i think they just. Travel better but they're
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: coming up a. Massive win so that's what kind of
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: scares Me. About illinois my first instinct was maybe you
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: actually want to look To fade, illinois here BUT then
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: i kind of thought. About it, I'M like i, don't
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: know because the final score actually was not indicative of
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: How dominant illinois was in. That game illinois is extremely good.
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: On offense iowa is a decently. Balanced team iowa. Play
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: slow but the Thing, About illinois illinois is way better
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: on Offense than nebraska Is who iowa. Just faced. You
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: know nebraska basically they just completely rely on. The three
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: illinois doesn't. Do that illinois is good at, hitting threes
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: but they also balanced their offense and they score all
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: over the place, pretty Much so iowa might not be
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: able to. Handle It and illinois has a lot of size.
- 1:05:06Speaker 1: As well illinois is one of the biggest teams in.
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: The country they have a lot of size on. The
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: interior they're all Like Huge eastern european dudes On this.
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: Illinois team iowa is definitely at a size. Disadvantage here,
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: you know this is probably where it Ends. For, IOWA
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: obviously i Do think illinois will win. This game AND
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: if i was still Live, In survivor illinois was gonna
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: be my pick today and we were gonna continue. And survivor,
- 1:05:35Speaker 1: YOU know I. Mean iowa that was a big win
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: for Them. AGAINST nebraska i Do think iowa has a
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: coaching advantage and that. Does MATTER like i always, talking
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: about in this quick two, day turnaround you do want
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: to consider that that the better coach has somewhat of
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: an Edge here ben McCollum Over. Brad UNDERWOOD but i
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: don't know how much of an edge he might Have
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: Because brad underwood is the guy who's actually been, here
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: before and he was here like two years ago they
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: played In The. ELITE eight i was in Attendance in Boston,
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: against Yukon so underwood has actually been in this exact.
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: Situation before the money is actually coming In. On illinois
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: sixty four percent, of ticket sixty eight percent of the Casual.
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: In illinois they're a seven point, favorite now up from
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: six and a halfn money looks like it's come in
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: a bit on the under dropping the total all the
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: way down to one. Thirty eight that is a crazy, low,
- 1:06:25Speaker 1: Total DUDE like i would not want to, go under
- 1:06:28Speaker 1: especially at that reduced Total. THERE illinois, i mean you're
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: really risking It with. Illinois's offense and it's Not like
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: iowa was like an. ELITE defense i was a. Good team,
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: they're balanced they, play slow but the Thing is illinois
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: also plays. Somewhat SLOW although i Actually think illinois is
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: going to try To speed iowa up a little bit in.
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: This game they might be able to. Do it, BUT
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: yeah I mean I think illinois wins. THE game i
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: wouldn't really want to lay, the points but, you know
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: the money is indicating. THAT way I guess i would
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: probably lean, that way very. VERY slightly i kind of
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: went back and forth on. This game no strong opinion
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: for me on this. One. THOUGH No i zone zone
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: defense is fine because it can like fuck, offenses up
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: but full court press is just so. Fucking stupid it's.
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: Absolutely stupid no full court press team is gonna win.
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: A championship it's not gonna happen because you have to
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: put him way too much effort for six games in.
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: A row, it's yeah It's Like shaka smart is, an,
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: Idiot dude he's not. Actually smart the havoc style defense
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: yet it's Also Why rick patino keeps losing in the in.
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: The tournament, uh, so, YEAH no. I don't i don't
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: think it's good. At ALL and I, hate Duke so
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: i'm Not A saint john's. Fan EITHER though i Don't,
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: LIKE patino i Don't. Like, DUKE obviously I have duke
- 1:07:54Speaker 1: in the championship in, my brackets so, YOU know i
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: Was expecting duke to win, that GAME but i didn't
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: really have that much stake. In it, but yeah, you
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: know for my obviously the best situation for me with
- 1:08:07Speaker 1: my bracket would be To have duke go EXACTLY where
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: i have them and to get to the final, and
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: lose Specifically. Into michigan but we'll see if that happens
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: the other games where we're gonna have a. PLAY here
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: i was. A coach i coached intra. Mural basketball we
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: we made the, final four one of the YEARS that,
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: i did our. Best year we had a. Good team
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: we were a lot. Of shooters we were an, undersized
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: team good. SHOOTING team. I ran no other team in
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: the league even had to coach. AT all i was
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: initially a player on. THE team i was a bench
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: player on. The team there was a neck tie on
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: the floor of, the gym and this is, in COLLEGE
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: and i just put it on and. Started coaching And then,
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: i'm like, all right, Fuck it i'm Gonna. Go dix
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: i'm gonna get. A clipboard i'm gonna start drawing up.
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: Some plays it was. Pretty simple it was Basically. Like princeton,
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: you know you have most of the guys on, the
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: perimeter you have one guy moving in. And out mostly
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: we were attacking from. The outside it worked because most
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: of the other teams we were up against, couldn't shoot
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: so that's what we. Were, doing man we wound up
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: getting out physical by the team that wound up winning
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: the league, that year and that's who we. Lost to
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: we were WINNING that i think we were winning that
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: game at, halftime too and we got beat up too
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: much physically in that game and couldn't, withstand it and
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: our shots stopped falling a bit in the. Second half,
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: BUT yeah i. Don't, know anyway the next game is
- 1:09:35Speaker 1: gonna be The game we're gonna give you a. Play
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: on this number, is dropping so hopefully you can still
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: find the number on THIS although i don't think it's
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: too much of a, difference here but i'd rather have.
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: The six we're Gonna take purdue plus Six. AGAINST arizona
- 1:09:48Speaker 1: i TOLD you i was. DOING this i don't even
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: know what moved this lineup from three and a half
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: to five and. A half i don't think there are
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: any injuries or anything to really be aware. OF here
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: i would still probably take it a five and. A
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: HALF but i think there are still sixes, out there
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: hopefully seventy seven percent, of tickets seventy three percent of
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: the Cash. In arizona, you know the line might still
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: kind of stay around where it is here and might
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: go up EVEN because i think the public is only
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: gonna come In on. Arizona here so it's a it's.
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: A game it's late, at night so maybe you will
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: still get a decent number. On. THIS yeah I like
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: purdue in, this, one man for a lot. Of reasons first,
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: of all, the situation nobody's Gonna want perdue because the
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: thought is Gonna be perdue just almost lost to Eleven. Seed,
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: texas man so nobody's Gonna want perdue just based off.
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: Of that that, Looked, bad yeah no doubt. About it
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: but if you dig into, that game look at what
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: happened in, This game perdue had been shooting really hot
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: from three point range in the first couple. Of games
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: texas not a good deepfense by, The way perdue just
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: wasn't hitting, their SHOTS but i take that as. A,
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: positive like look, At this perdue had four to three
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: pointers made in, the game twenty percent, From three texas
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: hit at FORT and i see it as produce still won.
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: The game Even though texas was plus twenty one from three,
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: Point range purdue still won. The game THAT'S how i
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: look at, the. Game man purdue won the, rebounding battle
- 1:11:15Speaker 1: they led the majority of. The game they held onto,
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: the ball they didn't turn. It over they were just the,
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: more sound, fundamental, Team man and there's No way purdue
- 1:11:25Speaker 1: is gonna shoot this badly from, three again, even, Though
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: yeah arizona is actually pretty good at defending, the Three
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: but arizona doesn't really concentrate on the perimeter. That much
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: arizona dominates on, the inside, and yes that is the
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: one Concern with perdue is that their interior depense is
- 1:11:41Speaker 1: maybe not, that Good so arizona might be able to
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: score on. The inside, But again purdue coming off that
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: game where people are gonna take something away from it
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: that wasn't actually true in. That game, you know the
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: game was misleading in, a way like the Three point
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: errans was just so monstrous in that game that if
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: you take that out of, The equation produce should have
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: won that game way. More easily people are Gonna give
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: arizona way more respect for Killing this arkansas team that
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: everybody was high on and putting up over one. Hundred
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: points everyone's Gonna love arizona coming off. Of that but needless,
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: TO say i Don't think arizona's gonna put up one
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: hundred points this Time. Against purdue and why? Is, That.
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: Well arkansas their defense is Worse. Than produce arkansas doesn't
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: even try to play. Defense really they just run up
- 1:12:30Speaker 1: and down. The floor they, go fast and they try
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: to drive, on you which is not a good Matchup.
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: Against arizona that was not a good Matchup for Arkansas
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: because arizona's just good on. The, Interior dude arkansas couldn't
- 1:12:42Speaker 1: even come close To stopping. ARIZONA defensively I think purdue
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: is at least gonna put up some. Resistance here and
- 1:12:50Speaker 1: the other thing Is that arkansas they, play fast which
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: Is what. Arizona wants. To do purdue does not. Do
- 1:12:55Speaker 1: that purdue is gonna try to slow the. Game down
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: then that's it's gonna be a different Matchup for. Arizona
- 1:13:01Speaker 1: Here man Arizona's Played utah state even is kind of
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: a mid tempo, team Too so arizona's not run into
- 1:13:08Speaker 1: a slow down. Team yet Not that purdue is an extreme,
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: slowdown team but they will probably try to slow this
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: game down here to stay in. THE game i like that.
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: As well purdue, takes Threes which arkansas doesn't really, as
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: much and that's how You beat arizona's by hitting. Your
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: THREES and I think purdue could not possibly be as
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: bad from three as they were in that Game. AGAINST
- 1:13:31Speaker 1: texas i think there's gonna be some positive regression. Again
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: there they don't need to be as good as they
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: were from three in their first two games to just.
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: Cover HERE so i like. That too and then you
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: Know what i'm about, TO say i like the. Experience
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: Here matt Paynter Over. Tommy Lloyd tommy lloyd seems to
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: always kind of just fizzle out in Like the sweet
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: sixteen somewhere around there in. The Tournament this, purdue team
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: Not Only. Matt paynter but like all the best players
- 1:13:58Speaker 1: On this, purdue team they were all in the championship
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: game like two. Years ago, like everybody you gotta, remember, That,
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: right like all these guys are. Still Here KAUFMAN ran
- 1:14:09Speaker 1: i think was on. THAT team i think he was
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: like a bench player at. That time the guards like all, Came, Back,
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: Smith lawyer these guys have been on. This team purdue
- 1:14:17Speaker 1: is like the one upper echal on team that has
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: that much continuity and. Returning experience and when you get
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: to a point, like this. That matters these guys have been,
- 1:14:26Speaker 1: here before you KNOW what, I mean like all of
- 1:14:29Speaker 1: them have been, here before except for, you KNOW like
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: i guess they're Big men clough. And whatever, but Yeah
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: like purdue's, key guys like basically four of their starters
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: have been on this team for like three or. More
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: years so, that matters especially IN the nil and transfer
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: age where players just don't. Stick around purdue is like
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: a major outlier as far as. That's concerned they have
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: way more experience and continuity than like all. These teams
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: arizona is not. That experience they have a lot of
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: younger guys on. This team, then yes they're. Deep, team
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: yes they're, talented team but when you get into these,
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: you know, these games really really late into, the tournament
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: that might be a thing that might wind up that
- 1:15:10Speaker 1: might wind Up knocking arizona out of. This, Thing man
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: i'm not Gonna say purdue is actually gonna win this,
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: game OUTRIGHT but i think they. COULD actually i think
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: they have a decent chance to. Do it i'm gonna
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: be honest. WITH you i told YOU when i did,
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: MY bracket i would not have beat you up too
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: much For putting purdue in the final four out of
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: this region because nobody was. Doing it everybody Was. PICKING
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: arizona I know i Do have arizona in the final four,
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: as well but uh and their favored to. Get. There,
- 1:15:36Speaker 1: yeah like but you know, the situation, the matchup the way,
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: it comes what it comes down. To, HERE yeah I
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: like purdue plus. The points that's what we're. Doing, there
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: yes KLOFF whatever, i mean he looks like a. CAVE
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: man i. Don't, care okay you want to go up, against,
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: me Fine. Mister pinsy i've been doing this for. Two
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: decades i'm telling you, Right now purdue IS gonna i
- 1:16:06Speaker 1: would not be Shocked if purdue won. This Game, Uh
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: no the Reason why purdue won is because one of
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: the reasons Is because purdue. Is, Sound fundamentally purdue does
- 1:16:18Speaker 1: not commit Fouls and texas relies on getting to the free.
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: Throw line that's been the case. All year texas needed
- 1:16:25Speaker 1: to get to the free. Throw line purdue dominated the
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: free throw battle in. That game they got to the line.
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: Way more They got texas into. Foul trouble it wasn't
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: just because of flopping. And whatever it, was like it.
- 1:16:38Speaker 1: Was legitimate purdue just they win the foul battle more often,
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: than Not and texas is a team that really relies
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: on winning the. Foul battle so that part of the matchup.
- 1:16:50Speaker 1: Was BAD but i just Told you purdue dominated. That
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: game the only reason why the game was even close
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: Is because purdue was missing every three that they. Were,
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: taking again how often do you have a team that
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: still wins when they're minus twenty one from three. Point
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: range that's a team is almost never gonna win when
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: that's the. Case of purdue still won. That game and
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: That's because purdue, is good and that was a misleading
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: final result and people are gonna look at the final score, and,
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: Think oh purdue barely escaped an. Eleven seed. They, suck
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: no that's not. The Case and texas is also obviously
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: they were an underseeded eleven seed. As WELL and i
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: gave You guys texas as a bet in the. First
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: round so there. You, go yes if You're playing purdue
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: to cover, the spread yes you should put ten percent
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: of it on the. Money, line yes, All right i'm
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: gonna be. Right back we're gonna talk. ABOUT hockey i
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: don't have any more plays on the, show, TODAY though,
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: I dude i, hate this, Like, overlap dude like why
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: is hockey? So imbalanced or we have fifteen fucking hockey
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: games on. One day i'm gonna be Back and i'm
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: gonna talk about. About it hopefully we'll get the show
- 1:18:02Speaker 1: done in another half hour, or So but i'll. Be back, All, right,
- 1:19:41Speaker 1: uh hockey let's. Do this we do have some afternoon.
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: Hockey action a couple of, games, Here alright Ottawa At.
- 1:19:54Speaker 1: Tampa bay and of course late in the, hockey season
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: you got to take into account what the motivation is
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: far as. The playoffs ottawa has more of it here
- 1:20:03Speaker 1: because they're fighting to make one of the final. Playoff
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: Spots tampa bay is more solidly in but, OF course
- 1:20:10Speaker 1: i Mean Playing tampa bay is. Motivation Enough probably ottawa
- 1:20:14Speaker 1: is coming off a shootout loss To a pittsburgh team
- 1:20:17Speaker 1: that's also in the playoff mixed there. As well that
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: ended a four game winning Streak for ottawa, As well
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: so it's not exactly a Spot where i'd really want
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: To play. Ottawa Here tampa bay just lost at Home,
- 1:20:29Speaker 1: To seattle so if this was like middle of the,
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: REGULAR season i would say it's a more positive Spot
- 1:20:35Speaker 1: For tampa bay to bounce back off of kind of
- 1:20:37Speaker 1: an ugly. Loss there ottawa a little bit more motivation on, their,
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: end though because of the the way the playoffs are shaping.
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: Up Here tampa bay did drop for minus one sixty
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: to minus one. Forty eight looks like some of the
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: money Is on, tampa though sixty percent, of tickets eighty
- 1:20:53Speaker 1: one percent of the Cash. ON tampa i don't have
- 1:20:57Speaker 1: a good read on this game, At all so do,
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: it then information what, you, Will man, YOU know I
- 1:21:03Speaker 1: just i don't have a. GOOD uh i don't have
- 1:21:06Speaker 1: a strong opinion on the game. At all florida At, The,
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: Islanders florida they're gonna miss. The, playoffs man they're, almost
- 1:21:16Speaker 1: ELIMINATED so i. DON'T know i don't know what you're
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: gonna get out of them playing out the. Stretch here
- 1:21:22Speaker 1: they just Lost. To minnesota that was a. Tough game
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: minnesota will be in. The Playoffs the islanders are in
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: the playoff mix, RIGHT now. I believe but they're coming
- 1:21:33Speaker 1: out a Win over dallas that was a, big win
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: and They got Pittsburgh and buffalo, up next and those
- 1:21:37Speaker 1: two teams are in the mix for the. Playoffs too
- 1:21:40Speaker 1: so is it Possible the islanders actually overlook the team
- 1:21:43Speaker 1: that won the Last Two? Stanley cups Maybe because florida's
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: just not playing. That well the money is Indicating. On
- 1:21:51Speaker 1: Florida the islanders are up to minus one eight eighty
- 1:21:53Speaker 1: five percent of, the tickets only sixty nine percent of
- 1:21:56Speaker 1: the cash On. The islanders, So yeah florida to an
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: anti public side at, this. Point man And maybe florida
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: will get up for a, game here, YOU know i
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: mean they pretty much know they're going, nowhere though, but,
- 1:22:09Speaker 1: this yeah it's tough, to, gauge like will they get
- 1:22:11Speaker 1: up for a game Against. THE islanders i. Don't know
- 1:22:14Speaker 1: the money Is. SAYING florida i don't really disagree with.
- 1:22:17Speaker 1: THAT one i would slightly Lean to florida. As well
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: there you get them at a big. Underdog price, you
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: know you could do puck, line split, puck line money.
- 1:22:25Speaker 1: Line whatever Anaheim. At edmonton, excuse me these two teams
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: are both going to be in. The playoffs anaheim is
- 1:22:33Speaker 1: winning their crappy. DIVISION here I think edmonton's also in
- 1:22:37Speaker 1: this division and they're Actually. Behind anaheim anaheim just Won at.
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: Calgary barely maybe they were looking Ahead. TO edmonton i
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: don't think they're Gonna overlook. EDMONTON here i Don't think
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: edmonton's Gonna overlook. Anaheim either edmonton is returning on from
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: a road, trip though although it Was Only, tuesday thursday
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: so it was a quick, road trip so, you know
- 1:22:56Speaker 1: not a lot of time for things to build up.
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: At home but still they're travel going Back. From vegas
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: that was a good win Over a vegas team that
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: looks like they're headed for the playoffs. As well edmonton
- 1:23:07Speaker 1: beat them. In overtime big Win for. Edmonton there so
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: another GAME where i just don't want to do anything.
- 1:23:14Speaker 1: With it the money is coming In. On anaheim edmonton
- 1:23:17Speaker 1: up to minus one forty two fifty six percent of
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: the tickets on them fifty six percent of the Cash.
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: On Anaheim though i'm not going to disagree with, it
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: again you, Know me i'm likely to lean towards fading
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: teams returning up from, road trips even though it's not
- 1:23:31Speaker 1: a long. Road trip edmonton is coming off that, bigger
- 1:23:34Speaker 1: Win whereas anaheim is Already in alberta and they're coming
- 1:23:37Speaker 1: off skating by pun intended a Pretty bad, Flames TEAM
- 1:23:42Speaker 1: so i think they're in a better position in. This
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: ONE so i Agree with, anaheim there although they are
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: worse on the road than they are. At HOME but
- 1:23:50Speaker 1: i just don't have a strong opinion on any of these. Hockey,
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: games man that's. The Problem My boston bruins are at
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: Home against MINNESOTA On. Nhl Network the bruins have been
- 1:24:01Speaker 1: one of the strongest home teams. In hockey they're twenty
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: six to ten and one. At home wild have been
- 1:24:06Speaker 1: really good on the, road though twenty one to ten
- 1:24:08Speaker 1: and four on, the road so it's an. Interesting Matchup
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: the bruins probably need the game more because they're in
- 1:24:15Speaker 1: one of the wildcard spots. Right now minnesota is more
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: solidly in the playoffs Now in minnesota did Just. Beat
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: florida they were Just, in florida so they're having to
- 1:24:26Speaker 1: go Up the east coast here and play another road
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: game here after beating the two time, defending champs Even
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: though florida's not good. This Year the bruins Just beat
- 1:24:38Speaker 1: buffalo though on. The road that was a big win For.
- 1:24:40Speaker 1: The bruins They caught buffalo on a return home in
- 1:24:44Speaker 1: a return home spot, as well so that was a
- 1:24:46Speaker 1: pretty good spot For, the bruins a bad Spot. For
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: buffalo bruins have been Off, since, wednesday though and traveling
- 1:24:52Speaker 1: Home for buffalo not really that big of. A deal
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: so this is a tough read in. This, ONE man
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: i Think the bruins do have some of the motive fational.
- 1:25:00Speaker 1: Edges here the money is indicating On. The bruins minnesota
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: down from minus one twenty to minus. One fourteen bruins
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: getting disrespected in. The, Market man oddsmaker's Telling you minnesota
- 1:25:11Speaker 1: is the better team by enough that they're a road,
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: Favorite here but sixty four percent of Tickets, on minnesota
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the casual On. The bruins when
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: it comes down to these late season games and, you
- 1:25:21Speaker 1: know you get these teams that are fighting to even
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: make the playoffs and they're actually a. HOME underdog i
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: do tend to look that way because, you know you're
- 1:25:29Speaker 1: gonna get the effort out of. That team they're gonna
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: try to win, the game and that's all they need
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: to do to hit, that bet you KNOW what. I
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: mean so that's those are my thoughts on. That, game hopefully,
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: you know for my, rooting interests Hopefully the bruins can get.
- 1:25:44Speaker 1: It done Dallas. At pittsburgh as we get into the evening, Games,
- 1:25:49Speaker 1: here dallas they seem to just be kind of coasting. Right.
- 1:25:54Speaker 1: NOW man, I mean dallas is definitely gonna make. The
- 1:25:56Speaker 1: playoffs they've fallen a bit Far, behind Colorado but, dallas
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: is like it's almost impossible for them to not get
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: the two seed. Right now but they need to at
- 1:26:06Speaker 1: least win some of. THESE games, i, mean again they
- 1:26:08Speaker 1: can't lose every game down the, stretch here but they
- 1:26:11Speaker 1: did just lose At. The islanders they're Going to. Pittsburgh
- 1:26:14Speaker 1: here pittsburgh probably has more Motivation because pittsburgh is less
- 1:26:18Speaker 1: solidly in. The, Playoffs here pittsburgh did just beat another,
- 1:26:22Speaker 1: playoff Contender in autawa here in, a shootout and now
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: they're coming back home. From that it was only a
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: single game road. Trip though you know they're not Gonna overlook,
- 1:26:32Speaker 1: dallas Though and dallas just looks like they're in cruise
- 1:26:34Speaker 1: control mode. RIGHT now i would probably Lean to pittsburgh
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: as the home. Dog here dallas is up to minus one,
- 1:26:40Speaker 1: twenty eight ninety one percent, of tickets ninety nine percent
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: of the Cash. On, DALLAS again i don't think you
- 1:26:46Speaker 1: read that much into, those Numbers but dallas will be
- 1:26:48Speaker 1: a public. SIDE here i would Lean towards pittsburgh, there
- 1:26:52Speaker 1: slightly but no real. Opinion. THERE yeah i have a
- 1:26:56Speaker 1: couple of. Bruined Hats maybe i'll. BURN it i. Don't
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: know the ONE that i usually whereas A happy gilmour
- 1:27:01Speaker 1: style one has a ridiculously huge visor for. Some Reason
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: Though new Jersey, at carolina you would Think The new
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: jersey would kind of be and. Cruise control but they
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: won five of their last, six games some of them
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: against decent teams. As well they Just beat Nashville On
- 1:27:20Speaker 1: Nashville's pride night the. Other night that was a loss
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: that we took on. THE show i thought it was
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: a bad Spot For new jersey coming Up beating dallas
- 1:27:28Speaker 1: and with this huge Game against carolina. On deck, BUT
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: whatever i think they will still probably get up for
- 1:27:34Speaker 1: this Game. Against carolina but it's already a successful road
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: trip and they're getting to the end of the road,
- 1:27:39Speaker 1: trip now which sometimes can tire you out a. Little, Bit,
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: now carolina they don't have too much to play for it.
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: This point they're going to be in. The playoffs it's
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: just kind of a matter of seeding at. This point
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: they're also returning over from a, road treble though they
- 1:27:54Speaker 1: were away for less than, a week but almost. A
- 1:27:56Speaker 1: week they went Up, To, toronto Pittsburgh and montreal on the.
- 1:28:00Speaker 1: Road trip Lost to montreal to finish the, road trip
- 1:28:03Speaker 1: lost a three game win streak. With that now they're
- 1:28:05Speaker 1: returning home and they have a revenge Game against montreal
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: immediately tomorrow And then, columbus twice and both those teams
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: are in the playoff picture, right NOW so i don't
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: think it's a good Spot. For CAROLINA so i do
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: actually Lean To new jersey in. This, game yeah this
- 1:28:23Speaker 1: one hasn't made, my CARD but I Like new. Jersey
- 1:28:25Speaker 1: here carolina minus two hundred and eighty eight percent of,
- 1:28:28Speaker 1: the tickets only seventy four percent of the cash. On
- 1:28:31Speaker 1: them you Can Get new jersey on a, puck line
- 1:28:34Speaker 1: probably basically make it a spread beat here if you
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: want that to come within. One goal that seems like
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: a decent approach in. That one that one is probably
- 1:28:43Speaker 1: out of The games i've talked about. SO far i
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: probably like that one MORE than i like any of the.
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: Other Ones san Jose. At columbus columbus is looking like
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: they're probably gonna make the, playoffs here and they are
- 1:28:54Speaker 1: returning over from a road trip. As well they've been
- 1:28:57Speaker 1: on the Road. Since, SUNDAY actually I think. I misspoke
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: i think WHO did i just Talk? ABOUT carolina i
- 1:29:05Speaker 1: think they've been on the road for a little bit
- 1:29:06Speaker 1: more than. A week columbus has been on the road
- 1:29:11Speaker 1: for less than a. Week here they Went To New
- 1:29:14Speaker 1: york philadelphia and Then, to montreal and they had a
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: close Game, against montreal who's probably gonna be a, playoff team,
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: decent team and they do have the Playoff contending bruins
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: on deck tomorrow And then, carolina twice so they May Overlook,
- 1:29:27Speaker 1: san jose Who's A West Coast West western conference team
- 1:29:31Speaker 1: is not gonna make. The Playoffs san jose has lost
- 1:29:35Speaker 1: six games in. A row maybe they will show up
- 1:29:38Speaker 1: for this one after an ugly Loss To. Saint louis
- 1:29:40Speaker 1: this is their final game of a three game, road
- 1:29:42Speaker 1: trip but they haven't won any of, the games so
- 1:29:44Speaker 1: they might give you. Effort HERE so i Do Like
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: san jose in, this game and the money is strongly
- 1:29:49Speaker 1: agreeing with me on. That one this probably LIKE if
- 1:29:52Speaker 1: i was gonna put any of them on, MY card
- 1:29:54Speaker 1: i think it would actually be. This One san jose
- 1:29:57Speaker 1: seventy five percent of Tickets around COLUMBUS sixteen i percent
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: of the Cash On, san jose so big Pros versus.
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: Joe's disparity at least that's how the market appears. Right
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: now columbus down for minus two to five to minus
- 1:30:11Speaker 1: one Ninety. FIVE columbus, i mean are they really good
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: enough to be laying a price like this against? REALLY
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: anybody i, don't Know It's. SAN jose i mean they're
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: not like, A dormat they're like a. Mediocre TEAM so i. Don't, Know,
- 1:30:23Speaker 1: MAN yeah I Like san jose in that, one though
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: and that you probably could get basically a puck line
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: situation on that, One too Seattle. At buffalo seattle Just Beat,
- 1:30:34Speaker 1: tampa bay so big win. For them they're gonna have
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: to play a couple of big games in a row
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: here coming Up. From, florida now maybe not the greatest spot,
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: for them but they did end a losing streak with.
- 1:30:45Speaker 1: That win but they Played both florida teams. Into overtime
- 1:30:49Speaker 1: they Shouldn't overlook Buffalo because buffalo is one of the
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: top teams In the eastern, standings here but they're gonna
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: have to put up a big effort two games in
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: a row Here. In buffalo my actually show up. FOR once,
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: i mean they're only really playing for seeding at. This
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: point they're gonna make. The Playoffs so buffalo has lost
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: both games since the. Return home they lost in the
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: return home Spot to boston and then they lost Yesterday.
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: To detroit, but yes that Doesn't mean buffalo is on
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: a back to, back here but that was such a.
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: Disgusting loss Even though detroit may be a playoff Team,
- 1:31:20Speaker 1: here buffalo maybe they will finally show up. For once
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: this is a hard game to read. For me the
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: money is Indicating, on Seattle though buffalo is sitting around
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: minus one ninety here minus one eighty nine eighty six percent,
- 1:31:34Speaker 1: of tickets only sixty six percent of the Cash. On
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: buffalo so the money is saying to Look, towards SEATTLE
- 1:31:40Speaker 1: although i actually kind of slightly disagree with. THAT one
- 1:31:44Speaker 1: i would slightly have a Lean towards buffalo in, that
- 1:31:47Speaker 1: one but really really not STRONG and i don't want
- 1:31:49Speaker 1: to faine a market read. Like that Toronto At. Saint
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: louis toronto is on a two game, win streak even
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: though they're Now Without. Austin matthews they know they're not
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: going anywhere. This year they just Be, the rangers you.
- 1:32:01Speaker 1: Know whatever, at, Home, though Hey the rangers are better
- 1:32:05Speaker 1: on the road starting a. ROAD trip a lot of
- 1:32:09Speaker 1: times you will be focused to start the. Road trip
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: they have a couple of days, off here so they will.
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: Be rested at least maybe they'll. Be Focused saint louis
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: is staying. At home they do just get that Win Over,
- 1:32:19Speaker 1: san jose so they look like they're at least putting
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: an effort here. As well very. Difficult read in. This
- 1:32:24Speaker 1: Game saint louis down for minus one forty five to
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: minus one, forty two sixty eight percent of tickets only
- 1:32:31Speaker 1: sixty four percent of the Cash On. Saint louis the
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: money is Indicating on toronto in, This game so do
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: with that information what you. WANT to i guess, The
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: market Reid. Says Toronto margaret reid is also. Saying UNDER
- 1:32:43Speaker 1: but i would not play an under in a game
- 1:32:45Speaker 1: where two teams basically don't have anything to play for
- 1:32:48Speaker 1: and their goaltending is kind of questionable. AS well i
- 1:32:50Speaker 1: would lean over in a game, Like that but no
- 1:32:54Speaker 1: real strong. Opinion there Montreal at nashville at Least Be
- 1:33:00Speaker 1: pride night Again. IN nashville i Don't think montreal on
- 1:33:04Speaker 1: a nice three game win. Streak here they Just. Beat
- 1:33:07Speaker 1: carolina they Beat, The, islanders Carolina, and columbus who are
- 1:33:10Speaker 1: all pretty much gonna be probably playoff teams for the,
- 1:33:13Speaker 1: most part and They got Carolina And tampa bay coming
- 1:33:16Speaker 1: up on deck After this. Carolina TOMORROW so i actually
- 1:33:20Speaker 1: Do like nashville in. THIS game i think it's somewhat
- 1:33:23Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot Here. For montreal nashville would be
- 1:33:26Speaker 1: like the least important game during this. Schedule. Stretch here
- 1:33:32Speaker 1: Problem with nashville is they did just lose a five
- 1:33:34Speaker 1: game win streak and a lot of times when you
- 1:33:35Speaker 1: lose the, win streak it'll hang you over a. Little
- 1:33:38Speaker 1: bit and they do have a big game Next Against.
- 1:33:40Speaker 1: TAMPA bay i don't think they're Gonna overlook, montreal HERE
- 1:33:44Speaker 1: though i would Lean in, nashville HERE but. I don't
- 1:33:47Speaker 1: the opinion for me is not strong enough on. This
- 1:33:49Speaker 1: one the money is agreeing, with, me though although that.
- 1:33:51Speaker 1: Didn't Help in nashville's Previous game montreal down for minus
- 1:33:55Speaker 1: won twenty to minus one fifteen here sixty two percent
- 1:33:58Speaker 1: of Tickets, on montreal percent of the Money on, nashville
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: though so pretty strong market Read, on NASHVILLE and i
- 1:34:04Speaker 1: do agree. With it winnipeg Is. At. COLORADO colorado i
- 1:34:09Speaker 1: think can kind of just coast at. This Point, man
- 1:34:11Speaker 1: like they're almost locked into the one seed in. The
- 1:34:13Speaker 1: playoffs at, This point winnipeg is not gonna make. The
- 1:34:16Speaker 1: playoffs but it's a weird Spot because winnipeg just lost
- 1:34:21Speaker 1: at Home. To colorado, you know they're probably gonna get
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: up for, this game even though They played colorado pretty tough.
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: AT home i think they will get up for another Game.
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: Against colorado colorado might be the team to more likely
- 1:34:32Speaker 1: overlook this game, Because well we Just beat, winnipeg already,
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: you know on, the road and they're coming home from a.
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: Road trip they've been on since the twentieth so they've
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: been on the road for more than. A week. You
- 1:34:42Speaker 1: know it's one of those return. Home spots they just
- 1:34:44Speaker 1: Beat this, winnipeg team so maybe they will take them
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: for granted, this time. Overlook them they don't have a
- 1:34:50Speaker 1: big game. On deck if, THEY did i might consider
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: Giving you winnipeg as a, play Here but colorado Only
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: as calgary, on deck But. Still colorado they could be
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: in total cruise control mode right now and looking ahead
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: to the. Playoffs already minus two sixty Is where colorado's.
- 1:35:06Speaker 1: At here ninety one percent of the tickets Are, on
- 1:35:09Speaker 1: colorado fifty three percent of the Casual on, winnipeg though
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: so pretty. Strong market read again in alignment with me
- 1:35:14Speaker 1: On the, WINNIPEG side i agree. With it you can
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: get a pretty big puck line Price on winnipeg there
- 1:35:19Speaker 1: if you really want to. Do that that is the
- 1:35:21Speaker 1: WAY that i. Would lean don't know if you're gonna
- 1:35:24Speaker 1: get hell a book, in net because that. Would help if,
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: you have like an, elite goaltender he may very well
- 1:35:30Speaker 1: play in this game because usually he plays multiple games in,
- 1:35:33Speaker 1: a row and he's played their last two games at,
- 1:35:35Speaker 1: this point so he might be in net again because
- 1:35:38Speaker 1: it is a big Game, against colorado so that might
- 1:35:42Speaker 1: help out as Far as winnipeg's staying within a number.
- 1:35:44Speaker 1: Like that we HAVE a tv GAME on Abc between Philadelphia.
- 1:35:48Speaker 1: And Detroit the flyers they still have a chance at,
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: the playoffs although it's not a, strong chance but they're
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: still kind of in the hunt here and they're playing.
- 1:35:59Speaker 1: Well recently they won four of the last. Five games
- 1:36:02Speaker 1: they'll really mostly against not. Great teams but what was
- 1:36:05Speaker 1: good about it is a lot of those games are
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: On the, pacific coast so they actually played well on,
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: the road although they actually caught a couple of those
- 1:36:11Speaker 1: teams in bad spots if you remember me talking, about
- 1:36:14Speaker 1: those and one of them was A play i Think
- 1:36:15Speaker 1: the ANAHEIM one i might have given on. A playoff.
- 1:36:18Speaker 1: I forget they Just crushed chicago five to one going
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: on the road To. Play detroit but IT'S a, tv
- 1:36:27Speaker 1: game it's a pretty. Big game it might mean a
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: little bit More to philadelphia because they're barely hanging on
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: here to try to stay alive in the. Playoff hunt
- 1:36:35Speaker 1: detroit is fighting to make the playoffs. As Well but
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: detroit Just beat. Buffalo yesterday that was a big win
- 1:36:40Speaker 1: for Them. In buffalo now they're on a back. TO
- 1:36:43Speaker 1: back i know it's not a big travel leg to
- 1:36:46Speaker 1: Go from buffalo Back, to detroit, but STILL and i
- 1:36:49Speaker 1: know IT'S a, tv game so maybe they will get up.
- 1:36:51Speaker 1: For it but They got pittsburgh. On deck pittsburgh is
- 1:36:54Speaker 1: Kind of they're probably gonna be a, PLAYOFF team i
- 1:36:56Speaker 1: should say so looking at the standings here for. This
- 1:36:59Speaker 1: one detroit is fighting to make the playoffs, too though
- 1:37:05Speaker 1: and they're just somewhat there are only four points Ahead,
- 1:37:08Speaker 1: of philadelphia so actually both teams should kind of be.
- 1:37:11Speaker 1: Motivated HERE but i kind of Lean towards. Philadelphia here
- 1:37:14Speaker 1: the money does agree with Me here detroit up to
- 1:37:17Speaker 1: minus one, forty four but seventy six percent of the
- 1:37:19Speaker 1: tickets on them and only seventy two percent of the cash,
- 1:37:23Speaker 1: On them so the money is agreeing with me on
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: that one, as well Indicating. TOWARDS philadelphia i don't have
- 1:37:28Speaker 1: a strong opinion on any of these, remaining GAMES but
- 1:37:31Speaker 1: i will say that, you know if you want me
- 1:37:33Speaker 1: to order, these games by How strong my, Opinion is,
- 1:37:37Speaker 1: OH god i Would Say, san Jose Then, New Jersey, San,
- 1:37:45Speaker 1: Jose Yeah, San Jose, New, Jersey, philadelphia winnipeg And then
- 1:37:54Speaker 1: nashville probably IS what i, Would, say yeah as far,
- 1:37:59Speaker 1: as THOSE but i don't think that any of them
- 1:38:01Speaker 1: are like totally. Strong enough utah At. The Kings, the
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: kings we know they're not as they're not really that good.
- 1:38:11Speaker 1: At home utah to just lose pretty ugly seven to Four,
- 1:38:15Speaker 1: To washington utah looks like they will be in, the
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: playoffs so they probably want to maintain their playoff. Spot
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: here they don't want to fall out of the playoffs,
- 1:38:23Speaker 1: obviously playoffs and they're starting a road, trip here so
- 1:38:26Speaker 1: maybe they will get up. For it might be good
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: for them just leave home after a really, ugly loss
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: just go on, the road focus on playing. THE game
- 1:38:34Speaker 1: la is actually returning home from a. Road trip it
- 1:38:37Speaker 1: was less than, a week but they actually Went. To
- 1:38:39Speaker 1: utah they did Lose to utah on the, road trips
- 1:38:41Speaker 1: so maybe they Won't overlook utah for. That reason but
- 1:38:45Speaker 1: they went up To The pacific northwest and now they're
- 1:38:47Speaker 1: having to come back home. FROM that a lot of,
- 1:38:49Speaker 1: times again it'll be a distraction when you. Return home
- 1:38:52Speaker 1: but the things that might make this not a distraction
- 1:38:54Speaker 1: are they just Lost to utah on, the road And
- 1:38:58Speaker 1: the kings are the first team out to the playoffs.
- 1:39:00Speaker 1: Right now they're like one Point behind nashville right now
- 1:39:03Speaker 1: for the last. Playoff spot So the kings basically have
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: to show up for. These GAMES so i think that
- 1:39:08Speaker 1: might keep them from really getting. Distracted Here so i'm
- 1:39:13Speaker 1: a little bit leery, of, It man and the money
- 1:39:15Speaker 1: the market is actually indicating On The kings utah sixty
- 1:39:19Speaker 1: four percent, of tickets only fifty one percent of the cash.
- 1:39:21Speaker 1: On them they look like a dreaded public road. Underdog
- 1:39:24Speaker 1: here kings are minus one. Oh. SEVEN now i would
- 1:39:30Speaker 1: actually still slightly Lean to utah, Here, though man so
- 1:39:35Speaker 1: do with that when you, want to but the market
- 1:39:36Speaker 1: read is very strongly. Against it there's NO way i
- 1:39:39Speaker 1: would want to play a team that has that look
- 1:39:41Speaker 1: in the market of a public underdog. Like that but just,
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: MY opinion i do slightly Lean, to UTAH but i
- 1:39:47Speaker 1: would not actually put my money on that. At all what, YOU,
- 1:39:54Speaker 1: have cte is that what, you're saying you're not gonna remember. Your,
- 1:39:57Speaker 1: PLAYS yeah i. DON'T know i it's, my, autism man
- 1:40:01Speaker 1: although my stroke and whatever and getting old probably has
- 1:40:04Speaker 1: affected my memory. A. Bit though Vancouver, and calgary this
- 1:40:09Speaker 1: is one of those games where both teams are. Going
- 1:40:11Speaker 1: nowhere vancouver's lost four games in. A row maybe they'll
- 1:40:14Speaker 1: show up because they did just lose four to nothing,
- 1:40:16Speaker 1: at home which is pretty ugly To. The kings maybe
- 1:40:19Speaker 1: going out on, the road and maybe they will actually
- 1:40:21Speaker 1: show up because he got nothing better, to, do right
- 1:40:23Speaker 1: just focus. On hockey but they Do, A, Vegas colorado
- 1:40:26Speaker 1: minnesota all, on deck which are all bigger Games. Than
- 1:40:29Speaker 1: CALGARY so i guess there's the potential look. Ahead there
- 1:40:33Speaker 1: calgary actually was playing, fairly well winning four games in,
- 1:40:36Speaker 1: a row and then they finally Lost to anaheim in
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: another close one. In overtime They got colorado on deck.
- 1:40:43Speaker 1: As well losing a win streak could hang. Them over
- 1:40:45Speaker 1: maybe maybe they won't totally get up for a game
- 1:40:48Speaker 1: against the worst team In. Hockey VANCOUVER so i think
- 1:40:51Speaker 1: the spot is actually Worse for. CALGARY here i would Lean.
- 1:40:54Speaker 1: To vancouver calgary's minus won. Six team it looks like
- 1:40:57Speaker 1: they're gonna be public ninety two percent OF the i
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: don't really want to take that much away from these
- 1:41:02Speaker 1: numbers OTHER than i think you know they're gonna. Be public,
- 1:41:05Speaker 1: BUT yeah i would Lean towards vancouver in. THAT one
- 1:41:09Speaker 1: i wouldn't be opposed to an over again in a
- 1:41:11Speaker 1: game like this where teams just have really nothing to
- 1:41:13Speaker 1: play for it, this one but the money's coming in on.
- 1:41:15Speaker 1: The under it, looks like so do with that information
- 1:41:19Speaker 1: what you Want to WHAT do i know? About, Totals
- 1:41:21Speaker 1: man we'll go back and check and. We'll see we'll
- 1:41:25Speaker 1: see how my opinions. Do here Washington at vegas is the,
- 1:41:29Speaker 1: last game the Late Night. Degenerate special washington Just beat
- 1:41:35Speaker 1: utah seven to four. In elevation very satisfying Win for
- 1:41:39Speaker 1: washington coming off. Of that they Gotta play. VEGAS now
- 1:41:42Speaker 1: i don't think they're Gonna. Overlook vegas washington is still
- 1:41:46Speaker 1: kind of in the hunt for the. Playoffs here they're
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: a bit far. Back though they're the fourth team out
- 1:41:51Speaker 1: right now In. The east east is very, very, STRANGE
- 1:41:54Speaker 1: man a lot of teams with decent records not gonna
- 1:41:56Speaker 1: make the. Playoffs There the west is just very lopsided
- 1:41:59Speaker 1: Towards The. Central division as Far. As vegas they're in
- 1:42:03Speaker 1: the playoffs right now because they're In The, pacific division
- 1:42:05Speaker 1: so their record's not, even good but they're still in
- 1:42:08Speaker 1: the playoffs. Right now but they actually have a less
- 1:42:11Speaker 1: lower point Total, than utah who's a wild card, right
- 1:42:14Speaker 1: now which is again that's another reason to, you know
- 1:42:17Speaker 1: to not really want To fade utah necessarily TODAY because
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: i think they will have motivation as well because they're
- 1:42:23Speaker 1: trying to make. The playoffs so Are. The kings they.
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: Both are that's. The thing vegas probably needs to put
- 1:42:30Speaker 1: in some effort, to here, man though because, you know
- 1:42:33Speaker 1: they're trying to maintain their. Playoff spot they just Lost
- 1:42:35Speaker 1: to edmonton though it was in a return, home spot
- 1:42:38Speaker 1: so a lot of times teams don't do well in
- 1:42:40Speaker 1: the return home spot and they play better in that.
- 1:42:42Speaker 1: Next game but that was a tough Game, against edmonton
- 1:42:45Speaker 1: so coming off, of that it could be a bit
- 1:42:48Speaker 1: of a hangover. SPOT too i don't want to do
- 1:42:50Speaker 1: anything with, this. Game man vegas dropped to minus one
- 1:42:53Speaker 1: fifty one for minus. One sixty but it looks like
- 1:42:55Speaker 1: the money Is on vegas sixty percent of tickets eighty
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: nine percent of the Cash. On VEGAS here i see
- 1:43:01Speaker 1: reasons why both teams might have, motivation here so, you
- 1:43:07Speaker 1: know and also why both teams are kind of in
- 1:43:09Speaker 1: bad spots at the same time because they both had
- 1:43:12Speaker 1: satisfy or well not satisfying because one team off of,
- 1:43:15Speaker 1: satisfying win the other team off of a very, Tough
- 1:43:18Speaker 1: performance so very very difficult game to handicap really from.
- 1:43:23Speaker 1: Every perspective but the money is sort of Indicating on
- 1:43:27Speaker 1: vegas for what, that's worth, All right and then WE
- 1:43:30Speaker 1: have nba before we get out. Of here THERE are
- 1:43:32Speaker 1: i THINK five nba, Games. Here No Six San. Antonio
- 1:43:37Speaker 1: milwaukee this is an afternoon Game On. Amazon Prime san
- 1:43:41Speaker 1: antonio just Blew. Out Memphis. SAN antonio, i mean we
- 1:43:47Speaker 1: know that they can make we know they're gonna make.
- 1:43:49Speaker 1: The playoffs we know they're gonna be one of the
- 1:43:50Speaker 1: top seeds in. THE playoffs i don't know how much
- 1:43:52Speaker 1: they care about the difference between the one seed and the.
- 1:43:54Speaker 1: Two seed they've had a couple of, Days off maybe that'll. Hurt,
- 1:43:59Speaker 1: them actually because they're on a big. Win streak seven
- 1:44:01Speaker 1: wins in, A row i think is what. That is
- 1:44:04Speaker 1: so having days off maybe not necessarily good when you're cruising.
- 1:44:07Speaker 1: LIKE that i guess possible They overlook, MILWAUKEE here I
- 1:44:12Speaker 1: mean Milwaukee without yannis, Again whatever although it loose like
- 1:44:15Speaker 1: he's supposed to come back, AGAIN soon i don't know
- 1:44:17Speaker 1: if they're really gonna. Do that milwaukee's returning over from
- 1:44:20Speaker 1: a road, trip though so they've had the same number of.
- 1:44:22Speaker 1: Days off but that's a problem when you were turning
- 1:44:24Speaker 1: over from a. Road trip they went out To the
- 1:44:26Speaker 1: pacific coast during that, road trip, and again a lot
- 1:44:30Speaker 1: of times we're turning over from, road trips they get
- 1:44:31Speaker 1: distracted because they have to get back to. Family. Life,
- 1:44:34Speaker 1: whatever milwaukee they know they're pretty much they're not going anywhere,
- 1:44:37Speaker 1: This YEAR so i, don't know but Maybe. SAN antonio,
- 1:44:40Speaker 1: i mean that's one opponent you might actually still get up,
- 1:44:42Speaker 1: for though to play one of the better teams IN,
- 1:44:45Speaker 1: the Nba and milwaukee is coming up a couple of
- 1:44:48Speaker 1: very embarrassing losses to finish that, road trip so maybe
- 1:44:51Speaker 1: they will actually show up just to spare themselves the
- 1:44:55Speaker 1: embarrassment a. Little bit the money is coming in On
- 1:44:57Speaker 1: the bucks for what, It's worth spurs are laying a
- 1:44:59Speaker 1: to of points minus eighteen is what they're at right
- 1:45:03Speaker 1: now on, the road fifty, two tickets eighty one percent
- 1:45:06Speaker 1: of the casual on. THE bucks, I mean i don't
- 1:45:09Speaker 1: want to have anything to do with a team returning
- 1:45:11Speaker 1: on from a road, Trip THOUGH but i could See
- 1:45:13Speaker 1: the spurs overlooking this. Game too it's a lot of points, to.
- 1:45:16Speaker 1: Lay like the ONLY way i would lay points on
- 1:45:19Speaker 1: the road like that is if you know your team
- 1:45:21Speaker 1: is going to be, super MOTIVATED which i don't think
- 1:45:24Speaker 1: is the case here With. The SPURS so I guess
- 1:45:26Speaker 1: i'll agree With that margaret read and leank towards taking,
- 1:45:29Speaker 1: the POINTS but I wouldn't i also wouldn't be Surprised
- 1:45:31Speaker 1: if milwaukee just gets blown out of the. Building too,
- 1:45:34Speaker 1: it's very very difficult to handicap. That game Detroit at
- 1:45:39Speaker 1: minnesota is THE big tv GAME, on ABC which I
- 1:45:44Speaker 1: think abc has a hockey game on after, This, too
- 1:45:46Speaker 1: RIGHT interesting abc line. Up here detroit Just Beat new
- 1:45:50Speaker 1: orleans AND what i thought would be kind of a
- 1:45:52Speaker 1: bad Spot for detroit because they lost a, win streak,
- 1:45:56Speaker 1: you know but They Handled new orleans one by. Twenty
- 1:45:59Speaker 1: one now they Go. To minnesota this is it's probably
- 1:46:03Speaker 1: BAD for abc that they have this game on the
- 1:46:06Speaker 1: schedule Here because both teams are gonna be without their. Star.
- 1:46:09Speaker 1: Player here cunningham we know is out with a collapse Long.
- 1:46:12Speaker 1: FOR detroit i don't know when he's, coming back if he.
- 1:46:15Speaker 1: Even Is anthony edwards is still Out. For minnesota so
- 1:46:19Speaker 1: neither of them are playing in. This game so that's
- 1:46:22Speaker 1: somebody to keep. In mind both guys have been out
- 1:46:24Speaker 1: for multiple, games now so there's no shift from one
- 1:46:27Speaker 1: game to. The next, Minnesota's playing they're having to play
- 1:46:31Speaker 1: three big games in. A row they've just Won, in
- 1:46:33Speaker 1: boston came home And beat houston, in overtime and that
- 1:46:36Speaker 1: was that insane Game where houston was winning the game
- 1:46:39Speaker 1: by thirteen with three minutes left. In Overtime in minnesota
- 1:46:43Speaker 1: somehow won the. Game. Anyway, insane houston by, the way
- 1:46:47Speaker 1: did not cover. LAST night i TOLD you i kind
- 1:46:49Speaker 1: Of liked memphis yesterday. As well that was another one
- 1:46:52Speaker 1: of those. CLOSE calls I think houston won by ten
- 1:46:54Speaker 1: is like a twelve. Point favorite so if you Did,
- 1:46:57Speaker 1: play memphis which was my SECOND strongest nba, alien yesterday
- 1:47:00Speaker 1: that was also a, winner barely just like the GAME
- 1:47:03Speaker 1: that i did actually have as A. PLAY minnesota, i
- 1:47:07Speaker 1: mean they're not Gonna overlook, detroit here but you, know
- 1:47:11Speaker 1: what like they're having to play three big games in a,
- 1:47:14Speaker 1: row though which is kind, of difficult but it is
- 1:47:15Speaker 1: kind of AN isolated tv game that maybe they should get.
- 1:47:18Speaker 1: Up for they do have two days off here at
- 1:47:20Speaker 1: the very least to overcome that. Overtime win the money
- 1:47:25Speaker 1: is coming in on The. Te wolves they flip from
- 1:47:26Speaker 1: a two and a half dog to a one and
- 1:47:27Speaker 1: a half. POINT favorite i don't know why the line
- 1:47:30Speaker 1: moved like That because edwards is not coming. Back yet
- 1:47:33Speaker 1: based ON what, i saw fifty three percent, of ticket
- 1:47:37Speaker 1: seventy percent of the cash On. The wolves so the
- 1:47:40Speaker 1: money is indicating on The. Te wolves i'm gonna agree with,
- 1:47:43Speaker 1: that SLIGHTLY but i don't have a strong opinion on
- 1:47:46Speaker 1: that game, at all. YOU know, i mean the scheduling
- 1:47:49Speaker 1: setup doesn't look that Great for, minnesota really to, Be
- 1:47:52Speaker 1: honest so, You know i'm staying off. Of, that Yeah
- 1:47:57Speaker 1: san antonio Definitely, has Yeah has? Tor? Does yeah if?
- 1:47:59Speaker 1: That so what You're into Philadelphia at charlotte. THIS game
- 1:48:08Speaker 1: I like philadelphia in, this GAME but I don't i
- 1:48:12Speaker 1: don't KNOW if i can quite, you know do it deal,
- 1:48:15Speaker 1: with it, You. KNOW charlotte i think they're in a bad.
- 1:48:17Speaker 1: Spot though they just Beat the they Beat. The knicks
- 1:48:20Speaker 1: that was a big win to prove themselves against one
- 1:48:22Speaker 1: of the top teams In. The east and they have
- 1:48:24Speaker 1: one of the other top teams In the, east Tomorrow.
- 1:48:27Speaker 1: The celtics so kind of a sandwich spot Here. For
- 1:48:30Speaker 1: charlotte they might Overlook this. Philadelphia team it's been playing
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: with a lot of, guys missing but their guys are
- 1:48:37Speaker 1: coming back and that's. The Thing and bead is already
- 1:48:40Speaker 1: Back and george also came back. As WELL now i
- 1:48:45Speaker 1: like that Aspect of philadelphia here because, two guys, you
- 1:48:48Speaker 1: know their two best players are, back already so they
- 1:48:51Speaker 1: already got their first game out of, the way you
- 1:48:53Speaker 1: KNOW what, i mean because that's the GAME where i
- 1:48:55Speaker 1: usually look to fade, that TEAM although i think in
- 1:48:57Speaker 1: That case chicago was actually in a really bad spot in.
- 1:49:00Speaker 1: That GAME but I think i actually Leaned towards philadelphia in.
- 1:49:03Speaker 1: That game Didn't realize george was coming, back Either but
- 1:49:06Speaker 1: philadelphia won. And covered now second game with those, players
- 1:49:10Speaker 1: back the team, is usually, you know kind of getting
- 1:49:12Speaker 1: their chemistry back now and they're. Moving forward but the
- 1:49:15Speaker 1: issue is they might be getting more guys. Back here
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: it LOOKS like maxi might come back in. This game
- 1:49:22Speaker 1: it looks LIKE and i don't Know, about ubra THEY'RE
- 1:49:24Speaker 1: both i think game time decisions. Right now so that's
- 1:49:27Speaker 1: somebody to keep in mind that if those guys, come
- 1:49:29Speaker 1: back it might be another kind of chemistry Ship that
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: philadelphia has to try to. Overcome here so that worries
- 1:49:34Speaker 1: me a. Little bit and the other THING is i
- 1:49:36Speaker 1: don't really want to play in a team that just
- 1:49:37Speaker 1: put up one hundred and fifty, seven points you KNOW what. I,
- 1:49:40Speaker 1: mean like whenever a team puts up that amount, of
- 1:49:44Speaker 1: points a lot of times they're gonna be overvalued in
- 1:49:47Speaker 1: the market in the. Next game so those are the
- 1:49:49Speaker 1: things that worry me about. THE game i still lean
- 1:49:52Speaker 1: to the seventy six, ers Here though hornets are six,
- 1:49:55Speaker 1: point favorite fifty seven percent of tickets, on them fifty
- 1:49:57Speaker 1: five percent of the cash On. THE sixers i still
- 1:49:59Speaker 1: think spot is bad enough For the HORNETS that i
- 1:50:02Speaker 1: do lean towards taking the points With the. Sixers there,
- 1:50:07Speaker 1: All right our next Game up Sacramento. At atlanta THIS
- 1:50:11Speaker 1: game i think was actually the closest to me putting
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: it on. My card atlanta just played Yesterday, in boston
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: big game and they lost To the celtics. By seven
- 1:50:22Speaker 1: celtics did Not Have jalen brown playing in. THAT game
- 1:50:25Speaker 1: I Think derek white, did play but it was a.
- 1:50:28Speaker 1: Big game atlanta lost a three game. Win streak they
- 1:50:30Speaker 1: were coming Off playing detroit the game before then. Into
- 1:50:33Speaker 1: overtime so now they're playing three big games in a
- 1:50:36Speaker 1: span of, four days all in, different cities and They
- 1:50:38Speaker 1: have boston. Again next so they're In a boston, sandwich
- 1:50:43Speaker 1: man which Is a, celtic SANDWICH which i, don't know
- 1:50:45Speaker 1: what would? That be a corned beef? Sandwich, there, yeah
- 1:50:48Speaker 1: probably so that's what they're in the middle. Of here
- 1:50:52Speaker 1: they Might, overlook sacramento who has pretty much packed it
- 1:50:55Speaker 1: in for, the season and then that's, the question will
- 1:50:57Speaker 1: you get effort Out of? SACRAMENTO here i. DON'T know,
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: i mean it's definitely a tough Spot for atlanta on
- 1:51:02Speaker 1: a back To back. Celtic sandwich sacramento had, yesterday off
- 1:51:09Speaker 1: they might maybe have some motivation to try to get
- 1:51:12Speaker 1: a win here on the. Road trip they did just
- 1:51:14Speaker 1: play really Tough against, orlando though and that's kind of
- 1:51:16Speaker 1: THE issue i Have. With sacramento here is they were
- 1:51:19Speaker 1: like nineteen and a half point underdogs in that Game,
- 1:51:21Speaker 1: against orlando and they almost won. The game they're winning
- 1:51:24Speaker 1: that game late in, the game and then they lost
- 1:51:26Speaker 1: by FOUR and i think the game was tied with
- 1:51:28Speaker 1: like a minute or. Two Left so sacramento putting a.
- 1:51:31Speaker 1: Huge effort and you KNOW what i always say when
- 1:51:33Speaker 1: a team is coming off of a massive effort, like that
- 1:51:36Speaker 1: as a, BIG underdog i don't like to play them
- 1:51:38Speaker 1: in their. Next game so it's a horrible spot For.
- 1:51:40Speaker 1: The HAWKS and i don't Trust the hawks Because the
- 1:51:43Speaker 1: hawks in this recent, win streak if you want to call,
- 1:51:47Speaker 1: it THAT as i, pointed out EVERY time i talk About,
- 1:51:50Speaker 1: the hawks they've mostly beaten. Bad teams the only actual
- 1:51:53Speaker 1: legit team they beat Was. The, pistons there like they've
- 1:51:57Speaker 1: been just beating up on. Bad teams, but yes Of
- 1:51:59Speaker 1: course sacramento is a, bad team there's no question. About
- 1:52:02Speaker 1: that but You're asking atlanta to lay a ton. Of
- 1:52:06Speaker 1: points they're down from sixteen and a half to fifteen sixty.
- 1:52:09Speaker 1: Two percent take a sixty three percent of the Cash
- 1:52:11Speaker 1: on atlanta. RIGHT now i would only take the points With,
- 1:52:15Speaker 1: the KINGS though i was gonna play, that game but
- 1:52:17Speaker 1: that one's not gonna be on, my, card unfortunately because
- 1:52:20Speaker 1: it looked like we Could fade Charlotte in. Atlanta here
- 1:52:23Speaker 1: but it's JUST that i don't like what's going on
- 1:52:25Speaker 1: with the other teams in those Matchups either Chicago. At
- 1:52:30Speaker 1: memphis chicago coming into this, game off they played last
- 1:52:37Speaker 1: night and they were playing really close into the fourth
- 1:52:41Speaker 1: quarter Against the thunder and then they had the worst
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: fourth quarter that you'll. Ever see they still covered, for
- 1:52:46Speaker 1: US but i don't Know what chicago was gonna do, after,
- 1:52:48Speaker 1: that man were they were playing really Close To oklahoma
- 1:52:51Speaker 1: city for the majority of, the game lost. By eighteen
- 1:52:54Speaker 1: They Got san antonio. On deck chicago might not have
- 1:52:58Speaker 1: full Focus against. Memphis, here man they play on a
- 1:53:00Speaker 1: back to back to a third game in, four days
- 1:53:03Speaker 1: all in, different cities fourth game in six days, as
- 1:53:06Speaker 1: well all in. Different, cities memphis what are you gonna get?
- 1:53:10Speaker 1: For them as? An, effort though because they played yesterday
- 1:53:12Speaker 1: too they lost by Ten. To houston they were fairly
- 1:53:15Speaker 1: close late in that game Too. Against houston but it's
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: probably a better Spot for memphis just because they are
- 1:53:21Speaker 1: staying at, home here which might be the. Difference here,
- 1:53:26Speaker 1: you know the money's coming in On the bulls though
- 1:53:28Speaker 1: they're up to a four point favorite on the, road
- 1:53:30Speaker 1: here sixty eight percent of tickets eighty five percent of
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: the cash. ON them i don't know if there was
- 1:53:33Speaker 1: Like a bulls player who was injured or something that
- 1:53:37Speaker 1: might not, you know that was considered to be questionable
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: but is. NOW playing i have, no IDEA because I
- 1:53:42Speaker 1: think giddy has been playing for their last like, several
- 1:53:45Speaker 1: GAMES so i. DON'T know i don't know why the
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: line moved. LIKE that I think i would lean slightly
- 1:53:50Speaker 1: towards taking the boys To, the grizzlies although we Know
- 1:53:53Speaker 1: the grizzlies are basically they're playing an entire team. Of
- 1:53:56Speaker 1: backups but, you know you will you will sometimes get
- 1:54:00Speaker 1: effort out of those, backups though but, you know, of
- 1:54:02Speaker 1: course they did put in a pretty good effort. Last
- 1:54:04Speaker 1: night both of these. Teams did and that's. The thing
- 1:54:09Speaker 1: difficult game to handicap over makes sense in, that game by,
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: the way money looks like it started to come in on,
- 1:54:16Speaker 1: the under but the total did initially go up three
- 1:54:18Speaker 1: points to a very high two. Forty six but it's
- 1:54:21Speaker 1: that high for. A reason man when you have two
- 1:54:23Speaker 1: teams that aren't going anywhere, this year you KNOW what.
- 1:54:26Speaker 1: I mean and they're also on back, to backs so
- 1:54:28Speaker 1: the defenses are going to. Be tired it could turn
- 1:54:30Speaker 1: into just a. Total. Scrimmage man, SO over i think
- 1:54:33Speaker 1: it actually might be the preferable way to approach. That
- 1:54:36Speaker 1: game toad, sandwich spots THAT'S just, i, MEAN dude i
- 1:54:41Speaker 1: already do like way too much content and that is
- 1:54:44Speaker 1: what this unless you're talking about me revealing, sandwiches literally
- 1:54:49Speaker 1: but that would Also do that would Also be i'd
- 1:54:51Speaker 1: be Ripping Off marco DiAngelo because he he. Does that
- 1:54:55Speaker 1: He Has marco's deli great show by, the way On.
- 1:54:58Speaker 1: Waser talk he does his sitch situational spots on, that
- 1:55:02Speaker 1: show and he's the Guy that i've learned the. Most
- 1:55:04Speaker 1: from i'm not gonna rip that. GUY off I. Love marco,
- 1:55:08Speaker 1: BUT no i mean my. SANDWICH run i talk about
- 1:55:09Speaker 1: literally everything on, This show so it would just be me.
- 1:55:12Speaker 1: REPEATING myself, I mean I could i guess clip some
- 1:55:16Speaker 1: of these things and, do IT but i. Don't, know oh,
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: LITERAL sandwiches i reviewed. ONE yesterday i. Don't know i'm
- 1:55:23Speaker 1: only doing like Tweet like i'm tweeting out reviews, right
- 1:55:28Speaker 1: NOW but i. DON'T know, i mean too many people
- 1:55:31Speaker 1: do food. REVIEWS too i don't KNOW how i would.
- 1:55:33Speaker 1: Separate myself Utah at phoenix is the final. Game here
- 1:55:38Speaker 1: utah is also on a back. To back they Played
- 1:55:41Speaker 1: in denver, last night and they played really Well against denver.
- 1:55:44Speaker 1: Last night they almost won. That game they lost, by
- 1:55:47Speaker 1: Six but utah was winning that game for like a
- 1:55:49Speaker 1: majority of the second half and then they blew it at.
- 1:55:52Speaker 1: The end that's gonna be tough to bounce. Back from
- 1:55:55Speaker 1: even though they're Playing a phoenix team that will be in,
- 1:55:57Speaker 1: the playoffs they Do have Cleveland and denver again, on
- 1:56:01Speaker 1: deck And then houston And Then. Oklahoma city so you
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: could make the argument it is a sandwich, spot here.
- 1:56:08Speaker 1: Sandwich spot three games of four, days here back to
- 1:56:12Speaker 1: back off a really really big effort Game. For utah
- 1:56:15Speaker 1: they could definitely fall flat here. For Sure but phoenix
- 1:56:18Speaker 1: is also coming off a really big Game against denver
- 1:56:21Speaker 1: where they fell. Just short but the better Thing for
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: phoenix is they're staying at home and they've had three,
- 1:56:26Speaker 1: Days off so obviously that's an Advantage to. Phoenix here
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: the problem with that is you have to lay a shitload.
- 1:56:32Speaker 1: Of points if you Want the, suns here you gotta
- 1:56:34Speaker 1: lay sixteen and. A half they're still Without doing, brooks
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: here although that is factored into. The line phoenix has
- 1:56:42Speaker 1: been good, at covering but you're asking them to cover
- 1:56:44Speaker 1: a massive. Number HERE like i Like the suns as
- 1:56:47Speaker 1: a home underdog, for sure but now when they're laying
- 1:56:50Speaker 1: a ton of, points here, sixty tickets eighty six percent
- 1:56:54Speaker 1: of the cash On, the jazz there is no WAY
- 1:56:56Speaker 1: that i would Play the jazz, here either though off
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: of what they did, LAST night i would act she
- 1:57:00Speaker 1: leaned towards laying the points With the SUNS if i
- 1:57:02Speaker 1: was gonna play. This GAME but i gotta stay away from.
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: It completely so that. Is, It man we're being real.
- 1:57:08Speaker 1: Selective here we got just two plays. Here today we're
- 1:57:12Speaker 1: going to. College basketball we're taking the six Points, with
- 1:57:15Speaker 1: purdue and we're Going To chicago cubs money line to
- 1:57:19Speaker 1: bounce back from that atrocious season. Opener, there actually Do
- 1:57:24Speaker 1: the cubs play? YESTERDAY too i don't think, they, did right,
- 1:57:27Speaker 1: hold on let me just look. REAL quick i just
- 1:57:31Speaker 1: gotta make sure. They, didn't yeah they, Did not, So
- 1:57:34Speaker 1: yeah cubs in the, bounce backs plus getting To fade
- 1:57:37Speaker 1: mikolus in the worst stadium for Him. In wrigley let's, do,
- 1:57:42Speaker 1: It man cubs will be the. Play there give out
- 1:57:46Speaker 1: a couple of hockey LEANS that i just don't think
- 1:57:48Speaker 1: are totally. Strong enough that's gonna, do. It man let's
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: have a, good day very. Selective day let's get. Wins
- 1:57:53Speaker 1: today thanks for, hanging. Out everybody learn it Tone, On
- 1:57:56Speaker 1: instagram learn a Tone. On TWITTER hopefully i hadn't pissed
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: mister off. Too, much dude you, Come in, you're gonna,
- 1:58:02Speaker 1: you know talk shit About The, red sox talk positively
- 1:58:05Speaker 1: about The, fucking yankees, and uh, you, know also uh
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: go up against one of my best plays of. The,
- 1:58:11Speaker 1: DAY yeah i. Don't know i'm gonna give you some.
- 1:58:14Speaker 1: SHIT back i. Don't know i'm. An asshole i'm a masshole.
- 1:58:18Speaker 1: As well i'm. A. Masshole yea, you know if That's
- 1:58:21Speaker 1: a massachusetts Song To, Dennis leary, massachusetts comedian you can
- 1:58:26Speaker 1: go listen to that song if you never. Heard it
- 1:58:29Speaker 1: learn it Tone, On twitter learn it Tone. On instagram
- 1:58:31Speaker 1: this has been way too long of. A show, like
- 1:58:34Speaker 1: subscribe give me good comments on the channel here boost this.
- 1:58:37Speaker 1: Fucking channel we're on audio. As well listen, Over, There, apple.
- 1:58:41Speaker 1: Spotify whatever give me good reviews over there. As well
- 1:58:44Speaker 1: covered in you because my yuke channel, on YouTube so
- 1:58:46Speaker 1: you can check that out, as well the. Yuke covers
- 1:58:49Speaker 1: we'll keep. It flowing patreon, dot com slash learn a
- 1:58:52Speaker 1: TOAD where i basically don't don't do anything trying to
- 1:58:56Speaker 1: give people. Some requests AT least i know a couple
- 1:58:59Speaker 1: of people have some REQUEST that i haven't been able,
- 1:59:01Speaker 1: to DO but i gotta pick and choose ones that
- 1:59:03Speaker 1: actually make, Sense TOO so i, don't KNOW maybe i
- 1:59:06Speaker 1: should just not be doing, that STILL but i appreciate.
- 1:59:09Speaker 1: The Support loser cast will be Back, on tuesday and that.
- 1:59:14Speaker 1: Is it let's get some. Wins. Today, peace yeah