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Data expert highlights Vance's unpopularity among key demographic

Power, War, and the Horse Race Nobody Has EarnedThe Real Story Is the WarCNN’s data analysis says JD Vance’s path to the 2028 Republican nomination just got shakier after the Iran war, with his odds falling from dominant favorite to merely one name in a narrowing field. Marco Rubio benefited. Vance’s numbers slid in Ohio, independents turned sharply against him, and women are now his biggest liability by a wide margin.That is the reporting. The political meaning is simpler: when the administration’s war choices create fallout, the damage does not stay abstract. It attaches to the people…

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