Latest / Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning / Is Ohio State Ticketed For Another Brutal College Football Playoff Run?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to Buckeyees tomorrow morning. From Monday, June twenty ninth,
- 0:02Speaker 1: I'm your host, Tom Moore. The Ball State game in
- 0:05Speaker 1: sixty eight days, the gam against Michigan in one hundred
- 0:07Speaker 1: and fifty two days. Our friends at Jeff Ruby's Columbus
- 0:10Speaker 1: are proudly offering nationally acclaimed usd at prime stakes, seafood
- 0:14Speaker 1: and sushi, and peckable service, live entertainment, and at attention
- 0:17Speaker 1: to detail that is simply unmatched. Just go to Jeffruby
- 0:20Speaker 1: dot com slash Columbus to check out the menu and
- 0:22Speaker 1: make a reservation today. All right, it is that time
- 0:26Speaker 1: of year. Everyone knows what the big holiday right now
- 0:29Speaker 1: is it is. You were going to say Fourth of
- 0:32Speaker 1: July war. It is Steel. Miss Phil Steele. The magazine
- 0:36Speaker 1: is out. It is a sure sign that college football
- 0:39Speaker 1: is right around the corner. His magazine got mailed out
- 0:42Speaker 1: to subscribers who got the early VIP bundle, including myself.
- 0:48Speaker 1: I'm going to guess that Tony Gerderman of Buckeye Insiders
- 0:50Speaker 1: dot com maybe in that club as well. He is
- 0:53Speaker 1: my guest today and what we are going to do
- 0:55Speaker 1: is we're going to go through Phil's rankings of the
- 0:58Speaker 1: top teams in the nation. And we're going to say, Okay,
- 1:00Speaker 1: if Phil is exactly right about everything, what would the
- 1:03Speaker 1: college football playoff field look like this year? So, Tony,
- 1:08Speaker 1: are you ready to start the first of what is
- 1:12Speaker 1: probably many of these exercises over the next few months.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Let's do it. Let's speculate. Let's look at the helmet matchups,
- 1:20Speaker 2: because I always enjoy that part of the show exactly.
- 1:23Speaker 1: We're going to start with, Here's where the preseason rankings.
- 1:26Speaker 1: Here's where Phil has these teams in the preseason rankings.
- 1:29Speaker 1: We'll just run through the top eleven, which are the
- 1:32Speaker 1: teams that will make the field, and then the first
- 1:35Speaker 1: four out, and then the top group of five team.
- 1:39Speaker 1: And if you were if you were looking ahead, you see, ooh,
- 1:41Speaker 1: that's a different and very intriguing group of five team
- 1:45Speaker 1: that we'd be talking about on today's show. Here's how
- 1:47Speaker 1: Phil has him ranked. And he has his power pole,
- 1:50Speaker 1: which is just purely ranking the teams based on how
- 1:52Speaker 1: good they are. And then he has this which is
- 1:55Speaker 1: his rankings based on how good the team is, but
- 1:58Speaker 1: also their schedule, all opponents, where teams fall on their schedule,
- 2:03Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff. Sort of projecting win and
- 2:05Speaker 1: loss records. So he's got Notre Dame number one, Georgia
- 2:08Speaker 1: number two, Ohio State number three, Texas number four. Those
- 2:12Speaker 1: two teams play in week two, so that'll be a
- 2:15Speaker 1: good one Indiana week five. Ohio State plays them as well,
- 2:19Speaker 1: Oregon number six. Ohio State plays them as well, Miami
- 2:23Speaker 1: number seven, Alabama number eight, Texas Tech number nine. And
- 2:27Speaker 1: this was released before the Brendan Sorosby News had officially broken,
- 2:31Speaker 1: or at least the last version of the Brendon Sorosby
- 2:33Speaker 1: News had officially broken. Number ten BYU number eleven USC.
- 2:38Speaker 1: That's another team that Ohio State has to play that
- 2:42Speaker 1: they have got three of those teams that are in
- 2:44Speaker 1: the field on the road and another one at home.
- 2:47Speaker 1: SMU number twelve, Oklahoma number thirteen, Ole Miss number fourteen,
- 2:51Speaker 1: Michigan number fifteen. Ohio State has them as well. I
- 2:54Speaker 1: know what you're thinking. What about Lane Kiffin, Yeah, Lankky.
- 2:58Speaker 1: Phil has Lane Kiffen outside of the top fifteen, the
- 3:01Speaker 1: top group of a group of five team in the rankings.
- 3:06Speaker 1: According to Phil, the Midshipman of Navy, who could potentially
- 3:10Speaker 1: have to play Army one Saturday and then go and
- 3:13Speaker 1: play in the first round playoff game the very next week.
- 3:17Speaker 1: That would be quite a turnaround. I We'll see that.
- 3:21Speaker 1: We'll see if that actually happens, Tony. Any initial thoughts
- 3:25Speaker 1: here on where Phil has folks.
- 3:27Speaker 2: Now, I'm just imagining Navy playing somewhere on the East
- 3:31Speaker 2: coast against Army this year and then having to go
- 3:33Speaker 2: like way out west the following week for a playoff
- 3:36Speaker 2: game something like that. But you know, overall, I think
- 3:40Speaker 2: the you mentioned Liane Kiffen not having LSU and there
- 3:42Speaker 2: is interesting. But just Ohio State playing four of the
- 3:46Speaker 2: top fifteen teams is daunting and wholly unfair. Let's just
- 3:53Speaker 2: admit it now. But it's going to be a fun schedule,
- 3:57Speaker 2: I'll just say that. And looking at these like you
- 3:59Speaker 2: can put anybody against anybody and I'll watch it. Texas Tech,
- 4:02Speaker 2: I expect them once they get their quarterback healthy and going.
- 4:07Speaker 2: Everybody seems to be very high on what they can be.
- 4:09Speaker 2: We know they had one of the best defenses in
- 4:11Speaker 2: the nation last year and they've paid good money to
- 4:13Speaker 2: have one again.
- 4:15Speaker 1: And I will point out it is five of the
- 4:17Speaker 1: top fifteen for Ohio State because it's Texas, Indiana, Oregon,
- 4:20Speaker 1: USC and Michigan so and three of those on the road.
- 4:25Speaker 1: So we keep talking about Ohio State having a challenging schedule. Yep,
- 4:29Speaker 1: that's what that looks like. So all right, when you
- 4:32Speaker 1: get through all of that, here's what that would translate
- 4:35Speaker 1: to in terms of a college football playoff field. Number
- 4:39Speaker 1: nine Texas Tech visiting Alabama, number number twelve, Navy going
- 4:45Speaker 1: to Bloomington, Indiana, and boy go back in time about
- 4:48Speaker 1: five years and tell yourself, Navy and Indiana are going
- 4:51Speaker 1: to play a college football playoff game. One of them
- 4:54Speaker 1: is going to be the defending national champion, and watch
- 4:57Speaker 1: your mind fall out of your area, leak out of
- 4:59Speaker 1: your years. At number eleven USC taking on number six Oregon,
- 5:05Speaker 1: number ten BYU going to number seven Miami Boy Tony,
- 5:11Speaker 1: the Cougars and the Hurricanes. That is quite a culture
- 5:15Speaker 1: clash in addition to an on field matchup.
- 5:19Speaker 2: Is it just me? Or is it every time we
- 5:21Speaker 2: do these it looks like Ohio State has the worst road,
- 5:23Speaker 2: like the toughest road, and this one again, And now
- 5:27Speaker 2: I'm also thinking about the Indiana Navy game and if
- 5:31Speaker 2: Kurse Signetti starts to talk trash against Navy like that's
- 5:35Speaker 2: do you talking about America now? You want to you
- 5:37Speaker 2: want a bad mouth America, you can get on out.
- 5:39Speaker 2: And so it's gonna be interesting to see what, you know,
- 5:42Speaker 2: it would be interesting to see do they dial it back?
- 5:45Speaker 2: Do they have to dial it back in terms of
- 5:47Speaker 2: putting too many points on the board. But just the
- 5:49Speaker 2: idea of preparing for Navy for the playoffs is just
- 5:52Speaker 2: bad because then you've got to be ready to go
- 5:54Speaker 2: after them. So even though that may be the easiest game,
- 5:57Speaker 2: I don't know that it would be my first pick
- 6:00Speaker 2: to play in the first round of a playoff. But yeah,
- 6:04Speaker 2: the Oregon USC, which would be a rematch for Ohio State,
- 6:10Speaker 2: I'd kind of like to see something different now. Still,
- 6:15Speaker 2: these are two exciting teams to match up with, and
- 6:18Speaker 2: we've seen some good matchups with Oregon in the past,
- 6:21Speaker 2: and it's always fun to watch Ohio State play these
- 6:24Speaker 2: West Coast teams. But you know, do I want to
- 6:28Speaker 2: see them play a Big ten team in the quarterfinals,
- 6:31Speaker 2: Not necessarily unless it's Michigan.
- 6:34Speaker 1: Yeah, And we always say it would not be hard
- 6:37Speaker 1: for the committee to move a team one line on
- 6:40Speaker 1: here to avoid having a rematch, which would seem to
- 6:44Speaker 1: be in everyone's best interest in terms of narrative, in
- 6:46Speaker 1: terms of new and exciting matchups, and then they have
- 6:49Speaker 1: not done that in the past, so that remains something
- 6:52Speaker 1: that would be relatively easy for them to do. Slide
- 6:55Speaker 1: USC up to number ten and BYU down to number eleven,
- 6:58Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden boom, you've got a
- 6:59Speaker 1: couple new matchups. But that is not something they have
- 7:02Speaker 1: done in the past. I will say getting Navy on
- 7:05Speaker 1: a relatively short notice where you presumably you would guess
- 7:09Speaker 1: everyone will have scouted Navy like crazy, But that is
- 7:12Speaker 1: such a different offense to have to prep for. I
- 7:15Speaker 1: decided to pull while you were talking, pulled up Navy's
- 7:18Speaker 1: last five bowl games, and they have not played, you know,
- 7:22Speaker 1: fantastic competition in most of these five and zero in
- 7:25Speaker 1: their last five bowl games. They beat Cincinnati in the
- 7:28Speaker 1: twenty twenty five Liberty Bowl, beat Oklahoma in the twenty
- 7:31Speaker 1: twenty four Armed Forces Bowl, beat Kansas State in the
- 7:34Speaker 1: nineteen twenty nineteen Liberty Bowl, beat Virginia forty nine to
- 7:37Speaker 1: seven in the twenty seventeen Military Bowl, and they did
- 7:41Speaker 1: lose to louisianat Tack in the twenty sixteen Armed Forces Bowl,
- 7:44Speaker 1: but not a not a real fun offense to prepare
- 7:47Speaker 1: for on short notice. If they do get there.
- 7:50Speaker 2: And this would be much shorter notice.
- 7:52Speaker 1: Yes, this would be far shorter notice than even the
- 7:54Speaker 1: normal the normal setup, and they would, presumably if they
- 8:00Speaker 1: do this, have to play in the conference championship game
- 8:03Speaker 1: the first week of December, then the Army game in
- 8:06Speaker 1: the second week, then the first round of the College
- 8:09Speaker 1: Football Playoff in the third week, at which point that's
- 8:11Speaker 1: three incredibly emotional games all in a row. That would
- 8:15Speaker 1: be very, very challenging for them to do, but that's
- 8:18Speaker 1: one of the many challenges of the current setup with
- 8:21Speaker 1: Army Navy. So the potential matchups in the second round here,
- 8:25Speaker 1: you assume Alabama beats Texas Tech. If we just go
- 8:27Speaker 1: the higher ranked team wins Alabama Notre Dame in the quarterfinals, Indiana,
- 8:32Speaker 1: Texas in the quarterfinals, Oregon Ohio State in the quarterfinals,
- 8:36Speaker 1: and Miami and Georgia in the Mark Rick Bowl in
- 8:39Speaker 1: the quarterfinals. Then your potential semi finals Ohio State in Georgia,
- 8:43Speaker 1: Notre Dame, and Texas, and then your national championship game.
- 8:47Speaker 1: If the higher teams advance, Notre Dame and Georgia. But
- 8:51Speaker 1: boyd Notre Dame, those are four teams. If Notre Dame, Texas,
- 8:55Speaker 1: Ohio State, and Georgia are the final four, I think
- 8:58Speaker 1: that every TV execut in the nation is going to
- 9:01Speaker 1: be rubbing their hands together with glee at whatever those
- 9:04Speaker 1: TV numbers are going to look like.
- 9:05Speaker 2: Didn't this work out well for Ohio State in twenty
- 9:07Speaker 2: twenty four? This very same four? Yeh yeah, so yeah,
- 9:14Speaker 2: let's do it again. But some of these games, like Indiana,
- 9:18Speaker 2: it's fun to see them against new power or other powers,
- 9:21Speaker 2: like them being a new power. Seeing them against Texas
- 9:24Speaker 2: I think would be entertaining because we saw what happened
- 9:27Speaker 2: when they played in Miami, We've seen what happened when
- 9:28Speaker 2: they played Alabama. It's like, all right, let's just just
- 9:31Speaker 2: keep running through some programs and let's see what happens. Boy,
- 9:36Speaker 2: I think Notre Dame is going to be very, very
- 9:38Speaker 2: good this year, but it's still just hard to buy
- 9:42Speaker 2: them as the one running through everything. I don't know
- 9:46Speaker 2: how you feel about that.
- 9:48Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think their schedule was quite as difficult
- 9:50Speaker 1: that as it has been in the past. That has
- 9:53Speaker 1: to do a little bit with number eleven, USC backing
- 9:56Speaker 1: out of their longtime series in a real profile of
- 10:00Speaker 1: courage moment out of Lincoln Riley. But yeah, that that
- 10:04Speaker 1: that is a team that could have a relatively shiny
- 10:06Speaker 1: record without having a particularly brutal schedule. As far as
- 10:10Speaker 1: far as I can remember, I can pull it up
- 10:12Speaker 1: real quickly, but I don't remember. I don't remember them
- 10:15Speaker 1: having a particularly challenging schedule this year. But yeah, it
- 10:19Speaker 1: it feels like a I don't know.
- 10:21Speaker 3: Why I'm doing this, and I can just it's okay,
- 10:25Speaker 3: all right, hang on, I can just I can just
- 10:27Speaker 3: find it in the magazine and then I can edit
- 10:29Speaker 3: it out.
- 10:31Speaker 1: No, no, no, unless I.
- 10:32Speaker 3: Forget though, where do you have the independence.
- 10:41Speaker 2: Right before the MAC like I don't know, towards the
- 10:44Speaker 2: Mountain West then in Yukon. You got to find the
- 10:50Speaker 2: right two pages. This is why Notre Dame needs to
- 10:55Speaker 2: be in a conference.
- 10:56Speaker 3: This is why Notre Dame needs to be in a conference.
- 10:58Speaker 3: Jus bumpus sins.
- 11:02Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I asked, and I didn't. I didn't even ask.
- 11:05Speaker 3: You didn't before the AAC, before the Big twelve. Okay,
- 11:13Speaker 3: leave this in absolutely especially the bumpasses.
- 11:19Speaker 1: All right. So I have Notre Dame schedule in front
- 11:21Speaker 1: of me here. They play Wisconsin in Green Bay week one,
- 11:25Speaker 1: than Rice, then Michigan State, then at Purdue, then at
- 11:28Speaker 1: North Carolina, then home for Stanford at BYU. That's the
- 11:31Speaker 1: toughest game we've seen so far. Home for Navy, home
- 11:35Speaker 1: for Miami, home for Boston College, home for SMU, and
- 11:38Speaker 1: then at Syracuse. So it's not a brutal slate, it's
- 11:42Speaker 1: not a particularly light slate. You got some top fifteen
- 11:46Speaker 1: teams in there, but not any top five team. So
- 11:50Speaker 1: that's that's you know, sort of the big difference between
- 11:53Speaker 1: the Ohio State schedule and the Notre Dame schedule, but
- 11:55Speaker 1: certainly one where they could go eleven and one without
- 12:00Speaker 1: too much difficulty. And if they do, then yeah, you're
- 12:02Speaker 1: looking at You're looking at a Notre Dame team that
- 12:04Speaker 1: is right at the top and probably getting a getting
- 12:07Speaker 1: a first round by So there you go. Ay, look
- 12:09Speaker 1: at what the college football Playoff could look like this year.
- 12:13Speaker 1: We will see what it does look like this year,
- 12:15Speaker 1: and when we do see that, we will be seeing
- 12:17Speaker 1: it at Buckeyeinsiders dot Com. That's where we've got our
- 12:20Speaker 1: whole team covering Ohio State football, covering Ohio State basketball
- 12:24Speaker 1: and much much more. That site is getting close to launching.
- 12:27Speaker 1: If you want to know more, you can put in
- 12:29Speaker 1: your email address at Buckeye Insiders dot com. We'll send
- 12:31Speaker 1: out another email update shortly with hopefully eight an official
- 12:35Speaker 1: launch date coming very soon, as well as more exciting
- 12:38Speaker 1: news about what's coming there. And also thanks to our
- 12:41Speaker 1: friends at Jeffrubys of Columbus, the award wing upscale steakhouse
- 12:43Speaker 1: in downtown Columbus name one of the top fifty steakhouses
- 12:46Speaker 1: in America by Food Network. Just go to Jeffruby dot
- 12:48Speaker 1: com slash Columbus to check out the menu and make
- 12:50Speaker 1: a reservation today. That'll do it for today. Thank you
- 12:53Speaker 1: guys all for joining us. Have a great day. We'll
- 12:55Speaker 1: talk to you tomorrow.