Latest / The 47 Morning Update with Ben Ferguson / GOP Gaining Midterm Momentum, Sen. Cruz Does A Deep Dive Into All The Major Races You Need To Watch!

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GOP Gaining Midterm Momentum, Sen. Cruz Does A Deep Dive Into All The Major Races You Need To Watch! · The 47 Morning Update with Ben Ferguson

0:00
Speaker 1: We're just days away from the biggest midterm election that
0:03
Speaker 1: we've had in a long time when it comes to
0:05
Speaker 1: fighting for America. Plus, the Senator called out some people
0:10
Speaker 1: on the View, including Hillary Clinton and Chelsea's fighting back.
0:13
Speaker 1: And finally, what do you need to do to get
0:15
Speaker 1: ready for election day? And how are the races looking?
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Speaker 1: This is verdict with Ted Cruz, Senator. We're just days
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Speaker 1: away from a midterm election. You've been barnstorming the country
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Speaker 1: helping so many candidates, and we're going to talk about
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Speaker 1: how to really look at this Senate race and the
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Speaker 1: House and if we're going to flip in a moment.
0:33
Speaker 1: But there was something special that happened. There is a
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Speaker 1: video that has been put out that is a montage
0:39
Speaker 1: of the View lying about your appearance and Chelsea Clinton
0:43
Speaker 1: coming after you. This had to make you laugh and
0:47
Speaker 1: smile a little bit. See Chelsea Clinton try to rewrite
0:49
Speaker 1: history and you got to bust her out. Well. Look,
0:51
Speaker 1: as we talked about earlier on the pod, going on
0:54
Speaker 1: the View was amazing. Fund They're not used to anyone
0:57
Speaker 1: challenging them. They're not used to anyone presenting anything other
1:00
Speaker 1: than the hard left partisan prop again, and they kind
1:03
Speaker 1: of lost their mind and they couldn't let it go.
1:07
Speaker 1: So even though we got into it a week ago,
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Speaker 1: the last few days they had Chelsea Clinton on and
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Speaker 1: they asked her about what I had said, and in
1:15
Speaker 1: particular that Hillary Clinton had gone on their show and
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Speaker 1: it said that President Trump's election was illegitimate, and they well,
1:25
Speaker 1: watch what Chelsea said, Hey, look at this, it's hysterical.
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Speaker 1: Senator Ted Cruz, who was here on the show when
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Speaker 1: we pressed him on the Maga Republican's election denial, he
1:35
Speaker 1: did whip out some sort of prop and he argued
1:37
Speaker 1: that your mother did the same thing. I do think
1:41
Speaker 1: that he knows that he's an illegitimate president. What's your
1:47
Speaker 1: last funny? So I'm pretty sure that I remembered that.
1:49
Speaker 1: Next day, I was standing behind her when she conceded, yes,
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Speaker 1: he's an illegitimate president, and that she said while she
1:55
Speaker 1: had campaigned very hard against President Trump, she hoped that
2:00
Speaker 1: he would be a president for all Americans, illegitimate president.
2:03
Speaker 1: You know, I think that Senator Cruz just might have
2:05
Speaker 1: a slightly different memory of that. I do think that
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Speaker 1: he knows that he's an illegitimate president. They sat here,
2:15
Speaker 1: yes and said it was Jill legitimate, and you guys,
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Speaker 1: we're fine with it. I do think that he knows
2:22
Speaker 1: that he's an illegitimate president, and because of that, the
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Speaker 1: chairman of the January sixth committee objected to a prior
2:31
Speaker 1: presidential election. Representative Raskin, the lead prosecutor for the impeachment,
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Speaker 1: objected to a prior presidential about hypocrisy. Anytime a Republican
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Speaker 1: is in front of a TV camera, try to say
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Speaker 1: the election was fair and square and legitimate. You know who,
2:47
Speaker 1: y'all don't do that too. You don't do it to
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Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton, who stood up and said Trump, it's a fact.
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Speaker 1: There's the video. I hope everyone will share this video,
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Speaker 1: put it out on social media, share the pie cast,
3:00
Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. Please share this moment because
3:03
Speaker 1: it's just a great example of where we are, not
3:06
Speaker 1: only with the media, but also with a Democratic party.
3:09
Speaker 1: They know they can go on these shows say whatever
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Speaker 1: they want to say, and they will always give them cover,
3:14
Speaker 1: even if the lie was told on the same show. Well,
3:17
Speaker 1: and look at it is interesting. Chelsea was lying on
3:23
Speaker 1: behalf of her mother and the media host were trying
3:26
Speaker 1: to help her. So what I said was Hillary Clinton
3:30
Speaker 1: came on the View and said Donald Trump's selection was illegitimate,
3:35
Speaker 1: and in fact the hosts agreed with it. Now, mind you,
3:37
Speaker 1: when I said it last week, Whoopie Goldberg immediately chimes
3:40
Speaker 1: in it was so they still think Trump's selection was illegitimate.
3:44
Speaker 1: They don't back away from it at all. They're happy
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Speaker 1: to embrace their double standard. And what Chelsea answers a
3:52
Speaker 1: non sequitor where she says, well, I was behind my
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Speaker 1: mom when she gave a speech. Okay, I didn't say
3:57
Speaker 1: she gave a speech, or didn't I said she went
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Speaker 1: on the View and said the election was a legitimate
4:01
Speaker 1: that he was an illegitimate president. And it is a
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Speaker 1: deliberate strategy of partisan Democrats to say things that are
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Speaker 1: just flat out false. Why because the fawning propagandists of
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Speaker 1: the media will amplify it. There is an objective answer.
4:19
Speaker 1: Did Hillary Clinton say on the View to rapturous applause
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Speaker 1: and happiness from the left wing host that Donald Trump
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Speaker 1: was an illegitimate president? There is an answer. The answer
4:32
Speaker 1: is yes, and no amount of spinning can change that.
4:35
Speaker 1: Even this week concern me because we now know that
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Speaker 1: apparently the FBI is already looking into misinformation and disinformation
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Speaker 1: to affect the midterm elections. It's almost like they're getting
4:45
Speaker 1: their game plan ready, which is if we lose the
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Speaker 1: House and we lose the Senate center that immediately it's
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Speaker 1: the fault of some sort of propagandists Russia or whatever
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Speaker 1: country they want to bring up now to say this
4:58
Speaker 1: wasn't a legitimate election, and we're going to undermine the
5:00
Speaker 1: victory of Republicans and undermine the votes of every American
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Speaker 1: that clearly seem to be leaning towards we want to change.
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Speaker 1: I think that's exactly right. They cannot accept election. Democrats
5:12
Speaker 1: have challenged every Republican presidential election since the year two thousand.
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Speaker 1: That has been their pattern over and over again, and
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Speaker 1: Hillary setting the stage. When Democrats lose in twenty twenty two,
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Speaker 1: they're gonna say it's illegitimate. When Democrats losing twenty twenty four,
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Speaker 1: they're gonna say it's illegitimate, and all throughout they're going
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Speaker 1: to say it's the Republicans who are the election deniers.
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Speaker 1: We just think anytime we lose, it's illegitimate. I want
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Speaker 1: to do a deep dive, and I'm calling an audible
5:35
Speaker 1: here because I think you just mentioned saying it's so important.
5:38
Speaker 1: Is it the job of the DOJ, of the FBI
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Speaker 1: to spend as much time as they're spending as they
5:45
Speaker 1: claim they're spending saying or claiming or looking into election,
5:50
Speaker 1: you know, interference the way that they say that it's
5:53
Speaker 1: out there. I mean, this has become an obsession. I
5:55
Speaker 1: can't even imagine how much money they're spending on this.
5:58
Speaker 1: We all know that foreign government try to interfere in elections.
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Speaker 1: I think it's pretty clear right now. The conversation we're
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Speaker 1: having in America is there's no third world country or
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Speaker 1: a major country that's influencing people's opinions right now. How
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Speaker 1: concerned are you that our actual government is spending this
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Speaker 1: much time involved in our elections. Well, I'm concerned enough
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Speaker 1: that I wrote a book that came out this last
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Speaker 1: week called Justice Corrupted. How the Left has weaponized the
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Speaker 1: legal system. And under Barack Obama now under Joe Biden,
6:27
Speaker 1: the DOJ and the FBI and the IRS and the
6:29
Speaker 1: CIA and the alphabet Soup of Washington has turned into
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Speaker 1: a partisan weapon for the Democrats. Look in the two
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Speaker 1: thousand election, we saw senior officials for the FBI go
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Speaker 1: to Facebook and ask them to pull down the Hunter
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Speaker 1: Biden laptop story. The Hunter Biden laptop story, which not
6:51
Speaker 1: only wasn't misinformation, we now know what's true, so it
6:54
Speaker 1: was literally they were political emissaries. Now it is a
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Speaker 1: special category of information online that Big Tech historically has
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Speaker 1: deeply disfavored. It's what I call true but bad for Democrats,
7:08
Speaker 1: and true but bad for Democrats is their favorite category
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Speaker 1: of quote misinformation to suppress. And in that instance, you
7:16
Speaker 1: literally had the FBI, mind you, the FBI while Trump
7:21
Speaker 1: was president. So it's the deep state. It's the career,
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Speaker 1: senior career positions that have been infested with hard, vicious
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Speaker 1: partisans who viewed their job. We must take down the
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Speaker 1: elected president of the United States because we disagree with them,
7:37
Speaker 1: and it's our job to topple the president. And Big
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Speaker 1: Tech was more than happy to salute and say, not
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Speaker 1: only will we take the content down, we will punish
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Speaker 1: any media outlet that reports on it. I mean, that's
7:49
Speaker 1: the amazing thing is is the traditional media outlets have
7:54
Speaker 1: completely handed their spines to Big Tech. Big Tech now
8:00
Speaker 1: controls on the Hunter Boden laptop. Big Tech said, we
8:03
Speaker 1: will ban you if you report on it and all
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Speaker 1: of the supposed you know, the Woodward and Bernsteins of
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Speaker 1: the world. Yeah, they are now just minor little employees
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Speaker 1: for Silicon Valley billionaires. And if you actually care about journalism,
8:18
Speaker 1: that ought to trouble you deeply. But the left doesn't
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Speaker 1: care about journalism. No, they don't. And I think it's
8:23
Speaker 1: very clear heading into the midterms how much water they're
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Speaker 1: willing to carry for Democrats, hoping that they can somehow
8:29
Speaker 1: pull out some victories in some seats that they're desperate
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Speaker 1: to hold on too, so they don't lose total control
8:33
Speaker 1: of the House as well as the sent at the
8:35
Speaker 1: same time, and I want to get into how you
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Speaker 1: watch election night and what are the most important races
8:41
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8:42
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Speaker 1: code Verdict Center. I want to get into the midterms,
10:02
Speaker 1: and there is a real concern now that we might
10:06
Speaker 1: not be able to grab the Senate. I think there's
10:08
Speaker 1: some confidence that we are going to be able to
10:10
Speaker 1: grab the house. Let's start with your prediction on the
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Speaker 1: Senate and what are the races that people really need
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Speaker 1: to be focusing on. Yeah, so I am very confident
10:19
Speaker 1: about this election. I think it's going to be a
10:21
Speaker 1: really good election. In the House. I think we're going
10:24
Speaker 1: to get a majority, and I think even potentially a
10:27
Speaker 1: big majority of a majority that could be thirty forty
10:29
Speaker 1: fifty seats. We'll talk about the House in a minute.
10:31
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Senate. I think we'll take the Senate,
10:34
Speaker 1: and I think we'll get either fifty three or fifty
10:37
Speaker 1: four seats in the Senate. Now that's gone up since
10:39
Speaker 1: just a couple weeks ago. I was fifty three. I've
10:42
Speaker 1: moved it. I'd say up fifty three or fifty four.
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Speaker 1: I'm probably fifty three and a half is where i'd
10:47
Speaker 1: put it right now. And let me walk you through
10:49
Speaker 1: because this is these races are specific, and most of
10:52
Speaker 1: these candidates. I've been on the ground in the middle
10:55
Speaker 1: of our seventeen state national bus tour, so I've been
10:57
Speaker 1: campaigning in almost all these states. Let's break it into
11:01
Speaker 1: three categories. Let's start with pickup opportunities, then let's start
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Speaker 1: with defense, and finally, I want to throw out a
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Speaker 1: couple of wild cards. Pickup, we have really six credible
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Speaker 1: pickup opportunities. Nevada is the number one pickup opportunity in
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Speaker 1: the country. I think we're gonna win Nevada. Adam lak
11:21
Speaker 1: Salt is the nominee. Adam was the Attorney general. Adam
11:23
Speaker 1: is a good friend. Adam is a conservative. He's running
11:26
Speaker 1: against Catherine Cortes Masto. Nevada is historically a purple state.
11:31
Speaker 1: Polling in that race is pretty consistently shown lack Salt
11:36
Speaker 1: up three to four points. Not overwhelming, but it's been
11:39
Speaker 1: pretty consistent. Cortes Mastow is vulnerable. She votes with Joe
11:42
Speaker 1: Biden almost one hundred percent of the time. She does
11:45
Speaker 1: not have much of a presence in the state. I
11:48
Speaker 1: think Nevada is and lack Salt is also a really
11:51
Speaker 1: good candidate. And I do think candidate discipline matters. Having
11:55
Speaker 1: someone who knows how to run a campaign, knows how
11:57
Speaker 1: to not say stupid things and blow themselves up, that matters.
12:00
Speaker 1: I think Adam is bang on message, an amazing job
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Speaker 1: of staying on message in that race. Adam has also
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Speaker 1: done a really good job of unifying the hardcore Trump
12:10
Speaker 1: supporters in the state and the Republicans who are not
12:13
Speaker 1: as keen about Donald Trump, and that's just a difficult
12:16
Speaker 1: dynamic for any candidate running because you've got different slices
12:19
Speaker 1: of Republicans and to get to fifty you usually need
12:23
Speaker 1: to get them all together. Adam's done a good job
12:25
Speaker 1: of bridging that without without causing any internal battles. So
12:30
Speaker 1: I think Nevada is the number one pickup opportunity in
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Speaker 1: the country. I think the number two pickup opportunity in
12:33
Speaker 1: the country is Georgia. Georgia. Herschel Walker is running against
12:39
Speaker 1: Raphael Warnock. Look, Walker has the reverend. Don't forget the
12:43
Speaker 1: reverend guy that makes more money being a reverend at church.
12:45
Speaker 1: He doesn't really go too very often than he does
12:47
Speaker 1: in the US Senate. You know it is. I was
12:50
Speaker 1: just with Herschel a couple of days ago. We did
12:53
Speaker 1: a couple of big rallies on the ground in Georgia.
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Speaker 1: I was really encouraged the rallies. We had huge crowds,
13:00
Speaker 1: incredible enthusiasm. I was talking to Herschel. He and I
13:03
Speaker 1: grabbed some barbecue for lunch and we were talking about
13:06
Speaker 1: how the crowds are markedly different from what the Georgia
13:12
Speaker 1: crowds were in the runoff two years ago. So I
13:15
Speaker 1: was there campaigning for Purdue and Leffler, and I have
13:19
Speaker 1: to admit the results didn't surprise me because you could
13:22
Speaker 1: see when you were there, you can feel it. They
13:24
Speaker 1: were demoralized, they were pissed, they were depressed. You'd show
13:31
Speaker 1: up with a Senate candidate in Georgia and the activists
13:34
Speaker 1: are yelling at them like they were angry. And listen,
13:39
Speaker 1: it is a reality. If your voters stay home, you
13:41
Speaker 1: lose elections. And that Georgia runoff Republicans stayed home. It's
13:47
Speaker 1: night and day. The energy and enthusiasm. And listen Herschel,
13:51
Speaker 1: Herschel's or rock star. I gotta say also, I campaigned
13:54
Speaker 1: with Herschel a couple of months ago. The difference between
13:57
Speaker 1: a couple of months ago and now Hersch was on fire.
14:01
Speaker 1: I was really impressed. He's gotten He's never you know.
14:05
Speaker 1: Part of it is I think Warnock pissed him off
14:08
Speaker 1: because it's gotten so nasty, it's gotten so personal. They've
14:11
Speaker 1: gone after him, they've gone after his family. I think
14:16
Speaker 1: Kerschel has responded, he's gotten angry, he's standing up. I
14:19
Speaker 1: think he went after and debated Warnock effectively. Warnock came in.
14:24
Speaker 1: Warnock maybe the candidate with the greatest divergence between his
14:30
Speaker 1: voting record and the voters of that state. I think
14:32
Speaker 1: George is a fundamentally read state and Warnock is a
14:36
Speaker 1: hardcore leftist. He's one of the most liberal Democrats in
14:40
Speaker 1: the Senate. At the end of the day, that divergence
14:43
Speaker 1: is significant, and I think Walker wins. The question is
14:48
Speaker 1: going to be does Walker break fifty percent, because we
14:51
Speaker 1: could see an outcome there's a third party candidate. We
14:54
Speaker 1: could see an outcome where Walker wins and say has
14:58
Speaker 1: forty nine percent and Warnock has forty seven percent, which
15:04
Speaker 1: sends us to another runoff. And so one possible outcome
15:07
Speaker 1: that nobody wants to see is another Georgia runoff that
15:10
Speaker 1: could conceivably decide control of the Senate. I hope that
15:13
Speaker 1: doesn't happen. It is not certain whether Herschel will break
15:17
Speaker 1: fifty this time around. I'd really like him to break
15:19
Speaker 1: fifty and just be done with it. Sure, that's the
15:22
Speaker 1: second best pick of opportunity. The next tier is two
15:26
Speaker 1: other races, and that's Arizona and New Hampshire. Arizona's Blake Masters.
15:31
Speaker 1: He's running against Mark Kelly, Mark Kelly is a very
15:36
Speaker 1: effective candidate. He's a Navy Veteran's an astronaut. You know,
15:40
Speaker 1: he looks like Captain America, and his campaign adds he
15:46
Speaker 1: might as well be Donald Trump. He's running as a
15:48
Speaker 1: conservative's Mark Kelly secures the border. Now, mind you, every
15:53
Speaker 1: single time, one hundred percent without exception, when it comes
15:56
Speaker 1: to a vote, Mark Kelly votes rope and borders like
15:59
Speaker 1: it is the most But if it was bizarre thing
16:02
Speaker 1: you've seen, and I got to give credit to his
16:04
Speaker 1: campaign as political campaign. They figured out what the people
16:07
Speaker 1: wanted to hear, and they have a candidate that's effective
16:10
Speaker 1: at telling you that that's who he is, even though
16:12
Speaker 1: that's not what his voting record actually is at all. Yep. Well,
16:15
Speaker 1: that was something that Herschel and I were talking about
16:18
Speaker 1: when I was campaigning with him, which is that Democrats
16:22
Speaker 1: win when they lie effectively. Republicans win when we tell
16:25
Speaker 1: the truth effectively. Because the policy views of Democrats are
16:32
Speaker 1: wildly out of step with the voters. So the Democrats
16:35
Speaker 1: that are really effective campaigners are the ones that pretend
16:37
Speaker 1: they don't believe what they actually believe. Sure, on the
16:39
Speaker 1: other hand, Republicans win when we effectively cut through the
16:43
Speaker 1: media lies and explain what it is that we in
16:46
Speaker 1: fact believe. Look, Blake masters, he went through a really
16:49
Speaker 1: rough primary and then came out of the primary with
16:55
Speaker 1: no money. And so a month ago Blake was down
16:58
Speaker 1: probably eight ten points points, and there were some national
17:02
Speaker 1: Republicans who were writing the race off and saying it
17:04
Speaker 1: can't be one. The recent polling that we have shows
17:08
Speaker 1: the race effectively tied. Now Mark Kelly has unlimited cash
17:12
Speaker 1: and he's spent I think over sixty million dollars hammering Blake,
17:16
Speaker 1: and it's incredible claiming to be someone he's not. I
17:19
Speaker 1: think Blake has a real good shot at winning that race,
17:21
Speaker 1: and I'm I've campaigned there, did a big rally with him.
17:26
Speaker 1: One of the reasons that I think Blake is more
17:30
Speaker 1: likely than not to win that race is Kerry Lake
17:33
Speaker 1: is going to win governor and that's actually one of
17:35
Speaker 1: the reasons I think Herschel is going to win and
17:37
Speaker 1: both of those states you've got, Kemp is going to win.
17:41
Speaker 1: In Georgia, he could win eight nine ten points if
17:45
Speaker 1: that happens. I have a hard time envisioning who is
17:50
Speaker 1: the Georgia voter who goes in and votes for Kemp,
17:53
Speaker 1: And yeah, I would say that. And there's are two
17:56
Speaker 1: totally polar opposite candidates at the same time, and you
17:59
Speaker 1: have a hard time imagining that you would actually be
18:02
Speaker 1: that deliberate and say Republican here for governor, liberal liberal,
18:07
Speaker 1: hardcore democrat for Senate. You know, guy who's praised Fidel Castro.
18:10
Speaker 1: I mean that that hardcore socialist. There is some risk
18:16
Speaker 1: in Georgia there will be some voters who vote for
18:18
Speaker 1: Camp and don't vote in Senate. Yeah, that's possible if
18:23
Speaker 1: Kemp is winning eight nine ten points. I just don't
18:25
Speaker 1: believe it's going to be eight nine ten points of
18:27
Speaker 1: the electorate. Same thing in Arizona. Carry Lake is a
18:30
Speaker 1: really strong candidate. I went and turned into rock star.
18:32
Speaker 1: You've been around her, you spent time with her. I
18:35
Speaker 1: think she's one of those candidates that you say, oh like,
18:39
Speaker 1: not just oh as a governor, like, oh like, this
18:42
Speaker 1: could be a new voice in the conservative movement. Yet
18:44
Speaker 1: she is already a star. When she wins, she's going
18:46
Speaker 1: to be a bigger star. I did a big rally
18:48
Speaker 1: with both her and Blake. She's very impressive. The polling
18:53
Speaker 1: there shows her pretty consistently up about four to five points.
18:57
Speaker 1: I think if Lake wins by five points, Blake wins. Also,
19:01
Speaker 1: if Lake only wins by two or three points, Blake
19:04
Speaker 1: could lose that race. So it depends on movement. But
19:07
Speaker 1: Arizona is a very winnable race. The next state that
19:11
Speaker 1: we have a decent shot at is New Hampshire. New Hampshire.
19:15
Speaker 1: The Republican nominee is General Don Buldock. He was a
19:19
Speaker 1: retired general served thirty plus years of the military. New
19:24
Speaker 1: Hampshire is a purple state. The incumbent Democrat, Maggie Hassan,
19:30
Speaker 1: I think is quite vulnerable. Her approval rating is consistently
19:36
Speaker 1: below fifty percent. Joe Biden's approval rating in the state
19:40
Speaker 1: is terrible. I think it's in the thirties. I was
19:42
Speaker 1: just saying in the thirties last week when I was
19:44
Speaker 1: looking at that race. Bulldock doesn't have much money and
19:48
Speaker 1: the National Republicans haven't been putting a whole lot of
19:50
Speaker 1: money into it. Both Arizona and New Hampshire have been
19:54
Speaker 1: on the short end of the stick with battles with
19:57
Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell and his superpack. Not sure whether they're going
20:01
Speaker 1: to invest or not. And so you know our number
20:05
Speaker 1: three on number four pickup opportunity. We're sending our candidates
20:09
Speaker 1: into fights where they're being out spent three to one,
20:13
Speaker 1: five to one, ten to one. The money differential is massive.
20:17
Speaker 1: But I think Bulldock could be one of the real
20:20
Speaker 1: surprises on election night because he has not been given
20:24
Speaker 1: the resources frankly needed to make that state fully competitive.
20:27
Speaker 1: But I think it would not surprise me at all
20:30
Speaker 1: to see General Bulldock win that race despite not having
20:34
Speaker 1: the reinforcements he needed. When you see that, there's a
20:36
Speaker 1: lot of people that are going to be listening and
20:38
Speaker 1: watching and they're gonna say, there we go again the
20:41
Speaker 1: Republican you know leadership screwing this up. How frustrating is
20:45
Speaker 1: it when you see opportunities like this New Hampshire being
20:47
Speaker 1: a sleeper race and having these you know kingmakers as
20:51
Speaker 1: I call them, like, Nope, we've already said that one's
20:53
Speaker 1: impossible to come back from. It's going to go to
20:55
Speaker 1: the Democrats. We're moving on to these other races when
20:58
Speaker 1: in reality they should have died there early on. Well
21:01
Speaker 1: there's a reason for that, which is the single largest
21:04
Speaker 1: funder of Republican Senate candidates as Mitch McConnell's superpack. Mitch
21:09
Speaker 1: puts all of his money behind moderates and incumbents, and
21:12
Speaker 1: conservatives get left alone. Conservatives get star for resources, and
21:17
Speaker 1: Republican donors give to that superpack knowing that that's not
21:21
Speaker 1: going to go to conservatives. And right now I'm trying
21:24
Speaker 1: to fill that void in house races, and in house
21:26
Speaker 1: races I'm backing conservatives because Republican leadership does the same thing.
21:30
Speaker 1: They back moderates, they don't back conservatives with anywhere near
21:34
Speaker 1: the same financial resources. And so look, part of the
21:37
Speaker 1: reason why Arizona and New Hampshire not getting the funding
21:40
Speaker 1: that they deserve is that both of those candidates are
21:45
Speaker 1: strongly aligned with Donald Trump, and Republican leadership doesn't like that.
21:50
Speaker 1: My view is, I want to win and have a
21:52
Speaker 1: majority of strong conservatives, and I think it was a
21:57
Speaker 1: mistake not to invest more vigorous slee in both Arizona
22:02
Speaker 1: and New Hampshire. Look, Arizona, you had an added complication
22:06
Speaker 1: in that Blake Master's main financial donors, Peter Teele, someone
22:12
Speaker 1: I know very very well. Peter and Mitch McConnell were
22:16
Speaker 1: each look eat each other going, you fund the race. No,
22:18
Speaker 1: you fund the race, And for a long time they
22:21
Speaker 1: left Blake out there gasping for air. I talked at
22:26
Speaker 1: that point, right, I'm like, I don't care who funds
22:27
Speaker 1: the race, but somebody fund the damn race, because let's
22:30
Speaker 1: not give away a win. I think we could end
22:33
Speaker 1: up winning both those states anyway, but there needs to
22:35
Speaker 1: be a serious discussion about how to ensure that strong
22:40
Speaker 1: conservative candidates actually have the funds to communicate our messages.
22:45
Speaker 1: All right, Two more pickup opportunities that are long shots
22:48
Speaker 1: but but not impossible, Colorado and Washington State. Colorado has
22:55
Speaker 1: also been a purple to blue state, but in a
22:58
Speaker 1: good year, a Republican can win in Colorado. Cory Gardner
23:01
Speaker 1: in twenty fourteen was elected in Colorado. Joe O'Day, who's running,
23:07
Speaker 1: I think, is a good candidate. I think Michael Bennett,
23:10
Speaker 1: the incumbent, is very vulnerable. He's done nothing in his
23:15
Speaker 1: entire time in the Senate. He is an empty suit.
23:18
Speaker 1: He is not well known in the state. Colorado has
23:23
Speaker 1: gotten bumpier because O'Day and Trump are in a pissing match,
23:27
Speaker 1: and it, you know, it makes you want to just
23:31
Speaker 1: just jump out a window. O'Day foolishly went on a
23:37
Speaker 1: Sunday show and when asked about twenty twenty four, said, no,
23:40
Speaker 1: Trump shouldn't run, and I will oppose him if he does. Now,
23:45
Speaker 1: you might say, okay, if you're trying to appeal to
23:47
Speaker 1: moderate independence, squish Colorado voters, Yeah, I understand why you
23:51
Speaker 1: would say that. Still a bad move. Well, and it's
23:55
Speaker 1: a bad move because if you understand the universe in
23:59
Speaker 1: which we live, Donald Trump reacts to things like that,
24:03
Speaker 1: and so Trump, I think, the next day, immediately came
24:06
Speaker 1: out blasting O'Day and telling Republicans don't vote for the guy.
24:11
Speaker 1: And you're just sitting there going, okay, great, So we're
24:13
Speaker 1: going to elect the Democrat who votes pretty much one
24:17
Speaker 1: hundred percent of the time with Schumer and Biden. You know,
24:23
Speaker 1: O'Day would not be conservative in Texas, but in Colorado,
24:28
Speaker 1: it'd be a great pickup in Colorado. I want people
24:31
Speaker 1: to vote for Joe O'Day because I want Chuck Schumer
24:34
Speaker 1: out of power. I wish O'Day had had the judgment
24:39
Speaker 1: just not to poke the bear. Just don't don't piss
24:44
Speaker 1: off Trump, because the races we lose are races where
24:48
Speaker 1: there's a pissing match between the Republican candidate and Trump.
24:52
Speaker 1: It's a seven inflicted wound almost every time when you
24:54
Speaker 1: look at this map at this point, and do I
24:56
Speaker 1: wish Trump would exercise the restraint not to take a
25:00
Speaker 1: bat to him. Yes, but he's not going to, so
25:03
Speaker 1: I might wish that all I want. He's not going to.
25:06
Speaker 1: So that means a candidate ought to have the sense. Look,
25:10
Speaker 1: it would have been very easy for a Day to say,
25:14
Speaker 1: I'm not going to worry about twenty twenty four. It's
25:16
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. I'm on the ballot. The countries in crisis,
25:19
Speaker 1: we've got to win. This is where anytime you have
25:23
Speaker 1: first time candidates, you're rolling the dice. I talked about
25:26
Speaker 1: Adam Laxalton, what I like about him. He's a discipline candidate.
25:30
Speaker 1: Adam wouldn't have said that. It's a dumb thing for
25:34
Speaker 1: a candidate to say, But first time candidates make that
25:37
Speaker 1: mistake because they don't game gameplay through. Okay, if I
25:41
Speaker 1: say this, what happens, what had caused and effect, that's
25:44
Speaker 1: exactly right. So I don't think the chances in Colorado
25:49
Speaker 1: are zero, But unfortunately it's gotten messier. I'm less optimistic
25:54
Speaker 1: on Colorado now that I was two weeks ago. Still possible,
25:57
Speaker 1: but it would take a really good, really good year,
26:01
Speaker 1: and it would take a lot of Republicans being willing
26:04
Speaker 1: to say, look, I'm going to overlook this fight between
26:07
Speaker 1: him and Trump. Yeah, I will say, by the way,
26:12
Speaker 1: I wish Trump was spending some of his money. Trump's
26:15
Speaker 1: got one hundred million dollars and he's spending almost none
26:17
Speaker 1: of it to support these candidates. That is not ideal
26:20
Speaker 1: when Mitch McConnell only spends for the moderates of the
26:23
Speaker 1: anti Trump candidates. It would be nice if Trump would
26:26
Speaker 1: spend some of that one hundred million dollars to help
26:28
Speaker 1: some of these candidates who Mitch is abandoning because they're
26:32
Speaker 1: pro Trump. Those are the two pockets of money that
26:35
Speaker 1: are there, and right now, neither of them are spending
26:39
Speaker 1: in a number of these states. They're not all right.
26:42
Speaker 1: So those are the six realistic pickup opportunities. Where are
26:48
Speaker 1: we on defense? We're on defense in six states. So
26:51
Speaker 1: these are states that are currently Republican but we could lose.
26:54
Speaker 1: We're at fifty fifty, so we need a net of
26:56
Speaker 1: plus one to take control of the Senate, the most
27:00
Speaker 1: vulnerable incumbent Republican is Ron Johnson and Wisconsin, which is
27:04
Speaker 1: shocking because he's a very conservative guy. He's been leading
27:08
Speaker 1: on the issue of Hunter Biden and the Biden investigation
27:12
Speaker 1: and some of the documents. We've been seeing more and
27:14
Speaker 1: more come out about that in the last week or two.
27:16
Speaker 1: I hope that helps him in that state. Why is
27:18
Speaker 1: he so vulnerable though, because Wisconsin's a purple state. I mean,
27:22
Speaker 1: Wisconsin is always a purple state. It's evenly divided. You've
27:25
Speaker 1: got some very liberal voters there, You've got some very
27:28
Speaker 1: conservative voters there. It's a very blue collar state. So
27:33
Speaker 1: I think Ron's gonna win. And actually the current polling
27:36
Speaker 1: shows him up four to five points. He's been pretty consistently.
27:40
Speaker 1: The polling has been stronger both of Ron's previous elections.
27:44
Speaker 1: He shocked the world by winning because the polsters and
27:47
Speaker 1: the pundits at all City was gonna lose, and he
27:49
Speaker 1: won twice in a row. I like Ron. Ron is
27:52
Speaker 1: one of my closer friends in the Senate. He's a
27:54
Speaker 1: strong conservative, He's a fighter. I've gone and campaigned with
27:57
Speaker 1: Ron and Wisconsin. I think we're gonna win with consint.
28:00
Speaker 1: It helps that Mandela Barnes, the Democrat, is really far
28:04
Speaker 1: out there. He's been really vocal in favor of cash
28:07
Speaker 1: less bail and abolishing the police. He's one of these
28:10
Speaker 1: AOC socialists who the Democrats nominated, and I think that's
28:16
Speaker 1: out a step with Wisconsin. So I feel pretty good
28:19
Speaker 1: Ron will hold that seat. It's it's still seriously contested,
28:23
Speaker 1: but I think we'll hold on to that. The next
28:27
Speaker 1: most likely Republican seat for us to lose is Pennsylvania.
28:32
Speaker 1: Pennsylvania right now is held by Pat Toomey. It's a
28:34
Speaker 1: Republican seat. Like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania is a purple state. It
28:38
Speaker 1: can vote Republican, it can vote Democrat. Right now, it
28:41
Speaker 1: has one Democrat senator one Republican senator. That race has
28:47
Speaker 1: been bumpy. Doctor Oz, the Republican candidate, had a vigorous
28:54
Speaker 1: primary with another candidate, Dave McCormick, who I supported the primary.
28:58
Speaker 1: I think would have been a very strong nominee. But
29:00
Speaker 1: ozwe Oz had for a couple of months a pretty
29:06
Speaker 1: bumpy general election campaign against John Fetterman, and he was
29:11
Speaker 1: down ten points over a month ago. The race right
29:15
Speaker 1: now is basically tied, so Oz has had a very
29:19
Speaker 1: good month and Fetterman has had a terrible month. You
29:23
Speaker 1: mentioned Feederman having a terrible month. Part of it is is, yes,
29:26
Speaker 1: he had this stroke. Part of it was the debate
29:29
Speaker 1: that he had. We talked about that on a previous verdict,
29:33
Speaker 1: which was why would you even debate if you're clearly
29:35
Speaker 1: in that in that place cognitively having a very hard
29:39
Speaker 1: time communicating. But now he's got another big problem, and
29:42
Speaker 1: that is he's screwing up on issues, fracking being number one.
29:47
Speaker 1: I want people to take a look at this video
29:49
Speaker 1: because this may be why he loses this race. Take
29:52
Speaker 1: a look. In a twenty eighteen interview, you said, quote,
29:56
Speaker 1: I don't support fracking at all. I never have. But
29:59
Speaker 1: earlier this you told an interview or quote, I support fracking.
30:03
Speaker 1: I support the energy independence that we should have here
30:06
Speaker 1: in the United States. I've always supported fracking, and I
30:10
Speaker 1: always believe that independence with our energy is critical and
30:14
Speaker 1: we can't be held you know, you ransom to somebody
30:18
Speaker 1: like Russia. But there is that twenty eighteen interview that
30:21
Speaker 1: you said, quote, I don't support fracking at all. So
30:24
Speaker 1: how do you square the two. I do support fracking,
30:32
Speaker 1: and I don't, I don't, I support fracking, and I
30:38
Speaker 1: stand and I do support fracking. There's nothing worse than
30:42
Speaker 1: a flip flop in politics, especially on an issue that's
30:45
Speaker 1: so important in Pennsylvania and fracking. The only thing I
30:48
Speaker 1: think now that I realize is worse than that is
30:50
Speaker 1: an incoherent flip flop. And this was that moment in
30:53
Speaker 1: that race where I was like, it's not just that
30:55
Speaker 1: you can't communicate, it's literally a flip flop with bad
30:59
Speaker 1: communication where it looks like he's incoherent and just not
31:03
Speaker 1: in control. That had to have an impact on the voters. Yeah. Look,
31:06
Speaker 1: I think that that moment is one of the worst
31:11
Speaker 1: moments I've ever seen in a political debate, particularly that
31:15
Speaker 1: second question on fracking when she asks it. The silence,
31:20
Speaker 1: the confusion, the eyes darting around, that he clearly has
31:25
Speaker 1: no idea what's been being asked or what to say,
31:28
Speaker 1: and he just repeats the line. All he knows to
31:31
Speaker 1: say is I support fracking, because presumably someone trained him
31:35
Speaker 1: to memorize that, but he's not. From that video, he's
31:40
Speaker 1: not able to actually engage in a conversation with another
31:43
Speaker 1: human being about substance, which is kind of a problem
31:46
Speaker 1: because the job of the Senate and in tales, engaging
31:50
Speaker 1: in lots of conversations about substance and hearings and making
31:52
Speaker 1: determinations and judgment. I think that debate is unbelievably damaging.
31:58
Speaker 1: Prior to the debate, my handicapping of Pennsylvania was it
32:03
Speaker 1: was essentially a coin flip. If we were going to
32:06
Speaker 1: lose a seat, it was going to be Pennsylvania. I
32:09
Speaker 1: think after the debate the odds have shifted significantly to
32:16
Speaker 1: Republicans winning, to oswinning. I think Oz is likely to
32:19
Speaker 1: win now. One downside, there were hundreds of thousands of
32:22
Speaker 1: Pennsylvania votes that had been cast already before that debate happened.
32:25
Speaker 1: They early voting, There is big early voting, there is
32:28
Speaker 1: big They put in place universal mail in ballots, an
32:32
Speaker 1: incredibly foolish decision, a decision that invites voter fraud. But
32:37
Speaker 1: one of the reasons it's a bad idea to have
32:39
Speaker 1: such early voting is you bake in votes before late
32:42
Speaker 1: breaking developments happened. So for all the people who voted
32:45
Speaker 1: before the debate, they didn't see this, They didn't know
32:47
Speaker 1: that they just voted for someone who can't answer simple
32:51
Speaker 1: questions and has clearly been deceiving the voters by saying
32:55
Speaker 1: he's up to the task. I want to ask you
32:58
Speaker 1: in a human level. I watched that debate and I
33:03
Speaker 1: genuinely felt bad for Fetterman. I also think, even after
33:07
Speaker 1: that debate, seeing the way his campaign is obsessed with
33:10
Speaker 1: just getting him over the finish line, and the Democratic
33:12
Speaker 1: National Committee, the Democratic leadership, that I feel like they're
33:16
Speaker 1: almost taking advantage of him. They know that clearly something's changed,
33:19
Speaker 1: that he's been incapacitated. I'm sitting there going as a
33:22
Speaker 1: human being, I want him to get as much help
33:24
Speaker 1: as he can to overcome this stroke that he's had.
33:28
Speaker 1: And they're just propping this guy up, saying we're gonna
33:31
Speaker 1: keep forcing you down this election road. I found it
33:35
Speaker 1: just completely disheartening it as a human being to see
33:38
Speaker 1: them out there saying, no, no, no, we're gonna he's fine.
33:41
Speaker 1: Shut up, stop asking questions. He's fine. Clearly he's not fine,
33:45
Speaker 1: and they want to win this seat so bad they
33:47
Speaker 1: don't care what happens to him. Even well, you know,
33:49
Speaker 1: if they're willing to do that, think what they would
33:51
Speaker 1: do to try to win the White House in twenty twenty. Yeah. Look,
33:55
Speaker 1: it's the same thing they've done with Joe Biden. In
33:58
Speaker 1: both instances, You've got someone with severe mental impairments that
34:03
Speaker 1: their partisan interests are so important they're willing to weaken it.
34:07
Speaker 1: Bernie's them. Just put them up there and attach a
34:09
Speaker 1: pully raise their hand when they want him to raise it. Now,
34:12
Speaker 1: I will say this. You said you feel sorry for him.
34:16
Speaker 1: I gotta say, listen, I feel sorry that he's having
34:18
Speaker 1: the health impairments. I don't don't wish ill healthy anyone.
34:23
Speaker 1: But before his stroke, John Fetterman was a socialist. He
34:28
Speaker 1: was a radical left winger. He was someone who repeatedly
34:32
Speaker 1: vote voted to release murderers and violent criminals into the community. Murderers.
34:36
Speaker 1: I want people to understand that it's almost been overlooked
34:39
Speaker 1: by people act like this is normal. This is a
34:41
Speaker 1: guy that actually said people that had murdered people been
34:43
Speaker 1: convicted murdering, with no controversy around the the the indictment
34:48
Speaker 1: and the verdict of being guilty should be out on
34:52
Speaker 1: the streets with the American He said repeatedly that that
34:55
Speaker 1: that we could release a third of the people in
34:57
Speaker 1: prison in Pennsylvania and there would be no harm to it.
35:01
Speaker 1: That is a radical view if you want to empty
35:04
Speaker 1: out the jail and release a third of the people immediately.
35:07
Speaker 1: And we're not talking traffic offenses. We're talking murderers, we're
35:12
Speaker 1: talking rapists, we're talking child molesters. I have less sympathy
35:17
Speaker 1: for someone who is a true radical, who is a Marxist,
35:22
Speaker 1: and like many Marxists, he's rich, rich people offense. Look,
35:27
Speaker 1: he has a trust fund. He was a giant man baby,
35:32
Speaker 1: living with his mommy and daddy till he was forty.
35:35
Speaker 1: He didn't pay his own taxes, he didn't pay as
35:37
Speaker 1: school taxes for thirteen consecutive years. People who inherit great
35:43
Speaker 1: wealth and advocate for socialism because they feel guilty about
35:48
Speaker 1: the great wealth and so they think socialism is the
35:50
Speaker 1: right answer. I don't have a lot of sympathy for them,
35:52
Speaker 1: and I think some of it is because my family
35:55
Speaker 1: story in Cuba. I've seen what communism does, and I
35:58
Speaker 1: don't have empathy for people that want to inflict that
36:03
Speaker 1: kind of misery on Americans. I will say this, though
36:08
Speaker 1: the Democrats are desperately telling themselves the Fetterman debate didn't
36:14
Speaker 1: do any harm. Now quietly in Washington. They're freaking out,
36:17
Speaker 1: but but they're trying to spend it otherwise. And in fact,
36:20
Speaker 1: Chuck Schumer was caught in a hot mic. I was
36:23
Speaker 1: just saying, I want to play this because he was
36:25
Speaker 1: caught in a hot mic, and it was really telling
36:28
Speaker 1: about where the Democrats are going into the election day.
36:31
Speaker 1: Take a listen to this danger use the word danger
36:57
Speaker 1: there well, and it's interesting. So what he says we're
37:00
Speaker 1: in danger is of losing in Georgia. And he says
37:03
Speaker 1: we're slipping in Georgia, and he's acknowledging. And actually the
37:07
Speaker 1: debate made a difference there Warnock. The expectations were so high,
37:11
Speaker 1: and he's a preacher, he's very smooth, he's very eloquent,
37:14
Speaker 1: he's very slick, and Herschel Walker did a very smart
37:19
Speaker 1: job of downplaying expectations. And you know, before the debate,
37:24
Speaker 1: Herschel would say, well, you know, he's a very slick
37:26
Speaker 1: preacher man. He knows he'll talk really, you know, really well.
37:30
Speaker 1: And he said, you know, I'm just a country boy
37:32
Speaker 1: from Georgia. That was very herschel knew exactly what he
37:35
Speaker 1: was doing setting expectations. And I think the contrast there
37:40
Speaker 1: Herschel won that debate, which was particularly damaging to Warnock
37:45
Speaker 1: because it exposed just how extreme and radical his policies were.
37:51
Speaker 1: And that's what Schumer is telling Biden is we're in
37:54
Speaker 1: real danger. We're slipping. In Georgia, they're recognizing, Oh, he's
37:59
Speaker 1: in trouble. He also tells Biden there the good news
38:03
Speaker 1: is he doesn't think the debate hurt them in Pennsylvania.
38:05
Speaker 1: So we'll see. Listen, with the hardcore Democrats, if you're
38:09
Speaker 1: a hard partisan, if you're a socialist, you're gonna vote
38:12
Speaker 1: for Fetterman, and you're gonna vote for Warnock no matter what.
38:14
Speaker 1: He's probably right, and look you're hearing more and more chattered.
38:18
Speaker 1: The Democrats plan is to try to get Fetterman elected
38:21
Speaker 1: and then if he's completely unable to do the job,
38:24
Speaker 1: have him resign and fill him with fill him in
38:26
Speaker 1: with another Democrat. That this is all about power, and
38:29
Speaker 1: he's just fill in the blank right here. I don't
38:35
Speaker 1: think Schumer's right, though. I think he's right with his
38:37
Speaker 1: hardcore partisans. But with the soccer Mom vote, you know,
38:43
Speaker 1: the Philly suburbs, you've got a lot of voters that
38:46
Speaker 1: have historically been swing voters that have been sometimes Republicans,
38:52
Speaker 1: sometimes Democrats. They're the voters that elected Pat Toomey. I
38:58
Speaker 1: don't think if you're a suburban mom and you watch
39:01
Speaker 1: that you have any confidence about Federman. I think you
39:04
Speaker 1: look at him and say, I've got real concerns there,
39:08
Speaker 1: And so I think Schumer is wrong about that. All right,
39:10
Speaker 1: where else are we on defense? We're on defense in
39:13
Speaker 1: North Carolina, Republican retiring there. Ted Budd is the nominee.
39:17
Speaker 1: I was campaigning with Ted earlier this week. I think
39:20
Speaker 1: Ted's gonna win. I think he's a smart candidate. I
39:23
Speaker 1: think he's running a good campaign. North Carolina is historically
39:27
Speaker 1: a purple state. You can't take it for granted. Yeah,
39:29
Speaker 1: you've got to fight hard there. Every time. It is
39:31
Speaker 1: almost always a race that is decided by a couple
39:33
Speaker 1: of points. So I actually worry about North Carolina. I
39:37
Speaker 1: think Republicans are taking it a little two for granted
39:40
Speaker 1: because Ted Budd is a good enough candidate. They're like, oh,
39:43
Speaker 1: we're fine. Historically this has been a dangerous state, and
39:48
Speaker 1: so I think we'll win, but we need to take
39:50
Speaker 1: it seriously. Ohio jd Vance is the nominee. I spent
39:55
Speaker 1: an entire day campaigning with JD. We did events all
39:58
Speaker 1: over the state with huge crowd which which goes back
40:01
Speaker 1: to when you're on the road, you can feel momentum.
40:05
Speaker 1: And I've always said you can tell how election is
40:08
Speaker 1: going to turn if it's a tight election based on momentum.
40:11
Speaker 1: The momentum there seemed to be massive. I even I
40:14
Speaker 1: think I texted you that I was having fomo fear
40:17
Speaker 1: of missing out because it seemed like it was such
40:20
Speaker 1: a raw, intense, grand debate that was happening, and an
40:24
Speaker 1: amazing electric crowd when you were there with him. Yeah. No,
40:27
Speaker 1: I think that's exactly right. I will say JD is
40:29
Speaker 1: also running a smart, disciplined campaign. He's a first time candidate.
40:34
Speaker 1: I was concerned when he started that that with first
40:38
Speaker 1: time candidates they're prone to mistakes. That that it. I
40:43
Speaker 1: was really impressed. He's doing a good job on the stump.
40:45
Speaker 1: He's doing a good job with the grassroots. His messaging
40:49
Speaker 1: is tight and disciplined, he's not screwing up, and the
40:53
Speaker 1: polling there is pretty consistently showing it with him up
40:57
Speaker 1: about four or five points. I think we'll be fine
40:59
Speaker 1: and Ohio, it helps that dewined. The incumbent governor is
41:04
Speaker 1: going to be reelected by double digits. So we've got
41:06
Speaker 1: another another state where a governor has a big, big margin,
41:10
Speaker 1: and that should help the Senate candidate as well. Two
41:15
Speaker 1: more places were on defense Missouri Republican retirement Roy Blunt.
41:20
Speaker 1: Eric Schmidt is the nominee. He's the attorney general. I
41:24
Speaker 1: campaigned for him in the primary. Did events all over.
41:27
Speaker 1: I think the primary really really mattered. The one candidate
41:32
Speaker 1: who could have lost that race was Eric Gryden's. Eric
41:35
Speaker 1: Gryten's was the former governor of Missouri. He resigned in
41:41
Speaker 1: disgrace and scandal. There were a number of different scandals,
41:46
Speaker 1: including a fundraising scandal, but the one that really stuck
41:50
Speaker 1: in people's minds was that he was accused of having
41:55
Speaker 1: an affair and tying up his mistress in his basement
41:57
Speaker 1: and then taking a picture of her against her wishes
42:01
Speaker 1: and using it to blackmail her. Pretty ugly stuff. Yeah,
42:05
Speaker 1: and he resigned from governor in disgrace. I don't know
42:10
Speaker 1: the truth or falsity of any of it. What I
42:12
Speaker 1: will say I sort of joked, I said, look for Republicans.
42:17
Speaker 1: I don't know that the bar for candidates needs to
42:19
Speaker 1: be extraordinarily high. But is it asking too much that
42:24
Speaker 1: our candidates not have tied a woman up in their
42:27
Speaker 1: basement that that seems to me, Yeah, there should be
42:30
Speaker 1: a standard above that. Yeah, it would should just be like, Okay,
42:32
Speaker 1: that's a problem, let's not go with that. I think
42:36
Speaker 1: if Gryton's had been the nominee, the Democrats would have
42:39
Speaker 1: flooded money into that race and tried to make it
42:42
Speaker 1: competitive With Eric Schmidt, He's the attorney general. He's a smart,
42:46
Speaker 1: disciplined cannidy. He's a conservative. I think he'll be one
42:49
Speaker 1: of the most conservative Republicans elected this cycle. So I've
42:53
Speaker 1: done multiple events with Eric. I think Eric and Adam
42:56
Speaker 1: Laxalt are the two most disciplined. This is not their
43:01
Speaker 1: first rodeo, so they're running smart, careful discipline campaigns. Eric's
43:05
Speaker 1: going to win that race, but it was one in
43:07
Speaker 1: the primary. He's got a billionaire heiress, Trudy Bush, valentine
43:14
Speaker 1: of Bush Beer. But at the end of the day,
43:20
Speaker 1: Missouri is a red state and Eric is a good candidate.
43:23
Speaker 1: He's gonna win that race. The final potential loss is Florida.
43:27
Speaker 1: Marco Rubio's up again, Florida historically has been a purple state.
43:34
Speaker 1: I think Marco's doing a good job, and this is
43:37
Speaker 1: a pattern we're seeing a number of states. De Santis
43:39
Speaker 1: is kicking ass and he's going to win I think
43:44
Speaker 1: by a significant margin. And just like Georgia, just like Arizona. Like, yeah,
43:48
Speaker 1: it'd be hard for you. Imagine you're walk in there
43:50
Speaker 1: to vote for De Santis and you don't vote for
43:52
Speaker 1: Marco Rubio. At the same time, well, now I will
43:54
Speaker 1: say Marco's Democrat candidate is dangerous. They do a really
43:58
Speaker 1: good job in can at its selection. His Democrat candidate
44:02
Speaker 1: is val Demings. She's an African American woman. She was
44:05
Speaker 1: a former police chief, and so one of the great
44:08
Speaker 1: vulnerabilities Democrats have nationally is on crime, on abolishing the police,
44:11
Speaker 1: on defunding the police. Val Demings is particularly able to
44:17
Speaker 1: counter that attack because she was a cop for decades
44:20
Speaker 1: and was a police chief, and that's just that attack
44:22
Speaker 1: doesn't stick with her. Even so, Marco is a smart,
44:27
Speaker 1: discipline candidate. Desanis has done a really good job as
44:31
Speaker 1: governor of Florida. I think we'll be fine in Florida.
44:33
Speaker 1: But those are those six are the universe of seats
44:37
Speaker 1: we could lose. Now, let me throw two wild cards
44:40
Speaker 1: in there. The two wild cards are Alaska and Utah.
44:46
Speaker 1: So Alaska, you've got a weird race. You have Lisa Murkowski,
44:51
Speaker 1: one of the two most moderate Republicans in the Senate
44:54
Speaker 1: right now, and then you have Kelly Chebaca, who is
45:01
Speaker 1: a challenger, a Republican, she is supported by Donald Trump,
45:05
Speaker 1: she's a conservative, she's got a lot of grassroots support.
45:09
Speaker 1: And then you've got a Democrat in the race. Now,
45:12
Speaker 1: the polling right now between Murkowski and Chewbacca has been
45:17
Speaker 1: back and forth and back and forth, and it appears
45:20
Speaker 1: to be essentially tied. Mitch McConnell has put I think
45:23
Speaker 1: seven eight million dollars into Alaska supporting McConnell. Mind you,
45:27
Speaker 1: he's not spending that money in Arizona. He's not spending
45:29
Speaker 1: that money in New Hampshire. He's spending it supporting Murkowski
45:34
Speaker 1: in Alaska because he supports moderate Republicans and he doesn't
45:38
Speaker 1: really want he knows it's going to be a vote
45:41
Speaker 1: that that comes to Senate he can control. So I
45:44
Speaker 1: will say in that race, the two of them appear
45:49
Speaker 1: to be essentially tied. Alaska has this weird dynamic called
45:55
Speaker 1: rank choice voting, which is you vote for your first
45:59
Speaker 1: choice and you vote for your second choice, and if
46:02
Speaker 1: your first choice doesn't finish in the top two, they
46:05
Speaker 1: eliminate your first choice and they reallocate your vote to
46:09
Speaker 1: your second choice. There is a danger we lose this seat,
46:15
Speaker 1: that we elect the Democrat. And so I'm going to say, listen,
46:18
Speaker 1: I have stayed out of the primary between Murkowski and Chewbacca.
46:24
Speaker 1: In my entire time in the Senate, I have always
46:26
Speaker 1: stayed out of primaries involving my colleagues because frankly, you
46:29
Speaker 1: can't do the job. Yeah, involve that way if you
46:33
Speaker 1: get involved, if you're primary your colleagues, it just makes
46:38
Speaker 1: it impossible to actually, particularly in a close Senate, to
46:42
Speaker 1: get the votes you need to advance the legislation you
46:45
Speaker 1: need to fight for the thirty million Texans I'm elected
46:47
Speaker 1: to fighting for. So I've stayed out of the primary.
46:52
Speaker 1: I will say it follows the pattern of states where
46:56
Speaker 1: we're in trouble, where Trump is in a battle with
47:00
Speaker 1: the incumbent Republican. Of the Republican candidates, we talked about
47:02
Speaker 1: that in Colorado. Trump and Murkowski hate each other's guts,
47:07
Speaker 1: Trump blast Murkowski frequently, Murkowski voter doing peach Trump like
47:11
Speaker 1: it's bad blood on both sides. Here's the one request
47:17
Speaker 1: I'm going to make of Alaskans. If you vote for Chebaka,
47:26
Speaker 1: put Lisa Murkowski as your second choice. And if you
47:29
Speaker 1: vote for Murkowski, put Chebaka as your second choice. Now
47:33
Speaker 1: that may be hard because they're beating the hell out
47:36
Speaker 1: of each other and the sort of angry bad blood.
47:39
Speaker 1: Here's what I don't want to have happened. They're both
47:42
Speaker 1: at around forty and the Democrat is at around fifteen
47:47
Speaker 1: to eighteen. If I don't want to see that, somehow
47:55
Speaker 1: go to the Democrats. We'll see who wins. But I
48:03
Speaker 1: don't want us to screw that up. It could easily
48:05
Speaker 1: be screwed up. I want to wrap today by there
48:08
Speaker 1: was a piece of audio that we played in an
48:11
Speaker 1: earlier verdict, and and and by the way the way
48:14
Speaker 1: it is screwed up. So look, we just saw this
48:17
Speaker 1: happen in Alaska with ranked choice voting, which is the
48:21
Speaker 1: incumbent Republican House member Don Young passed away. He was
48:27
Speaker 1: the longest serving member of the House. He died died
48:29
Speaker 1: on an airplane. Um died of old age. They had
48:33
Speaker 1: a special election for you had a three person election,
48:40
Speaker 1: Sarah Palin, Nick Begich, who was the son of actually
48:46
Speaker 1: the Democrat senator, but the son is a Republican, and
48:49
Speaker 1: then you had a Democrat. It was sixty percent of
48:54
Speaker 1: the voters in Alaska voted for one of the two Republicans,
48:59
Speaker 1: but for the Democrat. What happened, though, is when they
49:03
Speaker 1: redistributed the votes, more of those votes got redistributed to
49:09
Speaker 1: the Democrat than to Sarah Palin. And Alaska just elected
49:14
Speaker 1: a Democrat to their one House seat. So it's the
49:16
Speaker 1: same as the Senate. It's statewide. We just saw a
49:19
Speaker 1: Democrat win because of ranked choice voting. For this to happen,
49:22
Speaker 1: look if Murkowski and Chebaka are one and two, that's fine,
49:27
Speaker 1: then it will be decided by the Democrats second choice
49:31
Speaker 1: votes getting reallocated, and you have to assume almost all
49:34
Speaker 1: of those go to Murkowski. The danger is if one
49:40
Speaker 1: and two is either Murkowski and the Democrat or Chebaka
49:46
Speaker 1: and the Democrat. That if one of the Republicans is third,
49:52
Speaker 1: and if they hate the other Republicans so much that
49:55
Speaker 1: they all put the Democrat as their second choice. We
49:58
Speaker 1: could wake up and find out that we have a
50:01
Speaker 1: Schumer Democrats Senate, because let's say we won Nevada and
50:06
Speaker 1: lost Alaska. That would be a terrible outcome. We don't
50:09
Speaker 1: want that to happen. The one other I want to
50:10
Speaker 1: mention that we've talked about on this podcast before is Utah.
50:14
Speaker 1: Utah is dangerous. It's typically a red state. Mike Lee,
50:18
Speaker 1: who is a phenomenal Senator, a rock rib Conservative, a
50:22
Speaker 1: constitutional conservativeh is my closest friend in the Senate. The
50:26
Speaker 1: Democrats are running a profoundly dishonest campaign with a fake independent,
50:31
Speaker 1: Evan McMullin. He is a Democrat, he's supported by the Democrats,
50:34
Speaker 1: he's funded by the Democrats. He's going to vote with
50:36
Speaker 1: the Democrats. He's going to support the Democrats. But he's
50:39
Speaker 1: pretending to the Utah voters that he's an independent. And
50:43
Speaker 1: the danger is there is no Democrat on the ballot.
50:46
Speaker 1: This is sort of like the games in Alaska with
50:48
Speaker 1: right choice voting. And by the way, Democrats love to
50:50
Speaker 1: play games with democracy because they don't actually care about democracy.
50:54
Speaker 1: They care about power. So whether it is electing a
50:57
Speaker 1: John Fetterman who cannot process us and answer simple questions
51:01
Speaker 1: in the English language, or using ranked choice voters voting
51:05
Speaker 1: to elect a Democrat with sixty percent of the voters
51:07
Speaker 1: vote for Republicans. Or fooling the voters of Utah by
51:11
Speaker 1: not nominating a Democrat and having but endorsing the independent
51:15
Speaker 1: who is their candidate. Yeah, the Democrat Party has formerly
51:18
Speaker 1: endorsed him. He raises his money on Act Blue, which
51:20
Speaker 1: is where all the socialists and liberals give their money,
51:22
Speaker 1: and he's hired Democrat consultants to support him. He is
51:26
Speaker 1: a Democrat, but their deceptive plan is get all the
51:30
Speaker 1: deeds to vote for him, and just get five to
51:32
Speaker 1: ten percent of the really moderate ours who say, gosh,
51:36
Speaker 1: he seems like a nice young man and so we'll
51:40
Speaker 1: go with him, and they could steal that seat, and
51:43
Speaker 1: so Utah, Utah matters. I think Mike will win, but
51:49
Speaker 1: the two wild cards in this or Alaska in Utah.
51:52
Speaker 1: I want to end the podcast with something that I
51:55
Speaker 1: think it went viral. We played a little bit of
51:58
Speaker 1: a snip of the lies of the last year and
52:01
Speaker 1: a half of the Democratic Party. And if you hear this,
52:06
Speaker 1: share it with your family and friends. If you have
52:08
Speaker 1: people that are on the fence, about what this election
52:11
Speaker 1: is about. This montage that has been put together is
52:15
Speaker 1: basically the big lies of the Democrats, the media helping
52:19
Speaker 1: them sell these big lies. And I want people to
52:22
Speaker 1: share this because it's so important that your family and
52:25
Speaker 1: friends see this. This is what this race is about. It.
52:29
Speaker 1: I'm talking about nation wide control, the House, control, the Senate.
52:32
Speaker 1: We just broke down all these races. How important is
52:34
Speaker 1: But if you want to remind people what Joe Biden,
52:38
Speaker 1: Nancy Pelotian, Chuck Schumer have done to America, this is
52:42
Speaker 1: that montage. Share it everywhere on social media. Share the podcast.
52:46
Speaker 1: Take a look. You're not going to get COVID if
52:49
Speaker 1: you have it. These vaccinations, vaccinated people do not carry
52:52
Speaker 1: the virus, don't get sick. Getting those shots out for
52:55
Speaker 1: five to eleven year olds is going to provide a
52:57
Speaker 1: lot of comfort to American families. Is very running over
53:01
Speaker 1: people being strapped, the horrific video of the CBP officers
53:05
Speaker 1: on horse on horses using brutal and inappropriate measures against
53:08
Speaker 1: innocent people. We have a secure border. The border is
53:13
Speaker 1: in fact secure. The border is closed. The border is secure,
53:18
Speaker 1: The border is secure, the border is closed. We've been
53:22
Speaker 1: unequivocal in that on the issue of Afghanistan, and to
53:26
Speaker 1: that end we have seen a successful drawdown of the embassy.
53:31
Speaker 1: I think it's irresponsible to say Americans are stranded. They're not.
53:34
Speaker 1: This is Jim Crow on steroids what they're doing in Georgia.
53:38
Speaker 1: This is all about keeping working folks and ordinary folks
53:41
Speaker 1: that I grew up with from being able to vote.
53:43
Speaker 1: The Reconciliation package would cost zero dollars. The cost of
53:46
Speaker 1: these bills in terms of value that the death is zero.
53:49
Speaker 1: Some have expressed publicly that they're not comfortable with three
53:53
Speaker 1: point five, even though zero costs zero dollars, zero, zero, zero.
53:59
Speaker 1: This bill is fully paid for and will not raise
54:02
Speaker 1: taxes on anyone making less than four hundred thousand dollars
54:05
Speaker 1: a year. Let me say that again, be crystal clear.
54:08
Speaker 1: No one making less than four hundred thousand dollars year
54:12
Speaker 1: will pay a single additional penny in tax for all
54:15
Speaker 1: these things that are in the and the Build Back
54:18
Speaker 1: Better plan. If you're a husband and wife, school teacher
54:21
Speaker 1: and a cop, you're paying at a higher rate than
54:24
Speaker 1: the average person making a billion dollars a year. Is
54:27
Speaker 1: my plans do not add to inflationary pressure. To build
54:30
Speaker 1: back better agenda will help reduce inflation, will help cut
54:34
Speaker 1: costs for the American people. If we pass the other
54:36
Speaker 1: two things I'm trying to get done, we will in
54:39
Speaker 1: fact reduce inflation. Inflation is going to come down next year.
54:42
Speaker 1: Inflation will come down next year. These inflation rises will
54:46
Speaker 1: be transitory that they will come back down next year.
54:48
Speaker 1: There's nobody suggesting the noun checked inflation on the way,
54:52
Speaker 1: no serious economists. We know a lot of folks are
54:55
Speaker 1: struggling with inflation driven by Putin's war in Ukraine and
54:59
Speaker 1: the global pen the greed of meat conglomerates, you could
55:02
Speaker 1: call it corporate greed. Short, you could call it jacking
55:05
Speaker 1: up prices during a pandemic. Even if we drilled as
55:10
Speaker 1: much as we could, the price of oil is still
55:13
Speaker 1: set globally. There's no amount of domestic production we can
55:16
Speaker 1: do to reduce or eliminate our vulnerability as a country
55:20
Speaker 1: to that volatility. We brought down the cost of energy.
55:22
Speaker 1: Wages have gone up higher faster than inflation. We have
55:26
Speaker 1: a lower inflation rate than most any nation in the
55:28
Speaker 1: other nation in the world. The idea that two quarters
55:31
Speaker 1: of negative GDP growth is a technical definition of a
55:34
Speaker 1: recession is wrong. I don't expect a recession right now.
55:38
Speaker 1: We don't see a recession right now. That is not
55:41
Speaker 1: We're not in a recession right now. Virtually nothing signals
55:43
Speaker 1: that this period in the second quarter is recession. Are
55:48
Speaker 1: pre recession now? What we have seen over the course
55:52
Speaker 1: of the last year plus in the United States is
55:54
Speaker 1: a historically strong economic recovery and that has been supported
55:58
Speaker 1: by this president's economic center. Those are the lies. That's
56:03
Speaker 1: what this election is clearly about. And this is what
56:06
Speaker 1: people need to sit back and think about and tell
56:08
Speaker 1: their family and friends before they head to the ballot box,
56:11
Speaker 1: before they go and show up to vote, before you're
56:13
Speaker 1: doing your early voting. They've been lying to you on
56:17
Speaker 1: all of these issues. They're three more that were not
56:20
Speaker 1: included there that are really striking. Number one, Kareem John
56:22
Speaker 1: Pierre said from the podium at the White House, nobody
56:26
Speaker 1: is walking across the border. That simply isn't happening. That's
56:28
Speaker 1: a flat outlie. Number Two, Kareem John Pierre said, again
56:32
Speaker 1: from the podium of the White House, said it was
56:34
Speaker 1: Republicans who wanted to shut down schools and its Democrats
56:36
Speaker 1: have been working to open schools, which is such a
56:39
Speaker 1: brazen gas lighting monstrosity. It made you wonder if lightning
56:43
Speaker 1: was going to strike her as she stood there. And
56:46
Speaker 1: number three just last week Joe Biden, who gave a
56:49
Speaker 1: speech I assume written in the speech where he says
56:52
Speaker 1: I've brought down gas prices, and he said when I
56:55
Speaker 1: became president, gas prices were five dollars a gallon. Now
56:59
Speaker 1: they're three thirty eight. Of course, when he became president,
57:01
Speaker 1: gas prices were two thirty eight, and the idea that
57:05
Speaker 1: they were five bucks at gallen even for the world
57:09
Speaker 1: of democrats lying with the corporate media helping them. I
57:13
Speaker 1: don't know how every quote fact checker in America didn't
57:16
Speaker 1: fact check them, but of course they didn't. Yeah, it's
57:18
Speaker 1: gonna be fun to see how many of these videos
57:20
Speaker 1: get put up on Twitter now with Musk owning it,
57:23
Speaker 1: and they start actually at least fact checking them, because
57:25
Speaker 1: we saw a presidential tweet had missing context for the
57:29
Speaker 1: first time I think ever this past week, as Musk
57:32
Speaker 1: has taken over, that's gonna be fun. One last thing
57:34
Speaker 1: for everybody, I've got it. It's here. The book is out.
57:38
Speaker 1: Grab it wherever you get your books. It's one hell
57:41
Speaker 1: of a read center I've been reading. I was on
57:43
Speaker 1: the plane back and reading this on our way back
57:46
Speaker 1: from Nashville. I know you're excited about this book, and
57:49
Speaker 1: tell people quickly what's in it so they know what
57:51
Speaker 1: to expect. Look, Justice Corrupted, How the Left has weaponized
57:54
Speaker 1: our legal system. It takes you inside to how Barack
57:58
Speaker 1: Obama and now Joe Biden have weaponized the Department of Justice,
58:04
Speaker 1: the FBI, the CIA, the irs, how they're using them
58:08
Speaker 1: as political enforcers, how they're going after their enemies. And
58:11
Speaker 1: what this book does. It's really the same thing that
58:14
Speaker 1: this podcast does, which is that it tries to take
58:17
Speaker 1: people behind the curtain. It tries to take people to
58:20
Speaker 1: understand what's really going on, and it tells stories. I've
58:23
Speaker 1: always found that, look, the human mind memory, that we
58:28
Speaker 1: exist in a world of stories. And so the way
58:31
Speaker 1: I like writing books is to tell stories of this
58:34
Speaker 1: is what's really going on. So, for example, on January sixth,
58:38
Speaker 1: this is the first inside account of what happened on
58:41
Speaker 1: January sixth, where I was standing on the Senate floor
58:44
Speaker 1: leading the Senate objection to certification of the election, calling
58:47
Speaker 1: for an election Commission. I lay out all of the
58:51
Speaker 1: allegations of voter fraud. I lay out and explain the
58:53
Speaker 1: different legal proceedings that were ongoing. I describe how President
58:58
Speaker 1: Trump called and peronally asked me to argue the US
59:02
Speaker 1: Supreme Court case if the court had taken that case,
59:04
Speaker 1: and I agreed to do so. And you know, really,
59:07
Speaker 1: what this book is about is when you're talking to
59:12
Speaker 1: your friends, when you're talking to your family, when you're
59:14
Speaker 1: talking to your co workers, and all of these issues
59:16
Speaker 1: come up. Whether it is vote or fraud, whether it
59:19
Speaker 1: is election integrity, whether it is crime and violence, whether
59:24
Speaker 1: it is Black Lives Matter and Antifa riots, whether it
59:27
Speaker 1: is George Soros prosecutors, whether it is affirmative action, whether
59:31
Speaker 1: it is the FBI rating President Trump's home, the FBI
59:34
Speaker 1: rating pro life activists, all of whether it is critical
59:37
Speaker 1: race theory. We've got chapters in the book on every
59:40
Speaker 1: one of those things that I just said. This book
59:42
Speaker 1: is designed to give you the facts, to give you
59:44
Speaker 1: the information so that when you're talking to your friends
59:47
Speaker 1: and families, you can know the truth and explain it
59:51
Speaker 1: to them, because most of them are listening to the
59:54
Speaker 1: lie in corporate media and So this is this book
59:57
Speaker 1: is really a toolkit to prepare you to I'll pull
1:00:01
Speaker 1: the country back from the break. Yeah, grab it. It's
1:00:03
Speaker 1: an awesome book. My friends, don't forget download Verdict. Hit
1:00:07
Speaker 1: that subscribe auto download button. Please share the podcast of
1:00:11
Speaker 1: your family and friends right us five star reviews so
1:00:14
Speaker 1: that we can that will help us reach more conservatives
1:00:17
Speaker 1: as we go up in the charts. It's so important,
1:00:19
Speaker 1: right that five star review and the center and I
1:00:21
Speaker 1: will see you back here in just a couple of days.