Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | March 15, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:03Oops, all systems go clear the left warden's going on male media network.
- 0:48It's not your Hamdwich host on a Friday here, it's me NIDS running it
- 0:53back here handwhich is I'll probably enjoy some cold ones, enjoying some time out
- 0:57on the beach, out on the I mean the guys was set out on
- 1:00to see yesterday when I messaged him living his best life? Who runs better
- 1:03than Hamdwich? Really? But we're here to break it down second ever,
- 1:08No late swap again over here on DraftKings for the NBA slate. Luckily it's
- 1:14not a massive slate. It's only six games. There is some injury news
- 1:17in that Clippers game that is pretty big piece of news that we'll try and
- 1:19navigate through again. Obviously, no late swap. Once the slate locks at
- 1:23six, you're kind of setting stone, so definitely won't. We'll try and
- 1:26navigate that. But if you guys are new, hit that like button,
- 1:30hit that subscribe button. Hope you guys are having an amazing Friday. Bring
- 1:34my guy Rio in the grinder himself. This guy knows every freaking stat there
- 1:38is to know. He's out there crushing the slate. Plan. If you're
- 1:41not a member and not familiar with the slate plan. Not sure what you're
- 1:44doing. We'll hit on that in a second, but real man, happy
- 1:46Friday, what's going on? Brother? Yeah? Happy Friday. I was
- 1:49just informed right before we got on the show that apparently it's Saint Patrick's Day
- 1:53weekend, So sure we'll have some good stuff going on this weekend for that.
- 1:57But yeah, doing pretty good was a man heartbreaker for me last night.
- 2:02I had had the nuts and the lotto had PJ Washington over Daniel Gafford
- 2:07if I had Gafford shipping one hundred k, but instead PJ Washington decided that
- 2:13he forgot how to play basketball last night and shot one for eleven from the
- 2:15field, all for seven from a three point range, got a bunch of
- 2:17good looks and played a time and it's just just was terrible. But yeah,
- 2:23looking at bounce Back tonight, got a couple entries in the The Qualified,
- 2:27get a live final seat in the four dollars Mini Max tonight as well.
- 2:30Yeah, I'm actually kind of excited for the Late Swap slate. I
- 2:34don't think that last time we did Late Swap I didn't do enough of the
- 2:38guest work in terms of in terms of the injury stuff, I was kind
- 2:43of like kind of on the Malak Monk train last time, and then darreon
- 2:46Fox got ruled after the lock. If you ended up playing Monk, you
- 2:50got you know, fifty something points out of him against Minnesota and he was
- 2:53three four percent own. So hopefully we can pinpoint some of those guys tonight
- 2:58and see if we can have some of those low and plays get us the
- 3:00top of the leader boards. Yeah. No, absolutely, Obviously when you're
- 3:05when you're talking to the late swap, right, you can't adjust based on
- 3:07the injury news. You got to kind of pick your out and pick your
- 3:12thoughts and navigate that at the start right and build your teams accordingly to that,
- 3:16whether it's M and me, whether it's two three formatx five max teams,
- 3:21whatever you're playing. So we'll be we'll be talking through that the best
- 3:25we can. And say hi to a couple of people. I got new
- 3:28ones always in the chat with my fel Wisconsin night newons. What's stuff?
- 3:30Brother, We've got Reezer in here, wins a lot, Josie Deacon,
- 3:34Juice, Jake Swales, We've got a bunch of new faces here obviously over
- 3:37on the Mayo Need Media Network channel again hit the like button, hit the
- 3:40subscribe button here, and then also head over to the Shiping Nation YouTube channel
- 3:44as well. Hit the subscribe button over there. Helps us out a ton
- 3:47again if you are not a member yet, you set up there on the
- 3:50screen. The players is going on right now around two obviously going on.
- 3:53Got some good guys out there, some guys that go on low today.
- 3:55Some other guys in my lineups in particular did not go loaded. Want the
- 4:00opposite way, but hey, that's the nature of the beast. Still got
- 4:02showed down and we got the best showdown content in the industry right now for
- 4:06PGA with Djen and his stuff over here. We got you covered with shows
- 4:12for updated projections that change throughout the tournament based on tea times, based on
- 4:15everything else there. So use that promo code Masters fifteen gets you fifteen percent
- 4:20off any package you do choose monthly, six month or annual package. Obviously
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- 4:31only does it get you all access to all of our sports, but it
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- 4:45Get over here, get in the discord and get behind the payball and
- 4:47check out this guy right here, real on the screen shipping tournaments every other
- 4:53week. Right Basically it was live for one hundred k last night. PJ
- 4:56Washington also buried me unfortunately events there, but he's got the slate pan up
- 5:00and ready for today for premium members. So use that Prome. Code Masters
- 5:03fifteen gets you fifteen percent off any package you do choose. If not,
- 5:08just go ahead and hit that like button. Hit that subscribe button. Helps
- 5:11us out of town. Right here, let's kick it off real, I'll
- 5:14throw it over to you any broad slate overveal quick before we go game by
- 5:16game. Obviously, you talked right last time the league Monk situation last Friday
- 5:21with the no late swap. We got another no late swap slate here hour
- 5:26after the first lock. There is some hardened news right in that Clippers That
- 5:29is probably the biggest piece of news. Obviously, we saw hard and Sit
- 5:31last night. That kind of threw us off for a loop. And my
- 5:34guy bones Hiland came in there and just absolutely stone cold nutted on the slate.
- 5:39If you didn't have him at his price point, it was pretty hard
- 5:41to win anything when he goes out there and he subbed five k, dropping
- 5:44fifty points. Any broad slate overview talking that Harden news a little bit and
- 5:47anything that you're kind of seeing off the top, and you're gonna see a
- 5:51lot of chalk condensing around this Utah in Atlanta game, and for a good
- 5:56reason. Both team's pretty thin. I will definitely get to that game late
- 6:00as it's the last game on the slate tonight and see if we can get
- 6:01some pivots. But yeah, I mean, like the builds kind of seem
- 6:06like you're going with a Jokich, going with some of these Utah value pieces
- 6:11like a THHT and then like Marcus Setzer and Jonathan Isaac those types of plays,
- 6:16and then like filling in some other pieces in Atlanta and Utah game.
- 6:21I think there's some ways around it, because I do like some of these
- 6:24games in the middle, like the Miami Detroit game I think has a little
- 6:27bit of fantasy appeal. Even the first game on the slate, the Phoenix
- 6:29Charlotte one has a little bit don't mind some of these Orlando pieces as well,
- 6:32So I do think there's some ways to get around it. But I
- 6:34do kind of agree with the chalk builds right now being the Utah and Atlanta
- 6:40team and then get in some of the Denver pieces. So that's how probably
- 6:43gonna play it tonight. Yeah, No, excellent breakdown from a overall slate
- 6:47breakdown. My breakdown is it's a lot of games that feel pretty gross to
- 6:51me. I mean, if you look at just the Vegas totals, right,
- 6:54the highest total in the slates two twenty three, I mean a lot
- 6:57of times they're seeing totals up in the upper two thirty, right even two
- 7:00forties this season. So definitely, I think overall is going to be a
- 7:03lower scoring slate. Obviously, there's a lot of chalk, like you said,
- 7:08condensed around some of those like Gante George, right, Colin Sexton,
- 7:12DeAndre Hunter that we'll talk about a little bit, some of those Detroit pieces
- 7:15as well. So I do think it's interesting that's kind of my thirty thousand
- 7:18feet overview as well. If you like a spot right, don't worry about
- 7:24what the total says, because all the totals on this game are pretty are
- 7:27on the slate are pretty pretty equivalent, right, ranging from two fifteen to
- 7:30two twenty three. And that's not kind of a standard night here in the
- 7:34in the NBA, so it should be an interesting slate. Let's kick it
- 7:38off with Phoenix and Charlotte here, pulling up the injury news again. This
- 7:42is let me from a from a total standpoint here, two seventeen total,
- 7:46massive spread right, Phoenix favored by ten. Here from an injury standpoint,
- 7:50LaMelo Ball remains out here, Eric Gordon is probable. Outside of that,
- 7:54the injury news really doesn't matter. Mcgallan's is out right, Okogi is out,
- 7:58but that doesn't matter too much. God expected to play, expect to
- 8:01be back here, big spread here, Phoenix on the road in Charlotte on
- 8:05the back end of a back to back Any interest in this one where you're
- 8:11going from a DFS perspective, Yeah, a ton of interest in this game.
- 8:16I do think that you could make a case for these studs. The
- 8:18k D Booker, Nurkic and Bradley balle all in pretty good spots. But
- 8:22I mean the Charlotte Hornets, they've actually been playing pretty good defense since the
- 8:28All Star break. I'm adding guys, you know, like Grant Williams,
- 8:30who's always been a pretty solid defender. I think that Trey Man, even
- 8:33in his own right, is a decent defender. So they've been It could
- 8:37be just them playing a lot slower as well, because this is kind of
- 8:39a team that we've known to be pretty fast paced in years past, but
- 8:43they've been pretty pretty slow paced team this season, so that kind of is
- 8:46reflected in the total. Yeah, I mean, I don't really have a
- 8:50ton of interest in these guys. I think that like Katie and Booker are
- 8:52fine. I'm probably just gonna be a max one of the big probably Bax
- 8:58two of the studs in KD Booker, Nurkic, and Bradley Beal. I
- 9:03think that I like Katie the best. His matchup probably going to be the
- 9:05better of all four. I think that Nurkic has a pretty solid matchup as
- 9:09well, but Charlie's been much better defensively, especially in the interior. But
- 9:13KDI going to be guarded by Miles Bridges, tonight Charlotte BTTOM four DVP versus
- 9:18Power Forwards the season, Katie, you know, kind of coming out of
- 9:20a shooting slump, he did you know he was on his way to a
- 9:22great game last I think it's Boston. Then they kind of shut him down
- 9:26the rest of the game after the first quarter. But I mean before that,
- 9:28he put up fifty nine to sixty nine, thirty five real points.
- 9:31Thirty five real points. So I think that with the nature of the slave
- 9:35being pretty low scoring, a nine point six k K nine point six K
- 9:39Kevin Durant could be on the winner. But yeah, I don't I don't
- 9:43love this game in particular. We have seen Phoenix be very vulnerable to lead
- 9:48ball handlers, so like mechich and Trey Mann, I guess are kind of
- 9:52interesting. But at almost six K in a low scoring game, how much
- 9:56you know, what really is their ceiling on this type of slate. So
- 10:00I'm kind of okay. Getting away from that, I think that Bridges is
- 10:01kind of okay as well. Matchup about neutral going up against Vin Durant.
- 10:05Phoenix been pretty bad at giving up a ton of three pointers lately, so
- 10:11Bridges is kind of like slightly above average in every offensive categories. I think
- 10:15that he's just okay, can kind of get there just because he plays around
- 10:18forty minutes a night. And then I'll just mention Pokachevski. You know,
- 10:24that's an okay see guy that everybody was playing, you know, during the
- 10:26COVID season, during those seasons when the thunder were really thin. But he's
- 10:33started to get a little bit more run, got up to the twenty seven
- 10:35minutes last game, put up twenty four DK points, So we need some
- 10:39value. I don't think that he's the craziest play I don't really know exactly
- 10:41how much we can expect out of him on a nightly basis, because their
- 10:46coach, Steve Flifford, said that he wasn't really going to be like a
- 10:48mainstay in the rotation. He said they weren't really looking to get him minutes.
- 10:52But it could just be because he kind of ran pretty hot last game
- 10:54and played pretty well. But I mean, he's always been pretty talented.
- 10:58I know that a boomer or the okay see guy has always liked Poku and
- 11:01was wondering why he wasn't gating minutes with Okac, But yeah, I don't
- 11:05know, I don't really have a strong lean on him if he's gonna play,
- 11:07if these minutes are actually sticky. So I'm kind of okay just getting
- 11:11away from this game personally. Yeah, no great breakdown, amazing breakdown there.
- 11:18I think Beal Booker and Nurkic. I think in my stuff Max is
- 11:22one of those guys. I think they're all great plays. Probably my favorite
- 11:24is going to be Nurkic just centers against the Charlotte team seventy two hundred.
- 11:28The price is right there. We know the ceiling that Nurkic can have coming
- 11:33off a massive game right last night against Boston, much tougher matchup, scored
- 11:37twenty rebounds here, should have his way to a pretty easy double double here.
- 11:41Obviously just missed the double double last night by by a field. Go
- 11:46there. So I like Nurkis quite a bit at seventy two hundred. Here,
- 11:48Kevin Durant is probably my second favorite. I'm Kevin Durant over bal Or
- 11:56Booker, So Nurkich my favorite, Kde my second favorite. I think on
- 12:00the Charlotte side, I don't really can't deal with the trade man and Mesich.
- 12:05They're basically splitting down the middle. They're both six K right fifty nine
- 12:09hundred and six K. It's just tough for me to play those price points
- 12:11in this spot, to in this total, in this in this slow pace.
- 12:15I think my favorite play here Miles Bridges. Obviously he can play him
- 12:18any day, just because he's basically locked into his minutes, he's got all
- 12:22the opportunity. But I actually like Brandon Miller a little bit here. He's
- 12:26gonna be Garden obviously a very tough offensive target on the other end here,
- 12:31so he's gonna be getting getting all the minutes he can handle there. I
- 12:35think. I think it's a decent favorable matchup here. He does have some
- 12:39fall concern right with with with Garden the the other side of the ball,
- 12:45but seventy not in this matchup. I don't hate him. But again,
- 12:50overall, from a DFS perspective, starting the game off here, starting to
- 12:52slid off, it's not great. I don't love this game. I'd be
- 12:56fine with nobody from this game, but I do think you could get a
- 12:58little different grab one of these guys. I feel like this game is going
- 13:01to be very low owned in general, so I think it's a solid contrarian
- 13:05spot for some of these guys, some of these studs in particular right Nurkic
- 13:07KD Brandon Miller of Bridges. But outside of that, don't really want to
- 13:13grab any any value place here or any contrarian like kind of fringe fringe guys
- 13:16here for me in that spot. Jump to the next one. Here we
- 13:22have Miami in Detroit in terms of this one two fifteen total. Here Miami
- 13:26favored by eight. Injury news in this one, Kate Cunningham questionable. I
- 13:33didn't look at shoot around her or not, but Kate Cunningham coming in questionable.
- 13:37Assar Thompson got ruled out, Quentin Grimes is ruled out, Bam is
- 13:41probable, Tyler Hero remains out right, Kevin Lover remains out. That's the
- 13:43main injury news, right, bam Adebio Kate Cunningham. The two main ones
- 13:48touch on this game. From a DFS perspective, A lot of ownership seems
- 13:50to be going here, Guys like Samon Fontaccio, right, Marcus Sasser probably
- 13:56gets a little bit of ownership here. Jaden Ivy, Terry Rose Year,
- 14:01Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler. I think there's a lot of good plays.
- 14:05I think this is a pretty good game from a DFS perspective in nature to
- 14:07the slate. But where are you going? Yeah, I'll start with the
- 14:11Detroit stuff because I think that the Caid news obviously really big in terms of
- 14:15the outlook on the slate, because that would open up a ton of value.
- 14:18Jay and Ivy and Marcus Sasser mainly would be the two guys that benefit
- 14:22the most. But yeah, I mean it's kind of I do think that
- 14:26Caid has a pretty good chance to sit here. It's just the rotations.
- 14:30I don't know. I think that he might be dealing with an injury,
- 14:33like his knee might not be one hundred percent obviously, Tom when they listen
- 14:37with knee management, this was something that kept him out for you know,
- 14:39a full month. But I mean the minutes just way way down. He
- 14:43didn't play the last fifteen minutes of the game versus Detroit versus Toronto last game,
- 14:48only played thirty or twenty eight minutes, thirty two minutes a game before
- 14:50that, thirty two of the game before that, And like Monty Williams reasoning
- 14:56behind it was that he'd just said that Marcus Asser the line they had out
- 15:00there with Marcus Sasser, was they wanted to close with it because that's the
- 15:03one that got down the lead. I mean, that's just you don't bench
- 15:05your star number one overall player for Marcus Sasser unless he's dealing with something.
- 15:11So I'm kind of thinking that Kate has a pretty good chance to sit here,
- 15:15and yeah, that would make me have a ton of interest in in
- 15:16Sasser. In Jade and Ivy, I would I would prefer Sasser obviously,
- 15:20just for the huge price discount. I think the matchup would be a little
- 15:22bit tougher for Jade and Ivy. He would have a little bit more of
- 15:26the defensive attention because they know, you know, he's a former lottery pick.
- 15:30He's really talented. I think that they would kind of hone in on
- 15:33him a little bit more than they would on Marcus Sasser. So I would
- 15:35prefer him. And then yea, Fontechio gonna get another start here for FORSR.
- 15:41Thompson. I know that people are probably gonna be not wanting to go
- 15:43back to him because he did terrible in the last game, But I mean
- 15:46the opportunity is there, and that's kind of all that you want to look
- 15:50at for DFS. Obviously he did not do well, only shot three for
- 15:52eleven, two for seven from deep great matchup versus Toronto, just couldn't get
- 15:56anything going. Yeah, put up sixty and a half DK points. But
- 16:00I mean the minutes he played thirty eight minutes played thirty seven the game before
- 16:03that, thirty two of the game before before that. So he's definitely got
- 16:06the trust of the coaching staff. And I mean, this is a matchup
- 16:10that I think a player like him could do really well at. I try
- 16:12to highlight it whenever we see the heat on on slates. Same reason that
- 16:17I liked to Michael Porter Junior the other night against Miami and he did pretty
- 16:19well. This Miami team just selling out to defend the rim right now.
- 16:25They're one of the best room defenses in the league, but they play a
- 16:27lot of his own and that, you know that lends itself to opposing teams
- 16:32getting a lot of three point shots off. So guys that can you know
- 16:36that can succeed in catch a shoot situations in three point situations, I think
- 16:40would be like a guy like Fontachio. So I'm okay going back to him
- 16:42tonight, even after he just failed for US last game, and I think
- 16:48like Wiseman is kind of okay to keeping your player pool just because he's been
- 16:51playing much better. Gonna split the center minutes with Duran He I don only
- 16:55have a strong lean on that. I do want to highlight Stanley a Mouday.
- 16:59He played fifteen minutes last game, put up twenty draftings points with only
- 17:03four to five points, seven rebounds, three steals. But I mean,
- 17:06this has been a guy that's kind of just ramly gotten minutes at times this
- 17:08season. Saw him played twenty nine against Portland earlier in February, but he
- 17:14kind of got the minutes over Evan Fournier last game. So if Kate Cunningham
- 17:18misses, maybe we see a little bit more minutes out of mood Ay.
- 17:22Just kind of somebody to keep keep your eye on, or maybe get some
- 17:23sprinkles of him and your one fifty if you're doing that the micro Max tonight.
- 17:30And then on the Heat side of things, I really like the spot
- 17:32for Jimmy Butler tonight, Gonna you know, a tougher matchup going up against
- 17:36Isaiah Stewart, who I do respect as a defender. But this Heat team
- 17:40coming off of four straight losses. They need to start getting some wins off,
- 17:42and I mean they've lost to some pretty bad teams. They lost to
- 17:45the Wizards at home, so yeah, I mean, this team just definitely
- 17:48needs to get some wins or now. And I think that Jimmy's just going
- 17:51to take over. I think he's gonna play a ton of minutes. He
- 17:52has a pretty solid ball handing role. This Detroit team been really bad in
- 17:56the pick and roll situations this season, so I think that he's really strong.
- 18:00Spind up at eight point four K kind of okay getting away from BAM
- 18:04here. Just the usage has not really been there, the upside hasn't really
- 18:07been there. Sharing the court with Terry Rosier, Duran's actually been pretty solid
- 18:11as a defender down low. So I'm I'm kind of okay getting off of
- 18:15at BAM Mountebio. I mean, coming in with pretty high ownership as well,
- 18:18so that that seems like the underweight stance for me. And I mean
- 18:22the matchup really good for Terry Rozier. The Pistons are bottom three DVP versus
- 18:26point guards. I just mentioned how they're bad and pick and roll, but
- 18:30man, he's looking at like thirty plus percent. I would rather just I
- 18:33think the leverage is just getting up to Jimmy Butler, who's coming in as
- 18:34the lowest owned of the big three for Miami, and just leaning into that.
- 18:38That's kind of how I'm gonna play it. Yeah, no, excellent
- 18:42breakdown. I'm fully aligned here. I'll start with the Miami side. I
- 18:47love the spot here for Jimmy Butler, all the things you alluded to.
- 18:49Four straight losses here for this Miami team. Butler's kind of in a slumping
- 18:55a little bit here, had a good game right last time. He went
- 18:57twenty six, six and eight in the same matchup earlier this year against the
- 19:03Isaiah Stewart size. It's not the greatest matchup on paper here, but we
- 19:07could see a little a little Jimmy Butler, and at eight four he's definitely
- 19:11got a ceiling with his talent level there. I mean second half of the
- 19:15season here, right, getting into the last third basically the season, Jimmy
- 19:21Butler is gonna start turning around here. I like this match up here.
- 19:25I think it's a good spot for him. He's my favorite heat play by
- 19:26far, and then my second favorite player would be Terry Rozier. Here I
- 19:30think his matchup is pretty solid, right jad and Ivy not a great defender.
- 19:36On the other end, Terry Rozier here six' eight, don't hate
- 19:40him. I think he's got a good matchup and a pretty solid price point
- 19:42there. So I don't know if i'd play those two guys together. I
- 19:45think one or the other, Jimmy Butler or Roseier. I prefer Jimmy Butler,
- 19:49but I think Rosier is fine, not going to get to BAM right.
- 19:52I just don't like the spot. I don't like the matchup for him
- 19:56inside pretty much my interest there. I think Duncle Robinson would be fine too
- 20:02as well, but my main interest Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, and then
- 20:07on the Detroit side, I also think Kate Cunningham sits right that knee injuries
- 20:10kind of kind of frightening. Right. Knee injury is not not a good
- 20:14thing to have when you're when you're playing thirty five to forty minutes a game,
- 20:17running up and down the court, and you're you're the main ball handle.
- 20:21That there so brings guys like Marcus Sasser into play, for sure.
- 20:25I think he's good. Jaydon Ivy not the greatest matchup, but for him,
- 20:27but I think he's fine, just especially if Kaide misses. My favorite
- 20:32Detroit piece is definitely Fontechio here. I love going back to him at five
- 20:36to three here to all all the points that Real alluded to. I liked
- 20:38him before you even even kind of sold me on him even more so,
- 20:42I think it's a good game. I think you can grab a lot of
- 20:45pieces. Obviously, cade news is big. We should have that news before
- 20:48the slate locks, So definitely pay attention to that because that is big.
- 20:52It's gonna bring a lot of guys in from Detroit into play if he misses,
- 20:56a lot of usage to go around there. So overall, pretty good
- 20:59game nature of the slate. I like some pieces on both sides there.
- 21:03Jump to the next game here, Orlando and Toronto. In terms of this
- 21:07one two seventeen total eight points spread here, Orlando favored by eight. In
- 21:12terms of injury news in this one, RJ. Barrett's out outside of that,
- 21:18Gary Trent is questionable. Besides that, really no news here. A
- 21:22lot of ownership going to Jonathan Isaac at three to seven here. Touch on
- 21:26that, touch on any other plays you have in this one. Orlando Toronto.
- 21:32Yeah, man, sucks to I just heard about the RJ. Barrett
- 21:36stuff. He had been out for a couple of games due to personal reasons,
- 21:38but apparently it's because his younger brother just passed away, So condolences to
- 21:42him. That's definitely super sad to see. But he's been playing really well
- 21:47over here. I hope he can get back on the court soon. But
- 21:51yeah, really sad stuff. But as far as this game goes, though,
- 21:55always get pretty excited seeing Toronto on the slate. I mean, this
- 21:57team is just a train wreck defensively, one of the worst teams defensive rating
- 22:02wise since January first, getting beat up all over the place. Bottom three
- 22:06rim defense, bottom six three point defense. Just yeah, they're just getting
- 22:10killed all over the court. They don't have any good defenders right now,
- 22:11especially if Gary Trent were to miss. I mean, they're just gonna be
- 22:15extremely thin in terms of defense. Magic continue to play really really good defense
- 22:19here, but pretty you know, a little bit more vulnerable to pick and
- 22:23roll situations. Their bottom five this season in pick and roll points allowed.
- 22:26So I think that the Toronto side is pretty easy for me because the only
- 22:30one I'm really considering, and I don't really love it because the price tag
- 22:33is emanual. Quickly touch time has been really good for him, got the
- 22:37you know, the lead ball handing role, returned from the injury, played
- 22:41full minutes, so I don't think we have to worry about any sort of
- 22:42minutes limit on him. I just kind of struggle to see Toronto able to
- 22:47keep this game close here, but it Quickly would be the only guy that
- 22:51I'm considering on Toronto and then on Orlando. I really like the spot for
- 22:53both Paulo and Franz. Toronto terrible rim defense. These are two guys that
- 22:59have I mean, I think the Magic are first or second in terms of
- 23:02at rim frequency scoring this season might be then the Pacers one and two,
- 23:06but this is a team that's going to attack the paint, so I think
- 23:08you want the guys that are going to score down low. So like Polo
- 23:11and Franz look really good. We've seen paulow kind of he's kind of like
- 23:15the Lebron James of this team, Like he is a pretty good touch time
- 23:18for a forward, over leads a team in touch time with over five minutes,
- 23:22so he always has the ball in his hands. The potential assists look
- 23:25really good. I mean, he's a really good passer, so I think
- 23:27that he's you know, a really strong spindive option to night eight point nine.
- 23:30K really like to match up for him. Same thing for Franz.
- 23:33We've seen him beat up on a really weak Riom defenses, Rim defenses this
- 23:37season, kills the Wizards who are dead last, and Room defenses Toronto getting
- 23:41much much worse. So I think that he could have a pretty pretty solid
- 23:45game here, and it's coming in pretty low, and so I like him
- 23:47a good bit at seven point two K. I want to like Wendell Carter
- 23:49here because we just saw what Jalan Duran did to this team, but they're
- 23:53just two different players. Durant is gonna, you know, he's super athletic,
- 23:57going to be crashing the board the time, going to be down low,
- 24:00just you know, bullyballing Kelly Olynnock, whereas like one of Carter Junior,
- 24:04more of the like pick and pop screen guy doesn't have like a super
- 24:11you know, big physical presence down low. So I do want to like
- 24:14Wendell Carter, but yeah, no, I mean I could see the upside
- 24:18for him here, but I just don't think that it's it's Apple Staples in
- 24:21terms of comparing him and Jalen Duran and then yeah, Jonathan Isaac, I
- 24:25think that he's a totally fine option at three point seven K because this Toronto
- 24:29team, outside of being terrible defensively, I think that they are a team
- 24:33that he could have like a pretty big stocks game against. This team is
- 24:37you know, they're really young, they have a lot of guys that are
- 24:40very turnover prone, just under talented. So I think that Isaac could definitely
- 24:44capitalize off that he's been playing pretty well lately. But you know what you're
- 24:48getting out of him, You're capped around like twenty minutes. I think it's
- 24:51like the the absolute ceiling of him. But like eighteen to sixteen is about
- 24:56where I would expect him to get his minutes most nights. He's been you
- 24:59know, twenty twenty twenty three in his last four games, So yeah,
- 25:03he could definitely eat I mean that that would be very valuable on this type
- 25:06of slate tonight. So I kind of am okay with the Jonathan Isaac chuck,
- 25:10but somebody exact same positional eligibility two hundred dollars cheaper on the same team.
- 25:15Mo Wagner, who we've seen at times. I mean, he actually
- 25:18has a ceiling. We've seen thirty to forty out of him, so that
- 25:22looks like a pretty short pivot. If you're looking to make some sort of
- 25:26leverage move in large field tournaments, I think that Mo Wagner would be the
- 25:30guy you look to. Just you know, it's pretty pretty easy, straight
- 25:33line pivot on the same team where you kind of double up on your leverage
- 25:37right there. So That's where I'm going in this game. No excellent breakdown.
- 25:42I'll echo a lot of the same things you said. I think my
- 25:45favorite playing this game is just Franz. Right Raptors right now have absolutely zero
- 25:49rin production. Franz leads the team in rim possessions. He's seven point two
- 25:56k This is a classic explosion spot. Think good to I don't know if
- 26:00I'd play them together. I think one or the other. In terms of
- 26:03overall upside, I think upside, upside, ceiling upside. I think Paulo
- 26:07has a little bit higher ceiling just due to the nature right of what he
- 26:11can do. But I just like the spot and the price more for fons
- 26:17here value outside of maybe if we get that Kate Cunningham news right, value
- 26:21isn't great on the slate, So I mean, when you're saving fifteen hundred
- 26:25dollars, does make a difference on the slate to get some of the get
- 26:29off of some of that sparse value right, like a Larry Nanzer or something
- 26:33like that that we're seeing right now. Obviously, if Kay Cunningham were to
- 26:37miss that, that changes the entire dynamic of slate right, because a lot
- 26:41of those Detroit values come in or mid tier Detroit guys. But Franz really
- 26:45like the spot from him and the Toronto side. I agree with you quickly
- 26:49would be the only guy. But I'm really not getting to anyone on the
- 26:52Toronto side. There's just a dumpster fire. Orlando's very good, defensively easy
- 26:56Crosshoff spot for me on Toronto. And then I don't hate the spot for
- 27:00Window Carter. I think the price is right, the matchup's good. I
- 27:03think he could easily get a double double here. He seems like more of
- 27:07a safe play. I just don't know if the slate breaking ceiling is there
- 27:11in this spot, just the way he plays, just the way the matchup
- 27:14is. But I mean it's hard to ignore. It's hard to doubt that
- 27:18he's gonna score at least ten points and get ten plus rebounds here. Toronto
- 27:21is terrible with with rebounding, so window Carter should be able to suck up
- 27:26all those rebounds on the inside. I think he's a good option at that
- 27:29center play. Got to put him up against some of these other centers on
- 27:33the slate. Right, We're gonna touch on Larry Nance in the next games.
- 27:37He's getting a little ownership at his price point, just being a value
- 27:40play there. We got obviously Jokic against the Spurs on the slate if you
- 27:44want to spend all the way up, so we'll touch on that. But
- 27:45overall, I think it's a pretty good game. Orlando is my main interest
- 27:48in this one. Fraud's my favorite play before and then obviously I agree with
- 27:53your take there on the Jonathan Isaac, I think it's a good match.
- 27:57I mean it's a it's a soft matchup for him. Minutes are always the
- 28:00concern there. He's just not going to see over twenty three to twenty two
- 28:03minutes. But at three to seven as a value play, I don't think
- 28:07it's it's the craziest one, but coming in with a lot of ownership.
- 28:11He is definitely volatile, especially with the minutes there, and if this game
- 28:15gets out of hand, I just don't know. I mean, I don't
- 28:18think they're with his injury background, they're gonna run him out there a ton.
- 28:21So overall decent game from the Orlando side. There three games left.
- 28:26If you guys are new, hit that like button. Hit that subscribe button
- 28:29helps us out a ton here. Next one we have Clippers and the Pelicans
- 28:34in terms of the total two to seventeen total New Orleans seven point favorites at
- 28:40home here injury news in this one, the big piece right, James Harden
- 28:44questionable, Paul George's back, Kawhi Leonard is in there, Cody Zeller's back
- 28:48as well. Talk about the James Harden piece right, because if he were
- 28:53to miss, I mean, it's hard to ignore. Bones Highland at four
- 28:56to three again would likely draw the start again at four point three k that'd
- 29:02be a value play that obviously would become elite on the slate. But again
- 29:07we're not going to have this news before those first two games for sure lock
- 29:11and then obviously that's six thirty game locks. But again no late swap.
- 29:15How are you building your teams in terms of that hardened news. Talk on
- 29:18that, and then talk on anyone from the Pelican side that you have interest
- 29:22in as well. Yeah, it's tough to really break down how to attack
- 29:26this without knowing the news. With James Harden, just we're kind of just
- 29:32hoping that we'll get that news early in the day enough to where we can
- 29:36adjust it before the slate locks. But yeah, I mean this is like
- 29:40the classic thing from like Malik Monk and Darren Fox last week where you can
- 29:45kind of lean into the situation. If James Harden were to miss, You're
- 29:48you're bumping up Kawhi, You're bumping up PG, bumping up. I mean
- 29:51really everybody, Norm Palace, Zubac, obviously Buncehyland would would draw another start
- 29:55and be a really solid value play. I don't know this game just f
- 30:00it was like one that he probably would return in because this is a pretty
- 30:02game, a pretty big game in terms of playoff seeding for the Western Conference
- 30:06because these are the fourth and fifth seeded teams in the West right now,
- 30:10which is I thought that Kawhi would have missed last night and then be rested
- 30:14up for this game. He obviously played through the back injury, which I
- 30:18thought was I mean, everybody thought it was a lot worse than what it
- 30:21apparently is. It was just back backspastens, but like he left the arena
- 30:26limping and stuff, so he I thought he was a lot more injured than
- 30:27he actually was. But yeah, I don't know. I kind of am
- 30:32expecting Harden to be back tonight. I think that I'm okay still get into
- 30:36like, like, I like Paul George in this matchup regardless, just because
- 30:40the Pelicans have been a bit more vulnerable at times to three point shooters.
- 30:44Tyler talking about getting Paul George more touches in the offense, just like getting
- 30:48more ball handling for him, kind of starting to get him ramped up more
- 30:52so for the playoffs, just because they know how how crucially he'll be for
- 30:56this team in the playoffs time. And I feel like he's been you know,
- 30:59in and out the lineup a ton this year. Like he gets going
- 31:02a lot, he starts to look really really good and healthy, and then
- 31:03he misses some time. So I think that this is kind of the time
- 31:07they want to start to ramp him up heading into playoffs right now, So
- 31:10I like Paul George regardless tonight. I yeah, I mean that's pretty much
- 31:15it. Like I think I would lean into the Paul George stuff more so,
- 31:18I don't really want to have like a super strong, overweight stance on
- 31:22Bones Highland, because I kind of am thinking that James Harden is more seventy
- 31:26thirty to play tonight, but playing one hundred and fifty tonight. So I'll
- 31:30definitely have to mainly force in some Bones lineup because I think that even,
- 31:33like we talked about it pre show, like if you're left with Bones at
- 31:37four point three k and James Harden is in, like, it's not the
- 31:41worst thing in the world. It's it's obviously not what you want. It's
- 31:44not ideal. But even in a couple of games recently against Chicago four games
- 31:48ago, thirteen minutes put up twenty one DraftKings points against Milwaukee twenty one minutes
- 31:52put up twenty five Draftings points. So like, we know that he's got
- 31:56upside when he plays. Maybe with him, you know, playing really well
- 32:00last night, they just want to give him more run regardless, So you
- 32:04can kind of tell yourself a story there that maybe he's okay to play regardless.
- 32:07But yeah, I think I'm just going to lean more to the Paul
- 32:09George stuff personally, and then on the Pelican side, I think the one
- 32:15guy I'm really considering a Zion. Yeah. I just like what I've been
- 32:19seeing out of him lately. His role is really good, touch time,
- 32:22his way up, the drives are up. He put up a huge game
- 32:24against Cleveland, who is one of the better room defense in the league.
- 32:28So I don't really have any doubts that he could do the same to a
- 32:30Clippers team with a Zuboch down low, going up against a slightly hobbled Kawhi
- 32:37Leonard in a really big game to the minutes to get up there for him.
- 32:38So yeah, I think I think Zion is in a pretty good spot
- 32:42here. I think that he's my favorite Pelican and I would probably just be
- 32:45like a Max one of probably Max two actually of Zion Ingram CJ because CJ's
- 32:50price is coming way down, but the usage has come down as well.
- 32:53Trey Murphy, I'll always have him in my playpool just for the fact that
- 32:59he has the you know, fifty point forty point upside off the bench if
- 33:02the shot is falling, because opportunity is there for him. They want to
- 33:06give him run. He doesn't need more than twenty six to twenty eight minutes
- 33:08to reach value. He's done it a bunch of times lately. And if
- 33:14the game does go more small, I think that, you know, maybe
- 33:16they run Trey Murphy out there, moves on up to the five or something
- 33:20like that, They'll probably go with Larry Nance. But I do think that
- 33:22his minutes are pretty safe and the upside has clearly been there for him.
- 33:24Clippers are slightly falling off in terms of defending the three point line, So
- 33:30yeah, interested in him. I don't think I'm really going to get to
- 33:31like the Larry Nancer Jovel stuff. I just don't. I don't really see
- 33:35enough upside for them to really even consider them for GPPs personally. So yeah,
- 33:39mainly just Zion, Trey Murphy and then Paul George for me. Yeah,
- 33:45I don't hate the Larry Nance thing just because I think his minutes could
- 33:47tick up here. Joeve all Right got ran off the court last time these
- 33:51two teams played, right, played eleven minutes, Because I mean, I
- 33:55just don't think they need Jovell here. So I don't hate a Larry Nance
- 34:00at three to six. Again, not the greatest play I don't know if
- 34:02I get tell Larry Nanton in three max stuff, but definitely would keep him
- 34:06in your pool. In tournaments you could see you could see him minutes kind
- 34:09of ceiling out of him here in this matchup, and at three six,
- 34:14I don't think it's a terrible spot. It's a pretty solid matchup as well
- 34:16for him. Zion is definitely my favorite play by far in this game.
- 34:20Zion is just behind s g A and in Drives per game right now in
- 34:25the entire NBA, playing at his best right now. He's eight three fits
- 34:30the build in the nature of the slate as well. So I do like
- 34:32Zion quite a bit. From the Clippers side, I don't have a lean
- 34:36Paul George, I think has the best best quote unquote matchup out of any
- 34:39of these guys, and he's eight K so I don't hate that. Obviously,
- 34:43Harden misses he would benefit there the Bones Highland thing. I think he's
- 34:47fine to keep in your pool, but again it's a risk. I think
- 34:52he's he's gonna get minutes either way, right because he's playing good right now,
- 34:54He's been playing right around twenty minutes or so lately, so I think
- 35:00he's fine. But again I don't know in single entry and three max stuff
- 35:05unless we get this news before lock that you can you can play a guy
- 35:09at four to three right bones Highland that could be capped at about eighteen minutes,
- 35:14right if Harden comes back in a big game. So not the greatest
- 35:19game from a DFS perspective. Zion Williams the best play in my opinion from
- 35:22that game. Let's talk about this next game here Denver, San Antonio.
- 35:28We got the Jokic and Wemby show here. In terms of the total,
- 35:31two twenty one total, second highest total in the slate. Obviously, these
- 35:35last two games have the highest totals of the entire slate. I think they're
- 35:37definitely good. Obviously that next game is very good between Atlanta and Utah.
- 35:42But from this game, it is a big spread right Denver on the road
- 35:45here ten point favorites on the road. In terms of injury news, not
- 35:50too much injury news in this one, really, Kelvin Johnson's back. I
- 35:57mean, there's really no injury news in this game. Basically, both the
- 35:59squad they're fully healthy. You have the pop situation on San Antonio. Some
- 36:02of those minutes are are pretty sporadic. Here is it a spin up spot
- 36:07at eleven eight to get up to Jokic? What about a Wemby going up
- 36:09against Jokic? Here? Do you think Wemby shows out against Jokic? Here?
- 36:15Got Jamal Murray at eight one against the Spurs, Michael Porter Junior still
- 36:17in that mid tier at six four. He's always got a ceiling if he's
- 36:21hitting his shots. Where are you going, Denver san Antonio? Yeah,
- 36:25I mean I have interest in both of Wemby and Jokic night. I think
- 36:29that everybody really should. I mean, anytime you see Wemby, uh,
- 36:32you know, sub five percent, sub whatever, ten percent ownership, I
- 36:37think you have to have some interest because it's really there's two guys on the
- 36:40slate that have that slate breaking upside, I think, and it's obviously Jokicic
- 36:44and Wenby, two guys that are facing each other. Yeah, I mean,
- 36:46Jokich is my top spent tonight, and it's not really close. Even
- 36:50with Wemby down low. You would think that the interior defense would get much
- 36:53better for San Antonio, but it just it really hasn't gotten much better.
- 36:57Their three point defense, which was really struggling earlier this season, has has
- 37:00improved a ton, but the interior defense has been kind of sleigh below average.
- 37:06We saw what Alpren Singhun just did to Wemby last week or two weeks
- 37:09ago, put up the career night. And yeah, I mean Jokic is
- 37:13he's like he's the top spin on the slight. Not much just to say
- 37:16I think that he's a great play tonight and I'm definitely gonna play a ton
- 37:19of him. A little bit concerned about the minutes for these guys though,
- 37:23because Mike Malone after the game against Miami said that they were trying to find
- 37:28a place to give Jamal Murray a rest because he's been playing a ton of
- 37:30mens lately. I mean, I get that, but for you to come
- 37:32out and say that after the game is I don't know, that doesn't that
- 37:37doesn't sit well with me. A lot of people that have money on the
- 37:39on the line, I get like these coaches don't care about our fantasy line
- 37:44and stuff like that, but like, like, come on, bro,
- 37:45let's give us a little heads up because he didn't he didn't close last game.
- 37:50They let Reggie Jackson close over him. He only played thirty one minutes,
- 37:52just very hurtful. But he'd been playing a ton of mens before that,
- 37:54thirty nine, thirty seven, thirty seven, forty and thirty eight in
- 37:58his last five games, so it made sense to give him some rest.
- 38:00But he also said the same thing about Jokic. They said they wanted to
- 38:04kind of cut his minutes down a little bit. Not sure you can really
- 38:07do that with the uh the Nuggets looking to lock up the first seed in
- 38:12the West right now, So yeah, I just don't think that you can
- 38:14really you can't rest Yokich much, so I don't think that he's really at
- 38:17risk, but maybe Jamal is a little bit more at risk of just the
- 38:21minutes ceiling coming down a little bit. But I like the spot for him
- 38:23as well. Spurs are bottom four in pick and roll defense this season.
- 38:29I think that Jamal and Jokis really have the best two man pick and roll
- 38:31game in the whole league. So yeah, I think that he's a pretty
- 38:36pretty solid option at eight point one. K mpj I mentioned about how the
- 38:40Spurs are starting to eliminate the catch and shoots up against three point shooters,
- 38:44but MPJ just I mean, he's shooting the ball really well right now,
- 38:47and Price sage looks really good for him. He's he's kind of an outlier
- 38:52in terms of these numbers because he's so much taller than anybody that's going to
- 38:55be defending him six' ten. I mean, he has the ability to
- 38:59shoot over anybody just with the jump shot. I mean he gets really high
- 39:01up and he's already going to be having a height advantage over whoever's guarding him.
- 39:06So I don't think that the numbers really mean much to him. You're
- 39:07kind of just banking on him having a good shooting night, and I don't
- 39:12think you have to worry about the minutes coming down here for defense or anything
- 39:15that you don't really worried too much about anybody on the Spurs side of things.
- 39:20So I think the MPJA pretty good upside here. Aaron Gordon is kind
- 39:23of interesting because I do think that he's going to be guarding Victor Webman Yama
- 39:28tonight, just because if I mean, team's kind of I'm sure that everybody
- 39:31pays attention in the NBA to how to defend guys, but if you saw
- 39:36how Dylan Brooks was defending Wenbiyama a couple of games ago did a really good
- 39:42job containing him, and I think that Aaron Gordon is kind of similar in
- 39:45his archetype in terms of a defender, so I think that they probably put
- 39:49Aaron Gord on him. Webby been pretty turnover prone at times this season,
- 39:52so you know, with the Spurs being a weaker rim defensive defensive team,
- 39:58maybe we could see Aaron Gordon get near a double double, gets some stocks
- 40:00in there, and then look to pay off that five point nine k price
- 40:04SiGe, which I feel is pretty pretty low for him. So I don't
- 40:07mind Aaron Gordon at all. And then on the Spurs side, I'm really
- 40:09just considering Wemby. But I mean he's coming in super low and I don't
- 40:14even have much to say from like a matchup standpoint, because on paper it's
- 40:16not very good. But I mean he's got seventy point upside and that's like
- 40:22that's enough for me to get some exposure to him. So yeah, I
- 40:24don't I don't mind him at all at ten point five k, just coming
- 40:28in super loan, So that's really wor. I'm going to this one no
- 40:31excellent breakdown. I'll keep this one pretty short. Jolkic and Murray obviously great
- 40:37place here. It is frightening right that they want to keep Murray's minutes down
- 40:40right Malone said that, and uh, I mean at eight one, it
- 40:45is a great matchup for him. It is also a big spread, right,
- 40:49ten point spread, ten point favorites here the matchup gets out of hand
- 40:52for sure, He's he's gonna lose minutes. Same thing with Yolk, But
- 40:55Yolk still has the highest ceiling by far to anyone on the slate in my
- 40:59opinion. Eleven eight tough to get up to him. With some sporadic value
- 41:02on the slate, but again, he could. He has the opportunity to
- 41:06score ninety to one hundred DraftKings points anytime he touches the court, right,
- 41:09So I think he's fine. I think Jamal Murray's fine. Michael Porter Junior,
- 41:15I think is going to be the chalkiest nugget here. I mean,
- 41:17this dud's shooting almost sixty percent from the field right now. If that sustains,
- 41:22I mean, that'd be great. Right, He's shooting forty eight point
- 41:24eight percent from three point range right in all this month, almost sixty percent
- 41:29from the field. He's a shooter. That's what he is. If he's
- 41:31not hitting the shots, he's not going to keep chucking. If he's hitting
- 41:35the shots, he doesn't keep chucking. And that's where his ceiling comes in
- 41:37at six or four. But I agree with you. I think I prefer
- 41:39Aaron Gordon a little bit here at much lower ownership. Aaron Gordon's gonna draw
- 41:45the Wemby matchup, which isn't good. But from a defensive standpoint, he
- 41:50could run into some follow trouble there, but his minutes are going to be
- 41:52locked into pretty much every time Wenby's on the court, Aaron Gordon's gonna be
- 41:57out there trying to defend him. So I think Aaron Gordon's solid play On
- 42:00the Spurs side. I mean, Trey Jones is in okay play. I
- 42:06think at five to nine Wemby obviously anytime he's sep ten percent owned, it's
- 42:10a tough matchup for him. But again, the dude's a freak. I
- 42:15mean, he can go off on anyone. Devin Vessel I don't think is
- 42:17a is a terrible play, but really not a ton of interest from the
- 42:21Spurs side. It's mainly Jokic or Murray. I would say I'd prefer Murray,
- 42:27but again, the minutes do scare me, right the coach speak the
- 42:30minutes not closing last game, that is a concern at eight to one in
- 42:34the ten point spread as well. So overall decent game, but this next
- 42:37game we're gonna talk about, I think is the best game on slate from
- 42:42fantasy perspective. I'm sure you're gonna have a lot to talk about here.
- 42:45Highest total on the slate in terms of this one. Closest spread right,
- 42:49just a two point spread Atlanta favored by two on the road here to twenty
- 42:52three total. Terms of injury news, quite a bit of injury new or
- 42:58not quite a bit of injury news. But Jalen Johnson is questionable in this
- 43:00one, which is pretty big, and then Bogdanovic is questionable as well.
- 43:05On the Utah side, Clarkson remains out, Chris Dunn is out, Congu
- 43:08is also out. On the Atlanta side, we do have some questionable tags,
- 43:13mainly Jalen Johnson and Bogdanovich, right, two big pieces of questionable news
- 43:16from Atlanta. DeAndre Hunter seems to be a pretty good player, right,
- 43:22Obviously a great spot here, one of the highest owned players on the slate
- 43:25at least it's looking like right now. And then the trio of Horton,
- 43:29Tucker, Kante, George Colin Sexton also getting a lot of ownership. DeAndre
- 43:34Hunter I think is a great play too. At five to six, I
- 43:36know you'll touch on him. Pretty good game here. It's the last game
- 43:38of the slate two and a half hours after that first game locks. There's
- 43:43a lot of questionable news on the Atlanta side. Do you have a lean
- 43:45one way or other? How you building teams? Touching on that news because
- 43:51obviously there's no late swap, so you can't swap once you once you kind
- 43:54of set it and forget it. At six pm, you're kind of setting
- 43:57stone. So where you're going last game of the night a real yeah,
- 44:00great, great game to attack for sure. I'll start with the the Hawk
- 44:05stuff from an injury standpoint, because I do think that this is kind of
- 44:08the best spot to attack in terms of the non late swap stuff. Bogdan
- 44:13Bogdanovic downgraded to an illness tag with the questionable injury designation, So yeah,
- 44:20I mean traveling into elevation, his coach said. Quinn Snyder said he's been
- 44:25you know, been really sick, so I'm kind of I mean, he's
- 44:29coming in. I'm seeing pretty high ownership on him right now, which makes
- 44:31sense if you consider the matchup, you consider the role with no no Sadiq
- 44:37Bay and no Trey Young. So yeah, I mean, this is the
- 44:39spot where I'm going to be taking a extreme underweight stance and bumping up some
- 44:45of these other guys, mainly Jalen Johnson and DeAndre Hunter. Jalen Johnson,
- 44:51I think that he said to make his return tonight after the multi game absence
- 44:54with the ankle injury. But I mean we've seen I mean even as re
- 45:00and as yesterday two games ago, Devin Booker returned from the inc country immediately
- 45:05step back into thirty eight minutes. So I mean, Jalen Johnson, the
- 45:08Hawks team doesn'tally have a ton to play for, per se, but Jalen
- 45:12Johnson has some incentives to play for because I believe he's still in the running
- 45:16for Most Improved Player. I don't know where he stands in terms of the
- 45:22the odds, but I know that he's in the top top two or three
- 45:24in terms of the voting right now for most Improved. But I think that
- 45:30he needs to play every single game the rest of the way in order to
- 45:34be eligible to win most proved Players. So yeah, I'm thinking that he's
- 45:38making his return tonight. The team is just so thin with their their forward
- 45:43positions that I mean front court in general, with no Akongu, with no
- 45:47Sadiq Bay. So yeah, I mean, I think that he kind of
- 45:50subs into a pretty pretty sizable workload right away. And yeah, I mean
- 45:54I'm gonna I'm gonna take the stance that he's in. I love targeting Jalen
- 45:59Johnson in these matchups where the other team plays fast paced, the other team
- 46:02is terrible in transition, and that's exactly what you have here. Jazz are
- 46:06dead last and transition defense this season. So these are the type of matchups
- 46:09that I want to fire up a Jayalen Johnson type player. So I'll definitely
- 46:13have some of him. The john S Murray to me is I would say,
- 46:16like matchup wise and price wise, probably the top play on the slate.
- 46:21Jokich's top spend just because he's got the highest upside. But I mean
- 46:23the role for Dejonte obviously is amazing. With no Trey Young, He's averaging
- 46:29almost fifty DK points in all the games without Trey Young the season, around
- 46:32thirty percent usage rate, thirty four percent assist percentage. Jazz are dead last
- 46:37versus point guards in terms of DVP, So I mean, he's got everything
- 46:40going for him here. So yeah, he's definitely gonna be a core play
- 46:44for me tonight, and I'm gonna look to get over the field on him
- 46:46in my MM stuff. Some other guys on the Atlanta side things. I
- 46:52think that like Capella is pretty interesting because if Bogdan is out, maybe he
- 46:57sees a slight uptick in the usage, slight uptick in minutes just with them
- 47:00being thin. But I mean the matchup, like, I don't know,
- 47:04it's neutral. Jazz are pretty solid with the rim protection, so I don't
- 47:07only have a strong lean on Capella per se, But I mean, if
- 47:10you you get like twenty six, twenty eight out of Capella, he could
- 47:14definitely pay off the tag. But yeah, I mean I like DeAndre Hunter,
- 47:17somebody that you mentioned earlier when we were talking about this, But yeah,
- 47:21I think that he's another really strong option. I'm kind of considering a
- 47:24max one of Hunter Jalen Johnson because if Jalen Johnson were'll be out then I
- 47:31think Hunter is gonna benefit a ton. I'm already gonna be taking an underweight
- 47:35standsun bogged on, So I'm gonna bump up Hunter and Jalen in those runs.
- 47:38But I'm probably gonna be a max one of those those three guys altogether,
- 47:43just because I think that just from like a leverage standpoint, I think
- 47:45I want to like go all in on one. So if one of those
- 47:49guys misses, I think the other one benefits. I don't really want to
- 47:51have too many of them because I'll already have a ton of Dejonte. And
- 47:55then like I guess, Brudo Fernando at four point three k another value to
- 47:59concent just because they are splitting splitting the center minutes down the middle. But
- 48:02like, I'm not looking to get anywhere below that. I'm not looking to
- 48:06get to the Vic Krazy's or Garrison Matthews handwhich's boy Wes Matthews, Trentforrest,
- 48:12Like no thank you in any of these guys. And then the jazz side
- 48:15of things, yeah, they're gonna be very offense, and I especially at
- 48:17the guard position. No Jordan Clarkson, no Chris Dunn and then obviously no
- 48:21Lori Markinen. So yeah, I mean, con Sexton and Canty George looked
- 48:25really really good tonight. The Hawks defense surprisingly been much better lately their top
- 48:30five since Trey Young has missed, which makes sense. I mean, you
- 48:36think about it. Trey Young, he likes to play really fast paced.
- 48:38He's just a turnstyle on defense. Probably one of the worst defenders in the
- 48:42league, I would say, and Dejonte I always thought was a really really
- 48:45good defender. You add in some of these other lengthy guys like Gantree Hunter,
- 48:50like the VIC Crazy's pretty solid defender, So makes sense why they've gotten
- 48:53better. But the opportunity looks like it's gonna be very very strong for these
- 48:57guys, County and Colin Sexton. I could see thirty five to thirty eight
- 49:00minutes from both these guys. Maybe even County touches forty. He's done it
- 49:04a couple times in the past couple of weeks. But yeah, I mean
- 49:07his County George in particular, has had a really really strong role, leading
- 49:12the team in touch time this season. The pick and roll stuff have been
- 49:15really good for him. Atlanta pretty good defending the pick and roll. But
- 49:20I mean I don't know. I just think that the role is going to
- 49:22be so strong for him that I'm willing to overlook that kind of same.
- 49:24The matchup seems a little bit better for Conseext because he's much more capable of
- 49:30getting downhill and attacking the rim, and Atlanta had been a pretty weak rim
- 49:32defense all season long, so I think that he's really good here. Put
- 49:36up almost forty DK points the first time these teams faced off, so he
- 49:38looks really strong. I'm kind of off John Collins. I think that the
- 49:42return of Walker Kesler has definitely hurt his upside. I would be okay again
- 49:46to Walker Kesler because the Hawks are going to be probably running out forty eight
- 49:51true center minutes tonight, so you're gonna need Walkerkesser out there. He put
- 49:53up a really good game last time the team faced off as well. And
- 49:58then yeah, I want to hear your take on Teach because I'm a little
- 50:00bit skeptical on how many minutes they're giving him. And I think that anytime
- 50:06you get THT sixty plus seventy plus percent ownership, it's worth an underweight stance
- 50:10or even a fade, depending on the tournaments you're in just because there's so
- 50:15many ways that it could go wrong. They're they're trying to get sensible,
- 50:17more run. They have talked of Johnny Joosying, They've talked up Michael Potter,
- 50:22Like, I think there's some ways that it could go sideways for for
- 50:25tch T tonight, But interested to hear your take on that. Yeah,
- 50:30I don't like THHD here tonight, especially at that ownership. I mean,
- 50:36I love Colin Sexton. Here at Colin Sexton I think is an amazing play.
- 50:38I love Dejenttey Murray, I love DeAndre Hunter. Those three guys are
- 50:42core plays for me definitely here tonight. I think Kant George is a great
- 50:45play. Bogdanovic, I'm gonna be way underweight on. I don't think if
- 50:50he doesn't play that's that's great. But he is projecting to be pretty high
- 50:53on right now, Bogdanovic, if he doesn't miss. Obviously, Jalen Johnson
- 50:57gets boost, right, Murray gets a boost, Hunter gets a boost.
- 51:01But outside of that, I mean, it's pretty much to Jentay Murray,
- 51:04DeAndre Hunter for me in this game. Collin Sexton, County George. I
- 51:07know that's kind of the chalky route to go. Those are the best plays,
- 51:09but again, I think there's different ways to get There's ways to get
- 51:14unique. Avoiding the Larry Nances or the Jonathan Isaacs right in that value center
- 51:19range, I think is one way to get different with that kind of roster
- 51:22build. I don't know if I'm gonna get I don't think I'm gonna get
- 51:25to any of these secondary pieces here like the Fernandos in those other guys.
- 51:30It's pretty much those four main guys not going to get to any of these
- 51:32creashies or anything like that. So it's the four big dogs for me in
- 51:37this game. Is kind of how I'm approaching it. Taylor Hart Tucker definitely
- 51:39underweight on that three nine I'm gonna try and build a more balanced team that
- 51:45kind of avoids that. With my spend being de Jentay Murray. You can
- 51:47build a lot of nice teams with the Jentay Murray at nine to five and
- 51:51then avoid a lot of that three K range of the Jonathan Isaacs, the
- 51:55Taylor Horton, Tuckers, did Larry Nances that are gonna be all three of
- 52:00those guys are going to be very highly owned in terms of projections in terms
- 52:02of owner in terms of optimizers, so try to avoid those three and building
- 52:07a different route to that is kind of the route that I'm taking. Maybe
- 52:10playing guys like Terry Rozier and some of that that I think are under priced
- 52:15for the matchup, for the role and the spot tonight is kind of how
- 52:17I'm going. But great game here. Definitely be cognitant of when you're building
- 52:22your teams on how to approach it. In terms of injury news, I
- 52:25think Reo broke it down great. And if you want to see what Rio
- 52:30is going to be on, head over to Shipping Nation dot com. Use
- 52:32that promo code Masters fifteen, check out his slate plan, check out his
- 52:37core plays. My core plays already up. I just finished up my core
- 52:39play while we were on the show here talking through it seems like a pretty
- 52:43solid road. Obviously, there's not a lot of news that we're gonna probably
- 52:46get before lock here, no late swaps, so feeling pretty confident. Obviously
- 52:51any changes will be updated in yellow, but any final closing remarks here real
- 52:57for the people before we getting out of here and head to the weekend.
- 53:00No, I hope that everybody has a good weekend. Saw a lot of
- 53:04questions in chat. We're not really able to get to them tonight, just
- 53:07taking a little bit of time talking about the non light swap stuff. But
- 53:13yeah, so, I mean, I'm pretty excited about this one, and
- 53:15I got a couple of shots in the qualifier to get myself a live final
- 53:19seat before the tournament fills up, So hopefully I can get that and get
- 53:23my weekend started off to a good start. I know that you got some
- 53:27fun stuff planned, so hopefully we have a good, successful, successful night
- 53:30over here when some money and get the weekend off to a good start.
- 53:35Yeah, let's get the weekend off to a good start. Good luck to
- 53:37you and everybody else in the chat in your tournaments tonight. Hopefully you get
- 53:42a live final seat, and if it's not you, hopefully it's another ship
- 53:44at Nation. Remember over here, good luck tonight. Hope to see those
- 53:47ship at Nation logos at the top for real. I'm may DIVI. We'll
- 53:52catch you guys next time. Lad ship it and names mothers and names