Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 422 - 12/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 422 - 12/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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  Hello and welcome. To episode 422 of the All.
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  Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by.
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  Rhythm. I am your host, Josh.
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  Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
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  Happy Monday, a new week. Begins, but also the final.
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  Week in the year. 2020. Five.
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  That's right, New Year's Eve. Just.
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  A couple days away, but we got a.
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  Lot to talk about between now and then.
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  I tell you what, guys, it's that.
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  Weird time of year, I can't really explain it.
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  You probably. Know what I'm talking about but.
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  That time between Christmas and New Year's, it's like I.
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  Don't know you don't. Really know the day you don't
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  really know what the. Protocol is, it's like kind of a
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  vacation, but. It's not some people.
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  Work. Some people don't.
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  But either way, guys, we're. Going to try to make the most of
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  it, see if we. Can have some.
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  Winners here for today on a big Monday.
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  So I do hope that. Everyone had a.
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  Fantastic Christmas break last. Time we talked.
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  Was back last Tuesday so we could a week ago.
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  Basically from tomorrow but. Either way, it's been a.
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  While so, I want to wish everyone a merry.
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  Christmas hope they got everything they wanted for
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  Christmas and I just wanted. To make one quick note and one
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  thank. You specifically to you guys
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  listening because you might have gotten sick of me saying it.
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  Pumping my book out. Telling you guys to get a
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  stocking stuff or you don't know what to get?
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  For your uncle or your nephew. Or whoever.
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  So you might as well grab the Everything Guide to Sports
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  Betting or the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
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  And let me. Just say I just got an update
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  on. The basically the week.
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  Ending yesterday. So the basically the.
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  Christmas week and I had a big, big, big surge of sales so I
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  just. Want to say thank you?
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  To those of you out there who may have purchased a book.
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  Or bought it for somebody or. Maybe you received it?
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  Who knows, I'll be the way guys it just.
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  Means a lot to me that. I saw that.
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  Spike in sales. Obviously to make me happy, to
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  make my publisher happy, but it. Just goes to show that I think
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  there's a thirst out there for a an.
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  Approach to sports betting it isn't just.
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  Opinion based. It's data-driven.
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  It's focusing. On what we always talk about
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  line movement, split system matches.
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  With our friends, of course, at both.
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  Rhythm and. Juiceville.
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  So I want to thank everyone for that.
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  But either way guys, hope you had a great Christmas.
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  Break and hope you're getting ready here for new.
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  Year's because we got a lot to get to including.
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  On New Year's Day. Those big college football.
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  Games, those big playoff games, So we will certainly be talking
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  about. Those but for today.
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  Little bit everything. In terms of, obviously.
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  Monday night. Football.
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  So we have Rams and the Atlanta Falcons.
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  We got a very. Contrarian line move here to
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  talk about. And then also some college.
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  Basketball. There's a huge college
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  basketball slate today, 58 games.
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  Overall, a lot of. Day sweats, or at least a few.
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  Sweats that I see going on right now.
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  But I did find 2 games that were tiny little games.
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  ACAA. Coastal Athletic Conference
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  game. And a horizon.
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  League game. Both with a good line move.
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  Splits system matches. And good edges here from our
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  friends at both Rhythm and Juice shows, so we'll see if we can.
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  Get a couple games. Overall, of course 3.
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  Places try to go. 2:00 and 1:00. But we have Monday Night
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  Football and. 2 college basketball games.
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  So let's waste no more time and get right to it again.
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  We're wrapping up the year 20. 25, hopefully starting off here
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  final week on a hot note. So let's talk, of course.
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  Monday Night Football. Wrapping up NFL?
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  Week 17. I'll set the stage.
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  Talk split system matches and I'll.
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  Give you my play for Rams and Falcons now 8. 15 PM Eastern.
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  Time tonight, Rams visiting. The Falcons ESPN of.
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  Course. So what do we get?
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  Buck and Aikman here tonight, but the Rams come in 11 and. 4
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  just saw their. Two game win streak though, come
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  to an end. Remember, they lost to the
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  Seahawks 38 to 30. Seven in overtime.
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  That was just an. Absolutely incredible.
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  Game if you remember and that's. The perfect example.
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  Of why we money line short. Favorites because the Seahawks.
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  End up winning by one, but the Rams actually.
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  Ended up covering that game by 1 1/2 as a 1 1/2 point Rd. dog
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  now. On the other hand, we have the.
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  Falcons, who are 6:00 and 9:00, however, they have 1-2 in a row,
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  just took down the. Cardinals 26 to 19 covered as a
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  2. And a half point.
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  Road favorite. Now what we've seen across the
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  market here. Well, this game opened with the
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  Los. Angeles Rams listed around an 8
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  point Rd. favorite. And the public says?
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  Rams are awesome, great record. Obviously we have.
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  Stafford as the favorite for the MVP, even though Drake May had
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  a. Huge day yesterday.
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  Still Stafford. I think is like -200 minus. 250.
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  And then of course we have the land sub 500 team.
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  Quote UN quote. Nothing to play for so public
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  isn't scared off by. That big number and 79%.
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  Of spread bets are. Laying the chalk with the Rams,
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  however. Even though we're seeing such.
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  Lopsided betting on the Rams Nearly 8 out of 10 tickets
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  Laying the chalk here. We have not seen the Rams.
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  Get up from -8. To -9 -. 10 No.
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  You know, theoretically you would assume heavy heavy
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  betting. On the Rams, oddsmakers would
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  want to increase that line further.
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  In favor of the Rams to make. The public.
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  Pay a more expensive. Price, but then also.
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  Give out a sweetener, a better number to the dog, betters to
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  try to. Mitigate some risk.
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  But here's one thing. And I I was.
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  Learned about this. Over time in the.
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  Industry. Really.
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  When I started. Working at VS and back in 2019
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  and I. Started to talk to.
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  Bookmakers, but you'll hear a lot of people.
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  Sound smart? When they say.
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  Oh, oddsmakers always want. 5050 Action.
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  So theoretically, there's no. Big, you know.
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  Big hit they can take because it's always. 5050 and they'll
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  just rake in the. Juice, and that is.
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  Kind of. True, but also it's not true.
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  So if you talk to bookmakers, they're OK with lopsided.
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  Action if they. Feel like.
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  They're on the sharp. Side so in the case of of this
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  spot we. Have heavy, heavy betting.
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  Here on the Rams, but the Rams open -8 they're down to 7 1/2,
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  even 7 so. We always talk about this and I
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  think it's important whether you win a bet or lose a bet to talk
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  through what's. Going on in your head.
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  And how you know? The splits the percentages.
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  The line moves. How it's all coming together.
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  So it doesn't make. Sense, right?
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  Everyone's betting Rams, yet we're seeing this line drop
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  toward the Atlanta Falcons. Where are the odds makers
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  dropping line to make? It easier for the public.
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  To take the Rams, they like the Rams -8.
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  Oh, I love them seven and a half.
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  Oh I love. Them -7.
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  But let's take a step back. Ask ourselves what's going on
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  that this tells me we have a very sharp reverse line move.
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  In favor of Atlanta and a heavily bet.
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  Game where we're seeing. The line go away.
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  From the popular side toward the unpopular side tells me smart
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  money came in here on the Falcons.
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  Now Falcons have some great. Bet against the public value so
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  it's not just a. Sharp move, but it's a great.
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  Contrarian opportunity. They're only getting 21% of
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  spread bets and a. Very again, heavily bet.
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  Prime time game. If you look at circa though, so
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  DraftKings as heavy heavy betting.
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  Rams only 21% of spread tickets on Atlanta, but out at Circa in
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  Vegas 39% of spread bats a little more popular.
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  Still very contrarian though. But 67% of spread dollars are on
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  Atlanta. So I always.
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  Like when Circo is giving me a sharp.
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  Split in their favor, which tells.
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  Me the wise. Guys in the desert are taking a
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  position here on Falcons, plus the points now.
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  We got a lot of system matches here, Lighting.
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  Up on the. Falcons I have 5 systems.
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  Overall first one Prime time dogs.
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  Prime time dogs. 30 and 23 against the spread this year 57.
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  Percent, 8% ROI. Since 2020, they are 170. 1:00
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  and 1:40. 9 ATS 53. Percent with a 3% ROI now if.
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  You're a big. Prime time dog getting 6 points
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  or more. You're 10 and 8 ATS this year.
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  56 percent, 6% ROI. You're 30. 8 and 26 ATS 50. 9
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  percent, 14% ROI since. 2022. So not only have these prime
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  time dogs done well, but if you're a bigger prime time dog
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  getting, you know, basically a touchdown or more.
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  You're even better. Now take away prime time or
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  include prime time but include all their games as well just.
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  In general, generally speaking, if you're a big.
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  Home dog getting 6 snap points or more?
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  Those teams are 15 and eight against.
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  The spread this year 65%. With a 24.
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  Percent ROI. And since 2020.
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  Those. Big home dogs getting. 6 Now for
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  more. They're 84 and 54.
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  Against the spread. 61% with a 16%.
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  ROI. Also, Home Dog missed the
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  playoffs the previous year, facing a favorite who made the
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  playoffs the previous year. Kind of the ultimate buy low
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  sell high where public just remembers hey Rams are a.
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  Good team. Falcons are not just take the
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  Rams, but let's try to flip that on its head and try to
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  capitalize on a buy low, sell high spot.
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  Those home dogs missed the playoffs.
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  Opponent made that system is 26 and 16 against the spread 62%
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  with an 18%. ROI this year?
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  Lastly, we got. Home conference dogs.
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  They are. 40 and 34 against the spread this season, 54.
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  Percent 3% ROI if the home conference dog is getting seven
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  or more. They improve to 13 and six ATS
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  68. Percent, 30%.
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  ROI this season so. All those systems are lighting.
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  Up on the Atlanta Falcons and, oh, by the way, popped open.
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  Juice Reel. And noticed a 14% sharp mush
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  edge on the Falcons. Also one of the two Robo Jackson
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  best bet picks the AI model that.
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  Spits out two best. Bets each day one of the. 2 is
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  on Falcons plus the points. Then we go to our friends at
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  Rhythm Rhythm. I have three recommended plays,
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  all on the Atlanta Falcons. First one is plus 4.4, second
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  one is plus 4.1 and a Green Star Smart Signal.
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  Recommended play. Says take the Falcons.
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  They should only be. Plus 4.9.
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  So Publix on Rams but lines? Going to Atlanta.
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  We have a lot of systems. We have a sharp mush from Juice
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  Reel and we have. Rhythm telling us it should be
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  about a. Four or five point game.
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  So you had all up here guys? I took Atlanta Falcons plus 7
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  1/2. Now the key here.
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  Is getting that hook. Super important you lose by.
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  7:00 You got a cash with the hook.
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  Quite a few books. Are still offering 7 1/2.
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  The goal now is to get the. Smallest juice possible.
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  So FanDuel is plus? 7 1/2 -. 120 Caesars is +7 half
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  -1. 15 Valley Bet. Where I'm at in mass is +7 half
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  -1. 18. Every other book is down to 7 so
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  I jumped on. Caesars.
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  Plus 7 1/2. -115 let's. Go Atlanta Falcons now.
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  In terms. Of the total, I didn't play it
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  because. There's kind of been some back
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  and forth stuff going on on the one.
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  Hand we. Did see this?
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  Total tick up. At one point it was 48 1/2.
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  Up to. As high as 50.
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  But now it's come back down to 49 1/2 and.
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  Now I'm seeing. Some books get down to 40.
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  Nine so the game day move is. Starting to fall back down
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  toward the under. What's tough, though, is that
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  the under looks really good at. DraftKings 32%, Bets 63%.
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  Dollars but circa. 74% bets 89% dollars on the over when the
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  total is 49 or more a high. Total the over is. 22 and 18
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  this year, 50. 5% however, you guys know the drill.
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  Prime time unders 30 and 26. 54%.
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  Nearly a 3%. ROI this year?
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  They are 57. Percent, 10% ROI since. 2022.
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  And a high. Prime time under 47, half or
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  more. They're 55% this year, 58% since
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  2017. So again, the total.
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  Has gone up, but now it's starting to come back down.
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  Looks like there is some game day money coming back toward the
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  under, but it's kind of been back and forth and I feel.
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  Like we've. Kind of checked off quite a few.
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  Boxes on Atlanta, so I don't want to, you know, hopefully
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  cash a 7 1/2. Atlanta and then lose if I.
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  Force a total. So my one play here guys is the
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  Atlanta Falcons. Plus 7 1/2 -, 115.
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  At Caesar's. Now let's talk some college
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  hoops. There's a huge college slate
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  here. Slate here.
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  Today, as you mentioned. And I got 2 games that caught my
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  eye. And they are both.
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  What I would call. Small, low bet, obscure, sharp
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  line. Moves so.
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  First one on the board. This is an early.
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  Game. 5:00 PM Eastern Time. Let's talk about Towson.
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  Visiting William and Mary, Old Bill and Mary.
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  So 5:00 tip. Off here a.
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  Couple just thoughts here, just you know, background.
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  Basically, Towson comes in. 8:00 and 5:00 on the season.
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  They've won two straight, just beat.
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  Up on sacred. Heart 70. 2 to 47.
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  William and Mary, 9:00 and 3:00. They've won 123.
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  Four. Their last five.
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  Just beat Rad Radford. 96 to 83. So we.
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  Got a nine? And three William and Mary
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  against 8 and. Five Towson, both teams.
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  Pretty decent this year. However, what have we seen
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  across the board? Well.
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  This game opened basically a pick em.
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  You know it was. William and Mary minus.
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  One or William and. Mary, pick em.
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  I did see one. Book that actually opened
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  Towson. Maybe -1.
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  So we can split the difference and basically say it was a.
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  Pick em game. And what do we always talk
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  about? Especially like in baseball,
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  like when a baseball. Game is a -, 110 both sides.
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  In which direction does the line move because?
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  You got to think about how basically the sharps are
• 12:46
  reacting to a pick em game. Either their model also.
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  Says it's a pick. Em there for no reason.
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  About it, there's no. Edge or do they have?
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  One team -1 or -2 so. Therefore, if it opens as a
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  pick, they're. Going to jump on.
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  That team, because there's an edge, well.
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  Looks like the edge. Here from the sharps.
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  Is on. Bill and Mary, let's go, William
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  and Mary. Now William and Mary.
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  Basically a pick them. They've now been met up to -1
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  1/2 or -2. I see one book that went to -2
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  1/2. So it's pretty clear this line
• 13:15
  is moving toward Bill and Mary now.
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  DraftKings spread percentage 67% Bets 72% dollars.
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  On William and Mary. You guys know?
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  Me, especially in a. College, you know, basketball
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  game I want to mitigate. Some risk here, so I want
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  William and Mary on the money line.
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  I got it -135. I like the splits.
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  In particular at DraftKings on the money line, 72% bets, 84%
• 13:39
  dollars, but. Really at?
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  Circa this one jumped out to me. Only 50% of money line bets, but
• 13:44
  87% of money line dollars on William and Mary.
• 13:48
  So we have low bets, higher dollars line move.
• 13:50
  Toward William and Mary. William and Mary does have a
• 13:52
  little bit of a rest advantage. 18th.
• 13:55
  Of December, they last played versus the 22nd for Towson.
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  Also, it's the first game back since the Christmas.
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  Break. So hopefully there's a little
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  homecourt advantage here, which, by the way, William and Mary is
• 14:04
  4 and O at home and Towson is O and four on the road.
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  Hope that is a benefit toward the.
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  Tribe tonight, William and. Mary Tribe, Ken Palm, you're.
• 14:13
  Going to like this. If you want to play William and
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  Mary with me, Ken Palm has William and Mary winning by 4
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  points, so you might. Say, oh, lay the two 2 1/2 Well,
• 14:21
  let. Me just go money line and get
• 14:22
  more protection hopefully. But he's also got William and
• 14:25
  Mary. Ranked higher. 122nd in the
• 14:28
  country versus 134th for Towson looked.
• 14:32
  At some of these stat categories we have.
• 14:34
  William and Mary with the better offensive.
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  Efficiency. 136th in the country versus 185th for Towson.
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  Big advantage in effective. Field goal percentage, so.
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  Better shooting the ball. 55% versus. 47%.
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  Better three-point shooting, 33% versus 27% and better free.
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  Throw shooting. This could be a big one here.
• 14:55
  Especially in a tight. Game Let's make our free throws.
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  And hopefully we can get some misses from Towson, but 77%,
• 15:01
  that's pretty good. Versus only 66?
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  Percent free throw shooting for Towson Lastly.
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  We have an. 18. Percent sharp mush edge from our
• 15:11
  friends at. Juice real also.
• 15:13
  On William and Mary. So it's kind of a.
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  Weird early. Five O clock game.
• 15:17
  Eastern Time, of course. But a pick?
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  Up to now -2 -. 2 1/2 tells me smart money's going Bill and
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  Mary. With a.
• 15:24
  Sharp mush edge Ken pumps got him by 4 good splits better.
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  Shooting both 3. Point and field goal and just
• 15:31
  free throws in general. So I took.
• 15:33
  Bill and Mary, the tribe on the money line at -130. 5.
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  Last bed of the night. 7:00 Eastern Time.
• 15:42
  Northern Kentucky against Robbie MO Robert Morris.
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  This is a horizon. League matchup now Northern.
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  Kentucky comes in nine and five on the year.
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  But they have lost two straight, just lost to College of
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  Charleston. 85 to 74. On the other hand, Robbie MO 10
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  and four on the year. They've won three.
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  Straight just beat Saint Francis of Pennsylvania.
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  What was that 79 to 70, so 9 and 5 versus 10 and 4?
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  Two good teams going at it here once again now.
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  What are we seeing across the market for this one?
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  Well. This came open.
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  Robbie, MO. Listed as about a very short.
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  One point home favorite. And we've seen this line pretty
• 16:21
  much creep up. Only toward Robert.
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  Morris We've seen Robert Morris -1 reach as high as -2 1/2 now.
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  It has since come back down to around -1 1/2.
• 16:31
  But still. Open a current all movement has
• 16:32
  been on the Robbie MO. Side so it tells.
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  Me, we have some smart money here flowing in in favor of
• 16:37
  Robert Morris. Now you know me.
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  Again, trying to money line a short favorite, I found
• 16:42
  DraftKings money line splits. Pretty good toward the.
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  The Robert Morris side 76% of bets. 86%.
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  Of money line dollars and then if you look over at.
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  Circa a big. Split in favor of.
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  Robert Morris we have Robbie MO getting over 90% of money line
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  bets and. Dollars so big, big advantage
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  here both. Bets and dollars both DraftKings
• 17:06
  and Circa. In favor of Robbie, MO, now Ken.
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  Palm is Robert Morris winning by 5, so that's a pretty nice
• 17:13
  little advantage here, hopefully over the 1 1/2.
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  And again, remember this line reached.
• 17:16
  As high as minus. 2 1/2 But I did go money line here.
• 17:20
  You can get Robbie MO around -125 -. 130 somewhere around
• 17:24
  there. Ken Palm does have Robbie MO
• 17:26
  ranked higher one. 75th in the. Country versus 2O Ninth.
• 17:30
  Better offensive efficiency for Robbie MO, 174th.
• 17:33
  Versus 218th better defensive efficiency 190. 5th versus
• 17:37
  201st. Offensive rebound advantage 20.
• 17:41
  8th in the. Country Robert Morris versus
• 17:42
  69th for Northern Kentucky, 3 point shooting, 36% versus 33.
• 17:48
  Percent so better. Beyond behind the arc hope.
• 17:51
  They can drop at. Home here tonight and a small
• 17:53
  rest. Advantage.
• 17:54
  Nothing huge, but. Last played on the 20th of
• 17:56
  December versus 21st. And again.
• 17:58
  After the Christmas break. And I always look.
• 18:01
  At like, you know. In addition, just these home
• 18:05
  home Rd. splits because Robbie MO is 7 and O at home this year
• 18:09
  they've been really good at home and Northern Kentucky is 2.
• 18:12
  And three on the road. So it's kind of.
• 18:14
  Similar, I think if you like William and Mary, you like
• 18:17
  Robert Morris -1 up to 1 1/2 touched as high as 2 1/2.
• 18:21
  I did notice also a 33% sharp mush edge.
• 18:25
  In favor of Robert Morris here in this spot.
• 18:28
  So you got it all up here, guys. I'm going to go.
• 18:30
  Robbie MO hopefully to get a win at home in the Horizon League.
• 18:34
  Again, you can get Robert Morris as low as -125 on the money
• 18:37
  line. So, William.
• 18:38
  And Mary, we got Bill and Mary and Robbie MO.
• 18:42
  I don't know how I came up with these nicknames but this is what
• 18:44
  we used to always call them when I worked at Sports Insights and
• 18:46
  we would sweat games together, me and my buddies.
• 18:48
  I missed those times. But either way, let's even get
• 18:52
  at least one of them. If we get both, I'll be even
• 18:53
  better. And let's go Falcons.
• 18:56
  Let's go, dirty birds. Plus 7 1/2.
• 18:59
  So that about does it for episode 420.
• 19:01
  Two of the all. Systems go sports betting.
• 19:03
  Podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod, as
• 19:06
  always, where we wrap. Things up always start first by
• 19:09
  saying thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
• 19:11
  you for tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
• 19:13
  arena with me through the UPS. And the downs, the good and the.
• 19:15
  Bad but. Always taking a positive.
• 19:19
  Optimistic, but also a. What should we say?
• 19:22
  A grinders with blinders approach as an.
• 19:23
  Old friend of mine used to say never getting.
• 19:26
  Too high never get getting too low, but always trying to find
• 19:29
  those system plays trying to make.
• 19:30
  Smart bets of their head and not our heart.
• 19:32
  So if you do enjoy this pod, which I hope you do.
• 19:35
  You find the insights. Valuable please would you give
• 19:37
  it a 5? Star Review on Spotify or iTunes
• 19:41
  would go a long way to helping. Us to continue to.
• 19:42
  Grow the pod if you want to click.
• 19:44
  The follow button or retweet the pod when I put.
• 19:46
  It out each afternoon or recommend the pod to a friend.
• 19:50
  They'll all be fantastic. And make me very happy.
• 19:53
  Next if you enjoyed. These these breakdowns.
• 19:56
  This approach to sports betting taking a data-driven approach
• 19:59
  looking at split system matches line.
• 20:01
  Moves trying to make. Bets that are smart.
• 20:04
  With our head and not our heart and not.
• 20:05
  Our own biases if you want to learn more.
• 20:08
  About data-driven betting. Or maybe you?
• 20:10
  Still got to get. I don't know an upcoming.
• 20:12
  A gift for somebody as as you guys made me very happy with.
• 20:16
  The spike in sales. During during the holidays.
• 20:17
  Looks like a lot of stockings were stuffed with one.
• 20:20
  Or both of my books. But still, it doesn't have to be
• 20:23
  a holiday. You can you.
• 20:24
  Can support the team anytime you want by going to Amazon.com and
• 20:27
  typing in the Everything Guide to Sports betting or the NFL
• 20:31
  Sharp betting. Playbook, my two books that I'm
• 20:33
  very proud of. And I'm I'm already thinking
• 20:35
  about my third book. I have a cool title.
• 20:38
  Hopefully if we can get there in time or or when we when we
• 20:41
  really get. Serious about it, but either way
• 20:42
  guys if. You want to grab.
• 20:43
  One or both you'd. Make my day.
• 20:45
  Bring the everything guide. Or the NFL sharp betting
• 20:47
  playbook to the sports book. I'll sign him for you.
• 20:49
  I'll buy you a. Beer or ginger ale and we'll
• 20:52
  sweat some of these games here together tonight.
• 20:54
  Next, have you downloaded? Rhythm and juice Real yet my two
• 20:57
  favorite sports. Betting apps Rhythm Great for
• 20:59
  their AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
• 21:01
  player props. Juice Real just a great app
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  with. So many different advantages.
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  Including the sharp mush. Edges the arbitrage, plays the
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  shop. For the best line opportunities,
• 21:11
  but also. Getting the Robo Jackson best
• 21:13
  bet picks. And of.
• 21:13
  Course supporting your podcast host.
• 21:16
  So you like the pod tip Your podcast host.
• 21:18
  In the form of signing up to. Get the all systems go.
• 21:21
  Official best bet picks. Once I bet him.
• 21:23
  I got my books synced. Right up to Juice Reel.
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  I bet him at one of my books. It goes right to my profile page
• 21:29
  on Juice Reel. You can tail fade do whatever
• 21:31
  you like, but if you'd like to. Get those plays immediately.
• 21:33
  Once I play them and support the pod.
• 21:36
  And tip your podcast host it costs. $4.00 and. $0.99.
• 21:40
  A week, so 5. Bucks a week for seven days
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  worth of plays, so pretty decent value there.
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  I'll be the way, guys. Download rhythm, download juice
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  reel, give him a 5 star. Review in the App Store while
• 21:50
  you're at it. Next.
• 21:52
  Have you? Given a shot to.
• 21:54
  Odds Logic Odds Logic is the best live odds page around.
• 21:58
  You know, you know, we're, we're going to talk about New Year's.
• 22:00
  Resolutions, I'm sure. Because everyone asks you, I
• 22:02
  want to get healthier. Like.
• 22:04
  OK, whatever, but what if you're a sport?
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  'S better. What do you want to do you want?
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  To get a better live odds page and odds logic is the best.
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  One around it'll give you all the major books, including.
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  Sharp books like Pinnacle and Chris and.
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  Circo, which are kind of somewhat.
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  Hard to get but. In real time it updates all the
• 22:20
  different color-coded updates, so.
• 22:22
  That you know the lines are moving, you can identify.
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  Steam the open. Column versus the current.
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  Prices you can look. At line movement.
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  Pull up line history by clicking the box just with your mouse.
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  Or of. Course you can shop for the best
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  price which is huge as well and you're going to get that live in
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  game wagering, updating odds throughout the game as well.
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  So if you haven't done it yet and you want to.
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  Give it a shot. Here's a link.
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  You can go to for a 7 day free. Trial and 50% off your first.
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  Month. Just go to odds logic dot.
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  Com slash. Josh, 123.
• 22:51
  Next. We have Novig do.
• 22:54
  You guys know about Novig? I've tried to tell you Novig is
• 22:56
  a sports betting exchange and not a sports book, so.
• 22:59
  You're going to get way better juice prices instead of.
• 23:01
  Paying -115 -, 120 you're. Going to pay minus one O 5.
• 23:04
  Plus one O 2 - 1 O 6 - 1 O one. So for example, let me just kind
• 23:09
  of put this into perspective. I'm popping open my.
• 23:12
  Novig app as we speak. I'm looking at the.
• 23:15
  Game here for tonight for Monday Night Football.
• 23:18
  And you can get. Rams -7 F at plus one O 8 or
• 23:23
  Falcons plus 7F at -111 -. 111 may not.
• 23:27
  Sound great but. Every other book that's.
• 23:28
  At 7 1/2. Falcons is like -1. 15 - 120 or
• 23:32
  over 48 1/2 -. 1 O 8 under 48 and. 1/2 plus one O 6.
• 23:36
  You're getting better prices, which means you can.
• 23:38
  Win at the very. Same rate you would at
• 23:40
  DraftKings or FanDuel or any other book.
• 23:42
  You're going to make more money on the back end because you're.
• 23:44
  Risking less juice upfront. So download.
• 23:46
  Novig and when you. Fund your account.
• 23:48
  Put in Josh, 12. Three in the promo code and I'll
• 23:51
  tack on another 25 bucks. And then of.
• 23:54
  Course guys, we're only. About a week away from the
• 23:56
  playoffs here, the NFL. Postseason we got week. 18 and
• 23:59
  then that's it. We have a couple big games,
• 24:01
  Carolina, Tampa to decide the. What is it, the AFC West or AFC
• 24:06
  South? And then we have a.
• 24:07
  Big showdown there, Pittsburgh and Baltimore for the AFC North,
• 24:11
  but then after that we got the. Postseason.
• 24:13
  So I've been trying to tell you. And you guys?
• 24:15
  Have a bunch of people. Sign up.
• 24:16
  So thank you for that. But the NFL survivor?
• 24:20
  Contest that I'm doing. With Splash Sports, it's
• 24:23
  specifically. For the playoffs.
• 24:24
  And it's kind of interesting because.
• 24:26
  You got to save. Your your champion for the you
• 24:28
  know the final play. So if you think.
• 24:30
  The Rams are going to win it all.
• 24:31
  Again, right now they're they wouldn't get a first round by it
• 24:34
  would. Be Seattle, but you.
• 24:36
  Wouldn't want to use Rams in the 1st.
• 24:37
  Round because again, you want to save your your champion for the
• 24:40
  end. So it's kind of an interesting,
• 24:41
  cool way for all of us to get back into Survivor mode for the
• 24:44
  postseason. So it's there's a.
• 24:47
  Link to join the. The contest in the.
• 24:49
  Description of this podcast and you can also.
• 24:51
  Find it on my Twitter page at Josh under score Insights.
• 24:54
  But I'd. Love for you guys.
• 24:55
  To join in. So that about does it for
• 24:57
  episode 4. 22. Of the ASG all.
• 25:00
  Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 25:03
  Lastly, 2 final thoughts. One whether I.
• 25:05
  See you at the Borgata. In Atlantic City Twin.
• 25:08
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 25:09
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 25:13
  Boston, plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield and Nash and my
• 25:16
  neck of the woods on the border of.
• 25:18
  Nashua, NH and. Massachusetts or out?
• 25:20
  In the desert where the true grinders get down or Billy
• 25:22
  Walters sends his number runners with lowest juice possible is
• 25:25
  found the South point or sweat and sharp contrarian.
• 25:27
  Plays jumping in the stadium. Swimming pool when you catch a
• 25:30
  big ticket at Circa, wherever, maybe, hopefully, you're going
• 25:33
  to show me. A Falcons.
• 25:34
  Or a Bill and Mary or Robbie MO. Ticket for tonight?
• 25:37
  Fingers crossed. Knock on wood, but guess what?
• 25:39
  First one's on me, next one's on you, and we're going to post
• 25:42
  about the book and sweat some place together.
• 25:44
  So as always, guys coming off a winning day or a losing day, a
• 25:47
  great day or a terrible day, a hot streak, a cold streak.
• 25:50
  Somewhere in the middle, as we're always grinding.
• 25:52
  Key is always never to. Get too high or.
• 25:54
  Too low so we're going to stay even keeled we're.
• 25:56
  Going to stay disciplined with our bankroll management.
• 25:58
  Flat betting, of course. 3% per. Play 1 unit per.
• 26:01
  Play bet Tris not bet to win. And we're going to see if we
• 26:04
  can. Come out on top long term.
• 26:06
  Which I think we can. So we just got to.
• 26:07
  Find those system matches games that fit our model against the.
• 26:11
  Public with the house with the pros Flat bet avoid.
• 26:14
  Parlays and get that. CLV if we can do.
• 26:16
  That we're going to be successful.
• 26:18
  Sports bettors. So have a great money on
• 26:20
  everybody. We'll be right back at it
• 26:22
  tomorrow for the second to last day of. 2025 Can you believe it?
• 26:25
  It's almost 2020. Six, I was told.
• 26:28
  You know they'll. Be they'd be flying.
• 26:29
  Cars by now? Watching the Jetsons when I was
• 26:32
  growing up. But hey, I guess AI isn't too
• 26:34
  far off so. Who the heck knows, but either
• 26:36
  way guys. Episode 423.
• 26:38
  Of the ASG pod. Will be tomorrow.
• 26:40
  And I look forward to seeing you guys.
• 26:41
  So good luck everybody. Have a great Monday and I'll see
• 26:44
  you tomorrow for episode 423. Of the all.
• 26:46
  Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by rhythm.
• 26:50
  Good luck everybody.