Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 05/26/26
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Ball system's gone clear the left off. What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 1: Ship in Nation YouTube station? Back Tuesday after the Memorial
- 0:47Speaker 1: Day yesterday. Short week, but not a short slate. We
- 0:51Speaker 1: got ten games on the docket, No Yankees, no course field,
- 0:56Speaker 1: fun slate. Pitching, there's a couple of decent arms, and
- 0:59Speaker 1: then there's kind of everybody else, and then terms of offense,
- 1:03Speaker 1: it's the Yankees, right. The Yankees is kind of the
- 1:06Speaker 1: clear cut stacked the Yankees and obviously the Dodgers, but
- 1:10Speaker 1: definitely the Yankees projections wise, playing out in that Kaufman Stadium.
- 1:15Speaker 1: We'll do our best to break it all down here.
- 1:17Speaker 1: Got my guy ge Risen, like I do each and
- 1:19Speaker 1: every Tuesday and Wednesday. Gee Rosen, glad to be back
- 1:23Speaker 1: with you here on a baseball show. I'm sure you
- 1:26Speaker 1: had quite the extravagant Memorial Day weekend. I'm sure a
- 1:29Speaker 1: lot of safety meetings, a lot of cold beverages, some
- 1:34Speaker 1: time at the lake. I'm sure overall, probably just a
- 1:37Speaker 1: really solid weekend. I'll bring you in, man, how's your
- 1:40Speaker 1: week going? Happy Tuesday? Yeah, hey, hey, Memorial Day weekend.
- 1:44Speaker 2: I was out there celebrating all of those who you know,
- 1:48Speaker 2: dedicated the ultimate sacrifice for us to be free Americans.
- 1:51Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, hey, it was fun, played some cornhole,
- 1:55Speaker 2: had a good time. I actually need's gotten a tournament.
- 1:57Speaker 2: It was like twenty people in it, and I drew
- 1:59Speaker 2: the line guy who's like legally tight blind and we
- 2:03Speaker 2: still end up wing. My man hit a shot a
- 2:05Speaker 2: airmail to like keep us in a game. It was
- 2:08Speaker 2: like Incredibles, like shit, you just you know, make the
- 2:10Speaker 2: stories up about.
- 2:12Speaker 1: But yeah, it was good times. Had had a lot
- 2:14Speaker 1: of fun.
- 2:15Speaker 2: But I'm more tired from just like putting shit away
- 2:19Speaker 2: and doing shit around the yard and you know, getting
- 2:21Speaker 2: all the summer stuff out and aids, like, you know,
- 2:23Speaker 2: here we we finally look like we turned the corner
- 2:25Speaker 2: around here.
- 2:25Speaker 1: Miss Kid's like eighty some degrees is beautiful outside.
- 2:28Speaker 2: But uh yeah, I mean, you know, just all the
- 2:31Speaker 2: stuff you got put a wife makes you put away
- 2:33Speaker 2: from the backyard for the winner, and you know, all
- 2:35Speaker 2: that stuff she you know you gotta get it out.
- 2:37Speaker 2: But hey, it's it could be worse. It could be
- 2:40Speaker 2: putting it away and it could be winner. But then
- 2:42Speaker 2: that means football's here. And I like football, but I
- 2:45Speaker 2: mean it's still having a good time with some baseball.
- 2:47Speaker 2: But yeah, you're right, today's slate. You know, we got
- 2:50Speaker 2: some kind of higher end pitching. The lower end kind
- 2:53Speaker 2: of looks pretty scary. And then you know you got
- 2:56Speaker 2: the two best offenses facing some two shitty pitchers, so
- 2:59Speaker 2: I mean, and two best offenses I mean, Yankees Dodgers.
- 3:02Speaker 2: I mean, that's not really too hard to figure out.
- 3:04Speaker 2: But yeah, so, I mean, yeah, we got a decent
- 3:07Speaker 2: slate today. It seems like we don't have any weather
- 3:10Speaker 2: for a change. It's been raining like balls everywhere all
- 3:13Speaker 2: over the country. It seems like the last week or
- 3:15Speaker 2: two NAIDS like how about yesterday? Was it yesterday that
- 3:18Speaker 2: Saint Louis Red's game got canceled and they had like
- 3:20Speaker 2: twenty percent ownership all across the board. But yeah, I mean, hey,
- 3:24Speaker 2: decent night of some baseball we got Tuesday night. I'm
- 3:27Speaker 2: gonna get out of here. When I'm done AIDS. We're
- 3:29Speaker 2: gonna set our lineups. I'm gonna go up to the
- 3:31Speaker 2: bowling alley. I bowl in the hot box in the summer.
- 3:34Speaker 2: Got to keep my game sharp, boy, gotta keep my
- 3:36Speaker 2: game shark. So I get up their AIDS and uh,
- 3:40Speaker 2: you know, get a little practice games in but it's
- 3:42Speaker 2: good time, good time when they were in practice.
- 3:44Speaker 1: It's a league, but it's still good times. Yeah, should
- 3:47Speaker 1: be uh, should be fun. That was actually Sunday when
- 3:50Speaker 1: that game got rained out there. It does feel like
- 3:51Speaker 1: a Monday today. It is a Tuesday, so it wasn't yesterday,
- 3:55Speaker 1: but you're thinking it was right with uh with with
- 3:57Speaker 1: obviously no uh no Monday on the workday this week.
- 4:01Speaker 1: Thanks to all the men and women out there sacrifice
- 4:03Speaker 1: in their lives so we can uh enjoy some nice
- 4:06Speaker 1: cold beverages sometime at the lake, sometime on the golf course,
- 4:09Speaker 1: and more importantly someday baseball with no work on the
- 4:13Speaker 1: docket there so should be should be fun there. Got
- 4:16Speaker 1: to give a shout out to our guy Sean Sully.
- 4:18Speaker 1: He had himself a pretty solid weekend overall. He he's
- 4:21Speaker 1: getting getting pretty hot, our guy Luky when he tunes in.
- 4:25Speaker 1: He he shipped the four dollars twenty max last night.
- 4:27Speaker 1: Congrats to him. We had a big night last night.
- 4:29Speaker 1: A lot of good calls by me and Belman overall
- 4:32Speaker 1: on the show and in the Sleve Plan. I think
- 4:34Speaker 1: we broke down the slate pretty uh, pretty solid overall.
- 4:36Speaker 1: Birs got the job done for the most part. There.
- 4:39Speaker 1: There'll be a talking point on the slate here tonight
- 4:41Speaker 1: again we got Gang Green in here, Stone or Warren Tyler,
- 4:44Speaker 1: Philly fanom like I said, Taco Todd wins a lot
- 4:48Speaker 1: and uh yeah, hit that like button, hit that subscribe
- 4:50Speaker 1: button helps us out a ton Let's go ahead and
- 4:52Speaker 1: pull up Sabersim here gee, Risen, we're gonna talk pitching.
- 4:56Speaker 1: We're gonna go eight K and above, and then we'll
- 4:58Speaker 1: talk about the lower tier. The low or tier is
- 5:01Speaker 1: fairly loaded here on the slates, but the top tier
- 5:05Speaker 1: here Sandy el Kintara gets the matchup against the Blue
- 5:11Speaker 1: Jays there. I don't know what the roof status is there.
- 5:15Speaker 1: I know I saw some reports of possibly that that
- 5:18Speaker 1: roof being open up there in Toronto, which on one
- 5:22Speaker 1: shocked me. I see the weather here in Wisconsin's been
- 5:24Speaker 1: like it's supposed to be in the in the eighties
- 5:27Speaker 1: all week. So we're finally hitting that turn, just like
- 5:29Speaker 1: you are there in Michigan. So don't know, but the
- 5:31Speaker 1: roof status there, but nonetheless low strikeout matchup there for
- 5:34Speaker 1: Sandy against the Blue Jays jack Leader or Lighter against
- 5:37Speaker 1: the right handed heavy astros. He seems like a pretty
- 5:42Speaker 1: decent play Emerson Hancock kind of regressed a little bit
- 5:44Speaker 1: his strikeout stuff, kind of coming back down to butt
- 5:47Speaker 1: league average arm. Not a great place to pitch out
- 5:50Speaker 1: there in that cracker Jack Park with some hot and
- 5:53Speaker 1: some some pretty pretty solid hitting conditions, I will say
- 5:56Speaker 1: out there in Sacramento obviously, but it's really focal point
- 6:00Speaker 1: up in the top tier is Leader and then the
- 6:02Speaker 1: four guys at the top Schlitler, Burns, Harrison, Joe Ryan.
- 6:06Speaker 1: For me, Chase Burns is the sp one on the slate.
- 6:08Speaker 1: With the discount you do get off of Schlitler, Chase
- 6:11Speaker 1: Burns has just been the elite this year, especially if
- 6:14Speaker 1: there is no Wan Soto in that Mets lineup, which
- 6:17Speaker 1: is confirmed, it does look like he's back in there.
- 6:19Speaker 1: But still I think Chase Burns is smart enough not
- 6:23Speaker 1: to let Juan Soto beat him in that triple A
- 6:26Speaker 1: line up there, But definitely some home run issues that
- 6:30Speaker 1: he can have at times just with how hard he throws.
- 6:32Speaker 1: And another hard thrower up at the top in Schlitler, right,
- 6:35Speaker 1: So I think both Schlitler and Burns are really interesting.
- 6:38Speaker 1: Kyle Harrison's been absolutely incredible. Minzerowski just absolutely mowed down
- 6:43Speaker 1: this Cardinals lineup. Now you get a lefty up there
- 6:47Speaker 1: against the Cardinals where some of their better hitters do
- 6:49Speaker 1: hit from the left side. I think he's really interesting
- 6:51Speaker 1: in tournaments. And then Joe Ryan at nine K, he's
- 6:54Speaker 1: been really good this year. White Sox bats do have
- 6:57Speaker 1: some power to get to him, guys like Montgomery attendee
- 7:00Speaker 1: Murakami for sure, but he does have definitely a ceiling
- 7:05Speaker 1: on the slate. So I think those five arms got
- 7:07Speaker 1: a focal point of the starting pitching overall, but none
- 7:10Speaker 1: of them are bulletproof fighting means, and there is some
- 7:13Speaker 1: cheap guys we can play, But how do you see
- 7:14Speaker 1: this top tier eight kN above. Yeah, we'll start with
- 7:18Speaker 1: old Sandy can tear.
- 7:20Speaker 2: I can't play him with that low strikeout right, He's
- 7:23Speaker 2: got against a blue Jay team that just doesn't have
- 7:26Speaker 2: any strikeouts, and we're not We're not really that desperate
- 7:29Speaker 2: for some pitching today to try to sacrifice that, So
- 7:32Speaker 2: I'd scratch off Sandy. Jack Lighter, I think is the
- 7:36Speaker 2: guy that you know. I'm just was just kind of
- 7:37Speaker 2: looking at knowing that how much better he's been against righties.
- 7:41Speaker 2: I mean he's been almost at thirty one k rate
- 7:45Speaker 2: against a twenty percent k rate to lefty. So, like
- 7:49Speaker 2: you mentioned, Houston gonna roll out a bunch of righties today,
- 7:52Speaker 2: I think Lighters pretty interesting. I'm not really too scared
- 7:56Speaker 2: of that that Houston lineup, So I'd keep Lighter in
- 7:58Speaker 2: my back pocket, that's for sure. Handcock, man, I mean
- 8:03Speaker 2: I think he's interesting. The thing for me is I
- 8:07Speaker 2: just don't like the park.
- 8:08Speaker 1: Uh.
- 8:09Speaker 2: I'm just not really all a fan of stretching it
- 8:12Speaker 2: out trying to play Handcock in a situation where I
- 8:15Speaker 2: just don't look. I mean, he's got a twenty six
- 8:17Speaker 2: percent k rate, which which isn't.
- 8:19Speaker 1: All that bad.
- 8:20Speaker 2: I you know, I think I would rather kind of, truthfully,
- 8:23Speaker 2: I think I'd rather just kind of stack against him
- 8:25Speaker 2: to be to be honest with the A's uh Joe Ryan. Now,
- 8:30Speaker 2: I mean we're getting up in the top four. When
- 8:31Speaker 2: you look at the four here, I mean these guys
- 8:33Speaker 2: all four have the strikeout capability. I mean Schlitler at
- 8:37Speaker 2: twenty nine percent, Harrison thirty two percent, Ryan twenty seven percent,
- 8:42Speaker 2: Burns twenty eight percent. So when I look at the
- 8:45Speaker 2: four matchups, here. I mean, you're you've got a fifteen
- 8:48Speaker 2: hundred price difference between Ryan and Schlitler, Schlitler being ten
- 8:51Speaker 2: to five. You know, Burns gets the Mets. The Mets
- 8:56Speaker 2: just flat out suck, so for me that that's pretty
- 8:59Speaker 2: much already siding factor. Really didn't go too far into it.
- 9:02Speaker 2: And this is how bad the Mets have been. So
- 9:04Speaker 2: for one, Burns would be my sp one just for
- 9:07Speaker 2: that alone, just for them playing the Mets. And then
- 9:10Speaker 2: Harrison's just been so good recent times he said double
- 9:13Speaker 2: digit strikeouts here in recent times. Harrison gets the Saint
- 9:16Speaker 2: Louis team, as you mentioned, got Mo dun by Miz yesterday.
- 9:20Speaker 2: I think Harrison and Burns are literally sp one and
- 9:23Speaker 2: sp one A. For me, I think they're both. You
- 9:25Speaker 2: could literally look but the deciding factor for me, what
- 9:29Speaker 2: would be the Mets being against Burns this so bad.
- 9:33Speaker 2: I think Schlitler is a pretty good pivot off the two.
- 9:36Speaker 2: I think the two cash pairing is gonna be Burns
- 9:38Speaker 2: and Harrison on DK. But I think Schlitler is a
- 9:41Speaker 2: pretty good pivot off off of those two. More so
- 9:45Speaker 2: than Ryan. Ryan, I'm really concerned about his lefty struggles.
- 9:48Speaker 2: He just hasn't been all that good against lefties and
- 9:50Speaker 2: Murica Comie. They got some they got some guys that
- 9:52Speaker 2: are just been smacking the shit out of some righties.
- 9:55Speaker 2: So I think that'd be a reason for concern against
- 9:58Speaker 2: Joe Ryan. But uh, you know, the strikeouts are.
- 10:01Speaker 1: There for him.
- 10:02Speaker 2: But for me, I think I'd go Burns because of
- 10:04Speaker 2: the matchup. Harrison rate real real close behind him. Then
- 10:08Speaker 2: I got Schlitler and then you know, truthfully, I think
- 10:11Speaker 2: I'd rather play lighter than than Ryan for me, and
- 10:14Speaker 2: then then I'd probably have Hancock. But yeah, I mean
- 10:19Speaker 2: Ryan does scare me a little bit. Nates, I know
- 10:21Speaker 2: he's up there a lot of people like Joe Ryan.
- 10:23Speaker 2: I think I'm just I'm giving the White Sox a
- 10:25Speaker 2: little bit more credit maybe than some others. I mean,
- 10:27Speaker 2: they've just been smacking the shit out of righty So
- 10:31Speaker 2: I do have a concern there. But I mean, how
- 10:33Speaker 2: can you argue Chase Burns against the Mets. Mets is
- 10:36Speaker 2: just bottom of the league and every offensive category there
- 10:39Speaker 2: basically is, and Burns has just been so good. We're
- 10:43Speaker 2: in New York too, It's not like we're in the
- 10:45Speaker 2: Great American small park either, so being out there in
- 10:48Speaker 2: New York. The matchup he's got with the Mets, I mean,
- 10:51Speaker 2: was he really gotta worry about Soto? Other than that,
- 10:53Speaker 2: I mean, it's that lineups trash, So uh yeah, Burns
- 10:57Speaker 2: for me sp one Harrison real close though.
- 11:00Speaker 1: FanDuel, you know, I think you could.
- 11:03Speaker 2: I think I'd rather play Harrison on FanDuel a little
- 11:05Speaker 2: bit more than Burns, but I do like them both.
- 11:08Speaker 2: I like him, I think both of them. Schlittler's got
- 11:11Speaker 2: a matchup against the Royals too. That as the pivot
- 11:14Speaker 2: that I think isn't all that bad. I mean, you
- 11:17Speaker 2: just kind of look up and down here at what
- 11:19Speaker 2: the Royals are bringing to the table. They don't have
- 11:21Speaker 2: all that many strikeouts. But you get to the bottom
- 11:24Speaker 2: of that lineup with Jensen, Thomas Caglioni. They all got
- 11:29Speaker 2: some strikeouts there, but the top of that Royals lineup
- 11:32Speaker 2: isn't really something we want to attack for strikeouts. But
- 11:34Speaker 2: Slitler has just been so good at recent times. I
- 11:36Speaker 2: think you definitely would be a disservice to take him
- 11:39Speaker 2: out of your pool today, even though he's the most expensive,
- 11:41Speaker 2: and I think there's some guys that could keep up
- 11:43Speaker 2: with them, but hey, if Lighter can keep the ball
- 11:45Speaker 2: over the plate and knock walk anybody, I think Lighter
- 11:49Speaker 2: is the guy that I think is definitely interesting today.
- 11:53Speaker 2: And just you know, kind of looking at some of
- 11:55Speaker 2: these walk percentages that we have for the ass Joe's,
- 12:00Speaker 2: I mean, overall, they're they're a pretty patient team. I
- 12:03Speaker 2: wouldn't say overly patient. I mean they do have five
- 12:06Speaker 2: guys that walk a lot. They got three that not
- 12:10Speaker 2: so much cold on ever, walk Smith don't walk. We
- 12:12Speaker 2: Christian Walker doesn't really walk all that much. So you know,
- 12:16Speaker 2: I think Ledder can navigate through that lineup, and I
- 12:18Speaker 2: think for him that for me, Nads is a guy
- 12:21Speaker 2: I think that I really like in tournaments today. I mean,
- 12:24Speaker 2: this kid definitely got some electric stuff and I think
- 12:27Speaker 2: he can get.
- 12:27Speaker 1: The job done at home today. Yeah, I agree with
- 12:30Speaker 1: a lot of what you said. My rankings do slightly
- 12:33Speaker 1: different a little bit, but I'll go Chase Burns my
- 12:35Speaker 1: SP one. I'll go Jack Leder. Salary and everything matchup.
- 12:40Speaker 1: Everything is kind of the s P two for me,
- 12:43Speaker 1: just because I like to discount there. Cam Schlitler will
- 12:46Speaker 1: be three, Kyle Harrison four, and then Joe Ryan is
- 12:49Speaker 1: the is the fifth guy for me, but he's uh,
- 12:52Speaker 1: he's a pretty step, pretty decent drop below those other
- 12:55Speaker 1: four guys. Just I'm a little worried about the lefty
- 13:00Speaker 1: power there with the White Sox. Ryan does take a
- 13:03Speaker 1: hit obviously against lefties Murray Kami, Montgomery, Antonasi, Drew Romo,
- 13:09Speaker 1: Ben andt Tendi, Tristan Peters. He's got a left a
- 13:12Speaker 1: lot of lefties in that lineup, right, They're gonna throw
- 13:14Speaker 1: six or seven lefties against him overall? Does he have
- 13:18Speaker 1: the strike out ability to get through anyone, especially this
- 13:22Speaker 1: on paper fairly fairly weak White Sox team. Yeah, but
- 13:27Speaker 1: if you take a look at how the White Sox bean,
- 13:29Speaker 1: I mean, their top ten in ops over the last
- 13:31Speaker 1: thirty days against right handed pitching, and Joe Ryan does
- 13:34Speaker 1: have struggles against the lefties in general. So for me,
- 13:38Speaker 1: that is enough to put him fifth at nine. K.
- 13:41Speaker 1: I really like Chase Burns, Schlitler, Lighter, and Harrison though
- 13:46Speaker 1: those are kind of the four pitchers that are gonna
- 13:48Speaker 1: kind of mainly headline my pool. I do have Harrison
- 13:52Speaker 1: a little bit behind the other guys just because number
- 13:55Speaker 1: one the ownership, but number two the Cardinals just don't
- 13:58Speaker 1: strike out a ton against left, and I know Harrison
- 14:01Speaker 1: has been absolutely incredible this year. Thirty thirty two k
- 14:05Speaker 1: rate overall k PROP is sitting at six and a
- 14:08Speaker 1: half juice to the over right, which is right there
- 14:10Speaker 1: in line with a guy like Cam Schlitzler and Chase Burns.
- 14:14Speaker 1: Chase Burns a little bit better k PROP, but obviously
- 14:17Speaker 1: you have the salary there as well, So I don't
- 14:20Speaker 1: have any arguments with Burns and Harrison being SP one
- 14:23Speaker 1: and two, but they're so close for me between those
- 14:27Speaker 1: three up at the top in Schlitler, Burns, and Harrison,
- 14:30Speaker 1: that I think the ownership discounts pretty decent. On a
- 14:33Speaker 1: guy like Cam Schlitzler, who is just gonna pound the
- 14:36Speaker 1: zone throw hard, he's right there upwards. I mean, he
- 14:40Speaker 1: just throws hard right and he just beat you with heat.
- 14:44Speaker 1: We saw what Miserowski can do obviously, and he's not
- 14:47Speaker 1: the same kind of caliber there, but between him and
- 14:49Speaker 1: Chase Burns, they both are hard strike throwers. They have
- 14:52Speaker 1: good stuff. So I like the upside on all four
- 14:54Speaker 1: of those guys for sure. Joe Ryan would be the
- 14:57Speaker 1: guys that I'm a little bit under on and I'd
- 15:01Speaker 1: rather just save the nine hundred bucks and go to
- 15:03Speaker 1: Jack Lighter at similar ownership down below eight k. I
- 15:07Speaker 1: think there is some arms down here you can play.
- 15:10Speaker 1: I think e Rod is a little interesting here out
- 15:14Speaker 1: in that pitcher's ballpark there in San Franz. He's gonna
- 15:16Speaker 1: be one of the lower options seventy six hundred. He's
- 15:20Speaker 1: been pretty decent overall. There is some righties there, like
- 15:23Speaker 1: Harrison Bader is just mashing right now, and obviously he
- 15:27Speaker 1: gets a platoon advantage there. But this Giants team on
- 15:30Speaker 1: paper is just they haven't been good. They're not a
- 15:32Speaker 1: great offense by any means. So I think he can
- 15:34Speaker 1: do enough. He's gonna have the pitch count, so I
- 15:36Speaker 1: do like him At seventy six hundred. I think the
- 15:40Speaker 1: other and then I think it's just dropping all the
- 15:41Speaker 1: way down on Sean Burke, I think is interesting, Eric
- 15:44Speaker 1: Lower I think is playable, and then David Peterson. Those
- 15:46Speaker 1: are kind of the four guys below eight K that
- 15:48Speaker 1: I'm looking at. Not gonna really mess with Randy Vasquez.
- 15:51Speaker 1: I think Michael McGreevey is due for some big time regression.
- 15:55Speaker 1: His underlying metrics look very scary and very alarming. I'm
- 15:58Speaker 1: on the Brewers to attack. Kim Bellman and I talked
- 16:01Speaker 1: about it yesterday with McGreevy and what's his face that
- 16:07Speaker 1: went yesterday for the Cardinals. Their underline metrics are just
- 16:11Speaker 1: kind of alarming there. So for me, it's kind of
- 16:14Speaker 1: those four guys down here. But what do you see
- 16:16Speaker 1: below eight? K and I do want to make a
- 16:19Speaker 1: note that Luis Severino did get scratched for the A's,
- 16:24Speaker 1: so they're calling up prospect gauge jump number two in
- 16:27Speaker 1: their organization. We looked at his stats a little bit
- 16:30Speaker 1: ahead of the show g Risen when we were talking.
- 16:34Speaker 1: Looks like a pretty decent strikeout arm, but he also
- 16:38Speaker 1: looks pretty wild with a double digital walk rate at
- 16:41Speaker 1: Triple A, which is usually pretty alarming because Triple A
- 16:44Speaker 1: hitters are not like the major league hitters where they're
- 16:46Speaker 1: a lot more patient. So he looks like a potential
- 16:50Speaker 1: high strikeout arm but also a high walk arm in
- 16:52Speaker 1: that ballpark out there. But he is only seven thousand dollars,
- 16:56Speaker 1: So talk to me down below, ak, Yeah, I.
- 17:00Speaker 2: Mean it does get ugly pretty quick when we're when
- 17:02Speaker 2: we're talking about e Rod being one of our favorites,
- 17:06Speaker 2: you know, out of a handful of guys.
- 17:07Speaker 1: You know, we're in trouble.
- 17:09Speaker 2: And speaking of e Rod, he's like the fifth highest
- 17:11Speaker 2: priced pitcher on Fando. He's almost like ten k on FanDuel, Like,
- 17:15Speaker 2: he's literally like right behind Joe, Ryan and Harrison.
- 17:18Speaker 1: I mean it's it's you know, I kind of chuck
- 17:21Speaker 1: him a little bit.
- 17:21Speaker 2: There's no way in hell I play m on on
- 17:24Speaker 2: on Fandal. But DK at seventy six hundred, I don't
- 17:26Speaker 2: think that that's all that bad. I think that's a
- 17:30Speaker 2: pretty decent price for him at that range. So I
- 17:33Speaker 2: do like him. You know, shit, San Francisco, we like
- 17:35Speaker 2: you mentioned, we like the park. They've just been absolutely
- 17:38Speaker 2: horrible against lefty, So I think e Rod's definitely to play.
- 17:43Speaker 2: Willie Domas was a guy always liked against lefties, but
- 17:45Speaker 2: he just doesn't seem to seem to be on point
- 17:48Speaker 2: here so far this year, So I think he's interesting.
- 17:54Speaker 2: Moving on down, Vasquaz got backed up from yesterday. I'm
- 17:57Speaker 2: not really interested in him and his low strike out
- 18:00Speaker 2: to McGreevy. As you mentioned, I just really can't do
- 18:04Speaker 2: it there against the Brewers. I mean McGreevy is kind
- 18:07Speaker 2: of a heavy ground ball pitcher. Not really looking for
- 18:09Speaker 2: kind of strikeouts against a brew Crew team Nola. I
- 18:13Speaker 2: think it's interested. I think Derek just put it here.
- 18:16Speaker 2: He's got a six K props. San Diego sucks, yeah,
- 18:20Speaker 2: But I mean Nola, I mean, that's like the whiskey play, right,
- 18:23Speaker 2: Like you're gonna have to get you a bottle whiskey
- 18:25Speaker 2: and put that shit next to the table if you
- 18:27Speaker 2: got quite a bit of Aaron Nola, or you know,
- 18:29Speaker 2: you only got a few teams and you got Aaron
- 18:31Speaker 2: Nola on it. Nola is just one of those guys
- 18:34Speaker 2: that just scares you. I mean, he's just he's just
- 18:37Speaker 2: hard to trust. But I mean the padre has just
- 18:39Speaker 2: been so bad that I think you definitely can leave
- 18:43Speaker 2: Aaron Nola in your pool. But you know, just just
- 18:45Speaker 2: be aware that that is definitely can blow up on
- 18:48Speaker 2: you at any point in time. So I don't mind
- 18:52Speaker 2: Aaron Nola, especially on a slate like this today, as
- 18:54Speaker 2: you mentioned with San Diego in you know night Games
- 18:58Speaker 2: of San Diego too, when you get that heavy air
- 19:01Speaker 2: flog coming through there off the off the bay, that
- 19:04Speaker 2: definitely keeps those balls from flying. But you know, I
- 19:08Speaker 2: see some guys talking about Peterson at home fifty seven hundred.
- 19:12Speaker 1: Against against the Reds.
- 19:14Speaker 2: Obviously, if you're gonna wanna play some you know, play
- 19:18Speaker 2: against the Reds, Lefty isn't a bad place to to
- 19:21Speaker 2: to go. I mean, it's just it's just pretty tough
- 19:25Speaker 2: to to want to play a guy that cheap, you know,
- 19:28Speaker 2: against against the Reds. I mean, but if you look
- 19:30Speaker 2: at him, he's had fifteen nineteen, fifteen, nineteen points in
- 19:34Speaker 2: his last four starts. I mean, if you're telling me, Aids,
- 19:37Speaker 2: I'm gonna get nineteen points out of fifty seven hundred
- 19:40Speaker 2: pitcher right now, I think I'd pretty much be pretty
- 19:42Speaker 2: happy with that. So especially to help me get some
- 19:45Speaker 2: of these bats I'm gonna want tonight. So I don't
- 19:47Speaker 2: think Peterson is necessarily another bad play. But again, I
- 19:52Speaker 2: think that's when you're gonna have to the whiskey bottle
- 19:54Speaker 2: next to you too.
- 19:54Speaker 1: That's what I was saying.
- 19:55Speaker 2: You know, this low end, there's some guys you're gonna
- 19:58Speaker 2: you know, you can play, but uh, you know, it's
- 20:01Speaker 2: just not the most comfortable situations. But yeah, I mean
- 20:04Speaker 2: really needs for me the guy that i'd lean on
- 20:07Speaker 2: probably that i'd feel the bost safest with is e Rod.
- 20:10Speaker 2: I have no interest in him on FanDuel at the
- 20:12Speaker 2: price he has, but seventy six hundred on DK that
- 20:15Speaker 2: seems to be a pretty good value. So I think
- 20:18Speaker 2: he Rod for me over there in San fran be
- 20:19Speaker 2: a guy I like, and you talked about jump there
- 20:22Speaker 2: for the A's and I didn't get to see like
- 20:25Speaker 2: win he pitched last, Like if he's you know, three
- 20:27Speaker 2: four days out or they jam him in an extra day,
- 20:30Speaker 2: if the on his fifth day, you know, I think
- 20:32Speaker 2: that too would kind of help me gauge on what
- 20:35Speaker 2: maybe kind of pitch count this kid could get.
- 20:37Speaker 1: I mean, they could be telling him, n Age, you
- 20:38Speaker 1: give me.
- 20:39Speaker 2: Good sixty pitches tonight and then you're gonna get this
- 20:42Speaker 2: shitty bullpen, which you know we like to attack. But
- 20:45Speaker 2: you mentioned as Kate is Walker great was like over
- 20:47Speaker 2: twelve percent, So that's definitely alarming.
- 20:50Speaker 1: His strikeouts were there, that's for sure, But uh.
- 20:53Speaker 2: I mean, you know when we're when we're gonna be
- 20:55Speaker 2: sitting there looking at a Seattle team, as far as
- 20:58Speaker 2: the team we're gonna want to you know, attack with
- 21:01Speaker 2: with some strikeouts, I mean, they're the really only guy
- 21:04Speaker 2: you got Refschneider if he's going to.
- 21:05Speaker 1: Be in there today.
- 21:06Speaker 2: Garber maybe a little bit, but everybody else is all
- 21:08Speaker 2: below major league gaverage, so it's not like the Manners.
- 21:10Speaker 2: They're sitting on a ton of cas to where I
- 21:12Speaker 2: feel like, you know, it's a team like maybe the Angels.
- 21:14Speaker 2: We'd want to attack, you know, or some team that
- 21:17Speaker 2: does strike out quite a bit against certain you know,
- 21:20Speaker 2: certain sides of the mound. But yeah, for me, I
- 21:23Speaker 2: think I'd rather attack, attack the kid, to be truthful,
- 21:27Speaker 2: than to go up against him, especially in that home
- 21:30Speaker 2: run Crackerjack Park they play out there in Sacramento. But
- 21:34Speaker 2: I'm not interested in laur Freeland. No thanks, Maley, no thanks.
- 21:39Speaker 2: I mean, it just gets pretty thin down below. But
- 21:42Speaker 2: he Rot for me would be the guy playing DK.
- 21:45Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with a lot of what you said.
- 21:46Speaker 1: He Root's probably my favorite down here. I do have
- 21:48Speaker 1: a more interest in engaged Jump just at seven K
- 21:51Speaker 1: because I don't think anybody's gonna play him because nobody
- 21:53Speaker 1: knows who he really is. You look at Seattle over
- 21:58Speaker 1: the last month against left handed pitching, twenty five k rate.
- 22:02Speaker 1: This jump kid has a thirty three percent k rate
- 22:04Speaker 1: in the minors I don't know exactly believe that's gonna
- 22:09Speaker 1: obviously translate. There is some walks there and issues there.
- 22:12Speaker 1: But at seven K, I mean, he's got a four
- 22:14Speaker 1: and a half k prop juice to the over Vegas
- 22:17Speaker 1: ten's degree. He's gonna get strikeouts, and he's seven thousand
- 22:20Speaker 1: dollars at no ownership. When guys are gonna play, guys
- 22:24Speaker 1: like Sean Burke, Nola's gonna be higher, much higher on
- 22:27Speaker 1: than him, So I don't mind taking a shot on him.
- 22:30Speaker 1: I think again, I'm gonna be very heavily exposed up
- 22:34Speaker 1: to the top that I'm probably gonna mix and match
- 22:36Speaker 1: these guys down here as kind of sp two options.
- 22:39Speaker 1: So I do like Erod the most. With you there,
- 22:43Speaker 1: Sean Burke would be probably my second guy, and then
- 22:45Speaker 1: I'm probably going to gauge jump David Peterson, and then
- 22:49Speaker 1: Nola and Lauer would be significantly behind those guys. I
- 22:52Speaker 1: don't know if I really even get to Noah in
- 22:55Speaker 1: lower too much with the other guys around them. So
- 22:58Speaker 1: for me, it's Erod, Jump Burke Peterson are kind of
- 23:02Speaker 1: the main guys down below eight K that I have
- 23:07Speaker 1: I have interest in. I just yeah, he was an
- 23:09Speaker 1: LSU boy. Yeah, he yeah, he's a he's an LSU
- 23:13Speaker 1: boy pitch with skeens. I wonder he had to be
- 23:16Speaker 1: about that time, right, and it is his time for
- 23:18Speaker 1: the rotation too. He last pitched on May twentieth, went
- 23:22Speaker 1: seven innings where he had nine strikeouts, So nine strikeouts,
- 23:27Speaker 1: seven innings, no hits or four hits, excuse me, no runs,
- 23:31Speaker 1: no earned runs. Obviously that's triple A. But again, I
- 23:35Speaker 1: mean he's he's got the pitch count, he's going he
- 23:39Speaker 1: went seven innings, right, and he's been pitching every six days,
- 23:43Speaker 1: so uh, it is his time for the rotation down there.
- 23:47Speaker 1: So it's not like he's extended rest or short rest
- 23:50Speaker 1: or anything like that. So I think it just makes
- 23:53Speaker 1: sense why why they called him up. It is his
- 23:55Speaker 1: time to hit, his turn to pitch in the rotation anyway,
- 23:57Speaker 1: So at seven K you probably looking at right around
- 24:01Speaker 1: ninety pitches or so. I think he's interested in gets
- 24:03Speaker 1: a team that does strike out a lot against left
- 24:05Speaker 1: handed pitching. I mean, you're gonna got your You're gonna
- 24:07Speaker 1: have guys like Victor Roeblace in there, Rob Refschneider, I mean, yeah,
- 24:12Speaker 1: Randy A. Rosorandom Mitch Garver, those Julio. Those guys can
- 24:15Speaker 1: hit home runs, but they also strike out a bunch.
- 24:18Speaker 1: I mean, twenty k raid over last month against left
- 24:21Speaker 1: handed pitching. I know the weather or I know the
- 24:24Speaker 1: park isn't isn't great, but this guy does have more
- 24:27Speaker 1: of a groundball lean Anyways, He's kind of a ground ball, strike,
- 24:30Speaker 1: strikeout guy in general. So I probably talked way too
- 24:34Speaker 1: much about a guy who's probably gonna get schlacked coming
- 24:37Speaker 1: up into the majors with his walk issues there. But
- 24:40Speaker 1: on a slate like this, where I think it's fairly interesting,
- 24:44Speaker 1: especially in like your Yankees and your Dodgers teams that
- 24:46Speaker 1: everybody else is gonna play taking a shot at a
- 24:48Speaker 1: seven thousand dollar Gays jump. I don't think it's the
- 24:50Speaker 1: worst play in the world there. I think we broke
- 24:53Speaker 1: down pitching pretty well overall. Let me go ahead and
- 24:59Speaker 1: refresh the stone over here and share this tam first
- 25:07Speaker 1: game on the main slate. Obviously we got the early
- 25:09Speaker 1: games on here as well. When you are a member
- 25:12Speaker 1: at shiber Nation, you get access to all of this
- 25:15Speaker 1: for all of the games on the day, even the
- 25:19Speaker 1: early window, because there is I think a turble slate
- 25:21Speaker 1: as well over there if you're interested in more action
- 25:25Speaker 1: first game, No on the main slate here for the
- 25:26Speaker 1: ten games Blue Jays and the Marlins. Like I said,
- 25:30Speaker 1: I thought the roof is going to be open here
- 25:31Speaker 1: in Toronto. I don't know for a fact. Maybe someone
- 25:34Speaker 1: in the check can help us out here. Miles is
- 25:37Speaker 1: going to be kind of the It's going to be
- 25:39Speaker 1: more of a Blue Jays bullpen game, which does hurt
- 25:43Speaker 1: obviously kind of anyone's love if they had any love
- 25:46Speaker 1: for the Marlins. I think you can grab some cheap
- 25:48Speaker 1: guys like a Joe Mack something like that right as
- 25:51Speaker 1: at a one off catcher position. He has a bigger,
- 25:54Speaker 1: big time prospect overall for the Marlins. But this is
- 25:59Speaker 1: a game I don't love from an offensive standpoint. The
- 26:02Speaker 1: Blue Jays are kind of interested in hayesus Sanchez, don't
- 26:05Speaker 1: in varshow I think you're interested in some of those
- 26:07Speaker 1: lefties against Sandy, But overall don't love the spot for
- 26:10Speaker 1: offense on the slate. But what do you see here
- 26:12Speaker 1: in this one to kick us off?
- 26:15Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if I was to look at anything,
- 26:17Speaker 2: I guess you know, you can maybe look at some
- 26:20Speaker 2: Marlins if you wanted to. I just don't like picking
- 26:22Speaker 2: on that Toronto bullpen. But I mean, Marlin has been
- 26:24Speaker 2: pretty good here in recent time. Xavier Edwards has been good,
- 26:28Speaker 2: Hicks has been good. Fisher does have twenty eight percent
- 26:32Speaker 2: strikeout to lefty, twenty seven percent to the righties, but
- 26:35Speaker 2: I mean he's been getting barreled up. Nate's thirteen percent
- 26:37Speaker 2: to the left side, almost eleven percent to the right side,
- 26:41Speaker 2: so his fly ball percentage is almost thirty seven percent
- 26:46Speaker 2: to the left side. So Hicks stours Marci I think
- 26:50Speaker 2: could be interesting, But you know, I just don't like
- 26:54Speaker 2: attacking bullpen type games. You know, who knows this guy.
- 26:56Speaker 2: You're only gonna probably see this guy once anyway, so
- 26:59Speaker 2: it's not like I'm gonna get overly excited about it.
- 27:02Speaker 2: But I mean the Marlins too, seems like in recent
- 27:06Speaker 2: times have been have been hitting the ball pretty well.
- 27:09Speaker 1: At least better for them for the normally do they're
- 27:11Speaker 1: they're actually in the middle of MLB. But that I
- 27:14Speaker 1: don't mind. I don't mind the Marlins. I wouldn't have
- 27:16Speaker 1: them in my, you know.
- 27:17Speaker 2: Three or fourteen portfolio if I was playing three or
- 27:20Speaker 2: four lineups tonight. But I mean, if I was playing twenty,
- 27:23Speaker 2: I may have a little exposure to some Marlins.
- 27:26Speaker 1: Yeah, I have more interest in the lefties from the
- 27:29Speaker 1: Blue Jays than I do on the Marlins side of things,
- 27:31Speaker 1: just because Fisher is gonna throw one inning and then
- 27:33Speaker 1: you're looking at probably two or three innings from Miles
- 27:37Speaker 1: here and then who knows what. And Blue Jay is
- 27:40Speaker 1: one of the better bullpens in baseball in terms of
- 27:44Speaker 1: X fit and whip and all of that. So yeah,
- 27:47Speaker 1: if I had interested be more on the Blue Jay side,
- 27:49Speaker 1: you want the lefties, Jimenez, You got a cheap short
- 27:51Speaker 1: stop there if you don't want to play Mooky Beck
- 27:53Speaker 1: bets Chalk Panango as a cheap guy with some power
- 27:57Speaker 1: doesn't really strike out twenty six hundred nice value there,
- 28:00Speaker 1: varshow and and Sanchez at thirty eight hundred and three K.
- 28:03Speaker 1: I mean that's they're cheap there. And Springer has been
- 28:06Speaker 1: red hot. I mean it doesn't matter, righty left to
- 28:09Speaker 1: you whoever he sees, and Sandy's not gonna be in
- 28:11Speaker 1: there forever. But yeah, you lefties are what gets Sandy.
- 28:14Speaker 1: The roof is open, which helps helps the case a
- 28:17Speaker 1: little bit. And then you got that Miami bullpen, which
- 28:19Speaker 1: is not good right seventh thwarsts and baseball. So I
- 28:22Speaker 1: think on a slate where offense is so focused around
- 28:26Speaker 1: well it was Seattle, it is kind of the secondary
- 28:29Speaker 1: team to fit in your your Yankees and your Dodgers
- 28:32Speaker 1: full stacks, I think that Blue Jays do have a
- 28:34Speaker 1: spot on the slate. One of the higher implied run
- 28:36Speaker 1: totals gonna be unknowned on the slate. And yeah, Sandy
- 28:40Speaker 1: Alkintara is a decent arm and a decent talent, but
- 28:44Speaker 1: against lefties he's not been great this season, and Blue
- 28:47Speaker 1: just have some cheap lefties in there with the roof
- 28:49Speaker 1: open and then you got a bad bullpen behind. So
- 28:51Speaker 1: I do think the Blue Jays in tournament's pretty pretty
- 28:54Speaker 1: interesting overall. Next butt on the slate, this is no
- 28:57Speaker 1: bats really for me. If you want to get the
- 29:00Speaker 1: the leverage word, you can David Peterson nothing, nothing crazy,
- 29:04Speaker 1: but he's more of a ground baller I think. I mean,
- 29:07Speaker 1: the dude, he's fifty seven hundred dollars, So yeah, I
- 29:10Speaker 1: mean you can obviously play Sale Stewart, Spencer Steeer, Uhineo
- 29:14Speaker 1: Suarez against the lefty there, But I'm more on Peterson
- 29:17Speaker 1: than I'm on the Red's bats. I'm not chasing the
- 29:19Speaker 1: Reds explosion after they've beat up Noah McLean last night.
- 29:23Speaker 1: I just the Reds are they do this all the time,
- 29:26Speaker 1: you Rayzan, how many times have we seen it? The
- 29:28Speaker 1: Reds are majority of the time gonna give the opposing
- 29:31Speaker 1: starting pitchers a ceiling game. But occasionally they're gonna break
- 29:34Speaker 1: a slate and go off like they did last night
- 29:36Speaker 1: and score shit ton of runs when nobody's on them.
- 29:38Speaker 1: So they're always capability. But I don't like city Field,
- 29:42Speaker 1: I don't like the ballpark. I think Peterson's good enough arm,
- 29:46Speaker 1: and I don't love picking any bats really against Chase Burns.
- 29:49Speaker 1: If you wanted a lefty and Juan Soto, he's fine.
- 29:51Speaker 1: Aja Ewing he's fine because even if he walks, either
- 29:56Speaker 1: one of those guys ewing for Sueryl Steel second. So
- 29:59Speaker 1: you do have some stolen bases there, but not a game.
- 30:02Speaker 1: I'm really interested too much on offense. I think the
- 30:05Speaker 1: sodo Eweing a little mini Staff Carson Benge something like
- 30:09Speaker 1: that in non Chase Burns teams, I think is interesting.
- 30:11Speaker 1: And maybe you go like a Cam Schlitzler in that
- 30:14Speaker 1: type of build. You're playing the guy up at top
- 30:16Speaker 1: that everyone's stopping at Chase Burns and not going all
- 30:19Speaker 1: the way up to Schlittler. You play some of these
- 30:21Speaker 1: Mets value guys more so Eweing and Bene against Chase Burns,
- 30:25Speaker 1: but more pitching than offense in this one.
- 30:27Speaker 2: For me, Yeah, I mean, we don't want to pick
- 30:31Speaker 2: on Burns with the Mets, as we said, they're the
- 30:33Speaker 2: worst damn team offensively in baseball. Peterson, I mean, maybe
- 30:37Speaker 2: the only guy I think about is maybe Spencer Steeer.
- 30:39Speaker 2: He's been really hitting righty's or lefties really well here
- 30:42Speaker 2: in recent times, but I mean the Red's hottest hitters
- 30:45Speaker 2: JJ blude, we don't really like that lefty lefty matchup
- 30:48Speaker 2: with Peterson. So yeah, I mean, I'm not interested in
- 30:52Speaker 2: really full stacking or anything.
- 30:54Speaker 1: Like I said.
- 30:55Speaker 2: Maybe you could look at Steer, maybe Sal Stewart, but
- 30:59Speaker 2: other than I don't like switching Ellie around to the
- 31:02Speaker 2: right side, even though he has been hitting more homers
- 31:04Speaker 2: off the less, I think he's already got as many
- 31:05Speaker 2: this year already as he does all last year against
- 31:10Speaker 2: right when he's batt and right handed. So yeah, I mean,
- 31:14Speaker 2: I just I'm gonna pass on it. Like you said,
- 31:17Speaker 2: I don't like the field either. I think there's some
- 31:18Speaker 2: other spots that we can definitely attack.
- 31:20Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean there is wind blown out here, so
- 31:22Speaker 1: it's gonna play a better than it typically does here.
- 31:25Speaker 1: But I just I think it's far fetched. I mean,
- 31:28Speaker 1: Chase Burns is any electric arm. Shit can always go south, obviously,
- 31:33Speaker 1: And yeah, if you wanted to play the Reds, I
- 31:35Speaker 1: think there's a place on the slate because they're gonna
- 31:38Speaker 1: be on own. Tyler Stevenson has some pop against the lefty.
- 31:41Speaker 1: Like I said, he's thirty one hundred, Euhenius Warez, Steer, Stewart.
- 31:46Speaker 1: Those are kind of the guys you're you're looking at there.
- 31:48Speaker 1: Peterson is a ground baller, but Stevenson, Stuart Steer, Ellie McLean,
- 31:54Speaker 1: those guys all hit the ball in the air. So
- 31:56Speaker 1: those those are guys you look at to attack Peterson.
- 32:00Speaker 1: And again, Peterson is fifty seven hundred dollars For a reason,
- 32:04Speaker 1: I'm more on side of play Peterson in my lineups
- 32:06Speaker 1: because what it does for your overall roster. But everybody's
- 32:09Speaker 1: gonna have that and they're gonna stack up the Dodgers
- 32:12Speaker 1: and the Yankees with a guy like David Peterson in
- 32:15Speaker 1: their build. So maybe if you go, maybe you flip
- 32:17Speaker 1: the build right, you go two spind up arms and
- 32:19Speaker 1: then play some of these Red Reds guys who are
- 32:21Speaker 1: pretty cheap to leverage the Peterson kind of rosters overall there,
- 32:26Speaker 1: so don't mind that. But yeah, definitely not not one
- 32:29Speaker 1: of my priority games for offense overall. Next button slate here,
- 32:33Speaker 1: Twins and the White Sox got some wind blown in
- 32:36Speaker 1: here in Chicago, gonna be right around eighty degrees, so
- 32:40Speaker 1: pretty hot here in the Midwest overall. Not the best
- 32:44Speaker 1: ballpark by any means, but again, temperatures in the low eighties.
- 32:48Speaker 1: Got about six miles an hour wind blown in here,
- 32:50Speaker 1: which isn't as effective as what Wrigley Field is. Lefties
- 32:55Speaker 1: are what you want against Joe Ryan. White Sox are
- 32:57Speaker 1: gonna throw seven lefties out against Joe Ryan. That's kind
- 33:00Speaker 1: of why both you and I had Joe Ryan down
- 33:03Speaker 1: in our rankings. He definitely has a ceiling, but he's
- 33:05Speaker 1: kind of a league average arm against left handed hitters.
- 33:08Speaker 1: I think the White Sox and tournaments here at no
- 33:10Speaker 1: ownership are are pretty damn sneaky. Murk Kami's price has
- 33:13Speaker 1: finally dropped down. This dude feels like he hits a
- 33:15Speaker 1: home run every night. Colson Montgomery is starting to hit
- 33:18Speaker 1: back up a little bit as well. Forty three hundred
- 33:20Speaker 1: direct pivot at shortstop off of Mookie Betts at a
- 33:24Speaker 1: fraction of the ownership, So I think he's really interesting.
- 33:27Speaker 1: Antonasi has speed is well at thirty eight hundred, Benattendi,
- 33:31Speaker 1: Drew Romo has pop at a catcher position. I think
- 33:34Speaker 1: the White Sox here in tournaments are pretty damn sneaky,
- 33:36Speaker 1: and we know that Twins bullpen is really bad behind Ryan.
- 33:39Speaker 1: So if these lefties can get to Joe Ryan, and
- 33:42Speaker 1: Joe Ryan only goes four innings, four and a third,
- 33:45Speaker 1: four and a half, even five innings, you still have
- 33:48Speaker 1: three innings at least of that Twins bullpen behind him.
- 33:52Speaker 1: Twins not so much Byron Buxton, brooks Lee would be
- 33:55Speaker 1: the two guys and Cody Clemens. Those kind of top
- 33:58Speaker 1: four I think are interesting, but outside of that, not
- 34:00Speaker 1: very interested in the Twins. More so on the White
- 34:04Speaker 1: Sox side in this one, what do you see?
- 34:06Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think both sides are kind of interesting,
- 34:09Speaker 2: but as you mentioned with the with the White Sox,
- 34:12Speaker 2: Joe Ryan with the lefty struggles that he has five
- 34:15Speaker 2: ball percentage almost thirty percent. He's been getting barreled up
- 34:18Speaker 2: for almost thirteen percent. And I mean, Murakami's just been
- 34:22Speaker 2: just this dude's been just an absolute beast. I think
- 34:24Speaker 2: Montgomery's interesting. You can get a cheap outfielder in Ben Attende.
- 34:29Speaker 2: I don't mind that at all either, So I think
- 34:33Speaker 2: they're interesting. As you mentioned, Twins bullpen sucks. I mean,
- 34:37Speaker 2: I'm just not all that enamored about, you know, picking
- 34:41Speaker 2: on Joe Ryan, especially with a slate where it seems
- 34:43Speaker 2: like we do have quite a bit of pitching that
- 34:46Speaker 2: we want to go after. But I think the White
- 34:49Speaker 2: Sox will definitely be pulled as far as the Twins go.
- 34:51Speaker 2: And Burke, I mean, Burke has quite a lot of
- 34:53Speaker 2: fly balls to the left side. Buxton's been absolutely smashing
- 34:58Speaker 2: right he's so far the shar He's got a four
- 34:59Speaker 2: fIF fifty three wOBA against against righty's. That's that's video
- 35:04Speaker 2: game type numbers. Cody Clemens hits the ball pretty hard
- 35:08Speaker 2: against righty's as well, so I think he'd be interesting.
- 35:11Speaker 1: As you mentioned, they're fairly cheap.
- 35:12Speaker 2: There is a lot of pinch hit risk there and
- 35:15Speaker 2: that that Twins lineup. But I think Buckson is a
- 35:18Speaker 2: great one off, especially sitting up at the top of
- 35:20Speaker 2: that lineup. I think he'd be a guy I'd be
- 35:22Speaker 2: looking to try to get in my lineups here tonight.
- 35:24Speaker 2: But yeah, them leftist for the White Sox are standing out,
- 35:27Speaker 2: and the White Sox in the last two weeks are
- 35:30Speaker 2: like top six, top seven and all of baseball and ops.
- 35:34Speaker 2: So I mean they've been getting the job done here
- 35:36Speaker 2: in recent times. So White Sox for me against a
- 35:38Speaker 2: shitty bullpen, we just got to get through Joe Ryan
- 35:40Speaker 2: a little bit, which you know, he's been giving up
- 35:42Speaker 2: a lot of fly balls the left side.
- 35:45Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's doable.
- 35:46Speaker 2: I think we could attack you or I just wish
- 35:47Speaker 2: he had a little bit more Uh you know, he's
- 35:49Speaker 2: gonna get more ownership so we could get a little
- 35:52Speaker 2: bit more leverage. I would really like it, but I
- 35:54Speaker 2: don't think Brian's gonna get as much ownership as we
- 35:57Speaker 2: would like to see. But I mean i'd lean the
- 36:00Speaker 2: White Sox side instead.
- 36:01Speaker 1: Of Joe Ryan. Yeah, I'm there too. White Sox over
- 36:04Speaker 1: the last month ninth in baseball and ops at seven
- 36:08Speaker 1: to twenty three, actually right there tied with with the
- 36:10Speaker 1: Twins against right handed pitching, So I think both sides
- 36:13Speaker 1: are in play. I'd stick to the top four guys
- 36:15Speaker 1: really for the Twins side, but I have much more
- 36:18Speaker 1: interest in the White Sox side because I do think
- 36:21Speaker 1: you get some nice little leverage off Joe Ryan there,
- 36:24Speaker 1: and that Twins bullpen is just absolutely atrocious behind him.
- 36:28Speaker 1: So I do think a pretty interesting game is kind
- 36:31Speaker 1: of the second tier offenses that is a little bit
- 36:34Speaker 1: under the raider than teams like the Yankees. What we're
- 36:36Speaker 1: gonna talk about now overall, going out to Kaufman Stadium,
- 36:42Speaker 1: it's gonna be a bullpen game here for the Royals,
- 36:44Speaker 1: and usually I don't love bullpen games, and I mean
- 36:48Speaker 1: it's a little different though, when you're facing the Royals
- 36:51Speaker 1: bullpen here, which is not good. They're gonna throw a
- 36:54Speaker 1: lefty opener out there, and then it's probably gonna be
- 36:57Speaker 1: a via here in the long long relief. Daniel Lynch
- 37:00Speaker 1: is their other lefty that they do have in the
- 37:03Speaker 1: bullpen here that would be available. He pitched the last
- 37:06Speaker 1: two days only through eight and seven pitches, so fifteen pitches,
- 37:09Speaker 1: but I don't know if he really goes three days
- 37:12Speaker 1: in a row. Nonetheless, you're going to see the Yankees
- 37:15Speaker 1: here against the Arrighty for probably a majority of this
- 37:18Speaker 1: game outside of the first inning or two. Have to
- 37:21Speaker 1: have a ton of interest in them. They are going
- 37:23Speaker 1: to be the most popular stack on the slate. But
- 37:25Speaker 1: it's not like we're going to see course field ownership here.
- 37:28Speaker 1: I think the Yankees are definitely interesting here. I think
- 37:31Speaker 1: they're up there, but I do have them kind of
- 37:33Speaker 1: third in terms of my rankings. I have the Dodgers
- 37:35Speaker 1: and a different team, another team we're gonna talk about
- 37:38Speaker 1: a little bit ahead of them, but Yankees, for sure,
- 37:40Speaker 1: obviously on paper, probably one of the best stacks on
- 37:44Speaker 1: the slate here. There is some Pinchick concerns, guys like
- 37:47Speaker 1: Amed Rosario if he starts, he's coming out of there,
- 37:50Speaker 1: Shoon Himan if he starts, he's coming out of there,
- 37:53Speaker 1: for some of those other lefties off the bench there.
- 37:55Speaker 1: So pay attention to the lineup that does come out
- 37:58Speaker 1: with the Yankees, because, like I said, Goldschmit's probably finding
- 38:03Speaker 1: there because he's been playing even against rightyes, so he's
- 38:05Speaker 1: probably fine, but definitely Rosario and Shuman. If those guys
- 38:08Speaker 1: are in there, they're definitely big pinchick concerns. I wouldn't
- 38:11Speaker 1: play them. I focused on the other guys and don't
- 38:14Speaker 1: be afraid to play those lefties. Aaron Judge obviously headlines
- 38:18Speaker 1: this team overall, but ownership gonna be off the charts.
- 38:20Speaker 1: That's the only thing kind of knock him down here.
- 38:22Speaker 1: What do you see in this one?
- 38:24Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Yankees Dodger sitting up a top of
- 38:27Speaker 2: the team totals here today, So I mean they're gonna
- 38:30Speaker 2: be too much of a too much of a reach
- 38:33Speaker 2: to say they're the top teams today. But yeah, Yankees great,
- 38:35Speaker 2: really well today. I mean you mentioned a little bit
- 38:38Speaker 2: about the pinch hit.
- 38:40Speaker 1: I mean I.
- 38:40Speaker 2: Think Calabrero, if he's up there highing the lineup, he
- 38:44Speaker 2: could be a pinch hit risk too. But other than that,
- 38:47Speaker 2: I mean pretty straightforward. Yankees got a bad bullpen. You know,
- 38:52Speaker 2: they got a park with a shorter, shorter defences moved in.
- 38:56Speaker 2: So yeah, I think the Yankees are definitely in a
- 38:59Speaker 2: really good spot today. I know, I don't even call
- 39:01Speaker 2: him my favorite. I haven't say the Dodgers are my favorite.
- 39:04Speaker 2: But the Yankees are definitely right there.
- 39:07Speaker 1: Yeah, I have the Yankees, or I have the Dodgers
- 39:09Speaker 1: ahead of the Yankees as well, and then I have
- 39:11Speaker 1: a team in this next game ahead of the the
- 39:13Speaker 1: Yankees as well when you consider an ownership here. McGreevy
- 39:17Speaker 1: his uh, his surface numbers are really good, right, his
- 39:21Speaker 1: e RA everything like that. But you peel back the
- 39:23Speaker 1: onion here, this dude just does not strike anyone out,
- 39:25Speaker 1: especially lefties. His expected ERA is almost six. He gets
- 39:29Speaker 1: barreled up by the left side, doesn't strike, Like I said,
- 39:32Speaker 1: just doesn't strike anyone out. You add in the bad
- 39:33Speaker 1: Cardinals bullpen behind him, and you add in this this
- 39:38Speaker 1: game as being a pretty big game for the season
- 39:41Speaker 1: in general and the series. I think the Brewers are
- 39:45Speaker 1: super interesting here, headlined by the lefties. They didn't get
- 39:49Speaker 1: quite the job done yesterday against Polante. He had ten
- 39:53Speaker 1: strikeouts or whatever. On the other side of it is
- 39:55Speaker 1: but a lot of times you see that. You could
- 39:57Speaker 1: see it here from our grievy. But brew gonna be
- 40:00Speaker 1: on on a slate when everybody just wants to play
- 40:02Speaker 1: the Dodgers and the Yankees. Give me a team that
- 40:05Speaker 1: has upsided as a whole. You want the lefties, Like
- 40:08Speaker 1: I said, Jake Bauers terring Yelich kind of headlined the
- 40:10Speaker 1: three that I want the most. David Hamilton, I think
- 40:13Speaker 1: is really interesting here. But gee, Risen, I will let
- 40:17Speaker 1: you break it down here and I will run to
- 40:20Speaker 1: the bathroom quick. So break down this one and then
- 40:23Speaker 1: take us into the Astros and Rangers after. I'll be
- 40:25Speaker 1: right back.
- 40:25Speaker 2: Good d you don't have to hear me ripping on
- 40:27Speaker 2: the Brewers. So yeah, I don't know, man if I
- 40:31Speaker 2: could play the Brewers. I know Nads is a homer
- 40:33Speaker 2: there so but either way, you know what happens when
- 40:36Speaker 2: you got a ground ball pitcher against a team that
- 40:38Speaker 2: hits a lot of ground balls, you get a bunch
- 40:40Speaker 2: of ground balls. So you know, I'm just I'm not
- 40:43Speaker 2: all enamored with it. I just I don't look at
- 40:46Speaker 2: mcgreevy's had four out of five starts.
- 40:48Speaker 1: Here recent time, been really good.
- 40:49Speaker 2: Of all his starts here, he's only gave up more
- 40:52Speaker 2: than five hits once this last or twice. Actually his
- 40:54Speaker 2: last start he gave up ten hits, three earned runs.
- 40:57Speaker 2: He doesn't really walk anybody. I just I think there's
- 41:01Speaker 2: a different better spot for us to pick on than
- 41:04Speaker 2: right now with McGreevy. Like you said, I just don't
- 41:06Speaker 2: like the ground ball leans against the Brewers. I've said
- 41:08Speaker 2: it almost probably four or five times this year against
- 41:12Speaker 2: the Brewers. So ground ball lean pitchers, no thanks, I
- 41:16Speaker 2: will I'll pass on that. But I can see why
- 41:19Speaker 2: Nades likes them. I mean, they do all the small things.
- 41:21Speaker 2: While they steal bags, they do everything else. So I
- 41:24Speaker 2: just don't have them ranked up as high. I'd put
- 41:26Speaker 2: him five. I think he's got them like two or three.
- 41:29Speaker 2: I'd put him behind the the Yankees, Dodgers, and you
- 41:33Speaker 2: know what, I think I'd actually kind of like the
- 41:35Speaker 2: White Sox in about a similar situation as I like
- 41:38Speaker 2: the Brewers today, maybe about the fifth best stack. So
- 41:42Speaker 2: but yeah, Brewers can't argue the recent success, that's for sure.
- 41:46Speaker 2: You know, if Tigers keep sucking wind. The Brewers are
- 41:50Speaker 2: kind of team that seemed to be fun to watch.
- 41:52Speaker 2: So but yeah, anybody got any questions, go ahead, fired
- 41:56Speaker 2: off while.
- 41:56Speaker 1: He's doing his duties.
- 42:01Speaker 2: Let's see here, we can roll into the we can
- 42:05Speaker 2: roll the next one Houston in Texas. We have we
- 42:07Speaker 2: got Alexander facing this Ranger team against Jack Lighter against
- 42:13Speaker 2: the Astros, just start talking about the Astros.
- 42:17Speaker 1: And Rangers' needs.
- 42:18Speaker 2: But yeah, for me going against Jack Lighter, I mean,
- 42:21Speaker 2: Lighter does have control issues, so I'm not really sure
- 42:24Speaker 2: I'm really interested in the Astros. I think I'd rather
- 42:26Speaker 2: play Jack Lighter today, so I will skip out on
- 42:29Speaker 2: any Astros bats. The Rangers against Alexander could be interesting,
- 42:35Speaker 2: especially the lefties. Alexander has not been very good fifteen
- 42:38Speaker 2: p K percentage, The fly balls are not there. He
- 42:41Speaker 2: has more of a ground ball type lean against lefties.
- 42:45Speaker 2: He's actually giving up quite a few fly balls actually
- 42:48Speaker 2: to the right side. But I think the lefties can
- 42:51Speaker 2: get to Alexander. That Houston bullpen is absolutely trash, the
- 42:55Speaker 2: worst in baseball, so I think Memo Hamsman Peterson's interesting.
- 43:01Speaker 2: I think the Rangers are interesting here today. I don't
- 43:05Speaker 2: like really the Houston bats too much, but age again,
- 43:07Speaker 2: interest in the Rangers.
- 43:10Speaker 1: Yeah, one second, I did want to talk about a
- 43:12Speaker 1: couple of Cardinals bats that I think are interesting. Jordan
- 43:14Speaker 1: Walker Herrera headline it, but I also think Brian Torres
- 43:17Speaker 1: at twenty two hundred, I think he's pretty interesting as well.
- 43:20Speaker 1: Against Kyle Harrison, not a great guy to pick on, obviously,
- 43:24Speaker 1: but again I do think Herrera, Walker and Torres are
- 43:29Speaker 1: fairly interesting. Obviously, Jordan Walker a ton of power. Those
- 43:33Speaker 1: guys are gonna be unknowned, and I think it's pretty
- 43:35Speaker 1: interesting Herrera direct pivot a little bit more. I think
- 43:38Speaker 1: he's four hundred dollars more than Will Smith at thirty
- 43:40Speaker 1: eight hundred forty two hundred. For Herrera, guy can help,
- 43:44Speaker 1: he can just match the or outdo a guy like
- 43:47Speaker 1: Will Smith, who's going to be the mega chalk at
- 43:49Speaker 1: the position there. So I did want to call out that,
- 43:52Speaker 1: But yeah, I do have interest in the Rangers side here.
- 43:56Speaker 1: The roof is going to be closed in Texas pribably surprise.
- 44:00Speaker 1: It's probably one hundred and twenty degrees there, so obviously
- 44:04Speaker 1: the roof is gonna be closed. But Jason Alexander horrible
- 44:08Speaker 1: against lefties. The Rangers are gonna throw four lefties. So
- 44:12Speaker 1: I don't love the Rangers here as a full stack.
- 44:15Speaker 1: But at these prices, I mean, Peterson's gonna get pinch
- 44:18Speaker 1: hip for as soon. It's probably a little pinch hit.
- 44:20Speaker 1: Nimo and Evan Carter, though, I think, are really really
- 44:23Speaker 1: good plays on the slate. Josh Young's been really good.
- 44:26Speaker 1: Jake Berger has power even against Alrighty. So I do
- 44:29Speaker 1: think at the salaries the Rangers fit the script as
- 44:32Speaker 1: kind of that value stack of the slate that isn't
- 44:35Speaker 1: getting a lot of ownership, and that probably does come
- 44:38Speaker 1: up as projections. But again, if this stays true, I
- 44:41Speaker 1: think the Rangers as kind of that value stack make
- 44:45Speaker 1: a lot of sense here on this slate. And again
- 44:48Speaker 1: you want the lefties against Alexander, and again when you
- 44:51Speaker 1: add in that how bad that Astros bullpen is, I
- 44:53Speaker 1: think that the Rangers definitely have a spot, and then
- 44:56Speaker 1: on the Astra side it be the lefties you want
- 44:59Speaker 1: against the lighter Jord on headlines that obviously Jordon's a
- 45:02Speaker 1: great play, especially if that holds true, which probably does,
- 45:05Speaker 1: because you got guys like show hal Tani and Aaron
- 45:08Speaker 1: Judge who are gonna command so much ownership up at
- 45:09Speaker 1: that six K range that a guy like Juan Soto,
- 45:13Speaker 1: Jordon Alvarez some of those other six k Byron Buxton
- 45:17Speaker 1: fits that. I think all three of those guys are
- 45:20Speaker 1: elite kind of pivots, even in like Yankees and Dodger stacks.
- 45:24Speaker 1: Feels gross to leave off Aaron Judge. It feels gross
- 45:26Speaker 1: to leave off show hal Tani, but you can pivot
- 45:29Speaker 1: to another guy up in that top tier that can
- 45:31Speaker 1: match the output or even out do it, and you're
- 45:34Speaker 1: naturally different than the rest of the field just doing
- 45:36Speaker 1: that one little one v one swaperu with guys like
- 45:40Speaker 1: Jordon Alvarez, Byron Buckston, Juan Soto. So Alvarez fits that
- 45:44Speaker 1: build shoemake if you want a cheap second basement, I
- 45:48Speaker 1: think he's interesting. Zach Cole at twenty six hundred. You
- 45:51Speaker 1: want the lefties is what you're focused on. ASTs don't
- 45:54Speaker 1: have great lefty hitters outside of Jordon, but the other
- 45:58Speaker 1: lefties they do have that are gonna be there are
- 46:00Speaker 1: are cheap overall. So definitely more interest on the Rangers
- 46:04Speaker 1: side from a stacking perspective, and these salaries are super
- 46:08Speaker 1: cheap against mediocre at best starting pitcher and a horrible
- 46:13Speaker 1: bullpen behind him. Takes us out to the night window
- 46:17Speaker 1: here going out to San Diego. Randy Vasquez Aaron Nola
- 46:20Speaker 1: on the mound, I don't love this game. From an offense.
- 46:22Speaker 1: I see people talking about Padres here. I will call
- 46:25Speaker 1: out too, Padres bats Jackson Merril. Thirty seven hundred for
- 46:28Speaker 1: him is just ridiculous. I mean, that's that's criminal. I
- 46:31Speaker 1: know he hasn't been incredible by any means, but it's
- 46:34Speaker 1: still Jackson Merrill. This dude. We're payting six k for
- 46:36Speaker 1: this guy majority of the last season. No, it's not
- 46:40Speaker 1: the same season here, but thirty seven hundred dollars for
- 46:42Speaker 1: a dude with his talent and upside against Aaron Nola
- 46:45Speaker 1: who struggles against lefties. I think that's interesting. Gavin Sheets,
- 46:48Speaker 1: I think is really interesting. Outside of that. Don't really
- 46:51Speaker 1: love this game on the Philly side. I think you can, right,
- 46:54Speaker 1: Mandy Raswez fits kind of that build of surface numbers
- 46:57Speaker 1: look good, underlying metrics look ad. But it was pretty
- 47:01Speaker 1: much that way all of last year and he's showing
- 47:03Speaker 1: more strike on ability this year. Harper Schwarber, I think
- 47:07Speaker 1: are really interesting. Brandon Marsh I think is fine. You
- 47:10Speaker 1: want the lefties in this game on both sides, but
- 47:13Speaker 1: not a game I love from an offense in this ballpark.
- 47:15Speaker 1: What do you see here? Yeah, I'm not a fan
- 47:18Speaker 1: of the ballpark, not fan.
- 47:20Speaker 2: Really, Attack in Vasquez, I mean, if you do, I
- 47:24Speaker 2: mean you want some lefties there, right, like, like you said,
- 47:26Speaker 2: with Schwarber and Harper Marsh, his five ball percentage is
- 47:30Speaker 2: almost like like thirty percent, so something we definitely like
- 47:34Speaker 2: to go after. He's been getting buriled up at nine percent.
- 47:36Speaker 2: He's getting buriled up. I almost double the right side too,
- 47:39Speaker 2: so definitely in play. But man, that San Diego bullpens
- 47:42Speaker 2: just really good too. So it's just not something I
- 47:45Speaker 2: feel like I'm gonna get top of a tournament by
- 47:48Speaker 2: playing some phillies here tonight. Now, the San Diego side,
- 47:52Speaker 2: they just have not been good at all. I can
- 47:54Speaker 2: understand why you might want to go after Aaron Nola
- 47:57Speaker 2: a little bit here. I mean, Nola has been decent
- 48:00Speaker 2: with his ground balls, his five ball rates been fairly low.
- 48:03Speaker 2: He has been getting builed up by right He's at
- 48:05Speaker 2: ten percent eight percent to the lefties. But Gavin Sheets
- 48:10Speaker 2: is probably the only guy I'd really think about playing
- 48:12Speaker 2: here tonight. Names and Sheets I think is like third
- 48:14Speaker 2: Nobs and all of MLB in the last two weeks too.
- 48:17Speaker 1: So Sheets has.
- 48:17Speaker 2: Definitely been on fire here in recent times. But I
- 48:20Speaker 2: think that'd be about the only guy I'd consider playing
- 48:23Speaker 2: him if I was gonna get some more leverage off Nola,
- 48:26Speaker 2: you know, And I knew Nola's gonna be fairly chalking needs,
- 48:29Speaker 2: maybe I'd take me a shot on a team like
- 48:31Speaker 2: the Padres, But man, I just feel like the Padres
- 48:34Speaker 2: is just not a situation that I feel like they're
- 48:38Speaker 2: gonna be able to flip their lineup over a couple
- 48:40Speaker 2: times throughout this game.
- 48:41Speaker 1: I just don't see it. They just haven't been doing
- 48:43Speaker 1: it all year.
- 48:43Speaker 2: So it's kind of hard for me to play teams
- 48:46Speaker 2: that I just don't feel can hit their way out
- 48:49Speaker 2: of a paper bag.
- 48:50Speaker 1: And for me right now, the Padres fit that mold. Yeah.
- 48:53Speaker 1: I mean, I will say Nola has actually been worse
- 48:56Speaker 1: over the last month to the right side than he
- 48:58Speaker 1: has the left side. Obviously, his walks come up as
- 49:01Speaker 1: power comes up a little bit to the lefties, and
- 49:03Speaker 1: his hard hits in barrels and all that, But I mean,
- 49:06Speaker 1: forty three played appearances over the last month, twelve percent
- 49:09Speaker 1: k rate to the right side, three hundred io bar
- 49:13Speaker 1: rate above eleven hard hits are up, So I can
- 49:17Speaker 1: get the case. But on a ten game slate in
- 49:19Speaker 1: this ballpark, I just I don't love it here overall,
- 49:24Speaker 1: it just be sheets and merrill kind of the main
- 49:26Speaker 1: guys for me. Fernando Tatis hasn't hit a home run,
- 49:29Speaker 1: so the Titanic sank in nineteen twelve, so don't really
- 49:32Speaker 1: want to go down that train. And I'll play other
- 49:35Speaker 1: teams here. And it's not like Nola's getting a ton
- 49:37Speaker 1: of ownership. I mean, he's going to be around twenty percent,
- 49:39Speaker 1: so nothing, nothing crazy overall there, So I know they
- 49:44Speaker 1: have an over a four and plaid run total here.
- 49:47Speaker 1: It's just I don't love it here. This this team
- 49:49Speaker 1: is just brutal overall, and they're not a DFS friendly offense.
- 49:53Speaker 1: I mean, if I didn't want to play this team
- 49:55Speaker 1: in course Field earlier this year, I definitely don't want
- 49:57Speaker 1: to play him here in their home ballpark in this
- 50:00Speaker 1: the shitty, shitty offensive park in general. Next spot on
- 50:05Speaker 1: the slate, we're going out to West Sacramento. Here, the
- 50:08Speaker 1: A's and the Mariners. Emerson Hancock attackable definitely with lefties,
- 50:14Speaker 1: for sure. I think the A's are pretty damn interesting here. Again,
- 50:18Speaker 1: I think Hancock kind of regresses back down to kind
- 50:21Speaker 1: of a league average strikeout arm. We've kind of seen
- 50:24Speaker 1: it already. He gets barreled up as well. Pitching in
- 50:27Speaker 1: this ballpark is definitely a significant downgrade for him. Obviously,
- 50:30Speaker 1: we're typically pitching out in Seattle. That's true for pretty
- 50:35Speaker 1: much the entire Seattle rotation. Is they're much worse on
- 50:38Speaker 1: the road throughout the course of the season, which naturally
- 50:40Speaker 1: makes sense when your home ballpark's one of the best
- 50:43Speaker 1: ballparks in baseball to pitch in. Nick Kurtz, Soderstrom, Cortes
- 50:48Speaker 1: I think are really interesting. Jeff McNeil's kind of a
- 50:50Speaker 1: contact bat, but second base weak position thirty five hundred
- 50:54Speaker 1: makes things work prefer kind of more home run hunting
- 50:57Speaker 1: here than full stacks on the A side. Mariners. I
- 51:01Speaker 1: liked a lot more if it was Louis Severino, but
- 51:04Speaker 1: it's gonna be gauge jump again. I talked about his
- 51:07Speaker 1: walk rate that he has down in triple ay, which
- 51:10Speaker 1: typically even goes higher when you get to the majors
- 51:13Speaker 1: because they're much more patient hitters. This Mariners team against
- 51:17Speaker 1: left he's is just not as good. J Rod I
- 51:19Speaker 1: think is a really good play at forty eight hundred
- 51:21Speaker 1: as one off Randy A Rose Rain at five K
- 51:23Speaker 1: feels a little expensive for him, but he's a lefty Masher.
- 51:27Speaker 1: Outside of that, I mean, sure, if you wanted Mitch
- 51:29Speaker 1: Garber at three K, he can definitely hit some home runs.
- 51:32Speaker 1: He's he's made a career really off a left handed pitching.
- 51:35Speaker 1: But majority of the hitters in this lineup hit from
- 51:38Speaker 1: the left side where Gage Jump is. I mean, the
- 51:40Speaker 1: dude has a thirty three percent k rate. I know
- 51:42Speaker 1: it's triple ay, but I still expect him to kind
- 51:44Speaker 1: of be above league average, at least in terms of strikeouts.
- 51:48Speaker 1: I don't love the Mariners as much as I did.
- 51:50Speaker 1: I think the run total is gonna drop as we
- 51:52Speaker 1: lead up here. Things could obviously go south with this
- 51:55Speaker 1: guy making his major league debut here. I don't love
- 51:58Speaker 1: it though. From the Maryorie just Jay rona Rose Arena
- 52:02Speaker 1: Garver would be kind of the main guys. I'm looking at,
- 52:04Speaker 1: what do you see this one?
- 52:07Speaker 2: You know, I was just checking to see if the
- 52:09Speaker 2: over under went up or down from on the sportsbooks
- 52:12Speaker 2: after Jump was put in, and it hasn't moved NDE,
- 52:15Speaker 2: so you know, Vegas isn't all that concern. You would
- 52:18Speaker 2: think that any baseball you know, knowledgeable person would think,
- 52:21Speaker 2: you know, oh we got this kid coming up. Better
- 52:24Speaker 2: situation maybe the over under would drop a little bit,
- 52:27Speaker 2: and it doesn't seem to be doing so at this point,
- 52:29Speaker 2: so that is.
- 52:31Speaker 1: A little bit concerning for me.
- 52:32Speaker 2: But I mean when you look at these two sides,
- 52:34Speaker 2: you had the lefties for the A's against Hancocks.
- 52:37Speaker 1: Interesting.
- 52:37Speaker 2: I mean, Hancock's been interesting so far this year is
- 52:40Speaker 2: strikeout's been up almost ten percent, almost on both.
- 52:43Speaker 1: Sides of the plate from last year.
- 52:45Speaker 2: Last year he was like a blow average strikeout pitcher,
- 52:47Speaker 2: and now he's a few percentage points above above league average.
- 52:51Speaker 2: Last year he did struggle quite a bit with lefties
- 52:54Speaker 2: with his control. This year he's been getting buriled up
- 52:57Speaker 2: a little bit more by lefties. So you guys like Cortez, Kurtz, Soderstorm,
- 53:03Speaker 2: I think are interesting for sure. So I do like
- 53:06Speaker 2: the A side. I think the Seattle side now is
- 53:09Speaker 2: going to be a little bit more interesting. It could
- 53:13Speaker 2: be a little bit more lower owned. But man, j
- 53:15Speaker 2: Rod's been hot, a Rosarina has been hot. I think
- 53:19Speaker 2: those are two guys that you definitely got to look at.
- 53:21Speaker 2: I mean, you know, anytime, it don't matter how good
- 53:24Speaker 2: the prospect is, Aids, We've seen it with the guys,
- 53:26Speaker 2: you know, different prospects over the years. You know, like,
- 53:29Speaker 2: you know, you get some butterflies, you come in your
- 53:31Speaker 2: first game. You know, like, we don't know what we're
- 53:34Speaker 2: gonna get yet. But I will say Jump's only fifty
- 53:37Speaker 2: five hundred on FanDuel. As I see Ray here, you know,
- 53:42Speaker 2: Jeff Tiffany match, and hey, I'm gonna holding my nose
- 53:44Speaker 2: and play him at five k over on FanDuel to
- 53:46Speaker 2: help you get some of those big bats. I don't
- 53:49Speaker 2: mind that at all. I mean, I know he's seven
- 53:51Speaker 2: k over there on DK, so I think he's a
- 53:54Speaker 2: much better play on FanDuel than I do DK. But
- 53:57Speaker 2: I mean you're still sitting at a game total nine
- 54:00Speaker 2: and a half that didn't move, So I mean, he's
- 54:02Speaker 2: not getting any love from Vegas needs. I mean, we're
- 54:04Speaker 2: giving them a way more respect than they're giving him.
- 54:07Speaker 2: But I do I do like the A's lefties more,
- 54:10Speaker 2: and I still think Julio and a Roseerani are top
- 54:12Speaker 2: bats on the slate.
- 54:14Speaker 1: Yeah, I do like them a ton, but I don't
- 54:16Speaker 1: think the game total is really ever gonna drop much
- 54:18Speaker 1: in this ballpark regardless. It's not like Louis Severino is
- 54:21Speaker 1: some sort of ace anyways, and you got this ballpark
- 54:24Speaker 1: in general, which he yields a lot of runs historically,
- 54:27Speaker 1: So it's not like Vegas is gonna sit there and
- 54:29Speaker 1: drop the game total just because this guy comes in
- 54:32Speaker 1: over several reno, especially when you look at that. But
- 54:35Speaker 1: I mean he throws a slider thirty three percent of
- 54:37Speaker 1: the time. You take a look at the Seattle bats
- 54:39Speaker 1: against the slider on the current season from from the
- 54:41Speaker 1: left side twenty eight percent k rate. Obviously he throws.
- 54:45Speaker 1: He's kind of a fastball slider guy. He does have
- 54:47Speaker 1: some a couple other pitches, but mainly his arsenal is
- 54:51Speaker 1: a fastball and a slider, even against Even against the fastball,
- 54:55Speaker 1: I mean, you're still looking at almost a twenty five
- 54:57Speaker 1: percent k rate from the Seattle offense, So the strikeout
- 55:01Speaker 1: upside is there. That's that's kind of why I have
- 55:05Speaker 1: some interest. I much prefer the A side in this
- 55:08Speaker 1: one from an offensive perspective. And yeah, they're gonna get ownership,
- 55:13Speaker 1: but it's gonna be less than the Mariners overall, So
- 55:15Speaker 1: I'll take the slight ownership discount there and just hope
- 55:19Speaker 1: Gage Jump can get his command under control a little bit.
- 55:21Speaker 1: But I do like Jay Rodd and a Rose raina
- 55:23Speaker 1: Mitch Garver, Like I said, by a decent margin on
- 55:28Speaker 1: this slate. I don't know how I stack them up
- 55:30Speaker 1: against other guys in that range, but I do think
- 55:33Speaker 1: those guys, definitely, Jay Rodd and Rose Rain are are
- 55:36Speaker 1: really interesting plays in general. Next game, Giants, Diamondbacks, e Rod,
- 55:42Speaker 1: Tyler Maley. We had interest in e Rod for sure.
- 55:46Speaker 1: Giants just been absolutely abysmal. Casey Schmid I think is interesting.
- 55:49Speaker 1: Just he hits left, he's really good. Matt Chapman hit
- 55:52Speaker 1: career rise, hits left. He's good, But this year he
- 55:54Speaker 1: can't find out water if he fell out of a
- 55:56Speaker 1: boat in the Atlantic Ocean. So don't know how that looks.
- 55:59Speaker 1: Same thing with Williadamas, I don't. I'm not playing the
- 56:02Speaker 1: Giants here. If the Giants beat me in this shitty ballpark,
- 56:05Speaker 1: they beat me. Same kind of thing though, for the
- 56:07Speaker 1: d Backs here. I mean the Dbacks have upside that
- 56:09Speaker 1: top three for sure. Marte Carroll, Predoman, you can play
- 56:13Speaker 1: them anytime they're on the slate. Nolan Arnatto has turned
- 56:15Speaker 1: back the clock and I'm starting to figure out how
- 56:17Speaker 1: to hit at the major league level again, don't love him,
- 56:21Speaker 1: though Walt Schmitt does have power and upside as a
- 56:25Speaker 1: young prospect there, thirty five hundred is decent price point
- 56:27Speaker 1: for him. Giants bullpen is not very good, kind of
- 56:31Speaker 1: middle of the road. They have definitely been better than
- 56:33Speaker 1: they started the year, So I just don't love this
- 56:36Speaker 1: game from offense. If this park beats me, it kind
- 56:38Speaker 1: of beats me. Is kind of how I'm looking at it.
- 56:40Speaker 1: It's more of kind of a night slate spot where
- 56:42Speaker 1: I'd go in on some of these d backs in general.
- 56:44Speaker 1: But Marte, Carrol Perdomo would be the three guys that
- 56:48Speaker 1: you can definitely look at here. But from an offensive
- 56:50Speaker 1: stacking perspective. Don't love this game on either side. What
- 56:53Speaker 1: do you see here?
- 56:54Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not interested in any Giants fans against e Rod.
- 56:57Speaker 2: I think I prefer e Rod quite a bit more
- 57:00Speaker 2: then I'd even think about playing any of them. But
- 57:03Speaker 2: Arizona bads. I mean, if this was an Arizona I
- 57:06Speaker 2: would really like the d Backs against Molly. Molly's just
- 57:09Speaker 2: not been very good against Righty so far this year.
- 57:12Speaker 2: He's got a four h nine WOLBA against him, one
- 57:14Speaker 2: ninety six. I saw a slight ground ball leame. He's
- 57:17Speaker 2: been getting bailed up at almost ten percent, and he
- 57:20Speaker 2: also has a high fly ball percentage to the left side.
- 57:23Speaker 1: So I think d.
- 57:26Speaker 2: Backs are in a decent spot. I'd have him outside
- 57:29Speaker 2: my top six or seven here today. If I was
- 57:31Speaker 2: really digging deep, i'd consider leaving them in. But I
- 57:34Speaker 2: just don't like the park. But picking on Molly ain't
- 57:37Speaker 2: a bad thing to do, but just the regular just
- 57:40Speaker 2: like the seat, Like the park you mentioned isn't the greatest,
- 57:43Speaker 2: but you know, like I said, it was in Arizona.
- 57:45Speaker 2: I think the d Backs would be one of the
- 57:47Speaker 2: better offenses on the slate.
- 57:49Speaker 1: Yeah, I definitely think they're pretty interesting though for the
- 57:51Speaker 1: nights late if you're playing that four game nights late,
- 57:54Speaker 1: because the Dodgers are going to be like nine own
- 57:57Speaker 1: on that slate without only the four games, it's going
- 57:59Speaker 1: to be definitely with the Mariners, the A's and the
- 58:02Speaker 1: Dodgers are obviously gonna headline. They're gonna headline the main slate,
- 58:05Speaker 1: but definitely that night slate. So I think the d
- 58:08Speaker 1: Backs are really interesting on that shorter slate. Probably don't
- 58:12Speaker 1: get to him though. On the full ten gamer here
- 58:14Speaker 1: you could do it, but I don't love it overall.
- 58:17Speaker 1: Those top three, though, I think are pretty interesting in general.
- 58:20Speaker 1: Last game to round us out, my favorite overall offense
- 58:23Speaker 1: on the slate here, all things considered, the Yankees probably
- 58:27Speaker 1: coming to higher own because the Yankees have a lot
- 58:28Speaker 1: cheaper bats overall. Will Smith probably the highest one bat
- 58:33Speaker 1: on the slate all things considered. He's facing cal Freeland.
- 58:36Speaker 1: Freeland's giving up what six plus runs and what three
- 58:39Speaker 1: of his last four starts? Something like that. I mean,
- 58:43Speaker 1: the dude's not good. The Rockies bullpen has been decent,
- 58:47Speaker 1: but I mean, if Freeland has one strength that's kind
- 58:49Speaker 1: of keeping the ball on the ground at a okay rate.
- 58:53Speaker 1: The issue is the Dodgers just don't care about that.
- 58:55Speaker 1: They just hit the ball in the air, all of them,
- 58:58Speaker 1: their entire lineup. Your got key, he's in there, or
- 59:01Speaker 1: at least projected me in there. He's probably gets pinch
- 59:03Speaker 1: hit for after Kyle Frielan comes out. Same thing with
- 59:05Speaker 1: a guy like Miggy down there at twenty six hundred.
- 59:08Speaker 1: But they're dirt cheap. I think they're fine. It's definitely
- 59:12Speaker 1: pahz Hernandez, Will Smith, Mookie or kind of the four
- 59:15Speaker 1: bets that headline for me, and obviously I always play
- 59:18Speaker 1: Otani and Freeman. I think in stacks. Including a guy
- 59:21Speaker 1: like Freddie Freeman, who's probably gonna be the lowest on
- 59:23Speaker 1: Dodger or one of them, I think is really interesting.
- 59:26Speaker 1: And even if you play him over Otani and you
- 59:30Speaker 1: play a different outfielder like you go like instead of
- 59:33Speaker 1: you play five Dodgers, right, you leave Otani out and
- 59:35Speaker 1: you play like Awan Soto at the outfield at assumilar
- 59:39Speaker 1: rate or Jordan Alvarez or Byron Buxton like I talked about.
- 59:42Speaker 1: I think that's interesting. But yeah, Dodgers best spot on
- 59:45Speaker 1: the slate for me. I'm gonna be much more in
- 59:47Speaker 1: on the Dodgers than I am the Yankees when comparing
- 59:49Speaker 1: the two. What do you see here though, to run
- 59:51Speaker 1: us out?
- 59:53Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I really like some Dodgers a freely
- 59:56Speaker 2: as you said. I mean, he just sucks balls, man,
- 59:58Speaker 2: I mean, this dude they leave him in there too,
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: like he just he They don't even care if this
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: guy's pissed off. He gets his ninety pitches in. They
- 1:00:05Speaker 2: don't give a shit how many runs he gives up
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: three earned runs last time, seven six six four. I
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: mean it's just not been good. But uh yeah, definitely
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: like this Dodger's lineup up and down, And I mean
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: I wouldn't be afraid to use this go after this
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: lineup here and not even really you show hey, I
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: mean you can make it a little cheaper and not showing,
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: you know, throwing show hey if you want. Uh, but hey,
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: we got my one of my favorite Dodgers.
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: At the bottom. Kiky. Do you love me?
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: He's about the only one I'd worry about maybe getting
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: pitch hit for. But other than that, you know, Kiki
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: is back. I love some Kiki. I saw him yesterday.
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: I was like, oh yeah, we got some Kiki in there.
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: He's cheap too, and he fills a lot of holes,
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: so uh glad to have him back. But yeah, I
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: mean I think, you know, Mookie's gonna get right. I Pajes,
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: Will Smith, I think's in a good spot. Tiascar, I
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: think I think they're all in a pretty good spot.
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: But Dodgers for me, are standing out. I mean, Freelan's
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: just been so bad, I mean, just so bad.
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. That's all ten games talk, pitching talked
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: hitting time for the end of the show. Here your
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: favorite two pitchers on the slate, your top three stacks
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: and a home run call to round us Alagie Risen my.
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: Favorite two pitchers on the slate, I am going to say,
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: you know, I'm gonna go with e Rod and Chase Burns.
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: I think those would be my two. I think Harrison's
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: in there as well, And you talked me into a
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: little bit of jump, so i'd look at that two
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: favorite stacks. Obviously, Dodgers Yankees are up there for me.
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: I think the White Sox might sneak up there a
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: little bit too.
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: And if you want a home run call out of me,
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: I am.
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: Going to go with, Oh, you know what, we're gonna
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: go with Brandon Nimo.
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: It's gonna hit a home run off Alexander. I like
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: that call there for me. I'm gonna go Chase burn
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: I'll go Jack Lighter and Sean Berk is kind of
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: three of the other guys. Obviously. I like all of
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: those guys up at the top that we talked about
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: off the top of the show. My stacks. I'm going
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: Dodgers number one, Brewers number two, White Sox three for me,
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: and then I'll throw in those A's lefties as well.
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: Is kind of the fourth team to round us out there,
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: my homer and call. I'm going to the Brewers. I'm
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: going to Jake Bowers. I think Jake Bauers gets one here.
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: Fly ball guy forty four hundred, I think he finds
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: his way over the wall there in American Family Field,
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: and I'll throw on a bonus one. I won't go
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: to one of the lefties from the A's, I will
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: go to the right side forty six hundred projected back
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: clean up Brent Rooker as a bonus home run call.
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit that
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- 1:03:35Speaker 1: Like I said for g Risen on AIDS, good luck
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: tonight in those contests. We'll see guys tomorrow. Peace, names
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: And name's