Latest / Political Capital with Rob Shaw / Tax/Eat The Rich | Political Capital Daily
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Political Capital Daily is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Airbnb.
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- 0:50Speaker 1: visit helijet.com. It's Monday, October 5th, 2026, and this is
- 0:59Speaker 1: Political Capital Daily.
- 1:01Speaker 2: Well, good morning.
- 1:06Speaker 1: Good morning. Monday, old Monday morning. It's dark outside thanks
- 1:22Speaker 1: to the time change, which may or may not have happened.
- 1:24Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 1:25Speaker 1: I don't keep track of these things. But you can
- 1:27Speaker 1: thank David Eby for that. You can also thank him
- 1:29Speaker 1: for pumpkin spice season in full bloom. If you're looking
- 1:32Speaker 1: for a pickup this morning, why don't you try some
- 1:35Speaker 1: pumpkin spice? Tell them Rob sent you to the pumpkin
- 1:37Speaker 1: spice shop and see what they give you. Probably a
- 1:39Speaker 1: latte or some sort of ginger pumpkin spice or pumpkin
- 1:43Speaker 1: spice caramel twist. They're all good. It's a good way
- 1:46Speaker 1: to start your Monday. That's a little free advice from
- 1:49Speaker 1: your Uncle Rob. Aileen Machel, former Deputy Chief of Staff,
- 1:53Speaker 1: Premier David Eby, is joining me this Monday morning.
- 1:55Speaker 3: Hello, Aileen. Good morning, Rob.
- 1:57Speaker 1: Do you like Mondays? Are you a Monday fan?
- 2:01Speaker 3: I'm okay with Mondays. I'm not a huge pumpkin spice fan.
- 2:05Speaker 1: Well, that's all the time we have for today's show,
- 2:07Speaker 1: so that's good. Thanks for coming on. All right, bye. Well,
- 2:12Speaker 1: I'll flip those around. Mondays... You know, the week stretches
- 2:17Speaker 1: out in front of you like a jammed, packed 10-lane
- 2:20Speaker 1: highway each day harder than the rest until finally you
- 2:23Speaker 1: reach Friday and you go, yes, the week is done.
- 2:26Speaker 1: And then, bang, it's Monday again. I don't know. It's
- 2:30Speaker 1: the week. Who came up? What old white dude with
- 2:34Speaker 1: a stovetop hat and a mustache came up with the
- 2:37Speaker 1: five-day work week? I'd like to find him in 1893,
- 2:40Speaker 1: give him a piece of my mind about the five-day
- 2:42Speaker 1: work week, but I don't know who that guy is, so. Well,
- 2:47Speaker 1: we got a lot in politics on our five days
- 2:48Speaker 1: coming up, six days coming up in Political Capital Daily
- 2:52Speaker 1: this week. Remember, we have Aileen on Monday and Tuesday's show,
- 2:55Speaker 1: Green Strategist Jillian Oliver Wednesday, Allie Blades from the Conservatives
- 2:59Speaker 1: on Thursday, Nicole Broussard from the Conservatives on Friday, and
- 3:03Speaker 1: Jeff Ferrier for our Saturday morning Political Capital special where
- 3:07Speaker 1: we just wrap a little bit about the week, just
- 3:10Speaker 1: sit down, talk a little bit about how it went
- 3:12Speaker 1: in hushed tones early on Saturday morning. It's a good listen.
- 3:15Speaker 1: You failed to catch Saturday's show. If you're looking for
- 3:17Speaker 1: what's on the campaign trail today, the B.C. Conservatives leader
- 3:20Speaker 1: Lorne Dirksen in 100 Mile House for an announcement at
- 3:24Speaker 1: 11 o'clock with a policy announcement billed from the Conservatives.
- 3:27Speaker 1: The B.C. Greens and their leader, plus the candidate for
- 3:30Speaker 1: Saanich North and the Islands, Emily Lowen, will be in
- 3:33Speaker 1: Fernwood to make an announcement about the ultra-wealthy paying their
- 3:37Speaker 1: fair share. Ironically, in the Fernwood neighborhood house where the B.C.
- 3:42Speaker 1: NDP and David Eby had a rally. on Sunday evening,
- 3:46Speaker 1: the exact same spot, the exact same topic, going after
- 3:50Speaker 1: those rich, wealthy people, dragging them into the town square,
- 3:54Speaker 1: checking their pockets for extra pennies, both parties on that issue.
- 3:58Speaker 1: As for the NDP, I think they're in Victoria, but
- 4:01Speaker 1: as always, they don't really like telling anyone until the
- 4:04Speaker 1: last minute, so Good luck with that, NDP. The big
- 4:07Speaker 1: announcement from the New Democrats, speaking of that, on a
- 4:11Speaker 1: Sunday afternoon, out of nowhere, a tax policy announcement by
- 4:15Speaker 1: Leader David Eby. Two tax policy announcements, really. A raise
- 4:21Speaker 1: of two percentage points to the top two tax brackets,
- 4:24Speaker 1: so that's people who make more than $ 190, 000 a year
- 4:26Speaker 1: and people who make more than $ 265, 000 a year. Your tax,
- 4:27Speaker 1: your provincial tax is going up. by two percentage points,
- 4:34Speaker 1: and a new tax bracket for millionaires at $ 1 million,
- 4:38Speaker 1: 24% tax rate for that. Here is the NDP leader
- 4:44Speaker 1: on that.
- 4:45Speaker 4: I celebrate the success of British Columbians. I say, if
- 4:49Speaker 4: you're doing well, that's fantastic. I love that. But a
- 4:54Speaker 4: lot of people in the province are really struggling. And
- 4:56Speaker 4: in a time like this, when our province is under attack,
- 4:59Speaker 4: when costs are going up so much for people and
- 5:01Speaker 4: they're making really hard decisions, do I fill up with gas,
- 5:04Speaker 4: do I buy groceries, what can I afford to do,
- 5:06Speaker 4: am I going to be able to make rent, that
- 5:08Speaker 4: if you're earning about $ 200, 000 a year or more, that
- 5:11Speaker 4: you can pay a little bit more. And so that's
- 5:13Speaker 4: what we're.
- 5:17Speaker 1: Going to ask people to do. Reminds me, Aileen, of 2017.
- 5:20Speaker 1: Carol James had a line, if those who have a
- 5:22Speaker 1: little bit more can afford to give a little bit
- 5:24Speaker 1: more back to the province back in 2017. Haven't heard
- 5:27Speaker 1: it since then. Here we are in 2026 with a
- 5:30Speaker 1: premier with a very similar pitch to voters on Sunday.
- 5:35Speaker 3: Yeah, and it's a line that's popular. I think, you know,
- 5:38Speaker 3: what stands out to me on this one is it's
- 5:40Speaker 3: a Sunday announcement. And Sunday announcements can actually be really effective,
- 5:46Speaker 3: especially when they're a talker. Because what it means is
- 5:49Speaker 3: that the week starts out with people talking about this announcement,
- 5:55Speaker 3: about this policy proposal. And this one, I think, is
- 5:59Speaker 3: going to be one that people are talking about today.
- 6:01Speaker 3: One of the critiques that I've heard over the years
- 6:03Speaker 3: about election campaigns is that parties can promise a whole
- 6:07Speaker 3: lot and not really be clear about how they'll pay
- 6:09Speaker 3: for it. So some of these critiques have been leveled
- 6:12Speaker 3: at both of the major parties over the last couple
- 6:13Speaker 3: of weeks, for example, with Lauren Dirksen and his no
- 6:18Speaker 3: new taxes, no increased taxes announcement, raised questions about, you know,
- 6:21Speaker 3: how are you going to do that while also tackling
- 6:23Speaker 3: the deficit and also magically claiming no cuts to health care.
- 6:26Speaker 3: So On this one, the BCNEP is putting forward some
- 6:30Speaker 3: strong examples on how they propose to actually fund stronger
- 6:34Speaker 3: health care, and that's not by making people pay directly
- 6:38Speaker 3: for health care the way it's done in private systems
- 6:40Speaker 3: like the United States, but instead they are proposing these
- 6:43Speaker 3: major targeted tax increases, and they're targeted in that it
- 6:48Speaker 3: looks like it's, you know, the top four percent of
- 6:50Speaker 3: earners in the province that'll get this tax increase, and
- 6:52Speaker 3: I'm sure it is going to be critiqued by folks
- 6:55Speaker 3: like the Canadian Taxpayers Federation, although their main guy is
- 6:58Speaker 3: now running for the Conservatives. But I don't think the
- 7:01Speaker 3: majority of British Columbians will complain about a path forward
- 7:05Speaker 3: for stronger services that's paid by the very top earners
- 7:08Speaker 3: in the province. I think, you know, people who do
- 7:11Speaker 3: have to pay it don't like paying more. But again,
- 7:14Speaker 3: the vast majority of British Columbians won't be paying more
- 7:17Speaker 3: under the plan. And, you know, some of these folks
- 7:19Speaker 3: include people who make a million dollars a year.
- 7:22Speaker 1: I think The context that the NDP is going to
- 7:25Speaker 1: have to wrestle with on this is probably to go
- 7:28Speaker 1: back to the February budget, where it also raised personal
- 7:31Speaker 1: income tax on the lowest earning people, 0.6%, which generated
- 7:37Speaker 1: $ 500 million. So you have a 10-month period in which
- 7:40Speaker 1: the lowest and the wealthiest people in the province are
- 7:43Speaker 1: both getting tax increases, plus a PST expansion, plus a
- 7:47Speaker 1: school tax expansion, plus an empty developers' homes expansion. plus
- 7:52Speaker 1: a speculation vacancy tax expansion. And it's like a lot
- 7:56Speaker 1: of taxes in a 10-year spot, or 10-month spot. I
- 8:00Speaker 1: know the conservatives came out with a reaction that there's
- 8:03Speaker 1: not a problem the NDP doesn't think it can solve
- 8:05Speaker 1: with taxes. So I'm sure that's going to be their
- 8:08Speaker 1: kind of pushback. The Greens saying it's not aggressive enough
- 8:11Speaker 1: with leader Emily Lowen saying that the premier has finally
- 8:15Speaker 1: discovered the wealthiest should pitch in. The Greens have long
- 8:19Speaker 1: been advocating for a wealth tax. But by taxing income,
- 8:22Speaker 1: Eby misses the point, the ultra-wealthy don't get rich on paychecks,
- 8:26Speaker 1: their fortunes grow in stocks and real estate, and his
- 8:29Speaker 1: plan doesn't touch a cent of that, pledging that the
- 8:32Speaker 1: Green plan, coming later this morning at 10.30 a.m., will
- 8:36Speaker 1: tackle that part of the issue. So they're going to
- 8:38Speaker 1: get squeezed by criticisms from the Green, it doesn't go
- 8:40Speaker 1: far enough, by the Conservatives that it goes too far,
- 8:43Speaker 1: and then folks who maybe pay attention to politics throughout
- 8:45Speaker 1: the year are going to say, didn't we just have
- 8:47Speaker 1: a tax increase in February? And then I guess to
- 8:51Speaker 1: put it all together, I guess the only problem is
- 8:54Speaker 1: that it doesn't generate enough money to really dig out
- 8:59Speaker 1: the deficit. It's about a billion dollar revenue increase. And
- 9:03Speaker 1: so in that sense, it doesn't solve the budget problems
- 9:07Speaker 1: in a $ 14 billion budget year. So I guess those
- 9:10Speaker 1: are all kind of the contextual elements around the taxing. announced?
- 9:14Speaker 3: Well, it's one of the major solutions that they're putting forward.
- 9:18Speaker 3: I suspect we're going to hear more as the parties
- 9:21Speaker 3: put forward more policy planks, including their full platforms. I
- 9:25Speaker 3: would note that even under this plan, BC is the
- 9:28Speaker 3: second lowest income tax jurisdiction for folks who make $ 250, 000
- 9:31Speaker 3: a year. So I do think that the conservative attacks
- 9:36Speaker 3: on taxes don't really make a ton of sense. And also,
- 9:39Speaker 3: you know, it also shows that they're not willing to
- 9:41Speaker 3: tax millionaires more in order to fund public health care.
- 9:45Speaker 3: And they haven't really put forward what their solution would be.
- 9:51Speaker 3: We did see that attack about doctors being in this
- 9:54Speaker 3: income bracket, but you know, they also opposed EB's, you know, U.S.
- 10:00Speaker 3: doctor recruitment plan. They also have, you know, anti-vaxxers on
- 10:04Speaker 3: their candidate slate. And I think that their plan right now,
- 10:07Speaker 3: given that they haven't really explained how they'll pay for it,
- 10:10Speaker 3: it does mean that health care cuts will become inevitable.
- 10:14Speaker 3: And so I think, you know, I understand that their
- 10:17Speaker 3: take is always going to be to criticize taxes. on
- 10:20Speaker 3: the wealthiest, but they also need to put forward what
- 10:24Speaker 3: their solution would be to actually fund stronger health care
- 10:27Speaker 3: for British Columbians.
- 10:28Speaker 1: It's one of those challenges because incumbent governments have a
- 10:31Speaker 1: bigger expectation on them to sort of sketch out a
- 10:34Speaker 1: detailed spending plan. And then the opposition party, whoever it is,
- 10:38Speaker 1: they always get that kind of half out in an
- 10:39Speaker 1: election campaign where they can say, well, we haven't seen
- 10:41Speaker 1: the books yet, so we're not quite sure the state
- 10:44Speaker 1: of the books. So there'll be two different thresholds of
- 10:49Speaker 1: kind of fiscal analysis on this. You know, the NDP
- 10:52Speaker 1: are going to be, everyone's going to count the pennies
- 10:54Speaker 1: on their plan and the conservatives are going to be,
- 10:57Speaker 1: get a little bit more wiggle room, I think, but
- 10:59Speaker 1: I don't expect either detailed plan until kind of near
- 11:03Speaker 1: the end of the campaign. I don't know, Aileen, do
- 11:04Speaker 1: you think they both, now with advanced voting, do you
- 11:07Speaker 1: think people expect to see them just before the advanced polls,
- 11:09Speaker 1: the kind of detailed platform spending, or is that something
- 11:13Speaker 1: you think might come later in the campaign?
- 11:15Speaker 3: That's a really good question. I'm not sure where the
- 11:19Speaker 3: campaigns are at. I think that this week you will
- 11:21Speaker 3: see really significant policy announcements coming out of the campaigns
- 11:24Speaker 3: just because it is an important week leading up to
- 11:27Speaker 3: Thanksgiving when people are getting together and talking about stuff
- 11:30Speaker 3: that matters to them. But I'm not sure if we'll
- 11:33Speaker 3: see full platforms out yet.
- 11:36Speaker 1: We'll talk some more, I think, tomorrow about the kind
- 11:38Speaker 1: of the week, because as you touched on, it is
- 11:40Speaker 1: an important one for various reasons for the campaign. So
- 11:43Speaker 1: we might see So moving on that, we got a
- 11:45Speaker 1: little bit more discussion after the break coming up on
- 11:47Speaker 1: the candidate lists that were finalized. And we're going to
- 11:50Speaker 1: take a look at the ads that have been playing
- 11:52Speaker 1: so far by the parties and just have a quick
- 11:55Speaker 1: talk about them after the break. Well, Political Capital Daily
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- 12:28Speaker 1: Back to the show. All right, Aileen, we're going to
- 12:36Speaker 1: take a look at the campaign ads that have been
- 12:38Speaker 1: playing so far. There's a few of them, but we
- 12:40Speaker 1: picked kind of two of the main ones here from
- 12:42Speaker 1: the BC Conservatives and the NDP. We're going to play them.
- 12:45Speaker 1: And then I'm interested in your thoughts on different parts
- 12:48Speaker 1: of this, the language that is chosen, the audience they're
- 12:51Speaker 1: playing to, you know, kind of the tone that's in them. Obviously,
- 12:55Speaker 1: you can't see the visuals in our podcast format, but
- 12:58Speaker 1: you may have seen them. They're online and they're pretty much,
- 13:01Speaker 1: you capture them with the audio. So let me play
- 13:04Speaker 1: you the NDP and the conservative ads now.
- 13:07Speaker 2: BC's conservative parties are in chaos. Four leaders in 10 months.
- 13:13Speaker 2: No one knows who will lead them next, but their
- 13:15Speaker 2: plan will mean healthcare cuts and higher costs, like doubling
- 13:19Speaker 2: car insurance rates. They even said healthcare will take the
- 13:23Speaker 2: brunt of their cuts and they'll roll over for Donald Trump.
- 13:27Speaker 2: We can't afford their costs, cuts, or their chaos. Choose
- 13:32Speaker 2: David Eby's plan. Protect your job. Protect your health care.
- 13:37Speaker 2: The BCNDP have broken promise after promise. They promised a
- 13:41Speaker 2: family doctor to everyone by the end of 2025. But 320,000
- 13:46Speaker 2: people are still waiting. They promised an EA in every
- 13:49Speaker 2: K-3 classroom. But kids and teachers are still struggling without
- 13:53Speaker 2: the help they deserve.
- 13:55Speaker 5: They promised your family $ 1, 000 a.
- 13:57Speaker 2: Year in tax relief.
- 13:58Speaker 5: But they cancelled the program before it even began. David
- 14:02Speaker 5: Eby will say anything to get elected. On October 24th,
- 14:06Speaker 5: vote Conservative.
- 14:08Speaker 1: All right, Aileen, what stood out to you on both
- 14:10Speaker 1: of those?
- 14:11Speaker 3: Yeah, well, political ads are most effective when they tap
- 14:14Speaker 3: into powerful emotions. And that's why you see attack ads
- 14:18Speaker 3: like this during elections. Each campaign trying to associate the
- 14:22Speaker 3: leader of the opposing campaigns or the party with negative
- 14:25Speaker 3: emotions in the voters' minds. And this happens in most
- 14:28Speaker 3: major political campaigns everywhere, no matter which party. So some
- 14:33Speaker 3: of the negative feelings that the ads are trying to
- 14:35Speaker 3: tap into are feelings like anxiety or anger or fear.
- 14:40Speaker 3: And then on the other side, there are powerful positive
- 14:43Speaker 3: emotions like hope and inspiration. And so you'll typically see
- 14:47Speaker 3: the campaigns using elements of both in their campaigning. But
- 14:51Speaker 3: when it comes to attack ads like this one, on
- 14:54Speaker 3: the conservative one, they are going with a direct attack
- 14:58Speaker 3: on David Eby, the leader of the BCNDP. And I
- 15:02Speaker 3: think what they're trying to do here is that modern
- 15:06Speaker 3: elections often come down to how voters feel about leaders.
- 15:10Speaker 3: That is like a strong factor in how people vote.
- 15:13Speaker 3: And we know that in recent polls, David Eby has
- 15:17Speaker 3: led among the party leaders in approval or favorability, as
- 15:21Speaker 3: well as the question on who would make the best premier. So,
- 15:24Speaker 3: for example, Leger, he was at 39 percent, 38 in liaisons.
- 15:30Speaker 3: And then he's also got the name recognition because he
- 15:32Speaker 3: is the incumbent premier. So I think what the Conservatives
- 15:36Speaker 3: are trying to do with this attack ad, really focusing
- 15:39Speaker 3: it on David, they're going for the direct attack because
- 15:42Speaker 3: they know that their path to victory requires putting him
- 15:46Speaker 3: in a more negative light. So they're trying to change
- 15:48Speaker 3: the minds of voters on how they feel about Eby.
- 15:52Speaker 3: And whether they can trust him too, right? Yes, and
- 15:54Speaker 3: on trust, which is the same sort of attack that
- 15:58Speaker 3: we heard Dirksen use in a press conference last week
- 16:01Speaker 3: where he used a line about not being able to
- 16:03Speaker 3: trust David. So I also noticed recently that they have
- 16:07Speaker 3: a different attack ad focused on costs. And we know
- 16:11Speaker 3: that polling has shown this is a top issue for
- 16:13Speaker 3: a lot of folks. And it has sort of a
- 16:15Speaker 3: ticking clock that conveys a sense of urgency and it
- 16:18Speaker 3: talks about various costs going up. So I think that
- 16:20Speaker 3: one is meant to tap into anxiety and pressure that
- 16:24Speaker 3: people face when they're trying to get by, which of
- 16:26Speaker 3: course is not just a BC issue. It's something that
- 16:28Speaker 3: people across the country face, but it really is an
- 16:31Speaker 3: important one. And so I think that's the strategy on
- 16:33Speaker 3: that one. On this more direct attack around trust, I
- 16:38Speaker 3: think trying to point out these things is about sort
- 16:41Speaker 3: of trying to stoke a bit of anger in order
- 16:44Speaker 3: to associate David with more negative emotions. So I think
- 16:49Speaker 3: that's the strategy there. When it comes to the NDP ad,
- 16:53Speaker 3: it's interesting because it shows recent proof points from the
- 16:56Speaker 3: past year to remind voters who probably have heard by now,
- 16:59Speaker 3: but maybe need to be reminded that there's been some
- 17:02Speaker 3: turmoil among the right-wing parties in recent years. So it
- 17:06Speaker 3: has those images of the many leaders that various parties
- 17:10Speaker 3: on the right have had over the last year.
- 17:11Speaker 1: It has a cool image in particular at the end
- 17:14Speaker 1: where it's like, one of those magazine things where you
- 17:17Speaker 1: take different parts of people's face and you cut them together.
- 17:19Speaker 1: So it has like these little rectangular slices of the
- 17:23Speaker 1: different leaders of the conservatives, but also includes Dallas Brody
- 17:26Speaker 1: and Eleanor Sturco in this mishmash face at the end,
- 17:29Speaker 1: which I thought was quite a striking visual to illustrate
- 17:32Speaker 1: their point. Yes.
- 17:34Speaker 3: And I think like, even if you're just listening to
- 17:36Speaker 3: the ad, the use of the word chaos, I think
- 17:40Speaker 3: is quite powerful because And chaos is part of the
- 17:43Speaker 3: message that has been repeated by the NDP campaign frequently.
- 17:46Speaker 3: And on that, the chaos theme is, I think, meant
- 17:50Speaker 3: to be a direct contrast with the stability theme that
- 17:52Speaker 3: they've also used to frame up themselves, so their government
- 17:55Speaker 3: and David's leadership. And the reason there, again, it comes
- 17:57Speaker 3: down to emotion, because I think when there's global uncertainty
- 18:00Speaker 3: and a trade war caused by Trump, people are worried
- 18:04Speaker 3: about their livelihoods. And so the last thing they want
- 18:06Speaker 3: is chaos. They're looking for stability. So in my view,
- 18:09Speaker 3: that's what the NDP is trying to do here is
- 18:10Speaker 3: make that like really strong contrast. And then tied together
- 18:15Speaker 3: at the end of that ad was a little bit
- 18:17Speaker 3: more of a positive message. Build BC Strong. And of course,
- 18:20Speaker 3: the image is that big, beautiful maple leaf flag flying.
- 18:23Speaker 3: So that taps into the emotion associated with Canadian pride
- 18:29Speaker 3: and unity. I think I can understand why folks get
- 18:34Speaker 3: cynical about attack ads and messaging and campaigns because it
- 18:39Speaker 3: can be not nice, right? But it is important for
- 18:42Speaker 3: people to know the choice that's in front of them.
- 18:44Speaker 3: Voting is your chance to shape democracy. It's your chance
- 18:47Speaker 3: to say, this is what I believe in. This is
- 18:50Speaker 3: where I think we should go as a province. And
- 18:51Speaker 3: so the messaging used by all the parties, that contrast messaging,
- 18:55Speaker 3: is about telling the story of that choice because we
- 18:58Speaker 3: know the names on ballots aren't just names. They are
- 19:00Speaker 3: candidates with values and an idea of where they think
- 19:03Speaker 3: the province should go and how we should get there.
- 19:05Speaker 3: And so it is important for voters to know that
- 19:08Speaker 3: choice and know about those values so that they can
- 19:10Speaker 3: make an informed decision when they go to mark their
- 19:12Speaker 3: ballot based on their own values.
- 19:14Speaker 1: Do you think the tone of both of these, which
- 19:17Speaker 1: are very similar sort of tones, do you think they
- 19:19Speaker 1: change as the campaign progresses? Do we get the positive
- 19:25Speaker 1: ads that sometimes occur in a campaign where it's just
- 19:28Speaker 1: all for, you know, like one candidate and they get
- 19:30Speaker 1: their grandkid on their knee and they're they don't attack
- 19:33Speaker 1: the other side? Or have we missed that entirely in
- 19:34Speaker 1: this campaign and it's just attack ads getting harsher and
- 19:38Speaker 1: harsher all the way through to the end kind of thing?
- 19:42Speaker 3: I think the campaigns will use both because voters do
- 19:46Speaker 3: want to know what the plan is and they want
- 19:48Speaker 3: to know what your values are are. And so the
- 19:52Speaker 3: negative attack ads can be effective, but they aren't going
- 19:56Speaker 3: to be 100% effective if you don't have a plan
- 19:57Speaker 3: and that you can't show your plan to British Columbians
- 19:59Speaker 3: on how you're going to actually solve the problems that
- 20:02Speaker 3: people are facing in their day-to-day lives. I remember there
- 20:05Speaker 3: were some positive ones from the last campaign There was
- 20:08Speaker 3: one of David walking in a forest, and I think
- 20:11Speaker 3: he had his daughter. He was carrying her.
- 20:15Speaker 1: That was on the front of the platform, too. It's
- 20:18Speaker 1: like a piggyback.
- 20:20Speaker 3: Yes, a piggyback. That's what I was looking for. Yeah,
- 20:25Speaker 3: so I think we will see more ads. I think
- 20:29Speaker 3: that campaigns can sometimes refine or sharpen their message as
- 20:34Speaker 3: well based on how they feel. things are landing. And
- 20:38Speaker 3: there's still, you know, a few more weeks left in
- 20:41Speaker 3: this campaign. So we'll see where they go.
- 20:42Speaker 1: That brings up also something that happened on the weekend
- 20:46Speaker 1: worth just touching on here. I know we're running out
- 20:48Speaker 1: of time, but the final candidate slates were revealed for
- 20:52Speaker 1: the parties. The Conservatives with 93 candidates, the Greens with 73,
- 20:57Speaker 1: which is actually quite impressive and more than I thought.
- 21:00Speaker 1: They jumped very high very quickly at the end there.
- 21:04Speaker 1: 32 candidates from center BC, 32 from one BC, 92
- 21:08Speaker 1: candidates from the NDP, which is worth pausing and just
- 21:12Speaker 1: mentioning here because that is not a full slate from
- 21:15Speaker 1: the party that called the snap election, knew it was coming,
- 21:18Speaker 1: planned it. The one riding that's missed, Peace River North,
- 21:22Speaker 1: where the incumbent Jordan Keeley is currently facing a charge
- 21:25Speaker 1: of sexual assault. Now he does have a conservative candidate
- 21:30Speaker 1: against him in a riding that the NDP has it
- 21:33Speaker 1: was a long shot for them to win anyways, but, um,
- 21:36Speaker 1: there's only 75 signatures to get to get on a ballot, uh,
- 21:40Speaker 1: in BC. And the fact that I think it may
- 21:42Speaker 1: be the first time in history and full disclosure, I
- 21:45Speaker 1: did not go back all the way in the history books,
- 21:47Speaker 1: but I think it may be the first time in
- 21:48Speaker 1: history that the BC NDP has failed to field a
- 21:51Speaker 1: full slate of candidates in a provincial election, which is
- 21:55Speaker 1: kind of amazing because it's their election. They knew it
- 21:58Speaker 1: was coming. I don't know, Aileen. I know, um, The
- 22:02Speaker 1: leader was asked about that yesterday, and he said that
- 22:05Speaker 1: a version of, I'd rather have 92 great candidates than
- 22:09Speaker 1: 93 crazy people. And that is his response. But I
- 22:13Speaker 1: do think there's a little pause there that it's not
- 22:17Speaker 1: a full slate, I think.
- 22:19Speaker 3: Okay. Well, it's not ideal, is what I'll say. We
- 22:23Speaker 3: want to see major parties having candidates in every riding.
- 22:27Speaker 3: As you said, it's one riding and it's one that
- 22:29Speaker 3: leans strongly conservative. So it's not one that the NDP
- 22:32Speaker 3: would have expected to pick up. But I do think
- 22:35Speaker 3: it's important for voters with progressive values to have the option,
- 22:39Speaker 3: just like my own personal experience, I grew up in
- 22:41Speaker 3: a tiny place in Alberta that is super duper conservative. Federally,
- 22:46Speaker 3: I think it's the riding where Pierre Polyev is. But
- 22:49Speaker 3: my family always voted NDP, even though there were usually
- 22:53Speaker 3: only a handful of NDP votes in the village. And
- 22:56Speaker 3: I think that, you know, even if you know your
- 22:58Speaker 3: party doesn't likely have a shot to pick up the seat,
- 23:00Speaker 3: it is important, at least for some people, to be
- 23:02Speaker 3: able to exercise their democratic voice and be able to
- 23:05Speaker 3: mark their ballot for a party that they actually align with, right?
- 23:08Speaker 3: Like you don't want to be forced to vote conservative.
- 23:11Speaker 3: And so I think, you know, David and his team,
- 23:13Speaker 3: they tried their best. There was a paperwork issue, which
- 23:16Speaker 3: is unfortunate. Does it have an impact in the larger
- 23:19Speaker 3: sense of the outcome? No, I don't think so. Would
- 23:22Speaker 3: they prefer to have 93 candidates? I'm sure the answer
- 23:24Speaker 3: to that is yes. And we even heard David say
- 23:26Speaker 3: they had a great candidate ready to go if it
- 23:28Speaker 3: weren't for the paperwork issue. What I did find interesting
- 23:32Speaker 3: about this, how it rolled out, was that the NDP
- 23:35Speaker 3: got questions about it. And they were actually able to
- 23:39Speaker 3: sort of used the moment to go after a key
- 23:41Speaker 3: weakness on the conservative side, which is the regressive culture
- 23:44Speaker 3: war type views of some of the conservative candidates. So,
- 23:47Speaker 3: you know, they pointed out there are candidates who are
- 23:50Speaker 3: against a woman's right to choose. There are candidates who
- 23:52Speaker 3: are homophobic, candidates who are anti-vax. So this sort of
- 23:55Speaker 3: thing is deeply concerning to a lot of voters. And
- 23:59Speaker 3: the NDP used the moment to remind voters of these examples.
- 24:02Speaker 3: So it's sort of using a moment of weakness to
- 24:05Speaker 3: make a strong play.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Yeah, that's true. You know, the fact that they could
- 24:10Speaker 1: we're not going to win Peace River North is true.
- 24:12Speaker 1: But there are moments in time that people don't see
- 24:15Speaker 1: coming where you get a wave of support. You know,
- 24:18Speaker 1: Trudeau mania, Horgan mania in 2020 saw the ADP win
- 24:22Speaker 1: Fraser Valley ridings they had never won before. And if
- 24:25Speaker 1: you go into an election as a party thinking, well,
- 24:27Speaker 1: I'm not going to win riding X, so it's not
- 24:30Speaker 1: really important if I field a candidate, then the one
- 24:31Speaker 1: time you quest a wave, you don't have anyone there.
- 24:36Speaker 1: for people to rally behind. And I'm not saying that
- 24:38Speaker 1: was going to happen in Peace River North, but it,
- 24:40Speaker 1: you know, it's, it's one of those things that you
- 24:43Speaker 1: can't tell.
- 24:44Speaker 3: For sure. And, and again, like people who are in
- 24:47Speaker 3: the riding who want to vote NDP, um, you know,
- 24:50Speaker 3: now they don't have a candidate. So, uh, so there
- 24:52Speaker 3: definitely are some downsides here.
- 24:54Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 24:54Speaker 1: But still, uh, an impressive showing for the Greens, uh,
- 24:58Speaker 1: who did, I mean, continue to impress me in this campaign, uh,
- 25:02Speaker 1: Centre BC and 1BC at Sophie, Canada, and it's a
- 25:04Speaker 1: really just playing kind of spoiler, uh, split votes in
- 25:07Speaker 1: some key ridings right now uh and the conservatives and
- 25:11Speaker 1: the ndp with their almost full slates uh battling it
- 25:13Speaker 1: out everywhere else okay ran long but i appreciate it
- 25:17Speaker 1: aileen thanks for walking us through uh some interesting topics
- 25:20Speaker 1: this morning and thanks to uh to everyone for listening
- 25:25Speaker 1: we appreciate you tuning in each and every morning on
- 25:27Speaker 1: political capital day to make sure you subscribe we'll be
- 25:29Speaker 1: back tomorrow with all the latest in the bc election
- 25:32Speaker 1: campaign