Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | College Basketball Final Four & Crown & MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/4/26

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Saturday BEST BETS | College Basketball Final Four & Crown & MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/4/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all all in
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season. Man with
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: my browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day it
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: is anymore. But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five, the
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: doing this, I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. To the slump series, the slump discontinuous,
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point other
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it. All. These losses stay with me,
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: but they fester. Jerry, what's up, everybody? It's Toad back
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: with you, toadol toad stool sports. I can't even talk Saturday,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: April fourth, it's four to four and it is the
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: final four day. We'll talk about that. I'm not gonna
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: actually have a play in those two games, although I'm
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about the games obviously, and you kind of
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: know what I think about them. I am gonna have
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: a college of basketball play though, in the Crown, so
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about that as well, and be super
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: selective here again one play in baseball as well, skipping NBA.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: And I know there's a massive hockey board, but I
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: really don't like it. So what can you do? Man?
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: Trying to be real selective here, I just don't really
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: see anything that I like. U did not go well
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: yesterday and it makes me look like an idiot. We
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: were having a winning baseball season until the last like
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: two days or whatever, and now we're down in baseball.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: That game was, you know, it was very lopsided, but
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: it was really just, uh, San Francisco's pitching did not
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: hold up at all, and they're not really that bad
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: of a pitching team. That sucked. I don't know what
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: else to say about it. Let's move on to today.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: We'll start with baseball. We do have a bunch of
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: afternoon baseball here, most of it later afternoon though, and
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: then there was some night baseball as well. Baseball all
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: throughout the day and night man starting with Saint Louis
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: at Detroit. Here. There is also gonna be a double
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: header in the next year, as I'm gonna talk about Milwaukee,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, Saint Louis and Detroit. Detroit won the game
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: yesterday four to nothing. I do have all the stats
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: up here, but it's still kind of hard to gauge,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: like is this team good bullpen wise? Does this team
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: not good? Detroit overall is definitely the better team, at
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: least that's what's expected. Detroit used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis used four. I think we're gonna give Detroit
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a bullpen edge in this one,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: and the offensive edge as well. Dustin May is also
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: pitching for Saint Louis. You know, I am not a fan.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: One of the worst trades the Red Sox will ever
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: make involving Tibbs, who they got from the Dever's trade.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: Then they trade him away just to get this piece
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: of shit. Horrible, horrible trade. I don't know what. What
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: the fuck? Dude, fire Craig Breslo. You know, even though
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I liked his offseason moves for the most part this year,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: that was horrible. Tibbs is tearing it up in Triple
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: A right now. Dustin May is getting torn up and
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: his first start, yet again was not good. You have
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: six orned runs to Tampa Bay not good? What else
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: do you want him to say about it? Detroit has
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: never really seen him before, though, although it's hard to
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: read into these numbers because some of them are Jack Flaherty,
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: who he's going up against today, So his hitting numbers,
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: we could throw that out, but that's hilarious because then
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: it just leaves one hitter, Jami Jones, and he's never
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: recorded an out against him. He's two for two off May,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: even though Detroit hasn't really seen May before. I don't
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: expect much out of May here. Man Jack Flaherty, he
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: is the more known pitcher, let's say here. But and
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I'm not even a fan of Flaherty, but I think
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: he's still better than May. He had four walks in
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: his first out and compared to two strikeouts, which was
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: not good. Last five innings, got no run support in
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: a loss to the Padres. Small sample size though, actually
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: against Saint Louis, but they're only two for twelve, often
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: with six strikeouts and one home run from it Urius Ureus, horrible,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: horrible name. I actually trust Flaherty more in this one,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: so you know I'm gonna have a slight lean towards
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: that direction towards Detroit in this one. Money is completely
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with me. I don't get it at all. It's
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: at minus one fifty five on Detroit. Maybe it has
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: to do with the price, but again I think there
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: they got the advantage in every phase of the game
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: in my opinion, eighty three percent of the ticket seventy
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on Detroit. Do with that?
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Would you want to man I'm staying away completely from this.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: If you wanted to go over, I would not really
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: disagree with you on that either. The total is seven
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: and a half, which I worry because when the oddsmakers
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: said it that low, they're really telling you something. But
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: I just don't understand it, because again, I do not
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: like these starting pitchers at all. So do with that
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: information what you want to. You know, I do have
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: the bullpen whips up and stuff like that, but I
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: don't know how much we could read into this yet,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So I'm still trying to
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: not do that, but I used it for my research.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: Mister Pinsey, what's up. Good to see you again, except
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: for the fact that you root for all the wrong teams.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee at Kansas City we have a doubleheader, so I'll
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: just talk about both games back to back here. Yesterday
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: I broke down this matchup yesterday. It's the same thing basically,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: I'll do it again, but it's the same thing that
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I said yesterday. So yesterday got rained out or whatever
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: we're talking about. You know, Kansas City, we still don't
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: know how less pitcher friendly this park is right now
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: with the walls being moved in a little bit. Both
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: bullpens are a little bit more rested now because they
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: didn't play yesterday. Milwaukee has been really good so far.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: They've been the best offense in baseball so far. Think
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: think just anyway, even if that wasn't the case, that
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: you have to agree they're the better offense here. Normally
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: I would say Kansas City has the better bullpend but
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: that has not been the case this season, so Milwaukee
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: has actually been better all around. Really. Chad Patrick is
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: pitching for them in this first game. Decent start in
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: his opener was against a bad White Sox team, and
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: he did not last five innings, but I think they
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: kind of just kept him on a pitch count though,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: which is why they took him out. But he was fine.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: He gave him one on and run, four strikeouts, one walk.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: He's a decent young pitcher. The Royals have seen a
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: little bit of him. They're three for eleven off of
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: them lifetime, which is not a huge sample size, only
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, one walk, but three doubles in there, so
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: they do have an eight seventy nine ohps off of him,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: which is a little bit higher than you'd really like
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: to see. Luinder Avila pitching for Kansas City again, taking
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: the place of Michael Waka, who is I guess they
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: put Walka on the DL or whatever, but I thought
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: it was just an illness for him, so I thought
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: they're just gonna skip him in the rotation. I don't
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: know Avilla. We don't know what we're gonna get out
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: of him. Man, He's He's only pitched one season in
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: the majors. Last year he only made thirteen appearances, all
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: of them out of the bullpen. For the most part,
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: he was good, though he gave up very few hits.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: He gave up one hit every two innings. That was
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: his rate last year. He walked too many guys, but
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: he also had more strikeouts than innings pitched. Overall, his
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: numbers were good. I don't know how many innings he's
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: gonna pitch in this game. I think they are trying
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: to make him a starter. Though Milwaukee has pretty much
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: never seen him before, they have won it bad against
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: him from Ren Hefo, who has a strikeout against him.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: Avilla could be a pretty talented young pitcher. Man, It's
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: hard to say so. I actually like the under in
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: this game. The money coming in on the over I
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: do not really see it. Again, now you have maybe
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: you know, you have rested bullpens and again is it again?
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: Is it the the Kaufman Stadium walls being moved in
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: phenomenon here? I don't know, uh, but I still am
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: not going to consider this park to be like a
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: massively hit or friendly park unless we see otherwise. Totals
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: at eight and a half right now, you might be
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: able to get under nine actually in the full game.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: And again because you have rested bullpens. Now, I don't
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: really dislike either of these starters here. That's the way
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: that I look. Although I know Milwaukee has been really
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: hitting the ball well, Kansas City not so much though,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the tickets on the under, sixty one
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over. Again, I don't
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: really see that Milwaukee is up to minus one ten.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: I have heard some professional opinions, at least when they
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: talked about yesterday, this same matchup, when it was supposed
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: to be yesterday they did they were pretty much all
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: leaning towards the Brewers. Ninety percent of tickets, ninety six
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Brewers. I don't really
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: prefer trying to pick a side here. Though again, if
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: you want to make the argument the Brewers of the
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: better offense, it's the better bullpen, and then the starting
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup is somewhat close. I'm not gonna disagree with that,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: But yesterday I think some of those guys I listened
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: to thought Wako was still pitching, although he's not that bad,
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: but I actually Avila might be more preferable, just because
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: he's so unfamiliar to the opposing hitters that might give
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: him an advantage. So I lean under in that game.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: That's probably the way that I would go first. Five
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Under also kind of makes some sense in that one
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: if you want to just not deal with the bullpens.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: But again, when they're rested, I think it's fine, Kyle,
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: what's up. Thanks for hanging out, and we're not dealing
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: with like an absolute train wreck of a bullpen in
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: that game. Like the Diamondbacks. The second Milwaukee Kansas City
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: game will be at night, but I'm gonna talk about
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: it now. Doubleheader. We don't know what the bullpen situation
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: is gonna be. So it's kind of hard to handicap
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: these second games with the double header because you don't
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: know how used the bullpens. They're gonna be after the
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: first game. Brandon sprote Is pitching for Milwaukee. They got
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: him over the offseason, I believe from the Mets. He
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: did not have a good start in his opener. He
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: got wrecked by a not so good White Sox lineup.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: Give up four walks and six hits, seven are in
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: runs in three innings. That's not gonna cut it. But
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I guess the good news is I do still think
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: he's a pretty talented young pitcher and he can't possibly
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: be worse than that coming into this game. He made
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: four starts from the Mets last year. He did have
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: some issues with walks, but he wasn't that bad, so
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: you know, I think he does have room for improvement.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: The Royals have never faced him before, so that should
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of an edge towards him where
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: the offense has never faced him. Seth Lugo pitching for
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, the guy that you know, the advanced analytics
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: guys always hate this guy, and I am less of
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: a hater of Lugo. Again, he had a good start
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: in his opener. He shut out Atlanta for six and
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: a third, no walks, three strikeouts, he had his command.
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think is that bad, dude. His numbers against
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: the Brewers are actually good. In fifty nine bats, seventeen
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: to four strike got walk ratio. Yellick has a couple
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: of home runs off him, but other than that, not
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: a whole lot going on here. One to eighty six
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: batting average, a lot five ninety four ohps allowed. So
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: that second game there, my opinion is also towards the
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: under in that game, But that one is a little
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: bit trickier because you don't know what the bullpen situation
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: is gonna be. But you could make the argument right now,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: first five inning under in this game might make sense.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Kansas City already dropped from minus one twenty to minus
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: one oh six on the money line, so some early
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: movement towards Milwaukee, which might be a good sign that
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: maybe Sproked won't be as horrific as he was in
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: his opener. That's he's really the question mark in this
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: game though, really man like, although again I know the
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: advanced analytics guys are gonna tell you Lugo sucks and
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: he's going up against a good offense, but he has
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: good numbers against them. Man So first five inning under
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: makes some sense to me in that game, not knowing
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: what the bullpens are going to look like going into
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: that one. These are all stay aways for me, though.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: The one game that I'm that I'm gonna give out
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: in baseball has like a situation that is pretty much
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: not gonna come up very often. Dirty sock, what's up?
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out? All right? We got Toronto and
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: the White Sox here. The White Sox won the game
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: yesterday five to four. Interestingly, so Blue Jays obviously the
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: better team, definitely the better offense, probably the better bullpen too.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: The Blue Jays, you know, might bounce back from that loss.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Problem is the starting pitching matchup here is very difficult
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: to figure out. We don't know how long either of
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: these pitchers is gonna last in this one because they're
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: not full fledged starters at this point. Blue Jays are
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: going with Mason Fluardi, who has been pitching out of
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: the bullpen so far this year, and he last pitched
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: three days ago out of the bullpen, so I don't
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: really see him giving you like a full starters workload here.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: He did make it, actually, No, I thought that he
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: had made a couple of starts in his career, but
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: he didn't. He was coming out of the bullpen all
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: last year. His numbers were decent for the most part,
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: except he walked too many guys last year, so he
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: had okay strikeout rated stuff like that, and the White
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: Sox are only over one off in lifetime, so not
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to see there with one walk. They're
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: pretty unfamiliar with him. But again, I don't know how
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: many innings you're gonna get out of him. He might
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: be more of like an opener here, and he's going
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: up against Grant Taylor, who is super young still, and
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: I think the White Sox might be trying to convert
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: him into a starter, although I'm not sure he made
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: two starts last year, he's made one this year as well.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: It looks like but it looks like whatever it was,
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: it was an opener because he hasn't pitched more than
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: one inning yet in any of these outings, and he
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: actually pitched yesterday, so you know, that's a sign that
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: he's probably not gonna pitch full workload here. He's probably
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: gonna come in and pitching inning and then the White
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: Sox are gonna go to their bullpen, so that's not good.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: Even if you think Taylor might be an alright pitcher,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: I don't like that set up. Toronto's only one for
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: ten Offen with four strikeouts, so when he's in there,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: he might be fine, but I don't think he's gonna
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: be in there for very long. And that's kind of
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: the problem with that game. Toronto's all the way down
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: from minus one seventy to minus one thirty five though,
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: so the money is very heavily fading Toronto in this
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: one ninety five percent of the ticket sixty eight percent
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. Do with that information what
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: you want, but a strong market read towards the White
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: Sox here. I'm having some real troubles, you know, handicapping baseball. Man,
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: It's like, I don't know, I don't even know what
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: I'm doing anymore. Baseball used to be one of my
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: best sports, and now I feel like I don't have
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: any vision for it anymore. I I fucking hate this shit.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: And then the under is getting the money too, and
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: I don't even agree with that. I would probably go
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: over in this game. Seventy seven percent of tickets on
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: the over, ninety percent of the cash on the under,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: But if you're looking at two like sort of bullpenish
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: games here, especially with the White Socks not being a
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: good bullpen, do you really think that's gonna work out
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: that well? I don't really think so, you know, I
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: could see some arguments for Toronto over their team total
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: as well. Here look at what these teams did for
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: the the bullpens yesterday. Toronto used a lot of their
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: bullpen as well. These five relief pitchers yesterday. And you know,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of the White Sox bullpen, and
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: they used four. It was an extra inning game, so
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: and over in that game does make sense to me,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: probably more so than trying to figure out what the
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: hell is gonna go on with that side. I would
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: lean over Hindi and what's up? What what are we
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: talking about with Tadpoles. I don't know what's going on?
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh. I was right about Pittsburgh yesterday.
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: They did get the win, close game. I liked, you know,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: Mitch Keller overall, whatever Baltimore was doing yesterday with Bradish,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: I think bullpen wise, Baltimore used three relievers yesterday, Pittsburgh
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: used four. Is that what that is I can't even
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: see anymore. Man. I don't think Baltimore is really the
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: better bullpen here, though Baltimore probably is the better offense
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: out of the tool. Though I know Pittsburgh improved their
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: offense this year, it's still hard to gauge based off
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: of small sample size that we have so far this season,
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: So kind of still waiting to try to gauge that.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Shane boss is pitching for Baltimore. I think he's an
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: alright pitcher. He definitely has good strikeout stuff. He gave
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: it four and runs on seven hits against Minnesota in
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: his first outing, which is not great in five and
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: a third, but he did have four strikeouts no walks,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: so his command numbers were pretty good, which they usually
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: are a lot of times he just gets hit too hard.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh only has sixteen at bats against some seven strikeouts,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: no walks, no extra base hits, two fifty batting average,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: five hundred OPS, so Boz has been okay against Pittsburgh
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: in the past. He's going up against m Lodzinski for
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh here, who's kind of a converted reliever. Lodzinski went
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: four and a third in his first outing against the
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: mats who are a good offense. He had eight strikeouts
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: and no walks, so that is pretty impressive high strikeout
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: rate in that one threw too many pitches though, didn't
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: walk anybody, and gave up twour in runs, so overall
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: it was a decent start. And Baltimore has eleven at
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: bats against him, only one hit, three strikeouts, one walk
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: oh ninety one average to do the math there, and
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: two fifty eight ops. So both starters actually do have
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: good numbers, if you want to say that in a
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: small sample size against these opposing bats. Baltimore's a public side,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of tickets on them. The actual money is
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: coming in on Pittsburgh fifty to fifty on the cash
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: and Pittsburgh flipped to a minus one oh seven favorite,
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: so the money is indicating on the Pittsburgh side. Here.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with this game, man,
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: I don't. The money also isn't really indicating on the under,
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: and I was kind of thinking under, you know, maybe
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings, because these pitchers seem to
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: match up at least pretty well and have good strikeout stuff.
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of tickets and sixty five percent of
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under total sitting at eight and
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: a half and hasn't really moved, but at first five
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: under would probably be at about four. But I don't
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: want to do anything with it. Man, the strongest market
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: read is pirates, but that that game is just a
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: complete stay away. You guys are all tadpoles, all right.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know. I kind of want
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: to think of a better name than that. I don't know.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: You're not my children. What Dodgers at Washington? I mean,
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: this is definitely one of the bigger mismatches of the day,
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: at least as far as how good each team is.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: You know me, I'm not. I don't think that the
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Nationals are any good at all. Dodgers absolutely blew them
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: up last night, thirteen to six. We know the Dodgers
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: are the better team. The Dodgers' bullpen actually hasn't been
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: that bad this year so far either, and it's probably
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: still better than whatever the hell Washington's is. Dodgers use
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: four relief pitchers yesterday, though Washington used three. But I
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: still don't like Washington's bullpen. You know, the Dodgers have
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: the way better offense. We're not gonna even think about that,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: and the Dodgers have the better starter here, Glas Nos pitching.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: He was good in his first start against a pretty
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: good Diamondbacks lineup, which is better than Washington's six strikeouts,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: one walk, went six innings in that game, tour and
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: runs allowed, solid outing from him against Washington only eight
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: at bats, so surprisingly they've basically they haven't faced him
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: much out of three seventy five average and one thousand
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: and six ninety four ops to them, though they actually
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: have two home runs off him in eight at bats
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: and three extra base hits off him, one strike out,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: one walk, so he's actually struggled. But it's it's such
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: a limited sample size. I don't think you just say, oh,
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be really bad in this game. I mean,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: I kind of tend to doubt that. Jake Irvin is
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: pitching for Washington. He had a good start in his
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: first start. It gets a pretty good Cub lineup on
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: the road. He went five innings, two hour, runs allowed,
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: both solo home runs, did hold him the three hits,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: one walk, seven strikeouts, so Irvin actually was pretty good.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: I don't really trust Irvin generally, but I mean sometimes
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: he bitches. Okay. His numbers against the Dodgers are pretty
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: bad though, ninety two at bats, so we do have
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: a huge sample size here. Twenty three strikeouts, seven walks,
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: three h four average allowed eight ninety seven ops. That's
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: not good. So I mean, to me, it's Dodgers are
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: passing this game for me, man. But you can't really
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: lame minus too eighty. I mean, if you wanted to
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: go run line, I guess you could try that with
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers. Eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety eight percent
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, pretty high total at nine
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: and a half. I would maybe go Dodgers over their
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: team total just to light up Washington's pitching staff here.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: That would probably be my preferred approach there. I mean,
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: it's really hard to find a way to play a
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: game when one team is just a massive favorite. I mean,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: if you go run line, you will at least get
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers to bat the full nine innings. But the
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: same could be said for them going over their team total.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: So that's that game. Houston at the A's. The A
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: has won the game yesterday eleven to four. Uh. This
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: is in that horrible Triple A stadium. The A's playing
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: which is very hit or friendly, so guys that aren't
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: familiar with the stadium might not do as well. As
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: far as the bullpends, you know, I'm not a fan
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: of the A's bullpen. They only us two relief pitchers yesterday,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: though Houston also used to. Houston's bullpend hasn't really been
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: that good either. Houston's offense has been good. The A's
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: offense has really struggled so far this year, although I
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: think the A's offense is better than what we've seen
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: so far. Emi is pitching for Houston. You know. I
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: tried to jump on him in his first game, and
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Houston won the game. We got the win on that,
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: but it was pretty dicey. He did not pitch well.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: He only went two and two thirds, threw way too
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: many pitches, did have four strikeouts, but four walks, four
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: and runs, allowed three hits against a not great Anaheim team,
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: so that's not good. I don't really want to try
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: to trust him in this pitching environment here, so I'm
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: not gonna jump on him, even though the A's have
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna jump on him because that's gay. Uh.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: The A's have never faced it before, so he does
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: have bad advantage I guess where the A's will not
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: have faced it before, but the same could have been
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: said for the Angels in that first game, and they
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: did not really have any issues with him. Morale is
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: pitching for the A's year. He had a pretty decent
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: season last year. Really young guy, pretty good numbers last year.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: He had a WHIP that was below one point two
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: in his first season in the majors. He made nine
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: starts last year, e RA in the threes. That's pretty
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: good stuff. Not a huge strikeout guy, but he pitched
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: well last year. Man he did not have a good
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: owning In his first outing this year, Toronto bombed him
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: for three home runs and four and a third five
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: inn runs, allowed five strikeouts, two walks. But he's never
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: been faced before by the Astros, believe it or not,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: even though he's in their division. They never faced him
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: last year. So I probably prefer Morales here just because
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: he is also unknown, but he's more of a proven
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: pitcher at this point and he's used to pitching in
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: this stadium, and he was worse at home last year,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: but he still had an ERA in the threes at
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: home last year, so I think that's fine. I mean,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: you're expected to not be as good when you pitch
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: in a very hit or friendly park like that. But
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: overall he did fine. Houston dropped for minus one twenty
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: two to minus one ten money looks like it is
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: kind of on Houston, even though they're also public seventy
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: eight seventy percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: cash on Houston. I don't love it. I don't love
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: Oakland's or sorry Oakland. The A's bullpen total is high,
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: of course, at ten, you know, I mean, obviously this
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: is a hitter friendly ballpark, man. So but I think
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: the way that I'd probably look at this game is
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: probably the A's in the first five innings might be
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: the way to look at it and just go at
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: that starting pitching matchup there. But then again, it's possible
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: that Emi does way better, you know, like maybe he
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: was nervous in his first outing. Whatever. He's got decent stuff,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: so maybe he does better, especially against a lineup that's
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: never been seen before. So you know, there are some
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: arguments to be made, maybe for an under in the
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: first five innings in that game too, uh, but that
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: seems a little bit risky. To me as well. San
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: Diego at the Red Sox. The Red Sox actually won
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: the game yesterday. Hey there you go, Red Sox. Three
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: bullpen pitchers made appearances yesterday. San Diego does have the
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: better bullpen in my opinion. They only us two relief pitchers,
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: so I'm gonna give San Diego a bullpen edge. San
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: Diego has been the worst offensive baseball so far this year,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: which probably is not gonna continue, but I think you
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: probably have to give the Red Sox a slight offensive
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: edge at the very least. Here. It's interesting because San
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Diego has former Red Sox commentator Don Orcillo, so he's
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: back in town with the Padres doing their TV broadcast
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Love the Orsillo Remy combo, man, you can
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: go look up their videos. They were like the most
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: hilarious baseball commentary duo that I've ever seen. Maybe I'm
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: biased as a Red Sox fan, but it was. They
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: were just unbelievable. Dude, Like they just stop calling the
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: game at some points and just be making absurd jokes, like,
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: oh my god, some of it got so funny. The
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: game where the guy threw a slice of pizza at
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: another guy in the stands. That was awesome. Machado got booed. Yeah,
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: that's true. Yeah, nobody likes Machado around here, man. And
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: I think Bogart's probably got a standing ovation, right, we
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: still like Bogarts over here, one of the Red Sox
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: killer bees. The Red Sox never should have gotten rid
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: of them. He's still there, right, he's still on San Diego.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: I think I don't know. Yeah, I mean that must
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: have been fun. And the Chinese Communist mayor of Boston
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: in the Lesbian Communist governor of Massachusetts both got booed
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: pretty heavily at the beginning of the game. Fuck them.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Everybody fucking hates those bitches. Nice hell yeah, But we
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: have to move on to today's game. The Red Sox
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: need to keep winning, man, And this should be a
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: winnable game here for them because they're going up against
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: Randy Vazquez, who you know. I'm not a fan of Vazquez.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: I think he puts way too many guys on base.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: His first start was actually quite good. He shut out
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: Detroit for six innings, and they're a pretty good offense.
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: That was in good old pitcher friendly San Diego, though,
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: and Fenway Park has not pitcher friendly, eight strikeouts, three walks. Again,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: he had too many walks, but was pretty unhittable. Two
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: hits allowed, uh, eight strikeouts. You know, that's all pretty
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: good against the Red Sox. He actually has good numbers,
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: not a huge sample size, twenty nine at bats, only
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, one walk, which is pretty low, two forty
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: one batting average, allowed five to seventy seven ops. So
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: the Red Socks actually have not done that well against Vazquez.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: But I've never been a fan of him, Dude. I
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: think he walks too many guys, like, way too many guys,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: and I don't think he's very good. Connolly or Early
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: is pitching for the Red Sox. They might have something
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: with him. Man. His first start was pretty good, and
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: that was in hitter friendly Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: He went five and a third, did throw too many pitches,
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: almost got up to one hundred. But the fact that
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: they're unleashing him and letting him go like a full
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: amount of pitches, I think it is good. It's gonna
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: give him more confidence. He only gave up one and
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: run in that outing. Five hits, two walks, six strikeouts.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: It was a pretty good outing. All things considered, and
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: I think the Red Sox still lost that game somehow.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: No fault of earlies, And of course San Diego has
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: never faced it before because he came up late last season.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: So in his career, he's only made five starts in
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: his career, and his numbers have been pretty good over
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: that span. Thirty five to six strikeout walk ratio so
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: far in his career in twenty four and two thirds.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: That's good stuff. Man, two point one ninety RA one
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: point one four whip. I'm liking it. So I do
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: like early here, and the money seems like it's respecting
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: him as well. Here where is it money actually only
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: slightly towards the Red Sox. Here they're at minus one
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: forty two sixty percent of ticket sixty two percent of
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Red Sox. I do lean to
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox in this game. I don't want to
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: be biased about it, but you know, I mean, you
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: just heard my breakdown there, so that would be my
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: opinion there. But it's not really that strong, you know,
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to go first five and then take
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: the San Diego bullpen out of the equation, because they
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: do have a good bullpen I wouldn't really disagree with
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: that either with Red Sox in the first five. But
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox are not as bad as they're their
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: start to the season makes them look. But you could
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: say the same thing about San Diego. Both these teams
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: I think are better than the records look. But San
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: Diego really is off to a bad start on the
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: offensive side of things. So but then again, you see
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: who's in their lineup, right, Like, their lineup is not
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: one of these like absolutely like atrocious lineups. You know,
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: they're actually like fairly decent. So all right, we have
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: Miami at the New York Yankees. You know, the Yankees
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: won yesterday easily, eight to two. Yankees, they don't have
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: the best pitchers going in this series, and it doesn't
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: even matter. Miami's not good, dude, I mean, Miami, they
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: looked good at the start of the season basically because
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: of who they face. They faced the Rockies in the
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: White Sox. Yeah, the Yankees are not the Rockies in
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: the White Sox. Okay, Miami, I'm not buying it. Even
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: though they're up near the top right now of the
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: bullpen numbers, the hitting numbers, I'm not really buying it.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: Miami used three relief pitchers yesterday, but they didn't use
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: any the prior two days. Yankees were off on Thursday
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: as well. I believe they used four relief pitchers yesterday,
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: but they did not use them for a lot of pitches,
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: so some of those guys might be available again. I
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: do like I kind of like both starters in this game. Actually,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: Max Meyers pitching for the Marlins. His overall numbers don't
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: look good after one start, but if you look at
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: the pitching line, it wasn't bad. Granted it was against
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: the Rockies and you should probably go out there and
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: dominate that lineup, but he wasn't horrible. He gave up
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: three on runs in five innings, five strikeouts, two walks,
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: five hits. I still think Meyer is a pretty talented
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: young ish pitcher here. I know he's He hasn't really
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: taken off like I thought he might, though, so maybe
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: that's a bit of an issue. His career numbers really
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: don't look that good. Yankees have fourteen of bats against him,
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: three strikeouts, no walks, only a two fourteen average off him,
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: though five seventy one ohps. Only four of their hitters
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: have faced before, so Meyer might have a little bit
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: of an edge there pitching against this Yankee lineup. Ryan
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Weathers is pitching for the Yankees against his former team,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: the Marlins, so he might get pumped up to face
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: the team that let him go. Man to you know,
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: a lot of times a team a pitcher. The first
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: time he's facing the team that let him go, the
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: pitcher will be a little bit extra motivated because they
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: want to prove something, you know what I mean, Like,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: you guys got rid of me, Well, now I'm gonna
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: show you why you shouldn't have. Basically, Weathers was decent
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: his first downing. We had to win on the show.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: In that game on the under he pitched in Seattle,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: which is a pitcher friendly park, though Yankee Stadium is
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: not pitcher friendly, but they kind of limited his pitches
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: in the game. He only went four and a third,
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: He only gave one earned run, and very impressively, he
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: had seven strikeouts, so that was quite good and two walks.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: And I believe Weather's father actually played for the Yankees
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: back in the day, if I'm not mistaken. Weathers really
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: hasn't been seen before by Miami, which makes sense because
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: he was on Miami for like his whole career up
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: to this point, they only have six at bats off
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: in one hit. Slater has a single off him, three strikeouts,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: one walk, one sixty seven average four fifty two oh ps.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: Very small sample size though, but I'm actually gonna lean
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: first five innings under in that game. I kind of
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: like both already pitchers, and the money is actually agreeing
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: with me on the under. In general, sixty seven percent
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the over. Hey, the market agreeing with
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: me on something. What you never see that in baseball
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: ninety one percent of the cash on the under. There
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: the total drop to a quite low seven and a half.
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: It might still be kind of, you know, around eight
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: at some spots in the first five innings, you're probably
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: looking at three and a half though, so you know
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: you're on the razor's edge a little bit if you
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: do that. But I do. I like both starters, and
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: they're starters that nobody knows who they are, you know
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: what I mean. So I like that when starters are
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: better than what people think and they don't have this
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: like name recognition. You know, I don't want to put
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: this on my card or anything, but that would probably
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: be my opinion in that game. I mean, I wouldn't
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: totally disagree on the first on the full game under
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: either there you got to deal with the bullpens. But
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: both bullpens have actually pitched pretty well so far. But
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: again I showed you the bullpen usage is not really
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: in the greatest of shape there, and I expect my
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Amy's bullpen to regress. I don't really know about the
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: Yankees because their bullpen was bad last year, but they
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: got rid of some of the worst guys they had.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: I don't think the Yankees bullpen is gonna be nearly
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: as bad this year. So all right, next game is
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: gonna be my play. We're gonna be on a first
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: five inning play here. We're gonna be on the Cincinnati
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: Red's first five innings at plus one fifteen on the
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: money line. If you want to go plus a half
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: run on the run line, you can do that as well,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: but you gotta pay probably minus won twenty five for it.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: So I was just like, eh, let's just play the
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: underdog price here. And the way this works is if
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: the game is tied after five innings, you get your
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: money back. I'm pretty sure every book does that if
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: they don't, then you should basically stop using that book.
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: I haven't seen one that does, though, but that would
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: really be Yeah, the book would really be screwing you
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: if they did that. But yeah, the way this money
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: line should work is if it's tied, it should be
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: a push. So that's how it works. Cincinnati. No, First
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: of all, the reason I'm going first five years because
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: I don't like the bullpen for Cincinnati. I think Texas
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: has the better bullpen, so we're gonna take that out
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: of the equation here. Cincinnati's four relief pitchers yesterday as well,
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Texas us three, so I don't want to deal with that.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: I think Texas does have a bullpen edge here. I
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: think Cincinnati probably does have the better hitting here. Even
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: though Texas has hit better than Cincinnati to start the season,
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: I'm still not really buying Texas offense. But really what
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at is the starting pitching here. Rhett Louder
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: is pitching for the Reds, and aside from the fact
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: that you know he he looks like one of these
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: you know, tobacco chewing badass pitchers from like the nineties
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: and whatever, maybe early no, maybe even go back further,
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: go to like the seventies man go to like Dennis
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: eckers Lee. That's what he fucking looks like. Because he's
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: a more handsome man. He's not as ugly as like
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: Rod Back, you know, like guys like that. But yeah,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: the long hair of the mustache, let's go baby. Even
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: his name Rhett, Rhett Louder like dude. He's from North
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: Carolina and this dude sounds like he's just spinning tobacco
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: into a spittoon or something. But I like it, dude.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: He bitched ok against the Red Sox in his first
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: outing in a very hitter friendly ballpark in Cincinnati, against
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: a decent Red Sox lineup five innings to hour and
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: runs allowed. Did not over extend himself eighty six pitches,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: five strike outs, two walks. Pretty impressive performance from him
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: there three hits aloud. He's only made seven starts in
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: his major league career and he has a one point
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: five to one ERA. Now that can't possibly stay that low.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: But his whip isn't really that bad either, at one
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: point two three. He doesn't strike out a lot of
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: guys and he does have too many walks, so that
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: is a concern. The strike out walk rate overall is
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: not good, but I think he's a decent pitcher. I
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: think that maybe he's gonna improve a bit over what
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: we saw last year because that was his first season
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: in the majors. He's only twenty four. And the other
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: good thing we have is Texas. Texas has never faced
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: them before, So I think that's an extra edge for
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: Louder here again, because when you have these young pitchers
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: where the offenses haven't seen them before, they could do
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: a bit better. But the even better thing is he's
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: made a start already this year and his counterpart in
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: this game has not made a start yet this year,
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: So you know, I like that. It's like a similar
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: handicap to what we do in these college basketball tournaments
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: and stuff like that. The team that has a game
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: under the belt has an advantage because they've shed the
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: nerves and they're already ready to go, you know what
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: I mean. So I think Louder has that going for him.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: But the fact that he's made a start already and
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: he's in his groove, you know, pitchers are creatures of
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: habit too, so it's good to have that one start
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: already out of the way, and now you're off to
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: the races. Whereas Kumar Rocker pitching for the Rangers, that
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: is not the case with him. He has not pitched
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: yet this year, and he has not panned out so
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: far man in his career seventeen starts. He has a
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: five point four to five ERA, one point four to
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: seven WHIP. His strikeout rate isn't even as high as
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: people thought it would be. And you know, his walk
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: rate is not horrible, but not good. But he gets
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: knocked around. Dude, He's allowed way too many hits. He's
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: gotten rocked, like things have just not worked out for
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: this guy. And he hasn't pitched yet this year, like
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: I said, But it also gets worse for him because
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: the Reds have faced him before only thirteen at bats,
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: but they have a five thirty eight bat batting average
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: off him. In one thousand and six forty eight ohps
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: against him, they have seven hits off him, two home runs,
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, one walk. So I know it's a very
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: small sample size, but they absolutely lit him up when
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: they faced him, which I'm assuming was last year at
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: some point. Yeah, in fact, it was in March. It
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: was his first start of the season, which I guess
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: you could make the r you know, you could kind
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: of throw the first start out because of the jitters.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: But this is his first start of this season and
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: he's pitching against the other Reds again, and that outing
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: he was pretty bad, which amounted to all those stats
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: I just gave you. Now, that was at Great Americans,
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: so that was, you know, a hitter friendly park, whereas
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: Texas is actually pretty pitcher friendly. But I still don't
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: trust Rocker here. I like how this sets up. We're
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: gonna exclude the bullpens. Texas is down to minus one
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: thirty seven on the full game. We see eighty eight
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on them. Ninety nine percent of
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: the cash on Texas is not accurate. So we'll see
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: what the market looks like when this game goes off.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: The market agreed with me on my under last night.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: By the way, if you looked at the final market
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: numbers on that, the market read that over was public
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: in that game that I went with last night, man,
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: and there was less money on it. So the market
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: agreed with me, and it just didn't pan out. I
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: don't know if the market's going to agree with me
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: here or not, but we are gonna go Red's first
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: five innings in that game. Hopefully we can get that
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: win there, man, all right, Tampa Bay and Minnesota. Minnesota
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: won ten to four yesterday. I liked Tampa Bay in
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: the game. You know you watched my show. That was
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: probably one of my stronger opinions. And all the professional
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: guys that I listened to liked Tampa in that game too.
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: Joe Boyle did not hold up his end, and I
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: don't trust Boyle, so that's kind of the reason why
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: I did not want to do anything with that game.
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: I think Tampa is overall the better team, though Tampa
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: has had the better offense to start the season. Minnesota
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: they're just not good anywhere. Really. I think they have
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: the worst bullpen here. I think they have the worst offense. Now.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: As far as the starting pitching, Stephen Motts is pitching
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: for Tampa Bay. He's back to being a starter. He
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: was actually a starter earlier in his career. Actually, from
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: a large part of his career he was actually a
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: starter up until the last few seasons he transitioned to
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: being a reliever. Tampa Bay has n't been the starting
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: rotation though, and he did have a full starter's workload
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: pretty much. Last time out against his former team Saint Louis,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: he went five innings. He was only okay. He gave
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: up four and runs, two strikeouts, one walk. Nothing to
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: write home about there. His numbers are pretty good against
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: Minnesota though. In thirty seven at bats, they only have
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: one extra base hit against him, seven strikeouts, one walk,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: one thirty five average allowed, and three twenty oh ps.
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: So he's been pretty good against Minnesota. We don't know
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: how many innings he's gonna give you. He might give
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: you around five innings again here, and then Tampa will
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: have to go to the bullpen. Whereas the bullpen usage,
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: Let's see, Tampa Bay did use three relievers and they
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: used nobody the day before that, so their bullpen is
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: in decent shape right now. Minnesota is not so much.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's used a lot of relievers over the last two days. Man,
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: They've used all but one of their relievers across the
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: last two days, So Tampa Bay definitely has a bullpen
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: edge here. Minnesota is going with Mick Abel, who I
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: believe they picked up at the trade deadline last year
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: from the Phillies, and he didn't really pan out for
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: the Phillies. He made one start this year so far
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: in Minnesota, and it wasn't good. He put so many
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: men on base in this game. It's actually insane that
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: he only allowed five and runs in three and a
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: third innings at Baltimore. He gave up eight hits in
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: four walks in that outing, so he probably should have
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: allowed like eight runs. I mean, yeah, he actually got
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: lucky that he only allowed five four walks, Yeah, four strikeouts.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: Not a good outing from him. Man, don't know if
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: he's gonna pan out to be anything good. The Rays
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: have never faced him before, so he does have that
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: advantage of being unfamiliar. But he hasn't been good, dude.
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: Last season was a disaster for him, although he's still
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: only made eight appearance, eight starts and eleven appearances in
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: his entire major league career. So and actually his outing
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: wasn't even a start. Actually he actually he actually made
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: a relief appearance in that game against Baltimore because I
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: was gonna say, I don't remember handicapping him in that game. Yeah,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I would lean to Tampa Bay
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: in this game. I just don't see it. And they're
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: the better team and they lost badly yesterday, so they're
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: kind of in bounced back mode here. The money seems
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: like it agrees on the Minnesota flip to a minus
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: one oh nine favorite, but eighty four percent of tickets
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on Tampa, and you
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: might get them as a little bit of an underdog,
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: even though I think they kind of have an advantage
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: throughout most of this game. That's the way I would
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: lean Tampa Bay yet again in that one. But there
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: is the potential that Tampa's offense struggles in that game
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: against a pitcher they haven't faced before. Man, So I
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: worry about that a little bit, all right, Milwaukee Kansas City.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: I already talked about both double header games there, so
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: you can go back and see that if you missed it.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: Cubs at Cleveland. Cleveland won yesterday, I think, yeah, four
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: to one. Cleveland now beating the Dodgers and then beating
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. Who would have thought, man, Now, Cleveland does
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: have a pretty decent bullpen. I think you might be
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: able to make the argument They're bullpen is better than Chicago's.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: You cannot make the argument their offense is any good,
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: though Cubs obviously have the better offense here. Cubs are
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: the better team. They're in bounced back mode and they
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: clearly I think I have the better starter here with
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: show to Emonaga pitching for the Cubs. I mean, he's
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: a proven pitcher at this point. He's used to pitching
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: in the majors. He didn't have a good outing in
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: his first outing against Washington, but we know what he is, man,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: we know he's a good pitcher, so I'm gonna give
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: him a pass for that. It wasn't even that bad
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: of a start. Four and runs in five innings isn't great,
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: but seven strikeouts, two walks, first start of the season, whatever.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Sometimes pitchers are a little bit shaky. I expect him
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: to do a lot better here. Cleveland has mediocre numbers
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: off him in twenty seven at bats two fifty nine average,
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: seven to sixty seven ops is a little bit high
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: because they do have two of them runs off him,
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: three strikeouts, one walk. I'm still gonna tilt the scales
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: toward Emanaga, though against Slade Chacone, even though I think
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Chacone is okay, but his career stats, I mean they're
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: really they're not that bad. Like his Erra looks really
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: bad over his career, but his whip kind of tells
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: you that he's not quite as bad as that, even
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: though his whip is still a little bit high in
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: the one two is. But he also did not pitch
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: well in a pitcher friendly stadium at Seattle. He took
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss there, gave up six or runs
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: and four and a third. Seattle does have a good offense,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: but still in a pitcher friendly park, you should not
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: pitch that poorly. Uh first start of the season though,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: so maybe we expect him to not be as bad
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: as that. Five strikeouts, three walks in the game not
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: great either. Now he might do okay here because the
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: Cubs only have two hitters have ever faced him before
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: and they're zero for seven lifetime off him with no
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: strikeouts though and one walk, So it's hard to gauge,
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: like maybe CHACONI will actually pitch decently in this game.
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: I prefer you Minaga. I would lean to the Cubs
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: in this game. They're at minus one thirty two seventy tickets,
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on the Cubs. I
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: think again, it's a bounce back spot for the better team,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: and you get the better starter on the mound there.
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: So I think Cubs is the right approach in that game,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: probably one of my somewhat stronger opinions, really, and the
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: money seems like it agrees with it as well, So
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: maybe it should be on my card. Man, maybe I
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: should have messed around. You know, my reds play is
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: gonna lose and then the Cubs are gonna win. You
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: know that's gonna happen. Atlanta at Arizona. Atlanta has won
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: the first two games of this series already. Uh. Last
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: night shockingly low scoring at two to nine. Thing that
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: is not what I would have expected at all. Uh.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: This Arizona bullpen is pitiful and again, as I mentioned,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: they don't even have a left hand or in their
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: entire bullpen. I don't know what they're even doing, dudeh
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: They they're pretty rested. At least they only use three
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers. Yes, and he did not use them heavily.
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: Atlanta used three relief pitchers as well, not very heavily either.
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: Bullpends are in okay shape here, but we know Atlanta
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: has the better goalpen. Arizona probably does have the better offense,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: but looking at the starting pitching, I actually think you
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: have to give the pitching edge of the starting pitching
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: to Atlanta With Bryce Elder. I don't want to admit it,
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: but I think that's the case. Elder went six shutout
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: innings in his opener against the A's. Elder started pitching
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: better at the end of the year last year, and
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: he was the guy who was making fun of dude
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: because he'd been so bad for like over the course
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: of more than an entire season. Then he started pitching
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: well at the end of the season. I don't know
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: what he changed. Started this season well with six shutout
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: innings against the A's. Five strikeouts, one walk, five hits allowed.
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: Numbers not bad against the Diamondbacks either. In forty four
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: at bats, eight strikeouts, one walk, two fifty average six
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: ZH eight ops. So I think Elder actually sets up
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: to pitch well here, even though it is a hitter
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: friendly ballpark. I trust him over Michael Saraka in this
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: outing in this game, although Soroco is actually really good.
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: In his opener too against Detroit, he went five innings
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: nowhere and runs allowed, ten strikeouts and one walk, so
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: he was lighting it up against Detroit four hits allowed.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: But you look at his overall numbers, man, I don't
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: trust him as much. Although his entire career his numbers
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: were okay, but I don't know, he had some years
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: that weren't really that good. He actually was on Atlanta
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: earlier in his career and they wound up getting rid
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: of him because he started really struggling. So overall he's
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: not that bad. But really the issue is that he
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: kind of walks too many guys is most of the
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: issue with him, and he usually does not strike out
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: as many guys as what we saw in that previous outing.
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: He also does not do well against the Braves, and
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: twenty three at bats three forty eight average allowed oneenty
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: fifty two oh ps four to two strikeout walk ratio.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: I got to lean to the Braves in this one, man,
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: I don't want to, but I have to do it.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: The money seems like it agrees Arizona's minus won twelve here,
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: even though Arizona, you know, you could make the argument, well,
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: Atlanta might just start taking Arizona too lightly because they've
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: beaten them twice already by a combined nineteen to two score.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: So I don't love playing on teams that are dominating
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: a series. To that degree, but I think Atlanta does
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: have the edge pitching wise throughout this whole game. Fifty
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, fifty two percent of the cash on Atlanta.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: I agree with Atlanta, but do with that what you want.
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia at Colorado, Colorado has still not decided on a starter.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: They have until later today to decide on one because
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: the game's not till tonight. So hard to handicap this game.
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: I doubt that I would be given out a play
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: on it anyway. Though Colorado lost ten to one last
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: night or yesterday or whatever to Philly, we know Philly
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: is the better team. They got the better offense, they
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: got the better bullpend likely they have the better starter
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: on the mound. I don't even know if it matters
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: who Colorado is gonna put on the mound here. I
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: don't really even like Kzus Lozardo that much, but he's
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: probably better than whatever Colorado's trotting out there. Lozardo gave
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: up six ironed runs and his opener against Texas, which
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: is pretty bad, but if you look at his numbers,
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: he only gave up six hits in one walk, so
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: he got super unlucky. He gave up two of them
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: runs it seemed like they came at the worst possible
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: time seven to one strike out walk ratio, so he
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: was not anywhere near as bad as the amount of
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: runs make it look. There. Against Colorado, he does have
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: good numbers and twenty three at bats, ten strikeouts, three walks,
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: one seventy four average allowed six seventeen ops, so he
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: could probably trust Lazardo here. I don't know what he
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: looks like in Colorado, though. Let me say, has he
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: actually pitched in cords? He did, He actually pitched well.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: He pitched once in Corps last year in May, and
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: he went six innings. He had one arned run, ten strikeouts,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: three walks, so a lot of those numbers that just
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: showed you were from that start. So he's pitched in
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: Corps before and he's actually been good. So I think
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: you could probably trust him in that game. You know,
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to go run line on Philly or something,
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: I guess you could take a shot with that. I
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: would not try to play Colorado in that one, though.
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: Totals at ten and a half, of course, because it's
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: in course field. Philly is a minus two thirty favorite,
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: which is pretty heavy. Man you're not really getting any
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: value on Philly if you want to try to play
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: Philly though, So you know, I mean you could look
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: Colorado under their team total, man, because it's a course
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: field game, their team total will probably be somewhat on
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: the higher side if you want to go with Luzardo
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: to hold them down. But then you got to deal
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: with Philly's bullpen. Philly's bullpen is not great, so you
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: do have to worry about that. Colorado wily use one
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: relief pitcher yesterday, so their bullpen is rested. At least
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: Philly only is three, so they didn't really have heavy
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: usage yesterday either though. So that's some information for you
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: on that game. Will what's up man, Yeah, that's right.
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: I didn't talk about that. Well, I haven't talked about
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: the I mean, you guys know that I don't think
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Yukon's gonna beat Illinois today. But yeah, it's hilarious that
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: the Yukon women are the reason. They're already the reason,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: right because they were the first team that lost, so
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: they're already the reason why. Jed, if people don't know
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: Jordan's furniture New England Furniture Chamber, I got some of
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: my Furniture there known for their ads with Barry and
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Elliott or the Barry stepped down a long time ago.
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: I think they're brothers, right, So Elliott is kind of
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: the soul Jordan's Furniture spokesperson now with his white ponytail. Dude,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: he looks like he doesn't age anymore. He's looked the
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: same age for like thirty years now. Anyway, Jordan's Furniture
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: does all these promotions related to sports, so like they
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: had the they had this one back in the day,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: the series Sweet promotion after the Red Sox swept the
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: World Series the first time they won it against the Cardinals.
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: The next time they were in the World Series, it
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: was if the Red Sox sweep the World's you'll get
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: like free shit or whatever. And I think it happened
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: again right against the Rockies. I think the Red Sox
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: did sweep that one, if I'm not mistaken. So Jordan's
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Furniture got kind of killed on that one. But yeah,
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: this year, their promotion was if both Yukon women and
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: men make the final make the championship, you get free furniture.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: Some kind of you signed up for this promotion and now, yeah,
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: people are not going to win that. I'm shocked that
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: the women lost though. Dude, the women, like I showed you,
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: they were like at the start of the tournament, they
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: were like minus two seventy five to win the entire tournament.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: I think there were probably about eight point favorites in
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: the game last night, and they could not score at
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: all in that game against South Carolina. South Carolina doesn't
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: even match up that well against Yukon because South Carolina
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: doesn't take threes, so they're a team that if they
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: fall behind, they can't catch up. But they never had
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: to because they were winning the game. So they got
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: into this low scoring like slugfest basically, and yeah, Yukon
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: couldn't hit anything in the game. It was crazy. I actually,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: you know, I had it on for a little while.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: I'm like, what the fuck is going on here? And
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: then the coach has gotten into a fight at the
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: end of the game, which you know is a man
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: versus a woman. But dude, I'm gonna side with the
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: man in that fight with Gino Rim. Of course, I'm
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: gonna side with the Italian man over the over the
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: black woman. Okay, I'm sorry, but you know I'm not
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: a fan of Don Staley, South Carolina's coach. You know,
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: she's just this DEI promoting Moron basically, So yeah, not
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: not gonna side with her over an Italian man, all right,
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna side with Gino on that, even though
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: I'm not really that much of a fan of him either.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm not really happy about it. And then
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: my bracket completely went down because, as you guys know,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: I had Texas beating UCLA in my bracket and like
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: the public was taking Ucla to an insane degree. And
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: by the way, Ucla their only lost on the entire
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: season was a blowout loss to Texas. Texas actually matches
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: up pretty well against them, but Ucla changed what they
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: did and they turned it around and they won the
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: game last night in a closer game. So I'm not
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: happy about that. I think UCLA is gonna win the
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: championship now, well, actually maybe not. South Carolina has got
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: the experience and won it. Probably South Carolina might have
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: won it last year, right, I think they might be
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: going for two or three in a row here. Yeah,
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: that was ridiculous, don't I don't know how that all happened, though,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: but yes, obviously I expected Yukon to win the whole thing,
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: and now I'm gonna be I'm done in my bracket pools.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: My bracket was looking pretty good. In the women's I
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: got all four final four right, the four to one seeds,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: and then I lost both championship teams. What the fuck, dude? Yeah,
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: I thought my bracket was set up nicely to beat
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: what the public was trying to do. Even though a
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: lot of people picked Yukon, not even enough people picked
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: them as with as heavy as a favorite as they were. Anyway,
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: Mets and Giants here. Mets won ten to three last night. Obviously,
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: I'm not happy about that at all. As far as
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: the bullpens are concerned, I think the Giants probably do
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: have the better of the two bullpens. Both bullpens are
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: not that bad, though, and I thought last night set
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: up really nicely for an under the money agreed with me,
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: and it didn't happen. The Mets bullpen they use four
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: relievers out of their bullpen yesterday to try to hold
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: off San Francisco. San Francisco also used four, so the
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: bullpens are not in good shape here. Needless to say,
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna recommend an under in this one, but
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: probably it'll happen now in another night game at a
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly park. Here in a cool ish environment, Mets
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: have the better offense here. I think we can't really
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: call that into question. Clay Holmes is pitching for the Mets.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not really a fan of him. Wasn't that good
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: in his opener, even though only he allowed to horn runs.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: But it was against Saint Louis. They suck five and
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: two thirds, Okay, I guess, but he had three walks,
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: which is kind of concerning five strikeouts. I don't think
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: Holmes is a great pitcher man. His numbers against the
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: Giants are not good. In forty nine at bats, seven
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: to seven strikeout walk ratio is pretty bad. Three sixty
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: seven batting average allowed oney eighteen ops not good stats
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: for Holmes against San Francisco. I'm gonna tilt the scales
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: in the starting pitching matchup towards Landon Roup for the
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: Giants here. He's a pretty talented young pitcher man. He's
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: got nasty, nasty movement on this curve ball that he throws.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: He had a good outing against San Diego in his
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: first outing a pitcher friendly park. But so is San Francisco's.
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: And we know San Diego's offense has been pw T
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: red to start the season. But he shut them out
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: for six innings at seven strikeouts, two walks, two hits allowed.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: That's pretty impressive, dude, And I got I think I
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: got that game right. I think I did lean to
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: San Francisco In that game. The Mets have basically not
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: even seen route before. They're one for two off Enim
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: Tailor has a double off him Tyrone Taylor, uh two
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: RBI double, but other than that, they haven't done anything
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: off and really bad. He does have a walk off him,
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: but still Raup is so unfamiliar to the Mets, I
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: think you got to give him the edge here. I
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: think he has a higher ceiling than Holmes as well,
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: So I yeah, I like I like the Giants in
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: this one. I'd probably still go full game on it
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: because I think their bullpen is better than the Mets too.
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: If you wanted to go first five innings, I'm not
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: gonna tell you not to do that either. Giants flipped
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: to minus one of five here, fifty nine percent of tickets,
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: only fifty four percent of the cash on the Mets
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I do like the Giants in that one.
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: That one actually probably one of my stronger opinions too,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: Like that market read just gives me more like confidence
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: in it, you know what I mean? So why the
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: fuck am I on the Reds. We're gonna lose our
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: play on the Reds man, I'm getting less and less
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: confident in it as we go. But yes, I do
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: like what was the other one? I like Atlanta too,
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: and then yeah and a San Francisco, and then I
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: like the Cubs, Yeah for sure, all right, and then
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: we have Seattle and Anaheim. This is a game, dude, Like, well,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about it in a second. Seattle won
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: last night three to one. I mean, that's not shocking.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Seattle is clearly the better team here. I think Seattle
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: has the better offense. I think Seattle has the better bullpen.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Seattle's bullpen is decently rested. They just have not really
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: used their bullpen a whole lot, really over the course
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: of the whole season so far, and they have a
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: pretty stacked bullpend talent wise. The use three relief pitchers
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: last night, Anaheim used four. Obviously, you got to give
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: Seattle the bullpen edge. Anyway though, I would do that
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: unless they had like a massive, massive, like rest disparity
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: going against them. Here. Seattle's got the better offense, and
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: I think they have the better pitcher on the mound
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: too with Emerson Hancock. He's a young guy. He hasn't
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: really panned out yet for them. I don't really like
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: his career stats, dude. He doesn't strike out a lot
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: of guys typically, but he doesn't put a lot of
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: guys on base really, so you know, that's the one
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: thing he has going for even though his career whip
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: is actually still bad. But well, actually, yea, his walks
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: are too high. What am I saying? His walk number
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: is too high? But whatever, that was not the case
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: in his first start against Cleveland. Now, Cleveland's not a
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: good offense, but neither is Anaheim. He no hit Cleveland
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: for six innings, man, and they took him out from
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: a no hit or what what are you doing? Man?
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: He had nine strikeouts, one walk, no hits allowed. Really
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: impressive off from Handcock in that one man against Anaheim.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: Those numbers are not as impressive in twenty four at
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: bats two ninety two batting average allowed, seven thirty seven
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: ops so not great there, five strikeouts, one walk. And
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: the thing that worries me about Hancock, besides the fact
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: that his career numbers just haven't been very good, is
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: sometimes when a pitcher comes off a huge performance like that,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they won't pitch well in their
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: next game. So I do worry about kind of the
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: letdown there. But this, there's no way that you could
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: do anything with Anaheim here. With Jack Kohanawitz pitching, I mean,
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: this guy might be the worst pitcher in any starting
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: rotation in baseball. Like, I don't understand how this guy
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: still is there, Like try to convert up to a
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: reliever or something and see what he can do there. Like, dude,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on. He should probably be
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: out of baseball. We faded him. That was that game
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: where we went with Emi, who also didn't pitch well,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: but Kohanowitz was bad enough, though we still got the
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: win with Houston there. Kohanowitz had five walks, four hits
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: allowed to give it five and runs in four innings,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: three strikeouts against Houston. Bad. I mean, everything you look
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: at with this guy's bad. His career ra is almost
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: six in three seasons, although only one really full season
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: last year, but that was even worse. That season, actually,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, his numbers were actually decent, except that
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: he never strikes anybody out. So I don't know, man,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: he just had a such a turd of a season
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: last year, and he's doing awful this year too. His
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: career whip is over one and a half. I mean yeah,
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: I mean Anaheim they're gonna have to like probably let
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: him go soon. Man. His numbers against Seattle are abysmo
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: and twenty eight at bats six to two, strike a
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: walk rashes are right, but five p thirty six batting
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: average allowed one thy four to twenty four oh ps.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: I understand it's in a small sample size, but that
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: is so bad. And yeah, cal Raley has two of
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: them runs off him, three for five, two walks, you know,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: if you're looking for player props him, and then Julio
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: Rodriguez five for seven off him. I think Kohanowitz is
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: gonna get, you know, jacked up in this game. Uh.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: And I don't mean like he's gonna be pumped up.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: I mean Seattle's gonna wreck him. Now. The money is
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: coming in towards Anaheim, which is insane. To me, I
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: guess maybe the feeling of Seattle shouldn't be this heavy
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: of a favorite with Hancock on the mound on the road.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: Minus one fifty seven is Seattle money line here eighty
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, only seventy two percent of the
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: cash on Seattle money coming in towards the under two.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: But you know, if you wanted to take the mystery
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: of handcock out, I think going Seattle over their team
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: total might work out. I mean, the total is high
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: at nine and a half. And if you want to
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: go with Anaheim's pitching to just get lit up here,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: I don't really hate that idea because I don't really
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: see an argument for Anaheim doing well pitching wise here.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: So those would be my thoughts there. All right, we're
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: gonna go to hockey in a second here, Yeah, we're
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: in an hour in We're gonna take a break here hockey.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: We have fifteen games that we have to discuss here,
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: which and I don't even have a play. I hate
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: the board for hockey here. I'm gonna zoom out a
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: little bit more so you can see the whole thing.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: There you go, there's the whole hockey board. I'm gonna
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: be back in one second. All right, all right, we
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: got hockey here, afternoon hockey as well in some of
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: the games. All right, whoop, hold on, I got the
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: NHL standings up because you got to try to gauge
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: motivation in hockey, and you know, you have a bunch
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: of teams that are fighting for playoffs and stuff like that. Here.
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: Detroit is one of those teams. Detroit trying to make
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: the playoffs here, so they have maybe some extra motivation.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: But the problem with that is maybe they're over valued
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: in the market because they are going to be a
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: favorite here at the Rangers. We know the Rangers are
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: not good at home, although they've been better at home recently.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: Last game they did lose at home though, a tough
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: game to Montreal. So they are coming off of that game.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: So you know, Detroit should win, like they should have
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: more motivation here, but maybe the Rangers want to play spoiler.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's still a big game for the Rangers
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: playing Detroit here, little original six match up here, I
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: think as well. Detroit coming off beating Philadelphia. That was
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: a big win though against Philadelphia because they're in the
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: playoff hunt as well. Right now, you could make the art.
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: Detroit might overlook the Rangers because they got Minnesota up
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: next to Rangers have had a bad season. Columbus is
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: after that, and Columbus is also fighting for a playoff spot,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: So you could definitely make the argument Detroit is just
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: favored by too much here. Although the money is coming
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: in towards Detroit fifty eight percent of the cash on them,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: they're up to minus one forty two for minus one
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: thirty fifty three percent of tickets on the Rangers. Margerita
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: is saying Detroit, but again, I think the pressure is
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: on them and it's probably too much of a price
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: to lay. I don't know. I kind of lean towards
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: the Rangers in that game because they could just kind
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: of play loose and try to play spoiler there. The
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: teams that have motivation like Detroit does here, I'm gonna
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: look towards them if they're like an underdog or like
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: a straight up like pick the winner situation. You know,
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Minnesota at Ottawa. Ottawa's fighting to try to make the playoffs.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Minnesota basically is not in danger of losing like a
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: playoff spot here. Minnesota just killed Vancouver, which is you know,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: you're not gonna be really impressed by that. But how
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: much focused are they gonna put into a game against Ottawa,
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, they have a TV game
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: against Detroit tomorrow, which they might consider to be a
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: bigger game. Ottawa definitely needs the game because Auto is
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: fighting for a playoff spot here. Outawa's coming of a
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: huge win over Buffalo though, so that was a big win,
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: and they have a huge couple of games on deck
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: against Caroline on Tampa Bay, so they have a pretty
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: difficult stretch of games here. Man Ottawa, they can't really
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: afford to lose at this point though. Looking at the
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: standings here real quick, you'd see what's going on here.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: Ottawa is in the last wildcard spot right now, but
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: they're tied with Detroit, Columbus and Philadelphia and Washington is
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: not far behind them, So this is crazy. The Bruins
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: are sitting okay right now, but the rest of these
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: teams are, like, you know, it's it is a total
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: cluster in the East basically for one playoff spot. So
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Ottawa they're gonna be motivated. At least the money is
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: coming in on Ottawa fifty eight percent of ticket seventy
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on Ottawa. They're at minus
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: one eighteen. I'll probably agree with it in this one.
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, Outawa just can't afford to lose these games.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: You're basically just ask them to win in that case,
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: and the public is gonna be less tempted to be
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: on Autawa here because Minnesota just has the better record
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: and whatever, so the public might kind of shy away.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: Unlike with Detroit, where you think the public might just
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: be on Detroit a little bit more because they know
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: they're the better team. Autawa is a little bit under
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: the radar there, although people probably do know they're fighting
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: for a playoff spot. Colorado Dallas, these teams are both
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: going to make the playoffs, and they're both pretty much
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: settled into their playoff spots at this point. But this
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: is a big TV game, you know, a possible conference
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: final preview or something, so well, actually, I don't think
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: that can happen, right because these teams are in the
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: same division, so they're gonna be in the same side
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: of the bracket when it comes to the playoffs. So
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: that sucks. The top two teams both can't even make
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: the conference final. Kind of like what's going on with
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: the final four here. Colorado, I mean they are I
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: believe the best seam in hockey. They did just lose
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: to Dallas at home two to one and to shootout
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: on the eighteenth, so they might have a little bit
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: of motivation here just to get Dallas back a little bit,
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: maybe make some adjustments to that. Colorado has also been
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: Austin's Wednesday, and they lost horribly to Vancouver. Gave up
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: eight goals. I mean they lost eight to six. Colorado
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: actually tied the game after they were losing, I think
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: probably six to two. When that game they came all
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: the way back and tied it and then lost. It
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: was a bad effort from Colorado there. I think Colorado,
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: you know, just kind of coasting for the rest of
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: the season here until they get to the playoffs. But
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: this is one game, but I think they will get
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: up for because it's a little bit of a quick
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: revenge spot. They're coming off an embarrassing loss. I like
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: Colorado here. Dallas did just beat us the other day,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: unfortunately in what I thought was a bad spot. In
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: a return home spot. With a look ahead to Colorado
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: against a Winnipeg team fighting to stay alive, I've I
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened in that game. Winnipeg couldn't even
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: score Dallas. Coming off of that, Dallas won't overlook Colorado,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: but I think Colorado is the side to look at here.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: The money seems to agree. It didn't agree with me
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: earlier this morning, but now it does, so they can
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: go to the market. Is coming to me, baby, My
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: mind is being read by the books, by the bookmakers.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: Dallas fifty tickets on them, fifty percent of the cash
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: on Colorado. Colorado's at minus one fifteen. Yeah, I agree
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: with Colorado in that one. My Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: The last time they played in Tampa was that outdoor game,
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: not the Winter Classic, but it was some other game.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the hell it was. And the
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: Bruins had an insurmountable lead in that game and they
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: lost the game somehow. So I think, yeah, this game
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: here in February first, I think the Bruins are gonna
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: remember that thing and play better here. The Bruins just
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: lost to Florida. It ended a four game win streak
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: for the Bruins. The Bruins, you know, they're unlikely to
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: lose their wildcard spot here. But they got to make
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: sure they win some of these games, man. And they're
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: not gonna overlook Tampa, especially after the last time they
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: had to play Tampa. But the Bruins have a very
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule here to close the season. This is pretty bad. Actually,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: they got to get some wins here, man. A bunch
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: of these games are on the road too, So yeah,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: the Bruins do have to show up. I get some
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: of these wins. I did not like them in that
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: game against Florida. They did take the loss. It was
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: kind of a sandwich spot. The Bruins are now coming
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: off that of the playing Florida is still kind of
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: big because they have that rivalry that they have there.
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: But again, I think the Bruins are going to show
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: up in this one. I actually do like the Bruins
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: in this game. Tampa Bay doesn't need the game as much.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay pretty much settled into at least a playoff spot.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: They're coming off of a blowout win over Pittsburgh six
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: to three. They got Buffalo on deck, which might be
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: a bigger game for them at this point. So I
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: like the Bruins here. Hopefully they can get the win.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: I mean they're gonna be a big underdog Tampa Bay
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: minus one eighty here seventy percent of tickets on Tampa,
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the cash on Boston. So the
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: money does agree with me with the Bruins there. You
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: can make like a split bet puck line money line
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: split there to you know, mitigate the risk. Basically make
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: your own plus one puck line wouldn't disagree with you
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: on that one. Florida at Pittsburgh, Florida. Effectively, they're eliminated,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: even though mathematically they're not. They're not making the playoffs
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: this year. Man, they are coming off that win over
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: the Bruins, they're starting a road trip. I don't think
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: they're really going to overlook Pittsburgh though, because they get
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: a chance to, you know, not really play spoiler, but
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: you know, beat a team that's probably gonna be in
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. Pittsburgh, though, they just lose pretty badly at
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. Now they're back at home after one game
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: on the road. I don't really see Pittsburgh not showing
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: up for this game either. Pittsburgh, you know, they're not
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: exactly totally safe here is there only four points above
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: the bottom wildcard spot. Here, so there is that Pittsburgh
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: is a big favorite at minus two away, but the
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: money is kind of indicating on Florida. Pittsburgh eighty six
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only eighty one percent of the cash
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: on them. I don't necessarily disagree with the Florida side here,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: and I think you could argue that Pittsburgh is just
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: too heavily favored here and you'll get like a pretty
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: good price on a Florida puck line there, probably, but
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong opinion on the game
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: at all. NHL Network Montreal at New Jersey. New Jersey
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: is technically still alive. Montreal is pretty much safe, I
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: would say, as far as getting a playoff spot of
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: some kind, because they're in the better division there, which
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: unfortunately also I believe happens to be the Bruins division.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: New Jersey is eight spot eight points excusually out of
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: a wildcard spot right now, so they're on the verge
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: of pretty much being done. I don't know, they probably
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: don't expect to make the playoffs. Montreal, the Bruins could
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: a leap fraud of them, but unfortunately, the Canadians have
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: won seven games in a row now, They're going in
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: New Jersey from New York, so not really a huge
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: travel spot, but it is to finish a road trip
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: where they've won every game on the road trip, so
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: there is the possibility they're getting a little bit tired
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: here at this point. They played what is this, This is
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: gonna be their fifth game in eight days or something
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: like that, so that's not exactly great. Or is it
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: nine days? I don't know. I'm not doing the math
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: acrossing it to the new month. New Jersey just beat
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: Washington seven to three. That was a satisfying win. I
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: would say a blowout win, but they are staying at
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: home trying to stave off elimination here. They're not going
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: to overlook Montreal overall. I probably due lean in New
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: Jersey here. The money is coming in on Montreal, though,
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: but they are public as well, eighty two percent of tickets,
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the cash on them. They're up
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: to minus one twenty three. I don't really think Montreal
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: needs the game really, So you know, New Jersey has
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: the chance to maybe get another win against a team
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: that is probably to be in the playoffs. So I'm
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: gonna lean to New Jersey slightly in that one is
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: the home dog. Again, I don't have strong opinions on
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: like any of these. Buffalo at Washington. Buffalo pretty safe
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: in a playoff spot. We know Washington is fighting here
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: to try to make the playoffs, as they are three
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: points out right now, so they're not eliminated by any means.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: Buffalo just lost to Autawa, so maybe they will try
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: to bounce back from that, but they got Tampa Bay
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: on deck, which they might consider be a bigger game.
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is technically still playing to try to get like
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: whole mice throughout the playoffs, but I don't think that's
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: a heavy enough motivator. Washington coming up that horrible loss
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: to New Jersey losing seven to three, so I think
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: they're in bounced back mode here. Man, this is a
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: Washington only is one more home game left after this too.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: I like Washington here, even though Buffalo is coming off
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss. Washington's gonna be the more motivated team,
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: and you're getting him as an underdog. The money looks
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: like it's kind of coming in a buff flow, but
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: again a very public side. Eighty seven percent of the tickets,
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on them. I lean
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: towards Washington as a dog, like you pretty much know
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get effort out of them, and they're a
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: home dog. So you know, that's one of those situations
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: where I would have a stronger opinion a little bit.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: That's still it's not that strong for me still though,
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: And I'm just saying in general, you know, a spot
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: like that I would consider to be a little bit
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: stronger with one of those, you know, one of those
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: teams that you know is trying to make the playoffs.
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: You want to get those teams as like very small
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: favorites or underdogs. Islanders at Carolina. The Islanders are on
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: a back to back. They played yesterday, so I think
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: they might be the only team playing on a back
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: to back today. Maybe there's one more. Uh, they've lost
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: three in a row. Washington kind of or excuse the
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: Islanders kind of collapsing here. But they're still in the
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: third spot in the playoffs in the Metro because because
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: they're you know, their division is just not as good.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: They could fall out. They're only one point above the
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: bottom wildcard spot here and they're behind the Bruins and points,
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: so you know, the Islanders are not safe. They gotta
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: win and they're probably gonna show up at least here,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: but they have to travel down to Carolina with no
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: time off for this one game, but that they did
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: have a couple of days off before the Philadelphia game.
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: Carolina just swept a home and home against Columbus. Carolina
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: doesn't really need the game as much, although they are
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: trying to get the whole ice throughout the playoffs, but
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: I think they're less motivated here than the Rangers would be.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: Carolina is rested though, and staying at home. So sorry
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: the Islanders, not the Rangers. I lead to the Islanders here,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: but I still don't really want to do it. You'll
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: get a huge underdog price on them, though Carolina's minus
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: two forty eighty seven percent of tickets ninety eight percent
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Carolina, looks like some of the
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: money's actually on the Carolina side. I'd look towards the
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: puck line with the Islanders, though. You'll get like a
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: pretty good price on them as an underdog there, just
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: to try to keep that game close a spot where
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: I think they'll be more motivated. Winnipeg at Columbus. Winnipeg
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: is still trying to stay alive here, but so is
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: Columbus at this point, So in opposite conferences, both these
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: teams are trying to stay alive. Winnipeg just got shut
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: out by Dallas. I see Winnipeg probably showing up here,
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: but Columbus will as well because Columbus fell into the
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: wild Dude, they fell out. Columbus was in the third
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: spot in the Metro and they've phoned completely out of
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: the playoffs right now, though obviously they're only they're tied,
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: like you know, with Ottawa, who holds the tie breakers
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: right now for the last wildcard. Columbus has been on
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: a bad stretch, losing five games in a row. They
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: got blown up by Carolina twice. Carolina very difficult team
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: to beat to me. I think Columbus does bounce back
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: from that as well. Tough game to predict because both
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: teams are probably gonna show up. Winnipeg is only three
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: points out of the last wildcard spot in the West
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: over there, so they're gonna show up as well. A
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: tough game, man, tough game to predict. Both teams will
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: be motivated. Columbus at minus one forty three here eighty
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the cash
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: on Columbus. You know, Columbus is looking like a public
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: side and they dropped from a minus one fifty five here.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I kind of lean towards Winnipeg slightly
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: in that one, but kind of just because obviously like
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: they're goaltending a lot better. If Hellobuck is in that
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he will be. I mean, he
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: probably will because he is a grinder, but I don't know.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: He's played five games in a row though. But they
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: did have yesterday off, so I don't know. We'll see
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: what the goalie situation is in that one. I don't
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: want to do anything with that game anyway, though, Utah
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: at Vancouver. Utah has now fallen into a wildcard, so
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be motivated to show up here. You know,
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna make the playoffs. They're in a similar
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: position to the Bruins, where they do have a decent
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: lead over the next closest wildcard, but Utah is also
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: tied with Vegas right now. I think wait, no, no,
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: Utah is in the central right. Actually no, I don't know.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: Is Utah in the Pacific? I don't even know where
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: the hell is Utah? What division of the end? Yeah,
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: they are in the central. Yeah, so Utah is going
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: to have to be a wildcard and think so, maybe
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: they didn't fall into it, maybe they already were a wildcard.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: Utah has won six to two twice in a row
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: against the Kings and Seattle, and now they're playing Vancouver,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: who they might overlook because Vancouver is just bad. But
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: the thing is Utah they're still trying to hang onto
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: a wildcard spot. But then again, they do have a
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: five point lead over the next wildcard right now, so
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: maybe they do look ahead to Edmonton here man and
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: Nashville up after that and Carolina. Those are all bigger
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: games Nashville in the wildcard hunt there as well, So
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: it is possible they overlook Vancouver here. Vancouver's bad. Vancouver
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: did just have a huge win over Colorado on the
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: first and then they couldn't hold it up on the
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: back to back. Man, they got kind of blown out
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: by Minnesota in the next game. But the problem with
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: Vancouver is they're turning over from a road trip, and
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't like that teams are turning over
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: from road trips. They've been away for a week now,
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: they're coming home. A lot of times, they'll overlook their
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: opponent and get distracted and whatever. Vancouver does have kind
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: of a bigger game on deck against Vegas, so Vancouver
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: might not give you a full effort here either. I mean,
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: they're dead team, so they're only going to show up
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: for some specific games. And I don't know if facing
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: Utah is good enough, but I would not lay this
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: price with Utah either. At minus two fifteen, that price
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: is very high. Ninety of the tickets, ninety nine percent
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Utah. Yeah, I mean, oh god,
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: it's a real, real ugly game, man. I mean, I
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: don't really see much of a way of playing this,
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: to be honest. You want to if you wanted to
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: go like Utah over their team total, maybe that's the approach,
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: because they'll probably be at least motivated to score here
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: in Vancouver on the return home. Spot might let it
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: up a bit. And it's a high total at six
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: and a half juice to the over, so maybe Utah
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: over their team total. You're probably gonna be asking them
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: to score about four goals in the game, though, or
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: maybe even more. Toronto at the Kings Toronto, our dead
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: team lost their best player for the rest of the season.
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: You know, they just lost to San Jose, but they
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: are staying in California at least. I don't know why
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: the schedule ends up like this. When you play Anaheim,
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: then you have to go to San Jose, and then
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: you go back down and play LA. I don't know.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: LA is fighting for the last playoff spot, so Toronto
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: can kind of play spoiler here, but I don't know
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: if they care that much about spoiler against an LA team.
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: They probably just don't care about LA is coming up
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: a big game against Nashville where they lost at home. LA,
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: not a good home team, lost in overtime, and that
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: was a wild card type of battle here, because all
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: these teams are tied right now, Dude, San Jose, Nashville,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: LA are all tied, with San Jose holding the tie
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: breakers for the last wildcard right now, and Saint Louis
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: and Winnipeg not too far behind. Seattle's still kind of
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: in the mix there too, and LA has Nashville again next,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: so they're in a they're in a predator, say on,
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: which which doesn't sound very good at all there. I
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: would lean to Toronto here, man. I mean, Toronto doesn't
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: have anything to play for, but it's kind of a
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: bad spot for LA and the pressures on them, and
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: they're a pretty heavy favorite at minus one eighty two
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: down for minus one ninety five eighty one percent of
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on LA.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: So the money is kind of into getting towards LA,
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: But I like Toronto there. It would be like a
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: split bet puck line money line there. H Vegas at Edmonton. Vegas,
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: you know, might have a little bit more motivation than
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: Edmonton does. Based on the standings. Vegas is at the
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: bottom of of the three spots in the Pacific right now,
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: and they're actually tied with Utah as well for a
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: top wildcards bottle. Though Vegas falls a little bit here,
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: they'll wind up over We're taking San Jose for the
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: last wildcard there. So it's kind of a crazy situation
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: in the West here. Right now, Vegas is three points
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: back of Edmonton, so Vegas does kind of need the
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: game more, if you want to call it that, and
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: they will be an underdog here on the road at Edmonton.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: Vegas is starting a road trip, so usually that is
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: a focus spot when you start a road trip. They're
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: not gonna overlook Edmonton. Obviously, Edmonton is just coasting right now.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: They win five games in a row, maybe don't need
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: the game as much, although it will be a big game.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: You're playing another playoff team here. They did just win
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: at Vegas back on March twenty sixth, though Edmonton did so.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: It was kind of a quick road reversal revenge angle
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: here if you want to call it that for Vegas,
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: which is more that that team is just gonna have
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: the adjustments more so than they make. So yeah, I
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: do like Vegas in this game. Money seems to agree
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: with the Edmonton at minus one thirteen here, seventy seven
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only fifty percent of the cash on Edmonton.
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: I like Vegas in that one. That's the way I
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: would lean in there. But again I just don't have
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: a strong enough opinion, man, But the money seems to
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: be saying, fade the public and that one. Take Vegas
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: as an underdog there. Calgary at Anaheim, Calgary, they're one
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: of the teams that's actually like out of it. But
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: maybe they get a chance to play spoiler here. They're
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: coming off a couple of blowout losses to Colorado in Vegas.
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: Maybe they're gonna try to salvage a game on the
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: road trip here, they get a chance to, you know,
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: throw a punch against the team. It's gonna be in
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: the playoffs with Anaheim, or likely to be in the playoffs.
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: Anaheim on a four game losing streak though, and just
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: lost horribly at home. Oh, they were actually on a
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: back to back two I didn't realize that they got
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: just blitz yesterday by the Blues. Blitzed by the Blues
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: at home yesterday. Anaheim is actually a good home team too,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: So kind of a surprising loss there for Anaheim, but
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: they might be in a spot where they will bounce back.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: Problem is they're on a back to back and playing
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days. Anaheim is a good
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: home team. They're sitting at minus one fifty three. We
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: don't see any of the percentages yet here. You know,
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: maybe Anaheim's favored by a little bit too much, and
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: everybody kind of knows they need to keep fighting here
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: because there is a chance that they still miss the playoffs.
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: So though it is unlikely, but you know, fighting for
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: positioning and whatever. I'll probably towards Calgary. You know, they
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: just get a shot at a playoff, a likely playoff
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: team there. Nashville and San Jose is a big game.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: Nashville keeps having to play these games against teams that
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: are tied with them fighting for this last wildcard spot,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: so both these teams are going to be motivated here.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: They both had pretty much the same thing to play for.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: Nashville already was in a game like that, played La
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: into a shootout on Thursday, so they're coming off a
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: game with a very similar atmosphere, which means they're going
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: to be used to it. So maybe that will help
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: their like mental state. Again, we know we could do this.
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: We can win these close pressure situations. So that's good.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: And they have to play LA again next in LA again.
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: But the problem is that was a big game against LA,
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna have to put in that amount of
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: effort again against San Jose. Here. San Jose is hot
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: right now. They've won four games in a row. I think, Yeah,
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: they just beat Toronto, didn't play yesterday, you know, just
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: staying at home, so I kind of endured San Jose
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: in this one, even though Nashville is kind of used
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: to the pressure San Jose down to minus one fourteen.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: Here seventy four percent of tickets, eighty five percent of
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: the cash. On San Jose, they only dropped for minus
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: one fifteen, so the money line has pretty much stayed
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: around the same money kind of indicating on San Jose
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: and that one. I kind of do agree with it, though,
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: But I don't love the game at all either. And
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: then Chicago's at Seattle. Seattle is kind of holding on
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: for their lives here. Chicago is eliminated already. Chicago has
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: lost a bunch of games in a row, five games
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: in a row, lost in Edmonton in their last game.
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: Maybe they will show up here to try. I had
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: to play spoiler, but you know, Seattle's gonna have more motivation,
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: but you're gonna have to pay for that motivation. Seattle
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: has lost three games in a row. They lost in
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: a return home spot for me very long road trip.
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: That was a very difficult spot. They couldn't get it
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: done against Utah. I mentioned that game, but the spot
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: that Seattle was in was just horrific returning home from
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: that long of a road tripe. And a lot of
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: times when that happens, the team will play a lot
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: better in that second game back from the road. So
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: I actually don't dislike Seattle here. I probably would lean
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: to Seattle. Here there a minus one sixty nine, though
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the tickets as well, a lot
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: of sixty nine, A lot of sixty nine ing in Seattle,
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: probably not of the variety that you would want eighty
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: one percent of the tickets, although I think it's also
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: an overrated position. Eighty one percent of the cash on
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: Seattle as well. I agree with that money in that one.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: I probably lean to Seattle. But you gotta do like
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: a puck line thing with that one if you want that.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: All right, let's do NBA. We only have three NBA
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: games today, and I don't like the NBA games either,
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: although two of them are actually pretty good games, though
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: the first one is not. We have two afternoon games,
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: Washington at Miami, not a good game. Washington has lost
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: four in a row, but they did just give them
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty three points to Philadelphia, losing by
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: twenty two. So maybe they will show up with a
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: little bit more intensity in this game against Miami, get
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: a chance to you know, not really play spoiler, but
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: you know, Miami is fighting to avoid the playings right now,
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: but I think Miami is almost guaranteed a play in
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: spot right now. I don't think they're gonna be able
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: to get out of the play in. Miami did just
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: lose to Boston on Wednesday in a blowout, and they're
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: staying at home. So Miami probably also will show up here.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: But you know, Miami, I don't know how much of
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: an effort they're really going to give you now that
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: they're almost guaranteed a playing spot and they're up to
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: laying eighteen and a half now seventy four percent of
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: take eighty percent of the CAUs on the heat. I know,
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: basically every one of the big favorites in the NBA
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: won last night and covered, so you know, the big
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: favorites showed up really well last night. But I would
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: not lay this, you know, I don't. I don't want
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: anything to do with the Wizards either, But if you
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: force me to give you a lean, I probably would
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with the Wizards. I mean,
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: Miami could just kind of come in and get get
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: the win without putting in a full effort there you
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: would expect, So yeah, don't love the game at all.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: Amazon Prime at three PM has what I think is
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: the best game san Antonio at Denver San Antonio. You know,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: they still have a shot to try to get the
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: one seed. They probably won't be able to do it,
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: though they're coming up a blowout win basically over the Clippers.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: Now having to go into elevation, They're playing a third
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: game in four days, and a fourth game in six
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: days and a fifth game in eight days, all in
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: different cities, which is not easy to do, so the
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: spot isn't exactly that favorable for them. Is just coming
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: back from Utah and didn't play, haven't played since Wednesday,
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: so Denver's the more rested team here. Both teams are
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: pretty much at full strength here. I think Denver does
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: have a bit of an edge here, and though they
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: haven't really been that good at home, I'm gonna lean
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: to Denver here. The Spurs are down to minus one
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: and a half here, fifty from two and a half,
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: so some money looks like it is coming in towards
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: Denver fifty tickets and cash on the Spurs. I'm gonna
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: agree with Denver in that one. That's the way I
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: would lean. And then we do have Detroit at Philadelphia Detroit,
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: of course, I just saw Luca there. We're gonna have
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: to talk about his injury, which I'll do when the
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: next Laker game is Detroit coming up. Beating Minnesota on Thursday.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: Nice win for Detroit there. Detroit still without Kate Cunningham,
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: but they're playing pretty well still without him. Going to
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia here, Detroit is pretty much guaranteed the one seed though,
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: so I don't really know what Detroit really has to
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: play for here. Philadelphia trying to ensure that they liked
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia has a shot to miss the play and you
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, they can get into the the
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: top six, so that's what they're playing for. But they
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: won last night against Minnesota, so Philadelphia is on a
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: back to back, which is not easy either. They would
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: turn over from a road trip in that game and
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: still got the win against Minnesota. So the spot isn't
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: great for Philadelphia here either. But I really am not
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: sure what Detroit's motivation is going to be here. Man.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: They're like, I'm pretty sure they're pretty much guaranteed the
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: one seed at this point. The Celtics are not gonna
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: catch them. Sixty percent of tickets seventy two percent of
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Pistons though, so the money indicating
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: on the Pistons and minus three and a half. But
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points of the Sixers.
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: I think you're getting a little bit of extra value
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: because the Pistons have a good record and the seventy
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: six ers had to play last night. I don't know
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: if Embiid played or not, but I think the Sixers
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: are pretty much at full strength in the game here.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: Let me see, did Embiid play last night? He did.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: He played thirty four minutes last night too, so you know,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: his knee might be, you know, a little bit in
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: bad shape here. But yeah, I mean, I see Philadelphia
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: having more motivation here, and they're a home underdog, so
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: I actually lean that way even though they have no rest.
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: All right, college basketball, let's do it. I'm gonna have
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: a play in the Crown, which is it's actually gonna
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: be the first game up in the afternoon. I'm gonna
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: have a play in Oklahoma and Baylor. I'm gonna give
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: you guys, Oklahoma plus one here. You might be able
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: to find plus one and a half. I'm not sure
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: I saw him mostly one. If you don't see a
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: plus one out there, because I saw a lot of
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: like pick EM's, then I would look at pick them
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: market and look at the money line market and find
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: the best line that you can between those two, Like
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: you go Oklahoma on a very small money line. That's
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: a fine idea as well. But I found a point
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: out there at one of the books, So that's what
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: I'm doing here. I like Oklahoma here man. Oklahoma's coming
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: of a very bad performance where they had to go
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: into overtime to beat a Colorado team that had three
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: of their starters opt out of this game. So Oklahoma
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: really couldn't have looked worse in that game. They were
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: losing by double digits in the game earlier in the
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: game too, so Oklahoma had a very bad performance as
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: a double digit underdog. They probably took Colorado really lightly
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: because Colorado, again, like a bunch of their players just
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: didn't play in the game. So that's gonna make Oklahoma
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: look worse than they actually are. And you know, I
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: like that when a team doesn't look as good as
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: they really are and barely got by a weak opponent,
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, And barely got by as
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: like a double digit favorite. You know, I want to
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: look to play on that team in the next game.
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: And they've proven that they can win a close game,
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: which I like too when you get into this tournament.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: They got a game under their belt. But not only
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: do they do that, but they won a close game,
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: so they can handle the pressure if it comes to that,
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So I like all that
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: for Oklahoma. So that's all good, and they're going up
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: against a Baylor team that had no pressure. Baylor just
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: easily beat Minnesota. Looked very impressive in beating Minnesota, although
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: not that you know, people think Minnesota is good or anything,
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: but people don't think that Baylor was that good. And
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: I was pretty much right about every thought that I
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: had about that game, even though I never gave out
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: a play on it. I was right about Baylor getting
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: the cover there, and I was right about the game
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: being extremely low scoring, which I wouldn't look for these
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: games to be as low scoring now, although they are
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: switching arenas though for the final four here they're staying
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: in Las Vegas for the Crown, but they played in
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: MGM Arena in the first game, and now they're going
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: to Team Mobile, which I think is a different arena
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: in Vegas. So whatever that might be where the Aces play,
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm not sure. But the w NBA team,
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: if you don't know who, I believe, just won the
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: championship again, if I'm not mistaken. What was I gonna say?
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: I forget, And I think I had that right in
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: my bracket too. Anyway, Yeah, I forget what else I
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: was gonna say here. But yeah, a lot of times
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: I talk about, you know, unders early on in games
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: when the site lines you know, might not be comfortable
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: yet for these players, you know what I mean, because
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: they're not used to the arena yet. But I think
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: that these teams just played the other day, I wouldn't
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: really want to look towards unders in games like these,
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like I think, because these
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: teams are, you know, have just played, they're kind of
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: their offense won't be as rusty and whatever. So I'm
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: not gonna be looking that way here for Baylor. If
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: we also look at the match up here on ken Bum,
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: I think it favors Oklahoma because ken Bom has these
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: two teams is very similar styles. He just says Oklahoma
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: slightly better than Baylor. He's got Oklahoma forty first in
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: the country Baylor forty eighth. Both teams are better on
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: offensive defense, but he has Oklahoma nine ranking spots higher
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: on offense and six ranking spots higher on defense, and
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: they play a little bit slower than Baylor does. The
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: Baylors started slowing their tempo towards the end of the season,
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: and both teams are really unlucky during the season, So
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: I think that's kind of a wash. Like both teams
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: are better than they look throughout the course of the season.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: That's fine, you know, I don't know if the public's
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: really gonna love Oklahoma even though the record was better
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: than Baylor's. Baylor kind of has more of that name recognition. Yeah,
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: Baylor does have a better coach with Scott Drew. But
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: I like Oklahoma here man. Like I said, and again,
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: I think they have the advantage on both sides of
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: the ball at least slightly, and the fact they could
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: slow the tempo down a little bit more than maybe
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: what Baylor wants here. And I think the money is
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me here. Baylor has flipped to a one
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: point favorite, but fifty five percent of ticket sixty six
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Oklahoma. Money's sort of indicating
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: on Oklahoma. So I like Oklahoma in that one man,
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: So that's that's gonna be my one play. The other
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: game West Virginia and Creighton also in Team Obile. I
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: kind of like West Virginia in this one man. The
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: public never likes West Virginia. They play slow, ugly basketball,
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: and they actually played a higher scoring game than they
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: would they prefer against Stanford, but they still won the
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: game against Stanford. This game also went into overtime, so
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: you know that means that West Virginia is actually gonna
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: be they're battle tested now as well, because they won
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: that game in overtime. So that's kind of the reason
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: why the game was a bit higher scoring. Actually, so
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: the game wasn't as high scoring as maybe it appeared
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: like it was. So I kind of like West Virginia
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: coming off of that one man because now they're battle tested,
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: whereas Creighton. They had an easier win over Rutgers a lot.
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think people will really be impressive, really be impressed,
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: I mean by that win over Rutgers, but still was
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: a no sweat win for Creighton where they did not
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: have to play in a pressure environment. West Virginia is
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: gonna try to slow Creighton down, which Creighton does not want.
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: Creighton kind of a mid tempo team. They were a
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: decently balanced team, but West Virginia was the better team
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: according to ken Bomb throughout the season, West Virginia was
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: actually better than them by fourteen ranking spots. So West
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: Virginia is very bad on offense and they're really good
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: on defense. So West Virginia is a very lopsided team,
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: but they are the better deepens here and a lot
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: of times I like the better deep mens in an
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: environment like this as well. And they're gonna try to
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: slow the game to a crawl. They're one of the
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: slowest teams in basketball with North Texas's former coach there.
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I do like West Virginia in that game.
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: But the only thing is Creighton does still have that
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: motivation that I mentioned in the first game where Doug
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: McDermott is stepping down at the end of the season, right,
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: So it's kind of like Creighton's probably gonna want to
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: try to win him the basketball crown, you know what
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: I mean. They only need to win two more games
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: to give him a good sendoff. By winning the Crown.
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: And these teams are playing for nil money and stuff too,
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: which but all those teams have that motivation, But Creighton
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: has that little extra motivation because they're playing for their
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: coach here and huss will be taking over as their
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: coach next year, who is the former High Point coach
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: up through last season, he's been the assistant for Creighton
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: this year. The money seems to agree with me on
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: West Virginia. They're a one point favorite, eight percent of
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty three percent of the cash on Creighton. So
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: Creighton looks like kind of a public side here. Uh,
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: you could probably make the argument West Virginia should maybe
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: even be a little bit stronger of a favorite here.
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: They played a tougher conference, dude, And I know we're
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: fading a Big twelve team, fading Baylor here, but Oklahoma
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: obviously it was very battle tested in the SEC as well.
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: Creighton not so much in the Big East, pretty weak conference, man,
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: West Virginia in a big in the Big Twelve. That
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: was a gauntlet. So West Virginia depthly has faced the
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: stronger straight at the schedule. So I like West Virginia.
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: I just worry that, you know, Creighton. You know that play,
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: you know, trying to win for your coach there in
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: his final season, there is a pretty big motivator. So
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: I just don't really want to step in front of that,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: all right, And then we got the Final Four. I
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: guess what you guys all wanted. I thought I was
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: gonna give up a play in Illinois, but I'm not
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Man, I don't like what the market
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: is looking like. So the first game up is Illinois,
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: and you on. All these games are in Indianapolis at
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: Lucas Oil Stadium, the Colts stadiums. So we got to
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: talk about the site lines here, which is when these
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: teams are playing in these massive, cavernous stadiums, a lot
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: of times they're shooting, will be off early in the game,
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: and these teams have been you know, resting a little
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: bit as well, so the offenses might come in a
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: little bit cold. So looking to go under in the
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: first half of these games is definitely an approach here
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: because these teams might not be able to shoot as well.
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: The problem with this is you don't really have like
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: you don't have Alabama in the Final four or anything
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: like that, you know what I mean? Like a team
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: that shoots a really high percentage of their shots from
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: three could really be affected by it. I did actually
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: have an Alabama under in that final four that they
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: were in, and it hit, but it was like really close,
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: and I think the first half actually would have lost.
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: But I went full game on it because I was
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: also factoring in I think Yukon's defense in that one
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: that year. So yeah, it barely got there. That was
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: that fun event that I was at with you know,
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: Joe Ranier, he was there, Chris Thurston, CT Bets, Kelly Stewart,
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: Kelly and Vegas. You know, all those people were there
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: and it was a you know, collaboration of of handicappers
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: there and everybody won their bets on that game. A
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: lot of people had I think I think a lot
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: of people had maybe Yukon to covering that one, I forget,
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: and they did wind up covering. I had the Alabama under.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: I think a lot of people had under in the game,
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: and all of them hit and they were all like
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: dramatic finishes, like they were all really close. So everybody
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: was going nuts winning their bets at the end. Anyway,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: and I had a major League Baseball under that I
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: won that day too, that nobody cared about anyway back
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: to this game though, But yeah, the sight lines could
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: be an issue, but none of these teams heavily rely
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: on the three, and Arizona hardly takes any. So I
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: don't think any of these teams are really gonna be
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: that affected by it. Now, Illinois looks like they open
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: as a four and a half point dog. That's not accurate.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: They never did. They were about a one to one
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: and a half paint favorite. It went up to three
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: on Illinois, and then there was some buyback on Connecticut,
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: and it looks like some of the money is coming
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: in on Yukon now. With Illinois at minus two fifty
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: six percent of ticket sixty three percent of the cash
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: on Yukon money, looks like it is kind of indicating
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: on Yukon here. But I still like Illinois here, man. Illinois,
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: they're playing closer to, you know, their environment. Here. They're
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: playing in Big ten country in Indianapolis, so I think
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: they will have a little bit of a crowd advantage here,
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: even though Yukon probably will travel okay. But Yukon, dude,
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just beat Duke, and I know there's
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: this thing where like the last like five or six
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: teams that knocked Duke out of the tournament all lost
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: their next game. So yeah, there's a little bit of
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: history going against Yukon for that reason. But people are
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: gonna think Yukon's better than they are after they beat Duke,
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: you know, Like the first thing that I heard was
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: everybody saying, how is Illinois favored in this game against Yukon,
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: Like nobody actually thinks Illinois is a better team, but
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: they are. The oddsmakers are telling you that I'm gonna
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: close some of these MLB tabs here. Ken Bom is
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: gonna tell you that he's got Illinois the fourth best
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: team in the country. Now. They're the best offense in
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: the country and their defense has actually been playing well
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: during the tournament, believe it or not. Well you've seen it,
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: you know, not that they faced like absolute offensive juggernauts,
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: but Houston's really good all around, and Illinois was really
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: impressive against them. They're still not I mean, there's still
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: the least defense remaining. They're the twentieth best defense going
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: to Ken Bomb, but that's still not bad, and their
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: offense is great. Yukon is twenty sixth in offense, So
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: that's not great. So Yukon is the worst offense left
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: and the second least defense left at ninth, Yukon could
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: definitely struggle to score at times. Man, And I think
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: Illinois does have some other advantages here where I think
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: Illinois runs a little bit deeper. They have like an
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: eight man rotation where they have these guys coming in
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: it out, like they got Soyakovic, Paige's son, Like he's
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: not even a starter for them. He comes off the
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: bench and make shots and stuff. So you know, Illinois
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: runs deep, which is good. They got all these big guys.
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: Illinois is actually the tallest team in the country. I'm
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: pretty sure by average hype, believe it or not, they
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 1: got like two seven footers in there. They got you know,
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: the Eastern Europeans in the middle there in Yukon. You
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: know they're not a small team. Uh, you know, Yukon
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: has I think Reid is their big man who's been
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: playing really well throughout the playoffs. But I think Illinois
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: might just be a little bit too much. Man, I
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: just don't really see. Even though Yukon's defense is good,
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: Illinois's offense is a lot to try to stop. Like
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: they can do everything pretty well on offense, and they
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: absolutely demolish the offensive boards. Illinois. I think it's the
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: best offensive rebounding team in the country as well. So
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: they have some really good offensive metrics, and that's part
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: of the reason why their offense is so good, as
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: they get so many second chance opportunities. It's like, I
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: think they get offensive rebounds on more than like forty
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: percent of their offense some possessions or yeah, something like that,
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: or forty of their attempts to get the rebounds or
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: whatever it is, you know, and Yukon might not be
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: able to quite have enough to battle Illinois to that extent,
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: you know, on the interior there. Illinois also, I don't
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: believe they turned the ball over much, and that was
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: Duke's total undoing. Like that's the thing. Yukon should not
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: have won that game against Duke. I'm sorry, but Duke
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: dominated the entire game. Duke was winning by nineteen points.
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: They're winning the game and covering almost wire to wire
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: in that game. And the only reason Duke loss is
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: because they literally handed Yukon the game, like they had
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: so many turnovers, miss free throws, you know, they literally,
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: they threw the game away. Illinois. I don't think is
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: gonna do that. Illinois is a little bit more experience.
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: Although I know their best player what's his name again?
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: I can't remember what do Why don't I remember anybody's
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: name anymore? I'm bad at this. I used to remember everything.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: The best player, he's a freshman. Waggler, Keaton Wagler, Woggler, Wogler, Yeah, Woggler, Wagler,
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: however you pronounce it, he is. I believe he is
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: a freshman, although he is super talented. Yeah, but yeah,
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: Yukon might have a little bit more on the experience
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: side as far as like, but they really really have
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: two really experienced guys. They're like Caravan. I mean, I
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: know they have the championship pedigree there with Caravan, and
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: they have the better coach with Dan Hurley, So there
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: is all that. So that makes me worry a little
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: bit about Illinois. But even though Illinois, their best player Waggler,
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: is a freshman, they do have a lot of experience
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: on this team still as well man, so they can
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: you know, they don't really rely that much on one guy,
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: whereas Yukon has really kind of heavily been relying on
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: Reid throughout this tournament, which maybe is not good because
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: if Illinois is able to slow him down, Yukon might
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: not have that many options left. And I know Yukon
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: hit those threes to beat Duke, but they've been a
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: bad three point shooting team. Man, Yukon is actually not
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: a very good three point shooting team. Illinois is actually
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: better at that, even though Illinois doesn't like take that
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: many threes. But yeah, they're better at that too. And again, Illinois,
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna turn the ball over. That's
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: where I was going with that. Duke lost the turnover
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: battle like thirteen to five to Yukon. Illinois in the
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: turnover department, they basically don't turn the ball over, but
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: they never get turnovers either. But in their never getting turnovers,
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: they don't commit that many fouls. That's the thing. Illinois.
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: I think they're like worst in the country at forcing turnovers,
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: but it's because they don't even try to do it,
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna play deepfense. But what they try to
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: do is just yeah, play solid deep mense without getting
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: overly aggressive, and in doing so, they don't put teams
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: at the free throw line very often. I think with
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: Illinois having all those big men, I think Illinois can
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: win the free throw battle in this game that way
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: as well. They usually do, so I think that might
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: help Illinois when it comes down to it as well. So, yes,
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: I do like Illinois, but I worry about, you know,
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: the coaching, the experience a little bit, so I can't
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: quite get there with this one. But I do like
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: Illinois in the game. Uh So, I think I kind
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: of covered everything I wanted to cover in that one.
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: And then you know, the game of the century or whatever,
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: Michigan and Arizona. Everybody basically saying this is the de
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: facto championship. But I think what we want to do
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: here is watch the games today, enjoy the games, and
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: then whatever happens here. I think we can fade the
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: winner of Michigan Arizona in the championship, believe it or not,
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: because they're gonna be a favorite. They're gonna be like
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: a four to five point favorite probably whatever matchup we
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: wind up getting. And I think there's room to fade
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: because everybody's just saying, yeah, Michigan Arizona, whoever wins this
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 1: game is gonna be the champion the champion, right, People
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: are just completely ignoring these other two teams. When you
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: have a setup like that, a lot of times you
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: do want to grab that other team as the underdog
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: because they're being just massively overlooked. And the team that
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: wins this Michigan Arizona game, they're gonna be on a
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 1: quick turnaround time and you know they're gonna be beat up.
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: Like this is gonna be a physically punishing game, dude.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are excellent on the interior. They're both physical,
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: they both have size, they both get there on the interior. Now,
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: I do like Michigan in this game. You know, I'm
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: sticking with my bracket here with Michigan. Of course, the
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: best outcome for me would be Michigan beating Illinois in
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: the final. That would be the best outcome for my bracket,
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 1: I think. But you know, I'm not just sticking with
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: it for that reason. The money is coming in on Michigan.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: They're up to a one and a half point favorite,
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of tickets on Arizona, fifty nine percent
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Michigan. By the way, I think
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: Ken bomb as Illinois is actually like a three or
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: four point favorite in their game, just so you know,
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: And so the analytics guys, actually, the analytics guys actually
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: like Illinois and Michigan a lot, although you know, maybe
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: the analytics guys are overrating them a little bit. But
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb, I think as Michigan is about a one
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: point favorite in this game, if I'm not mistaken. You know,
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: both these teams are great. They're both top five on
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: both offense and deepfense. They're both really similar. They're both
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 1: a little bit better on depfense than offense. Michigan I
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: think is more versatile though, which is what I was
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: gonna say. So the money is coming in on Michigan,
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on them, sixty one
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Arizona. The public has kind of
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: just favored Arizona between these two teams throughout the course
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: of the playoffs because they didn't like how Michigan finished
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: the season. They didn't like Michigan losing to Purdue. You know,
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: Michigan kind of just like sleep walk through the end
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: of the season. But Michigan has obviously turned it on
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: in the in the tournament, man, they've looked good. But
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: also I think Arizona might be getting a little bit
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: more credit because they beat Arkansas and Purdue, Michigan had
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: an easier path. There's no doubt about that. People might
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: give them credit for beating Arizona, but they're not giving
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: them credit for beating Tennessee. But Michigan absolutely demolished Tennessee, dude,
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: And Tennessee is a good team with a good coach,
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: and Michigan doing that to them that impressed me. Even
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: though I thought Michigan might be able to win and
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: cover that one, blowing them out like that that definitely
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: impressed me. So I might actually make the argument Michigan's
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 1: been the more impressive team in the tournament here. You know,
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: Arizona did almost lose to Utah State, so they've been
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: closer to losing, although that doesn't mean they're more battle tested.
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: And Arizona was losing at the half to Purdue, so
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: I know, the dude, there are a lot of handicappers
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: that like Arizona, Like a lot of the guys I
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: follow seem to like Arizona in this game, So I
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: worry about that because it seems like it's actually the
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: majority of them like Arizona here, but the only argument
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: I like, the main argument I see for it really
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 1: is because Arizona just had another kind of close ish game,
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: but it wasn't really that close by the end of it.
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: They wound up winning by double digits against Purdue, So yeah,
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 1: they're battle tested. I yeah, sure, I guess. But you know,
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: both these teams are coming from the top two conferences
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: in basketball. I might make the argument that the Big
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: Ten is better because it's deeper. Like I think the
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: kind of mid tier and bottom teams in the Big
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: Ten I'd actual be better than the mid tier bottom
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: teams in the Big Twelve. It's just the Big Twelve
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: at the very top might be better, so you know, but
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: of course, you know, there were some I think there
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: were some injuries going on there as well for the
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve towards the end there. Yeah, with Texas Tech
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: and Iowa State, so whatever, I'm rambling here. But Michigan
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: one thing they do have is they have more versatility.
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: Like Arizona, they don't really take threes, So if it
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: comes down to them having to do that, I don't
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: know how good they're gonna be at it. And Michigan
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: is actually good at defending the three as I've shown
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: you before, they're like top twenty an opponent three point percentage,
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: even though they actually give up a lot of threes.
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: But Arizona, that's not their games. So I don't think
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: Arizona's gonna be taking a ton of threes unless they
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: fall behind. And if that's the case, if Arizona's playing
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: from behind, Arizona's not used to that, dude, And that
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: could be the case because Michigan could definitely score in spurts.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: So the other thing about these teams is they don't
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: allow kill shots, which is when a team gets ten
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: points or more or both. These teams, I think Michigan
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: allowed three all season and Arizona allowed two all season,
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: and for the most part, they were in situations that
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: didn't even matter, like kind of like garbage time whatever.
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: And I think neither team lost any of those games either,
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: so it didn't even really matter. But I think Michigan
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: goes on more kill shots themselves, so they're a little
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: bit more offensively prolific in my opinion than Arizona is.
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: Michigan has more versatility. Like I said, they actually do
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: shoot from range as well as you know, trying to
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: dominate on the interior. Maybe you make the argument Arizona's
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit better on the interior, but I don't
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: think it's by that much. It could come down to
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: who gets into foul trouble though. Michigan, you know, you
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: do have to worry about Mara getting in foul trouble,
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: which seems like it is a little bit of an
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: issue with him. But he got some bad foul calls
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: called against him in that game where one of the
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: games in this tournament he was out of the game. Well,
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: actually the game against Duke, which people are gonna point
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: at during the regular season. Oh yeah, Michigan couldn't beat Duke,
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: so they're not gonna bea at Arizona. Oh no, right,
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know about that because Tomorrow was in massive
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: foul trouble in that game, and it was a very
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: Duke heavy crowd in that game in Washington, DC. I
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: don't think you really take that much away from that. Man.
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: The crowd here is, you know, it's gonna be Michigan heavy.
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: They're playing in Indianapolis, so they're in Big ten country.
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 1: Arizona's gotta come in. Arizona's actually coming in from the
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: Pacific time zone. Because they just played out in San Jose,
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: whereas Michigan just played in Chicago. So Michigan has a
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: better travel spot here. They're just staying in the Midwest,
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: Arizona having to do more travel here and go a
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: little bit out of their environment. Which that's kind of
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: the knock, right Like these Pacific Coast teams, they don't
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: win the tournament, And I don't want to like overrate
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: that concept, but I think a lot of it has
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 1: to do with the travel that's involved and they wind
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: up getting into this environment that there's not as familiar with,
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So maybe that's a little
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: bit of an issue. So I do think Michigan has
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge there. But again, the
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: versatility of their offense where they can make more shots
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: from the out side typically Arizona has made us. You know,
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: they had some games where they hit a lot of threes,
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: but I think that was more of an outlier than
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: anything else, Like you're going up against a good three
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: point defense, Like if Arizona's gonna be taken more threes
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: than they usually do, I don't see them doing what
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: they did in some of these other games, like hitting
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of their threes when they're just not used
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 1: to hitting the threes, and against Michigan, I just don't
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: really see that being the case. Now, Arizona does run
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit deeper. I'll give them that. They have
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: like an eight man rotation Michigan typically kind of like seven,
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: but they're more rest like. The rest will help Michigan
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: out here, man, because both teams haven't played since the weekend,
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: so that'll help as far as that's concerned a little bit.
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: I think Arizona some of their better players are younger
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: as well, so Arizona is a little bit more freshman
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: laid in the Michigan is, even though the best player
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: on the floor I think is a freshman in Lendeborg
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: from Michigan. Yaxel Lendeborg. Man. You expect this Norwegian Viking
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: metal you know, like Norwegian medal guitarist or something, but no,
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: he's a Dominican with an afro. I don't know how
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: the fuck his name is, Yaxel Lendeborg. I have no idea.
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: It's kind of hilarious. But he's the best single player
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: on the court, so I'll give Michigan that. But Michigan
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: is not just him, Man, Michigan obviously has depth. Both
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: these teams to have depth, there is of course experience
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: on both sides. You know. Arizona's got guys that are
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: you know, like Bradley, I think as a senior, they
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 1: got some other guys that have experience. Michigan still, I
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: think overall has more experience though, and I think I
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: have to give the coaching edge to Michigan here. With
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 1: Dusty May, I think I prefer him over Tommy Lloyd. Man,
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: I mean Lloyd. The knock on him was, oh, this
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: guy can't get by the sweet sixteen whatever. He's gotten
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: over that hump and they're in the Final four now.
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: But Dusty May has the experience at this level, you
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. I mean he took Florida Atlantic
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: to the Final four, so May actually has the final
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: four experience here. So I actually kind of prefer that.
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: I like Michigan here. Man. It's not gonna be a
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: player or anything. I think for me, it's a very
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: close call in this game. This game I think is
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be pretty epic. But I think Michigan has a
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: higher ceiling. Like Arizona is a much more steady team
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: where they have like a much. I would say they
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: have a lower floor than Michigan does. Like, if Michigan
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: has an off game, they're gonna lose. But if Michigan
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: gives you, like their best game, they're gonna win the game,
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Whereas Arizona, if they kind
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: of just stay what they usually do, they're gonna be
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: in this game, you know what I mean. So that's
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: the thing, Like I think Michigan has the higher ceiling,
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: but the lower floor, if that makes sense. They're just
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: a little bit they have a little bit more variance there,
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 1: and part of it is because they do take more threes.
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: But if it comes down to it in Arizona has
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: to try to do that in a pressure situation, they
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: might not be able to do it. Man. I think
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 1: Michigan was the more impressive team throughout most of the
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: season than Arizona was, to be honest, And then it
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: was like once Michigan lost to Duke, Michigan just kind
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 1: of in a tail spin at the end of the season.
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: But they've turned it right back on again since the
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 1: tournament started, So I like that. Yeah, And they've stayed
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: in the Midwest for the entire tournament as well. I
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: forget where they're opening games were, but they have not
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: gone far, so they have a little bit of an
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: edge there as well. So that's gonna do it. Man.
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: I don't really have an opinion on the totals really
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: in this one. You know, this game is just such
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: an epic battle, and I think people are gonna think, oh,
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: Michigan Arizona. It's a really high total at one fifty
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: seven and a half and hasn't dropped that much. But yeah,
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: like people will think, oh, the two best teams in
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: the country and they're putting up all these high point totals.
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: The public's gonna think over in this game. But I
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: would probably lean under in this one. Usually, I know,
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: higher totals you kind of want to go over. This
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: isn't an extremely high total, and remember both these teams
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: do play a lot of deepfens and Arizona doesn't take
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: that many threes typically, and because of the sight lines
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: and whatever game might stay under. Maybe first half under
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better because you got to worry
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: about the free throws possibly coming into play and causing
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: the thing to go over later in the game. So
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: that's what I would say. About that. The one other
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: thing I forgot to mention about Illinois Connecticut two things.
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: These teams already played once this year, and Connecticut won
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: the game by double digits, and it was actually Illinois's
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: worst loss of the season. But to counter that, Illinois
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: did not have the like the rotation that they have now.
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: Illinois was playing different guys back then. Connecticut was as
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 1: well to some extent. But I just don't think you
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: want to overrate that game. It was back in November.
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: These teams didn't know who they were yet. Yeah, Connecticut
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: won by double digits, but I think you kind of
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: just throw that game out. Illinois might be able to
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 1: make some adjustments off of that too. I believe Connecticut
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: back then was like a four point favorite in that game,
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 1: but again, that was before we knew what these teams
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: were like. You can't leave them as a favorite like
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 1: that when you know they're actually not the better team
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: at this point. So I will throw that out there.
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: That's another reason why I think the public seems to
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: sort of lean Connecticut a little bit in that game. Illinois,
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: by the way, that was the worst loss of the season.
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: But also Illinois has not lost the game in regulation
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: since December, believe it or not, like people are gonna
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: look at see, oh, Illinois has several losses this year
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: and whatever, and the records worse. Yeah, but Illinois, all
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: their losses since December were in overtime and they could
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: have won every single one of those games. Like Illinois
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: has been in every single game, Like they're really hard
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: to beat. Dude, Again, no regulation losses is December, and
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 1: that loss was pretty close as well. In fact, their
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 1: only non close loss was against Connecticut. But we saw
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: how that worked out for Texas women last night, where
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: they were the only UCLA loss on the season. UCLA
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: won last night. Illinois, by the way, they're from a
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: better conference too, They're much more battle tested in the
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: Big Ten. I don't like the Big East, dude, I
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: just don't. So Illinois definitely has faced a stronger schedule.
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: Although Connecticut did face the difficult out of conference schedule,
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: will give them that, and they performed well. They actually
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: did better than Illinois did in the out of conference
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: I'll give them that. But more recently, Illinois's faced the
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 1: more recent difficult schedule. Though you can't deny that playing
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: in the Big Ten. You know what, I mean, so
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: I think it's more of just that Illinois just hadn't
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: found their identity yet early in the season. That's why
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: they weren't playing as well. So yeah, those are my
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 1: thoughts on all that. As far as the total had
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: already dropped from one forty three and a half to
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 1: one thirty nine and a half here, so there was
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: a drop on the total there. You know, I think
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: it might have gone a little bit too far. Here
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: we have fifty eight percent of tickets and sixty one
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over. I worry about
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 1: overs in these big, cavernous stadiums because the shooting might
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: be a little bit off. But this game, I've heard
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: some professionals like the over here usually low total. I
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: want to go under, especially in a big game like this.
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: And you know, Illinois and you kint are gonna play slow,
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: by the way, that's the reason why this total is low.
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: Both these teams play slow. Michigan and Arizona both play fast,
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 1: so that's why that total is higher. But even so,
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: Illinois is a great offense, and even though Connecticut's defense
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: might be able to slow them down a bit, I
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: don't really want an under in an Illinois game, man,
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 1: where their offense is really that good. I think the
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: first game these teams played actually went under if I
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: remember correctly. Let me see. Let me see it landed
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: one thirty five? Is that what that is? I can't
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: do math anymore, man, But Illinois had a horrible shooting game,
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: and that's another reason to maybe like Illinois here. They
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 1: shot thirty two percent from the field in that game
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: against Yukon. They're not gonna do that again, man, And
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: they only made six three pointers. I think that's those
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: are just outliers, man, you know, so I'm not gonna
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: put much weight into this game at all. The total
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: was one fifty and a half, by the way, so
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 1: you could make the argument that that total was just
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: kind of ridiculously high. Really, uh so, the fact that
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: this total is so much lower, maybe it is an
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 1: over adjustment, and maybe there is some value looking towards
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: the over in this game. I still don't want it, though,
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: I don't want any part of these games. That's gonna
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: do it? Man. Well. Actually, again, the closest that I
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: am to making a place is still Illinois. Though I
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: still like Illinois, I'm gonna root for them because I
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: don't like Hurley, I don't like Connecticut, but I just
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 1: couldn't quite get there with it in my mind, man.
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: And there are definitely some professionals that don't agree with
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: me on either one of those, and a lot of
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: them like Arizona. Man. But hopefully we can get it
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: done for my bracket purposes. That's gonna do it once again.
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 1: The place today or the Reds in the first five
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: innings on the money line, and Oklahoma plus one in
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: the college basketball crown. Let's get back on the winning side. Man.
• 2:05:43
  Speaker 1: We got to break the slump. I mean, you know,
• 2:05:45
  Speaker 1: in this business there are downswings and whatever, and you
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 1: gotta be able to handle it, you know, mentally, whatever.
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: Don't change what you do, just keep going. If what
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: you do is work for a long period of time,
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: you're gonna turn it around at some point. So let's
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: do it. Learn a tone on Twitter, Learn it tone
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 1: on Instagram, like subscribe, give me good replies on the
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 1: channel here we're on audio as well. Listen over there
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 1: Apple Spotify, give me good reviews over there. Covered in
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 1: Yuke is my yuke channel. You can go check that out.
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: Paygroon dot com, slash learn to toad and hopefully I
• 2:06:16
  Speaker 1: can start giving people more content at some point and
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: make them content and loser casts will be back on
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: Tuesday night. That's it. Let's have a good Final four Saturday, man,
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: enjoy all the games. Let's actually win, and that's gonna
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: do it. Peace,