Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 0 | August 29, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:06Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff.
- 0:36Speaker 3: What is going on, everybody? The smell of college football
- 0:39Speaker 3: is in the air. We are here for week zero,
- 0:43Speaker 3: first show of the year for Ship It Nation. I'm
- 0:45Speaker 3: Dollar Bill. Next to me, you see Ham Hock on
- 0:47Speaker 3: our college football team at Ship It Nation. Ham, what's
- 0:49Speaker 3: going on?
- 0:50Speaker 2: Oh, not much. Just ready to swing the bat at
- 0:55Speaker 2: another college football season. It's nice that we get a
- 0:58Speaker 2: good selection of games for week zero. They get bigger
- 1:01Speaker 2: and bigger. Week zero gets bigger and bigger every year.
- 1:04Speaker 3: Yeah, that's one thing we talked about throughout the week
- 1:07Speaker 3: is just that, you know, typically we see four to
- 1:09Speaker 3: five game slates. This week we have seven, even without
- 1:11Speaker 3: the Ireland game. And it's awesome. We already got the
- 1:14Speaker 3: chat going. We have Hart, Supple. Yeah, Sac State EMU,
- 1:18Speaker 3: we'll be talking about that in a bit. Week zero,
- 1:21Speaker 3: Eve is finally here. Oracle in the house, ready to
- 1:24Speaker 3: kick off this football season.
- 1:25Speaker 1: Beatle.
- 1:25Speaker 3: And then we have Smarty in the room, also on
- 1:28Speaker 3: our college football team.
- 1:29Speaker 1: And you know what?
- 1:30Speaker 2: He's right.
- 1:30Speaker 3: Smash the like button on the way in. We really
- 1:33Speaker 3: appreciate that. Obviously, these these free shows on on YouTube,
- 1:37Speaker 3: it gives us an opportunity to continue to grow and
- 1:39Speaker 3: continue to provide this. But we'll jump into it.
- 1:43Speaker 1: All right.
- 1:44Speaker 3: This is this is something that this is in production.
- 1:47Speaker 3: See if I can figure this out.
- 1:49Speaker 2: There we go. Look at that.
- 1:50Speaker 3: I did it. That was pretty quick, too. A little
- 1:52Speaker 3: bit painless. But just want to talk about we have
- 1:55Speaker 3: with football season starting. We have some deals at ShipItNation.com.
- 2:01Speaker 3: NFL-only package for $ 349 for the entire season. It gives
- 2:06Speaker 3: you everything. We have the Stone. There's a Stone 2.0
- 2:08Speaker 3: I'll touch on briefly later in the show as well.
- 2:13Speaker 3: And if you just click Join the Nation, it's super simple.
- 2:16Speaker 3: You can get all access. If you're only a football player,
- 2:19Speaker 3: you can do NFL and you can get college football.
- 2:23Speaker 3: But if you're playing sports beyond that, this all-access really
- 2:26Speaker 3: makes sense. Best value in the industry. Best community in
- 2:29Speaker 3: the industry, in my opinion. I might be a little
- 2:31Speaker 3: bit biased, but I've thought that for a long time,
- 2:34Speaker 3: even before when I was just a community member. So
- 2:38Speaker 3: head to shipitnation.com. And if you saw at the top,
- 2:41Speaker 3: we're bringing back the Ship It Games this year. That
- 2:43Speaker 3: was a lot of fun. It was quite a wild
- 2:44Speaker 3: ride last year. These prizes get bigger and bigger throughout
- 2:47Speaker 3: the season. A lot of opportunity with those Ship It Games,
- 2:50Speaker 3: and it's a lot of fun for the community. But
- 2:53Speaker 3: we're going to start diving into college football today. To
- 2:57Speaker 3: kick things off, an ode to the big guy, James,
- 3:01Speaker 3: Degenerate 75. He had his college football commandments that he built.
- 3:06Speaker 3: And speaking of, he would be so Jack today. This
- 3:09Speaker 3: is huge. Not only his Sooners are looking to be
- 3:13Speaker 3: pretty good again this year, but former Sooner Jackson Arnold's
- 3:17Speaker 3: on the week zero slate. I'm sure he would have
- 3:19Speaker 3: had a few words about that guy.
- 3:22Speaker 2: Absolutely.
- 3:23Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 3:24Speaker 3: We'll go through the CFB commandments. This is mostly for
- 3:26Speaker 3: people who are new to college football. Maybe you played
- 3:28Speaker 3: NFL in the past, but you're just jonesing for some football.
- 3:31Speaker 3: So you're going to dig into these first couple of
- 3:32Speaker 3: weeks before NFL starts. But the first thing, the biggest
- 3:37Speaker 3: difference between NFL and college on the face is the
- 3:41Speaker 3: super flex position. I know DraftKings has dabbled with super
- 3:43Speaker 3: flex in the past, but it's not on their main slates.
- 3:48Speaker 3: Typically especially in cash, you're looking at quarterback in the
- 3:51Speaker 3: super flex because they have opportunity to put up the
- 3:53Speaker 3: most points, especially if you get a dual threat. Uh,
- 3:56Speaker 3: but Kenny, there are times in those bigger contests that
- 4:00Speaker 3: maybe a wide receiver or running back makes sense in
- 4:02Speaker 3: the super flex, or if the slate is super small,
- 4:04Speaker 3: do you want to dig into that?
- 4:07Speaker 2: Um, you know, and it's, I guess once in a
- 4:09Speaker 2: while that like you'll get projections where you have like
- 4:13Speaker 2: a really good set of running backs and really poor quarterbacks.
- 4:16Speaker 2: And some weeks it does make sense. Um, very rarely
- 4:19Speaker 2: am I doing it, but yeah, once in a while,
- 4:23Speaker 2: I'll sneak some four RB in there. You know, and
- 4:27Speaker 2: sometimes like those midweek plates can get so gross. Like
- 4:30Speaker 2: even in like November and October, we'll see these group, group,
- 4:34Speaker 2: group five teams rotating quarterbacks. And that just makes them
- 4:38Speaker 2: less viable in the super flex. And they'll get a
- 4:39Speaker 2: spot where you get these workhorse Mac running backs and
- 4:42Speaker 2: can sneak them in the super flex. But generally yeah,
- 4:45Speaker 2: 99% of the time quarterback goes with super flex.
- 4:50Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 4:51Speaker 3: And Oracle says matching comes to mind. Those are the
- 4:53Speaker 3: gross midweek slates. We're going to get some conference USA
- 4:56Speaker 3: during the midweek with two to three game slates. And
- 4:58Speaker 3: I think that the Sunbelt might even be getting involved
- 5:01Speaker 3: in those slates as well.
- 5:05Speaker 1: All right.
- 5:05Speaker 3: So Ian from our college football team has entered. Let
- 5:08Speaker 3: me see. This is going to be my second test
- 5:10Speaker 3: on the production side. Can I do this correctly?
- 5:14Speaker 1: All right.
- 5:14Speaker 3: Looks good.
- 5:17Speaker 2: Look at that.
- 5:17Speaker 3: There he is. How's it going, Ian?
- 5:23Speaker 1: Oh, good. Someone doing so happy for college football to
- 5:26Speaker 1: be back here. Yeah, yeah.
- 5:29Speaker 3: We were just talking about how the big guy would
- 5:30Speaker 3: have been ecstatic today. That's why we're bringing up his commandments,
- 5:33Speaker 3: talking about the structure of college football. We just got
- 5:36Speaker 3: through the super flex position. Number two, news is the
- 5:40Speaker 3: name of the game. College football has... I mean, I
- 5:43Speaker 3: don't know that it's quite to the NBA status in
- 5:45Speaker 3: terms of last minute news, but there's a ton of
- 5:48Speaker 3: news that happens. Injury reports coming out within an hour
- 5:51Speaker 3: of the slate. Stuff happening. There's going to be game
- 5:54Speaker 3: time decisions that we won't know until five minutes before or,
- 5:58Speaker 3: you know, those gross midweek slates, sometimes five minutes after kickoff.
- 6:02Speaker 3: So being a part of Ship a Nation or any
- 6:06Speaker 3: community is clutch when it comes to following news because
- 6:09Speaker 3: we have sweaty tryhards, grease balls everywhere. digging into the
- 6:13Speaker 3: deepest parts of Twitter to find some of these, some
- 6:16Speaker 3: of these options.
- 6:18Speaker 2: Oh yeah.
- 6:19Speaker 5: You know, it's been a little bit easier now than
- 6:21Speaker 5: when we first started doing this so many years ago
- 6:23Speaker 5: because we get the availability reports that charts a little
- 6:26Speaker 5: bit better, but that really doesn't mean anything. We've seen
- 6:30Speaker 5: plenty of times, even, even the news that breaks is
- 6:32Speaker 5: not really the news that we need.
- 6:38Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 6:38Speaker 3: So I, I would just say, get yourself in a community,
- 6:42Speaker 3: It's a lot easier to have a hundred people looking
- 6:44Speaker 3: for this news and ship. It's great at that too.
- 6:45Speaker 3: It's not just us on the college football team. It's,
- 6:48Speaker 3: it's it's the entire community helping out sending things that
- 6:51Speaker 3: they see. We have boots on the ground quite a
- 6:55Speaker 3: bit throughout the season too, because there's just a ton
- 6:57Speaker 3: of different fans from different teams cash versus GPP. It's,
- 7:04Speaker 3: I mean, it's not terribly dissimilar to other sports where
- 7:08Speaker 3: you're looking for a safer floor. versus the high upside. Um,
- 7:12Speaker 3: but this is kind of perfect because Ian, you play
- 7:14Speaker 3: cash ham hockey play, uh, you play GPP a little
- 7:18Speaker 3: bit more often kind of dig into, to what your,
- 7:21Speaker 3: what your strategy is going into these. Yeah.
- 7:25Speaker 5: From a man's perspective, um, it's just kind of more,
- 7:30Speaker 5: you want to like kind of isolate what you're playing with. Uh,
- 7:33Speaker 5: you know, we got the chalk here, guys, sometimes they're
- 7:35Speaker 5: shocked for a reason. You're, you're just picking from a
- 7:37Speaker 5: larger pool of players. You know, following the commandments of
- 7:40Speaker 5: Cuban super flex is probably the most standard thing.
- 7:42Speaker 1: We want to look at volume touches.
- 7:46Speaker 5: You know, you're just going to have a lot more
- 7:47Speaker 5: ownership and you get leverage in a few spots.
- 7:49Speaker 2: Here or there.
- 7:51Speaker 1: But you got to be OK to like eat.
- 7:53Speaker 5: Sometimes you're going to have like a 50 percent owned guy.
- 7:55Speaker 5: And that just happens just because the nature of college football,
- 7:57Speaker 5: the talent is so far spread out. And then just
- 8:01Speaker 5: looking at contest selection, just making sure that, you know,
- 8:04Speaker 5: there's a lot of great cash contests out there. And
- 8:07Speaker 5: you're just thinking about, you know, one or two single
- 8:10Speaker 5: lineups as opposed to a whole slate individually, like just
- 8:14Speaker 5: the idea of playing quarterbacks naked or dual threat quarterbacks or,
- 8:18Speaker 5: you know, game stacking doesn't come as much into play
- 8:21Speaker 5: as much as who are the guys who are going
- 8:22Speaker 5: to touch the ball the most from a cash or
- 8:25Speaker 5: single entry perspective.
- 8:28Speaker 2: Right.
- 8:29Speaker 6: Right.
- 8:29Speaker 2: Yeah. And I guess, um, Yeah. Like GPP, like I
- 8:34Speaker 2: would say generally compared to NFL, I think the biggest
- 8:37Speaker 2: thing is like the chalk is better in college football.
- 8:40Speaker 2: Usually it's like an injury and there's like a ton
- 8:42Speaker 2: of volume for a guy that's underpriced. Um, like a
- 8:45Speaker 2: guy that's 35% should probably be like 60% on the
- 8:48Speaker 2: college football where an NFL, if you get a 35%
- 8:51Speaker 2: running back, usually that's like pretty gross regardless of the situation.
- 8:55Speaker 2: I feel like, I mean, that's the biggest thing for me. Um,
- 9:00Speaker 2: Other than that, I guess it's just kind of like
- 9:02Speaker 2: GBP and any other sports, trying to find the right
- 9:05Speaker 2: combination of chalk and blow in place.
- 9:08Speaker 3: Yeah, and the one thing Ian touched on for cash
- 9:10Speaker 3: that I'll piggyback is that you're not looking at stacks necessarily.
- 9:14Speaker 3: You're just looking for the highest possible floor score you
- 9:17Speaker 3: can get. You're looking for the highest projected. It doesn't
- 9:19Speaker 3: matter how spread out your lineups are in terms of
- 9:22Speaker 3: what teams guys play for. But that kind of leads
- 9:25Speaker 3: into what makes those decisions. Volume and game flow is king.
- 9:30Speaker 3: In college football, we have, while there are fewer and
- 9:32Speaker 3: farther between now, we have workhorse running backs. We have
- 9:35Speaker 3: target hogs. Danny Scadero for San Jose State comes to mind.
- 9:40Speaker 3: I think he averaged like 12, 13 targets a game
- 9:44Speaker 3: last year. That is something that you want to look
- 9:47Speaker 3: at heavily. Where is the usage going? We see so
- 9:50Speaker 3: often in college football targets and carries funnel to one
- 9:55Speaker 3: or two guys. So Week zero, Wednesday. one week two
- 10:01Speaker 3: even we're going to start to get a feel for
- 10:03Speaker 3: that so it's a little bit different in the beginning
- 10:04Speaker 3: of the season some stuff we know a little bit
- 10:07Speaker 3: better than others but Kenny do you have anything to
- 10:09Speaker 3: add on on volume and game.
- 10:11Speaker 2: Flow nice I mean I think you kind of nailed
- 10:14Speaker 2: it um Yeah. Just like, you know, volume in a
- 10:18Speaker 2: bad matchup, you can kind of make work and, you know,
- 10:21Speaker 2: a guy that's like a deeper on the depth chart,
- 10:23Speaker 2: you can kind of make it a game flow type thing,
- 10:25Speaker 2: but yeah, you pretty much, pretty much covered it. Yeah.
- 10:28Speaker 3: Nick Nash a few years ago as well. Was it
- 10:31Speaker 3: the Xavier, Xavier Hutchinson at Iowa state was a guy
- 10:34Speaker 3: that comes to mind. Like there's, there's been plenty of guys,
- 10:37Speaker 3: Taj Brooks at running back was stellar at Texas tech.
- 10:42Speaker 3: Speaking of running backs and wide receivers, uh, how do
- 10:45Speaker 3: you approach which one you put in the flex in cash?
- 10:48Speaker 3: Typically I like to look at running backs first. If
- 10:50Speaker 3: we have three workhorses because they don't have to catch
- 10:54Speaker 3: the ball to take a handoff, like their touches are,
- 10:59Speaker 3: and especially if they're past catchers too. So typically I,
- 11:04Speaker 3: but like a guy like Scadero or Nash in the
- 11:05Speaker 3: past could easily fit into that flex. Where do you,
- 11:09Speaker 3: where do you sit when you're making decisions between running
- 11:10Speaker 3: back and wide receiver in the flex spot?
- 11:13Speaker 1: I think it's all slate and salary dependent.
- 11:16Speaker 6: You know, sometimes the pricing is soft and you got
- 11:18Speaker 6: a backup running back, a couple of them.
- 11:21Speaker 1: And it's just easy to kind of decide it's a
- 11:24Speaker 1: three running back. We usually try to go to the
- 11:25Speaker 1: three running back because of the volume.
- 11:28Speaker 5: But sometimes, you know, you got a guy like Scudero
- 11:31Speaker 5: or some of those volume hogs that you mentioned that
- 11:33Speaker 5: are on the slate and just like too, too good
- 11:35Speaker 5: to pass up.
- 11:36Speaker 1: And they're very fairly priced.
- 11:38Speaker 6: It also depends where the quarterbacks are priced, if you
- 11:41Speaker 6: need to pay up at that position or not, if
- 11:43Speaker 6: you could pay down at that position and it allows
- 11:45Speaker 6: you to pay up for any back.
- 11:46Speaker 1: But that's such a week-to-week thing.
- 11:48Speaker 5: It really drives a lot of our weekly Saturday age conversations.
- 11:52Speaker 1: Is it a three running back week? Is it a
- 11:56Speaker 1: four receiver week?
- 11:57Speaker 6: Is it absolute quarterback in the super flex kind of week,
- 12:01Speaker 6: PPP especially? So it is really slate dependent based on, injuries, volume, salary,
- 12:08Speaker 6: at so many other levels. There's not really a rule
- 12:12Speaker 6: per se based on what you have.
- 12:18Speaker 2: Yeah, that's all I was going to say. I don't
- 12:20Speaker 2: really stay in one lane with one or the other.
- 12:22Speaker 2: It's just week to week. Ian pretty much covered it.
- 12:26Speaker 3: Yep, and apparently there's a sixth one. Aaron came in
- 12:30Speaker 3: ready to fight today. Never play a Minnesota offense unless
- 12:33Speaker 3: a showdown.
- 12:34Speaker 2: Nah.
- 12:34Speaker 3: Now, Drake Lindsey is going to be in the Heisman discussion.
- 12:37Speaker 3: He's being mocked in the top five by some, I'm
- 12:39Speaker 3: going to call them draft experts, the highest of high experts,
- 12:43Speaker 3: putting Drake Lindsey in the top five picks. All right,
- 12:46Speaker 3: so that's the commandments. Let's get into some football. Now,
- 12:49Speaker 3: I know there was some college football last night. So
- 12:51Speaker 3: if any of you grease balls out there, watch the
- 12:53Speaker 3: FCS games. It was pretty awesome. They had four Division
- 12:57Speaker 3: II teams beat FCS teams last night. So that's like
- 13:00Speaker 3: the clear indicator that college football is back. Ohio Dominican-
- 13:03Speaker 3: beating Moorhead State in triple overtime, watching college football at
- 13:07Speaker 3: 1130 on a Thursday night. It just gets the juices flowing.
- 13:12Speaker 3: For this slate that we have up on the screen now,
- 13:15Speaker 3: starting with San Jose State and USC, huge spread, big
- 13:20Speaker 3: blowout potential. USC with an implied team total of 50 points.
- 13:23Speaker 3: I'm even seeing 50 and a half in some places.
- 13:26Speaker 3: But I think part of that is because Lincoln Riley
- 13:29Speaker 3: likes running up the score. Three of the previous four seasons,
- 13:32Speaker 3: they're averaging more than 60 points in their first game
- 13:36Speaker 3: of the season. The one game they did not hit
- 13:38Speaker 3: that was when they played LSU the first game of
- 13:40Speaker 3: the season. The rest of them have been against G6 opponents.
- 13:44Speaker 3: And San Jose State is 0-13 against their last ranked opponent.
- 13:48Speaker 3: So everything sets up for the blowout that's on paper.
- 13:51Speaker 3: These are the reasons why the spread is the way
- 13:54Speaker 3: it is. Let's talk San Jose State first. I think
- 13:57Speaker 3: we can get through this pretty quickly. Is there anything
- 14:00Speaker 3: you're looking at? I mean, Luke Weaver in from Hawaii.
- 14:02Speaker 3: Jabari Bates is probably a guy that we're going to
- 14:04Speaker 3: want to know later in the season, but I don't
- 14:07Speaker 3: know about this spot. But do you take a shot
- 14:09Speaker 3: on a guy like an Anthony Ivey at 3,800 just
- 14:11Speaker 3: for the reception upside? What are you looking at here, Kenny?
- 14:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you kind of nailed it on the head.
- 14:18Speaker 2: You know, I did notice since the last time I
- 14:19Speaker 2: looked at the stone, the San Jose State total has
- 14:21Speaker 2: moved up from 10.5 to 11.5. Big news. Charged it
- 14:26Speaker 2: up there. Yeah, the only thing I'm really interested in
- 14:29Speaker 2: is taking a flyer on one of these cheap pass catchers.
- 14:31Speaker 2: We've seen Nick Nash and Danny Scadero get some massive
- 14:34Speaker 2: volume in this offense. Granted, this is a different quarterback
- 14:37Speaker 2: this year, so I don't know if that's necessarily going
- 14:39Speaker 2: to translate perfectly. But, you know, in a 150 build,
- 14:43Speaker 2: I'll probably– Run some runbacks with like an Anthony Ivey
- 14:48Speaker 2: who's transferring down from Penn State. But other than that,
- 14:51Speaker 2: it's probably the lowest team total and grossest spot on
- 14:55Speaker 2: the slate.
- 14:57Speaker 3: Yeah, and I don't have his stats from Penn State
- 15:00Speaker 3: in front of me. It's nothing earth shattering, but at
- 15:02Speaker 3: least you get a guy who's been on the field
- 15:03Speaker 3: with some of the power five players, even at practice.
- 15:07Speaker 3: So you know that he's got a little bit of
- 15:09Speaker 3: experience there. On the USC side, it's an interesting approach
- 15:15Speaker 3: for a different reason. How long are these guys going
- 15:17Speaker 3: to play? Obviously, if they only play a half, it's
- 15:20Speaker 3: because they put up a ton of points in the
- 15:22Speaker 3: first half, right? So the production is still going to
- 15:24Speaker 3: come with it. Jaden Maiva, the most expensive guy on
- 15:28Speaker 3: the slate, but for good reason. You know, looking at
- 15:31Speaker 3: Wayman Jordan and King Miller, what's that split going to
- 15:33Speaker 3: look like? I mean, the thought that Wayman Jordan is
- 15:36Speaker 3: not quite 100% yet. So we're looking at that. And
- 15:40Speaker 3: then the pass catchers, very interesting situation because we have
- 15:45Speaker 3: three freshmen. We have Mark Bowman at tight end, Caden Dixon-Wyatt,
- 15:50Speaker 3: Trent Mosley. But you can't forget about like Boobie Feaster.
- 15:55Speaker 3: Tanook Hines is listed as an or starter. He may
- 15:57Speaker 3: not be 100% as well. He's a game time decision.
- 16:00Speaker 3: Lincoln Riley said he's close, no question. But they don't,
- 16:05Speaker 3: I mean, they can slow play this. They don't play
- 16:06Speaker 3: anybody until the end of September. So they can really
- 16:08Speaker 3: approach this however they want, let their freshmen get their
- 16:10Speaker 3: feet wet. How do you approach this when we don't,
- 16:13Speaker 3: we don't know a lot other than these freshmen or
- 16:15Speaker 3: studs guys might play, might not, regardless of what the
- 16:19Speaker 3: depth chart says, especially with a 50 point team total.
- 16:24Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, I'm going to want something from this
- 16:26Speaker 2: like group of receivers and group of freshmen. It's just,
- 16:31Speaker 2: it's going to be interesting where the ownership shakes out.
- 16:33Speaker 2: Cause I, Obviously, you don't need much for a 3K
- 16:39Speaker 2: guy to make value, but we'll get into this more
- 16:42Speaker 2: and more. I think you're going to need some ceiling performances.
- 16:47Speaker 2: I kind of like just spreading out and forcing these
- 16:51Speaker 2: guys with Jade Maiva and not really playing them as one-offs,
- 16:55Speaker 2: especially a chalkier guy like a Bowman or a Dixon Wyatt.
- 16:59Speaker 2: Just correlate them with Maiva and then the one-offs using
- 17:03Speaker 2: the lower-owned guys as More one-offs. Gosh, it's just a
- 17:08Speaker 2: 50-point total. I don't know how long they're going to play.
- 17:11Speaker 2: Last year, this game was 63-21. I don't know all
- 17:15Speaker 2: the players' stats, but, I mean, there is some upside
- 17:18Speaker 2: even in that 50-implied team total. But I just, yeah,
- 17:22Speaker 2: I want pieces from all directions. I don't know how
- 17:24Speaker 2: many USC guys I'm comfortable in the lineup with. I mean,
- 17:28Speaker 2: definitely three. I don't know if I would get to four.
- 17:31Speaker 2: if it was like maybe a four or five game slate,
- 17:34Speaker 2: I'd be more interested in four, but I, yeah, I don't,
- 17:38Speaker 2: I don't quite know where I want to plant my
- 17:40Speaker 2: flag with the Trojans yet besides Maeva. Yeah. And Aaron's right. That's,
- 17:45Speaker 2: that's a really good point. You could just do that
- 17:47Speaker 2: and maybe avoid that completely. There's a ton of options
- 17:50Speaker 2: that are cheap and expensive at wide receiver. So that's
- 17:53Speaker 2: a very good point.
- 17:55Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 17:56Speaker 3: And maybe that's the answer and you could stack it seven,
- 17:59Speaker 3: seven different ways and, like Maiva might still be the
- 18:03Speaker 3: only one that gets there. But yeah, there's a lot
- 18:06Speaker 3: of points on the table. And like I said, Riley
- 18:09Speaker 3: likes to run up a score. He's got freshmen that
- 18:11Speaker 3: he probably wants to get in mid-season form as quickly
- 18:14Speaker 3: as possible. San Jose State's a good opponent to do
- 18:17Speaker 3: that against. So yeah, definitely on the radar. A more
- 18:21Speaker 3: competitive game coming up next, North Carolina State at Virginia.
- 18:25Speaker 3: An actual ACC conference game this season, unlike last year
- 18:29Speaker 3: where they Was it the same two teams that played
- 18:31Speaker 3: each other even though it was not a conference game?
- 18:34Speaker 2: Correct.
- 18:35Speaker 3: Just weird with the way they set it up now.
- 18:38Speaker 3: North Carolina, a four-point dog on the road, but competitive,
- 18:41Speaker 3: decent total. Looking at C.J. Bailey at 6,600, that was
- 18:47Speaker 3: maybe the first thing I noticed when I opened the slate.
- 18:49Speaker 3: It just seems so low. One thing to consider, though,
- 18:53Speaker 3: is he's got almost an entirely new wide receiver and
- 18:57Speaker 3: pass catcher core around him. So that maybe is the reason.
- 19:02Speaker 3: But CJ Bailey, solid. We know he can put up points.
- 19:06Speaker 3: Duke Scott is back with the Wolf Pack. He was
- 19:09Speaker 3: pretty solid when he had to fill in for Smothers
- 19:11Speaker 3: last season. And then wide receivers. This is where, like
- 19:16Speaker 3: I said, it gets interesting because Keenan Jackson is back
- 19:20Speaker 3: for North Carolina State. But now looking at the rest
- 19:23Speaker 3: of these guys, they're all transfers in. JoJo Trader was
- 19:25Speaker 3: going to be a stud or projected to be a
- 19:27Speaker 3: stud at Miami, he went to high school with C.J. Bailey,
- 19:32Speaker 3: so they might already have that chemistry. And then Davion
- 19:37Speaker 3: Dozier in from App State, Victor Snow in from Buffalo.
- 19:39Speaker 2: They're cheap.
- 19:43Speaker 3: Are we taking shots on these guys in a competitive
- 19:45Speaker 3: game regardless of what their status with the team was
- 19:47Speaker 3: last year and where they transferred in from?
- 19:50Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 19:51Speaker 2: I mean, kind of looking at NC state last year,
- 19:53Speaker 2: their receiver room was kind of hard to pick the guys.
- 19:56Speaker 2: We saw a lot of ceiling games from a lot
- 19:58Speaker 2: of different guys. So I'm, I mean, Jojo traders probably
- 20:01Speaker 2: going to be one of the chalkier value options on
- 20:04Speaker 2: the slate. I don't mind spreading them out. If I'm
- 20:06Speaker 2: pairing with CJ Bailey and, but one thing that sucks
- 20:10Speaker 2: with CJ Bailey is Will Wilson. He's a six foot,
- 20:13Speaker 2: six foot one, 230 pound vulture that loves to score
- 20:16Speaker 2: rushing touchdowns. He had 10 of them last year, which
- 20:19Speaker 2: really can cap into Bailey and Jaden, Jaden Scott's or
- 20:22Speaker 2: Duke Scott's upside. That's like just the main concern I
- 20:25Speaker 2: have with NC state as far as like, that's like,
- 20:29Speaker 2: that's why they're not like cash plays. I feel like
- 20:31Speaker 2: it's cause like Will Wilson's just lurking there. Um, Yeah,
- 20:35Speaker 2: I don't know how much I'm really going to have
- 20:37Speaker 2: of this team, especially at the wide receiver position. It's
- 20:42Speaker 2: such a guessing game. But, yeah, that kind of sums
- 20:48Speaker 2: it up. The Wolf Pack for me.
- 20:51Speaker 3: Yeah, and the other thing I'm not entirely sure is
- 20:56Speaker 3: if they're going to give the workhorse role. I would
- 21:00Speaker 3: think so. Like, I'm playing it that way. But Davian
- 21:03Speaker 3: Gauss is– not a slouch. He's in from North Carolina. So, uh, maybe,
- 21:08Speaker 3: maybe you see him. Maybe, I don't know. It's that's
- 21:10Speaker 3: tougher to predict too, but it's what we get a
- 21:12Speaker 3: feel for these first couple of weeks on the Virginia side.
- 21:15Speaker 3: They have Bo Pribula in from Missouri, um, previously at, uh,
- 21:22Speaker 3: Penn state and then not shown here, but he is
- 21:25Speaker 3: on the team. Eli Holstein from Pitt, uh, Pribula is
- 21:28Speaker 3: a starter. Maybe we see Holstein. Maybe we don't. I'd,
- 21:32Speaker 3: I doubt they'd throw two quarterbacks out. I bet they
- 21:34Speaker 3: just roll with one. Central Michigan's the only team that
- 21:37Speaker 3: likes playing two quarterbacks all the time, no matter what.
- 21:39Speaker 3: So Jaquel Middlebrook in from Middle Tennessee, absolute stud in
- 21:45Speaker 3: the MAAC, and kind of surprised me being listed as
- 21:48Speaker 3: a starter over Peyton Lewis in from Tennessee. I thought
- 21:50Speaker 3: it was going to be Lewis's job to lose, but
- 21:53Speaker 3: Middlebrook must have impressed. And then we have Jaquan Gibson,
- 21:57Speaker 3: Talir Coleman, Cam Courtney, guys we're looking at. Gibson was
- 22:00Speaker 3: a stud at UMass by UMass's like by their standards
- 22:05Speaker 3: uh one name you don't see on here is rico
- 22:07Speaker 3: flores since it's an acc game we already have an
- 22:09Speaker 3: injury report and rico flores is out so opens up
- 22:13Speaker 3: a lot of room for these cheap guys in a
- 22:15Speaker 3: pretty solid game environment.
- 22:19Speaker 2: Yeah i um i guess as far as the depth
- 22:22Speaker 2: chart goes rico flores i think he was listed as
- 22:25Speaker 2: a or with tyler coleman So I guess like with,
- 22:28Speaker 2: I mean, if we're going to go off that information,
- 22:29Speaker 2: I would assume he would start. I mean, he's three
- 22:32Speaker 2: K flat and that's, that's one that's not going to
- 22:34Speaker 2: get the ownership like Dixon Wyatt or Jojo trader. Um,
- 22:39Speaker 2: you know, previously you really don't have to pair. He's
- 22:41Speaker 2: definitely a guy you can play by himself. Um, but
- 22:44Speaker 2: if you wanted to stack like Gibson and Coleman, that's
- 22:47Speaker 2: where I'm kind of leaning Gibson. I know I drafted
- 22:50Speaker 2: him in a couple of best balls on some previous teams.
- 22:53Speaker 2: I know he kind of had some, uh, a couple
- 22:55Speaker 2: of articles about him throughout camp. And then, um, yeah, Middlebrook,
- 22:59Speaker 2: he's just, he's just slowly been trending hardcore this last month.
- 23:04Speaker 2: Didn't really know between him and Peyton Lewis, who was
- 23:06Speaker 2: going to get the run. And then last month, all
- 23:08Speaker 2: you've seen is Middlebrook running away with the RB one role, uh,
- 23:11Speaker 2: I don't know if that's going to quite be Jamari Taylor,
- 23:13Speaker 2: but if it's a Jamari Taylor type volume, Ja'Kai Middlebrook
- 23:17Speaker 2: might be the best running back player on the slate
- 23:19Speaker 2: at 6K. I don't know if he's going to quite
- 23:21Speaker 2: have that volume week one, but it is a conference game.
- 23:24Speaker 2: This game is going to matter late in the season.
- 23:26Speaker 2: So these teams have got to bring it Bring it.
- 23:28Speaker 2: And if Middlebrook's the guy, that's, I mean, 20-plus touches,
- 23:32Speaker 2: maybe even 25-plus if he has a Jamari Taylor-type goal.
- 23:36Speaker 2: So that's your cash running back right there, probably.
- 23:39Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think the ownership's going to come with it.
- 23:42Speaker 3: I would be remiss if I didn't mention Dakota Twitty,
- 23:46Speaker 3: tight end, returning part of this offense last year. And
- 23:50Speaker 3: he's a pretty good tight end, too. I mean, he's
- 23:53Speaker 3: only 3,600. But don't forget to take a look at him.
- 23:56Speaker 3: And then there's guys like Dylan Cope is a name
- 23:58Speaker 3: that I saw pop up with Flores out. Maybe they
- 24:00Speaker 3: get a true freshman into the rotation early. But that's
- 24:04Speaker 3: not that's not necessarily something we're going to take to
- 24:07Speaker 3: the bank week zero.
- 24:08Speaker 2: All right.
- 24:09Speaker 3: Moving on to a low scoring, but also pretty competitive
- 24:14Speaker 3: looking game. One that people are low key excited about
- 24:17Speaker 3: in terms of real football, because we have a new
- 24:19Speaker 3: FBS team on the slate. Jacksonville State at North Dakota State,
- 24:24Speaker 3: a rematch of the FCS title game in 2015. Jacksonville State,
- 24:29Speaker 3: a seven-point dog on the road against a new FBS team.
- 24:33Speaker 3: And I'm not surprised. North Dakota State has held their
- 24:35Speaker 3: own against big opponents before. They lost to Arizona by
- 24:41Speaker 3: three a few years ago. They lost to Colorado by five.
- 24:44Speaker 3: They've beaten extreme powerhouses multiple times back in the late 2000s,
- 24:50Speaker 3: early 2010s. They beat the Gophers twice. In Minnesota. So
- 24:55Speaker 3: these guys are world beaters for sure. But we're going
- 24:58Speaker 3: to start with the Jacksonville State side. Caden Creel, maybe
- 25:01Speaker 3: one of the more dynamic players on the slate for sure.
- 25:05Speaker 3: Super athletic. A ton of upside for DFS. It's just
- 25:09Speaker 3: a matter of if he can do it on the
- 25:11Speaker 3: road in the Fargo Dome against what appears to be
- 25:13Speaker 3: a tough defense. A freshman last year, so he's got
- 25:17Speaker 3: the experience now. The running back room looks a lot
- 25:20Speaker 3: different this year. Because it was Cam Cook for 250
- 25:23Speaker 3: yards and two touchdowns every week last year for Jacksonville State.
- 25:26Speaker 3: He's out the door. West Virginia, I believe. So now,
- 25:29Speaker 3: looking at it, I thought it was going to be
- 25:30Speaker 3: Christian Lando and Andrew Paul 1-2. Paul is a guy
- 25:33Speaker 3: who sniped touchdowns from Cook all the time. But on
- 25:37Speaker 3: the depth chart, it's Jalen Likely listed as the starter.
- 25:40Speaker 3: And then you have Cedric Kuemi listed as a number two,
- 25:42Speaker 3: a true freshman. This is one of those situations I
- 25:45Speaker 3: don't know how much trust to put in the depth
- 25:47Speaker 3: chart because we've seen it from Lando. We've seen it
- 25:49Speaker 3: from Paul. Heck, we've even seen it from Justice Savage,
- 25:51Speaker 3: and he's not listed on the depth chart either. He
- 25:55Speaker 3: was an Indiana commit a few years ago, ended up
- 25:58Speaker 3: going to Jacksonville State. So we'll get into the wide
- 26:03Speaker 3: receivers in a moment, but I want to get your
- 26:04Speaker 3: thoughts on this running back situation, knowing what we know
- 26:08Speaker 3: about these guys historically and comparing it to what the
- 26:10Speaker 3: depth chart looks like this year.
- 26:13Speaker 2: Yeah, it kind of sucks because, like, you'd think– I mean,
- 26:17Speaker 2: Jacksonville State just has a ton of rushing volume, and
- 26:20Speaker 2: there could be a spot there, but.
- 26:22Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 26:23Speaker 2: I almost feel like they just took the depth chart
- 26:25Speaker 2: and just, like, listed the running backs by their jersey
- 26:27Speaker 2: number in order from– and, like, it's just such a
- 26:30Speaker 2: crap shoot. I'm probably not going to mess with it,
- 26:32Speaker 2: especially– I mean, I kind of thought, you know, obviously
- 26:36Speaker 2: we don't know anything about these teams. It's a new season,
- 26:38Speaker 2: but I kind of thought Jacksonville State– bit of a
- 26:42Speaker 2: tighter spread a better team total here so they're definitely
- 26:45Speaker 2: respecting the uh North Dakota State defense but yeah as
- 26:48Speaker 2: far as the running backs go it's it's tough to
- 26:52Speaker 2: make a decision there even play any of them.
- 26:54Speaker 3: Yeah and the other thing to factor in too is
- 26:56Speaker 3: that Cam Cook was such a workhorse last year people
- 26:59Speaker 3: see Jalen Likely as a starter they could instantly think
- 27:02Speaker 3: oh he's replacing Cam Cook he's 4,100 and we could
- 27:05Speaker 3: see Likely's ownership spike because of it and And then
- 27:08Speaker 3: you got people who watched Jacksonville State last year who know, oh,
- 27:13Speaker 3: we're going to be looking at the box score the
- 27:14Speaker 3: next day and see that Lando had 15 carries for
- 27:17Speaker 3: 110 yards and likely only had eight carries. And we're
- 27:21Speaker 3: not going to be surprised. So that's some of the
- 27:25Speaker 3: things you have to look at with these early season
- 27:27Speaker 3: depth charts and honestly some depth charts even throughout the
- 27:29Speaker 3: entire season. But we'll get to the wide receivers now. Oh,
- 27:32Speaker 3: and also factor in that with Creel running the ball,
- 27:35Speaker 3: that eats into the running back production too.
- 27:37Speaker 2: Mm-hmm.
- 27:38Speaker 3: Uh, wide receivers, Deandre Johnson, massive, massive, massive human being
- 27:43Speaker 3: six foot eight, 220 pounds. Uh, so you think he's
- 27:47Speaker 3: a matchup nightmare for everybody, but he had some trouble
- 27:49Speaker 3: catching the ball. Uh, I would not be surprised to
- 27:52Speaker 3: see his ownership get a little, uh, juiced, but Ronell
- 27:57Speaker 3: Johnson's in for Missouri state. He was very good at
- 27:59Speaker 3: Missouri state. It, but it's, it's conference USA. So that's,
- 28:05Speaker 3: I think the weakest, weakest conference in college football. Darius
- 28:09Speaker 3: Cannon's the third starting whiteout. He's been talked about the
- 28:13Speaker 3: entirety of the spring and summer camp. So I'm not
- 28:16Speaker 3: surprised that he's starting, but we could see Frank Barrett,
- 28:18Speaker 3: Gabe Glover, David Alpers involved. I just don't know in
- 28:22Speaker 3: a 19, 19 and a half, 20 point team total,
- 28:25Speaker 3: how much of this you're really looking at and what
- 28:28Speaker 3: appears to be a sloggy game. That's going to be
- 28:30Speaker 3: run heavy. Yeah.
- 28:32Speaker 2: It's just, it's like a volume issue that, and a
- 28:35Speaker 2: team total issue for the passing game. That being said,
- 28:38Speaker 2: DeAndre Johnson is a really good one-off. You definitely don't
- 28:42Speaker 2: have to pair him with Creel. I think they can
- 28:44Speaker 2: be played separate, together, whatever. Just don't be– like, DeAndre
- 28:48Speaker 2: Johnson is probably going to get you, like, two for
- 28:52Speaker 2: 110-2 or, like, one for six with three drops. Like,
- 28:55Speaker 2: there's just– he's super volatile, but definitely excited to see
- 29:00Speaker 2: what he can do. You know, really, other than that,
- 29:02Speaker 2: I don't have much interest– You know, maybe in GPPs,
- 29:07Speaker 2: like forcing a couple of Ronells just with Caden Creel
- 29:10Speaker 2: and in a North Dakota State stack. But yeah, I'm
- 29:15Speaker 2: more interested in kind of the Caden Creel's rushing here
- 29:19Speaker 2: and some DeAndre Johnson one-offs.
- 29:22Speaker 3: Yeah, maybe a game that you look at props a
- 29:25Speaker 3: little bit harder than DFS necessarily. So the North Dakota
- 29:31Speaker 3: State side. Their quarterback is in a similar situation as
- 29:35Speaker 3: last year. Nathan Hayes is the next man up. And
- 29:40Speaker 3: actually we're going to try to get Ian in here
- 29:41Speaker 3: one more time. See if he found, see if he
- 29:44Speaker 3: found the signal.
- 29:46Speaker 1: Hopefully he found the spot. Sorry.
- 29:49Speaker 3: No, it's, it's good.
- 29:50Speaker 2: It's week zero.
- 29:51Speaker 3: Hey, we're, I mean, we're going to see some rust
- 29:53Speaker 3: on the field on Saturday. We're all getting our bearings straight,
- 29:56Speaker 3: getting our feet wet, whatever cliche you want to use.
- 29:59Speaker 3: But we got Nathan Hayes up at QB for North
- 30:04Speaker 3: Dakota State. Don't know a ton about him. He played
- 30:07Speaker 3: some last year, and I think if they throw the ball,
- 30:12Speaker 3: he's in a really good spot. But I've listened to
- 30:15Speaker 3: the North Dakota State guys, and Cole Payton, who's in
- 30:17Speaker 3: the NFL now, was in a similar situation last year.
- 30:20Speaker 3: They didn't really know what they were going to get,
- 30:21Speaker 3: and he ended up being a stud. So the other
- 30:25Speaker 3: thing I look at, North Dakota State has five quarterbacks
- 30:27Speaker 3: in the league. Nathan Hayes is a big body rocket arm,
- 30:31Speaker 3: just hasn't had much opportunity to prove it yet. So
- 30:33Speaker 3: I think he's in a good spot if they throw
- 30:35Speaker 3: kind of in that mid-range, might be overlooked at quarterback
- 30:39Speaker 3: if you're looking for leverage. The running back room, DJ
- 30:43Speaker 3: Scott's the number one. He was already in the rotation
- 30:46Speaker 3: last year as the number two guy. Now they'll probably
- 30:47Speaker 3: use two guys, but in all likelihood, I would see,
- 30:50Speaker 3: I would predict it's going to be like a two
- 30:51Speaker 3: to one carry ratio. So Scott's the guy you're looking at.
- 30:55Speaker 3: And then the wide receiver room, Jackson Williams, A ton
- 30:58Speaker 3: of upside was part of the rotation last year. Makai
- 31:01Speaker 3: Collins is another big body guy that contested catches. Isaiah St.
- 31:05Speaker 3: Romain is a name you'll hear. Reese Kessel at tight end.
- 31:09Speaker 3: But one guy that I would not be surprised to
- 31:12Speaker 3: see get a lot of field time is Jeremiah Patterson.
- 31:15Speaker 3: If you recognize the name, it's because he played at
- 31:17Speaker 3: Arizona and he was on a lot of slates in
- 31:21Speaker 3: years past. So coming from a P4 school down to
- 31:25Speaker 3: North Dakota State, I think even though he's not listed
- 31:27Speaker 3: as a starter, He's got a lot of opportunity here.
- 31:31Speaker 3: But 27 points is enough points for me to be
- 31:34Speaker 3: interested as a favorite at home. How are you guys
- 31:36Speaker 3: looking at North Dakota State?
- 31:40Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm definitely interested. DJ Scott could kind of get
- 31:46Speaker 2: overlooked here. I mean, there's just so many solid running
- 31:50Speaker 2: back plays. I think people would click Middlebrook before him,
- 31:54Speaker 2: maybe even the USC guys before him. So I'm kind
- 31:57Speaker 2: of hoping maybe we get a little moonwalk from DJ Scott.
- 32:03Speaker 2: As far as the rest of the team goes, I'm interested.
- 32:06Speaker 2: I don't know to what level. Like I'm definitely going
- 32:08Speaker 2: to play some Hayes with some Williams and some Collins.
- 32:13Speaker 2: You know, beyond that, I'm going to have to definitely
- 32:15Speaker 2: look at some Jeremiah Patterson some more. But yeah, and
- 32:20Speaker 2: I know obviously we don't have, but isn't North Dakota
- 32:24Speaker 2: State like generally considered kind of a slower team? slower team.
- 32:28Speaker 2: If they get the lead, get to control the ball,
- 32:30Speaker 2: that's kind of some downside with just this game environment
- 32:34Speaker 2: as a whole. If North Dakota State plays some really
- 32:36Speaker 2: good defense and can just control the ball, run the clock,
- 32:41Speaker 2: could kind of hurt everybody's volume as a whole there.
- 32:47Speaker 3: When we get into the season, we'll start seeing some
- 32:48Speaker 3: of these grades pop up once we have the data.
- 32:50Speaker 3: I would not be surprised to see an F or
- 32:53Speaker 3: a D next to pace for North Dakota State. Ian,
- 32:57Speaker 3: thoughts on this game?
- 32:58Speaker 7: It's going to be a competitive game, so you should
- 33:02Speaker 7: get volume. There's some unknowns that we have. Camille's obviously
- 33:07Speaker 7: a guy that's a known quantity. Jacksonville State, these are
- 33:09Speaker 7: two really, really good group of six teams, which makes
- 33:12Speaker 7: it interesting.
- 33:13Speaker 6: A couple of these games have a lot to play
- 33:16Speaker 6: for as far as potential down the road for that
- 33:19Speaker 6: group of six bid.
- 33:21Speaker 1: You get volume here. That's what really tells me. Competitive
- 33:24Speaker 1: game is you can count on the volume, and in order.
- 33:26Speaker 6: Florida state running back is probably like the spot that
- 33:30Speaker 6: stands out in one of those single entry cash type plays.
- 33:32Speaker 8: Cause you could probably depend on, you know, 20, 25
- 33:35Speaker 8: touches in this game.
- 33:37Speaker 6: Everything else is kind of like maybe, which.
- 33:39Speaker 1: Makes it a little hard.
- 33:41Speaker 6: Plus the slower pace and so many unknowns, you know,
- 33:48Speaker 6: it's hard to project volume here besides what we know
- 33:51Speaker 6: at the running back and quarterback positions.
- 33:56Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 33:56Speaker 3: And the thing you touched on the most is it's
- 33:58Speaker 3: one of the competitive games on the slate. It's, it's
- 34:00Speaker 3: one of those games that you might overlook at first
- 34:04Speaker 3: because of the low total. And then, you know, one
- 34:06Speaker 3: extra touchdown by each team. And all of a sudden
- 34:08Speaker 3: we're looking at a 34 to 26 game at 60 points.
- 34:12Speaker 3: So it doesn't take much, just one, you know, the
- 34:15Speaker 3: pendulum swinging one way or the other a little bit
- 34:17Speaker 3: more than projected. And we're looking at a higher scoring game.
- 34:23Speaker 3: But speaking of competitive G6 games, We have a MAAC
- 34:27Speaker 3: conference game, week zero. Instant, instant MAACtion. I know that
- 34:32Speaker 3: one was one of the things teased on X, and
- 34:35Speaker 3: here we are. Nine and a half point spread as
- 34:38Speaker 3: it sits right now, but a lot of points on
- 34:40Speaker 3: the table, a solid team total for Eastern Michigan. Sacramento State,
- 34:44Speaker 3: the other team moving up from FCS to FBS, which
- 34:48Speaker 3: they haven't been particularly relevant at the FCS level in three, four,
- 34:52Speaker 3: five years. I think like four or five years ago,
- 34:54Speaker 3: they were 12 and one, but since then it's been average.
- 34:59Speaker 3: And North Dakota State, I think is an outlier, but
- 35:02Speaker 3: typically it takes these FCS teams maybe a year to
- 35:04Speaker 3: figure it out. We saw it with Kennesaw last year,
- 35:08Speaker 3: Delaware and Missouri State were at least competitive in a
- 35:10Speaker 3: lot of those games. So I'm not going to write
- 35:13Speaker 3: this team off completely, especially because they have a quarterback
- 35:18Speaker 3: named Carson Conklin at $ 6, 000, who was at Sacramento State
- 35:23Speaker 3: left to go to Fresno for a year And now
- 35:26Speaker 3: he's back at Sacramento State. They didn't throw the ball
- 35:29Speaker 3: very much last year, but I think that was a
- 35:31Speaker 3: product of who their quarterbacks were. And it got a
- 35:34Speaker 3: chuckle when we met earlier this week because those quarterbacks
- 35:37Speaker 3: were Cardell Williams and former five-star recruit Jaden Rashada. Should
- 35:42Speaker 3: be a familiar name to college football fans. Very disappointing
- 35:47Speaker 3: arc to his career. But Carson Conklin is cheap. I
- 35:54Speaker 3: think they're going to throw the ball more when he
- 35:56Speaker 3: was at Sac State before, threw for 3,000 yards, had
- 35:58Speaker 3: a 28-8 touchdown-to-interception ratio, so he can throw the ball.
- 36:03Speaker 3: And then in the running back room, Jamar Curtis looks
- 36:05Speaker 3: to be the guy, back-to-back 1,000-yard rusher at Lafayette. Last year,
- 36:09Speaker 3: he was hurt with an ankle injury, but he appears
- 36:12Speaker 3: to be fully healthy. Now, the biggest concern I would
- 36:14Speaker 3: have with him is that the guy you see below him,
- 36:16Speaker 3: Elias Brown, is 50 pounds heavier than him, so he
- 36:19Speaker 3: might get sniped at the goal line, although Curtis is
- 36:21Speaker 3: like a bowling ball, so The concern isn't as great
- 36:24Speaker 3: as if you were looking at like a gadgety back
- 36:26Speaker 3: getting replaced by a bowling ball. It's a bowling ball
- 36:28Speaker 3: being replaced by a bigger bowling ball in this case.
- 36:32Speaker 3: And then in the wide receiver room, Ontario Smith Jr., yes,
- 36:36Speaker 3: son of the Wizenator himself, former Viking Ontario Smith, leads
- 36:42Speaker 3: the charge. He's one of the guys, maybe the one
- 36:44Speaker 3: guy in the room that played with Conklin and already
- 36:46Speaker 3: has a relationship built. It sounds like they've had a
- 36:49Speaker 3: good chemistry right away in the spring and summer as well.
- 36:52Speaker 3: And then Matthew Coleman and Jace Wilson are transfers in.
- 36:55Speaker 3: Coleman from San Jose State, who could have been a
- 36:57Speaker 3: number one receiver at the G6 level, but Danny Scadero
- 37:00Speaker 3: was there. And Jace Wilson's a big dude from UTSA
- 37:03Speaker 3: that I thought would be the starter, but Raden Brown
- 37:06Speaker 3: is actually the slot starter. He had a pretty good
- 37:09Speaker 3: career up until last year at Idaho State. So more
- 37:13Speaker 3: cheap guys. This is a really, really cheap stack if
- 37:15Speaker 3: you think Sacramento State's going to throw the ball.
- 37:20Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not going to pretend to really know much
- 37:22Speaker 2: about any of these guys, but I'm super interested in
- 37:25Speaker 2: this game environment. So I think the way I'm going
- 37:28Speaker 2: to play this is play Sacramento State guys running back
- 37:31Speaker 2: with Eastern Michigan, kind of force that position and my
- 37:35Speaker 2: GPP builds to kind of be overweight on that. But
- 37:39Speaker 2: I like a lot of different pieces in this game,
- 37:42Speaker 2: just stacking it up as a whole. But as far
- 37:46Speaker 2: as Knowing who's going to do it, I'm just going
- 37:48Speaker 2: to have to guess and check here. But, yeah, that's
- 37:53Speaker 2: all I really have on Sac State.
- 37:56Speaker 5: The thing I know for Sac State, they were a
- 37:58Speaker 5: little bit more competitive last year.
- 38:00Speaker 1: They didn't have a coaching change, though.
- 38:02Speaker 6: They hired Brendan Marion, who was the offensive coordinator, kind
- 38:05Speaker 6: of a pretty well-known offensive play caller. He was at UMV.
- 38:09Speaker 6: Then he took the head coaching job there. He's got
- 38:12Speaker 6: the go-go offense is what they call him. He left
- 38:15Speaker 6: to take the offensive coordinator job at Colorado, so I
- 38:17Speaker 6: think they thought that he was going to be the
- 38:19Speaker 6: one leading him in to the FBS, but he's.
- 38:24Speaker 2: Not there anymore.
- 38:26Speaker 8: So it's definitely a regime change as far as the
- 38:29Speaker 8: go-go offense to.
- 38:31Speaker 1: Not so much. But it's definitely a competitive match game.
- 38:34Speaker 6: The game matters for conference standings and the conference point
- 38:37Speaker 6: of view, which is nice to have on win zero.
- 38:39Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah.
- 38:41Speaker 1: For sure.
- 38:42Speaker 3: We're not used to Maction this early, much less on
- 38:44Speaker 3: the Saturday slate. On the EMU side, big favorites, a
- 38:49Speaker 3: lot of points on the table. A couple of significant notes,
- 38:52Speaker 3: I think. This is the first time in the last
- 38:54Speaker 3: 12 years that EMU has had the same starting quarterback
- 38:56Speaker 3: to start the season in back-to-back years. His name is
- 38:59Speaker 3: Noah Kim. He was initially recruited to Michigan State, ended
- 39:03Speaker 3: up at Eastern Michigan, was solid last year. One thing
- 39:06Speaker 3: I like about him, he's going to throw the ball
- 39:09Speaker 3: around a little bit. but it's an RPO offense. And
- 39:13Speaker 3: he had six rushing touchdowns last season, which was the
- 39:16Speaker 3: most on the team. So they like to run that RPO,
- 39:19Speaker 3: specifically the R inside the 10, inside the five. So
- 39:24Speaker 3: the touchdown upside is there both on the ground and
- 39:25Speaker 3: through the air. And then with that, Noah Kim has
- 39:31Speaker 3: receivers coming back. Josh Long, Nick Devereaux accounted for 116
- 39:35Speaker 3: targets combined last year. Devereaux led the team in yards, receptions, touchdowns,
- 39:41Speaker 3: had almost half of all of the passing touchdowns thrown
- 39:44Speaker 3: last year. So he is a stellar option at sub 5K.
- 39:48Speaker 3: Harold Mack is their playmaker. You hear people say it
- 39:53Speaker 3: all the time. He's the big play guy. And then
- 39:56Speaker 3: aforementioned Joshua Long is a tight end. So it's just
- 39:59Speaker 3: the target share for him. And then in the running
- 40:01Speaker 3: back room, this is going to be a little bit
- 40:04Speaker 3: more of an interesting running back room because Amarion Blue is.
- 40:12Speaker 3: Looking like he's going to be the starter, at least
- 40:14Speaker 3: get the first carry of the game. But Joey mattered
- 40:16Speaker 3: is going to work in, in all likelihood. And then
- 40:19Speaker 3: Braden Bennett is now in Ypsilanti, which is a step
- 40:23Speaker 3: down because he was at coastal. And then he was
- 40:25Speaker 3: at Virginia tech thought he was going to have, you know,
- 40:27Speaker 3: a P four career. Now he's back in the G
- 40:30Speaker 3: five in the max. So the talent is there and
- 40:33Speaker 3: you can even tell the pricing is reverse of what
- 40:35Speaker 3: we have it on the stone right now. Um, because there's,
- 40:39Speaker 3: there's just some question marks on exactly what this rotation
- 40:42Speaker 3: is going to look like. But if we're talking about
- 40:44Speaker 3: Sacramento state, we can use them either as a stack
- 40:47Speaker 3: or a run back because there's some stacks on this
- 40:49Speaker 3: side that I like as well.
- 40:52Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 40:53Speaker 2: I love Eastern Michigan on the slate. Let's not really,
- 40:55Speaker 2: I don't say that very often. I don't know if
- 40:57Speaker 2: I've said that ever in my life, but I, um, I,
- 41:01Speaker 2: I think that they just have a ton of options.
- 41:02Speaker 2: I think Noah cams an awesome play. You can play
- 41:04Speaker 2: him by himself. Um, he's got some great pairing partners. Um,
- 41:09Speaker 2: I love taking a shot on these running backs. I mean,
- 41:12Speaker 2: blue is obviously probably going to be the highest sound.
- 41:14Speaker 2: I don't think that he's going to get much ownership though.
- 41:18Speaker 2: And I mean, really it just takes, you know, 80
- 41:20Speaker 2: yards and a couple of touchdowns for one of these
- 41:22Speaker 2: guys to possibly get you a GPP win at like
- 41:25Speaker 2: sub 3% ownership. Um, I guess blue, blue will be
- 41:29Speaker 2: over that, but the other two should be next to nothing. Um,
- 41:33Speaker 2: but yeah, like I said, I love this game environment.
- 41:35Speaker 2: I want like, I love game stacks of this. I, um, So,
- 41:40Speaker 2: but yeah, I didn't think I'd be as excited about
- 41:42Speaker 2: an Eastern Michigan SAC state game, but here we are
- 41:44Speaker 2: week zero.
- 41:45Speaker 3: That's a glory in DFS.
- 41:48Speaker 1: It's a classic spot though.
- 41:50Speaker 5: You know, you strip down the names of the, of
- 41:52Speaker 5: the teams and you just look at the numbers, the
- 41:55Speaker 5: point spread, the implied team total, the salaries, the projections.
- 41:59Speaker 6: And, and these guys are, they're 10 point favorites. They
- 42:02Speaker 6: got 30 plus point team total.
- 42:04Speaker 1: It's a game. It's not a big slate.
- 42:06Speaker 6: You know, they got affordable skill players and quarterback. It's
- 42:09Speaker 6: just a spot to like, if you just look at
- 42:12Speaker 6: that without the name brand itself.
- 42:15Speaker 8: Yeah.
- 42:15Speaker 3: And I mean, even if you need a min price option,
- 42:17Speaker 3: if you think Eastern Michigan is going to spread the
- 42:20Speaker 3: ball out a little bit there, it looks like there's
- 42:22Speaker 3: a cozy option at minimum price on the stone. So yeah,
- 42:27Speaker 3: Eastern Michigan, great spot in case you guys can't see
- 42:31Speaker 3: it says cozy Isaac on the screen. That's his name.
- 42:33Speaker 3: That was, that was a joke. I'm just going to
- 42:36Speaker 3: lay it all out there.
- 42:37Speaker 1: No, good game environment.
- 42:40Speaker 3: And if Sacramento State can keep it competitive, I don't
- 42:43Speaker 3: even mind the over in that game. They're both bad
- 42:47Speaker 3: football teams in the grand scheme of things, but bad
- 42:49Speaker 3: football can make for good DFS scores. Now, one that's
- 42:53Speaker 3: not good football on both sides, New Mexico State at
- 42:56Speaker 3: Florida State, the lowest team total on the slate now
- 43:00Speaker 3: that San Jose State's up to 11.5. We have New
- 43:03Speaker 3: Mexico State. I don't know how much we need to
- 43:05Speaker 3: talk about them. The only thing I'd like to touch
- 43:07Speaker 3: on is TK King. He might be a little bit
- 43:09Speaker 3: too expensive for me in this spot, though. But I
- 43:11Speaker 3: think if New Mexico State is going to have success,
- 43:14Speaker 3: he's the dynamic playmaker who's going to be able to
- 43:17Speaker 3: do it for them. Because I think he is a
- 43:19Speaker 3: P4 talent on New Mexico State. He was a stud
- 43:23Speaker 3: last year. He came onto the scene midseason and instantly
- 43:26Speaker 3: blew up. I would argue the best player on this offense.
- 43:30Speaker 3: Are you guys touching New Mexico State at all?
- 43:34Speaker 2: Yeah, T.K. King, and I'm going to correlate T.K. King
- 43:37Speaker 2: probably with the Florida State guy, but that is it.
- 43:41Speaker 6: Sounds more like a GPP runback option from my point
- 43:44Speaker 6: of view as opposed to a city-country cash kind of play.
- 43:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I might just cross off New Mexico State and cash.
- 43:51Speaker 3: They can hang out with San Jose State in the
- 43:52Speaker 3: corner or hang out with the guy in the back.
- 43:58Speaker 3: On the Florida State side, kind of similar to USC.
- 44:01Speaker 3: The biggest difference between USC and Florida State is who
- 44:03Speaker 3: their opponents are upcoming. USC has a cake schedule for
- 44:06Speaker 3: most of September, but after this week, Florida State plays
- 44:10Speaker 3: SMU and Alabama. So how they approach this game, their
- 44:14Speaker 3: next opponents could have a more significant impact. What we
- 44:17Speaker 3: do know is Ashton Daniels is named the starter, despite
- 44:21Speaker 3: Norvell not releasing a depth chart. He at least gave
- 44:23Speaker 3: us that much. $ 500 cheaper than Maiva, similar spot. dual
- 44:28Speaker 3: threat quarterback. We've seen, we've seen Daniels run in the past.
- 44:33Speaker 3: There's again, same, same sort of deal. Chancey only plays
- 44:36Speaker 3: two to three quarters, but he's a guy who can
- 44:37Speaker 3: put up a ton of points in two to three quarters.
- 44:40Speaker 3: And he's got one stellar pass catcher that we know
- 44:43Speaker 3: in Deuce Robinson, clear number one guy. There's a reason
- 44:46Speaker 3: he's as expensive as he is. I imagine he will
- 44:48Speaker 3: get more expensive as the season goes on. And then
- 44:51Speaker 3: you have Makai Danzy, who's expected to be the number two.
- 44:54Speaker 3: Javen Boggs should be involved. Devin Carter, is a huge recruit.
- 44:58Speaker 3: They flip from Oregon, who is looking like he's going
- 45:02Speaker 3: to be a stud freshman this year. They'll probably get
- 45:05Speaker 3: him involved early. Jason Lopez is another highly guarded recruit,
- 45:10Speaker 3: and you're going to find his name in two spots
- 45:12Speaker 3: on Florida State's website because he is a guard for
- 45:14Speaker 3: the basketball team as well. What that tells me is
- 45:17Speaker 3: he's incredibly athletic. So just some notes to like, if
- 45:22Speaker 3: you want to take some shots on cheap guys, don't
- 45:24Speaker 3: forget about Devin Carter and Jason Lopez. And then the
- 45:29Speaker 3: running back room is probably the more interesting thing. Usame
- 45:32Speaker 3: Nkroma is going to start. I'm going to stand on
- 45:36Speaker 3: business and say he's going to start this game. Trey
- 45:39Speaker 3: Wisner is in from Texas. But Trey Wisner, it might
- 45:43Speaker 3: not be healthy. And if he's not healthy, they might,
- 45:47Speaker 3: like we talked about it, he's a guy that you
- 45:50Speaker 3: might just keep on the bench. We thought he was
- 45:52Speaker 3: going to be out. Then Norvell said he was available.
- 45:54Speaker 3: He's practicing this week. But you save him for Alabama
- 45:58Speaker 3: and SMU, right? You don't mess with him against New
- 46:00Speaker 3: Mexico State. So that opens up Sam Singleton as the
- 46:04Speaker 3: likely backup. And then one other point, and then I'll
- 46:07Speaker 3: let you guys take over, that Aaron said, are people
- 46:10Speaker 3: going to be afraid to play FSU with the early
- 46:13Speaker 3: season duds they've laid? Against New Mexico State, I personally
- 46:18Speaker 3: don't think so, especially with I mean, no, I don't
- 46:23Speaker 3: think so. I think these guys are still going to.
- 46:24Speaker 2: Get a point spread.
- 46:25Speaker 6: With everything, point total, implied point total, point spread, I
- 46:30Speaker 6: don't think so. One thing I'll add, so we know
- 46:32Speaker 6: that obviously they got some great receivers. Daniels is who
- 46:34Speaker 6: he is. He's been pretty decent for DFS the last
- 46:37Speaker 6: few years. Mike Morvell, head coach of Florida State, is
- 46:41Speaker 6: taking over play calling duties this year for the first time.
- 46:43Speaker 6: It's obviously a very desperate coaching room. They're under a
- 46:46Speaker 6: lot of pressure, a lot of fire. They have a
- 46:49Speaker 6: Labor Day schedule. game next week hosting SMU and they got,
- 46:53Speaker 6: they're not close to like, they got to get the
- 46:55Speaker 6: fan base excited about this.
- 46:57Speaker 1: And one of the things is he's taken over the.
- 46:59Speaker 6: Play calling duty. So will they want to try to score? Maybe,
- 47:04Speaker 6: maybe not. That could be some narratives, but it is
- 47:07Speaker 6: a shift in a change in regime or, or a
- 47:09Speaker 6: thought process culture from the, from the offensive play caller
- 47:13Speaker 6: point of view, being the head coach now.
- 47:18Speaker 2: Yeah. I, I, It'll be interesting to see how early
- 47:22Speaker 2: they call off the dogs. Deuce Robinson is still probably
- 47:28Speaker 2: the best wide receiver player on the slate. He can
- 47:31Speaker 2: easily get there in a half. He's so explosive. And
- 47:36Speaker 2: Danzy's kind of similar. I almost like GPPs. I'll probably
- 47:40Speaker 2: be overweight Danzy and match the fields with Deuce. Even
- 47:44Speaker 2: though Danzy's going to carry a fair amount of ownership.
- 47:48Speaker 2: As far as the running backs go, Wisner, I'm just
- 47:51Speaker 2: going to take my chances and not even play him
- 47:54Speaker 2: this week. But if he's limited, which is how I'm
- 47:58Speaker 2: going to play it, or out, I think Sam Singleton
- 48:01Speaker 2: is super interesting at 5,100. He shouldn't garner much ownership there.
- 48:06Speaker 2: Maybe if we get Wisner 100% out, he might get
- 48:10Speaker 2: a little more steam. But this is a later-in-the-day game,
- 48:13Speaker 2: and people might already kind of have their stuff set.
- 48:16Speaker 2: But as far as GPPs, really the only guys that
- 48:19Speaker 2: aren't getting ownership would be like Singleton and Boggs. The
- 48:23Speaker 2: rest of them were getting plenty of, plenty of ownership
- 48:25Speaker 2: and they're all, they're all good plays. But yeah, I just,
- 48:29Speaker 2: I don't necessarily have a super comfortable lane with how
- 48:33Speaker 2: I want to go with them yet. Yeah.
- 48:35Speaker 3: Certainly another spot like USC where you want to get
- 48:38Speaker 3: a piece of that point total. There's just a bunch
- 48:40Speaker 3: of different ways you can play it and a Back
- 48:47Speaker 3: to some competitive games, and we're going to run into
- 48:49Speaker 3: some late hammers here. Hawaii at Stanford. We have Hawaii
- 48:54Speaker 3: on the road as a four-point dog. Am I crazy,
- 48:58Speaker 3: or were they a favorite at one point?
- 49:02Speaker 4: I don't think they were a favorite, but it's been
- 49:06Speaker 4: one-way traffic on Stanford money.
- 49:08Speaker 1: It's gotten out pretty far.
- 49:09Speaker 6: It's coming back a little bit right now, but there's
- 49:12Speaker 6: definitely been heavy Stanford movement and then injuries on the
- 49:18Speaker 6: hawaii side which i know you talked about in a
- 49:20Speaker 6: second that's about the cause but it has been one-way
- 49:24Speaker 6: traffic traffic towards stanford.
- 49:28Speaker 3: Yeah and then so yeah we'll get into the players
- 49:30Speaker 3: micah alejado reigning mountain west freshman of the year broke
- 49:33Speaker 3: the school and conference records for most touchdowns thrown by
- 49:36Speaker 3: freshmen Eighth in the nation, 284 yards a game. We
- 49:40Speaker 3: know the type of offense. Hawaii loves to run and shoot,
- 49:43Speaker 3: and that benefits the quarterback a ton. Now in his
- 49:47Speaker 3: sophomore season, if he hits his progression, it's like sky's
- 49:52Speaker 3: the limit for this kid. Could be an absolute stud
- 49:56Speaker 3: all year, including this weekend. Cam Barfield is returning in
- 50:00Speaker 3: a decent spot, especially if the injuries come to fruition
- 50:04Speaker 3: and they are without Pafeli Ashlock. His status is up
- 50:07Speaker 3: in the air. We have not thought he's going to play.
- 50:10Speaker 3: Then there's random rumblings, kind of like Trey Wisner. Oh,
- 50:13Speaker 3: he's available. Oh, he's going to suit up. He's going
- 50:15Speaker 3: to be on the field, but limited. I like just
- 50:20Speaker 3: gut feeling. I don't think he plays. So that opens
- 50:22Speaker 3: up like Audrick Harris and Devin Alves from Virginia Tech. And,
- 50:26Speaker 3: you know, some of these other guys in the wide
- 50:28Speaker 3: receiver room. But I think if Ashlock is out, it
- 50:31Speaker 3: might push me to Cam Barfield a little bit more.
- 50:36Speaker 2: I'm definitely going to build Hawaii as if Ashlock is out.
- 50:43Speaker 2: Reading the quote of what kind of came up that
- 50:45Speaker 2: he could play, I can't remember the exact quote, but
- 50:49Speaker 2: I think it was interpreted kind of wrong. I think
- 50:52Speaker 2: he's out for sure. But in that same article, it
- 50:55Speaker 2: talked about Kayanoa Carvalho if I'm pronouncing that right, probably not.
- 51:02Speaker 3: I was hoping you'd have to say one of those names.
- 51:04Speaker 3: I wasn't going to do it.
- 51:07Speaker 2: Anyways, in that article, they talk about him as being
- 51:09Speaker 2: a slot back and, um, that's a pretty good position.
- 51:13Speaker 2: I think that's what Ashlock is technically listed as well. Um,
- 51:17Speaker 2: but I kind of like taking some shots on him
- 51:19Speaker 2: at 3k. I don't know how popular he'll get. I mean, Hawaii,
- 51:23Speaker 2: which wide receivers, like there's going to be some shots
- 51:25Speaker 2: taken here, especially since Alahata is a solid play. Um,
- 51:31Speaker 2: harris has the best project uh best prop but i
- 51:35Speaker 2: it's i think it's kind of a crap shoot um
- 51:38Speaker 2: as far as the running backs go i'm honestly i'm
- 51:40Speaker 2: not really interested in barfield i'm kind of interested in
- 51:42Speaker 2: rice maybe like sub like two percent um i think
- 51:47Speaker 2: he was at kansas state but i kind of i
- 51:51Speaker 2: um i don't know i might not even play any
- 51:53Speaker 2: hawaii running backs that's probably the optimal move but yeah
- 51:57Speaker 2: i uh Definitely don't mind getting a little weird in
- 52:00Speaker 2: this wide receiver room and playing guys if Ashlock is
- 52:03Speaker 2: for sure out.
- 52:05Speaker 3: Yeah, historically you're not rushing to play Hawaii running backs
- 52:08Speaker 3: in most situations.
- 52:10Speaker 4: Barfield was decent last year catching the ball at backfield.
- 52:13Speaker 4: He's got that connection with Alejandro. He's small, but he's
- 52:17Speaker 4: definitely a pocket passer type guy. He's a preseason conference
- 52:20Speaker 4: player of the year. It's Timmy Chang's.
- 52:23Speaker 6: Offense, which is that running shoot that spread them out,
- 52:27Speaker 6: throw close to the line. So the slot receivers is
- 52:30Speaker 6: always a big deal. That's why Ashlock was so heavy
- 52:33Speaker 6: coming in. So Carvelo, if he's the guy stepping in
- 52:35Speaker 6: the slot, that is definitely interesting. But I would expect
- 52:40Speaker 6: him to pass the ball well over 30 times coming
- 52:43Speaker 6: from Alejandro.
- 52:44Speaker 8: So there's a volume perspective there if you can get
- 52:46Speaker 8: that right.
- 52:49Speaker 2: For sure.
- 52:50Speaker 3: And then on the other side, I mean, there's opportunities
- 52:52Speaker 3: for stacks and runbacks to a certain extent. Michael Ford
- 52:54Speaker 3: is the biggest name you'll remember from last year with Stanford.
- 52:57Speaker 3: Workhorse back, expected to be the same this year. He
- 52:59Speaker 3: should get a lot of usage. His biggest issue in
- 53:02Speaker 3: the past has been health, but it's the first game
- 53:04Speaker 3: of the season. He should be healthy. Davis Warren in
- 53:06Speaker 3: from Michigan. I did not realize until today that he
- 53:10Speaker 3: had leukemia in 2019 and overcame it, beat it before
- 53:15Speaker 3: going to Michigan. He did start Summit Michigan a couple
- 53:18Speaker 3: of years ago. Wasn't great. 64% completion percentage, but There
- 53:22Speaker 3: weren't a ton of yards that came with it, and
- 53:25Speaker 3: he did have a bit of an interception problem. But
- 53:27Speaker 3: now at Stanford, against not Big Ten opponents all the time,
- 53:32Speaker 3: we could see a different Davis Warren for sure. And
- 53:35Speaker 3: then in the wide receiver room, we've had some projected
- 53:37Speaker 3: depth charts, but nothing official. Names that we've seen, Blackburn, Hall, Shaw,
- 53:43Speaker 3: Nico Brown. These last two games, getting information for these
- 53:49Speaker 3: teams has been tough sledding this week.
- 53:53Speaker 2: Yeah. It's yeah. No depth charts, of course, like official
- 53:57Speaker 2: depth charts. Um, I mean, I feel pretty confident in
- 54:00Speaker 2: Michael Ford having a very solid role last year. These
- 54:04Speaker 2: teams to play week zero and Michael Ford got a
- 54:07Speaker 2: ton of volume. So I don't think there's going to
- 54:08Speaker 2: be any like, Oh, start of the season. We don't
- 54:11Speaker 2: want to like burn his legs or anything like that. Um,
- 54:14Speaker 2: I'm obviously not interested in Davis Warren really at all
- 54:19Speaker 2: for DraftKings. Well, if we knew more about the receiver room,
- 54:24Speaker 2: I might be interested just because they are playing Hawaii.
- 54:28Speaker 2: But this receiver room, Biggie Blackburn is a tight end. And,
- 54:33Speaker 2: I mean, the reason we put him up top is
- 54:35Speaker 2: because that's maybe the only position that we kind of
- 54:38Speaker 2: know would be a starter.
- 54:41Speaker 3: We know Davis Warren can throw the ball that far.
- 54:44Speaker 2: Right, yeah. You're not wrong. But yeah, these other guys,
- 54:49Speaker 2: there's some... Go ahead, Ian.
- 54:52Speaker 1: No, I'll say look at the volume. You know, if
- 54:53Speaker 1: you shoot down the names, you know, it's week zero.
- 54:56Speaker 1: We don't look at the names. It's a running back.
- 54:59Speaker 6: Who had 20-plus touches a game last year, catches the
- 55:02Speaker 6: ball as a receiver, runs the ball, gets a goal line, carries.
- 55:05Speaker 1: They're a short favorite.
- 55:06Speaker 2: They're at home.
- 55:08Speaker 8: He's projected to touch the ball 20, 25 times.
- 55:11Speaker 1: Again, he's probably underpriced at 6k.
- 55:16Speaker 6: It's just, it's like everything kind of leads to that
- 55:19Speaker 6: as being a very, very nice spot for Michael Ford.
- 55:22Speaker 1: Just on paper, looking at all those, looking at the numbers. Right.
- 55:30Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 55:31Speaker 3: And another, another game, if it goes slightly over, you
- 55:33Speaker 3: could be looking at the highest total on slate.
- 55:39Speaker 6: Sweet.
- 55:40Speaker 3: So we don't want to go too quickly.
- 55:42Speaker 1: Okay.
- 55:43Speaker 3: We're getting close to an hour and I don't want
- 55:45Speaker 3: to push this and drag it on too long, but
- 55:47Speaker 3: this is a game we have to talk about. A
- 55:49Speaker 3: late night hammer. Memphis at UNLV. I don't know if
- 55:52Speaker 3: you can see, but Kenny's wearing his Memphis t-shirt for
- 55:55Speaker 3: the occasion. And this is, it's three hours after the
- 56:01Speaker 3: next latest game. That's got to play a factor. We
- 56:03Speaker 3: don't have a ton of information about who's going to
- 56:06Speaker 3: be starting. That plays a factor, but projected 30 and
- 56:10Speaker 3: a half to 26 point game we know Marcus Stokes
- 56:12Speaker 3: is going to be starting for Memphis we think Dallin
- 56:15Speaker 3: Hayden is going to be starting at running back Tychon
- 56:19Speaker 3: Chapman uh has followed Huff from Marshall to Southern Miss
- 56:23Speaker 3: to now Memphis so there's something there Timmons is in
- 56:26Speaker 3: from Colorado and we expect his name to be called
- 56:30Speaker 3: quite a bit Kloos is a familiar name so I
- 56:35Speaker 3: How do you approach a game like this? I mean,
- 56:37Speaker 3: we can just talk about the game overall. It doesn't
- 56:39Speaker 3: even need to be the teams specifically because, I mean,
- 56:41Speaker 3: on the other side, we know about the same amount.
- 56:43Speaker 3: Jackson Arnold's a starter. We expect Jaden Thomas. Lions and
- 56:46Speaker 3: Irvin are back for UNLV. Reddick's in from Oregon State.
- 56:49Speaker 3: Troy Stiletto-Heal is still in college. But how do you
- 56:54Speaker 3: approach a game like this just overall where you know
- 56:56Speaker 3: there's going to be meat on the bone, but it's
- 56:59Speaker 3: three hours after and we don't have information?
- 57:01Speaker 1: It's a massive game.
- 57:02Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 57:03Speaker 1: Massive game.
- 57:03Speaker 6: I mean, group of six, you know, you got the,
- 57:06Speaker 6: the Mount, the mountain West favorite, the American favorite, big
- 57:09Speaker 6: implications down the road.
- 57:12Speaker 1: Dan Mullen is pretty proven to Marty. Now, you don't
- 57:14Speaker 1: know the Jackson.
- 57:15Speaker 6: I almost seems like a perfect quarterback candidate for him,
- 57:18Speaker 6: for what he wants to do on a team. That's
- 57:20Speaker 6: really produced fantasy quarterbacks for us in the past few years.
- 57:25Speaker 1: It just everywhere. This game is screaming. This is a
- 57:29Speaker 1: perfect play to game stack.
- 57:32Speaker 6: You know, get a couple pieces from, be able to
- 57:34Speaker 6: mix and match at the receiver spot. Just really, really
- 57:39Speaker 6: good game environment to really look at and try to
- 57:41Speaker 6: get some news on between tonight and tomorrow morning.
- 57:46Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, there's definitely still some question marks to
- 57:49Speaker 2: be answered. I feel confident, like, Marcus Stokes is going
- 57:51Speaker 2: to start tomorrow as long as he doesn't take a
- 57:53Speaker 2: video of himself rapping. And like Dallin Hayden, I really
- 57:57Speaker 2: like taking some shots on Dallin Hayden, a hometown guy.
- 58:00Speaker 2: And then Terrell Timmons from Colorado, a 3K flat. I'm
- 58:02Speaker 2: definitely going to be overweight on him. Chapman and Tipton
- 58:07Speaker 2: are great options as well. Clues I'm not as hot about.
- 58:12Speaker 2: And then, yeah, the UNLV side, I don't think I'm
- 58:14Speaker 2: going to touch these pass catchers, but I did see
- 58:17Speaker 2: Jackson Arnold supposed to start, even though these guys are
- 58:19Speaker 2: supposed to split. I am going to play some Jackson
- 58:22Speaker 2: Arnold with some Memphis runbacks. You know, if he just
- 58:25Speaker 2: kind of gets a hold of the reins and takes it,
- 58:26Speaker 2: that could be a huge spot late in the slate. But, yeah,
- 58:30Speaker 2: kind of sums it up. I do definitely want some
- 58:32Speaker 2: spots here, but there's still some question marks there. I
- 58:35Speaker 2: guess one thing, and this is something you can take
- 58:38Speaker 2: with you, when it's questionable between Arnold and Orgy, just
- 58:42Speaker 2: always play the more expensive guy so you have money
- 58:45Speaker 2: to swap when it's the last game here. Don't play
- 58:48Speaker 2: Orgy in your lineup. Play Arnold. If you end up
- 58:50Speaker 2: wanting to play Orgy, then switch to him later. That
- 58:52Speaker 2: way you have some salary flexibility. But yeah, that kind
- 58:55Speaker 2: of sums up what I have to say here.
- 58:57Speaker 3: Yeah, that's good advice throughout the season. If you're in
- 59:00Speaker 3: a this or that situation, always play the more expensive
- 59:03Speaker 3: guy so you have room to pivot regardless of what
- 59:06Speaker 3: the rest of your lineup looks like.
- 59:08Speaker 2: All right.
- 59:09Speaker 3: So that, that covers the DraftKings slate. We do have
- 59:12Speaker 3: TCU in North Carolina and Ireland. Never mind the names
- 59:15Speaker 3: on here since it's FanDuel only. That gets adjusted last.
- 59:19Speaker 3: Jack Dalton is not the start of TCU, but just
- 59:21Speaker 3: a couple of things to touch on. Bill Belichick likes
- 59:24Speaker 3: taking away the number one option for the other team.
- 59:26Speaker 3: If you're if you're playing showdown or playing on FanDuel.
- 59:29Speaker 3: We saw it last year, even though they got blown out,
- 59:31Speaker 3: they kind of stopped Eric McAllister at least well enough,
- 59:36Speaker 3: but that meant Jordan Dwyer had a big game. So
- 59:39Speaker 3: maybe you're looking at that for Ed Small on the
- 59:40Speaker 3: TCU side. But speaking of Jordan Dwyer, Kenny, you had
- 59:43Speaker 3: some news on him too that you've seen leading up
- 59:45Speaker 3: to the game.
- 59:47Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess there's rumors that he's hopeful to play.
- 59:50Speaker 2: I've heard he's in a walking boot there, so it's
- 59:53Speaker 2: just something you're going to have to monitor. It's obviously
- 59:55Speaker 2: the very first game of the day, but if you're
- 59:58Speaker 2: playing FanDuel or DraftKings Showdown, that's a very vital piece
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: of information. I mean, if Dwyer didn't play, I would
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: love me some Ed Small. I know Bill loves Ed Small.
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: He would be a really good play on FanDuel. But, yeah,
- 1:00:13Speaker 2: that's– I guess one thing about TCU is I think
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: the OC came from Connecticut, and Skyler Bell was just
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: a volume hog there. You know, if Dwyer does play
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: and is all good to go, like he could have
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: a– like there is some ceiling there that he could
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: have a role like Skyler Bell. But, yeah, that's the
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: main thing to make sure he plays, I guess.
- 1:00:36Speaker 3: Just have fun watching this game first thing in the morning.
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: All right, yeah, that covers it. Did you guys have
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: any closing thoughts? I know we're pushing time here, but
- 1:00:48Speaker 3: anything of significance we haven't touched on other than just
- 1:00:50Speaker 3: being excited for college football to be back?
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: It's great.
- 1:00:54Speaker 6: We knew it was tough. I mean, a lot of misinformation,
- 1:00:58Speaker 6: a lot of unknowns. Have fun, a lot of values, though, too.
- 1:01:02Speaker 6: So keep eyes on news. We've got the best guys
- 1:01:04Speaker 6: in the Discord looking at that.
- 1:01:06Speaker 8: But have fun. Awesome to have college football back.
- 1:01:10Speaker 6: Yep.
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: Rule number one, have fun. That's all I have to say. Yep.
- 1:01:15Speaker 3: And I do want to touch on quickly, too. It's
- 1:01:18Speaker 3: not ready for college football yet. We're hopeful it will
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: be this afternoon. But if you're at Ship It Nation
- 1:01:22Speaker 3: and a member there, we have the Stone 2.0 now.
- 1:01:25Speaker 3: This is the golf one, but I can kind of
- 1:01:26Speaker 3: show you a little bit how it works. You can
- 1:01:32Speaker 3: filter in college football. It's cash, GPP, high upside. In golf,
- 1:01:37Speaker 3: it's pivots, sleepers, leverage. And you can pick favorites. You
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: can add guys to your lineup and you can optimize lineup.
- 1:01:45Speaker 3: So just a couple of things we're adding at Ship
- 1:01:46Speaker 3: It Nation and college football should be ready soon. And
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: I do want to say congratulations to all the winners
- 1:01:51Speaker 3: this week. Week zero of college football, college football getting started.
- 1:01:56Speaker 3: I know we love seeing the Ship It Nation logo
- 1:01:57Speaker 3: up there, but seeing the Showdown Hoedown logo with a
- 1:02:01Speaker 3: 50K win up top, I think is apropos of this week.
- 1:02:05Speaker 3: It's just awesome to see that the big guy will
- 1:02:07Speaker 3: be proud of of where we're at, what we've built
- 1:02:09Speaker 3: with this college football program. And then leads right into
- 1:02:13Speaker 3: what Kenny said. The big guy's rule number one, college
- 1:02:17Speaker 3: football is fun. Enjoy the sweat. Enjoy building your lineups.
- 1:02:21Speaker 3: Enjoy the fact that college football is back on TV
- 1:02:25Speaker 3: and we get to enjoy watching it. Most of all,
- 1:02:28Speaker 3: don't take these days for granted. The big guy said
- 1:02:30Speaker 3: it over and over again because we don't know which
- 1:02:33Speaker 3: is going to be our last. Gentlemen, excited for college football.
- 1:02:38Speaker 3: Glad to be back here with you. Thanks for joining
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: us on this week zero show. Let's go out and
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: ship one for the big guy.