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Episode 94 - 8/9/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 94 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Friday. The work week has come to an
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end. The weekend is upon us and we
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got a lot to talk about on today's podcast cuz we have a
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loaded Friday slate and we also have you know what it is biting
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little bit of UFC for tomorrow. I do have, as we like to do once
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a week, unveil it on a Friday, sweat it on a Saturday, a UFC
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bet for you with a fantastic low bets, higher dollars bet split
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as well as a great steam move and other interesting
1:01
supplementary factors that really lean me or not just a
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lean. It's an official bet, but make
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me really fire on this bet in favor of this one biter or
1:09
fighter as we like to call it. So we got UFC and then we also
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have a loaded slate for tonight. I got a four pack for you.
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I got three Major League Baseball bets, all kind of short
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favorites here. So trying to go two and one eke
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out a profit. And then also we do have some
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NFL preseason three games overall and we have a very, very
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sharp dog to fave line movement information based bat where one
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team's going to play their guys, the other team's going to sit
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there guys, and I'm going to target this team to win the game
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on the first half. So talk we'll talk about it all
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in episode 94, a big Friday edition of the all systems go
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pod powered by rhythm, a four pack for today, three MLB bets,
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one NFL pre season bet and the UFC biting play here to finish
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up the pod for tomorrow. Now looking back to our last
1:53
night one and 2 -, 1.39 units. We had a good win with the G
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men. The Giants were down three O in
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the second quarter. Remember we played them on the
2:01
first half to win the first half and they stormed back, scored a
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pair of touchdowns 1:14 to 3:00, not only for I think it was 14
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to three at the end of the first half.
2:09
So no scoring in the second-half.
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You played the under. Good for you on that one.
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We did get a Giants information based bet.
2:16
We could not get the Patriots over though.
2:17
That one was so frustrating. Zero offense from Carolina.
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I mean, talk about a complete, ridiculously pathetic, inept,
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offensive performance by the Carolina Panthers.
2:28
That line actually did come back down a little bit.
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I saw some books get down to 34 and surprising to me, the
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forecast. This is New England weather.
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This is something you got to be conscious of.
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It looked like it was going to be a great night, 70°, and then
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it was like raining and a little bit windy.
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So that total came back down a little bit.
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I think we got caught on the wrong side of that one.
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Obviously the under hit when we were looking at a information
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based play over. So one in one in the NFL pre
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season and then frustrating one in MLB.
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Couldn't get the Diamondbacks to bite for us to bite as they
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couldn't pull out their fangs. Against Philly.
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They lost six to four. They're up one nothing.
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They clawed back on a McCarthy home run.
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They made it a little interesting in the 9th but end
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up losing six to four. So couldn't get that dog to fave
3:12
line move. So you guys know what that means
3:15
sports betting, you go two and one one and two three and OO and
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three. You're up, you're down, you're
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treading water. Nothing changes.
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We stick to the model, stick to the blueprint.
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Let's try to cap off a pretty decent week here with a good
3:27
winning Friday. So that being said, let's get
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right into some NFL pre season betting because this is the time
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of year where we try to pat our bankroll going into week 1 by
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making information based bets that can also be married to the
3:40
market. So three games tonight, I landed
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on one that caught my eye and it is a 7:00 start between the
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Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers.
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Now let's start off with the market and then I'm going to
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give you why the market is moving.
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Why it's pretty obvious here. One team's playing their guys,
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the other team isn't. And I'm going to give you the
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bet here as well as some other supplementary factors to
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consider. So first one is that this line
4:04
dog to fave is moving in favor of the Texans.
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We open this one. Pittsburgh Steelers at home -2
4:09
1/2. Now we flipped all the way to
4:11
Houston -2 1/2. And this is notable because you
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know, this line was at two at one point.
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It went even further to up to 2 1/2 overnight.
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So further movement in favor of Houston.
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That also lines up with a pretty good bet split.
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They're getting a little less than half the tickets, but
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almost 75% of the dollar. So good low bets, higher dollars
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bet split in addition to that dog to fave line move.
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And then once you look at a line move, you also got to figure out
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why is it moving? Well, pre season these lines
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move because of who's playing and who isn't.
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So let's start with Houston. They're going to play CJ Stroud
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tonight. That's what that's what I read
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online. Hopefully that's true.
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This is this would be Stroud's debut in the preseason.
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And you're also going to see other first team offensive
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players. So probably not Stefan Diggs,
4:55
probably not Joe Mixon, but some of the lineman, maybe a couple
4:58
pass catchers. So the fact that Stroud is going
5:01
to play also means that, you know, the quarterbacks behind
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him, Mills, Keenum and Boyle will also probably play a little
5:08
bit here. And remember, could be another
5:10
advantage with Houston, the fact that they played in the Hall of
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Fame Game. So they already have, you know,
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a sweat under their belt, not a not a gambling sweat, but
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literally sweating and getting out there and going through the
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motions versus Pittsburgh, who's playing their official first pre
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season game. So we know that Stroud and some
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of the Houston guys are going to play.
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Let's look on the other side, Pittsburgh now Pittsburgh is
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going to start Justin Fields, but they're not going to play
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Russell Wilson. They're not going to play TJ
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Watt. They're not going to play
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Patrick Queen, Minka Fitzpatrick, Jay, I was going to
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say Jason Hayward, Cameron Hayward, he's not going to play
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either. You're going to get a lot of
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Pittsburgh guys sitting in this one.
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So the fact that the Houston guys, a lot of them are going to
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play. The Pittsburgh guys are not
5:49
going to play. And then also, let's look at
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these QB depth charts I mentioned after Stroud, Davis,
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Mills, Keenum and Boyle. Mills was pretty good.
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I remember that last game that got that we bet on that got
6:01
rained out or you know, bad weather.
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They cancel it early. Remember you got to go 55
6:05
minutes to count in pre season. But Mills look pretty good prior
6:08
to that happening. So hopefully he'll get some
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playing here time here tonight. On the flip side, quarterbacks
6:14
here for Pittsburgh, I want to bet against them again.
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Justin Fields, you're going to see him a little bit, maybe a
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series or two, but then Kyle Allen, the journeyman and John
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Rise, Plumley College undrafted quarterback as well.
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So I'll give the edge here to obviously Houston playing their
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guys versus Pittsburgh sitting there guys, Houston with a
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better quarterback depth chart. And then also I want to give a
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shout out to our friends at Juice Reel because I popped open
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the Juice Reel app as I do every single morning.
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Waited until noon, thought some Robo Jackson releases his best
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bet picks to each day. And guess what?
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One of them is on Houston now Robo took Houston to win the
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game overall, which I'm rooting for, but I'm going to target
6:51
Houston here to win the first half.
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Same exact situation that we played with the Giants last
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night. That came through only because,
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hey, if you're going to play most of your guys early on,
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that's the advantage. But when it gets to the
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second-half when you got a lot of third and 4th stringers on
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both sides, maybe that edge gets a little bit decreased here.
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And then again, crazy thing, crazy things can't happen in the
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second-half. Unpredictable situations.
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So that's going to be my play. Houston playing there, guys, dog
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to fave line move plus 2 1/2 to -2 1/2.
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It's even juiced up like it may go to three.
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So I'm going to back Stroud and the Texans again also
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experienced playing their second pre season game, Pittsburgh
7:27
playing their first and I'm going to play Houston to go into
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halftime with a lead. So give me the Texans on the
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money line to win the first half.
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A first half play at -140. Now over to some Major League
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Baseball. I got 3 bets for you.
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Let's try to get two out of two out of three.
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Go two and one and eke out a profit.
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So first one, I'm focusing on 7 O 7:00 PM Eastern Time, first
7:49
pitch, the Oakland A's visiting Toronto Blue Jays.
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Now, the A's come in 48 and 68. They just did, however, take two
7:57
out of three against the White Sox.
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They won the finale on Wednesday, 3:00 to 2:00 as a -,
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185 home favorite. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays 53 and
8:06
62, but they're playing better. They took two out of three
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against the Orioles. They won seven to six yesterday
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as a -, 110 home favorite. So pitching match up here for
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tonight. The A's are going to go with
8:16
ready Mitch Spence. He's seven and seven with a 4.4
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OERA. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are
8:21
going to go with the veteran ready Jose Berrios.
8:24
Three and nine and nine. 4.11 ERA.
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What? Have you seen across the market
8:28
here? Well, you guys know at this
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point I'm a lover of Steam and we got massive Steam 22 on
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Toronto, Toronto open this one as low as -130 -, 135 Now
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Toronto's all the way up to -150 some shops even as high as -155.
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So we saw early Steam, then we saw continued steam and it's
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continuing to move on game day in favor of Toronto.
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Tells me you got a lot of smart money laying the wood with the
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Blue Jays tonight. Now Toronto is getting around
8:55
80% of bets in dollars. So both pro and Joe support in
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their favor in addition to now about a 20 cent steam move in
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their direction. Classic non division favorite
9:04
value. So lack of familiarity, Toronto
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from the AL East, Oakland from the AL West, a lack of
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familiarity benefiting quote UN quote.
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The better team who's favorite to win, which would be Toronto
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here tonight. Toronto's got the better offense
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hitting two 44178 runs scored. Oakland's hitting two 34171 runs
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scored. I got a good system match here.
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Both teams are below 500. Take the favorite, very simple,
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but it's 221 and one 5259% with a 1% ROI this year.
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Digging into the pitchers a little bit, Spence, he's been
9:35
pretty good at home with 3.86 ERA on the road, 5.22.
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So he's on the road tonight and the opposite with Barrios, he's
9:42
really good at home, 2.99 ERA, 5.95.29 on the road.
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So he's at home tonight, luckily.
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Jays, by the way, last 10 games are hitting 261.
9:52
Athletics last 10 games are hitting 213.
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So an advantage there with the bats, hopefully with Toronto.
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And then even though Oakland's, you know, played better last
9:59
month or so, there's still 19 and 38 on the road.
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That's the third worst record on the road in baseball.
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Only the White Sox and the Rockies are worse.
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So big sharp steam. I bet this one at -150 earlier
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today. Now you're as high as -155 But
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let's go, Jays start our night off, hopefully with the winner.
10:17
Second bet for you, Houston Astros against the Boston Red
10:21
Sox. I always make the joke that the
10:23
Sox are my team. Doesn't mean I bet them just
10:25
because they're my team. But when they're sharp, I get to
10:27
play them. I get to sweat them and bet
10:28
them. And that's one of those nights
10:30
here on a Friday night, give me the Red Sox.
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Little background here. Astros 59 and 55 just took two
10:36
or three against the Rangers. They won the series finale on
10:38
Wednesday 6:00 to 4:00 as a -, 130 Rd. favorite.
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Meanwhile, the Red Sox 61 and 52, they just took two or three
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against the the Royals couldn't get the sweep though.
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They lost that series finale eight to four as a + 120 Rd.
10:52
dog. So pitching matchup tonight.
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We have the Strohs going with ready Ronnell Blanco.
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He's nine and six with the 2.98 ERA.
10:59
You know the Sox are going to go with their ace Tanner Hawk, 88
11:03
and eight with a three-point O 9 ERA.
11:04
What? Are we seeing across the market?
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Here, well, if you like Toronto, you like Boston.
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Boston Open has a very short, you know -110 -, 115 home
11:13
favorite. Now the Sox are up to -135 S
11:16
about a 20 cent steam move in their favor.
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They're only getting around 60% of bets in dollars.
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So kind of a modest public support, but also closer to a
11:25
5050 line move. 60% of money line bets shouldn't move a line
11:29
$0.20. You know, you should probably be
11:31
getting 7080% or more. So the fact that 60% bets
11:35
produced this 20 cent steam move tells me it's not the public,
11:38
it's wise guys getting down on the Red Sox now system matches
11:42
with Boston favorites off a loss, playing an opponent off a
11:45
win. Their 373 and two 5360% this
11:48
year with a 2% ROI when both teams are coming off a day off,
11:53
which is the case here. Neither played yesterday.
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Take the favorite also very simple.
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Big sample size though. Since 2020 those teams are 522
12:01
and three 3561% with a 1% ROI. Classic non division favorite
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value, lack of familiarity, benefiting quote UN quote.
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The better team with Boston Red Sox have the better bats.
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They're hitting 262 with 144 homers, 563 runs scored.
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Astros hitting 259 with 128 homers and 519 runs scored.
12:22
Last 10 Red Sox are six and four.
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They're hitting 300, last 10 for Houston.
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They're four and six, only hitting 223.
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So I know Blanco, he pitched the Nono earlier this year.
12:32
Then I think he might have got in trouble with the sticky
12:34
stuff. But I'm going to fade Blanco.
12:37
I'm going to go with the steam. I'm going to take the Red Sox
12:39
tonight. Guys, give me Boston, shop
12:41
around. I got the Red Sox at -135 last
12:45
bit of the night. This is basically you're right
12:48
there with the Toronto Blue Jays and the Red Sox, a home favorite
12:51
that's not too popular, getting good sharp steam in their
12:54
direction. So let's talk about this one.
12:56
New York Mets visiting the Seattle Mariners, a late night
12:59
game tonight, 10:10 PM Eastern Time.
13:01
We have the Mets coming in 61 and 54.
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Just took two or three against the Rockies.
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They won the finale yesterday, 9 to one as a -, 150 Rd. favorite.
13:10
Meanwhile, the M's 60 and 56 just dropped two or three
13:13
against the Tigers, but did avoid the sweep of the four to
13:16
three win yesterday, cashing as a -, 200 home favorite.
13:20
So pitching match report tonight.
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The Mets are going to go with Jose Quintana, the lefty.
13:24
He's six and seven with a 3.95 ERA.
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Mariners are going with Bryce Miller, the righty.
13:30
He's eight and seven with a 3.62 ERA.
13:32
What? Have we seen across the market?
13:34
Here, well, I hinted at it, but Seattle Open has a very short
13:37
-115 home favorite. Now Seattle's up to -130 I see
13:41
some shops even inching toward -135 So again, just like
13:44
Toronto, just like Boston, similar situation steam to the
13:48
home team that's laying a, you know, moderately short price.
13:52
Seattle currently is getting only 50% of bets, but they're
13:57
taking in 60% of dollars. So I, I should have led with
13:59
this, but the public is split. The Mets, hey, good team getting
14:03
plus money. But Seattle, you know, short
14:05
favorite at home public doesn't know what to do.
14:07
It's 5050 down the middle, yet nearly 2/3 of dollars are on
14:10
Seattle and the line is moved to Seattle.
14:12
So in a vacuum, again, line shouldn't really move at all.
14:15
Yet we're seeing this line move to Seattle only getting 50%.
14:18
Tells me smart money is on the Mariners.
14:20
Seattle has quarrel to betting favorite low total total.
14:23
This one is 8. Now some shops are juiced up.
14:25
I think I might see an 8 1/2 out there.
14:27
So maybe we're not quite in that exact, you know, favorite low
14:31
total situation. But you do have a interleague
14:33
favorite lack of familiarity benefiting the better team with
14:36
Seattle and also home Rd. splits for these pitchers.
14:40
Cantana 4.58 ERA on the road versus 3.38 at home.
14:45
Guess what? He's on the road tonight.
14:47
Miller 5.37 on the road, but 2.27 ERA at home.
14:52
He's at home tonight. So you add it all up here, guys.
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5050 line move, interleague favorite bunch of good betting
14:58
systems on Seattle. I want to back Miller over
15:01
Cantana. Let's go Mariners to win this
15:03
game. Opening as low as -110 -, 115
15:06
now all the way up to -130 I'm on Seattle at -130 so Toronto,
15:11
Boston and Seattle. Can we get 2 out of 3?
15:13
Eke out a winning night. Now to your favorite part of the
15:17
Friday podcast. That's right.
15:20
You know what time it is. It's time for a little bit of
15:22
biting in the UFC because we love sweating UFC.
15:27
We pick out one bout a week. Just kind of a good routine.
15:30
I don't really look at it much, you know, throughout the week.
15:33
I try not to let any early, you know, biases come to play.
15:36
I wait until John Ewing sends me that bet MGMUFC bet splits
15:40
e-mail every Friday around 9:00 AM.
15:42
And I got the latest batch and I did some digging and I found a
15:45
system match. So I always like to mention this
15:48
because we have new people betting and listening to the pod
15:51
all the time, which is fantastic.
15:53
Welcome to the welcome to the grinders with blinders,
15:55
data-driven contrarian crew. But for those who are new, for
15:58
those of you who've been grinding since the start, you
16:00
know what I'm going to tell you. But for those who are new, UFC
16:03
is a different sport, may not be the most popular sport.
16:06
The intricacies are different from other sports, but here's my
16:09
model when it comes to UFC, I'm looking for the tail of the tape
16:13
to match the betting data. What do I mean by that?
16:16
I mean that I'm looking for fighters, fighters who are
16:19
younger, taller, have a longer reach, but more importantly,
16:23
have a line move in their favor, telling us smart money is on
16:25
their side, have a really good bet split, and then also have
16:28
other supplementary factors to build the case.
16:32
And again, whether it's UFC or any other sport that I'm
16:34
betting, I'm trying to act like like like Slip and Jimmy, you
16:38
know, like from Better Call Saul.
16:39
I'm a lawyer building a case. Can I build a strong enough case
16:43
to convince a jury? Now it's not a jury of your
16:45
peers. The jury is you and your
16:47
bankroll. Can I convince myself that I've
16:49
created a strong enough data-driven case to place a bet?
16:52
So I landed on for UFC biting Tibera versus Spivak 2 UFC Fight
16:58
Night tomorrow night. I landed on the main card about
17:02
in the women's bantamweight between Yana Santos and Chelsea
17:05
Chandler. You know who I'm going with Yana
17:08
Santos baby, Give me Yana Santos at -145 to win this bout.
17:13
Now let's start off with the data.
17:16
Yana Santos opened at -125 Yana Santos and some shops even open
17:21
lower. I saw this closer to like a pick
17:22
em opener. Now we're seeing Yana Santos all
17:25
the way up to -145 So whether you go off the kind of pick em
17:29
price or around -120 either way, you're getting 2025 as high as
17:33
$0.40 of steam in favor of Yana Santos.
17:37
Then let's go to the bet splits from Bet MGM.
17:40
Yana Santos is only getting 51% of bets, but 82% of dollars.
17:45
So the lines moving in her favor, she's only getting half
17:48
the tickets, but she's getting more than eight out of $10.00.
17:51
So what does that tell us? Combining the line movement with
17:54
the bet splits, it tells us that a lot of smart money has come in
17:57
on Santos driven this number further in her favor.
18:00
So the 51% bets, that means that it's not 51% bets moving Santos
18:05
that line bigly in her favor. It's the smart money.
18:08
It's the 82% dollars on Santos. And remember, 250 fifty line
18:12
shouldn't move at all, yet it's getting steamed towards Santos.
18:15
So great line move, great bet split.
18:17
Now, I fully admit, not all the other boxes are being checked
18:20
off. She's 34, her opponent's 33.
18:24
So it's not like she's 34 and her opponent's 26, but they're
18:27
about the same. She's one year older.
18:30
She's 5 foot five, her opponent's 57.
18:32
Nothing huge, but she is 2 inches shorter.
18:34
Now she does have a little bit of a reach advantage, 68 or 69
18:38
inches versus 68. But here's where I'm going to
18:42
put some more feathers in the cap of Santos.
18:45
One is more significant strikes per minute.
18:47
Now I was reading about how maybe this this this bite might
18:51
or this bout might kind of might, might kind of shake out.
18:56
And the angle here is that basically what I've been reading
18:59
is that Santos is a really good striker.
19:02
She's jiu jitsu and Chandler is a really good grappler.
19:06
So Chandler wants to get to the ground and wrestle and grapple.
19:09
Santos wants to stay on her feet and strike.
19:11
Now a lot of times you'll see this in the especially women's,
19:15
while the Bantam weights and kind of the younger or the the
19:18
kind of the the lighter weight class is that you don't often
19:23
see a ton of submissions. A lot of them go to decision.
19:25
So when you go to decision and it becomes a decision based on
19:28
the judges, you really want to put forth a lot of offense
19:31
because that kind of will be a Bennett be a benefit.
19:34
Usually the person, man or woman who you know, produces more
19:37
offense, strikes their opponent more.
19:39
They're going to get, you know, some some love in the
19:41
scorecards. So significant strikes per
19:43
minute. Yana Santos is dishing out 4.16
19:47
versus 3.45 for Chandler. So Santos is more offensive,
19:51
dishing out more punishment. She's also the more accurate
19:54
striker 56% versus 45%. And I was also reading two other
19:59
factors here that I like about Santos.
20:01
One. Even though she's a year older,
20:03
she's got a lot more experience in the UFC.
20:06
Santos has had nine official bouts in the UFC versus only
20:10
three for Chandler. So Chandler's kind of a late
20:12
bloomer. Also, not only does she have
20:15
more experience, but she's faced way better competition.
20:17
She's faced really good fighters here.
20:20
Santos has versus Chandler, who's unproven, hasn't fought a
20:23
ton in the UFC and hasn't very hasn't faced very good
20:26
competition. Lastly, of course, we'd love to
20:29
bet on a fighter who's, you know, knocking everyone out.
20:32
But Santos has lost three straight bouts.
20:35
And I was reading about these losses and basically a lot of
20:37
them are decisions, split decisions.
20:39
It was right there. She didn't get the right
20:41
scorecard. It's not like she's getting
20:43
blown out or, you know, submitted or rear naked, choked,
20:46
you know, within 10 seconds. So I was kind of reading about
20:49
how she's really, you know, kind of desperate to win.
20:52
And again, desperation, that can also awesome often be a great
20:55
motivator. So she's desperate for a win.
20:57
She's been very close. She's got more experience, she's
21:00
faced better competition, she's the better striker, she's the
21:03
more accurate striker. She has a good line move and
21:06
she's got a great bet split only 51% bets, 82% money.
21:10
Guys and gals who are listening to this pod, the all systems go
21:13
pod powered by rhythm, we just made a very good case to sweat
21:18
Yana Santos. That's going to be our play
21:20
here, guys. I'm going Yana Santos, she's the
21:23
12th ranked fighter in women's bantamweight.
21:25
Chandler is the 14th ranked fighter.
21:27
But give me Santos to win this bite, this point, this fight at
21:31
-145 on the money line. I don't want to jinx it.
21:34
We won eighth straight though. Can we get our ninth straight?
21:37
Let's go Yana Santos. So that about does it.
21:40
Another podcast here in the books, guys.
21:42
Episode 94. This is the part of the pod
21:45
where I asked something of you. I just gave you a lot of
21:47
insights and information. Now I'm going to ask you for
21:50
something in return. Could you please give this
21:52
podcast a 5 star review? If you're listening on Spotify
21:56
or iTunes or any other platform and it gives you the option to
21:58
rate or review, please give me those five stars.
22:01
It would really mean a lot to me.
22:03
Help us to grow the pod, you know, rise up the the ratings,
22:06
gain more credibility. If you want to recommend the pod
22:08
word of mouth to a friend of yours or you want to click the
22:11
follow button, if that's an option, so you can get alerted
22:13
as soon as the pod drops each day.
22:15
That would really, really make my day.
22:16
I'd really appreciate it, but even maybe more importantly,
22:19
just thank you for listening. Really means a lot to me that
22:21
you guys take the time out of your day to pull up a chair to
22:24
the virtual bar and talk sharp data-driven betting with me.
22:28
Secondly, if you enjoy this style of betting, data
22:31
information, stats, numbers, line moves, betting split system
22:35
matches. You notice we never parlay
22:37
because parlays are the penny slot in a handout to the book.
22:40
They make the house very rich. They don't make betters rich.
22:44
No hot takes, just data-driven betting.
22:45
If this style, an approach to sports betting appeals to you
22:49
and you want to learn more about data-driven betting, well, guess
22:52
what, I can guide you in the right direction.
22:54
I wrote a book, it's called the Everything Guide to Sports
22:57
Betting. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
22:59
the Everything Guide to Sports Betting, pick up a copy for you
23:02
or for a friend. It's got everything I've learned
23:04
in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
23:06
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
23:09
action, how to go contrarian, how to place a bet in person or
23:12
online, how to shop for the best line chapters on all the major
23:15
sports. It's a great starter for someone
23:18
new in sports betting or maybe a, you know, a newer, better
23:21
intermediate better looking to kind of hone their game.
23:24
So pick up a copy for you or for a friend or that buddy of yours
23:27
who parlays everything and double s down and triples down
23:30
in chases. Just send them right to the
23:32
bankroll management chapter. I believe it's chapter 2.
23:35
But guess what, guys? If you buy a copy, it'll mean a
23:37
lot to me. You're going to learn some more.
23:39
You're going to support the team.
23:40
And then also when I see you at the book, I'm going to buy you a
23:43
beer and I'm going to sign that the book, my book for you at the
23:47
book. It always gets a little bit
23:48
wordy. But seriously guys, if you want
23:49
to pick up a copy, it really would make my day.
23:52
So that about does it. Finishing up our week here.
23:55
I'm going to leave you with two things, which I always leave you
23:57
with. Number one, whether I see you at
23:59
the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
24:02
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
24:05
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
24:08
Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
24:11
Massachusetts. Or of course, out in the desert
24:13
where the true grinders get down or Billy Walters sends his
24:16
number runners where the lowest use possible.
24:18
So at the South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays
24:20
jumping in the stadium swimming pool at Circa, wherever it may
24:23
be. You're going to walk up to me
24:25
and you're going to show me at least one winning ticket from
24:27
last night. Show me AG men, first half money
24:30
line, Patriots over D backs. Rip those up, recycle them and
24:36
we'll get the next one here, guys.
24:38
And but guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
24:40
you. We're going to post about the
24:41
book and sweat all of our plays here for tonight.
24:44
So as always, I should have mentioned this too.
24:47
Let me fit this in. Have you signed up and given a
24:50
shot to a 7 day free trial of both Juice Reel and Rhythm, my
24:53
two favorite sports betting apps on the market?
24:56
They're great, just tools to add to your toolbox.
24:59
They're based on data and information, not opinions.
25:02
And we'll start with Rhythm. Rhythm is great for their AI
25:04
backed models and predictions for both game bets and player
25:07
props. Rhythm is doing a ton of work
25:09
getting ready for the NFL season.
25:11
Pretty soon we'll have WNBA coming back here as well as golf
25:14
for Rhythm and then also Juice reel.
25:16
Great by syncing your sports books up, learning about
25:19
yourself is a better getting a running report card of your
25:21
performance, but also the sharp mush plays each day, the
25:25
arbitrage bets, the Robo Jackson best bet picks all included when
25:29
you sign up for Juice reel. So go sign up for a juice reel
25:32
and a rhythm 7 day free trial. You can do it by clicking the
25:35
custom link that's located in the bio description of this
25:38
podcast. Lastly, of course, guys, my
25:40
parting words, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the
25:44
public, place yourself on the side of the house.
25:46
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
25:48
Will smart money when every time?
25:50
Of course not because again, sports betting is hard, it's
25:53
unpredictable. This is the business we operate
25:55
in. But but hey, it's important to
25:57
always remember we're playing a long game.
25:59
If we can consistently bet with our head and not our heart,
26:02
against the public, with the pros, with the house flat bet,
26:05
avoid parlays and get some closing line value.
26:07
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
26:10
So enjoy your weekend everyone have a great Friday night.
26:14
Let's get some winners here tonight in baseball in an NFL
26:17
pre season and hopefully Jana Santos can post a winner for us
26:20
tomorrow night in the UFC Octagon.
26:23
Biting, but that about does everyone remember no pods on the
26:26
weekends. But I do write the sharp report
26:28
for baseball, baseball or NFL. Now it's become a decision each
26:32
day for me what to write about. Usually I go with whatever
26:35
sports offering more sharp, sharp, sharp games, but you can
26:38
check out my Twitter at Josh under score insights for weekend
26:42
sharp reports. And then we'll be back at it on
26:43
Monday for episode 95 of the All Systems Go sports betting
26:48
podcast powered by Rhythm. Have a great Friday night, guys,
26:51
and an even better weekend. Good luck.