Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 10/20/26: Saagar Rips Boomers Over Property Tax, Abdul Shuts Down Questions On Muslim Brotherhood, AI Solves Hundreds Of Math Problems
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Had a busy day? Don't have time to listen to
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- 0:10Speaker 1: So head over, breakingpoints.com. You can sign up for the
- 0:13Speaker 1: newsletter at the top for free today. Turning down a
- 0:19Speaker 1: property tax, one of my personal pet projects, and yet
- 0:22Speaker 1: is now becoming one of the largest tax revolts in
- 0:26Speaker 1: American history. And I am not joking. Let's put this
- 0:29Speaker 1: up here. On the screen, Politico magazine recently ran this article.
- 0:33Speaker 1: Do you really own your home? A tax revolt says no.
- 0:36Speaker 1: They lead with Mr. Ray Warner, a 72-year-old Akron resident
- 0:41Speaker 1: wearing a Cleveland Browns coat to fend off the damn chill.
- 0:45Speaker 1: He says, I'm old. I've paid my home off. Why
- 0:48Speaker 1: would I pay property tax? It's a very interesting, very,
- 0:52Speaker 1: very interesting mindset indeed that they delve into. And in particular,
- 0:56Speaker 1: what they show is something that I've been warning about
- 0:58Speaker 1: on the show now for quite some time. In the
- 1:00Speaker 1: last two years alone, plans to substantially reduce our altogether
- 1:04Speaker 1: property tax have emerged in more than two dozen states. Georgia, Indiana,
- 1:08Speaker 1: and Wyoming have sliced resident tax bills by billions of dollars.
- 1:12Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis and Greg Abbott have Florida or Texas competing
- 1:14Speaker 1: to see who can lower it the most. Gubernatorial candidates
- 1:18Speaker 1: everywhere are putting tax reform at the center of their
- 1:21Speaker 1: campaigns in the hope of staving off insurgencies that risk
- 1:24Speaker 1: overrunning their tenures. Public figures such as Elon Musk and
- 1:27Speaker 1: Francesca Hong have already joined the cause. And I shouted out,
- 1:32Speaker 1: what's his name, Abdul El-Sayed on this subject as well. And,
- 1:36Speaker 1: you know, it really is actually worth going through a
- 1:39Speaker 1: lot of these arguments because what they all come down
- 1:43Speaker 1: to is a general entitlement, in particular of people who
- 1:46Speaker 1: are older, who come to the conclusion that rising rates
- 1:51Speaker 1: mean that they don't have to pay them. And they
- 1:53Speaker 1: actually do a great job of something that I had
- 1:56Speaker 1: spent some time researching but hadn't fully looked into before,
- 1:59Speaker 1: which was the 1970s. And it actually mirrors the same
- 2:03Speaker 1: problem that we had back then. So back in the 70s,
- 2:05Speaker 1: inflation goes crazy, just like we're in in a period today.
- 2:09Speaker 1: So what is the response? The response is that inflation,
- 2:13Speaker 1: both in goods and in home prices, is creating problems
- 2:17Speaker 1: for a very vulnerable group, seniors, which we'll get to
- 2:20Speaker 1: that in a second, whether they're actually vulnerable or not.
- 2:23Speaker 1: This leads to one of the worst single pieces of legislation,
- 2:27Speaker 1: or worst single pieces of law ever enacted in American history,
- 2:31Speaker 1: and that is Proposition 13 in California, where what it
- 2:35Speaker 1: does is it locks the property value and the rise
- 2:40Speaker 1: of rate of what you're allowed to be taxed away
- 2:42Speaker 1: from the market. It sounds fair. If you've owned your
- 2:45Speaker 1: house for a long time, you, quote, don't want to
- 2:47Speaker 1: be priced out of your home. What ends up happening?
- 2:49Speaker 1: Very similar to some of the rent control problems in
- 2:51Speaker 1: New York. It dramatically restricts the problem of the amount
- 2:54Speaker 1: of housing that is available in the Things that eventually
- 2:58Speaker 1: do go up for sale go up at massive rates.
- 3:01Speaker 1: People get locked in and are not– basically, they're not
- 3:04Speaker 1: forced to sell. I'll just use the truth of the matter.
- 3:07Speaker 1: And by not being forced to sell, it artificially drives
- 3:10Speaker 1: up the prices of all of these other homes. And
- 3:12Speaker 1: then you add on a couple– so number one, it's
- 3:14Speaker 1: highly distortionary to the market. It's how that people in
- 3:17Speaker 1: the 1990s bought Santa Monica Beach property for a couple
- 3:20Speaker 1: hundred grand. They're sitting on $ 3 million with the real estate.
- 3:23Speaker 1: They're paying taxes on a couple hundred thousand dollars, all right?
- 3:25Speaker 1: This drives up all of the surrounding prices whenever they
- 3:28Speaker 1: eventually go up for sale. It gives them no incentive
- 3:31Speaker 1: to sell. And it basically, it adopts this very un-American
- 3:34Speaker 1: idea of you have a right to live wherever you
- 3:37Speaker 1: happen to live no matter what the conditions are, which
- 3:40Speaker 1: is ridiculous and which everybody laughed at in the great
- 3:43Speaker 1: financial crisis whenever we were given all these ninja law,
- 3:46Speaker 1: you know, ninja loans.
- 3:47Speaker 3: Remember that?
- 3:48Speaker 1: No income, no job loans. All these boomers were sitting
- 3:50Speaker 1: in TV like, you don't have a right to own
- 3:52Speaker 1: a home. You shouldn't have been doing that. And now
- 3:54Speaker 1: that it's their turn to pay in an inflationary home
- 3:57Speaker 1: price environment, they say, I shouldn't have to pay because
- 3:59Speaker 1: I've been paying for 30 years. And just look at
- 4:03Speaker 1: the social contract here, because this is the game that
- 4:05Speaker 1: they want to start playing. Let's put D2 up here
- 4:07Speaker 1: on the screen. It's from one of my friends, Russ Green.
- 4:10Speaker 1: He coined the phrase boomer luxury communism. So shout out
- 4:13Speaker 1: to him. He goes, what do I owe society? If
- 4:15Speaker 1: you're just listening to this, let me explain this chart.
- 4:19Speaker 1: This is direct entitlements by age. And it shows how
- 4:22Speaker 1: 18 to 24, obviously, you're going to get the least
- 4:25Speaker 1: amount of direct entitlements regardless between state tax, payroll tax,
- 4:29Speaker 1: income tax, Social Security, health care, and other benefits.
- 4:32Speaker 4: All right.
- 4:32Speaker 1: And so the benefits are in green, and then the
- 4:34Speaker 1: taxes that you pay are in orange. So you can
- 4:37Speaker 1: see how the amount of taxes you pay relative to
- 4:39Speaker 1: the amount of benefits that you receive is going to
- 4:42Speaker 1: be at the all-time low ratio at your prime working years,
- 4:45Speaker 1: between 25 to 54. But then take a look at
- 4:48Speaker 1: the green. And don't just take a look at the green.
- 4:51Speaker 1: Take a look at how much it vastly outpaces the
- 4:54Speaker 1: per person and actual capital of the taxes that people
- 4:57Speaker 1: are paying whenever it comes to age 64 and up.
- 5:01Speaker 1: The vast majority, and again, I repeat, the vast majority
- 5:04Speaker 1: of people who are over the age of 65 are
- 5:06Speaker 1: receiving vastly amount more in Social Security and in Medicare
- 5:11Speaker 1: than they have ever paid into the system, all right?
- 5:14Speaker 1: So at the very same time where they are receiving
- 5:17Speaker 1: more benefits than any generation in American history and actually
- 5:20Speaker 1: pushing all of that burden onto us who are the
- 5:23Speaker 1: people who are directly paying for it, they are then
- 5:25Speaker 1: demanding a property tax cut which will be highly distortionary
- 5:30Speaker 1: to the market, the housing market itself. And what else
- 5:33Speaker 1: will it do? It reduces their contribution to even more
- 5:37Speaker 1: of society, right? Because what do property taxes pay for?
- 5:40Speaker 1: This guy, I'm old and I paid off my house. Oh,
- 5:42Speaker 1: do you use the road outside? What about the garbage?
- 5:46Speaker 1: Whenever you call 911, because statistically you're going to need
- 5:48Speaker 1: it a lot more than me, whenever these health problems
- 5:51Speaker 1: start to catch up to you, who's going to be
- 5:53Speaker 1: paying for that? I'm gonna have to pay for it,
- 5:55Speaker 1: according to your formulation. Boomers who were 72 years old
- 5:59Speaker 1: when your kids were in school were paying property tax,
- 6:01Speaker 1: but now it's inconvenient for you. And look, I know
- 6:04Speaker 1: that this gets hot and this becomes like a generational thing,
- 6:07Speaker 1: but this is actual generational warfare. Like, people think I'm joking.
- 6:11Speaker 1: They are the ones who have instigated this. It has
- 6:13Speaker 1: been the most successful tax revolt now in modern history. Like,
- 6:17Speaker 1: at the same time, when everybody else, the rest of us,
- 6:20Speaker 1: you know, this is my last rant, I'm sorry, But
- 6:23Speaker 1: it drives me crazy, this whole fixed income thing. Boomers
- 6:25Speaker 1: are on fixed income. Okay, because you're on Social Security.
- 6:28Speaker 1: Your fixed income gets a cost of living inflation adjustment.
- 6:31Speaker 1: We just entered our sixth straight month of real earnings
- 6:35Speaker 1: turning negative because of the Iran war. Yesterday we covered
- 6:38Speaker 1: how the average household has lost $ 2, 000. Well, I don't
- 6:41Speaker 1: get an inflation-adjusted raise, and neither does anybody else who's
- 6:44Speaker 1: watching this show who's under the age of 65. You
- 6:47Speaker 1: can argue, it's like, oh, well, it barely keeps up
- 6:50Speaker 1: with inflation. Yeah, I get it. But most people's wage
- 6:52Speaker 1: earnings are under inflation. I'm not saying we should take
- 6:55Speaker 1: Social Security away. I'm not even saying we should take
- 6:57Speaker 1: inflation adjustment away, but don't be coming around telling me
- 7:01Speaker 1: that you got inflation adjusted fixed income when everybody else
- 7:04Speaker 1: is taking net negative wage returns and then be begging for,
- 7:08Speaker 1: you know, the, the big, honestly, one of the largest
- 7:11Speaker 1: tax cuts ever because you just got 88% of seniors
- 7:15Speaker 1: pay no income tax on social security. Now they don't
- 7:18Speaker 1: want to pay property tax. I mean, these people don't
- 7:20Speaker 1: want to pay anything, even though so many other people
- 7:22Speaker 1: paid for them in the past and the rest of
- 7:24Speaker 1: us are paying for them now. I just think it's sick.
- 7:27Speaker 1: It's totally sick.
- 7:28Speaker 2: I mean, you can understand why the argument has political
- 7:31Speaker 2: salience and why it's found so much success because people say, look,
- 7:35Speaker 2: I paid for my home. This is my home. And
- 7:37Speaker 2: now you keep upping the taxes. And so it's making
- 7:40Speaker 2: me very difficult to stay in this home that I
- 7:42Speaker 2: paid for over years and years. OK, you can you
- 7:44Speaker 2: can understand why that is politically salient. If you zoom out, though,
- 7:48Speaker 2: what this amounts to is just yet another tax cut
- 7:51Speaker 2: for the wealthy. I mean, that's who will disproportionately benefit. So,
- 7:55Speaker 2: you know, I don't like the generational warfare lens because
- 7:57Speaker 2: I think it's, you know, the class lens is more
- 8:00Speaker 2: useful in this arena as in many others. But you're
- 8:04Speaker 2: very fortunate in this country if you own a home
- 8:07Speaker 2: and if you've had the luxury of your home appreciating
- 8:09Speaker 2: over years, which is the reason why your property taxes
- 8:12Speaker 2: are going up. It's because your housing value has gone up.
- 8:14Speaker 2: You've accumulated all of this wealth in your housing stock,
- 8:18Speaker 2: which is an incredibly beneficial situation to be in. Zooming
- 8:23Speaker 2: out even further than that, I just think our entire
- 8:25Speaker 2: tax system is completely broken at this point. because so
- 8:28Speaker 2: much of accumulation is about wealth versus income. And we
- 8:33Speaker 2: have a tax system that is so much predominantly focused
- 8:37Speaker 2: on income that has become wildly inadequate to actually be
- 8:41Speaker 2: able to tax and benefit society. And this impulse from
- 8:46Speaker 2: the eliminating property tax is also deeply antisocial, because to
- 8:50Speaker 2: your point, you know, there's the sense of like, well,
- 8:53Speaker 2: I don't have kids in school because I'm old now.
- 8:55Speaker 2: So why would I pay into it? And that's just Again,
- 8:57Speaker 2: it's deeply antisocial. I think it's a sign of the
- 9:00Speaker 2: times that we live in that you don't feel any
- 9:02Speaker 2: sense of obligation to your community, to the next generation,
- 9:05Speaker 2: to make sure that those public schools are good and
- 9:07Speaker 2: are high quality, make sure the roads and the firefighters
- 9:11Speaker 2: and police officers, everybody in the community is well paid for.
- 9:14Speaker 2: So I think it's that as well. But overall, I
- 9:17Speaker 2: think we have to do a total rethink. And look,
- 9:20Speaker 2: if we are actually taxing wealth and we are able
- 9:24Speaker 2: to reinstate a progressive taxation system because we're accounting for
- 9:29Speaker 2: all of the loopholes and the way that the very
- 9:31Speaker 2: rich benefit And as part of that rethink, we change
- 9:34Speaker 2: our orientation towards property taxes.
- 9:36Speaker 5: Yes.
- 9:36Speaker 2: But the reality is right now, if you cut property taxes,
- 9:39Speaker 2: what does that mean? At the state level, you can't
- 9:41Speaker 2: run a deficit or at the local level, you can't
- 9:43Speaker 2: run a deficit. It means you're going to be cutting
- 9:45Speaker 2: education funding. It means you're going to be cutting into
- 9:47Speaker 2: the bone of services that people need that genuinely benefit society,
- 9:51Speaker 2: which is why in some of the states that have
- 9:53Speaker 2: had ballot initiatives, these property tax elimination measures have been
- 9:58Speaker 2: rejected because people look at what the cost is going
- 10:00Speaker 2: to be on the other side of it and they
- 10:02Speaker 2: don't accept it.
- 10:03Speaker 1: Yes, all very good point. And by the way, you know, again,
- 10:06Speaker 1: they're the ones who started it. Like, I'm not the
- 10:08Speaker 1: one who's out here. When I didn't have kids, I'm
- 10:09Speaker 1: not like, oh, I shouldn't have to pay property tax
- 10:11Speaker 1: for other people's schools. I'm not the one out here talking,
- 10:14Speaker 1: taking a little bit of a look at maybe who's
- 10:16Speaker 1: consuming all the health care in this country and why
- 10:17Speaker 1: my premiums. are sky high. It ain't just capitalism. It's
- 10:20Speaker 1: because a lot of people like to drink a lot
- 10:23Speaker 1: and become morbidly obese as they age. And so if
- 10:26Speaker 1: we all want to take care of each other, I'm
- 10:28Speaker 1: fine with that. I actually am. But they're the ones
- 10:31Speaker 1: who don't want to take care of us. That's actually
- 10:34Speaker 1: what drives me crazier. Last thing, because we have to
- 10:37Speaker 1: move on here for a second. I just want to
- 10:39Speaker 1: highlight how many of these, like people really think I'm exaggerating.
- 10:42Speaker 1: I'm getting on some high horse about this.
- 10:44Speaker 3: I'm not.
- 10:45Speaker 1: Like as they pointed out, 22 states, almost half the
- 10:47Speaker 1: states in the nation are already on track. And in
- 10:50Speaker 1: this election, let's put these up in quick succession. Let's
- 10:53Speaker 1: put D4, please, up here on the screen. Louisiana has
- 10:56Speaker 1: got an amendment which would expand property tax relief for
- 10:59Speaker 1: homeowners 65 and older. D5, this is Oklahoma, which wants
- 11:03Speaker 1: to adopt similar things to California, lower the amount of
- 11:07Speaker 1: percentage that you're allowed to increase your overall property tax rate.
- 11:10Speaker 1: Let's put D3, please. This is Florida. Again, this is
- 11:14Speaker 1: the most high profile one, which would effectively nuke property
- 11:16Speaker 1: tax in the long run. across the entire state, of
- 11:19Speaker 1: which many of the counties say will have to be
- 11:21Speaker 1: made up for, you guessed it, in terms of tolls
- 11:24Speaker 1: on the roads, which means it's a highly regressive tax
- 11:27Speaker 1: that taxes everybody instead of the people who are asset owners.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Put D6 up here just to show you, you've got
- 11:34Speaker 1: Vivek Ramaswamy, who wants to dramatically, basically effectively eliminate property
- 11:38Speaker 1: tax in the state of Ohio. The governor of Kansas,
- 11:42Speaker 1: you got two candidates, both basically trying to run against
- 11:44Speaker 1: each other for who can cut property taxes the most.
- 11:47Speaker 1: And I've already shouted out Abdul Sayyed, who explicitly wants
- 11:50Speaker 1: to do the old age carve out for everybody else.
- 11:54Speaker 1: So all of this, not good. It's going in a
- 11:56Speaker 1: very bad direction. And as I know, they're the only
- 11:59Speaker 1: ones who vote. So it's all going to pass. And
- 12:01Speaker 1: yet I'll still be here screaming about it. Let's get
- 12:04Speaker 1: to Michigan.
- 12:07Speaker 2: Up in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed seems to have claimed the
- 12:09Speaker 2: title of generating the most viral post of the midterm
- 12:13Speaker 2: election campaign, at least so far in this exchange with
- 12:17Speaker 2: this man named Tommy, who it turns out after the
- 12:19Speaker 2: fact is actually a Republican operative, may or may not
- 12:22Speaker 2: have been paid for this exchange. We don't really know
- 12:23Speaker 2: that piece. In any case, let's take a look at
- 12:26Speaker 2: how this went when Tommy wanted to ask Abdul El-Sayed
- 12:29Speaker 2: whether or not he condemns the Muslim Brotherhood.
- 12:32Speaker 4: It's a simple question. No, your friend's got the mic.
- 12:34Speaker 4: I'm going to ask you a simple question. You give
- 12:36Speaker 4: me your name and I'll answer the question.
- 12:37Speaker 1: Okay, Tommy. Hi, Tommy.
- 12:39Speaker 4: How are you? I'm great.
- 12:40Speaker 1: Are you?
- 12:41Speaker 4: Do you know what the Constitution of the United States is?
- 12:43Speaker 4: I have one simple question. Will you disavow the Muslim world?
- 12:47Speaker 6: Sure.
- 12:47Speaker 4: Yeah, absolutely. But I want to ask the question that
- 12:49Speaker 4: you're asking. Why are you asking the question? Well, because
- 12:53Speaker 4: they're a terrorist group.
- 12:55Speaker 3: Okay.
- 12:56Speaker 4: No, no, but what are you implying? Do you assume
- 12:58Speaker 4: that I wouldn't?
- 13:00Speaker 3: Yes.
- 13:00Speaker 4: Why not? Because I have not heard you disavow them yet.
- 13:03Speaker 4: Have you disavowed them? I haven't heard you disavow them yet.
- 13:05Speaker 1: I disavowed them.
- 13:06Speaker 5: Do you? Great.
- 13:07Speaker 4: But here's the thing about it.
- 13:08Speaker 7: You're asking the question because implicitly you assume that I'll
- 13:12Speaker 7: have dual loyalties, right? You assume that somehow I wouldn't
- 13:17Speaker 7: disavow or that I'll have some higher order allegiance than the.
- 13:21Speaker 1: Constitution, correct?
- 13:23Speaker 4: Tommy, is that what you imply?
- 13:25Speaker 8: Yes.
- 13:25Speaker 4: Why would you think that about me, though? Because I
- 13:27Speaker 4: have not heard you disavow. No, no, no, no. Why
- 13:29Speaker 4: would you actually think that about me? Because I have
- 13:30Speaker 4: not heard you disavow.
- 13:31Speaker 1: But I just did.
- 13:32Speaker 4: But why would you actually think that? Why would you?
- 13:34Speaker 4: Have you asked everybody in your life if they disavow?
- 13:38Speaker 1: I have not.
- 13:38Speaker 4: So why are you asking me? Because I have not
- 13:40Speaker 4: heard you disavow.
- 13:41Speaker 1: No, no, no.
- 13:41Speaker 4: Answer the question, Tommy. Everybody knows the answer to it.
- 13:44Speaker 4: Answer the question.
- 13:46Speaker 3: All right.
- 13:47Speaker 4: So let me just tell you. Let me just tell you.
- 13:50Speaker 4: I'm going to swear an oath to the Constitution of
- 13:52Speaker 4: the United States. And that Constitution guarantees us all.
- 14:00Speaker 2: He goes on further to challenge Tommy on whether or
- 14:03Speaker 2: not he would reject effectively Christian nationalism. And Tommy's like, nope.
- 14:08Speaker 2: And then he sort of leaves the room, tail between
- 14:10Speaker 2: his legs after that exchange. I think this highlights a
- 14:13Speaker 2: number of things. First of all, Sagar, a lot of
- 14:15Speaker 2: what Republicans have done is a lot of this insinuation
- 14:18Speaker 2: or in Trump's case, direct outright. You know, he claims
- 14:21Speaker 2: that Abdul supports jihad. This is a lot of what
- 14:24Speaker 2: they've been running. Mike Rogers is much more like he'll
- 14:27Speaker 2: dabble in it, but he won't go quite as far
- 14:29Speaker 2: as Trump will, etc. And so Abdul, unlike what I
- 14:33Speaker 2: think a lot of candidates would do, where they would
- 14:35Speaker 2: just say, of course, I condemn the Muslim Brotherhood, which
- 14:37Speaker 2: is the first thing he does. He really digs in
- 14:40Speaker 2: of like, let's talk about why you're asking this and
- 14:43Speaker 2: let's talk about why you wouldn't ask another candidate this. And,
- 14:46Speaker 2: you know, let's really get to the root of what
- 14:48Speaker 2: you're trying to do here. And so it displays both the,
- 14:52Speaker 2: you know, the Republican tactics in the race. And again,
- 14:54Speaker 2: this guy's a former Josh Hawley staffer. I think his
- 14:57Speaker 2: dad is a Republican operative. He may or, you know, again,
- 15:00Speaker 2: may not have been paid for this particular interaction, but
- 15:02Speaker 2: definitely is on the, you know, Republican operative side. In
- 15:05Speaker 2: any case, it also displays some of the different qualities
- 15:09Speaker 2: that Abdul has as a candidate. Like he is very
- 15:12Speaker 2: confident person. He is very unafraid of sort of giving
- 15:16Speaker 2: it back and which is why he will go on
- 15:18Speaker 2: Fox News and fight with Jesse Waters, not afraid of
- 15:20Speaker 2: any of those sorts of exchanges. It's very much what
- 15:23Speaker 2: Democrats want in a candidate, which I think is a
- 15:26Speaker 2: big part of why he was able to overcome this
- 15:28Speaker 2: flood of money that came in and apparently Indian bots
- 15:31Speaker 2: to support his opponent in the primary. But, you know,
- 15:34Speaker 2: one of the open questions that has been raised by
- 15:36Speaker 2: this is whether or not this sort of pugnacious, very confident,
- 15:41Speaker 2: brash demeanor that he holds, you know, that he has, which, again,
- 15:45Speaker 2: I love, is something that is going to resonate as
- 15:47Speaker 2: much with the general audience.
- 15:48Speaker 1: I didn't find it that pugnacious.
- 15:50Speaker 5: Really?
- 15:50Speaker 1: I thought it was more, I mean.
- 15:52Speaker 2: I mean, I thought it was great.
- 15:53Speaker 1: I was going to say, no offense. I think it
- 15:55Speaker 1: qualifies as pugnacious compared to a lot of Democrats. Exactly, yeah.
- 15:59Speaker 1: You know what I mean?
- 16:00Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 16:00Speaker 1: Whereas, like, Trump is out here, like. you know, like
- 16:03Speaker 1: he'll go after your wife's sister or something like that,
- 16:06Speaker 1: which a lot of Republicans loved as well. I thought
- 16:09Speaker 1: it was, yeah, I mean, Frank, I guess I'm just
- 16:11Speaker 1: looking at it through that lens. I'm like, yeah, it's
- 16:12Speaker 1: like kind of very like, I mean, the reason why
- 16:14Speaker 1: it went mega viral is just basically created in a
- 16:18Speaker 1: laboratory to like tug at the heartstrings of like white
- 16:21Speaker 1: liberal educated women, which is fine. I get it. I mean,
- 16:24Speaker 1: it's one of those like the vision of the country,
- 16:26Speaker 1: you know, the Emma Lazarus poem and all of that. But,
- 16:29Speaker 1: you know, my own annoyance at this general aside, it
- 16:35Speaker 1: is about a competing vision ultimately of identity. Because one
- 16:40Speaker 1: of the most annoying things about the Israel discourse is
- 16:43Speaker 1: that you have a group, and I'm not talking about
- 16:46Speaker 1: Jewish people, I'm talking about people who are rabidly committed
- 16:49Speaker 1: to the Zionist cause, who actually have straight up dual
- 16:53Speaker 1: loyalty and have shown it to us time and time
- 16:56Speaker 1: and time again. Again, to be extremely clear, that is
- 16:59Speaker 1: not all Jewish because I'm sure that will get clipped
- 17:02Speaker 1: out of context. However, what they do instead is they
- 17:06Speaker 1: make it so that Islam itself, they basically turn it
- 17:11Speaker 1: over and say Islam itself is evidence of being both
- 17:15Speaker 1: anti-American and anti-Semitic, that these are incompatible values. And then
- 17:21Speaker 1: what Abdul is doing is flipping it on its head
- 17:24Speaker 1: and is basically saying, You are the person who is
- 17:27Speaker 1: advocating for something which is genuinely against the Constitution. Like,
- 17:32Speaker 1: let's leave it.
- 17:33Speaker 2: It's un-American.
- 17:33Speaker 1: Right, yeah, it's un-American. Like, effectively what you're trying to
- 17:37Speaker 1: get me to do. And that's always the most useful
- 17:39Speaker 1: framework is to basically shove it back in their face.
- 17:41Speaker 5: Yes.
- 17:42Speaker 1: Because what they're trying to do is they're trying to, basically,
- 17:44Speaker 1: it's about heightening the contradiction. to use the Marxist phrase,
- 17:48Speaker 1: by trying to shift what they do onto other people.
- 17:52Speaker 1: And that, you know, in some cases it can be
- 17:53Speaker 1: justified or not. Again, not whether you're Muslim or not, whether,
- 17:57Speaker 1: let's say you're like wholeheartedly committed to, you know, I
- 17:59Speaker 1: guess the Palestinian cause over the American cause, right? That
- 18:02Speaker 1: would be similar evidence of dual loyalty or overt loyalty. But,
- 18:06Speaker 1: you know, I don't think we have as much of
- 18:07Speaker 1: a problem with that. The point just remains is it
- 18:10Speaker 1: goes viral because at a time of Trump, especially with
- 18:14Speaker 1: the Iran war, an economic crisis, is this is all
- 18:18Speaker 1: they've got, right? This is it.
- 18:20Speaker 2: And by the way, you know, Tommy- Trump making fun
- 18:22Speaker 2: of his name and all this crap.
- 18:23Speaker 1: Right, yeah, the name thing and all, and look, obviously
- 18:25Speaker 1: it's used to tremendous value for him from Obama birtherism
- 18:29Speaker 1: literally onward, right? San Bernardino, a total and complete shutdown,
- 18:33Speaker 1: the Muslim ban and all of that, et cetera. I
- 18:37Speaker 1: think what it does though is that at that time,
- 18:40Speaker 1: that was using it especially to highlight the problem with
- 18:44Speaker 1: a lot of like, liberal kind of framing around terrorism.
- 18:47Speaker 1: I mean, you remember this, the whole Hillary can't say
- 18:50Speaker 1: radical Islamic terrorism. That's like one of the biggest controversies
- 18:55Speaker 1: of 2016. We're just way past that.
- 18:57Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 18:58Speaker 2: You know, it's also I mean, there's such an irony, too,
- 19:00Speaker 2: because Trump aggressively courted courted the Muslim and Arab American
- 19:04Speaker 2: vote in the state of Michigan with great success in
- 19:07Speaker 2: his last campaign, by the way, and now just immediately
- 19:10Speaker 2: goes back to complete Islamophobia. And, you know, you said this,
- 19:13Speaker 2: you think is tailor made in a lab to appeal
- 19:15Speaker 2: to liberal white women. But I think your other comment
- 19:18Speaker 2: is more to the point, which is that He is
- 19:21Speaker 2: they are trying to frame him as an other.
- 19:23Speaker 4: Yeah, right.
- 19:23Speaker 2: And he is turning it around and appealing to some
- 19:26Speaker 2: of the most bedrock American values, which, yes, there is
- 19:29Speaker 2: a there is some percentage of the society which prides
- 19:33Speaker 2: themselves on their racism and their white nationalism. But that
- 19:37Speaker 2: is not going to be a majority view. Those are
- 19:39Speaker 2: not going to be the people that are going to
- 19:40Speaker 2: be voting for Abdul Syed in the state of Michigan.
- 19:43Speaker 2: And I think he's done this throughout his campaign, not
- 19:45Speaker 2: only in this exchange, but I've talked a lot about
- 19:48Speaker 2: his flavor of America first leftistism. because what he says
- 19:51Speaker 2: about Palestine, about Gaza and about the Iran war is
- 19:55Speaker 2: why are we spending this money there when we could
- 19:57Speaker 2: be spending it here? And he brings it back to
- 20:00Speaker 2: that all the time. Go ahead on that.
- 20:02Speaker 1: No, so he did a clip yesterday. I thought it
- 20:03Speaker 1: was so well done. He was like, I forget, some
- 20:07Speaker 1: idiot at ABC News is like, is Israel an ally?
- 20:09Speaker 1: It's such a stupid question, right? And he's like, is Israel?
- 20:12Speaker 1: He's like, well, I don't think they're an ally. And
- 20:14Speaker 1: the reason why is good allies don't drag you into war.
- 20:16Speaker 1: He didn't say anything else. He was just like, and
- 20:18Speaker 1: we can get to the morality and all that. And
- 20:20Speaker 1: this is what the clip that got Tucker in trouble
- 20:23Speaker 1: and all these Republicans. mad at me is I was like, guys,
- 20:25Speaker 1: he's running an America first campaign. I'm not I don't
- 20:27Speaker 1: even agree with the guy. I'm saying, though, I can
- 20:29Speaker 1: look analytically as you could at Trump and be like, listen,
- 20:33Speaker 1: there's something here. You know, it's pretty much designed. And look,
- 20:37Speaker 1: I don't mean to be denigrating, but like there is
- 20:40Speaker 1: a literal worldview, which is basically like. American history started
- 20:44Speaker 1: in 1964. That predominates the college educated, you know, white
- 20:49Speaker 1: upper middle class. Like you could look at the audience
- 20:52Speaker 1: of the people who are literally there who are surrounding Tommy.
- 20:55Speaker 4: Right.
- 20:56Speaker 1: I these people are Americans, too. I am not saying
- 20:59Speaker 1: you're different than me. But I'm saying that type of
- 21:03Speaker 1: rhetoric and all that is very Obama 2008, which is.
- 21:07Speaker 2: He's the most popular politician in America.
- 21:10Speaker 1: I'm not saying it doesn't work.
- 21:11Speaker 2: And had a famously- multiracial coalition and one in a
- 21:18Speaker 2: lot of rural areas that have been off the table
- 21:21Speaker 2: for Democrats until now, because I do think that this
- 21:23Speaker 2: is a very aspirational part of American values that the
- 21:27Speaker 2: vast majority of people do subscribe to. So I thought
- 21:31Speaker 2: it was I thought it was brilliantly done. And, you know,
- 21:34Speaker 2: the reason I raised the question of is this going
- 21:36Speaker 2: to be something that resonates in the general election is
- 21:38Speaker 2: because I'm seeing a lot of right wing cope on
- 21:40Speaker 2: this that, oh, he comes off as an asshole when
- 21:42Speaker 2: he comes off as arrogant. And I just look at
- 21:45Speaker 2: the landscape. Freaking Donald Trump is president of the United
- 21:49Speaker 2: States of America. You think that America is going to
- 21:52Speaker 2: be put off by a guy with some swagger? Are
- 21:54Speaker 2: you kidding me? Like, that is part of what has
- 21:57Speaker 2: been so lacking on the Democratic Party side. To your point,
- 22:00Speaker 2: it's someone who will stand up for themselves. And it's
- 22:03Speaker 2: certainly what, you know, the Democratic Party wants to see.
- 22:05Speaker 2: But everybody wants to see that because ultimately that means
- 22:07Speaker 2: you're going to have the strength to fight when it
- 22:10Speaker 2: comes time. And if you're an effective politician and you're,
- 22:14Speaker 2: you know, putting out the right things and the right message—
- 22:16Speaker 2: then that translates into they're going to be willing to
- 22:18Speaker 2: stand up and fight for me when it comes time.
- 22:21Speaker 1: Which was very effective for Trump. Yes, of course. See,
- 22:24Speaker 1: that's where I just come down to. I'm like, really? Like,
- 22:26Speaker 1: that's that's what that's. that's what does it for people
- 22:29Speaker 1: in terms of like, that's extraordinary that you're willing to
- 22:32Speaker 1: spar with a, you know, with a, I mean, let's
- 22:36Speaker 1: beat the shit out of the protest.
- 22:38Speaker 2: I hear what you're saying, but I do think you
- 22:39Speaker 2: have to add, like Abdul is a very impressive candidate.
- 22:41Speaker 2: Like he's quick, you know, I mean his ability to,
- 22:44Speaker 2: to absorb that exchange and turn it around like that.
- 22:48Speaker 2: That quickly is really quite incredible. Let me get to
- 22:51Speaker 2: Mike Rogers was asked about this. So I told you
- 22:53Speaker 2: part of the Republican cope is to be like, oh,
- 22:55Speaker 2: he comes off like an asshole, which I mean, I
- 22:57Speaker 2: think we all kind of America likes an asshole. But anyway,
- 23:00Speaker 2: and I don't think he comes off that way. But
- 23:02Speaker 2: the other thing they've done is just a lie. about
- 23:04Speaker 2: the exchange and say that he didn't condemn the Muslim,
- 23:08Speaker 2: that he was just spinning the whole time and he
- 23:09Speaker 2: never condemned the Muslim Brotherhood, when literally the first words
- 23:13Speaker 2: out of his mouth in this clip are, yes, sure, absolutely.
- 23:18Speaker 2: And then he goes on to do the rest of it.
- 23:20Speaker 2: In any case, here is Mike Rogers lying about this exchange.
- 23:24Speaker 5: So he said, yes, sure, challenged the voter and said
- 23:26Speaker 5: the voter only asked him because he's a Muslim. So
- 23:31Speaker 5: Hassan Piker, who really came to the state He had
- 23:35Speaker 5: him here multiple times, five different events, took him to
- 23:37Speaker 5: college campuses. This guy is full of hate and vitriol,
- 23:41Speaker 5: not only for Jewish Americans, but for black Americans. You
- 23:44Speaker 5: listen to his comments. This guy is as vile as
- 23:47Speaker 5: they come. He has said he was excited about his
- 23:50Speaker 5: answer because he did not disavow the Muslim Brother. He
- 23:52Speaker 5: didn't disavow it. He goes on this word salad trying
- 23:55Speaker 5: to get around.
- 23:56Speaker 2: The fact that he.
- 23:57Speaker 3: Can't do it. No, that's not true.
- 23:59Speaker 1: Dana, listen, I don't know why the press.
- 24:02Speaker 5: Is so eager to protect this guy.
- 24:05Speaker 1: And it is. It's an ideology.
- 24:07Speaker 2: Yes, Dana Bash is so eager to protect Abdullah Syed.
- 24:11Speaker 2: She doesn't even quote him properly there, but she at
- 24:13Speaker 2: least does push back and, you know, like put a
- 24:16Speaker 2: little bit of reality in context to what Mike Rogers
- 24:18Speaker 2: is saying the other thing that's happened with the soccer
- 24:20Speaker 2: is another yet another like little window into what's going
- 24:24Speaker 2: on behind the scenes at CBS. So let's put this
- 24:26Speaker 2: up on the screen. One of their reporters, Jan Crawford,
- 24:30Speaker 2: originally tweeted out this. Tommy, again, the guy in the video.
- 24:35Speaker 2: Thank you. I had to watch this twice. Now, a
- 24:37Speaker 2: lot of people are theorizing, Sagar, that she actually meant
- 24:40Speaker 2: to put this out. And this is a high level.
- 24:41Speaker 2: She's a national legal correspondent over at CBS News, that
- 24:43Speaker 2: she actually meant to DM this. to this Tommy guy
- 25:00Speaker 2: and accidentally tweeted it in a total boomer moment. But
- 25:04Speaker 2: in any case, she then had to delete it and
- 25:06Speaker 2: said earlier, I tweeted a video from an Abdul Asai
- 25:09Speaker 2: town hall. I deleted that tweet because it was a
- 25:10Speaker 2: violation of CBS News standards. I apologize. But you can
- 25:15Speaker 2: see the tenor of the ideology behind the scenes. And
- 25:18Speaker 2: this is someone who is seen very much as being a,
- 25:21Speaker 2: you know, Barry Weiss acolyte and protected by her at
- 25:24Speaker 2: the network. Apparently, we put E4 up on the screen.
- 25:28Speaker 2: This has caused quite Another kerfuffle at CBS. Justin Barragona,
- 25:33Speaker 2: who's a media columnist for Zateo and is a media reporter,
- 25:36Speaker 2: says this is spiraling for CBS. I'm hearing from my
- 25:38Speaker 2: sources this over-the-top tweet is being discussed internally. At the
- 25:42Speaker 2: same time, the same sources noted Jan is protected by
- 25:45Speaker 2: Barry and has been a very vocal acolyte of Weiss.
- 25:48Speaker 2: This type of political stuff from an on-air reporter is
- 25:50Speaker 2: only going to speed up the audience's escape because their
- 25:53Speaker 2: ratings have not been very good.
- 25:55Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think that'll, that's not what's going to
- 25:58Speaker 1: speed it up. What's going to speed it up is
- 25:59Speaker 1: the product of shit, but that's definitely part of the
- 26:01Speaker 1: media discourse. Yeah, it's, look, Barry's out here obviously serving
- 26:07Speaker 1: the state of Israel. She's out here being like, let's
- 26:09Speaker 1: prove that Abdul is tied to the, Muslim Brotherhood, which,
- 26:12Speaker 1: you know, then this is what also annoys me. Imagine
- 26:15Speaker 1: if we were commissioning stories and spending millions of dollars
- 26:18Speaker 1: trying to prove, which wouldn't even be hard, let's say
- 26:22Speaker 1: in like Mark Levin's case, that his stepson is out
- 26:25Speaker 1: here like basically working, you know, to push Israeli interests
- 26:28Speaker 1: in the U.S. embassy. If we spent millions of dollars
- 26:31Speaker 1: doing that, what were they going to call it? Like
- 26:32Speaker 1: an anti-Semite hate factor, right? And that's basically what they're doing.
- 26:35Speaker 2: Well, and the thing is, it's not like she's applying
- 26:37Speaker 2: the same level of investigative scrutiny to other candidates. It's
- 26:41Speaker 2: very targeted. Barry's the one who also pushed this weird
- 26:46Speaker 2: 9-11 article about Abdul, which, yeah, it was like, I
- 26:51Speaker 2: don't even remember, but she was trying to somehow make
- 26:54Speaker 2: some tie between him and 9-11 that really was complete
- 26:57Speaker 2: and utter bullshit.
- 26:58Speaker 1: Oh, it was this. 9-11 scarred our country in profound ways.
- 27:01Speaker 1: What we did after 9-11 scarred millions of people. When
- 27:03Speaker 1: we talk about 9-11, we often fail to set ourselves
- 27:05Speaker 1: I mean, there's literally nothing wrong.
- 27:07Speaker 2: Nothing wrong with what he said there at all.
- 27:09Speaker 1: And I would say, if that were true, I think
- 27:10Speaker 1: I say that every night. Yeah, I mean, I would
- 27:12Speaker 1: go further. Every 9-11, I'm like, wait, 3,000 of our
- 27:14Speaker 1: people killed, and then we devastated millions of people around
- 27:17Speaker 1: the world, and it was totally unnecessary, and it was completely, okay,
- 27:21Speaker 1: there you go, you got me.
- 27:22Speaker 2: Yeah, no, but you know, the 9-11 never forget thing,
- 27:24Speaker 2: we would have been better off and the world would
- 27:26Speaker 2: have been better off if we forgot instantly. That is
- 27:28Speaker 2: the cold, hard reality and is uncontroversial at this point.
- 27:31Speaker 2: And by the way, Trump won in 2016. by saying
- 27:35Speaker 2: yeah by saying something yeah all right so in any
- 27:37Speaker 2: case that's what's going on.
- 27:39Speaker 1: Last michigan thing yeah abdul underperforms dems nationally what's.
- 27:43Speaker 2: The take it depends by how much because i think
- 27:47Speaker 2: you do have to take into account that he is
- 27:49Speaker 2: running against the republicans and some factions of the democrats
- 27:53Speaker 2: you have to take into account the way that they've
- 27:55Speaker 2: made him a target the national smear campaign from Trump
- 27:58Speaker 2: et al.
- 27:58Speaker 1: I think if you win- DSA people really went hard
- 28:01Speaker 1: after J.D. when he underperformed Trump.
- 28:04Speaker 2: But if you win- Which is kind of bullshit. If
- 28:05Speaker 2: you win Michigan by a significant margin- By how much?
- 28:09Speaker 2: By five or seven? I'd say five.
- 28:11Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 28:12Speaker 2: You can't take that away. If it's a squeaker, yes,
- 28:14Speaker 2: he underperformed. I think you have to look at that.
- 28:16Speaker 2: But I do think that there are some other confounding
- 28:19Speaker 2: factors you have to look at there. But in any case, yes,
- 28:21Speaker 2: I think if he wins by, let's say, five- then
- 28:27Speaker 2: no one can say anything. It's Michigan. It's a swing state.
- 28:31Speaker 2: We're told that these type of candidates can't win.
- 28:35Speaker 1: Which I've always disagreed with because I think that if
- 28:38Speaker 1: you have a D next to your name, you're winning.
- 28:39Speaker 1: I don't think Haley Stevens is going to lose either.
- 28:41Speaker 1: Both of those candidates are going to win whenever it
- 28:44Speaker 1: comes to the race. How much do you think she
- 28:46Speaker 1: needs to win by to run for office or to
- 28:48Speaker 1: run for president immediately? I think it should be, yeah,
- 28:51Speaker 1: I think five, maybe six. I would just announce.
- 28:54Speaker 2: To be honest with you.
- 28:54Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 28:55Speaker 2: People are not going to remember that for the long term,
- 28:58Speaker 2: just like with J.D.
- 28:59Speaker 5: Vance.
- 28:59Speaker 2: People don't remember for the long term that he underperformed
- 29:02Speaker 2: dramatically in Ohio when he ran for the Senate. So
- 29:07Speaker 2: I think if he wins, then I think he should
- 29:09Speaker 2: consider it.
- 29:09Speaker 1: Immediately announce. Well, consider it. He's got to do it.
- 29:12Speaker 1: He's got nobody else who's going to do it on
- 29:14Speaker 1: his side. From Michigan, especially?
- 29:16Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 29:17Speaker 2: I mean, he's got a very compelling story. He's a
- 29:19Speaker 2: very talented guy. I don't care who you are. You
- 29:22Speaker 2: have to hand that to him. I mean, he was
- 29:23Speaker 2: one of our, like, Jesse Waters can't help but sing
- 29:26Speaker 2: his praises over on Fox News as pissing off Trump.
- 29:29Speaker 2: How often he says nice things about Abdul in spite
- 29:32Speaker 2: of himself.
- 29:33Speaker 1: I like Abdul, but he's just woke one to his core.
- 29:36Speaker 1: And that's just the part about him I just can't.
- 29:40Speaker 2: Get over.
- 29:40Speaker 3: With this guy.
- 29:41Speaker 1: But, you know, listen.
- 29:42Speaker 2: I mean, that's not the campaign he's running here. He's
- 29:44Speaker 2: been very focused. He's been very focused. Like, laser focused
- 29:49Speaker 2: on a material and anti-war message.
- 29:50Speaker 1: Just because you don't talk about something doesn't mean you
- 29:52Speaker 1: don't believe it. If you're going to be given interviews
- 29:53Speaker 1: saying Medicare for All needs to prepare for gender transition surgery, yeah.
- 29:56Speaker 2: It's going to be a red line. It is a
- 29:58Speaker 2: lot about.
- 29:58Speaker 1: Your priorities, though. But he wants to put Medicare for
- 30:01Speaker 1: All as his number one, right? Yeah. Okay, well, then
- 30:04Speaker 1: let's have a discussion.
- 30:05Speaker 2: So you would rather people not have health care.
- 30:09Speaker 1: I didn't say that. But that is what you're saying.
- 30:11Speaker 8: No, no, no, no, no.
- 30:12Speaker 2: That is what you're saying.
- 30:12Speaker 1: That's not what I said.
- 30:14Speaker 2: First of all— Because that's the tradeoff.
- 30:16Speaker 1: But I've said before about Medicare for all. I already
- 30:18Speaker 1: have bigger problems with the national, like, you know, who
- 30:21Speaker 1: gets to pay for what and decide in terms of
- 30:23Speaker 1: health care post-COVID. I don't actually support, like, national standards
- 30:26Speaker 1: whenever it comes to health care, specifically because of what happened.
- 30:29Speaker 2: So you don't support Medicare for all?
- 30:30Speaker 1: Well, not the way that the Democrats mean it. I
- 30:32Speaker 1: support health care for everybody. But I'm not saying in
- 30:34Speaker 1: terms of, like, Medicare standards we get to do— reimbursement rates.
- 30:38Speaker 1: I want to blow up the hospital system. I want
- 30:39Speaker 1: to blow up the doctor's cartel. I don't want national standards.
- 30:42Speaker 1: I want like total personal choice whenever it comes to
- 30:45Speaker 1: who gets to spend dollars, et cetera. And I think
- 30:47Speaker 1: there needs to be like hard red lines.
- 30:49Speaker 2: His Medicare for all includes ability to still maintain your
- 30:53Speaker 2: private insurance.
- 30:54Speaker 1: By the way. No, no, I understand all of that.
- 30:55Speaker 1: What I'm saying- But you.
- 30:56Speaker 2: Wouldn't accept- health care for everyone if it meant that
- 31:01Speaker 2: gender transitions were funded.
- 31:03Speaker 1: Well, you're framing it differently, right?
- 31:04Speaker 2: I'm not framing it differently. That's the choice because you're
- 31:06Speaker 2: saying it's a red line.
- 31:07Speaker 1: Well, he supports a national Medicare for all standard, which has, again, Medicare,
- 31:12Speaker 1: CMS gets to decide the literal types of procedures, what
- 31:14Speaker 1: they do. and do not pay for, and which obviously
- 31:17Speaker 1: would replace the healthcare for the vast majority of people
- 31:20Speaker 1: and effectively push.
- 31:20Speaker 2: And endorse what I think.
- 31:22Speaker 1: Is Nazi medical science on children.
- 31:24Speaker 2: So it's like, you know, this is a real problem.
- 31:27Speaker 2: Still allows private health insurance. But you're avoiding my question.
- 31:32Speaker 2: So you would reject the, you know, the Medicare for
- 31:36Speaker 2: all that Abdul supports, which includes private health insurance, if
- 31:40Speaker 2: it included... that people's gender transitions would be paid for.
- 31:44Speaker 1: Again, I don't even think we should have national health care, period,
- 31:46Speaker 1: because of the way that he's saying. We should just
- 31:48Speaker 1: have subsidies and or just give people dollars because of
- 31:51Speaker 1: the amount of power it gives to the federal government.
- 31:53Speaker 1: So it's like the Medicare for all.
- 31:55Speaker 2: So if you do subsidies, if you do subsidies, then
- 31:57Speaker 2: that means you're just propping up the whole system.
- 32:00Speaker 1: No, no, no, not health care subsidy. I'm saying people
- 32:02Speaker 1: should get direct dollars, effectively HSA style accounts. what that
- 32:05Speaker 1: would mean then is that we also blow up the,
- 32:07Speaker 1: this is a longer discussion, but the broader point that
- 32:10Speaker 1: it all comes down to is I think it's also
- 32:12Speaker 1: fine to have social, I mean, I remember you told RFK,
- 32:15Speaker 1: vaccine rejection is a red line. I'm sorry, like Nazi
- 32:18Speaker 1: science on children, it's not even a question for me.
- 32:21Speaker 1: Like it's literally the idea of taxpayer dollars going towards that.
- 32:25Speaker 1: That opens up such like a bigger transhumanist, like insane
- 32:29Speaker 1: question and philosophy around like rejection of literal biology that
- 32:33Speaker 1: I'm like, I cannot even play in this universe. People
- 32:36Speaker 1: can say, oh, that's fine. People have plenty of social
- 32:38Speaker 1: red lines, too.
- 32:39Speaker 2: So that's like an end-all, be-all litmus test for you.
- 32:42Speaker 1: I mean, honestly, yeah. You want taxpayer dollars?
- 32:44Speaker 2: Allowing parents and doctors to make their own decisions about
- 32:48Speaker 2: their kids' medical care?
- 32:49Speaker 1: You can open that up to literally anything. Do you
- 32:51Speaker 1: think that parents and doctors should be allowed to do
- 32:53Speaker 1: whatever they consider is fine for them? I think that's
- 32:56Speaker 1: fucking nuts. And we have... social standards or we have
- 32:59Speaker 1: legal standards around all kinds of different like you can
- 33:01Speaker 1: you can you chop off toes because parents and doctors
- 33:04Speaker 1: have mass social psychosis they think so no of course
- 33:07Speaker 1: not nobody thinks that it's only because they endorse like
- 33:10Speaker 1: this specific policy again of mass psychosis which thankfully is
- 33:13Speaker 1: actually going down right now i mean this is you
- 33:15Speaker 1: know big discussion.
- 33:17Speaker 2: I just i think it's fine to have a social.
- 33:18Speaker 1: Red line like i don't think there's anything.
- 33:20Speaker 2: Wrong okay but that is your position is that.
- 33:22Speaker 1: Well again you're trying to define a narrow.
- 33:24Speaker 2: Allowing i don't agree with Medical care for trans kids.
- 33:27Speaker 1: OK, well, that's a very different framing. No, but no,
- 33:30Speaker 1: it's not.
- 33:31Speaker 2: It's it's but that's what you're saying is that that
- 33:33Speaker 2: means you would not support any candidate. Who supports who
- 33:38Speaker 2: supports no matter how much they support all the anti-war
- 33:42Speaker 2: going to stop the war in Iran, going to get
- 33:44Speaker 2: people health care, that that's just such a red line
- 33:46Speaker 2: for you will not go there.
- 33:47Speaker 4: Yes.
- 33:47Speaker 1: Just as vaccine rejection was for you, for me. chemical
- 33:51Speaker 1: castration of children, which is Joseph Mengele-style science, absolute red line,
- 33:57Speaker 1: especially whenever it comes to taxpayer funding.
- 33:59Speaker 2: I mean, then that explains why you'd vote for Trump again. Well,
- 34:03Speaker 2: I wouldn't.
- 34:04Speaker 1: I didn't say I would vote for Trump again.
- 34:06Speaker 2: Against any Democrat who supported.
- 34:08Speaker 4: No, no, no.
- 34:09Speaker 1: I mean, just not vote. But whenever it comes to
- 34:11Speaker 1: affirmative support, I mean, OK, here's my question, too. Do
- 34:15Speaker 1: you not think that that's like a real social... position,
- 34:20Speaker 1: which first of all, is held by the vast majority
- 34:22Speaker 1: of the public. And then second, which is understandable to
- 34:25Speaker 1: a lot of people. I just talked to you about COVID.
- 34:27Speaker 1: And part of the reason why you're talking about national
- 34:29Speaker 1: health care and the way that you're framing the question
- 34:31Speaker 1: is because I'm not going to be living in a world,
- 34:33Speaker 1: let's say, where parents are in a position like sometimes
- 34:36Speaker 1: in the state of California, where the state gets to
- 34:38Speaker 1: come in and rip your child away because you're like, hey,
- 34:40Speaker 1: I think this is bad, right? Which is this literally
- 34:42Speaker 1: happened in multiple cases. So people talk about parents' rights. No,
- 34:46Speaker 1: that's not how the courts are working right now. And
- 34:48Speaker 1: a lot of these blue and liberal jurisdictions. Can't you
- 34:50Speaker 1: see how that could go in a runaway way, like very,
- 34:54Speaker 1: very quickly? It opens up all kinds of crazy questions.
- 34:57Speaker 2: I'm not saying that there isn't political support for the
- 35:00Speaker 2: position that you're articulating. I just think it's a little
- 35:03Speaker 2: different from how you typically present your views, where you
- 35:05Speaker 2: tend to focus more on economics.
- 35:08Speaker 1: Of course.
- 35:09Speaker 2: And on, you know, anti-war.
- 35:11Speaker 5: Yes.
- 35:12Speaker 2: And, you know, American sovereignty.
- 35:14Speaker 4: Yes.
- 35:15Speaker 2: And so I just am trying to nail you down on...
- 35:19Speaker 2: That issue actually for you, it's not maybe fair to
- 35:23Speaker 2: say it comes before everything, but it is a litmus
- 35:25Speaker 2: test issue that you will not vote for any candidate
- 35:29Speaker 2: no matter how good they are and everything else. That
- 35:31Speaker 2: is an absolute red line for you.
- 35:32Speaker 1: You're talking about affirmative vote. Like I'm saying like, oh,
- 35:35Speaker 1: I'm going to go out and vote. No, no, probably not. Honestly,
- 35:38Speaker 1: I might just not vote. If I go back in 2024,
- 35:40Speaker 1: I wouldn't vote, period, at all. But that doesn't mean that,
- 35:43Speaker 1: you know, you're going to come out, endorse somebody, campaign
- 35:46Speaker 1: for somebody. you know, raise money for somebody, I can
- 35:49Speaker 1: analytically look and be like.
- 35:50Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely.
- 35:51Speaker 1: I think, by the way, you know, I think any
- 35:52Speaker 1: liberal who's sneering at this, you guys all believe the
- 35:54Speaker 1: same shit. If somebody was anti-war, if somebody was, you know,
- 35:59Speaker 1: pro subsidies for everything, but is, oh, I don't know,
- 36:02Speaker 1: against mass immigration or is against abortion, are you really
- 36:06Speaker 1: going to vote for that person? Be serious. Like you're not.
- 36:08Speaker 1: And Everybody knows that is that it's a confluence of
- 36:11Speaker 1: social position. And of course, many of those other things
- 36:13Speaker 1: I talk about, I care, I probably care about war
- 36:16Speaker 1: as number one. And I'll tell you this too. You know,
- 36:19Speaker 1: I said, never, if it were, if it was existential,
- 36:23Speaker 1: if America, if I was like, we're going to go
- 36:26Speaker 1: into hundreds of thousands of people will be, let's not exaggerate.
- 36:29Speaker 1: Let's say we're going to get into a real no
- 36:31Speaker 1: shit war. Then yeah.
- 36:32Speaker 5: Okay.
- 36:33Speaker 1: You know, I can, we can have a discussion, but
- 36:35Speaker 1: I mean, to say that it doesn't rank up there,
- 36:37Speaker 1: like it's important. Like, it's very important. And I think
- 36:40Speaker 1: it's important for a lot of other people. And, yeah,
- 36:43Speaker 1: if liberals want to win elections, like, they should think
- 36:45Speaker 1: about that. Because I don't think it's, you know, I
- 36:47Speaker 1: could flip it around and be like, oh, it's so
- 36:49Speaker 1: important to you to have health care for, again, like
- 36:53Speaker 1: child castration. That then, you know, that you're willing to
- 36:58Speaker 1: have child castration. You think that's such an important, you know,
- 37:01Speaker 1: issue area that you'll deny health care to millions of
- 37:03Speaker 1: other people.
- 37:04Speaker 2: That doesn't make any sense.
- 37:05Speaker 1: Well, OK, so then just drop the trans thing.
- 37:07Speaker 2: I mean, no, health care for everyone is very important
- 37:10Speaker 2: to me. And I would accept it even if it
- 37:12Speaker 2: didn't fund, you know, any sort of. gender care for
- 37:17Speaker 2: adults or children. Right, but that's a very unique position
- 37:20Speaker 2: on the left. No, I don't think that's true. I
- 37:21Speaker 2: think people would accept a level of, because then you
- 37:24Speaker 2: can fight on those other pieces. But getting health care
- 37:28Speaker 2: for all, I would be pushing to make sure that
- 37:30Speaker 2: it's comprehensive for that, for eye care, for dental, all
- 37:33Speaker 2: of those sorts of things. But yes, I think the
- 37:36Speaker 2: greater good of achieving universal health care That is 100 percent.
- 37:41Speaker 2: I think most people would agree with that.
- 37:42Speaker 1: I think that's a very unique position. And that is
- 37:44Speaker 1: not what I think. Then why won't he just say it?
- 37:46Speaker 1: Why does he say it in a competitive race? Why
- 37:48Speaker 1: does he say it?
- 37:49Speaker 2: Because he has principles and he's articulating his actual view
- 37:52Speaker 2: as someone who went to medical school.
- 37:54Speaker 1: Obama lied about being for gay marriage. Politicians lie all
- 37:57Speaker 1: the time. Like we're going to sit here and pretend
- 37:59Speaker 1: that these people don't have calculations.
- 38:02Speaker 2: Why else? Why else? would he say it?
- 38:05Speaker 1: Yeah, I know, because he believes it.
- 38:07Speaker 2: Yes, because he believes it. He's not lying. He believes
- 38:10Speaker 2: it based on his medical background. In any case, we're
- 38:12Speaker 2: down a rabbit hole, but it was an interesting discussion
- 38:14Speaker 2: and we do have a guest on this question of
- 38:17Speaker 2: math and AI.
- 38:18Speaker 1: Okay, let's get to it. Griffin says, uh-oh, woke one debate. He, he, he. Listen,
- 38:24Speaker 1: I know that these are contentious and, you know, just
- 38:26Speaker 1: to move on in a second, but to be honest,
- 38:28Speaker 1: these will be the discussion that will actually have to
- 38:31Speaker 1: be had as we move forward because I think All
- 38:34Speaker 1: of these questions and, you know, even maybe I'll have
- 38:38Speaker 1: to work through it as well. I'm sure you probably
- 38:40Speaker 1: had to think a lot about things post-Trump in terms
- 38:42Speaker 1: of like litmus tests and like where you go and
- 38:45Speaker 1: what for. Because, you know, what we're seeing right now
- 38:50Speaker 1: is a moment of extraordinary change. And if anything, my
- 38:53Speaker 1: big takeaway from the Weimar book was if you don't
- 38:56Speaker 1: talk about it like this, then things go real fucking bad. And,
- 39:01Speaker 1: you know, having a discussion here, I appreciate it. So
- 39:04Speaker 1: I don't want to end on a contentious note. There
- 39:06Speaker 1: you go. Let's move on.
- 39:10Speaker 2: AI seems to be upending the world of mathematics. Let's
- 39:13Speaker 2: go ahead and put this tear sheet up on the screen.
- 39:15Speaker 2: So after OpenAI solved the Navier-Stokes problem, a so-called Millennium
- 39:21Speaker 2: Prize problem, it now has solved hundreds more. And from
- 39:26Speaker 2: what I'm seeing bubbling up from the mathematics community, there
- 39:29Speaker 2: is a lot of turmoil and upset about what this
- 39:32Speaker 2: means for the future of the profession. So rejoining us
- 39:35Speaker 2: to break down his view on all of this is
- 39:37Speaker 2: Daniel Litt. He is a mathematician and also an assistant
- 39:40Speaker 2: professor at the University of Toronto. Great to have you back, sir.
- 39:43Speaker 1: Good to see you. Likewise.
- 39:44Speaker 3: Glad to be back.
- 39:45Speaker 2: First, can you just give us a little bit of
- 39:47Speaker 2: background on what just happened and why this is roiling
- 39:51Speaker 2: the world of mathematics so much?
- 39:53Speaker 3: Sure.
- 39:53Speaker 6: So the short version is OpenAI just released about 700
- 39:57Speaker 6: PDFs claiming to at least make progress on something like
- 40:03Speaker 6: 370 open problems in mathematics. So this is obviously a
- 40:09Speaker 6: remarkable event. Those problems are things that, you know, some
- 40:14Speaker 6: of them are things I like. One of them was
- 40:15Speaker 6: a conjecture I'd made that an internal model at OpenAI
- 40:19Speaker 6: made some kind of partial progress on.
- 40:22Speaker 3: So this is exciting. I think it's clearly.
- 40:26Speaker 6: Something that, you know, many people in the community are
- 40:28Speaker 6: not sure how to react to because it's just a
- 40:30Speaker 6: big change to how we operate. Like historically, if you
- 40:32Speaker 6: want to make progress on an open problem, you really
- 40:35Speaker 6: need a human expert in the loop. And now sometimes
- 40:37Speaker 6: you can make some amount of progress just by prompting
- 40:40Speaker 6: an AI model. I think it's maybe not totally unfair
- 40:44Speaker 6: to analogize it to what happened to astronomy when the
- 40:47Speaker 6: telescope was invented. Suddenly we have a new and very
- 40:50Speaker 6: powerful tool that's changing the way we work.
- 40:52Speaker 1: So that's really interesting, Daniel. You're basically framing it as
- 40:55Speaker 1: a tool for people like yourselves. I'm sure you've seen this.
- 40:58Speaker 1: There's been a hell of a lot of discourse. I've
- 41:00Speaker 1: seen mathematicians in tears on the Ezra Klein podcast. talking
- 41:05Speaker 1: about the meaning of life. Why don't you talk through
- 41:07Speaker 1: us about some of your feelings on the subject?
- 41:10Speaker 5: Sure.
- 41:11Speaker 3: So, okay, I am not in tears.
- 41:13Speaker 6: I think that there are a lot of people who
- 41:14Speaker 6: are concerned about the future of the profession, and that's
- 41:17Speaker 6: very justified. So the way we have to train graduate
- 41:19Speaker 6: students will have to change. One reason for this is that, like,
- 41:24Speaker 6: you know, When you have a profession or an institution,
- 41:27Speaker 6: it needs to measure what people have contributed, what they've done.
- 41:30Speaker 6: And historically, mathematicians have measured that by, did you solve
- 41:34Speaker 6: an open problem? That's supposed to measure, did you contribute
- 41:36Speaker 6: new understanding to the community? Or have you successfully trained
- 41:41Speaker 6: the next generation and so on? That's not such a
- 41:43Speaker 6: good measure anymore, because sometimes that can be done automatically.
- 41:47Speaker 6: So I think people are very worried that like the
- 41:50Speaker 6: sort of institutional structures of the profession will be overturned.
- 41:53Speaker 6: And that could, of course, be bad.
- 41:55Speaker 3: Right.
- 41:55Speaker 6: Like that could end up with a profession that's less successful.
- 41:59Speaker 6: But I think there's also, you know, a lot of
- 42:00Speaker 6: opportunity there. Yeah. So so my view is that at
- 42:04Speaker 6: least for mathematicians, these models are primarily a tool. Um,
- 42:10Speaker 6: and of course they can be used in a non
- 42:12Speaker 6: tool like manner as well. Um, but you know, if
- 42:14Speaker 6: your interest is in understanding mathematics, you need a human
- 42:17Speaker 6: in the loop to do that.
- 42:18Speaker 2: So the other thing that I've heard is that part
- 42:22Speaker 2: of what draws people to the field of mathematics is
- 42:26Speaker 2: this joy of discovery. This, which any human, whether you're
- 42:31Speaker 2: a mathematician or not, can relate to. You're trying to
- 42:33Speaker 2: figure something out and then the last puzzle piece clicks
- 42:36Speaker 2: into place and you have this euphoric sense of, oh,
- 42:39Speaker 2: I did it. I figured it out. And so there's
- 42:41Speaker 2: this sort of existential fear of, this profession that I
- 42:44Speaker 2: chose because I love that particular process, that part of
- 42:49Speaker 2: it may be going completely away. And speaking somewhat to
- 42:53Speaker 2: that sense, Terence Tao had some comments about how he
- 42:57Speaker 2: sees this evolution. He is considered one of the best
- 43:00Speaker 2: living mathematicians. So let me go ahead and play a
- 43:03Speaker 2: little bit of what he had to say about this
- 43:05Speaker 2: new era of mathematics and get your response.
- 43:07Speaker 8: I guess we are seeing the end of the romantic
- 43:10Speaker 8: era of mathematics, the age of heroes, which has happened
- 43:14Speaker 8: in other disciplines centuries ago, early as the Industrial Revolution. Somehow,
- 43:19Speaker 8: mathematics held on, and we had our idiosyncratic traditions. For example,
- 43:24Speaker 8: we all use blackboards, as you can see, and I've
- 43:26Speaker 8: got this special Japanese-Korean chalk. And so we have these
- 43:29Speaker 8: little quirks, and I do a lot of one-on-one advising
- 43:32Speaker 8: individual grad students and things. And we have these mythological
- 43:36Speaker 8: stories about Andrew Wiles being locked in his attic for
- 43:40Speaker 8: seven years. Do you have Your YouTube channel has covered
- 43:43Speaker 8: many of these stories. And I think we are moving
- 43:45Speaker 8: to an industrial era where math will become much more
- 43:49Speaker 8: large scale. We'll work in big teams. More like the
- 43:51Speaker 8: other sciences, they've already had to adapt to industrialization. And
- 43:56Speaker 8: something will be lost. There's something romantic about the heroic age.
- 43:59Speaker 8: And hopefully we will keep some of it, at least
- 44:01Speaker 8: in our educational system. We will emphasize traditional ways of
- 44:04Speaker 8: doing mathematics first before the industrial things. Just like we
- 44:09Speaker 8: teach kids how to do arithmetic by hand. before giving
- 44:11Speaker 8: them calculators. I think we have to have a similar
- 44:14Speaker 8: type of thing. But it is sad, an era which
- 44:17Speaker 8: was very nice and slow and maybe inefficient in ways.
- 44:21Speaker 8: And not always that. Hero worship also has a downside.
- 44:23Speaker 8: It has winners and losers and whatever. So we are entering,
- 44:28Speaker 8: rather unwillingly, but we are entering a new era where
- 44:31Speaker 8: exciting new things are possible, but some things are being lost.
- 44:34Speaker 8: And the question is, what can we keep that's valuable
- 44:36Speaker 8: and what can we let go of?
- 44:39Speaker 2: So, Daniel, do you similarly see it as a sort
- 44:41Speaker 2: of end of an era here? And is there something
- 44:44Speaker 2: lost for the human beings participating as you move into
- 44:47Speaker 2: a world where AI can generate these proofs faster than
- 44:50Speaker 2: any living human being can?
- 44:53Speaker 6: I think, yeah, you know, of course, the way we
- 44:55Speaker 6: work has changed. And there's some nice things about the
- 44:57Speaker 6: way we work. You know, just being able to ponder
- 45:00Speaker 6: with a pencil and paper is, I think, a very
- 45:02Speaker 6: pleasant way to engage with the fundamental truths of the universe.
- 45:06Speaker 3: Is that lost?
- 45:06Speaker 6: Like, of course, we can still do that, right? It's
- 45:08Speaker 6: just not as efficient maybe as, you know, working with
- 45:12Speaker 6: our new tools. You know, astronomy, like hundreds of years ago,
- 45:17Speaker 6: someone peering up at the sky with their naked eyes
- 45:20Speaker 6: and trying to understand what's going on in the universe
- 45:21Speaker 6: is also a little bit romantic. But, you know, modern
- 45:25Speaker 6: astronomy using a radio telescope has a lot of improvements
- 45:28Speaker 6: over that.
- 45:29Speaker 3: You know, maybe that romance is lost.
- 45:31Speaker 6: To some extent, but you can, of course, still look
- 45:33Speaker 6: up at the sky and ponder the nature of the universe,
- 45:35Speaker 6: but you can also do other things.
- 45:36Speaker 3: So I don't know.
- 45:37Speaker 6: I think we have a lot of opportunities. You know,
- 45:40Speaker 6: things are lost. You know, Terry talked about the age
- 45:44Speaker 6: of heroes. So maybe ego will play less of a
- 45:47Speaker 6: role in mathematics. That doesn't seem like a bad thing
- 45:49Speaker 6: to me. So I would say overall, I'm feeling very
- 45:52Speaker 6: positive about these changes, even though, yeah, for individual people,
- 45:56Speaker 6: you know, your motivations for going into mathematics might change
- 45:59Speaker 6: in the world. My motivation has always been about kind
- 46:03Speaker 6: of learning something new and fundamental about the universe. And
- 46:07Speaker 6: that motivation still seems to be very, you know, something
- 46:12Speaker 6: that I think I'll have the opportunity to do in
- 46:14Speaker 6: this new future.
- 46:15Speaker 2: Let me push on your telescope analogy a little bit here,
- 46:18Speaker 2: because it seems to me like AI is less like
- 46:23Speaker 2: the development of the telescope and more like if you
- 46:25Speaker 2: developed a telescope that was just going to chart the
- 46:28Speaker 2: entire universe. And now rather than your job being looking
- 46:31Speaker 2: at the stars at all, your job is to sort
- 46:34Speaker 2: through that charting and try to make some sense of
- 46:39Speaker 2: it and try to wrap your little puny human brain
- 46:42Speaker 2: around the output that the AI has already spit out.
- 46:46Speaker 2: So it seems because the telescope is a tool, you
- 46:49Speaker 2: get to pick where to point it. You're still fundamentally
- 46:52Speaker 2: looking at the stars and trying to sort through the
- 46:53Speaker 2: mysteries there. Isn't that a bit different from what is
- 46:57Speaker 2: happening now with AI, where I think the fear is
- 47:00Speaker 2: that also it could happen quite rapidly, that humans are
- 47:04Speaker 2: not even able to really understand the proofs that are
- 47:06Speaker 2: being generated. And they certainly aren't able to work through
- 47:10Speaker 2: and really delve into the proofs that are being generated
- 47:12Speaker 2: even to, you know, completely determine whether or not they're correct.
- 47:16Speaker 3: So that's a fear.
- 47:17Speaker 6: I think that right now that's not what we're seeing. So,
- 47:19Speaker 6: you know, OpenAI released some, what, 700-something papers. What were
- 47:23Speaker 6: those papers' answers to? They were answers to questions that
- 47:25Speaker 6: human mathematicians had asked. So at least right now we're
- 47:27Speaker 6: still pointing the telescope. I think you can imagine a
- 47:30Speaker 6: world where you set the models, turning, generating questions and
- 47:33Speaker 6: answering them.
- 47:34Speaker 3: That's something you can try to do. And if you
- 47:35Speaker 3: run that with current models, you will not produce high-quality results. Yeah.
- 47:39Speaker 6: Um, maybe in a few years you'll produce high quality results,
- 47:42Speaker 6: but I don't think that stops us.
- 47:43Speaker 3: From pointing the telescope, right?
- 47:45Speaker 6: Like I'm motivated by trying to understand some specific objects. Um,
- 47:49Speaker 6: so I can, you know, use the tools to try
- 47:52Speaker 6: to do that. Maybe the models have already generated some,
- 47:55Speaker 6: some text about them and maybe, and maybe that understanding
- 47:58Speaker 6: will be what I want or maybe not.
- 48:00Speaker 8: Right.
- 48:00Speaker 6: Like there's, um, math is like an infinitely large space
- 48:03Speaker 6: you can explore. I think I would be excited to
- 48:06Speaker 6: sort through outputs from a model doing some kind of
- 48:09Speaker 6: automated exploration, but I'm also somehow not really worried about
- 48:12Speaker 6: exhausting the search space, right? Like the sky is, I guess,
- 48:16Speaker 6: a relatively small thing to search. Math is infinitely large.
- 48:19Speaker 6: So I'm quite confident that I'll have a role to play,
- 48:24Speaker 6: you know, basically no matter how smart the models get.
- 48:26Speaker 1: My last question for you, Daniel, is about the signs that,
- 48:30Speaker 1: what would change your mind? Like what can the rest
- 48:33Speaker 1: of us look for? And what would really change your
- 48:36Speaker 1: understanding of the field or kind of to Crystal's point
- 48:41Speaker 1: evolve into a field where humanity is no longer even relevant.
- 48:45Speaker 3: To the question.
- 48:46Speaker 6: That doesn't seem like an output that is like, I
- 48:48Speaker 6: don't think there's anything that would change my mind.
- 48:50Speaker 3: So let me, let me briefly explain why.
- 48:52Speaker 2: So, right.
- 48:52Speaker 6: You can imagine extremely smart models that can do everything
- 48:55Speaker 6: we can do. And we just put them in a
- 48:56Speaker 6: loop generating PDFs. Um, I think in that world where
- 48:59Speaker 6: we do that with math, where we do that with
- 49:00Speaker 6: basic science. We've just given up control of the future.
- 49:03Speaker 6: We've placed it in the hands of the models or
- 49:05Speaker 6: maybe the corporations that own them. I don't think that's
- 49:07Speaker 6: a future that we want. So I think that there
- 49:09Speaker 6: will always be a desire for human expertise and for
- 49:11Speaker 6: humans in the loop just to make sure that we
- 49:13Speaker 6: retain control over our understanding of the universe and whatever applications.
- 49:17Speaker 3: Come out of that.
- 49:18Speaker 5: Sure.
- 49:19Speaker 2: So last thing, let me get you to respond to
- 49:21Speaker 2: a bit of a parody that was published to Terry
- 49:25Speaker 2: Tao's blog here. And I'll read you a little bit,
- 49:28Speaker 2: put this last piece up on the screen here. So
- 49:30Speaker 2: a couple of excerpts. Again, this is a spoof. This
- 49:32Speaker 2: person writes, In centuries past, scientists and mathematicians were limited
- 49:36Speaker 2: in their ability to solve problems by their ability to
- 49:38Speaker 2: understand the solutions. That bottleneck has been removed. Now there's
- 49:42Speaker 2: no theoretical limit to the amount of scientific and mathematical
- 49:45Speaker 2: factoids we can fail to understand. They go on to write,
- 49:49Speaker 2: math and science are about cold, hard answers, just as
- 49:52Speaker 2: art is about producing images. Music is about producing sound
- 49:55Speaker 2: waves and literature is about producing strings of text. These
- 49:59Speaker 2: things exist to be consumed as content. No rational person,
- 50:02Speaker 2: least of all us masters of rationality in STEM, pursues
- 50:05Speaker 2: these for the joy of creation, learning, or beauty. All
- 50:08Speaker 2: of these are inefficiencies, and we mustn't be inefficient, lest
- 50:11Speaker 2: we stifle humanity's progress. LLMs are not burdened with these inefficiencies,
- 50:16Speaker 2: and they will be merely the pursuits of those left
- 50:18Speaker 2: behind with nothing more productive to do all day. Personally,
- 50:21Speaker 2: I look forward to the day when ChatGPT can enjoy
- 50:24Speaker 2: a sunset or a nice meal on my behalf and
- 50:26Speaker 2: free up my time the same way I save time
- 50:29Speaker 2: on scenic hikes using Uber. So very different worldview here
- 50:34Speaker 2: written by the author. What are they getting wrong in
- 50:38Speaker 2: their perspective?
- 50:39Speaker 3: Oh, I actually love this parody.
- 50:41Speaker 6: I mean, I think that the vision of mathematics where
- 50:45Speaker 6: you just run an LLM in a loop with no
- 50:47Speaker 6: humans involved works. views the goal of mathematics as, like,
- 50:51Speaker 6: automation of the production of PDFs. I think I kind
- 50:53Speaker 6: of agree with the author of this parody's viewpoint, that, like,
- 50:56Speaker 6: we don't want to know just what, we also want
- 50:58Speaker 6: to know why. And a PDF doesn't know why. I mean,
- 51:02Speaker 6: you need some human expertise to, like, understand that and
- 51:05Speaker 6: get at that and pursue it.
- 51:07Speaker 3: So, yeah, I think that the author of this parody
- 51:10Speaker 3: has a.
- 51:10Speaker 6: Very similar view of science to me, actually, that, like,
- 51:13Speaker 6: we are trying to understand the world, and that's not
- 51:15Speaker 6: something you can automate.
- 51:17Speaker 1: That's cool. I like your perspective, Daniel. I'm going to
- 51:19Speaker 1: stick with it. It makes me feel better. Thank you.
- 51:22Speaker 1: Appreciate your time.
- 51:23Speaker 2: Thank you, Daniel. Great to see you.
- 51:25Speaker 8: Likewise.
- 51:27Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much for watching. Great Wednesday show
- 51:29Speaker 1: for everybody tomorrow.