Latest / What Bitcoin Did / The Bitcoin Treasury Machine | Harry Sudock & Rory Murray
Transcript
- 0:00Bitcoin mining and AI are both technological waves that are running into like atoms problems.
- 0:09Bitcoin has always existed at the edges. It adapts to the new era and the new narrative
- 0:14and the new thing. What you have with Bitcoin is you have a liquid global permissionless asset
- 0:19that trades 24-7 that has upside optionality. You use that appreciating currency to borrow
- 0:25in a depreciating currency.
- 0:27You use that depreciating currency
- 0:28to go get assets that are going to appreciate.
- 0:31We've been through multiple liquidation cycles.
- 0:33We have institutional trading infrastructure.
- 0:35We have banks that are getting involved.
- 0:37The liquidity profile
- 0:38of the collateral liquidation mechanism
- 0:41is as close to seamless and lossless
- 0:44as we've ever seen any market for credit ever.
- 0:50We're back together.
- 0:51The band is back together.
- 0:53Rory, you've not been on What Bitcoin Did Before.
- 0:55I have not.
- 0:56It's my first time.
- 0:57I appreciate you having me.
- 0:59We did the Patreon in New York.
- 1:01That was pure gold.
- 1:04Still to this day, one of my favorite tapes.
- 1:06It's no longer available because we don't have a Patreon,
- 1:08but I think that might be one of the favorite things
- 1:10we've ever recorded.
- 1:12I mean, it was just four dudes just having a good time.
- 1:16Thigh to thigh.
- 1:16We were very much thigh to thigh.
- 1:18I need to dig that out and release it again.
- 1:21That is an option.
- 1:23I should do that.
- 1:23Not doing that is also an option.
- 1:25Rory, introduce yourself because people won't know exactly who you are.
- 1:29Yeah, again, thanks for having me on.
- 1:32I know that we've been kind of talking for years.
- 1:34We've been in the same spaces and I really appreciate what you've built and what you bring to the space.
- 1:40So I'm Rory Murray.
- 1:42I'm the VP of Digital Asset Management at CleanSpark.
- 1:45What that means is basically anything that touches the Bitcoin treasury is kind of in our mandate and our group.
- 1:49so you know we manage everything from kind of the custody relationships day-to-day movements
- 1:55any bitcoin payments that we make but it's also we we manage our spot sales program so obviously
- 2:01we have you know called 500 to 600 bitcoin a month that we produce we might sell some or all
- 2:07of that depending on what kind of our posture is on opex and capex needs we manage that we manage
- 2:11that we run a derivatives overlay on that we split across kind of two different strategies what we
- 2:16call our spot plus, which is meant to enhance the total returns on that spot sales program.
- 2:21And then the yield program, which is meant to generate what we expect to be reasonably
- 2:25durable ongoing yield from our hodl by taking advantage of volatility in the derivatives
- 2:31markets.
- 2:32And then kind of anything, if we do our Bitcoin back lines of credit, we tend to run the RFPs
- 2:36and manage that process.
- 2:37Obviously, that will go upstairs.
- 2:39And all of this stuff, to be clear, will go upstairs.
- 2:42But on the day-to-day side, that's kind of what we do.
- 2:44So I want to get into all of that like treasury management side.
- 2:46But before we do that, everyone I speak to now when mining comes up wants to know what's happening with AI.
- 2:52Because so many of the Bitcoin miners, the big public companies in this country, have moved either entirely to AI or at least making that part of their stack.
- 3:01Like maybe tell me from your perspective how you see the market changing.
- 3:04Maybe, Harry, you start.
- 3:06So the reason that you're seeing a proliferation of AI as part of the mining strategy is because
- 3:13there are actually megawatts that are better suited for AI compute workloads.
- 3:17And there are other megawatts that are better suited for mining.
- 3:20And there are a third category of megawatts that I think deserve to have a combination
- 3:25of both workloads installed against them.
- 3:27So that's from a very operational perspective, how I think the sector is thinking about it.
- 3:33The other is that from a durability of cash flow and therefore multiple expansion, the market is willing to value equities that have AI revenues at a significantly higher premium than mining revenues.
- 3:48And that's the most interesting part to me because we've seen what happens.
- 3:51Iron share price has gone crazy.
- 3:54And they have not even just added AI to their stack.
- 3:56They're trying to move entirely away from Bitcoin.
- 3:58And it's the first time that I remember in the last, like, I don't know, seven, eight, nine, ten years, however long, that Bitcoin mining hasn't been like the exciting new thing in energy.
- 4:08And does that have any impact on Bitcoin mining?
- 4:10Any negative impact?
- 4:13Well, I just think it's wrong.
- 4:14Like, I don't think AI is competing for the same energy story that Bitcoin mining is.
- 4:20I think that they rhyme.
- 4:21Even on a narrative basis?
- 4:22this? Well, the way I would characterize the AI energy story is that we are not generating
- 4:30enough power. The way that I would characterize the Bitcoin mining story is that we are not
- 4:34consuming power nearly as efficiently as we could be. And to me, those are similar in that they both
- 4:41represent a higher utilization and higher production of electrons. But the operationalization
- 4:48of each of those strategies looks quite different.
- 4:52But so there were people, like Bob Burnett is a perfect example, who is skeptical of
- 4:56the big public Bitcoin miners taking too much hash rate, centralizing hash rate.
- 5:01You're telling me that Bitcoiners are skeptical?
- 5:04Is this actually a really bullish thing?
- 5:05Is this going to help decentralize hash rate?
- 5:08Yeah, for sure.
- 5:09I think that the concentration of hash rate, forget what corporate structure it lives in,
- 5:18But the concentration of hash rate geographically will get decentralized because the large concentration of energy-backed compute is going to get pushed through an AI workload because it's the highest enterprise value activity for that megawatt concentration.
- 5:33And then there's very likely to be a squishy layer of Bitcoin mining attached to it to make it flexible and responsive.
- 5:40And then you're also going to see mining move deeper across the geographic frontier, the interruptible frontier, and the cost frontier, which in a lot of cases looks like jurisdictional arbitrage.
- 5:54But it also looks like geographical and runtime arbitrage as well.
- 5:58I mean, the entire history of Bitcoin is Bitcoin, quite frankly, being a honey badger or more succinctly, quite frankly, a cockroach.
- 6:04And I think that, if anything, this AI story is one of, one, I believe, continued American dominance across energy and financial and capital markets.
- 6:14And secondly, again, just to your point, is that they are two completely different spaces.
- 6:20Particularly for the training side, you want these big mega campuses.
- 6:24You're sucking down lots of power.
- 6:25You want to be 100 miles outside of an NFL city.
- 6:29You want that great transmission.
- 6:31Bitcoin has always existed at the edges.
- 6:33And I think the criticism of Bitcoin often has been, oh, the narrative changes and evolves.
- 6:39And that's been the transformational part of it over time is that it adapts to the new era and the new narrative and the new thing.
- 6:46And so now it's going to move back, I think, from a decentralization perspective.
- 6:50Whether it's public miners, I think we're finding some – we would call them smaller sites now as we're kind of scaling up.
- 6:57But to us five years ago, three years ago, they would have been midsize or kind of regular size sites.
- 7:01And so you're moving to this kind of hub.
- 7:02Not only do you have that squishy layer kind of around the mega campuses, but you're going to move to this hub and spoke model where smaller campuses in kind of less dense jurisdictions with less built out transmission necessarily into population centers are going to be fantastic places to continue to do Bitcoin mining because those are going to be competitive power prices.
- 7:22And then you're going to have this other part.
- 7:23So, again, I just think it's going to be a more is more story.
- 7:27And part of it is also like Bitcoin mining and AI are both technological waves that are running into like atoms problems.
- 7:36100%.
- 7:37And so when you live in the physical world, you just run into a different set of constraints than a software company would run into.
- 7:44So like you find a pocket of power that's really well developed, but it's going to take two to three years for fiber to get run out to it.
- 7:53We've run triple digit megawatts against a Starlink mining.
- 7:57very successfully. And so great. Because you need no bandwidth.
- 8:01You need so much less bandwidth than AI. Yeah. You know, when you think about it,
- 8:05you need multiple fiber runs, redundancies, all the spine and fabric that's required.
- 8:11Just talk about the inter data center networking and kind of all of the what's going on there,
- 8:17all the competition there. I mean, this is crazy, right? Versus this again, which is just you're
- 8:22out in the middle of North Dakota or Wyoming, you know?
- 8:25And so what you find is that this power is a great utilization for revenue on a short
- 8:31to medium term basis while infrastructure catches up and, you know, it's going to take
- 8:35time to get that fiber laid out there.
- 8:36And so we as a miner who has significant AI ambition, but also mining prowess and appetite
- 8:44for growth or portfolio reconstruction, we are able to be the player that takes advantage
- 8:51of that time arbitrage on the physical infrastructure. So great. We're thrilled to
- 8:57run mining for X number of years while the catch up is happening. We'll run it against the Starlink.
- 9:03We put in modular deployments. We're able to put down and pick up and not cannibalize the
- 9:08electrical infrastructure because if it's great for mining, we have every opportunity to build AI
- 9:13behind it. And so we're able to take advantage of some of those build out waves that lets us
- 9:19lead with mining in the front and then slot into AI from the back.
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- 12:05So are the Bitcoin miners that have cropped up over the last five years or whatever,
- 12:09are they positioned in a way that they'll benefit the most from this AI?
- 12:12Because like, what I want to know is the differences.
- 12:15Because I think for Bitcoin mining,
- 12:16I'm going to bastardize this,
- 12:17but you can essentially just like throw a shed up
- 12:19and put a big fan in and turn it on.
- 12:21I would never tell any of our technology
- 12:23or operations people
- 12:24that that's how we would characterize it.
- 12:26But you get what I'm saying.
- 12:27Like, it's not that far off.
- 12:28Relative to AI, that is correct.
- 12:30So is there a challenge for you guys
- 12:33to build out an actual AI data center?
- 12:34Or is it like, can you reconfigure the sites
- 12:37you already have just to run AI if you want to?
- 12:39Yeah, so one of the things that we believe
- 12:41pretty strongly is that retrofitting a mining building for AI workloads is not the way to
- 12:47efficiently develop customer-centric solutions. So I would take us to Sandersville as a good case
- 12:53study for us on how we're thinking about this. Two plots of land, 50 acres where we've got 250
- 13:00megawatts of Bitcoin mining operational. We've got 122 acres right around next to it. That's
- 13:06going to be a greenfield AI development plot. And so when the time comes for that AI workload to
- 13:11be ready for service, we're going to cut the power over to that new plot and then be able to shift
- 13:17the power, the monetization, the utilization of that power contract over to what looks
- 13:23operationally like a greenfield development, even though it sits directly next to what would be
- 13:28mining infrastructure that's been fully deployed for years.
- 13:30So what is it that makes Bitcoin miners well positioned here? Because if you have to do a
- 13:34whole new refit, you have to, well, a whole new build out of the infrastructure, like,
- 13:37is it the power agreements that you already have? Like, what is it that gives you an advantage?
- 13:41So I think it's important to take a step back and understand what is the AI playbook, right?
- 13:46There's four steps that's required to be successful building, operating, monetizing power through an AI lens.
- 13:53The first step is the acquisition of power and land.
- 13:56It's what CleanSpark is phenomenal at.
- 13:58It's what the sector has been phenomenal at historically.
- 14:01The second is the leasing activity.
- 14:03So how do you come to a commercial agreement with somebody who wants to take advantage of that rack space and bring, you know, in our case, bring their own GPUs,
- 14:11but sign a lease for the infrastructure to be able to power that compute workload.
- 14:16The third is how do you pay for it? The capital intensity of AI data centers is dramatically higher
- 14:21than Bitcoin mining infrastructure build out. And so we're seeing a lot of activity in the debt
- 14:27markets. We're seeing a lot of activity in the capital markets more broadly because the how do
- 14:32you pay for it marries very directly into the lease. Because when you think about the
- 14:36collateralization of these projects, there's actually a few components to it. The first is
- 14:41the land and the power that gets contributed into the collateral package. The second is all of the
- 14:46CapEx spend that goes into the development of these much higher dollar value data center environments.
- 14:52And then the last is the revenue associated with it, which is the firm lease agreement with the
- 14:57tenant. And so you take those three pieces of collateral. Those are super underwritable because
- 15:02at the end of the day, what is the bond market betting? The bond market is taking the position
- 15:07that power and land is going to continue to be valuable. Well-built data centers are going to
- 15:11continue to be valuable. And grade A investment grade tenants are going to pay their bills on time.
- 15:17Let's double click on that just a little bit more though, because I think the other two,
- 15:21and not to like underplay them, but are somewhat more easy to understand. Okay, great. You got to
- 15:26go get the land and power. And one piece that I would put there is that one of the things grid did
- 15:31really well and CleanSpark has done really well is there's a social license that goes along with
- 15:35And that's a very, very important component of this.
- 15:38That's something that we have a muscle in that I think is a differentiating factor.
- 15:42But the how you pay for it, it's not just about the total dollars that you're able to throw at the project.
- 15:50It's all of those things.
- 15:51And I think this is super underappreciated is do you do it within an SPV?
- 15:56Who's underwriting it?
- 15:57Are there warrants that could potentially be dilutive on the other side of that?
- 16:01Is this going to be a bridge loan that's going to eventually be taken out?
- 16:04Is that bridge loan going to be refinanced with debt or you're going to expect to go back to the ATM market?
- 16:09What's been your dilution kind of story up to that point?
- 16:12And so, again, I'm obviously kind of the markets guy, so that's what I think.
- 16:15But I think there was three or four years ago, there was just a lot of criticism of the Bitcoin miners of, oh, we're going to diversify different business models.
- 16:26And I think it took the industry a while to get there.
- 16:29And you're now seeing under the surface just wildly divergent approaches, not just to power and land acquisition, not just to kind of lease negotiation, but to financing packages.
- 16:40And I think it's going to be really interesting to see that develop and people start to kind of understand that more.
- 16:44From like a financial perspective, when this started becoming, you know, it was clear that CleanSpark and all these other companies were going to move into AI.
- 16:50Were you like, thank God, because like Bitcoin mining is a brutal business.
- 16:54Like it's a race to zero, essentially.
- 16:57Were you very glad to see AI come into this picture?
- 17:01It's not like doing hard things at 10x the scale over 3x to 5x the timeline is necessarily
- 17:08that much easier, is what I would say.
- 17:11I don think you trip fall and land in Bitcoin mining energy and power asset generation all of these things I think you have to have a little bit of a mindset of wanting to be at the tip of the spear from capital digital asset technology and energy infrastructure in
- 17:29the US. I mean, I'm going to kick that back to you, I guess. But these are hard things at a larger
- 17:35scale. And so, yeah, I think what it does is that it's a potential opportunity to engage with a
- 17:42different segment in the market of more of this kind of investment grade. But to me, it's a
- 17:46maturation of who you're dealing with. And it's always where we were going to go as Bitcoin miners,
- 17:50because Bitcoin is going to be somewhere at the base layer of the settlement layer for monetary
- 17:59technology in the United States and globally. And that means that if it's going to be backed by
- 18:03energy, then you're going to expand into the energy market. So I just think it's a maturation.
- 18:07I mean, I'm eight years into mining professionally.
- 18:13You know how brutal it is.
- 18:15And my fun fact is that I've mined through three halving epochs at this point, which is brutally, brutally hard.
- 18:27The competitive environment that Bitcoin mining pushes up against corporate strategy is very, very intense.
- 18:38It requires a lot of discipline and long-range thinking.
- 18:43It also requires getting a lot of things right because each thing you can get wrong is disproportionately painful and punitive.
- 18:53So I think when you look at our story coming from Grid and then integrating into CleanSpark, when you look at CleanSpark's heritage of how we built our power portfolio and our mining business, it's required a tremendous amount of non-consensus viewpoints and counter-cyclical investment.
- 19:15And so that meant when Bitcoin went from 20 to 60, saying this is too rich and exiting some of the Bitcoin position in favor for more hash rate and more infrastructure.
- 19:29It also meant taking a view on having a more distributed portfolio of smaller sites in order to grow faster during that period of time.
- 19:40Then it also required the intellectual flexibility to say, OK, this smaller site profile is not as attractive to the AI client base as the larger concentrated site profile.
- 19:52So we reacted appropriately.
- 19:55We added a 285 megawatt site to the portfolio.
- 19:58We added a site with capacity up to 600 megawatts, 50 miles away from it.
- 20:02And so, you know, what you've seen from us and I think why we've been successful and had real durability is because we've had the appetite to invest counter cyclically.
- 20:12We've also had a tremendous amount of mental flexibility, which is that when you get new information, it's very appropriate to make new decisions.
- 20:19And so having that as a cultural touchstone for how we develop and enact strategy as a corporation is something that I think our shareholders and the industry at large has come to expect from us and really value about us.
- 20:33But there's, you know, not because we're here to show the company, but just because there's a tremendous amount of satisfaction that I get from working in an intellectually stimulating environment where the stakes are high, the dollars are big, and the impact that we get to have on the market broadly is very, very large.
- 20:55because if we are able to play a critical role in enabling some of these AI players to be
- 21:01successful, the American economy is going to thrive. And we as professionals and our shareholders
- 21:06that come along with us, our employees that come along with us, they're going to thrive along with
- 21:10us. And that is very, very motivating and very interesting. It lets all of the time and the hard
- 21:16work that's required to be successful. We have stamina to do it because of how exciting and
- 21:22valuable that work is. So I just want to address it head on a little bit as well, which is that
- 21:28you have not heard the words pivot from us. You've heard the words expansion. And that is very,
- 21:34very distinct, I think, in our business strategy, capital strategy, operating strategy,
- 21:41and approach to this market. So we were sitting in the basement of this resort, hotel and casino
- 21:48about two months ago at our executive leadership retreat.
- 21:55And we've made no bones about this expansion to AIHBC.
- 22:01And while my background is in Bitcoin, my passion is that, my role as Bitcoin treasury,
- 22:06I felt like it was my role to really, in that room, make sure to really challenge our priors
- 22:13and make sure that what we're doing, that just because we've done something in the past,
- 22:18doesn't mean we should carry that in the future, again, with that intellectual flexibility,
- 22:22if it's not going to serve the business, the shareholders, and ultimately, and we believe
- 22:27this, the stakeholders in the American economy. And so, you know, we challenge, okay, great.
- 22:33We've been Bitcoin miners. That's been our access to land and power. That's funded our business.
- 22:38That has driven shareholder value.
- 22:41That's created the opportunity set to continue to grow and expand into this kind of adjacent
- 22:46energy market that has this entirely new kind of profile.
- 22:49So why do we want to stay dedicated to Bitcoin?
- 22:52Well, one, it's that we've seen a lot of others that have wound down, perhaps maybe a little
- 23:01bit prematurely, their Bitcoin mining operations and are going to be in this very long middle
- 23:06where there's two or three years between when revenue starts to kind of come in from the AIHPC
- 23:11side. And so I can understand kind of bringing in capital ahead of time. And maybe your operations
- 23:17are not as profitable as you kind of paint them. And so you don't want that drag. And maybe it's
- 23:20management cycles, but fine. But they've wound that down. So we have a profitable scaled mining
- 23:27operation that can fund us during that expansion period, right? But the second piece is why hold
- 23:33Bitcoin on the balance sheet. Okay, great. So you hold USD on the balance sheet or you hold,
- 23:38you know, kind of classic kind of, you know, you look at the revenue lines, what's your current
- 23:43assets? What are your total assets on you pull up a 10k or 10q? Great. You can borrow against that,
- 23:48you can go tap the markets, etc. But particularly for people still in this kind of nascent space,
- 23:54the scaled access to those capital markets is not as mature as it's going to be once we kind
- 24:00of start to face off against some of these IG counterparties. And so what you have with Bitcoin
- 24:04is you have a liquid global permissionless asset that trades 24-7 that has upside optionality
- 24:13that you can borrow dollars against. So you take an asset that we agree maybe over one week or
- 24:20even a month or a year might have some volatility in it, but we believe is going to go up this kind
- 24:24of technology adoption curve. We think number goes up over time. So we think that that has
- 24:30upside optionality. It's an appreciating currency. You use that appreciating currency to borrow in a
- 24:35depreciating currency. You use that depreciating currency to go get assets that are going to
- 24:40appreciate. Those assets that are going to appreciate are going to bring revenues back
- 24:43back onto that balance sheet and kind of give you that flywheel. So one, it's upside optionality.
- 24:48It's the ability to borrow in an – use an appreciating asset, to borrow in a depreciating
- 24:54asset. And then it's kind of what we touched on originally, which is that the Bitcoin doesn't
- 24:57just come in and get immediately monetized into USD. What we're really pioneering here is how do
- 25:02we take that and drive incremental margin out of that Bitcoin, whether we're turning it into dollars
- 25:08or whether we're kind of turning it into additional Bitcoin on that balance sheet,
- 25:12again, to drive that flywheel. And I'm happy to get into the specifics of that. But this is a game
- 25:17of inches, right? And so, no, I'm not scared. I'm actually not. I'm happy about the expansion
- 25:23because we always had this view that energy is the critical underlying asset of the critical
- 25:29settlement asset of the greatest economy in the world. And I think we're seeing that really be
- 25:34realized. But what I think it is, is that the difficulty adjustment, if you're at the top of
- 25:39the difficulty adjustment, if you have the most efficient machines and globally competitive power
- 25:45prices, the rise in difficulty doesn't scare you because it's going to knock off kind of less
- 25:49efficient operators. And so to me, it's the same thing with what we're expanding into on the digital
- 25:54asset management side is that if we can drive five or 10% more revenue per Bitcoin per kilowatt
- 26:01hour out of that Bitcoin that we turn into, that's a competitive advantage that compounds in almost
- 26:06unfathomable ways over three or five years. And I would be curious if you think that's fair or
- 26:13you have anything to kind of expand or? Yeah. I mean, I think that it, it, the way that I would
- 26:19digest a lot of what you're saying, cause I agree with all of it is that we have a philosophy of
- 26:24organizational design around why we've built the business in a way that's able to realize
- 26:30full or, or the vast majority of that value, but also the value across the rest of the things that
- 26:35we do, which is that we didn't wake up as a big Bitcoin mining company. We have a strong and deep
- 26:44heritage across energy markets. We were building microgrids long before we ever realized what an
- 26:49ASIC was at CleanSpark. And so we spent a lot of time developing energy native expertise.
- 26:56That meant building microgrids at military bases. It meant building the software that ran demand
- 27:02response protocols. It meant getting called out to Atlanta, Georgia, to a data center on a sales
- 27:07call. That was where we found our first Bitcoin mine, was a sales call to sell them a microgrid
- 27:12to help them drive down energy costs. We saw that opportunity. And rather than sell them our product,
- 27:18we bought their data center. And that started this cascade of scaling our Bitcoin mining,
- 27:23scaling our direct energy and land ownership profile. That was 2019, 2020. We bought that
- 27:29asset at the end of 2020.
- 27:31And that kicked off what was really a five-year hyper growth
- 27:34cycle to become the largest domestic producer of hash rate.
- 27:37And so over the course of that scaling journey,
- 27:41we became great at power and land acquisition, not just
- 27:44energy development and management.
- 27:46And over that period of time as we scaled,
- 27:48we also realized that the electron
- 27:50is going to have more utility across more types of compute
- 27:54than we'd anticipated 5, 6, 7, 10 years ago.
- 27:58That brought us directly to the crux of this opportunity
- 28:01to expand into a secondary form of compute
- 28:04that is likely to grow to be the majority of our business
- 28:06over time from a revenue perspective,
- 28:08but not from a strategic footprint.
- 28:10So talk about the organizational design.
- 28:13We think that we're going to be great at developing
- 28:15digital infrastructure for AI use cases.
- 28:17We think we're going to be great at integrating Bitcoin mining
- 28:20into energy systems, some of which are going to be
- 28:22in the data center, some of which are going
- 28:23to be at the utility level.
- 28:25We also think that interacting with energy more directly is going to be something that we're going to be good at into the future as well.
- 28:32Maybe that means behind the meter generation.
- 28:34Maybe that means more intelligent power sourcing on the power markets.
- 28:39We don't know what that's going to look like yet, but we know that we have a thesis about how energy management generation and consumption is an opportunity for us to drive shareholder value in the business.
- 28:48And then the last category, which is what Rory's covered a lot of, is CleanSpark Capital is a concept that we've been kicking around for many, many, many, many months.
- 28:57Are we soft rolling it?
- 28:58We soft rolling it?
- 29:00So very softly.
- 29:01And so the first step towards that is by taking a fundamentally differentiated view on treasury management.
- 29:08We are not a debt, but we hold a lot of Bitcoin and we do so in a variety of productive ways.
- 29:13What's really important about that productivity is it's not just about what are we able to extract from our holdings or our balance sheet. It's how does our capital activities integrate into a scaled operating business to make the operating business stronger and open the door to more types of opportunities across our balance sheet utilization and management profile.
- 29:35And so, you know, I think of companies like, you know, GE, where GE Capital was a huge component of what they did that had nothing to do with how they built turbines or washers and dryers or all these other types of hard asset activities.
- 29:48It had to do with the financialization layer of everything that they did as well.
- 29:53I also look back to things like Berkshire Hathaway, where they took a position where they bought out Geico and utilized the Geico insurance premium model to take front of the locomotive capital engine and drive the incremental float from those insurance products to be able to unlock a bunch of different operating businesses elsewhere across their portfolio.
- 30:14And so the marriage of operating business in the physical world and the financial business in the markets world marry together to create differentiated and huge, huge, hugely outsized outcomes.
- 30:27So that's like 100 IQ points higher than a take that I've had for a long time, which is on these treasury companies, like you need an operating business.
- 30:34Like 100%.
- 30:35I mean, I don't think it needs, you need, I don't think you don't need that much IQ.
- 30:39But the explanation was 100 IQ points.
- 30:41I just, and to me, this is the biggest, it's the biggest misnomer.
- 30:46It's we have, we're one of the top 10 corporate holders of Bitcoin in the world.
- 30:50We're one of the, we're the largest domestic hash rate producer.
- 30:54And it's been really hard to talk about that in certain ways because we are a company with
- 30:5913,500 Bitcoin on our, on our balance sheet, but we are not in our treasury, but we are
- 31:05not a Bitcoin treasury company.
- 31:07Right.
- 31:07And we generate yield on our Bitcoin, but we don't generate whatever the BTC yield metric is.
- 31:16Sats per share.
- 31:17That's not how we measure ourselves.
- 31:19We measure ourselves on shareholder return.
- 31:21We measure ourselves on stakeholder return.
- 31:23We measure ourselves on total capital assets that we drive over time.
- 31:27And so I just think it's exactly right.
- 31:30But yes, not to jump in too much again.
- 31:32No, I want to get into this.
- 31:33But just quickly before we do, with Bitcoin mining, it's like it's energy in, Bitcoin out.
- 31:38And as you move to AI, it's energy in like tokens out, I guess.
- 31:42And that's going to be paid to you in dollars.
- 31:45Will you be turning dollars into Bitcoin in this treasury?
- 31:48So this is a critical piece.
- 31:51We believe that our obligation is to take the productivity of our business lines and drive them into the highest growth, highest value return opportunity in front of us.
- 32:01So let's say that we were able to take a lot of dollars in from our first AI deployment.
- 32:07I think that right now, the biggest opportunity in front of us would be to plow those dollars
- 32:12into the next AI deployment.
- 32:14I think over time, as businesses move from their hyper growth phase into more of a cash
- 32:21flow and compounding phase, the opportunity to think more about the opportunity cost of
- 32:27each incremental net income dollar is going to get more competitive. But right now, it's about
- 32:33growing to become a significant player in the AI compute world in the same way that we had to grow
- 32:40very aggressively to become a significant player in the Bitcoin mining landscape.
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- 34:59Okay, so let's talk about how you actually deal with the treasury and you're gonna have to keep
- 35:03this a little bit simple for me. Like you said, you're generating yield. Like let's start with
- 35:08the easy one. Where does the yield come from? Yeah. Uh, if you don't know where the yield comes
- 35:12from, you are the yield. Um, no. And, and let's be very clear. And this has been a, a point of
- 35:20frustration for me because, and again, I'm not, not, not here to wear my arm out, patting ourselves
- 35:25on, on the back necessarily, but you know, we, we take it very seriously to be very transparent
- 35:31about our strategies and what we do, be very specific about what is possible, what isn't
- 35:38possible, what are the risks and possibilities there, and to take diligence and analytical rigor
- 35:46to everything that we do. So where does the yield come from? Well, we talked about, let's just,
- 35:51you know, first and foremost is you can't generate sustainable, yield is just return on
- 35:58capital. You can't generate sustainable return on capital unless you have some type of operating
- 36:05business. And maybe that operating business is an investment business, but that would mean you
- 36:08have to have a process. You have to have controls. You have to have a view. You have to have risk
- 36:14management. So the return on capital that we generate starts with thinking about what is the
- 36:22operating profile of our core business? And our core businesses has been Bitcoin mining.
- 36:28Traditionally, obviously, we're going to be expanding into, we'll talk about how we're kind of driving capital from the digital asset management side into the AI HPC kind of an energy expansion side.
- 36:37But the first thing that we did in December of 2024 was start with a 60 to 90 day process to really decompose our entire business across what are the drivers, what are the risks, where are the expenses, where's the cost of capital, where's the cost of power, what is the timing of those cash flows?
- 37:00because this is a really underappreciated point, is that you might be doing something that makes a
- 37:07lot of sense in the aggregate, but it doesn't make a lot of sense when you get upside down
- 37:11versus timing and asset liability mismatches. So that took us maybe 30 to 60 days to kind of get
- 37:17settled and kind of really think through that. It took us another 30 to 60 days to really kind of
- 37:22design the philosophy around that. And what we came to was essentially a two-pronged approach.
- 37:27So the first approach is that we're generating around 600 Bitcoin a month right now.
- 37:32That can go up and down kind of depending on difficulty, operational hash rate, you know, kind of what we're doing.
- 37:37But let's call it kind of 500 to 600 Bitcoin a month.
- 37:40So, you know, we know what our OPEX component of that is going to be.
- 37:45And the other thing that you can do is you can start to think about what are going to be your CAPEX needs.
- 37:49So you can look out to September or December of this year or into next year and go, OK, well, I need 35% of that right now.
- 37:59For every dollar adjusted Bitcoin that comes in that's worth a USD, maybe 35% of that could go to OPEX kind of on an ongoing basis.
- 38:10And maybe somewhere between another 35% to the other kind of 65% of it might go into these CapEx opportunities right now, quite frankly, because there's so much opportunity to build out in this space.
- 38:22So that's on a monthly basis.
- 38:23And the second part is that we have the Bitcoin.
- 38:26And look, I really do give Saylor a lot of credit in this.
- 38:29Like volatility is vitality in the sense that you are taking an asset that the other thing is that yield on any asset comes from moving it around.
- 38:40Right. Moving it into hands where it's going to be, it might be inert on your balance sheet, but at, you know, it might be at rest on your balance sheet, but at movement on somebody else's, maybe they will pay you for the opportunity to do that. That's what interest rates are. They go, okay, I've accrued some capital. You know, Vanya has a great opportunity to build out a new AIHPC data center. He thinks he's going to get a 9% return on equity. He'll pay me 5% for the opportunity of using my capital in the meantime.
- 39:08that's a good risk adjusted return for me. I underwrite him and he gets his return. And
- 39:12that's what yield is, right? It's not this like thing in the ethereal kind of out there that just
- 39:20comes from diluting down your business with no cash flows coming in and pushing that back onto
- 39:28a capital stack that doesn't have kind of a self-reinforcing engine, right? So going back to
- 39:34how we split it, we have the spot plus program, which is what we can do is we can take, because
- 39:39we have 500 to 600 Bitcoin coming in a month, because that is our core operating business,
- 39:44because it maps onto our exact needs and we need to monetize some portion of that. Look,
- 39:48we want to hodl as much Bitcoin as possible, but at the end of the day, we still have to pay
- 39:52salaries and insurance and power bills, all of these kinds of things. So some version of that
- 39:59is going to get converted into dollars. So I could do that in the spot market. We could go to the
- 40:03spot market and we can either do a market order or a limit order. Right. And I'm not trying to like,
- 40:08I'll be simplistic in a certain way. But I don't want to speak down to anybody who kind of
- 40:13understands these concepts at a core. No, please do. But essentially, you can just sell it market,
- 40:18which just says, hey, I'm going to go take whatever the price is right now. I got 100
- 40:22Bitcoin to sell. It's going to go down in the centralized limit order book, probably down about
- 40:26two levels. And I'm going to get, you know, an average price of I'm going to I'm going to get
- 40:30done within a couple cents or a couple cents, right? You could do a limit order. You say, hey,
- 40:35I'm going to sit here. I think that the natural volatility, what we've done is we've looked at
- 40:39kind of Bitcoin vol on a daily basis. It moves up or down. It might go up 1.5% and down 1.5%
- 40:44a day. That means you're going to have kind of a 3% range. I'm just going to set kind of
- 40:48consistent limit orders up 1.25% because eventually kind of on a daily basis, it's going to pop up
- 40:54and I'm going to get taken out. That's one way to kind of try to outperform spot, right? And it's
- 40:58a very simple kind of way to do it. Obviously, the risks are if you're in a downtrending market,
- 41:02if it doesn't do that, if volatility compresses. So let's be clear eyed about what that is. But
- 41:07that's one way to kind of think about how to manage some of the risk on the book.
- 41:10The other way is to go to the derivatives market and go, okay, so it's kind of like when I go to
- 41:15Delta, and I click on flexible dates, right? We don't really, we know that we have to meet salaries.
- 41:22And we talk about understanding the timing of cash flows. Salaries are on the 7th and the 22nd,
- 41:27Right. So somewhere between that. So I have, you know, 14 days in between that to come up with the dollars to do that.
- 41:34So I go, I don't really care if I sell Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday or next Monday.
- 41:38But what I can do is I can get paid for that optionality by the market.
- 41:43So there's there is volatility within Bitcoin.
- 41:47Bitcoin is it is is does not have an organic interest rate.
- 41:50But what you can find is that you can find that people will either, you know, want to take it on their balance sheet for trade financing or to do or to collateralization.
- 41:57or to borrow or just for kind of any of these other uses.
- 42:03So there's a natural volatility in that market.
- 42:05So we'll sell basically short-dated covered calls.
- 42:08Again, simple, not easy.
- 42:10And that's our whole philosophy.
- 42:11This should be extremely simple to understand.
- 42:13It should not be that complicated.
- 42:15The risk should be completely decomposed and understood.
- 42:18But it's hard to do it because of the institutional risk management
- 42:22and the kind of consistency and the way that it maps onto operating business.
- 42:26So we just sell short-dated covered calls, right?
- 42:28And so what's interesting about short-dated covered calls is, yeah, even as volatility has compressed, the kind of total all-in cash-on-cash or sats-on-stats return you're getting is incredibly attractive, right?
- 42:42And so what we found is that by managing this in the way – and I can't give away kind of the whole kit and caboodle on kind of how we do it specifically.
- 42:49but we have a strategy where we go out X amount of days
- 42:54kind of knowing that we're going to have to meet these obligations.
- 42:57As we get closer to that, we will increase what's known as our delta exposure.
- 43:01And that delta exposure means, you can think of delta ads.
- 43:04If I'm selling a 20 delta call, that means one out of five times,
- 43:07about 20% of the time, on average, you can expect to get taken out.
- 43:10Now, there's going to be a lot of derivative heads listening to this
- 43:14who are going to talk about, you know, can you really take,
- 43:18a standard, you know, kind of a standard kind of curve on that. And what are the real stochastic
- 43:24returns? And should we use a jump diffusion index instead of a Black Skulls Merton model,
- 43:29kind of all that. But like, long story short, you can essentially think that if you're selling
- 43:33a 20 Delta option, about 20% of the time, you expect to get called on that. What that means is
- 43:37I'm selling a covered call that says that I have committed to selling you Bitcoin at $100,000 in
- 43:44seven days. If Bitcoin goes to $107,000, you pay me $100,000. But you're paying me $1,000 in the
- 43:50meantime for the right, but not the obligation to buy that from me. Bitcoin goes to $107,000. Great.
- 43:56You're in the money. You buy the Bitcoin from me at $100,000. You go sell back at $7,000. You're
- 44:01net up $6,000 in that $1,000 you paid me. All good. For me- Can I ask you a question? So in the
- 44:0780% of the time that that works, great. In the 20%, it doesn't. Does that cause any issues for
- 44:11the business. Well, and so it's hard to know what you want, right? Because the 80% of the time it
- 44:17works, we keep the money. But that also means Bitcoin didn't get to that level that maybe we
- 44:21wanted to sell it at. So you have this entire non-stationary thing. And so this is what we've
- 44:26been titrating and really kind of, really kind of, quite frankly, innovating on, right? And so
- 44:32we've innovated on how far out we go, what deltas we use, how often we will essentially rewrite those
- 44:38deltas. So most people that, that in most of, most of the kind of other people in the space,
- 44:43they'll come in and they'll say, Hey, I want to generate yield on my Bitcoin. I'm going to sell
- 44:47a thousand calls six months out. And they're basically really, really in the money or really
- 44:52out of the money. And what we do is we build what's known as kind of an option tree, right?
- 44:56And so we build, we're basically DCA into these positions all the time that kind of reduces our
- 45:00kind of, it, it, it marries our, our, our, our, our, our outcomes are, are, are, are, are realized
- 45:07outcomes more to what you would be kind of an expected outcome in the market, just because you
- 45:11have more kind of data points to go through rather than kind of having these chunky.
- 45:16I just want to hit on one point as to why I'm not as worried about, because at the end of the day,
- 45:22you want to keep the Bitcoin on your balance sheet because the upside appreciation of the
- 45:27technology diffusion is where a lot of the value sits. So let's say that we are selling,
- 45:33I'm going to use round numbers, 500 Bitcoin a month in order to pay for our expenses and make
- 45:39investments in CapEx. And we've got laddered out across the big tree, a number of different
- 45:44durations, a number of different levels, et cetera, a thousand Bitcoin that are out there
- 45:47that could be called away. And Bitcoin goes parabolic, which it has done from time to time.
- 45:51And we get called away on all thousand. Typically, you'd say, oh, well, that's really challenging
- 45:56because now our treasury position has been reduced. Well, this is the beauty of having
- 46:01an operating business that prints revenue in Bitcoin. Because now we've got two months where
- 46:05we don't need to monetize any of that future production. We're able to replace it onto the
- 46:10balance sheet. So I love the- Oh no, I sold a thousand Bitcoin up 30% in a month. And now I
- 46:16just have to sit on my hands for two months and just pause our strategy and make it all back.
- 46:20And so- So does this only work when you're actually generating Bitcoin as a company?
- 46:24Exactly. The specific way we're doing this is- Yes. This is the key, which is that what we're
- 46:30not doing is selling equity or raising debt to go purchase Bitcoin to create our treasury position.
- 46:36We have an operating business that puts us in a treasury accretive position. And so because of
- 46:43that, the doors for what we are able to do open up. Okay, I need to go back a bit then. So with
- 46:49the expansion to AI that you're going to do, will there also be expansion in the Bitcoin side of the
- 46:54business alongside that? So what my vision and what our collective vision for the future looks
- 47:00like is that Bitcoin mining as a percentage of revenue is going to be dramatically smaller.
- 47:04Okay. And we could still see our Bitcoin mining revenue expand because our AI is just going to
- 47:09grow faster than our Bitcoin lag. So when you're set up, like, I understand now where you said
- 47:13clean spot capital, because this seems like a whole different business almost within the business.
- 47:17And the reason that it works is that we are in a high capital intensity business.
- 47:21And so having a tool and a flywheel that works this way becomes a funding mechanism for all of the growth that we want to engage in.
- 47:29I really want to emphasize that CleanSpark Capital or whatever that may or may not be over time and digital asset management in its current form is not meant to be some internal hedge fund or thing that sits off in the corner.
- 47:42And this is I've heard a lot of our –
- 47:44So what is it meant to be?
- 47:46It is meant to sit, and this is the whole point is that the risks, we are able to take risks that are outsized in a vacuum because they are hedged out by the operating business and they generate additional margins for the mining business and ultimately the operating business and ultimately the capital.
- 48:08So it's meant to feed and enhance the profitability of mining.
- 48:13It's meant to fund expansion.
- 48:15And it's meant to maximize the potential of the Bitcoin huddle.
- 48:19And so I've heard a lot of other people that try to do this.
- 48:22And it's, oh, you know, the most important part of this is that Gary Vecchiarelli, our CFO and president, had this idea for this trading desk four, five years ago.
- 48:33And, you know, when you have really mean this, you have to have a management team that is fully on board with what you're doing.
- 48:43You have to have a strategy and philosophy that maps directly onto your operating profile.
- 48:48And you have to have a team that can implement this in an institutional, rigorous and risk managed way.
- 48:58And so does that answer your questions or concerns?
- 49:04I mean, push back.
- 49:05I mean, it's not that I have concerns.
- 49:06It's just like, do you need the Bitcoin side of the business to continue to grow to allow this arm of the business to continue to grow?
- 49:12I mean, can I address some of the thoughts around that?
- 49:15I mean, I just think that there are, look, I don't want to shock you guys.
- 49:23but in about two years the bitcoin block subsidy is going to go down by 50 percent why do you know
- 49:30so in about a hundred years there's going to be no more bitcoin to mine no other than on the fees
- 49:39and transaction side there's no subsidy the block subsidies correct okay right so this is always a
- 49:45game of running as fast as you can to get as much bitcoin on the balance sheet as you can
- 49:50to ride that adoption curve up and then to diversify both your digital asset management
- 49:56side in order to figure out how to kind of drive incremental returns and to expand into,
- 50:01like we touched on some other Bitcoin-denominated revenue generating things, which we are exploring
- 50:09very, very deeply. So the idea is always going to be, hey, how do we maximize the value of every
- 50:16kilowatt hour that we're expending? How do we take other complementary Bitcoin-denominated
- 50:22businesses, because we believe that Bitcoin is going to be a core capital asset in the US economy,
- 50:27and how do we take the float that that generates, maximize the margin on that on the digital asset
- 50:32management side, and then turn that into an origination machine, which can then drive back
- 50:36into the float? And that origination machine might be kind of AIHBC revenues, it might be
- 50:41structured products, it might be a whole bunch of different stuff. And that's kind of, I think,
- 50:44kind of TBD, but things that we think very, very deeply and granularly about.
- 50:49And there's a fundamental piece in the data center side that I think is important to talk
- 50:54about in this context, which is that the data center deployment capital life cycle is incredibly
- 51:00intense. And so if you are able to drive down your cost of capital on your data center deployment,
- 51:06you're able to realize significant margin expansion across that profile because you're
- 51:13borrowing dollars to build a data center, you're getting paid dollars for access to that data
- 51:16center, and the spread between those two numbers ends up being really material to the business.
- 51:22And so if you're able to expand that spread, you're able to give a lot of shareholder value
- 51:26back because you're doing it in a way that other people who are running exactly the same type of
- 51:32data center strategy are not able to enact because we've got these other components to the business
- 51:37that makes us a differentiated player, even when we're engaging in a similar activity.
- 51:42So tell me a bit about how the market views Bitcoin in this, because like me as an all
- 51:47Bitcoiner, if I go out to a lead and try and get a loan, I'm going to be paying like high
- 51:51single figure, low double digits.
- 51:55Is that the same for you when you doing this at such large scale I mean like no I want to know though like how you see that maturing because we probably think
- 52:06or would all agree
- 52:07that Bitcoin is the best form of collateral.
- 52:09Like when will the market wake up to that?
- 52:10I mean, totally.
- 52:11And this has been my argument for a long time,
- 52:12which is that ironically,
- 52:14if you look back, you know,
- 52:15even a year, but definitely two years,
- 52:17you were, you're 200%
- 52:20kind of over collateralized on a loan.
- 52:22You're paying nine to 11,
- 52:24sometimes higher percentages than that.
- 52:26And, you know, it's just an upside down market.
- 52:30Like our view on this is the price of a Bitcoin secured loan
- 52:35should trade below the comparable,
- 52:39call it corporate credit market necessarily.
- 52:41I think you might say treasuries,
- 52:42but I would say corporate credit market.
- 52:44Yeah.
- 52:45With the idea being that if I'm giving you-
- 52:48What numbers are they?
- 52:49So-
- 52:50What are we in the market with?
- 52:52No, I don't necessarily mean you if you can't share that.
- 52:54We're in the market around software plus 3.55% is the most recent paper that we've printed.
- 53:01Spreads have come in another 150 basis points from there.
- 53:05So you're talking – we're seeing indications in the kind of 6% range at the institutional scale.
- 53:13I think depending on how you structure things for really kind of like really like overnight style paper where you're kind of doing trade finance,
- 53:22what looks kind of like traditional repo, you might even be able to improve a little bit from
- 53:26there. I think for term financing, you might be able to go a little bit up because the lender's
- 53:31taking a little bit more of kind of a, there's a little bit of a term premium that's built into
- 53:35that. But we're talking about compression of 500 basis points over about a year, right?
- 53:38So even though they are taking like a longer timeframe in that, there's no risk to them.
- 53:45Correct. So the reason that there's a premium on those dollars is because the price is not purely
- 53:52There's always risk, but yeah.
- 53:53Yeah, there's always risk.
- 53:54There's always risk.
- 53:55Let me be clear.
- 53:55But the price of the dollars is not a function of the risk profile of the collateral.
- 54:00It's the competitiveness by which other people want those dollars as well.
- 54:04Okay.
- 54:05And so if all of us are saying, we all want to go buy a house, but our mortgage broker
- 54:09only has enough money for one house, they're going to have all of us bid on it.
- 54:13Yeah.
- 54:13Even though they're never going to lose money because the house is like super cheap or whatever.
- 54:17Yeah.
- 54:17But so there's two dynamics.
- 54:19One is how likely do they think they are to lose the money?
- 54:23The second is how competitive is the market to get those dollars?
- 54:27And what are we willing to bid it up to amongst the three of us as we go out to the housing market?
- 54:31Can you explain why you think the interest rate should be lower than treasuries?
- 54:34Because like when I hear that as a Bitcoin, I'm like, fuck yeah.
- 54:37But like, why do you actually think that?
- 54:39Yeah, because it's like not impossible to lose money on a over collateralized.
- 54:43It's always possible to lose money if you try hard enough.
- 54:45But on a relative basis, the likelihood that you lose money on a Bitcoin collateralized loan as the lender is about as low as you can possibly get.
- 54:57Because you're saying, you know, let's walk through the mechanics of what the lender is doing.
- 55:03I'm the borrower.
- 55:04I give the bank a million dollars of Bitcoin.
- 55:08The bank gives me $700,000 of dollars.
- 55:12the minute that the Bitcoin goes down to being worth $750,000, they have a $50,000 cushion still,
- 55:18they automatically liquidate that Bitcoin and extinguish the loan. Yeah. And Bitcoin trades
- 55:24between 40 and $80 billion a year, 24 seven. Yeah, you can do it on Friday night, you can do it on
- 55:29Sunday morning, you can do it on New Year's Eve, there is no limit to the market availability,
- 55:34because I think, you know, one of the risks is that, you know, you go to the overnight repo
- 55:38market, which Rory mentioned earlier, which is the relationship that banks have with the Fed.
- 55:42The reason they call it the overnight market is because you give them the dollars in the afternoon
- 55:47and you get the paper back the next morning. It's overnight because there's a gap in the trading
- 55:53window. And so Bitcoin doesn't have that time gap. And so because of that, the liquidity profile
- 56:00of the collateral liquidation mechanism is not seamless, not lossless, but as close to seamless
- 56:08and lossless as we've ever seen any market for credit ever.
- 56:12And look, I mean, this is still super underappreciated.
- 56:14Like Bitcoin's a teenager.
- 56:16It just got its driver's license, right?
- 56:17Like it's 16 years old, right?
- 56:19And it's a terror on the road sometimes.
- 56:22But like the point is we've been through multiple cycles,
- 56:27multiple liquidation cycles.
- 56:28We have institutional trading infrastructure.
- 56:30We have OTC deaths that can quote risk.
- 56:33We have credit facilities.
- 56:35We have banks that are getting involved.
- 56:36I mean, this is not untrodden territory anymore. And so the argument essentially for kind of why there's been that compression is one is that I think the people that were long dollars knew that they were getting paid more than they should on a risk adjusted basis to make these loans.
- 56:55And they're probably getting down to, we're getting within horseshoes and hand grenades territory of probably properly risk capital.
- 57:03But yeah, I mean, if you're going to ask for over collateralization in an asset that trades that is one of the most liquid assets in the world and one of the few assets that trades truly 24-7, then that to me commands a lower risk premium than kind of almost anything else.
- 57:23If Bitcoin is this turbocharger on your balance sheet,
- 57:26do you think other businesses will start doing similar things to you,
- 57:29even if they're outside of the Bitcoin space?
- 57:31I mean, and this is my point, is that I can sit here
- 57:34and I could literally open up our book.
- 57:36I could show you exactly what our positions are.
- 57:39I could tell you exactly how I think about it,
- 57:41and you still can't do it because you don't have our operating business.
- 57:44No, no, it's not about expertise.
- 57:45So let's say I pick you out of CleanSpark
- 57:47and I put you into just a regular company
- 57:49that's not doing anything in Bitcoin.
- 57:50Do you still think Bitcoin should be on their balance sheet
- 57:52so you can do this?
- 57:53this sort of thing? I mean, my argument would be yes, because I think that there, again,
- 57:58and I'm not saying it should be 100% necessarily. Again, I would do the same process that we ran
- 58:03through here. I would decompose what is our risk tolerances? What is our expertise? What is the
- 58:09timing of cash flows? What are our needs? What's our margins? What are our current assets? And I
- 58:15would think about this. But yeah, I mean, the argument is it should be some portion of this,
- 58:19because there is upside optionality on the asset. There's the ability to borrow against it while you
- 58:25hold on to that upside optionality. And there's the ability to drive incremental returns from it
- 58:30while you're doing that in the meantime. So, I mean, I just, to me, it's an obvious yes,
- 58:34but I understand why it's taken a long time. And what you're describing is that, you know,
- 58:40all of these businesses out there have a long lineage in traditional corporate treasury management,
- 58:45which is if you're running any version of a business, whether it's a very small mom and pop
- 58:51business or a very large conglomerate, is that you have cash on the balance sheet, you have timings
- 58:56of cash flow. And so how do you take the cash on your balance sheet and utilize it as constructively
- 59:02as possible for the operating business's needs in the interim? And I'll wind you up, which is that
- 59:11you're good at that. Like they're like they're you don't necessarily need to take Bitcoin exposure
- 59:16to utilize a Bitcoin treasury approach, which is like if you're and I'll pick someone who has a,
- 59:24you know, pick a pick a company that has a big cash position. Apple. Apple. Why isn't Apple just
- 59:30banging the Bitcoin basis trade? Well, the thing is, a lot of people have and that's why there's
- 59:35been compression in this space. So, um, and, and, and what we talked about is, and is part of our,
- 59:41kind of part of our original presentations, we showed this essentially flywheel and it showed
- 59:45kind of a, it showed kind of a flow chart of all the different things you start with, you know,
- 59:49it starts with a Bitcoin coming in. Then do you sell a covered call? You sell a covered call,
- 59:53you get, you get called away. It turns back into cash or turns into cash. That cash either goes in
- 59:57the operating business. You can write a put to get back, back into that Bitcoin. You could do,
- 1:00:01you could put a basis trade on and kind of, you look at all the different flows and how they all,
- 1:00:05how they all go into shows. So yeah, people banged the basis. I think that like the word got out,
- 1:00:10they got that. What is the basis trade? Basis trade is just the difference between the spot
- 1:00:14market and the futures market, the spot market and the forward market. And so there's a reason
- 1:00:18that the forward market kind of trades generally at a premium essentially. And so backwardation
- 1:00:23means that the price of the spot asset is lower, is higher than the price of the future asset.
- 1:00:28And the reason that you would be generally in backwardation, like let's say oil,
- 1:00:32maybe not in the last kind of 30, 60, 90 days,
- 1:00:36but oil tends to trade in backwardation.
- 1:00:38And the reason is that if you,
- 1:00:40you might need that barrel of oil now,
- 1:00:43but if you only need it in three months,
- 1:00:45well, you're going to have to pay storage costs.
- 1:00:47You have to do routing.
- 1:00:48There's kind of all these-
- 1:00:49This is like why it went negative
- 1:00:50and not like COVID time.
- 1:00:51Yeah, and so your point about the basis,
- 1:00:53I do think it will come back
- 1:00:55because I think that human psychology
- 1:00:58is one of the most things,
- 1:01:00that is one of the things you can bank on in financial markets.
- 1:01:03And the reason that the basis has been so persistent,
- 1:01:05it's down to about 3% right now.
- 1:01:07And so what you're at is it's basically been compressed
- 1:01:10to essentially the cost of institutional capital.
- 1:01:14We've been able to actually, quite frankly,
- 1:01:16to put on the basis trade at above market rates
- 1:01:19because of the relationships that we have
- 1:01:20with some of our counterparties.
- 1:01:21Some of the things we understand
- 1:01:22about some of their balance sheet needs,
- 1:01:24they might, and so they know that we have capital.
- 1:01:26And for a very small portion of kind of our balance sheet,
- 1:01:28We're willing to essentially put some Bitcoin on their balance sheet.
- 1:01:31They're willing to pay above market rates for that.
- 1:01:33They give that back to us on the basis.
- 1:01:35So that's kind of another one of the sort of side benefits of this institutional desk that we have.
- 1:01:39But the point being that why would the basis trade in Bitcoin trade higher, what's known as contango?
- 1:01:44So the future price of Bitcoin is higher than the spot price of Bitcoin.
- 1:01:48So Bitcoin is $100,000 today.
- 1:01:50In three months, it's three months, it's 103 based on kind of this forward curve.
- 1:01:55There's a couple of reasons.
- 1:01:56One is leverage, right?
- 1:01:57So you're a hedge fund, you're a retail trader, you're whatever.
- 1:02:01If you go put a forward on, you only have to put up $35 for every $100 of exposure that you get in Bitcoin.
- 1:02:09So there's a demand for that.
- 1:02:10That's an interest.
- 1:02:11That demand is everything.
- 1:02:14You know how everything computer, okay?
- 1:02:17Everything interest rates, right?
- 1:02:18It's always cost of capital.
- 1:02:20And so you're willing to pay a percentage on that because you think you're going to make 10% over three months
- 1:02:27and you're willing to pay 3% for that or whatever, right?
- 1:02:30And so that's kind of where that comes from.
- 1:02:32And so when you see Bitcoin go into a bull market,
- 1:02:36when you see kind of those outsized returns,
- 1:02:38and this is the other beauty of what we do, right?
- 1:02:40That's when, so we're getting,
- 1:02:41we might be getting called out of some of our coin.
- 1:02:44Now, what are we doing?
- 1:02:45We're holding dollars, okay?
- 1:02:46We're holding dollars at a time
- 1:02:47when demand for Bitcoin and the forwards
- 1:02:50and expressing that view via the forwards
- 1:02:53and the futures market has gone absolutely bananas.
- 1:02:56So we've seen these brief spikes, right? So even during this period of compression, we've seen these periods of brief spikes to kind of 9% to 12%. So now I've sold Bitcoin up 30% in a month. I'm holding dollars. And I can plow that back into Bitcoin basis trade in a delta neutral way at 9% to 12%. And so that's the flywheel that we're talking about.
- 1:03:17And so I think people – and again, I say simple, not easy.
- 1:03:22Yes, all we're doing is selling covered calls.
- 1:03:24All we're doing is banging the bases.
- 1:03:25All we're doing is doing this.
- 1:03:26All we're doing is doing that.
- 1:03:27But it's the way that we map it onto our business.
- 1:03:29It's the way that we've thought about this as it decomposes like across the kind of demand cycle that Bitcoin goes through.
- 1:03:38And it's about the way that we express those trades in institutional ways, manage them in a higher velocity than other people in the industry do, and quite frankly, build deep relationships that are personal and human with our counterparty.
- 1:03:55So, yes, they can check our credit report.
- 1:03:57They can read our SEC 10K or 10Q.
- 1:04:00We exchange financials.
- 1:04:01We do everything via ISDA.
- 1:04:03We have one of the kind of strongest kind of 360-degree views that we take to every relationship with just legal, internal controls, tax, accounting, risk, all of this stuff.
- 1:04:11But we also build deep personal relationships, which, quite frankly, Danny, is why we're sitting around this table, right?
- 1:04:16Like I've known Harry for many years now.
- 1:04:19We became friends because we sidled up to the same bar at Hill Country in NYC at an unchained pop-up on February 20th of 2020.
- 1:04:29I don't remember that just because it was right after Valentine's Day and I kind of love the guy.
- 1:04:37But I remember it because it was during a period where we were going into a very challenging period for Bitcoin.
- 1:04:43We became fast friends.
- 1:04:44We were ideologically and philosophically and temperamentally and psychologically and all of that kind of aligned.
- 1:04:50And we talked for years before he hired me.
- 1:04:53And then we went through Grid.
- 1:04:55And that was had its ups, had its downs, had its ups again.
- 1:04:57And now we're here.
- 1:04:58And so we've built these relationships in this space over cycles and over times.
- 1:05:02And we take that at CleanSpark.
- 1:05:04We take that view to our community relations.
- 1:05:06We take that to our counterparties.
- 1:05:07We take that to kind of the people we talk to in the space.
- 1:05:10And, yeah, we're not here to be kind of showbo baggins for CleanSpark.
- 1:05:13But what I think that we have here, and if I could just, if you'd mind, if I just, right, but is that you have to have, if you want to do great things, and this is one thing that I've quite frankly matured on, I think over the years, is that there's such an individualistic streak in this space.
- 1:05:29And I really believe in that.
- 1:05:31But if you want to do great things, you have to do it together.
- 1:05:33You have to have an organizing principle and an organization around that.
- 1:05:37And so I really do think that CleanSpark to me is the enunciation of that organizing principle. I think it's where our skill sets have been best matched over time. We've tried to figure out how to work best together over many years, and it feels like we're expressing it in this space.
- 1:05:53The people that we work with are very complimentary of that.
- 1:05:56Our management from Matt Schultz and Gary Vecchiarelli all the way down is very empowering of that.
- 1:06:02And the opportunity set in front of us is incredibly fertile.
- 1:06:07And the groundwork and foundation that we've laid is ready for that.
- 1:06:13And you know what?
- 1:06:13That only took about eight or ten years of really, really, really, really, really effing hard work, right?
- 1:06:19So I just – I believe in what we're doing.
- 1:06:22I really do.
- 1:06:23My only addition is that like all the value in any compounding environment happens in the out years.
- 1:06:29And so the trick in every overnight success is that it takes between 10 and 20 years to get there.
- 1:06:34So if you have the viewpoint and the temperament to figure out how to do something exciting and important,
- 1:06:45you've got to stick with it for a very long period of time before the more tangible value gets realized.
- 1:06:51but it's about having the mindset and approach
- 1:06:56that lets you get there before you,
- 1:07:00you're always gonna be tempted to dump out
- 1:07:02like 30 times along the way.
- 1:07:04Don't.
- 1:07:04That's all.
- 1:07:05Just keep going.
- 1:07:06You've got to go, right?
- 1:07:08I do, I do.
- 1:07:08Let me ask one more question to finish.
- 1:07:10This is obviously,
- 1:07:10you're doing like novel,
- 1:07:11interesting things with Bitcoin on the balance sheet.
- 1:07:13Do you think this is actually the start
- 1:07:15of a corporate finance revolution with Bitcoin?
- 1:07:18I really do.
- 1:07:20I really do.
- 1:07:20We sit in a really unique and interesting space where, again, it's not anything that I did individually.
- 1:07:28It is the DNA that CleanSpark built many years before I got there.
- 1:07:33It is the hard work of Bitcoiners from the cypherpunks on up that have set the stage for this.
- 1:07:38It is the people that have been willing to push things forward, like everybody at Square who's pushed things forward on kind of payments and infrastructure rails.
- 1:07:46But we are sitting in a seat where we are fortunate enough to see a lot of, let's call it deal flow opportunities.
- 1:07:53Thank you, Siri.
- 1:07:54Deal flow opportunities, things that are developing.
- 1:07:58We really do want to be on the tip of the sphere developing that because we believe that our approach to this is going to be the most institutional risk management, transparent, high integrity ways to do it that are going to be good for all of our stakeholders.
- 1:08:10But yes, we are seeing this across.
- 1:08:12I mean, it is truly a Cambrian explosion of products.
- 1:08:16And like I said, there's been a lot of criticism in the past of yield and credit.
- 1:08:23Yield is productive return on capital.
- 1:08:26Bitcoin forces you to find what the true cost of money is and allocate it in the most productive
- 1:08:32ways possible.
- 1:08:33That's not a bad word, particularly when it comes to digitally native, scarce, hard money.
- 1:08:39And the second thing is credit has traditionally been a really bad word.
- 1:08:42But again, that's the exact same idea.
- 1:08:44it's how do we allocate this credit
- 1:08:46in the most productive way
- 1:08:47and so I think we're seeing that happen right now
- 1:08:49and I mean it's truly the honor of my career
- 1:08:51I mean it's an actual
- 1:08:53I'm a total nerd
- 1:08:53but it's an actual dream
- 1:08:55to be at the forefront of an industry
- 1:08:57that's developing these
- 1:08:58that is awesome
- 1:08:59right we've got to go
- 1:09:01we've got stuff to do
- 1:09:01thank you so much guys
- 1:09:02this has been fun
- 1:09:03thank you Danny
- 1:09:14Thank you.