Latest / How Canadian Markets Work / Episode 19: Insider Trading and Disclosure
Transcript
- 0:00I want you to just sit back for a second. Well,
- 0:03imagine a very specific scenario. Okay, I'm picturing
- 0:05it. You are sitting at a beautifully set table.
- 0:08The lights are low. The hum of a late night dinner
- 0:11party is just buzzing all around you. It's very
- 0:14cozy. It is. The wine is flowing. People are
- 0:16laughing. And the person sitting to your right,
- 0:20a stranger you were just introduced to maybe
- 0:22an hour ago, leans in. Right. And he mentions,
- 0:25just in passing, almost casually over dessert,
- 0:27that his company is in the final stages of a
- 0:30massive unannounced acquisition. Oh, boy. Yeah.
- 0:34So the next morning, as you're sitting on your
- 0:36couch drinking your coffee, you open your brokerage
- 0:38up on your phone, and you buy a few hundred shares
- 0:40of his company. Now, you don't work there. You
- 0:43don't own any previous stake in the business.
- 0:45You are entirely unaffiliated. So are you safe
- 0:49from insider trading laws? I mean, it paints
- 0:51such a comfortable, familiar picture, right?
- 0:54But the reality of that situation is that the
- 0:57person tapping by on their phone over their morning
- 0:59coffee might be walking into some very, very
- 1:02serious trouble. And I think we really need to
- 1:05just sit with that for a moment. Yeah. Because
- 1:07there is this pervasive assumption that to commit
- 1:11insider trading, you have to actually be an insider.
- 1:14Exactly, like some movie villain. Right. We picture
- 1:17a powerful executive in a mahogany boardroom
- 1:19passing manila folders in a dark parking garage.
- 1:24But in today's deep dive, we are making a mission
- 1:27out of understanding why the offensive insider
- 1:30trading actually follows the information itself.
- 1:33The information, yeah. Rather than the job title
- 1:35of the person holding it. We're going to explore
- 1:38how the act of tipping works, how the system
- 1:40of... Continuous and selective disclosure is
- 1:44designed to prevent rigged markets, and we'll
- 1:46pull back the curtain on exactly how market surveillance
- 1:49flags suspicious trades. Trades that the average
- 1:51person assumes are completely invisible, honestly.
- 1:55It really is a fascinating mechanism to explore,
- 1:58especially when we slow down and look at the
- 2:00foundation of it all. even begin to look at how
- 2:04people break these rules or, you know, why a
- 2:07passing comment at a dinner party is so dangerous.
- 2:10We first have to understand the philosophy of
- 2:12why the rules exist in the first place. Right.
- 2:14The why. Yeah. We have to define what actually
- 2:17makes a piece of information illegal to trade
- 2:19on. Well, the natural assumption, at least for
- 2:21me, is always that this is just about fairness.
- 2:24Sure. like a sort of moral leveling of the playing
- 2:27field, ensuring that the everyday retail investor
- 2:30doesn't get cheated by the Wall Street elite.
- 2:33And that sense of fairness is definitely a huge
- 2:35part of the cultural conversation. I mean, we
- 2:38talk about it all the time. But if we connect
- 2:40this to the bigger picture, to the architecture
- 2:42of the financial system, the rules exist for
- 2:46basic market survival. Survival. It all comes
- 2:49back to the fundamental purpose of markets, which
- 2:50is to raise capital. Think of it like sitting
- 2:54down at a poker table. OK. If you find out that
- 2:57the dealer is subtly signaling the other players,
- 3:01you don't just complain about the ethics of it.
- 3:02You stand up, you take your chips, and you leave
- 3:05the table. You stop playing entirely. Exactly.
- 3:08Well, that's the danger regulators are just terrified
- 3:10of. If a market is known to be rigged, if the
- 3:13public believes that insiders are systematically
- 3:16extracting wealth from uninformed participants,
- 3:19the uninformed participants will simply leave.
- 3:22They'll just take their money out. Right. They
- 3:24will pack up their retirement accounts and go
- 3:25somewhere else. And a market without trust, without
- 3:29everyday participants, well, it cannot raise
- 3:32the capital that businesses need to grow. the
- 3:35entire structure collapses. Wow. So policing
- 3:38this information isn't just some moral crusade.
- 3:41It is a structural load -bearing pillar for the
- 3:45entire economy. See, that reframes it completely
- 3:47for me. It's not about punishing bad people.
- 3:50It's about keeping the casino open, so to speak.
- 3:53Right, by making sure everyone trusts the dealer.
- 3:55So if we are protecting the integrity of the
- 3:57market, what is the actual threshold? Like what
- 3:59makes a piece of information so dangerous that
- 4:02it triggers these laws? The legal concept at
- 4:04the heart of this is called material information.
- 4:07And in the simplest terms, it is any information
- 4:10that would reasonably be expected to have a significant
- 4:13effect on the price of a security. So an unannounced
- 4:16takeover offer, like our dinner party stranger
- 4:19mentioned. That would be the textbook example,
- 4:21yes. Takeover offers... major contracts being
- 4:24won or lost, massive earning surprises that deviate
- 4:28wildly from what the public was expecting, or
- 4:30maybe the results of a critical make or break
- 4:34drug trial at a pharmaceutical company, or a
- 4:37significant new mineral discovery for a mining
- 4:39firm. Those are deeply material. And what about
- 4:42things that aren't material? So non -examples,
- 4:45the things you actually can talk about would
- 4:47be routine personnel changes or a small everyday
- 4:50vendor contract that doesn't fundamentally shift
- 4:53the valuation of the entire enterprise. I have
- 4:55to pause and push back on this a little bit though
- 4:57because we are judging this after the fact. When
- 5:00we sit here in hindsight looking at a stock chart
- 5:03that just spiked 20%, it is incredibly easy to
- 5:06say, ah yes, that contract was major. Oh, absolutely.
- 5:09But how does a reasonable investor or an executive
- 5:12know the difference between a major contract
- 5:15and a routine one in real time? I mean, when
- 5:17you are right in the messy middle of doing business,
- 5:21it sounds incredibly subjective. It is genuinely
- 5:24difficult. You're absolutely right to point out
- 5:25the danger of hindsight bias. It's something
- 5:28regulators struggle with constantly. The practical
- 5:30test that courts and regulators try to apply
- 5:33is essentially a behavioral one. They ask Would
- 5:37this specific piece of information change what
- 5:39a reasonable investor decides to do? Interesting.
- 5:42Yeah. If knowing this secret would make you buy,
- 5:45sell, or hold your shares differently than you
- 5:47would have yesterday, it crosses the line into
- 5:49material. It alters your decision making. Precisely.
- 5:52And the sheer subjectivity of this vast gray
- 5:55area where a million dollar contract might be
- 5:57immaterial to a giant tech company, but massively
- 6:00material to a small startup. Right. Totally different
- 6:02impact. Exactly. That is exactly why public companies
- 6:06employ entire teams of securities lawyers. They
- 6:10sit in conference rooms late at night agonizing
- 6:13over these exact definitions, deciding if they
- 6:16need to issue a press release. So it's not an
- 6:18exact science. It is not an amateur's game at
- 6:21all, and it requires a deep understanding of
- 6:23the company's specific context. So... Now that
- 6:26we have a feeling for what material information
- 6:29actually looks like, let's look at how it moves
- 6:31because this leads us right back to our dinner
- 6:34party and the realization that you don't need
- 6:36a corner office to commit a securities crime.
- 6:39And that is the crucial pivot in this whole deep
- 6:42dive. Insider trading is the act of purchasing
- 6:44or selling a security with the knowledge of material
- 6:47undisclosed information. Right. But the net of
- 6:50liability extends to anyone in what the law calls
- 6:53a special relationship with the company. A special
- 6:55relationship? Yes. And that definition intentionally
- 6:58reaches far beyond actual employees. It captures
- 7:01anyone who receives information from someone
- 7:03they knew or frankly ought to have known was
- 7:06in such a relationship. It almost acts like a
- 7:08virus. That's a good way to put it. Like the
- 7:09law doesn't just isolate the original host. It
- 7:12follows the infection. Which brings us to the
- 7:15second entirely separate offense. Tipping. I
- 7:19think the virus analogy is incredibly accurate,
- 7:21yeah. Tipping is defined as informing someone
- 7:23else of material undisclosed information outside
- 7:26the necessary course of business. Okay. What
- 7:29always surprises people here is that casual disclosure
- 7:33is still disclosure. You can be found guilty
- 7:36of tipping even if you never log into a brokerage
- 7:39account and never trade a single share yourself.
- 7:41Wow. If you hand someone the weapon, you are
- 7:44liable. Let's trace how this chain of liability
- 7:47actually looks in practice, because I think slowing
- 7:50down and seeing it step by step makes the abstract
- 7:52legal jargon feel very real. Sure. Let's follow
- 7:55a hypothetical trace. Imagine a mid -level finance
- 7:58employee at a large public company. She is quietly
- 8:01preparing a quarterly report late on a Friday,
- 8:04and she sees internal projections showing the
- 8:06company is about to miss its earnings targets
- 8:08by a disastrous catastrophic margin. Yeah, she
- 8:11knows the rules. She doesn't trade. But the next
- 8:14day, She goes to a cafe, sits down with her brother,
- 8:18and vents about how terrible things are looking
- 8:20at work. That act of venting is tipping. She
- 8:24infected him with the information. She did. Now
- 8:27her brother immediately pulls out his phone and
- 8:29shorts the stock, which simply means he's placing
- 8:32a financial bet that the stock price is going
- 8:35to crash. Right. He's now committing insider
- 8:37trading. So the employee is caught for tipping
- 8:40and the brother is caught for trading. Both of
- 8:43them are on the hook. Yeah, but the virus continues
- 8:46to spread the brother goes to his own workplace
- 8:48on Monday and Whispers to a colleague. Hey, my
- 8:52sister works over at this company and they're
- 8:54about to report terrible numbers You should bet
- 8:56against them. Oh man, the colleague listens and
- 8:59he buys put options Which is essentially a cheap
- 9:01high -risk contract that pays out massively if
- 9:04the stock tanks in the next few days I keep thinking
- 9:07about the sheer scale of that I mean the the
- 9:09colleague is now two entire degrees removed from
- 9:11the actual company He doesn't know the sister.
- 9:13He hasn't seen the financial reports. He just
- 9:16heard a rumor from a guy at the water cooler.
- 9:18Yes. But distance from the source does not cleanse
- 9:21the information. The colleague is trading on
- 9:26material, undisclosed information that originated
- 9:28from someone in a special relationship. The entire
- 9:32chain is contaminated. The whole chain. Yeah.
- 9:35The colleague is liable for trading. The brother
- 9:37is liable for tipping and trading. And the sister
- 9:39is liable for the original tip. Taking this back
- 9:42to you, the listener, sitting at that dinner
- 9:45party from our introduction, you hear a stranger
- 9:47mention an acquisition and you trade on it. What
- 9:50if you get caught and your defense is simply,
- 9:52listen, I didn't realize it was a corporate secret.
- 9:55We were just chatting over dessert. I didn't
- 9:57sign an NDA. Right. Why doesn't that defense
- 9:59hold water? It falls apart completely because
- 10:02of four little words in the law. Ought to have
- 10:06known the regulatory system. does not require
- 10:09you to have signed a formal non -disclosure agreement
- 10:12to be held liable. Ah, I see. The context of
- 10:15the conversation itself acts as a giant flashing
- 10:18warning sign. If a stranger at a dinner party
- 10:20tells you their company is about to be acquired,
- 10:23and you know for a fact this isn't on the evening
- 10:25news, any reasonable adult understands they are
- 10:28receiving privileged confidential information.
- 10:31It's just common sense. Exactly. Claiming ignorance
- 10:36when the context screams confidentiality is an
- 10:38incredibly weak defense and regulators see right
- 10:41through it. It makes you wonder though how the
- 10:43system functions at a macro level because it
- 10:45is physically impossible for regulators to bug
- 10:48every dinner party or monitor every quiet coffee
- 10:51shop conversation between siblings. You cannot
- 10:53police every whisper. It's an impossible task.
- 10:57Because of that reality, the financial system's
- 10:59primary defense mechanism isn't actually punishing
- 11:01people after the fact. The primary defense is
- 11:05forcing the information out into the open as
- 11:07fast as physically possible. How does that work?
- 11:10If everyone knows the secret, it loses its power.
- 11:13This is the entire foundation of the disclosure
- 11:15system. It's a philosophy of prevention over
- 11:18punishment, flooding the room with light so there
- 11:21are no shadows to hide in. That's a great way
- 11:23to visualize it, yeah. Public companies are bound
- 11:26by strict continuous disclosure rules. They must
- 11:29regularly report their financials, of course,
- 11:32but more importantly, they must promptly issue
- 11:35news releases and regulatory filings the absolute
- 11:38moment a material change occurs. Immediately.
- 11:40Yes. The goal is to shrink that window of time
- 11:44where insider trading is even possible down to
- 11:47zero. I hear the theory of that, but let's pause
- 11:50and think about the reality of doing business.
- 11:52Sure. If two massive companies are in the middle
- 11:55of a highly delicate live acquisition negotiation,
- 11:58they can't just send out a press release every
- 12:00time they agree on a new paragraph in the contract.
- 12:02No, of course not. It would invite a media circus,
- 12:04it would ruin the deal. So how does the system
- 12:08handle the need for actual necessary business
- 12:11discretion? Well, regulators do recognize the
- 12:14messy reality of the corporate world. There are
- 12:16very narrow, highly monitored provisions for
- 12:19confidential filing. If a company can prove that
- 12:21immediate public disclosure would be unduly detrimental
- 12:24to the company's interests, like destroying a
- 12:27fragile acquisition negotiation before the ink
- 12:30is dry, they can file the material change confidentially
- 12:33with the regulator. So the regulator knows, but
- 12:36the public doesn't. Exactly. But the moment that
- 12:40information leaks, or the moment the deal is
- 12:42finalized, that protective shield drops immediately,
- 12:46and the news must go public. And what about the
- 12:48old school ways of playing favorites? Because
- 12:51we all have this image from the 80s of a CEO
- 12:53calling up their biggest shareholder or their
- 12:56favorite Wall Street analyst and giving them
- 12:57a quiet heads up a few hours before the press
- 13:00release goes out. Ah, yes. That practice is known
- 13:03as selective disclosure, and it is strictly prohibited
- 13:06today. Is it really? Oh, completely. Companies
- 13:09cannot whisper material news to favored analysts
- 13:11or institutional investors before telling the
- 13:14general public. The playing field must be leveled
- 13:16simultaneously for everyone, whether you own
- 13:1810 shares or 10 million. There is another fascinating
- 13:22layer to this disclosure system, too, right?
- 13:25What about the people who aren't on the inside
- 13:28but are just quietly buying up massive amounts
- 13:31of a company stock in the open market? Right.
- 13:34They are creating their own material event just
- 13:36by buying. That brings us to the early warning
- 13:39reporting system. If anyone, an individual investor,
- 13:43a hedge fund, a rival company, acquires a significant
- 13:47stake in a public company, which is usually defined
- 13:49around the 10 % mark, they are legally required
- 13:52to publicly disclose that accumulation promptly.
- 13:55So you can't just sneak up in the dark and quietly
- 13:57buy half a company without anyone noticing? No,
- 14:00you can't. And the logic there is that the market
- 14:03have a fundamental right to know when someone
- 14:05is accumulating a massive, potentially controlling
- 14:08position. Because that affects everyone else.
- 14:10Because that accumulation is in itself material
- 14:13information to the rest of the shareholders.
- 14:15If a billionaire is suddenly buying up 10 % of
- 14:17the company you are invested in, you have a right
- 14:19to know that before you decide whether to sell
- 14:21your shares. OK, let's step back for a second
- 14:23because we've established that the rules are
- 14:26incredibly strict. You can't trade on secrets.
- 14:29You can't pass the virus by tipping. You can't
- 14:32selectively disclose. And you can't hide your
- 14:35massive purchases, right? Which brings up a massive
- 14:38glaring paradox. Oh, I know where you're going
- 14:41with this. How do actual CEOs, CFOs and corporate
- 14:44directors ever legally buy or sell stock in their
- 14:48own companies? By definition, they literally
- 14:51know. everything all the time. It is a wonderful
- 14:54paradox and it's one that confuses a lot of casual
- 14:56observers. Directors and officers absolutely
- 14:59can trade their own company's stock but their
- 15:02trading is heavily restricted and confined to
- 15:04very specific windows of time. So an executive
- 15:07can't just decide to sell a thousand shares on
- 15:08a random Tuesday because they want to buy a boat?
- 15:11Not if it's outside an approved window, no. Companies
- 15:14enforce strict internal policies called blackout
- 15:17periods. These typically surround the end of
- 15:19a financial quarter and lead all the way up to
- 15:21an earnings release. During a blackout period,
- 15:25insiders are completely frozen out of the market.
- 15:27They're only permitted to trade during open windows,
- 15:30which usually occur shortly after earnings have
- 15:32been published and fully digested by the public.
- 15:35That makes sense. Yeah. That is when the information
- 15:37asymmetry between the CEO and the retail investor
- 15:41is at its absolute lowest. And when they do finally
- 15:44trade in those open windows, it's not kept a
- 15:46secret. Not at all. They must publicly report
- 15:49every single trade on an insider reporting system
- 15:52within a very short time frame, usually a matter
- 15:54of days. In most jurisdictions, like the CD system
- 15:58in Canada or SEC filings in the US, this database
- 16:02is public, free, and searchable by anyone with
- 16:05an internet connection. You know, I always look
- 16:07at these free insider filings like reading the
- 16:10private diaries of the people who know the business
- 16:12best. It's an interesting way to look at it.
- 16:14If you want to know how confident a CEO really
- 16:17is about their new product launch, don't read
- 16:19the marketing brochure. Just look at what they
- 16:21are doing with their own wallet. It's an incredibly
- 16:24tempting analogy, the diary concept, but we have
- 16:27to be very careful with it. Treating insider
- 16:30filings as a pure reflection of a company's health
- 16:33can be a psychological trap. Really? Why is that?
- 16:36It is valuable information, yes, but you have
- 16:39to remember that human beings, even wealthy insiders,
- 16:44sell stock for a hundred innocent, mundane reasons.
- 16:47Let's linger on that for a second. What kind
- 16:49of reasons? Think about the reality of their
- 16:52lives. A corporate officer might be facing a
- 16:55massive tax bill. They might be buying a vacation
- 16:57home or sending three kids to an expensive university
- 16:59or going through a costly divorce. Just normal
- 17:02life expenses. Exactly. Or maybe their financial
- 17:06advisor simply told them they need to diversify
- 17:08their portfolio so their entire net worth isn't
- 17:11tied to the exact same place they get their paycheck.
- 17:13An insider selling shares is not automatically
- 17:16a red flag that the company is doomed. Selling
- 17:19is just life happening. But buying is different.
- 17:22Buying is entirely different. Insiders generally
- 17:24only buy shares on the open market with their
- 17:26own after -tax money for one singular reason.
- 17:29They believe the price is going to go up. Precisely.
- 17:32I love that distinction. Selling could mean absolutely
- 17:35anything, but buying means confidence. So moving
- 17:38from these perfectly legal, heavily documented
- 17:40trades back to the illegal ones, how do people
- 17:43actually get caught? When there are millions
- 17:47of transactions happening across global exchanges
- 17:49every single day, it feels like trying to find
- 17:52a needle in a digital haystack. It feels exactly
- 17:55that way to the amateur, which is precisely why
- 17:57they take the risk. They think they are a drop
- 17:59in the ocean. But the market surveillance systems
- 18:02operated by regulators and exchanges are remarkably
- 18:05sophisticated. They're not just looking by hand.
- 18:08No, they aren't sifting through millions of normal
- 18:10trades manually. They rely on algorithms that
- 18:14establish a baseline of normal behavior for every
- 18:16single stock. They are looking for anomalies.
- 18:19Like what? Specifically, they look for highly
- 18:21unusual trading volume. or sudden price movements,
- 18:25immediately preceding a major corporate announcement.
- 18:27So the announcement itself is what triggers the
- 18:29look back. The algorithms are working in reverse.
- 18:32That's the mechanism, yeah. Imagine a company
- 18:34announces on a Thursday that they are being acquired
- 18:36at a 50 % premium. The regulators' computers
- 18:40immediately rewind the tape. They look at the
- 18:42options market and the stock market for the weeks
- 18:44prior. OK. And here is where the trap snaps shut.
- 18:48The algorithm flags that someone who has never
- 18:51traded options in their entire life suddenly
- 18:54opened a new brokerage account and bought heavily
- 18:57into high -risk short -term contracts, betting
- 19:00on this specific company just three days before
- 19:03the takeover was announced. Wow. That isn't a
- 19:06needle in a haystack. That is a massive glowing
- 19:08red beacon. They aren't hiding at all. They think
- 19:11they are invisible in the crowd, but they are
- 19:13essentially standing alone on a stage with a
- 19:15spotlight on them. And once that spotlight is
- 19:17on, The investigation begins, as investigators
- 19:20often say. The anomalous trade is the flag and
- 19:23the social connection is the case. The social
- 19:25connection. Right. Once the system flags that
- 19:28highly improbable, mathematically absurd trade,
- 19:32human investigators simply work backward. They
- 19:35look at the identity of the trader and they start
- 19:37hunting for the connection to the company. And
- 19:40this is where the digital footprint destroys
- 19:42the amateur. Because regulators have subpoena
- 19:45power, they can demand the data. Exactly. They
- 19:48look at text messages, they check cell tower
- 19:50pings to see if the trader and the company's
- 19:52CFO were at the same coffee shop at the same
- 19:54time. Oh, that's intense. They scrape LinkedIn
- 19:56connections to see if they went to college together.
- 19:58They check country club rosters, Venbo transactions,
- 20:02family trees. Did you play golf with the lead
- 20:05attorney on the deal? Is your sister the finance
- 20:08employee? It is the false comfort of anonymity.
- 20:11People sitting in their living room tapping on
- 20:13a brightly colored trading app genuinely think
- 20:16they are untraceable. Yeah. But to a regulatory
- 20:19body, your trading records are completely transparent
- 20:21and your social connections are almost always
- 20:24traceable. Which brings us to the most practical
- 20:27takeaways for you listening right now to protect
- 20:30yourself in this complex landscape. First, if
- 20:33you work at a public company, take your blackout
- 20:36policies incredibly seriously. Right. And remember,
- 20:39and this catches so many people off guard, those
- 20:42blackout periods almost always apply to your
- 20:45spouse, your dependents, and anyone living in
- 20:48your household. You cannot use your partner's
- 20:50brokerage account as a clever workaround. That
- 20:53is such an easy, innocent mistake to make if
- 20:56you aren't paying close attention to the employee
- 20:58handbook. What else should we keep in mind? Answer
- 21:00your KYC, your client form, accurately regarding
- 21:04your insider status. The form you fill out when
- 21:06you open an account. Exactly. When you open any
- 21:09brokerage account, they ask if you are a director
- 21:11or officer of a public company or if you own
- 21:13more than 10 % of one. That question isn't just
- 21:16administrative trivia. It actually matters. Answering
- 21:19it accurately protects you because it allows
- 21:21your broker's compliance department to help monitor
- 21:24your trading and prevent you from accidentally
- 21:26violating reporting rules. And for me, my biggest
- 21:29takeaway is completely psychological. It's the
- 21:32realization that you cannot buy into the everyone
- 21:35does its myth. Oh, definitely. I think pop culture,
- 21:38movies, and television have convinced people
- 21:40that Wall Street is just one giant web of whispered
- 21:44secrets and that the only way to win is to cheat.
- 21:47But the reality is that most professionals in
- 21:50this industry are fiercely obsessively scrupulous
- 21:53about this precisely because their entire careers,
- 21:57their reputations, and their personal freedom
- 21:59are on the line. It is a pervasive myth. And
- 22:02it is usually the myth that amateurs use to justify
- 22:05their own bad behavior. And predictably, it is
- 22:08usually those same amateurs who end up getting
- 22:10caught in the surveillance deck. Okay, this has
- 22:12been an incredibly eye -opening journey. To slowly
- 22:15bring this deep dive to a close, let's recap
- 22:17what we've unpacked. We've learned that the offense
- 22:20of insider trading follows the information itself,
- 22:22acting almost like a virus, rather than depending
- 22:25on your job title. You don't need to be a CEO
- 22:27to be liable. Kipping is a severe, separate crime,
- 22:30even if you - you never trade a single share.
- 22:33The entire system of continuous disclosure exists
- 22:36to flood the market with light, forcing a level
- 22:39playing field so that the market can maintain
- 22:41trust and survive. Exactly. And finally, the
- 22:44algorithmic market surveillance systems make
- 22:46hiding in the data much, much harder than the
- 22:50average person realizes. It is a robust. heavily
- 22:53enforced system. But if we want to look at where
- 22:55this is all heading in the future, I want to
- 22:57leave you with a final thought to mull over one
- 22:59that really blurs the clear lines we've discussed
- 23:01today. Okay. I haven't dreamed. We spent this
- 23:03time talking about inside information being passed
- 23:06verbally at dinner parties or cafes. But what
- 23:10happens in an era of massive alternative data?
- 23:13What do you mean? Today there are elite hedge
- 23:15funds that spend tens of millions of dollars
- 23:17to buy real -time high -resolution satellite
- 23:20imagery from private aerospace companies. They
- 23:23use advanced algorithms to count the number of
- 23:25individual cars parked in the parking lots of
- 23:28major retail chains across the entire country
- 23:30every single day. And they use that massive data
- 23:34set to accurately predict the retailer's quarterly
- 23:36earnings weeks before the company officially
- 23:39releases them. That is staggering. They essentially
- 23:42know the earnings before the public does without
- 23:44ever speaking to an insider. They do. So it raises
- 23:47a profound question. Where exactly is the line
- 23:50between brilliant independent research and trading
- 23:53on undisclosed material information? I see. If
- 23:57you have the vast wealth required to buy private
- 23:59satellite data that the average retail investor
- 24:02could never dream of affording, is that information
- 24:05technically public? As technology outpaces our
- 24:09traditional 20th century definitions of fairness,
- 24:11who really has the unfair advantage? That completely
- 24:14changes the dinner party metaphor, doesn't it?
- 24:16It leaves us with a lot to think about regarding
- 24:18the future of fairness. Thank you so much for
- 24:21joining us on this deep dive. We hope you found
- 24:22this exploration as fascinating as we have and
- 24:25we warmly invite you back for the next one. Take
- 24:26care.