Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Week 8 NFL Picks With Chad “Middlemonster” Millman & Blackjack

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Week 8 NFL Picks With Chad “Middlemonster” Millman & Blackjack · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:20
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the Podcast. I am Chad Mellman
0:26
Speaker 1: of the Action Network. It is Friday, which means it
0:32
Speaker 1: is time for the Friday edition of our podcast. That
0:36
Speaker 1: is the Super Contest edition, which means I join in
0:40
Speaker 1: my brother from the Action Network, my other p in
0:45
Speaker 1: the pod, Mr black Jack Fletcher. How are you doing baby? Listen, Bud.
0:50
Speaker 1: We got a date next week, you and I. If
0:55
Speaker 1: people don't recall last week, I believe you convinced me
1:00
Speaker 1: to take the Cleveland Browns and you said if the
1:02
Speaker 1: Browns cover, then we're going to see A Star Is
1:06
Speaker 1: Born together. And we couldn't do it this week because
1:09
Speaker 1: I had to travel like literally five minutes ago got
1:12
Speaker 1: back from Boston to my house, the Mansion. So so
1:17
Speaker 1: we are going to go to see A Star is
1:20
Speaker 1: Born next week. That's right. I'm very excited. I can't wait.
1:24
Speaker 1: It's going to be an emotional experience for the two
1:26
Speaker 1: of us to share. Um, so I'm really looking forward
1:30
Speaker 1: to it. We're gonna have some props for fans to
1:32
Speaker 1: participate in right Like, by the way, if anybody's in
1:35
Speaker 1: New York and wants to go see A Star Is
1:39
Speaker 1: Born with us next Thursday evening on the first of November.
1:44
Speaker 1: They are welcome to come. Uh, we will play some
1:46
Speaker 1: prop games. I think the only prop that really matters
1:49
Speaker 1: is the over under on how many times I cry. Yeah, yeah,
1:53
Speaker 1: I mean I've I've seen the movie before. As everybody knows. Um,
1:56
Speaker 1: I actually think I made cry more times the second
1:59
Speaker 1: time than I did the first time. But I I
2:02
Speaker 1: know the movie, so it's gonna be curious to watch
2:05
Speaker 1: you watch the movie. We have three props I think
2:08
Speaker 1: we can do. We can do the total number of
2:12
Speaker 1: times I cry, the total number of times you cry,
2:15
Speaker 1: the total number of times we both cry, and the
2:17
Speaker 1: total number of times Brad a Leite Cooper cries, the
2:21
Speaker 1: total number of times Lady Gaga cries They're total, and
2:25
Speaker 1: then the total number of times the four of us
2:27
Speaker 1: shed tears. So I think I just made seven props
2:30
Speaker 1: out of a lot. We're gonna have to work on
2:31
Speaker 1: this prop sheet this week to get this out to people,
2:34
Speaker 1: because I think we gotta get it right. It's gonna
2:35
Speaker 1: be electric. We got a lot to do. Um. Listen,
2:39
Speaker 1: everyone knows this is the podcast where we're gonna win
2:41
Speaker 1: one point four million dollars one point four million dollars.
2:45
Speaker 1: And while we started off rocky, we have been lit
2:48
Speaker 1: the last few weeks. Last week we were three one
2:51
Speaker 1: and one laughing. I have an update for us standings wise, Uh,
2:56
Speaker 1: we currently air most No. No No, I don't want to know.
3:01
Speaker 1: I don't think we want to know, because if we know,
3:05
Speaker 1: that starts to put more pressure on us, like we
3:08
Speaker 1: have been doing well because we started. Wow, that's interesting.
3:14
Speaker 1: We're in there. I'll say that we're in it. We're
3:17
Speaker 1: in it. Okay, we're in it, which means we gotta
3:20
Speaker 1: keep doing what we do. We gotta keep making the
3:22
Speaker 1: right decisions. We gotta keep making ourselves as good as
3:26
Speaker 1: we can be together as a team, pushing ourselves into
3:29
Speaker 1: places that we might not have gone before, places where
3:32
Speaker 1: we might be a little uncomfortable. We're talking about football, right, yeah,
3:37
Speaker 1: all right, just thinking about making picks. God, I love you.
3:42
Speaker 1: I love you too, all right, listen. The other thing
3:46
Speaker 1: we want to remind people love is that, um, you
3:49
Speaker 1: gotta review us in iTunes. You gotta go to the
3:53
Speaker 1: favorite page and review us, because the best reviews are
3:56
Speaker 1: going to get read. By Georgina on the podcast, we
3:59
Speaker 1: got some reviews that we liked. We didn't get as
4:02
Speaker 1: many as we would like, So give us more and
4:06
Speaker 1: the winner, the winner will be chosen. Are you It's
4:10
Speaker 1: a call to action, people, Come on, let's go leave
4:13
Speaker 1: some reviews. I want to see some reviews. Let me
4:15
Speaker 1: go A C T A. All right, you know we
4:18
Speaker 1: can abbreviate however you want. I want to see some
4:20
Speaker 1: reviews up there. I'm checking at night and day. I'm
4:22
Speaker 1: all over it. I want to see some reviews. Let's
4:24
Speaker 1: go five star reviews. Are you wearing a shirt? No,
4:27
Speaker 1: I'm not wearing a shirt? Getting showy out to Chad.
4:31
Speaker 1: This studio is about a thousand degrees right now, Celsius.
4:36
Speaker 1: It's unbearable. So the fact that I'm not wearing a
4:39
Speaker 1: shirt is actually a godsend for you, well and the
4:45
Speaker 1: people who are able to see me without a shirt. Hey,
4:47
Speaker 1: I've heard what what flavor vapor are you doing today? Man?
4:51
Speaker 1: Here they're getting rid of that. I know, devastating, devastating news.
4:55
Speaker 1: I heard that from Noah in the office that this
4:58
Speaker 1: may be short lived, which is just heartbreaking. Do you
5:03
Speaker 1: want to pick some games? I do? At first, we
5:05
Speaker 1: gotta say how to Georgina, Georgie, Hello, million Monster, Hello,
5:10
Speaker 1: black Jack Chad Georgina sounds a little under the weather,
5:15
Speaker 1: and I just want to send out my my heartfelt
5:18
Speaker 1: thoughts to her. I hope she gets well soon. She's
5:21
Speaker 1: a beautiful young lady and does not deserve to be
5:23
Speaker 1: sick at any point in her life. Do you know
5:25
Speaker 1: what I can't believe. I can't believe you're not sick.
5:27
Speaker 1: You know why because before we get to the pics,
5:31
Speaker 1: we got to talk about something that happened on Tuesday
5:33
Speaker 1: night when you were out in the middle of god
5:35
Speaker 1: knows where in New York at two o'clock in the morning,
5:38
Speaker 1: and you started periscoping and somehow developed developed an accent, uh,
5:48
Speaker 1: while also giving people a preview of what the NFC
5:52
Speaker 1: and a f C Championship games are going to be. Um,
5:55
Speaker 1: let's take a look at this video. Let's let's take
5:57
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, let's take a talking around it down Manhattan
6:00
Speaker 1: here at two am. Busy person these days? Wow? Why
6:08
Speaker 1: you asking me these questions right now? Brother? It's too
6:11
Speaker 1: late home Field in New Orleans A bit, guys, I
6:14
Speaker 1: don't have a take on games, thank you, my friend.
6:18
Speaker 1: I complimented my shoes. If they dropped that game, they
6:21
Speaker 1: lose home field. Of course, it's pressure. Wow, there is
6:27
Speaker 1: a lovely Yeah, that was quite off putting. We know
6:32
Speaker 1: our conference title games. I think it's Chiefs Pats and
6:36
Speaker 1: it's Ram Saints. Stand by it, stand by wait no, wait,
6:43
Speaker 1: there's so much good stuff to do this, Oh my god, like,
6:49
Speaker 1: there's so much to break down here. Number one progressively
6:54
Speaker 1: drunker as the periscope went on. Well, I started drinking
6:57
Speaker 1: a beer. You know, I started out drinking in the
7:00
Speaker 1: getting of the periscope, So yeah, probably was still building
7:02
Speaker 1: Number one. Number two, the accent that gets thicker. I
7:06
Speaker 1: don't even know. That's a weird one hearing it, But
7:11
Speaker 1: then it was you almost missed it, a little bit
7:14
Speaker 1: of a hiccup. Yeah, probably, I was pretty drunk, Chad.
7:21
Speaker 1: Let me tell you that night was a great night,
7:23
Speaker 1: but it was also an awful night thanks to the
7:25
Speaker 1: Long Island Railroad. They can suck it, okay. I finished
7:29
Speaker 1: up drinking with some of our cohorts. A little after
7:33
Speaker 1: one in the morning, I walked back to Penn Station.
7:35
Speaker 1: I'm in a great mood, alright, I'm practicing something I'm
7:38
Speaker 1: working on, and I get to Penn Station. I look
7:42
Speaker 1: at my phone. I had missed the train by about
7:46
Speaker 1: three minutes, and the next train is not for two hours.
7:49
Speaker 1: Two hours, Chad. So now I'm stuck in Penn Station.
7:52
Speaker 1: I leave. I go to the Triple Crown bar down
7:55
Speaker 1: the street, get a beer, do the periscope, go back
7:58
Speaker 1: to Penn Station. I get it a coffee of sitting
8:01
Speaker 1: in the waiting room, which is the only place you
8:02
Speaker 1: can sit in Penn Station. And this guy comes along
8:07
Speaker 1: from the railroad and goes, Everyone's got to leave, and
8:09
Speaker 1: I'm like, why is what we gotta clean it. I'm like,
8:11
Speaker 1: it's too forty in the morning. He's like, everyone's gotta leave.
8:15
Speaker 1: So now I'm sitting on the floor and Penn Station
8:17
Speaker 1: like a vagrant, drinking a cup of coffee. I get
8:20
Speaker 1: on the train at three oh seven. I fall asleep,
8:23
Speaker 1: miss my stop, get off in Huntington's okay, get an
8:27
Speaker 1: uber back to my car, and finally get home about
8:30
Speaker 1: five thirty in the morning. Yeah, rough night. Wow the
8:38
Speaker 1: railroad steaks. That is insane. Yeah, it's a long night.
8:48
Speaker 1: Here we go, Here we go, Georgina. Let's talk about
8:52
Speaker 1: week eight Jacksonville. That's Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles by three at
8:59
Speaker 1: this point blank Lettles is in London more than I am. True.
9:03
Speaker 1: Poor Georgina. She does not sound good. She's an angel.
9:08
Speaker 1: I can't believe we made her do it this week.
9:11
Speaker 1: There's no quit in hurt Chad, there's no quitting her.
9:14
Speaker 1: She's she's a resilient, resilient woman. The English, you know
9:18
Speaker 1: what they have. They have fortitude, you know, and their
9:23
Speaker 1: stoic And she puts up with Gabe every day. So
9:26
Speaker 1: he's the worst. Speaking of the worst, so is this
9:30
Speaker 1: game as game stinks a little bit. I mean I
9:35
Speaker 1: lean Jacksonville a little bit here, just because London at
9:38
Speaker 1: this point is more of a home field for them
9:40
Speaker 1: than Jacksonville is. And I mean, my god, if they
9:43
Speaker 1: if they don't get this game, this season is just shot.
9:46
Speaker 1: I mean they could really, they could really just flush
9:48
Speaker 1: the whole thing down the drain. Philly's kind of playing
9:51
Speaker 1: with house money, and it feels that way. It feels
9:53
Speaker 1: like the Eagles know they're playing with house money this year.
9:56
Speaker 1: I would lean Jacksonville, but I by no means love
9:59
Speaker 1: this game. I don't like this game. Um, I'm putting
10:02
Speaker 1: down that you lean jackson We're gonna talk about it.
10:05
Speaker 1: I don't love this game at all. Um, Blake Bortles
10:09
Speaker 1: is just bad and Cody Kessler is worse. When Cody
10:12
Speaker 1: Kessler is the backup, that means you're in really bad
10:15
Speaker 1: shape and the Eagles. Something is clearly off with the Eagles,
10:18
Speaker 1: Like their defense is given up a lot of points
10:20
Speaker 1: and not sort of keeping people out of the end zone.
10:23
Speaker 1: Well that's redundant. But um, they're just not as aggressive
10:27
Speaker 1: as they were last year. And Carson Wentz is not
10:30
Speaker 1: the third down conversion machine that he was last year.
10:34
Speaker 1: You're just not afraid of this team right now. Um,
10:37
Speaker 1: if Leonard Fournette was right, this would be a no
10:39
Speaker 1: brainer for me. I would take Jacksonville. All right, Well,
10:42
Speaker 1: let's lean, let's I also don't buy the theory that
10:45
Speaker 1: this is a home game for Jacksonville. It's still in London.
10:49
Speaker 1: It's not like the people in London are walking around
10:51
Speaker 1: in Jags jerseys thinking Jacksonville. Yeah, they're not thinking Cheerio.
10:56
Speaker 1: The Jags are playing this weekend. I'm going to every
10:59
Speaker 1: jackson Bill Chad, Yeah, I think, yeah, I know. What
11:05
Speaker 1: does that have to do with with nobody cares about
11:08
Speaker 1: the Jaguars in Jacksonville, Florida, doesn't do pro sports. No
11:11
Speaker 1: one cares about the Jaguars in London. They care more there.
11:15
Speaker 1: I don't think so. I think they do. I think
11:17
Speaker 1: you're wrong. I think I think there will be more
11:20
Speaker 1: Eagles jerseys in the stands. That doesn't mean anything. There's
11:23
Speaker 1: probably more Steph Curry jerseys in the stands. They just
11:27
Speaker 1: see America. Did you see They're serving like a two
11:29
Speaker 1: ft long hot dog. That's what they think we are.
11:33
Speaker 1: Georgina Baltimore Carolina Ravens by two. This game is stupid.
11:39
Speaker 1: This line makes no sense. Jad, Okay, you have to
11:43
Speaker 1: take Carolina here. Huh you'r your Mr. Home Dog. You're
11:49
Speaker 1: gonna tell me that that the right side here's Baltimore. No,
11:52
Speaker 1: I'm not going to say that. As a matter of fact,
11:56
Speaker 1: I was only going to take care. I was only
11:57
Speaker 1: gonna take the Ravens if they were a one point favorite.
12:00
Speaker 1: At two points, I think I have to leave Carolina too.
12:03
Speaker 1: Let me tell you something this. The best move that
12:06
Speaker 1: Carolina could have made in the off season was bringing
12:09
Speaker 1: Norv Turner in because Cam Newton over his career, has
12:12
Speaker 1: struggled with accuracy on a deep ball. North Turner brings
12:16
Speaker 1: in this west Coast system. You know what the Panthers do, Chad.
12:19
Speaker 1: They just paper cut you to death the whole game. Okay,
12:23
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, Little little slants, little little flats, Everything's great.
12:28
Speaker 1: Cam Newton with his quarterback draws. The Panthers have an
12:31
Speaker 1: offense that is perfectly suited for their personnel. The Ravens
12:34
Speaker 1: are an overrated, one dimensional team, very good defense, no offense.
12:40
Speaker 1: Panthers at home. Okay, Okay, I'm with you. I'm right
12:46
Speaker 1: Lean Carolina in our notes, but I could take out
12:49
Speaker 1: the line. Hold on, let me look down at my
12:51
Speaker 1: computer and do that, black Jack. We are going to
12:53
Speaker 1: get back to our super contest picks in a second,
12:56
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Speaker 1: robin hood dot com. Black Jack, Let's get back to
14:09
Speaker 1: our picks. Denver at Kansas City Chiefs by ten. It's
14:14
Speaker 1: not gonna happen. Let's just move on. I'm not giving
14:17
Speaker 1: you Denver. Really yeah, I'm not giving you Denver. There's
14:20
Speaker 1: no way I give you so much. I gave you
14:23
Speaker 1: the Bears last week, remember that. Remember how that turned out?
14:25
Speaker 1: When I gave you the Bears against the Patriots. That
14:28
Speaker 1: was the one loss in three one and one. You
14:31
Speaker 1: gave me the Redskins to alright, we both like the Redskins.
14:34
Speaker 1: I gave you Chicago, even though I told you that
14:39
Speaker 1: New England was the right side. There. I gave you
14:41
Speaker 1: the Bears, and now you want to go and do
14:43
Speaker 1: it again this games. You're the reasons we saw. We
14:48
Speaker 1: saw Denver play about me as well as Denver can
14:52
Speaker 1: possibly play million reasons, million reasons to walk away. The
14:57
Speaker 1: Broncos played as good of a aim as they are
15:00
Speaker 1: capable of playing the last time they played the Chiefs,
15:03
Speaker 1: and they still lost and still didn't cover. And that
15:06
Speaker 1: was in Denver in prime time, when Mahomes hadn't faced
15:10
Speaker 1: the defense of that caliber. Yet. Now this dude has
15:13
Speaker 1: been tested against far better teams. He's had much more
15:16
Speaker 1: on his plate than what Denver gave, and Denver's kind
15:20
Speaker 1: of in a tailspin here. This team doesn't know who
15:22
Speaker 1: the hell they are anymore. All Right, I'm starting to
15:24
Speaker 1: think that our own Chris Raybon is right in that vance.
15:28
Speaker 1: Joseph just isn't a very good head coach in the NFL.
15:32
Speaker 1: And now the Chiefs are at home in this game. Look,
15:35
Speaker 1: I don't know whether they're gonna cover it or not,
15:36
Speaker 1: but I'm sure it's hell not comfortable with ten points
15:39
Speaker 1: when the Chiefs may have fourteen on the board in
15:42
Speaker 1: three and a half minutes. Look at what they did
15:45
Speaker 1: to Cincinnati last week. Chad, there was an absolute domination.
15:48
Speaker 1: And Cincinnati and Denver are comparable teams. Cincinnati may even
15:53
Speaker 1: be a little bit better than Denver and they just
15:57
Speaker 1: blew them out of the building. How can you bet
16:01
Speaker 1: against this team? There's seven and oh against the spread
16:04
Speaker 1: Denver three and four. That's a fallacy. Remember remember Kansas
16:10
Speaker 1: City was a five and a half point favorite against
16:13
Speaker 1: Denver three or four weeks ago. That depends, Chad. That
16:16
Speaker 1: line dropped all the way down to three and a half.
16:18
Speaker 1: Guess what, Guess what? They only one by four? Some
16:23
Speaker 1: of us, some of us. You middled it. So you
16:26
Speaker 1: know they covered it at some point in the line.
16:29
Speaker 1: They covered it. You middled it. I know they call
16:33
Speaker 1: me the middle Monster, Crystal. This show is off the
16:38
Speaker 1: goddamn rails in London. They I got more fans in
16:42
Speaker 1: London than the Jaguars. Doo. Okay, child, you don't even
16:48
Speaker 1: have fans in your own house. Your son's walking in
16:50
Speaker 1: to make fun of you. Outside of my house, I'm
16:54
Speaker 1: very popular. You can't do this at Pittsburgh Stina's by eight.
17:06
Speaker 1: Just move on. I'm with you. This stinks. Stinks to
17:09
Speaker 1: high heaven. Seattle at Detroit Lions by three. Boom boom
17:17
Speaker 1: Dtroit City, Baby, Detroit Rock City. You tell me yours,
17:24
Speaker 1: I'll tell you mine. How all right? Baby? Um? How
17:29
Speaker 1: funny is that the Lions have founded identity? Is like
17:31
Speaker 1: a running team here, Like they hadn't had a hundred
17:34
Speaker 1: yard rusher since it was Reggie Bush, I think. And
17:39
Speaker 1: now they've got carry On Johnson and it's added some
17:41
Speaker 1: balance to the Wherewards said, this is making me feel
17:46
Speaker 1: a lot better about what we're doing later. Um, carry
17:50
Speaker 1: On Johnson has added a lot of balance to that team.
17:52
Speaker 1: It's been very impressive. The defense has gotten better week
17:55
Speaker 1: to week under Matt Patricia. I there's no reason not
17:59
Speaker 1: to like the Lion here. I actually can't figure out
18:01
Speaker 1: why the line isn't higher. I'm feeling Russell Wilson off
18:07
Speaker 1: a by line and getting a short home favorite and
18:11
Speaker 1: a team that's better. People are just assuming that Russell
18:14
Speaker 1: Wilson is gonna backdoor this thing. But the Lions defense
18:16
Speaker 1: is pretty good, man. I don't. I don't. I think
18:18
Speaker 1: it's gonna be tough for them to do. I agree.
18:20
Speaker 1: I love this game, alright. Put it on the board too.
18:24
Speaker 1: We got too right now we got the Panthers at
18:27
Speaker 1: mine plus two and the Lions at minus three. Oh.
18:30
Speaker 1: I like what we have so far. Like it a lot,
18:33
Speaker 1: like it a lot sexy right now, Georgina Tampa Bay
18:40
Speaker 1: at Cincinnati Bengals by four and a half, go ahead.
18:45
Speaker 1: Oh no, thank god? Oh no, no, no, no, you're
18:49
Speaker 1: not swayed by your red rifle. I am not swayed
18:53
Speaker 1: by anything here. I feel like we have seen very
18:59
Speaker 1: specific ends so far in the year, the Cardinals, the Redskins,
19:06
Speaker 1: the Bengals, the Colts. Like we've seen sort of the
19:10
Speaker 1: three to four week cycles where they were probably undervalued, undervalued,
19:14
Speaker 1: appropriately valued, overvalued. I think whatever cycle we were doing
19:18
Speaker 1: with the Bengals is gone. They are done. I am finished.
19:22
Speaker 1: I want no piece of this team. New York Jets
19:29
Speaker 1: at Chicago. What do you got here? Come on, man, man,
19:42
Speaker 1: I don't want I don't want a piece of this game.
19:44
Speaker 1: I leave Chicago. Yeah. Probably, let's put it as the
19:49
Speaker 1: maybe we may have to come back to it. I
19:51
Speaker 1: would not put a million dollars on this game. It
19:54
Speaker 1: wouldn't be one of my top choice. The way where
19:56
Speaker 1: I can tell you right now, I know for a
19:57
Speaker 1: fact we're not going to need this game. We're not.
20:01
Speaker 1: We'll see. Why are you saying it like that? We'll
20:03
Speaker 1: see we're not gonna need it, all right, Next Washington
20:08
Speaker 1: and New York Giants. Pick them, although I'd argue that
20:12
Speaker 1: maybe you shouldn't pick either of these alright, So the
20:15
Speaker 1: Redskins at Giants, it's a pick them Redskins Giants. Chad.
20:22
Speaker 1: The Giants are selling their team off for pennies on
20:25
Speaker 1: the dock. No it's not Chad, Chad. No, no, no, no, Chad.
20:32
Speaker 1: They trade away their best defensive player in in Snacks Harrison.
20:36
Speaker 1: They trade away Eli Apple. This team is in utter disarray.
20:40
Speaker 1: You have to recognize when you're seeing a dumpster fire
20:43
Speaker 1: explode in front of your eyes. It's what's happening in
20:46
Speaker 1: New York. They're trying to tank this season. They're not
20:50
Speaker 1: winning this game. The Redskins are in first place in
20:52
Speaker 1: the NFC East. They need these wins. They're the better team. Also,
20:57
Speaker 1: they're going to be able to run the ball. Think
20:59
Speaker 1: about it. Without Harrison on that d line for the Giants,
21:03
Speaker 1: who is stopping the run? Game? For the Redskins, who's
21:05
Speaker 1: doing it? It's a pick. Let me tell you something
21:11
Speaker 1: I have the pleasure of watching a dumpster fire explode
21:17
Speaker 1: before my eyes every Thursday. I was supposed to be
21:24
Speaker 1: offended by. That is the only part of this show
21:28
Speaker 1: that's a dumpster fire is when you open your mouth.
21:32
Speaker 1: Bears last week, Bears, how you you don't let me
21:36
Speaker 1: bet the Patriots ever the best team against the spread
21:41
Speaker 1: for the last fifteen years. We can't beat him. We
21:45
Speaker 1: can't beat him. You you can bet the Patriots. I
21:49
Speaker 1: do bet them, and I did bet them last week
21:51
Speaker 1: against the I cashed the ticket and you put the
21:56
Speaker 1: one in three one and one. I don't even know
22:00
Speaker 1: why we're going to see a star is born that
22:02
Speaker 1: game with the Browns pushed. It's not like you won
22:05
Speaker 1: that game. A push is better than a loss every
22:09
Speaker 1: day of the week. Fine, fine, you want the Redskins.
22:12
Speaker 1: You want the Redskins. This is the cycle I'm talking about.
22:16
Speaker 1: It is time to get off the reds Tell me why,
22:18
Speaker 1: Tell me why the New York Giants win this game.
22:21
Speaker 1: It's time tell me why. Sometimes you feel it in
22:24
Speaker 1: your bones, I can draw it without looking because you
22:26
Speaker 1: live on field. I'm telling you right now it is
22:30
Speaker 1: time to get off the Redskins. I feel it. I
22:32
Speaker 1: bet the Redskins the past three weeks. I know when
22:37
Speaker 1: the value has been wrung out of a team, you've
22:40
Speaker 1: lost the value in this team. The Redskins were a
22:43
Speaker 1: five yard penalty away from getting that game last week,
22:46
Speaker 1: and against the Cowboys into overtime and then probably losing it.
22:50
Speaker 1: They couldn't manage even that. They can't half. They cannot
22:56
Speaker 1: score in the second, but you get big leads in
22:58
Speaker 1: the first half. They cannot score in this even if
23:01
Speaker 1: they lose to the Cowboys. The Cowboys kick the Giants
23:05
Speaker 1: teeth in. What are we talking about? The Giants aren't
23:08
Speaker 1: in either one of these teams. This isn't transitive property
23:11
Speaker 1: every week these teams are. Life is transitive. No, it's not.
23:16
Speaker 1: You are not. What are we doing here? I'll put
23:20
Speaker 1: the alright Redskins alright, Chad. Before we get to our
23:27
Speaker 1: next game, we just need to sit here for a
23:29
Speaker 1: second and talk about Keenland Racetrack. Keenland is an idyllic
23:34
Speaker 1: horse racing track right in the heart of thoroughbred country
23:37
Speaker 1: in Lexington, Kentucky. It's referred to as racing as it
23:41
Speaker 1: was meant to be. Think about what Augusta is to
23:44
Speaker 1: golf Wimbledon is to tennis, that is what Keenland is
23:48
Speaker 1: to horse racing. Their fall meat is underway and they've
23:51
Speaker 1: already awarded nine spots in the Breeders Cup after opening
23:55
Speaker 1: weekend through their stakes races on the Breeders Cup Challenge series.
24:00
Speaker 1: Keenland offers high quality racing with big pools and full
24:03
Speaker 1: fields for betters. For insight and analysis on who to
24:07
Speaker 1: bet on, you can follow at bet Keenland on Twitter
24:10
Speaker 1: for on demand content on Keenland racing. Make sure you
24:14
Speaker 1: follow expert Handy Kapper, a guy I personally trust, Jeremy Plunk.
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Speaker 1: You can also watch Keenland's racing from any location and
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Speaker 1: bet directly from your phone with keen Land select their
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Speaker 1: online betting platform. All right, Georgie, let's get the next game.
24:31
Speaker 1: Indian Necklace and Oakland Colts by three. Look it's another
24:37
Speaker 1: dumpster fire, right me? And this team has gone off
24:41
Speaker 1: the rails, which is the absolute worst time to bet
24:45
Speaker 1: a team if the logic is the Giants. But we
24:49
Speaker 1: can't go against the Giants. They're doing the same thing
24:52
Speaker 1: the Raiders are doing. The Giants are a dumpster fire,
24:56
Speaker 1: but they still have like the coach still has the
25:00
Speaker 1: team the Raiders really think the Raiders are a dumpster fire.
25:06
Speaker 1: And nobody likes John Gruden this team. John Bruten was
25:10
Speaker 1: telling people like I hadn't even told the team Marty
25:12
Speaker 1: Cooper was traded, didn't know if the trade had gone through. Ye,
25:16
Speaker 1: Cooper is practicing. Cooper is practicing with the Cowboys. Yeah,
25:23
Speaker 1: I don't want nothing to do with this game. You
25:25
Speaker 1: don't want to take Indie? All right, I'll put any down,
25:28
Speaker 1: but I'll tell you, I mean, we don't have to.
25:29
Speaker 1: We could leave it as a maybe. We've got games.
25:31
Speaker 1: Let's leave it as a maybe, because I think we
25:33
Speaker 1: got other better options. We've got a lot of better options.
25:37
Speaker 1: We got a couple coming up. What's next? San Francisco
25:42
Speaker 1: at Arizona by one nine is Cardinals pass agreed. Green
25:52
Speaker 1: Bay at Los Angeles Rams MS all day long, all days,
26:03
Speaker 1: You're going to get back door by Aaron Rodgers here.
26:05
Speaker 1: If I mean it's it's a it is just a given,
26:10
Speaker 1: no brainer. This is so the Packers. Honestly, the Rams
26:16
Speaker 1: could be ripe for an upset. Listen. I don't I
26:19
Speaker 1: don't know whether the Packers have enough to get a
26:22
Speaker 1: win here. But the bottom line is this is the
26:24
Speaker 1: healthiest Rodgers gonna be since Week one. He's off a
26:27
Speaker 1: by He's going home to southern California, where I don't
26:31
Speaker 1: think he's played before, and this is what he does. Man.
26:36
Speaker 1: The Rams may control this entire game. They may be
26:39
Speaker 1: up by fourteen to seventeen all game long, and in
26:42
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter Rogers going to toss a couple of
26:44
Speaker 1: touchdowns or lead them down for ten points, and they're
26:47
Speaker 1: gonna back door this thing. There's no way, there's no
26:50
Speaker 1: way you can lay these points. I take issue with
26:52
Speaker 1: some of your analysis. He may be from southern California,
26:55
Speaker 1: where I don't think he's played before. That has an impact,
26:59
Speaker 1: Like that's gonna mat He's going home, Man, you want
27:01
Speaker 1: to play well in front of your home ground. Talk
27:03
Speaker 1: to his family. It's probably a friends. I don't even
27:06
Speaker 1: think he's from southern California. He's from California. He's from
27:09
Speaker 1: like central California and northern You want to just do
27:12
Speaker 1: you want to break down the geography of the Golden
27:14
Speaker 1: State here if you're gonna use it as a reason
27:17
Speaker 1: why you should better. You want to show up in
27:20
Speaker 1: l A. Yeah, you want to show up because no
27:25
Speaker 1: one else does. That's a rude and overplayed line. That's
27:31
Speaker 1: just not true. You know what else is overplayed? He's
27:34
Speaker 1: going home, so that I didn't say, that's why to
27:37
Speaker 1: bet him. That wasn't the reasoning I gave was one
27:39
Speaker 1: of the reasons maybe you should listen a little more
27:41
Speaker 1: instead of maybe maybe you should only use real analysis
27:45
Speaker 1: and logic, not like I gave you real analysis. And
27:48
Speaker 1: then I added in a little bit of extra. All right,
27:50
Speaker 1: I gave you the goddamn cherry on top. You are extra.
27:53
Speaker 1: You're so extra. Everything about you is extra. I want
27:57
Speaker 1: to say, right now, let's move on, moving on New
28:03
Speaker 1: Orleans at Minnesota. Pick them. I got nothing on this.
28:10
Speaker 1: You know how I feel about the Saints. I got
28:13
Speaker 1: no read on this. This is Vikings all the way.
28:16
Speaker 1: This line is perfect. It's a pick them. It's a
28:18
Speaker 1: coin flip. Talk me into the Vikings. Tell me why
28:21
Speaker 1: we've reached peak Saints. Saints have won five in a row.
28:25
Speaker 1: Everyone thinks the Saints are the class of the NFC.
28:29
Speaker 1: People forgetting people forgetting. The Vikings defense is starting to
28:34
Speaker 1: play much much better. They're at home. They can score
28:38
Speaker 1: at will. The Saints defense is not that good. Still.
28:42
Speaker 1: Oh you mean like how I said they were going
28:43
Speaker 1: to do against the Jets last week and you didn't
28:45
Speaker 1: let me take that game either, beat the raven I
28:48
Speaker 1: think I said that they win the Ravens. I gave
28:54
Speaker 1: you one, you give me one. We're taking the Vikings.
28:58
Speaker 1: This is what game? Four? Vikings, Panthers, Redskins, Lions and
29:08
Speaker 1: who else? Hold on? Panthers, Lions, Panthers, Lions, Redskins, Vikings, No, Vikings, Packers, Skins, Lions.
29:19
Speaker 1: Um is that other one? Vikings, Panthers, Skins, Lions. Are
29:26
Speaker 1: we missing someone? No? This would be five if we
29:29
Speaker 1: give this to you, And I don't know how I
29:30
Speaker 1: feel about that, because I know what's next. I'm not
29:34
Speaker 1: betting the Patriots. And yes you are, Yes you are. Georgina.
29:39
Speaker 1: Play the damn clip New England at Buffalo. Oh boy,
29:45
Speaker 1: Patriots by thirteen and a half. Chad, don't screw this up.
29:50
Speaker 1: How many times do I have to do this? First
29:52
Speaker 1: of all, you sit here and you like to talk
29:54
Speaker 1: about the best of the number. This number is fourteen.
29:56
Speaker 1: Everywhere else we get into thirteen and a half. So
29:58
Speaker 1: that's good for us. Set it of all this, this
30:02
Speaker 1: Patriots team is doing what they do every October. They're
30:05
Speaker 1: rolling Chad, cover after cover after cover after cover. They
30:09
Speaker 1: put thirty on the board. The last four weeks they
30:12
Speaker 1: ragged all the Buffalo Bills when the Bills are having
30:15
Speaker 1: a decent year. The Bills are having an awful season
30:18
Speaker 1: even by their standards. The Patriots gonna win this game.
30:21
Speaker 1: Thirty seven seven. This is the easiest play on the board.
30:26
Speaker 1: You can't tell me Derek Anderson is hanging in this game, Chad. Okay,
30:31
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what, tell you what. I'll tell you what.
30:35
Speaker 1: We can do it. But we're kicking one off and
30:40
Speaker 1: it's not going to be the Vikings want to kick
30:41
Speaker 1: the Redskins. Yeah, alright, we'll take the Vikings and the
30:45
Speaker 1: Patriots That's what I would choose. Redskins are out. I
30:50
Speaker 1: like our choices, me too. You feel good about him?
30:56
Speaker 1: I do. I like him a lot. I think they're
30:58
Speaker 1: great choices. Agreed, This is learned. Picks here learned. So
31:05
Speaker 1: here's where we ended up. We ended up with the
31:09
Speaker 1: Panthers plus two, the Lions minus three, Packers plus nine
31:14
Speaker 1: and a half, the Vikings at pick them, the Patriots
31:19
Speaker 1: minus thirteen and a half. We are heavy heavy on
31:22
Speaker 1: the NFC North this week. Lions, Packers, Vikings. Yeah you
31:28
Speaker 1: know what I'm saying. Yeah, we need that division to
31:30
Speaker 1: come through. Let's go do the damn thing. Let's do it.
31:34
Speaker 1: Thank you. You can subscribe to this show on Apple Podcasts,
31:38
Speaker 1: Radio dot com wherever you get your podcast. Blackjack, my brother,
31:42
Speaker 1: thanks for joining me. Big week for uction. Next week
31:44
Speaker 1: we got a big day to star was born. I
31:46
Speaker 1: will see you on Monday morning with Jeff Schwartz and
31:49
Speaker 1: Paula Duca recapping the week and looking your head to
31:52
Speaker 1: our next big parlay. Until next time, go rate review
31:58
Speaker 1: so Georgina can re your reviews and subscribe