Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Strategy DESTROYS Blackrocks Plan to CONTROL Bitcoin! (WE HAVE THE PROOF) | EP 1486
Transcript
- 0:01Everybody's talking about strategy overtaking BlackRock
- 0:04and Bitcoin Holdings today, but that's not the most interesting
- 0:08part of this story. Yes, MicroStrategy bought
- 0:11another 30,000 plus coins, but there is something far more
- 0:15interesting happening today. In April 2026, we have a new
- 0:21article detailing how MSTR MicroStrategy may have single
- 0:25handedly ended the paper Bitcoin games that emerged in 2024 when
- 0:30BlackRock and Wall Street entered the space.
- 0:33Here we go guys. It's obviously huge news
- 0:37strategy now. Literally the biggest Bitcoin
- 0:39holder in the world. And he yeah, yeah.
- 0:42Here we go, hitting the horn and.
- 0:44You know, passing BlackRock, which is a huge feat, a lot of
- 0:46us didn't think it was going to be possible and sailors just
- 0:49accelerated the buys. But I'm not alone.
- 0:51I do have Nico and Kent with me today.
- 0:54So we got a packed house. So I'm going to I'm going to try
- 0:57to RIP through the source material as quickly as possible
- 0:59breakdown what what I think is very interesting.
- 1:02So here we go the the Twitter post initial post happening this
- 1:06morning. Strategy acquired another 34,164
- 1:11Bitcoin for roughly 2.54 billion dollars at a, you know, rough
- 1:17estimate of 74,000 per coin. They've achieved a Bitcoin yield
- 1:21of 9.5% year to date, and as of yesterday, they now hold 815,000
- 1:29and 61 Bitcoin acquired for roughly $61 billion at a average
- 1:36price of 75 K. It's absolutely insane.
- 1:39We've been covering just the stretch product alone in the
- 1:43last couple of days on the show. It's it's really just incredible
- 1:48how much capital is being acquired through that product
- 1:51alone. Obviously the common stock is
- 1:53not finish acquiring more Bitcoin.
- 1:55Sailor, I think is at this point kind of having that FOMO
- 2:00feeling. It's like, yo, I need to get as
- 2:01much Bitcoin as possible right now because he said it a while
- 2:05ago. You know, we're not going to be
- 2:07in a quote, crypto winter as we've seen in the past.
- 2:11And it is starting to feel that way.
- 2:13Now. Here is where it does get a
- 2:16little interesting, though. I actually, I'm going to start
- 2:18with this because this isn't the article I want to break down.
- 2:21Yeah, I'm just going to read the headline this from the block
- 2:24Sailor tweeted over the weekend on Sunday, like he always does,
- 2:27to think even bigger. So I want you guys to keep that
- 2:30in mind. Sailor is saying, you know,
- 2:32leaving us some hints on Twitter of maybe what he's thinking.
- 2:37And the tweet was simple. Think even bigger.
- 2:39Of course, they're also headlining the fact that he
- 2:42bought another 34,000 Bitcoin. It's now the largest Bitcoin
- 2:46holder in the world currently and really accelerating that
- 2:50path to a million Bitcoin. It's going to be insane.
- 2:53It's it's like I think 95% chance is going to happen like
- 2:57very soon. Obviously, I think by the end of
- 3:00the year, if I don't know if they have a polymarket bet on
- 3:03that, I I would probably take that bet right now.
- 3:06He's going to get a million by the end of this year.
- 3:07I think without a doubt, unless the Bitcoin price starts ripping
- 3:11and that is the other conversation.
- 3:13But here we go. This is where I think it gets
- 3:16very interesting and shout out to DL news because I didn't see
- 3:20a lot of people. I actually saw a few tweets
- 3:21about this basic mechanism playing out, but this article
- 3:26does a really good job of breaking it down so someone with
- 3:29a 42 IQ like myself can really understand what's going on.
- 3:32And keep in mind we've all been asking one question.
- 3:37If you're on the show, we constantly reiterate the same
- 3:39question. If we are seeing the amount of
- 3:42buying pressure that we're seeing billions of dollars, 10s
- 3:46of thousands, if not 100,000 coins going out of the market
- 3:50being bought up by these corporations, why isn't the
- 3:53price going up? The main kind of explanation
- 3:57more on the Check Matey sign is we've also seen a lot of selling
- 4:01from O GS and Wales and obviously just a very simple
- 4:05supply demand dynamic. There's more selling than
- 4:09buyers. That's why the price is going
- 4:11down. But there is a more interesting
- 4:15angle playing out on the trad fight lane and we have covered
- 4:20some of this in the back, particularly when we were
- 4:22talking about James St. you know, price manipulation, paper
- 4:25Bitcoin games. We have memes and rhetoric to
- 4:28explain this mechanism, but this article explained, I think
- 4:33exactly what's going on in a very simple way.
- 4:35So this article is titled basis trades are done dragging down
- 4:39Bitcoin price says investment advisor.
- 4:42The Bitcoin CME open interest near a 14 month low as basis
- 4:46trade unwinds and we will explain what that is.
- 4:48That's why I'm I'm reading you this one two prime Alex Bloom
- 4:51says 1 dominant buyer has changed the market structure,
- 4:56which is something I've said literally on Friday that Sailor
- 5:00may have single handedly change the trajectory of this bear
- 5:04market. And if one person can do this,
- 5:08which I've been saying for a long time, look, all it takes
- 5:11for the price of Bitcoin to really fundamentally change is
- 5:15someone with a very high conviction level wanting to buy
- 5:18a lot of Bitcoin. Obviously we've seen Sailor do
- 5:21this, but that's usually the wild card that I always say.
- 5:25It's like, look, OK, we have the Bitcoin on exchange metric, but
- 5:29something about it never really SAT well with me.
- 5:32It wasn't an airtight explanation for the Bitcoin
- 5:35price going up because I always said all it takes is someone
- 5:38with a very high conviction to want to buy Bitcoin and all of
- 5:42this goes out the window. Or the opposite.
- 5:43All it takes someone that's spooked selling a lot of Bitcoin
- 5:47literally going from cold storage to the exchange and all
- 5:50these numbers really mean nothing and now we're starting
- 5:53to see the explanation for this so here we go we're just going
- 5:57to explain it. The so-called basis traders are
- 5:58done dragging down the Bitcoin market just as one dominant
- 6:01buyer is accelerating its purchases.
- 6:03The sharp drop in futures positioning shows that what's
- 6:07known as the basis trade which weighed on the market for months
- 6:10is largely finished. Meanwhile, strategies literally
- 6:14buying like there's no tomorrow quote when directional capital
- 6:17makes a decision, it moves the price.
- 6:20The combination of one large directional you know, buyers
- 6:23systematically accumulating while hedge yield farmers exit
- 6:27is an unusual market structure. Bloom's assessment lands amid A
- 6:31striking divergent between the cryptocurrency industry at large
- 6:35and other global markets. Now here is where the
- 6:39explanation of the basis trade plays out and it goes what
- 6:41exactly has changed for the For much of the past year,
- 6:45sophisticated institutions ran what is known as the basis
- 6:48trade. The trade involves investors
- 6:50buying spot Bitcoin or the ETF or ETF shares and short futures
- 6:55contracts to earn the difference in pricing, which we've been
- 6:59talking to you guys for a long time that the institutions,
- 7:02they're not just taking a one way bet on Bitcoin, they make
- 7:05money either way. So they are as we usually say in
- 7:08layman turds, like hedging their bet.
- 7:10Yes, they'll buy spot or the ETF, but they're also making
- 7:15yield quote by you know, shorting futures contracts or
- 7:19having futures shorts in simple terms, like I said, it's a yield
- 7:22play, not a bet that bitcoins price will skyrocket anytime
- 7:26soon, but the trade unwinding is one of the key drags on the
- 7:30cryptocurrency market. What we've been watching is a
- 7:32basis unwind masquerading as a bear market.
- 7:36Open interest in CME futures, Bitcoin futures is falling under
- 7:40$10 billion, levels last seen in 2024.
- 7:44A base. This unwind means those hedge
- 7:46positions are being closed. Investors are exiting the future
- 7:50short and reducing the parrot spot exposure.
- 7:53That mechanical selling can weigh on price even if sentiment
- 7:57is not collapsing. And we've been watching this on
- 8:00the show. We're all sitting here like,
- 8:01yeah, we're all kind of demoralized.
- 8:03It's like, OK, the bear market, how low we're going to go.
- 8:05But the news that we've been covering on the show, it's
- 8:08probably been the most bullish bear market period.
- 8:12And there has been a mismatch here where we're like, ma'am,
- 8:14we're getting the best news possible around Bitcoin and yet
- 8:18the price isn't doing anything. What exactly is going on?
- 8:21I think this is literally pinpointing exactly what's going
- 8:25on. And it does have to do with
- 8:26Sailor buying a bunch, which we've been covering, and the
- 8:30quote paper Bitcoin games being played by Trad 5.
- 8:33Anyways, going further, a little more it goes.
- 8:34Bloom argues that phase is largely complete.
- 8:38Futures open, interest is down sharply.
- 8:40Perpetual funding rates, payments between traders and
- 8:42leveraged crypto contracts have hovered slightly negative.
- 8:45That suggests many traders are leaning short and paying to hold
- 8:50bearish bets. At the same time, though,
- 8:52strategy is buying like there's no tomorrow.
- 8:56Blue is calling this a structural bid at scale.
- 8:58In other words, one large buyer is accumulating tokens
- 9:02consistently while hedge funds step back.
- 9:06It has real implications for how the next leg of price discovery
- 9:09develops. I don't know, guys, it's a
- 9:13Monday morning. We can't get too bullish here.
- 9:16But we are seeing some interesting stuff on the back
- 9:19end. As you know, maybe I'm taking a
- 9:20stretch here as Wall Street starts to figure out what it
- 9:24means to hold the scarcest acid in the market yet for a short
- 9:29period. You can do this trade stuff and,
- 9:31you know, you can be a trader. But we might be seeing the fork
- 9:35in the road where the institution start to catch on
- 9:37what, on what sailors actually doing and realizing, wait,
- 9:40actually, maybe the yield play we're doing to just, you know,
- 9:45get a little money on top of it. Maybe that's not the smartest
- 9:48move if this is exactly what we think it is, which is the most
- 9:52scarce money in the world. So when true scarcity meets the
- 9:54trading game, true scarcity is going to win.
- 9:58Now to add on this, and I actually, I might need cat to
- 10:00explain this 'cause I, I know what the words are saying, but
- 10:03I, I literally couldn't wrap my head and I, I DM Luke this
- 10:05morning. I'm like, what is what does this
- 10:07even mean? He's like, I truly don't even
- 10:09understand. But anyway, Fong Lee tweeted
- 10:11this morning and he goes in one week strategy increased Bitcoin
- 10:14gain by 82% to $4.97 billion for this year.
- 10:19This reflects the reflexive power of combining appreciating
- 10:23Bitcoin or digital capital capital with accretive financing
- 10:27digital credit. I again, I I don't know, this is
- 10:30this is above my pay grade. This is using Wall Street terms.
- 10:34I'm like, hey, it makes sense sort of.
- 10:36I know what the words mean, but I can't really explain what this
- 10:39sentence is. All right, on that note, let's
- 10:41just look at the numbers here and then I'll pass it on so we
- 10:45can see Bitcoin treasuries.net. This is the updated numbers.
- 10:48Strategy, again currently holds 815,000 and 61 Bitcoin, the
- 10:54clear lead in the Bitcoin treasury game.
- 10:57But as I was saying on Friday, the real interesting play is
- 11:01going to be 1 Strategy surpasses BlackRock.
- 11:05BlackRock came in, they're obviously one of the biggest
- 11:08hedge funds in the world, asset managers in the world, and they
- 11:11came out strong and acquired a lot of Bitcoin.
- 11:15And I know when we were talking about this, excuse me,
- 11:17initially, we're like, oh man, Wall Street's coming in,
- 11:19controlling the price of Bitcoin.
- 11:21They're trying to corner the market.
- 11:23Like are we really that happy that institutions came in number
- 11:27isn't going up, they're playing paper Bitcoin games like maybe
- 11:31be careful what you wish for. Well, now it looks like a
- 11:34bitcoiner, a true Bitcoiner now holds more Bitcoin than
- 11:38BlackRock because we all obviously don't really trust
- 11:41BlackRock. But here's Blackrock's Bitcoin
- 11:43trust and they currently hold 802,823 bitcoins.
- 11:48So I think what in Fiat terms Sailor holds about 15 billion
- 11:54more. Let me let me double check this
- 11:55Sailor has about I think it's 75 billion in Bitcoin holdings and
- 12:02oh sorry, maybe it's 5 billion. All right, where is this 60
- 12:07billion, 72 billion? OK, anyways, Sailor leaving
- 12:12BlackRock now do we feel a little better now than a
- 12:15Bitcoiner? And hey, maybe you guys don't
- 12:16think Sailor's a real Bitcoiner, but he's a Bitcoiner.
- 12:19Now we have a real Bitcoiner in Wall Street doing better than
- 12:25the biggest asset manager, which I think they've been playing a
- 12:28lot of paper Bitcoin games since they entered the market.
- 12:30Now it seems like maybe we are starting to see what Sailor said
- 12:36last week. There's a delay between when we
- 12:38buy Bitcoin and when the price goes up.
- 12:41We might be coming to that end point and it might mean the bear
- 12:45market isn't going to last as long as we thought it was going
- 12:47to be, which this is probably where I start dunking on my boy
- 12:50over here. You know Nico keeps saying
- 12:52October is when the bear market officially ends it might happen
- 12:56a little sooner got all I'm saying is I'm starting to feel a
- 12:59little bullish here I don't know man the signs are looking well
- 13:03the the TA astrology is looking pretty good too Nico so.
- 13:07Yeah, I mean, look, like, first of all, Sailor has had his
- 13:13sights on this since BlackRock entered the game.
- 13:17And I remember vividly, and it was like this like competition.
- 13:22And I was like, and I was telling Opti, and it was a
- 13:24couple years ago and Opti, I'm sure you remember, I was like,
- 13:27Black Rock's going for that top slot.
- 13:29Black Rock's going for that top slot.
- 13:31And it's crazy. A couple years later, I know
- 13:34it's different because Black Rock again they're holding
- 13:37Bitcoin on behalf of their clients versus strategy has a
- 13:41different strategy, no pun intended.
- 13:43But I think Saylor in his mind, he wants to be the the top dog
- 13:50champion of Bitcoin holdings and today he achieved that.
- 13:55So what this means for the upcoming bull market, once the
- 13:59price action starts to pick up again and I know we're on an up
- 14:03on an uptrend right now, this means that I think strategy for
- 14:09the next bull run is going to RIP like crazy.
- 14:12Because if you look at strategy stock price when it had the all
- 14:17time high, I think it was like a for the four hundred $500
- 14:21region. I'll double check, I forget the
- 14:22day. But the four $500 region, it had
- 14:26significantly less Bitcoin, Yeah, and it also didn't have
- 14:31this stretch product that has been.
- 14:33NN24. That has been basically success
- 14:40is putting it lightly. I'll put it I'll I'll put it
- 14:43like that, like the stretch product is truly and I I'm I'm
- 14:47saying this over and over again. We were we were one of the first
- 14:50to say this. It could be the iPhone moment
- 14:54for the financial markets powered by Bitcoin, right?
- 14:59Like it is an all it is a game changer for the fixed income
- 15:04markets because we've all seen the chart of bitcoins total
- 15:08addressable market. We've all seen it the 400
- 15:11trillion and then there's this little, you know, blip of of
- 15:14which Bitcoin is and you're like, wow, you know, Bitcoin's
- 15:17just getting started. What Sailor figured out is that
- 15:22that $400 trillion total addressable market, you need to
- 15:27create different products to tap into those different pools of
- 15:31capital. You're not going to be able to
- 15:34tap into the fixed income pool of capital unless you release a
- 15:39product specifically for that market.
- 15:42And that's exactly what Sailor has done with Stretch.
- 15:46And then of course, if you want to take a more risky approach,
- 15:50if you want the volatility, if you're not interested in just
- 15:54the fixed, you know that that fixed return, which of course
- 15:58isn't guaranteed, you go with the strategy stock, right, which
- 16:02again has more risk, but it also has more upside.
- 16:06So Sailor right now is positioning himself and his
- 16:11company to be one of the most the powerhouses of the next
- 16:16decade. It's undisputed.
- 16:18And there's a little bit of a hint of that, right?
- 16:21Sailor posted the other day. He says you have a car that
- 16:25drives you. What was the other thing?
- 16:27You have a car that drives you. I I forget I'll find it.
- 16:29I know what tweet you're talking.
- 16:30About so he's like, you have a car that drive that drives you
- 16:33and this is an acid that pays you and you have a car that
- 16:37drives you, which of course he's referencing Tesla, right?
- 16:40And the Tesla's undisputed advantage that it has, if you've
- 16:44ever been in a Tesla, you've turned on full self driving.
- 16:48The car literally drives itself. And now that they're getting
- 16:50into robotics, right? And then he actually, that's the
- 16:53other thing he mentioned. He mentioned the robotics part.
- 16:55Absolutely. Got it.
- 16:56Read it. You pulled it up.
- 16:58Yeah, yeah. So this is the tip.
- 17:00He says the three perfect products, the first two, he's
- 17:04referencing Elon. Now.
- 17:05This is a quite an interesting reference.
- 17:07And I'll give you guys a little bit of inside baseball.
- 17:10I remember when I was able to go to Sailor's house and we were
- 17:15like kind of a conversation. Elon got brought up in that
- 17:18conversation. I remember he, he, he was
- 17:20talking about it and this is like a perfect reference to
- 17:24this. So he says there's three perfect
- 17:26products. There's three perfect products.
- 17:28A car that drives you, a robot that serves you right.
- 17:34Again, that's alluding to Tesla's pivot where they
- 17:37discontinued the Model X and the Model S to open that factory
- 17:42bandwidth to make robots, right? Autonomous robots.
- 17:45Again, this is going to replace a lot of the workforce, or at
- 17:49least that's the theory, right? And again, no pun intended, the
- 17:53name of the robot is called Optimus.
- 17:55It'll never be me though. Actually it might be better than
- 17:58me another way. Which is, which is hilarious.
- 18:01And then the last part, of course, he's referencing himself
- 18:05and he's referencing his product and his company.
- 18:08So it's a car that drives you, a robot that serves you.
- 18:11Those first two are Tesla and #3 an asset that pays you.
- 18:16Now, I did mention Tesla for two reasons.
- 18:19First of all, of course, Saylor explaining the perfect products.
- 18:23But guys, out of the MAG 7, you know one of the only companies
- 18:27in the Mag Seven that owns Bitcoin, it's Tesla, right?
- 18:31They hold about 10,000. And they haven't sold any too
- 18:34and. They haven't.
- 18:34No, they they did they, they. Had one, they did that one.
- 18:37Initially but then when they got comfortable with it they are
- 18:40huddling. This and also there's rumors
- 18:42that Elon has a personal stack of Bitcoin as well and his kids.
- 18:47Have huge stack too. Elon was in the room when the
- 18:51Bitcoin, the strategic Bitcoin Reserve executive order was
- 18:55signed by Trump. Howard Lopnik was to Trump's
- 18:59right and Elon was to Trump's left.
- 19:02So again, just connect the dots here.
- 19:04We, we, we lay out the information, we lay out the
- 19:06source material. We try to connect the dots for
- 19:09you guys this next cycle. It is looking for it.
- 19:13It, it looks like it's we're ready for blast off.
- 19:16And before we went on air, Kent and I were talking, we were, we
- 19:20were talking on air before we, we, we sent the show live.
- 19:24And Kent, you were essentially talking, you were making the
- 19:26case that the last two cycles we saw like kind of like this, like
- 19:31muted price action, right? So could you elaborate a little
- 19:34bit about what you meant by that?
- 19:37Oh yeah, I I also am glad you brought up that tweet.
- 19:40I'm going to elaborate in just one second, but that tweet, it,
- 19:43it, it, it sort of is validating for a thesis I've had, which is
- 19:47basically sailor and is competing with Elon for God,
- 19:50King of planet Earth. At least that's how we see them
- 19:53both going and it's great. I mean, we love competition.
- 19:57But what I was alluding to was that, you know, from my vantage
- 20:01point since the ETFs launch and even before then is
- 20:03institutional capital started to sniff around.
- 20:06We needed to go through a time period where Bitcoin digested
- 20:10Wall Street. And I think a lot of Wall Street
- 20:12confused that the other way around and thought that they
- 20:14were digesting Bitcoin. But here's here's what you can
- 20:18now see playing out, which gets me.
- 20:21Rabidly bullish. I'm, I'm not drooling, but I,
- 20:24I'm quite bullish after seeing this news today, which is that
- 20:29just as like the pleb journey, the retail buyers, they set the
- 20:33bid at the bottom of the market every single cycle and they're
- 20:36just constant buying cause the price to grind through all the
- 20:39shorts out there. Basically sailor is the the
- 20:43buyer we needed but didn't deserve it looks now and I I'm
- 20:48not going to paint him as some some hero, but he was an actual
- 20:51bitcoiner that understood the scarcity and played with big boy
- 20:54capital in the markets and he's continuing to buy now now
- 21:00appears to be chewing through the Wall Street games and that's
- 21:05incredible for us because we have one of us in the chair with
- 21:09big boy capital able to do that and buy with conviction.
- 21:13So to me, the fact that you now see like basically, like there's
- 21:16been this massive lid through all these financialization
- 21:19products that have been sitting on top of Bitcoin's price with
- 21:22the UTF. And you can see as they're
- 21:24unwinding because they can't handle the risk with absolute
- 21:28scarcity that Bitcoin brings to the market because he's sitting
- 21:31there gobbling up this Bitcoin and taking it off and storing it
- 21:34for his own. And that is how you defeat the
- 21:37financialization games that could be played with other
- 21:40products, including gold, right? Because you couldn't actually
- 21:43say all the gold to make sure that all the gold is where it's
- 21:46said to have been with Bitcoin, when it's pulled out of the the
- 21:51game, it's out of the game. You can no longer buy Bitcoin to
- 21:54short Bitcoin. You know, you can't play these
- 21:56financial games. And so Bitcoin or Sailor, excuse
- 21:59me, has been playing the game, playing Wall Street against
- 22:03itself is what I see. So, I mean, the man's going to
- 22:06come out looking like a genius when it's all said and done.
- 22:08As long as he doesn't get too far out over his fees and puke
- 22:12out all his Bitcoin again because he got too levered up,
- 22:14which I still have some concern about.
- 22:17But as long as he can play the game the way it's currently
- 22:19going, like, yeah, it looks like he's got the lever to really
- 22:23move the markets here. 100% and there's a couple things that you
- 22:26touched on, right, which is this concept and and there's Max
- 22:30Keiser who originally coined the term, right, which is you don't
- 22:33change Bitcoin, Bitcoin changes you.
- 22:35And I think Wall Street had this, you know, again, going in
- 22:39there playing the Wall Street games, which they could with
- 22:42gold, right? And the reason they could with
- 22:44gold is because gold is scarce. But ultimately, if you see the
- 22:50price of gold, the inflation rate of gold is relatively
- 22:53stable. And the reason for that is if
- 22:55the price of gold goes up, then the economic incentive to again,
- 23:00roll out more gold mines, right? It, it, it, it, it just, it
- 23:05creates that economic incentive. So more people start mining
- 23:08gold. So it has a relatively stable
- 23:11inflation rate. Also, it's very hard to verify
- 23:15how much gold there actively exists in the market in the
- 23:19world. It's very hard to verify that
- 23:21with Bitcoin. Bitcoin's in stark contrast, we
- 23:24know that there's 21 million. So you could only play these
- 23:27paper games so far. We actually played a clip by
- 23:30Larry Leopard last week touching on this point exactly.
- 23:34These paper games, they kind of function as A2 edged sword,
- 23:38right? It's like you could play them
- 23:40until people realize, wait a second, why is there 25,000,000
- 23:45Bitcoin? And then that's when you see
- 23:47this crazy explosion to the upside.
- 23:50So I think Sailor essentially Trojan horsed Wall Street and
- 23:54then Wall Street came in there couldn't resist Bitcoins
- 23:57incentives, which again, Alex Gladstein predicted many years
- 24:01ago in this very famous article called Bitcoin is a Trojan horse
- 24:05for freedom where he was making the case that institution, this
- 24:08is by the way, this is before the ETF.
- 24:10This was before Sailor, this is before all nations, States and
- 24:14any of that. He was making the case that
- 24:16Bitcoin is going to be so irresistible to institutions, to
- 24:21companies, to nation states that they inevitably were going to
- 24:25let the Trojan horse in. But what they didn't realize is
- 24:29that number go up, technology and freedom go up.
- 24:32Technology are inextricably linked, right?
- 24:35And I think this is the big reason as to why the Elizabeth
- 24:39Warren camp, which fundamentally believe that the future of money
- 24:42are central bank digital currencies, were so starchly
- 24:46against the Genius Act or the Clarity Act.
- 24:51Because they know that once Bitcoin is integrated into the
- 24:55traditional financial system with the incentives that Bitcoin
- 24:58provides, it's going to be very difficult for banks.
- 25:03By the way, last week we've been making this announcement.
- 25:06The Morgan Stanley head of digital assets, who's going to
- 25:09be making an appearance at the Bitcoin conference, went on
- 25:13legacy financial TV and said this has been the most
- 25:16successful ETF launch in Morgan Stanleys history.
- 25:20Simultaneously, Citibank is making the announcement.
- 25:23Hey guys, we are going to be custodying Bitcoin on behalf of
- 25:28her clients simultaneously, Schwab, Schwab, right, the
- 25:33brokerage that initially denied Opti because he didn't have a
- 25:37certain amount of money to open an account released an
- 25:40educational video on Bitcoin this morning because they're
- 25:46getting prepared for launching their spot Bitcoin trading on
- 25:51the Schwab platform, right? So if you connect all these
- 25:54pieces together, ladies and gentlemen, Wall Street isn't
- 25:58just here. They're actively making products
- 26:02on top of Bitcoin. But what I don't think they
- 26:05realize, and ultimately I don't think they're going to care is
- 26:09that they're let they're, they're, they're changing the
- 26:12system from within because of the incentives provided by
- 26:16Bitcoin. But unlike the Fiat system that
- 26:19has a misaligned incentive structure, it's going to be very
- 26:24different. And I think it's going to be
- 26:26very, it's going to be very surprising for people once they
- 26:30come to this realization. And again, Max Keiser has also
- 26:33talked about this, that Wall Street can win, strategy can win
- 26:39strategy, can accumulate a million Bitcoin.
- 26:42But ultimately, if you're a holder of spot Bitcoin, you're
- 26:47benefiting from all of this just like these, the rest of these
- 26:51institutions from a percentage basis.
- 26:55And that is in stark contrast with everything else Wall Street
- 26:58has done in the past. And I don't, I don't necessarily
- 27:01believe that it's this grand conspiracy that Wall Street is
- 27:05doing this on purpose that, you know, the rich are getting
- 27:07richer and the poor are getting poorer.
- 27:09It's just the very architecture of the system itself.
- 27:12It's the Fiat system, it's the debt based system that results
- 27:16in that outcome. So Bitcoin is again integrating
- 27:21itself into Wall Street. It's changing Wall Street from
- 27:25within. Wall Street thinks it could
- 27:27change Bitcoin, but ultimately it's going to be Bitcoin that
- 27:30changes Wall Street. And it's and all the people that
- 27:33are spot bitcoiners, cypherpunks and they're like, Nico, why are
- 27:35we talking about what Bitcoin? Why are we, I mean, why are we
- 27:38talking about Wall Street? Why are we talking about
- 27:39strategy? I think a lot of people are
- 27:41going to be pleasantly surprised when they realize, wait a second
- 27:46and we've already seen little, we've already seen evidence of
- 27:49this when Larry Fink is at Davos literally talking about at the
- 27:54Davos desk with the snow in the back on CNNBC.
- 27:56And he's literally talking about, you know, how Bitcoin is
- 28:00a quote non sovereign alternative that those are Black
- 28:03Rock's words. Those aren't my words.
- 28:05Those aren't simply bitcoins words, right?
- 28:07And why is Larry Fink doing this?
- 28:09Why is Morgan Stanley doing this?
- 28:10Why is Citibank doing this? Because they all think that
- 28:14they're going to benefit from number go up simultaneously.
- 28:17The the holders, the plebs, the people that got in earlier, the
- 28:21people that got to the people that don't have as much capital,
- 28:23the people that got into Bitcoin because they saw it and as as an
- 28:26escape valve, right? They're going to benefit equally
- 28:30from from a percentage basis as these large institutions as
- 28:35number go up does its thing. And that's the revolution.
- 28:39That is the revolution, ladies and gentlemen, you're seeing it
- 28:42play out in real time. And going back to Trump, because
- 28:45we were giving a lot of heat to Trump, you know, over the last
- 28:49couple of weeks, there's a lot of decisions that he's made that
- 28:52we might not necessarily agree with.
- 28:54Ultimately, this previous election had a huge consequence.
- 28:59It had a massive, massive, massive consequence, and that
- 29:02consequence was that Bitcoin went from being an enemy of the
- 29:07previous administration to now being integrated to the current
- 29:12administration. You have Howard Lopnik, who's a
- 29:15bitcoiner. You have Trump's family.
- 29:17The president's son is going to be making an appearance at the
- 29:20Bitcoin conference. Despite even if the Democrats
- 29:24win the presidency in 2028. I think it's impossible to
- 29:30reverse all of this because that's at least another two
- 29:33years of Bitcoin benefiting Wall Street.
- 29:37And ladies and gentlemen, if you know anything about American
- 29:39politics, it's really Wall Street that makes the rules.
- 29:42Remember, guys, the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF.
- 29:46Despite Gary Gensler dragging his feet, despite the protests
- 29:51of Elizabeth Warren, despite Biden being in office, the
- 29:56Bitcoin ETF was launched during Operation choke .2 point O.
- 30:02That tells you how much influence BlackRock has.
- 30:06So despite all the ideological reasons, despite or whatever
- 30:09they cannot resist number go up technology.
- 30:14So this is a revolution. This is a transformation of the
- 30:17United States financial system and Bitcoin is the foundational
- 30:22base layer of all of these things and I completely agree
- 30:26with Kent and I also agree with Opti.
- 30:28I think that these paper games are going to blow up to the
- 30:34other direction because again, there's only 21 million Bitcoin.
- 30:38Eventually people are going to realize, hey, wait a second, why
- 30:41is there 25, right? And I think that is going to be
- 30:44the major catalyst for an explosion to the upside.
- 30:47Last thing I'll say because I've been rambling and I want to hear
- 30:50more of Ken's thoughts, is I don't think the markets have
- 30:54realized bitcoins absolute scarcity.
- 30:58I don't think they've come to that understanding yet.
- 31:01I think the moment markets sniff and they come to the realization
- 31:06that wait a second, this is the only asset in the entire planet
- 31:10that no matter what they can't make more of.
- 31:14And not only that, because of the halving cycles, the amount
- 31:19of the amount mined per having actually decreases.
- 31:24I think you're going to see fireworks the likes of which
- 31:27we've never seen before the the infamous, and I call it infamous
- 31:30because it was called too early Omega candle of 100 Ki.
- 31:35Think we're going to see that sooner rather than later.
- 31:38Now, does that mean it's going to happen this year or the year
- 31:42after? No, but I wouldn't be surprised
- 31:45if we saw it within a decade, right?
- 31:47Within this decade, I would not be surprised if we saw $100,000
- 31:51price movement in a day, right? It's that type of setup that is
- 31:57forming right now, that type of foundation, right?
- 32:00Anyways, Kent, I want to get your thoughts.
- 32:01Am IA crazy, man? Am I seeing things that are not
- 32:04there? You're a minor man.
- 32:05So I talked, I talked to like touched a little bit on the
- 32:08halving and how that plays into the scarcity aspect of Bitcoin.
- 32:12What are your thoughts, Kent? No, I'm, I'm on your train man.
- 32:15I'm I'm riding the ride with you bro.
- 32:17The the setup here is really crazy when I look at it I mean
- 32:21today right 450 Bitcoin are mined per day that is protocol
- 32:25limited can't change it. It is what it is every 1010
- 32:29minutes a new block is mined 3.125 Bitcoin plus transaction
- 32:33fees are the reward. So if you look at it, 450
- 32:36Bitcoin per day and what was the last purchase like almost 10,000
- 32:40Bitcoin that Sailor did and that was the week after this, you
- 32:44know, 20,000. I mean, it's insane how much
- 32:47supply is being gobbled up. Much more than can be produced.
- 32:50And guess what 2028 is when the having happens.
- 32:54And when that happens, 225 Bitcoin per day are going to be
- 32:57produced. So the rates and the numbers
- 32:59just don't match up. And Wall Street has never dealt
- 33:02with anything that is absolutely purely scarce.
- 33:06Humanity has never dealt with anything is absolutely scarce.
- 33:09Everything that is out on our planet that can be produced and
- 33:14used as a monetary good, as the price goes up, you can go out
- 33:18there and figure out how to get more of it, right?
- 33:20Like this is the first time in human history that we've ever
- 33:22had to wrestle with digital absolute scarcity.
- 33:25And so as a result, I don't think the markets could price
- 33:27this in. I think we're on a price
- 33:29discovery journey with it. And I think that if you look at
- 33:32the last two cycles as basically institutions coming in, starting
- 33:35to play derivative games with Bitcoin re hypothecation, I
- 33:40think that we've been digesting Wall Street sentiment.
- 33:42And I do agree with you. And I think it's sooner than
- 33:45later, not in the next year, a year and a half.
- 33:47But I would not be surprised if like what we're talking about
- 33:50here is like phase shift Monday where we're going to see a shift
- 33:55at some point where people are just going to breakthrough and
- 33:57start buying. Like, let me give you guys some
- 33:59numbers that I, I talked about in one of my presentations,
- 34:01right? Global M2 right now is $110
- 34:04trillion. Global M2 is liquid capital,
- 34:08liquid capital, right? This isn't stuff that's stored
- 34:10away in assets. This is just the money that's on
- 34:13the market. And when they quote that number,
- 34:14guess what? They also don't call count
- 34:17smaller developing nations when they talk about global M2.
- 34:20It's, it's the major economies, $110 trillion.
- 34:23If you look at Bitcoin right now on exchange and you multiply out
- 34:27that there's about 2.2 million on exchange and you multiply
- 34:30that by 75,000 about the price of today.
- 34:33Guess what, it's not even a fraction of global M2.
- 34:37And that's like stage 1 of global adoption.
- 34:41So it is quite likely in my opinion that and it's part of
- 34:44what I'm building for here at SAS Mining is that there will
- 34:48come a point where you can't go to an exchange and buy Bitcoin.
- 34:51You're going to have to figure out way to earn Bitcoin and
- 34:53that's going to be a radical different reality because
- 34:56absolute scarcity is going to kick in at that point and people
- 34:58are going to price their goods and services to be able to
- 35:01extract the Bitcoin from the people that have it.
- 35:05And, and then medium of exchange comes after that.
- 35:07But we've got so much free floating Fiat capital that's out
- 35:12there that is going to eventually wake up and realize
- 35:15it wants Bitcoin that I don't see how anything can happen
- 35:19other than a dramatic step change in the price when it
- 35:22does. Supply and demand are just not
- 35:25going to meet at all in that moment and price is going to
- 35:27radically adjust. And does that make it the Omega
- 35:29$100,000 candle? Probably.
- 35:32I mean, I don't even know what reality looks like.
- 35:34But I, I will say, for all of our sake, we want this to go
- 35:37more gradual than slowly because our financial markets need to,
- 35:40to adapt for all of our health and, and benefit, right?
- 35:43If there's a sharp break, I guess it's going to be chaotic
- 35:46in a way that I don't think any of us are really going to be
- 35:48happy about. And frankly, most of us
- 35:50Bitcoiners are going to want to duck and cover a little bit to
- 35:52stay out of the limelight when that happens.
- 35:54So let's hope that doesn't happen, and let's hope we have a
- 35:57a nice slow, gradual gift from a Fiat to Bitcoin.
- 36:03Absolutely 100% agree with you Opti.
- 36:06Thoughts. Yeah, no, I mean, I, I
- 36:09completely agree. And I really like the phase
- 36:12shift Monday. The we might, we might be a
- 36:13little too early to call it phase shift Monday today, but
- 36:16we'll, we'll, we'll try to keep that going.
- 36:18It does seem though like it, it's happened a lot slower than
- 36:22we probably imagined it was going to.
- 36:25And that's kind of how it always works with those bit corners
- 36:27like we're living in the future and we think things are
- 36:29happening very fast because we're watching all of the news
- 36:32play out. But in the day-to-day it, it
- 36:35seems like it takes forever. But I think what we are seeing
- 36:40and it will take a little more time is I, I think Sailor is
- 36:43literally put putting on a master class right now.
- 36:46And I know a lot of people have turned a little negative on
- 36:50Sailor recently because he's talking to a more corporate Wall
- 36:54Street kind of audience at this point.
- 36:56He's doing the orange pill in terms that they understand and
- 37:01he might have just pulled off the biggest Trojan horse on them
- 37:03where they think they're like Ken said, they think they're
- 37:05coming in here and they're going to control Bitcoin.
- 37:08In reality, it seems like maybe sailor sigh up them into bump
- 37:12pumping his bags and he is going for the God king role right now.
- 37:16So very interesting time to say the least.
- 37:18Obviously, it could be just because the price is feeling a
- 37:21little frothy that even Nico's starting to feel a little
- 37:23bullish. But man, it is a very
- 37:26interesting time right now if you're watching not just the
- 37:29Bitcoin price, the global markets, the amount of interest
- 37:32coming into Bitcoin, the amount of news that is playing out
- 37:35around Bitcoin. It's it's going, I think it's
- 37:38going to end up being a very interesting year.
- 37:40And we're probably all going to be a lot happier by 2027.
- 37:44We're like, OK, we're back guys. And I'm with Kent.
- 37:47I would love to see this cycle blow every other cycle out of
- 37:51the water because the last two cycles have been very
- 37:54disappointing. And I know a lot of people are
- 37:55like, man, I missed all the gains in Bitcoin.
- 37:58Why would I want to buy Bitcoin if it's only going to go up 20?
- 38:01You know what, I forget what the last cycle.
- 38:03It's all if it's only going to go up about a 6X, what's the
- 38:06point in this? It might, this might be a crazy,
- 38:09crazy bull run. It really feels like it's the
- 38:12gradually then suddenly mean playing out.
- 38:14And that gradual could play out longer than we expect.
- 38:18But when that suddenly comes, we're all going to be very happy
- 38:21that we were huddling and holding Bitcoin and and, you
- 38:23know, feeling like idiots for at this point, what, five years?
- 38:28But hey, it's still coming, guys.
- 38:30Absolutely, I I 100% agree guys, it's going to be a fantastic
- 38:34show. We have tons to cover.
- 38:36We have updates 0600 live viewers on YouTube alone.
- 38:39That's air horns. So anyone who's watching the
- 38:47show smash that like button, consider subscribing to some of
- 38:49the Bitcoin and stay tuned because we still have a hell of
- 38:52a show for you guys. We're going to be talking about
- 38:55wild sats later. We're going to be talking about
- 38:57the Clarity Act. We have a Roman Storm update on
- 39:01mixers, so regulatory update. And also Matt Hogan, he's
- 39:06dropping the price predictions again.
- 39:08He's calling for 1,000,000 price predictions back on the table,
- 39:11$1 million Bitcoin and he's and he describes what the catalyst
- 39:15is going to be. So all that again extremely
- 39:18interesting. You guys are going to want to
- 39:20stay tuned. We're going to be right back in
- 39:22just a SEC. Today's episode is brought to
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- 41:36Hi everybody, we are back At the time of recording, the Bitcoin
- 41:39price is $75,780 sats per dollar 1320 block height 945,949
- 41:48Realized monetary inflation .83% market cap 1.5 trillion Bitcoin
- 41:53versus gold market cap 5.05% percentage issued 95.32% decline
- 42:00from all time high. If you're buying Bitcoin right
- 42:01now, you're getting it at a 39% discount, so it's probably a
- 42:06good idea to smash that like button.
- 42:09Anyways, I don't want to delay it anymore.
- 42:11Here's Matt Hogan talking about $1,000,000 Bitcoin.
- 42:17Once again, Matt Hogan is the CIO of Bitwise Asset Management.
- 42:22Let's check out the clip. Put it that way, you mentioned a
- 42:26$1 million Bitcoin. Talk to me a little bit about
- 42:29timeline there or what needs to happen for us to get to a $1
- 42:32million Bitcoin? Floor.
- 42:34Yeah. I mean, you know what we talked
- 42:35about in our long term capital market assumptions is that all
- 42:38you need to get to $1,000,000 Bitcoin is for the store value
- 42:42market to continue to grow the way it's been growing for the
- 42:46last 20 years. That market has grown at a 12%
- 42:48CAGR for the last 20 years. If that continues for the next
- 42:5210 years and Bitcoin ends up with like 1517% of the market,
- 42:57it's at 6% today, you're talking about $1,000,000 Bitcoin.
- 43:00So you don't need much to get there over a 10 year period.
- 43:04In terms of what could accelerate that time frame,
- 43:07things like what happened recently where Bitcoin as a
- 43:10currency find space in the world could significantly accelerate
- 43:15that progress on the regulatory front.
- 43:17If we do get good news on the Clarity Act, that would
- 43:20significantly accelerate that. But I don't think that much has
- 43:24to happen in order for us to get to that billion dollar price
- 43:27target within 10 years. Again, just the market continues
- 43:31to need to go in the direction it's been going for the last 10
- 43:34years. You extrapolate that trend, I
- 43:36think we'll get there. I mean, what do you think Opti?
- 43:43I think 1,000,000 in 10 years is bearish.
- 43:47No, no, no, I'm, I'm kind of trolling, but I think this
- 43:52framing, well, first of all, you know, I think I think it is a
- 43:56little, a little early and maybe that's just like a, a general
- 44:01summary of where we are in the markets.
- 44:03Like we, we are starting to feel a little better about the price.
- 44:05Now, obviously that is this week, this is this Monday, this
- 44:09is on phase shift Monday, but who knows, next week maybe Trump
- 44:13tweets something and the markets get naked again.
- 44:15So in the, in the current moment, with that in context, I
- 44:19really like this framing in, in terms of it's really not that
- 44:23insane when you think about it. Like obviously in the early
- 44:28days, I remember when I got into Bitcoin in 2017, 100K was like,
- 44:33it might get to 100K one day. It's going to get there, but all
- 44:36of these things need to play out for it to get there.
- 44:39And then we hit 100K. We all knew it was going to get
- 44:41there, but it was still a big like if, like if, if this
- 44:45catches on, we're going to go there.
- 44:47Now. If you really read the context
- 44:49here, kind of like between the lines, I don't think any of us
- 44:53here in Bitcoin, if you understand what's going on
- 44:55currently. Like if you're taking the
- 44:57initial news story, if you're taking all of the big news that
- 45:00we've been covering in the last few weeks that literally every
- 45:02bank, hedge fund asset manager, even states or, you know, sorry,
- 45:07nation States and countries in the world, they're no longer
- 45:11looking at Bitcoin like it's this dumb thing that's going to
- 45:14go away. They're they're starting to
- 45:16actively research Bitcoin in a way that it's never been treated
- 45:19before, in a way where it's like, I have to own this thing.
- 45:23So with that in mind, the, this idea now it's like, look, not
- 45:26that much has to happen for Bitcoin to 10X here.
- 45:30Well, all right, I'm, I'm using the 100K line.
- 45:32Basically, you know, 10X from 100K is 1,000,000.
- 45:36It's like, not it, It's not as crazy as it sounds.
- 45:40Unless you're someone that's kind of still new to Bitcoin,
- 45:42you're like, oh, this thing could never go that high.
- 45:44They, they just really don't understand how Bitcoin moves.
- 45:47Maybe they have this idea that, oh, you know, the bigger the
- 45:51market cap, the harder it is for the, for Bitcoin to move up at
- 45:55these crazy exponentials. But when you put in the context,
- 45:58especially if you consider what's going on with stretch
- 46:01here, it's not that much capital from the in the context of the
- 46:06global liquidity pools in, in the context of all of the
- 46:09capital in the world, all of the money in the world, just to put
- 46:12it nicely, it's not that much for Bitcoin to make crazy moves,
- 46:17especially if your time frame is what, 6-6 years, the whole year,
- 46:22But. It but it's not only that,
- 46:24right? It's like if you take a look at
- 46:27how much stretches buying weekly.
- 46:30They're. Buying more of the weekly mine
- 46:34supply and that's just stretch. That's not talking about
- 46:38BlackRock, that's not talking about the sovereign wealth
- 46:40funds, that's not talking about anyone.
- 46:42That's just one product, right. So this goes back to what I was
- 46:47talking about earlier. I don't believe Wall Street has
- 46:50woken up to the realization that Bitcoin is truly absolutely
- 46:57scarce. And I think once that
- 46:59realization snaps, once it clicks, I think that's where
- 47:04you're going to see those price movements.
- 47:05Now going back to this, because again, we have been kind of like
- 47:10in this five month kind of bear trend and the price action
- 47:13hasn't been all that great, etcetera, etcetera.
- 47:16Like guys, when Bitcoin in the early days, I remember like 10
- 47:20years ago, I remember when Bitcoin was at like 6-7 hundred
- 47:24dollars, it was unimaginable that it could even get to
- 47:3010,000, right? Like it was like it was
- 47:33inconceivable. It was like, this is impossible,
- 47:36right? And I felt late.
- 47:38I was like, no, this is impossible.
- 47:40Like this can't happen. Like, you know, that's, that's,
- 47:42that's more than a tech 10X move.
- 47:44Look at how big its market cap is now.
- 47:46I mean, like that's almost impossible.
- 47:49And Bitcoin did that right? That move from 700 to 125,000
- 47:56right is absolute insanity, right?
- 47:59So are, are you trying to like convince me that?
- 48:03And again, it's not a it's not 100 X move.
- 48:05Are you trying to convince me that in the next decade we're
- 48:08not going to at least see potentially A10X move,
- 48:12especially with all the things we've been talking about
- 48:15specifically in the beginning of the show?
- 48:17Like I and someone I saw in the chat was like like 1,000,000
- 48:20would be a disappointment. We.
- 48:22We, we should we we we should be.
- 48:24Going a lot higher, and I tend to agree with that.
- 48:27But again, this is someone who is associated with the publicly
- 48:30traded company. He can't go full.
- 48:33Boltart can't go full. Opti on him.
- 48:35He can't go full Boltart, so yeah.
- 48:37Anyways, I want to get your thoughts.
- 48:40Kent wait. Wait, before we go, remember,
- 48:42remember we were saying 1,000,000 by 2030 and we're
- 48:45like, that's totally going to happen now.
- 48:47It's like a million in 10 years. I think that's bearish and.
- 48:51And again, I, I, I want to get your thoughts on this Kent,
- 48:54because again, you, you are a Bitcoin entrepreneur, a
- 48:56successful 1, you run a successful Bitcoin company.
- 48:59You're the CEO of a, of a company in the space.
- 49:03And anybody that has a company in the space, it's completely
- 49:06tied to number go up, right? Every single company in the
- 49:10Bitcoin ecosystem is dependent on number go up.
- 49:14If number doesn't go up, things start to break in the Bitcoin
- 49:19industry, right. So I want to get what your take
- 49:22is. How are you planning, you know,
- 49:24for your you know, for your personal future, your you know
- 49:27your personal finances. What are you planning for your
- 49:30company's finances? What are your expectations at
- 49:33least by 20-30? And guys, 2030 is not that far
- 49:36away. It's three and a.
- 49:38Half years away. Well, he didn't say 10 years.
- 49:39Though I know, I know, but I want, I want to talk.
- 49:41About 20-30. So I want to get your thoughts
- 49:43on this Kent. Like what are your thoughts,
- 49:45man? What do you thinking by 20-30?
- 49:47Like what? What is the base case for?
- 49:49You think you're muted, my friend?
- 49:56Can't. Can't.
- 49:56You're muted. You're muted.
- 49:59My bad. I, I, I was all excited there.
- 50:03But we're all in 20-30 right? Is $1,000,000 We, we, we can get
- 50:07rid of the 10 year garbage, right?
- 50:10Because that just seems ridiculous to me.
- 50:12I mean, so the, I, I go back to something quite similar as you
- 50:16were talking about Nico, right? Like I got in, I think similar
- 50:19time late 2015. And the prices from then to 100K
- 50:24just seem absurd. And so for me to now look at
- 50:27100K to a million, that seems highly probable now.
- 50:30And maybe it's just a journey that I've been on and when I
- 50:33adopted Bitcoin, but it just doesn't seem absurd now the
- 50:36amount of dollars that have to flow in is quite large, the
- 50:40trillions, right, that have to increase the market cap to that
- 50:43level. However, it's like the journey
- 50:46that we've been on so far. I, I mean, let me, let me go
- 50:48back and just use an analogous situation.
- 50:50This is 1/3 business that I've been a part of scaling, right?
- 50:54Help this business go from two people to now we've got 15 staff
- 50:58at SaaS Mining and two other companies in the rooftop solar
- 51:01space. I was like employee 16 and
- 51:03helped to scale it to 250. And then I was in another
- 51:05company like employee 55 and helped to scale it to 350.
- 51:09And I will tell you the 1st 15 people here at SaaS Mining have
- 51:13been so much harder than it was to go from 16 to 250 people.
- 51:17And that's because the start is always the hardest part to get
- 51:21product market fit to get, get the marketing message, right.
- 51:24And why would it be indifferent for Bitcoin, right?
- 51:28And we've just gone through what year 17 of a product that is
- 51:33meant to disrupt what we have defined as money for 5000 plus
- 51:37years. Why would we think that that
- 51:38would go super quick? I mean, I was, I'm guilty of it
- 51:41myself. I, I thought we'd be $1,000,000
- 51:44sooner given the last couple cycles.
- 51:47I thought 2017 cycle was a harbinger for what's going to
- 51:50come, right? I thought all the next cycles
- 51:52would be that way. And as we've already talked
- 51:53about, they haven't. So OK, it's going to take a
- 51:57little bit longer, but to go from 100,000 to 1,000,000, a
- 52:01simple 10X, that doesn't seem absurd to me to happen in the
- 52:04next 4 years, especially with halvings coming up in 2028 where
- 52:08we go for 450 Bitcoin a day to 225 and the Michael Saylor's
- 52:12buying thousands upon thousands on an almost daily basis now.
- 52:16I mean, it's crazy. It just seems like a supply
- 52:18demand mismatch. And so come back to the very
- 52:20beginning of what we've already talked about.
- 52:22Like at some point kaboom happens and we go, we go, we go
- 52:26really up from there. And I will just mention like
- 52:28the, the simple 10X, right? Like if you just look at the,
- 52:31the bottom of the last cycle was like 15.8 K, something like that
- 52:36point 15.6 K, we went to 126 K So the idea of a 10X is not that
- 52:43not that extreme over a four year time period because it was
- 52:46pretty close to that for what we did just this last cycle.
- 52:50Absolutely 100%. And as you said in the beginning
- 52:53of the show, I I believe these, these previous two cycles were
- 52:58muted, right? Like this previous cycle, yes,
- 53:021516 thousand to 125 that's a huge like percentage return.
- 53:07That's fantastic. But we never had a euphoric
- 53:12phase. I believe a lot of that euphoria
- 53:14was it. We did have a euphoric phase,
- 53:16but it was in the treasury companies.
- 53:19And then the cycle before that, I believe that cycle was cut
- 53:23short because of the China mining ban, right?
- 53:25Because you see, there's a direct correlation between the
- 53:28first peak China man's the China bans, the CCP bans Bitcoin
- 53:34mining hash rate drops 50%. Of course, those miners have to
- 53:38sell Bitcoin to relocate to other more favorable
- 53:42jurisdictions. So the, the, the cycle 2 cycles
- 53:47ago cycle was cut short because of the China mining ban.
- 53:49I think we were destined to reach 100K that cycle.
- 53:52That's my opinion. We only reached 69 and we had
- 53:54this like weird double top. And then this previous cycle, we
- 53:58never had a euphoric, euphoric phase whatsoever.
- 54:02I think it was a cycle that tapped on like it, it topped on
- 54:05apathy, right? And again, you had most of the
- 54:09alpha in the treasury companies. So I think that this next cycle,
- 54:13we are destined, my, this is my belief, we're destined to have
- 54:17that traditional run up, which again, breaks that narrative of
- 54:22the diminishing returns, right? So anyways, only the future
- 54:27will, you know, will show this, right?
- 54:28We're, we're, we're speculating here.
- 54:30We're, we're, we're trying to connect the dots.
- 54:32We're we're reaching assumptions based on the information that we
- 54:36have. Everything seems extremely
- 54:38bullish, but at the end of the daytime will tell, right?
- 54:42And as I've said a couple weeks ago on the show, I said, you
- 54:45know, Bitcoin needs to prove itself, right?
- 54:48Because just like it proved itself when it went from $100 to
- 54:521000, just like it proved itself when it went from $100 to
- 54:5510,000, just how it proved itself that it went from 10,000
- 54:59to 100,000, even though we all believe that was going to
- 55:03happen, despite those hardcore beliefs that we had.
- 55:08You can have those beliefs, but unless it actually plays out in
- 55:12reality, it's not real yet, right?
- 55:15So. It it's kind of like you, you
- 55:17have you, you, you have the game theory, you have everything set
- 55:20up, you have all the stars and planets lined up for that
- 55:23trajectory. But it's still, you know, it
- 55:27reminds me of like that very famous video, which I think I
- 55:31forget what company, they made an ad about this where they got
- 55:33the same guy that was, it's like, Oh my God, Bitcoin's
- 55:36breaking 100. Dollars don't buy Bitcoin.
- 55:38It's gonna crash again, Yeah. And no, but there's this other
- 55:40one where he's like pointing out an old TV and he's like, Bitcoin
- 55:43just broke $100 or something like that.
- 55:45Like it, it, it's the type of thing where like you need to
- 55:49live through to actually believe, right?
- 55:53That's it's, it's like you can have, you can read all the books
- 55:57you want, but unless you live through it, you know that's
- 56:00where it's at. So I think the next stress test
- 56:03for Bitcoin, where Bitcoin needs to prove itself is can Bitcoin
- 56:06get to that half $1,000,000 million dollar region?
- 56:10And I think there's a very, very high probability that it does.
- 56:13Can can I? Can I have a different angle on
- 56:15this? It's it's not just can Bitcoin
- 56:17make it to a million? It's really like, can Bitcoin
- 56:20survive Wall Street? And I think that's like the
- 56:24that's the big question. I.
- 56:25Don't think Bitcoin. I don't think Bitcoin is
- 56:27surviving Wall Street. I think Bitcoin is Co opting.
- 56:30Well, I know, but that I think because we all had that idea,
- 56:33like, all right, you know, we've actually gotten a lot of
- 56:36flackers like, oh, here's simply Bitcoin cheering on the
- 56:38institution. It's like, well, yeah, we
- 56:39thought they were going to pump our bags and now we're realizing
- 56:42like they're not going to Co opt this thing, they're going to get
- 56:47Co opted. And that's, I think, the big
- 56:49test, but only time will tell. Anyways, I see a a comment which
- 56:54is a perfect segue for the next segment.
- 56:56We're going to be talking about Clarity somewhat down under.
- 56:59Blues says maybe Clarity needs to pass to help get new
- 57:02investors. We had Frank Holmes, executive
- 57:05chairman of Hive Digital Technologies, the first publicly
- 57:09traded Bitcoin miner. He came on the show and we were
- 57:11talking about Clarity and he and he and he and someone else from
- 57:17Hive came on the show and Frank said, quote, if Clarity passes,
- 57:22we're going to, we're going to see at least quarter $1,000,000
- 57:24Bitcoin because it is, it's in the name, it's going to provide
- 57:27clarity. So we're going to have, we have
- 57:29an update for you guys on that topic specifically.
- 57:32We'll be right back in just a bit.
- 57:36I want to give a shout out to our partner, Leaden.
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- 59:23All right, everybody. So I have an update for you guys
- 59:26from legacy media. Again, this is front row and
- 59:30center, right. You have Treasury Secretary
- 59:32Scott Besson advocating for it. You have the White House
- 59:34advocating for it. And again, this is being talked
- 59:37about on legacy media, right? This is front and center.
- 59:41This is how important it is. And it is again, a a a big part
- 59:45of the Trump administration's agenda and they have until
- 59:49November to pass it. Clarity is so important.
- 59:52Let's check out one of the latest clips.
- 59:55I can understand the banks being upset with Coinbase and other
- 59:59companies because they, they, they were forced to accept this.
- 1:00:02I think, I mean, initially, you know, many of the banks are
- 1:00:04saying, well, no, you know, we're going to get there, but
- 1:00:06we're not there yet. Yeah, look, that mean it really
- 1:00:09interestingly, we have actually partnership with some of the
- 1:00:11biggest banks around the world, including the biggest U.S. banks
- 1:00:14because they understand the future is tokenization and
- 1:00:17stable coins. They're looking for a partner to
- 1:00:19build with. We're excited to be the partner
- 1:00:22of the biggest banks. But the Beltway is a funny
- 1:00:24place, Maria. As you know, there's a kind of
- 1:00:26an ecosystem of, of people who spend all their time fighting
- 1:00:30over things in Congress. I wonder there's a, there's a
- 1:00:33bit of a disconnect with what we see in DC and what we see with
- 1:00:35their business folks. I think we'll be able to resolve
- 1:00:38that. The banks are critical as a part
- 1:00:40of this future on chain future. I think there's a lot of
- 1:00:43opportunities for them. We want to help them get there
- 1:00:45and I think we we're excited about.
- 1:00:46So right now you can pay. It's the, the legislation as you
- 1:00:51know it will be that yeah, you can pay rewards if you're part
- 1:00:54of a membership program. Real quick, explain where you're
- 1:00:57expecting clarity to land. So the law of the land is if a
- 1:01:01customer has a balance on our account, we can pay them a
- 1:01:03reward. The banks have got really
- 1:01:05concerned about this. They said no, no, there has to
- 1:01:07be some activity before you qualify for the reward.
- 1:01:10We've we've conceded that point. It's just a matter of how you,
- 1:01:14what the fine print looks like. And I think we'll get there.
- 1:01:16So the reason that this is such a big hang up is and, and, and
- 1:01:20I've explained this a couple times, right?
- 1:01:23The reason that the banks see clarity act as, as, as such a
- 1:01:27threat. And the way that it's, it's
- 1:01:29currently structured is that banks don't currently most
- 1:01:32retail banks, not only do they, they pay very, very little
- 1:01:37interest on deposits, right? Because fundamentally, like a
- 1:01:40bank is making money off of your money, right?
- 1:01:43So technically you should be getting paid for that.
- 1:01:45Back in the day, you used to be able to get interest on deposits
- 1:01:49in a bank, right? And the banks are freaking out
- 1:01:52because Coinbase is going in there.
- 1:01:54And I already have friends, by the way, that like don't even
- 1:01:57have a bank account. They just use some of the new
- 1:01:59apps like Cash App and stuff like that.
- 1:02:01And the banks are freaking out because they're basically coming
- 1:02:03to the realization that like, wait a second, like what if
- 1:02:07people just don't have dollars in accounts period, because they
- 1:02:12can just leave it on Coinbase and they're going to get a three
- 1:02:164% interest paid in Bitcoin. What's going to happen to our
- 1:02:21deposits? Like why would people leave
- 1:02:23money in the bank? And by the way, not only do they
- 1:02:25not pay you interest, they charge you a monthly maintenance
- 1:02:29maintenance fee if you have below a certain balance, right?
- 1:02:32So it's a 1-2 punch. And then Coinbase is going in
- 1:02:35there as an innovator and saying, listen, and, and I love
- 1:02:39the word he's using, right? And they're being political,
- 1:02:41right? It's just like, we'll pay you a
- 1:02:43reward. Again, it's just interest.
- 1:02:45It's a form of interest, right? That reward is, is directly
- 1:02:48correlated to the amount of, you know, USDC or whatever, you
- 1:02:51know, whatever token that you have on the platform.
- 1:02:55So, and that's really the big hold up.
- 1:02:56That's really what's holding clarity act up.
- 1:02:58But it seems like it's coming to a resolution.
- 1:03:01Tim Scott was talking about Scott.
- 1:03:02Tim Scott is the head of the Senate Banking Committee for the
- 1:03:05Republicans again, really championing this bill forward.
- 1:03:08And of course, you have the Bitcoin senator, Senator Cynthia
- 1:03:11Lummis. And again, she's been pushing
- 1:03:12for this as well. You have pressure from the White
- 1:03:14House. So again, unfortunately, this is
- 1:03:18the way that US legislation works where like part of the
- 1:03:23legislation groups in that are not things that are Bitcoin
- 1:03:26related. What I'm personally excited
- 1:03:29about with clarity is not only again, providing regulatory
- 1:03:34certainty for companies and institutions, but it actually
- 1:03:37protects the right to self custody.
- 1:03:39It enshrines that into law, which I think is incredibly
- 1:03:42important. As a bitcoiner, of course, you
- 1:03:45would want just a bill to get past just enshrining that, but
- 1:03:49that's not the way that legislation works.
- 1:03:51Unfortunately, all of these things need to be grouped into
- 1:03:54one bill, but that's just the way it is, right?
- 1:03:57So I have to check the latest Poly market odds, but that's the
- 1:04:01latest update on the Clarity Act.
- 1:04:03I think that if it gets signed into a law, currently it's at a
- 1:04:0748% chance, down 17% OPTI. But if it gets passed into law,
- 1:04:13Frank Holmes, Frank Holmes quotes we'll see 250,000 dollar
- 1:04:18Bitcoin if it doesn't get passed.
- 1:04:20I don't think this type of this type of legislation is going to
- 1:04:23get passed in a while because it looks like the Dems are going to
- 1:04:28take the House in in November. They might take the Senate and
- 1:04:33they might take the presidency in 2028.
- 1:04:35So, you know, the, the talk, the, the, the, the clock is
- 1:04:39ticking for this type of, of, of law to get passed.
- 1:04:43So it's already passed the House, but the House only needs
- 1:04:45a simple majority in the Senate. They need a filler, A filler
- 1:04:49Buster proof vote, which is at least 60 votes.
- 1:04:53They need that 60 vote threshold when meet, which means it needs
- 1:04:57to be bipartisan. It can't just be advocated for
- 1:05:02by the Republicans. So anyways, that's the latest on
- 1:05:05the Clarity Act. We'll keep you guys updated as
- 1:05:08this develops. But again, this is a major
- 1:05:10talking point on legacy media on, you know, on Capitol Hill.
- 1:05:14And yeah, let's see what happens.
- 1:05:16Anyways, Opti, I wanna get your thoughts.
- 1:05:17We've been covering this for a while, man.
- 1:05:20You know, we, we've it, it was April.
- 1:05:23Now it's almost the end of April, right?
- 1:05:26And and now I'm saying they're saying like maybe May.
- 1:05:28Right. So yeah, this, this, this needs
- 1:05:31to get passed. This needs to get spat and it's
- 1:05:33not helping. Also, This is why we talked
- 1:05:36about this. It's not helping the the, the
- 1:05:39conflicts in the Middle East. I feel like it's taking away a
- 1:05:42lot of the focus from things like this, from the from the
- 1:05:47national agenda. Right.
- 1:05:49So, OK, here's my take. Here's my take.
- 1:05:52I, I might be a little less bullish on the Clarity Act as
- 1:05:56you. The only thing that I think is
- 1:05:58bullish of this is like there are people waiting on the
- 1:06:00sidelines for the Clarity Act to pass.
- 1:06:03So that's probably like the, in my opinion, the only good thing
- 1:06:07that'll come from this, but from not just the Betty market odds,
- 1:06:11but really from a lot of the updates we've been hearing.
- 1:06:14Though last week we did get probably the most significant
- 1:06:17update that it seems like this stable coin reward thing has
- 1:06:20been resolved. The list of basically things
- 1:06:25they disagreed on from both sides of the aisle from and also
- 1:06:28from the Bitcoin crypto industry and the banks.
- 1:06:31It's gone from like 12 disagreements down to like two
- 1:06:34or three now. I guess that's improvement.
- 1:06:37But again, I keep saying the same thing.
- 1:06:40We've we've been seeing this get kicked down or delayed time
- 1:06:45after time after time. We were supposed to have it end
- 1:06:47of last year and then January, February, March, April.
- 1:06:51Now we're starting to hear like maybe May.
- 1:06:54So look in terms of it passing like quickly might not happen.
- 1:07:00In terms of it actually passing, obviously those odds are going
- 1:07:04down. I think if it doesn't happen, I
- 1:07:07guess in the latest self-imposed deadline in May, it's like it's
- 1:07:11probably not a good luck because the midterms will start to ramp
- 1:07:14up and take all the attention. Though my biggest part with this
- 1:07:19wasn't so much it passing per SE, but from the, I think it was
- 1:07:26chief investment offer, chief policy officer at Coinbase.
- 1:07:29I don't know guys, it kind of sounded like a lot of shit
- 1:07:32coinery there. It's kind of what I've been
- 1:07:33saying for a while. You know, Wall Street shit coin
- 1:07:36phase is going to be crazy because he, he verbatim said
- 1:07:40Wall Street is very excited about tokenization and stable
- 1:07:44coins being the future. And in that statement itself,
- 1:07:48I'm like, no, like it's Bitcoin all right.
- 1:07:50Wall Street shit coin phase is going to be insane.
- 1:07:53This tokenization, all the things, you know, everything on
- 1:07:56the blockchain, it's probably going to be a huge disaster.
- 1:07:59And then that's probably why this Clarity Act has been held
- 1:08:02up for so long. Because what we are seeing, what
- 1:08:05hasn't really been talked about much is that there is a huge
- 1:08:09lobbying effort to end the Clarity Act at large.
- 1:08:12So like we are seeing a lobbying war play out currently in
- 1:08:16regards to the banking industry and the Bitcoin quote crypto
- 1:08:21industry. And as we've been covering, we
- 1:08:25really don't have the pool yet in in DC like we yeah, we're a
- 1:08:28growing industry. Our influence is growing.
- 1:08:32We obviously had AI would say significant effect on the last
- 1:08:36election. But as of now we are still a
- 1:08:40very young industry in terms of like the banking lobbying, just
- 1:08:46size. And so we really don't have the
- 1:08:48pool yet. But look, I know it's a
- 1:08:50politician's job to be extremely bullish about, you know, what
- 1:08:53they're doing and and that's kind of their job.
- 1:08:55So hey, we'll see what happens if it passes and it actually is
- 1:08:59a benefit to our industry and it does what Frank Holmes says once
- 1:09:02it passes where it freaking getting pumped.
- 1:09:04Like I'm all for that, obviously, like I I just want
- 1:09:08them to pump our bags at this point.
- 1:09:10But in terms of it actually playing out, there is a ticking
- 1:09:14clock right now. And if it doesn't happen sooner
- 1:09:16than, as Senator Lumm has said, it's probably not going to
- 1:09:19happen for a few years. So they really do want to get
- 1:09:22this pushed through. Like it basically has to happen
- 1:09:25now. So we'll see what happens.
- 1:09:27Ken, quick thoughts before we move on to next segment.
- 1:09:32I don't think it matters. That's my quick thought.
- 1:09:34I don't think it matters in the scheme of things because
- 1:09:36Bitcoin's going to win. And and the reason why it
- 1:09:39doesn't matter in the scheme of things is because Bitcoin's
- 1:09:44adoption is going to take the path it takes regardless of how
- 1:09:48politicians influence the market, right?
- 1:09:51Because the market's going to wake up the absolute scarcity,
- 1:09:53right? If we look back two weeks ago, I
- 1:09:56ran accepting tolls for oil tankers passing through the
- 1:10:01streets of Hormuz. Who is?
- 1:10:03How was that on anybody's adoption path?
- 1:10:06Right, But was there ever any better marketing on a global
- 1:10:09scale than Iran taking Bitcoin and proving to the world that it
- 1:10:13was unsensible and the strongest military in the world couldn't
- 1:10:18stop them? No, that that's best marketing
- 1:10:21ever. People are going to adopt this
- 1:10:22regardless. So I see if the US politicians
- 1:10:25fail to push through the Clarity Act, which I do think is a
- 1:10:28positive for Bitcoins price action, it's going to lead to
- 1:10:31other people in other parts of the planet adopting Bitcoin and
- 1:10:35saying, hey, the US isn't going to pick up the ball and run with
- 1:10:37it. Then we're going to run with it
- 1:10:39over here. And so some other place is going
- 1:10:41to have mass adoption and we'll take the benefit themselves.
- 1:10:44I mean, we are dealing with a decentralized protocol that does
- 1:10:47not have a lock on the US market, right?
- 1:10:50It's it is going to break down the exclusivity of the US
- 1:10:54market, in my opinion. So whether this happens in the
- 1:10:57US, it would be to the advantage of the US and American citizens
- 1:11:00and myself and you guys on the call.
- 1:11:02But if it doesn't happen in the US, it's going to help them
- 1:11:05someplace else because that is how Bitcoin adoption occurs.
- 1:11:08It doesn't care. It's the honey badger and it's
- 1:11:11going to be adopted because it's absolutely scarce.
- 1:11:13So, you know, at the end of the day, I'd love it to pass to pump
- 1:11:16the market sooner. Great number go up, but it
- 1:11:19doesn't matter. The number is going to go up.
- 1:11:21And frankly, what we've been just talking about most of the
- 1:11:24show, which is Michael Saylor and his strategy.
- 1:11:27Does the clarity Act act actually impact his his strategy
- 1:11:30in a negative way if it doesn't go through?
- 1:11:32I mean, look at what he's done without it.
- 1:11:35I don't see how that doesn't continue.
- 1:11:36So I, I think it's great for the market, but I just don't think
- 1:11:40it matters. Yeah, listen, that's cool.
- 1:11:43Motherfucking butt So. Yeah, I love that song.
- 1:11:50So 100% agree. And and this is what Trump's
- 1:11:54case for, he's like, listen, like the reason his argument is
- 1:11:59basically look like if we don't do it, another country will.
- 1:12:02And I'm really glad that you brought up the example of the
- 1:12:05Strait of Hormuz because that's exactly what we saw, right?
- 1:12:09We literally saw a country that again, has been sanctioned.
- 1:12:12They don't even trust their own currency.
- 1:12:13And they're like, ah, pay some Bitcoin.
- 1:12:15We know it won't be censored, right?
- 1:12:16So this Bitcoin adoption is going to happen, you know, by
- 1:12:20nation states around the world and it's really up to the United
- 1:12:24States. Like I went to a conference in
- 1:12:26El Salvador in the beginning of the year and I saw a talk by
- 1:12:31actually got to introduce him because I was emceeing the stage
- 1:12:34and I saw a talk by the head of the regulatory body for digital
- 1:12:39assets in El Salvador. And the guy was wearing a
- 1:12:43Bitcoin tie, right? And they're so far ahead with
- 1:12:47their legislation than the United States, which again, the
- 1:12:50United States is supposed to be like, you know, the pinnacle of
- 1:12:54world capitalism. And you have El Salvador that is
- 1:12:58leading, right? This is all it's Bitcoin
- 1:13:01country, right? So yeah, IIA 100% agree with
- 1:13:05with your take cat. Not only does it not matter, the
- 1:13:07United States is playing with fire, the regulators are playing
- 1:13:10with fire because again, if you create a, a, a hostile
- 1:13:13regulatory environment, the United States people are just
- 1:13:16going to go somewhere else, right?
- 1:13:17And then those countries are going to benefit and, and their
- 1:13:20governments are going to benefit from the additional tax revenue,
- 1:13:23right? So the game theory starts to
- 1:13:24come into, into play here, right?
- 1:13:27So I think the Trump administration realizes that and
- 1:13:30apparently the rest of the, the rest of the legislation doesn't
- 1:13:33believe that. And I think the, the rest of the
- 1:13:34legislation like they're hell bent on this idea that the
- 1:13:37future of money is central bank digital currencies.
- 1:13:39I think part of the big motivation as to why these pass
- 1:13:43and why this pieces of legislation haven't been pushed
- 1:13:45forward is because I think fundamentally there's a big part
- 1:13:49of the American government that believe that the future of money
- 1:13:52is CBD CS. And I think that it, it's, it's
- 1:13:56a, it's going to be a, it's going to be a hard pill for them
- 1:13:58to swallow for them to realize that look, I think if people are
- 1:14:02gonna have a, listen, you can't make Bitcoin go away.
- 1:14:06And I think if people have a choice between something that is
- 1:14:09censorship resistant and absolutely scarce versus
- 1:14:11something that can be debased and can be censored, I think
- 1:14:14inevitably over time, people are going to choose the better
- 1:14:17money, right? So anyways.
- 1:14:19Guys, you have a lot of faith in people.
- 1:14:21We're gonna be talking. We're gonna.
- 1:14:24Be talking about wild SAS, SAS mining and we got the CEO Kent
- 1:14:29in the house. We're going to be right back
- 1:14:31after the break. I want to give a shout out to
- 1:14:34our partner Hive digital technologies.
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- 1:16:13We. Are back and we got Kent.
- 1:16:15Kent welcome SAS mining, Bitcoin mining as a service.
- 1:16:19How you doing Kent? How are you feeling today?
- 1:16:22I'm feeling, I'm feeling. How are you, Nico?
- 1:16:25I love it. I love it, man.
- 1:16:27So we I've been. Wait, wait, can I put contacts
- 1:16:29here? Kent's been with me and Nico's
- 1:16:32been ditching Kent and we brought Kent on because Nico
- 1:16:35felt bad. Why do you?
- 1:16:38Say that. Why do you say I've been
- 1:16:38ditching Kent like it's like it that that makes it seem like
- 1:16:42I'm. Doing this on purpose.
- 1:16:43I know we've been just trolling you, me and me and him behind
- 1:16:46the scenes have been trolling you.
- 1:16:47It's like, hey, dude, I'm sorry Kent, you're stuck with me
- 1:16:49today. Nico's got some plants and we're
- 1:16:51just like, dude, it's like he doesn't like you anymore, Kent,
- 1:16:54what's going on here? And then Nico, literally like,
- 1:16:57all right, Kent, I'm going to get you on.
- 1:16:58I'm going to be on the show. I think, and one of the best
- 1:17:01shows we've had in a while. It's true.
- 1:17:03It's true. And I, I, I, I think, I think
- 1:17:07Kent smells incredible. I'm going to pause, OK, That
- 1:17:11it's an inside joke. It's an inside.
- 1:17:14Joke, you should have kept that one to yourself.
- 1:17:15But anyway, anyways keep it going.
- 1:17:17Are you not entertained? I I mean, maybe some people are.
- 1:17:23Anyways Ken how you doing bro? I'm doing good man.
- 1:17:28Let's talk about. Good, I'm doing good.
- 1:17:30I had I did have fun trolling trolling you with Opti, though.
- 1:17:33And I, I, I just just to bring the audience in.
- 1:17:37I accused, accused Nico of, of thinking I smelled bad is why he
- 1:17:41hasn't been on with me four times in a row.
- 1:17:44I should admit Opti and I Opti and I have really bonded, you
- 1:17:48know, so we're, we're we're doing well on Nico.
- 1:17:50I'm I'm glad that the, the the guilt to another, another,
- 1:17:53another, you know, showing here, But you know, it's, it's good to
- 1:17:57have you here, bro. I'm I'm kind of jealous.
- 1:17:59I'm kind of jealous man, that you guys bonding on air without
- 1:18:02me, OK? Pause.
- 1:18:03All right. What is happening?
- 1:18:05What is happening anyways? Let's talk about SAS, ladies and
- 1:18:08gentlemen, Mine Bitcoin. Own your rigs.
- 1:18:11Ditch the exchanges. That's right, ladies and
- 1:18:14gentlemen, there's other ways to acquire Bitcoin than just buying
- 1:18:19it. You know what the other way is?
- 1:18:20You know what? The original way of buying of of
- 1:18:23acquiring Bitcoin was the only way was to mine it, right?
- 1:18:29And I think a lot of people have have forgot the roots.
- 1:18:32So Kent, you built this amazing platform that makes it
- 1:18:36incredibly easy for anyone who's not, you know, technical to
- 1:18:40essentially start mining today, right?
- 1:18:43You buy, buy the rigs, there's no additional fees.
- 1:18:48And within, you know, a 24 hours, 48 hours, those those
- 1:18:52rigs are up and running. You have this amazing dashboard.
- 1:18:55You can see how much Bitcoin is actively being mined.
- 1:18:59Kent, talk to me, man, because I think people initially they
- 1:19:04they, they see mining as this daunting task, as this thing
- 1:19:07that's very, very complicated. You guys have made this
- 1:19:11incredibly easy through this fantastic.
- 1:19:14You got UI that you guys built. I remember the way that you
- 1:19:17described it to me the other days as you guys were
- 1:19:20essentially were a technology company.
- 1:19:22It was a technology company and then you know, you integrated
- 1:19:27the the Bitcoin mining as a service.
- 1:19:30So talk to us man, the floor is yours.
- 1:19:34Well, here's the thing I want to go back to what we talked about
- 1:19:36earlier, right? The, the, the alpha and Omega
- 1:19:39candle, the 100K candle, there is going to come a point in time
- 1:19:42and I hope it goes slow, right? I, I don't want it to be all at
- 1:19:46once, but there's going to come a point in time where you can't
- 1:19:48buy your Bitcoin. You're going to have to earn it.
- 1:19:50Guess what, There needs to be a way for people to earn their
- 1:19:53Bitcoin. And the way that Satoshi
- 1:19:55designed the network was to mine the Bitcoin.
- 1:19:58And if you go back to early Bitcoin history, the 2009 to
- 1:20:012013 era, everybody that acquired their Bitcoin then was
- 1:20:06mining it. There really wasn't.
- 1:20:07It really wasn't until Coinbase opened their doors, which
- 1:20:10happened to be the same year that the Bitcoin 8 mining ASIC
- 1:20:13came out, that people shifted from mining to buying their
- 1:20:16Bitcoins. So it's not in our DNA from the
- 1:20:20very beginning to buy, but to mine.
- 1:20:23And there's going to come a point in time where you can't
- 1:20:25buy, you're going to have to earn.
- 1:20:27So guess what? This this period.
- 1:20:29That we're in right now I think this is the Goldilocks period
- 1:20:32that we're living through right where our our grandkids are
- 1:20:35going to come up to us and be like, hey grandpa, like you
- 1:20:38could buy Bitcoin like how crazy is that?
- 1:20:40And here we are as as mining we're just like no, this that
- 1:20:43phase is going to end. We're building the on ramp for
- 1:20:46the earned phase of the Bitcoin adoption process.
- 1:20:49And So what we've done as a tech company has built that platform
- 1:20:54couple clicks by mining rig. You know, we've got some mining
- 1:20:57rigs deploying in two days in Paraguay.
- 1:21:00So if you want to be deployed in two days, great, we'll get your
- 1:21:03wild sats flowing and then you're getting sats streamed to
- 1:21:05you right off the network directly into your wallet.
- 1:21:08We never touch your Bitcoin. And the only way we make money
- 1:21:11is if we produce Bitcoin for you.
- 1:21:13So you have to pay for the hardware, you have to pay for
- 1:21:15the electricity. But we don't put profit on any
- 1:21:18of that. What we do is instead split 15%
- 1:21:21of the Bitcoin off the back end and tell the mining pool, hey,
- 1:21:24look, you got to send that to our wallet, 85% to our client's
- 1:21:28wallet. All our clients do is they give
- 1:21:30us a Bitcoin address and the Bitcoin goes there and we
- 1:21:33communicate through our, our platform with our clients.
- 1:21:36We've got monthly town halls. I've seen a couple questions
- 1:21:39about that. So if you're a client and only
- 1:21:42if you're a client, I, I give a presentation once a month, tell
- 1:21:46everybody what's going on in our various data centers where we're
- 1:21:48in Norway, we're in the US, we're in Paraguay and give
- 1:21:53everybody updates, what's going on, what we're building, how our
- 1:21:56software's improving going to improve their experience.
- 1:21:58So if you're a client and on the on the the stream here, no,
- 1:22:03Friday is when it's coming up. And if you want to get wild
- 1:22:07sats, they are better sats would argue than purchasing them
- 1:22:11through the banking surveillance state, right, where you go buy
- 1:22:15them off an exchange because a you you're getting wild and hot
- 1:22:19just in the same way if you go forward your own food, it's
- 1:22:22usually better for you. Wild stats I think of are better
- 1:22:26for you as well because they're yours, they're outside of that
- 1:22:29system. And usually they are on a
- 1:22:32monthly basis acquired at a lower cost than what you can buy
- 1:22:35them for. So we call that energy cost,
- 1:22:37average position, the monthly energy cost versus electricity
- 1:22:43is lower than what you buy them for.
- 1:22:45So your dollar is going further in terms of how many stats
- 1:22:47you're stacking. That does not include the cost
- 1:22:50of the hardware which we typically see especially in bear
- 1:22:52market conditions, A1 to two year justification period for
- 1:22:56the hardware. So the numbers look good and
- 1:23:00they look good. If you believe that Bitcoins
- 1:23:03price is going up. If you don't believe Bitcoins
- 1:23:05price is going up, then by all means don't get into mining.
- 1:23:07But if you believe Bitcoins price is going up, you have a
- 1:23:10four year mindset. I'm going to, I'm going to
- 1:23:12acquire Bitcoin and I'm going to sit on it for at least four
- 1:23:15years. Bitcoin mining is a wonderful
- 1:23:17opportunity and nobody has made it easier.
- 1:23:19Go check out our Trustpilot scores and you can see how we
- 1:23:24are doing things different than anybody else.
- 1:23:26So nobody's been a tech company that's come to the mining space
- 1:23:30to apply that technology first approach and nobody has taken a
- 1:23:34hey, we're only going to make money if we produce Bitcoin for
- 1:23:37our customer. I, I, I, I got this very
- 1:23:40interesting comment. Kent, thank you for the Super
- 1:23:43chat. Bitcoin Capital, Thank you for
- 1:23:45the $2.00 SAS mining proof of hash versus rental paper hash.
- 1:23:49What are your thoughts on that? Oh, I yeah, I saw that question
- 1:23:54coming up too, so I don't. People are paying a premium for
- 1:24:02rented hash rate these days. It's a new, it's a new
- 1:24:05opportunity. I don't see how it's different
- 1:24:08than cloud mining, which sort of had a bad reputation a few years
- 1:24:11ago. Cloud mining as an idea makes
- 1:24:14sense, but there's trust issues with where the hash rate comes
- 1:24:18from. So hopefully that doesn't repeat
- 1:24:21here with the rental hash rate market.
- 1:24:23But what you're, I, what you're doing is you're basically
- 1:24:26saying, hey, it's somebody else's mining rig.
- 1:24:29You point the I want to rent the hash rate from that mining rig.
- 1:24:33And it's a way that the, the person that owns the mining rig
- 1:24:36can get a premium on the Bitcoin And it's a way for the purchaser
- 1:24:41on the other end to not have to deal with the messiness of
- 1:24:45mining, which I think largely we've solved for people.
- 1:24:48So I'm curious to see actually how SaaS mining competes with
- 1:24:51this. The main difference is that the
- 1:24:53time period can be much shorter. Now to your point, is this
- 1:24:57really mining? I don't think so, although you
- 1:25:01do have freedom to direct that hatch rate to signal for
- 1:25:04different things in ways that maybe you couldn't with us until
- 1:25:08we deliver features. So there is a little bit more
- 1:25:10freedom there that you've got, but I think largely it's going
- 1:25:14to be a a small blip in the overall mining movement here
- 1:25:19because the problem, the number one problem that an individual
- 1:25:23has with mining is low energy costs.
- 1:25:26And unless you can find low cost energy, it's just not cost
- 1:25:29effective to mine Bitcoin. And that's basically what we
- 1:25:32built our business around is going out and finding those low
- 1:25:35cost energy opportunities with great data center operators and
- 1:25:40then packaging that all up so that it's simple for an end
- 1:25:43consumer to be able to acquire Bitcoin through mining through
- 1:25:47a, a user experience and platform that we've developed.
- 1:25:50So yeah, I, I'm curious to see where that market goes, but I
- 1:25:53don't think of it as a miner. I would call that, you know, to
- 1:25:57use Bob Burnett's words like a hasher.
- 1:25:59If you're doing that, unless you're creating your own BLOB
- 1:26:01block templates, I don't think you're really mining.
- 1:26:05I think you're you're enjoying the fruits of of hash rate.
- 1:26:09Absolutely, 100%. And another thing that I love
- 1:26:13about you guys can't that really kind of differentiates yourself
- 1:26:17is the fact that unless those machines are actively hashing,
- 1:26:22you guys don't make money, right?
- 1:26:25And I'm a big believer in aligned incentives.
- 1:26:28I think that's so important. If you have an aligned incentive
- 1:26:32structure, then you're not going to have bad actors because
- 1:26:36essentially Kent's company size is incentivized to keep those
- 1:26:42miners up and running, because if they're not up and running,
- 1:26:46they're not making money, right? So again, there's different
- 1:26:50models, there's different formulas to how the that
- 1:26:54specific part of the market functions that specific
- 1:26:57industry. But I love the aligned
- 1:27:01incentives. I think it's incredibly,
- 1:27:02incredibly important because it creates a win, win situation
- 1:27:06versus a we win no matter what, you know, and you're essentially
- 1:27:12at the mercy of that said provider.
- 1:27:14So I really, really like that as well.
- 1:27:17We got a interesting a question I, I don't know if you can
- 1:27:21answer this Kent, but someone says how is the movement of the
- 1:27:25of the Paraguay government shift in stance affecting size mining.
- 1:27:28From my understand, the Paraguayan government has had a
- 1:27:31very, very open they've been extremely friendly towards
- 1:27:36minors. Yeah, there was, there was a
- 1:27:40recent bill that that that person may be asking about that
- 1:27:43asked for people that are residents of Paraguay to reveal
- 1:27:48their digital assets. There's a pretty invasive
- 1:27:52request from the local tax authority there.
- 1:27:56It doesn't impact us. We are not a local registered
- 1:28:02tax resident as a business there and so we don't have any direct
- 1:28:06impact and the only people impacted our local residents.
- 1:28:09And what I am told, and this is not advice, but what I'm told is
- 1:28:13the general stance given the honeypot nature of exposing that
- 1:28:17information to the government. Most people that do have digital
- 1:28:21assets plan to ignore the request because they're worried
- 1:28:25about their physical safety. So I don't know how that's going
- 1:28:29to play out. It seems to have been a fairly
- 1:28:32I'll thought out program that they're doing.
- 1:28:34What's been more interesting and exciting to see is, you know, a
- 1:28:38couple years ago, in the last two years, I would say Paraguay
- 1:28:43went through and really clamped down on illegal Bitcoin mining.
- 1:28:46And it was interesting because watching on Twitter, you would
- 1:28:49think that the the people were defending the right for people
- 1:28:53to steal electricity. But that's literally what was
- 1:28:56going on in Paraguay. And it may just not have been
- 1:28:58understood that they were. People can literally steal
- 1:29:00electricity. You know, they go out there to
- 1:29:02the electric lines and basically throw jumper cables on them and
- 1:29:05grab electricity from the lines and in an unmetered way, power
- 1:29:08mining rigs. But that was going on at scale
- 1:29:11in Paraguay. The Paraguayan government
- 1:29:13cracked down on it. I mean, we're talking hundreds
- 1:29:16of megawatts worth of this activity going on.
- 1:29:18And they cracked down on it. And they took a lot of the
- 1:29:21mining rigs from that. And now they're looking to
- 1:29:24deploy them into production to generate Bitcoin for the
- 1:29:27Paraguayan government. So to your point about aligned
- 1:29:29incentives, to me that's a wonderful thing for us as a
- 1:29:32miner in Paraguay is that now we've got the same interests
- 1:29:36that our, that the government does there.
- 1:29:38They're mining Bitcoin alongside of us, not literally, but like
- 1:29:41in the same country, in the same region.
- 1:29:43So I actually think that that brings things together and leads
- 1:29:47to better, better governance over the mining industry in
- 1:29:51Paraguay. So I'm extremely bullish on
- 1:29:53Paraguay. And it is one of the top regions
- 1:29:55with excess hydropower in the world.
- 1:29:56So clean excess electricity, the repatriating power.
- 1:30:00I mean, we have some capacity still left there, but it's I
- 1:30:04think a long term very viable mining district as a result.
- 1:30:08I love it and yeah, absolutely bullish on Paraguay.
- 1:30:12I had the privilege to be able to go visit Itapu dam and and so
- 1:30:16much excess hydroelectric power that again could be turned into
- 1:30:22wild SAS. So guys go to sasmining.com.
- 1:30:27Their service is great and also their support is great, right?
- 1:30:31So if you guys have, if any questions you jump into support,
- 1:30:34they'll be more than happy to answer any questions you might
- 1:30:37have, go to sasmining.com here at Simply Bitcoin.
- 1:30:41We highly recommend them. It's a great alternative way to
- 1:30:46build your Bitcoin stack without having to buy it right and
- 1:30:49getting getting those sweet, sweet wild stats.
- 1:30:52Anyways, I do want to give one final shout out to a sponsor of
- 1:30:57Simply Bitcoin, the Bitcoin conference that's coming up next
- 1:31:01week. Ladies and gentlemen, be in Las
- 1:31:03Vegas, NV. Simply Bitcoin will be there.
- 1:31:06Kent will be there as well. You guys don't want to miss the
- 1:31:09biggest Bitcoin celebration of the year.
- 1:31:11I'm going to be on stage. Kent is going to be on stage.
- 1:31:14It's going to be fantastic. Your favorite Bitcoiners are
- 1:31:16going to be there. Michael Saylor.
- 1:31:18We have the head of the SEC, we have the head of the CFTC.
- 1:31:21We have Eric Trump. We have Afroman who's going to
- 1:31:24be making a keynote appearance and talk.
- 1:31:28So if you guys want to go to the Bitcoin conference, Bitcoin
- 1:31:312026, get your tickets now. It's next week.
- 1:31:34You are literally running out of time.
- 1:31:37It's not a hyperbolic statement. It's April 27th through the 29th
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- 1:31:48and we'll see you guys in Vegas. All right, everybody take care.
- 1:31:52Smash the like button, consider subscribing, and we'll see you
- 1:31:55on the next episode of Simply Bitcoin Live.
- 1:31:59Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
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