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Mets/Tigers MLB + NCAAF + WNBA Best Bets Monday 9/1/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my bruins hat Man.
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump yesterday,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you. This is better off dead.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Whatever day it is, first day of September. I guess
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: September one. We're putting behind us A losing August on
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: the show, So isn't that awesome? Which I believe July
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: was actually a slight loss too. So we have three
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: losing months this year. Not what you want to see. Uh.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: One and two on the show yesterday debatably should have
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: been two and one, as we had Milwaukee Toronto under.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: I mean that was dead right away. I mean, what
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: can you even do? Man Toronto scored three unearned runs
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: in the first inning, and then like the game was,
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: it was already over at that point. Pretty much five
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: runs in the first inning, uh, combined between the two teams.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: There's no coming back from that. Just I mean, at
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: least it's easy to take because the bet is dead
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: after like it's dead like a couple of minutes into
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: the game, it's over. So that one was done, probably
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: unlucky with just how badly Milwaukee's Milwaukee was fielding in
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: that game. And they're actually a good fielding team generally too,
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: so really really bad there. Uh, that was easy to
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: take though. The one that was not easy to take
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: was the Dodgers. Is the Dodgers I believe, had a
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: four to one lead into the eighth inning, so it's like, yeah,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: they're gonna cover this minus one and a half. No,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: they love three runs on the top of the eighth
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: inning too. Who was their opponenty Oh, yeah, it was Arizona.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: Arizona can hit though, so I guess that's the day
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: with that. But still, I mean, you're up four to
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: one in the eighth inning, you're pretty much thinking you're
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: coasting at this point. They give up three runs and
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: then at that point it's like the Dodgers are probably
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: gonna win by one in a walk off, and I
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: believe that is what they did. Just ridiculous. And then
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: we dig in our first college football win with Miami.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: They had the lead pretty much all game. It was
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: just a matter of they almost blew it in the
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter. I think they went into the fourth quarter
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: up twenty one to seven, and then they wound up
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: only winning by three points. But I mean it was
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: still I mean, you had them as the underdog. They
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: were leading the whole game. I mean, they had the game. Man.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: I think it was definitely a difference in the quarterbacking
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: between the two teams. That was definitely part of it.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: With you could tell from what I watched. I didn't
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: see much of the game, like a whole ton of
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the game, but Carson Beck definitely the more experienced of
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: the two quarterbacks. It wasst part of the handicap against CJ. Carr.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: And even that first touchdown pass the car through it
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: was like everybody was like freaking out, Oh my god,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: it was like an awesome pass and they look past. Yeah.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: I mean it was a good play, but it was like,
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it was a broken play where just
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: I think Notre Dame got a little bit lucky on
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: that play. That Miami's defense was just it was just
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: a defensive laps in my opinion on that one as
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: far as the coverage was concerned. But we can move
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: on to today. Today, I'm only gonna have two plays.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: They're both in baseball. They're both totals because I know
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: that's what everybody wants, and you know my totals are
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: basically always under so you already know what one of
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: my plays is gonna be. There's not a whole lot
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: going on today. Although the baseball card is fairly deep.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: We do have WNBA. Today's WNBA. We work our way
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: towards the playoffs and the WNBA, but we have some
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly games today. To be honest, Atlanta and Connecticut.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: We have two double digit favorites here between Atlanta and Minnesota.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to do with these games, man.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Atlanta has to have more motivation here. I mean, Connecticut
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: is obviously out of it. But of course, when you're
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: hosting a good team like Atlanta, you're gonna show up
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: for a game like that. Connecticut's playing a second straight
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: home game. They got blown out at home by the
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: best team in the league last time out. Minnesota Watroll
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: is also in a return home spot for Connecticut, so
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: you could definitely debate that they'll do better in this game. Atlanta.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: They just easily beat Dallas and now they're going out
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: on the road. I don't really see them being unfocused
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: here either. They have bad like another bad opponent coming
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: up next. That's Connecticut. Excuse me, Atlanta? Hold on, who
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: do they have up next? My mistake? Let me look
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: real quick. Uh yeah, well they have La up next. Yeah.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: I mean I looked at this earlier and I was like, yeah,
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: this is not a look at spot or anything. So
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I do think both teams will actually show up focused
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: in this game. The money's coming in a little bit
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: on at Lanta up from ten and a half to eleven.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm probably not gonna want to lay double
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: digits with a WNBA road favorite in most cases, so
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: that's definitely a stay away. Don't even really have an
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: opinion on it. Dallas at Minnesota. I have a slight
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: opinion against Minnesota on this one because Minnesota did just
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: clinch home court throughout the playoffs, So it's like, well,
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: what do they even have left to play for now?
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: If they're gonna they're gonna be the one seed already
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: throughout the playoffs, so do they really have anything else
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: to play for? And it could be a letdown spot
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: after you clinch like that, even though I know they
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: did it by beating a bad Connecticut team. But when
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: you get a win like that and you have like
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: a game, like a clinching game like that, I think
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: it can tend to be a little bit of a
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: letdown spot in the next game. Maybe they won't totally
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: focus on Dallas here they are returning home, although they
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: weren't away from home very long, they were only out
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: for one game, but still a return home spot is
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: it tends to be a bit of a negative because
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: you have to get back to home life and you
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: have stuff to do at home. Dallas. Likely they will
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: show up here, man, because they've been playing some pretty
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: ugly basketball here. They've lost seven games in a row.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: Second game of this road trip here, I mean they're
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: not a good team. They do have, of course, who
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: is the rookie of the year or whatever she will
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: be I assume, But you got to figure they'll try
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: to show up in a game against Minnesota. The question
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: is like, how focused is Minnesota really gonna be here?
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: My opinion is they won't be that focused. But also
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: the line moved way up from thirteen to eighteens. That
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: leads me to believe there might even be an injury here.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Let me see, Beckers is a game time decision, so
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: that's something to definitely keep an eye on. A lot
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: of injury. There's a lot on the injury list for
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: Dallas here, which is part of it. So if Beckers
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: isn't gonna play, then that would explain why the line
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: has moved all the way up to eighteen. So that
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: might be the case. So I mean, if that's the case,
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: you get extra value on Dallas. It does become kind
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: of an injured player theory spot, assuming that she played
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: in the last game, so you do have more value
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: on Dallas there. I mean, generally I lean Dallas in
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: this one just because I think Minnesota could be in
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot. They really don't have a whole lot
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: to play for at this point LA at Seattle. Seattle
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: definitely has a lot to play for here as they're
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: trying to make sure they make the playoffs. So I
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: think that is part of the reason why the lines
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: moved from six to eight and a half on them
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: at home, you see, they're getting the cash eighty five
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty five percent of the cash excuse me,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets on LA Seattle just returned
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: home in their last game and they still won against Chicago,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: or Chicago is a bad team. A lot of times
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: your second game back home would be better because you're
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: like settled back in at home. I thought that was
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for them returning home off a road
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: trip in beating Minnesota. But Chicago, I believe, was also
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: coming off like a close game as a huge underdog.
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: So both teams are in bad spots there. So I
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: didn't exactly know what to do with it, LA. I mean,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have to probably resign themselves to realizing that
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna make the playoffs at this point of
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: the Maybe they're feeling like they're not totally out of
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: it yet, so they may still show up here as well.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: But Seattle also has to make sure they're gonna make
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: the playoffs here. So, LA, they just ended a two
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: game loss Streek by beating Washington last game, and now
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: they're going out on the road. When you start a
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: road trip, that tends to be a more focused spot
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: as well. So it's not really a spot where we
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: really want to lay the points with Seattle either, even
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: though that does look like it's where the money is
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: coming in. Maybe a slight lean that way, Andrew, what's up, man,
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Okay, let's go over to MLB
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: and then we do have one college football game today
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: as well Major League Baseball. It's September, so remember it
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: is September call up season now, which I think I
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: think that begins right at the beginning of the month,
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: right if I'm not mistaken. So basically, the rosters expand,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: so teams will carry like an extra few players. Like
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: a lot of times teams will add bullpen arms. That
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: tends to be a typical scenario there to get their
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: bullpen a little bit more rest and have more guys
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: there to bolster the bullpen. But we got a lot
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: of afternoon action here in baseball. Man. It's almost all
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: afternoon on Monday, because it is a labor day, by
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: the way, Labor Day to everybody, whatever that means to you.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: I mean you get a day off at least three
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: day weekend for everybody that I think it's it's I mean,
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: it's basically everybody gets it off, right, It's like a
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: national holiday or whatever. Although I'm not a I'm not
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: a supporter of labor unions when they're out there just
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: beating on drums like a bunch of psychopaths, Like we
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: demand more money for working as like a line cook.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: I'm like no, no, and like I mean again, like
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: it happened with a Famway Park. It was the first
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: time ever there was like a labor strike at Fenway Park.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: And it's like, well, obviously a bunch of people are
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: just gonna come in and like take those jobs over
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: because they need the money. So like obviously they're gonna
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: be able to find people that can like cook hot
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: dogs and shit, Like what do you think? Uh so yeah,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: I mean the whole thing's bs. But anyway, we won't
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: go on a political rant here. First game up in
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: the afternoon, one oh five pm Eastern is my at Washington.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are out of it. Washington is playing
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: like a team that knows that they're out of it.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: They've lost eight straight games, multiple sweeps in a row.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: They just lost in sweeps to the Yankees and to
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. They're playing some bad baseball and now they're
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: playing some unmotivated baseball right now. Miami appears to still
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: be trying. I mean they just won a series against
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: the Reds. They won three out of four against excuse me,
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: against the Mets. Excuse me even better than the Reds.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? The Mets huge divisional series, But
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: Miami might be a little bit less motivated against Washington
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: because I mean, that's the last place team in their division. Miami,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: you know they're gonna step it up for a team
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: like the Mets, So they could be in a little
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: bit of a letdown spot here. They're traveling from New
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: York to Washington. Washington, I believe is just staying at home,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: right Yeah, So I mean it could potentially be a
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for Miami, and maybe Washington is sick of losing.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: Who knows Washington has the worst of the two bullpen zone.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: They used five bullpen arms yesterday. Miami somewhat better bullpen
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: and also a more rested bullpen at least based on
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday's usage, although the usage over the last few days
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: has been pretty extreme, but they rested most of their
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: bullpen arms yesterday. Problem with Miami here is that we
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: don't know who their starting pitcher is gonna be. It's
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: still undecided. It looks like Washington will be a small
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: favorite here, as they have Andrew Alvarez listed as their starter,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: and he's gonna be making, I believe, his major league debut.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: He's a twenty six year old, so a bit old
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: to be making his major league debut. He's a lefting.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: He's six', threes so he is. TALL i don't know
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: a whole lot about. HIM i could look at a scouting,
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: report real. QUICKER i looked up his minor league, stats
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: and they didn't impress me that. MUCH i, mean In
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: TRIPLE a this, year he had in E ira in the,
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: threes which is, alright but he also had a whip
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: that was like way too, high LIKE i think above
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: one point. Three and he had a really high walk
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: rate in the. Minors so he seems to be a
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: guy that's just, very very. Wild i'm trying to figure
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: out what pitches he actually, throws just to get a
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: feel for like what he actually. Does, uh it's hard
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: to even find it sometimes when you're trying to, look
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i look FOR i just searched for like this pitcher's,
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: name and then they're. Scouting, yeah and Then Baseball america
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: like they make you. There everything's behind a, paywall oh.
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: Man usually The Major League baseball website usually has, it
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: but apparently not. HERE i See Andrew alvarez being listed
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: as an infield or on this other, site So i'm
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: maybe a different. Guy but his numbers did not impress
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: me In TRIPLE a, though, Man SO i mean we
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: can maybe we could just leave it at that for.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: NOW i don't know exactly what is a pitch mix,
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: is but this is not a GAME i want to
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: get involved in. Him it's very difficult to figure out
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: what's going on with this. Game totals at. NINE i,
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: mean just on the, surface it does look like it
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: could be a lackluster pitching matchup. Here don't even know
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: Who miami starter is gonna. Be it could be a bullpen.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Game neither bullpen is good, really Especially washington's, obviously And
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: alvarez not totally impressed by his lack of control in the,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Minors so an over might make sense in this. Game
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: if you want to just shoot blindly at this Game Mets.
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: Detroit you already know WHAT i have in that, game
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: BUT i will save that for the best bet, segment
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: which oh, SHIT i, forgot, Man i'll just do the
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: graphic at the. END i always forget to put the graphic, up.
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Man for each one of these segments Here toronto At.
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati looking at this on the surface and knowing what
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: these home road splits are between these two, Pitchers, BASICALLY
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: i kind of Wanted cincinnati in this. Game i'm not
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: gonna give it out as a, play But cincinnati did
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: just end a five game loss, streak and a lot
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: of times when you do, that that will end that
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: losing momentum and propel you into the next. Game we Know,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: cincinnati they're kind of fighting for their lives here to
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: try to stay in the playoff. Race so after that bad,
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: stretch breaking that losing momentum with a win Over Saint louis,
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: YESTERDAY i think that's a good. SIGN i think it's
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: a positive spot For cincinnati coming in Here. Toronto, yes
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: they still need to keep, playing as they're not that
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: far ahead of The yankees and The Red sox in
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: The Al. East, Here toronto's coming off a pretty big
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: series Against, milwaukee and they did win yesterday Against, milwaukee
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: so they got a win to finish that. Series now they're.
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: TRAVELING i believe they're starting a road trip, here so
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: a lot of times you just start a road, trip
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: you are. Focused they're going out with a little bit of,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: momentum but will it be any sort of letdown spot
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: off of Beating Milwaukee and probably. NOT i, mean both
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: of these teams do need to focus as far as
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: remaining in the playoff hunt and remaining like where they
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: want to be in the playoff. Seating as far as
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the bullpens are, Concerned toronto's bullpen has actually tailed off
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: quite a. Bit like you really got to keep an
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: eye on the shifts here because teams can actually move
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: up and drop down fairly. Quickly as far as what
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: their bullpennyra is on the, season which is pretty, Insane
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: toronto's actually dropped off quite a. Bit they're down to
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: seventeenth and bullpenny Ra milwaukee's. Tenth So milwaukee has a better.
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Bullpen the hitting is better on The toronto side in this,
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: game WHICH i forgot to even mention in the previous.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: Game we have a better hitting On miami Than washington as,
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: well by the, way so does have a hitting edge
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: and a bullpen edge if you want to take any
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: of that into. Account but, Yeah toronto in this, game
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: they have the better. Offense OH i was talking About Toronto.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: MILWAUKEE i might even Saying toronto has the better, offense
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: And CINCINNATI i believe has a better bullpend. Here yeahs
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: their bullpenny iras thirteenth in all of baseball this, season So.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: CINCINNATI i essentially Think cincinnati has a better pitching all
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: around in this. Game, Sorry i'm kind of out of
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: it this morning, here But Chris bassett is pitching for
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: The Blue. Jays he hasn't been that good. Recently, Man
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: he's had a decent season. OVERALL i, know like professional
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: betters have been talking about him very. Positively and he's
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: got this like weird like. Fastball he throws a lot
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: of different like moving, fastballs doesn't really come out of
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: blow guys away. Though and he's a guy that's had
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: a decent, career but not like a stellar. Career and
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: he's towards the end of it. Now so it's, like,
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: WELL i don't think at the age of thirty, six
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: all of a, sudden this guy's gonna become like an amazing.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Pitcher he's got a four point one FOUR era this,
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: year one point three to three, whip so you, know
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: his numbers are very very. Mediocre his numbers on his
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: career are actually slightly better than that of the last,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: year his numbers got significantly, worse so he does seem
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: to be kind of hitting the tail end of his
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: career here a little. Bit this, year he's way worse
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: on the road six point ONE era on the road
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: this month three point six to SEVENTY ra might look pretty,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: good But toronto's lost four of his five, starts have
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: actually lost five of his last, six and this month
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: he's just not going that deep into games. Anymore. Man
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: he's failed to go six innings in his last four,
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: starts and he has a twenty seven to fourteen strike
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio this, month so his command has not
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: been very good this. Month up against The, reds he
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: does have good numbers, though in fifty three at bats
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: fifteen to two strikeout walk ratio to aweight batting average
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: allowed and five seventy six, ops so his matchup numbers
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: give me a little bit of pause. Here. Though, bassett
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: he's not a good form right. NOW i think he's
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: the lesser of these two pitchers. Here he's the less
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: talented of the. Two Hunter green pitcher For, cincinnati very
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: very talented young pitcher, here and of Course bassett is
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: also really bad on the. Road Remember Hunter green having
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: a really good, season although he missed some of it
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: due to. INJURY i always point out his ability to
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: vomit on the mound mid, throw which is another talent of.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: His he's got a two point eight ONE era this,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: year point nine to seven, whip really really good. Numbers
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: he's really good at home one point EIGHT, era even
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: though this is a hitter friendly. Ballpark he's been good
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: this month with a twenty one to two strikeout walk,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: ratio really nice command, numbers and he did that Against
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: philadelphia and The dodgers as, well did okay and both
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: did really well Against, philly and did okay against The
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: dodgers on the, road which is not an easy. Assignment
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: actually pitched well against The milwaukee in his last start
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: before he got injured In june as. Well but since coming,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: back LIKE i, said he has three starts In august
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: twenty one to two strike out walk, ratio three point
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: one TWO era over that, span and the other start
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: that he has a twelve strikeout performance Against, anaheim which
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: is also. Solid his numbers against The Blue jays are
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: actually not good though in thirty at bats has a
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: six six strikeout walk, ratio has allowed four home, runs
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: which is way too, much two of them to bishet
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: four hundred batting average in one thy five hundred oh.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: Ps so the pitcher's matchup numbers don't really align with
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: WHAT i kind of want to do in this, game
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i do lean To cincinnati in this. Game it
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: looks like the money line initially dropped on them from
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty five to minus one. Sixteen But toronto's
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: getting a lot of the public ticket action here seventy
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets and seventy three percent of the. Cash, yeah,
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: again my lean is slightly To cincinnati in this, one
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: JUST i think the pitching matchup does favor. Them as
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: far as the, BULLPENS i, mean LIKE i, SAID i
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Think cincinnati actually at this point has the better of
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: the two, Bullpends So i'm kind of leaning in that.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: Way as far as the bullpen, USAGE i guess we
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: could look at that real. Quick cincinnati used three relievers,
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: yesterday pretty standard amount of usage from them. Recently toronto
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: actually used, Five So toronto doesn't have a whole lot
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: of arms in their bullpen that they didn't use. Yesterday
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: SO i think the bullpen situation is actually Favored cincinnati as,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: Well so that would be my lean here And cincinnati
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: being a. Favorite you, know the public's gonna take a
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: look at this and look at the team's records basically and.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Think AND i think the public has kind of a
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: positive feel For bassett. Too but they're gonna, think, oh,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: well Since toronto has like a record that's ten games,
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: better so how AM i getting them as an? Underdog? Right,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: so but The Blue jays are only five hundred on the.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Road cincinnati is above five hundred at, home So cincinnati
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: does play better at. Home Harvey spector the man From,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: suits what's up? MAN i am Definitely i'm definitely a
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: fan Of. Suits. Man you don't want me to jump the?
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: Gun do you give out the? Low, well nothing is
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: a lock in sports. Betting you don't want me to
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: jump the gun, though? Right you gotta wait for the
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: best bets, segment, man or if you don't want, to
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: then you can Check can you check the video? Later
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be on. YouTube you can check out the
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: end of the video. Later, yeah what's up? Man thanks
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: for hanging. Out. Man if you if you hang around
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: to the, end you'll get what my best bets. Are
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: But i'm not calling anything a. Lock nothing nothing is a.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Lock anything can. Happen BUT i kind of already alluded
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: to the fact that one of my plays is the
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: one that's listed in the description. Here It's Mets tigers
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: under The, Total so that is one of the TWO i.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: AM i am an. UNDERTAKER i like, unders AND i
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: actually like the under in this game Here Cleveland, boston
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Although i'm not gonna give this out as a, play but, yes,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: sir hell, yeah, DUDE i kind of want to go
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: back and watch suits a. Game. Man, NOW i have
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: the themes song stuck in my head. Again the Greenback,
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: boat which is what is IT'S i am a. ROBOT
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: i think it is the band which is what's the guy's?
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: NAME i forget the guy's. Name he had another band
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: that was more. POPULAR i can't even. Remember, man all
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: these indie bands back in the. Day you like The. Tigers,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: today the, MARKET i, think seems to agree with. You
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: BUT i actually kind of disagree with The tigers. Side
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: BUT i ACTUALLY i like the under better in that. Game,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: manaya you want to touch, him you think he's. Hot
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: it's kind of, gay. BRO i, ACTUALLY i MEAN i
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: like both starting pitchers actually in that. Game believe it or.
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: Not cleveland and The Red, sox, THOUGH i kind of
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: like both of these starting pitchers, too AND i don't
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: like that The Red sox are getting all these matchups
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: that don't really seem to favor. Them The Red sox
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: are staying at. Home they just lost the series To.
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: PITTSBURGH i, mean they got kind of unlucky and Drew
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: Paul skeens in that. Series but they also got a,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: really really horrific start From Dustin, may who probably needs
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: to go. Away he needs to go the way Of
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: Walker Buell. Or that was a terrible trade for The Red,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: sox WHICH i said at the, Time cleveland just lost
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: a five or four game win. Streak excuse, me So,
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: cleveland when you lose a wind streak like, that sometimes
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: you will be hung over a little bit into the next.
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: Game but they're Playing, boston so they might step it
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: up For boston Because cleveland doesn't really have a whole
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: lot else to play for, here they pretty much know
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: they're not making the. Playoffs The Red sox do have
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: more motivation, though because they're in the battle potentially for the,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: division and they're of course battling for a wildcard. Spot,
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: Here Red sox have the better offense. Significantly cleveland's offense is.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Terrible Red sox actually have the slightly better bullpend as,
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Well but we're looking at two good bullpens. Here believe
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: it or. Not cleveland's bullpen continues to pitch pretty well
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: and they're pretty well rested coming into this. Game even Though,
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: cleveland you, know they lost A CLASS a due to
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: his gambling habits and pitching like he had money on
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: the games that you probably. Did Red sox had a
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: little bit more bullpend usage and they did Use chapman
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: yesterday who's been excellent for, them so he's probably unavailable.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: Today we'll see what happens as far as that. Goes
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: but the BULLPENDS i think are all right to be
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: looking at a full game under. Here Parker messick is
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: pitching For cleveland. Here he's a rookie and he's off
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: to a nice start to his. Career Man he's only
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: made two, starts but his first start was a difficult
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: draw At. ARIZONA a good hitting team hit her friendly,
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: ballpark and he only allowed one run in six to
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: two thirds six. Strikeouts he followed that up with a
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: seven inning shutout Against Tampa bay at, home with also
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: six strikeouts and no, walks so he's only allowed one
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: run so far across those two, starts wave, strikeouts one.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: Walk his command has been very on point man and
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: when a team has never faced him, before which is
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: the case here at The Red, sox the pitcher tends
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: to have a little bit of an edge early. On
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: if they're a good young pitcher like. This the other
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: team has to kind of take a couple of the
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: bats to figure out what he's even throwing at, Them
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: SO i Think messik does have an advantage. Here Brian
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: bao is pitching for The Red. Sox he's got a
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: really NICE ra two point nine to ninety. Ray his
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: whip is a little bit higher one point two to.
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: One he's only slightly worse at home three point zero SEVENTY.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: Ra but As i've pointed out With bao multiple, times
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: he has gotten better as the season has gotten has gone.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: ON i think he's kind of out of his own
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: head now at, least so he's not walking as many
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: guys because the command was really his. Problem but he's
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: been pretty good this. Month The Red sox have won
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: four of his five, starts they. Won five of his last,
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: six he's allowed two or fewer on runs and all
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: of those starts except, one which was a road start
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: At San, diego and he didn't do well in that.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: ONE i, mean it's a picture friendly, ballpark but he
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: still didn't do. Well but it looks like kind of
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: a blip because he bounced back, nicely had a really
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: good start against The yankees a couple starts back two
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: point two to seventy ray this, month twenty five to
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: six strikeout walk. Ratio bao does not have good numbers
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: against The cleveland offense, though in twenty four at bats,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: three three strike out walk ratio three seventy five average
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: allowed on twenty eight. Ohps not really good numbers there From,
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: bao ALTHOUGH i kind of expect him to pitch better
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: though it just because he has gotten better. Recently the
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: money is ACTUALLY i, mean it looks like it initially
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: came in against The Red sox to drop the money
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: line down for minus one fifty five to minus one
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of tickets ninety seven percent of the
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: cash on, them which seems like an inaccurate. Number Red
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: sox are, public but it does seem like maybe some
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: of the money is joining the. Public BUT i think
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: the under is the better way to look in this.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Game LIKE i, said the totals dropped a little bit
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: to eight and a half juice to the, under seventy
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: four percent of, tickets ninety five percent of cash on the.
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: UNDER i can tell you Because i'm IN boss and
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: it is not very warm out. Here it'll be probably
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: well it's an afternoon, game so it will probably be
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: somewhere around seventy, degrees but so it's not really that
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: hot because the heat tends to like lend itself more towards.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: OVERS i know it's a it's an over. Ballpark of,
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: course it's a hitter friendly. Ballpark but when you got
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: a really bad off Like, cleveland you got The Red
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: sox who might not be able to figure Out. Messick
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: he got some pretty good bullpens. HERE i. THINK i
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: think it's a situation where the under does make. Sense, Messick,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: yeah people don't know who he is. YET i didn't
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: know what to expect out of. HIM i don't Think
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: i've given out a play on any of his, games
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: but he's looked. Good nats are. Favorite it's Because miami
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: hasn't even listed a starter. YET i Think miami is
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: going with a bullpen game, here so they might USE
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: i don't know who they even used. YESTERDAY i looked
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: a little while. Ago so either they're gonna call somebody
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: up just to see what they, have or it might
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: be Like baozo or somebody like that out of the
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: bullpen to come. In if it Is, beozo he will
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: probably go like at least three or four. Innings, Though
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: braves and D backs, today there is sort of there's a,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: spot there's a situation where maybe The braves somewhat make,
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: sense BUT i actually think both teams are in a
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: bad spot in that. ONE i forget WHAT i WHAT
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: i even thought about the D, backs ALTHOUGH i ACTUALLY
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: i THINK i don't like The dbacks because they're coming
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: off of a big series against against The. Dodgers yeah,
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: Right i'm out of my mind here, Man. Miami, yeah
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: so they didn't Use baozo, yesterday so it actually could
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: be him, if like if they just have a hole
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: in their rotation right. Now but remember It's september call ups,
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: though SO i think probably what is more likely here
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: is That miami is actually probably gonna call somebody up
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: to make this start because they know they're not going
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: anywhere this, year so this is the time of year
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: to do it. Right it's a low pressure situation against
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: a Bad washington. Offense So miami may call somebody up
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: From TRIPLE, a LIKE i don't know who they, have
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: but like just to see what they might have in
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: whoever it is that they call Up Arizona Covert well,
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: yeah but well making me angry again because, yeah the
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: cover yesterday was Bullshit And i'm not just saying that
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i gave up The dodgers run line as a play.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: There but The dodgers had a four to one lead
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: in the eighth inning in that. GAME i Mean, ARIZONA
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: i mean they don't really have anything else to play
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: for it at this, point and they're coming off a,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: massive massive, series SO i think there is A SO
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: i will, Say, ARIZONA i think they have the better
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: of the pitching, matchup BUT i think the, situation the
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: situational spot goes the other way in that. Game so
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: it's a conflict of which one do you think matters,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: more which is Why i'm not gonna give out a
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: play on that. Game but that's, LIKE i have conflicting
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: opinions on that. Game, Really anaheim Att. Houston houston lost,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: yesterday so they're. Now oddly, enough this series went through
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: the weekend and they're finishing the series On. MONDAY i
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: guess maybe it's A Labor day, thing BUT i think
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: this is the only series that's doing. That houston lost
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: the middle two games of the, series including getting shut out.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: Yesterday houston not scoring a lot of runs right now,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: again their offense is mired in another. Slump the slump
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: continues for The Houston, bats even Though anaheim's pitching is
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: not very, good especially their. Bullpen houston obviously has the
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: better bullpen. Here as far as the, Offense houston's offense
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: has dropped off so, significantly although looking at their overall
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: ops this, SEASON i think they still actually have The,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: yeah they still are actually a better offense Than anaheim,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: is which is. CRAZY i don't know If i'd Give
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: houston that much credit offensively right. Now. Though houston's bullpen
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: is in pretty good shape right now, though because they
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: use McCullers out of the bullpen to pretty much save
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: they're better. Relievers well, though remember a hater is still
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: hurt For, houston so they got some bullpen injury issues.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: Here anaheim's bullpen is still obviously the worst, bullpen, THOUGH
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: i mean they're one of the worst bullpens in. Baseball
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: they're at least rested as far As anheims bullpen is,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: concerned But houston's got the bullpen edge. Here starting pitching
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: Yuse kakuchi For anaheim three point six's EIGHTY, ra but
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: that makes them look better than he actually is because
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: his whip is one point four to, three which is
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: definitely too. High he's he walks way too many, guys,
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: man and he is pretty bad on the road five
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: point twenty five y on the. Road this, month he
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: has not been good five point five FOUR era twenty
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: four to ten strike out walk. Ratio he's failed to
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: even make it past four innings in two of his
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: last three. Starts one of them was at The A's
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: TRIPLE a stadium that they play. In that hitters just
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: launched the ball out of that, Park so you can
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: forgive him for, that but you probably can't forgive him
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: for pitching terribly last time out Against texas in a
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: pitcher front the ballpark against an offense that is the
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: lowest scoring at home in. Baseball so that was really
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: really a bad. Start so he is bad on the, road,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: man and he's bad Against houston and one hundred and
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: forty six at, bats thirty seven to thirteen strike at
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: walker ratio is not. Great two eighty eight batting, average
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: nine h nine ops. Allowed, houston they hit him, well
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: and they're really familiar with. Him Luis garcia is pitching For.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: Houston this is pretty interesting because he actually hasn't pitched
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: since twenty twenty. Three he must have been he must
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: have Had Tommy john. Surgery that's the thing these, days,
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: man everybody's everybody missing the twenty twenty four season and
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: get getting a little bit OF tj over. There Luis
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: garcia actually has had a pretty good career starting in
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty or the last season that he had twenty twenty.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: Three you can't really dig into those numbers too much
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: because he only made six, starts but in his two full,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: seasons the two prior, seasons he was actually really. Good
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: he had a three point five to three m one
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: point one to six whip over his entire career with
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: a three point three strikeout walk. Ratio so that's all.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: Solid i'd completely forgotten about this, guy but he's coming.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: Back and when a guy like this comes, back if
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: he's a, VETERAN i don't know if you consider him
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: to be a veteran because he's only been in the
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: league's his twenty. Twenty but when veterans come back from
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: injuries like, this they usually get really pumped. Up AND
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: i think it's gonna like pump him up more that
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: he's On, houston so he's on a contending. TEAM i
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna be really excited to get back out there,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: man and want to throw a good game like. That
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: actually tends to be the case more often than, not
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: at least if it's a guy that's pitched in the
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: league for a. While although he's still fairly. Young but
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: we'll see what happens with. Him BUT i think it
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: is actually a good. SITUATION i think the team will
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: get excited as well to back them. Up and they're
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be pissed because they got shut out By anaheim. Yesterday,
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: MAN i Mean. HOUSTON i think they're gonna come out
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: with some fire. HERE i Mean. Houston they're trying to
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: hang on to the division lead. Here they got something
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: to play For. Anaheim, YES i mean they're gonna be
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: motivated because they're playing their division. Rival But anaheim obviously
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: they know they're not making the playoffs, here And anaheim
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: still is one of the worst run differentials in all of.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: Baseball garcia does have some history Against. Anaheim fifty six at,
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: bats fourteen to nine strike out walk ratio is not.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: Good three on them runs, ALLOWED i, mean could be,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: better but he's helped them to a two to fifty.
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: Average at least eight thirty six ohps is a little bit, high.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: Though But i'm gonna lean Towards houston in this, game,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: man and Towards. Garcia houston down for minus one forty
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: five to minus one forty two on the money, line
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of, tickets ninety four percent of the.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: Cash SO i mean the, PUBLIC i, mean they're pretty
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: obviously gonna be On, houston BUT i think they might
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: actually have this one. RIGHT i, mean the public is
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: not always wrong or THOUGH i think generally you want
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: to go against, them but in this, MATCHUP i Think
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: houston has the edge across the board in this, game
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: to be, Honest so their bats are gonna wake up
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: at some, point and this might be a good spot
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: to do it With, kakuchi who doesn't pitch well against them,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: historically isn't good on the, road And anaheim is a
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: terrible bullpend. Too so one other way to look at
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: it Is houston to go over their team, total which
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: is gonna seem a little bit dangerous with how poorly
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: their offense has been playing, Recently but that might be
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: another way to look at, it because, this to, me
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's a spot That houston should wake up.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: Offensively White sox are At, minnesota and The White sox
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: have not decided on a starter yet. Either they're also
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: coming off beating The New York yankees, yesterday So i'm
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: happy about that obviously as A Red sox. Fan The White,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: SOX i mean that also ended their wins. Strike of,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: course my ad blocker keeps popping. UP i hate how
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: it fucking does that whenever it updates it like Fucking
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: terrify brings them a new fucking tab or. Whatever maybe
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: maybe there's some settings WHERE i can get rid of.
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: That but, yeah The White sox they ended a lost,
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: streak so on the one, hand that's a good thing for.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: Them momentum, wise that could kill that losing momentum they
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: had where they lost five straight, games might propel them
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: forward a little. Bit they get to start a road,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: trip so starting the road trip tends to be a
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: bit of a positive, spot but when you beat The
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: yankees could be a little bit of a letdown. Spot,
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: man it was a dramatic win. Too is they won
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: with A sosa home, run Not samy so So Lenon,
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: sosa the comedy version Of sosa hit a home run
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: in the bottom of the. EIGHTH i guess to get that,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: WIN i gave out The White, sox not as a,
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: play but as a. LEAN i gave them out first
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: five innings in the game. Yesterday didn't even see if
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: it was correct or. Not it looks like it was
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: not because The White sox tied it in the bottom
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: of the Six so, Sorry but then unless you got
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half, runs because it was probably
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: a pretty big run. Line BUT i don't know anyway.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: Yet so The White, sox on the one, HAND i
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: could see it being a positive spot momentum continue, over
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: AND i could see it being a letdown spot as. Well,
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: minnesota they just they're staying at. Home they did just
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: Beat San, diego which is a pretty big series. Win
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: had a pretty nice game. Yesterday nice pitching performance From
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: Joe ryan yesterday From. Minnesota of, Course Joe ryan is
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: not on the mound For minnesota. Here it Is Bailey ober,
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: today who has not had a very good season five
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: point one FOUR era one point three to four. Whip
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: he's better at home, though four point four to SIX,
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: era and he's been better this. MONTH i Mean Ober
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: he's a guy that usually has pretty good command, numbers
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: like his strikeout walk numbers are usually, good but he
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: usually gives up a lot of home, runs a lot of,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: hits and that's kind of been the case this. Month
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: he's got a four point six SEVEN era twenty two
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: to three strike out walk ratio is pretty good, though
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: and he has a lot more than four and runs
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: in any of his. Starts but so he's. Consistentlyast he
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: kind of just gives you a mediocre start every time
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: he gets out. There he doesn't walk a lot of.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Guys he'll give up like three or four runs and
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: five or six innings pretty much most of the times
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: he's out. There so he actually bounced back nicely after
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: he got injured because he was on a really bad.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: Trajectory But minnesota also can't, hit so they're, like they're
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: still not giving him a lot of run. Support they
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: lost four more games in a row of his before
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: they finally want to, start which wasn't even a really
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: good start of his last time out Against. Toronto you,
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: know ten hits in four runs and five innings not.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: Good But minnesota does have the better bullpen out of the.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: TWO i, Think, actually Maybe i'm wrong about. That The
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: White sox bullpen has been better. Recently hang, on, actually,
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: YEAH i am wrong about. That The White sox bullpen
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: has actually moved up quite a. Bit so The White
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: sox actually have the better. Bullpen Now minnesota has the better,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: OFFENSE i believe it. Is The White sox offense is
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: just very. Putrid, yeah third worst in, baseball only better ops,
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: wise at least In cleveland And. Colorado oh, no excuse, Me,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh Not, Colorado colorado's fourth Worst White. Sox he's four
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday, Though and who are we talking about?
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: Again oh, Yeah. Minnesota minnesota used, one So minnesota's bullpen
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: is actually way more, rested at least so that might
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: kind of counter the bullpen disadvantage they might have, here but,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: again we don't know Who chicago starter is gonna. Be
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: minnesota's line is a minus one seventy, favorite and the
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: totals at nine. HERE i, mean, HONESTLY i don't know
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: what to really tell you about this game what to
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: do with. It Ober by the, way does have pretty
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: good numbers against The White, sox although only five of
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: their hitters have ever faced him before forty three at,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: bats nine, strikeouts two, walks one to eighty six average
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: four to fifty five. Ops so, AGAIN i, MEAN i
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: guess do with that information what you. Will White sox
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: maybe going with a bullpen game in this, one, though
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: so it is even though ober is doing a little bit,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: better he tends to do well against The White. SOX i,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: MEAN i could potentially still see this being an over
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: type of game, though even though the offense is a
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: really not that. GOOD A Saint louis is gonna be
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: my other, player So i'll give that out at the
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: end of the. Show atlanta and The cubs here Are
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Harvey spector Likes atlanta and this. One WHEN i INITIALLY
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: i talked about this, game briefly, yesterday and WHEN i
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: looked at, it ALL i was looking at WAS, whoa
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: The cubs are returning home from a long road trip, here,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: man The cubs went to The Pacific, coast two games
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: on The Pacific coast and then Into elevation In, colorado
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: and now they're returning home from that road. Trip teams
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: returning home from road, trips AS i always, say they
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: tend to be a bit. Distracted they have to get
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: back to family. Life and when they're playing a team Like, atlanta,
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: who even though they have a lot of name, recognition
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: everybody knows they're out of it this. Year so The
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: cubs might actually lack and focus here in a spot like.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: This even though The cubs they're still, contending they're trying
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: to make a playoff spot. HERE i, MEAN i think
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: it's pretty obvious they, will but it looks like they're
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: probably gonna not win the division, here although they still
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: have reason to, play of, course but it's almost like
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: they're locked into like a top wildcard spot at this.
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: Point close to That atlanta. Though The the problem IS
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: i wasn't thinking about. This atlanta is now starting the
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: third straight road trip they're having traveling From. Philadelphia the
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: problem THAT i have with this Is atlanta is in
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: like kind of a major letdown spot because they played
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: On Sunday night baseball Against. Philly that was a huge
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: divisional matchup for. Them they've lost all three other games
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: in the, series and they won last night with a
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: two run home run and the ninth, inning a dramatic
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: win On NATIONAL tv late. Night and now they have
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: to turn around quick turnaround, time so they have less
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: rest than The cubs, do and they have to go
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: out on the road to face The. Cubs so it's
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for both. Teams. Man, unfortunately BECAUSE i
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: was looking at, IT i was thinking the same way
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: As harvey, initially AND i was, Like, oh The braves
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: look like they might be a side to look at
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: in this game because of The. Cubs we're turning over
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: from a road. Trip Then i'm, like oh, shit The
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: braves are in The sunday night, game, Man and then
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: they have that dramatic win off of that against that divisional.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: Rival now The braves don't really have a whole lot
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: to play for at this, point but because they're facing The,
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: cubs they know The cubs are. Good it may still
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: be a situation Where atlanta does show up and wants
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: to play. WELL i, mean you're playing against a team
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: that has a lot of history behind, them of, course
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: and a team that's one of the better teams in
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: baseball this. Year cubs have the better offense in this game.
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: HERE i would say they have the better bullpen as. Well,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: GENERALLY i think that is, true BUT i gotta look
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: at the bullpen usage. Year, Yeah cubs only use three relievers,
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: yesterday But palencia only through four, pitches so he's probably
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: available again if they really want him to be a
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: four for The, braves and DoD only through three, pitches
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: so bullpen's are fairly well. RESTED i do Think atlanta
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: has the better starter on the, mound at, least he's
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: the guy who's a lot younger and has a way
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: higher ceiling With Spencer. Strider but he's been struggling this. Year.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: Man he's he's been trying to come back from. INJURY
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: i think he missed an entire. Season he's coming back
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: From Tommy john, surgery and he's shown glimpses of being
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: his former, self and he looks really good in some,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: starts but he's also been awful in some starts this,
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: year and his numbers kind of reflect that. Mediocrity are at,
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: best four point nine to FIVE, vra one point three
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: to EIGHT whip not good numbers this, year a little
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: bit worse on the, road five point ONE era this
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: month pretty, bad ten point one to THREE era really. Bad,
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: actually thirteen to six strike at walk. Ratio so his
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate actually has gone way, down and that is
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: concerning because he is a strikeout pitcher, Typically so the
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: fact that his strikeout rate is that far, down that's
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: not a great. Sign and neither is the fact that
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: he's allowed seven home runs this. Month that's not a
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: good sign. Either but he is coming off a really
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: good start in his last, down except that he only
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: had three, strikeouts but he Helped miami to one run
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: in seven, innings three, hits two, Walks so potentially he's
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: coming back into form. Here But miami is not a
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: very prolific, offense and we know that The cubs are
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: really good, offense even THOUGH i know The cubs have
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: struggled over the last couple of weeks or so, offensively
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: but they are still a good. Offense atlanta has lost
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: striders last four or. Starts he did struggle in his
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: recent starts against good offenses against The Mets milwaukee didn't
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: do all in those, starts and he actually got bombed
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: by The White sox as, well so that's not a
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: good sign. Either it's really difficult to figure out if
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: that last start From strider is gonna be kind of
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: a blip and if he's gonna be bad again, here
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: or if he's actually gonna pitch. Better it's actually really
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: really difficult to figure him out right. Now his numbers
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: against The, cubs they don't have a whole lot of
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: history against. Him they have five guys who have faced him.
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Before they're only two for sixteen with no Extra, basely
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: it's five strikeouts and no, walks so good numbers For
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: stride are very limited sample, though one twenty five average
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: two fifty. Ops he's going up Against Colin, ray who
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: has had an alright. Season he's not REALLY i, mean
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: he's not his talented As stride er. As he's not
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: a guy that comes out there and blows people. Away
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: he's like towards the end of his, career he actually
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: spent some years In japan and then came back to the.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: Majors he's doing alright this year four point two to
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: THREE era one point three to Two whip actually has
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: better numbers than Stride or on the. Season ray has
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: at least been more consistent four point zero SIX era at,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: home so he's slightly better at home going up against
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: The braves, Here ray hasn't done that well against. Him
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: at forty four at bats twelve four strike out walk
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: ratios al, right two seventy three batting average nine to
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: twenty four oh ps is pretty. High he's a lot
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: four home runs to, them two of them From, frayley
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: who's also six for twelve off, Them so maybe player
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: prop potential. There hits plus runs plus RBIs is usually
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: WHAT i recommend for. That so how do we even
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: approach this? Game? MAN i, mean it's really really difficult
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: to figure this game. Out it looks like the cash
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: percentage is on the side of The, cubs even though
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: they initially dropped from minus one twenty five to minus one.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Sixteen you see fifty percent of the tickets on each
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: side and then sixty three percent of the cash on The. Cubs,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: SO i, mean this one is difficult for me to. Read,
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: Man i'm not going to say That harvey is wrong
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: out With atlanta. HERE i, mean there are definitely some
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: reasons to maybe lean Towards atlanta, here especially that If
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: strider is actually his best, self he's certainly the better
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: of these two. Pitchers but that's a big if, so
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: and it doesn't look like a strikeout number is, increased
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: so that seems to indicate against him a little. Bit
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: very very difficult to figure it. Out but the money
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: is also coming in in the. Under interesting, me there's
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: kind of some strong market indication on the under down
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: from eight juice to the under to seven and a
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: half juice to the. Under sixty one percent of tickets
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: are on the. Over of, Course Braves, cubs you know
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: the public's gonna come in on and over here seventy
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets coming in on the. Under, though
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: you got to guess that part of the reason why
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: the total is this low has to be that because
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: It's Wriggly, field it must be that the wind is
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: blowing in this. Time Because, wrigly The lake effect wind
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: has more of an effect in this stadium than any
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: other stadium in. Baseball so you'll see like wild variants
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: in the total based on just the. Wind so that's
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: part of the reason. WHY i, MEAN i see some
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: arguments maybe FOR i, MEAN i don't even know IF
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: i actually really do see any arguments for an, under
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: to be, honest other than the fact that both teams
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: are in bad, spots so it might me and the
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: hitters are kind of a little bit distracted on both.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: Sides that's really the one argument MAYBE i could see
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: for the. Under this is a very very difficult game to, read,
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: MAN i JUST i don't even THINK i CAN i
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: can have a lean on, this to be. HONEST i,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: MEAN i, MEAN i told you what the market is.
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: Saying that's basically WHAT i can. DO i mean a
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: game like, THIS i kind of just have to default
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: to like what the market is. Saying so it's almost
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: like the under is actually still the best play in this,
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: game but seems risky to. Me so it's very very difficult. Game,
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: HARVEY i, APOLOGIZE i. DON'T i don't have a stronger
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: opinion on that. GAME i. Apologize but if you've been On,
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: ATLANTA i hope you win. It philadelphia At. Milwaukee milwaukee
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: is returning home from a road, trip but they only
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: went To, toronto so it was a short road. Trip
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: the long road trips actually tend to have more of an,
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: Effect like The cubs are in a situation like when
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: you're not away from home for that, long you kind
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: have less to take care of when you get back.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: Home this is obviously a big. Series it's gonna be
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: a potential playoff previous series here Between milwaukee and The,
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: phillies SO i don't really see either team overlooking each
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: other in this. Game both teams are trying to get
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: make sure that they get a playoff spot other than
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: they want Here milwaukee they have a little bit more
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: padding in their, division though of Course, PHILADELPHIA i think
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: The mets are closer to them Than milwaukee's lead on
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: The cubs. Here it's only a slight difference. THOUGH i
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: Think philadelphia just lost a win. Streak of, course they'd
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: won the first three games Against, atlanta and they lost
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: dramatically last night ON Espn Sunday Night, baseball and they
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: have to quickly turn around and fly out To. Milwaukee
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: so it's not a great spot For philadelphia just because
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: of the quick turnaround. Time even though usually starting a
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: road trip will focus, you but in this spot seems
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult for them on the quick turnaround,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: Here milwaukee only these two relief pitchers, yesterday Including, myers
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: who's one of their long relief guys who's been in
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: the rotation a, bit so their better relievers are basically still,
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: available except Remember, miguil their closer is still out right
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: now because he got hurt last. Week and they're all
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: going up Against. Philly philly has the worst of the
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: two bullpens, anyway and they used four relief pitchers, yesterday
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: So philly definitely has the worst of the two. Bullpens.
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: PHILLY i would Say philly has the better, hitting Though
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: philly is at, sixth actually tied with The cubs in
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: ops right. Now milwaukee's not far behind though at tenth on,
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: offense so both team's pretty good. Offensively but we all
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: know that starting. Pitching you got to tilt the scales
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: Towards milwaukee and the starting. Pitching but it's gonna depend
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: on what you get out of miss who's pitching for them,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: today because he's been a roller coaster so far in
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: his rookie. Season Taiwan walker is pitching for The. Phillies he's,
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: ACTUALLY i guess a little bit more. Predictable he's got
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: a three point six to THREE. Era one point three
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: to three whip is not. Great that's definitely too. High
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: he's been better on the road three point SIX. Era
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: on the. Road he's been okay this month with a
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: three point one to forty seventeen to seven strike out walk.
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: Ratio he just doesn't strike that many guys. Out he's
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: not walking a lot of, guys not allowing a lot
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: of home. Runs he's allowed four fewer and runs in
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: every start actually going all the way. Back, well he
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: was in the bullpen prior to, that so actually since
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: joining the rotation he hasn't a lot more than four
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: and runs than any. Started that was only once at The,
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: Mets so he's actually been limiting the damage at the
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: very least limiting the opponent's offense is to like three
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: or fewer runs and basically all of his starts he
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: doesn't go that deep. Though he basically gets you like five,
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: innings keeps you in the. Game that's kind of what
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: he does at this. Point walker up against The, brewers
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: let me see not good numbers forty at, bats three seventy,
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: five batting average one thy sixty nine, ohps so his
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: numbers are not. Good in the matchup, here he's going
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: up Against, missierowski LIKE i, said the extremely talented rookie
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: arm for The brewers. Here WHO i, mean, dude he's
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: throwing one hundred miles an hour like more often than
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: any pitcher in. Baseball but he's had some struggles so.
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: Far he's got a four point three to THREE, era
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: one point one whip is obviously. Good he started out really.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: Good he was like virtually unhittable in his first couple of.
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: Outings since, then he hasn't been as, good although he
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: has been good at home the whole, time two point
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: one SIX era at, home which is where we get him.
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: Here last time out at, home he went five, innings
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: three earned runs allowed Against. Arizona they're good, offense but
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: he struck out, ten had one, walk four hits, allowed
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: but the ten. Strikeouts, again he's a high strikeout rate pitcher.
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Man but this, MONTH i, mean he hasn't Had he's
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: had some really ugly appearances this month though they were
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: both on the. Road one of them was like a
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: start where he was coming back from, injury so he
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: didn't dwell Against cincinnati coming back from, injury so maybe
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: you give him a pass for. That but since then
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: he's improved with each outing against the clubs In, arizona
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: so not facing easy offenses to face either, here so
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: that's at least a good sign he's improving. Again he's
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: going up against The, phillies, though who are also a
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: really good. Offense of, course The phillies have never seen
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: him before except for Bay it or a zero for too,
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: often But misierowski that means he's unfamiliar to The phillies,
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: hitters so he should have a little bit of an
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: advantage Because philly has never seen him. Before said is
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: a slight edge To missierowski There, again offenses have to
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: take their time to kind of figure out what that
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: picture is gonna throw at. Them the money, first the
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: money line did drop On milwaukee now for minus one,
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: sixty but it looks like the money might actually slightly
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: be coming in On milwaukee now eighty four percent of,
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty five percent of the cash on. Them you,
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: know the public is gonna come in on The misierowski
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: is not really a secret at this, point So milwaukee's
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: definitely a public. SIDE i kind of lean that way
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: though it to on The milwaukee, side but it looks
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: like the money IS i, mean there's just it's too
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: public a side really for, me and the money line
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: movement would scare me a little bit on that, one
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: even though it does give you a better price on
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: them money slightly towards the under as. Well seventy six
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: percent to take a sixty seven percent of the cash
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: on the, over so the cash percentage less of the
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: cash is on the, over which is an indicator on the.
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: Under the juice on the undernine has gone up a little.
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: BIT i could see the argument for, that just you
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: know THE i, mean the bullpen's. Arrested although if you
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: wanted to go first five, INNINGS i think that would
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: make more sense BECAUSE i don't think either bullpen is
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: necessarily that. Trustworthy if you think you're gonna get a
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: good start out to miss here and the walker will
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: do his usual thing and just not allow that many,
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: runs maybe a first five is. Applicable but if walker
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: is gonna go out there and allow three runs of five,
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: innings that's gonna really get dicey with a first five
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: inning because you're probably looking at under four or four
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: and a half. There San francisco At. Colorado this is oh,
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: Man this is a pitching matchup between two young pitchers
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: who we don't really know exactly what they are. Yet
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: colorado beat The cubs on a walk OFF rbi triple
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: By montiac last night or yesterday. AFTERNOON i should, SAY
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: i guess So. Colorado they're staying at, home but they're
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: coming off of a nice dramatic. Win could be a
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown spot after beating The cubs like.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: That colorado doesn't have a whole lot else to play for,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: here but since it Is San francisco coming into their,
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: place maybe they will still show up focus for a
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: team that's better than they are in the. Division colorado
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: did also end a lost streaks that maybe we'll give
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: them some new found momentum. Here although we Know colorado's
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: a very bad. Team colorado's really bad, offensively their bullpen's really.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Bad San francisco has a, gigantic a giant you might,
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: say bullpen edge in this. Game as far as the,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: hitting The giants are very, bad although The rockies are
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: actually even, worse although they're a little bit better at,
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: Home so we have two bad offenses. Here The giants
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: did just win a series Against. Baltimore now they're starting
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: a road. Trip they know they're out of. It they
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: don't have a whole lot else to play. For Verlind
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: or had a weird start. Yesterday we only went five
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: innings and he threw one hundred and twenty one, pitches
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: which is maybe the most inefficient start That i've ever heard.
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Of but he allowed no, runs had ten, strikeouts four,
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: walks AND i think he allowed five hits at least
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: something like. That it was a very very bizarre start From,
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: verlander and they let him go one hundred and twenty
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: one pitches even though he's forty two years. Old very very.
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: Odd But San francisco off of, that they're going out
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: on the. Road they have some momentum. HERE i mean
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: they have won whatever that, is six of their last
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: seven games or, whatever seven of their last, eight so
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: they at least do have. MOMENTUM i don't know if
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: they'll be totally focused On colorado. Though And Kaiwai tang
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: is the starter For San francisco, here probably not a good.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: SIGN i mean he's, young but his numbers are terrible
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: this year eight point seven EIGHTY ra one point seven
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: to three, whip and, YEAH i mean HE'S i think
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: he's pitched a couple of seasons in the. Majors, now,
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: yeah he pitched a little bit last, year but he's
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: not been impressive at. All he's not gonna really get
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: you deep into any of these Out he's really probably
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: three four innings is what you're gonna get out of.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: Him has a twelve to nine strikeout walk racious as
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: he's been appearing this year only in four, apearances but
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: it's been bad for. Him COLORADO i, believe has never
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: faced him, before SO i guess he has an unfamiliarity edge.
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: There but how how significant is? That When tang has
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: been awful basically against everybody this, year it's probably pretty.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Insignificant he's going up Against Chase dollander FOR o The,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: rockies who is a young pitcher that does have decent upside.
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: Here those numbers are pretty bad this year six point
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: five five, yr one point six, whip and WHEN i
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: think is his rookie, year he's been really bad at course.
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: FIELD i, mean it kind of sucks to see a
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: guy with talent like this just get obliterated by pitching
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: in a high Elevation stadium nine point eight EIGHTY ra at,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: home it's a hitter friendly. Ballpark man this month hasn't
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: been very. Good six point zero FIVE r twenty three
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: to eleven strike out walk. Ratio it's definitely too many.
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: Walks his strikeout rate's been pretty, solid though pretty high strikeout.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: Rate he did just allow only one run in six
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: innings Against, houston but that was on the. Road he
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: still walked four. Guys so even though it's an impressive,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: start there are some negatives. There going up Against San,
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: francisco they've never seen him, before so he's actually unfamiliar to.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: Them so we have a lot of unfamiliarity. Here so
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: hilariously and as ridiculous as it, SOUNDS i think maybe
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: an under might actually make sense in this, game and
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: the money is indicating that. Way seventy nine percent of
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: tickets on the, over eighty five percent of the catch
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: in the. Under total has dropped a little bit to
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half juice to the. UNDER i, mean
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: he's still gotta worry about how good these starting pitchers
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: are gonna, be, though so it's definitely still Concerning. COLORADO i,
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: know as far as the under is, CONCERNED i don't
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: know that you want their bullpen in there. Either even
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: Though San francisco's offense is, bad San francisco's bullpen is,
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: better and they didn't use as many pitchers, yesterday so
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: their bullpen is should be. Fine as far as the Under,
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: colorado maybe, not but at least you have two pretty
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: weak offens this, year so that does help towards an under.
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: There baltimore At San. Diego San diego's are turning go
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: from a road, train but they went To seattle and
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: then To. Minnesota San, diego they're much better at. Home
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: they do need to keep. Winning they're only two games
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: back in their. Division they're trying to maintain at least
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: a wildcard spot. Here but the return home from a road,
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: trip AS i keep, saying is a distracted spot more
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: often than, Not so you tend to be a little
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: bit distracted by returning to home, life family. Life AND
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: i don't know That baltimore is really a team that's
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: gonna draw their full focus. Here so it is a
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: bad spot For San, diego and they're traveling across a
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: couple of time zones as, well Whereas baltimore are already
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: in The pacific times. Zone they were just In San
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: francisco and they got wrecked in two of the three
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: games in that, series especially yesterday in That verlander game
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: they got wrecked thirteen to. Two So baltimore might show
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: up with a little bit more intensity in this. Game
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: to be, honest they might be more focused in this.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Game San diego obviously has the better of these two.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: Bullpens the. Hitting neither team is really very good. OFFENSIVELY
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: i don't even know which team is actually better. Worse
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: at this. Point baltimore is actually sixteenth in. Ops San
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: diego is down at, eighteen so it's, close But baltimore
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: actually has a slightly better offense right. NOW i Think
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: San diego still has the better offensive talent, Though But
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: San diego used a lot of their bullpen. Yesterday, man
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: they used six relief pitchers. YESTERDAY i know it's gonna
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: be a spot where the bullpens get, extended but, Still San,
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: diego that's a ton of, bullpen you. Sage they have
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: one of the most overused bullpens right now just because
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: of the usage. Yesterday so that's not really a great
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: indicator for, them even though their bullpen usually is significantly
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: better Than baltimore's that kind of erases a lot of
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: the bullpen age they. After Is baltimore on these three
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers, yesterday And baltimore may actually get deeper into
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: this game With Kyle Bradish, bradish how do you pronounce his?
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Name pitching for The orioles, Here he's got a three
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: r and a point sixty seven. Whip it's only one,
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: start but he was good against my boss And Red,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: sox who are a pretty good offensive. Team But, BRADISH i,
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: mean he returned nicely from being. Injured. MAN i think
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: he missed a lot of. TIME i think he came
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: back From Tommy john surgery and he bitched really. Well
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: he went six, innings had ten, strikeouts no, walks gave
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: up two hour runs that were both on solo home,
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: runs only four hits. Allowed so he really kept runners
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: off the base pass in that. Game and his command
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: was like right on in that. Game just he became
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit too hittable for, power but that's a
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: good indicator moving. Forward his command was really good in that.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: Game and now he's going up Against San diego and
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: a more pitcher friendly Park San. Diego only his three,
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: Hitters i've ever faced him, before and they're only two
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: for nine off, him two, strikeouts two, walks so two
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: twenty two average five eighty six Ops. BRADISH i, mean
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: it does look like he might match up pretty well
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: in this. Game, Man he's got a lot of unfamiliarity
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: to his advantage, here because again the hitters are gonna
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: have to try to figure him out a little. Bit
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: has good numbers against the guys that have faced. Him
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: he's going up Against Dylan, cease who's having a very
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: mediocre season four point eight TWO era one point three
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: to three. Whip he's veter at home three point eight
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: six E ra at home hasn't been very good this past,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: month a four point nine to four and a thirty
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: to four strike a thirty to, fourteen sorry a walk
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: razio four would be really. Good fourteen is not, Good
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: So Dylan. CEASE i mean the thing about, him, man
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: he gets a lot of, Strikeouts he walks way too many,
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: guys and he throws way too many pitches and exits
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: too many games, early even THOUGH i Know San diego's
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: actually won five of his last six, starts but they
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: gave him some run support behind, him and basically every
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: one of those. Games he's still not going very. Deep
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: he's only made it five innings once in his last three.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: Starts it's not a great sign allowing three or more
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: on runs in all of. Them SO i don't, know Man,
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: Cee he's not in the greatest form right. Now going
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: up against The. Orioles he does have good numbers against,
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: them and they only have four hitters who have faced
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: him twenty five at, bats eight, strikeouts three, walks two
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: hundred batting average. Allowed Mount castle does have a home
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: run off, him though that's his only hit in eleven at,
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: bats two hundred batting, average forty six ohps, Offense So
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: cease does have good matchup numbers at. Least SO i,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: mean you could be looking at maybe a first five
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: inning under in this, GAME i would, SAY i, MEAN
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: i wouldn't want to really go full game BECAUSE i
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: don't Trust baltimore's, bullpen And San diego's bullpen is so
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: unrested right, now ninety one percent of tickets on the,
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: over only seventy one percent of the cash on the
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: under on the, over excuse me, so and under seems
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: to be the market indication. HERE i lean To baltimore As,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: well LIKE i, said San diego down for minus one
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: sixty one forty eight eighty eight percent of, tickets only
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the. Cash the money is agreeing with,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: that Taking baltimore as an. Underdog AND i think IF
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: i were to do, THAT i might even still do
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: it full game Because San diego's Bullpen is has such
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: a lack of rest right. Now And, BRADISH i think
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: he might out out Last cease in the. Game, BRADISH
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: i MEAN i think he might tend to go deeper than.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: See cease exits a lot of games early. Man LIKE i,
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: said so that could be the case in this. One
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: ceases to pitch too soon at most of his. Starts
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: so that's WHAT i think about that. Game seattle At Tampa.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: Bay Tampa bay is returning home from a road. Trip
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: they only went To cleveland And, washington and they did
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: just Sweep washington over the. Weekend they're returning Home Tampa.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: Bay nothing to really play for those even though they
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: are and they are also returning, home excuse, me so
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: could be a little bit of a distraction spot even
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: though they know they're playing a decent team here In.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: Seattle seattle has something to play For. As they're fighting
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: for the. Division they're trying to make sure they get
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: a wild. Card texas is coming up on their ass
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: here in the, division So seattle's. Fighting they got to keep.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: Playing they're coming in From cleveland over the weekend where
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: they only won one game yesterday's game in that series Against.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: Cleveland seattle is definitely a worse road, team though in
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: this stadium could throw them, off, man because Remember Tampa
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: bay plays in The yankees spring training stadium this, year
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: Steinburn Or field Because Tropic Canna field got wiped out
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: by whatever the hell the name of that hurricane. Was
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: hurricane started with an m Right, Mitchell, Mitch mitch the.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: BITCH i don't, know is that what it? WAS i
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: don't even. Remember but this is a very hitter friendly.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: Ballpark Luis castillo is pitching For. Seattle decent season for
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: him as. Usual three point seven to five yarra one
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: point two eight whip is a little bit higher THAN
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: i like to, see but, again basically Every seattle pitcher
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: is way worse on the, road and he is no
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: exception to. That he has a five point zero FOUR
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: rm the. Road he might really struggle in a very
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly park like this this, month he has a
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: very demonic six point six SIX era twenty two to
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: seven strike a walk ratio is, decent BUT i, mean
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: he's allowing too many, runs. Man he's allowed five or
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: more in, runs and two of his last three starts
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: failed to go five innings and two of the three
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: only went five innings in the most recent. One he's
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: not in good form right, now, man SO i definitely
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: could see him potentially struggling in this, game just based
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: on his recent form Against Tampa. Bay he actually does
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: have somewhat good numbers, though in seventy one at bats
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: twenty one to, four strikeout walk ratio two thirty nine
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: average eight on one ops, though because he's allowed five
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: home runs to, them although ridiculously it seems like all
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: five of them were solo shots because he's only had
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: five RBIs against, them OR i, mean unless he came
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: in in relief and gave up a home run with
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: other guys on it didn't get charged with the other,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: runs BUT i doubt that because he's a, Starter so
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: that's actually kind of a hilarious. Stat but, overall his
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: numbers are not terrible Against Tampa. Bay tampa Has Shane boz,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: pitching and he's he doesn't have good numbers this year
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: five point one to NINE, era one point three to FIVE.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: Whip he really struggles in this. Stadium seven point oh
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: SIX era, here seven point nine TWO era this month.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: Bad he has a lot of strikeouts thirty four strikeouts
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: this month to twenty five. Innings he's allowed ten, walks
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: which is too. High seven home runs too, high way
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: too many runs almost one an, inning twenty two more
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: than one hit per, inning nine hits some Bas even
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: though he is a good strikeout, guy he gets lit up.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: Man he gets hit by a lot of these opponents,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: here so it doesn't look that great for him. Either
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: up Against, seattle very small sample, size only two of
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: their hitters have seem they're only two For they're two
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: for three off in one, walk no, strikeouts so ridiculously
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: small sample size. Here bullpen, Wise, tampa their bullpend had
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: three relievers enter the game, Yesterday seattle three as. Well
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: as far as the bullpeny ras, Here TAMPA'S i believe
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: is the better of the. Two they're at seventh e
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: RA a wise, Here seattle not that much worse at,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: eleventh so we do have decent bullpens, here but to
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: me at the starting pitching matchup in this one makes
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: me think this game is an over though eighty four
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the, over only fift cash on
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: the over, though and the total drop from nine to
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: eight and a half juice to the. Over it's a
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: very small move downward, though given what the state, is
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: given that both starting pitchers are not in good form right,
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: now they might, struggle but you could see the bullpens
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: maybe enter this game, early and then it kind of
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: has a domino effect when that happens and too, many
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: like more relievers get used than what the teams. Wanted
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: SO i, LEAN i do lean over in this. Game
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: and the market is indicating On tampa up from minus
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: one o five to minus one o, nine sixty percent
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: of the cash on, them but eighty four percent of
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: tickets On. SEATTLE i don't love. THAT i, MEAN i
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: could see that, argument being the boss is like a
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: little bit more of the unknown here and he's more
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: used to pitching in the stadium at. Least, Uh but
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: that's really the only ARGUMENT i could. SEE i, Mean,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: tampa they're returning home from a road trip, again and
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: they don't really have a whole lot to play for,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: here SO i would really worry about The tampa play.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: Here now we'll get To. HARVEY i don't know If
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: harvey's still waiting, around BECAUSE i Know i'm very long.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: Win DID i do way too detailed baseball? ANALYSIS i
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: understand only to give out, Plays and my players have
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: been shitty recently, too SO i apologize for that not
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: been the best year for me baseball. Wise baseball is
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: usually one of my best sports, too, man So i'm
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: not happy about. It, arizona LIKE i said WHEN i
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: mentioned this, earlier they're returning home from a road, trip
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: but they Played milwaukee and The, dodgers so they're coming
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: off a two big, series, man for An arizona team
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: that really doesn't have much to play for, now like
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: really the games that they get up, for these big
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: games against Big National league, opponents especially The. Dodgers what's? Up?
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: Man thank, you. SIR i appreciate you hanging out. Man
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: hopefully it's just some interesting. Information at least Hopefully i'm.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: HILARIOUS i want to be more hilarious, though BECAUSE i
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: need a comedy outlet. Again now The Tower gang has gone,
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't. KNOW i feel LIKE i can't really
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: inject it into this show that, much and the show
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: what you would get even longer IF i did, that
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: or MAYBE i could shorten it. SOMEHOW i don't, Know
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: But arizona's returning over from a road, trip so that
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: does tend to be a distracted. Spot LIKE i, said
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: you have to get back to home. LIFE i don't,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: know they're going to be totally focused on kind of
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: a Mediocre American league opponentent after they just won a
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: series against The, dodgers and not only, that but they
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: lost a wind streak as. Well so some things are
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: piling up for my situational analysis Against arizona here as
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: far as that's. Concerned don't love the, situation you know.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: ME i don't Like arizona's, bullpen except For Jalen, beaks
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: only BECAUSE i got to do karaoke with his parents
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: after the night after he made his major league debut
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: with The Boston Red. Sox fun. Times. Man never Met beaks, himself,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: though but his his parents are pretty. Cool though his
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: mom is a karaoke. Fiend it's actually pretty. Awesome she's. Fun.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: NO i did not, No, NO i did not fuck
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: her and Cock Jalen beaks's. DAD i know you were
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: wondering if that was the Case Jalen beaks, Though, YEAH i, mean,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: Well i'm not here to talk about, him. THOUGH i
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: just like to bring that up because it was a ridiculous.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: Experience it just so happened that they were at the
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: same karaoke bars me and a couple of my. Friends
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: so it's, like, hell, yeah come sit at our, table,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: man let's hang. Out, diamondbacks their bullpen is rested right,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: now even though again their bullpen's not good though it's
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: obviously the worst of these two bullpens. Here texas or,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah texas has one of the better bullpens in all of.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: Baseball texas did use more of their bullpen yesterday, though
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: so texas bullpen gets negated a little bit by the.
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: Usage although their bullpens are so widely, variant Like texas
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: is so much better Than. Arizona's is THAT i. SEE
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: i Think texas still has a slight bullpen edge, here
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: But texas does not have a starting pitching edge in this.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: Game SO i would, say if you do Like arizona
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: Like harvey does, HERE i would probably limit it to
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: just the first five innings WHERE i think they have
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: the real advantage in this, game ALTHOUGH i worry about
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: that too a little, bit just because they're returning. Home
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: it might be a little bit of a. Distraction But Patrick,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: KORbin Former arizona diamondback from way back in the, day
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: is pitching For texas. Here he's starting to kind of
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: tail off a. Bit he's got a four point three
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: to THREE erm one point three six whip, now so
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: he's turning into the corbin of. Old, finally he's been
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: way worse on the road five point four to three.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: Era he definitely has been using his home advantage. There
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: texas has a very hitter friendly. Ballpark arizona's is, not
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: although he's he's at least used to pitching At arizona's
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: park because he used to pitch for, them but still
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: it's a hitter friendly. Park he's bad on the. Road
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: he's been really bad this. Month seven point one SEVENTY
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: ra sixteen to eleven strike a walk. Ratio that's real.
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: Bad did throw an eight inning shutout last time out Against, anaheim,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: though with eight strikeouts in one, walk after he was
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: having a horrendous month prior to, That so does that
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: mean he's back in. Form i'm not so sure about.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: THAT i mean that was at home against a Mediocre anaheim.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: Offense i'm not ready to say The corbin is all
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: of a sudden gonna go on another like run here
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: where he's awesome going up against what are we looking?
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: At going up against The? Diamondbacks right against The diamondbacks
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: seventy two at, bats twenty one to four strike a walk,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: race but they have a three forty seven average and
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: eight eighty two ops. Offics The diamondbacks have hit him pretty,
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: well even though he has a good strikeout walk ratio against,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: Them so not necessarily the greatest sign for. Them OH
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: i was. LOOKING i was, like wait a, minute what
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: happened to The. A's The a's must be off, today?
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: Right oh, no, WAIT i skipped The. A's A's Saint.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: Louis that's. Right i'm gonna talk about them in the
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: end of the. Show i'm, like wait a, minute why
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: DID i talk about The. A's arizona Has Ryan nelson,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: pitching who's as you, know he's a guy THAT i
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: was questioning how he was pitching this well this, year
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: and then two starts, ago he had that splotch on
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: his visor that made it look like he had pine
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: tar my visors behind. Me. Oops SO i don't, know,
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: MAN i think there might be something to. That maybe
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: he's using foreign. SUBSTANCES i don't. Know his numbers are
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: good this, year three point five THREE, era one point
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: zero six whip inexplicably good For Ryan. Nelson he's better at,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: home even though it's a hitter friendly ballpark and every
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: one Of arizona's other pitchers has gotten worse this. Year
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: he's gotten way, better which again makes no, sense but
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: he has a two point four TWO era at. Home
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty good this. Month of the four point SIX,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: era it doesn't look very good as a twenty seven
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: to four strike out walk ratio this month, though so
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: that's pretty. Good so his command has been. Good he
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: allowed more than four and runs only, once but that
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: was Against texas and it was At, texas so that's.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: Interesting he had a bad start At, texas which is
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly, park although maybe he got a little
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: bit unlucky because he didn't have a six zero strike
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio in that, one so it wasn't all.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: Terrible his numbers Against texas are not great in his career,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: though because they include that start as. Well forty nine at,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: bats eight three strike out, walk raceio two sixty five,
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: average eight thirty eight. Ops so his numbers are kind
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: of mediocre there Against, texas And texas just saw. Him so,
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: again When, texas when you have an offense that just
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: saw an opposing, picture sometimes they do better against that.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: Picture corman did not pitch in that, SERIES i guess
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: Against arizona, before so, interestingly, so there is a little
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: bit of a familiarity disadvantage For Ryan nelson. Here But
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: harvey will be happy to hear at least that the
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: money is seemingly agreeing with The arizona money. Line. Here
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: they're up for minus one forty five to minus one forty,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: eight fifty five percent, tickets seventy two percent of the
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on, them even Though texas has more
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: to play for it, though Because. Arizona that's another aspect of.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: This arizona knows that they're out of it. Here texas
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: is in the middle of a potential playoff. Hunt, here
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: they're trying to catch up in their, division trying to
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: maybe catch up to the wildcard. Race so IT'S i,
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: mean it's really really. Interesting one, man this game has
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: so many conflicting. Factors i'm, like it fucks with my.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: MIND i don't know what to do with. It BUT
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: i think if you do Like, arizona if you do
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: Like Ryan nelson with his home road splits Against Patrick,
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: CORBIN'S i think first five Innings arizona is what you
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: have to. Do BECAUSE i don't love the. Bullpens although
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: at least if you are Going arizona full, game you
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: at least have a more rested, bullpend SO i will say. That,
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: SO i, MEAN i don't necessarily dislike. It texas or
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: the total is down from nine and a half to
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: nine basically sixty two percent tickets on the, over eighty
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on the, under so strong
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: market read on the under in this. Game that ONE
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: i really don't. See to be. HONEST i, mean even
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i Know texas can't really hit, Well texas pitching
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: is actually, good But Patrick korban is not, good SO
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: i could see him getting lit up in this. Game.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: Potentially NELSON i could see potentially not doing well, either
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: And texas has a used up Bullpen arizona's bullpen isn't,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: Good SO i actually kind of see an over in that.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: Game but, uh, WELL i think mathematically The dbacks aren't,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: eliminated but they sold off at the trade, deadline SO
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: i think they pretty much are basically saying they're packing
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: it in for the. SEASON i think it's highly unlikely
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: that they make the playoffs at this. Point it's it's
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: almost guarantee that they. Won't so, yeah they've been basically
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: playing like a team that is out of. It they
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: had like a stretch where THEY i think they had
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: a stretcher they all Take they just weren't even paying attention.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: Anymore although they we will step up in certain games
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: like against The. Dodgers obviously that's gonna be a series
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get up. For Maybe texas will be because
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: we know That texas is at least a decent al.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: Team SO i don't, know. Man and of course players
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: don't just intentionally lose games, either so there is. THAT i,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: mean you don't go out there and play and want
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: to lose your you, know the competitive spirit still takes
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: still takes over to a decent extent when you're out.
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: There so all, right that was the. Breakdown What i'm calling.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: It that was. Me over the, Weekend i'm gonna have
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: a breakdown with how bad college football has. Been let's
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: go to the best, bets and THEN i have TO
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: i will talk about the college football game. Briefly there
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: is One monday night college football game Before Monday night
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: becomes THE nfl thing, again which is next. Week SO
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: nfl starts this. Week by the, way, guys it's. CRAZY
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: i have my main fantasy draft tomorrow. Night my main
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: league drafts two days before the first, game so that
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: we have all the up to date information on. It it's
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: an auction, now it's a money. League i've been doing that.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: League i've been in for over twenty something. Years one
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: of my friends started at basically in high, school and
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: he's still the commissioner of, it and people have joined and.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: Left his father was in it for a while and.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: Left we're the only two like originals that are, LEFT i.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: Think and then a lot of the guys are guys
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: from his, college from The university Of wisconsin where he,
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: went so we have a lot Of wisconsin guys in.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: There SO i have To that's the one THING i
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: have to take into account in my draft is that
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: The Green Bay packers players always get overdrafted in my,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: league SO i basically never wind up With packer players
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: in that. League Jordan love's gonna get. Overdrafted he's gonna
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: get overbid for in the. Auction AND i pissed people
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: off in the, auction by the, way because in the,
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: auction if you're unfamiliar with the auction fantasy. Draft this
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: is just a side. Here but hopefully people like here
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: in my ramblings here BECAUSE i, Mean i'll talk about fantasy,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: too BECAUSE i do, fantasy especially. FOOTBALL i used to
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: do baseball and basketball. Too but in the auction, basically
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: SO i like the snake draft better to be, honest
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: because it's just like based on the draft order and.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: Whatever but, auction it's your, like it's a totally different.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: Strategy you have, to LIKE i bring up a. Spreadsheet
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: you have to lay out like what is your, budget,
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: right and then you have to say how much you
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: think you should budget to each. Position basically try to
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: stick to your budget like you have. To you have
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: to become an accountant basically in. It so like early
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: on in the in the, draft everybody gets overbid, for
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: so all the early players that get put, up you're
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: basically almost not gonna draft anybody. Early like this league
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: switched to an AUCTION i think last year or maybe
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: two years. Ago AND i remember last, YEAR i didn't
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: have any players on my roster until like halfway through
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: the draft because everybody was just overpaying for players early,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: on And i'm, LIKE i can't even do it. Man,
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: so and the way that it works is, that like
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: the best players don't necessarily get put up for auction
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: right away, either like it rotates around in a snake.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: Style but when you're, up you you like elect somebody
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: for the next you you. Big you have to bid
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: a dollar on a player and you put them up
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: and then the bidding starts on. It so that's how it.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: Works so nobody wants to bet on. It you will
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: wind up with that. Player so that means that you
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: can't put up a. Player you can't really fuck with
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: it and put up a player that like you can't go, like,
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: oh If Tom brady is still in the system ONT,
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: espn you can't be, like, Oh i'm gonna put Up
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: Tom brady up for auction, here you know WHAT i,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: mean unless you think somebody's gonna be stupid enough to draft.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: Him but that's not gonna happen in my. League my
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: league is, competitive so they, Know like then if you're
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: gonna put up a player that's not in the league,
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: anymore they're gonna. Know but like something like, that BUT
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: i still fuck with. It so WHAT i do IS
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: i put all kickers up just to piss people off
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: until UNTIL i wind up with a, kicker like eventually
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: something like nobody will bid on one And i'll wind
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: up with a. Kicker but that's HOW i do. It
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: so like the first like five times they say put
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: up somebody for, Auction i'll put up a kicker just
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: to piss people, off and it makes people overbid for the,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: kickers sou even though they're only gonna probably bid like
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: a couple of bucks for. It but, still LIKE i
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: like to, that, MAN i pissed people, Off and once that's,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: done Then i'll start putting defenses up to because those
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: are the least valuable in fantasy kickers and. Defenses USUALLY
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: i stream defenses because it's very matchup, depending and SOMETIMES
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: i stream kickers too all The usually WHEN i find
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: a kicker that's like in a groove on an, offense
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: it's just getting a lot of field. Goals i'll just
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: keep that kicker and that usually works out pretty well
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: unless they get, hurst WHICH i think actually happened to
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: me last. YEAR i forget who the kicker. Was all,
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: right let's go to the best, bets, man best. BETS
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: i THINK i already put the graphic, up but we'll
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: do it. NOW i told YOU i have two. Unders
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: you already know what they both. Are, basically one Is Mets.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: Detroit we're gonna go. Under it was eight and a
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: half this morning at even, money which that worries me
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit at the price looks like, that BUT
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: i think it's the right way to go in this, game,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: man even THOUGH i think it's a sneaky, under which
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: actually makes me like this more because both starting pitchers
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: have really really ugly looking. Eras the total to drop
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: through the. Nine unfortunately we did not get to it
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: at the, nine WHICH i don't know when it opened at,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: nine BUT i only saw eight and a half because of,
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: course nine is a key number in. Baseball all the
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: odd numbers on the totals are key because that's the
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: number that breaks a. Tie i'll see when it's four to,
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: four you need another run to, score but the totals
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: at eight and a. HALF i still like it, there
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: even though it's off of the key. Number in. Nine
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: we got eighty six percent of tickets on the over
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: and only sixty one percent of the cash on the,
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: Over so the public is coming in on the. OVER
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: i am in agreement on The i'm in disagreement with the.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: Public i'm in agreement with the market read on. This
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: more of the cash is coming in on the. UNDER
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: i agree with. IT i think the public's gonna have
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: a tendency to want to go over in a game
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: like this because they know both teams can. Hit The
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: mets In. Detroit, yes that is. Correct both teams have good.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: Offenses the bullpends are not bad for either. Team they're
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: both fairly. Mediocre BUT i mean The Mets, detroit they're
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: both right. Here they both have bullpenny arrays right mid
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: tier under four. S that's decent. ENOUGH i think we
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: can look full game and the bullpend rest is actually really.
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: Good as The. Mets even though they used a lot
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: of guys On, saturday they basically all rested. Yesterday they
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: only Used waddell or waddle yesterday he waddles. Around so
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: The mets basically have all their best relievers available in this,
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: game so that's a good sign for going full game.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: Here detroit has had pretty light bullpen usage as. Well
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: yesterday only used two relief pitchers for nine pitches a,
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: piece so even those guys potentially would be available again
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: if they really want to use. Them so the bullpen
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: scenario looks good on this one to. ME i, MEAN
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: i can talk about the side and this one too
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i always talk about the, side and because our
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: guy here Likes, detroit, Right, harvey you said you Like,
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: Detroit marlins Or nationals on the money, LINE i don't, know,
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: man who's but. Charm let me look at that AFTER
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: i do the best. Bets i'll take a look at,
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: that all. Right thank you for telling, me, man because
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: they didn't have a picture announced WHEN i started the show.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: HERE i Know alvarez this is pitching For. Washington i'll
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: talk about that again After i'm done with, This but, Yeah.
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: Detroit they're returning over from a road, trip SO i
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot For detroit because of. That
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: they went to The Pacific coast and then they just
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: won a divisional series against their closest division rival right,
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: now The Kansas City. ROYALS i almost Said. Chiefs So
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: detroit's turning over from a road. Trip usually that's not
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: a good. Spot you tend to be a little bit. Distracted,
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: Again detroit has a lot of padding in their division right,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: now although they're still fighting to try to get like
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: home home field throughout the. Playoffs they do want that
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: and get you, know make sure they get a first
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: round by in the playoffs and. Whatever however it works,
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: now but it's still a return home. Spot, man it's
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: an interleague. SERIES i think they might be. Distracted The
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: mets need this game. More The mets are locked into
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: a divisional battle with The phillies, here and The phillies
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: since they Lost Zach wheeler and The mets just were
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: able to take some games against, them The mets could
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: potentially catch up to. Them and The mets are coming
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: off a real ugly series Against miami over the. Weekend
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: member they lost three of. FOUR i think that's gonna
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: piss them, off and it's gonna be a good situation
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: for them to just get out of there and go
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: on the road and start a road trip and forget
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: about what has happened at. Home, again they have motivation
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: here because they're trying to even hang on to a
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: wildcard spot, here so their situation is more urgent Than detroit's.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: Is so the, SITUATION i think The mets have the
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: situational advantage in this. Game the bullpens are really. CLOSE
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: i don't think there's a bullpen edge really one way
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: or the other as far as the bats are. Concerned
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: both teams can, hit although they both struggle at times.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: Too we Have detroit at eleventh in overall, ops but
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: The mets are actually, Fifth so The mets, Actually i'll
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: give them the offensive edge in this game Too, detroit
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: ALTHOUGH i, Know, harvey you said you're On detroit. Right
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: detroit is really good at, home though The mets are
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: terrible on the, Road so that's one thing you do
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: have to take into. Account The mets are nine games
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: below five hundred on the road And detroit is nineteen
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: games above five hundred at home, basically so that is,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: DIFFERENCE i, mean if that's the way you want to
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: refer to, it but you know WHAT i. Mean so
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: there is a big home road disparity here with these two.
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: Teams starting pitching MAN i Mean sean AND i is
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: pitching for The, Mets and WHEN i talk about, this
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: you'll see WHY i like the under. Instead he's got
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: a five point zero ONE, era which looks, bad but
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: his one point one four whip is actually pretty, good
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: so he's better than HIS ra. Looks, yes he's been
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse on the road for five point
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: two NINE r in the, road but it's not that
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: he doesn't have significant home road. Splits, yeah his first
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: month when he came. Back so he came back from
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: injury In. July so the good thing about this is
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: he hasn't thrown that many pitches yet this, year so
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: he's not gonna be wearing. Down he is a veteran anyway,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: too but this month he's really really. Struggled seven point
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: one to THREE era has allowed way too many, runs
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: but he still has really good command numbers thirty one
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: strikeouts to four, walks so his strikeout walk ratio is really.
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: Good it's better than what he usually. Does he usually
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: walks way too many. Guys so there are some positive
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: signs With manai here that he should actually pitch better
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: than he has. BEEN i know he's failed to go
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: five innings and three of his last four. Starts that's
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: a bad sign as. Well but, YEAH i, MEAN i
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: think he is gonna pitch better again at some. Point
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: and Against detroit he has good numbers and thirty four at.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: Bats they don't have a whole lot of history against.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: Him six batters have faced, him fourteen, strikeouts two walks
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: two six batting average six point twenty six, ops has
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: a lot of one home run To. Torres But manaiah
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: does have pretty good numbers Against detroit when he's faced
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: them in the. Past Charlie morton is pitching For. Detroit
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: morton is an interesting tail. Man morton's got a five
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: point twenty FIVE vr one point four to eight, whip
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: not good numbers on the. Season he's really old. Now
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: but AGAIN i always say With, morton his season has
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: been just really really. Crazy where uh to start the
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: season with The Baltimore, ORIOLES i believe they lost twelve
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: straight games that he, appeared and then they moved. Him
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: they moved him to the bullpen as part of, that
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: and then when they moved him back to the starting,
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: rotation it was like he was a completely different. Pitch,
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: sure and right out of the, gate they won five
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: games in a. Row behind, him they won nine of,
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: ten and then since then it's sort of trailed off
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit but since he's been in the starting,
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: rotation he's allowed more than three on runs only, TWICE i,
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: believe once At Tampa, bay which is a very horrific
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: stadium to pitch. In again it's a very hitter friendly.
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: Stadium once at, home actually three once at home Against,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: anaheim but he had ten strikeouts in that, outing and
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: then once at The A's, stadium so again that stadium
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: is very home run conducive as, Well and he said
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: seven strikeouts in that. Game that was With, detroit and
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: so was The anaheim. One so With detroit four point
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: six across five, starts thirty six to ten strike out
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is not that. Bad so, Surprisingly morton's strikeout
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: rate is actually really really high for a guy that's his,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: age AND i mean his command numbers are also. Decent
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: his home run a number has gone down as. Well
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: he hasn't allowed as many home runs since he's been
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: back on the starting. Rotation So morton is actually pitching
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: a lot better than what his season numbers would, suggest
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: which is wild to think about, Really and, again two
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: of his worst starts were in really really hit or
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: can do some, ballparks Which detroit is really. NOT i
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: Mean DETROIT'S i think just kind of middle middle. GROUND
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: i Think detroit was very picture front the. End they
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: moved the walls in a little, bit but still it's
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: not a very hitter friendly. PARK i don't Think morton
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: against The, mets he has pretty good. Numbers they have
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of experience against the two hundred twenty six
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: at bats because he was on The. Braves sixty two
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: to thirty strike a walk ratio is a bit. CONCERNING i,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: mean that's way too many, walks but two thirty nine
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: average allowed seven to twenty nine ohps is not too,
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: high so his numbers are actually not that. Bad and
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i think he's better than he. Looks so as
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: crazy as this, sounds my play on this one is the.
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: Under LIKE i, SAID i actually think both starting pitchers
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: because they're a lot better than their era. LOOKS i
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: think it's a very very, sneaky very mislead way to
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: look at this, game AND i think it's hopefully it's.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: Correct SO i actually think both starting pitchers actually match
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: up pretty well. HERE i Think minai is way better
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: than he looks right now at, least And morton is
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: also at least better than he. Looks so that's the
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: way THAT i would go on this. One as far As,
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: harvey as far as you're, concerned the market read is
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: with you On, detroit if that you said you're On.
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: DETROIT i Believe mets down for minus one twenty to
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: minus one o seven of the money line fifty four
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: per tickets on, them sixty eight percent of the cash
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: coming in on The. Tigers the money is coming in
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: on The, tigers so you do have the money agreeing
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: with you on this. GAME i kind of disagree with.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: It LIKE i, said due to the, SITUATION i would
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: lead to The mets, slightly BUT i think the under
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: is my preferred approach. There let's finish the best bets
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: And i'll talk about That marlins game again real. Quick.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: Here the other PLAY i got is the under in
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: The a's And Saint, louis which AGAIN i think this
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: one's gonna fly under the. Radar. TWO i like this
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: game to go under the. Total where we have the
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: game at Here, interleague this total has already dropped from
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: eight just to the under a straight seven and a half,
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: now SO i don't know if you can still find
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: the eight out. THERE i saw it at a good
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: price earlier this. Morning under seven and a HALF i
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: think is all right as. Well if you want to
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: go under first five, minutes if you can find a,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: FOUR i consider doing it that, way because you know,
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: ME i really don't like the a's. Bullpen so it's
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit worrisome to include the a's bullpen in this.
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: Handicap but in this, Case i'm Gonna i'm gonna do.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: IT i, mean the bullpens are fairly rested here In
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: Saint louis's bullpen is fairly. Good he has sixty two
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the, over but seventy percent of
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: the cash in the, under so the money is definitely.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: Indicating on the. Under Saint louis dropped for minus one
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: forty five to minus one thirty seven on the money,
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: line but they have sixty seven percent of the cash on.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: Them fifty eight percent of tickets though on The, a's
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: so the ticket percentage is actually on The. A's The
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: a's here's the, thing, Man The a's have the better
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: offense and they've been way better recently Than Saint louis,
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: Too so the public's only gonna look at that and
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: want to go with The a's because their offense is pretty,
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: good so that's what the public. Likes but the h
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: money seems to be coming in on The Saint louis,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: side which is more of a the money siding with
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching here or starting with the pitching, here
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: WHICH i don't necessarily disagree with that The a's they
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: used three relievers, yesterday so, YEAH i mean it worries
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: me a little bit that the last couple of days
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: there bullpend does have a bit of, usage but yesterday
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: it wasn't a ton of, usage So i'll go with.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: It Saint louis's BULLPEN i think can kind of cover
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: us here because their bullpen's pretty uh rested as they
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: used uh how do you pronounce That? GROCEFO i should
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: know that BECAUSE i think It's Italian. Grocefo they used
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: him for a bunch of pitches, yesterday so, uh their.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: Bullpend some of their better relievers are still available, here
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH i know they traded some of their relievers
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: away at the trade. Deadline But Saint louis does have
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: one of the better bullpend eras And baseball even know
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: The a's is one of the. Worst but The, a's,
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: uh their bullpen has actually been a little bit better recently,
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: though so and because It's september call, ups we might
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: get extra bullpen arms, here so we're gonna go full
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: game under. Here and, then of course the starting pitching
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: matchup is a big part of. This Luis morale has
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: is pitching for The. As he is a twenty two
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: year old. Rookie he's made five, appearances four, starts and
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty. Good. Man he's got a one point
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: one NINETY ra and point nine to seven whip over that.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: Span too many, Walks he's got twenty two strikeouts and ten.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: Walks it's seventy too many, walks but most of them
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: came in one ugly appearance Against. Baltimore he's still he
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: didn't even allow any hits in two and two thirds
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: innings and that one and THEN i believe that was
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: his first, start so maybe he had some nerves. There
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: and then since then he's gone at least five innings
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: and he started he's actually gone more innings than he
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: starts since then he's thrown a full starter's workload in
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: those last three, starts going around ninety pitches in each,
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: one pitching pretty. Well. Man he's only lowed torn runs
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: across that entire span and has a an eighteen to
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: two strikeout walk ratio over that. Span so he's been really.
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: Good AND i think he's flying under the radar right, Now.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: Man And Saint, louis of, course has never seen him
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: before because he's a. Rookie so when you get a
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: rookie who's pitching well like this against a really struggling
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: offense Like Saint louis's right, now that hasn't seen that pitcher,
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: BEFORE i think that's a good. SIGN i think it's
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: an extra advantage to that, Pitcher, Man SO i like
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: that side of. It and Then Sonny gray is pitching
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: for The. CARDINALS i know he may be starting to
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: wear down a little bit, here but he is a.
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: Veteran he is used to pitching full seasons in the major.
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: Leagues he's got a four point one to NINE, era
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: but a one point win eight whip indicates that maybe
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: his THE rra should be a little bit better than,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: that and he is significantly better at home three point
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: five SEVENTY ra at, home so we're rolling with him
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: at home. Here as far as the, under this, month
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: he's been back in pretty good form, here a three
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: point four to EIGHTY, ra thirty five to eight strike
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: out walk. Ratio his strike out walk ratio has always been,
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: good but he was getting knocked around a little bit
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: on some of these. Starts but this month he's been.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Better the only start that he had where he got
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: knocked around was against The, yankees so maybe you give
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: him a pass for, that because he actually had starts
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: where you give up one and run a piece against
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: The dodgers and The cubs had pitch At Tampa bay's
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly park and pitch fairly well in that. Game
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: pitch well Against pittsburgh as, well but they're really bad.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: Offense but he's a lot three or four runs in
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: every start except for The yankees, one so that's not
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: a bad. Sign he's pitching better right. Now The aies
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: haven't seen that much of. Him they only have twenty
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: at bats against, him five, hits no extra base, hits
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: five strikeouts in one, walk so it's a two fifty
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: average and five thirty six oh. Ps So Gray good
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: against his former, team one of his former. Teams THE
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: a is, there so under is gonna be the play
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: for me in this. Game and hopefully our starting pitchers
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: can actually get us somewhat deep into this, game WHICH
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: i mean indicators of what they've been doing. Recently they've
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: both been pitching fairly deep into their recent starts for
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: the most, part SO i like. That hopefully that can
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: take the you, know the load off the bullpens a little. Bit,
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: curtis what's up, Man thanks for hanging. Out and then
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: let's look at The marlins one more time. Here so
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: you said botchers pitching for The for The, marlins they pronount. Bashet,
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: however however you pronounced AND i already. Said Andrew alvarez
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: is pitching For. Washington he is making his major league,
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: debut AND i wasn't totally impressed WHEN i looked at
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: his TRIPLE a. Numbers, man he has a really high
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: whip THAT i think is like around one point three
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: or in the one point. Two it's not it's not really,
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: high but it's not. Great AND i think his era
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: was in the. Threes AND i looked at his walk
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: numbers are just way too. High SO i Think alvarez
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: does have some, talent BUT i don't know If i'm
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: ready to put any stock into. Him, miami you, said, Yeah, Bashar,
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: yeah there he is is pitching For. Miami so the
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's coming in On miami. Now washington
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: dropped for minus one nineteen and minus one thirteen sixty
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: four percent take, it seventy three percent of the cash
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: on The miami. Side so the money seems to be
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: now coming in On, miami even THOUGH i actually Think
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: miami's gonna letdown, spot LIKE i, said coming off beating
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: The mets like. That to, me it seems like they're
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: not in a good. Spot washington playing really bad baseball,
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: recently but it's been so ugly for, them you got
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: to think that maybe they'll show up for. Once but
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: let's see with. This who's This bashar? Guy, see let's
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: go To miami's. Roster, HERE i, guess, uh there he
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: Is Lake. Bashah, yeah ridiculous. Name looks like he has
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: pitched this, year so oh he's a he's a, reliever
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: so he's coming out of the. Bullpen he kind of
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: looks Like Randy johnson, dude except he's not as good
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: and he's not as, tall but, man he's as ugly
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: three point three NINETY r one point two Whip so
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: his numbers are, alright but he's a he's a. Reliever
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: mostly he's been bad At. Uh actually he's better on the.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: Road they're on the road, here, right he's better on
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: the road four point at one point nine ONE r
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: on the. Road excuse? Me this month four point h
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: NINE era out of the, bullpen fourteen to six STRAY.
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: WALKERSH i, Mean i'm not gonna put a lot of
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: stock into him because he's only going to pitch like
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: one or two. Innings probably he's an. Opener so it's
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: a bullpen game For miami. Here SO i don't quite
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: understand why the money is coming in On miami. HERE
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: i don't really agree with. THAT i would actually lean
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: to the, team AND i think is actually in a
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: less bad situational spot here THOUGH i know it's going
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: against bad recent form The washington has to but with
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: a guy making his major league, Debut washington might actually
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: come out and step up and try to support the,
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: guy you know WHAT i. Mean SO i don't really
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: agree with. THAT i would lean To washington in that.
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: Game so hopefully that makes, Sense, Harvey hopefully you're all
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: right with that analysis. There going to college football and
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: Then i'll get out of. HERE i don't have a
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: play on this. Game the line has kind of moved
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: too far, Anyway but there is there is A monday night.
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: Game excuse, me IT'S tcu In North. CAROLINA tcu has
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: gone from a pick him to a four point, favorite
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: but fifty four percent of tickets on, them fifty seven
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: percent of cash On North. Carolina so maybe some difference
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: of opinion, here BECAUSE i do think that the original
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: move up to four was a legitimate. MOVE i mean
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: the line of too far for it really not to.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: Be and you know that early, on like a week in,
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: advance multiple weeks in. Advance you know that when a
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: live's moving like, that it's basically the professionals are doing.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: It it's just a question of is that a real
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: side that they like or is it a? Setup AND
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: i think because it kept moving so, FAR i don't
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: think it was a. Setup and then as far as the,
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: totals but the money's coming back Into North carolina plus
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: the four. Now BUT i lean TO, tcu, Man LIKE i,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: SAID i think there's too Much North carolina hype Because
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: Bill belichick is there, now AND i don't think he's
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: gonna instantaneously turn this team. Around North. Carolina we know
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: they have a pretty good, offense their defense has been terrible.
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: RECENTLY i think they have a lot of new players this.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: YEAR i think it's like a complete turnover basically For
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: North carolina this, year so it's gonna be a new,
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: system new, players guys that have figured the system. Out
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: so it's like a total rebuild For North carolina. Basically
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: SO i don't see that being good In week, one
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: right because you need some time to gain chemistry and
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: stuff and know what you're. Doing SO i don't think
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: it's a good spot for. THEM, tcu AS i believe
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: their quarterback is coming. Back they have some guys that
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: are coming, back SO TCU i could be wrong about,
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: that BUT i know they have more returning starters Than
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: North carolina DOES, tcu so they have that continuity at,
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: least even THOUGH i THINK tcu also has a bad.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: Defense interested with the total is gonna down for fifty
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: nine and a half to fifty, five fifty four percent
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the under only fifty two percent of
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: the cash on the, under THOUGH i would slightly lean
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: to the, over even THOUGH i know that These week
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: one games a lot of them tend to go under
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: because teams are trying to feel each other out the
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: offenses haven't gotten into their flow. Yet BUT i don't
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: trust either of these, defenses, Man SO i could see
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: this game being higher. SCORING i, mean the total is fairly,
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: high but that's probably the way THAT i. Lean it's
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: towards the. Under excuse, me shorts the over in this.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: GAME i think the over might at this. Point the
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: over is probably the better way to play this because
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: you're getting a better number on this AND i think
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: it might not be that bad of a. Look lean TO,
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: tcu but not at this, number not at. Four if
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: you want to, go you could combine the, two, Right
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: if you think there's gonna be a lot of points
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: here and you LIKE, tcu you could GO tcu over
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: their team. Total so that might be a way to
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: look as well in this. Game and that's that's gonna do. It.
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: Man another long video from. Me, whoops hang on a,
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: minute clicked on the wrong. Thing don't want to end the.
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: Stream though you like The nats in the game. Interesting thank, you.
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: SIR i appreciate, it, man. Hopefully, YEAH i mean it's
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: it's too autistic for me. THOUGH i Think i'd like
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: to find a way to make these videos not quite as.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: LONG i gotta have. Endurance, man it's wrecking my voice
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: AND i gotta sing as. Well but, yeah hopefully you
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: guys like the like the. Show here my two plays
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: one more Time mets And mets And tigers under the
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: total And A's cardinals under The. TOTAL i know it's
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: boring to go, unders BUT i like to try to
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: find you, know WHERE i think the right spots. ARE
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: i think the right value is learn the tone On.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: Twitter you can give me a follow there if you
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: want to deal with my shit posting and political ship.
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: Posting i'll learned it tone On instagram as, well WHERE
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: i post the betting plays there in short form there as.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: Well better Off, DEAD i, mean, like subscribe to the, channel,
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: man it helps me, out so like to build this.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: Thing And i'm on the audio, platform so listening over
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: there and reviews help as. Well On, Spotify apple especially
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: covered In yu because my ukulele channel on, YouTube so
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: we have that as. WELL i gotta add my Recent
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: uke covers THAT i have up. There probably can't do
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: any for a bit while my voice needs to, rest
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: AND i Think i'm getting a little bit. Sick that's
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: kind of the issue here And patreon dot com slash
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: learned to toad and you can get some bonus uke content.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: There there's A Yuke spotify feed and prioritize. Requests that's
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: gonna do. IT i appreciate. It man thanks for hanging.
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: Out thanks for the newcomers as. Well, Curtis, well you,
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: KNOW i gave out a play In texas in that,
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: game AND i, MEAN i think he's getting shot on too. Much,
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i mean it's his first, game like not his first.
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: Game HE'S i know he's played, before but it was
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: like his first real start where he's the, guy and
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: it was in a really high pressure environment on the.
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: Road AND i think he's still Outplayed Ohio state's freshman
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: quarterback right, Saying, SO i don't think it was all
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: bad For. MANNING i, MEAN i Know texas Outgained Ohio.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: State it's JUST i think there were some key plays
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: that didn't go their way and, stuff and, yeah their
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: offense looked like it really really struggled on the, scoreboard
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: but yardage, wise their offense wasn't that, bad especially given
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: The ohio. State you know that they have a loaded
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: team and like a good defense and. Stuff so, YEAH i,
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: MEAN i don't think he's that. Bad he's not gonna
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: be as good as you, Know Peyton manning or Even Eli,
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: MANNING i don't. Think BUT i, MEAN i don't think
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: he's he's as bad as people are saying that he.
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: Is everybody overreacts to what they see In week one,
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: too and they don't dig into the box scores and.
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: Stuff so we'll see moving forward. Though But, TEXAS i,
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: mean they're a highly ranked team for a reason and
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: all the one of those reasons of a really good.
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: Defense BUT i still Think texas They're they're a solid. Team.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: Man they're definitely A they're in the mix as far
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: AS i being like a. Contender even though they lost
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: that first, game that game is not gonna really hamper
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: them too. Much they Got they gotta win games in
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: THE sec, though which is gonna be, difficult but, yeah
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: it's gonna do. It. Man, AGAIN i appreciate everybody hanging
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: out happy labored eight to. Everybody i'm gonna SEE i
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: don't even know If i'm hitting over my, parents if
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: there's a cookout happening there, TODAY i don't even actually.
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: Know it's a little bit cool out right, now WHICH
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: i like. That actually it's like in the sixties out
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: so it's decent. Weather so we'll see what's going on.
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: HERE i think it'll get up probably seventy low, seventies
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: LIKE i said In boston, Today so we'll. See but
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do. It thanks for hanging, out. GUYS i
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: appreciate the newcomers as, Well, Harvey, Curtis, andrew thanks for
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: checking out the show today and peace for. Now