Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Investment Tips for September: Market Pullbacks, Nvidia Earnings & Crypto Investment Strategies
Transcript
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- 1:51Speaker 3: What are your predictions for the market performance in September
- 1:55Speaker 3: as we approach this historic presidential election.
- 2:00Speaker 4: I think we'll have anywhere from a five to uh
- 2:04Speaker 4: eight and a half percent pull back. I'll give out
- 2:08Speaker 4: a price joinstock Club, go to invest dot com. Yeah,
- 2:14Speaker 4: we have a five to eight percent percent pullback in
- 2:17Speaker 4: the market.
- 2:18Speaker 2: There'll be some turbulence. There is to go.
- 2:20Speaker 4: Look at the Stock Market Almanac. You can get an
- 2:22Speaker 4: average to know how far we'll pull down. I'll call
- 2:25Speaker 4: out a price here. It may be my last price
- 2:27Speaker 4: I call out for the year, go to the universe
- 2:29Speaker 4: dot com. If you want all the prices, yeah, listen.
- 2:36Speaker 2: If y'all want to argue about the prices, then let
- 2:38Speaker 2: me take it away.
- 2:38Speaker 1: Mike, give me doe scream real quick. All right, So
- 2:40Speaker 1: any I want, I want to get your pain.
- 2:42Speaker 2: I saw this question. I'm like, all right, because.
- 2:44Speaker 1: We always talk about market catalysts, and this is an
- 2:47Speaker 1: interesting time.
- 2:49Speaker 2: August twenty eight. We know that Nvidia will be reporting
- 2:51Speaker 2: their quarterly earnings. They will knock it out the park.
- 2:54Speaker 1: They're gonna not wait, all all signs of pointing to that.
- 2:58Speaker 1: Is this the market catalyst that obviously the nastacle need,
- 3:02Speaker 1: but the overall market in video being an S and P,
- 3:06Speaker 1: is that the catastm we need. In addition to the
- 3:09Speaker 1: potential rate cut from the Fed, you're saying pulled back
- 3:15Speaker 1: at least.
- 3:15Speaker 2: For the first half.
- 3:16Speaker 1: What are you thinking about that at least the first
- 3:18Speaker 1: half of the month.
- 3:19Speaker 2: We're not getting a rate cut. No rate cut.
- 3:22Speaker 4: I'm why would they give it now to skew the
- 3:27Speaker 4: election in one favor or another, Like it's tough?
- 3:31Speaker 2: And then okay.
- 3:33Speaker 4: Credit card debt record high, debt to GDP ratio record high,
- 3:40Speaker 4: the interest rate payments are higher than our military spending.
- 3:44Speaker 4: So if in video is a tooth pick, that's like
- 3:47Speaker 4: keeping the burglars outside of the door. They're just finding
- 3:50Speaker 4: ways to delay the information until later. So now you're
- 3:55Speaker 4: gonna need.
- 3:57Speaker 1: The unemployment number right, number one, as they're a live
- 4:02Speaker 1: But I'm given the wives we're talking about, right, we're
- 4:06Speaker 1: talking about the prices of products and consumer goods coming down.
- 4:11Speaker 1: These were like when we saw what happened uh last week,
- 4:16Speaker 1: with that, we can call it a correction. I almost
- 4:19Speaker 1: felt like it was a certainty they're not going to
- 4:21Speaker 1: let this thing go out without doing a cut. And
- 4:25Speaker 1: everybody is now saying September. You say no, September.
- 4:29Speaker 4: Okay, they were supposed to have eight cuts. We haven't
- 4:31Speaker 4: had six. Six, We haven't had one paper cut, we
- 4:36Speaker 4: had one small abrasion yet, all right, So I think
- 4:41Speaker 4: Nvidia is going to knock it out of the park
- 4:43Speaker 4: though and tell you that we'll be good there.
- 4:46Speaker 2: But I don't think there'll be a cut in September.
- 4:48Speaker 1: If there is one, do you change your stance?
- 4:53Speaker 2: Yeah, okay for sure. But based on the.
- 4:58Speaker 3: Should we treat crypto like our given its high volatility?
- 5:02Speaker 3: Is it wise to invest in it for the long
- 5:05Speaker 3: term considering the unpredictability.
- 5:09Speaker 2: I love this question, and let's keep the US side
- 5:11Speaker 2: by side.
- 5:12Speaker 4: The market, crypto and options are all predictable since nineteen
- 5:17Speaker 4: seventy There are fifty two trillion data points of information
- 5:21Speaker 4: that have been put out since the hedge funds are
- 5:24Speaker 4: majorly invested into the top four their stability there. Options
- 5:29Speaker 4: and crypto are only tough or unpredictable if you don't
- 5:33Speaker 4: know what you're doing.
- 5:36Speaker 2: Like the risk of now. If you talked about all coins,
- 5:40Speaker 2: that may be different.
- 5:40Speaker 4: But if you're talking about bitcoin, Ethereum, Cia, Solana, it's
- 5:45Speaker 4: very predictable, very predictable. Options, very predictable. Take the risk
- 5:51Speaker 4: off of the table. What writes this down. What matters
- 5:54Speaker 4: more than anything is your risk profile on no trade
- 5:58Speaker 4: risk more than twenty percent at maximum. Ideally you want
- 6:02Speaker 4: to risk one point six percent of your account. But
- 6:05Speaker 4: I don't think the crypto or options market or the
- 6:08Speaker 4: stock market is volatile. Like how they say this great question,
- 6:14Speaker 4: But we've told you for years what to do, and
- 6:18Speaker 4: you guys have made money for that. And truth be told,
- 6:20Speaker 4: I made a lot more money than your advisors on
- 6:22Speaker 4: whoever you are paying too by fucking far not that hard.
- 6:27Speaker 2: It's not.
- 6:27Speaker 4: No, Yeah, everything is hard, okay, Like running a media
- 6:31Speaker 4: company is incredibly tough if you don't study the media
- 6:34Speaker 4: landscape and what to do correct. Kind of like once
- 6:38Speaker 4: you follow a blueprint and have a framework, there's some
- 6:41Speaker 4: semblance of.
- 6:42Speaker 2: Stability there based off the framework that you create.
- 6:45Speaker 4: Oftentimes traders or investors they want to they heard about
- 6:48Speaker 4: Solana or a mean coin, and they want to jump
- 6:51Speaker 4: in like everyone was bowing us up. Thank you for
- 6:54Speaker 4: everyone who watched the episode last week. But why panic?
- 6:57Speaker 4: If you've been listening all year, I don't want to
- 7:00Speaker 4: talk to you now about what.
- 7:02Speaker 2: Do you think your Japanese carry trade is? Just like Nagasaki?
- 7:06Speaker 2: What are you talking about? Yo?
- 7:08Speaker 4: The games have already been priced. It in August and September.
- 7:10Speaker 4: Should start your investing calendar year? Truth be told, it
- 7:14Speaker 4: doesn't start in January. Should start in August and September
- 7:17Speaker 4: when as a pullback.
- 7:19Speaker 1: So I'll say to the part, where should we treat
- 7:24Speaker 1: cryptos like options? I think if you've listened long enough,
- 7:28Speaker 1: the answer would be no. And here's why you're not
- 7:30Speaker 1: going to treat it like options Because options have expiration dates,
- 7:35Speaker 1: and anytime we've told you to invest in the crypto space,
- 7:39Speaker 1: specifically bitcoin, we've always told you to hold.
- 7:42Speaker 2: It long term. And so if you're.
- 7:44Speaker 1: Holding and when we say crypto, I'm really speaking about
- 7:47Speaker 1: bitcoin because outside of that and ethereum, I mean just
- 7:51Speaker 1: the way that those two alone tells you where the
- 7:54Speaker 1: top two are and where you should be.
- 7:55Speaker 2: But yeah, you're going to hold this long term? Right?
- 7:57Speaker 2: You got options? Yeah?
- 7:58Speaker 1: I mean people are doing day options at this point,
- 8:01Speaker 1: and if you try that with crypto based on this volatility,
- 8:04Speaker 1: you're going to get hurt and you're going to lose
- 8:06Speaker 1: some money. And we've seen that happen over the course
- 8:10Speaker 1: of any cycle. When we talk about the having cycles,
- 8:13Speaker 1: we talk about you know, the crypto winters. If you're
- 8:17Speaker 1: trying to do a trade for six months, I mean,
- 8:21Speaker 1: when we talk about economic catalysts, can you predict it
- 8:26Speaker 1: in bitcoin? There might be some similarities, but could you
- 8:30Speaker 1: do it in other cryptos? Probably not?
- 8:34Speaker 2: What would it be?
- 8:35Speaker 1: So I would say, no, you don't treat like options
- 8:37Speaker 1: obviously for the mayor of fact that there's an expiration
- 8:40Speaker 1: date on your contracts and you want to keep this
- 8:43Speaker 1: thing in your portfolio for a long term.
- 8:46Speaker 2: But y'all don't be holding all long term crypto anyway.
- 8:48Speaker 2: They don't even hold long term. The crazy bro just hold.
- 8:54Speaker 4: If y'all hold everything for ten years, you're good. This
- 8:58Speaker 4: is in every business. Like when a person owns a
- 9:02Speaker 4: media company, they don't give up the rights to the
- 9:05Speaker 4: show year two.
- 9:07Speaker 2: Well some of y'all did on day one, say poographs
- 9:12Speaker 2: and no work. Well, you sign your rights over before
- 9:15Speaker 2: you get started. Well, what do I know, I'm just
- 9:20Speaker 2: a god. It plays a doctor on YouTube.
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