Latest / The Bill Handel Show / Plagues of MacArthur Park | The Surge in Facelifts
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: You're listening to bill Handle on demand from kf I
- 0:04Speaker 1: AM six forty.
- 0:06Speaker 2: You are listening to the bill Handle show.
- 0:10Speaker 1: Cob Cob crok col Coke Crow co Cob Cook co Co.
- 0:19Speaker 3: I am a nice man walking cyclepath talking, King of
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- 0:27Speaker 3: AM six forty bill Handle.
- 0:29Speaker 4: Here.
- 0:29Speaker 3: It is a Monday morning, October twenty seven. World Series
- 0:34Speaker 3: Game three tonight, and we'll see what happens. One to
- 0:38Speaker 3: one tied at this point. And air traffic controllers there's
- 0:42Speaker 3: such a shortage that it's getting shorter er unfortunately, so uh,
- 0:46Speaker 3: flying is getting more and more difficult. Also, the President
- 0:50Speaker 3: is in Japan right now, and it looks like the
- 0:54Speaker 3: US or he and President Jijing Ping the Ping my
- 1:00Speaker 3: have looks like they cut a deal for tariffs tariff
- 1:06Speaker 3: releaf and it's not gonna be one hundred percent of
- 1:07Speaker 3: tariff starting the first on Chinese goods, and the rare
- 1:10Speaker 3: earths are now back on.
- 1:12Speaker 2: The table to be shipped the United States. So it's
- 1:14Speaker 2: looking pretty good.
- 1:15Speaker 3: Have you ever been to MacArthur Park in downtown La Kono.
- 1:20Speaker 2: Is shaking his head.
- 1:20Speaker 3: No, Well, let me tell you what's fun about MacArthur
- 1:23Speaker 3: Park are there's more drug activity there than you could
- 1:27Speaker 3: possibly imagine a fun place. And this is a fairly
- 1:32Speaker 3: little known secret, is that more fake green cards are
- 1:36Speaker 3: sold at MacArthur Park than you could ever imagine. Matter
- 1:40Speaker 3: of fact, our housekeeper Maria has had a fake green
- 1:45Speaker 3: card for many, many years. Oh do the authorities listen
- 1:52Speaker 3: to this show? M okay in the meantime and they're
- 1:57Speaker 3: not even green anymore. You know that green cards. By
- 1:59Speaker 3: the way, Marie's citizen. Just in case you want to know,
- 2:03Speaker 3: there is more crime around MacArthur Park than you can imagine. Now,
- 2:07Speaker 3: MacArthur Park is an interesting place because it does two things.
- 2:13Speaker 3: Number one, it provides homeless people a place to stay
- 2:17Speaker 3: and to live right there on the grass. It also
- 2:20Speaker 3: provides a great place to buy drugs. You have a
- 2:24Speaker 3: large selection of drugs at reasonable prices around MacArthur Park.
- 2:28Speaker 3: And by the way, the cops are there, and this
- 2:31Speaker 3: just happens right in front of the cops. You also
- 2:34Speaker 3: have street vendors cooking up their aware on propane stoves,
- 2:40Speaker 3: and you have people just selling goods out of the
- 2:43Speaker 3: trunks of their cars. So it's a vibrant place for
- 2:48Speaker 3: Spanish speaking and I'm going to guess many illegal undocumented people.
- 2:54Speaker 2: I'm surprised that MacArthur Park hasn't been swept up in
- 2:59Speaker 2: these rays.
- 3:00Speaker 1: You don't remember the tanks being out there and stuff
- 3:02Speaker 1: like that.
- 3:04Speaker 3: I remember the demonstrations, but I don't remember coming in.
- 3:08Speaker 5: They had military vehicles out there and baths showed up
- 3:11Speaker 5: and she was pissed.
- 3:12Speaker 3: Hmmm, I don't remember that. But okay, I'm surprised you
- 3:15Speaker 3: don't come in there miles from my house. Ah, so
- 3:18Speaker 3: is that where you got your green card?
- 3:21Speaker 6: Uh?
- 3:21Speaker 1: Non speak English?
- 3:23Speaker 3: Okay, nicely done, by the way. That is about as
- 3:25Speaker 3: racist as you can possibly get.
- 3:27Speaker 2: Thank you.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Hey, I'm Mexican. I can do it.
- 3:30Speaker 2: You get a pass anyway.
- 3:32Speaker 3: What's happening is they're trying to figure out this is
- 3:35Speaker 3: not only a place for families, and we're talking about
- 3:38Speaker 3: English as the second language families Uh and uh Hispanic
- 3:42Speaker 3: for the most part, Hispanic people and lower socioeconomic levels.
- 3:47Speaker 3: So this has become a central place for them to
- 3:50Speaker 3: hang out, for them to deal with neighbors, et cetera.
- 3:54Speaker 3: I mean, it's just it's sort of town a town
- 3:58Speaker 3: center for these folks, but at the same time there's
- 4:00Speaker 3: a ton of crime. Matter of fact, what's really fun
- 4:04Speaker 3: is every few years when they drain MacArthur, the park,
- 4:08Speaker 3: the lake at MacArthur Park, MacArthur Lake, it's wonderful to
- 4:12Speaker 3: see because they're always digging up a few bodies and
- 4:15Speaker 3: it's just great fun to see that. So here's what
- 4:18Speaker 3: the city Council's proposed, a fence all the way around
- 4:24Speaker 3: the park two point three million dollars. A fence that
- 4:29Speaker 3: will theoretically have keep the bad guys out, we'll keep
- 4:34Speaker 3: the good guys in.
- 4:36Speaker 2: Police will still be there.
- 4:37Speaker 3: And there's a lot of contention here because right now
- 4:41Speaker 3: it's accessible to anybody. And then the people that advocate
- 4:44Speaker 3: the fence are saying, we'll have places where people can
- 4:47Speaker 3: go in, there'll be gates, there'll be some kind of control.
- 4:50Speaker 2: Businesses.
- 4:51Speaker 3: I have a hard time doing business around MacArthur Park.
- 4:55Speaker 3: I mean, I just don't get it. Isn't langers right
- 4:58Speaker 3: there at MacArthur.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Park, right across the street, and I don't.
- 5:02Speaker 3: And so it's an iconic Jewish deli that's been there
- 5:05Speaker 3: for a zillion years and the food is wonderful.
- 5:08Speaker 1: Number nineteen straw me, I'm right.
- 5:11Speaker 2: Yeah, but how do you where do people park? I
- 5:15Speaker 2: haven't been.
- 5:15Speaker 3: I've been to Langers I think twice in my life,
- 5:18Speaker 3: and I was a teenager at the time. It's been
- 5:20Speaker 3: around that that long. I mean, where do you park?
- 5:23Speaker 3: Where do you walk?
- 5:25Speaker 2: All right?
- 5:25Speaker 3: To get to Langers? Aren't you stepping over homeless people?
- 5:29Speaker 1: Yeah? Pretty much.
- 5:30Speaker 5: I passed by MacArthur Park all the time and it's horrendous.
- 5:34Speaker 5: It is an absolute blight, and it's it's horrible what
- 5:39Speaker 5: they've done to it, because it's really a beautiful place
- 5:42Speaker 5: and it's in a really neat location.
- 5:44Speaker 1: But the West Lake District is just horrific.
- 5:50Speaker 2: And so the fence, you think of that that's going
- 5:51Speaker 2: to help Neil.
- 5:53Speaker 5: There are many fenced in parks in Los Angeles and
- 6:00Speaker 5: and I think it will. I mean, do you remember
- 6:02Speaker 5: the temporary fencing they put up at Echo Park. I do,
- 6:07Speaker 5: and that helped a lot. It kept the homeless from
- 6:11Speaker 5: sleeping there. It was controversial to some, but the fact
- 6:14Speaker 5: is it worked, and that was our park for a
- 6:16Speaker 5: long time.
- 6:17Speaker 1: We would walk there all the time.
- 6:19Speaker 3: And here is what's fun about Echo Park and MacArthur Park.
- 6:22Speaker 3: When they dredged the Lakes, which lake produces the most
- 6:27Speaker 3: dead bodies.
- 6:29Speaker 5: I will tell you that absolutely. Echo Park is a
- 6:34Speaker 5: gem in Los Angeles. They have the swan pedal boats.
- 6:38Speaker 5: It's gorgeous there. They just need to keep the riff
- 6:42Speaker 5: raf out.
- 6:44Speaker 6: Well, that was the park that was completely taken over
- 6:47Speaker 6: a few years ago, remember, and then they put the
- 6:50Speaker 6: Echo Park and then they put the fence all the
- 6:52Speaker 6: way around and they cleared it out and took away
- 6:54Speaker 6: to tons and tons of trash. And like Neil just
- 6:57Speaker 6: said that they're making efforts to keep the park cleared out.
- 7:00Speaker 2: Well, we'll see what happens.
- 7:01Speaker 3: There's a lot of contention on both sides that they're
- 7:05Speaker 3: going to be taking away a vibrant part of the city.
- 7:08Speaker 3: We'd illegal undocumented people and the street vendors and the
- 7:14Speaker 3: drug dealers, and I kind of like the whole thing.
- 7:17Speaker 3: It's just a fun place to go visit and whenever
- 7:20Speaker 3: I feel like I want to consider killing myself. Neil,
- 7:25Speaker 3: you definitely need this. Actually, frankly, I need this more
- 7:28Speaker 3: than most people do, and that is facelifts for men.
- 7:34Speaker 2: Facelifts for men should start doing commercials for those.
- 7:39Speaker 3: So where do you think what industry would you think
- 7:45Speaker 3: what financial sector would you think the most facelifts men
- 7:50Speaker 3: are getting in what what.
- 7:52Speaker 1: Area you'd think entertainment?
- 7:55Speaker 2: Nope, nope, nope, it's tech.
- 7:58Speaker 3: It's actually the high tech financial tech people investors. Why well,
- 8:05Speaker 3: there was a twenty twenty four talk a guy named
- 8:07Speaker 3: Keith robbles Is was asking advice from Peter Thiel, one
- 8:14Speaker 3: of the big big investors in the country, and the
- 8:17Speaker 3: advice he gaves him you can't hire anyone over thirty.
- 8:21Speaker 3: So what's happening is guys in tech are spending thousands
- 8:25Speaker 3: of dollars on procedures like many face lifts, necklifts, I
- 8:31Speaker 3: let I lid lifts to basically just look younger. And
- 8:35Speaker 3: there are two reasons why it's these guys. Reason number
- 8:40Speaker 3: one is they've got the money. You know, people involved
- 8:44Speaker 3: in high tech and investment world have the money. For example,
- 8:48Speaker 3: there's a Beverly Hills plastic surgeon, doctor Ben t Lie,
- 8:52Speaker 3: charges one hundred and twenty five to one hundred and
- 8:54Speaker 3: fifty thousand dollars for a face and necklift, and he's
- 8:59Speaker 3: seen demand grow fivefold over the past five years, one
- 9:02Speaker 3: hundred percent a year, can you imagine. And there's a
- 9:06Speaker 3: doctor Andrew Barnett says his request for facelifts for men
- 9:10Speaker 3: in the tech world have jumped twenty five percent from
- 9:13Speaker 3: COVID jewels, COVID levels eye surgeries themselves. I LID surgeries
- 9:20Speaker 3: up fifty percent. Now, there's two reasons, I said, Number one,
- 9:24Speaker 3: they have the money. The other reason is that a
- 9:29Speaker 3: lot of people are doing remote work. Used to come
- 9:33Speaker 3: into the office, right And if you have.
- 9:35Speaker 2: The opportunity to do remote remote work.
- 9:38Speaker 3: For example, let's say you Neil and I or Will
- 9:43Speaker 3: or whoever on the morning show. We all have home studios,
- 9:47Speaker 3: of course, but Neil and I have home studios and
- 9:50Speaker 3: you're on a monitor every day. There are cameras and
- 9:53Speaker 3: I'm looking at all of you and you're all looking
- 9:55Speaker 3: at me on the monitor. Well, I could turn off
- 9:58Speaker 3: the monitor for a couple of weeks. You guys will
- 10:00Speaker 3: be thrilled, thank you very much. But I could get
- 10:03Speaker 3: a facelift and you wouldn't know it until I come
- 10:06Speaker 3: back a couple of weeks later, three weeks later.
- 10:07Speaker 2: And that's what's going on with these people.
- 10:10Speaker 3: And so those are the two big reasons, and it
- 10:13Speaker 3: is so important for men. Now it's almost pass that
- 10:17Speaker 3: men get facelifts as much as women do.
- 10:21Speaker 2: Have I considered facelift?
- 10:24Speaker 3: Well, yeah, yeah, if you think about it, if you
- 10:28Speaker 3: look at me, and this is hereditary my day. I
- 10:31Speaker 3: gave this to me. And I have this very large
- 10:34Speaker 3: wattle under my neck. I have a sort of a
- 10:37Speaker 3: turkey wattle which I read. Yeah, I know, well, I
- 10:43Speaker 3: paint red. I paint it read every Thanksgiving, just to
- 10:46Speaker 3: make sure that no one notices it. The point is
- 10:53Speaker 3: what people say, is it used to be you look refreshed,
- 10:59Speaker 3: you look something about you, you look younger. Now it's
- 11:04Speaker 3: not a bad facelift. Now it is so common that
- 11:09Speaker 3: people just look at you. You go facelift. How much
- 11:12Speaker 3: did you pay for that?
- 11:13Speaker 5: Sylvester Stallone, I don't know if he's had a face
- 11:16Speaker 5: lift or not, but man, it looks odd.
- 11:19Speaker 2: I don't. Well, that's what facelifts, that's what that's that's.
- 11:22Speaker 3: The difference between a good surgeon and a not so
- 11:26Speaker 3: good surgeon or someone who uh.
- 11:29Speaker 2: And we see this in women not so much.
- 11:31Speaker 3: And man, although I have tell you there are people
- 11:34Speaker 3: out there David Copperfield.
- 11:37Speaker 2: Have you seen him?
- 11:38Speaker 1: Oh seriously, I have not.
- 11:40Speaker 3: Oh, man, take a look at a picture of David Copperfield.
- 11:43Speaker 5: If it looks like someone's pulling silly putty over their knee, like, yeah.
- 11:48Speaker 3: It's you can it's unfortunately you can tell that stretched
- 11:52Speaker 3: out look, and it is, you know, just get old,
- 11:56Speaker 3: Just get old. Relax. You know, you're who you are.
- 12:00Speaker 3: Your eyelids get puffy, so be it, and so your
- 12:05Speaker 3: face drools a little bit, it goes down a little bit,
- 12:07Speaker 3: So it's not you know what, it's not bad to
- 12:10Speaker 3: look like a sharpei.
- 12:11Speaker 2: It is okay. In life. It is natural to have
- 12:16Speaker 2: your like a beagle.
- 12:17Speaker 3: You know, you have the jowls that just drop down,
- 12:20Speaker 3: and that's who we are, and you have to have
- 12:24Speaker 3: this artificial young look. That's Derey Gore. Now, especially in
- 12:29Speaker 3: the world of tech, because somehow, well maybe it's because
- 12:32Speaker 3: twelve year olds are now billionaires when they form these
- 12:35Speaker 3: these new tech companies. It used to be you'd be
- 12:39Speaker 3: in your fifties or sixties before you become a billionaire.
- 12:42Speaker 2: Now you do it before your teenage years.
- 12:44Speaker 3: So maybe that's the reason people want to look that
- 12:48Speaker 3: much younger. Now I'm okay with the looking older. I
- 12:53Speaker 3: don't care. I don't care. Neil, you have to be
- 12:56Speaker 3: okay with it because you have no choice.
- 12:59Speaker 1: Well, I don't care.
- 13:00Speaker 5: I'd like to be thinner, but I don't care about
- 13:02Speaker 5: you know, I'm already married. I just she loves me
- 13:07Speaker 5: for who I am.
- 13:10Speaker 3: Wow, yeah, you beauty and you're beautiful on your planet,
- 13:16Speaker 3: I know.
- 13:17Speaker 1: Yeah on the inside.
- 13:20Speaker 7: You know.
- 13:21Speaker 3: You know, my mother used to say when I when
- 13:23Speaker 3: I was single, my mother was desperate to have me
- 13:25Speaker 3: connect with someone because I didn't get married until I
- 13:27Speaker 3: was in my thirties. And my mother always, uh, hook
- 13:32Speaker 3: me up with someone. Always have a friend of hers
- 13:34Speaker 3: who had who had a daughter, and she was a bill.
- 13:38Speaker 3: I want you to beat whatever, you know, my friend's daughter.
- 13:43Speaker 3: And she would say, and she has a beautiful face.
- 13:47Speaker 2: Okay, there it is.
- 13:51Speaker 1: Epism what I'm a face guy.
- 13:54Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, you know, I.
- 13:58Speaker 3: Don't mind three hundred pou but I do mind three
- 14:01Speaker 3: hundred pounds on top of me having So that's not
- 14:04Speaker 3: going to happen.
- 14:05Speaker 5: NA bodies changed, But a face there's something about it
- 14:08Speaker 5: that even if it grows old, that it still has
- 14:11Speaker 5: its character.
- 14:12Speaker 1: And I'm a face guy.
- 14:14Speaker 3: Okay, we're done, like you're screwed completely, We're done. We're done,
- 14:19Speaker 3: finished now I have talked a whole lot about gold.
- 14:23Speaker 3: As you know, I do commercials for Lear Gold, and
- 14:27Speaker 3: what I want to do is introduce to you Kevin Demerit,
- 14:29Speaker 3: who is a founder of Lear Capital. Now quick disclaimer here,
- 14:33Speaker 3: all right, I do commercials for them, so know that
- 14:37Speaker 3: before I start the interview, and this will not be
- 14:41Speaker 3: a commercial. I'm bringing Kevin aboard because of his knowledge,
- 14:46Speaker 3: vast knowledge of the gold market.
- 14:49Speaker 2: He's been doing this for.
- 14:50Speaker 3: Decades and I have a lot of questions to ask
- 14:54Speaker 3: about what is going on with gold right now.
- 14:57Speaker 2: So Kevin, thanks for joining us. Always appreciate.
- 15:01Speaker 7: Eric, thanks for having me. Bill.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Oh sure, okay.
- 15:04Speaker 3: Question number one about gold, and that is stocks go down,
- 15:09Speaker 3: gold goes up. Stocks are in the stratosphere. Gold is
- 15:14Speaker 3: in the stratosphere. What is going on?
- 15:19Speaker 7: Well, that's a that's a great question.
- 15:21Speaker 4: And you know, it used to be true that the
- 15:23Speaker 4: gold market would offset, you know, what the stock market
- 15:26Speaker 4: was doing, So if the stock market.
- 15:27Speaker 7: Was falling, gold would be going the other way. And
- 15:30Speaker 7: that was decades ago. But we're in a.
- 15:32Speaker 4: Completely different cycle right now. The stock market might look
- 15:36Speaker 4: strong on the surface, but under the hood, there's record
- 15:38Speaker 4: debt from the government side, there's a little bit of
- 15:41Speaker 4: consumer stress, there's geopolitical tensions, and I think it kind
- 15:44Speaker 4: of looks a little bit like a bubble we saw
- 15:46Speaker 4: back in you know, two thousand with dot coms from
- 15:49Speaker 4: the AI side. So today, I don't think gold's reacting
- 15:52Speaker 4: to just recession or booms. It's reacting to uncertainty and
- 15:55Speaker 4: risk of market over valuations, record government money printing, and
- 15:59Speaker 4: a dollar that's really been under pressure and falling since
- 16:02Speaker 4: two thousand. It's down about twenty seven percent. So even
- 16:05Speaker 4: when the economy looks good, investors are still hedging and
- 16:07Speaker 4: gold is reflecting that reality.
- 16:10Speaker 3: No, when you talk about the economy and looking at realistically,
- 16:14Speaker 3: if the dollar is down twenty seven percent over the
- 16:16Speaker 3: past few years, that tells us that there are big holes,
- 16:22Speaker 3: or at least there's a lot of softness in the economy.
- 16:25Speaker 3: I'm looking at the stock market numbers right now. The
- 16:30Speaker 3: doll is up two hundred and fifty points, is hitting
- 16:32Speaker 3: another record, and yet at the same time gold is
- 16:36Speaker 3: doing great. Are people just are they throwing away the
- 16:41Speaker 3: old formula where it just doesn't exist the way it
- 16:43Speaker 3: used to.
- 16:46Speaker 7: Well, I don't know if they're throwing away the formula.
- 16:48Speaker 4: I think they're just more aware of what the formula is.
- 16:51Speaker 4: You know, back in two thousand when you had the
- 16:53Speaker 4: dot com crash, you know, people are just writing business
- 16:57Speaker 4: plans on the backs of napkins, and then you know,
- 16:59Speaker 4: here as a.
- 17:00Speaker 7: Stock worth a billion dollars. This time around, there.
- 17:02Speaker 4: Being a little bit more conservative saying, hey, yes, the
- 17:05Speaker 4: AI is probably more productive and going to be like
- 17:09Speaker 4: the Internet over the next five or six years. But
- 17:12Speaker 4: it still looks overvalued. If you look at all the metrics,
- 17:16Speaker 4: even the Warren Buffett indicator, it's at record highs that
- 17:19Speaker 4: we haven't seen in the past, you know, forty years
- 17:21Speaker 4: or all the way back to nineteen twenty nine again,
- 17:24Speaker 4: So I think there's nervousness on that part. Then there's
- 17:27Speaker 4: nervousness on the dollar part, because you know, our desinit
- 17:30Speaker 4: is just our debt just hit thirty eight thirty seven
- 17:34Speaker 4: trillion dollars. So there's a lot of things happening in
- 17:38Speaker 4: the market, and I think gold's just reflecting the uncertainty
- 17:42Speaker 4: that those things are creating a potential market correction and
- 17:46Speaker 4: you know, possibly the dollar not being the world's reserve
- 17:49Speaker 4: currency over the next ten years.
- 17:51Speaker 3: All right, So let me ask you about gold, because
- 17:54Speaker 3: I've talked to people.
- 17:55Speaker 2: That hold a lot of gold.
- 17:56Speaker 3: I hold some, and it's been a great investment for me.
- 17:58Speaker 3: I don't have a problem with that. But when I
- 18:00Speaker 3: think about it, what is gold actually good for?
- 18:04Speaker 1: Right?
- 18:05Speaker 3: Silver there is a very practical use. Silver is for batteries,
- 18:10Speaker 3: silver is for the evs, it's using communication gold other
- 18:15Speaker 3: than putting gold foil on satellites. So I mean, what
- 18:19Speaker 3: is it actually used for that's practical?
- 18:25Speaker 4: Well, it's really real money, So you know, that would
- 18:27Speaker 4: be like saying, what's bitcoin, you know, used for? It's
- 18:30Speaker 4: it's something that holds its value. So right now, gold,
- 18:34Speaker 4: in my personal opinion, isn't just telling, isn't just high.
- 18:38Speaker 4: It's telling a story. So right now, investors all over
- 18:40Speaker 4: the world, they're nervous, inflation, spend, sticky, government debt, like
- 18:43Speaker 4: I said, has been skyrocketing. Central banks outside the United
- 18:47Speaker 4: States dates have been buying record amounts of gold. Why
- 18:52Speaker 4: because they want.
- 18:52Speaker 7: Something real, something that doesn't rely.
- 18:54Speaker 4: On political promises or digital numbers on the stream, and
- 18:57Speaker 4: something that they're holding that isn't falling twenty seven percent
- 19:01Speaker 4: since two thousand. So if you're holding you know, government treasuries.
- 19:05Speaker 4: Ten your treasuries, what are you.
- 19:07Speaker 7: Making four percent? Well, the value of the dollars.
- 19:09Speaker 4: Down twenty seven, you're actually holding that paper money and
- 19:12Speaker 4: losing money. So those central banks have been selling off
- 19:14Speaker 4: treasuries and buying gold. So when you see gold hitting
- 19:17Speaker 4: new highs, it's not random, it's confidence leaving paper assets
- 19:20Speaker 4: and moving into something more tangible.
- 19:23Speaker 3: All right, Well, gold used to be well, currencies used
- 19:26Speaker 3: to be predicated on gold. In other words, the US reserves,
- 19:29Speaker 3: for example, were gold reserves. Money was backed up by
- 19:33Speaker 3: gold that disappeared what one hundred years ago or fifty
- 19:38Speaker 3: years ago? So why do we need gold when, for example,
- 19:42Speaker 3: our dollar is not based on gold, it's not passed
- 19:45Speaker 3: by gold.
- 19:45Speaker 2: It's based on the faith and credit of the United States.
- 19:48Speaker 3: So here again I'm asking what it seems ephemeral to
- 19:52Speaker 3: me that gold has that much value.
- 19:57Speaker 4: Well, when you think about why they had gold back
- 20:00Speaker 4: the dollar, it was because they couldn't print the dollar
- 20:02Speaker 4: without buying more gold. So if you back ten percent
- 20:05Speaker 4: of the dollar, let's say, and you wanted to print
- 20:07Speaker 4: up a billion dollars, you had to put one hundred million.
- 20:09Speaker 7: You had to go out and buy one hundred million
- 20:11Speaker 7: dollars worth of gold.
- 20:12Speaker 4: The reason Bill that they wanted to take us off
- 20:14Speaker 4: of that was because they didn't want to buy the gold.
- 20:17Speaker 4: They want to print money willy nilly. And if they're
- 20:20Speaker 4: going to do that every time they do it, the
- 20:22Speaker 4: dollar that you're actually holding, that backed by the full
- 20:25Speaker 4: faith and credit of the United States government, is worth less.
- 20:28Speaker 4: So here we are in two thousand and eight. You
- 20:32Speaker 4: had a crash in the market, the Great Recession, and
- 20:36Speaker 4: we had eight trillion dollars worth.
- 20:37Speaker 7: Of government debt.
- 20:38Speaker 4: We're at thirty seven trillion dollars the value of gold,
- 20:42Speaker 4: reflecting the crash in the value of the dollar because
- 20:45Speaker 4: they printed up paper money. So you need something to
- 20:47Speaker 4: offset all of that money printing, and that's what gold does,
- 20:51Speaker 4: all right.
- 20:51Speaker 3: Kevin Demerit, founder of Layer Capital. Quick disclaimer, I do
- 20:56Speaker 3: commercials for Layer Capital, so I want you to know that,
- 21:00Speaker 3: and I do not view this as a commercial for Lear,
- 21:04Speaker 3: nor does Kevin. We're bringing Kevin aboard simply because it
- 21:08Speaker 3: is expertise, a nationally known figure in the world of gold.
- 21:11Speaker 2: Big time.
- 21:12Speaker 3: All right, Kevin, let's talk about gold itself. What is
- 21:16Speaker 3: it about gold that makes it so valuable. There are
- 21:20Speaker 3: other minerals, and there are the things that traditionally people
- 21:23Speaker 3: could have said, yeah, that's valuable, but gold is more.
- 21:28Speaker 3: What is it about gold itself that gives it its value?
- 21:33Speaker 7: Yeah, I think there's three things.
- 21:34Speaker 4: Number One, it costs something to pull it out of
- 21:36Speaker 4: the ground, so.
- 21:36Speaker 7: That gives it some value. Number Two, it's been used.
- 21:40Speaker 4: As money for over five thousand years, so it's very
- 21:43Speaker 4: well known.
- 21:43Speaker 7: And number three, it's divisible, meaning that I can take.
- 21:46Speaker 4: An ounce of gold and turn it into a tenth
- 21:48Speaker 4: of an ounce of gold and you can barter with that.
- 21:51Speaker 4: So I think those are the things that are most important,
- 21:53Speaker 4: and the most important about all of them is that
- 21:56Speaker 4: it has a limited supply. So when you think about bitcoin,
- 22:00Speaker 4: that's the one everybody knows because it has that limited supply.
- 22:03Speaker 4: When people put more demand on a fixed supply.
- 22:07Speaker 7: The prices are going to go up.
- 22:08Speaker 4: So unlike the government printing money, if they had a
- 22:11Speaker 4: fixed supply of money and it can only grow at
- 22:13Speaker 4: three or five percent a year, we'd have a much
- 22:16Speaker 4: stronger dollar.
- 22:17Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 22:17Speaker 3: I've always wondered about that because at least gold you
- 22:20Speaker 3: can point to and touch, where bitcoin you can't, and
- 22:25Speaker 3: even dollar bills. It's only paper which you can do
- 22:31Speaker 3: anything with. Gold seems to be very different. But there's
- 22:35Speaker 3: a historical aspect to gold that I've always fascinated me.
- 22:40Speaker 3: And why does it go up and down in value?
- 22:44Speaker 3: There have been times, I remember what I don't know,
- 22:47Speaker 3: a few decades ago, for twenty five years, gold didn't
- 22:49Speaker 3: go up, and then all of a sudden it comes
- 22:51Speaker 3: back and it explodes. So give us a little bit
- 22:53Speaker 3: of history of what gold has done here in this
- 22:56Speaker 3: country of the last hundred years.
- 23:00Speaker 7: Lot's the times that you're talking about.
- 23:02Speaker 4: Usually you're going to have inflation, which means they're printing
- 23:05Speaker 4: too much money. I mean, the definition of inflation is
- 23:07Speaker 4: too much money chasing too few goods. So usually at
- 23:09Speaker 4: the governments around the world printing money.
- 23:12Speaker 7: At a pace that's faster than the economy is growing.
- 23:15Speaker 4: So if the economy is growing at three percent and
- 23:17Speaker 4: you're printing money at seven percent, at some point you're
- 23:19Speaker 4: printing up so much money that you're going to have inflation.
- 23:22Speaker 4: You're going to have too much money chasing too few goods.
- 23:25Speaker 4: So if you look back in the eighties or seventies,
- 23:28Speaker 4: really that's when we had the hyperinflation. Inflation got up
- 23:31Speaker 4: to fifteen percent this time around. We've gone from a
- 23:35Speaker 4: data of, like I said, eight trillion dollars in two
- 23:38Speaker 4: thousand and eight to thirty seven trillion dollars. So you're
- 23:40Speaker 4: going to have a massive move in the gold price
- 23:43Speaker 4: because you've printed up a bunch of money, and some
- 23:45Speaker 4: of that money is going to find its way over
- 23:47Speaker 4: to gold that has the limited supply. You put an
- 23:50Speaker 4: increased demand on a fixed supply, it's going to.
- 23:53Speaker 7: Go up in price.
- 23:54Speaker 4: So the easiest way to look at the gold market,
- 23:58Speaker 4: which by the way, has an eighty two percent correlation
- 24:01Speaker 4: with the debt the United States and ninety two percent
- 24:04Speaker 4: correlation with the value of gold to the debt in
- 24:06Speaker 4: the United States, you.
- 24:07Speaker 7: Just look and say do I want to own gold?
- 24:10Speaker 4: And all you have to believe is the government going
- 24:12Speaker 4: to continue to print money. If you believe it's going
- 24:15Speaker 4: to continue to print money at the pace that it's
- 24:17Speaker 4: been printing money to devalue the dollars that are already
- 24:19Speaker 4: out there, then the value of gold should increase as
- 24:24Speaker 4: the offset of the decrease in the value of the dollar.
- 24:26Speaker 4: It's really that simple. You don't have to be a
- 24:29Speaker 4: rocket scientist to figure out where the price of gold
- 24:31Speaker 4: is going most of the time. In the short term, yes,
- 24:34Speaker 4: in the long term not really.
- 24:35Speaker 3: So do government still buy gold? Does the United States
- 24:38Speaker 3: buy gold? Because it used to be gold reserves? We
- 24:40Speaker 3: talk about FOURT Knox, which has I think only in
- 24:44Speaker 3: the hundreds of millions of dollars of gold in it.
- 24:47Speaker 2: I don't even know the figure. Are we buying gold
- 24:49Speaker 2: and why?
- 24:52Speaker 4: Well, the US government has the largest reserve of gold
- 24:54Speaker 4: out of any country in the world, and we value
- 24:57Speaker 4: that gold at thirty two dollars an ounce, not anywhere
- 25:00Speaker 4: near the four thousand dollars announced that are trading ad today.
- 25:04Speaker 4: But other central banks around the world like China, Brazil, Russia, India,
- 25:09Speaker 4: a lot of other countries are purchasing gold right now.
- 25:12Speaker 7: Bills.
- 25:12Speaker 4: Matter of fact, this is the fourth year that we
- 25:14Speaker 4: had record amounts of gold purchases by central banks around
- 25:18Speaker 4: the world. And you have to remember something about central banks.
- 25:21Speaker 4: They're not day traders. They're not here to buy gold
- 25:23Speaker 4: today and sell it tomorrow. They buy gold and they
- 25:26Speaker 4: hold it for ten, fifteen, twenty years at a time.
- 25:28Speaker 4: So in the past two or three years they've been
- 25:30Speaker 4: purchasing somewhere between a quarter to almost fifty percent of
- 25:34Speaker 4: the entire mining supply that comes out of the ground
- 25:37Speaker 4: in a year. And the last time we saw that
- 25:39Speaker 4: would have been in the early seventies, right before a
- 25:41Speaker 4: lot of inflation happened. So the answer to the question is, yes,
- 25:44Speaker 4: central banks around the world are buying gold at record amounts.
- 25:47Speaker 2: And does that include the United States?
- 25:51Speaker 7: It doesn't include the United States.
- 25:53Speaker 4: We already have, like I said, the world's largest reserve,
- 25:55Speaker 4: and we don't value it correctly. If you valued it
- 25:59Speaker 4: at the the value that you're supposed to would be
- 26:01Speaker 4: at almost half a trillion dollars. So that give you
- 26:04Speaker 4: some sort of an idea of what our reserves are.
- 26:07Speaker 4: And if you compare that to the other countries, they're
- 26:10Speaker 4: less than half of that.
- 26:11Speaker 7: For the next biggest one.
- 26:13Speaker 2: All right, why don't we the government sell the goal?
- 26:15Speaker 3: Then if it's a reserved to prop up the economy
- 26:19Speaker 3: or prop up the dollar, it would never be sold.
- 26:24Speaker 4: Well, you know, that's a great question, and you should.
- 26:27Speaker 4: We should get the British government on the phone, because
- 26:29Speaker 4: they sold half of their gold reserves in two thousand
- 26:32Speaker 4: when gold was two hundred and fifty five dollars an ounce,
- 26:35Speaker 4: So that was the most idiotic move you could have
- 26:36Speaker 4: done compared to now four thousand. So most of the
- 26:40Speaker 4: time you don't see central banks selling a lot of gold.
- 26:43Speaker 4: They'll sell some here and there if there's war, maybe
- 26:46Speaker 4: Russia solt some and things like that, but for the
- 26:48Speaker 4: most part they kind of hold it very long term.
- 26:51Speaker 7: Ten fifteen, twenty years.
- 26:53Speaker 4: A matter of fact, in two thousand, I don't know
- 26:55Speaker 4: if you remember this, but I'm such a big fan
- 26:57Speaker 4: of yours in your radio program, and I asked you
- 26:59Speaker 4: if I could be on the program in two thousand,
- 27:01Speaker 4: and you told me, I'm going to go talk to
- 27:03Speaker 4: my friend Jim Kramer and ask him what he thinks
- 27:05Speaker 4: about gold. And Jim came back and said, hey, I
- 27:07Speaker 4: don't know about gold. That's exactly when gold was two
- 27:10Speaker 4: hundred and seventy five dollars an ounce, and here we
- 27:13Speaker 4: are at four thousand. So the gold market has actually
- 27:16Speaker 4: outproduced the stock market sent two thousand. If you had
- 27:19Speaker 4: to put a one hundred thousand dollars investment in gold,
- 27:21Speaker 4: if we worth eight hundred and thirty two thousand, one
- 27:24Speaker 4: hundred thousand dollars investment in this now would be worth
- 27:26Speaker 4: three hundred and fifty thousand, So give you some sort
- 27:29Speaker 4: of an idea.
- 27:30Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 27:30Speaker 3: On the other hand, next time I talk to someone
- 27:33Speaker 3: in the bitcoin business. When bitcoin first came out, it
- 27:37Speaker 3: was I don't think eight bitcoin for a penny and
- 27:42Speaker 3: no when knew what's going on. I still don't trust
- 27:45Speaker 3: bitcoin because I don't trust crypto.
- 27:49Speaker 2: Gold is real.
- 27:50Speaker 3: I mean I can touch it, you know, I can
- 27:52Speaker 3: take my goal. I can use it as a doorstop
- 27:54Speaker 3: if I have enough of it. Don't get bitcoin or crypto.
- 27:58Speaker 3: How do you feel about that in the gold business.
- 28:03Speaker 7: Yeah, you know, here's the difference.
- 28:04Speaker 4: I mean, the gold market has a five thousand year
- 28:06Speaker 4: track record and Dick Cooin has a you know, twelve
- 28:08Speaker 4: year track record. I'm gonna stick with the one that
- 28:10Speaker 4: has a longer track record, and you know, see what happens,
- 28:13Speaker 4: see see what, see what we get in the next
- 28:15Speaker 4: and fifteen years there?
- 28:17Speaker 3: All right, Kevin, thank you for joining us. You I
- 28:19Speaker 3: gave us a lot of information we didn't have before.
- 28:22Speaker 3: Take care of yourself. We'll talk again.
- 28:25Speaker 7: Yeah, you too, Thanks for having me on.
- 28:27Speaker 2: Sure, Kevin de Merit guy knows his stuff. I'll tell
- 28:29Speaker 2: you that man, you knows Gold like very few people do.
- 28:31Speaker 2: We're done, all right, Finish Finney. You've been listening to
- 28:35Speaker 2: The Bill Handle Show.
- 28:36Speaker 3: Catch My Show Monday through Friday, six am to nine am,
- 28:39Speaker 3: and anytime on demand on the iHeartRadio app