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Can Ohio State Sneak Into The 2023 College Football Playoff? · Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning

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  Welcome to buck Eyes tomorrow morning for Friday, December. First time your host
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  Tom Or the game against Michigan in three hundred and sixty five days. Yes,
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  next year is a leap year, so even though it's happening on November
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  thirtieth, it is three hundred and sixty five days. I double checked,
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  all right, So we're gonna stead be talking about the game against Michigan in
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  three hundred and sixty five days. We could be talking about some games that
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  could have a pretty significant impact on this year's Ohio State team, starting with
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  one tonight. We're looking at some of the conference championship games. What needs
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  to fall what way in order for Ohio State to maybe sneaking through the side
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  door into the College Football Playoff again this year, just like they did last
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  year. We'd be going through all of that. Their buddy tonygard bit Bucky
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  Huddle dot com. Tony first game of any note is tonight Oregon and nine
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  and a half favorite nine and a half point favorite against Washington in the PAC
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  twelve Championship game. That is tonight Friday night, eight o'clock on ABC.
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  To me, this one looks like they're probably whoever wins is in. Whoever
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  loses is out. The only thing that could really be an issue for Ohio
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  State I think in this one is if Oregon wins, but wins really really
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  really close, or it goes to overtime or something like that. If Oregon
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  wins by you know, a touchdown or ten points or something like that,
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  it seems fine. If Washington wins, that seems fine. It seems like
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  this is there's only a very very very specific circumstance where a high state can
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  have an issue here. Yeah, first of all, what a tremendous game
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  to go covered these two teams in Las Vegas. And then after the game
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  you have the entire evening still remaining because it's like a you know, five
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  o'clock kickout there or whatever. And I think we're expecting somewhat of a shootout.
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  Should be up and down, should be exciting. Obviously, Oregon looking
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  to exact revenge on their loss in this game earlier in the season, and
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  Tom I will say they they better or else. The aggression that people and
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  I'm just going to go on on aside for a second. I apologize the
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  people complaining about Ryan Day not being aggressive enough against Michigan. Dan Lanning was
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  very aggressive against Washington earlier in the season and they lost because of it.
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  That's two sides of a coin in terms of being aggressive on fourth down and
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  not being aggressive. But if they can win this game, which I think
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  most people expect them to, then that loss goes out the window. And
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  I'm with you, I've I think the only way that Washington loses and still
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  remains in the picture is a close, hard fought, really really good loss
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  for them, and that good loss would be better than some of their bad
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  wins, which the committee has repeatedly held them back for. And the only
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  reason they've moved them up to this point is because they've had no choice.
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  They continue to win, but we know they did not like their fifteen to
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  seven win against Arizona State, they did not like the nine point win over
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  Stanford, and I'm sure they really did not like the three point win over
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  Washington State this past week. So they've had enough games of note that they
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  can drop them back with a loss and not feel too broken up about it.
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  The one data point that Washington would have over Ohio State is just the
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  extra win, But some of those wins are negatives in the eyes of the
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  Committee, so that is Friday night. Odds are Ohio State should make it
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  through Friday night with their college football playoff hope still probably decently alive. The
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  next game noon on Saturday. This is probably the single biggest hurdle that Buckeye
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  fans are going to need to have someone get over. They need Mike Gundy
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  and the Oklahoma State Cowboys to upset Texas Texas, a fifteen and a half
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  point favorite. That is noon on Saturday on ABC. These two teams have
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  not played this year. Oklahoma State has won like nine of the previous thirteen
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  matchups in this series, which is one of those things it doesn't seem possible.
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  I think this is a different Texas team. Everything we've seen this year
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  indicates this is not the same old, same old Texas. But it would
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  really be helpful, Tony if this could be the same old, same old
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  Texas for Ohio State's playoff chances, if the Longhorns could somehow blow this one.
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  It feels like every year Ohio State has needed help in that Ohio State
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  has needed help in the Big Twelve championship game, they almost never seem to
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  get it. This one. They would need a lot of help. I
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  think you said a lot of words, Tom, and what I think you
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  didn't say was Ohio State only needs Texas to choke. That's all you needed.
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  That's all you needed to say. Texas needs to choke, because that
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  is kind of what they've done for a very long time. But yeah,
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  Oklahoma State has won the last two and each of the last two years,
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  twenty twenty two and twenty twenty one home and away. And now we were
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  listening to the what the Oklahoma State BYU game in the car coming back from
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  Michigan, and that was a pretty crazy end. And had it not gone
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  that way, I think if bay You had come away with that one,
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  then obviously we'd be seeing Oklahoma and Texas, which would be make for a
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  much more likely upset for Ohio State fans. But this will be interesting because
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  Oklahoma State has the nation's leading rusher. Texas has like the number five run
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  defense in the nation, So it's strength against strength, and then it just
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  comes down to maybe Oklahoma State quarterback Alan Bowman making plays and pen viewers not.
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  And you know, I'm not going to put anything past Texas, but
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  I'm also not expecting the Longhorns to get upset here. However, if they
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  do, then Buckeye fans might want to start really really getting excited. Yeah,
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  this does feel like the biggest hurdle that Ohio State playoff chances would have
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  to get over on Saturday. If they do, get ready to start barking
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  Ohio State fans because if Texas is out of the picture, then an Alabama
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  win over Georgia probably gets them. You know, I think I think there's
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  an argument that a one loss SEC champion Alabama doesn't get in over Texas because
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  of the head to head win for Texas at at Bryant Denny earlier in the
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  year. If Texas is out of the way, Alabama is probably win and
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  you're in. So buck guys would need Georgia, who was a six point
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  favorite to knock off the Crimson Tide. That one is four o'clock on CBS.
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  I mean Tony, Which is there a way neither team makes this.
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  It doesn't feel like you could see the SEC missing out entirely on the playoff,
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  and I think it's I think it's more likely you see two SEC teams
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  than zero. Yeah, I would agree with that, And you know,
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  how how does an SEC team not make it. Obviously it's in Alabama win
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  and a Texas win, and what a Florida State win. But we also
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  know the Committee they have their own thoughts on Florida State as well. Now
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  without Jordan Travis. So I'm operating under the premise that somebody from the SEC
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  is making it, and if Alabama wins, then pretty good chance two teams
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  from the SEC are making it. It's gonna get really interesting in terms of
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  what happens if Texas and Alabama both win, how they're going to handle this
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  because somebody is probably gonna get left out there. But in terms of Ohio
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  State and fans, Buckeye fans, yeah, root for Georgia. I assume
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  that won't be too difficult for you to do. Alabama has one I believe
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  what seven of the last eight, but zero of the last one. Yeah,
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  they lost one, lost the last one, but had you know that
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  was the I think what the first time that a Nick Saban assistant had beaten
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  Nick Saban. So yeah, we'll see, we'll see if the Tide can
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  together. The Tide seems like they have just been sort of just barely scraping
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  by and just doing enough. I mean, they almost lost it speaking of
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  crazy games who listened to in the car on the way home from ann Arbor
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  last weekend. Oh boy, they should have lost to Auburn. They should
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  have lost to Auburn at least two different ways. And then Auburn refused to
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  refuse to give it to him. And so now onto the nightcap the two
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  games in primetime, the one with I think a much more direct impact on
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  the Buckeyes ACC title game, Louisville and Florida State Floridas hit a two point
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  five point favorite eight o'clock on ABC Tony earlier in the week. I think
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  it was Bill Hancock on the playoff Committee call said it is not most deserving
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  its best, Tony. Why is Florida State, who is projected as like
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  a two touchdown underdog against virtually everyone in the college football playoff field potentially,
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  why are they even in this conversation if it really is best and not most
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  deserving, because I have not really seen it with Florida State all year,
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  and with Jordan Travis or as they would call him, an Auburn Jordan Travis
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  with him out now, boy, I really don't see why Florida State is
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  in this conversation if it really is best and not most deserving. Yeah,
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  it's gonna be interesting to see what they do because as we know, they
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  start with a clean sheet each week. But if Florida State is four in
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  week thirteen or whatever it is, why wouldn't it be four or so in
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  week fourteen? But we also know there was Boue Corgan, the chair of
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  the CFP committee, said that Florida State is a different team without Jordan Travis.
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  So obviously the undefeated record is the reason they are still there, and
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  they they have not moved them down yet after what the nine point win at
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  Florida. They probably should have if they were going to stick to their guns
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  on that and say, hey, look, this isn't the same Florida State
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  team. They got a good win at Florida. I think what they're obviously
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  hoping for is another obviously a loss to Louisville or some kind of unimpressive win,
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  and then you move you know whomever up and move Florida State aside.
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  A little subtle thing that happened in this in this game for Ohio State was
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  Kentucky beating Louisville on Saturday and removing the and one record of Louisville, because
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  there would have been some sort of an argument that an eleven to one Louisville
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  acc Champ would have an argument over Ohio State. Now, Louisville has no
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  wins of note other than Notre Dame, and I guess you could say the
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  same thing of Ohio State except for the Penn State game. But getting that
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  second loss eliminates them from any sort of conversation. Florida State losing to them
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  eliminates them, obviously. And without a fifty nine nothing, thirty nine nothing
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  emphatic win for Florida State, and this one, I expect to see them
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  drop, and if the quarterback doesn't play well, they still win like thirty
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  one nothing. I still wouldn't be shocked if they dropped, because at least
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  when Ohio State went and beat Wisconsin fifty nine to nothing with a backup quarterback,
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  that backup quarterback was lighting the Badgers up and obviously it was a huge
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  part of that win in that game. Here, everybody is rooting against Florida
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  State except for Florida State fans, and that includes the committee that includes the
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  television execs. Probably they've got a lot of things going against them. I
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  don't think they have anything going for them other than they're undefeated, and they're
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  probably also hoping things other teams lose as well. And speaking of teams that
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  a lot of people are probably rooting against Michigan playing against another team, speaking
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  of teams with birds with teeth for mascots for some reason, Iowa the Iowa
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  Hawk guys from Louisville, the Louisville Cardinals with teeth to the Iowahawkeyes with teeth,
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  very unsettling. Michigan a twenty two point favorite over Iowa eight o'clock on
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  Fox. This is one where I think Ohio State fans I can't imagine that
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  Michigan losing would be the difference between Ohio State making it or not. But
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  if Michigan looks dominant again in this game and the fact that they're playing Iowa,
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  they should win something to a very small number, probably a very small
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  prime number. I think that probably helps Ohio State. If you know,
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  if Michigan goes out there and wins this one thirty one to three, that
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  probably helps Ohio State's case in terms of, you know, hey, the
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  only team to really give them a real serious run. You know, Maryland
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  was kind of close, but never really threatened. Ohio State clearly was the
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  biggest threat to Michigan all season, almost pulled it on Offen Ann Arbor.
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  I guess Ohio State fans, I'm sure this is going to google in everyone's
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  nature. It's probably an Ohio State's best interest of Michigan wins this game.
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  But you know, I don't think we're going to tell an audience largely made
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  up of Ohio State fans like, here's what you should do, go on,
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  Painter, you face blue. I don't think even if we ask that,
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  Tony, I don't think that many people would be willing to do that.
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  No, And the thing is kind of like the twenty fifteen ending with
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  between Michigan and Michigan State that hurt Ohio State. Ultimately, it was something
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  that is a beloved moment. The trouble with a Snap is a beloved moment
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  for Ohio State fans. I think Ohio Ohio State fans would gleefully watch Michigan
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  lose to Iowa, knowing that it was going to cost them a shot in
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  the playoffs. Anything anything bad for Michigan is something that I don't think Buckeye
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  fans will ever get upset about. I do think if Iowa wins, Ohio
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  State really has no argument over Michigan other than the fact that Michigan's loss will
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  be worse than Ohio State's loss. But when you look at who that loss
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  was too, and they had to have nature of things right there. So
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  yeah, root for Michigan, I do. I do think Tom it'll be
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  interesting if if Oklahoma State beats Texas and Georgia beats Alabama, the ratings for
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  the ACC Championship game in the state of Ohio will be I expect to be
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  higher than the ratings for the Big Ten Championship game here here in state,
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  as you know, because I think everybody knows how that game game is going
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  to go and it's not going to be pleasant to watch. All eyes in
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  Ohio will be on the ACC Championship game. Yeah, that that could shake
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  out to be a very very dramatic Saturday night in the state of Ohio.
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  But there's a lot of stuff that needs to happen between here and there,
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  starting tonight with the PAC twelve Championship game, and then of course the Big
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  twelve Championship game and then the SEC Championship game. So you have, you
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  have a lot, you have your you have your to do list. They're
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  Ohio State fans. Get out the get out the face paint for all your
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  different teams, and we'll see, well, we'll see where everything stands Saturday
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  night, and then Sunday afternoon, we will be at the Woody Hayes Athletic
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  Center talking to Ryan Day but wherever Ohio State is going bowling, whether that
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  is in the College Football playoffs or not, and we'll have another breakdown of
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  that. And then the basketball team opens Big Ten schedule, opens their Big
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  Ten schedule on Saturday night or sorry, Sunday night against Minnesota, so we'll
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  be there for that as well. So it could be it gonna be a
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  rather eventful weekend in this in the city of Columbus. Get make sure your
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  remote batteries are are fresh and new. Gonna be a lot of clicking around
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  on the TV all day Saturday, So hopefully you guys enjoyed that, and
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  we'll see how this all shakes out for Ohiose State fans. But there's gonna
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  be however it shakes out, there's gonna be plenty to talk about at Buckeye
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  Huddle dot com. That's for Tony and Kevin and I and the rest of
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  the crew that you hear here on the morning show. We are all there.
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  It is a great way to support us. Consider becoming a member there
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  at bucke huddle dot com. Lots of of insight analysis into the team,
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  into recruiting, into exce's and o's and much more. It's a really fun
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  and vibrant and active message board community all at bucke huddle dot com. That
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  will do it for today. I thank you guys all for joining us.
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  Have a great day. We'll talk to you tomorrow.