Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Friday 11/7/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:05Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:08Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
- 0:10Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 0:13Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
- 0:14Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you above that
- 0:17Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
- 0:19Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
- 0:21Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
- 0:26Speaker 1: good day at all.
- 0:26Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Man with bookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
- 0:36Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
- 0:38Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hat Man, I
- 0:42Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
- 0:44Speaker 2: March eight, Is that what it is? I don't even
- 0:46Speaker 2: know it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
- 0:51Speaker 2: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
- 0:53Speaker 2: even know what datas anymore.
- 0:54Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
- 1:01Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:05Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
- 1:07Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:11Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:22Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:25Speaker 1: point other than potentially.
- 1:27Speaker 2: End it all.
- 1:32Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you for better
- 1:35Speaker 1: off Dead Friday, November seventh.
- 1:40Speaker 2: Uh, we're on a nice run here. We're ten and.
- 1:43Speaker 1: Two over the last three days, yesterday four and one
- 1:47Speaker 1: on the show. We're off to a six and oh
- 1:49Speaker 1: college basketball start that can't last, but I'm happy about
- 1:53Speaker 1: that because the way college basketball ended last season was horrendous,
- 1:57Speaker 1: so we were able to get all of that done. Yeah,
- 2:01Speaker 1: I mean yesterday A Long Island kicked it off with
- 2:04Speaker 1: a win, an outright win. The number wasn't even out
- 2:08Speaker 1: in the morning, so I was looking throughout the day.
- 2:10Speaker 2: It was three and a.
- 2:10Speaker 1: Half and then it was actually four and a half
- 2:12Speaker 1: before the game went off.
- 2:14Speaker 2: So hopefully you guys got whatever you got. You still won.
- 2:17Speaker 1: Because they won outright by I think four or five points,
- 2:19Speaker 1: whatever it was, So any of those underdog prices won.
- 2:22Speaker 1: Money line hit that was good. One thing I neglected
- 2:26Speaker 1: to mention on Ipui. They have this new coach that
- 2:29Speaker 1: they brought up from Division two and he's basically doing
- 2:33Speaker 1: like shock a Smart havoc shit where he's like, it's
- 2:38Speaker 1: just full court press defense the entire game, and it's
- 2:42Speaker 1: stupid in my opinion. Like that worked for Smart, like
- 2:45Speaker 1: very briefly because it took people by surprise, but like
- 2:48Speaker 1: you tire out your team so much, like you have
- 2:50Speaker 1: to have prime athletes to do that. I know he
- 2:53Speaker 1: brought some of his guys that were doing that in
- 2:55Speaker 1: Division two up, but this team, they don't play any defense.
- 2:58Speaker 1: They allow way too many points.
- 3:00Speaker 2: It's it's just stupid.
- 3:02Speaker 1: I mean, they're not the same Iupui team as before,
- 3:04Speaker 1: but they're not good and they're getting all this hype
- 3:07Speaker 1: just because they're doing that, and people are acting like
- 3:09Speaker 1: they haven't seen it before. I'm like, dude, did you
- 3:10Speaker 1: not watch VCU in like twenty eleven?
- 3:13Speaker 2: Am I that old? Like I don't know?
- 3:15Speaker 1: And yeah, I know, Shaka Smart took them to the
- 3:17Speaker 1: final four or whatever again a little bit fluky. They
- 3:20Speaker 1: took some teams by suppress. Smart has failed like miserably
- 3:24Speaker 1: since then. He was at Texas after that, he might
- 3:26Speaker 1: still be at Marquette. It's like he hasn't done anything
- 3:29Speaker 1: since then. Really, they've just been awful that that shit
- 3:32Speaker 1: doesn't work, dude, and Long Island was in that game
- 3:35Speaker 1: the whole time and they I mean, you don't want
- 3:38Speaker 1: to be laying points like iupui when you have a
- 3:41Speaker 1: team where you like, you just don't play defense. I
- 3:43Speaker 1: know it's full court press defense, but you're just you're pressing,
- 3:48Speaker 1: so if the team beats the press, you have no
- 3:51Speaker 1: way to defend it, you know what I mean. Like
- 3:53Speaker 1: the other team's offense just gets down the court ahead
- 3:56Speaker 1: of you. So it's just it's totally stupid. The only
- 3:59Speaker 1: point is try to tire out the team that you're playing.
- 4:02Speaker 1: But yeah, whatever, iupuy, it's bullshit. That total actually moved
- 4:08Speaker 1: up thirty points from from where it had initially been
- 4:11Speaker 1: set just because of that, and it got over adjusted
- 4:14Speaker 1: and the game went under. The total had moved up
- 4:16Speaker 1: from like one forty something of one five something, then
- 4:20Speaker 1: it wound up going under.
- 4:22Speaker 2: By one point. So the over adjustment there, the over
- 4:25Speaker 2: adjustment on the iupu Y.
- 4:29Speaker 1: Side, because before we saw IPUY play against Ohio State,
- 4:32Speaker 1: the line in that game was like, I think Long
- 4:35Speaker 1: Island was like a two to two and a half
- 4:36Speaker 1: way favorite, and they had to take the line down, Like,
- 4:38Speaker 1: what the fuck is IUPUI doing now? All of a
- 4:41Speaker 1: sudden they bring it back out at minus four and
- 4:42Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, okay, again an over adjustment. We got
- 4:47Speaker 1: the win there. And then all of our favorites won
- 4:50Speaker 1: easily in blowouts with Miami, TCU, Auburn. Not much to
- 4:55Speaker 1: talk about there. They all just took care of business.
- 4:57Speaker 1: Every one of them won easily. I think my won
- 5:00Speaker 1: by forty, TCU won by forty one, and what was
- 5:04Speaker 1: the other one again, I already took Auburn I think
- 5:07Speaker 1: won by like thirty eight something in that range. No
- 5:10Speaker 1: sweat really on any of those. And then of course
- 5:13Speaker 1: the National Predators. I should never give them out as
- 5:16Speaker 1: a play ever.
- 5:17Speaker 2: Again.
- 5:17Speaker 1: They just they can't win, even in a good spot.
- 5:20Speaker 1: They were up one nothing in the game, things are
- 5:22Speaker 1: looking pretty good, and then they never scored again. They
- 5:24Speaker 1: lost three to one. It might have been an empty
- 5:25Speaker 1: net at the end because it was two to one
- 5:28Speaker 1: pretty late. Dude, that team they just can't do it,
- 5:31Speaker 1: Like there's just something off about that team, Like whenever
- 5:35Speaker 1: they should like be in a spot to do something
- 5:38Speaker 1: they still don't like. I might have to just put
- 5:42Speaker 1: them on the no bet list because it's ridiculous.
- 5:45Speaker 2: We'll move into today.
- 5:47Speaker 1: There's a huge college basketball board today, so I'm gonna
- 5:50Speaker 1: hopefully this show is not gonna take that long because
- 5:52Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to get through it and try to
- 5:54Speaker 1: hit some things quick. I've got three college basketball plays.
- 5:57Speaker 1: You kind of know what I do at this point.
- 5:59Speaker 1: Like these early I feel like I'm doing it more
- 6:01Speaker 1: than I usually do. But these early season games like
- 6:04Speaker 1: they're just setting up to like lay some of these favorites.
- 6:07Speaker 1: So we're gonna be doing that again in a couple
- 6:09Speaker 1: of these games. There's one where I almost want to
- 6:12Speaker 1: do it again. I think I'll talk about that one too,
- 6:14Speaker 1: where I'm not quite there with it, but I'll talk
- 6:16Speaker 1: about that one too. Yeah, And I think as far
- 6:20Speaker 1: as tonight tonight, I'll do the college football show as usual.
- 6:23Speaker 1: I got at least two plays that I think I
- 6:26Speaker 1: have in mind for college football, probably wind up with
- 6:28Speaker 1: about four because I don't have any tonight. I mean tonight,
- 6:30Speaker 1: there's a few college football games. I don't have a
- 6:32Speaker 1: play on any of those. I'll talk about them at
- 6:35Speaker 1: the end of this show, though, I'm gonna have two
- 6:38Speaker 1: NHL plays out of I think there are only four
- 6:40Speaker 1: games tonight, but I actually kind of like the board
- 6:43Speaker 1: on the NHL board tonight, where I like the NHL
- 6:46Speaker 1: board tonight. NBA Big Friday mean Friday, they're all. Friday
- 6:50Speaker 1: is always like an NBA heavy day. So I'm gonna
- 6:53Speaker 1: have three NBA plays and hopefully I'm not pushing it
- 6:56Speaker 1: too much. I just can't help myself. Basically, I'm like, nah,
- 6:58Speaker 1: I'll just do all of them and all the ones
- 7:00Speaker 1: that I somewhat like. So that's We're gonna have eight
- 7:03Speaker 1: plays today, and when we really get into the full
- 7:06Speaker 1: swing of things, like during college basketball season, there might
- 7:09Speaker 1: be days where I have ten eleven plays on like
- 7:12Speaker 1: a Saturday or whatever. It's gonna get crazy in here. Jeffrey,
- 7:16Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out, Pinsy, what's up?
- 7:19Speaker 2: Oh? Thank you? How did I How did I save it?
- 7:22Speaker 2: Re betting on.
- 7:23Speaker 1: Other things besides my stuff. I'm pretty selective. I think
- 7:28Speaker 1: I'm only I'm only giving out the stuff that I
- 7:29Speaker 1: really really like.
- 7:31Speaker 2: College basketball.
- 7:32Speaker 1: College of basketball is my favorite sport to follow again,
- 7:36Speaker 1: like just because I love March Madness and I've been
- 7:38Speaker 1: pretty good at betting it in the past.
- 7:40Speaker 2: But last season, like I said, was.
- 7:42Speaker 1: One of the worst seasons I've had in any sport,
- 7:44Speaker 1: especially because I just completely fell apart in March. But
- 7:47Speaker 1: we're off to a good start here, so yeah, thank you, sir,
- 7:52Speaker 1: dirty Sock. What's up man? Yeah, I've seen Hoosiers. I
- 7:56Speaker 1: rewatched it not that long ago. I rewatched it. I
- 7:59Speaker 1: think around March, like because it was March Madness time.
- 8:02Speaker 1: I rewatched Hoosiers. Very good movie, debatably the best basketball movie.
- 8:07Speaker 1: It's not my favorite sports movie of all time, but yeah,
- 8:10Speaker 1: it is really good. Gene Hackman ri ip. Gene Hackman
- 8:15Speaker 1: had died not that long before that, not that long
- 8:18Speaker 1: before I watched it again. Yeah, Hoosiers is a classic.
- 8:21Speaker 1: People should definitely check that out. People might not realize
- 8:24Speaker 1: like how crazy Indiana is about basketball, but yeah, they are.
- 8:29Speaker 2: Hoosier's definitely a good movie.
- 8:33Speaker 1: People nowadays will probably complain that it's racist or something
- 8:36Speaker 1: like that. Oh No, the protagonists are a white basketball
- 8:39Speaker 1: team from Indiana and in the the main like scene
- 8:43Speaker 1: there at the end, they they play at Butler's Arena
- 8:46Speaker 1: that Butler still plays in today. It looks like an
- 8:48Speaker 1: airplane hangar or whatever. Yeah, Hoosiers definitely recommend that.
- 8:55Speaker 2: You hit a parlay with Oh nice with the Raiders.
- 9:00Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, I.
- 9:01Speaker 1: Was gonna mention one thing about that game that I
- 9:04Speaker 1: forgot to talk about was that there was one trend
- 9:07Speaker 1: that was indicating against the Raiders. Although I still like
- 9:10Speaker 1: the Raiders to cover, I still liked the under. And man,
- 9:13Speaker 1: that was a horrendous game that was an under the
- 9:15Speaker 1: whole way.
- 9:16Speaker 2: The Raiders.
- 9:18Speaker 1: They might have the best punter in the league, man
- 9:20Speaker 1: Cole I think it is his name. One of those
- 9:23Speaker 1: punts that he had was probably the best punt in
- 9:25Speaker 1: the history of the NFL. It bounced like basically inside
- 9:29Speaker 1: the one yard line and went sideways and went out
- 9:31Speaker 1: of bounds inside the Wand I've never seen anything like that.
- 9:34Speaker 1: And meanwhile, Denver's punter shanked one off the side of
- 9:37Speaker 1: his foot, and I tweeted out this one game might
- 9:40Speaker 1: have had the single best and worst punt in NFL history,
- 9:44Speaker 1: all in the same game. Yeah, Raiders were up seven
- 9:49Speaker 1: to nothing earlier in that game and never scored again.
- 9:51Speaker 1: I mean the Broncos, as I expected, the Broncos played
- 9:54Speaker 1: pretty good defense, but I expected the Broncos offense to
- 9:57Speaker 1: maybe not necessarily show up fully in that game. And
- 10:00Speaker 1: I don't think the Broncos offense is very good anyway.
- 10:02Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not a bowliever. I think he's in
- 10:06Speaker 1: the sophomore slump right now. I don't think he was
- 10:08Speaker 1: as good as he looked last year when he took
- 10:10Speaker 1: the league by surprise. As far as sports movies, well, dude,
- 10:16Speaker 1: this is gonna be a long fucking show. I'm gonna
- 10:17Speaker 1: try to get college basketball out of the way, quick,
- 10:20Speaker 1: get it out of the way. It's an afterthought. Sports
- 10:23Speaker 1: movies any probably the best one for me, it's probably
- 10:28Speaker 1: slap Shot. I love slap Shot. Definitely the best hockey
- 10:31Speaker 1: movie of all time. Slap Shot, although I like Goon.
- 10:34Speaker 1: Goon is good as well, but yeah, slap Shot. I
- 10:38Speaker 1: love comedy slap Shot, total classic Paul Newman.
- 10:42Speaker 2: That's probably the best.
- 10:43Speaker 1: And then I also like Major League, probably the best
- 10:47Speaker 1: baseball movie. Again, I'm in the comedy sphere over there,
- 10:50Speaker 1: but yeah, Charlie Sheen is wild thing and Wesley Snipes
- 10:55Speaker 1: is Willie Mays Hayes.
- 10:57Speaker 2: Major Leagues is crazy.
- 10:59Speaker 1: I want Trevor May, former MLB relief pitcher. He has
- 11:05Speaker 1: like a YouTube presence, like a fairly large YouTube presence,
- 11:08Speaker 1: and he talks about like sports movies, like all this shit.
- 11:11Speaker 1: I watched he did a video on how realistic is
- 11:14Speaker 1: Major League and he actually said it was pretty realistic
- 11:18Speaker 1: as far as like a bunch of this stuff actually
- 11:20Speaker 1: happens in Major League Baseball, even though of course they
- 11:23Speaker 1: exaggerate it and.
- 11:24Speaker 2: It's over the top.
- 11:25Speaker 1: But yeah, I might have to rewatch that movie too.
- 11:31Speaker 2: Nashville.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Yeah, the Predators, the sex Avenders, terrible team name, terrible team.
- 11:37Speaker 1: They just due, they should be better than they are.
- 11:39Speaker 1: It's just it's awful. I don't know, yes, sir, Yeah,
- 11:43Speaker 1: the NFL. I had a Yeah, I've thought that it
- 11:47Speaker 1: was gonna be an underdog and under situation in that one.
- 11:51Speaker 1: So mister, Thursday Night is back for me baby on
- 11:54Speaker 1: the spreads. I'm nine to one on the Thursday Night
- 11:57Speaker 1: Spreads now Basketball Diaries. I know that I saw it
- 12:02Speaker 1: like a long time ago, but I barely remember it.
- 12:04Speaker 1: I might have to rewatch that. Some of these sports
- 12:07Speaker 1: dramas definitely can be good as well, though I leaned
- 12:10Speaker 1: towards comedies Oh, what I was gonna say though, is
- 12:14Speaker 1: the Raiders the one trend that kind of scared me,
- 12:18Speaker 1: although I still picked the Raiders and my pick up pools. Sorry,
- 12:20Speaker 1: I'm popping hearing it though I took my dynamite stick out.
- 12:23Speaker 1: I don't know it echoes in here. I need to
- 12:25Speaker 1: change my room setup.
- 12:28Speaker 2: The Raiders were in a spot that was really historically bad.
- 12:31Speaker 1: Against the spread, which was teams that come off in overtime.
- 12:35Speaker 2: I think it was an overtime game.
- 12:37Speaker 1: It might have been an overtime loss specifically though, but
- 12:39Speaker 1: teams that come off in an overtime. Maybe it was
- 12:42Speaker 1: an overtime loss. And then there were a road team
- 12:45Speaker 1: on Thursday. There were only like three and nineteen against
- 12:48Speaker 1: the spread throughout NFL history, so that was not a
- 12:52Speaker 1: good trend for the Raiders there. But I went against
- 12:57Speaker 1: that particular trend. I thought that it was a setup
- 12:59Speaker 1: where it was kind of negated a little bit, especially
- 13:01Speaker 1: by the fact that it was a divisional game. So yeah,
- 13:04Speaker 1: where I thought the Raiders were a little bit of
- 13:06Speaker 1: a better spot to cover at least just because of that.
- 13:09Speaker 2: All right, college.
- 13:09Speaker 1: Basketball, we do have a couple of games early that
- 13:12Speaker 1: are involving non Division one teams again, one at eleven
- 13:15Speaker 1: am with Delaware against Wilmington, Delaware and Evansville at noon
- 13:21Speaker 1: against Calummet. So whatever Calummet probably another Indiana team, I'm
- 13:30Speaker 1: guessing because I think that's a county in Indiana. Right
- 13:32Speaker 1: from all my true crime like talking about that Delphi
- 13:36Speaker 1: murder case there, which by the way, I think that
- 13:39Speaker 1: one is just it's one of the most messed up
- 13:42Speaker 1: true scenarios in true crime. Dude, I'm gonna talk about
- 13:44Speaker 1: true crime. I'm gonna have a true crime tie in
- 13:46Speaker 1: like throughout all of this college basketball stuff today. But
- 13:49Speaker 1: that one is if you're unfamiliar with that case, it
- 13:51Speaker 1: was a double homicide of two young girls, and the
- 13:56Speaker 1: situation around it just is really really bizarre. And it
- 14:01Speaker 1: was like multiple different investigation, multiple different like law enforcement
- 14:07Speaker 1: agencies came in and they all disagreed with each other
- 14:09Speaker 1: and it became total chaos, and I think they just
- 14:12Speaker 1: something got totally fucked up there, and I think it
- 14:14Speaker 1: became just massive corruption. Maybe they just didn't want to
- 14:17Speaker 1: be wrong. Like the trial wound up, like the defense.
- 14:21Speaker 2: Attorney's got kicked off of a case.
- 14:23Speaker 1: At one point and the judge was completely biased towards
- 14:26Speaker 1: the prosecution, and basically, I'm pretty sure they put the
- 14:29Speaker 1: wrong guy in prison, which is Richard Allen. I don't
- 14:33Speaker 1: think he did it. I mean, he's kind of a weird,
- 14:36Speaker 1: like short guy that lived in the town, but he's like,
- 14:39Speaker 1: I don't know, no history of crime, and this seemed
- 14:41Speaker 1: like if you were going to commit a crime like that,
- 14:43Speaker 1: it probably wouldn't be your first time doing so. And
- 14:48Speaker 1: I mean, there was just no physical evidence at all.
- 14:50Speaker 1: Their only evidence was that he admitted that he was.
- 14:53Speaker 2: There that day.
- 14:54Speaker 1: It was like these hiking trails that were public, and
- 14:56Speaker 1: he admitted that he was there, but I think they
- 14:58Speaker 1: like shifted the timeline to make him look guilty. And
- 15:01Speaker 1: then he supposedly confessed, but he was like going crazy
- 15:05Speaker 1: because they put him even while he was not even
- 15:08Speaker 1: convicted yet he was in solitary confinement and being like
- 15:12Speaker 1: assaulted by prison guards. It makes no fucking sense, dude.
- 15:15Speaker 1: And yeah, I think it was like pretty obviously a
- 15:18Speaker 1: false confession because he also confessed to like murdering like
- 15:22Speaker 1: family members who are not dead, So like, how can
- 15:25Speaker 1: you take anything away from him confessing to any of
- 15:28Speaker 1: that when he was like literally just in a state
- 15:31Speaker 1: of mind where he was going completely insane and he
- 15:33Speaker 1: was like smearing his own shit on the walls and
- 15:36Speaker 1: stuff like, it's insane, dude, that guy. He's not guilty,
- 15:40Speaker 1: Like there's zero actual evidence in that case. It's that
- 15:43Speaker 1: one is really really frustrating. Basically, you can't do anything
- 15:48Speaker 1: when you're up against law enforcement agencies like that that
- 15:51Speaker 1: will just do whatever the fuck they want to do, basically.
- 15:54Speaker 1: And there was also like a weird death involved, like
- 15:57Speaker 1: that was I forget exactly what it was. Somebody that
- 16:00Speaker 1: was in some way related to the case wound up
- 16:04Speaker 1: strangely like dying like right outside the courthouse if I remember,
- 16:07Speaker 1: I don't know, something very very bizarre. There's definitely a
- 16:10Speaker 1: lot of bizarre things going on in that case. You
- 16:12Speaker 1: can look into it.
- 16:13Speaker 2: Though.
- 16:15Speaker 1: We do have a one PM game which is Colombia
- 16:17Speaker 1: at the newly division one new Haven. New Haven coming
- 16:21Speaker 1: off playing actually fairly decently against Yukon, which is gonna
- 16:27Speaker 1: be one of their you know, in state rivals basically
- 16:29Speaker 1: against Yukon. New Haven does have a penn stayed up next,
- 16:33Speaker 1: so it is possible that maybe Colombia, I guess, could
- 16:37Speaker 1: be worth a look, Aaron. Colombia is certainly not good though,
- 16:39Speaker 1: and they do play Yukon in a few days. This
- 16:42Speaker 1: is also their first game, so I do worry about
- 16:44Speaker 1: that too. Where New Haven at least has a game
- 16:47Speaker 1: out of the way, some of these teams haven't played yet,
- 16:49Speaker 1: and when they have that first game of the season
- 16:51Speaker 1: coming in cold, sometimes that's not good. Although if you
- 16:53Speaker 1: remember Columbia last year, they started out really hot at
- 16:56Speaker 1: the beginning of the season, but I was like looking
- 16:58Speaker 1: for ways to go again them at some point because
- 17:01Speaker 1: I knew that they weren't actually that good. So like
- 17:03Speaker 1: basically it came down to them getting into IVY League
- 17:06Speaker 1: play and then finally there were spots to fade them
- 17:08Speaker 1: because they were nowhere near as good as they looked.
- 17:10Speaker 2: They had like a really weak out of conference schedule.
- 17:13Speaker 1: I'm not gonna recommend actually doing anything with this game,
- 17:16Speaker 1: but the money is actually disagreeing, with Columbia down from
- 17:20Speaker 1: seven and a half to six and a half as
- 17:21Speaker 1: a road favorite, eighty six percent of the tickets, eighty
- 17:24Speaker 1: one percent of the cash.
- 17:25Speaker 2: I'm just putting out the information.
- 17:28Speaker 1: And then there's a one thirty pm between SIU Edwardsville
- 17:31Speaker 1: and UTSA. SIU Edwardsville does have Indiana State up next
- 17:35Speaker 1: in a few days, which is an in state like
- 17:38Speaker 1: little versus Big brother situation, so.
- 17:41Speaker 2: Might be a little bit of a weird spot for them.
- 17:43Speaker 1: Having to go to UTSA, which is probably something they
- 17:45Speaker 1: don't usually do.
- 17:47Speaker 2: UTSA.
- 17:48Speaker 1: Both teams are coming off easy wins over non Division
- 17:51Speaker 1: one teams.
- 17:51Speaker 2: UTSA.
- 17:53Speaker 1: We'll be playing at home again here, and then they
- 17:55Speaker 1: have an in state game next against Texas State in
- 17:59Speaker 1: five days, which might be a bigger game as well,
- 18:01Speaker 1: so could potentially argue both teams are in look ahead
- 18:04Speaker 1: spots here. UTSA is a favorite, but down from seven
- 18:08Speaker 1: to six and a half, eighty two percent of the tickets,
- 18:11Speaker 1: only sixty two percent of the cash. The money's saying
- 18:13Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville, I really don't love that. At five pm,
- 18:17Speaker 1: Northeastern is going to Colgate. Northeastern is coming off a
- 18:20Speaker 1: big Boston overtime loss to BEU.
- 18:24Speaker 2: That's always pretty much a big game Northeastern versus BU.
- 18:27Speaker 1: They're always kind of it seems like they're always kind
- 18:29Speaker 1: of on even footing and.
- 18:31Speaker 2: They play close. It was a close spread.
- 18:33Speaker 1: In that one, and BU wound up getting the win
- 18:36Speaker 1: at Northeastern in overtime. Coming off that game, I don't
- 18:40Speaker 1: know if it's a great spot for Northeastern having to
- 18:42Speaker 1: go to Colgate, which is I believe in Pennsylvania, and
- 18:45Speaker 1: then after that they have Harvard so they have to
- 18:47Speaker 1: come have it. They have to come back to the
- 18:49Speaker 1: Boston area, so they're basically in a Boston sandwich.
- 18:53Speaker 2: Here, So I don't love that for Northeastern.
- 18:56Speaker 1: Colgate did lose their first game, but it was against
- 18:59Speaker 1: Michigan State and they actually played pretty well in that
- 19:02Speaker 1: game all things considering. They only lost by eleven at
- 19:05Speaker 1: Michigan State. So that's the one thing that gives me
- 19:09Speaker 1: some pause in that one, man, because otherwise I was
- 19:11Speaker 1: looking to maybe look towards Colgate in this one, but
- 19:14Speaker 1: they've had a big game there, so I'm just gonna
- 19:16Speaker 1: stay away from it. It is their home opener here
- 19:18Speaker 1: as well, though, so that is one thing again in
- 19:21Speaker 1: favor of Colgate. And the money is saying Colgate up
- 19:25Speaker 1: from three to five and a half there, so you
- 19:26Speaker 1: can go with the fighting toothpaste of Colgate, which would
- 19:30Speaker 1: be a better name than them being the Raiders, but whatever. Yeah,
- 19:34Speaker 1: so I think it sets up a little bit better
- 19:36Speaker 1: for Colgate. I don't want to make that a play,
- 19:38Speaker 1: but that's an opinion in that one. I actually think
- 19:43Speaker 1: I forgot to look at Charleston and Liberty. Oh no,
- 19:45Speaker 1: I think I did look at it. I just don't
- 19:47Speaker 1: really have anything on this game, but I mean it's
- 19:49Speaker 1: an interesting game. Both these teams have been pretty decent,
- 19:53Speaker 1: Like I don't know if you want to call them
- 19:55Speaker 1: mid major basketball programs, but I think they're both gonna
- 19:59Speaker 1: get up for this one. And this is in the
- 20:01Speaker 1: This is part of the Field of sixty eight tip off.
- 20:03Speaker 1: I think again, so Field of sixty eight broadcasting these
- 20:06Speaker 1: games on their YouTube channel, but these ones are not
- 20:09Speaker 1: in one of those neutral sites. These are at the
- 20:12Speaker 1: team's home arenas. I think almost every game today is
- 20:15Speaker 1: at a home arena. And this, dude, there are so
- 20:17Speaker 1: many Friday games here that I think I'm not gonna
- 20:22Speaker 1: do a Friday night basketball show for tomorrow's basketball. I
- 20:25Speaker 1: don't think I will, because tomorrow's basketball there is a
- 20:29Speaker 1: decent amount, but it's not that like ridiculously heavy Saturday
- 20:33Speaker 1: you usually see because usually Friday is very light. So
- 20:36Speaker 1: eventually I'm going to transition into doing that. But I
- 20:38Speaker 1: think I'll talk about the college basketball slate tomorrow on
- 20:41Speaker 1: Tomorrow Morning show. Bu coming off their overtime winning, it's
- 20:45Speaker 1: Northeastern has to go to Northwestern now, so they're playing
- 20:48Speaker 1: Northeastern and Northwestern they got to go to Chicago. Northwestern's
- 20:52Speaker 1: coming up destroying Mercyhurst, who actually pulled.
- 20:56Speaker 2: Off an upset last night.
- 20:58Speaker 1: By the way, mercy Hurst upset a Loyola Chicago who
- 21:03Speaker 1: looks like they're not very good this year. So interesting
- 21:07Speaker 1: somebody to keep in mind there. I think Mercyhurst is
- 21:09Speaker 1: from eerie Pennsylvania by the way, because I was wondering,
- 21:13Speaker 1: I'm like, where the hell is mercy Hurst. They're like
- 21:15Speaker 1: new to Division one as well, but mercy Hurst maybe
- 21:18Speaker 1: that law that win for Northwestern or mercy Hurst actually
- 21:21Speaker 1: looks pretty good after Mercyhurst beat Loyola last night. Of
- 21:25Speaker 1: the Mercyhurst, I mean, Loyola might not be as good
- 21:28Speaker 1: this year and they're in the they're in the Sister
- 21:31Speaker 1: Jean letdown spot. Now, I don't know, you got to
- 21:33Speaker 1: figure that Loyola, if anything, they might get a little
- 21:35Speaker 1: bit more motivated with Sister Jean passing.
- 21:39Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't know.
- 21:41Speaker 1: But Northwestern's way better than BEU, So I mean it's
- 21:44Speaker 1: this is a Big ten team.
- 21:46Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you might.
- 21:47Speaker 1: Argue that be you will get up for Northwest is
- 21:49Speaker 1: a sixteen and a half point favorite. I got nothing
- 21:51Speaker 1: on this game, really, but I'm just going over what
- 21:54Speaker 1: my thoughts are in these games.
- 21:56Speaker 2: We have.
- 21:57Speaker 1: The first Big Conference versus Big Conference game of the
- 22:00Speaker 1: day is Big East Georgetown at Big Ten Maryland on
- 22:04Speaker 1: Fox Sports at six pm. Don't really have anything on
- 22:07Speaker 1: this either. Maryland was obviously the better of these two
- 22:09Speaker 1: teams last year. Georgetown looks like they're on the way
- 22:12Speaker 1: up again. Though they're improving again. They started out I
- 22:16Speaker 1: forget who's their coach now at Georgetown, I forget. They
- 22:19Speaker 1: started out like pretty good last year, though they weren't
- 22:22Speaker 1: as good as they looked. We'll see what happens here
- 22:25Speaker 1: in Maryland. I think probably lost some of their guys
- 22:27Speaker 1: they had last year. Maryland had that really, really good
- 22:30Speaker 1: starting five last year, and I think they probably do
- 22:32Speaker 1: not quite have that this year. Like Queen I think
- 22:36Speaker 1: is gone and a couple of their other guys are
- 22:38Speaker 1: gone as well. I don't know how good Maryland really
- 22:40Speaker 1: is this year. It remains to be seen because both
- 22:42Speaker 1: teams just beat basically a cupcake in their first game.
- 22:47Speaker 1: Maryland will be the favorite at home, though, but they're
- 22:49Speaker 1: actually down from nine and a half to six, So
- 22:51Speaker 1: it looks like there's some actual money coming into Georgetown.
- 22:54Speaker 1: That was a pretty significant move unless there's like an
- 22:57Speaker 1: injury I'm unaware of or something. But even an injury,
- 23:00Speaker 1: I don't know if it shift the line to that
- 23:02Speaker 1: degree when we don't even really know exactly what these
- 23:05Speaker 1: teams are gonna look like yet. Seventy percent of tickets,
- 23:07Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash on Georgetown, so looks
- 23:10Speaker 1: like some indicators on the Georgetown side.
- 23:13Speaker 2: And that one.
- 23:15Speaker 1: Oh that's all right, Oh you lost on other stuff yesterday. Yeah,
- 23:21Speaker 1: well I'm glad. I'm glad to glad to help, you know. Yeah,
- 23:25Speaker 1: I'm just giving out the things that I think are
- 23:27Speaker 1: the strongest. That's uh, it's all I'm doing. I don't
- 23:29Speaker 1: want to talk about every one of these games. I'm
- 23:31Speaker 1: gonna try to hit some of these games real real quick.
- 23:35Speaker 2: Here.
- 23:35Speaker 1: I guess Ohio State is playing against IPFW, and so
- 23:40Speaker 1: they're going from Iupui or IU Indian now to IPFW.
- 23:44Speaker 1: So they're playing all the different Indiana universities.
- 23:48Speaker 2: Pretty strange.
- 23:49Speaker 1: IPFW is obviously not IU Indianapolis, so expecting probably a
- 23:54Speaker 1: lower scoring game here, although I would probably maybe lay
- 23:57Speaker 1: the points with Ohio State even if it is gonna
- 23:59Speaker 1: be a lower scoring game, because I think they're probably
- 24:01Speaker 1: gonna be a bit embarrassed after a lying over one
- 24:04Speaker 1: hundred points to a team like IUPU y I PUI
- 24:08Speaker 1: took them by surprise. I think they didn't realize what
- 24:11Speaker 1: that new team was gonna look like. So I think
- 24:14Speaker 1: Ohio State bounces back and at least plays better.
- 24:17Speaker 2: Defensively this time.
- 24:18Speaker 1: I mean, there's no way IPFW was gonna score one
- 24:20Speaker 1: hundred against them. I PFW didn't look good in their
- 24:23Speaker 1: first game, losing at Grand Canyon.
- 24:25Speaker 2: Know though, Grand Canyon up in the Mountain West.
- 24:28Speaker 1: Now, Grant Canyon pretty good right now, like definitely a
- 24:31Speaker 1: decent program, So I don't take a whole lot away
- 24:34Speaker 1: from that loss.
- 24:36Speaker 2: You could argue Grand Canyon will try.
- 24:37Speaker 1: To bounce back here, they should get up for a
- 24:39Speaker 1: game against Ohio State, but I do think Ohio State
- 24:41Speaker 1: should show up focus and they are the better team here.
- 24:44Speaker 1: They're out from twenty one to twenty three and a half.
- 24:46Speaker 2: I would agree with that move.
- 24:47Speaker 1: If I was gonna do it, I would lay the
- 24:49Speaker 1: points with Ohio State, and that one. Oakland is at Purdue. Oakland,
- 24:55Speaker 1: the Golden Grizzlies. They're really deciding to battle test themselves here, man.
- 25:00Speaker 1: I mean this schedule for them, three straight road games
- 25:04Speaker 1: against Michigan Purdue in Houston to open the season, three
- 25:08Speaker 1: teams ranked in that's up ten, including one and two.
- 25:11Speaker 1: I mean that is just crazy, Like they know they're
- 25:13Speaker 1: not gonna win any of those games. They just want
- 25:15Speaker 1: to completely battle test themselves.
- 25:18Speaker 2: I guess.
- 25:18Speaker 1: So Oakland might be a team that when we get
- 25:21Speaker 1: to and they've actually five road games in their first
- 25:23Speaker 1: six games, they might be a team that has a
- 25:26Speaker 1: bunch of losses coming into some of these games, like
- 25:29Speaker 1: in late November. So Oakland might be a team to
- 25:31Speaker 1: look to play because their record is gonna look really
- 25:34Speaker 1: bad and it's not really gonna be indicative of what
- 25:36Speaker 1: they actually are because their schedule to start it out
- 25:39Speaker 1: is just really really difficult. So something to keep in
- 25:42Speaker 1: mind with Oakland. But they're at Purdue today. Purdue obviously,
- 25:46Speaker 1: I mean, well they start not obviously, but they started
- 25:48Speaker 1: off with an easy win over Evansville, an in state
- 25:51Speaker 1: little brother, and Purdue just kind of crushed them.
- 25:53Speaker 2: Purdue is up to a thirty one to half point
- 25:55Speaker 2: favored in this one.
- 25:57Speaker 1: Purdue does have LaMaMa up next, though, so I could
- 25:59Speaker 1: see you could maybe argue this is a sandwich spot
- 26:02Speaker 1: because they might just feel pretty good about themselves for
- 26:06Speaker 1: just beating down one of their in state little brothers
- 26:09Speaker 1: in Evansville. Maybe they overlook Oakland, who is a team
- 26:13Speaker 1: from Michigan, from the Detroit area or whatever. And then
- 26:16Speaker 1: they do have Alabama up nax All though it's not
- 26:19Speaker 1: for six days, but that is a big game obviously
- 26:21Speaker 1: for Purdue. So I would take the points with Oakland
- 26:25Speaker 1: if I was gonna play that one, but I will
- 26:27Speaker 1: I will not. Oakland got blown out by Michigan, I
- 26:31Speaker 1: think in their first game.
- 26:32Speaker 2: Kentucky is playing against Valpo.
- 26:34Speaker 1: Valpo barely got by Eastern Illinois in their first game
- 26:37Speaker 1: and it took I guess a late and one to
- 26:41Speaker 1: get that win. Bad game from Valpo, which, by the way,
- 26:44Speaker 1: they never should have changed their name from the Crusaders.
- 26:46Speaker 1: I hate this woke shit, dude. Oh my god, Crusaders.
- 26:50Speaker 1: We can't have a name that involves Christian Holy Warriors. No,
- 26:55Speaker 1: we have to change our name to the Beacons so
- 26:57Speaker 1: we can we can be I don't know, a ray
- 27:00Speaker 1: of light, man, I don't know, Like what does it
- 27:06Speaker 1: even mean? I don't know, Like everybody should be like,
- 27:10Speaker 1: uh yeah, whatever. But they are coming off a game
- 27:13Speaker 1: where they were decent sized favored against Eastern Illinois. Probably
- 27:16Speaker 1: should have won that game more easily. Were they looking
- 27:19Speaker 1: ahead to this big game against Kentucky maybe, I mean
- 27:22Speaker 1: this is actually the biggest opponent on their entire schedule
- 27:25Speaker 1: this year. Not that they're gonna be able to beat Kentucky,
- 27:27Speaker 1: they won't, but maybe they'll get up for this game,
- 27:31Speaker 1: especially after not playing well in their first game. Kentucky
- 27:35Speaker 1: easy went over Nichols in their first game, which I
- 27:37Speaker 1: got that wrong, by the way, Nichols. As far as
- 27:39Speaker 1: where they are, I thought they were in Texas, They're
- 27:41Speaker 1: in Louisiana. I believe Kentucky easy opponent here against Valpoon.
- 27:47Speaker 1: Kentucky does have Louisville up in four days, and that
- 27:49Speaker 1: is a huge game. Always a rivalry game and in
- 27:53Speaker 1: state rivalry between those two teams.
- 27:56Speaker 2: And they're both typically pretty good programs.
- 27:58Speaker 1: So definitely could as a look ahead spot for Kentucky here.
- 28:02Speaker 1: So if I was gonna play it, I would take
- 28:04Speaker 1: the points with Valpo in this one. Kentucky has gone
- 28:07Speaker 1: all the way up to a thirty three point favorite here,
- 28:09Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets, fifty two percent of the
- 28:11Speaker 1: cash on them. I worry about fading a team like
- 28:15Speaker 1: Kentucky though, just because there's so much better and they
- 28:17Speaker 1: play fast that they could just run away with the game.
- 28:21Speaker 1: But I would lean to taking the points there.
- 28:24Speaker 2: Yeah. I don't even know what their mascot is now?
- 28:26Speaker 2: What is an a ray of light?
- 28:28Speaker 1: They used to their mascot used to be a crusader
- 28:30Speaker 1: like he kind of looked like a palette and like
- 28:32Speaker 1: that's what I'm pretty sure that's what they should still have.
- 28:35Speaker 1: The big game on ESPN tonight is excuse me, Number
- 28:39Speaker 1: nineteen Kansas number twenty five North Carolina. Two teams that
- 28:42Speaker 1: are known for having a great history that have not
- 28:46Speaker 1: been that great recently, but they might both be on
- 28:50Speaker 1: the way back up.
- 28:50Speaker 2: They're both ranked to start the season at least.
- 28:52Speaker 1: Kansas had one of their most disappointing seasons maybe ever
- 28:57Speaker 1: last year. Is they want to believe a seven in
- 29:00Speaker 1: the tournament and got upset by Arkansas there. They should
- 29:05Speaker 1: be on their way back up at some point. They've
- 29:07Speaker 1: had a lot of turn over here. Hunter Dickinson has gone,
- 29:09Speaker 1: and I don't think I don't think he's a good dude.
- 29:12Speaker 1: I don't think he was good for that program. Not
- 29:14Speaker 1: a fan of him at all, So I think it
- 29:16Speaker 1: might be maybe even good for Kansas that he's gone,
- 29:19Speaker 1: and then they're bringing him some new guys here. North
- 29:22Speaker 1: Carolina did lose some of their best players from last
- 29:24Speaker 1: year to including Davis, so we have some two new
- 29:27Speaker 1: teams here. We don't really know exactly what these teams
- 29:29Speaker 1: are yet. Kansas crushed Green Bay in their first game
- 29:33Speaker 1: and pretty meaningless North Carolina. This game is going to
- 29:38Speaker 1: be at North Carolina, by the way, in Chapel Hill,
- 29:40Speaker 1: so North Carolina does have a pretty good home court
- 29:43Speaker 1: advantage typically, especially in a big game like this early
- 29:47Speaker 1: in the season. North Carolina blew out Central Arkansas to
- 29:50Speaker 1: start their season, so nothing to really take away from
- 29:53Speaker 1: those two games.
- 29:54Speaker 2: We still don't really know.
- 29:55Speaker 1: Much about these teams. North Carolina is the favorite, not
- 29:59Speaker 1: getting f home court, so the oddsmakers are telling you
- 30:02Speaker 1: Kansas is a slightly better team, like basically sort of
- 30:05Speaker 1: in alignment with what the rankings makers are saying. Here,
- 30:08Speaker 1: you n c up from two to two and a
- 30:10Speaker 1: half though seventy one percent of tickets eighty nine percent
- 30:13Speaker 1: of the cash on Kansas, Man, I mean, I would
- 30:17Speaker 1: probably lean to North Carolina slightly. I just think they're
- 30:20Speaker 1: trajectory based on what we saw last year.
- 30:22Speaker 2: Whatever, just looks a little bit better.
- 30:25Speaker 1: To me, So I kind of lean that way for now.
- 30:27Speaker 1: But I mean, I don't really have a strong opinion
- 30:29Speaker 1: on this at all, So I just again, we just
- 30:32Speaker 1: don't really know a whole lot about these teams yet.
- 30:35Speaker 2: So yeah, all right.
- 30:39Speaker 1: Florida State could be in a bit of a look
- 30:41Speaker 1: ahead spot because they do play Florida next in four days,
- 30:44Speaker 1: so possible they overlook Alabama State.
- 30:47Speaker 2: But of course Florida State's.
- 30:49Speaker 1: Gonna be a massive favorite in this game from twenty
- 30:52Speaker 1: two and a half to twenty four.
- 30:54Speaker 2: They're very public though.
- 30:55Speaker 1: Ninety three percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash.
- 30:58Speaker 1: I would lean to taking the points of the Alabama
- 31:00Speaker 1: State in that one. Do I want to do it?
- 31:02Speaker 2: Absolutely not?
- 31:05Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Winthrop at George Mason runs in the
- 31:08Speaker 1: night slate here somewhat in dressing game, I guess. And
- 31:11Speaker 1: both of these teams are decent like lower conference schools here,
- 31:15Speaker 1: Winthrop in the Big South, coming off that game they
- 31:18Speaker 1: played in the first game of the college basketball season,
- 31:22Speaker 1: in that game against Queens that was at eight am Eastern,
- 31:25Speaker 1: and Winthrop probably deserved to lose that game, to be honest,
- 31:29Speaker 1: I mean, Winthrop did not play well in that game
- 31:31Speaker 1: in the final score was a little bit misleading. Where
- 31:32Speaker 1: they want up winning and covering. Now they've gotta go
- 31:35Speaker 1: on the road to George Mason. George Mason also got
- 31:38Speaker 1: to win in their first game against Wafford. Watford's not
- 31:41Speaker 1: that bad and George Mason absolutely annihilated them seventy to
- 31:46Speaker 1: forty six. I mean, man, that shows me a little
- 31:50Speaker 1: bit of something, man. I mean, George Mason, they're the
- 31:53Speaker 1: better team over Winthrop here. Man, But George Mason is
- 31:56Speaker 1: a big favorite here. Either up or no, they're not.
- 32:00Speaker 1: The line hasn't moved up, but they're sitting at an
- 32:01Speaker 1: eleven and a half point favorite. I would actually probably
- 32:03Speaker 1: need to laying the points because I think people might
- 32:06Speaker 1: look at this and think, oh, these teams are both
- 32:07Speaker 1: one and oh they both won. It looks kind of
- 32:11Speaker 1: tempting to take the points with a team that kind
- 32:14Speaker 1: of has a name that's been around for a while,
- 32:16Speaker 1: Winthrop since back when they had Greg Marshall as they're
- 32:19Speaker 1: a coach way back in the day, back when I
- 32:21Speaker 1: was in college, and then he went to Wichita State
- 32:24Speaker 1: after that. I don't know where he is now, but
- 32:26Speaker 1: he built up those programs. He was good, and now
- 32:29Speaker 1: where is he?
- 32:29Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 32:31Speaker 1: George Mason looks like they're a program that's on the
- 32:33Speaker 1: way up though they're in the Atlantic Ten.
- 32:35Speaker 2: They had a good season last year. They made the.
- 32:38Speaker 1: Conference championship I believe last year and fell just short
- 32:41Speaker 1: I think against VCU. I would lay it with George
- 32:45Speaker 1: Mason if I was going to play that game, which
- 32:47Speaker 1: I'm not. I should I just do my plays again
- 32:51Speaker 1: while I'm in the middle of this, because college basketball
- 32:53Speaker 1: is just such a big board.
- 32:55Speaker 2: Man, what college did I attend? Should should I say that?
- 33:00Speaker 1: To do? Want to Doks myself. My college is a
- 33:05Speaker 1: Division three athletics school. Although our basketball team is actually
- 33:10Speaker 1: pretty good for Division three. We were like almost always
- 33:12Speaker 1: in the Division three tournament at one point, we actually
- 33:17Speaker 1: like stole a point guard away from from Northeastern.
- 33:21Speaker 2: Uh so that was good.
- 33:22Speaker 1: And we did have this one white guy who was
- 33:25Speaker 1: like one of the best three point shooters that I've
- 33:27Speaker 1: ever seen live, like probably the best shooter in the
- 33:30Speaker 1: history of the school.
- 33:32Speaker 2: I don't know if that.
- 33:33Speaker 1: Leads people don't know D three basketball, so they probably
- 33:36Speaker 1: don't know what school I'm talking about still, I mean
- 33:40Speaker 1: it was.
- 33:40Speaker 2: It was in Massachusetts.
- 33:42Speaker 1: I mean we were in engineering school with a rival
- 33:45Speaker 1: that was the other engineering school in Massachusetts, and we
- 33:49Speaker 1: both had the same team nickname, which was really really stupid.
- 33:55Speaker 2: M I T. M I T was was our rival.
- 33:58Speaker 2: We hated an MI I team.
- 33:59Speaker 1: We always got up for those basketball games against m
- 34:02Speaker 1: I T. MI I T was in the same conference
- 34:05Speaker 1: with us.
- 34:07Speaker 2: Fuck MI I T.
- 34:08Speaker 1: Man that That probably gives it away though, that that
- 34:12Speaker 1: I went to to w B I. So there you
- 34:15Speaker 1: go with that one. Both of our teams were the engineers,
- 34:20Speaker 1: M I T being.
- 34:21Speaker 2: The other one.
- 34:22Speaker 1: Yeah, M I T N Fuck MI I T. I'm
- 34:25Speaker 1: not gonna go to Uh, I don't know. They were
- 34:28Speaker 1: one of the schools I applied to. But it's like,
- 34:32Speaker 1: I don't know, I didn't. It was not my vibe.
- 34:35Speaker 1: I don't fit that vibe the the Cambridge, you know,
- 34:38Speaker 1: just I don't know.
- 34:40Speaker 2: MI T is basically like Harvard for engineers. I don't know,
- 34:43Speaker 2: I don't.
- 34:43Speaker 1: I don't vibe with those people at all. So I
- 34:46Speaker 1: vibe more with like the smaller, more down to earth
- 34:51Speaker 1: school college campus there.
- 34:53Speaker 2: So yep, Long Island.
- 34:58Speaker 1: Hell, yeah, I'm really about it because dude, I got
- 35:01Speaker 1: a bunch of I U p u Y, these dudes
- 35:03Speaker 1: that are just fans of I U p U Y
- 35:05Speaker 1: just because they saw them play. Once I got all
- 35:07Speaker 1: those people pissed off at.
- 35:08Speaker 2: Me, like whatever was I accept I believe I was.
- 35:15Speaker 1: Yeah, I got way more money from w p I though,
- 35:19Speaker 1: Like they gave me like a like they gave me
- 35:21Speaker 1: like a half scholarship at wp I, whichm I T
- 35:24Speaker 1: did not do. I could have had a full a
- 35:27Speaker 1: full ride from UMass Amherst though, which I chose to
- 35:31Speaker 1: not do.
- 35:32Speaker 2: But yeah, uh.
- 35:37Speaker 1: Yes, sir, I only applied to like five schools. I
- 35:41Speaker 1: think I got into all of them. But yeah, it's
- 35:44Speaker 1: it's a it was a while ago.
- 35:46Speaker 2: Now, I'm pretty sure that was true.
- 35:47Speaker 1: Yeah, I just you know, I picked like the schools
- 35:52Speaker 1: that I want. Well, I knew I wanted to do
- 35:54Speaker 1: like computer science, So let's get into do Everything's gonna
- 35:57Speaker 1: be Everything's the best bet segment now, which is just
- 36:00Speaker 1: all this is the best Bets show.
- 36:01Speaker 2: Now. I don't want to take too long with these.
- 36:04Speaker 1: But first one up, we're gonna lay the points with
- 36:07Speaker 1: Furman minus two and a half. I think Furman might
- 36:10Speaker 1: be a little bit under the radar. And now against Troy.
- 36:12Speaker 1: Both these teams have been pretty good in recent years.
- 36:15Speaker 1: Troy out of the Sun Belt, Furman out of the
- 36:17Speaker 1: Southern Conference. But this is first of all, gonna be
- 36:20Speaker 1: Furman's home opener. They played a neutral site game and
- 36:24Speaker 1: they didn't look good against high Point in their first game,
- 36:26Speaker 1: which was I believe in in state, not rivalry, but
- 36:30Speaker 1: in state battle between two South Carolina teams.
- 36:33Speaker 2: I believe.
- 36:34Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that, maybe high Points in North Carolina,
- 36:37Speaker 1: I don't know, I forget, but high Point.
- 36:39Speaker 2: They score a lot.
- 36:41Speaker 1: They made Furman look pretty bad, and that was in
- 36:43Speaker 1: that field of sixty eight opening day. That game was
- 36:45Speaker 1: actually in South Carolina, but not at Furman's home arena,
- 36:49Speaker 1: so it was not actually a home game for them.
- 36:53Speaker 1: But if you look at what happened in this game,
- 36:55Speaker 1: High Point shot fifty eight percent from the field and
- 36:57Speaker 1: forty five percent from three, so there were definitely some
- 37:01Speaker 1: outliers in this game, and Furhman was only twenty six
- 37:03Speaker 1: point nine percent from three. So I look at this
- 37:07Speaker 1: and I say, well, yeah, high Point just I mean,
- 37:09Speaker 1: you've see just outliers like that. Where a team shoots
- 37:11Speaker 1: really well against a team that shoots poorly, you gotta
- 37:14Speaker 1: think there's gonna be some regression back to some sort
- 37:16Speaker 1: of mean after something like that. Furman had a ton
- 37:18Speaker 1: of turnovers too, which just made the game completely out
- 37:21Speaker 1: of hand, losing the turnover about twenty two to six,
- 37:24Speaker 1: which to me that seems like an outlier too. I mean,
- 37:26Speaker 1: that's just mental mistakes that you can clean up, I think,
- 37:30Speaker 1: for you know, a lot of it.
- 37:31Speaker 2: So I think.
- 37:32Speaker 1: Furman that's something they can work on. And the one
- 37:34Speaker 1: thing I do like is that Furman dominated the rebound battle,
- 37:37Speaker 1: which is the most predictable stat forty one to twenty eight.
- 37:41Speaker 1: So Furman good on the interior, and I do like
- 37:43Speaker 1: when teams do that.
- 37:44Speaker 2: So I think Furman is a.
- 37:46Speaker 1: Little bit under the radar here. They're going on against Troy, who, Yeah,
- 37:49Speaker 1: Troy's been decent. Troy made the tournament last year, they
- 37:51Speaker 1: won the Sun Belt. Troy's coming of a nice upset
- 37:54Speaker 1: win at Kent State. And this is not football, this
- 37:57Speaker 1: is basketball. So Kent State, they're one of the best
- 38:00Speaker 1: MAC teams in basketball right now. Troy went in there
- 38:04Speaker 1: and beat them as a three and a half point
- 38:05Speaker 1: underdog in a high scoring game.
- 38:08Speaker 2: And you know people are gonna like that.
- 38:09Speaker 1: And that was actually part of a MAC Sunbelt challenge too,
- 38:13Speaker 1: and it was an overtime game. So now a couple
- 38:15Speaker 1: of days after that, Troy has to go down from
- 38:18Speaker 1: Ohio down to I know, Troy's in Alabama, so they're
- 38:21Speaker 1: used to playing in the South. That they got to
- 38:22Speaker 1: go down to South Carolina to a place that they're
- 38:24Speaker 1: probably not totally familiar with playing.
- 38:27Speaker 2: I think it's a bad spot for Troy.
- 38:29Speaker 1: And I think they looked a little bit better than
- 38:31Speaker 1: they actually were in this game because they shot out
- 38:33Speaker 1: of their minds forty six point two percent from three,
- 38:37Speaker 1: fifty two point four percent from the field. They had
- 38:39Speaker 1: a great shooting game. Kent State, who usually is pretty
- 38:43Speaker 1: good offensively in recent years, they were terrible thirty eight
- 38:46Speaker 1: percent from the field. They were fine from three point range,
- 38:49Speaker 1: but still that is a major outlier in my opinion
- 38:52Speaker 1: as far as these shooting percentages that I just went over,
- 38:54Speaker 1: So I think there's gonna be.
- 38:55Speaker 2: Some regression for Troy here.
- 38:57Speaker 1: And Troy lost the rebound battle by eleven, so that's
- 39:00Speaker 1: another indicator. Where again, the rebounding battle, you got to
- 39:04Speaker 1: think that that means Furman is primed to like dominate
- 39:08Speaker 1: on the boards in this game because they look like
- 39:09Speaker 1: they're the better rebounding team at least right now. Although
- 39:12Speaker 1: High Points not a good defensive team and not as
- 39:15Speaker 1: much of a physical team, so I don't know Kent
- 39:18Speaker 1: State is the better team over high Points, so you
- 39:20Speaker 1: do have to keep that in mind. Kent State is
- 39:22Speaker 1: a better rebounding team than a high Point as well.
- 39:25Speaker 1: But still, the way that the rebounding battles shaped up
- 39:29Speaker 1: were completely opposite to what the scores were in these
- 39:32Speaker 1: two games. So that's kind of a red flag for
- 39:34Speaker 1: me as well, where I tend to want to look
- 39:36Speaker 1: for that to be more of an indicator and for
- 39:40Speaker 1: what else whatever else happened in that game to be
- 39:42Speaker 1: maybe an outlier that's gonna regress like the shooting percentages here,
- 39:46Speaker 1: so I think we have that lining up on both
- 39:48Speaker 1: sides of this game here. So I do like Furman
- 39:50Speaker 1: in this one, and people are probably not gonna really
- 39:52Speaker 1: want to lay points with a team that's a winless
- 39:56Speaker 1: team will own one against a team that's one to zero,
- 39:59Speaker 1: and Troy team that made the tournament last year.
- 40:01Speaker 2: Furman of course did not.
- 40:03Speaker 1: Although Furman has been one of the better teams in
- 40:05Speaker 1: their conference the last few years, they've been right there
- 40:08Speaker 1: in the mix to win their conference. I think they
- 40:09Speaker 1: were probably in their conference final again last year if
- 40:12Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken, and they lost to Wafford.
- 40:14Speaker 2: Is that right? I don't know. Furman was like right
- 40:17Speaker 2: there close to the end.
- 40:19Speaker 1: Furman is up from a two point favorites or two
- 40:21Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Osmagers are telling you Troy
- 40:25Speaker 1: is the slightly better team, I guess because Furhman doesn't
- 40:27Speaker 1: get full home court.
- 40:28Speaker 2: But I like Furhman in this one.
- 40:30Speaker 1: They look public right now, but I just don't really
- 40:32Speaker 1: know if the public is even looking to play this game.
- 40:35Speaker 1: There's so many games on the board. I don't think
- 40:37Speaker 1: this is gonna be top on their list. So I
- 40:39Speaker 1: think a lot of these tickets are actually professional tickets.
- 40:42Speaker 1: Eight and nine percent of the cash as of right now.
- 40:45Speaker 1: Not really much to read into it those percentages, but
- 40:48Speaker 1: the way that I do these situational reason are and
- 40:50Speaker 1: this one it's more of like a statistical anomaly situation here.
- 40:55Speaker 2: Furman will be the play in that one, Mark Mark.
- 41:00Speaker 1: Yeah, we're going back to the the trial of oj
- 41:03Speaker 1: Mark Furman. He was the cop right with the tapes
- 41:07Speaker 1: where he was supposedly a Nazi. Oh my god, Furman's
- 41:12Speaker 1: at one and a half right now, Yeah, that sounds
- 41:15Speaker 1: good as well. Also in college Oh it's a minus
- 41:18Speaker 1: one twenty though. If that's the case, I mean I
- 41:22Speaker 1: might play the money line on Furman. I mean the
- 41:24Speaker 1: other thing is if you if you have a team
- 41:26Speaker 1: that's between like minus one and minus I think it's
- 41:31Speaker 1: minus one, minus one and a half her two. I'll
- 41:32Speaker 1: have to refresh my memory on this, but there are
- 41:35Speaker 1: I've heard this from some professionals that it's actually better
- 41:38Speaker 1: long term in college basketball, specifically to play the money
- 41:42Speaker 1: line if you're gonna play the favorite, if the favorite
- 41:45Speaker 1: is minus one, minus one and a half or minus two.
- 41:49Speaker 1: So money line on Furman might be a way to
- 41:50Speaker 1: look there if that's the case as well. I just
- 41:53Speaker 1: saw the two and a half's out there all right, Hofstra,
- 41:58Speaker 1: and I own I mean, that's a New York battle there. Hostra,
- 42:02Speaker 1: I believe hasn't even played yet. I don't know they did.
- 42:05Speaker 1: They lost the UCF my mistake, actually, Hofstra. Yeah, they
- 42:07Speaker 1: were eight and a half point underdogs, and they came
- 42:09Speaker 1: pretty close against UCF. They actually they're coming up a
- 42:13Speaker 1: game where they were an underdog. They played close on
- 42:15Speaker 1: the road, So actually that makes the SURPIV Hostra not.
- 42:18Speaker 2: Be that good.
- 42:19Speaker 1: Iona is the team that hasn't played yet, and this
- 42:21Speaker 1: is gonna be Iona's home opener. Iona is, I believe,
- 42:25Speaker 1: somewhere north of New York City. Hostra is somewhere on
- 42:29Speaker 1: Long Island. I believe, so kind of a New York
- 42:32Speaker 1: battle here.
- 42:32Speaker 2: I own a.
- 42:33Speaker 1: Flip from one point Dodge to a one point favorite.
- 42:35Speaker 1: But the cash looks like it's on Hostra. But I
- 42:37Speaker 1: don't know if I really buy that sixty seven percent
- 42:39Speaker 1: of tickets on Iona, ninety percent of the cash on Hostra.
- 42:44Speaker 1: I kind of like Iona in this game, but I
- 42:46Speaker 1: don't necessarily love a team that hasn't played yet, so
- 42:49Speaker 1: they don't have a game under the bup. But Hostra
- 42:51Speaker 1: almost pulling up that upset like that and now having
- 42:54Speaker 1: to travel up to New York from Florida playing a
- 42:56Speaker 1: second road game in a row, don't love it.
- 42:59Speaker 2: So I would probably lean to Iona in that one.
- 43:04Speaker 1: Firman at minus one thirty eight, that's I mean, that's
- 43:08Speaker 1: a decent money line. But if it's two and a half,
- 43:10Speaker 1: I'd probably just lay the two and a half though, So.
- 43:14Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 43:14Speaker 1: I don't know what they give you for like alternate
- 43:17Speaker 1: lines on that. Washington State and Davidson, I'm only going
- 43:20Speaker 1: to talk about this because there is This is where
- 43:23Speaker 1: the true crime, True Crime tode comes back into player.
- 43:27Speaker 1: This just makes no sense to me. Washington State they
- 43:30Speaker 1: just played Idaho. That's not that weird because Washington State
- 43:33Speaker 1: and Idaho they're like fifteen minutes apart from each other.
- 43:37Speaker 1: They're like sister schools. There's kind of a rivalry there.
- 43:39Speaker 1: I think they probably play every year, so that's not
- 43:43Speaker 1: surprising to me. Washington lost a home to Idaho, which
- 43:47Speaker 1: is odd because Washington State was the better team, or
- 43:50Speaker 1: at least they were the favorite. It's seven and a
- 43:52Speaker 1: half a favorite of seven and a half, they're probably
- 43:55Speaker 1: the better.
- 43:55Speaker 2: Team, so they got upset.
- 43:57Speaker 1: So as far as the handicap beer, I might argue, well,
- 44:00Speaker 1: Washington statesabouts back from that because they lost as a favorite,
- 44:03Speaker 1: even though it is a big rivalry game. I would
- 44:06Speaker 1: hesitate a little bit because they are having to go
- 44:07Speaker 1: to an unfamiliar environment here, having to go to Davidson,
- 44:11Speaker 1: who I believe are in like South Carolina or something
- 44:14Speaker 1: like that. So if I remember back from the Steph
- 44:17Speaker 1: Curry days, I'm old enough to remember when Steph Curry
- 44:20Speaker 1: was on Davidson and people still didn't know who he
- 44:22Speaker 1: was and they were kind of an undervalue commodity in
- 44:25Speaker 1: some of those tournaments. Weird spot, Why is Washington State
- 44:31Speaker 1: playing Davidson, So Washington State's coming off playing Idaho. Now
- 44:36Speaker 1: we remember, Idaho did have a quadruple murder a couple
- 44:39Speaker 1: of years back of four students at the University of
- 44:42Speaker 1: Idaho in off campus housing. The dude who was convicted
- 44:46Speaker 1: of it or at least confessed to it, which you know,
- 44:48Speaker 1: we can get into. People get really mad when I
- 44:50Speaker 1: say that I don't think there's enough evidence in that
- 44:52Speaker 1: case to say that he did it either, but I
- 44:54Speaker 1: think that's true.
- 44:54Speaker 2: There isn't.
- 44:55Speaker 1: It's all based on touch DNA on a knife sheath
- 44:58Speaker 1: that there's really no chain of custody there, and it's
- 45:01Speaker 1: really easy to get touch DNA and anything esply and
- 45:04Speaker 1: it's on.
- 45:04Speaker 2: A movable object like that. It just doesn't make any sense.
- 45:07Speaker 1: You think with a quadruple stabbing like that, you would
- 45:11Speaker 1: have other DNA evidence, and there is none.
- 45:14Speaker 2: So I have a lot of problems with that case.
- 45:16Speaker 1: But the dude who is in prison for it, Coburger,
- 45:21Speaker 1: Brian Coberger, was a student at Washington State. Okay, you know,
- 45:27Speaker 1: so up the road from Idaho is still not very strange. Okay, yeah,
- 45:31Speaker 1: Washington State plays Idho every year or whatever. But there
- 45:33Speaker 1: is that tie in there because Coburger student at Washington State,
- 45:37Speaker 1: PhD student there whatever, and a ta the victims were
- 45:41Speaker 1: all Idaho State students. All right, now, Washington State is
- 45:45Speaker 1: going to play Davidson. I'm looking all right, Washington State
- 45:48Speaker 1: should mean a little bit of bounce back Spider Davidson's
- 45:50Speaker 1: want to know who did Davidson play in their first game? Well,
- 45:54Speaker 1: first of all, Washington State, they like never played Davidson.
- 45:57Speaker 1: I don't think, so it's a little bit odd they're
- 45:58Speaker 1: going to play a team that's from the Caroline As why.
- 46:03Speaker 1: I don't know, Davidson, who do they happen to play?
- 46:06Speaker 1: In their first game, they played non Division one basketball
- 46:10Speaker 1: team DeSales University, which was where Brian Koberger got his
- 46:16Speaker 1: master's degree. He went to the Sales, which is in Pennsylvania.
- 46:21Speaker 1: And when do these teams ever, Like when do they
- 46:23Speaker 1: play to Sale? Like when does the Sales ever play
- 46:25Speaker 1: random Division one teams that are not geographically close to them? Like,
- 46:30Speaker 1: I just thought this was very very strange, Like I
- 46:33Speaker 1: had to like double take. I'm like, what the fuck?
- 46:36Speaker 1: Like this makes no sense, Like why what so.
- 46:40Speaker 2: Davidson is playing back to back games against Brian.
- 46:44Speaker 1: Coberger's colleges that are across the country from each other. Basically,
- 46:49Speaker 1: it's like, dude, this has to be intentional. It can't
- 46:52Speaker 1: be a coincidence. Now swarts conspiracy Dode, true crime dode
- 46:57Speaker 1: coming out of here.
- 46:58Speaker 2: This is just bizarre, dude, Like this totally threw me off.
- 47:01Speaker 1: I'm like, there's no fucking way that they played to
- 47:03Speaker 1: Sales and they did and they beat them. I mean
- 47:06Speaker 1: that's not surprising.
- 47:07Speaker 2: It's just so weird, dude, so weird. So that freaked
- 47:11Speaker 2: me out. Actually, I don't know if you guys are
- 47:13Speaker 2: as freaked out as I am. I am.
- 47:16Speaker 1: Davidson has gone all the way up to a five
- 47:18Speaker 1: point favorite in this game of the money's coming back
- 47:20Speaker 1: on Washington State, sixty tickets on Davidson, eighty three percent
- 47:24Speaker 1: of the cash coming back in Washington State. You could
- 47:26Speaker 1: argue Davidson in might be a game they get up
- 47:28Speaker 1: four because Washington State used to be in the Pac twelve,
- 47:32Speaker 1: so there's still kind of considered to be like one
- 47:33Speaker 1: of the bigger conference teams, even though they're in the
- 47:36Speaker 1: WCC now and they're not really as good now, but
- 47:40Speaker 1: although I think they did make the tournament the last
- 47:43Speaker 1: year or the year before that. Whatever money's coming back
- 47:46Speaker 1: in on Washington State, I would probably take the points
- 47:48Speaker 1: of Washington State though, even though it's a weird travel
- 47:50Speaker 1: spot for them. It's that freaky double, It's the double Cobe,
- 47:55Speaker 1: the double coke.
- 47:56Speaker 2: I would like a double coburger and fries please.
- 47:59Speaker 1: Davison is in the double coburger spot Washington State though,
- 48:05Speaker 1: to me, I just think it's a.
- 48:06Speaker 2: Bounce back spot.
- 48:06Speaker 1: Ever, kind of an ugly loss, but traveling cross country
- 48:09Speaker 1: is a little bit weird. But I thought that was
- 48:12Speaker 1: just really really strange, dude, So I don't know what
- 48:15Speaker 1: else to think about that. Again, I don't really want
- 48:18Speaker 1: to talk about every one of these games, but Kent State,
- 48:20Speaker 1: you might want to look towards them because they did
- 48:22Speaker 1: lose that game against Troyl. That was a big game,
- 48:24Speaker 1: overtime game and a conference challenge.
- 48:27Speaker 2: I don't know, so I could see both arguments there.
- 48:30Speaker 2: Will they bounce back.
- 48:31Speaker 1: From losing as a home favorite or will they be
- 48:34Speaker 1: hungover because that was actually a big game.
- 48:36Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 48:37Speaker 1: I don't think Cornell was even actually played yet. Kent
- 48:39Speaker 1: State is up to a six point favorite there against Cornell.
- 48:45Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 48:45Speaker 1: My first instinct was to lean towards laying it with
- 48:47Speaker 1: Kent State, but obviously it's not gonna be anything I'm
- 48:50Speaker 1: gonna do. Georgia State at Cincinnati, this one looked a
- 48:54Speaker 1: little bit interesting to me, just because Cincinnati they're coming
- 48:58Speaker 1: off a blow out went over Western Carol Line. That's
- 49:00Speaker 1: not surprising, but they do have Dayton up next, and
- 49:02Speaker 1: that is a big game because Dayton is an in state.
- 49:06Speaker 1: I don't know about saying they're in state rival, but
- 49:10Speaker 1: it is a battle between two Ohio schools, so I
- 49:12Speaker 1: think they might be looking ahead to that game. Maybe
- 49:14Speaker 1: they just don't take Georgia State seriously at all here,
- 49:17Speaker 1: especially coming off a blowout win as well, So I
- 49:19Speaker 1: could see that being a look ahead.
- 49:21Speaker 2: Spot for Cincinnati here.
- 49:22Speaker 1: Georgia State got absolutely trash in their first game at
- 49:26Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan in that Max Sunbelt challenging I don't think
- 49:30Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan is good, even though in football they have
- 49:32Speaker 1: our guy Noah Kaniga. But Georgia State, I mean, that
- 49:37Speaker 1: is an unbelievably embarrassing loss. Like I don't understand how
- 49:40Speaker 1: you lose seventy one to forty nine to a MAC
- 49:44Speaker 1: team that's not even good. Georgia State's not that good.
- 49:46Speaker 1: But Georgia State was just horrible shooting in that game,
- 49:50Speaker 1: twenty nine point three percent shooting. You gotta think that's
- 49:53Speaker 1: a little bit of an outlier. So they probably should
- 49:55Speaker 1: bounce back from that in Ipsilanti, Michigan with a wh
- 50:01Speaker 1: very very weird a town name there. But yeah, I
- 50:03Speaker 1: would lean to taking the points with Georgia State and
- 50:05Speaker 1: that one if I was gonna do it, which I
- 50:07Speaker 1: will not recommend, but that's just a slight opinion in
- 50:10Speaker 1: that one. Cincinnati's all the way up to a twenty
- 50:12Speaker 1: nine point favorite there. Sometimes I don't really want to
- 50:15Speaker 1: try to take these really bad teams against teams that
- 50:18Speaker 1: could just still beat them by margin even if they.
- 50:21Speaker 2: Don't even show up. So I don't know.
- 50:26Speaker 1: Yeah, other games that I even wanted to talk about,
- 50:28Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, Virginia's playing n C Central.
- 50:31Speaker 1: Maybe Virginia's on the way back up. N C Central
- 50:33Speaker 1: just got obliterated by NC State and they have app
- 50:36Speaker 1: State next three road games in a row to start
- 50:39Speaker 1: the season for them, two of those three against North
- 50:42Speaker 1: Carolina teams, So in State big brothers situations, with Virginia
- 50:46Speaker 1: wedged in between the two.
- 50:47Speaker 2: But I mean, they're gonna probably try to get up to.
- 50:50Speaker 1: Play Virginia because it's a really big name, but I
- 50:53Speaker 1: don't know if they're gonna have enough. Virginia coming off
- 50:56Speaker 1: crushing Rider, I mean, not really surprising Rider.
- 50:59Speaker 2: Not very good.
- 51:01Speaker 1: Virginia might be on the way back up, but they're
- 51:03Speaker 1: also a thirty four and a half point favorite, and
- 51:05Speaker 1: for a team that just is notorious for playing at
- 51:08Speaker 1: one of the slowest paces like every single year, which
- 51:11Speaker 1: I'm assuming they're gonna be doing again laying that many
- 51:14Speaker 1: points with Virginia. I mean, it's it's never really something
- 51:18Speaker 1: I want to do. So yeah, I mean just thought
- 51:22Speaker 1: of would talking about that game briefly. What else we
- 51:26Speaker 1: got here Pittsburgh is playing.
- 51:27Speaker 2: It's Longwood.
- 51:28Speaker 1: Pittsburgh did just beat in city basically, or not in city,
- 51:32Speaker 1: but geographic rival Youngstown because Youngstown is in Ohio, but
- 51:36Speaker 1: Youngstown is like right over the border basically, so Pittsburgh
- 51:39Speaker 1: and Youngstown's kind of a thing. I think Youngstown gets
- 51:42Speaker 1: up when they play Pittsburgh because it's a close geographical
- 51:46Speaker 1: like bigger brother if you want to call it that.
- 51:49Speaker 1: Pittsburgh coming off that game where they beat their little
- 51:52Speaker 1: brother again if you want to call it that. Now
- 51:54Speaker 1: they got Longwood. Don't really have anything up next though
- 51:56Speaker 1: with Eastern Michigan. They do have a bigger game after
- 51:58Speaker 1: that against West Virginia, Yeah, which is the basketball edition
- 52:02Speaker 1: of the Backyard Brawl, the basketball yard Brawl. So if
- 52:08Speaker 1: the West Virginia game was up next, I might be
- 52:10Speaker 1: more inclined to maybe look towards Longwood here I'm always
- 52:13Speaker 1: looking at Longwood.
- 52:14Speaker 2: Man, I'm just gay like that.
- 52:17Speaker 1: Longwood's coming off beating whoever the hell this Mary team
- 52:20Speaker 1: is beating a woman named Mary Mary Baldwin fighting squirrels. Yeah,
- 52:26Speaker 1: all right, sure that's who Pittsburgh is, or that's too
- 52:29Speaker 1: long Wood is coming off of.
- 52:30Speaker 2: Excuse me.
- 52:31Speaker 1: Long Wood is playing James Madison next, although I don't
- 52:33Speaker 1: think they're gonna, like, are they gonna overlook a team
- 52:37Speaker 1: like Pittsburgh? I doubt it, but they do have James
- 52:39Speaker 1: Madison up next, who's been a good college basketball program
- 52:42Speaker 1: for a while in I believe the same state as
- 52:44Speaker 1: long What I think Longwood is in Virginia.
- 52:49Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know what I would want to do
- 52:50Speaker 2: with this.
- 52:50Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has dropped from a seventeen point favorage of sixteen
- 52:53Speaker 1: point favorite and doesn't seem like that big of a
- 52:55Speaker 1: number for an ACC team against a big South team.
- 52:59Speaker 1: I think is we're long what is along? It's one
- 53:01Speaker 1: of the better Big South teams. I'd probably slightly lean
- 53:04Speaker 1: to taking the points there.
- 53:05Speaker 2: But I don't. I don't want it obviously.
- 53:09Speaker 1: I think Gardner Webb is a team in South Carolina,
- 53:13Speaker 1: so if they are there, or are they I forget that.
- 53:15Speaker 1: If they are, they're in like a little bit of
- 53:17Speaker 1: an in state little brother situation against Clemson. But I
- 53:20Speaker 1: don't really have much to say about that game. Otherwise,
- 53:22Speaker 1: Clemson down to a thirty one point favorite. Maybe some
- 53:25Speaker 1: money came in taking the points with Gardner Webb if
- 53:28Speaker 1: you do want to do that. Bucknell at Mount Saint Mary's, Man, dude,
- 53:34Speaker 1: I'm too autistic about this. I feel like there are
- 53:36Speaker 1: way too many games I want to talk about. Bucknell
- 53:39Speaker 1: just beat Delaware, and that was the game where buck
- 53:43Speaker 1: Nell was a slight favorite. Here it's a decent win.
- 53:46Speaker 1: Delaware has been okay recently. Delaware actually shot really poorly
- 53:51Speaker 1: in the game though, below forty from the field, so
- 53:56Speaker 1: not a great sign there that maybe Bucknell. The fact
- 53:59Speaker 1: the only one by eight doesn't look that great when
- 54:01Speaker 1: you see that Delaware shot so poorly. Mount Saint Mary's
- 54:05Speaker 1: lost at West Virginia.
- 54:06Speaker 2: Not a surprise.
- 54:07Speaker 1: West Virginia, obviously the better team in West Virginia, didn't
- 54:10Speaker 1: even cover as a nineteen a half point favorite. Mount
- 54:13Speaker 1: Saint Mary's shot horribly in the game, only thirty nine
- 54:16Speaker 1: point one percent for the field, So this is an
- 54:18Speaker 1: and they actually outrebound at West Virginia, which is insane
- 54:23Speaker 1: out rebounding a bigger conference school like that, and they
- 54:28Speaker 1: lost the turnover battle, which you can clean up a
- 54:29Speaker 1: little bit. So the fact that Mount Saint Mary's is
- 54:32Speaker 1: own one, I mean, and they still somehow rebel to
- 54:34Speaker 1: Hunt hang in that game to fight a.
- 54:36Speaker 2: Terrible shooting performance against West Virginia.
- 54:38Speaker 1: That tells me there's something, you know, a little bit
- 54:41Speaker 1: off here about what we're looking at here with buck
- 54:43Speaker 1: Nell being one to oh, Mount Saint Mary's being owned one.
- 54:46Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's I think is actually maybe the slightly
- 54:49Speaker 1: better team. They're at three and a half. Do just
- 54:51Speaker 1: ken Bom have them as a slightly better team, I
- 54:53Speaker 1: don't know.
- 54:55Speaker 2: Not Saint Mary's.
- 54:56Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's, he has some pretty bad two forty
- 54:58Speaker 1: nine against a buck He does have them better than
- 55:01Speaker 1: Bucknell though at two seventy, two seventy seven, even though
- 55:04Speaker 1: Bucknell's one and oer. Right now, I would lay it
- 55:07Speaker 1: with Mount Saint Mary's if I was gonna play this game.
- 55:10Speaker 2: I'm tempted to do it, man, because buck Nell.
- 55:13Speaker 1: I mean, they did win the rebound battle, but that
- 55:15Speaker 1: shouldn't be like one thing that really totally.
- 55:17Speaker 2: Keeps me away from it.
- 55:19Speaker 1: I'll stay away, but that one's actually pretty close. I
- 55:21Speaker 1: would probably lay it with Mount Saint Mary's in that one.
- 55:24Speaker 1: I kind of liked that one, all right, Uh, I
- 55:29Speaker 1: mean Wagner at Seton Hall. Seton Hall as a team
- 55:31Speaker 1: has just been ugly, Like last year, they were terrible.
- 55:34Speaker 2: I they don't score a.
- 55:35Speaker 1: Whole lot, so you could argue that maybe laying a
- 55:36Speaker 1: lot of points with Seaton Hall not a great idea.
- 55:39Speaker 1: Wagner maybe gets up for the game because they're sort
- 55:42Speaker 1: of a geographic little brother. I guess Wagner, I believe
- 55:45Speaker 1: is on Staten Island, so I don't know. Just mentioning
- 55:49Speaker 1: that game briefly, Seton Halls down to a twenty two
- 55:51Speaker 1: point favorite with seventy five percent of tickets at sixty
- 55:54Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on them, So whatever in
- 55:58Speaker 1: that one, I guess, but I would probably mean to take.
- 55:59Speaker 2: The boys with Wagner.
- 56:01Speaker 1: Seaton Hall is still not a good team, and like
- 56:03Speaker 1: they're pretty notorious in recent years, I think for playing
- 56:07Speaker 1: pretty poorly in some of these early season games where
- 56:09Speaker 1: they're a big favorite coming close to and were actually
- 56:13Speaker 1: losing those games. Georgia Tech and Bryant. I'm gonna give
- 56:17Speaker 1: it a play on this. I'm gonna lay it with
- 56:19Speaker 1: Georgia Tech in this one. I mean, this is similar
- 56:21Speaker 1: to what I've been doing in some of these other games.
- 56:22Speaker 1: I know Georgia Tech, they're not a team that scores
- 56:25Speaker 1: a lot. It's a little bit worrisome they've dropped to
- 56:27Speaker 1: a fifteen and a half point favorite here, But I
- 56:29Speaker 1: think the spot sets up fine for Georgia Tack. I
- 56:32Speaker 1: don't think it's necessarily great for Bryant either. I know
- 56:36Speaker 1: Brian just coming out of a loss to Sianna, so
- 56:39Speaker 1: they are own one. You can debate they're gonna want
- 56:40Speaker 1: to bounce back from that. Maybe they'll show up for
- 56:43Speaker 1: a big game against an ACC team. Bryant, of course,
- 56:46Speaker 1: the team that was good in the American East last year.
- 56:49Speaker 1: They had moved up from the Northeast Conference to the
- 56:51Speaker 1: American East. They won the conference last year and they
- 56:54Speaker 1: made the tournament. Pretty decent team. But two straight games
- 57:00Speaker 1: like this, and I think they're gonna be against the
- 57:01Speaker 1: Georgia Tech team that is going to be in bounced
- 57:03Speaker 1: back mode Bryant. In this game, they shot forty five
- 57:07Speaker 1: point five percent from three as well, and they lost
- 57:09Speaker 1: the rebound battle.
- 57:10Speaker 2: So the fact that they had this major outlier.
- 57:12Speaker 1: From three point percentage, that is a thing that I
- 57:15Speaker 1: would be looking to maybe fade as well, like looking
- 57:17Speaker 1: for that to regress a bit, even though I do
- 57:19Speaker 1: think they are a team that does do pretty well
- 57:22Speaker 1: from beyond the arc generally. They did lose the turnover
- 57:25Speaker 1: battle horrendously, although usually you see that like kind of
- 57:28Speaker 1: balance out twenty to seven. But yeah, so maybe based
- 57:33Speaker 1: on that, maybe you wouldn't want to look to fade
- 57:35Speaker 1: Bryant in the next game. But everything else is kind
- 57:38Speaker 1: of leading me towards fading Bryant here. So and the
- 57:41Speaker 1: fact that they shot too well from three point range.
- 57:43Speaker 2: Is another thing.
- 57:44Speaker 1: Georgia Tech they're not traveling, they're just staying at home,
- 57:47Speaker 1: and of course they're coming up that embarrassing game where
- 57:49Speaker 1: they had to go to overtime to beat Maryland Eastern Shore.
- 57:52Speaker 1: Georgia Tech was more than a twenty point favorite in
- 57:55Speaker 1: that when they almost lost to that awful Maryland.
- 57:57Speaker 2: Eastern Shore team.
- 57:59Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show show up with some focus
- 58:02Speaker 1: after that. Man, I mean, when you almost lose as
- 58:04Speaker 1: a big favorite, to a really bad team like that,
- 58:07Speaker 1: you're gonna be like really really going hard and practice.
- 58:10Speaker 1: In my opinion, you're gonna show up for the next game.
- 58:12Speaker 1: And I think the fact that Brian did make the
- 58:14Speaker 1: tournament last year, I think might have Georgia Tech actually
- 58:16Speaker 1: taking them slightly more seriously if almost losing to Maryland
- 58:21Speaker 1: Eistern Shore wasn't enough. Yes, Brian is better than Maryland
- 58:24Speaker 1: Eastern Shore, but you're getting a lesser of a number here.
- 58:27Speaker 1: I mean, I think the number against Maryland Eastern Shore
- 58:29Speaker 1: was like nine points higher than this or something like that.
- 58:33Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm gonna lay it with Georgia Tech in
- 58:35Speaker 1: that one. I don't think we see the percentages yet
- 58:38Speaker 1: on that one. That's that all right.
- 58:41Speaker 2: Texas Tech is playing in state little brother Sam Houston here.
- 58:44Speaker 1: Texas Tech boy a better team, though, So what do
- 58:47Speaker 1: you want to do with that game?
- 58:48Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 58:48Speaker 1: Texas Tech's up to a twenty seven and a half
- 58:50Speaker 1: point favorite. I mean I tend to look towards the
- 58:54Speaker 1: little in state little brothers in those games like that.
- 58:58Speaker 2: Texas Tech does have Illinois come up next, which might
- 59:00Speaker 2: be a look ahead as well, so probably.
- 59:02Speaker 1: Would take the points with Sam Houston. But you can't
- 59:05Speaker 1: just blindly take all these like little brothers.
- 59:07Speaker 2: Man.
- 59:07Speaker 1: You know, God, there's so many fucking games here. Another
- 59:12Speaker 1: kind of situation like that was Southeast Missouri State against Missouri.
- 59:15Speaker 1: Although Missouri doesn't really have a look ahead component to it.
- 59:19Speaker 1: Missouri is a twenty five point favorite twenty five and
- 59:21Speaker 1: a half. The numbers got up a little bit.
- 59:24Speaker 2: I mean that one. It's difficult to really say what
- 59:26Speaker 2: I would want to do.
- 59:27Speaker 1: I mean, you could debate they maybe want to take
- 59:29Speaker 1: the points to Southeast Missouri State, who I think is
- 59:31Speaker 1: at least one of the better Ohio Valley teams right now.
- 59:34Speaker 1: I think they've won the conference last year if I'm
- 59:36Speaker 1: not mistaken, or two years ago whatever it was, and
- 59:39Speaker 1: made the tournament.
- 59:40Speaker 2: I don't know. Uh, Mississippi Valley State.
- 59:42Speaker 1: I'm just gonna point them out because they probably they're
- 59:46Speaker 1: coming off maybe they're one win of the entire season. Man,
- 59:48Speaker 1: Mississippi Valley State is always one of the absolute worst
- 59:51Speaker 1: teams in all Division one, and their tradition is they
- 59:54Speaker 1: win one game on the season basically, and it's this
- 59:57Speaker 1: game here against the Mississippi University for Women men's basketball team.
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: That's who they beat, the Mississippi University of Women. But
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: it's a men's basketball team. Don't ask me what goes
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: on at that school, man, I don't know. Is it
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: a trans basketball team.
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: I have no idea.
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: I don't want to get this channel nuked, but that's
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: who Mississippi Valley State beat.
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: Yeah. I just think that's hilarious.
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: I just forgot to mention that Mississippi Valley State one
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: of the best mascots though the Delta Devil.
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: So at least there's that.
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: Murray State's coming up that nice win over Omaha where
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: I thought they might because I thought Omaha might be
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: a little bit overvalued coming into this year after they
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: made that run in the Summit last year and I
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: got into the tournament Murray State stepping down in class here.
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: But that was a big win for Murray State against Omaha.
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: I think I'm playing on that in a neutral site
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: game as well. I think up in South Dakota this
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: is gonna be their home opener though I'm pretty sure,
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: so I don't really want to fade Murray State and
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: their home opener. But they do also have SMU up next,
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: which is gonna be a bigger game because that's a
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: big conference game. So one of their bigger games on tap,
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: Murray State's up to a thirty nine point favorite was
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of tickets eighty seven percent of the cash.
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: I would probably look to actually take the points with
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: the Mississippi Valley State, but man, they are a bad team.
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: We'll see my Massachusetts Stonehill Boys after the fog rolled
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: in last night, are gonna be in Chicago to play DePaul.
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: I don't really have anything on that game, but De
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: Paul's the better team. I mean, they're in the Big East.
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: At the very least, they're a favorite in that one.
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: We have a weird neutral.
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: Site game that actually might be a pretty good game
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: between VCU and Utah State, which looks like it's not televisedalle.
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: I'm sure you can find a stream of it somewhere,
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: if you know what I mean. This is actually a
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: good game, and for some reason it's in Frisco, Texas.
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: I have no idea why so it's a neutral site game.
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: Probably the site probably favors Utah State slightly because VCU
- 1:01:55Speaker 1: is in Virginia and they're having to go out to Texas.
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: Utah State obviously from Utah. Oh, you don't say both
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: these teams actually made the tournament last year, VCU coming
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: off a win over Wagner, fairly easy win.
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: I don't think there's really much to see there.
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: Utah State had a big win over, like a blowout
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: win over a Division two team. I should say it's
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: Westminster the Griffins. That's kind of a cool team nickname.
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: I hope their mascot is Peter Griffin. Though this game
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: it comes down to I think both teams are going
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: to show up for this, so I think it comes
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: down to the location being a little.
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: Bit better for Utah State.
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: And I think the perception might be a little bit
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: off in this game because I think the public will
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: look at this.
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: And want to kind of take VCU.
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: VCU does have seventy one percent tickets eighty four percent
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on VCU, so the cash
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: looks like it's on them for now. But Utah State
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: looks like an anti public favorite to me up from
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: two to two and a half. So I kind of
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: like Utah State in this game. That's probably the way
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: that I would lean towards Utah State there slightly, so
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on that. It's this is legitimately
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: I think one of the more interesting games, one of
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: the better games all night. This and the Kansas and
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: UNC game, So yeah, I'm it's interesting and it's also
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: I think kind of a contrast in styles or VC
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: who likes to play slow, Utest State likes to play fast.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: So usually I kind of look towards a slower team,
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: but in this case, where I think the venue favors
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: you tested, I think they might be able to speed
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: the game up.
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: VSA.
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: You did lose their best player from last year and
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: Max Sholga, who I believe is on my Boston Celtics,
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: so a little bit of something to keep in mind there.
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: I do have an opinion on Nichols in Eastern Illinois,
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: just because Eastern Illinois almost pulled off an upset at Valpo.
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: Now they getting Nickels and up next they have played
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: Notre Dame and then University of Kentucky, so this is
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: a sandwich spot to me. It looks pretty sandwiche. The
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: only issue I have with fading Eastern Illinois it is
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: their home opener, so usually teams will get up for
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: their home opener, but coming up almost pulling off an
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: upset and having some big conference games up next. I
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: don't love it, so I would look towards Nichols in
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: this game. Nichols just played Kentucky, so it's obvious why
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: they took a loss in the first.
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: Game, because Kentucky is pretty good.
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: Nichols is actually at least one of the better teams
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: I think in the Southland.
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: I think they made it maybe even to the Southland.
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: Final last year, but obviously lost to MacNeice, who was
- 1:04:25Speaker 1: a really good program for those couple of years under
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: Will Wade. The oddsbeakers are actually telling you Nichols is
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: enough the better team, but they're actually a favorite on
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: the road here. From one to two, I do like
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: this one. This one didn't quite make my card, but
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: I like Nichols in this game. This is one of
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: the closest ones to being a play for me, by
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: the way, So yeah, this was like the first one
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: that I decided to leave alone just because I don't
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: want to fade Eastern Illinois and their home opener basically,
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: but maybe that's not even a good enough reason Nichols
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: is the better team. I mean, Eastern Illinois is still
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: one of the real bottom tier Big One, bottom tier
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: Division One teams and on what's up thanks for hanging out.
- 1:05:06Speaker 1: So yeah, I lean to Nickels in that one. We
- 1:05:09Speaker 1: do have Illinois playing Florida Gulf Coast in Wisconsin playing
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: Northern Illinois, and I don't think there's a whole lot
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: to see there. Illinois does have alabamap next, though, I guess,
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: or excuse Texas Tech not Alabama. Alabama coming up a
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: couple games after that. You could argue maybe it's a
- 1:05:22Speaker 1: look ahead for Illinois there. I guess you couldn't lean
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: to taking the points with Florida Gulf Coast. The money
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: seems to agree, although the line went up to twenty
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: nine eighty three percent of the cash on Illinois sixty
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: two percent of tickets coming in on Dunk City that
- 1:05:35Speaker 1: no longer dunk City.
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: Dunk City was a long time ago.
- 1:05:38Speaker 1: But I would probably take the points with Florida Gulf
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: Coast if I was gonna play that game.
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: I will not. I don't think these look aheads are
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: really that strong of an angle. Really, it's just a
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: small angle.
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: Wisconsin doesn't even really have a look ahead, and they're
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: gonna be a big favorite in their game, so I
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: don't think there's much to see there either.
- 1:05:58Speaker 2: Twenty eight and a half point favorite.
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: Man, this schedules just this is why I'm gonna do
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: the big Saturday ones on like Friday nights, man, because
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: this is just a lot. Okay, let's see what else
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: we got Arizona. You know, I'd pointed out that they
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: should be in a letdown spot because they beat Florida.
- 1:06:14Speaker 2: I mean, huge win. You beat the returning champs, that's
- 1:06:17Speaker 2: a big win.
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: And they do have Northern Arizona up next, which I
- 1:06:20Speaker 1: don't know if they're really gonna look ahead to that.
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: Northern Arizona would have more of a tendency to be
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: looking forward to an Arizona game as the little brother
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: there in the in state matchup there. But it is
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: possible Arizona is in a letdown spot. Huge win over Florida,
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: it was nationally televised in Vegas, everybody saw that. And
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: they do have UCLA coming up in a couple of games.
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: But if UCLA was next, maybe I'd be more tempted
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: to do this. But Arizona is just so much better
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: than Utah Tech that I think even.
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: If Arizona's not focused.
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: They might still be able to just name the score
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: here throughout from twenty seven to thirty three and a half,
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: ninety four percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: cash in Arizona, so the public is on Arizona. The
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: cash looks like it might be. I would still fade
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: them and take the points with the Utah Tech. But
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: I don't think it's that strong. I would definitely be
- 1:07:07Speaker 1: a little bit worried about it. All Right, what else
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: we got? Youngstown is at Grand Canyon. Now, Grand Canyon
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: looks like they're.
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: On the way up.
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: They beat IPFW in their first game, decent win. IPFW
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: is not horrible in the horizon. Youngstown coming up that
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: big game against pit where they usually get up for
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: that game. As I said, they're close geographically. Now they
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: have to go out to Grand Canyon. Grand Canyon up
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: to a fourteen point favorite.
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean.
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: Looks like a difficult spot for Youngstown. To me, I
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: would probably lay it with Grand Canyon if I was
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: gonna play it, which I do not want to do.
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: My last play is going to be laying the points
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: with the Oregon.
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: Here at minus fifteen and a half, they're playing Rice
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: I think this is a weird spot for Rice, having
- 1:07:54Speaker 1: to go out to the Pacific Coast. Rice might be
- 1:07:57Speaker 1: feeling pretty good right after they beat the College of
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: Biblical Studies by seventy one points.
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: I mean when they scored over one hundred.
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: When you beat anybody by seventy one points, you're gonna
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: feel good. But I think College of Biblical Studies, I think,
- 1:08:10Speaker 1: is that team that just always gets made fun of
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: every year because they always have a game like this
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: where they play some team that's not even that good
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: in Division one and they just get the doors blowing
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: off of them because they're not good.
- 1:08:21Speaker 2: So that's that game.
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: But whenever you do that to any team, I think
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: you might be feeling a little good about yourselves.
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: They got to go out to the Pacific Coast and
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: play Oregon.
- 1:08:29Speaker 1: And yeah, Rice should get up for Oregon, but I
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: think there are reasons that Oregon is gonna show up
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: in this game too.
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: Rice will play Steven F.
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: Austin next and East Texas A and M's. They got
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: some more in state games coming up next to the
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: State of Texas. Kind of a weird travel spot again,
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: going up to the Pacific Coast. It's not gonna be
- 1:08:46Speaker 1: that easy. And Oregon's just coming off a horrendous game
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: in their home opener. They were double digit favorites against
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: Hawaii and they almost lost the game. Oregon did not
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: do well in this game, and they were horrible shooting
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: in this game, thirty six point two percent from the field,
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: twelve point five percent from three major major outler.
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: And yes, Hawaii was terrible shooting as well.
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: But Oregon was just unbelievably bad shooting and they committed
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: twenty one turnovers at home. You gotta expect like all
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: of that to regress. Man, Like, I don't think that's
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: gonna happen again.
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: They're gonna work on something. I'm pretty sure there's still coach.
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: By Dana Altman, right, he's a good coach. I mean,
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: that was just a miserable game for them. I mean,
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: first game of the season. Some weird things can happen,
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: and I think once you get that game out of
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: the way and you know you didn't play well, you're
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: gonna work on fixing a lot of things. Man, I
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: think that's gonna be the case here. I expect Oregon
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: to be able to win this game fairly easily. Looks
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: like the line did drop to get to the fifteen
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: and a half. They got ninety one percent to take
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: us ninety six percent of the cash right now. Again,
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: you can't really take a whole lot away from these
- 1:09:48Speaker 1: uh numbers or these percentages right now. But yeah, I mean,
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: I like Oregon. I'm gonna lay the points with them. Nate,
- 1:09:56Speaker 1: what's up man, thanks for hanging out. And and one
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: of the other ones that almost made my car was
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: to lay the points with Oregon State. U C is
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: coming up beating Detroit Mercy. Detroit Mercy is awful, though,
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: I mean, might have to implement the Mercy rule just
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: for them because they've been so bad in recent years.
- 1:10:14Speaker 2: And u C has actually been improved the last couple
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: of years.
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: But Detroit Mercy was miserable in this game, thirty one
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: point two percent from the field, twenty percent from.
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: Three, so those are outliers.
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: U C had an easy time of it, and UIC
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: shot forty two point three percent for three point range.
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: They actually were even in the rebound battle in this game,
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: which is probably not a good sign for UC against
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: a bad team like Detroit Mercy. U S also, yeah,
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: they thrived with that like three point percentage should regress
- 1:10:43Speaker 1: a little bit. U C was a big favorite in
- 1:10:45Speaker 1: that game for a reason. Now they're gonna go out
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: to cort Vallas.
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: I mean, that's not.
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: Easy to do, having to go out to the Pacific
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: coast there. It is a weird travel spot for u
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: C as well, who is in Chicago. Oregon State's coming
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: off an ugly game against North Dakota State where Oregon
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: State was a nine and a half point home favorite
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: and they had to win right of the buzzer on
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: a buzzer beater. Basically bad game for Oregon State. The
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: one hesitation I do have here is this was not
- 1:11:11Speaker 1: a game where Oregon State had like an outlier shooting percentage.
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: They had an outlier turnover margin.
- 1:11:16Speaker 2: I guess where.
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: They lost the turnover battle, so they should be able
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: to clean that up in North Dakota State actually shot
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: really poorly in the game, and Oregon State shot like
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: pretty average in the game, and Oregon State lost the
- 1:11:27Speaker 1: rebound battle.
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: So those things do worry me.
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: That North Dakota State shot terribly and still almost beat
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: Oregon State, Oregon State losing the rebound battle, those give
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: me some concerns there. I would say, I would still
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: lay it though Oregon State it's close to a play
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: for me, although it's all the way up from two
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: to five and a half already, but I would still
- 1:11:47Speaker 1: probably do it.
- 1:11:48Speaker 2: I would lay the points of the Oregon State that's close.
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: So the ones that I've left off in my car,
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: they're close are Oregon State, Nichols and what was the
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: other one? Again, I don't remember. I forget what the
- 1:12:01Speaker 1: other one was, but those two are very very close
- 1:12:05Speaker 1: to being placed for me. And then yeah, I don't
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: remember what the other one was. My apologies you guys.
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: I mean, if you've been listening, you'll probably hopefully you'll
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: remember what it was, because I do.
- 1:12:15Speaker 2: Not remember, all right. And then.
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, we have UCLA in action against Pepperdine.
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: I don't think there's really anything to talk about there.
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: It's a big favorite.
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: It's an in state little brother situation, but there are
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: a lot of those early and you can't just blindly
- 1:12:30Speaker 1: play all of those. So and Saint Mary's against Chattanooga's
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: pretty interesting. They've both been decent programs recently, but Saint
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: Mary's a big favorite at fifteen, and maybe the public
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: might think that's a little bit too high, although Saint
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: Mary's laying points is always a little bit of a
- 1:12:46Speaker 1: roll of the dice because they don't score a lot
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: typically they well, they play a really slow pace.
- 1:12:51Speaker 2: So we'll see. And then Irvine is playing against cal Baptist.
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: You see Irvine one of the better teams in the
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: Big West there, and you see Irvine against a whack
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: team cal Baptist.
- 1:13:01Speaker 2: Who isn't really that bad.
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: And that's a bit of an in state game there,
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: or it is an in state game there as well.
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: Or Revie an eight and a half point favorite in
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: that one. Tony, how did he really? Tony Allen told
- 1:13:13Speaker 1: the cops he couldn't fit in their cop card because
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: he's too tall, and I wouldn't put a bass them.
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: Interesting. All right, let's go to NHL.
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: I'm usually like finishing the show by now, man, let's
- 1:13:24Speaker 1: finish it up NHL. There are only four games. I'm
- 1:13:27Speaker 1: gonna give out two plays.
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: Let's just do it.
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: Let's go in a word, let's just do it. I'm
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: gonna give out a play in the Rangers first game
- 1:13:34Speaker 1: up here. I like the Rangers against Detroit. Here man,
- 1:13:37Speaker 1: First of all, the Rangers are on the road, and
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: you know what we've been looking at here. The Rangers
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: are six six and two overall, six one and one
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: on the road. Literally every one of their wins is
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: on the road. The Rangers have been way way better
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: on the road. Don't ask me why I faded them
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: at home. I believe in their last game too, and
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: I think the Rangers still haven't even won at home yet.
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: But yeah, because they have six wins and all of
- 1:14:01Speaker 2: them are on the road.
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: So it's this is one of the most insane dichotomies
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: I've ever seen, Like you almost never see it with
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: the team being that much better on the road. I mean,
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: that's an insane dichotomy, even if it was the team
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: being better at home but on the road. It's just
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: so ridiculous. And yes, Detroit is very good at home,
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: so we are having to fade that here. Five to
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: one and zero at home. Detroit's been good overall. But
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: I think this is a spot where the Rangers show up.
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: I mean, they've been very good on the road. Like
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: I just said, they lost. They just lost to Carolina.
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: I know that's a big game, but I.
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: Faded them for a reason.
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: New York was or the Rangers were returning over from
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: a road trip to the Pacific Northwest, so you know,
- 1:14:39Speaker 1: I talk about these road trip returning spots not being good.
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: Even though they were facing a good Carolina team, you
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: gotta think they were gonna try to get up for
- 1:14:46Speaker 1: that game.
- 1:14:47Speaker 2: They pretty much got embarrassed. Man.
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: I mean, I know it's a good Carolina team, but
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: they got shut out. So you got to think Rangers
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: coming off that game, they're gonna play a lot better
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: coming off that game.
- 1:14:56Speaker 2: And dude, it's just so crazy.
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: That was the fourth time in six home games I
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: think that they've been shut out at home. It's unbelievable
- 1:15:05Speaker 1: how bad their offense is at home, but they're way
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: better on the road. So I don't know what it is,
- 1:15:10Speaker 1: some sort of weird like lack of focus that they
- 1:15:13Speaker 1: have at home.
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: It's crazy. It's like they get the yips at home,
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: but they're back out on the road now.
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: So then let's go and going out on the road
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: after you lose a game like that, that's one of
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: the better things to do, man, to just forget it, especially.
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: For the Rangers.
- 1:15:28Speaker 1: Just get out of there, go on the road. So
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: I like that aspect of it. But I don't like
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: the spot for Detroit. As Detroit they're returning over from
- 1:15:36Speaker 1: a road trip now, and yes, I know they haven't
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: played since Tuesday, although neither has neither have the Rangers.
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: I don't think I think both teams have the same
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: amount of rest.
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: Here.
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: Detroit is still returning over from a road trip though
- 1:15:46Speaker 1: that they were onnsince Tuesday, October twenty eighth, they went
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: out to.
- 1:15:50Speaker 2: The Pacific coast.
- 1:15:51Speaker 1: This is the type of spot I don't particularly like, man.
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: And now they get the Rangers here, are they gonna
- 1:15:56Speaker 1: look past.
- 1:15:56Speaker 2: Them to Chicago? I don't know.
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: I'm in Chicago has been this year though, I mean
- 1:16:01Speaker 1: they were above five hundred. Maybe they will overlook this
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: kind of struggling Ranger team. And again the return home spot,
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: it's Detroit seemed to be in a bit of a
- 1:16:09Speaker 1: distraction spot here, man, because again, you gotta get stuffed
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: done at home. I know they've had two days off,
- 1:16:13Speaker 1: but sometimes that kind of exacerbates the distraction because you
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: get kind of comfortable at home. They last played against
- 1:16:20Speaker 1: Vegas and had a close game. That was a big
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: game too, So I like the Rangers here, man. And
- 1:16:25Speaker 1: the other thing is the line. It looks way too
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: easy to take Detroit because Detroit is the better record
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: and they're a very small favorite.
- 1:16:32Speaker 2: They're sitting in minus one twelve.
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: It does look like the money is against me in
- 1:16:35Speaker 1: this one, with seventy four percent of the cash on
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: Detroit for now. Hopefully that changes by the time the
- 1:16:40Speaker 1: game well tips off or whatever the game faces off
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of tickets on the Rangers. I don't
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: even buy that, Like, do you really think the public
- 1:16:50Speaker 1: is not coming in a Detroit here where it's basically
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: just to pick the winner price on the team with
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: the better record. I think it looks too easy to
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: take Detroit in my opinion, So I don't know if
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: I buy these percentages right now. I like how the
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: scheduling spot sets up for the Rangers. You can get
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: them an even money right now or at some like
- 1:17:09Speaker 1: very small like minus money price, like not even really
- 1:17:12Speaker 1: a favorite.
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: Take the Rangers money line in that one. What is that?
- 1:17:18Speaker 2: No squids? Oh? Oh the squids? Yeah? When they get
- 1:17:24Speaker 2: shut out? You mean the what the crowd throws squids?
- 1:17:27Speaker 2: Is that what it is?
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: I know the crowds throw squids on the squid on
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: the ice I don't even know what's what it's actually
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: for though, waiting for the Rangers to score. Yeah, the
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: Rangers didn't score their first three home games, and they've
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: had only one home game where they've scored more than
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: one goal this year, and it was against the Sharks.
- 1:17:48Speaker 1: Next up is gonna be the other play for me,
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: and we're gonna go with the Islanders on the money line.
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: You do have to pay a little bit for it
- 1:17:54Speaker 1: at minus one thirty five, but it's in that Ranger.
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: I still think the money line is the way to
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: go with this one, like basic minus one forty or cheaper.
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: It's kind of my money line cut off on some
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: of these money line sports. I like the spot for
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: the Islanders here man Minnesota. First of all, I don't
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: think Minnesota is that good, although I don't think the
- 1:18:11Speaker 1: public is really gonna necessarily love them either because they're
- 1:18:13Speaker 1: below five hundred. But Minnesota's coming off playing Carolina to
- 1:18:17Speaker 1: the limit yesterday, and they're having to travel because both
- 1:18:20Speaker 1: of these games are on the road. They're playing a
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: third game in four days, all in different cities, and
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: again took Carolina to the limit last night.
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: This is a close game.
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: It was tied, and they gave up they gave up
- 1:18:32Speaker 1: the game winning goal that Carolina. Oh sorry, it was
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: actually at the very beginning of the second period. Never mind,
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: I thought it was in the third period. It was
- 1:18:41Speaker 1: in the very beginning of the second period. But still
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: they were losing by one goal for the remainder of
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: the game and couldn't come through. So Minnesota had a
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: close game against one of the best teams in the NHL. Now,
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: no rest, they have to go to the Rangers. You know,
- 1:18:54Speaker 1: they're gonna have their backup Goali in net here Walstead,
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: which by the way, they're one and two with Wallstead
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: and net and they have allowed They allowed five goals
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: in his last game against San Jose. That's not a
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: great signal, though he was fine in the other two
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: games they won four to three and two to one
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: in overtime. All of his games have actually gone into overtime.
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: But still he's obviously not as good as Gusta. Since
- 1:19:18Speaker 1: so you're getting the lesser goalie from Minnesota, hear, and
- 1:19:21Speaker 1: you're getting a rest in Islander team because you're you're
- 1:19:24Speaker 1: getting in Minnesota.
- 1:19:25Speaker 2: On no rest. The Islanders haven't played since Tuesdays.
- 1:19:28Speaker 1: They have a massive rest edgey although I know that
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: gets built into the line, but I'm not even sure
- 1:19:32Speaker 1: it's built into the line enough. And the Islanders are
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: playing the last game of a three game homestand and
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: they're one and one on the home stand right now,
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: so you gotta think they're gonna want to get this game.
- 1:19:41Speaker 1: They're probably gonna have their better goalie back in net
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: with sak And, so we'll see. But I still think
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: even if it's Ridditch, I actually think both of those
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: are better options than Minnesota's backup goalie. So even though
- 1:19:54Speaker 1: I got to go look at the stats and whatever,
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: I just say these things in my mind. But I'm
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: looking at the scheduling spot anyway, Islanders with rest, coming
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: off a loss at home and a shoot out to Boston,
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be ready for this.
- 1:20:06Speaker 2: I think they're gonna show up for this one.
- 1:20:07Speaker 1: They'll want to get the win in this one, even
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: though they do have to go out on the road
- 1:20:10Speaker 1: tomorrow and face the Rangers. Don't think it's a smart
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: They're really gonna overlook their opponent. I like the Islanders.
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: They're very public.
- 1:20:17Speaker 1: Unfortunately, ninety five per tickets of the ninety nine percent
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: of the cash. Probably not an accurate number, but they're
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: up for a minutus one thirty five to minus one
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: forty eight on the money line. It looks like some
- 1:20:26Speaker 1: of the money has actually come in on them. I
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: like the Islanders, Like I said, that's the play there.
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: AT and T is throttling you. I have unlimited data baby,
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: with AT and T. I'm grandfathered in. But yeah, d
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: script is uh like charge Like de script is charging
- 1:20:43Speaker 1: me extra every show now because I'm over the limit.
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: The Wild Yeah, they do suck. They're not good.
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: They were one of the most overrated teams in hockey
- 1:20:51Speaker 1: last year because they were winning games at more of
- 1:20:54Speaker 1: a rate.
- 1:20:55Speaker 2: Than they should have been.
- 1:20:56Speaker 1: Chicago at Calgary, this doesn't look like a great spot
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: for Chicago to be. I think Chicago's a little bit
- 1:21:01Speaker 1: overrated right now. I mean, just look at the line
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: in this game. Chicago's above five hundred, but Calgary well
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: below five hundred. Calgary is getting more than hole Ice
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: as a favorite.
- 1:21:11Speaker 2: Here.
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: The osmakers are basically telling you what you need to know. Here,
- 1:21:13Speaker 1: they're telling you Calgary is actually the better team. I
- 1:21:16Speaker 1: don't know if I would quite go that far. Calgary
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: is still one of the worst teams in the league,
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: but they've been playing better recently. In the spot, I
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: don't think is that good for Chicago. They just beat
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: Vancouver on the road two days ago. Now they get
- 1:21:28Speaker 1: Calgary there towards the end of a road trip and
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: they might be getting a little bit tired, and Chicago
- 1:21:32Speaker 1: was a big game to finish the road trip. They
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: have to come back and play Detroit. That's gonna be
- 1:21:37Speaker 1: a big game in then New Jersey.
- 1:21:39Speaker 2: Up after that.
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: I think they might overlook Calgary in the spot man,
- 1:21:42Speaker 1: I think it's kind of sandwiched in between bigger games.
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: Don't know if Knight's gonna be back in that.
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: He might for Chicago because he only played that last
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: game where I like Chicago in that game, didn't give
- 1:21:52Speaker 1: it out as a play.
- 1:21:53Speaker 2: If you look at that game, Chicago actually.
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: Got completely outshot in that game, with Vancouver actually kind
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: of dominated all the stats, although in the shooting department
- 1:22:01Speaker 1: of Vancouver they were down four to nothing so they
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: started taking desperation shots, So you can't really necessarily just
- 1:22:09Speaker 1: look at the amount of shots there. But I think
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: Vancouver was the team that won the face off battle
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: and the hits battle as well.
- 1:22:15Speaker 2: We can look real quick. Oh yeah they did so.
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: Vancouver actually was better in the game, and they outshot
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: Chicago by a lot. Although I liked the spot for Chicago,
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: it was a little bit of a misleading result. So
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: another reason to maybe look against Chicago here and again,
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: they're all bigger games surrounding this man. For Calgary, they're
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: on a nice little two game win streak. They actually
- 1:22:37Speaker 1: return home and won against a Columbus with Wolf back
- 1:22:40Speaker 1: in net.
- 1:22:41Speaker 2: There. Don't know if it will be Wolf this time.
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: He's played three games in a row and it might though,
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: because they've been playing him most of the time, so
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: they've been letting him go out there and grind, which
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: Jeffrey likes because he likes Wolf. I do, actually like.
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: I like Calgary, and this one I would lean to
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: Calgary here a little bit of momentum at home. It's
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: their second game back home, whether they're coming of an
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: easy blowout win over Columbus here. They finished up their
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: road trip with a win over Philadelphia, and then they
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: beat Columbus, So I forget did I take them in
- 1:23:10Speaker 1: that Philadelphia game? I don't remember, But Calgary's up from
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: minus one forty five to minus one forty eight. It
- 1:23:15Speaker 1: looks like Chicago is shaping up to be a public
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: underdog here. Seventy eight percent of tickets eighty three percent
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: of the cash on them, So the money says it's
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: on Chicago right now. Don't know if I buy it.
- 1:23:27Speaker 1: I think they're a I think they're a public underdog.
- 1:23:31Speaker 1: And then Winnipeg is at San Jose. I mean, this
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: is the least interesting of the hockey games. Winnipeg is
- 1:23:36Speaker 1: a big favorite here for a reason because they're the
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: better team. Winnipeg just got shut out at LA and
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: now they have two days off. You gotta think they're
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: gonna be a pissed off mood after that. Usually when
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: teams get shut out, they bounce back pretty well, which
- 1:23:50Speaker 1: Winnipeg did when they got shut out by Seattle. They
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: bounced back and took it out on Calgary when they
- 1:23:55Speaker 1: did that. San Jose another bad team here as well.
- 1:23:58Speaker 1: So if Winnipeg is gonna be focused, they should be
- 1:24:01Speaker 1: able to come out there and win this game. Sharks
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: at five, six and three I actually think are overrated.
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: I don't think they're that good, and they're coming off
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: a six to one win with one fewer day of
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: rest here.
- 1:24:10Speaker 2: Sure, they'll try.
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: To be focused against Winnipeg, but if Winnipeg is focused,
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: they should win. Winnipeg's minus one ninety though seventy one
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety three percent of the cash coming
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: in on Winnipeg money seems to be on Winnipeg.
- 1:24:22Speaker 2: Probably Winnipeg to win in regulation would be the way
- 1:24:25Speaker 2: to go with this game.
- 1:24:28Speaker 1: But I know San Jose seems to be playing a
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: lot of overtime games, So that's the hockey slate. I
- 1:24:36Speaker 1: might have to go to an intermission here for a second. Here,
- 1:24:38Speaker 1: do I want to get this out? And I want
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: to get the show all we just we have NBA,
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: which there's a decent NBA slate tonight. I don't think
- 1:24:43Speaker 1: I want to talk about every single NBA game though
- 1:24:46Speaker 1: I'm gonna have three plays. I need to get more water, though,
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: and they'll talk about NBA and college football.
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: So hold on a second. I will let you.
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: I'll let you stew on some of the NBA board
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: here for a minute here, and I will be right
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: back in a second.
- 1:25:54Speaker 2: All right, let's do this.
- 1:26:01Speaker 1: Maclin Celebrini tied for most points in the league. San
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: Jose is scoring a pretty good amount. You're right about that.
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: Caprazov is basically printing money. I don't know enough about
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: all these players.
- 1:26:14Speaker 2: Man.
- 1:26:14Speaker 1: So he's Celebrini is nineteen Celebrini. He sounds Italian.
- 1:26:20Speaker 2: Baby. Let's get into the NBA here. I'm just gonna go.
- 1:26:25Speaker 1: I don't know if I want to talk about every
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: one of these games, but I'm gonna go through the
- 1:26:28Speaker 1: board here.
- 1:26:29Speaker 2: Should we go in order schedule or board? We'll go schedule.
- 1:26:32Speaker 1: I guess they bump the Celtics up, though, I think because.
- 1:26:36Speaker 2: They're my team. Celtics are below five hundred.
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: I mean when I first look at this game, thinking well,
- 1:26:41Speaker 1: Orlando's in a playoff revenge spot here because the Celtics
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: eliminated Orlando from the playoffs last year. Orlando's had some
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: issues though, because they're trying to go go.
- 1:26:52Speaker 2: Up tempo this year.
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: And I don't know why, because Orlando was playing really
- 1:26:56Speaker 1: well as like a defensive team here. So yeah, I mean,
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: I don't know why Orlando has changed that. Like I
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: do think they're gonna be motivated. It's a big revenge
- 1:27:07Speaker 1: spot for them. Celtics coming out of an easy win.
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: Nice bounce back win blowing out Washington. Now they're going
- 1:27:13Speaker 1: out on the road. Celtics do have momentum. And I'm
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: not gonna say the Celtics are not going to pay
- 1:27:17Speaker 1: attention to Orlando here.
- 1:27:19Speaker 2: I do think it's a game where both teams will
- 1:27:20Speaker 2: show up.
- 1:27:21Speaker 1: Orlando has given the Celtics problems in recent years, but
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: with Orlando being this weird up tembo team now, I
- 1:27:28Speaker 1: don't know if that's still gonna be the case. In Orlando,
- 1:27:30Speaker 1: they're not in a very good scheduling spot.
- 1:27:32Speaker 2: They're returning home from a road.
- 1:27:33Speaker 1: Trip where they've been on the road since Monday, October
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: twenty seventh, which is pretty crazy. Although they are back home,
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: they've had a couple of days off, but still it
- 1:27:42Speaker 1: is a return home spot. Or they didn't go that
- 1:27:44Speaker 1: far geographically, but they were away for a long duration,
- 1:27:48Speaker 1: although they basically stayed like in the East for the
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: most part, so it's not like the worst road trip
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: return spot. And yeah, I don't think they're gonna overlook
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: the Celtics. They're actually playing them two games in a
- 1:27:57Speaker 1: row and it's a big playoff revenge spot.
- 1:28:01Speaker 2: So I just have to stay away from the game.
- 1:28:03Speaker 1: Man the money is actually kind of saying Celtics is
- 1:28:06Speaker 1: the Magic are down for four to three fifty tickets
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: fifty six percent of the.
- 1:28:11Speaker 2: Cash on the Magic.
- 1:28:14Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you know, the Magic are probably gonna
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: show up though, because it is a revenge spot. It's
- 1:28:19Speaker 1: just are they gonna be able to overcome the bad
- 1:28:22Speaker 1: scheduling spot and the fact that they've still not really
- 1:28:25Speaker 1: figured out like what they're doing with this up tempo
- 1:28:28Speaker 1: offense or whatever. I do worry about it. So yeah,
- 1:28:31Speaker 1: I'm staying away, maybe slightly with the money. I guess
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: to the Celtics in that one because they're in the
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: better scheduling spot, But I don't love it at all.
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: NBA Taser, you know what, you know how I feel
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: about that, Jeffrey. I think you're you're you're not getting
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: enough value of per point.
- 1:28:49Speaker 2: For NBA t users to be to be a good
- 1:28:52Speaker 2: deal at all.
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: You have MAVs up to plus eight, Towles minus nine.
- 1:29:00Speaker 1: You want to fade Cleveland, That's exactly what I'm doing.
- 1:29:04Speaker 1: First play Washington Wizards plus the points. I should have
- 1:29:08Speaker 1: done this with Cleveland at Brooklyn because Brooklyn covered against Cleveland.
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: This is a bad spot for Cleveland, dude. So I
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: think Cleveland might maybe get a little bit caught here.
- 1:29:18Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say they're gonna lose the game, but
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: I think Washington can cover this.
- 1:29:23Speaker 2: Cleveland.
- 1:29:25Speaker 1: They're coming off a big win over Philadelphia. They won
- 1:29:28Speaker 1: in covered in that with Philadelphia. I mean, there's still
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the East right now.
- 1:29:32Speaker 2: That's a big win.
- 1:29:33Speaker 1: Now they have this one, one single road game where
- 1:29:36Speaker 1: they have to go to Washington just for this game,
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: and then tomorrow Cleveland has to play the Chicago Bulls
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: or six and one, and then they get Miami after that.
- 1:29:44Speaker 1: In Miami has been doing fairly well with their uptempo
- 1:29:47Speaker 1: offense that they've been running, Unlike Orlando.
- 1:29:51Speaker 2: I think it's basically a sandwich spot.
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: It's a weird spot with these single game road trips,
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: and they know they have Chicago tomorrow. You might see
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: Cleveland even start resting guys here in this game because
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: they might want to prepare and show up for the
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: Chicago game. Maybe they think this game against Washington's gonna
- 1:30:06Speaker 1: be easy. There is also gonna be backdoor potential. That means,
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: because if Cleveland has the lead by enough late in
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: the game, they might just take their foot off the gas,
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: start resting guys, and then Washington might be able to
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: come right in the back door. Which I know that
- 1:30:21Speaker 1: sounds bad Washington coming off getting blown out by Boston.
- 1:30:25Speaker 1: I know it's a return home spot, but it was
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: only a two game road trip to New York and Boston.
- 1:30:30Speaker 1: I don't consider that to be that big of a deal.
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: It was all just within the same week. I think,
- 1:30:34Speaker 1: you know they're going to try to show up at
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: least for a game against Cleveland. Washington one win on
- 1:30:40Speaker 1: the season. I know it was on the road against Dallas,
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: which I mean Dallas is struggling, I know, but at
- 1:30:45Speaker 1: least Washington has tasted victory they I mean, they played
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: decently against Philadelphia that one year where they took Philadelphia
- 1:30:54Speaker 1: into overtime.
- 1:30:55Speaker 2: So there was that, which did I have.
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: I forget if I had Washington in that game or not,
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: but I know that was like their only competitive game
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: against a good team.
- 1:31:03Speaker 2: But that at least.
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: Shows that they have the ability to do that. And
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: Washington's faced a pretty difficult schedule.
- 1:31:08Speaker 2: Man.
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: They faced Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Oklahoma City, New York, Boston. I mean,
- 1:31:14Speaker 1: those are not easy opponents, So maybe Washington even Yeah,
- 1:31:18Speaker 1: I mean, you can't argue that they're not one of
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: the worst teams in the NBA.
- 1:31:21Speaker 2: They are, but maybe they're not quite.
- 1:31:24Speaker 1: As bad as they look. It's been a difficult schedule again,
- 1:31:26Speaker 1: I mean, you know me. I mean the last NBA
- 1:31:29Speaker 1: player I add was the Brooklyn Nets the other night.
- 1:31:31Speaker 2: So you know what I do.
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: I play on these just horrendously ugly teams where I
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: think they're getting too many points in a decent spot.
- 1:31:39Speaker 1: Washington plus the points in that one. Also, I mean Cleveland,
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: they're up to a thirteen half point favor you might
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: be able to get even more on this fourteen, although
- 1:31:49Speaker 1: it's not it's not football, so it's not a key number.
- 1:31:51Speaker 1: But sixty eight percent of tickets only fifty two percent
- 1:31:54Speaker 1: of the cash, So Cleveland is public, No public better
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: is gonna want to play the Wizards in any capacity
- 1:32:00Speaker 1: here even if they're getting that many points. The cash
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: seems to be not coming in so much on the
- 1:32:06Speaker 1: calves though, so I like that market read as well.
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: Toronto beat the Hawks. Hawks are hosting the Lakers tomorrow night.
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: That's the next game on the board here. Play number
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: two in the NBA Hawks minus two. We're gonna play
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: the Atlanta Hawks. They're up to two and a half.
- 1:32:24Speaker 1: It looks like, actually the money looks like it initially
- 1:32:26Speaker 1: came in on them. Now we see Toronto fifty six
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: percent and Taket sixty three.
- 1:32:30Speaker 2: Percent of the cash on them. I don't know if
- 1:32:31Speaker 2: I buy this.
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: I've seen this just shifting around all over the place.
- 1:32:35Speaker 1: I don't know what I even really want to do
- 1:32:38Speaker 1: with this. Uh Like, it looks like the cash percent
- 1:32:40Speaker 1: is now coming in on the Raptors, But I do
- 1:32:42Speaker 1: not like the spot for the Raptors. Both teams are
- 1:32:46Speaker 1: at four and four. Raptors, They're coming off some big wins.
- 1:32:50Speaker 2: Man.
- 1:32:50Speaker 1: They beat Cleveland on the road, didn't suffer a letdown.
- 1:32:53Speaker 1: They beat Memphis. The Memphis has just been a mess
- 1:32:57Speaker 1: with I think miranch chemistry issues. But then their most
- 1:33:00Speaker 1: recent game, they'd beat Milwaukee, and if you remember, I
- 1:33:03Speaker 1: gave out Toronto as a play in that game because
- 1:33:05Speaker 1: it was a little bit of revenge. Toronto had lost
- 1:33:07Speaker 1: to Milwaukee the first time they played them. Milwaukee I
- 1:33:13Speaker 1: thought was in a bad sandwich spot because they had
- 1:33:15Speaker 1: just gotten playoff revenge against Indiana and they had Chicago
- 1:33:19Speaker 1: coming up next, so I thought it was a sandwich spot.
- 1:33:21Speaker 1: Toronto got a huge win, beating them by twenty eight.
- 1:33:25Speaker 2: You gotta think they're.
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: Plumping gay coming into this game. And they've had a
- 1:33:29Speaker 1: few days off to which I don't think is good.
- 1:33:31Speaker 1: When you're on a big three game win streak like that,
- 1:33:33Speaker 1: having extra time off to rest I think is actually
- 1:33:35Speaker 1: a negative.
- 1:33:37Speaker 2: I know you're gonna want to.
- 1:33:38Speaker 1: Be focused to start a road trip, but they're playing
- 1:33:40Speaker 1: a foreign for Atlanta team that is down their best player. Remember,
- 1:33:44Speaker 1: Trey Young is not there, so Trey Young is hurst.
- 1:33:47Speaker 1: I don't know if Toronto's gonna take Atlanta seriously. Man.
- 1:33:50Speaker 1: And by the way, Toronto already went into Atlanta the
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: first game of the season and just destroyed them with
- 1:33:55Speaker 1: Trey Young, Toronto beating them by twenty points.
- 1:33:58Speaker 2: So do you think they're gonna take them seriously?
- 1:34:00Speaker 1: All?
- 1:34:00Speaker 2: I don't.
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: And tomorrow they got to face the seventy six ers,
- 1:34:03Speaker 1: who have a better record and have been pretty pretty
- 1:34:06Speaker 1: good so far, so I think they might be looking
- 1:34:08Speaker 1: ahead to that game too. I think they're not gonna
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: take Atlanta seriously. And Atlanta is a favorite for a reason.
- 1:34:14Speaker 1: It'll be a little bit of revenge for Atlanto. Obviously
- 1:34:16Speaker 1: they're gonna remember that game because it wasn't that long.
- 1:34:18Speaker 1: But I think they're gonna It's not a huge factor,
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: but it's some factor, not really just that the revenge
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: motivates you, but that I think you go back and
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: you look at that game and you make adjustments because
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: you can figure out what went wrong in that game.
- 1:34:30Speaker 1: Atlanta return home from a road trip and they actually
- 1:34:32Speaker 1: beat Orlando despite being in a return home spot. So
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: that kind of shows me, Hey, you know, Atlanta, they're
- 1:34:38Speaker 1: actually playing pretty well. Even without Young in a bad spot,
- 1:34:41Speaker 1: they still were able to get that win.
- 1:34:42Speaker 2: And they had finished the road trip with a close
- 1:34:44Speaker 2: game against Cleveland too, so it.
- 1:34:45Speaker 1: Looked like a pretty bad spot for Atlanta, and they
- 1:34:48Speaker 1: still beat Orlando.
- 1:34:50Speaker 2: Not bad.
- 1:34:51Speaker 1: Now they get this Toronto game, I think they're gonna focus.
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be looking ahead to the
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: Lakers here. I think Toronto is in the spot where
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: they're gonna be paying less attention to this game. Atlanta's
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: not on a win streak either, so with the team's
- 1:35:04Speaker 1: having the same amount of rest, Atlanta's not traveling. But
- 1:35:06Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna just be totally high on
- 1:35:09Speaker 1: themselves after being mo Orlando. I don't really think so.
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: I think that just shows me the ability to win
- 1:35:14Speaker 1: in a bad spot. They know their best players out.
- 1:35:17Speaker 1: I think they're still gonna have to show up here.
- 1:35:19Speaker 1: Obviously they're not as good without them, but that's gonna
- 1:35:21Speaker 1: be factoring into the line too. So there's a reason
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: why they're favored as well. So Osweigers are telling you
- 1:35:28Speaker 1: these teams are fairly evenly matched, basically with maybe a
- 1:35:31Speaker 1: little bit more than home court for the Hawks. Here
- 1:35:34Speaker 1: we'll go with the Atlanta Hawks and that one. You
- 1:35:39Speaker 1: like the Hawks, all right?
- 1:35:40Speaker 2: Yeah? Hell yeah.
- 1:35:44Speaker 1: If Raptors win, you're gonna take the Sixers tomorrow. I
- 1:35:47Speaker 1: don't know, because I'm basically when I what I'm saying
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: here is that I think that that's gonna be the
- 1:35:52Speaker 1: game that Toronto wants, the game against the Sixers tomorrow.
- 1:35:55Speaker 1: So I think Toronto's gonna like fail in this game,
- 1:36:00Speaker 1: and then I probably lean to Toronto against the Sixers.
- 1:36:05Speaker 2: The Detroit Pistons, I don't know. Are they ready to cover.
- 1:36:10Speaker 1: Detroit against Brooklyn? Dude, I'm laying ten and a half
- 1:36:13Speaker 1: on the road. I don't think I would do that.
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: I don't have anything on this game Detroit. I mean
- 1:36:18Speaker 1: they're coming off an easy win over Utah Detroit six
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: to two.
- 1:36:22Speaker 2: They've faced kind of a.
- 1:36:24Speaker 1: Moderately difficult schedule. I would say their only losses are
- 1:36:27Speaker 1: in Chicago and Cleveland. So yeah, Detroit's pretty good right
- 1:36:30Speaker 1: now going out on the road laying double digits, though
- 1:36:33Speaker 1: with the seventy six ers up on Sunday. I would
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: not do it. I would not do it. I mean,
- 1:36:39Speaker 1: they're not really in like a letdown spot or anything
- 1:36:42Speaker 1: off of the game against Utah.
- 1:36:43Speaker 2: I don't think we really care about that.
- 1:36:45Speaker 1: But yeah, Brooklyn, they're coming off that nice upset win
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: for me over Indiana, and now they're returning back home.
- 1:36:51Speaker 1: I think they're gonna try to show up and play
- 1:36:53Speaker 1: against Detroit.
- 1:36:54Speaker 2: Brookland.
- 1:36:54Speaker 1: As I pointed out, they have faced a pretty difficult
- 1:36:56Speaker 1: schedule so far, so there is that I show.
- 1:37:00Speaker 2: Up and try to get this one again.
- 1:37:02Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lay points with Detroit, but the money
- 1:37:04Speaker 1: seems to be agreeing with Detroit. On the road up
- 1:37:06Speaker 1: from nine to ten and a half, seventy eight percent tickets,
- 1:37:09Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of.
- 1:37:10Speaker 2: The cash on them. This is this is a.
- 1:37:13Speaker 1: Total stay away obviously, but yeah, I don't know. I mean,
- 1:37:15Speaker 1: I don't want to lay double digits with Detroit though,
- 1:37:19Speaker 1: especially with a potential look ahead. The money is on
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: Charlotte out of bios out Yes, I that may or
- 1:37:29Speaker 1: may not be my.
- 1:37:30Speaker 2: Last play of the day. Raptors.
- 1:37:34Speaker 1: Wait, you think the Raptors are gonna be a favorite
- 1:37:37Speaker 1: at Philadelphia? No? No way, Wait what Toronto at Philadelphia?
- 1:37:43Speaker 1: Let me see, I don't think so. Yeah, at Philadelphia
- 1:37:49Speaker 1: in the next game. No, ESPN's projecting Philadelphia to be
- 1:37:53Speaker 1: a sixty three point six percent chance to win the game,
- 1:37:56Speaker 1: although their projections are usually way like they can be
- 1:37:59Speaker 1: way off from the from what the actual line is
- 1:38:03Speaker 1: gonna be. I'm gonna guess it's gonna be about sixers,
- 1:38:05Speaker 1: probably around like minus two or so in that game.
- 1:38:08Speaker 2: I don't know how good I am at predicting some
- 1:38:10Speaker 2: of these lines.
- 1:38:11Speaker 1: The NBA difficult to predict. It's a little bit chaotic.
- 1:38:14Speaker 1: But I think Philadelphia is gonna be a small favorite
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: in that one. Houston at San Antonio, this is a
- 1:38:19Speaker 1: big game, man, big Texas game. Both teams I think
- 1:38:22Speaker 1: are gonna show up for this. Houston just beat that
- 1:38:26Speaker 1: Memphis team is just really faltering after beating a struggling
- 1:38:30Speaker 1: Dallas team before that of the Houston, I mean, they
- 1:38:32Speaker 1: haven't suffered a letdown really. They played a fairly easy
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: schedule though, like they started off against okay See in
- 1:38:38Speaker 1: Detroit that's not very easy, and they played Boston, who's
- 1:38:42Speaker 1: still I think decent. But other than that, they faced
- 1:38:44Speaker 1: a pretty easy schedule. Houston coming back home or not
- 1:38:48Speaker 1: coming back home, going from Memphis to San Antonio, I
- 1:38:52Speaker 1: don't see it being a bad spot for Houston for
- 1:38:54Speaker 1: any real reason.
- 1:38:55Speaker 2: For san Antonio. I think the spot is wor san Antonio.
- 1:38:58Speaker 1: They just went out Phoenix and then to La and dude,
- 1:39:02Speaker 1: san Antonio had La on the ropes. Man, they had
- 1:39:05Speaker 1: the Lakers on the ropes in La, and they fell
- 1:39:08Speaker 1: just short. They wound up covering anything literally well, actually
- 1:39:12Speaker 1: no not. I was gonna say the only point where
- 1:39:14Speaker 1: they were not winning was the very end, but I'm
- 1:39:15Speaker 1: not sure that that's accurate. That was that seventy six
- 1:39:18Speaker 1: ers game against the Bulls the other night that I
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: was thinking of. But san Antonio played well in this game,
- 1:39:23Speaker 1: and they had many many chances where They could have
- 1:39:26Speaker 1: won this game. San Antonio was dominating in the second half. Man,
- 1:39:29Speaker 1: they were potentially running away with the game, and then
- 1:39:32Speaker 1: they blew the game late.
- 1:39:33Speaker 2: That's pretty brutal.
- 1:39:34Speaker 1: Yes, this is a big game against Houston as well,
- 1:39:36Speaker 1: but that was the Lakers in LA and you almost
- 1:39:40Speaker 1: beat them. And now you're also returning home from a
- 1:39:41Speaker 1: road trip, although again only a two game road trips.
- 1:39:44Speaker 1: They haven't been out, you know, they haven't been away
- 1:39:46Speaker 1: from home for that long. I don't think they're really
- 1:39:48Speaker 1: going to be distracted for the game against Houston. But
- 1:39:51Speaker 1: the spot sets up a lot better for Houston, I
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: think in this one. So I would lay it with
- 1:39:55Speaker 1: Houston if I was gonna play this way. They are
- 1:39:56Speaker 1: a four point road favorite at this point, which, by
- 1:40:01Speaker 1: the way, that looks a little bit weird, right.
- 1:40:04Speaker 2: This is also this is part of the NBA Cup.
- 1:40:06Speaker 2: I never even know.
- 1:40:07Speaker 1: Man, Again, I completely ignore whether it's the NBA Cup
- 1:40:11Speaker 1: or not.
- 1:40:11Speaker 2: I just don't give a shit. But people are gonna
- 1:40:13Speaker 2: look at this love.
- 1:40:15Speaker 1: I think the public is gonna be in love with
- 1:40:16Speaker 1: san Antonio about now because they like WEMBA. They have
- 1:40:20Speaker 1: just looked really good against the Lakers. Either three and
- 1:40:22Speaker 1: zero at home, so they've been good at home, but
- 1:40:24Speaker 1: they have the same record as Houston, and you're giving
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: San Antonio this many points at home. I think to me,
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: it seems like the public would want to take San
- 1:40:31Speaker 1: Antonio and I'm gonna disagree with that a little bit. Uh,
- 1:40:35Speaker 1: there's no real like injury factoring into the line here.
- 1:40:38Speaker 1: It's all just kind of the same guys on the
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: injury report that have been anyway. So there's the oddspeakers
- 1:40:43Speaker 1: are telling you San Antonio, even though they're definitely on
- 1:40:46Speaker 1: their way up, there's still not maybe as improved as
- 1:40:50Speaker 1: people think they are right now, such that the Rockets
- 1:40:53Speaker 1: are laying this many points on the road. Right now,
- 1:40:55Speaker 1: we have fifty four percent of tickets on Houston and
- 1:40:57Speaker 1: fifty percent of the cash on the Spurs. I don't
- 1:40:59Speaker 1: think that that's what the market is gonna look like
- 1:41:01Speaker 1: by the time we get to this game.
- 1:41:03Speaker 2: So I would lay it with the Rockets. It just
- 1:41:06Speaker 2: it just looks like.
- 1:41:06Speaker 1: A weird line there. Houston, Yeah, they're the better team.
- 1:41:12Speaker 1: Are they really enough for the better team that they
- 1:41:14Speaker 1: should be laying that many points on the road at
- 1:41:16Speaker 1: San Antonio? I don't know, Maybe the spot's being factored
- 1:41:19Speaker 1: into the into that a little bit. But the Osbiggers
- 1:41:21Speaker 1: are telling you something with that line. Although the initial
- 1:41:24Speaker 1: line was like was closer to two two and a half,
- 1:41:27Speaker 1: and then it got moved up a little bit.
- 1:41:29Speaker 2: We're agreeing on everything.
- 1:41:30Speaker 1: Hell yeah, all right, I think you're gonna you're gonna
- 1:41:35Speaker 1: agree with my last play too, So which is right now?
- 1:41:39Speaker 2: Charlotte at Miami.
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna take Charlotte plus the five in this one.
- 1:41:44Speaker 2: I don't think this is a good spot from Miami.
- 1:41:47Speaker 1: Miami's are turning over from a road trip, a fairly
- 1:41:49Speaker 1: substantial road trip. They've been away since last Thursday. They
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: went to Texas, they went to the West Coast, they
- 1:41:55Speaker 1: went into elevation. They just had to play a pretty
- 1:41:57Speaker 1: difficult game against Denver. Pretty much all difficult games on
- 1:42:01Speaker 1: that road trip. San Antonio, Lakers, Clippers, Denver. Now they're
- 1:42:05Speaker 1: returning home with only one day off. Again, I think
- 1:42:07Speaker 1: it could be one of those distracted spots.
- 1:42:09Speaker 2: This looks like a pretty bad.
- 1:42:10Speaker 1: Spot, man, where they might not really totally take Charlotte
- 1:42:13Speaker 1: seriously year because Charlotte's not a very good team. Although
- 1:42:16Speaker 1: I think they might be a little bit on the rise,
- 1:42:19Speaker 1: and Miami does have Portland tomorrow, and then Cleveland twice
- 1:42:23Speaker 1: in the New York twice and then Golden State Chicago, Philadelphia.
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: So if they're gonna overlook any game in this upcoming stretch,
- 1:42:29Speaker 1: it's gonna be this one with the return home distraction
- 1:42:33Speaker 1: and play as well Portland a game that maybe you
- 1:42:36Speaker 1: get up for now because Portland is kind of on
- 1:42:38Speaker 1: the the upswing a little bit and they're above five
- 1:42:41Speaker 1: hundred here, So yeah, it's a bad spot for Miami
- 1:42:44Speaker 1: here man. And like you said, I think, yeah Bam
- 1:42:48Speaker 1: out of Baio might be out in this game. He
- 1:42:49Speaker 1: is out, so he'll probably be playing tomorrow. So it
- 1:42:52Speaker 1: seems like Miami might not just they might total, they
- 1:42:55Speaker 1: might not totally be up for this game. Although my
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: man Grant Williams is out for Sharksarlotte man former Celtic
- 1:43:01Speaker 1: and good defender Grant Williams LaMelo.
- 1:43:05Speaker 2: Balls day to day.
- 1:43:06Speaker 1: But I think he's gonna play, I would guess because
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: Miami's If he wasn't gonna play, I think Miami would
- 1:43:13Speaker 1: probably be a bit of a bigger favor here. But
- 1:43:14Speaker 1: the money seems like it's all coming in on Charlotte,
- 1:43:17Speaker 1: which I obviously agree with. The heater of five point favorite,
- 1:43:19Speaker 1: sixty three percent of the tickets on Miami, eighty two
- 1:43:22Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Charlotte, money coming
- 1:43:25Speaker 1: on to Charlotte. Charlotte just lost in New Orleans, which
- 1:43:28Speaker 1: is a pretty ugly loss. But again, New Orleans is
- 1:43:31Speaker 1: better than the record looks at the very least. They've
- 1:43:33Speaker 1: had a very very difficult schedule, and Charlotte has actually
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: had more days off and they're only traveling from New
- 1:43:39Speaker 1: Orleans to Miami.
- 1:43:39Speaker 2: They're gonna want to try to split the road trip here.
- 1:43:42Speaker 1: In my opinion, they have more rest here to bounce
- 1:43:44Speaker 1: back from that loss, which was an ugly loss. I
- 1:43:47Speaker 1: think it's a positive smout for Charlotte.
- 1:43:49Speaker 2: I like it.
- 1:43:50Speaker 1: Charlotte plus the points, Yeah, you like the Kings. Some
- 1:43:57Speaker 1: bonus is questionable. Yeah, they need Levine. He's been like
- 1:44:00Speaker 1: their best player. Dallas at Memphis, I mean these are
- 1:44:03Speaker 1: two ugly struggling teams, man, I mean, what do you
- 1:44:06Speaker 1: do with a game like this? Dallas has lost three
- 1:44:08Speaker 1: games in a row. They just lost at home to
- 1:44:10Speaker 1: New Orleans.
- 1:44:11Speaker 2: That's ugly. You got Memphis.
- 1:44:16Speaker 1: Let me see, Memphis has lost four in a row,
- 1:44:19Speaker 1: getting blown out by Houston.
- 1:44:22Speaker 2: I guess at home the last time.
- 1:44:24Speaker 1: Both these teams I think are gonna are gonna show
- 1:44:26Speaker 1: up and try to win this game. So then it
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: comes down to which of these teams is the better team.
- 1:44:31Speaker 2: I don't know, man. I mean, the.
- 1:44:32Speaker 1: Grizzlies are a four and a half way favorites, so
- 1:44:33Speaker 1: they're the better team. A lot of chemistry issues though,
- 1:44:36Speaker 1: fifty tickets on them, sixty percent of the cash on Dallas.
- 1:44:40Speaker 1: The money looks like it's saying to come back and
- 1:44:42Speaker 1: take the points with Dallas. I don't have a read
- 1:44:44Speaker 1: on this game at all though. I mean, these teams
- 1:44:48Speaker 1: are both pretty much a disaster right now, Like they're
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: both just massively struggling, can't really get it together at
- 1:44:54Speaker 1: their chemistry right now. I don't know what I would
- 1:44:56Speaker 1: do in this game. Uh do they Dallas has their
- 1:45:00Speaker 1: head right, I don't know about that. I mean, they've
- 1:45:02Speaker 1: lost a bunch of games in a row. They just
- 1:45:04Speaker 1: lost to New New Orleans.
- 1:45:05Speaker 2: I mean, you could have.
- 1:45:06Speaker 1: Argued they played better against Houston than Memphis just did.
- 1:45:09Speaker 1: But that might actually be a reason to maybe not
- 1:45:11Speaker 1: look towards Dallas here because the public is gonna look
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: at that and like draw too much from that.
- 1:45:17Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 1:45:18Speaker 1: Chicago and Milwaukee is a good game. I mean, this
- 1:45:22Speaker 1: is a game where you have two teams with good
- 1:45:25Speaker 1: records going at it.
- 1:45:26Speaker 2: Here.
- 1:45:28Speaker 1: Chicago's coming up that nice winner of Philadelphia where they
- 1:45:30Speaker 1: were losing the entire game and then they won literally
- 1:45:33Speaker 1: right at the end. That was the only time where
- 1:45:35Speaker 1: Chicago was leading in that game. So they're going on
- 1:45:37Speaker 1: the road off of that, which is a big win.
- 1:45:40Speaker 1: They've played a bunch of big games in a row.
- 1:45:42Speaker 1: I don't know if they're necessarily going to be totally
- 1:45:45Speaker 1: focused on Milwaukee think that they would, but they do
- 1:45:48Speaker 1: have Cleveland tomorrow. I mean, this is a difficult schedule
- 1:45:51Speaker 1: for Chicago.
- 1:45:51Speaker 2: This is brutal. After they started off with a pretty
- 1:45:53Speaker 2: easy schedule.
- 1:45:55Speaker 1: It has not been easy recently, and maybe debatably in
- 1:45:58Speaker 1: a bit of a letdown if that game against philadelph
- 1:46:01Speaker 1: But they do at least have a couple of days
- 1:46:02Speaker 1: off coming into this game. Milwaukee is sitting at five
- 1:46:05Speaker 1: and three. They're coming off getting blown out by Toronto.
- 1:46:08Speaker 1: But I told you they were in a horrible spot
- 1:46:11Speaker 1: in that game. I thought it was a bad spot
- 1:46:13Speaker 1: for them. They got blown out. You can kind of
- 1:46:15Speaker 1: explain why they're returning over from a road trip here,
- 1:46:17Speaker 1: but it was only a two game road trip. They
- 1:46:19Speaker 1: have the same number of days off. I think they
- 1:46:22Speaker 1: might show up in this game more than Chicago will.
- 1:46:24Speaker 1: The spot to me looks better for Milwaukee, so I
- 1:46:27Speaker 1: would lay it with Milwaukee.
- 1:46:28Speaker 2: In this one.
- 1:46:29Speaker 1: Plus, there's a reason why five and three team is
- 1:46:32Speaker 1: laying four points against a six and one team. The
- 1:46:35Speaker 1: audensmakers are actually telling you the Bucks are actually the
- 1:46:38Speaker 1: slightly better team. Fifty four percent tickets, seventy percent of
- 1:46:42Speaker 1: the cash on the Bucks.
- 1:46:43Speaker 2: I'll agree with that.
- 1:46:44Speaker 1: The money seems to be on that side as well.
- 1:46:46Speaker 1: I agree with Milwaukee in that one. I would lay
- 1:46:48Speaker 1: it if I was gonna play it. Utah, of course,
- 1:46:53Speaker 1: Utah is now they're without Kessler. Although they've been without
- 1:46:56Speaker 1: Kessler for a while now, he's missed the last three games.
- 1:46:58Speaker 1: I think he got hurt in that game against Phoenix.
- 1:47:01Speaker 1: Huge blow to them though. I mean, he's one of
- 1:47:04Speaker 1: their starters, he's one of their best rebounders and he's done.
- 1:47:07Speaker 2: That's not good.
- 1:47:10Speaker 1: Utah and now coming up that loss at Detroit, Utah.
- 1:47:13Speaker 1: I mean, they're probably they'll try to show up and
- 1:47:16Speaker 1: do something in this game against Minnesota, but Minnesota is
- 1:47:19Speaker 1: the better team and you wouldn't really maybe totally think
- 1:47:22Speaker 1: that because they're only four and four here. Minnesota just
- 1:47:25Speaker 1: got blown out by the Knicks ugly loss there, which
- 1:47:28Speaker 1: I thought that was a better spot.
- 1:47:29Speaker 2: For the Knicks in that one. I liked the Knicks
- 1:47:31Speaker 2: in that one.
- 1:47:32Speaker 1: Minnesota's were dunning over from a road trip though though
- 1:47:34Speaker 1: it was a three game road trips, they were gone
- 1:47:36Speaker 1: less than a week, so maybe not totally a distracted
- 1:47:39Speaker 1: spot here. But they do have to go right back
- 1:47:41Speaker 1: out on the road again after this, and are they
- 1:47:43Speaker 1: really going to be fully focused for the Utah Jazz.
- 1:47:46Speaker 2: I don't really know.
- 1:47:47Speaker 1: So I still don't really love the spot from Minnesota here,
- 1:47:50Speaker 1: even though I do think they're better than their record looks.
- 1:47:53Speaker 1: I don't, So where is that at Minnesota? Why don't
- 1:47:57Speaker 1: I see them on here?
- 1:48:00Speaker 2: Ye?
- 1:48:00Speaker 1: Jazz Teles Minnesota is down from a fourteen, but favorite
- 1:48:02Speaker 1: row an eleven and a half way favorite. I mean,
- 1:48:04Speaker 1: the line almost looks like it's too big, which sometimes
- 1:48:08Speaker 1: would have me wanting to lean to laying that point
- 1:48:11Speaker 1: laying that point spread, but fifty seven percent of tickets,
- 1:48:14Speaker 1: only fifty six percent of the cash on the ta
- 1:48:16Speaker 1: wel So, and the line having dropped from fourteen to
- 1:48:18Speaker 1: eleven and a half. Seems like the money's actually coming
- 1:48:20Speaker 1: in on the Jazz in that game, maybe just because
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: it is.
- 1:48:23Speaker 2: A return home spot. I don't know.
- 1:48:25Speaker 1: I don't love the game though at all. Golden State
- 1:48:28Speaker 1: at Denver is a big game. But you look at
- 1:48:30Speaker 1: this game, you're gonna see Denver being a huge favorite.
- 1:48:33Speaker 1: They're up from five to ten. You know that means
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: the Warriors have a bunch of injuries. Seventy two percent
- 1:48:40Speaker 1: of the tickets, seventy percent of the cash on the Nuggets,
- 1:48:43Speaker 1: So the cash seems to be.
- 1:48:46Speaker 2: Disagreeing with the Nuggets.
- 1:48:47Speaker 1: Seems like maybe the professional money is saying this is
- 1:48:50Speaker 1: a bit of an overreaction, uh to the Warriors having
- 1:48:53Speaker 1: players out, but it is still obviously something. But maybe
- 1:48:57Speaker 1: the oddsmakers did overreact to it. Teasing the t L Yeah,
- 1:49:01Speaker 1: I still don't. I don't love teasers in the NBA. Man,
- 1:49:05Speaker 1: I kind I kind of worry about that, Like, I
- 1:49:08Speaker 1: don't know, I think if if Minnesota's not going to
- 1:49:10Speaker 1: cover the eleven and a half.
- 1:49:14Speaker 2: I don't know if that means they're gonna cover the
- 1:49:16Speaker 2: four or whatever. It is either.
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: Golden State coming into this game losing to Sacramento. I mean,
- 1:49:23Speaker 1: that's obviously an ugly loss. They were without Curry in
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: that game, though, because Curry's sick, So now this is
- 1:49:29Speaker 1: gonna be their second game in a row without Curry.
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: Curry is not back. I think he's sick, not injured,
- 1:49:34Speaker 1: but I don't know. Maybe he's maybe he is injured.
- 1:49:35Speaker 1: I don't know, but you expect that they would have
- 1:49:38Speaker 1: stepped up in that first game without Curry, but they
- 1:49:41Speaker 1: still lost to Sacramento. But now they're playing a third
- 1:49:43Speaker 1: game in four days, all in different cities. That's pretty
- 1:49:47Speaker 1: difficult and having to go into elevation. So situationally, like
- 1:49:50Speaker 1: the scheduling spot I don't love for Golden State like
- 1:49:54Speaker 1: I do. I kind of like the spot for Denver
- 1:49:57Speaker 1: better because they're just staying at home. They just beat
- 1:49:59Speaker 1: Miami whatever. People might point out to the fact that
- 1:50:01Speaker 1: they beat Sacramento, though, who then just beat Golden State
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: and be like, oh, you should lay the points with
- 1:50:06Speaker 1: Denver al though I think that's kind of out the
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: window if they're laying ten now, although maybe that's a
- 1:50:12Speaker 1: reason why the public might still want to lay Denver here.
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: If Golden State didn't have these injuries in the line
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: was just still at Nuggets five, I would probably be
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: saying I would like, I would want to lay the
- 1:50:21Speaker 1: points with the Nuggets in this spot, But because this
- 1:50:24Speaker 1: might be an injury overreaction here, maybe I would lean
- 1:50:26Speaker 1: against that and maybe start looking towards taking the points
- 1:50:29Speaker 1: of Golden State. But they're gonna be without Curry, And
- 1:50:32Speaker 1: then you gotta see who's gonna play here, because Draymond
- 1:50:35Speaker 1: Green and Jimmy Butler are both game time decisions.
- 1:50:38Speaker 2: They're both day to day so and.
- 1:50:40Speaker 1: It looks like with the fact that the line is
- 1:50:41Speaker 1: at ten, I think that's not just Curry. I think
- 1:50:44Speaker 1: that's sort of indicating that maybe one of these guys
- 1:50:46Speaker 1: is not gonna play either, So maybe Butler. So you
- 1:50:50Speaker 1: gotta pay attention to that and see what the situation is.
- 1:50:54Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, I mean, at ten, maybe
- 1:50:56Speaker 1: it is too big of a number there. Maybe you'll
- 1:50:59Speaker 1: look to take the points, but I don't want it.
- 1:51:02Speaker 1: Isaac Jones Waite, he's on Detroit. I don't know, man,
- 1:51:09Speaker 1: I don't know what that's really in reference too. And
- 1:51:11Speaker 1: then the Thunder are at the Kings. The Thunder finally
- 1:51:15Speaker 1: took a loss at Portland. Portland huge comeback in that
- 1:51:18Speaker 1: game to get that game. Oklahoma City is now in
- 1:51:20Speaker 1: a third game in four to as all in different cities,
- 1:51:23Speaker 1: coming off their first loss of the season.
- 1:51:25Speaker 2: You know, I talk about this the spot where it.
- 1:51:26Speaker 1: Might be a hangover spot because they took their first loss.
- 1:51:29Speaker 2: Of the seasons.
- 1:51:30Speaker 1: That can hang them over into the next game potentially,
- 1:51:33Speaker 1: And it's a Sacramento team that maybe they're not going
- 1:51:35Speaker 1: to fully pay attention to because they did already beat
- 1:51:37Speaker 1: Sacramento once at home, although only by six. But the
- 1:51:42Speaker 1: spot to me looks like it sets up better for Sacramento.
- 1:51:45Speaker 1: But Sacramento did just beat Golden State in a return
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: home spot, which is interesting as the return home spot
- 1:51:51Speaker 1: usually not good, and they had just played close against
- 1:51:54Speaker 1: Denver the game before that, But they still in a
- 1:51:56Speaker 1: bad spot, were able to beat Golden State, which does
- 1:51:59Speaker 1: at least tell you something. And Sacramento played well in
- 1:52:02Speaker 1: a bad spot there.
- 1:52:04Speaker 2: They'll still get up.
- 1:52:05Speaker 1: For a game against Oklahoma City if it's a letdown spot.
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: It might be more of like a fatigue thing where
- 1:52:10Speaker 1: they beat Golden State. Now they have they're put in
- 1:52:12Speaker 1: that effort two games in a row. The spot to me,
- 1:52:14Speaker 1: does set up better for Sacramento Thunder up to an
- 1:52:18Speaker 1: eleven point favorite, though, and I think it's because of
- 1:52:20Speaker 1: the injury sixty four percent of tickets, seventy eight percent
- 1:52:23Speaker 1: of the cash on okay, see for now. I think
- 1:52:26Speaker 1: it's because some bonus basically is day to day. That's
- 1:52:29Speaker 1: the main reason why it looks like maybe he's not
- 1:52:32Speaker 1: gonna play here. I don't know, man, so maybe something
- 1:52:36Speaker 1: will wait around and see.
- 1:52:37Speaker 2: But right now you're.
- 1:52:38Speaker 1: Getting more value on the Kings because of that uncertainty.
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: The spot to me looks better for the Kings somewhat.
- 1:52:45Speaker 1: So I would probably need to taking the points with
- 1:52:48Speaker 1: the Kings, but I'm not gonna do it obviously. Oklahoma City, Yeah,
- 1:52:53Speaker 1: they're the best team in the league. They're definitely a
- 1:52:55Speaker 1: fearsome team. All right, let's do college football and that'll
- 1:52:59Speaker 1: be I don't have a play in college football, but
- 1:53:01Speaker 1: there are three games here, ridiculously long long video here.
- 1:53:07Speaker 1: College basketball is gonna like kill me, dude, Like I
- 1:53:10Speaker 1: don't know what else to say.
- 1:53:11Speaker 2: We have three games here. They're decent games.
- 1:53:13Speaker 1: Tonight Houston at UCF and this Big twelve matchup on
- 1:53:17Speaker 1: Fox Sports one at eight pm. Looking at the market
- 1:53:21Speaker 1: for this one Houston flip from a one point dodge
- 1:53:23Speaker 1: a one point favorite. But they aren't public seventy nine
- 1:53:26Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, only seventy three percent of the cash. Jeffrey,
- 1:53:30Speaker 1: things for hanging out, man, seven pm, And when all
- 1:53:33Speaker 1: this madness is going to begin, you know you don't
- 1:53:36Speaker 1: want to you don't want to wait to ren for
- 1:53:37Speaker 1: college football, all right, that's that's all right. Yeah, I
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: mean I need to eat lunch in a second too.
- 1:53:44Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:53:45Speaker 1: So yeah, thanks man, Thanks for hanging out. Maybe you'll
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: come back and watch my college football analysis later. But
- 1:53:52Speaker 1: peace man. Uh So, Houston looks like they're public with
- 1:53:54Speaker 1: less of the cash on them. Now. I kind of
- 1:53:58Speaker 1: like an under in this game, to be honest. The
- 1:54:00Speaker 1: total is sitting around forty seven and a half. It's
- 1:54:03Speaker 1: right on a key number, so you do get a
- 1:54:05Speaker 1: key number going under forty seven and a half. Eighty
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: percent of the ticket, seventy eight percent of the cash
- 1:54:09Speaker 1: on the over, so less of the money is.
- 1:54:11Speaker 2: On the over.
- 1:54:12Speaker 1: I mean, this is a game where Houston, they are
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: a much more defensive team than an offensive team.
- 1:54:16Speaker 2: They don't really score.
- 1:54:18Speaker 1: That well, and you Seef runs the football, that's what
- 1:54:21Speaker 1: they do. So to me, it looks like it does
- 1:54:24Speaker 1: have the makings of a low scoring game. As far
- 1:54:27Speaker 1: as the side Houston, I don't think they're like done yet,
- 1:54:30Speaker 1: even though they did take their second conference loss, which
- 1:54:32Speaker 1: is tough because they have three teams ahead of them
- 1:54:36Speaker 1: with three games remaining.
- 1:54:38Speaker 2: Is it a dream crusher? I don't think so yet.
- 1:54:41Speaker 1: I think they will still maybe try to get up
- 1:54:43Speaker 1: for this game because it is primetime and that was
- 1:54:46Speaker 1: an ugly loss as a favorite to West Virginia. Man,
- 1:54:48Speaker 1: so you gotta think that maybe they will try to
- 1:54:51Speaker 1: redeem themselves and maybe not being a dream crusher. They
- 1:54:53Speaker 1: last played on Saturday. I think both of these teams
- 1:54:55Speaker 1: did though, so both teams are on a short week.
- 1:54:58Speaker 1: But Houston does still have two Texas games remaining against
- 1:55:02Speaker 1: TCU and Baylor. So if they are going to overlook
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: some game, it is going to be this one. And
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: Houston is not played anywhere further east than Houston this
- 1:55:12Speaker 1: entire season. Like they've only got Yeah, I think that's right.
- 1:55:16Speaker 1: The road games are at Rice, which.
- 1:55:19Speaker 2: Is in Houston.
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: They went up to the Pacific Coast a game where
- 1:55:21Speaker 1: I gave out on Oregon State in that game in
- 1:55:23Speaker 1: Oregon State almost won the game out right, and then
- 1:55:26Speaker 1: Houston went to Oklahoma State and then Arizona States, and
- 1:55:28Speaker 1: they have not been.
- 1:55:29Speaker 2: East of their home city.
- 1:55:31Speaker 1: So this is a little bit of a weird travel
- 1:55:33Speaker 1: spot going to UCF. U SEF probably a little bit
- 1:55:36Speaker 1: better than their four and four record. Looks They're off
- 1:55:39Speaker 1: a real embarrassing loss to thirty to three at Baylor,
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: so they might actually be in a bounced back spot
- 1:55:44Speaker 1: two here.
- 1:55:46Speaker 2: So and it looks too easy.
- 1:55:48Speaker 1: To play Houston, which is why the public is on
- 1:55:50Speaker 1: them the team with the better record, so all that,
- 1:55:54Speaker 1: you know, trying away all those factors. I would lean
- 1:55:57Speaker 1: toward towards the UCF here taking the plus one or whatever.
- 1:56:01Speaker 1: I like the under as well, but yeah, I think
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: U SEEF it might be a spot where you're getting
- 1:56:07Speaker 1: them a little bit undervalued.
- 1:56:09Speaker 2: Here might be a better spot to be on them.
- 1:56:11Speaker 1: I just worry that Houston may come out angry and
- 1:56:14Speaker 1: try to bounce back from that.
- 1:56:16Speaker 2: From that bad performance you seef Usually the home teams.
- 1:56:19Speaker 1: The home team tends to be a little bit more
- 1:56:20Speaker 1: focused in these primetime games thon and have a little
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: bit of an easier time with the short travel spot,
- 1:56:27Speaker 1: like the road team has to travel and prepare, so
- 1:56:30Speaker 1: it tends to be a little bit worse when it's
- 1:56:32Speaker 1: an unfamiliar travel spot. It's gonna be an unfamiliar travel
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: spot in the second game, with Northwestern having to go
- 1:56:39Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast to USC, which is not going
- 1:56:42Speaker 1: to be an easy travel spot for them. Is USC
- 1:56:45Speaker 1: laying too many points? Though maybe USC is laying fourteen
- 1:56:49Speaker 1: and a half. The money's coming in on USC to
- 1:56:51Speaker 1: some extent, sixty percent take it seventy two percent of
- 1:56:54Speaker 1: the cash on them, so it looks like the number
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: is kind of a move like the cash teams.
- 1:57:00Speaker 2: Gets slightly on USC. Here. As far as Northwestern is concerned,
- 1:57:04Speaker 2: they need.
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: One more win to become Bowl eligible, though they're gonna
- 1:57:07Speaker 1: have chances to do that besides this one. Probably their
- 1:57:10Speaker 1: home game against Minnesota is the most.
- 1:57:12Speaker 2: Likely candidate for that.
- 1:57:13Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna win this game are They're
- 1:57:15Speaker 1: coming up somewhat of a tough game where they played
- 1:57:17Speaker 1: Nebraska fairly close and only lost by seven. But Northwestern
- 1:57:22Speaker 1: just went into a bye, so even though ye had
- 1:57:24Speaker 1: that ended a win streak for them, and yet it
- 1:57:25Speaker 1: was a close game against a good team. As a
- 1:57:27Speaker 1: touchdown underdog or whatever, they have more rest here because
- 1:57:31Speaker 1: they went into a bye.
- 1:57:33Speaker 2: My issue with this is the travel spot.
- 1:57:34Speaker 1: They haven't been anywhere like outside of the Central time
- 1:57:38Speaker 1: Zone really this entire season for the most part, so
- 1:57:42Speaker 1: or I think they went to the Eastern time Zone once,
- 1:57:44Speaker 1: I guess, but they have not been anywhere close to
- 1:57:49Speaker 1: this far west, and for a late night game, that
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: could definitely mess with your biological clock a little bit,
- 1:57:53Speaker 1: although the bye should help with that a little bit
- 1:57:55Speaker 1: because they have extra time to travel and get out there. USC,
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: I mean they're fighting for something bigger though they're already
- 1:58:02Speaker 1: ball eligible, but they're in the mix for maybe potentially
- 1:58:05Speaker 1: the Big Ten.
- 1:58:06Speaker 2: I mean, they needed either.
- 1:58:07Speaker 1: Indiana or Ohio State to slip up, though I don't
- 1:58:10Speaker 1: know if that's gonna happen, but USC has one conference loss.
- 1:58:13Speaker 1: They're hosting this game. I think they will show up.
- 1:58:15Speaker 1: But USC did also beat Nebraska, so people might look
- 1:58:18Speaker 1: at that and say, oh, USC beat Nebraska beating Northwestern,
- 1:58:21Speaker 1: though both results were close, maybe the public will come
- 1:58:25Speaker 1: in and say, oh, USC is the right side for
- 1:58:27Speaker 1: that reason. USC at Nebraska is a difficult environment for
- 1:58:31Speaker 1: them to go into tough game, and they got the win.
- 1:58:33Speaker 1: They didn't cover, so you could argue that they played
- 1:58:36Speaker 1: poorly as a big favorite in Nebraska's defense really held
- 1:58:39Speaker 1: down their offense.
- 1:58:40Speaker 2: So I can see this kind of going both ways.
- 1:58:42Speaker 1: It could be a bounced back spot for them, or
- 1:58:45Speaker 1: maybe they might just overlook Northwestern because they have Iowa
- 1:58:47Speaker 1: and Oregon coming.
- 1:58:48Speaker 2: Up and those are fairly big games.
- 1:58:50Speaker 1: Although if they had either Indiana or Ohio State would
- 1:58:53Speaker 1: be bigger because they would have a chance to deal
- 1:58:55Speaker 1: them that loss themselves, but they don't. They don't play
- 1:58:58Speaker 1: either of those teams. Interestingly, tough call man. I would
- 1:59:04Speaker 1: lean to taking the points with the Northwestern I guess
- 1:59:06Speaker 1: because they do have the extra rest here. But I
- 1:59:09Speaker 1: just don't love them going to the Pacific Coast man,
- 1:59:11Speaker 1: and it is potentially a look at it for USC
- 1:59:13Speaker 1: there and USC if this game is on Fox, by
- 1:59:16Speaker 1: the way, and USC might just not care as much
- 1:59:19Speaker 1: about hosting a primetime game because they're USC. I mean,
- 1:59:21Speaker 1: they're more used to doing it, so whatever. And then
- 1:59:24Speaker 1: Tulane at Memphis, Uh, this is an interesting one where
- 1:59:27Speaker 1: Memphis has actually dropped from six and a half to
- 1:59:29Speaker 1: three and a half. Money coming in on the Tulane side,
- 1:59:32Speaker 1: sixty four percent of the tickets, only sixty percent of
- 1:59:34Speaker 1: the cash.
- 1:59:35Speaker 2: I'm gonna agree with this one.
- 1:59:36Speaker 1: I would take the points with Tulane if I was
- 1:59:38Speaker 1: gonna play this game. I think Memphis is maybe a
- 1:59:41Speaker 1: little bit overrated right now. I'm looking at this, both
- 1:59:43Speaker 1: these teams are still in the mix for the American
- 1:59:46Speaker 1: title game. Here with both teams with one loss in
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: the American people are probably gonna have a tendency as
- 1:59:51Speaker 1: you could already see the public on Memphis because they're
- 1:59:53Speaker 1: a one loss team, they have the bigger name, and
- 1:59:56Speaker 1: they just look better to the public eye right now.
- 1:59:59Speaker 1: But Tulane, I mean, they're coming up an ugly loss
- 2:00:02Speaker 1: to Utsa last week and everybody saw that. But I
- 2:00:05Speaker 1: told you I liked you at Utsa. I gave it
- 2:00:08Speaker 1: out as a play on my show. That was a
- 2:00:09Speaker 1: winner for us on the show. Because Tulane was coming
- 2:00:11Speaker 1: up a pretty big win over Army. They had a
- 2:00:14Speaker 1: little bit of extra rest that I thought would disrupt
- 2:00:16Speaker 1: their momentum utsa better than people think. They are really
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: good at home actually, and Tulane had this big Memphis
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: game up next, so I thought they were gonna get caught.
- 2:00:26Speaker 1: They did, but now this is that Memphis game and
- 2:00:28Speaker 1: they had they do actually have extra time off, I
- 2:00:30Speaker 1: think because they played last Thursday. Memphis I think did not,
- 2:00:34Speaker 1: so I think this sets up decently for Tulane here
- 2:00:38Speaker 1: to redeem themselves from that really horrendous looking loss. Memphis
- 2:00:42Speaker 1: did play on Friday, so yeah, both teams have a
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: little bit of extra rest as far as them not
- 2:00:48Speaker 1: playing on Saturday, but one extra day of rest for
- 2:00:51Speaker 1: Tulane coming into this one. Memphis, I thought they were
- 2:00:54Speaker 1: in a letdown spot in that game against Rice because
- 2:00:56Speaker 1: Memphis had pulled off the home upset against South Florida
- 2:00:59Speaker 1: and they did have two lane up next, so I
- 2:01:00Speaker 1: thought it was a sandwich spot.
- 2:01:02Speaker 2: But Rice was in.
- 2:01:03Speaker 1: Somewhat of a difficult spot too because they were coming
- 2:01:05Speaker 1: off an upset themselves, a pretty big upset, so I
- 2:01:09Speaker 1: didn't want to do it.
- 2:01:10Speaker 2: I thought Rice would cover, but they didn't do it,
- 2:01:12Speaker 2: so Memphis was able to.
- 2:01:13Speaker 1: Win and cover and what was a pretty bad spot,
- 2:01:16Speaker 1: So that is interesting. So Memphis did show something that
- 2:01:19Speaker 1: they were able to win in a bad spot, But
- 2:01:22Speaker 1: I don't know. I still think maybe they're being overvalued here.
- 2:01:24Speaker 1: But the thing to be aware of, though, is that
- 2:01:27Speaker 1: part of the reason why I think this line did
- 2:01:29Speaker 1: drop to three and a half of Memphis is that
- 2:01:31Speaker 1: we don't know if Brendan Lewis, their quarterback, is gonna play.
- 2:01:33Speaker 1: So that's one major issue here. Lewis is their best quarterback.
- 2:01:37Speaker 1: He's played all but one game basically for them. He
- 2:01:39Speaker 1: got hurt late in that Rice game, and this number
- 2:01:42Speaker 1: seems to maybe be even indicating.
- 2:01:44Speaker 2: He might not play.
- 2:01:45Speaker 1: So if he doesn't play, it's gonna be an injured
- 2:01:47Speaker 1: player spot for Memphis, and that probably means you're gonna
- 2:01:50Speaker 1: get extra motivation out of Memphis. So if that's the case,
- 2:01:53Speaker 1: I probably wouldn't want to take the points with Tulane.
- 2:01:56Speaker 1: If Lewis is gonna play, I would then probably say, yeah,
- 2:02:00Speaker 1: makes sense to take the points of Tulane. I'm not
- 2:02:02Speaker 1: gonna give it out as a player or anything like that.
- 2:02:04Speaker 1: I would watch to see if Lewis is gonna come back,
- 2:02:06Speaker 1: because I still I mean generally, I kind of prefer
- 2:02:09Speaker 1: the Julayne side here, and you want to get the
- 2:02:10Speaker 1: best number that you can, and I think it's possible
- 2:02:13Speaker 1: you get to been a number if you wait and
- 2:02:14Speaker 1: if if it is confirmed that Lewis is going to
- 2:02:17Speaker 1: be back, although if he's not gonna come back, I
- 2:02:19Speaker 1: don't know if the line's gonna drop at all.
- 2:02:22Speaker 2: On Memphis. So we will see. But that's something to
- 2:02:25Speaker 2: keep in mind.
- 2:02:26Speaker 1: Lewis maybe out for this game, so I don't think
- 2:02:30Speaker 1: I have anything else on these, But that's gonna do it. Man,
- 2:02:32Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Thanks for hanging out, guys. A lot
- 2:02:35Speaker 1: of plays today. It's gonna be a lot of Instagram shit,
- 2:02:37Speaker 1: which takes a lot out of me. Man. But college basketball,
- 2:02:40Speaker 1: we got Furman minus the points. We got Georgia Tech
- 2:02:44Speaker 1: minus the points, Oregon minus the points. I know, all favorites,
- 2:02:47Speaker 1: a lot of favorites in early college basketball. Hockey, we
- 2:02:50Speaker 1: got the Rangers and the Islanders, both on the money line.
- 2:02:53Speaker 1: We're going New York, New York and hockey and NBA
- 2:02:56Speaker 1: Washington plus the points, Atlanta minus the points, and Charlotte
- 2:03:02Speaker 1: plus the points. Probably Charlotte's the best of those three though,
- 2:03:05Speaker 1: so I'm maybe not limiting myself enough fear. Although I
- 2:03:08Speaker 1: think I was a little bit extra selective in college basketball,
- 2:03:11Speaker 1: but we will see. I gave out a couple of
- 2:03:13Speaker 1: extra but I think are somewhat strongly as at College
- 2:03:15Speaker 1: of Basketball on Nichols and Oregon State, and then there
- 2:03:19Speaker 1: was one other one that I already forget what it was,
- 2:03:21Speaker 1: but that's gonna do it.
- 2:03:22Speaker 2: I appreciate it. Thanks for hanging out, guys.
- 2:03:24Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, and learn a tone on Instagram,
- 2:03:26Speaker 1: like subscribe comment here.
- 2:03:28Speaker 2: Man. It all helps me out.
- 2:03:30Speaker 1: We're on audio reviewing over there and listening helps me
- 2:03:32Speaker 1: out there as well.
- 2:03:34Speaker 2: Apple and Spotify, thank you, and mister Pinsey.
- 2:03:38Speaker 1: I feel like I'm talking too much about college basket.
- 2:03:40Speaker 1: We I had to figure out a way to maybe
- 2:03:42Speaker 1: limit these videos a little bit. I don't know, man,
- 2:03:44Speaker 1: College of Basketball. Shit, I didn't talk about it as
- 2:03:47Speaker 1: much as I did. I didn't talk about it as
- 2:03:50Speaker 1: much when I was doing it last year. So it's
- 2:03:53Speaker 1: Sharia on hockey, yeah, because it's New York.
- 2:03:57Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 2:03:59Speaker 1: One of those teams is a road team tonight though,
- 2:04:01Speaker 1: although they don't and they don't both play in the
- 2:04:03Speaker 1: same arena because so they could theoretically both have.
- 2:04:05Speaker 2: A home game on the same night too.
- 2:04:08Speaker 1: Yeah, covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube
- 2:04:10Speaker 1: and then patroon dot com sas learn to tow and
- 2:04:12Speaker 1: you can support me there too bonus content. You get
- 2:04:15Speaker 1: a Spotify yuke feed and you get.
- 2:04:18Speaker 2: Requests from me as well. And I like this.
- 2:04:20Speaker 1: I got the scruff here, man, So now I don't
- 2:04:22Speaker 1: look like a big fat baby anymore. The scruff after
- 2:04:25Speaker 1: about a week has come into the point where I
- 2:04:27Speaker 1: actually think I look all right again. So we got
- 2:04:32Speaker 1: the beard coming back in piece. Guys, let's get some
- 2:04:36Speaker 1: wins tonight. I appreciate it. I'll be back on tonight
- 2:04:39Speaker 1: because we're gonna do the College Football Show. And I
- 2:04:41Speaker 1: got to figure out what to do about talking about
- 2:04:43Speaker 1: Saturday college basketball, which, like I said, I might just
- 2:04:45Speaker 1: do it tomorrow morning because it's not a huge board.
- 2:04:48Speaker 1: I think tonight's board is actually bigger, so usually Saturday
- 2:04:52Speaker 1: is massive, but not yet.
- 2:04:55Speaker 2: Peace for now though, guys,