Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - FIGHT NIGHT | 9/02/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MMA DFS - FIGHT NIGHT | 9/02/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Speaker 1: All systems going clear, what's going on?
0:36
Speaker 2: Everybody happy? We're doing this on Tuesday, very very early. Hey,
0:42
Speaker 2: it's nice because we didn't have a UFC last week,
0:45
Speaker 2: so we've had the odds out for quite some time,
0:48
Speaker 2: which isn't always the case when it's back to back
0:50
Speaker 2: to back. But tomorrow I'm traveling back to Arizona tomorrow night. Thursday.
0:55
Speaker 2: Y'all know what it is. It's football. We're not going
0:57
Speaker 2: to be talking MMA to zero people on Thursday Friday. Hey,
1:01
Speaker 2: big Marley. One year ago on that Friday, I remember Packers, Eagles,
1:05
Speaker 2: the figure Shippers. So Thursday Friday football, Saturday fight, Saturday
1:11
Speaker 2: college football, Sunday football, Monday football. Oh baby, we're back.
1:15
Speaker 2: So we're tackling this MMA card today. Before I even
1:20
Speaker 2: actually get into it, just a little little rant, and
1:22
Speaker 2: it has nothing to do with MMA. It actually ship
1:25
Speaker 2: a nation. We play a lot of sports mlbdfs. So
1:29
Speaker 2: Tuesday right now, I just had it anaminous Chapman and
1:33
Speaker 2: coors Field ejected all because Rafield Ever's pimped a home run.
1:38
Speaker 2: The pitcher Kyle Freeland got very butt hurt and absolutely
1:41
Speaker 2: flipped out, and then the whole benches cleared all this
1:44
Speaker 2: all I gotta say. You don't like someone if you
1:47
Speaker 2: can't accept someone pimping a home run, just don't let
1:49
Speaker 2: up a home run. This world's too soft. What are
1:52
Speaker 2: we doing there, Kyle Freeland. Yes, it's probably gonna cost
1:55
Speaker 2: me money. So that's the rand for the day. We
1:57
Speaker 2: play all these sports as you see, NFL, college football, MLB, MMA, NASCAR,
2:03
Speaker 2: NBA will be back before you know it. So hey,
2:05
Speaker 2: I know plenty of people out there probably watching. Maybe
2:08
Speaker 2: we'll watch us on Thursday or Friday and remember that
2:11
Speaker 2: they got screwed because Kyler Freeland is a little bitch
2:14
Speaker 2: and does not understand. Hey, don't want to get pimped.
2:18
Speaker 2: Don't let up a home run. Get better. So that's
2:20
Speaker 2: all I got there. We got in here. Thank you
2:23
Speaker 2: very much. Ryan. Hey, you guys very nice right there.
2:27
Speaker 2: And I want to shout out before I do throw
2:28
Speaker 2: its Big Marley shout out to Sheets for filling in
2:30
Speaker 2: for me last week. Big Marlin, Sheets, I was out
2:33
Speaker 2: on the or two weeks ago. Didn't have any fights
2:36
Speaker 2: last week, but Sheets filled in for the second time recently. Sheets,
2:40
Speaker 2: one of the sharpest guys out there. Appreciate you guys,
2:43
Speaker 2: for the help. Big Marley helped me do some tears
2:45
Speaker 2: as well. How were we doing today, Big Marley? How
2:47
Speaker 2: how's life Ben? It's been a little bit good.
2:50
Speaker 3: I mean it's been it's been busy, so the break
2:52
Speaker 3: was was nice. Actually it's this. I think this is
2:55
Speaker 3: a pretty good card to come back to. We had
2:57
Speaker 3: a curveball thrown to us though with the who was
3:01
Speaker 3: it that pulled out? For Zzem pulled out and now
3:04
Speaker 3: we have I'm.
3:05
Speaker 2: Not gonna even use Yeah he did pulled out, but
3:07
Speaker 2: his grandmother passed away, so condolences. Yeah, I mean the
3:12
Speaker 2: right reason to leave a fight, no doubt about that.
3:15
Speaker 2: You can have plenty more fights. He was in front
3:17
Speaker 2: of his hometown, like by no means that he wanted to,
3:20
Speaker 2: but yeah, keep going. It was it was for the
3:22
Speaker 2: right reason.
3:23
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, that's brutal. But Fernandez now sixty eight hundred,
3:28
Speaker 3: but gonna be the betting favorite just makes this a
3:32
Speaker 3: trickier slate for sure. And I already have a bunch
3:36
Speaker 3: of underdogs on this card that I'm picking, so I'm
3:39
Speaker 3: looking forward to it. I think it could be a
3:40
Speaker 3: nice little bank roll booster for NFL season, and I'm
3:43
Speaker 3: I'm absolutely pumped for NFL to start up, so can't
3:47
Speaker 3: wait for this weekend and I'm ready to break down
3:49
Speaker 3: these fights with you.
3:50
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think this is one of the
3:52
Speaker 2: better DFS cards, assuming we keep all fourteen fights, Like
3:55
Speaker 2: we didn't need the Quay Fernandez at sixty eight hundred
3:58
Speaker 2: by any means with the odds. Let me refresh this
4:03
Speaker 2: quick because I did updated so we just got these
4:05
Speaker 2: odds recently. So sticky st eight hundred Quay Fernandez, he
4:08
Speaker 2: was a massive dog like minus three thirty five was ZM.
4:11
Speaker 2: Now Quay taking on Harry Hardwick, who again this fight
4:14
Speaker 2: was just announced today. Minus one fifty five is Quay.
4:17
Speaker 2: They will not change the pricing with all that being said, though,
4:21
Speaker 2: he's or the over two and a half, which is
4:23
Speaker 2: the only prop we have right now, is minus two
4:25
Speaker 2: to oh five over two and a half open minus
4:28
Speaker 2: one fifty. You said you have a lot of dogs
4:31
Speaker 2: on this card. I agree. I think plenty of live
4:33
Speaker 2: dogs on this card. Quite a primary striker, and we'll
4:37
Speaker 2: break it all down. But I mean, this is the
4:39
Speaker 2: big talking point. Not often you get a sixty eight
4:41
Speaker 2: hundred dollars favorites a we have fourteen fights. The more fights,
4:46
Speaker 2: the more opportunity for dogs, the more you need higher scores.
4:49
Speaker 2: Quay is a striker if he wins a striking base
4:51
Speaker 2: decision like by no means could seventy be enough? Like
4:55
Speaker 2: it very well might not be. It probably isn't. It's
4:58
Speaker 2: not like it's impossible. But but we have dogs like
5:02
Speaker 2: been washing to me Oki just Eamavolf, just these first
5:05
Speaker 2: three that I see Paul Craig when he wins, like
5:08
Speaker 2: there is upside in the lower tier. Also, what this
5:10
Speaker 2: does the upper tier is not even that strong in
5:13
Speaker 2: my opinion, I think the mid tier is really strong.
5:16
Speaker 2: And now you add a sixty eight hundred dollars favorites
5:18
Speaker 2: and Harry Hardwick will be I don't know it'll be.
5:21
Speaker 2: He'll be like, seventy what is it? Let me go quick,
5:25
Speaker 2: because I want to actually get this rights because usually
5:28
Speaker 2: DraftKings tries to avoid pricing people the same. But they
5:32
Speaker 2: have all the way down sixty seven to seventy nine,
5:34
Speaker 2: So my guess is they'll probably probace them somewhere in
5:36
Speaker 2: the seventy two hundred dollars, maybe seventy five hundred. It'll
5:41
Speaker 2: be somewhere around there at the end of the day,
5:43
Speaker 2: it really doesn't matter. He's gonna be below eight K.
5:46
Speaker 2: The winner will be a dog unless it's a draw,
5:48
Speaker 2: off course, but again, if that fight scores like seventy five,
5:51
Speaker 2: seventy something like that, you very well might not need it.
5:55
Speaker 2: You can leave a lot of salary easily. You can
5:57
Speaker 2: leave one K plus, and the upper tier is not strong,
6:01
Speaker 2: someone in the lower tier has to win that fight.
6:03
Speaker 2: If it's not a draw, mid tier strong main event
6:06
Speaker 2: right in the mid tier, think you could probably get
6:09
Speaker 2: away from it as well. Like it's a really really
6:12
Speaker 2: good DFS card, I would not be surprised by any
6:14
Speaker 2: means to see a solo shipper, and these are one
6:17
Speaker 2: where like some cards, especially nowadays, MMA has been a
6:20
Speaker 2: lot more efficient. If I get like a thirty dupe
6:22
Speaker 2: win team some weeks, I'm totally fine with that. I
6:25
Speaker 2: think you can build a huge set, like I think
6:28
Speaker 2: some of the best players will have one hundred and
6:29
Speaker 2: fifty teams like a sheet, and he might average like
6:32
Speaker 2: eight dupes or seven dupes. Cause again, to fourteen fights,
6:36
Speaker 2: twenty eight options, no favorite bigger than minus four hundred,
6:40
Speaker 2: and salary's really not that tight this week, So yeah,
6:44
Speaker 2: I think it's a phenomenal DFS card. And what makes
6:46
Speaker 2: me even more excited. Twelve pm Easter and that's nine
6:49
Speaker 2: am my time in Arizona. We're in Paris, France. I
6:52
Speaker 2: always love some early violence. Baby, get up, hit the sauna,
6:56
Speaker 2: watch the fights all day, college football on as well.
6:59
Speaker 2: I'm pumped. Any Broadside Overview, anything you want to add
7:02
Speaker 2: before we go fight by fight.
7:04
Speaker 3: Now, man, let's get into it. We got a crap
7:06
Speaker 3: you want to start off with, but after that, I
7:08
Speaker 3: think it's a banger card.
7:10
Speaker 2: All right, let's get into the crap you want to
7:12
Speaker 2: start and I will say less like so this fight,
7:14
Speaker 2: the fifth fight was gonna be far as zm Quay Fernandez.
7:18
Speaker 2: I believe this fight will be somewhere on the prelimbs.
7:20
Speaker 2: So this now is not the exact order, but we're
7:23
Speaker 2: gonna go bottom to the top on the stone. It
7:25
Speaker 2: doesn't matter what order we talk about them in. They're
7:27
Speaker 2: all independent. It changes nothing for DFS, but I did
7:30
Speaker 2: want to point that out, and I do have to change.
7:33
Speaker 2: Like these all of these props down here are Fernandez.
7:36
Speaker 2: So when you're talking Sam Hughes, one of the biggest
7:39
Speaker 2: favorites minus three times taken on Shawn and ban In
7:42
Speaker 2: plus two sixty plus three hundred for this fight to
7:45
Speaker 2: finish the worst on the card Hughes plus three fifty
7:48
Speaker 2: inside the distance, ban And plus nine hundred. Yeah, I
7:53
Speaker 2: guess I'm just more interested in the Hughes side if
7:55
Speaker 2: I have to pick, because big favorite should be low owned.
7:59
Speaker 2: Do you think she can wrestle or is their volume
8:01
Speaker 2: she has great cardio? Can she break Bannon and get
8:04
Speaker 2: like one hundred and five whether it's a third round
8:07
Speaker 2: finish or wrestling. Is there opportunities that way or you
8:10
Speaker 2: just don't see it at all, like it looks like
8:12
Speaker 2: with the one Star And then talk about Bannon, like
8:15
Speaker 2: what do you need from her as a dog now?
8:17
Speaker 2: Especially with that Kuway Fernandez fight.
8:20
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Hughes, I think she's just a little
8:23
Speaker 3: bit better everywhere, But I don't think she's going to
8:25
Speaker 3: put up a pace or wrestle enough to be able
8:28
Speaker 3: to score well enough to have one hundred plus on
8:31
Speaker 3: this card. I also don't think it's the highest scoring
8:34
Speaker 3: card of all time, So maybe she could get there
8:36
Speaker 3: and like ninety point decision win, but I don't really
8:40
Speaker 3: want to play that. And at ninety two hundred. I'm
8:42
Speaker 3: just exing her out. She is a way if you
8:45
Speaker 3: want to get different on this card, but I'm looking
8:47
Speaker 3: for other ways to get different. It's not gonna be
8:49
Speaker 3: Sam Hughes and then Bannon. She's just not like terrible
8:54
Speaker 3: anywhere to where I think Hughes smashes her. I think
8:57
Speaker 3: she could keep the fight closed. It probably is gonna
8:59
Speaker 3: be like a twenty nine to twenty eight, probably get
9:02
Speaker 3: one idiot judge in there throwing it for Bannon as well.
9:06
Speaker 3: So I would just prefer take the underdog if I
9:09
Speaker 3: had to play this fight, because seven k is gonna
9:12
Speaker 3: be a lot easier for Bannon to pay off, and
9:15
Speaker 3: she's coming off of a finish which doesn't happen a
9:17
Speaker 3: whole lot and WMMA, so she's got that going for
9:21
Speaker 3: But I'm just gonna x this fight out, make it
9:23
Speaker 3: a little easier, and hope that Hughes wins a seventy
9:26
Speaker 3: point decision and we just won't care about this fight
9:29
Speaker 3: at all. So that's my plan. I don't even think
9:31
Speaker 3: I'm gonna be able to watch it. I got my
9:33
Speaker 3: kids soccer, I got my other kids' softball, so I'll
9:36
Speaker 3: have the phone on after this fight. I'm hoping it's
9:38
Speaker 3: just a poor, poor score.
9:40
Speaker 2: I mean, more important things in life for sure, and
9:43
Speaker 2: then watching fights like that, so definitely enjoy that. As
9:46
Speaker 2: far as Bannon, what do you think the upside is?
9:50
Speaker 2: Obviously like it's na random, random stuff can happen. But
9:53
Speaker 2: let's say she wins a decision. How much you think
9:56
Speaker 2: we're looking at a decision.
9:58
Speaker 3: I don't think she would even crack eighty, so like
10:01
Speaker 3: i'd say high seventies at like a high high end. Yeah,
10:06
Speaker 3: I would guess she scores in the sixties though, Yeah,
10:09
Speaker 3: And that's the thing, Like at least Hughes, I think
10:12
Speaker 3: she's the much better fighter than Bannon.
10:15
Speaker 2: She has very good cardio. She sometimes can wrestle. Bannon
10:19
Speaker 2: just thinks bad, where like Hughes maybe can drown them.
10:22
Speaker 2: And like what you said, like the upper tier is
10:24
Speaker 2: not really strong. Ninety five could be enough from Sam
10:27
Speaker 2: Hughes at ownership. Also, why because I put this both
10:31
Speaker 2: as underweight, I really won't have much to this fight.
10:33
Speaker 2: But the Fernandez sixty eight hundred and Hardwick being low
10:37
Speaker 2: owned or Hardwick being lower price as well, Like if
10:41
Speaker 2: we didn't have Fernandez at that price as a favorite.
10:44
Speaker 2: Then I'd be more interested in Bannon, Like I'm already
10:46
Speaker 2: picking a lot of other underdogs on this card, but
10:50
Speaker 2: you're getting a guaranteed and again draw it. I'm not
10:53
Speaker 2: gonna keep saying that anything can happen, and I'm gonna
10:55
Speaker 2: say a guaranteed winner in the lower tier. And then
10:59
Speaker 2: there's so many good mid tier fights, like the main
11:02
Speaker 2: event can easily score a hundred plus. Bin Waffie Wins
11:04
Speaker 2: can score a bunch. Okie can score a bunch, Patricio
11:07
Speaker 2: could wrestle Bretzon Rivero a few wins. Is doing it
11:11
Speaker 2: the main event or the heavyweight fight, like these two
11:14
Speaker 2: can score Reese this waters fight, Like there's just so
11:17
Speaker 2: Facardina Gustuson. I just went on the whole list. But
11:20
Speaker 2: there's enough cheat people where you can see these dogs
11:23
Speaker 2: scoring ninety plus and it's really hard to see that
11:26
Speaker 2: from Bannon, And I think there's a small path for Hughes.
11:29
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna say Hughes slightly my preferred play, but
11:32
Speaker 2: very if I have none of it in twenty and below,
11:34
Speaker 2: I'd be fine with that as well. We're on the
11:36
Speaker 2: same page. It's definitely the worst fight, nah, pretty close
11:39
Speaker 2: this William Domi's fight I think is terrible too, but
11:42
Speaker 2: one of the worst fights on the card for sure,
11:45
Speaker 2: and ownership will reflect that. All right, let's get into
11:48
Speaker 2: a phenomenal fight for DFS for real life when I'm
11:51
Speaker 2: pumped to watch Andreas Guffsison taking on Renat Fakardinov minus
11:56
Speaker 2: one eighteen gus of Sin minus one oh two Facardinov
11:59
Speaker 2: plus one fifty for this fight to finish, Gustison plus
12:02
Speaker 2: two ninety Foker Dinoff plus three forty big line movement
12:07
Speaker 2: in this one, and it really came early Fakr Denov.
12:09
Speaker 2: I don't know what book makers were doing. They didn't
12:11
Speaker 2: watch Gustison's last fight minus three hundred Fokerdenov opened very
12:16
Speaker 2: shortly after that line went down to the minus one
12:19
Speaker 2: forty five range. Set around there for a little while,
12:22
Speaker 2: but Gustisin cans continue to take money since open and
12:26
Speaker 2: now find himself is a small favorite even though this
12:29
Speaker 2: fight is plus one fifty to finish. I'm looking at
12:31
Speaker 2: the stone right here. I see green, green, green, green
12:35
Speaker 2: at everything. This one should be fun, even if it
12:38
Speaker 2: does go the distance. Yeah, break it down. Who do
12:41
Speaker 2: you think has the wrestling advantage? How do you think
12:43
Speaker 2: it plays out.
12:44
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's gonna be a good one to target.
12:46
Speaker 3: Both guys can wrestle and wrestle heavily, so even in
12:49
Speaker 3: the decision, we could be looking at one hundred and
12:52
Speaker 3: ten plus from either one of them, which is what
12:54
Speaker 3: I always like to target. I almost made this a
12:55
Speaker 3: five star.
12:58
Speaker 2: The main event, I'm gonna say because of owner, because
13:01
Speaker 2: the ownership difference, like and I do think that fight well,
13:04
Speaker 2: we'll get to that when it gets there, but this
13:07
Speaker 2: is my favorite fight on the cart I die. I mean,
13:10
Speaker 2: I just hope one of them dominates in wrestling. I
13:12
Speaker 2: just hope it couldn't again each other in boss. I'm
13:14
Speaker 2: not making a rule, but I'll let you keep going.
13:17
Speaker 2: But I just hope one of them is just just better.
13:19
Speaker 3: We'll see, yeah, yeah, I mean, shoot, I'm fine with
13:23
Speaker 3: it being a five star just because the winner has
13:25
Speaker 3: such big upside, But it also is such a close
13:28
Speaker 3: fight that I don't I don't know who the winner
13:30
Speaker 3: is gonna be. Uh and it could be trading back
13:33
Speaker 3: and forth. Who has that wrestling advantage. I think early
13:35
Speaker 3: it could be Fokardinov. I also think he's more dangerous
13:39
Speaker 3: with submissions. Uh, but if he can't get an early
13:42
Speaker 3: finish or win the first in the second round, I
13:44
Speaker 3: just think Gustafson is the guy that'll out work him more.
13:47
Speaker 3: I also think Gustafson is the better striker, and if
13:50
Speaker 3: the takedowns aren't there for Fokardinov, Gustafson could knock him
13:54
Speaker 3: out on the feet. But this is just one word,
13:57
Speaker 3: since I don't know who I like to win, just
14:00
Speaker 3: a fifty to fifty type of fight. I always want
14:02
Speaker 3: the plus money. Uh, So I picked Fokkerdinov. Uh But
14:06
Speaker 3: I think we can get a finish either way, and
14:08
Speaker 3: that's probably gonna score one hundred and ten plus. And
14:10
Speaker 3: in the decision, I'm not worried about either one of
14:13
Speaker 3: these guys scoring less than ten x. So I just
14:15
Speaker 3: want to shove this into a ton of my lineups.
14:17
Speaker 3: But any gust ofs in lineup I'm making, I'm fine
14:20
Speaker 3: going down to Fakordinov for in saving four hundred more
14:24
Speaker 3: than I was already saving h and maybe going after
14:27
Speaker 3: a solo ship. So my preferred play slightly facordinav But
14:34
Speaker 3: if I make lineups on Saber sim and it gives
14:36
Speaker 3: me like fifty percent gust Of forty percent, Facordinov, I'd
14:40
Speaker 3: be okay with it.
14:41
Speaker 2: I'm I'm locked up with you. I'm picking Gustison. I
14:44
Speaker 2: think he has the better cardio and he's just a
14:46
Speaker 2: junkyard dog. I mean, he'll make it gritty, he'll continue
14:49
Speaker 2: to walk forward. I think he has better hands. But
14:52
Speaker 2: with all that being said, like what I wrote up
14:54
Speaker 2: in the Slave Plan too, any gust Of in lineup
14:56
Speaker 2: you can make Fakr Dinov money already doesn't really matter,
14:59
Speaker 2: but you had four hundred on top of that, Like
15:02
Speaker 2: you're leaving six hundred or whatever, and now you leave
15:04
Speaker 2: four hundred more, you're giving up pretty much nothing, which
15:08
Speaker 2: again a lot of my lineups will leave salary on
15:11
Speaker 2: this card. And again I think this fight's good, good,
15:14
Speaker 2: bit lower on than the main event. I think it's
15:17
Speaker 2: very similar upside because one of them can completely dominate
15:20
Speaker 2: on the mat. Gustoson last fight, scored one hundred and
15:26
Speaker 2: thirty seven DK points against Chaos Williams as the underdog
15:30
Speaker 2: in a decision renot what he's done in the UFC
15:33
Speaker 2: and his wins one oh nine, one thirty one thirty,
15:37
Speaker 2: one hundred and ninety one like these dudes just they
15:40
Speaker 2: want to get it to the mat. I'm hoping either
15:42
Speaker 2: re Not dominates Gustoson dominates. I won't make a rule though,
15:46
Speaker 2: for what Big Marley says. What if Renot dominates round one, like,
15:49
Speaker 2: I think that's his best chance the earlier, when he's fresh,
15:53
Speaker 2: he dominates round one, Gussison dominates round two. When the
15:56
Speaker 2: other one's dominating, they could be spending time on their
15:59
Speaker 2: back or Gususon wearing out Fakardinov on the cage, which
16:02
Speaker 2: he likes to do, and the other cannot score at all.
16:05
Speaker 2: So that's the one worry. One dominates one round, the
16:08
Speaker 2: other dominates the other, and then you're really not loving
16:12
Speaker 2: it round three. But it's a mid tier fight. It's
16:14
Speaker 2: easy to leave money. I mean, I'm gonna have a
16:17
Speaker 2: bunch of this fight. Yeah.
16:18
Speaker 3: My main reason for making it a four star was
16:20
Speaker 3: I just think we could see like four or five
16:23
Speaker 3: minutes of this fight them just against the cage, just
16:26
Speaker 3: fighting for a position and who's kidding the underhook? So
16:30
Speaker 3: that will kill this on scoring wise, But I hope
16:34
Speaker 3: that doesn't happen because this could be such a.
16:36
Speaker 2: Good fight for sure. What's up? Why sent good to
16:39
Speaker 2: see you. I do want to pull up quick again,
16:42
Speaker 2: there's very little time to get in. Where is this graphic?
16:46
Speaker 2: I don't know if we have the the NFL graphic up,
16:50
Speaker 2: but here let me let me click this quick and
16:52
Speaker 2: then I'll get back. As you see, seventy nine thousand
16:55
Speaker 2: dollars plus fifty thousand cash over twenty thousand in prizes
16:58
Speaker 2: for the ship at games coming up. Right here you
17:01
Speaker 2: see the early Bird Special. You can click Join the Nation.
17:04
Speaker 2: We have multiple different options, Ultimate Starter Core. Where is
17:12
Speaker 2: oh maybe they let's see this three and forty nine.
17:18
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you don't need to see it, so right there,
17:19
Speaker 2: you don't need to see my address and all that.
17:21
Speaker 2: We still do have the three forty nine Early Bird
17:23
Speaker 2: Special up. NFL College Football shout out to the college
17:26
Speaker 2: football teams. Remember just won sixty two hundred in the
17:30
Speaker 2: UNCTCU Showdown projections the stone, very very sharp college football.
17:35
Speaker 2: I'm excited to play it this week when I get back.
17:37
Speaker 2: That is included in the Football Early Bird Special. I'm
17:41
Speaker 2: gonna say you do get all access before football starts.
17:44
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Speaker 2: We wanted to give back to the community, make it fun,
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Speaker 2: see on this graphic. It's actualely a no brainer, big
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Speaker 2: We'd love to have you for football. If you want
18:40
Speaker 2: to join all sports. You know you want MMA, you
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Speaker 2: Sabersim content only you can see those prices as well.
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Speaker 2: better time to get in football about here. We cannot wait.
19:01
Speaker 2: The best time in the industry, for sure. It's like
19:04
Speaker 2: Christmas morning for me is a grown ass man. I
19:07
Speaker 2: always say at Thursday Sunday all that that's Christmas nowadays
19:10
Speaker 2: for me, So super super excited for that. All right,
19:15
Speaker 2: let's go to a fight that I don't have much
19:17
Speaker 2: interest in. Brad Tavares ticking on Robert Breecheck minus two
19:21
Speaker 2: twelve Tavares plus one eighty two Brecheck plus one thirty
19:24
Speaker 2: five for this fight to finish both bree Check and
19:27
Speaker 2: Tavares the same inside the distance and the same round
19:31
Speaker 2: one props. So three hundred plus three hundred inside the
19:33
Speaker 2: distance for both plus seven hundred and round one for both.
19:37
Speaker 2: It's easy dogger pass for me. I mean, Brad Tavaris
19:40
Speaker 2: is never something I like clicking in DFS. I got
19:43
Speaker 2: a stat for you. I mean, he's been in the
19:45
Speaker 2: UFC for a long time. Twenty one to ten is
19:47
Speaker 2: a pro. He's a solid fighter, no doubt about that,
19:50
Speaker 2: knows how to win, but he hasn't scored more than
19:52
Speaker 2: eighty five DK points since twenty twelve. Twenty twelve, Big Marley,
19:59
Speaker 2: I got Tavaris by decision. I don't think this fight scores. However,
20:03
Speaker 2: if it does score and someone's optimal, I think bre
20:05
Speaker 2: Check knocks him out. Tavar has been knocked out in
20:08
Speaker 2: five of his ten fights ors five of his ten losses.
20:11
Speaker 2: Excuse me, PreCheck has power. I'll play some. Bree Check
20:14
Speaker 2: is a very low owned dog. He only gets lower
20:17
Speaker 2: owned like him Waters, Ben Wah Craig like all the underdogs,
20:22
Speaker 2: only got lower owned with the Quay Fernandez favorite now,
20:25
Speaker 2: so I'll be embracing some of that Breecheck wins. He
20:29
Speaker 2: has ninety plus point upside. I'll get some. I'm not
20:32
Speaker 2: playing Brad Tavars, though, What are you doing in this one?
20:36
Speaker 3: Yeah? Same thing. I'm probably gonna play it more like
20:38
Speaker 3: a one star, meaning I'm not gonna play it just
20:41
Speaker 3: because bree Check isn't any good. I think Tavars is
20:44
Speaker 3: better everywhere. As long as Tavars doesn't get knocked out,
20:47
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna kind of coast to a twenty nine,
20:50
Speaker 3: twenty eight or thirty twenty seven unanimous decision, and he's
20:55
Speaker 3: gonna score sixty three points in the process. I'm not
20:59
Speaker 3: interested in that at all. But at seventy one hundred,
21:01
Speaker 3: Breachick could land a bomb and end up on the
21:03
Speaker 3: optimal lineup. I'm not gonna take chances on that. Unless
21:06
Speaker 3: I am making a bunch of lineups on this card
21:08
Speaker 3: with twenty or less, I'm mixing them out, both of them. Really,
21:12
Speaker 3: I think we're gonna have a boring fight here. This
21:14
Speaker 3: is my This is really my second least favorite fight
21:17
Speaker 3: on the card. I like the Gummy fight a little
21:19
Speaker 3: bit more than this one.
21:20
Speaker 2: I think, all right, I pretty much copy and paste
21:23
Speaker 2: in my right up for the Gomis fighting. The Tavares fight.
21:25
Speaker 2: Gomi's stays on his bike, runs around a million miles
21:29
Speaker 2: around the cage, he gets his cardio in again. Tavares
21:32
Speaker 2: hasn't scored over eighty five since twenty twelve. Not a
21:35
Speaker 2: fight that I want much exposure to. There's enough ways
21:38
Speaker 2: to get different on this card without playing the band
21:40
Speaker 2: in Tavares. Gomey's fights as well. Like leaving money is
21:44
Speaker 2: very viable, quay is gonna be so high owned. I
21:46
Speaker 2: think the main I know the main event is gonna
21:49
Speaker 2: be really high. Owned I see password that doesn't even
21:51
Speaker 2: score great. So yeah, I'd rather get different in other
21:54
Speaker 2: ways than that play in this fight. Really, but I'll
21:57
Speaker 2: keep I'll keep brea check in the pool. Let's get
22:00
Speaker 2: to a fight. I definitely want to play some of
22:02
Speaker 2: Sam Patterson minus one seventy five tray Waters plus one
22:06
Speaker 2: fifty Patterson plus one fifteen inside the distance waters plus
22:10
Speaker 2: two fifteen. A lot of line movement this one. So
22:13
Speaker 2: Patterson opened minus one fifty, got as low as minus
22:17
Speaker 2: two twenty, and then slowly money came back on the
22:20
Speaker 2: water side. Patterson got as low as minus one forty
22:24
Speaker 2: five just a couple of days ago, and then some
22:26
Speaker 2: money has came in on Patterson. I'm actually sad I'm
22:29
Speaker 2: not in Arizona, where I could legally bet. Patterson would
22:32
Speaker 2: have been one of my bets when I looked at it,
22:34
Speaker 2: because these odds, I'll say, are from Saturday night when
22:37
Speaker 2: I was flying with Greece. I was diving in. I mean,
22:40
Speaker 2: I had nothing else to do. I was anxious to
22:42
Speaker 2: get back at it, so I got everything up like
22:44
Speaker 2: I wanted. Sam Patterson when I saw him at minus
22:46
Speaker 2: one forty five. I wanted the over in the main event.
22:49
Speaker 2: A couple bets that stood out that have now moved,
22:52
Speaker 2: But I just think Patterson has more ways to win.
22:55
Speaker 2: But Waters is live the thing that stands out. These
22:57
Speaker 2: are some big, big boys. I mean they're but six',
23:01
Speaker 2: three six' five at one seventy, seventy eight seventy seven
23:04
Speaker 2: reach some. Tall guys both guys are. FINISHING upside i Just,
23:08
Speaker 2: THINK patterson, i mean if it gets to, the mat
23:10
Speaker 2: he's levels above THERE where i think it's, Similar striking
23:13
Speaker 2: so THAT'S why i. LEAN him i think it's a
23:15
Speaker 2: great fight to, target though how do you see?
23:17
Speaker 3: It, GOING yeah i like. THIS fight i Do agree
23:21
Speaker 3: patterson has more ways to win because of his grappling
23:25
Speaker 3: advantage in. This one he's a. Solid striker he could
23:27
Speaker 3: win a decision on. The feet he could also get.
23:30
Speaker 3: A KNOCKOUT but i Do. Like waters if this fight,
23:33
Speaker 3: stays standing it's, just tall long and he fights at
23:36
Speaker 3: a high pace AND would i would favor him to
23:39
Speaker 3: win at least two rounds if this fight stays on.
23:41
Speaker 3: The feet and that's my Worry with PATTERSON is i
23:44
Speaker 3: don't know how much of a wrestler he. REALLY is
23:46
Speaker 3: i think he could go out there and get a
23:47
Speaker 3: takedown in the, first round but if he's not looking
23:50
Speaker 3: for more takedowns after that, first one or if a
23:52
Speaker 3: couple start, TO fail i don't think he's the type
23:54
Speaker 3: of guy that's willing to chain wrestle. Him together he
23:57
Speaker 3: would just accept a striking match actually coming off a.
24:00
Speaker 3: Knockout win so this is another one where it was
24:04
Speaker 3: just closer to a pick and fight in, MY opinion
24:07
Speaker 3: i would be okay With favoring, patterson here But if
24:10
Speaker 3: i'm gonna lay, A bet i would rather have the.
24:12
Speaker 3: Plus Money so Patterson or waters was my pick on the,
24:16
Speaker 3: money LINE but i have it as a three and
24:17
Speaker 3: three because that grappling advantage could be the key to
24:22
Speaker 3: a high score in. THIS card i think if he
24:25
Speaker 3: is able to get takedowns in that, first round it
24:28
Speaker 3: could be a first round submission and he scores one
24:30
Speaker 3: hundred and five or. More POINTS so i like both
24:34
Speaker 3: sides of, this One and i'll probably end up.
24:39
Speaker 2: With a little Bit. More WATERS sorry I was i
24:41
Speaker 2: tried to turn some off. Save battery it's on. THE
24:44
Speaker 2: red i tweaked you.
24:45
Speaker 3: RIGHT there i, was, LIKE oh I thought i went
24:48
Speaker 3: out on here.
24:48
Speaker 2: At, first, no no. MY bad I thought i could
24:52
Speaker 2: turn the phone off and still. Have that, but yeah
24:55
Speaker 2: that all. Makes Sense like i'm not That Pat sam
24:57
Speaker 2: patterson at minus one. Seventy FIVE now i like to
25:00
Speaker 2: minus one forty five with the more ways. To win totally.
25:03
Speaker 2: Makes Sense though i'm On The sam. Patterson Side, Trey
25:08
Speaker 2: waters i'll definitely get Some of it's A fight i
25:10
Speaker 2: most definitely want. To target let's keep. It rolling next
25:13
Speaker 2: fight on. The card curious to hear your take on.
25:15
Speaker 2: This one i'm gonna throw it to. You First sola
25:18
Speaker 2: axel Taking on reese McKee minus one thirty Four ax
25:21
Speaker 2: sol plus One fourteen McKee plus one fifteen inside the
25:24
Speaker 2: distance or plus one fifteen for this fight To finish
25:27
Speaker 2: axel plus two thirty five inside The distance McKee plus three.
25:32
Speaker 2: Twenty Five so axel making his debut upp aweight class
25:37
Speaker 2: undefeated was the lightweight or light yeah lightweight CHAMPION At.
25:41
Speaker 2: URS fighting i don't know how much that means, to
25:43
Speaker 2: you BUT anytime i SEE undefeated, ufc, debut, favorite uh
25:48
Speaker 2: pretty interesting fights. To me how do you see? It?
25:50
Speaker 3: GOING yeah i ONLY saw i think two Fights. OF axels,
25:55
Speaker 3: i mean he looks just. DECENT everywhere i didn't see
25:58
Speaker 3: any like, clear laws but at the, same time he
26:02
Speaker 3: didn't really blow me. Away ANYWHERE what i would like
26:05
Speaker 3: about him in this Matchup is McKee's Defensive flaws really
26:11
Speaker 3: both ways could Help. Out axel McKee, is hittable Which
26:15
Speaker 3: if axel would step up, the pace that could be good.
26:17
Speaker 3: For HIM but i think the hittable and this could
26:19
Speaker 3: lead to him possibly Knocking. Out McKee it's Just that
26:22
Speaker 3: axel doesn't throw with a ton. OF power i don't
26:25
Speaker 3: want to trust in that being, the case And then
26:27
Speaker 3: McKee can also be. Taken DOWN and I think axel
26:30
Speaker 3: could look to wrestle in, this one and That's why
26:32
Speaker 3: i'd be okay with him being. The favorite is, Wrestling
26:35
Speaker 3: edge but, to me man watching, These guys McKee is
26:38
Speaker 3: just a more exciting. Offensive striker he's, more aggressive he's.
26:43
Speaker 3: More dangerous he's gonna, be, bigger, taller. LONGER faster i
26:47
Speaker 3: prefer the underdog in. This one seventy. SEVEN hundred i
26:50
Speaker 3: think if, McKee wins he's gonna put up a pretty.
26:52
Speaker 3: Good Score if, AXEL wins i don't know if he's
26:55
Speaker 3: gonna score ten next or not so preferred play McKee
26:59
Speaker 3: and i was thinking about possibly, betting him but it's
27:03
Speaker 3: been so busy. THIS week i haven't really had time
27:06
Speaker 3: to look into These. Since sunday but he's on my
27:08
Speaker 3: list as a. POSSIBLE underdog i.
27:11
Speaker 2: Like it i'm On the reese McKey side. AS well,
27:13
Speaker 2: i mean he's fighting at his natural. Weight class he's
27:15
Speaker 2: fought the way. BETTER competition i mean it's a close
27:19
Speaker 2: fight in. My Opinion so i'm such a live better
27:23
Speaker 2: spot NOW than i am Pre flop for the, MOST
27:26
Speaker 2: part i just haven't really had too much success or
27:29
Speaker 2: done too. MUCH preflap i liked the low kicks is
27:32
Speaker 2: ALWAYS what. I love Man The. JOHNNY walker i was
27:35
Speaker 2: watching That. IN greece i couldn't live bett it's but
27:38
Speaker 2: it was, so, odd like in, my opinion it was
27:40
Speaker 2: so Obvious that zang wasn't liking those. CALF kicks i
27:43
Speaker 2: mean it was really you had to put an invest
27:47
Speaker 2: in someone that who knows if he. Saw it eventually,
27:50
Speaker 2: he did but it was a big plus number after
27:52
Speaker 2: round one and it just made no sense. To me
27:54
Speaker 2: and yet he shut off the calf after, Two kicks
27:57
Speaker 2: like THAT'S why i love the live, betting spot but
27:59
Speaker 2: you can also See like reese McKee. Very hittable but
28:03
Speaker 2: if he's eating the sola punches and delivering BACK like,
28:07
Speaker 2: i think he has the, volume advantage probably fought way.
28:09
Speaker 2: Better competition i'd want him in a, DOG fight i think. More,
28:13
Speaker 2: So yeah I'm leaning reese McKee. As well he opened plus,
28:16
Speaker 2: one sixty has taken a good amount. Of money sense
28:19
Speaker 2: he did get all the way Down, to, actually no
28:23
Speaker 2: it's it's stayed around there for the past couple. Of,
28:25
Speaker 2: Days yeah i'm On the reese McKee side as well
28:27
Speaker 2: as my preferred play axel plus two twenty five or
28:31
Speaker 2: plus two thirty five, not terrible but round one is
28:34
Speaker 2: plus six hundred and the mid tier is SO loaded
28:37
Speaker 2: i probably won't have too much. Of him ree McKee
28:40
Speaker 2: is my preferred play in this one. As well let's
28:43
Speaker 2: get to another really good mid, tier fight the only
28:45
Speaker 2: heavyweight fight on, the CARD another Ufc Debut antel dila
28:51
Speaker 2: Taking on martine tibera straight pick 'em homie minus one
28:54
Speaker 2: ten apiece on, Both sides dila plus one thirty inside
28:58
Speaker 2: of this since typer a plus three hundred run One
29:02
Speaker 2: prop dela plus three Fifty type bura plus. Seven hundred
29:07
Speaker 2: this is a rematch, as well LASTED very i Think,
29:10
Speaker 2: like dela like hurt, his leg broke, his leg did.
29:12
Speaker 2: SOMETHING crazy, i, mean yeah, for, SURE gross i see
29:20
Speaker 2: it looks like you're On the. Typera side you have more.
29:22
Speaker 2: STARS there i Slightly. LEAN dela i think he has.
29:25
Speaker 2: More upside but, it's yeah flip, a coin good mid.
29:29
Speaker 2: Tier fight IT'S something i want to target on. Both
29:31
Speaker 2: sides why are You on tyberro.
29:34
Speaker 3: Just another one of those pick them fights that give
29:37
Speaker 3: me the one that has the plus next to his
29:39
Speaker 3: name every time in, That, SCENARIO yeah i mean well
29:41
Speaker 3: PLUS when i was, doing it it was like plus,
29:43
Speaker 3: one hundred. Basically EVEN but i would rather not pay,
29:46
Speaker 3: THE juice i guess on the, other side.
29:48
Speaker 2: Minus one ten apiece because THAT'S what i got on
29:50
Speaker 2: bet online, right now, because, yeah yeah deal has been
29:55
Speaker 2: taking a little money the past couple. Of days minus,
29:59
Speaker 2: one fifteen minus one eleven always. Price shop, uh yeah,
30:03
Speaker 2: but yeah let's say minus one. Ten apiece you're still
30:06
Speaker 2: On the. TYPERA side i.
30:08
Speaker 3: DON'T know, I mean i'm not gonna. Bet it it's
30:10
Speaker 3: not on my list to bet it WAS just i
30:13
Speaker 3: don't Know who i'm gonna pick to win in. THIS
30:14
Speaker 3: one i didn't have a lot of time to.
30:16
Speaker 2: To, watch uh what's how do you say this, Guy's
30:19
Speaker 2: naw i'm probably butchering it, every Time but i'm going
30:22
Speaker 2: deal and people know who we're. Talking.
30:23
Speaker 3: About, ANTIE yeah i only watched a couple of his fights. As,
30:29
Speaker 3: WELL unfortunately i did watch the first fight, of THEIRS
30:32
Speaker 3: and i hate. Those man tyber just checked the kick
30:35
Speaker 3: and snap the. Guy's leg the dude just laid there
30:39
Speaker 3: like tybor like, hits him like. Drops them it looks
30:42
Speaker 3: like he, drops them but he just lays their. Pissed
30:44
Speaker 3: off he like points to. His leg he handled it like.
30:46
Speaker 3: A champ, BUT uh i do think, you're right as in,
30:49
Speaker 3: the upside he does look. MORE dangerous i think he has,
30:52
Speaker 3: more power could put. TYBORO away i think tybar HAS
30:56
Speaker 3: been tkot a handful of times five six times in.
31:00
Speaker 3: His career but if he's not gonna Knock, OUT tyborora
31:06
Speaker 3: i just kind Of think tybora could point fight his
31:09
Speaker 3: way to a decision here in, twenty nine twenty eight,
31:12
Speaker 3: This fight so he was my preferred play for. That,
31:14
Speaker 3: reason no lean. At all it WAS just i would
31:17
Speaker 3: rather have the. Plus money and that's like the case
31:20
Speaker 3: on like five fights on, this card maybe six fights on, this,
31:22
Speaker 3: card uh so that this is just another one. OF
31:26
Speaker 3: them i don't have a ton of interest in, this
31:29
Speaker 3: fight just Because if, I'M handbuilding i hate throwing in.
31:32
Speaker 3: Both sides it would rather just, give me give Me
31:34
Speaker 3: my Tybora and i'll be underweight on the. Anti side
31:38
Speaker 3: BUT if i, am emmying this would be a four
31:40
Speaker 3: star play. FOR me i would want to get a
31:42
Speaker 3: good amount of. Both guys they. Are heavyweights we could
31:44
Speaker 3: see a first round finish from, either side and then
31:47
Speaker 3: it's JUST the ufc. Debut man gus guys could gass,
31:51
Speaker 3: from that especially if he's trying to finish tyber early and,
31:54
Speaker 3: he Doesn't maybe tybera finished it finishes him in the
31:58
Speaker 3: second or of the third and puts up a big score.
32:00
Speaker 3: That WAY so i think it's a good fight. To
32:03
Speaker 3: target it's just not One that i'm really. Looking To
32:07
Speaker 3: if i'm making ten lineups on, This card i'm not
32:08
Speaker 3: really trying to go five, and five, You KNOW so
32:10
Speaker 3: i would probably just go heavy on the heavier on
32:12
Speaker 3: The tybe. War, SIDE yeah i agree. With that i'm
32:15
Speaker 3: probably just gonna do.
32:15
Speaker 2: The opposite i'll probably be heavier On the dealer side
32:18
Speaker 2: and less On the. TYPERI'S side. I agree it's not
32:21
Speaker 2: Like the Gusts and, fakardina fight Where like i'd be
32:24
Speaker 2: fine going forty to forty and. Moving on, EVEN then
32:27
Speaker 2: I think i'm gonna try And. Go gustus the more fights,
32:31
Speaker 2: there are THE more i try and make more stands on.
32:33
Speaker 2: One side not like all in nothing by, any MEANS
32:37
Speaker 2: but i do think on this Card like i'm gonna
32:39
Speaker 2: try and make some stance in these mid, Tier FIGHTS
32:42
Speaker 2: like I think i'm gonna try and get more au,
32:43
Speaker 2: gussas in gonna try and Get, more patterson. MORE McKee
32:47
Speaker 2: I think i'm Gonna go deala in. This fight but
32:49
Speaker 2: by no MEANS am I. FADING tybura i just if
32:52
Speaker 2: someone scores one, HUNDRED plus I think deala is more
32:54
Speaker 2: likely to, do so and the inside the distance props
32:59
Speaker 2: does indicate that. As well, Let's, See yeah deala open
33:03
Speaker 2: plus one forty five. To finish now he's plus. One
33:06
Speaker 2: thirty tyburrow's line hasn't moved, At all so coin flip on, that,
33:10
Speaker 2: ONLINE though i would not be surprised To see dela
33:14
Speaker 2: continue To take we just lost you, Right There. BIG
33:18
Speaker 2: marley i wouldn't be Surprised because typer opened minus two
33:22
Speaker 2: ten in this one minus two ten got down to
33:26
Speaker 2: minus one forty recent got down to plus. One hundred
33:30
Speaker 2: he's taken a little. MONEY back i. Don't know i'm
33:33
Speaker 2: on the, DEALER side i, know that but very interesting
33:35
Speaker 2: to see such a wide line at open And then
33:37
Speaker 2: dela took some money pretty quickly. After that how does
33:41
Speaker 2: that fight Rank? Amongst uh there was another mid tier
33:46
Speaker 2: Like The sola. McKee fight i guess you have four
33:48
Speaker 2: star for. This ones you, prefer that but that fight's
33:50
Speaker 2: pretty similar in, My opinion like clearly main Event in
33:54
Speaker 2: gusson mid tier, fights better but that fight In The
33:57
Speaker 2: mason jones, okie fight that's your?
33:59
Speaker 3: Favorite type, uh yeah just because they're big or more
34:04
Speaker 3: likely to get an. Early, knockout yeah that.
34:07
Speaker 2: Makes sense all three of those fights are pretty similar.
34:10
Speaker 2: To me, But yeah dela is probably. My favorite, all
34:14
Speaker 2: right let's get to the biggest favorite on. The card
34:16
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Speaker 2: try es for, a week that is an option. As
35:05
Speaker 2: well biggest favorite on the CARD umar psi minus four
35:09
Speaker 2: hundred Taken, On bretson robero plus THREE thirty pi minus
35:13
Speaker 2: one forty five inside The distance rebero plus four hundred
35:17
Speaker 2: sigh in round one is plus two fifty so you
35:21
Speaker 2: see right here minus four to Thirty on saturday now
35:25
Speaker 2: he's minus. FOUR hundred a little buy Back on ribero
35:29
Speaker 2: AND what i like to See about robero plus three
35:31
Speaker 2: thirty money line plus four hundred inside, the distance sixteen
35:36
Speaker 2: of his seventeen wins. By finish if, HE wins, i
35:39
Speaker 2: mean he absolutely could break the slate at sub. Ten
35:42
Speaker 2: percent he's a Guy that i'm definitely gonna. Have SOME
35:46
Speaker 2: but i don't really know HOW much i want. OF him,
35:48
Speaker 2: I mean i'll let you break this. ONE down i
35:50
Speaker 2: don't really know how MUCH si i won. As well
35:52
Speaker 2: what he just Lost to menifield and landed what twenty
35:55
Speaker 2: nine significant strikes in, Fifteen minutes like anyone that can? Do,
35:59
Speaker 2: THAT yeah, I Mean i'm brentson's the. Scary guy manafield's
36:03
Speaker 2: a scary guy who knows if side like what's? To
36:05
Speaker 2: say side doesn't take that exact, same approach and it is.
36:09
Speaker 2: Really BORING so i don't, love It but i'm gonna
36:12
Speaker 2: naturally get some of both minus two sixty.
36:14
Speaker 3: To, finish yeah That Last sci fi was just. So
36:19
Speaker 3: bad it was just the. CURSED fight i was There
36:21
Speaker 3: in atlanta and it was just such a. BORING fight
36:24
Speaker 3: i hated so many fights on that CARD and i
36:27
Speaker 3: was looking forward, to THAT and i had so much
36:29
Speaker 3: of Him on, DraftKings too so it is it does
36:33
Speaker 3: suck going back to him as the highest priced guy
36:35
Speaker 3: on the CARD when i don't really even, trust him
36:37
Speaker 3: but he should be the better. Fighter here he should
36:39
Speaker 3: be the, better striker more, powerful striker the. Better wrestler
36:42
Speaker 3: he could get a ground of, pound Knockout so i'm
36:45
Speaker 3: gonna go back. TO him i could definitely afford him on.
36:47
Speaker 3: This card so that's a reason why if for some
36:50
Speaker 3: reason you're struggling to afford A nine, k person then
36:55
Speaker 3: have that LIKE just x amount if you. NEED to
36:57
Speaker 3: i think you could just go Down, to bukowskis who's
37:00
Speaker 3: probably a better play for two. Hundred less but those
37:03
Speaker 3: are just my two payups on. This card I'D imagine
37:05
Speaker 3: i have one of the two and a lot of.
37:07
Speaker 3: My lineups, but yeah, give me give me, Sigh here
37:10
Speaker 3: i'm gonna go. Right back And then roberto is the
37:13
Speaker 3: Same as craig, To me he's SOMEBODY who i would
37:16
Speaker 3: want to get TO in mmm lineups, for sure because
37:19
Speaker 3: he can break. The slate he could Knock Out si,
37:21
Speaker 3: sie unproven he COULD submit, sizee well so he could
37:26
Speaker 3: have one hundred points if. He wins it's JUST that
37:28
Speaker 3: I picked i think eight underdogs on this card. To
37:31
Speaker 3: win So when. I'm handbuilding roberto is not One that i'm.
37:34
Speaker 3: CLICKING on i would actually rather Click on craig just
37:36
Speaker 3: because he's a much trickier type. Of fighter so THAT'S
37:40
Speaker 3: why i have this as. A four that other fight is.
37:42
Speaker 3: A five i just prefer both sides of it a little.
37:44
Speaker 3: BIT more i.
37:46
Speaker 2: Agree with you, on that very similar fights. TO me
37:48
Speaker 2: i wrote him out pretty much. THE same i do
37:50
Speaker 2: Prefer the bukalkis fight a little. More like so you're.
37:54
Speaker 2: Exactly right beside ninety five hundred and, MOST cards i wouldn't.
37:57
Speaker 2: Love it it's so much easier on this card to.
37:59
Speaker 2: Do it But if i'm already leaving a good amount,
38:02
Speaker 2: Of salary i'm FINE playing SI if i have zero.
38:05
Speaker 2: Dollars left that's LIKE when I Mentioned sam, hughes EARLIER
38:08
Speaker 2: then i would leave. Three hundred i'm already playing main
38:11
Speaker 2: event Chalk, quay fernandez, chalk chalk. Chalk CHALK then i
38:14
Speaker 2: wouldn't LOVE playing si leaving, out ZERO and i wouldn't
38:18
Speaker 2: love just dropping down two hundred To. Go modestis like
38:21
Speaker 2: people think, that's different. It's not he's probably a better
38:24
Speaker 2: play in, a vacuum like, you said better inside the
38:26
Speaker 2: distance prop better around. One prop, That's why like THAT'S
38:30
Speaker 2: when i Would Play. Sam hughes i'm Not Playing. Brad
38:33
Speaker 2: tavarus i'm Not Playing. William gomis so there's only. So
38:36
Speaker 2: many but like THAT'S why I like. HOOFI even, i
38:39
Speaker 2: mean we'll get to. THAT fight I like ben'oa more.
38:41
Speaker 2: As well but side Down to hoofy seven hundred. RIGHT
38:45
Speaker 2: there i mean you Could argue hoofy has. More upside it's.
38:48
Speaker 2: Really close that just shows how soft the pricing is.
38:52
Speaker 2: This week so gonna play Some SIDE when i, Play
38:56
Speaker 2: him i'm already probably leaving a good amount of salary on.
38:59
Speaker 2: THE table i don't love the idea of playing HIM
39:01
Speaker 2: when i have, zero Dollars unless i'm fading the, main
39:04
Speaker 2: Event fading fernandez doing something different. THAT way i initially Xed,
39:10
Speaker 2: out Robero but i'm almost debating myself like playing like
39:15
Speaker 2: BECAUSE Then i Shawn and bannon. Really underweight i'm debating
39:18
Speaker 2: just flipping that with the sixty eight hundred Dollars, For,
39:21
Speaker 2: NANDEZ like i almost want to force upside assuming we
39:25
Speaker 2: keep all. Fourteen fights what are your thoughts? On, THAT.
39:29
Speaker 3: Yeah i feel like if we start this car the
39:31
Speaker 3: very first fight of the Night and. BANNON wins i
39:33
Speaker 3: don't think you're sitting, there, LIKE damn i can't. Win,
39:35
Speaker 3: NOW no i don't. Have her But if roberto does win,
39:40
Speaker 3: THIS fight i feel like your's got a pretty good
39:42
Speaker 3: chance of being ON the.
39:43
Speaker 2: Opt, LINE yeah I think i'm gonna switch that just
39:46
Speaker 2: for that. Reason alone thanks for helping talk, through it
39:49
Speaker 2: because my mindsets the exact same bandon will. Win more
39:53
Speaker 2: not even that, much though like plus three hundred or
39:55
Speaker 2: plus three thirty versus plus, two sixty so. Relatively Close
39:59
Speaker 2: but roberto plus four hundred inside distance banned plus. Nine hundred,
40:03
Speaker 2: SO yeah i just talked myself. Into it THAT'S why
40:05
Speaker 2: i love doing. These shows and Again. IT'S tuesday, I
40:09
Speaker 2: mean i've already dug in most of the write ups.
40:11
Speaker 2: ARE done i doubt much changes, for me but if,
40:14
Speaker 2: IT does i always make updates in the. Slate plan,
40:16
Speaker 2: TAKE discord i usually take good amount of WEEKS if
40:19
Speaker 2: i see line movement overnight and stuff. Like that definitely
40:23
Speaker 2: is a benefit to be a premium Member at Ship,
40:25
Speaker 2: the Nation And big marley does if you want to
40:27
Speaker 2: get a quick look at. His stuff his fight rankings
40:30
Speaker 2: are up already, as well, so again any updates we
40:34
Speaker 2: let everyone know, IN discord i keep mentioning, this fight
40:38
Speaker 2: so you guys know. My Take william gomy's minus two,
40:40
Speaker 2: Twenty Five robert ruchala plus one, Ninety five goby's plus
40:45
Speaker 2: two eighty five inside The distance richala plus five Point
40:47
Speaker 2: fifty gomy's round one plus. Six fifty this dude's a.
40:51
Speaker 2: Good fighter but the dude is, so boring as you
40:54
Speaker 2: can see his significant strikes per minute three point five,
40:58
Speaker 2: to three takedown have point nine. To nine let me
41:02
Speaker 2: get to his scorers IN. The ufc he has scored
41:09
Speaker 2: three of his four wins have come, by decision where
41:11
Speaker 2: eighty was the most, he scored and then he had
41:13
Speaker 2: a third round finish where he scored a whopping SIXTY nine.
41:16
Speaker 2: DK points i don't think any of those will be enough. This,
41:19
Speaker 2: week again he is a, good fighter which is like,
41:22
Speaker 2: The scary Like if i'm playing one hundred and, FIFTY
41:24
Speaker 2: teams i don't fade. Anyone nowadays i've already got burned too.
41:28
Speaker 2: Many times the first Card, in greece THE cham, iv
41:30
Speaker 2: card like watching all, those underdogs or waking up and
41:33
Speaker 2: SEEING that i Told myself i'm Done if i'm playing all,
41:36
Speaker 2: These teams i'm using, Portfolio diversify i'm Using. Sabers him
41:41
Speaker 2: i'm not doing that stuff. Anymore so But if i'm
41:43
Speaker 2: playing ten teams, or less which again a lot of
41:46
Speaker 2: people do so he try and make stands handbuild like,
41:49
Speaker 2: you say if you're, handbuilding teams, No way I'm. Clicking,
41:52
Speaker 2: Goms honestly i'm Not clicking, richala EITHER because i Do
41:55
Speaker 2: think gomes is GOOD and i think he wins. A
41:58
Speaker 2: decision it's very similar To the. BARS fight i don't
42:01
Speaker 2: like it at ALL because i think the favorites wins.
42:04
Speaker 2: A DECISION but i Prefer bree check Over rich HALL
42:07
Speaker 2: if i have, to pick how do you see that
42:09
Speaker 2: in a? Similar fight and then break down?
42:11
Speaker 3: This ONE yet i think. They're Similar bree check has
42:16
Speaker 3: the higher ceiling if he can get, a knockout but
42:18
Speaker 3: if both, WIN decisions I Like. Ruchala moore but then, This,
42:23
Speaker 3: FIGHT yeah i Just think gomy's just a little bit BETTER,
42:26
Speaker 3: nine k one hundred and. Fifty lineups i'm not Playing,
42:28
Speaker 3: any gomy to be honest, With you i'm mixing THE mat.
42:31
Speaker 2: I don't i've got burned. Too Much i'm i've gone
42:34
Speaker 2: from TAKING stands i mean a little girl and just
42:37
Speaker 2: taking the easy.
42:38
Speaker 3: WAY out, i mean but he is a way you
42:41
Speaker 3: could you could just really. Get different if you want to,
42:43
Speaker 3: play him you shouldn't have much ownership.
42:44
Speaker 2: At.
42:45
Speaker 3: All UH and i do like him to be able
42:48
Speaker 3: to mix in takedowns if he. WANTED to i think
42:51
Speaker 3: he's just a better. Offensive striker he's just so good
42:54
Speaker 3: defensively that that's what is going To hurt ruchala. AS
42:58
Speaker 3: well I think ruchala is the or exciting offensive striker in,
43:02
Speaker 3: this ONE and i actually think he could get a
43:04
Speaker 3: couple of, takedowns himself maybe control the fight long enough
43:07
Speaker 3: to get. THE decision i just don't think it's gonna
43:10
Speaker 3: be clear, at all Especially, in Paris in gomy's, home
43:14
Speaker 3: country everything just Points to gom coasting to a decision
43:19
Speaker 3: win and scoring. Sixty points so it's just dogg. Or
43:22
Speaker 3: pass i'm not going to Be playing ruchala with my
43:26
Speaker 3: twenty or, less lineups but he IS somebody i would
43:28
Speaker 3: get TO if i, was playing, you know even even
43:31
Speaker 3: a little, bit more if like, FORTY lineups i would
43:33
Speaker 3: get to a little Bit. Of rushala so one fifty
43:35
Speaker 3: i'd be fine being around field weight. ON him i
43:37
Speaker 3: Just if I'm if i'm playing three hundred lineups On
43:40
Speaker 3: this i'm just Not. Touching gomy there's just Other ways
43:43
Speaker 3: i'd rather get different on. THIS card i would rather
43:45
Speaker 3: Take out gomy and Put in ruchala in, my lineup
43:48
Speaker 3: to be honest, With You so i'm just gonna completely
43:52
Speaker 3: Act like gomy's not on. This CARD and i think
43:55
Speaker 3: this is an. Easy fade if you're only making a couple,
43:59
Speaker 3: of lineups you stack like this fight. Doesn't exist, this
44:01
Speaker 3: One the tavar's fight And the, huges fight those Are
44:04
Speaker 3: if i'm making a, SINGLE entry i could promise you
44:07
Speaker 3: they're not gonna be.
44:07
Speaker 2: On, IT no, i agree this is my least favorite
44:10
Speaker 2: fight on. THE card i Prefer the. HUGE fight i
44:12
Speaker 2: haven't Prefer the. Tavares, fight again twenty teams, Are, LAST
44:16
Speaker 2: like i probably don't get. Any gomies, But Again i'm
44:21
Speaker 2: i'm REALLY like, I said i'm gonna be the biggest softying,
44:24
Speaker 2: Girl NOW i'm i always look at what the, pros
44:26
Speaker 2: Do sheets rio all that they. Play everyone they're better
44:30
Speaker 2: at this. THAN me I gotta i'm gonna start. To
44:32
Speaker 2: copy that's kind OF how i try to do most
44:35
Speaker 2: of my life follow the people that are sharper. Than
44:37
Speaker 2: you if you think of the sharpest in. THE room
44:39
Speaker 2: i MEAN sometimes i guess you, Might be but more times,
44:42
Speaker 2: THAN that i think that's the wrong mindset. TO have
44:44
Speaker 2: i see what. They do they. PLAY everyone i try.
44:47
Speaker 2: AND combine i. Know fights, In process i'm starting to
44:51
Speaker 2: not know fights as MUCH as i MAYBE thought, i
44:53
Speaker 2: did and starting to go the other way and go.
44:55
Speaker 2: Game theories so we're on the. Same page if you
44:58
Speaker 2: Do see gomes in, my lineup the IN the mme
45:01
Speaker 2: or something, like that that IS why i wanted to.
45:03
Speaker 2: Be transparent, but, yeah garbage. Garbage fight. FOR sure i
45:07
Speaker 2: wanted to look quick at this next fight if it's at.
45:10
Speaker 2: All right so it is at one, fifty five let
45:13
Speaker 2: me it already was one fifty five on. The. Screen
45:16
Speaker 2: cool so this again we Had Far as zeum initially Taken.
45:20
Speaker 2: On Quay fernandez pricing already, came out so we had
45:23
Speaker 2: seventy FOUR hundred z sixty Eight. Hundred quay it was
45:27
Speaker 2: like minus. Three thirty Favorite was. Zeum again condolences to
45:31
Speaker 2: him and. His family his grandma passed absolutely the right
45:34
Speaker 2: move to. NOT fight, i mean in, my opinions he's
45:38
Speaker 2: Out Today harry hardwick, steps in so He's A cage warriors.
45:43
Speaker 2: Featherweight champion THAT'S why i was looking at the weight
45:47
Speaker 2: BECAUSE do i have it right? On there, WHEREAS no.
45:53
Speaker 2: I didn't i, deleted It so i'll do that. Right
45:56
Speaker 2: now but this is one. Fifty Five usually hardwick fights
45:58
Speaker 2: at one, forty five but because it's, short notice they
46:01
Speaker 2: don't make them cut their weight obviously AS much, I
46:04
Speaker 2: mean quay is not going to go down and wait
46:05
Speaker 2: when he initially had, its scheduled but a. Featherweight Champion
46:08
Speaker 2: cage warriors is a very. Known promotion patty plimblet many
46:13
Speaker 2: have came over. From there quay's a pretty solid, fighter striker.
46:17
Speaker 2: For sure he has mixed in one point three takedowns
46:21
Speaker 2: IN his ufc career though minus won fifty five, and
46:24
Speaker 2: again these odds just, came Out so i'm very curious
46:28
Speaker 2: to see where this line goes, it actually so it's
46:31
Speaker 2: bounced around a lot minus one ninety eight open as
46:34
Speaker 2: low as minus. One, twenty now it's been in the
46:36
Speaker 2: minus one fifty range since over two and a, half
46:39
Speaker 2: rounds though open minus one fifty and is minus TWO to.
46:42
Speaker 2: Zh five we're talking about live dogs on, this card
46:45
Speaker 2: live dogs with upside on. This card do you think
46:49
Speaker 2: there's wrestling upside in? This one and then, if not
46:51
Speaker 2: and it goes to decision like what's the average scorer we're, looking, at,
46:55
Speaker 2: because yeah a win at sixty eight hundred is good on,
46:59
Speaker 2: most cards on a lot, of cards it's a lot better.
47:02
Speaker 2: Than good on, this card. IT'S good i mean. It's
47:06
Speaker 2: FINE so i think you can get Away From. CHALK
47:09
Speaker 2: fernandez I think hardwick's interesting as a pivot if he
47:13
Speaker 2: is a lot. LOWER owned i guess it really comes
47:15
Speaker 2: down to what are you putting ownership at at? This
47:18
Speaker 2: fight where does this line end. UP going i will
47:21
Speaker 2: definitely have an Update on FRIDAY before i put everything
47:23
Speaker 2: out in the slate plan with my final thoughts on
47:26
Speaker 2: this one and how it dictates. The card, but yeah
47:29
Speaker 2: initial thoughts on this fight in GENERAL and, dfs wise
47:32
Speaker 2: because not often you see a favorite at sixty.
47:35
Speaker 3: Eight, hundred yeah the sixty eight hundred just makes them,
47:38
Speaker 3: THE best i mean play on paper on the. Entire
47:41
Speaker 3: slate you gotta lock them into cash games, For SURE
47:44
Speaker 3: but i kind of LIKED what i saw It. From
47:48
Speaker 3: hardwick so my plan on this card with limited Lineups
47:53
Speaker 3: is i'm just Gonna, fade fernandez and that's my way,
47:56
Speaker 3: getting Different and i'll play all, these underdogs the other
47:59
Speaker 3: Underdogs that i'll, like Instead. Including hardwick fernandez. Good striker
48:04
Speaker 3: he's the, more dangerous, you know like, one strike he
48:09
Speaker 3: has more power in, his STRIKES and i also think
48:12
Speaker 3: he's the one more likely to wrestle in. THIS fight
48:14
Speaker 3: i would like to see his takedown. Prop out guess it's,
48:18
Speaker 3: you know like around one one and a half something,
48:21
Speaker 3: like THAT but i would, think yeah and AND that's
48:27
Speaker 3: i think it's a tricky fight to prepare for on
48:29
Speaker 3: short Notice, because HARDWICK when i was, watching him he
48:33
Speaker 3: is just a Little mini. Diaz brother he all he wants,
48:36
Speaker 3: to do like he's not putting anything behind, his shots
48:39
Speaker 3: but he doesn't want to give anybody. A break and
48:41
Speaker 3: when you start to, slow down he picks it up
48:43
Speaker 3: and those strikes just start to. ADD up i don't
48:47
Speaker 3: know that he can do That to fernandez, or not,
48:50
Speaker 3: BUT man i think he looks pretty. DAMN good i
48:53
Speaker 3: think HE'S gonna i think he's gonna have some success
48:56
Speaker 3: on the. Striking Here so THAT'S why I think fernandez
48:58
Speaker 3: should switches, game plan look to wrestle a little bit in,
49:02
Speaker 3: this fight and that would help him on. The cards
49:05
Speaker 3: he could also be the one land in the. Harder
49:07
Speaker 3: shots but this is another split decision type. Of fight
49:10
Speaker 3: hardwick has the plus next to. His name he's my
49:13
Speaker 3: preferred play in. This, ONE yeah, I know i'm.
49:16
Speaker 2: WITH you I think i mean at projected Ownership like
49:21
Speaker 2: hardwick's going to be more, Expensive again i'm thinking probably
49:24
Speaker 2: in the seventy, five hundred seventy six hundred, ballpark somewhere
49:29
Speaker 2: more expensive leverage off of one of the chalkiest fighters on,
49:32
Speaker 2: the Card and quake can still win and not get,
49:34
Speaker 2: there again it's minus two h five for over two and.
49:37
Speaker 2: A half there's a lot of high upside dogs on,
49:40
Speaker 2: this Card so i'm going to fade some of. These
49:42
Speaker 2: fights i'll probably Be, Underweight fernandez i'll probably Be. Overweight,
49:46
Speaker 2: hardwick Now if i'm getting a feeling if the line
49:48
Speaker 2: starts shrinking, a bit if more and more people are
49:51
Speaker 2: saying that and they think they can get leveraged, that
49:53
Speaker 2: way we still do have fourteen fights at the end of,
49:56
Speaker 2: THE day i think you Can play quay main event
49:59
Speaker 2: and still unique lineups that are not crazy on. This
50:02
Speaker 2: card maybe it Requires A. Sam, Hughes again i'll be
50:05
Speaker 2: fine mixing. Her in but maybe it's just You Play
50:09
Speaker 2: trey waters Instead Of sam patterson and you just left nineteen.
50:12
Speaker 2: Hundred dollars but you have, main event You Have ben
50:15
Speaker 2: wah who has all the upside in. A win you
50:18
Speaker 2: play like One Of. Dila typura that fight has a lot,
50:21
Speaker 2: of upside like you Play Gustuson. Fokker dinov like that
50:25
Speaker 2: mid tier is. So loaded you can see that mid
50:28
Speaker 2: tier outscore in the upper tier, a lot and then
50:31
Speaker 2: There's a patterson Down. To waters waters has a bunch.
50:34
Speaker 2: Of upside, next thing, you know you left eighteen hundred on.
50:36
Speaker 2: The table you sacrifice money, line odds but you sacrifice
50:41
Speaker 2: no upside in TERMS of, Dfs scores Like we're barrow if.
50:45
Speaker 2: HE wins, i mean it's probably a favorite that there's
50:48
Speaker 2: six hundred plus being left on the table when it's
50:51
Speaker 2: all said. And Done so i'll definitely be. Leaving Money
50:54
Speaker 2: if I'm, playing kuay i will definitely be. Leaving money
50:57
Speaker 2: hardwick is someone though that RIGHT now i projected ownership
51:00
Speaker 2: And how i'm thinking. About it he's a, leverage play
51:03
Speaker 2: very live. TO win i love what you said. About
51:05
Speaker 2: him just touch and go a pace choist movement on
51:09
Speaker 2: the feet is. Pretty tough it's a. Good fight it's
51:11
Speaker 2: definitely a. Good FIGHT but I prefer hardwick right NOW
51:14
Speaker 2: for dfs. As well let. Me, refresh OKAY so i
51:18
Speaker 2: just added. His record he's the, same age very, similar
51:22
Speaker 2: HEIGHT and i could not find a couple of these
51:25
Speaker 2: guys MAKING the. UFC debut i couldn't find. Their reach
51:28
Speaker 2: but all of that is in. Right now no inside
51:31
Speaker 2: the distance prop but over minus over two and a
51:33
Speaker 2: half minus two pH five we're probably looking at like
51:36
Speaker 2: plus one eighty. To finish that's not, very good which
51:39
Speaker 2: shows that you can get away from this fight even
51:42
Speaker 2: at both. Dog prices, all right big stretch, right there my.
51:48
Speaker 2: Office chair.
51:49
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Two, things well we skipped, a fight first,
51:52
Speaker 3: of all and, then next what do you think you're the?
51:56
Speaker 3: Cash king what do you think about stacking this fight
51:59
Speaker 3: over THE event i save.
52:01
Speaker 2: THAT money i don't think you need to save, THE money.
52:04
Speaker 2: I think, and again If what i'm saying right now
52:08
Speaker 2: is not, HOLD true i will MAKE sure i make
52:10
Speaker 2: that note for the. PREMIUM members i would be SHOCKED
52:13
Speaker 2: if i ESPECIALLY because I think hardwicke will be priced
52:16
Speaker 2: to like seventy, Seven hundred like at, that POINT do
52:19
Speaker 2: i Just play reyes McKee like at plus one fourteen?
52:22
Speaker 2: Or SOMETHING but i think you can stayck main Event.
52:25
Speaker 2: PLAY quay, i mean how much are you left? Right,
52:27
Speaker 2: there like like you can easily jam three favorites and
52:33
Speaker 2: the fight it's the main event over four and a
52:36
Speaker 2: half is favored at minus one, Ninety Five so i'm
52:39
Speaker 2: getting twenty five minutes of. These, GUYS no i couldn't.
52:43
Speaker 3: Do, IT yeah I doubt I, play cash but when
52:48
Speaker 3: a favorite gets priced as, AN underdog i always think.
52:50
Speaker 2: About it at least you. Play, Him yeah, i'm like
52:53
Speaker 2: my guess right now is my core Will Be Quay,
52:55
Speaker 2: kyle ebovov and you figure out the next. Three spots
52:58
Speaker 2: you should have three favorites after that to. Make, Work
53:02
Speaker 2: yeah i'm picking those. Three favors might be pretty tough
53:06
Speaker 2: because upside is tough in the, upper tier but that's
53:09
Speaker 2: my guess. Right Now how i'll go? For cash do,
53:12
Speaker 2: remember again twelve eastern start time for people On the
53:15
Speaker 2: west coast. Like myself. NINE am i mean not everyone's up.
53:19
Speaker 2: That early people. Work night just whatever, it is make
53:21
Speaker 2: sure to get your lineups in set. An alarm college
53:24
Speaker 2: Football on, Saturday too go, Football, football mma. Football football, come,
53:29
Speaker 2: on man it's that time, of Year, super punk what's?
53:32
Speaker 2: Going on? Little neck great to see absolutely crush the
53:35
Speaker 2: preseason STREETS in nfl for himself and. The members, all,
53:40
Speaker 2: right yeah let's circle back to the FIGHT that i
53:42
Speaker 2: did skip by accident TO another ufc Debut Wher losan
53:46
Speaker 2: cada Taking on Patricio. Pit bull We have kada minus,
53:50
Speaker 2: two Hundred pit bull plus one seventy plus one fifty
53:54
Speaker 2: for this fight, To finish kata plus two to thirty
53:56
Speaker 2: five inside, The distance patricio plus four. Point fifty take.
54:00
Speaker 2: It away what are? We?
54:01
Speaker 3: Doing really probably not doing a whole lot, with IT
54:06
Speaker 3: but i am okay with either side of. This fight
54:09
Speaker 3: this is my favorite of the two stars, for Sure
54:13
Speaker 3: because kada is just a dangerous. Looking dude he, looks powerful,
54:18
Speaker 3: he's aggressive he, throws big, looping shots and if one of, them,
54:22
Speaker 3: connects man he can knock Out pit bull and really,
54:26
Speaker 3: any round but more, likely early with a type of
54:30
Speaker 3: power and explosiveness that. He has if he doesn't get, the,
54:35
Speaker 3: KNOCKOUT though i think it's gonna be a, close Fight
54:38
Speaker 3: and pitbull has more ways to. Win it he could look.
54:40
Speaker 3: For takedowns he's gonna be the more dangerous grappler in.
54:42
Speaker 3: This one he could even win a striking. Match here
54:45
Speaker 3: it's just that it's not gonna be high paced no
54:47
Speaker 3: matter what. He does he's coming off a five takedown
54:50
Speaker 3: Win and elands scored eighty, five points didn't even average
54:53
Speaker 3: a minute of, Control time, SO yeah, i mean definitely take,
54:58
Speaker 3: eighty FIVE but i just don't feel good about. HIM
55:01
Speaker 3: winning i don't feel good Enough about cada getting. The
55:04
Speaker 3: knockout so it's just it's One where i'm fine tossing both.
55:07
Speaker 3: Guys in maybe you do get the win From, Pit
55:09
Speaker 3: bull i'm okay being around field, on him and then
55:12
Speaker 3: if you get the Knockout, from cata he's not going
55:14
Speaker 3: to be too owned on, this Card so i'm fine
55:16
Speaker 3: getting some of him. As well but it's closer to
55:19
Speaker 3: a three star for sure than a. One star I'm
55:21
Speaker 3: picking kata to get the, knockout though Just because i'd
55:24
Speaker 3: rather see, that win like if i'd rather see him
55:27
Speaker 3: win rather than a slower Paced pit.
55:29
Speaker 2: Bull, DECISION yeah i see it pretty much the same.
55:33
Speaker 2: As you i'm Picking pit bull just. TO wrestle i
55:37
Speaker 2: prefer the sixteen hundred savings that dog MONEY that i
55:39
Speaker 2: see next, to him way. More EXPERIENCE but, i mean
55:44
Speaker 2: like what he Did against ega. Was IMPRESSIVE like i
55:46
Speaker 2: Look at egay, relatively High and patricio JUST the ufc
55:51
Speaker 2: vetted even though he's not a he EXPERIENCED THE ufc
55:55
Speaker 2: vet guy and he mixed martial arts. Really well Also,
55:59
Speaker 2: Pit bull i'll only been knocked out twice in. His
56:02
Speaker 2: career you see thirty seven. And eight this dude's been
56:04
Speaker 2: around for a. Long time he definitely has. A, chin
56:06
Speaker 2: however obviously he's taking a lot of damage the. More
56:09
Speaker 2: fights it only takes one shot for that chin. To
56:12
Speaker 2: Go but kada's round one prep like plus two thirty
56:14
Speaker 2: five inside the, distance good plus six fifty round one.
56:18
Speaker 2: Not great but he will be lo low owned in the,
56:21
Speaker 2: upper tier Especially when i'm Not, playing Gomis when i'm Not,
56:24
Speaker 2: Playing tavares like he's similar To A sam hughes more
56:28
Speaker 2: likely to get. A finish I Think sam hughes is
56:30
Speaker 2: more likely to like wrestle or get a third round,
56:33
Speaker 2: Finish maybe but if you're leaving little salary and you're,
56:36
Speaker 2: pretty chalky drop down from him Modestas. To cada only
56:40
Speaker 2: leave four hundred and then you Can, play quay you
56:43
Speaker 2: can play the. Main event like That's how I'LL play.
56:45
Speaker 2: kDa Lineups if i'm leaving, Fifteen hundred i'm not likely
56:49
Speaker 2: To play cada. That much so it's a very much
56:52
Speaker 2: game theory oriented slate and certain FIGHTERS that i don't
56:57
Speaker 2: LOVE when i, Play them i'm gonna be using them a,
56:59
Speaker 2: lot more specifically in chalk your lineups again and closer or,
57:06
Speaker 2: when yeah chalk. Your LINEUPS when i leave less SALARY
57:09
Speaker 2: than i will in other Lineups that, i'm leaving like,
57:11
Speaker 2: Sixteen hundred i'm more likely to Play moodestis asi a
57:15
Speaker 2: hoofy something. Like that let's get to a Fight that i'm,
57:19
Speaker 2: calling for low key fight of the night. RIGHT here
57:21
Speaker 2: i think this has potentially an. ABSOLUTE banger I Love mason.
57:24
Speaker 2: Jones Fights, MINUS oh i.
57:28
Speaker 3: Thought we were Going To. Bukowski's craig, i'm, like what.
57:30
Speaker 2: Oh, my, gosh, yeah, no, no, no yeah We are
57:33
Speaker 2: WHAT am? I? Doing man i'm all over. THE place
57:35
Speaker 2: i went from seven to five. TO six i was going,
57:37
Speaker 2: to three back. To four this Ain't No. PAUL craig
57:41
Speaker 2: i don't know if ever it. Can be in a
57:42
Speaker 2: fight of, the night you can get a performance of
57:44
Speaker 2: the performance.
57:45
Speaker 3: Of the night, LIKE uh, i mean that would have
57:46
Speaker 3: been mad low KEY though.
57:48
Speaker 2: I was i was wondering why your face. WENT bad i,
57:50
Speaker 2: was like, oh gosh you can get performance Like. The, nightmares,
57:54
Speaker 2: yeah yeah definitely, performance, yeah yeaheah definitely ain't no fight
57:58
Speaker 2: of the, Night, though yeah, all right makes sense why you?
58:00
Speaker 2: Did that minus. Three fifty let's go to the proper
58:03
Speaker 2: one and then we'll get to. My sleeper fight of
58:05
Speaker 2: The night bucaucus minus Three Fifty paul craig plus two
58:09
Speaker 2: eighty five minus three twenty five for this fight To
58:11
Speaker 2: finish bukawcus minus one seventy five inside The distance craig
58:16
Speaker 2: plus Four hundred bucaucus round one plus one Ninety striker
58:20
Speaker 2: Bukaucus Raptler. PAUL craig, i mean if, ANYONE fights i
58:25
Speaker 2: mean we've seen. It Recently paul craig, is like what
58:28
Speaker 2: one in six recently it's been bad. For him if
58:31
Speaker 2: you go in with the game plan of not going
58:34
Speaker 2: to the mat the mat. Is Lava Against, paul craig you're.
58:37
Speaker 2: GONNA win i mean The bow nickel fight. Was awful
58:40
Speaker 2: but like the nice thing when you're Playing Against paul
58:43
Speaker 2: craig is you have like four plus knockdown ability because
58:47
Speaker 2: if you're, smart knockdown you don't follow him get up
58:50
Speaker 2: unless you see his eyes roll back and you really
58:52
Speaker 2: get him. That way but if he has any wits,
58:55
Speaker 2: about him you're dumb to jump in. His guard that's
58:57
Speaker 2: exactly where he. Wants you, stand up knock you. Down
59:00
Speaker 2: again let's just keep going until. You quit who was
59:04
Speaker 2: it The the herdzog fight with the five six? Whatever knockdowns?
59:08
Speaker 2: THAT was i don't think we see. It here but
59:11
Speaker 2: if there's any opponent someone can rack up knockdowns, like
59:13
Speaker 2: that it's someone Going Against. Paul craig if you play,
59:16
Speaker 2: it SMART See i medestas is an. Easy play expect
59:19
Speaker 2: him to be one of the highest one in the.
59:21
Speaker 2: Upper tier but a second, round knockout a third round
59:24
Speaker 2: knockout like there's pass where he doesn't. Get there so
59:27
Speaker 2: by no MEANS am i locking? This fight how do
59:29
Speaker 2: you see? This? Fight uh what do you think you're
59:31
Speaker 2: gonna do.
59:32
Speaker 3: For, OWNERSHIP yes i mean it definitely could. Be Boring
59:36
Speaker 3: if bukowskis doesn't get, the, knockout uh then he's not
59:40
Speaker 3: putting up a big score at all because he's not
59:42
Speaker 3: gonna go out there and Wrestle against craig and it's
59:44
Speaker 3: gonna be a slow pace. Striking match so it's a knockout,
59:46
Speaker 3: our bust an early knockout our Bust for bukowskis. As
59:49
Speaker 3: WELL so i don't really love him on. THIS card.
59:52
Speaker 3: I don't i think you could have no five stars on,
59:56
Speaker 3: this card to be honest.
59:57
Speaker 2: With, you sure but, in fight in, my Opinion it's
1:00:00
Speaker 2: Pokardo and banaf And b wa fight. For ME but
1:00:05
Speaker 2: i agree like. Probably, NONE yeah i.
1:00:07
Speaker 3: Mean it might change mind to all four because those
1:00:09
Speaker 3: they all. Are similar i'm Worried about bukowskis, That way
1:00:14
Speaker 3: but at the, same time he should be firing bombs
1:00:17
Speaker 3: while this fight is on, the FEET and i think
1:00:19
Speaker 3: he does Knock, Out Craig so I'm picking bukowski's first
1:00:21
Speaker 3: round knockout put up a. Big score if he doesn't
1:00:24
Speaker 3: get the first, round knockout might as well. Fade him
1:00:27
Speaker 3: there's gonna be underdogs that'll score more than him, and
1:00:29
Speaker 3: wins And then craig is Just somebody i'm always gonna
1:00:33
Speaker 3: Play when i'm making, you know a handful of lineups
1:00:35
Speaker 3: or him, and me because if, he wins he's probably
1:00:38
Speaker 3: putting up ninety plus points by a. Submission win IT'S just,
1:00:43
Speaker 3: i mean he's figured out at. This point don't just
1:00:44
Speaker 3: don't get tricked into going to, the ground don't let
1:00:46
Speaker 3: him grab your leg and or get you tripped or anything.
1:00:50
Speaker 3: Like that just keep. Your distance fire a couple bombs here,
1:00:53
Speaker 3: and there and you should. Be Fine but craig is
1:00:56
Speaker 3: just always a GUY that i want some exposure to
1:00:59
Speaker 3: because he cans ruin your. Night fast but plukawskis by
1:01:03
Speaker 3: knockout in this one and closer to a four star
1:01:06
Speaker 3: than it, is locking that's.
1:01:08
Speaker 2: For, sure, Definitely yeah i'm not locking. ANY fight, i,
1:01:12
Speaker 2: Mean man. I'D faded, I mean i had so much.
1:01:14
Speaker 2: SWEET dreams i lost a ton of money in, that
1:01:16
Speaker 2: one and ever, Since then, I'm like i'm always Gonna Play. Paul,
1:01:19
Speaker 2: CRAIG well i should never have. DONE that i should
1:01:21
Speaker 2: have faded on every fight. After that he's definitely costing.
1:01:24
Speaker 2: Me money he has, the upside like, you said but
1:01:27
Speaker 2: you had one point that really, stood OUT and. I
1:01:29
Speaker 2: agree you kind. Of agree, you said if he doesn't
1:01:32
Speaker 2: get a first, round knockout he's probably, not OPTIMAL which
1:01:35
Speaker 2: i tend. TO agree i do think past second. ROUND
1:01:37
Speaker 2: knockout i mean there's multiple, knockdown upsides so like it wouldn't.
1:01:41
Speaker 2: Be crazy and we said ninety five might be enough on. This,
1:01:45
Speaker 2: card however if more than likely a first round, or
1:01:48
Speaker 2: bust he's plus one ninety in round one thirty four
1:01:52
Speaker 2: and a. Half percent i'm taking this. FROM you i
1:01:54
Speaker 2: love how you got me into. This stuff we haven't
1:01:57
Speaker 2: projected at forty nine. Percent owned that's a pretty. Big
1:02:00
Speaker 2: gap that looks like a pretty bad play. On, paper
1:02:04
Speaker 2: again how it's how you play the chalk roster, construction
1:02:08
Speaker 2: wise ALL that i am a lot more likely to
1:02:11
Speaker 2: leave chunks of money with Modestas when i'm. Playing him
1:02:14
Speaker 2: do not just go build a team and go side
1:02:17
Speaker 2: Take Out sigo modesta's and leave. Two hundred you are
1:02:20
Speaker 2: absolutely not doing anything cute. At all now if you're
1:02:23
Speaker 2: already Like Playing william gomi's in, the lineup fading the,
1:02:27
Speaker 2: Main event, Like sure i'm not saying in. Every scenario
1:02:30
Speaker 2: but just don't think dropping side in modestas is. Getting
1:02:33
Speaker 2: different there's a lot of ways to get different on. This.
1:02:35
Speaker 2: Card modestas i'm gonna be playing probably a good amount
1:02:39
Speaker 2: of him good inside of this, is prop good round,
1:02:42
Speaker 2: one prop knock, Down upside but be smart how you,
1:02:45
Speaker 2: play HIM because i do think he's one of the
1:02:47
Speaker 2: chalkiest on the slate since salary is, really loose and
1:02:49
Speaker 2: when you see plus one ninety in round one and
1:02:52
Speaker 2: his odds being like, fifteen percent or his ownership being
1:02:55
Speaker 2: like fifteen percent higher than that round one prop when
1:02:58
Speaker 2: he has no wrestling, up side when he's pretty, low
1:03:01
Speaker 2: volume there's obvious concerns for this fight out to get
1:03:04
Speaker 2: there at high ownership on.
1:03:06
Speaker 3: That, SIDE yeah i actually think he would have been
1:03:09
Speaker 3: like thirty six thirty eight Percent if ziem was still on.
1:03:13
Speaker 3: This card but because everybody can afford, quay now you're
1:03:17
Speaker 3: getting an inflated ownership on both Those guys See. And
1:03:23
Speaker 3: bukowskis now you're not to take ten percent more ownership
1:03:27
Speaker 3: if you're willing to eat that that price because everyone
1:03:30
Speaker 3: can afford it now.
1:03:31
Speaker 2: And all those the upper tier, inflated prices And, Because
1:03:35
Speaker 2: Gomey's tavaris, hughes like there's clear ones that people. Don't
1:03:38
Speaker 2: love it's going to go to, the sea To, the
1:03:41
Speaker 2: bacaucis to, the hoofies like. You said and on the,
1:03:43
Speaker 2: flip side, the dogs the, pre checks, the waters, the
1:03:47
Speaker 2: mckey's all of them went way down because they's a
1:03:50
Speaker 2: lot easier to go to. That fight so that it
1:03:53
Speaker 2: changed the whole dynamic of this card and it made
1:03:56
Speaker 2: it really fun TO be, i mean it was already
1:03:58
Speaker 2: good with fourteen fights and he, but like people Didn't,
1:04:01
Speaker 2: like zim people didn't the same upper tier fighters we
1:04:03
Speaker 2: still don't. Really like people didn't like and. The like it.
1:04:07
Speaker 2: Just condensed it was a lot more condensed ownership of
1:04:10
Speaker 2: like where people. Were going now it's just a bunch
1:04:13
Speaker 2: of people. Go quay all the other lower tier stuff.
1:04:16
Speaker 2: Spread out a bunch of condensed ownership though went more
1:04:19
Speaker 2: spread out up top to now more condensed on those upper,
1:04:23
Speaker 2: tier guys and it lowered a little bit of mid
1:04:24
Speaker 2: tier ownership because again salary is very loose on. THIS
1:04:28
Speaker 2: card a lot of the casuals that are just clicking
1:04:31
Speaker 2: buttons Handbuilding on Saturday or, friday night they want to
1:04:35
Speaker 2: leave their they want to leave. Little money they always
1:04:38
Speaker 2: try and use. Their money they're gonna be clicking those
1:04:40
Speaker 2: top tier, Guys naturally and THAT'S why i could go
1:04:44
Speaker 2: modestas Down, TO hoofy i could go modestas Down. TO
1:04:47
Speaker 2: kyo i could go modestas DOWN to i mean Like the,
1:04:51
Speaker 2: taibura fight like Down To. Goose gustafson i'm fine doing
1:04:56
Speaker 2: all of that at the end of. The day, SO
1:04:59
Speaker 2: YEAH i i want to leave some money on, This
1:05:01
Speaker 2: slate there's no doubt. About that but that's is definitely my.
1:05:04
Speaker 2: Prefer Play if, craig wins though he can score, one
1:05:07
Speaker 2: hundred he can get ninety five like he can. Pull
1:05:10
Speaker 2: Guard if blukalucus jumps, in it it's probably bad news bearers.
1:05:14
Speaker 2: For him, all right three. Fights left now he can
1:05:17
Speaker 2: get to my sneaky fight Of. THE knights i can't
1:05:19
Speaker 2: mess this. One up three. Two one i'm going to
1:05:22
Speaker 2: get this order right To Finish mason jones minus one
1:05:25
Speaker 2: Thirty Five blagi okie plus one fifteen minus one oh
1:05:29
Speaker 2: five or, excuse me plus one fifteen for this fight
1:05:33
Speaker 2: to Finish both Okie and jones plus two to seventy
1:05:36
Speaker 2: five inside. The distance so we see right Here, On
1:05:39
Speaker 2: saturday jones minus one. Fifty five now he's minus one.
1:05:43
Speaker 2: Thirty five this fight was plus one off, or yeah
1:05:46
Speaker 2: plus one oh five To. Finish saturday now it's plus.
1:05:48
Speaker 2: One fifteen okie. Taking money the over taking money part
1:05:53
Speaker 2: of the REASON why i said sneaky fight of the,
1:05:55
Speaker 2: night too like most fight Of the knights to go
1:05:57
Speaker 2: into the third round because it's so bad and fourth
1:06:00
Speaker 2: high pace banger. Like that that doesn't necessarily mean GREAT.
1:06:04
Speaker 2: For dfs i'll let you talk, about IT but I Mean, Green,
1:06:08
Speaker 2: green green one point. Twenty, four like both guys can do,
1:06:12
Speaker 2: a lot both guys are good mixed. Martial artists i'm
1:06:15
Speaker 2: expecting real. Fun fight i'm excited for. This one how
1:06:18
Speaker 2: do you?
1:06:18
Speaker 3: See, It, YEAH sam i think this is our fight of.
1:06:21
Speaker 3: The night it's gonna be uh in, MY opinion a,
1:06:24
Speaker 3: fifteen minute, high PACED full mma striking A full mma
1:06:29
Speaker 3: match where either guy can and probably will look to
1:06:33
Speaker 3: mix in a takedown or two throughout, this fight and
1:06:37
Speaker 3: either guy could land one hundred plus strikes in a
1:06:40
Speaker 3: fifteen minute striking match. As well so this is another
1:06:43
Speaker 3: ONE where i just thought it was a pick, and
1:06:45
Speaker 3: FIGHT and I picked oki because he had the plus
1:06:47
Speaker 3: next to. HIS name I think jones is the more.
1:06:49
Speaker 3: Technical striker he's the. More uh he could try to
1:06:53
Speaker 3: drown you with, his Pace but okie can put up
1:06:55
Speaker 3: the same pace and he just has more behind. HIS
1:06:58
Speaker 3: shots i Do think joeones is more likely to wrestle
1:07:03
Speaker 3: more or like attempt to chain wrestle more in, this
1:07:06
Speaker 3: Fight but oki is the, stronger fighter And maybe jones
1:07:10
Speaker 3: isn't gonna be able to, land him And also okie
1:07:12
Speaker 3: could use that power to land takedowns of. HIS own
1:07:15
Speaker 3: i just think this is gonna be, a fun a.
1:07:18
Speaker 3: FUN fight i don't know if that's gonna TRANSLATE to dfs.
1:07:21
Speaker 3: Or not THAT'S why i put it as a, three
1:07:23
Speaker 3: everywhere three stars three for. Each. Guy uh but my
1:07:26
Speaker 3: preferred Play is oki because he's Cheaper and i'm picking him.
1:07:31
Speaker 3: To win it's another One where i'd be fine Though
1:07:33
Speaker 3: if saber sim gives me close to the, same ownership
1:07:36
Speaker 3: Even though i'm Not picking jones, to win Just because
1:07:40
Speaker 3: i'd be fine going Away from Bukowskis or see and
1:07:43
Speaker 3: just going Down to jones and getting that much different on,
1:07:46
Speaker 3: this card this is Gonna be i'm gonna set a
1:07:47
Speaker 3: record for the most amount, of salary probably.
1:07:49
Speaker 2: Believe it on.
1:07:50
Speaker 3: This Card and i'm not even gonna be Playing. FOR
1:07:52
Speaker 3: nandez i don't.
1:07:52
Speaker 2: THINK so i mean that, makes sense it makes. Total
1:07:55
Speaker 2: sense so. We'll see this is ONE where i felt
1:08:00
Speaker 2: Very confident oki was higher Owned than jones before all this.
1:08:04
Speaker 2: WENT down i still think. HE might, i mean it's
1:08:07
Speaker 2: minus one, thirty five, One fifteen like how this odds
1:08:09
Speaker 2: have been going like minus one twenty at the end of,
1:08:13
Speaker 2: the day we could see this close that like who
1:08:15
Speaker 2: knows where this. Line goes But now, i'm thinking like
1:08:18
Speaker 2: man like people will just have so, much money like
1:08:21
Speaker 2: not many want To go Jones. To Okie like i've
1:08:24
Speaker 2: Build a. Jones lineup if it's, pretty chalky drop him
1:08:26
Speaker 2: down To, ok right there's a thousand without. Sacrificing anything
1:08:30
Speaker 2: at the end of. The, day again we keep preaching
1:08:32
Speaker 2: leaving money you. CAN leave i know people are gonna
1:08:35
Speaker 2: ask in, the discord like how much is too much?
1:08:37
Speaker 2: TO leave i really, Don't know to, Be honest i'm
1:08:39
Speaker 2: probably gonna put my cap at like forty six or
1:08:42
Speaker 2: Five with sabersim And TRUST sabersim I doubt i leave
1:08:46
Speaker 2: any lineups with thirty. FIVE hundred i. Don't know i'd
1:08:48
Speaker 2: really look at those LINEUPS where i leave, A Bunch
1:08:52
Speaker 2: but i've Gonna let sabersim do. His Thing if i'm
1:08:55
Speaker 2: leaving twenty, Four hundred i'm fine. With that on, THIS
1:08:57
Speaker 2: card i. Really am and again That's what. I'M saying
1:09:00
Speaker 2: i think the best people sheets and like you're gonna
1:09:02
Speaker 2: see the average dupes at like four, At five like
1:09:06
Speaker 2: it's really easy to get different on. This, card again
1:09:08
Speaker 2: assuming we keep all, fourteen fights great fight. To Target
1:09:13
Speaker 2: mason jones was my preferred play because. THE leverage i.
1:09:17
Speaker 2: DON'T know i don't have a preferred play at the
1:09:19
Speaker 2: end of. THE day i don't THINK if i had
1:09:21
Speaker 2: thirty twenty five either side or whatever, It was i'd
1:09:24
Speaker 2: be totally good. WITH it i just think it's a.
1:09:26
Speaker 2: Great fight I'll Pick mason, jones THOUGH because i do
1:09:30
Speaker 2: think he is more likely to wrestle mix his martial
1:09:32
Speaker 2: arts a. Little better, but man he's so. Hit able
1:09:36
Speaker 2: he wears it. So bad he's, so white like he
1:09:40
Speaker 2: just some of those some people wear it a lot better.
1:09:43
Speaker 2: Than others so if we get a fifteen Minute war
1:09:46
Speaker 2: oki looks better in the face when it's all said.
1:09:48
Speaker 2: And done maybe he. Gets it great fights. At targets
1:09:50
Speaker 2: i'm pumped. For, it yeah, good one good one to. Tune,
1:09:55
Speaker 2: into yeah good one to. Tune into like, you said
1:09:57
Speaker 2: it doesn't necessarily means a TRAN, to dfs like if
1:10:02
Speaker 2: it isn't wrestling and they just both land one hundred
1:10:05
Speaker 2: and thirty significant strikes like a great war a, great
1:10:08
Speaker 2: fight but that doesn't mean it SCORES for dfs if there's.
1:10:11
Speaker 2: No knockdowns, so yeah it's gonna be pretty, low on
1:10:15
Speaker 2: though it's definitely a. Pivot fight main events, right there
1:10:18
Speaker 2: only Higher on Hoofy ben wa fight, right there higher
1:10:21
Speaker 2: round mid, Tiers Strong so i'm definitely gonna use that
1:10:24
Speaker 2: as a. Pivot fight. All right two fights left great co.
1:10:28
Speaker 2: Main Events mauricio hoofi minus Two Hundred Bnoir saint denis
1:10:33
Speaker 2: plus one seventy minus three twenty five for this fight,
1:10:36
Speaker 2: To finish hoofy minus one forty inside, The distance binoah
1:10:40
Speaker 2: plus two Eighty five hoofy round one plus two. Fifty
1:10:45
Speaker 2: five so this fight opened minus two hundred To Finish.
1:10:48
Speaker 2: Big marley now we're looking at minus three to, twenty
1:10:50
Speaker 2: five one of the best fights to target on. THE card,
1:10:54
Speaker 2: I mean I'LL say i think the odds got a
1:10:56
Speaker 2: little too wide in. THIS one i think people are
1:10:58
Speaker 2: jumping off The ben wa train. Too Fast striker Hoofi
1:11:03
Speaker 2: wrestler benoa in front of. His hometown benoi sure, is hittable,
1:11:08
Speaker 2: but man that dude will fight for your dollar more
1:11:10
Speaker 2: than almost anybody. Out there so at plus, one seventy
1:11:13
Speaker 2: getting the wrestler in front of, his, Home yeah i'm
1:11:17
Speaker 2: gonna Be on benoa with that fourteen. Hundred savings he
1:11:19
Speaker 2: has just as. Much upside i'll argue he has. More
1:11:22
Speaker 2: UPSIDE and i don't even know who's gonna argue. Against,
1:11:24
Speaker 2: me like you Tell me, Benoa win do you Tell
1:11:26
Speaker 2: me hoof? HE wins i Think ben wah averages more
1:11:29
Speaker 2: points in. Those wins i'm definitely gonna Play some, hoofi
1:11:32
Speaker 2: THOUGH and I prefer hoofi, TO say, i think Just
1:11:37
Speaker 2: because i'm Expecting ben wah to bring, that fight to
1:11:39
Speaker 2: bring that pressure To force houfi to. Do something if he,
1:11:43
Speaker 2: does win at least, one knockdown probably a first second,
1:11:47
Speaker 2: round finish something, like that maybe he catches Them, Like poorier,
1:11:50
Speaker 2: But yeah I'm picking benoan on. THIS one i think
1:11:52
Speaker 2: the line and the Hate on benoa has gone a little.
1:11:55
Speaker 2: Too far the Hype on houfi maybe a little. Too
1:11:57
Speaker 2: high so looks like you agree based on. The, RANKINGS yeah.
1:12:02
Speaker 3: I do I mean I like coofy. A lot i
1:12:04
Speaker 3: think He's like connor McGregor esque with. His striking he's
1:12:08
Speaker 3: got the potential to be one of the best strikers IN.
1:12:10
Speaker 3: The ufc just the angles he, throws at the power
1:12:14
Speaker 3: he throws. IT with i think he could knock out
1:12:16
Speaker 3: a lot, of guys and he could Knock Out saint.
1:12:19
Speaker 3: Denis here but if he doesn't Knock Out, SAINT denis
1:12:22
Speaker 3: i THINK that bsd can keep it close enough on
1:12:25
Speaker 3: the feet to where if he is laying takedowns in,
1:12:27
Speaker 3: this fight that could be enough to steal it and
1:12:29
Speaker 3: he could get, you know from two to eight takedowns
1:12:31
Speaker 3: in this matchup and possibly dominate. The fight look like
1:12:34
Speaker 3: he should have been a minus three. Hundred favorite, So
1:12:37
Speaker 3: yeah sant denis one of my favorite plays on. The
1:12:40
Speaker 3: slate i'll be overweight for sure. ON him i WOULD
1:12:44
Speaker 3: guess i get at this point because his ownership is
1:12:47
Speaker 3: gonna come down Because. OF fernandez i might have triple
1:12:50
Speaker 3: the FIELD on bsd in, this ONE but i do
1:12:53
Speaker 3: Want some Hoofy because bsd's been hit, a lot and
1:12:58
Speaker 3: hoof he could knock, him out like, really right he
1:13:01
Speaker 3: could get a sixty second bonus just the way. He, does,
1:13:04
Speaker 3: hey GUYS so i like. Both, guys yeah.
1:13:07
Speaker 2: And talk about someone that doesn't wear it, Very Well.
1:13:09
Speaker 2: BEN wah i mean he's taking, a lot a lot
1:13:11
Speaker 2: of damage in his, recent fights and THAT'S why i
1:13:14
Speaker 2: like it. So Much ben wile will fight for, your
1:13:16
Speaker 2: dollar continue to, walk forward which either gives his ponent
1:13:19
Speaker 2: a big score or if he wins that wrestling upside is.
1:13:23
Speaker 2: Very good this is one of my favorite fights for
1:13:25
Speaker 2: sure to target on the. Card again build a side
1:13:28
Speaker 2: team goes Side. To hoofy that's, seven hundred and just
1:13:31
Speaker 2: keep giving examples on examples on examples of why it
1:13:34
Speaker 2: is so easy to leave money on. This card main.
1:13:38
Speaker 2: Event time appreciate ever hanging out coming up on an,
1:13:40
Speaker 2: hour FIFTEEN but, i, Mean hey i'm really happy to.
1:13:43
Speaker 2: Be back it's been a. Little while fourteen fights is more,
1:13:46
Speaker 2: than normal And That quay fernandez Fight with zium and
1:13:50
Speaker 2: the pricing just added a whole, different dynamics so we
1:13:53
Speaker 2: really wanted to talk in depth about the change to the.
1:13:57
Speaker 2: Card Again ben wase ownership went from a little higher,
1:14:01
Speaker 2: to lower poofys went from a little lower, to higher
1:14:04
Speaker 2: and a lot of the fights did like, we mentioned
1:14:06
Speaker 2: just because of a favorite at sixty eight hundred dollars
1:14:10
Speaker 2: mid tier Main Events Kyle Bohio naserdein imovov minus One
1:14:14
Speaker 2: thirty kyle plus, One ten imovov plus one fifty for
1:14:18
Speaker 2: this fight, To finish imovov plus two to eighty inside
1:14:22
Speaker 2: The distance kyo plus. Three FIFTY so, i loved so
1:14:27
Speaker 2: this is my open plus one fifteen to finish now plus.
1:14:29
Speaker 2: ONE fifty i loved over four and a half rounds
1:14:33
Speaker 2: at open minus. ONE ten i saw it at minus.
1:14:35
Speaker 2: One forty now it's minus one, ninety FIVE so i can't. Bet,
1:14:40
Speaker 2: that unfortunately both, these, Guys though i'll just give my.
1:14:44
Speaker 2: Pick quick I'm. ON imovov i don't understand why this
1:14:47
Speaker 2: line isn't a coin flip. AT worst i think you
1:14:50
Speaker 2: can stuff, the takedowns And definitely kyle's the, better Grappler
1:14:54
Speaker 2: but i'm not even Convinced if kyle tries to shoot.
1:14:57
Speaker 2: Or Something if imovov gets a. TRIP or, I mean
1:14:59
Speaker 2: I think imovov is, really GOOD and i think he's only.
1:15:02
Speaker 2: GETTING better i think he's the better striker. AS well
1:15:05
Speaker 2: i think he's the more. DANGEROUS striker i truly don't get.
1:15:07
Speaker 2: This line i'm very well My. Bet imovov. WE'LL see,
1:15:11
Speaker 2: I mean i'll have a million if MAYBE if I
1:15:13
Speaker 2: ship Thursday OR friday NFL and i have some, more
1:15:16
Speaker 2: cheese there's gonna be so much money and play. This
1:15:18
Speaker 2: weekend i'm NOT sure i really need to take these really.
1:15:22
Speaker 2: Slim margins definitely to watch, live BETTING but I know
1:15:25
Speaker 2: i'm On the. IMOVOV side i don't understand. The LINE but,
1:15:29
Speaker 2: dfs WISE if i Don't think kyle, can WRESTLE which
1:15:32
Speaker 2: i don't think, HE can i think it stays on.
1:15:34
Speaker 2: The feet the over keeps. Getting pounded both these guys
1:15:38
Speaker 2: don't average more than four point five significant strikes. Per minute.
1:15:42
Speaker 2: BIG cage, i, MEAN man i could see this fight
1:15:45
Speaker 2: being a twenty Like, an ortega even maybe a little
1:15:51
Speaker 2: slower pace like and Again al joe. Got there there
1:15:54
Speaker 2: was more wrestling upside in. That one but on. The
1:15:57
Speaker 2: feet you Know what, i'm saying? How boring, first round,
1:15:59
Speaker 2: second round, third round. Et cetera if there's no takedowns
1:16:03
Speaker 2: and there's, no finish eighty five is, in play eighty
1:16:08
Speaker 2: two is. In play let me grab WHAT did? I?
1:16:13
Speaker 2: Uh so we had against the cannoneer Fight, for kyo
1:16:17
Speaker 2: he landed one hundred and fifty three, significant strike scored
1:16:19
Speaker 2: one oh five with. A knockdown you take away, that
1:16:23
Speaker 2: knockdown he scores. NINETY five i don't think he lands
1:16:25
Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty three significant Strikes. Against imovov so,
1:16:29
Speaker 2: right there you could see an eighty six easily Go.
1:16:32
Speaker 2: Into imovov he scored ninety Against cannon ear and got
1:16:36
Speaker 2: a fourth. Round finish so we just got two EXAMPLES
1:16:39
Speaker 2: that i can easily see that you score less than ninety. Five,
1:16:43
Speaker 2: points again maybe nineties enough on, This card maybe ninety three,
1:16:47
Speaker 2: Is enough but if you're talking ninety, PERCENT ownership i
1:16:50
Speaker 2: will take. My chances It's not i'm gonna Be. Overweight
1:16:53
Speaker 2: imovov i'm gonna Be. Underweight kyo i'm gonna have fight
1:16:56
Speaker 2: fades on this, fight though And maybe i'm way to
1:17:00
Speaker 2: the fight fade. As well how do you see? It
1:17:02
Speaker 2: going very very interesting DYNAMIC. For, DFS yeah i.
1:17:07
Speaker 3: REALLY don't i don't have really anything to add. TO
1:17:09
Speaker 3: that i think everything that YOU mentioned i. WOULD give
1:17:13
Speaker 3: i was Okay with brojo being a very slight favorite
1:17:16
Speaker 3: based on him having the, grappling edge maybe having more ways.
1:17:19
Speaker 3: To WIN but i just Think that imovov's wrestling is
1:17:22
Speaker 3: going to be good enough to where this is going
1:17:23
Speaker 3: to be a striking match for most of, the FIGHT
1:17:26
Speaker 3: and i do think it plays out over the course
1:17:27
Speaker 3: of twenty. FIVE minutes I give imovov a slight, striking
1:17:31
Speaker 3: edge and, then uh It's, in Paris that's. Imovov's territory,
1:17:35
Speaker 3: SO yeah i agree on the line that The whole.
1:17:38
Speaker 3: PARIS thing i almost think it could be flipped because,
1:17:40
Speaker 3: of that but the judges are corrupted. EITHER way i
1:17:43
Speaker 3: don't think judges, really care but, We'll, see uh. We'll see,
1:17:47
Speaker 3: BUT yeah i think that you could definitely make a
1:17:49
Speaker 3: case for fading this fight and more more laps than the.
1:17:53
Speaker 3: Field will but it's just it fits so well with
1:17:56
Speaker 3: that that, mid RANGE and i if trying to, be
1:18:00
Speaker 3: different like are you different Going from bukowskis to one
1:18:03
Speaker 3: of these guys just leaving that? MUCH more i feel
1:18:05
Speaker 3: like maybe, You ARE but i don't, like.
1:18:07
Speaker 2: Yeah because you're making the other. Spots different it's not necessarily,
1:18:11
Speaker 2: dropping that but like just that you Played the, tybura
1:18:15
Speaker 2: fight like then you're technically going you Know what, I'm
1:18:18
Speaker 2: SAYING like i, Don't, think yeah it's the other five
1:18:20
Speaker 2: fights that you're really, Getting different like.
1:18:22
Speaker 3: That's, TRUE yeah, I mean i'm gonna have a good amount.
1:18:25
Speaker 3: OF it i like clicking on both sides. Of IT
1:18:27
Speaker 3: but i agree Overweight, and, Nevov underweight braljo and. Probably,
1:18:31
Speaker 3: it yeah you might have talked to me in a
1:18:33
Speaker 3: change of this to a four star and just being
1:18:35
Speaker 3: overweight to the fading on, the FIGHT but i expect
1:18:37
Speaker 3: it to be a, fun fight second or third funest
1:18:41
Speaker 3: fight on. The card and these these last three really
1:18:45
Speaker 3: just are the ONES that i want to make SURE
1:18:47
Speaker 3: that i. Don't MISS if i am tuning into, THIS
1:18:49
Speaker 3: card I hope i'm not dead by, that point because
1:18:51
Speaker 3: those will be some good ones to sweat it out with.
1:18:54
Speaker 2: FOR sure, i mean a great real life fight Like middle,
1:18:57
Speaker 2: way contention the winner very well Might. Fight tamia let me,
1:19:00
Speaker 2: ask you do you think or do you think it
1:19:02
Speaker 2: depends on. The performances do you think it's one of
1:19:04
Speaker 2: the winner of this one do you think it's the
1:19:06
Speaker 2: WINNER of R d R AND fluffy R Dy r.
1:19:10
Speaker 3: FLUFFY alright I mean i Actually think fluffy beats both
1:19:13
Speaker 3: these guys in the. Same NIGHT he's i love. HIS
1:19:16
Speaker 3: style i have To see fluffy Verse versus. Tremaya, that
1:19:19
Speaker 3: yeah it's gonna be.
1:19:20
Speaker 2: SO good i want to see that fight. SO bad
1:19:22
Speaker 2: I think tramiav just might knock.
1:19:24
Speaker 3: Him, out, yeah yeah, that's true. HE might I think
1:19:28
Speaker 3: tremaiav would. Dominate early but if the fourth fifth, And yeah, fluffy, finished.
1:19:34
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah which we did say AGAINST, d dp we
1:19:36
Speaker 2: thought it turned BUT d dp had NOTHING and i, said,
1:19:39
Speaker 2: IT man i, Was like i'm kno going To bet
1:19:41
Speaker 2: tramiah in minus two. Twenty, five well that was. A
1:19:43
Speaker 2: mistake i should.
1:19:44
Speaker 3: Have PUT the i just Went on TREMIAH. For DFS
1:19:48
Speaker 3: but i don't even think. It Mattered i'm i'm pretty
1:19:50
Speaker 3: sure it was actually might have been like a break
1:19:53
Speaker 3: even type. OF car i don't EVEN remember.
1:19:54
Speaker 2: I lost there was so, much wild wild stuff. IN
1:19:57
Speaker 2: that i mean you called It her nandez he think
1:20:00
Speaker 2: him at the end of round one the first Fight
1:20:02
Speaker 2: the morales against That kaz kazakhstan guy who was a
1:20:07
Speaker 2: big favorite on The tough morales dominated. THAT fight i
1:20:11
Speaker 2: mean it was the one that hurt, ME wild i forget.
1:20:15
Speaker 2: WHO else, i, mean oh that was a good knight.
1:20:17
Speaker 3: For ME oh i had. The Nuts if peak were not,
1:20:20
Speaker 3: THE nuts i would have liked want. To Qualify if pico,
1:20:24
Speaker 3: wo oh and he.
1:20:26
Speaker 2: Was doing, good early ye HAD larn i mean it
1:20:28
Speaker 2: was all that was a wild. Wild card, BUT yeah
1:20:32
Speaker 2: i really got. NOTHING else i mean, fourteen fights our twenty,
1:20:36
Speaker 2: talking fights Twelve Pm, Eastern, Paris france. Fingers crossed we keep.
1:20:41
Speaker 2: All fourteen everything will Be, up friday. Like always if,
1:20:44
Speaker 2: anything changes will add stuff in the, slate plan in the,
1:20:47
Speaker 2: fight rankings, ownership projections. Everything up this will be. Color coded.
1:20:52
Speaker 2: Phenomenal card you can definitely. LEAVE salary i think we
1:20:56
Speaker 2: covered it. Really well any final thoughts before we get
1:20:58
Speaker 2: on out.
1:20:59
Speaker 3: OF here i think we crushed IT and i think
1:21:02
Speaker 3: it will be a good, profitable card nice bankroll booster
1:21:05
Speaker 3: FOR this. Nfl, Season man i'm so pumped for. This
1:21:08
Speaker 3: weekend but good luck all around, To, you title good
1:21:10
Speaker 3: luck to. Everybody listening congrats. Once. Again title check Out
1:21:13
Speaker 3: his twitter if you don't know what. That's about, but
1:21:16
Speaker 3: yeah good, luck everybody let's.
1:21:17
Speaker 2: Ship it thank you, Very Much. Bigger mouther You enjoy
1:21:20
Speaker 2: You're a saturday at different. Sporting events very fun there
1:21:24
Speaker 2: definitely more important than. Watching fights but we'd love to
1:21:27
Speaker 2: have you at Ship a. Nation again This early bird
1:21:29
Speaker 2: SPECIAL for nfl Will. End, thursday also do, have weekly monthly.
1:21:33
Speaker 2: Annual packages if you do play other sports gets you
1:21:37
Speaker 2: in the Ship in. Nation games as you, can see
1:21:39
Speaker 2: seventy nine thousand plus a lot of, cash prizes and
1:21:42
Speaker 2: that only can go up as the year. Goes on
1:21:46
Speaker 2: let's win some money. This week i'm loving. This card
1:21:49
Speaker 2: i'm feeling good. About it hopefully one of us you
1:21:51
Speaker 2: can run Back. That Friday maybe I'll, take thursday You,
1:21:54
Speaker 2: take FRIDAY or i mean we can Both. TAKE friday
1:21:57
Speaker 2: I got, Chiefs game. Xavier work they helped me. Last
1:22:00
Speaker 2: year maybe we'll both be up top On.
1:22:02
Speaker 3: That friday some assho will put like the same lineup
1:22:05
Speaker 3: in six or eight TIMES when i shifted some finally.
1:22:08
Speaker 2: Split, ME yeah i remember that and you still got paid.
1:22:11
Speaker 2: SO good, i, mean, oh brutal but not brutal you
1:22:14
Speaker 2: uh you always, remember that, but hey what was on,
1:22:17
Speaker 2: eight thousand one hundred. AND twelve i got A big
1:22:20
Speaker 2: way check.
1:22:21
Speaker 3: Back here my dad got me this check for it
1:22:23
Speaker 3: one hundred. And twelve remember.
1:22:24
Speaker 2: That's awesome. That's, awesome yeah Good Luck big MARLEE. In
1:22:28
Speaker 2: nfl we'll be talking every WEEK, in. Mma though good
1:22:31
Speaker 2: luck to everybody. Out there like a bunch subscribe button
1:22:33
Speaker 2: on the way out helps a ton. Enjoy it best
1:22:36
Speaker 2: time of. The year do not take it for Granted
1:22:39
Speaker 2: For big marley. Untitled talent, good luck, be safe piece
1:23:01
Speaker 2: nother an bast.
1:23:05
Speaker 1: Have Still, nether An, bst.
1:23:11
Speaker 2: Haven still mother any n
1:23:17
Speaker 1: And then was Still Nother han dost