Latest / Serious Trouble / Hacks
Transcript
- 0:08SPEAKER_01: Hi, it's Ken White.
- 0:10SPEAKER_01: And it's Josh Barrow, and this is Serious Trouble.
- 0:13SPEAKER_01: Ken,
- 0:13SPEAKER_01: I actually want to start this week with Elon Musk,
- 0:16SPEAKER_01: who has produced a couple of new legal controversies for us to talk about.
- 0:20SPEAKER_01: I want to talk first about an antitrust suit that he has brought.
- 0:24SPEAKER_01: suing a federation of advertisers that withheld advertising from Twitter.
- 0:29SPEAKER_01: There's a group called the World Federation of Advertisers.
- 0:33SPEAKER_01: It has constituent companies, including CVS, Unilever, Mars, the candy concern.
- 0:39SPEAKER_01: Basically,
- 0:40SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 0:40SPEAKER_01: they got together and they said some things about their concerns about the way that
- 0:44SPEAKER_01: Twitter was being operated under Elon Musk and many of the companies in the
- 0:47SPEAKER_01: Federation withheld their advertising.
- 0:50SPEAKER_01: And Elon Musk basically says this is an antitrust violation that you have unlawful
- 0:54SPEAKER_01: collusion among these companies.
- 0:56SPEAKER_01: that is harmful to his business at Twitter or at X, as it is called now.
- 1:01SPEAKER_01: And so he filed suit against them.
- 1:02SPEAKER_01: And as we'll talk about in a moment,
- 1:04SPEAKER_01: he filed suit in a very specific place in Texas,
- 1:06SPEAKER_01: trying to get a very specific judge.
- 1:08SPEAKER_01: But I want to first talk about the antitrust claim itself.
- 1:12SPEAKER_01: We normally don't think about antitrust as a key matter in these speech-related
- 1:17SPEAKER_01: elements of litigation that we talk about.
- 1:19SPEAKER_01: But the idea that companies can't get together and agree on the way that they're
- 1:23SPEAKER_01: going to deal with some other company in the marketplace does sound like the sort
- 1:28SPEAKER_01: of thing that might sometimes be an antitrust claim.
- 1:30SPEAKER_01: So does Musk have a point here that it's unlawful for other companies to get together,
- 1:36SPEAKER_01: band together and make shared demands of Twitter that if they don't meet,
- 1:39SPEAKER_01: they withhold their business?
- 1:40SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 1:41SPEAKER_02: So the answer,
- 1:42SPEAKER_02: Josh,
- 1:42SPEAKER_02: is that he's referencing a doctrine that could be relevant in some circumstances,
- 1:48SPEAKER_02: but not here.
- 1:49SPEAKER_02: The widespread consensus of people who know antitrust law seems to be that it's nonsense,
- 1:55SPEAKER_02: that it's frivolous on its face.
- 1:57SPEAKER_02: First of all, Twitter is not competing with
- 2:01SPEAKER_02: with Mars and Unilever and CVS.
- 2:05SPEAKER_02: Okay, and so the antitrust laws are designed to protect competition.
- 2:09SPEAKER_02: And one of the prerequisites to saying that a group boycott is an antitrust
- 2:13SPEAKER_02: violation is that it's directed at a competitor trying to prevent a competitor from competing.
- 2:19SPEAKER_02: That's just not the circumstances here.
- 2:22SPEAKER_02: This is Musk complaining basically about customers
- 2:26SPEAKER_02: that customers have gotten together and decided not to use him because they don't
- 2:30SPEAKER_02: want their advertising running next to Nazi stuff.
- 2:34SPEAKER_02: Second of all,
- 2:34SPEAKER_02: although a group boycott by a group of competitors can potentially be antitrust
- 2:41SPEAKER_02: when it's directed at suppressing a competitor,
- 2:44SPEAKER_02: One of the key exceptions is it has to be when they do that for commercial purposes.
- 2:49SPEAKER_02: When they do it for political or social purposes, then it does not qualify as an antitrust violation.
- 2:57SPEAKER_02: And here, the people are saying basically we don't want our ads to run next to Nazi stuff.
- 3:02SPEAKER_02: So the consensus among everyone who understands antitrust is that it's really a
- 3:08SPEAKER_02: reach and it's just more performative litigation.
- 3:12SPEAKER_02: And one tell on that is that,
- 3:14SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 3:15SPEAKER_02: for serious stuff or what counts for serious stuff in Elon Musk's world,
- 3:20SPEAKER_02: he tends to use Quinn Emanuel,
- 3:22SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 3:22SPEAKER_02: a mega firm company.
- 3:24SPEAKER_02: full up of annoying ex-AUSAs, very powerful, very aggressive.
- 3:29SPEAKER_02: This one he farmed out to one of the firms he uses when he's doing crazy stuff.
- 3:33SPEAKER_02: So that's a tell.
- 3:35SPEAKER_01: And I mean,
- 3:35SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 3:36SPEAKER_01: a lot of the litigation that we've covered with Elon Musk,
- 3:38SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 3:38SPEAKER_01: some of it has been serious in the sense of,
- 3:40SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 3:40SPEAKER_01: he's even won some of it.
- 3:41SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 3:42SPEAKER_01: and the stuff about his compensation package in Delaware,
- 3:45SPEAKER_01: for example,
- 3:46SPEAKER_01: that was,
- 3:46SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 3:46SPEAKER_01: a very live controversy where it was not,
- 3:49SPEAKER_01: neither side was making a frivolous argument.
- 3:51SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 3:52SPEAKER_01: even though there was a clear controversy over,
- 3:53SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 3:54SPEAKER_01: exactly what sort of,
- 3:55SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 3:56SPEAKER_01: compensation terms and approvals of compensation are allowed under Delaware law.
- 4:00SPEAKER_01: So, I mean, so you do see some of those lawsuits where he gets real lawyers and does a real thing.
- 4:05SPEAKER_01: This you're saying basically appears to be for a public relations purpose.
- 4:09SPEAKER_02: Yeah, or just using his money to suppress people he's mad at.
- 4:14SPEAKER_02: I mean, this is the guy who famously said, fuck you to advertisers, literally at a speech.
- 4:21SPEAKER_02: And now he's mad that they don't want to advertise with them.
- 4:25SPEAKER_02: Sometimes things both sound ridiculous and are ridiculous.
- 4:29SPEAKER_02: The problem is the way litigation works in America is even if it is ridiculous, it's ruinously expensive.
- 4:36SPEAKER_02: So the Global Alliance for Responsible Media,
- 4:39SPEAKER_02: which is the nonprofit entity that was coordinating these sort of best practices
- 4:46SPEAKER_02: for social media about how to place advertisements and not placing them next to
- 4:51SPEAKER_02: Nazi stuff,
- 4:52SPEAKER_02: has shut down.
- 4:54SPEAKER_02: You know, as a nonprofit of limited means, it just can't afford to litigate a mega case like this.
- 5:00SPEAKER_02: And there's no point in continuing it as an entity.
- 5:04SPEAKER_02: So to that extent, Elon Musk has already won and, you know, he's already gloated.
- 5:08SPEAKER_02: The usual suspects who support him are already talking about how Congress should go
- 5:14SPEAKER_02: after more entities who do this.
- 5:17SPEAKER_02: And they're portraying it as a victory for the First Amendment, which is, of course, exactly opposite.
- 5:22SPEAKER_02: because this is a situation where companies are exercising First Amendment rights
- 5:27SPEAKER_02: to choose where to advertise.
- 5:30SPEAKER_01: I wonder about the extent to which,
- 5:32SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 5:32SPEAKER_01: this nonprofit that is sort of a sub-entity of this World Federation of Advertisers,
- 5:38SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 5:38SPEAKER_01: one interpretation of that is that Musk has exhausted their financial resources.
- 5:42SPEAKER_01: Another interpretation of that is that,
- 5:43SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 5:44SPEAKER_01: this is sort of a special purpose entity created by these very well-financially
- 5:48SPEAKER_01: resourced corporations like Unilever,
- 5:50SPEAKER_01: right?
- 5:51SPEAKER_01: And why pour money into defending a nonprofit when you can just close it?
- 5:55SPEAKER_01: If Unilever has future needs to coordinate around advertising,
- 5:58SPEAKER_01: they can do it under the auspices of another entity.
- 6:00SPEAKER_01: So I wouldn't jump to the conclusion here that Elon Musk has made it too
- 6:04SPEAKER_01: financially painful for companies to either boycott his company or to coordinate
- 6:10SPEAKER_01: around boycotting his company.
- 6:11SPEAKER_01: He's just affected the entity here.
- 6:14SPEAKER_01: So I'm not disputing your claim that litigation can be punitive or ruinously expensive,
- 6:20SPEAKER_01: but certainly he hasn't ruined Unilever.
- 6:22SPEAKER_01: And I don't think that he has foreclosed the opportunity to do similar advertiser
- 6:26SPEAKER_01: boycotts against him in the future.
- 6:28SPEAKER_01: I mean, of course, there's all these companies that still have not returned to X to advertise.
- 6:32SPEAKER_02: No,
- 6:32SPEAKER_02: but I mean he's shown that he can go after a nonprofit or an entity of modest means
- 6:38SPEAKER_02: that's used as a vehicle to do these types of expression and freedom of association.
- 6:44SPEAKER_02: And you're right.
- 6:45SPEAKER_02: This has really resulted in more people leaving Twitter, of course, because –
- 6:50SPEAKER_02: Companies are kind of outraged that someone tells them,
- 6:54SPEAKER_02: screw you,
- 6:55SPEAKER_02: I want you to advertise with me,
- 6:56SPEAKER_02: and I'll attack you and sue you if I don't.
- 6:59SPEAKER_02: That's pretty outrageous to people, and it's a form of sort of political gesturing.
- 7:06SPEAKER_01: In the spirit,
- 7:06SPEAKER_01: by the way,
- 7:07SPEAKER_01: of being fully accurate and avoiding potential defamation lawsuits from Elon Musk,
- 7:10SPEAKER_01: I think we should note he didn't say fuck you to advertisers.
- 7:12SPEAKER_01: He said, go fuck yourself.
- 7:13SPEAKER_02: That's true.
- 7:14SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 7:15SPEAKER_02: It's not the passive voice, which is good rhetoric, I guess.
- 7:20SPEAKER_01: And so Elon Musk had filed this lawsuit before Judge Reed O'Connor, who's in sort of North Texas.
- 7:26SPEAKER_01: And there's the Northern District of Texas in the federal courts where you can file.
- 7:29SPEAKER_01: And there's many judges there.
- 7:30SPEAKER_01: That includes Dallas and Fort Worth.
- 7:32SPEAKER_01: But it's one of the districts where if you file in a specific place in a specific county,
- 7:37SPEAKER_01: then you get a judge who is locally located there,
- 7:39SPEAKER_01: which I guess is convenient if you want to,
- 7:41SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 7:41SPEAKER_01: if you want to litigate in Wichita Falls and all the parties are in Wichita Falls,
- 7:45SPEAKER_01: they don't have to drive to Dallas for court.
- 7:48SPEAKER_01: The problem is that this allows for judge shopping,
- 7:50SPEAKER_01: that if you file in Wichita Falls,
- 7:51SPEAKER_01: you're going to get Judge Reed O'Connor because it's such a small place.
- 7:55SPEAKER_01: And so Elon Musk has previously sued Media Matters for America there.
- 7:58SPEAKER_01: He tried that again here, but it doesn't seem to have worked.
- 8:01SPEAKER_01: Judge Reed O'Connor has recused himself from this case.
- 8:04SPEAKER_01: And I guess that might be because he owns stock in Unilever.
- 8:07SPEAKER_01: So, you know, people are worried about him being biased in favor of Elon Musk.
- 8:10SPEAKER_01: But this is actually a potential conflict of interest in favor of one of the defendants.
- 8:14SPEAKER_02: Right, because Musk is suing Unilever.
- 8:16SPEAKER_02: The judge owns Unilever stock.
- 8:18SPEAKER_02: There's been talk that he also owns Tesla stock,
- 8:20SPEAKER_02: which could cause some issues when Elon Musk is involved,
- 8:23SPEAKER_02: even though Tesla itself is not a party.
- 8:26SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 8:26SPEAKER_01: There's been controversy about that, right?
- 8:28SPEAKER_01: There has been.
- 8:28SPEAKER_01: Because the idea is Tesla is not a party to this suit.
- 8:31SPEAKER_01: And so it's an ambiguous question whether that's a conflict of interest.
- 8:34SPEAKER_01: But Unilever definitely is a party to the suit.
- 8:36SPEAKER_02: So just to clarify something,
- 8:38SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 8:38SPEAKER_02: the federal courts are divided into districts,
- 8:41SPEAKER_02: which are generally gigantic.
- 8:43SPEAKER_02: So California has four districts.
- 8:45SPEAKER_02: Texas has four districts.
- 8:47SPEAKER_02: And within each district, sometimes there is a division.
- 8:51SPEAKER_02: So like here in Los Angeles,
- 8:54SPEAKER_02: you've got the division that's for Orange County and the division that's for the
- 8:58SPEAKER_02: Inland Empire here.
- 8:59SPEAKER_02: And in some cases,
- 9:00SPEAKER_02: you can file at a particular division and that can be a way to get a particular
- 9:05SPEAKER_02: pool of judges or even only one judge.
- 9:08SPEAKER_02: So that's the way in which you can go judge shopping like this.
- 9:12SPEAKER_02: And actually,
- 9:12SPEAKER_02: Texas is extremely notorious for this in the federal courts,
- 9:18SPEAKER_02: particularly not just now in very politically charged cases over things like
- 9:23SPEAKER_02: abortion and abortion.
- 9:25SPEAKER_02: The Biden administration's attempts to waive school loans,
- 9:29SPEAKER_02: but also especially in terms of patent trolls,
- 9:33SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 9:34SPEAKER_02: people who basically buy up patent rights just for the purpose of making bogus
- 9:38SPEAKER_02: claims on those patents and extorting money out of people.
- 9:41SPEAKER_02: Texas is notorious in some divisions for being a haven for that type of bad faith
- 9:47SPEAKER_02: litigation and for putting up with it.
- 9:50SPEAKER_01: There's another matter involving Elon Musk, which involves him and Donald Trump.
- 9:54SPEAKER_01: Donald Trump appeared for an interview on the Twitter platform.
- 9:58SPEAKER_01: There were,
- 9:58SPEAKER_01: of course,
- 9:59SPEAKER_01: technical difficulties,
- 10:00SPEAKER_01: as happens when Elon Musk tries to do these big interviews.
- 10:03SPEAKER_01: It happened with the launch of the Ron DeSantis presidential campaign,
- 10:07SPEAKER_01: which makes it a little bit amazing to me that Donald Trump even agreed to go into
- 10:11SPEAKER_01: the
- 10:11SPEAKER_01: platform that was so disastrous for Ron DeSantis' launch.
- 10:15SPEAKER_01: But so he went on for this interview with Elon Musk, which did not break a lot of news.
- 10:18SPEAKER_01: Turns out interviewing is actually a skill.
- 10:21SPEAKER_01: And Elon Musk is not a professional interviewer, did not seem to do a very good job of it.
- 10:25SPEAKER_01: But there was one bit of news in that Donald Trump praised Elon Musk for what he
- 10:30SPEAKER_01: perceives to be Elon Musk's treatment of workers who would like to unionize,
- 10:33SPEAKER_01: basically saying,
- 10:34SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 10:34SPEAKER_01: people threaten to unionize and you fire them and that's great.
- 10:37SPEAKER_01: We actually have some sound of this.
- 10:39SPEAKER_03: Well, you, you're the greatest cutter.
- 10:40SPEAKER_03: I mean, I look at what you do.
- 10:42SPEAKER_03: You walk in and you just say, you want to quit?
- 10:44SPEAKER_00: They go on strike.
- 10:46SPEAKER_03: I won't mention the name of the company, but they go on strike and you say, that's okay.
- 10:49SPEAKER_03: You're all gone.
- 10:51SPEAKER_03: You're all gone.
- 10:51SPEAKER_03: So every one of you is gone and you are the greatest.
- 10:54SPEAKER_03: You would be very good.
- 10:55SPEAKER_03: Oh, you would love it.
- 10:56SPEAKER_03: But, you know, if you look at our.
- 10:58SPEAKER_03: I'd be happy.
- 10:59SPEAKER_03: Congratulations.
- 11:00SPEAKER_01: And so after that commentary,
- 11:02SPEAKER_01: the United Auto Workers Union has filed a complaint with the National Labor
- 11:07SPEAKER_01: Relations Board against both Elon Musk and Donald Trump,
- 11:10SPEAKER_01: saying that they are illegally threatening to retaliate against union workers or
- 11:15SPEAKER_01: against workers for attempting to unionize.
- 11:17SPEAKER_01: And that's, you know, a violation of federal labor law.
- 11:20SPEAKER_01: and that there should be penalties for them under the National Labor Relations Act because of that.
- 11:25SPEAKER_01: And I guess my question about this is,
- 11:26SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 11:27SPEAKER_01: this seems obviously like political commentary or business commentary.
- 11:32SPEAKER_01: Doesn't Donald Trump have a First Amendment right to tell Elon Musk that,
- 11:35SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 11:36SPEAKER_01: he thinks it's great that Elon Musk would fire people for unionizing?
- 11:39SPEAKER_01: Yes.
- 11:39SPEAKER_01: Just because something is illegal,
- 11:41SPEAKER_01: generally,
- 11:41SPEAKER_01: you're still allowed to say that it's good that people would do the illegal things.
- 11:45SPEAKER_02: Yes, he does.
- 11:47SPEAKER_02: The National Labor Relations Act,
- 11:49SPEAKER_02: which,
- 11:50SPEAKER_02: despite the best efforts of Trump and various other people,
- 11:53SPEAKER_02: still exists.
- 11:54SPEAKER_02: says that you can't retaliate against or punish workers for engaging in union
- 12:00SPEAKER_02: activity and you can't threaten or use violence against them to prevent it uh and
- 12:05SPEAKER_02: that sort of thing so you can't threaten your workers and say if you try to
- 12:10SPEAKER_02: unionize i'll fire you all or something like that that would be a threat in
- 12:15SPEAKER_02: violation of the national labor relations act section 8a specifically but
- 12:21SPEAKER_02: The Supreme Court and other courts have said that in evaluating whether or not
- 12:26SPEAKER_02: you've threatened to retaliate against someone in violation of the act,
- 12:29SPEAKER_02: you have to protect the First Amendment by using what is in effect a true threats analysis.
- 12:35SPEAKER_02: So remember that generally threats are only outside the First Amendment if a
- 12:40SPEAKER_02: reasonable listener knowing the context would interpret it as a genuine statement
- 12:44SPEAKER_02: of intent to do harm.
- 12:46SPEAKER_02: And you on some level intended that or were reckless about it.
- 12:50SPEAKER_02: So what the courts have said here is that jokes that a reasonable person wouldn't
- 12:55SPEAKER_02: take as a threat are not violations of the act.
- 12:59SPEAKER_02: That political rhetoric is not a violation unless someone knowing all the
- 13:03SPEAKER_02: circumstances would consider it to be a threat.
- 13:06SPEAKER_02: So this is, I think –
- 13:08SPEAKER_02: quite far from being an actionable threat.
- 13:12SPEAKER_02: And the best example I have to show why that's the case is the site,
- 13:17SPEAKER_02: The Federalist,
- 13:19SPEAKER_02: and its proprietor,
- 13:20SPEAKER_02: Ben Dominich.
- 13:22SPEAKER_02: Ben Dominich,
- 13:23SPEAKER_02: possibly best known for being married to Meghan McCain,
- 13:28SPEAKER_02: and which may be a Twilight Zone punishment on both of them.
- 13:31SPEAKER_02: Ben had a joke on Twitter where he said something in effect while talking about
- 13:36SPEAKER_02: unions that if,
- 13:38SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 13:38SPEAKER_02: my writers at the Federalist ever unionize,
- 13:41SPEAKER_02: I'm going to send them to the salt mines.
- 13:43SPEAKER_02: Clearly a joke.
- 13:44SPEAKER_02: And but someone filed an NLRB complaint, someone not.
- 13:49SPEAKER_02: at the Federalist, but outside.
- 13:51SPEAKER_02: An administrative law judge bought it.
- 13:53SPEAKER_02: And the Third Circuit said, no, no, come on, guys, no.
- 13:57SPEAKER_02: Because this is clearly a joke.
- 13:58SPEAKER_02: It's on Twitter where you expect jokes.
- 14:01SPEAKER_02: It's not actually directed at anyone.
- 14:03SPEAKER_02: It's not in the context of an actual labor dispute.
- 14:06SPEAKER_02: Any reasonable person,
- 14:08SPEAKER_02: particularly seeing that,
- 14:09SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 14:09SPEAKER_02: Ben is a elbow thrower and the Federalist is very opinionated,
- 14:14SPEAKER_02: would understand it that way.
- 14:16SPEAKER_02: And the First Amendment requires that we interpret the National Labor Relations Act
- 14:20SPEAKER_02: normally only to apply to true threats.
- 14:22SPEAKER_02: So here you've got an overtly political dialogue with a candidate for president who
- 14:29SPEAKER_02: is known to be bombastic,
- 14:32SPEAKER_02: speaking with a – I don't know what you'd call Musk – who is known to be bombastic.
- 14:38SPEAKER_02: shit talking about things and uh it doesn't even name the company trump's just
- 14:43SPEAKER_02: saying what i admire you is my perception is that you'd fire strikers musk doesn't
- 14:48SPEAKER_02: turn that into your right and in fact i'm specifically going to fire everyone at
- 14:52SPEAKER_02: tesla if they go on strike so protected by the first amendment a long long way away
- 14:57SPEAKER_02: from a labor violation and this is this is a stunt so this is uh
- 15:03SPEAKER_02: You know,
- 15:04SPEAKER_02: the United Auto Workers and specifically Sean Fain of the UAW filing these two
- 15:11SPEAKER_02: things against Trump.
- 15:12SPEAKER_02: I don't even know what the theory would be on Trump because he's not the target of the alleged threat.
- 15:18SPEAKER_02: He's not targeting his own workers.
- 15:19SPEAKER_02: Well, I guess Trump has his own employees, right?
- 15:21SPEAKER_02: Yeah, but it's really just a stunt and an attention getter.
- 15:26SPEAKER_01: So I actually understand it less as regards Elon Musk because Elon Musk didn't say any of this.
- 15:32SPEAKER_01: I mean, it's Trump saying, I want you on my commission to cut government spending.
- 15:35SPEAKER_01: And then Trump has this discursive thing about,
- 15:37SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 15:38SPEAKER_01: you're so great at cutting spending by,
- 15:39SPEAKER_01: for example,
- 15:40SPEAKER_01: firing your workers if they ever,
- 15:42SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 15:43SPEAKER_01: suggest that they're going to unionize.
- 15:45SPEAKER_01: And then he and then Trump pivots to talk about Argentina.
- 15:47SPEAKER_01: And Elon Musk says,
- 15:48SPEAKER_01: well,
- 15:48SPEAKER_01: I'd be happy to help out,
- 15:49SPEAKER_01: which is a reference again to the request to Elon Musk,
- 15:52SPEAKER_01: which is to sit on some cost cutting commission.
- 15:54SPEAKER_01: So Elon Musk didn't say anything at all about his workers.
- 15:58SPEAKER_01: He was just there on the line with Donald Trump when Donald Trump said that.
- 16:01SPEAKER_02: Yeah,
- 16:02SPEAKER_02: but I think the UAW's argument,
- 16:04SPEAKER_02: which is bad and wrong,
- 16:05SPEAKER_02: would be that Musk platformed him for this discussion,
- 16:10SPEAKER_02: received these comments about Musk and then did not rebut them,
- 16:13SPEAKER_02: but let them stand tacitly.
- 16:16SPEAKER_02: Yeah, it's a terrible argument as to both of them.
- 16:19SPEAKER_02: But here's the thing.
- 16:19SPEAKER_02: And also, I just want to point out, you can't complain too much about this Elon Musk Trump argument.
- 16:27SPEAKER_02: Because, I mean, it's exactly what it said on the label, right?
- 16:31SPEAKER_02: If you're going to tune in for a dialogue between Elon Musk and Donald Trump on X,
- 16:36SPEAKER_02: you're going to expect that the tech is going to shit the bed.
- 16:39SPEAKER_02: You're going to expect a lot of crazy things like,
- 16:41SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 16:42SPEAKER_02: Elon Musk saying we're too afraid of nuclear power and whatnot.
- 16:46SPEAKER_02: Of nuclear weapons.
- 16:47SPEAKER_02: You see,
- 16:48SPEAKER_02: I thought he said it was nuclear power,
- 16:50SPEAKER_02: and it was Musk who pivoted then to nuclear weapons,
- 16:53SPEAKER_02: saying that Hiroshima and Nagasaki are actually swell now,
- 16:56SPEAKER_02: so why are we so afraid of nukes?
- 16:58SPEAKER_02: Anyway, crazy shit like that.
- 17:00SPEAKER_02: You get what you expected.
- 17:01SPEAKER_02: I mean, how often do we get that in a consumerist society, Josh?
- 17:04SPEAKER_02: Exactly what was promised to us.
- 17:08SPEAKER_01: Meanwhile, Donald Trump has his own lawsuit threat that he's issued.
- 17:13SPEAKER_01: He's going to sue the FBI and the Department of Justice over the raid on Mar-a-Lago.
- 17:17SPEAKER_01: And he has various theories about why the Mar-a-Lago raid was abusive.
- 17:21SPEAKER_01: And we can go through, you know, the why that's not true.
- 17:25SPEAKER_01: the sort of claim that would ordinarily prevail,
- 17:27SPEAKER_01: both because the government had various good reasons that it did the search of
- 17:32SPEAKER_01: Mar-a-Lago and also because you have almost no recourse when the government comes
- 17:37SPEAKER_01: and has a warrant and roots through your files,
- 17:39SPEAKER_01: even in circumstances where maybe you should have recourse.
- 17:42SPEAKER_01: But I think the thing people are most interested in about here is that,
- 17:45SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 17:45SPEAKER_01: this is Donald Trump threatening to sue the U.S.
- 17:47SPEAKER_01: government, which he might be running a few months from now.
- 17:50SPEAKER_01: And so people are wondering,
- 17:51SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 17:51SPEAKER_01: even if this claim is baseless,
- 17:54SPEAKER_01: can he just award himself a settlement if he is president next year?
- 17:59SPEAKER_02: Yeah, Josh, I can't express how much I hate that that is a plausible question.
- 18:03SPEAKER_02: It's like a law school exam question by a professor who you think would really benefit from some therapy.
- 18:10SPEAKER_02: But it's actually live and plausible in our society.
- 18:13SPEAKER_02: So what Trump did here was file an administrative claim under the Federal Tort
- 18:17SPEAKER_02: Claims Act and most state laws that are equivalent.
- 18:21SPEAKER_02: Before you can sue the government,
- 18:23SPEAKER_02: you have to file an administrative claim that lays out what your claims are.
- 18:27SPEAKER_02: And if the government doesn't act on it, then you can sue.
- 18:30SPEAKER_02: So Trump, within the two-year statute of limitations, files this administrative claim.
- 18:34SPEAKER_02: And he's saying that he was the victim of malicious prosecution,
- 18:39SPEAKER_02: abuse of process,
- 18:40SPEAKER_02: and intrusion into privacy.
- 18:43SPEAKER_02: Now, pretty much everyone thinks this is crazy.
- 18:46SPEAKER_02: So first of all,
- 18:49SPEAKER_02: The Federal Tort Claims Act,
- 18:50SPEAKER_02: as I read it,
- 18:52SPEAKER_02: specifically excludes malicious prosecution and abusive processes as things that
- 18:56SPEAKER_02: you can sue for.
- 18:58SPEAKER_02: Maybe someone can explain that to me.
- 19:00SPEAKER_02: I could have it wrong.
- 19:02SPEAKER_02: It also excludes discretionary functions like running an investigation.
- 19:07SPEAKER_02: And Trump has a whole song and dance about how this wasn't discretionary, but it's very unpersuasive.
- 19:12SPEAKER_02: So
- 19:13SPEAKER_02: This really seems to be to be putting down a pin to preserve the right to sue and
- 19:17SPEAKER_02: maybe preparing for a big performative lawsuit.
- 19:19SPEAKER_02: But Trump,
- 19:20SPEAKER_02: who is the guy who says that law enforcement should be immune from suit,
- 19:24SPEAKER_02: it has a huge uphill battle because of how immune law enforcement is to suit,
- 19:29SPEAKER_02: how hard it is to sue the federal government and how increasingly fewer avenues
- 19:33SPEAKER_02: there are if you think your rights have been violated by the government to sue them
- 19:36SPEAKER_02: over it.
- 19:37SPEAKER_02: So it's more than a little crazy.
- 19:40SPEAKER_02: But if he took office,
- 19:41SPEAKER_02: the question is,
- 19:42SPEAKER_02: could Donald Trump,
- 19:43SPEAKER_02: as head of the executive branch,
- 19:47SPEAKER_02: direct the Justice Department to settle with himself for $100 million,
- 19:51SPEAKER_02: which is the amount he asks here?
- 19:53SPEAKER_02: And I don't know what the barrier to that is.
- 19:55SPEAKER_02: I think there are institutional barriers to Justice Department lawyers refusing to do it.
- 20:00SPEAKER_02: But, you know, Trump said the whole 2025 plan is to kick out all those people and put in Trump loyalists.
- 20:08SPEAKER_02: And I think that six people in the United States Supreme Court judging from their
- 20:12SPEAKER_02: recent immunity decision would say,
- 20:14SPEAKER_02: yeah,
- 20:14SPEAKER_02: you can do that.
- 20:16SPEAKER_01: What does the immunity decision have to do with this?
- 20:18SPEAKER_01: Because the immunity decision has to do with whether an official act like that,
- 20:22SPEAKER_01: and presumably would be an official act to pay a settlement or to instruct the
- 20:26SPEAKER_01: Justice Department to pay a settlement.
- 20:28SPEAKER_01: The immunity decision governs whether that could be a crime and whether you could prosecute Trump for it.
- 20:33SPEAKER_01: But just because you couldn't prosecute him for it doesn't mean that he can cause it to happen.
- 20:38SPEAKER_01: It doesn't mean that it would cause the payment to be made.
- 20:40SPEAKER_01: It doesn't mean you couldn't claw the payment back if the payment had been determined to be illegal.
- 20:44SPEAKER_01: Doesn't it only govern any potential criminal avenues about it?
- 20:48SPEAKER_02: On its face, it only governs criminal avenues.
- 20:50SPEAKER_02: But more broadly,
- 20:51SPEAKER_02: it represents sort of the pinnacle of this imperial presidency thinking that has
- 20:56SPEAKER_02: been the goal
- 20:57SPEAKER_02: of a particular subset of the legal system for a while.
- 21:00SPEAKER_02: So it represents the sort of extreme power of the executive, which is very translatable into other areas.
- 21:10SPEAKER_02: So there's nothing on the books that would necessarily prevent Trump
- 21:15SPEAKER_02: from doing it.
- 21:16SPEAKER_02: It would be a conflict of interest for normal people under normal circumstances.
- 21:20SPEAKER_02: But those conflict of interest laws and circumstances generally don't apply to the president,
- 21:26SPEAKER_02: which is why,
- 21:27SPEAKER_02: despite Trump keeping his fingers in all these businesses,
- 21:30SPEAKER_02: no one was able to thwart him on that.
- 21:33SPEAKER_02: And why, for instance, the emoluments clause, you might remember from some of our shows,
- 21:38SPEAKER_02: years ago was found to be ineffective and not enforceable to stop him.
- 21:43SPEAKER_02: So what I'm talking about is not that this can't result in him being charged with a crime,
- 21:48SPEAKER_02: although the immunity decision certainly says that.
- 21:51SPEAKER_02: It reflects a sensibility about the power of the executive and the inability of
- 21:56SPEAKER_02: other branches to stop him that I think would ultimately result in the court saying,
- 21:59SPEAKER_02: yeah,
- 22:00SPEAKER_02: you can do it.
- 22:01SPEAKER_01: The executive can only spend money that's been appropriated by Congress.
- 22:05SPEAKER_01: And so I assume that there's some line item in the Department of Justice budget
- 22:09SPEAKER_01: that is used for the payment of settlements.
- 22:12SPEAKER_01: The Justice Department doesn't go back to Congress to individually approve each settlement,
- 22:16SPEAKER_01: but I assume there's some description in the law about what this fund is for.
- 22:21SPEAKER_01: Correct.
- 22:21SPEAKER_01: And I don't know what sort of restrictions that could impose.
- 22:24SPEAKER_02: Well, generally, it would print, for instance, a assistant U.S.
- 22:29SPEAKER_02: attorney in charge of a civil case from having the government settle with himself
- 22:34SPEAKER_02: or with her husband or whatever.
- 22:37SPEAKER_02: But again, those rules have have.
- 22:40SPEAKER_02: increasingly, but not applied to the high executive.
- 22:43SPEAKER_02: And yeah,
- 22:44SPEAKER_02: it's not a case where Congress has to vote on every single settlement that the
- 22:48SPEAKER_02: Justice Department makes.
- 22:49SPEAKER_02: Now,
- 22:50SPEAKER_02: Congress could have an investigation of it,
- 22:51SPEAKER_02: but it would be probably futile if you were looking now at how the Supreme Court is
- 22:56SPEAKER_02: treating the power of Congress to do anything when it doesn't like what the
- 23:00SPEAKER_02: executive's doing.
- 23:07SPEAKER_01: In other news about efforts to push back on criminal prosecutions of Donald Trump,
- 23:12SPEAKER_01: there was this lawsuit that the attorney general of Missouri brought against the
- 23:16SPEAKER_01: state of New York.
- 23:18SPEAKER_01: And what they said was that when New York,
- 23:20SPEAKER_01: when the Manhattan DA brought a New York prosecution against Donald Trump over the
- 23:26SPEAKER_01: hush payments to Stormy Daniels,
- 23:28SPEAKER_01: And when there was a gag order in that case that restricted the way Donald Trump
- 23:31SPEAKER_01: could talk about certain things related to the case,
- 23:33SPEAKER_01: that that was an imposition on the rights of Missouri voters,
- 23:37SPEAKER_01: that Donald Trump is a candidate for president,
- 23:38SPEAKER_01: that Missouri voters have a right to receive information about candidates for president.
- 23:43SPEAKER_01: And that gag order created a restriction on that.
- 23:46SPEAKER_01: And this seemed like a hell of a reach in terms of a theory of how you can get in
- 23:52SPEAKER_01: court to litigate some controversy that doesn't seem to have very much to do with you,
- 23:55SPEAKER_01: Missouri voters.
- 23:56SPEAKER_01: But one interesting thing about choosing to file this way is that the Supreme Court
- 23:59SPEAKER_01: has original jurisdiction over lawsuits between states.
- 24:03SPEAKER_01: And so when Missouri sues New York, that goes directly to the Supreme Court.
- 24:06SPEAKER_01: It doesn't have to move up through the trial courts.
- 24:08SPEAKER_01: And so this was a way, you know, in theory to get quickly before the Supreme Court.
- 24:11SPEAKER_01: But Supreme Court didn't go for it.
- 24:13SPEAKER_01: They decided that they choose not to hear this case,
- 24:16SPEAKER_01: even though they're the court that is the only court that can hear controversies
- 24:19SPEAKER_01: between states.
- 24:20SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 24:21SPEAKER_01: They have original and exclusive jurisdiction.
- 24:24SPEAKER_02: meaning that they are the place where the case starts and they are the only place that the case can go.
- 24:29SPEAKER_02: Uh,
- 24:30SPEAKER_02: so there was a time when the Supreme court had exclusive jurisdiction over a bunch
- 24:34SPEAKER_02: of things and was required to take them all,
- 24:37SPEAKER_02: but that became a burden on the Supreme court.
- 24:39SPEAKER_02: And so, uh, Congress tweaked it a bit.
- 24:42SPEAKER_02: So no longer, they don't longer have to take cases for which they are the exclusive court.
- 24:46SPEAKER_02: And here they didn't.
- 24:48SPEAKER_02: Um, the court, uh,
- 24:50SPEAKER_02: rejected it, which is not a finding on the merits, just that we're not going to hear it.
- 24:55SPEAKER_02: As you would expect,
- 24:56SPEAKER_02: Justices Alito and Thomas would have taken the case,
- 25:00SPEAKER_02: although they would not have granted a preliminary injunction or any of the other
- 25:03SPEAKER_02: relief was being asked.
- 25:05SPEAKER_02: And I think this was largely a stunt,
- 25:08SPEAKER_02: although less clearly a stunt in the modern era with Alito and Thomas and the sort
- 25:13SPEAKER_02: of justices who voted on the immunity decision.
- 25:16SPEAKER_02: So I don't think it was ever very plausible that it would go anywhere,
- 25:20SPEAKER_02: but it was more plausible than it used to be.
- 25:23SPEAKER_02: What New York said is, look, this is crazy.
- 25:26SPEAKER_02: You're saying that somehow Missouri has Missouri citizens have a First Amendment
- 25:31SPEAKER_02: right for Trump to be allowed to threaten jurors and prosecutors.
- 25:35SPEAKER_02: That doesn't make sense.
- 25:36SPEAKER_02: Also,
- 25:37SPEAKER_02: it's the you know,
- 25:38SPEAKER_02: it's a district attorney of one county that is bringing the suit and asking for the
- 25:42SPEAKER_02: gag order.
- 25:43SPEAKER_02: That's not the state of New York.
- 25:45SPEAKER_02: A variety of other perfectly good arguments.
- 25:47SPEAKER_02: So that's why it got rejected.
- 25:49SPEAKER_02: But this is,
- 25:50SPEAKER_02: as we said,
- 25:50SPEAKER_02: when when they filed this,
- 25:51SPEAKER_02: Josh,
- 25:52SPEAKER_02: this is part of a series of sort of performative,
- 25:56SPEAKER_02: crowd pleasing media getting things by Republican state attorneys general doing
- 26:03SPEAKER_02: crazy stuff like this to show how they're sticking it to the woke people.
- 26:08SPEAKER_01: How does the Supreme Court think about whether to take these lawsuits between states?
- 26:11SPEAKER_01: Because I assume,
- 26:12SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 26:12SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 26:13SPEAKER_01: most lawsuits,
- 26:14SPEAKER_01: if you try to get it before the Supreme Court,
- 26:15SPEAKER_01: Supreme Court says,
- 26:16SPEAKER_01: no,
- 26:16SPEAKER_01: they're very busy.
- 26:18SPEAKER_01: Most suits don't produce a new and interesting question for them to consider.
- 26:21SPEAKER_01: There's no reason to go all the way to the top.
- 26:23SPEAKER_01: But I assume since they have exclusive jurisdiction,
- 26:26SPEAKER_01: they must be significantly more deferential to states,
- 26:29SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 26:30SPEAKER_01: when they want to be in court.
- 26:31SPEAKER_01: And when, you know, if you file in a trial court,
- 26:34SPEAKER_01: Doesn't the trial court generally have to explain to you why they're dismissing
- 26:38SPEAKER_01: your suit or why you can't be in the court?
- 26:40SPEAKER_01: Whereas here, it seems like the Supreme Court, when they say no, they just say no.
- 26:45SPEAKER_01: And if it wasn't for Alito and Thomas saying that they would have done something different,
- 26:50SPEAKER_01: there would have been no statement at all here from the Supreme Court about why
- 26:53SPEAKER_01: they're not hearing it,
- 26:53SPEAKER_01: right?
- 26:54SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 26:54SPEAKER_01: That's true,
- 26:54SPEAKER_02: but that's the case for the vast majority of cases that people try to bring to the
- 26:59SPEAKER_02: Supreme Court.
- 26:59SPEAKER_02: So usually you get a simple denial of cert,
- 27:04SPEAKER_02: a one-line thing saying the petition for us to hear this is denied.
- 27:09SPEAKER_02: Occasionally you'll get dissent from that,
- 27:11SPEAKER_02: some justice explaining why they think it's important and the lower court got it wrong.
- 27:15SPEAKER_02: Occasionally there have been
- 27:17SPEAKER_02: dissents from denials of cases like this between states but it is one of the more
- 27:23SPEAKER_02: opaque areas in terms of what the court's thinking is but i think they just think
- 27:27SPEAKER_02: in part they have to conserve their resources and you know we've got to take a
- 27:33SPEAKER_02: certain amount of cases every year where two states are squabbling over an island
- 27:37SPEAKER_02: in the river in between them
- 27:39SPEAKER_02: Or, you know, a water course or a waterway or whatever these things wind up being.
- 27:44SPEAKER_02: And they don't explain themselves, but they usually don't explain themselves, Josh.
- 27:47SPEAKER_02: So it's not really an outlier.
- 27:50SPEAKER_01: And then there's also been this hack against the Trump campaign.
- 27:54SPEAKER_01: someone,
- 27:55SPEAKER_01: and there's some reporting suggesting that it might be an Iranian actor,
- 27:58SPEAKER_01: got access to emails or internal documents of the Trump campaign,
- 28:03SPEAKER_01: perhaps by spear phishing Roger Stone,
- 28:05SPEAKER_01: which makes perfect sense to me,
- 28:07SPEAKER_01: by the way,
- 28:07SPEAKER_01: that if you're looking for the weak information security point in the Trump operation,
- 28:12SPEAKER_01: that it might well be Roger Stone.
- 28:14SPEAKER_02: Yeah, you know, people describe it as using a mix of hacking and using social engineering on Roger Stone.
- 28:21SPEAKER_02: My feeling is
- 28:23SPEAKER_02: Saying that you're using social engineering on Roger Stone is a little sessive.
- 28:27SPEAKER_02: I think you're barely using arithmetic.
- 28:29SPEAKER_02: He does not seem terribly difficult to trick.
- 28:32SPEAKER_01: And so this is something that's come up a number of times.
- 28:35SPEAKER_01: It's illegal to hack the Trump campaign.
- 28:37SPEAKER_01: It's illegal to hack even into Roger Stone's email.
- 28:39SPEAKER_01: But if someone hands you a pile of Roger Stone's emails or documents or campaign
- 28:44SPEAKER_01: documents that you did not solicit,
- 28:46SPEAKER_01: you didn't say,
- 28:46SPEAKER_01: gee,
- 28:47SPEAKER_01: it would be wonderful if you would go out there and hack the Trump campaign.
- 28:50SPEAKER_01: They just come to you and hand you hand this to you.
- 28:52SPEAKER_01: You have every legal right to tell people what's in the documents.
- 28:55SPEAKER_01: And so they've provided these documents to a number of news organizations,
- 28:58SPEAKER_01: which so far have not reported in detail on the contents of the documents.
- 29:02SPEAKER_01: We know that there's an opposition research dossier or a self-opposition research dossier on J.D.
- 29:07SPEAKER_01: Vance, publicly available material that they gathered about what we might learn about J.D.
- 29:13SPEAKER_01: Vance if he were to be selected as a running mate.
- 29:15SPEAKER_01: It's apparently an early draft of this from the winter.
- 29:18SPEAKER_01: But so we know in broad terms what at least some of the contents are, but we haven't seen them.
- 29:23SPEAKER_01: We haven't seen a lot of detail from them.
- 29:25SPEAKER_01: But it's not because it would be illegal to publish any of these things.
- 29:28SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 29:28SPEAKER_02: So this is all the way back to the Pentagon Papers case,
- 29:31SPEAKER_02: the concept that as long as the media outlet did not solicit the wrongful act or
- 29:38SPEAKER_02: guide it or give the person recommendations on how to do it,
- 29:42SPEAKER_02: then
- 29:42SPEAKER_02: they have a protected right to publish the stuff that's handed to them,
- 29:46SPEAKER_02: even if it was wrongfully obtained.
- 29:49SPEAKER_02: And so here, uh, yeah, they get the stuff.
- 29:51SPEAKER_02: They,
- 29:51SPEAKER_02: um,
- 29:52SPEAKER_02: uh,
- 29:52SPEAKER_02: they get a 27 page oppo research memo on JD Vance,
- 29:57SPEAKER_02: which,
- 29:57SPEAKER_02: which contrary to false reports does not double as an Ikea catalog.
- 30:02SPEAKER_02: Uh, and they, uh, got a bunch of other things.
- 30:05SPEAKER_02: And so far the media is, um, not publishing any of it.
- 30:09SPEAKER_02: And some of them are saying things like this is,
- 30:11SPEAKER_02: not really a matter of public interest.
- 30:13SPEAKER_02: And I have to tell you,
- 30:14SPEAKER_02: this is one of my kind of consistent quarrels with the media and the common
- 30:19SPEAKER_02: thoughts about this in the media is I think that sort of the way they make those
- 30:22SPEAKER_02: decisions is bullshit.
- 30:24SPEAKER_02: Someone has been saying,
- 30:25SPEAKER_02: like the New York Times I think was the one that said that we consider the motives
- 30:28SPEAKER_02: of someone giving us
- 30:30SPEAKER_02: this sort of information.
- 30:32SPEAKER_02: And I usually think, well, no, you don't.
- 30:34SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 30:35SPEAKER_02: law enforcement leaks stuff to the detriment of criminal defendants and suspects
- 30:40SPEAKER_02: all the time to the media and the media runs with it.
- 30:41SPEAKER_02: You know, you can ask Richard Jewell or Wen Ho Lee.
- 30:44SPEAKER_02: So for the media to kind of get up on a high horse and say,
- 30:48SPEAKER_02: oh,
- 30:48SPEAKER_02: we don't publish this sort of thing here,
- 30:50SPEAKER_02: I think is a bit of nonsense.
- 30:51SPEAKER_02: I'm not sure they really have a principled set of rules about when to do it or when not to.
- 30:58SPEAKER_01: Well, I mean, I think there's a number of factors that get weighed.
- 31:02SPEAKER_01: And one factor that we can't really observe here because we don't know what's in
- 31:06SPEAKER_01: the documents is how newsworthy the contents of the documents are.
- 31:09SPEAKER_01: The obvious comparison has been to the WikiLeaks in the 2016 campaign and the leak
- 31:14SPEAKER_01: of all the internal emails from the DNC,
- 31:16SPEAKER_01: including,
- 31:16SPEAKER_01: by the way,
- 31:16SPEAKER_01: a great number of my husband's emails.
- 31:19SPEAKER_01: So I had a strong personal stake there.
- 31:21SPEAKER_01: in what happened in 2016.
- 31:22SPEAKER_01: But an important difference about what happened then is WikiLeaks took all of that
- 31:26SPEAKER_01: material and published it directly on the internet.
- 31:29SPEAKER_01: So it wasn't a matter of a news organization having material that it could decide
- 31:33SPEAKER_01: whether to make public or not.
- 31:33SPEAKER_01: The material was already public.
- 31:35SPEAKER_01: And that's obviously one factor that they consider and,
- 31:38SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 31:38SPEAKER_01: whether,
- 31:39SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 31:39SPEAKER_01: whether to report on it.
- 31:40SPEAKER_01: It's going to be out there anyway, whether they report on it or not.
- 31:44SPEAKER_01: And,
- 31:44SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 31:44SPEAKER_01: if it's interesting,
- 31:45SPEAKER_01: someone else will write about it,
- 31:46SPEAKER_01: even if it otherwise is sort of a needle in a haystack situation with a big stack
- 31:50SPEAKER_01: of emails.
- 31:51SPEAKER_01: And so here, you know, we can't see what's in these documents.
- 31:55SPEAKER_01: A dossier on J.D.
- 31:56SPEAKER_01: Vance based on,
- 31:57SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 31:57SPEAKER_01: publicly available information,
- 31:59SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 32:00SPEAKER_01: by definition,
- 32:00SPEAKER_01: what's in there is already out there.
- 32:03SPEAKER_01: And it may not be that interesting is part of the thing.
- 32:05SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 32:05SPEAKER_01: maybe,
- 32:06SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 32:06SPEAKER_01: by looking at what's in this document,
- 32:08SPEAKER_01: we learn something interesting about how the Trump campaign's VP vetting process works.
- 32:12SPEAKER_01: But also maybe we don't learn something interesting about that.
- 32:14SPEAKER_01: So I think,
- 32:14SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 32:14SPEAKER_01: one possible reason that news outlets haven't run with this is that there may not
- 32:19SPEAKER_01: be that much material there.
- 32:20SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 32:20SPEAKER_01: And the other thing is,
- 32:21SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 32:22SPEAKER_01: if the leaker here really wants this information out there,
- 32:25SPEAKER_01: they can and maybe they will do what WikiLeaks did and just put it out there on the
- 32:29SPEAKER_01: internet for all of us to evaluate.
- 32:30SPEAKER_01: But so far,
- 32:31SPEAKER_01: they've taken this approach of sending it to media outlets,
- 32:34SPEAKER_01: which,
- 32:34SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 32:34SPEAKER_01: seem to have decided so far that whatever it is,
- 32:36SPEAKER_01: is not so juicy that they need to run with it.
- 32:39SPEAKER_01: Yeah, but compared to what?
- 32:40SPEAKER_02: So, I mean, I've been watching all the same horse race stuff that you have about this campaign.
- 32:45SPEAKER_02: And, you know, the...
- 32:47SPEAKER_02: the flood of stories of,
- 32:49SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 32:50SPEAKER_02: did this person say that this person thought that Joe Biden is too old?
- 32:54SPEAKER_02: And,
- 32:54SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 32:55SPEAKER_02: the process stories about Kamala Harris and the stuff about how Trump picked a VP candidate.
- 33:02SPEAKER_02: And I find it a little difficult to believe that given some of the other stuff
- 33:07SPEAKER_02: they've published in support of the horse race narrative,
- 33:09SPEAKER_02: they couldn't find anything
- 33:11SPEAKER_02: in a campaign's key oppo research memo about a candidate when the unpopularity of
- 33:19SPEAKER_02: that candidate and the alleged bad judgment picking him is a big story that they've
- 33:25SPEAKER_02: been reporting on a lot.
- 33:26SPEAKER_02: So I'm not completely buying that.
- 33:28SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I mean, I don't know.
- 33:29SPEAKER_01: I suspect that we will see this document sooner or later.
- 33:32SPEAKER_01: Iran or whoever didn't go to the trouble of hacking this to have it not out there.
- 33:37SPEAKER_01: And that if they continue to not get media outlets to bite on it,
- 33:39SPEAKER_01: my guess is that we will just see a dump of it.
- 33:41SPEAKER_01: But that's a question for future weeks.
- 33:44SPEAKER_01: Speaking of your IKEA catalog reference there,
- 33:47SPEAKER_01: which is a reference to this sort of shitposting meme,
- 33:51SPEAKER_01: this claim that J.D.
- 33:52SPEAKER_01: Vance fucked a couch,
- 33:53SPEAKER_01: which started with someone made a joke about this on Twitter claiming that this was
- 33:58SPEAKER_01: on some pages in Hillbilly Elegy.
- 34:05SPEAKER_01: And then people keep saying this,
- 34:07SPEAKER_01: including,
- 34:07SPEAKER_01: to my surprise,
- 34:09SPEAKER_01: Democratic elected officials themselves keep making reference to this,
- 34:12SPEAKER_01: which is,
- 34:13SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 34:13SPEAKER_01: I think a little bit juvenile.
- 34:16SPEAKER_01: And, you know, I would hope it would be, you know, beneath our politics.
- 34:18SPEAKER_01: I also think,
- 34:19SPEAKER_01: by the way,
- 34:19SPEAKER_01: I don't I think a lot of Democrats have convinced themselves that this is somehow
- 34:23SPEAKER_01: politically useful.
- 34:24SPEAKER_01: And this is the reason that J.D.
- 34:25SPEAKER_01: Vance is.
- 34:27SPEAKER_01: been a problem for the Trump ticket rather than,
- 34:29SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 34:29SPEAKER_01: substantive things that he has said about abortion and other policy areas that are unpopular.
- 34:33SPEAKER_01: But anyway, you have people saying J.D.
- 34:36SPEAKER_01: Vance fucked a couch and it's a joke, but, you know, maybe not everyone understands that it's a joke.
- 34:42SPEAKER_01: Maybe some people really think he did say in Hillbilly Elegy that he fucked a couch.
- 34:46SPEAKER_01: And so some people are wondering, could it be defamatory to be saying that J.D.
- 34:49SPEAKER_01: Vance fucked a couch?
- 34:51SPEAKER_01: Almost certainly not.
- 34:53SPEAKER_02: So
- 34:54SPEAKER_02: When you're deciding whether or not something meant as satire or ridicule is defamatory,
- 35:01SPEAKER_02: you ask,
- 35:02SPEAKER_02: would a reasonable person familiar with the speaker,
- 35:05SPEAKER_02: familiar with the subject,
- 35:07SPEAKER_02: familiar with the context,
- 35:08SPEAKER_02: take this seriously?
- 35:10SPEAKER_02: Here you've got Twitter,
- 35:11SPEAKER_02: which is universally understood to be not a very reliable place for information
- 35:15SPEAKER_02: where people shitpost.
- 35:18SPEAKER_02: You've got someone citing a particular page so that you can look it up if you have
- 35:22SPEAKER_02: any doubts or take it seriously,
- 35:23SPEAKER_02: and it's not there.
- 35:24SPEAKER_02: You've got kind of an outrageous, deliberately over-the-top comment about J.D.
- 35:30SPEAKER_02: Vance.
- 35:31SPEAKER_02: And the vast majority of people, not all of them, immediately take it.
- 35:36SPEAKER_02: uh as a joke all those factors show that it's not going to be taken as a provably
- 35:41SPEAKER_02: false statement of fact and it's going to be satire and the nature of satire is
- 35:46SPEAKER_02: that some people uh fall for it in fact i don't remember who it was but someone
- 35:51SPEAKER_02: described satire as a joke between the speaker and the listener at the expense of
- 35:56SPEAKER_02: the idiot who takes it seriously
- 35:59SPEAKER_02: And that's the whole point of satire.
- 36:02SPEAKER_02: I mean, people were taken in by Jonathan Swift and eating babies and stuff.
- 36:06SPEAKER_02: A few people.
- 36:07SPEAKER_02: That's part of the joke.
- 36:08SPEAKER_02: I think the the pungency of the joke here is not just about J.D.
- 36:13SPEAKER_02: Vance seeing very creepy and therefore it's funny to say he does stuff like this.
- 36:17SPEAKER_02: But it's also a joke on a meta level about how much we've normalized the Trump and
- 36:23SPEAKER_02: the Trump campaign of trash talking and shit talking people and just making stuff up.
- 36:28SPEAKER_02: to the point where we don't even notice it anymore.
- 36:30SPEAKER_02: So when we say something like this,
- 36:32SPEAKER_02: and this is a very Trumpian type of joke about someone,
- 36:35SPEAKER_02: crass and juvenile and completely made up,
- 36:38SPEAKER_02: all of a sudden the other side's wigging out over it.
- 36:41SPEAKER_02: I think it's a joke about that to some extent.
- 36:44SPEAKER_02: But no, it is not defamatory, although I really, as they say, I wish a bitch would try.
- 36:49SPEAKER_02: I would thoroughly enjoy J.D.
- 36:52SPEAKER_02: Vance suing for defamation over this.
- 36:55SPEAKER_02: And
- 36:56SPEAKER_02: Some of the resulting memes and spinoff jokes are amusing.
- 37:02SPEAKER_02: But I think it's best consumed as sort of a flex that,
- 37:05SPEAKER_02: you know what,
- 37:06SPEAKER_02: we're not going to consistently take the high road when the other side consistently
- 37:11SPEAKER_02: takes the low road anymore.
- 37:12SPEAKER_02: We can throw elbows, too.
- 37:15SPEAKER_01: Meanwhile,
- 37:16SPEAKER_01: you've had Donald Trump out there saying that he was nearly in a helicopter
- 37:21SPEAKER_01: accident with former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown sometime in the past.
- 37:26SPEAKER_01: Willie Brown long ago dated Kamala Harris.
- 37:29SPEAKER_01: This has been a weird fixation of Republican attacks against her.
- 37:35SPEAKER_01: I guess the idea being that, you know, she slept her way to the top or something.
- 37:39SPEAKER_01: I think, you know,
- 37:39SPEAKER_01: Most voters have no idea who Willie Brown is,
- 37:42SPEAKER_01: which is one reason that I think that is one of the least effective attacks on
- 37:45SPEAKER_01: Kamala Harris.
- 37:46SPEAKER_01: And in fact, they've had research.
- 37:48SPEAKER_01: They've actually sent their pollsters out to pull this and find that it is an
- 37:51SPEAKER_01: ineffective attack as you have some of the Republican pollsters trying to convince
- 37:55SPEAKER_01: their commentators to please stop using this line,
- 37:57SPEAKER_01: which does not work.
- 37:59SPEAKER_01: But so Donald Trump, of course, cannot resist that.
- 38:03SPEAKER_01: And so he said that he was on a helicopter with Willie Brown and they almost went down on the helicopter.
- 38:07SPEAKER_01: And by the way, Willie Brown told him some very nasty things about Kamala Harris at this time.
- 38:14SPEAKER_01: And so Willie Brown says, I've never been on a helicopter with Donald Trump.
- 38:18SPEAKER_01: And some reporters eventually get to the bottom of this and figure out that,
- 38:21SPEAKER_01: in fact,
- 38:22SPEAKER_01: Donald Trump was on a helicopter with
- 38:24SPEAKER_01: around 1990 with Nate Holden,
- 38:27SPEAKER_01: who was a member of the Los Angeles City Council and who was black,
- 38:31SPEAKER_01: who is black.
- 38:32SPEAKER_01: He's very old now and still living.
- 38:34SPEAKER_01: And he's very tall.
- 38:35SPEAKER_01: Willie Brown is kind of short.
- 38:38SPEAKER_01: So they don't really they aren't really similar other than being black and being
- 38:41SPEAKER_01: elected officials from from California.
- 38:44SPEAKER_01: And by the way,
- 38:44SPEAKER_01: also,
- 38:44SPEAKER_01: it seems this incident was in 1990,
- 38:46SPEAKER_01: which is before Kamala Harris and Willie Brown even dated.
- 38:50SPEAKER_01: And so it's,
- 38:51SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 38:51SPEAKER_01: not appropriate timing for Donald Trump to have learned anything about that relationship.
- 38:56SPEAKER_01: But so anyway,
- 38:57SPEAKER_01: Donald Trump has threatened to sue The New York Times for defamation for claiming
- 39:01SPEAKER_01: that he was not in a helicopter crash or almost in a helicopter crash with Willie Brown,
- 39:05SPEAKER_01: even though he still insists that this did in fact happen.
- 39:09SPEAKER_01: And so that,
- 39:09SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 39:09SPEAKER_01: I can think of several reasons why this will not be a successful defamation suit,
- 39:14SPEAKER_01: including that,
- 39:14SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 39:15SPEAKER_01: he wasn't almost in a helicopter crash with Willie Brown,
- 39:17SPEAKER_01: clearly.
- 39:18SPEAKER_01: But this is another defamation litigation threat that we've gotten.
- 39:22SPEAKER_02: So to be fair to Trump in the Trump campaign, I think they've dropped the topic and stopped threatening.
- 39:27SPEAKER_02: once Nate Holden surfaced.
- 39:28SPEAKER_02: So once Nate Holden gave an interview where he says, no, that was me, dude.
- 39:32SPEAKER_02: I was in the helicopter.
- 39:33SPEAKER_02: We had a hard landing in New Jersey.
- 39:35SPEAKER_02: And there's corroborating information in the sense that Trump was trying to work
- 39:40SPEAKER_02: with Nate Holden on development in Los Angeles at the time.
- 39:44SPEAKER_02: Actually, as I recall, thinking of tearing down the Ambassador Hotel or something like that, where RFK-
- 39:51SPEAKER_02: Senior was assassinated and turning it into some sort of development.
- 39:54SPEAKER_02: But this is more amusing to Californians because – or at least of my generation
- 39:59SPEAKER_02: because Willie Brown and Nate Holden are both kind of big political figures and
- 40:05SPEAKER_02: kind of – they're the closest political figures we have to like New Jersey guys in California,
- 40:10SPEAKER_02: OK?
- 40:10SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 40:11SPEAKER_02: larger than life,
- 40:13SPEAKER_02: happy warriors,
- 40:14SPEAKER_02: elbow throwing,
- 40:15SPEAKER_02: have fun in their job,
- 40:17SPEAKER_02: very powerful,
- 40:18SPEAKER_02: get the sense you don't want to look too closely at how they get things done,
- 40:22SPEAKER_02: all that type of thing.
- 40:23SPEAKER_02: It's the closest we get to having New Jersey and New York politicians.
- 40:27SPEAKER_02: And confusing the two of them is kind of hilarious and very Trumpian.
- 40:31SPEAKER_02: And yeah, so obviously truth is an absolute defense to defamation.
- 40:36SPEAKER_02: It's inconceivable, I think, that Trump could possibly prevail on any sort of defamation claim.
- 40:41SPEAKER_02: when Willie Brown himself is denying that it happened.
- 40:45SPEAKER_02: So he would have to show that the New York Times knew that Willie Brown was lying about it not happening.
- 40:51SPEAKER_02: Now that Nate Holden has come out,
- 40:52SPEAKER_02: he'd have to say the New York Times knew that Nate Holden was lying too,
- 40:57SPEAKER_02: even though Trump's produced no corroborating evidence.
- 40:59SPEAKER_02: So I think this is just more a story about sort of Trump's intemperance and
- 41:05SPEAKER_02: whininess right now when people are...
- 41:09SPEAKER_02: disagreeing with him.
- 41:10SPEAKER_02: His ability to roll with it seems to be diminished recently,
- 41:15SPEAKER_02: and he seems to be lashing out more when disagreed with.
- 41:18SPEAKER_01: I want to close out this week with an update on the Young Thug trial.
- 41:21SPEAKER_01: This,
- 41:21SPEAKER_01: of course,
- 41:22SPEAKER_01: is the other garbage fire of a Georgia RICO prosecution currently happening in
- 41:26SPEAKER_01: Fulton County,
- 41:27SPEAKER_01: aside from the Trump one that is on pause probably for a couple of years while they
- 41:32SPEAKER_01: figure out the impact of Fannie Willis's relationship with Nathan Wade on that case.
- 41:36SPEAKER_01: The Young Thug trial,
- 41:38SPEAKER_01: it's a RICO case that is actually about organized crime and this allegation that
- 41:43SPEAKER_01: Young Thug had a street gang that committed various crimes,
- 41:46SPEAKER_01: including a murder.
- 41:48SPEAKER_01: And there have been all of these disputes among the defense attorneys and Uriel Glanville,
- 41:53SPEAKER_01: who had been the presiding judge in this case,
- 41:56SPEAKER_01: about an ex-party meeting that he had putting pressure on this witness,
- 41:59SPEAKER_01: Kenneth Copeland,
- 42:00SPEAKER_01: to testify in the case.
- 42:02SPEAKER_01: And so Uriel Glanville ultimately was recused from the case because he got too
- 42:07SPEAKER_01: heatedly involved in defense of himself and his conduct in overseeing the case.
- 42:12SPEAKER_01: And so he was removed by some other judges.
- 42:15SPEAKER_01: I think you've suggested that maybe this was their polite way of,
- 42:19SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 42:19SPEAKER_01: that really the problem was his misconduct itself and the ex-party meeting and saying,
- 42:23SPEAKER_01: well,
- 42:23SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 42:23SPEAKER_01: set that aside.
- 42:25SPEAKER_01: The way you discussed the ex-party meeting was a problem and we had to remove you.
- 42:28SPEAKER_01: So anyway, they removed him.
- 42:29SPEAKER_01: And last we talked about this,
- 42:30SPEAKER_01: I think we thought that the case was quite likely to go to mistrial,
- 42:33SPEAKER_01: that basically you remove the judge partway through the case.
- 42:36SPEAKER_01: It's very challenging to proceed toward a verdict.
- 42:39SPEAKER_01: But now there's a new judge on the case, and they're actually trying to continue trying the case.
- 42:44SPEAKER_01: She's presiding.
- 42:46SPEAKER_01: She told the jury,
- 42:47SPEAKER_01: please disregard the things that Judge Glanville said and disregard some portion of
- 42:51SPEAKER_01: the testimony that you heard from Kenneth Copeland.
- 42:53SPEAKER_01: And now I'm in charge and we're going to continue.
- 42:55SPEAKER_01: So, I mean, first of all, is that a thing that you can do?
- 42:57SPEAKER_02: Oh, God bless them.
- 43:00SPEAKER_02: They're doing their best, Josh.
- 43:01SPEAKER_02: But this is like...
- 43:03SPEAKER_02: This is like watching a marathoner who collapses and is bleeding out the ears about
- 43:08SPEAKER_02: two miles from the end of the race,
- 43:10SPEAKER_02: and they get themselves back up and stagger on towards the finish line.
- 43:16SPEAKER_02: But yeah, so this judge comes in.
- 43:17SPEAKER_02: I want you to forget, ladies and gentlemen of the jury, everything that Kenneth Copeland previously said.
- 43:22SPEAKER_02: He's going to testify again.
- 43:24SPEAKER_02: Kenneth Copeland hits the stand and say,
- 43:26SPEAKER_02: yeah,
- 43:27SPEAKER_02: I was lying to you all before the government came and they threatened me.
- 43:30SPEAKER_02: I didn't know anything,
- 43:31SPEAKER_02: but they kept threatening me and yelling at me and coercing me and telling me I had
- 43:35SPEAKER_02: to say these things.
- 43:36SPEAKER_02: They threatened my family, all this sort of stuff.
- 43:38SPEAKER_02: And then so then I'm sorry.
- 43:43SPEAKER_02: He says that he's not going to go on unless his attorney is there.
- 43:47SPEAKER_02: For the rest of the questioning that day, this was on Tuesday.
- 43:51SPEAKER_02: And the problem is that morning,
- 43:53SPEAKER_02: the Georgia Supreme Court suspended his attorney for completely unrelated matters.
- 43:59SPEAKER_02: So they had to call it off the afternoon.
- 44:02SPEAKER_02: It's not clear now.
- 44:04SPEAKER_02: how, if he's going to get a new attorney, what's going to happen with his testimony.
- 44:08SPEAKER_02: It's just a parade of horribles.
- 44:10SPEAKER_02: I mean, sooner or later, Josh, you just got to accept that God does not want this case to go forward.
- 44:17SPEAKER_02: But it's Fulton County.
- 44:18SPEAKER_02: Is a witness entitled to have their attorney there?
- 44:20SPEAKER_02: Well,
- 44:21SPEAKER_02: a witness is entitled to,
- 44:23SPEAKER_02: yes,
- 44:23SPEAKER_02: consult with their attorney and maybe take the fifth to certain questions if
- 44:28SPEAKER_02: they're not within the scope of the immunity they've been given or something where
- 44:32SPEAKER_02: they've waived.
- 44:33SPEAKER_02: So, yeah, it would be a problem.
- 44:35SPEAKER_02: And if you force the person to answer questions without speaking to their attorney
- 44:40SPEAKER_02: and over objections,
- 44:41SPEAKER_02: then that could create huge barriers to ever going after that witness for anything.
- 44:46SPEAKER_02: So it's just such a mess.
- 44:49SPEAKER_02: And this is 100% on the Fulton County District Attorney's Office for turning this
- 44:55SPEAKER_02: into such a complete shit show by making it more complicated than it needs to be,
- 44:59SPEAKER_02: wanting to use RICO,
- 45:03SPEAKER_02: doing the very typical law enforcement thing,
- 45:05SPEAKER_02: which is bullying and coercing one sleazebag to testify against a different sleazebag.
- 45:11SPEAKER_02: All the common stuff is just blowing up in their face.
- 45:13SPEAKER_02: It's glorious.
- 45:14SPEAKER_01: So, I mean, famously, this case, it took almost a year to complete jury selection.
- 45:19SPEAKER_01: And then the trial has been ongoing for months.
- 45:21SPEAKER_01: And I had forgotten how long this pause had been because you had this new judge
- 45:25SPEAKER_01: comes in and she's saying to the jurors,
- 45:28SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 45:28SPEAKER_01: I know you've had a pause in the prior day that they'd been there hearing testimony
- 45:31SPEAKER_01: was two months ago.
- 45:32SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 45:33SPEAKER_01: So they paused for like two months and now they have to pick it up.
- 45:35SPEAKER_01: And not only they have to forget part of the testimony,
- 45:37SPEAKER_01: they have to remember this testimony that they heard months ago.
- 45:40SPEAKER_01: And I mean, at some point, I mean, how long can you compel a juror to stick around?
- 45:46SPEAKER_01: I mean, it's obviously this is burdensome on lots of parties to the case.
- 45:49SPEAKER_01: You have people who are sitting in jail, you know, as they you know, as this trial is ongoing.
- 45:54SPEAKER_01: But at some point, isn't a trial just too long?
- 45:57SPEAKER_01: People have lives they have to live.
- 45:59SPEAKER_01: They have other things they have to go do.
- 46:01SPEAKER_01: Absolutely.
- 46:02SPEAKER_02: But for long cases, you tend to select out jurors who, I mean, are able to do that.
- 46:08SPEAKER_02: And if you're able to do that, you probably don't have a lot of things going on.
- 46:11SPEAKER_02: And so...
- 46:12SPEAKER_02: You know,
- 46:12SPEAKER_02: that selects people who are in jobs that allow indefinite jury leave,
- 46:16SPEAKER_02: which is,
- 46:17SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 46:17SPEAKER_02: a very small and particular subset.
- 46:19SPEAKER_02: It selects retired people and so on and so forth.
- 46:23SPEAKER_02: Yeah,
- 46:23SPEAKER_02: but it's ludicrous to believe that a jury can remember all this stuff and absorb it,
- 46:29SPEAKER_02: that a jury can go on a break for two months and come back and pick up.
- 46:32SPEAKER_02: This is one of the times when those legal fictions are just overwhelmingly, obviously, dumb.
- 46:38SPEAKER_02: So,
- 46:39SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 46:39SPEAKER_02: telling them,
- 46:40SPEAKER_02: oh,
- 46:40SPEAKER_02: just forget what he said before,
- 46:42SPEAKER_02: but remember everything else that happened that stopped two months ago is like saying,
- 46:45SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 46:46SPEAKER_02: boys and girls clap so that Tinkerbell will stay alive.
- 46:49SPEAKER_02: It's just not a real thing.
- 46:51SPEAKER_01: Ken, thank you for joining me this week.
- 46:53SPEAKER_01: Thank you, Josh.
- 46:55SPEAKER_01: Serious Trouble is created and produced by Very Serious Media.
- 46:57SPEAKER_01: That's me and Sarah Faye.
- 46:58SPEAKER_01: Jennifer Swadek mixed this episode.
- 47:00SPEAKER_01: Our theme music is by Joshua Mosier.
- 47:02SPEAKER_01: Thanks for listening, and we'll be back with more soon.
- 47:04SPEAKER_01: See you next time.