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Week 8 Preview - Live from Florida! · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

0:03
What's up everybody, it is week 8, the 2025 college football
0:08
season. It is Darren here going next to
0:11
me Pete, how we doing today? I'm.
0:13
Trying to find a winner or two but doing so well and I had some
0:15
mediocre pizza but here we are. And all the way 15 feet away
0:20
from us in the other room. Graphics guru Tim.
0:23
Tim, how we doing in there? Cold, but I got my sweatshirt
0:27
on. I'm really good.
0:28
Enjoying the air conditioning we're out here looking over our
0:32
shoulder to making sure that the Gator we saw earlier doesn't
0:34
come up and visit us and join us for the show we're.
0:38
Not there. We're good.
0:40
We are. Here in Kissimmee, FL, Saturday
0:44
afternoon we will be heading over to the bounce house to
0:47
watch UCF play their homecoming game against West Virginia.
0:52
So hopefully that'll be exciting.
0:54
It should be. I mean any live game is good so.
0:57
I'm excited to see. Richard, boy, that's your boy.
1:00
So last week we had talked about how well Pete kind of went on
1:05
and ran about James Franklin. And we thought, well, why would
1:09
they fire him? You got to get somebody in there
1:11
who's better than James Franklin.
1:12
Well, shows you how much we know they fired him.
1:16
So, yeah, that was the big news of the week.
1:18
Trent Bray from Oregon State was also let go.
1:21
Yep, I think that for some reason, I think there might have
1:24
been one more, but it was the only two that I can think of
1:27
right now. But anyway.
1:28
Dilfer get fired. Yet.
1:30
Oh, Trent Dilfer, there you. Go He should've been fired 2.
1:34
Years, That's right. But obviously no disrespect to
1:37
Trent Bray or Trent Bray. Trent Bray, Trent Dilfer and
1:41
Coach Bray at Oregon State, but obviously James Frank on the
1:44
shocker of the week. Pete, you're the Big 10 guy.
1:47
You went off on an epic rant about James Franklin.
1:51
I'm still shocked. I no doubt pushed Penn State
1:54
over the edge after they saw that rant.
1:57
Yeah, I mean, that was it. That was actually the clown
1:59
graphic. That was the end.
2:00
But I'm, I'm still shocked. I mean, as much as I bash the
2:04
guy, the guy can recruit like few others, right?
2:07
So he he's always had that. But I mean you, that's
2:09
unexcusable. I mean, to lose 2 games like
2:11
that back-to-back, I mean, they lost three, but the last two,
2:14
they lost it. It looked listless.
2:16
They looked like they gave up it.
2:18
It just was not, it didn't look good.
2:20
So yeah, so he's out. It's I got to find somebody else
2:23
to bash now. But it looks like the mat rule
2:25
train might be rolling down the Pike there to go into Penn
2:29
State. He's currently the odds on
2:30
favorite to take over that job. Naturally, he didn't deny the
2:35
rumors. Patrick Mahomes junior there,
2:38
his quarterback said he's not going anywhere.
2:41
Sadly, Mr. Rayola, that's not your call.
2:44
So I'll be certainly something interesting.
2:46
Again, other big news, another name that was floated for that
2:48
job, Kurt Signetti. Earlier today, he signed a nice
2:51
fat contract to stay where he's at, 8 year extension, a little
2:54
over 11,000,000 bucks a year. So Penn State, sorry, you can
2:58
cross him off your list. I think we were talking about
3:01
earlier. Indiana's a better situation at
3:02
this point anyway so. We talked about it last week and
3:04
there's the idea is, is Indiana for real, which I think they are
3:07
and and now that they've locked up their coach for a while, I
3:09
mean, this is a program that is legit.
3:11
I think in the Big 10. It's going to be interesting to
3:13
see what what they do going forward.
3:14
But I've been really impressed by that team.
3:16
Yeah, that win in Oregon, Yeah, I don't.
3:18
None of us expected it, but. Definitely not.
3:20
Nice, Nice that it happened for him.
3:22
So, so yeah, we kind of celebrated this week.
3:24
We were throwing some bets out all week long.
3:26
It was our first week where we had some games on Tuesday.
3:29
I bet on Western Kentucky. They crapped the bed.
3:31
So thanks, Mr. Maverick. MacGyver, you were absolutely
3:34
trash. Got a little bit of it back
3:37
yesterday when Jacksonville State, I took the three points
3:41
there. They ended up winning outright.
3:43
Maybe a little unfortunate under play on there.
3:46
Looked great early on. Yeah, typical games like that.
3:50
I think we're watching that right now with this other game
3:52
that's going on where, you know, if these teams that are not
3:54
exactly elite. I mean, it was really slow early
3:57
on. I was like, ah, this thing's in
3:58
the back no problem on the under, and then nobody could
4:00
stop anybody again in the second-half.
4:02
It was just all offense all the time.
4:04
I think we're seeing that game in there right now.
4:05
So that's pretty. Defense optional, but there.
4:09
So just put no bet on tonight's game was the only game on the
4:11
schedule. There's a nice, actually pretty
4:13
decent slate of four games tomorrow and then obviously
4:17
Saturday. I think when I posted on YouTube
4:19
page, we had about 10 bets. I think we have, what, 11 or so
4:25
to go over, but yeah, quite a few bets.
4:28
So Tim, if you are Tim, did you have any thoughts on the
4:31
weekend? Pete and I are out here.
4:32
Just sorry we're. Explaining, Yeah.
4:34
No, you guys were cooking, so I'm like, all right, well, let
4:36
them go. I'll just sit back here.
4:38
I'll just get ready for the chat and.
4:39
Then you want to sit back and. Right.
4:42
So, well, why don't you jump into the games?
4:46
Yeah, let's do it, man. So I believe we have one for
4:49
tomorrow. Yeah, we both have this, but you
4:54
have this one too, right? I do, we do.
4:56
You want to go first? All right.
4:58
So I was really hoping to get 14 with Louisville here.
5:03
However, that did not materialize.
5:06
I did, however, I feel confident enough in what Louisville can do
5:09
to hang within 13 1/2. So I do have a one unit play on
5:12
Louisville here. I don't understand how this team
5:15
with Miller, Moss, Isaac Brown, Colin Lacey Bell, a wide
5:20
receiver, how this team has not put together a complete
5:22
offensive game yet against a quality opponent.
5:25
Miami has looked way better than I think any of us thought they
5:29
would. But I don't even want to call it
5:31
a gut feeling or what, but there's a crystal ball game
5:34
coming, man. I I don't know when it's going
5:37
to be, but coach Brahma Louisville, he always pulls off
5:41
a shock. Remember they went into Clemson
5:43
last year and beat beat them by double digits.
5:46
I I feel a little more confident the offense was clicking, but 13
5:51
1/2. I do like what Louisville can
5:52
put out their offense, but I think they are going to put a a
5:54
better game together here. Their defense act is playing
5:57
better than I think anybody thought they would.
5:59
So yeah, I'm looking for Louisville to kind of keep this
6:03
close. If you want to hold out for 14,
6:05
some of those 13 and a halfs on Miami are juice.
6:07
You may be able to get it if you wait till game time.
6:10
But I I just took it. I mean, we're in Florida, so
6:14
we're all kind of hamstrung and you know, here fully
6:17
transparent. We make the bets.
6:18
So Yep, OK, we're stuck at Hard Rock.
6:21
We're all new Hard Rock users for the weekend.
6:23
Yes, we are. We're usually not FanDuel for
6:26
all of our all of our numbers, but today it is Hard Rock.
6:29
So that's all we can do. So.
6:30
Yeah, so hopefully you can get a better number than what we got
6:32
here. But I I do have one unit,
6:34
Louisville, plus the 13 1/2 Disney fireworks going off in
6:38
the background. But yeah, and and Pete also has
6:42
a total play. Yeah, Overrunner is 50 1/2.
6:45
So just a reminder for all the all the users that have been
6:48
around for a little bit, this is the game we went to last year in
6:50
Louisville, right? And it was an absolute shootout.
6:52
It was a lot of fun to watch. And I'm kind of thinking
6:56
something like that's going to happen again.
6:58
Maybe not exactly the same, but this number's lower.
7:01
I mean, that was a scoring fest last year. 50 1/2 to me just
7:04
seems low diamond. Ditto what Darren just said
7:07
about Louisville's potential to do things right.
7:09
And I think they absolutely can score.
7:12
I think it's going to show up. I mean, I think, I think we're
7:14
going to see a really, really, I'm looking forward to this game
7:15
tomorrow. And I, I think it's going to be
7:17
a really good game. I think it's going to be a
7:18
relatively high scoring game as well.
7:20
So I'm going one unit on the over at 50 1/2.
7:25
I'm rooting for. Louisville, I know you're very
7:27
anti Miami so you must have a thought.
7:29
Just rooting hard for Louisville.
7:31
I don't see it, don't see it happening, but I'm getting more
7:36
scared by the week that this might actually be the team that
7:39
has so much talent on it. Crystal Ball can't even screw it
7:41
up. So yeah, I'm just kind of
7:45
praying for a Blizzard in Pittsburgh at the end of
7:47
November and hopefully that has an effect on them.
7:50
So, but yeah, I, I, I see Miami big.
7:53
So yeah, I can see the overheading.
7:57
Hi, ma'am. What's next after that?
7:59
We got another Friday, Gabe. Oh, dude, we have another two
8:01
more. Yeah, let's go, man.
8:03
Let's keep rolling with the Fridays.
8:04
I love these Friday games. This week I got a lot excited to
8:06
talk about that schedule. Like, wow.
8:08
What else we got here boys? Let me see for Friday.
8:10
Again, Nebraska and Minnesota. We do have that one on here.
8:15
We do. We just have to find it.
8:17
There you go. There we go, Melissa.
8:20
Saturday. On the top so if you're watching
8:23
on YouTube, it'll say Saturday at the top, but it's.
8:25
Well, don't mind us, you know, we're, we're just, we're, you
8:28
know. We're on vacation together.
8:29
In Florida, we've been at the pool all day.
8:32
Drinking a combination of food, comma and drinking.
8:35
But head ahead Minnesota. They leave this series 3525 and
8:40
2. The weather should be fine up
8:43
there and against the spread of Minnesota's one, four and one
8:47
and Nebraska's two and four. So.
8:49
Apparently spelled Michigan. Yeah, this.
8:53
Is why we're just apologizing. We are sorry for everything.
8:56
We're very sorry to apologize. There is a Michigan there?
8:58
Yeah. Good boy.
8:59
So who's got this play? I do so this is interesting.
9:03
So number one, I we we've talked about Nebraska a little bit in
9:06
the past couple weeks. I think that the coaching there
9:09
is not appropriate for this team.
9:11
I think he's the next one out the door.
9:13
This game may put him out the door.
9:15
And the interesting thing to me, I don't think it'll actually
9:17
happen, but the guy who should be coaching at Nebraska is PJ
9:20
Fleck because he's the guy who runs a program that fits
9:23
Nebraska. So it would be really
9:25
interesting if Minnesota beats them, he's gone and PJ Fleck
9:29
does the job next year. I don't think it'll happen that
9:31
close in the Big 10s a problem, but it would be interesting.
9:34
So anyway, over under on this game is 47 1/2.
9:38
Nebraska's largely inept in terms of scoring anyway.
9:42
You know, Minnesota is run the ball, play defense, at least
9:45
typically they are, right? They've met a little bit more
9:48
explosive this year than normal, but not explosive enough to get
9:51
this number by themselves. I mean, so I am playing the
9:54
under on this 47 1/2. I mean, yeah, Minnesota may
9:58
score some points, but I'm not sure Nebraska is going to score
10:00
much of anything. So I would not be surprised.
10:03
Some kind of completely lopsided thing like, I don't know, 30 to
10:06
10 or something like that. It would not shock me.
10:09
As a matter of fact, I'd like to see it because I don't dislike
10:12
Nebraska as a team and I think they're just going the wrong
10:15
direction right now and they need to reset and move the right
10:18
direction so one unit play on the.
10:20
Under. I had, as it turned out from
10:24
Tuesday to Saturday, 6 bets. This would have been my 7th only
10:29
because Minnesota was getting 7 1/2.
10:32
There is that extra day arrest that Minnesota does have and we
10:37
we had talked about Matt Rule earlier.
10:38
I think there's something to this talk.
10:41
I think Nebraska could be a distracted club.
10:43
Remember, this is a team that went to Maryland last week,
10:47
eeked out a three-point victory as a touchdown favorite.
10:50
I could see something similar here.
10:54
PJ Fleck, no matter what he's got going on offensively, this
10:56
team defensively is usually pretty solid.
11:00
Nebraska has played much better offense, but and the seven and a
11:05
half with the number if you if you if you want a side I I have
11:09
a stronger than average lean, I would say on Minnesota, just
11:14
because that number is nice. Long as the hook is there, I
11:17
would take a shot there. But I don't trust Nebraska going
11:21
into this. Like I said, I I think there's
11:23
something to these distractions with Matt Rule and.
11:26
Yeah, yeah. And I mean to clarify my
11:28
comments, but at the end of the day, I think he's going to be
11:29
gone. He's going to be in Penn State,
11:30
so he's going to be gone. This would be an interesting
11:33
place for something like PJ to land, but we'll.
11:34
See, yeah, well, we got our next game.
11:39
That's Friday game listed as a Saturday game here.
11:42
But we have. That's great.
11:44
Carolina and Cal head to head in this historic long rivalry.
11:49
Cal leads the series. Two games to nothing.
11:51
Should be a nice day, so weather should not be a factor.
11:55
Both teams are pretty much crappy against the spread. 2:00
11:58
and 3:00 and 3:00 and 3:00. So the opening line was count
12:02
-12 1/2 and what you guys thinking?
12:05
Well, I started bashing Belichick before the season even
12:08
started, so I'm going to continue doing that now because
12:10
he's an absolute dump. He can.
12:12
Pick up for James Franklin. Absolutely.
12:13
He can be. He's not going to be around long
12:15
enough. He's not going to be, he's not
12:16
going to be there beyond this year.
12:17
He's going to be out. So yeah, I mean, this is the,
12:19
this is the dumpster. This is the toilet bowl.
12:21
I mean, these two teams are not good.
12:24
I don't see a whole lot of scoring going on here.
12:26
The number is what, 47 1/2 of if it is 47 1/2, I'm definitely
12:31
going to be under on this game. I, I feel very confident that I
12:34
don't know they, these two teams could score 47 1/2 in two games
12:38
combined. So from my perspective, this
12:41
this is a very strong probability under that 47 1/2.
12:45
So I put one unit on it. Yeah, I don't blame you.
12:47
I don't see how North Carolina puts up a ton of points here.
12:49
Gio Lopez, we've talked about it.
12:51
Not the answer. Apologies to you, Tim.
12:53
I know that's your boy. Max Johnson.
12:55
Apparently not the answer either with Cal.
12:58
Again, I'm going to try and pronounce JK s s full name, but
13:01
you never know what you're going to get from him either.
13:03
Is this the team that's going to fly across the country and stun
13:06
Boston College? Well, maybe not stun Boston
13:07
College kind of asked. Yeah.
13:09
And B Boston College is the team that's going to lose 34 to
13:11
nothing. San Diego State, you know if you
13:14
get the San Diego State version of Cal this.
13:18
Game's. Going to be, well, this game's
13:19
going to be well under the total, but right now there is
13:22
nothing that gives me any faith to bet on North Carolina putting
13:27
up a ton of points here. Spread was what, 12 1/2?
13:31
Now it's on a 9 1/2, or 10 in some places.
13:33
That makes no sense to me, which means I stay away from this
13:36
game. From a side perspective.
13:39
Just again, North Carolina distractions, the news coming
13:41
out, Belichick's trying to work his way out of his contract.
13:44
They're coming to a mutual agreement on how they get him
13:46
out of there. And then he comes out and says,
13:48
Nope, everything's fine. Don't believe that.
13:50
I just, I mean, I will watch this game if I'm awake, which
13:54
I'll be with these knuckleheads. So I probably will be in some
13:58
sort of a food coma, but it's it's going to be a tough watch.
14:03
And I thought it was always that he.
14:04
Took this job to get his son this job going forward.
14:07
Does he screw this up bad enough where that doesn't happen?
14:11
That to me is interesting, right?
14:12
If he creates such an ugly, toxic, just bad atmosphere, do
14:16
they just throw them both the heck out of there and start all
14:18
over again that that could happen?
14:19
So come on, guys, he said. Everything's fine.
14:21
College football coaches do not lie.
14:23
Ever. Fine.
14:24
That's a good point. Hey, watching that coach lay for
14:27
Tulsa for the first quarter, he did not lie.
14:29
He did not lie. You were awful, beautiful.
14:32
You were awful. Let's start moving into the
14:36
early Saturday games. I have one here.
14:40
Hey, it's labeled right. Saturday at noon, LSU at
14:43
Vanderbilt. LSU is up 25, seven and one in
14:47
the series. No rain.
14:50
It may get a little rain after halftime against the spread.
14:53
Vanderbilt's four and two. LSU is 3 and three.
14:58
This is 1 where I, I did, I did a sprinkle, did a Darren
15:02
sprinkle here. I got a little money line.
15:04
I bet LSU, they're supposed to get 2 1/2.
15:07
I'm not taking any of the points.
15:08
I think they can win this out, right.
15:11
I like their, I like for some reason, I like their defensive
15:13
backs a little bit better. You know, penalty wise,
15:19
Vanderbilt's, you know, get a lot a little bit more penalties,
15:21
a lot more penalty yards this year.
15:24
Time of possession and some of the fumbles actually favors LSU
15:27
a little bit. I just think, you know, LSU had
15:31
the one step up. I think they lost to Ole Miss on
15:33
the road. I think they can go into Vandy.
15:35
I think they can eek out a win here and I like I think I got
15:38
plus 1/15. LSU winning the game out right
15:43
at Vanderbilt. Yeah, I mean, logic, it's hard
15:48
to place bets on teams that are suddenly good that historically
15:53
have not been, especially when they're playing a team like LSU,
15:56
right? Vanderbilt's been impressive.
15:58
They look good, right? So I don't want to discount them
16:00
and not the way they played, but you would think that this is a
16:04
game that LSU at least traditionally would have won.
16:06
But I actually don't think they're going to.
16:08
I think Vanderbilt's going to play a really good game.
16:10
I mean, hard to tell where it's going to go, but I think it's
16:13
going to be a really good game. So I'm looking forward to it, at
16:15
least from that. Perspective, yeah, this should
16:16
be a great game. And my numbers, which we were
16:18
looking at last night, I actually lean LSU here also.
16:22
But the way Vanderbilt has played and stepped up this year
16:25
after all the losses that they had on both sides of the ball,
16:29
how, how do you bet against them?
16:31
I think they're favored for the first time, I think with 51 or
16:33
52 conference games. I mean, do they even know how to
16:36
play as a favorite in this conference?
16:38
I have a zero idea. But usually, you know, there's
16:41
that sorry phrase that you always hear.
16:43
Defense wins championships with LSUS is pretty darn good.
16:47
So it it'll be interesting to see what Vanderbilt's offense
16:49
can do against that defense. And again, like we touched on
16:52
with Louisville earlier, we we've been waiting all year long
16:54
for LSU to to erupt offensively and it just hasn't happened.
16:58
Is this the game that they do it?
17:00
I don't know. But yeah, I went back and forth
17:03
here, not enough confidence in LSU.
17:07
And again, I how do you, how do you go against Vanderbilt as far
17:12
as they've come in the last year or two?
17:14
I I don't know if you do so, but yeah, the money line sprinkle
17:17
makes sense. But yeah, especially if it's 2
17:20
1/2, usually that number doesn't come into play too often, but.
17:25
How interesting is it to have these discussions this year?
17:27
We've got Vanderbilt and Indiana, which are just playing
17:31
well above their weight, but they usually do, right?
17:33
And that could continue. And we have teams like Penn
17:36
State where the wheels have come off.
17:38
Think about we were talking about this earlier today.
17:40
Penn State theoretically could not go to a bowl game.
17:44
Yeah, right. I mean, literally think about it
17:46
from the the all the hype in the beginning of this year and all
17:49
the talk about that. They may not go to a bowl game
17:51
the way this is going. And that is no joke.
17:53
That is that is corrupting for that program.
17:56
So when we talked about why would James Franklin be fired
17:58
and all that, I mean, that they're getting to the point of
18:00
embarrassment at this point. I think that's, I'm sure donors
18:03
were like, OK, that's enough, you've got to stop.
18:05
I'd heard somewhere that like Adidas came in and paid for his
18:08
paying for the majority of the buyout as I read that somewhere
18:11
that's true or not. But yeah, we talked about what,
18:13
3 weeks ago? They're ahead of Oregon and
18:14
overtime. We're sitting here today like
18:17
he. I know the Iowa, Indiana and I
18:19
believe Ohio State are still three of the six games left on
18:21
their schedule. How they win those games.
18:23
Yeah, everyone's predicting them to win the Big 10, win the
18:25
national championship. They might not even go to a bowl
18:28
game. So that's why we love
18:31
Collegeville. It's fun, yeah.
18:32
It's cool when it seems like Vanderbilt like this, come out
18:34
of fun to watch them play. It's exciting to watch.
18:36
So that's. Great.
18:38
Yeah. So you got a team that's really
18:40
awesome one year and then the next year they kind of suck.
18:43
That hits close to home. Let's move on.
18:46
Portal baby. So all right, why didn't make
18:52
AI? The next game we're going to do
18:54
is another one of mine. It's another money line
18:56
sprinkle, so I do have my own little graphic up here.
19:00
So if you're looking at it, my next one is a trap game.
19:04
It looks like a trap game total. Is that the Macho Man back?
19:08
There it was Macho Man back there.
19:10
Oh yeah, Macho Man double sprinkled.
19:13
Yeah, Georgia Tech at Duke. Georgia Tech's getting 2 1/2.
19:20
Even looking at at the stats, I'm a compare of a lot of it
19:23
favors Duke, this scream. I'm just counting on the King to
19:27
show up. I think they're a better team
19:30
regardless of what it says on the paper.
19:32
We know games are not played on paper.
19:35
They're played inside small TV sets.
19:37
And I like Haynes King. I'm just going to say he gets
19:42
the team together and I think Georgia Tech gets in there and
19:46
they pull out a win. And I think I got plus 125.
19:50
I think I got on this one. I don't have it written down
19:52
here, but we'll review that at the end.
19:54
But I like Georgia Tech. I'll jump right into the trap
19:57
head 1st and I like them getting a win at Duke.
20:00
That's. A fun little spring.
20:02
Honestly, I think that's interesting.
20:04
Absolutely could come come home. Yeah, when I was scrolling
20:06
DraftKings Sunday night and I saw Duke -3 I was like, Yep,
20:10
trap game not going anywhere near it, because that made zero
20:12
sense to me whatsoever. Now, to be fair, Georgia Tech,
20:15
for every big upset they pulled during the year, Clemson, it
20:20
seems like they crapped the bed one other game that you don't
20:23
expect them to. They struggled against Wake
20:27
Forest a few Saturdays ago, and I'm just wondering if the
20:32
betting public thinks that this may be where they struggle as
20:34
well, but I don't. Duke's a $4 million transfer
20:38
from Tulane. They're not.
20:41
Working out. Great.
20:44
But if this is a game where he earns his money, wouldn't
20:48
surprise me one bit. So yeah, as soon as I saw this
20:50
game, this was the first game. I'm like, I'm not even touching
20:53
this because the line made zero sense to me.
20:55
I agree. And on the thing, Georgia Tech
20:57
four and two against the spread, they've won the last four in a
20:59
row, so hopefully they can keep that going for us.
21:03
Well one of those losses was against the spread was Wake
21:05
Forest. They sure as hell didn't come
21:06
anywhere near that. I know when one of them.
21:13
All right, let's do our game next all.
21:15
Right. West Virginia, UCF another
21:19
pretty short series here. West Virginia leads four and O
21:22
against UCF. Weather should not be a factor.
21:25
Going to be a beautiful day Saturday, guys.
21:27
It's going to be very nice. West Virginia three and three
21:30
against the spread. UCF is 2 and 3.
21:34
Opening line at 48 1/2. I got 46 1/2.
21:39
I bet the over. I took a page out of Pete's
21:41
playbook here. I bet the over simply because
21:44
we've been doing these trips for about 6 years now and every game
21:47
we pick has just been a barn burner.
21:49
Like last year I think they scored like 500 points between
21:51
the two teams. I think they're still scoring.
21:55
So I'm just going to be a scoring bonanza.
21:59
You know, I'm taking over in this game.
22:02
I don't think West Virginia can stop anybody.
22:04
I don't think UCF is. They're not an offensive
22:08
juggernaut by any means, but they should put up some points.
22:10
So I like the over 46 1/2. It's listed at 48 as it open,
22:14
but right now I think it's at 46.
22:17
Yeah, I like it. I mean, I didn't make obviously
22:20
over under my kind of my thing and I really wanted to bet the
22:23
game we're going to right. That feels like the proper
22:26
number. I think that's actually where it
22:28
should be. It's a pretty good number.
22:29
So yeah, I like I like the over there, but I talk enough about
22:32
the coaches I hate. I talk about the coaches.
22:34
I like Rich Rod, love the guy. I, I, I think you know,
22:37
obviously as a, as a, as a blue guy here, I think he never had a
22:40
chance at Michigan. The minute he got there, the old
22:43
Blues didn't want him there. So he got no help, no support,
22:45
no nothing. I think he could have done way
22:47
better if he actually got some support.
22:49
But I like the guy and it's his offense is fun to watch.
22:52
So I am very excited to be in the stadium because I've never
22:55
been in the stadium. Well, I guess I haven't in a
22:57
while watch that. I'm excited to see him see what
23:00
he can do with this team. But I think it'll be high
23:02
scoring. So I like that over because I
23:04
think they're going to they're and that defense stuff are good
23:06
either. So I think there's going to be a
23:07
lot of scoring on both sides. I couldn't even bring myself to
23:11
touch this game. From a side perspective.
23:13
I, I remember watching West Virginia, Tim, you would bet
23:16
them on something against BYU and it seemed like the only
23:20
offensive play they were running was their quarterback, This poor
23:23
bastard just running up the middle like every single play
23:25
getting clobbered. I, I don't know, I know three of
23:29
the, I think the first 3 quarterbacks are, I have no idea
23:31
how many people played quarterback for West Virginia.
23:33
They'll probably be two more on Saturday because somebody's
23:36
going to get hurt. I, I, we're.
23:39
Going to running back and let them be the quarterbacks, what
23:41
they do well, the thing. Is they lost their running back,
23:43
they lost their top wide receiver like first game of the
23:45
season. I I don't even know.
23:49
Yeah, from a side perspective, I got nothing here.
23:52
I'm not a big Scott Frost guy. No UCF.
23:55
He had a lot of success before he went and ruined Nebraska.
23:59
But yeah, no, no lean, no concern, no care, no energy
24:04
exerted on breaking down this game for me at all.
24:07
I'm just going to go enjoy it. Grab me a UCF hat.
24:12
One off to. The stadium that we went to got
24:14
to buy one for the home team, but Pete also has West Virginia
24:17
over the win total, so. Yeah, I mean that.
24:20
For the sake of the show, I guess I'll be pulling for the
24:22
road. Chat isn't a backdrop, but yeah,
24:24
if there's one offensive system where it doesn't so much matter
24:28
that the quarterback or in your 5th quarterback or whatever,
24:30
this is the one. Because if you remember Michigan
24:33
back in the day, I mean, he's plug somebody in and run around.
24:35
Deb Gardner would get killed, drag him off the pill, put
24:37
somebody else out there. It's kind of the way this thing
24:39
goes. So as long as there's a body
24:41
that can run, don't put them back there.
24:43
So it'll be fun, it'll be interesting.
24:45
I'd like to get a West Virginia hat, but we are here so I we'll
24:47
get something you skipped. Fanatics.
24:53
All right. Well, next we've got Texas A&M
24:55
at Arkansas, I believe. Yeah.
24:58
This is again, still trying to learn from my week where I bet
25:01
on Boston College and Air Force and I found out that pass
25:04
defenses usually don't cover lines.
25:08
That was the basis of my fate of Arkansas here.
25:11
I know they can score, but a lot of those games were against
25:14
defenses that were also not as good.
25:16
The Tennessee game was. That was high scoring game.
25:19
Tennessee's defenses not very good.
25:24
I mean, I like Taylor Green. I don't really like much else
25:26
about this team. And again, this is the best
25:28
defense they've gone up against. Maybe Notre Dame's, but at the
25:32
time Notre Dame defense was still kind of asked.
25:35
I know Le'veon Moss is out for A&M, which does suck next to
25:38
running game, but Ruben Owens should step in and just be fine.
25:41
Concepcion will probably have a few jet sweeps with his own in
25:44
there to keep Owens fresh. I mean, I'm on Tim's Texas A&M
25:49
bandwagon, man. He's, he saved me a seat up
25:51
front. I, I.
25:53
And The thing is, this is 7 1/2 at a lot of places.
25:56
Again, I'm stuck at what Hard Rock gives me.
25:59
Unfortunately, I got 8 1/2, eight, somewhat of a key number
26:03
in college football, I guess in regular football with a 2 point
26:06
conversion. But if you can get the set and a
26:09
half, then you're going to do a lot better than I can here.
26:11
But this just this just should just be a 10 point win at least
26:14
here for Texas A&M. They're much better, I think on
26:17
both sides of the ball. Even with Moss out.
26:21
Petrino, yeah, he came already took over.
26:22
He wants a job. I mean, he had his team ready to
26:25
go against Tennessee last week. I would expect another decent
26:29
effort. But again, this is a defense
26:31
that that Arkansas hasn't seen yet.
26:33
So give me A and MI laid the 8 1/2.
26:37
If you agree with that. You can get 7 1/2 pretty much
26:40
anywhere else unless you live in Florida.
26:43
But yeah, even with with Moss out, give me A&M here.
26:47
I I put one unit on them to cover the 8 1/2.
26:51
What do you think, Pete? Yeah, I mean, I, I still think
26:56
A&M is going to probably dominate this game.
27:00
I said I mean that 8 1/2 would, I would, I lay it probably.
27:04
I think I mean to you, I mean, this is this is your team this
27:06
year, Tim, and I fully support that.
27:08
I think they, they look really good.
27:10
Yeah, some injuries, but I think they're still going to be really
27:13
good. So yeah, if I was going to do
27:15
anything on this game which I didn't, I would, I would
27:17
probably lay those points. And how interesting that in this
27:20
game Wisconsin leads the series 4947 to 2.
27:26
I was in a rush making these slides today boys.
27:29
You gave them to me like 2 hours before the show.
27:34
Sadly, I didn't read them. I didn't read them at all.
27:36
I just, I don't know. Speaking of Wisconsin, oh gosh,
27:40
Speaking of coaches that are terrible, how does a guy still
27:42
have a job? I think this is the end of Luke
27:44
Fickle this week. It should have.
27:47
Been last week. I should have been should have
27:49
been before this year. But anyway, so talk about
27:52
coaches. I like coaches I hate, right?
27:53
So Luke Fickle, bad, bad fit here.
27:55
Everything bad obviously like PJ Fleck, right, He's not going to
27:58
go to Nebraska. I was just kind of kicking that
28:00
one around where he could go and where he should go is here after
28:02
he gets fired because this is a long term historic program
28:05
that's been good in Big 10 and he's the right guy for a program
28:08
like this. So that'd be interesting.
28:09
Now for this game over under 41 1/2, you know, my gut originally
28:14
said under because Wisconsin's going to do nothing or next to
28:17
nothing. But I thought, you know, this is
28:19
Ohio State and they like to piss me off and if I tried to go with
28:23
the under, they probably would have scored 50 points by
28:25
themselves. So I am going with my gut this
28:28
time and saying that Ohio State is going to blow them out of the
28:31
stadium and score a ton of points.
28:34
And I don't care what Wisconsin does, this is still going over.
28:37
So I'm going one unit over with the probably well, if not the
28:41
best team in the country very close to it.
28:42
And that hurts my heart to say that, but unfortunately it is
28:45
what it is. I, I bet Iowa and laid the three
28:50
at Wisconsin last week, it was what, 37 to nothing?
28:56
And I, I know locker room, I know Wisconsin was on their
28:58
backup quarterback. But even if Billy Edwards is
29:00
back this week, which I don't know if he is or not,
29:02
unfortunately, if he does come back, he's going against the
29:04
best defense in the country. Another shut out.
29:07
Not out of the realm of possibility here.
29:10
And I agree with Pete. If if this is another blow out
29:13
by the Buckeyes, how do you keep thick?
29:16
I don't know how you I mean serious.
29:18
If schools are paying $49,000,000 to get rid of
29:20
Franklin, nobody with a large buy out is safe anymore.
29:24
I I'll. Go hire Franklin.
29:26
I don't pick a job, but I mean anyways.
29:29
There's nothing about Wisconsin offensively that I am a fan of.
29:34
Yeah, if you can do player props, pick your receiver on
29:37
Ohio State. Bet on at any time touchdown. 3
29:39
touchdowns are good. It's I just what is the line on
29:42
this? Tim's got totals up there.
29:44
I don't even remember, I have it in front of me here.
29:47
I don't know if you do either. Whatever it is, it was. -25 1/2
29:51
at one point. Lay it.
29:54
I think that's an easy way to that sucker out there.
29:56
And all they'll talk about Wisconsin, what a great run
29:58
defense. I don't know if you saw Corey
30:00
Moulton for Iowa last week. He looked like Wisconsin was
30:02
playing with eight guys on defense.
30:03
So, you know, if Iowa can tear this team up, you gotta ask God,
30:09
this is going to be ugly. I hope we're not forced to
30:11
watch. I hope this is going on.
30:12
This is a 330 game. And when we when we leave the
30:14
bounce house, we are not watching this.
30:17
We are not. Don't watch any part of this at.
30:19
All I'd rather watch a rerun of East Carolina and Tulsa,
30:24
whatever's going on there right now.
30:25
Way more interesting. Bye bye fickle.
30:29
Sorry buddy, it's over with. Team seasons are over with.
30:36
Are they going to play again? Are they done?
30:37
I thought they. Were now that James Franklin is
30:39
gone, it's like it just doesn't feel the same.
30:42
OK, Pete and I had a discussion about this earlier, and I'll go
30:46
first because this is my bet. I'm falling for the trap budget.
30:51
Maybe it's because I liked what I saw from Iowa, but I laid the
30:55
three here. I don't know, I'm sorry.
30:57
I got 2 1/2, but unfortunately, I got -120 thank you, Hard Rock.
31:00
In Florida, it's three in most other places.
31:03
But if it was still three, I would still lay it anyway.
31:06
And the discussion Pete and I had was, you know, Penn State
31:10
lost their quarterback, lost their head coach.
31:13
Pretty much anything they had to play for has been taken away
31:16
from them. How do they come out?
31:19
Are they going to be a proud program?
31:21
That's like, you know what, we're going to bounce back.
31:23
We're going to go nine and three.
31:24
We're going to do whatever, you know, like what UCLA pulled off.
31:29
Are they just going to be like, guys, we had such high
31:31
expectations coming in six games into the season, they're gone.
31:34
Do we even care at this moment anymore?
31:38
I'm betting they wish they probably still had Beau Cibula
31:42
as opposed to the the young man that they're starting on
31:45
Saturday. And it's not like Iowa's defense
31:48
is terrible. So I'm falling for it.
31:51
I think Iowa wins by double digits here.
31:55
And you know, I'm willing to put one unit.
31:56
Penn State comes out and proves me wrong.
31:59
Tip of the hat, couple of golf claps, fine, so be it.
32:03
But I, I don't know how you bet Penn State at this point.
32:06
I mean, you lost to, you know, the heartbreaking loss to
32:09
Oregon. You had a chance to come back
32:10
out against UCLA and prove you still belong in the playoff.
32:14
You couldn't stop anything. You paid your defense
32:16
coordinator $3,000,000 and you gave up 42 points to UCLA.
32:19
And then that wasn't bad enough. You went home as a 20?
32:23
Are they 2425 point favorite against Northwesterns?
32:26
They've never come out of the locker room.
32:29
Does Northwestern even know how to score a touchdown?
32:31
I just, I don't want to say how much person because it still
32:36
could get worse. They like we Pete had said they
32:38
might not even make a bowl game with with some of the games they
32:40
got left. But again, this was the line I
32:43
saw Sunday night. And I'm like, I don't want to
32:46
fall for that. But earlier today I fell for it.
32:49
So you know what, Iowa 2 1/2, three, whatever you got or
32:53
whatever app you have. Oh yeah, you can see it there.
32:56
Third one from the left if you're watching on YouTube -2
32:59
and a half 120 at the Hard Rock. That's what I got stuck with
33:01
today. So.
33:03
But honestly, I don't see why I wouldn't lay it.
33:06
Yeah, why not? I mean, it's what's the logical
33:07
bet? Here and that's what it says,
33:10
because everything says why would you even touch pins but.
33:12
Yeah, this is a wild card. It's a coin flip.
33:14
Well, they're O and six against the spread and Kirk France 9 and
33:17
8 the only. Thing that has not won against
33:18
the spread this year, by the way.
33:20
Yeah, I mean, it's going to do one of two things, right?
33:22
Either they're going to just quit because the season's over.
33:26
I was never a drowler guy anyway.
33:27
We had a discussion before the season started, so I don't care
33:30
about him. But either they're going to just
33:32
say screw it, we're done, don't care.
33:35
Or there's a lot of talent on that team.
33:38
I mean, James Franklin could recruit.
33:41
There's a ton of talent on that team.
33:43
They're or they're going to come out pissed off and they're gonna
33:46
pile drive that I mean that could happen.
33:48
So it's really hard. That's why I wouldn't bet this
33:51
game at all. I have no idea.
33:53
I would actually. That's not the same time.
33:55
I would like to watch this game, at least part of it to see what
33:57
happens, but. I'd love to see what Penn State
33:59
looks like in the 1st. Quarter.
34:00
Absolutely. Yeah.
34:00
I mean, it could be Ronald McDonald, though.
34:02
Sideline coaching for Penn State.
34:03
I don't think it freaking matters.
34:05
Either the player's going to show up and say we're pissed
34:07
off, or they're just going to say screw it, just let the
34:09
season end. And that's a fairpoint.
34:11
Wouldn't you been pissed off against Oregon after the Oregon
34:13
game? And then after that, wouldn't
34:15
you be pissed off against the UCLA?
34:16
After the Oregon game, some of the freaking comments that James
34:19
Franklin made, I think he lost his goddamn locker, the way some
34:23
of the stuff he said was just like not supportive of his team
34:26
and looking at just it was bad. So I don't know who knows.
34:29
Yes, I agree, who knows. That's why it's a wild card.
34:31
Who the hell knows, right? I got my money on it.
34:35
I'll take the risk and find out. But.
34:38
You know. We'll be watching it, so it'll
34:39
be fun I. Think it's on Peacock?
34:41
I don't know if we'll be watching.
34:42
It I do have Peacock, well then we'll be watching.
34:44
It. Amen.
34:45
Here we go. What you did on the Hawkeyes?
34:48
All right, we got Alabama at Tennessee, whether it should be
34:53
nice. Alabama 41 O one against the
34:55
spread. Tennessee three and three.
34:58
The line opening line was 12 1/2.
35:00
Alabama giving 12 1/2 to Tennessee.
35:03
Whose bet is this? Oh, Darren, here we go.
35:07
I. I don't understand why this line
35:09
dropped, but yeah, I jumped all over the 8 1/2 here.
35:12
Ty Simpson is playing at another level, man.
35:15
Joey Aguilar, you had a nice year so far.
35:17
I get it. Alabama's defense, maybe not the
35:20
most epic squad, but they're sure the hell a lot better than
35:22
what Tennessee's putting out on the field defensively.
35:24
Also, an injury report from the other day.
35:26
Tennessee just lost one of their starting quarterbacks.
35:28
They're not sure. Cornerbacks, I should say.
35:30
They don't know when he's coming back.
35:32
So, yeah, just one less person that Simpsons got to worry
35:35
about. Jan Miller questionable.
35:36
That does worry me a little bit. Alabama's top running back.
35:40
But at Alabama night time game, Tennessee struggling defensively
35:46
outside of Arkansas. There is no worse defense in the
35:48
SEC than when what the Volunteers are putting out
35:51
there. You know, they blew that game to
35:53
Georgia that they should have won.
35:55
They struggled to beat Arkansas. I think if Alabama gets out
36:00
quick here, which they should, I don't know, I think they're just
36:05
going to start teeing off on Aguilar.
36:06
I think the defense steps up here.
36:08
I think this is a statement game for Bama.
36:10
As long as it stays, you know, 9 1/2 or below, I would I would
36:14
jump on Bama here. So I've got 1 unit Alabama, I
36:17
got 8 1/2. Yeah, I.
36:19
Think it'd be a different story if this game was in Tennessee
36:22
and without some of the injuries that are there.
36:24
I think this would be an epic game.
36:26
I think it'd be very interesting because of the injuries, because
36:28
it's in Bama, because it's at night.
36:30
Yeah, this I agree 100%. This is going to be a statement
36:33
game, I think. So I think they'll come out and
36:34
stomp them because this is what they do.
36:36
You get to this time of the year and you want to get yourself
36:38
positioned for the playoff, What do you do?
36:41
You come out against a team like this and you just pile drive.
36:43
And I think that's likely what we're going to see.
36:45
Happen and again that Florida State loss is looking worse.
36:47
Sorry Tim, you know the loss to Florida State look worst every
36:51
week. You got to start.
36:53
Pounding I. Suppose to to to help prove your
36:57
case. So yeah, I, I, if this was, if
37:00
this was a 20 point win, it wouldn't shock me one bit.
37:04
We got one more game left on the 20th anniversary of the Bush
37:09
Bush at USC Notre Dame. Watched that earlier on ESPN.
37:16
Yeah, opened up at 53 1/2. It looks like this is the
37:19
total's best. I'm going to guess Pete had this
37:21
one. I do so A-Team Notre Dame, that
37:25
is that it was very high on at the begin, beginning of this
37:28
year, right? Very high on the offense,
37:32
particularly the running game, high on the defense.
37:35
And what I expected would be a good defensive team that did not
37:38
play itself out well early early this year.
37:40
It seems to be evolving in a better direction, right?
37:46
And so my concern so from the Notre Dame side, I think they're
37:51
going to put out a really good effort.
37:52
I think the defense will be better.
37:55
So from that side, usci don't want to bash my.
37:59
I do want to bash my team. They got.
38:02
Oh, that's coming. Well, I'll save it for them, but
38:06
I mean, USC looked way better than I thought they were last
38:09
week. Now, I don't know if that was my
38:10
team being not very good partially that, or USC just
38:15
being way better than I thought they were.
38:16
It's kind of that West Coast bias thing.
38:18
When you're on the East Coast, you're not seeing them so much
38:20
all the time. Yeah, they look pretty good.
38:23
So I think this is going to be a really, really good game.
38:25
The over under that I have is 61 1/2 is what I saw here.
38:33
Yeah, I think it's a high number.
38:34
And my my bet here is that, you know, USC is not going to be
38:38
able to do what they did last week.
38:39
Notre Dame's defence is going to be good.
38:40
They're going to want to run the ball.
38:42
It's going to slow the game down a little bit.
38:43
Not that it's going to be a low scoring game, but I think it'll
38:45
be under that number. It's a pretty big number.
38:47
So I'm going one unit under 61 1/2 on this game.
38:50
I think it's going to be an excellent game.
38:52
So I'm very much looking forward to watching this one.
38:55
I am not as as the Notre Dame supporter of this trio.
39:01
This game scares the hell out of me.
39:02
I think that was the exact phrase I used this afternoon.
39:06
I thought I did this last week, but they do.
39:08
I went through the same damn thing with my team playing these
39:09
guys. Well, let's hope that my team
39:11
has a better effort and a better result.
39:14
A couple things here. Obviously the top 2 running
39:16
backs on USC got hurt. Checked their status.
39:19
If if you want a better side on this game here, I think they're
39:21
going to need those guys to have any shot.
39:24
Here. And again, we talked about
39:26
statement wins there. There aren't any teams after
39:29
this that Notre Dame can really say, hey, we beat so and so.
39:32
It's a run of mostly ACC teams from here on out for them.
39:36
And again, 10 and two, they're getting in.
39:40
I mean, they lost by three points to Miami, which the last
39:42
I checked is a top five team, and by one point on a botched
39:47
extra point to Texas A&M, which is also a top team last time
39:50
checked. Those are going to be two really
39:52
good losses. But if they're nine and three,
39:55
enjoy the Mayo Bowl because that's where you're going.
39:58
So I would expect an this kind of shaping up eerily like last
40:03
year, you lost in Northern Illinois.
40:05
Everybody thought the season was done.
40:07
And you just went out and stomped people like 12 times in
40:10
a row. You roll through your regular
40:12
season, you beat Georgia, you beat Penn State.
40:15
I think that's kind of shaping up to be the same Notre Dame
40:18
team. But unfortunately, if they trip
40:22
up, yeah, yeah, they're done. So if they can get this one, I
40:27
believe I was watching ESPN earlier this week, they got a
40:30
better than 75% chance to beat everybody else on their
40:33
schedule. But this game I wouldn't touch
40:37
because it scares me to no end. I mean, USC, if if you're a
40:42
revenge spot kind of guy, you may remember Notre Dame went out
40:44
there last year, gave up 35 points, which kind of scares me.
40:49
But again, USC might not be able to run the ball this week, so
40:51
we'll have to see. And Notre Dame's not returning
40:54
to interceptions, 99 yards for touchdowns again.
40:57
So no thoughts on the side. I'm going to be sweating this
41:02
out. Oh God, it's 7:30.
41:05
I'm going to be awake. I'm going to have to watch.
41:07
We're watching this. We're watching, yeah.
41:10
Yeah, don't play aside, guys, just just keep your fingers
41:15
crossed at Notre Dame. Just yeah, even just eek out a
41:17
win. I don't care.
41:18
It's it's, it would still be a good win if you get it, but.
41:21
I'll get you three of those buckets for the game.
41:24
No. Then you'll feel great.
41:28
It was a rum runner. Bucket double, I ordered.
41:30
All right, so here's what happened.
41:31
I ordered a rum runner at the caban today.
41:33
Just normal single rum runner. So the guy asked me, well, well,
41:38
do you want a double? And Pete was like, yeah, he'll
41:40
take a double. And then he was like, well, do
41:42
you want it in a bucket? Sure, I'll take a bucket.
41:45
He's like, well, we also have a double bucket.
41:48
And in like 20 seconds, I went from a rum runner to a slight
41:51
hangover because I downed a double bucket of rum.
41:57
So yeah, if you're enjoying the show, now you know why.
42:02
So yeah, if I go O and three this week, it's all Peach fault.
42:08
All right, move on to the RPO. Take us through Darren.
42:13
Baylor plus 3 1/2 at TCU. You know, it's kind of high on
42:15
TCU, but they're kind of not playing well lately.
42:20
I don't know if I could ever trust Baylor's defense, but I'm
42:22
a fan of anything on a key number with a hook.
42:24
So if you had to play this game over would probably be my
42:29
choice. Hungry.
42:30
But if you had to go with the side, as long as you can get
42:33
that hook, take the three and a. Half.
42:34
I like it OK. I would pass on that one.
42:39
Here we got Washington plus 4 1/2 at Michigan.
42:43
I was going to do another money line.
42:46
Sprinkle I was thinking of. Really thinking about doing 3
42:49
money line sprinkles. I I got a little chicken there,
42:52
so I passed on this game, but I was going to run to the window
42:55
and bet Washington money line. I I would not blame you.
42:59
My lovely team looked like a pile of garbage last week.
43:03
That was the worst effort I've seen out of that team in at
43:05
least three years, which means that they should warm up that
43:08
coaching hot seat because if those guys are going to play for
43:11
him and there's a lot of talent that team that is not
43:13
acceptable. That was not an acceptable
43:16
performance at all for that team in US.
43:18
That was terrible, right? And so as far as I'm concerned,
43:20
if that happens again, I'll, if they lose to Washington, he
43:22
should be freaking gone anyway. They're not going to fire him in
43:25
the middle of the year. But but I think that that is
43:29
that that was concerning the way they played.
43:31
So, yeah, actually, you know what?
43:32
I would take us 4 1/2. All I'm gonna say is the two
43:36
games where Michigan looked great, Sherrod Moore was
43:38
suspended. What does that tell you?
43:41
He's. Back and Pooji.
43:44
Was in charge. Franklin guy that had come teach
43:47
at a real program where he might win a national championship.
43:50
I'll take him. Just wait till we give out the
43:51
golden hatch later. Pete's not done.
43:54
I would avoid this game altogether.
43:55
I don't know what to expect from Michigan.
43:56
They should have, but The thing is they got shoved around like
44:00
they shouldn't have got shoved around, not against UNC.
44:02
That defense is going to stop us and we're we're 50 something
44:05
year old old man. And still partially hungover.
44:07
Exactly. I wouldn't touch this game at
44:08
all. If I could run a straight line,
44:10
I would run right now. Very bad.
44:15
Oklahoma -4 1/2 at South Carolina.
44:18
I'm running to it. I'm betting Oklahoma.
44:22
Yeah, I I find it hard to trust John Mateer after that train
44:25
wreck last week. He says that had nothing to do
44:27
with it. I think he's full of it.
44:29
South Carolina, disappointing season.
44:31
I mean, they're they lost a lot on defense.
44:33
I don't think anybody was expecting an SEC championship.
44:36
But this was 5 1/2 when I made this up early today.
44:40
It's down to 4 1/2. If you want to hold out for
44:42
four, I'd be fine with that. 5 1/2's kind of a dead zone
44:45
anyway. Oh, yeah.
44:48
I mean Oklahoma's defense is so much better.
44:51
I would lay this as well. I would as well only to South
44:54
Carolina is not good. I, I think this it's not a great
44:57
spot for Oklahoma. They're going to win this game
44:59
and I would lay the points as well, but South Carolina is not
45:01
a good. Thing.
45:02
Keep moving. All right, we got SMU getting 4
45:05
1/2 back Clemson. If I was going to bet I'd run
45:08
and bet on Clemson, I'll I'll keep them going.
45:11
I wouldn't guarantee it is morning.
45:14
But I would do the same now. What he said club Nick
45:18
potentially a no go this weekend which is why this spread is so
45:21
low. You know Dabo is going to play
45:24
close and not say anything until probably kick off.
45:27
I would hate to bet one side or the other and then find out that
45:31
club makes a go or no go depending on where you bet.
45:34
Nope, no interest in this game. All right, we got Ole Miss plus
45:38
7 1/2 at Georgia. I still do not like playing
45:41
Kiffin next. What do you got?
45:43
I love that hook man. I take old Miss 7 1/2.
45:46
That hook is beautiful. Wayne is going to whip out some
45:48
stuff here. It could be interesting.
45:50
So yeah, nothing to add. I agree with everything Pete
45:52
said. I would take Ole Miss in a
45:54
minute. I would take him at 7 I.
45:56
Agree, but the hook is even better.
45:57
Sorry. Not a fan of Georgia but the
45:58
hook is nice. Absolutely.
46:00
Texas Tech -7 1/2 at Arizona State pass for me.
46:05
Hard pass. Sam Levitt's Probable here.
46:09
The hook is nice so maybe wait till game day to see if that
46:12
spread moves. But Texas Tech little core.
46:16
I think their quarterbacks in concussion protocol but I
46:18
believe he's expected to go. But Arizona State's already got
46:22
2 losses. They won't have any chance of
46:23
getting back to the playoff. They need this one.
46:25
If you can get 7 1/2 I'd I'd take Sundell.
46:27
What the hell? Yeah, I mean, they're at home.
46:29
So I mean, depending on the injury status and all that, I
46:32
mean they're there, there could be an opportunity for a money
46:35
line at Arizona State. They're going to play hard.
46:36
They're at home and they got to win this game.
46:38
So we'll see it. We got Mississippi State plus 9
46:41
1/2 at Florida. I'm thinking this might be the
46:44
part of the year where Florida bands together and Bill Napier
46:47
keeps his job for another, I mean, but I'm passing on this
46:52
game all together. What do you guys think?
46:54
The Gator behind us over here agrees, by the way.
46:56
So we're we're good. Yeah.
46:57
I mean, we're in Florida. I'm just going to say I still
47:00
don't dislike Billy Napier, but I don't know why this this
47:02
program is just all over the place.
47:04
Good, bad, good, bad. There's no consistency there.
47:06
But I think they're going to be good this week and I think
47:07
they're going to win by like, I don't know, 20.
47:11
I wouldn't touch this game. I read an article Napier could
47:13
be fired regardless of the outcome.
47:15
If that's the case, you're Billy Napier.
47:18
How do you motivate your team to save your job when it could very
47:21
well be possible? No matter what happens, you're
47:23
done well. They like the guys who's going
47:24
to fold all the stocks. They're they're not the ones
47:27
that pay his salaries or whether they like it or not, they
47:29
already want him gone. This is like the third year of
47:32
this nonsense with this guy. I don't know the Kryptons.
47:34
They throw every goddamn trick, play everything else, fire away.
47:37
Yeah, and if you have to do that, your team's on.
47:38
Well, of course not arguing that.
47:42
Nothing to do with this game, but I, I mean, I agree that
47:45
Florida could come out with a big effort.
47:46
I just don't know if it's going to save Napier's job if Napier
47:49
and Fickle are gone by the time I get back to New York.
47:51
I wouldn't surprise you. I'm Billy.
47:53
Napier, OK Missouri -1 1/2 over Auburn Heart pass for me.
47:57
What are you guys thinking? Jackson.
47:59
Arnold asked. I'll take Missouri.
48:01
Yeah, after watching Auburn last week.
48:04
You can out and Speaking of, coaches could be fired.
48:06
You want your trifecta for this week?
48:08
Fickle Napier Freeze poodles free coach fired parlay can you?
48:13
Play that on that. Maybe, but I mean, you know, you
48:18
can complain about that terrible call.
48:20
And yes, that was a terrible call.
48:21
And I'm not saying that because I had order plus 3 1/2, but it
48:24
could have been 17 to nothing going into the half time.
48:26
I probably wouldn't play that game at all, but still, bad call
48:30
or not, you cannot come out and play a first half like that and
48:33
literally do a 180 and what'd you have like 16 yards of
48:36
offense in the second-half? That can't happen.
48:39
That's on coaching. Freeze gone.
48:43
Give me years under. Calls guys, is that right how
48:48
you do it? That's how we play, that's.
48:53
How? We time out.
48:58
Utah -3 1/2 at BYU. I'd probably run with BYU on
49:02
this one, yeah. It looks like a fun game either
49:04
way. I wouldn't bet it, but I mean,
49:05
I'm watching. It could be fun get the goals.
49:08
For sure. Rolls Utah rolls.
49:13
No. Not impressed with BYU at all.
49:15
I'm not either, but Nope, Utah rolls there's.
49:18
A little bit thing. Between them, I don't know man.
49:20
We got oh boy, Florida State -17 1/2 at Stanford.
49:24
Stage is yours I. Put this one in for you.
49:26
We're just going to sit here. Ron and Bet Stanford.
49:31
Jesus Christ, he's horrible. Oh, my God, no.
49:37
It's got to get better. It's got to get better.
49:40
It can't get. Yeah, they're going to lose
49:42
three in a row, and that is Mike Norvell going to get fired
49:44
before Billy Napier. Wow, that would be interesting.
49:47
Like, wouldn't that be something?
49:48
I mean, that would be something. Remember the tweet I told you
49:51
about earlier when Florida State was wishing Mike Norvell a happy
49:54
44th birthday and somebody supposed he hasn't won a
49:56
conference game since he was 42? That streak may end, but I don't
50:01
think they're covering this spread.
50:03
Stanford can run the ball. They don't if they're not forced
50:06
to pay. If Florida State comes out slow
50:08
and maybe a little live, bet on Stanford here.
50:11
But you can't trust Tim, you can't trust your team at this
50:16
point. And they're flying all the way
50:17
across the country, so. Two time zones so.
50:22
Damn, that's a lot of. It wow, it is.
50:24
Yeah, let me get mine out of the way first.
50:26
I got LSU money line over Vanderbilt and Georgia Tech
50:30
money line over Duke, and I got West Virginia UCF.
50:33
I got the over 46 1/2. Pete, let's go. 4 is yours.
50:39
Yeah, my record is under 500. I'm pissed.
50:41
So we're going to try to fix that this week.
50:42
So Louisville, Miami, over 50. And thank you very much, Sir.
50:49
Uncalled war. Have you seen her record there?
50:52
What's that? It's terrible.
50:54
I have magically almost caught up the beat in units you.
50:57
Haven't been over 500 and all right, Nebraska, Minnesota under
51:04
47 1/2 the Fighting Belichicks and Cal, Cal under 47 1/2 hour,
51:10
it might be 20. 5 They're not fighting.
51:12
They're not fighting anything. Well, if it's fighting with his
51:14
girlfriend, USC, Notre Dame, I'm expecting a Notre Dame defense
51:18
to do something. So under 61.
51:20
And 1/2. Ohio State is going to truck
51:23
Wisconsin. They'll probably score 45
51:25
themselves, so 41 1/2. I hate 3 to 4 numbers I got this
51:30
week, but you know what? So that's what I have to do.
51:32
We're transparent on this show. That's what I got stuck with.
51:34
So by the way, Pete's record and my record for this week, that
51:37
includes everything up to yesterday because we did throw
51:40
out some few bets on the on the YouTube channel under the post
51:43
tab. So any midweek games, Tuesday,
51:45
Wednesday or anything before we do a show, look forward there.
51:49
That's where our pics will be if we have any.
51:51
I took 13 1/2 with Louisville. I think this is Louisville's
51:54
game where they actually show everybody what they're supposed
51:56
to be. And it wouldn't surprise me if
51:58
crystal ball pulls a crystal ball.
52:00
I expect this one to hopefully be close.
52:02
A and MI got a bad number here laying 1/2 certainly find 7 1/2
52:06
just about everywhere except Florida.
52:09
Iowa again, the only good number I got 2 1/2.
52:12
Of course that is heavily juiced.
52:13
I think that state is cooked and Bama I think like we talked
52:17
about earlier big statement game here.
52:19
I think they roll over this. Sorry, Tennessee defense, one
52:22
unit on. Well, that'll do it.
52:29
Going to be OK in there. All right, great.
52:32
Saratoga Rays. Is that ray going down in there?
52:33
Yes, probably. Just hit A5 all all trifecta or
52:38
something so. Yeah, if you're only for our
52:41
guest picker this week, he likes Washington's 8 + 17 1/2 at
52:44
Virginia. Yeah, so he likes every longshot
52:46
horse that's 25 to one at least, and he puts like $200 on him as
52:50
a. Thing all vacation.
52:54
Everybody, thank you for watching.
52:56
Don't forget to like and subscribe to the channel.
52:58
Leave a comment, leave your best.
52:59
We'd love to hear from you. Thank you for listening and
53:02
we'll see you next week. Good luck man.