Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3586 Republicans SURGE in Virginia as Democrats COLLAPSE!!!

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Ep. 3586 Republicans SURGE in Virginia as Democrats COLLAPSE!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hey, gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your back porch professor.
• 0:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: I hope you're having a wonderful weekend.
• 0:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: But I could certainly tell you who's not.
• 0:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that's the Democrat Party of Virginia.
• 0:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: And I got to say, I've been thus far a pretty hardened skeptic over whether Republicans could possibly pull off and upset in the upcoming Virginia statewide races.
• 0:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: But we're just 18 days to go before the election.
• 0:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, seriously, it actually looks as if the GOP is on the verge of sweeping this thing.
• 0:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: The polls are showing a complete Democrat collapse, and the reason why is going to blow your mind.
• 0:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: So let's put all of this in context here.
• 1:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: So just one month ago, right?
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Literally four weeks ago, Democrats held a near 10-point lead in Virginia's generic ballot, okay?
• 1:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: Today, that lead has collapsed, but here's where it gets wild, in the attorney general race.
• 1:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republican Jason Mayaris,
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  [SPEAKER_00]: He's gone from being seven points behind to now leading by freaking five points.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, it's a near double digit swing in less than just four weeks.
• 1:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: This, according to the latest Trafalgar polling, the Republican gubernatorial candidate went some sears.
• 1:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: She's just down by two.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: It's within the margin of error.
• 1:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: And the Lieutenant Governor's race is tied.
• 1:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's dead, even.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Neither of which favors the Democrats, obviously, especially with the record mail in.
• 1:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: voting and early voting among Republicans.
• 1:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're up from where they were this time last year when Kamala won Virginia by just over five.
• 1:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: And they're significantly up more than from 2021 when Glenn Young can beat the Democrat Terry McColl.
• 2:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, if you don't know,
• 2:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: One thing more than anything else calls this political implosion.
• 2:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that, of course, is J. Jones, the Democrat AG nominee.
• 2:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: He got caught sending text messages saying he wanted to assassinate, but then Republican Speaker Todd Gilbert, and I'm not making this up, and he explicitly stated that he wanted to watch Gilbert's wife hold their children dead in her arms.
• 2:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: when a Republican delegate who originally mistakenly got sent these tax ended up telling Jones stop sending this to me.
• 2:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: Three different times he doubled down.
• 2:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: He kept going and he got even more violent in his threats who was beyond bizarre.
• 2:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, if this were a domestic violence situation, he would be in jail right now as we speak.
• 2:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now after that shocking revelation, he refused to drop out of the race.
• 2:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: He got caught openly and publicly fantasizing about murdering his political opponent and his children, but still refused to drop out of the race.
• 3:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: But, and this, in my opinion,
• 3:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: is the key to the collapse happening among the Virginia Democrats as a whole.
• 3:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, the single Democrat on the ticket is called for Jones to drop out.
• 3:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: Not one.
• 3:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, you just have to let that hit you.
• 3:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, the single Democrat on the ticket, or frankly, any Virginia Democrat that I'm aware of, has called on Jones to drop out.
• 3:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: In fact,
• 3:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: gubernatorial candidate Abigail Spamberger is actually still selling campaign merchandise tying herself to Jay Jones on a website as we speak.
• 3:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: During the gubernatorial debate,
• 3:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: devastating span burger.
• 3:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: She called on her directly to call on Jones to drop out and she refused to even look at her.
• 3:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: She didn't answer to her.
• 3:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, so this scandal wasn't just sinking Jay Jones.
• 4:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's sinking the entire Democrat ticket like a political anchor.
• 4:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: So clearly the momentum is on the side of the Republicans.
• 4:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's clear as day as we speak.
• 4:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so what we'll be looking for over the coming three weeks is the damage that momentum is done to the Virginia Democrats so called firewall.
• 4:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: Remember, this is the strategy that both Cliff Maloney and Scott Pressler utilize so effectively in Pennsylvania against the Democrats.
• 4:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: They knew if they could get Republican mail in voting in early.
• 4:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: in-person voting, up to about 35 percent of the total early voting tally we got this.
• 4:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: The massive overwhelming Republican advantage on election day would overwhelm the so-called Democrat firewall that works so well back in 2022 when John fed him in a mast in your million vote lead before election day, which even the strong Republican turnout on election day just couldn't overcome.
• 4:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: So the key here is to basically doubt the firewall with enough Republican early voting, mostly coming from the load and no prop voters.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Those are voters who only vote in one of the last four elections are frankly didn't vote at all.
• 5:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that requires a massive get out for vote campaign that Cliff Maloney's Pennsylvania chase did so well knocking on over 500,000 doors.
• 5:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: These are Republican doors, right?
• 5:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: but they're generally low to no propensity voters and making sure they're getting their ballots in is key.
• 5:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: By the way, I just interviewed Cliff on how he plans to win New Jersey in the same way with the New Jersey chase, actively flipping New Jersey red, so make sure to check out that interview.
• 5:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: It'll tell you what you can do to help flip New Jersey as well.
• 5:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: I think it's up today or tomorrow on the channel.
• 5:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: But that's all we're going to be looking for.
• 5:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: We want to see what kind of dent Virginia Republicans can put in the Democrats early vote viral.
• 5:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thus far, they're doing great.
• 5:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: So back in 2021, when Glenn Youngkin won, Democrats led early voting by 30 points at the stage.
• 5:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: At this point now, this year, they're only leading by 20 points.
• 6:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: So they're down by 10.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: That's a massive shift in Republican intensity.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: So the Republicans have to keep this momentum going.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Remember Democrats outnumber Republicans in Virginia.
• 6:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: So that momentum can turn on the dime.
• 6:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: So that's why it is so important to keep an eye on these early vote numbers to see which way the wind is headed.
• 6:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: So far, so good.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: No question.
• 6:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: regardless of what ultimately happens Virginia.
• 6:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is a very important point.
• 6:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: Regardless of what ultimately happens, Democrat insiders are panicking because they know there's absolutely no signs of a blue wave forming for the 2026 midterms.
• 6:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: If anything, it is the exact opposite.
• 6:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: Even CNN was pointing this out, hairy ended.
• 6:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: So back at this time, a couple of, one year and a couple of weeks out from the 2022 midterms when the Republicans took back control of the House.
• 6:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Democrats were up nearly three points in the generic ballot.
• 6:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: That was the RCP average, right?
• 6:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: The average of all the polling done out there.
• 6:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: Democrats were up three nationally in the generic polls in October of 2021, a year out from the 2022 midterms that they went on to lose.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: The Republicans retoft the House.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Right now as we speak in October 2025, with a year and a few weeks before the 2026 midterms, Democrats are leading the same generic ballot by only one.
• 7:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: They were up three at the same time in October before the 2022 midterms.
• 7:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: A year and a few weeks out, now they're only up by one, which means they're poised to get absolutely crushed.
• 7:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans are statistically poised now,
• 7:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: And these two nail-biter elections in Jersey and Virginia, which should have been blowouts for the Democrats, are further indicators that they are indeed imploding.
• 7:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're imploding across the board, which is 18 days ago, both the early voting and the poll suggest that the Virginia Republicans have a legitimate shot at sweeping all three statewide offices, governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general.
• 8:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, a month ago,
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  [SPEAKER_00]: I would frankly laugh at that suggestion.
• 8:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: I openly said, I think all our attention should be on Jersey.
• 8:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: Forget Virginia, it's gone there too far behind today.
• 8:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: I can't deny it, the polling data, the early vote trends, the continued Democrats stupidity with their doubling down on Jay Jones's murderous comments, it points to a potential Republican tsunami.
• 8:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: So what do you guys think?
• 8:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: Let me know in the comments section below.
• 8:30
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• 8:35
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• 8:37
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• 8:38
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• 8:40
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